copyright © 2008 prentice hall all rights reserved 9-1 capital investment decisions and the time...
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Copyright © 2008 Prentice Hall All rights reserved
9-1
Capital Investment Decisions and the Time Value of Money
Chapter 9
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9-2
Objective 1
Describe the importance of capital investments and the capital
budgeting process
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9-3
Capital Budgeting: The Process of Making Capital Investment Decisions
• Companies make capital investments when they acquire capital assets – assets used for a long period of time
• Capital investments include buying new equipment, building new plants, automating production and developing major commercial websites
• Capital investments affect operations for many years and usually require large sums of money
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9-4
Four Popular Methods of Capital Budgeting Analysis
• Payback period
• Accounting Rate of Return (ARR)
• Net Present Value (NPV)
• Internal Rate of Return (IRR)
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9-5
Capital Budgeting Process
• Identify potential investments
• Project the investment’s net cash inflows
• Analyze the investments using one or more of the four methods listed previously
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9-6
Typical Capital Budgeting Process1. Identify potential capital investments
2. Estimate future net cash inflows
3. Analyze potential investments:
a. Screen out undesirable investments using payback and/or ARR b. Further analyze investments using NPV and/or IRR
4. Engage in capital rationing if necessary to choose among alternative investments
5. Perform post-audits
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9-7
Objective 2
Use the payback and accounting rate of return methods to make
capital investment decisions
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9-8
Payback Period
Payback – the length of time it takes to recover, in net cash inflows, the cost of the capital outlay
Amount investedExpected annual net cash inflows
When the net cash inflows are equal each year, the computation of the payback period is performed by dividing the amount invested by the expected annual net cash inflows. The result is the payback period in years.
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9-9
Payback with Unequal Net Cash Inflows
Accumulate net cash inflows until amount invested is recovered
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9-10
Payback Period
DECISION RULE: Payback Period
Investments with shorter payback periods are more desirable, all else
being equal
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9-11
E9-16: Compute Payback Period with Equal Cash Flows
Amount invested
Expected annual net cash inflow
$1,236,100
$309,025
= 4 years
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9-12
Accounting Rate of Return
Average annual operating income from assetAverage amount invested in asset
Average amount invested in asset =
Original Investment + Residual Value2
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9-13
Accounting Rate of Return
• Managers compare the accounting rate of return to company’s required minimum rate of return for investments of similar risk
• If the ARR is less than the required minimum, the investment is rejected
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9-14
Accounting Rate of Return
DECISION RULE: Invest in capital
assets?
Is expected accounting rate of return > the required
rate of return?
Invest
Is expected accounting rate of return < the required
rate of return?
Do not invest
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9-15
E9-19: Compute and Compare ARR
Atlas
$160,000
($1,000,000 + 0)/2
= 32%
Veras
240,500
(1,200,000+100,000)/2
= 37%
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9-16
E9-18: ARR with Unequal Cash Flows
Average annual operating income:Year 1 $310,000Year 2 280,000 Years 3-10 ($240,000 x 8) 1,920,000 Total net cash flows $2,510,000Less: Total depreciation (1,454,000) Total operating income over life $1,056,000Divided by years of life 10 Average annual operating income $105,600
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9-17
E9-18: ARR with Unequal Cash Flows
Average annual operating income from assetAverage amount invested in asset
$105,600($1,454,000+0) ÷ 2
= 14.53%
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9-18
Objective 3
Use the time value of money to compute the present and future values
of single lump sums and annuities
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9-19
Time Value of Money
• The fact that invested money earns income over time is called the time value of money
• This is why we prefer to receive cash sooner, rather than later
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9-20
Factors That Affect Time Value of Money
• Principal – amount of the investment Lump sum Annuity
• Number of periods – number of times interest is computed
• Interest rate – annual percentage Simple interest Compound interest
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9-21
Present Value & Future Value
1 2 3 4 5 6
Future ValuePresent Value
Time Periods
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9-22
Future Value
?
Interest = $1,000 x .10 $100Principal = 1,000Future value after 1 year $1,100
1 yr
$1,000
10%PresentValue
FutureValue
2 yrs 3 yrs
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9-23
Future Value
?
Future value after 1 year $1,100Plus 10% interest 110Future value after 2 years $1,210Plus 10% interest 121Future value after 3 years $1,331
1 yr
$1,000
10%PresentValue
FutureValue
2 yrs 3 yrs
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9-24
Future Value
?
Or use the Future Value of $1 tableFuture value = Present value x table factor = $1,000 x 1.331 = $1,331
1 yr
$1,000
10%PresentValue
FutureValue
2 yrs 3 yrs
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9-25
Future Value of an Annuity
1 yr
0 $1,000
10%PresentValue
FutureValue
2 yrs
$1,000
3 yrs
$1,000
Year 3 $1,000Year 2 Future value of $1,000 in 1 year ($1,000 + ($1,000 x 10%) 1,100Year 1 Future value of $1,000 in 2 years ($1,100 + ($1,100 x 10%) 1,210
$3,310
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9-26
Future Value of an Annuity
1 yr
0 $1,000
10%PresentValue
FutureValue
2 yrs
$1,000
3 yrs
$1,000
Future value = Payment x table factor
= $1,000 x 3.310
= $3,310
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9-27
E9-20: Compare Retirement Savings Plans Using Future Value Concepts
Plan 1Future value = Payment x table factor
= $3,000 x 164.494= $493,482
Plan 2Future value = Payment x table factor
= $7,500 x 21.384= $160,380
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9-28
E9-20: Compare Retirement Savings Plans Using Future Value Concepts
Plan 1Future value of $1 = present value x table factor
= $493,482 x 2.594= $1,280,092
Plan 2Future value of $1 = present value x table factor
= $160,380 x 2.594= $416,026
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9-29
Present Value
1 yr
? $1,100
10%
Present value x 1.10 = $1,100Present value = $1,100/1.10Present value = $1,000
PresentValue
FutureValue
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9-30
Present Value
1 yr
? $1,100
10%
Present value x 1.10 = $1,100Present value = $1,100/1.10Present value = $1,000
PresentValue
FutureValue
2 yrs
Present value x 1.10 = $1,000Present value = $1,000/1.10Present value = $909
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9-31
Present Value of $1 Table
1 yr
?$1,100
10%PresentValue
FutureValue
2 yrs
Present Value = Future Value x Table Factor = $1,100 x 0.826 = $909
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9-32
Present Value of an Annuity
1 yr
?$1,100
10%PresentValue
FutureValue
2 yrs
Present Value of $1,100 in one year:$1,100 x 0.909 = $1,000
$1,100
Present Value of $1,100 in two years:$1,100 x 0.826 = $909
$1,000 + $909 = $1,909
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9-33
Present Value of an Annuity Table
1 yr
?$1,100
10%PresentValue
FutureValue
2 yrs
$1,100
Present Value of Annuity = Payments x Table Factor = $1,100 x 1.736 = $1,909.60
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9-34
E9-22: Fund Future Cash Flows
Req. 1Present value of annuity = Payment x table factor
= $30,000 x ?= ?
Req. 2Present value of annuity = Payment x table factor
= $30,000 x ?= ?
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9-35
E9-23: Choosing a Lottery Payout Option Using Present Value
Option 1:
Present value of $1 = $12,000,000 x ?
= ?
Option 2:
Present value annuity = $2,250,000 x ?
= ?
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9-36
E9-23: Choosing a Lottery Payout Option
Option 3:
Present value of $1 = $10,000,000 x ?
= ?
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9-37
Objective 4
Use discounted cash flow models to make capital investment
decisions
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9-38
Discounted Cash Flow Models
• Recognize time value of money
• Two methods Net present value Internal rate of return
• Compare amount of investment with its expected net cash inflows
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9-39
Net Present Value Method
• Discount cash inflows to their present value and then compare with capital outlay required by the investment
• Discount rate (hurdle rate or required rate of return) – required minimum rate of return given riskiness of investment
• Proposal is acceptable when NPV is ≥ zero• The higher the NPV, the more attractive the
investment
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9-40
Net Present Value
DECISION RULE: Invest in capital
assets?
Is NPV positive?
Invest
Is NPV negative?
Do not invest
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9-41
E9-25: Calculate NPV – Equal Annual Cash Flows
Cash Flow
When? Type of cash flow
PV factor
14%
PV
Project A
NPV
(272,000) (272,000)Now
60,000 Yrs 1-8 Annuity 4.639 278,340
$6,340
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9-42
Cash Flow
When? Type of cash flow
PV factor
12%
PV
Project B
NPV
E9-24
(380,000) (380,000)Now
70,000 Yrs 1-9 Annuity 5.328 372,960
$(7,040)
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9-43
Net Present Value for Unequal Cash Inflows
When annual cash inflows are unequal, you must use the present value of one table applied to each annual cash inflow
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9-44
E9-27: Calculate NPV – Unequal Cash Flows
Cash Flow
When? Type of cash flow
PV factor
14%
PV
NPV
(900,000) (900,000)Now
260,000 Yr 1 Lump sum .877 228,020
$(19,935)
250,000 Yr 2 Lump sum .769 192,250
225,000 Yr 3 Lump sum .675 151,875210,000 Yr 4 Lump sum .592 124,320
200,000 Yr 5 Lump sum .519 103,800
175,000 Yr 6 Lump sum .456 79,800
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9-45
E9-27 2.Cash Flow
When? Type of cash flow
PV factor
14%
PV
NPV
75,000 Yr 7 .400 30,000Lump sum
50,000 Yr 7 .400 20,000Lump sum
(100,000) (45,600)Yr 6 Lump sum .456
$4,400
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9-46
Profitability Index
Number of dollars returned for every dollar invested
Present value of net cash inflows
Investment
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9-47
E9-29: Capital Rationing Decision
Present value of net cash inflows
Investment
A: $1,695,000 ÷ $1,500,000 = 1.13
B: $1,960,000 ÷ $1,750,000 = 1.12
C: $2,200,000 ÷ $2,000,000 = 1.10
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9-48
Internal Rate of Return
• Rate of return a company can expect to earn by investing in the project
• The interest rate that will cause the present value to equal zero
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9-49
Internal Rate of Return
Step 1: Identify the expected net cash receipts
Step 2: Find the discount rate that makes total present value of net cash receipts = present value of cash outflows
Annuity PV factor = Investment ÷ Annual Net Cash Receipts
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9-50
Internal Rate of Return
Step 3: On the present value of an annuity of $1 table, scan the row corresponding to the expected life
Choose column closest to annuity factor you calculated in Step 2
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9-51
Internal Rate of Return
DECISION RULE: Invest in capital
assets?
Does the IRR exceed required rate of return?
Invest
Is the IRR less than required rate of return?
Do not invest
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9-52
E9-26: Calculate IRR of Equal Cash Flows
Project A:
PVA = Payment x Table Factor
272,000 = 60,000 x Factor
4.533 = Factor
Between 14% and 16%
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9-53
E9-26: Calculate IRR of Equal Cash Flows
Project B:
PVA = Payment X Table Factor
380,000 = 70,000 x Factor
5.429 = Factor
Between 10% and 12%
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9-54
IRR with Unequal Periodic Cash Flows
Trial and error procedure is needed to determine the discount rate making the project’s NPV equal to zero
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9-55
E9-28: Compute IRR for Unequal Cash Flows
Compute net present value at 10%:Cash Flow
When? Type of cash flow
PV factor
10%
PV
$60,200
(950,000) (950,000)Now
500,000 Yr 1 .909 454,500
400,000 Yr 2
Lump sum
.826 330,400Lump sum300,000 Yr 3 .751 225,300Lump sumSince the NPV is positive, the IRR must be higher
than 10%. Try 12% next.
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9-56
E9-28: Compute IRR – Unequal Cash Flows
Compute net present value at 12%:Cash Flow
When? Type of cash flow
PV factor
12%
PV
(950,000) (950,000)Now
500,000 Yr 1 .893 446,500
400,000 Yr 2
Lump sum
.797 318,800Lump sum
$28,900
300,000 Yr 3 .712 213,600Lump sumSince the NPV is positive, the IRR must be higher
than 12%. Try 14% next.
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9-57
E9-28: Compute IRR – Unequal Cash Flows
Compute net present value at 14%:Cash Flow
When? Type of cash flow
PV factor
14%
PV
(950,000) (950,000)Now
500,000 Yr 1 .877 438,500
400,000 Yr 2
Lump sum
.769 307,600Lump sum
$(1,400)
300,000 Yr 3 .675 202,500Lump sum
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9-58
Objective 5
Compare and contrast the four capital budgeting methods
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9-59
Comparison of CapitalBudgeting Models
Payback Period
• Simple
• Focus is the time it takes to recover cash
• Ignores cash flows after payback period
• Highlights risks of investments with longer cash recovery periods
• Ignores time value of money
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9-60
Comparison of CapitalBudgeting Models
Accounting Rate of Return
• Only method that uses accrual accounting
• Shows how investment will affect operating income
• Measures profitability of asset over its entire life
• Ignores time value of money
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9-61
Comparison of CapitalBudgeting Models
Net Present Value• Incorporates time value of money and net
cash flows• Indicates if asset will earn minimum
required rate of return• Shows excess (deficiency) of present
value of cash inflows over cost• Profitability index can be computed for
capital rationing decisions
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9-62
Comparison of CapitalBudgeting Models
Internal Rate of Return
• Incorporates time value of money and net cash flows
• Computes unique rate of return
• No additional steps needed for capital rationing decisions
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9-63
End of Chapter 9