contents...2 figures say it all… •first in the industry to get swiftmembership * based on...
TRANSCRIPT
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A. UAE Exchange - An overview / Strategy
B. Factors Causing currency movements
C. BREXIT
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Contents
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Figures Say it All…
• First in the Industry
To get SWIFT membership
* Based on remittance figures reported by World Bank
6.13%share of the
Global Remittance
market*
25%Compound
annual growth rate of revenue
over last 10 years
AverageEBITDAmargin forthe last 5years
40nationalities work at UAE Exchange
Daily footfalls in UAE Exchange branches
Average age of UAE Exchange
employees Average Gearing
30%
0.82%
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An insight into the “World’s Largest Retail Remittance Brand”
Employs 9000 + people globally / 40 nationalities
Sound AML policies & procedures in line with
Global standards
Winner of several awards and accolades for business
excellence
Handled USD 32 Billion in Money transfer & USD 26 Billion in foreign exchange
Customer base of 6 Million globally, serving an
average 400,000 daily
SWIFT Membership
Over 34 years of outstanding growth
Network Spanning 31 countries with over 700
direct offices
Correspondent Bank relationship with nearly 150
banks worldwide
Agency presence in over 150 countries with more than
170,000 + locations
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Country Network
AMERICAS1. USA–35 States, 11 branches2. Canada-8 AFRICA
1. Morocco–222. Uganda-33. Kenya-14. Rwanda-25. Botswana-26. Seychelles-17. Zambia-2
ASIA PACIFIC1. Australia-352. Fiji-33. China-24. Hong Kong-45. Malaysia-156. Japan- 1
ASIA1. India-3612. Bangladesh- 13. Sri Lanka- 1
MIDDLE EAST1.UAE-1352.Oman-453.Kuwait-264.Bahrain-135.Qatar-96.Jordan-6
EUROPE1. United Kingdom-14
With over 700 Branches in 31 countries, UAE Exchange is the World’s Largest Retail Remittance Brand
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Key Partnerships
Relationship with over 150 Banks
Ability to handle in 37 different Currencies
Banks
across the
Globe
Other
Partners
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Factors effecting exchange rates
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Fundamental Factors
Technical Factors
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Factors effecting exchange rates
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1.Price of Oil
•Oil price up>MYR stronger>USD/MYR rate down•OPEC (Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries) Member Meeting.
2. Local Political-Economic Issues
•GDP growth / CPI Number / Trade Number
Gross domestic product (GDP) is the monetary value of all the finished goods and services produced within a country's borders in a specific time period. If GDP for a country is strong, its currency will tend to rise
Consumer Price Index expresses the current prices of a basket of goods and
services in terms of the prices during the same period in a previous year.
•Commodities Price – Higher commodities price>lower USD/MYR rate
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Factors effecting exchange rates
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3.Fed decision & Report
(The Fed): US central-banking system comprising of 12 regional central banks (called the Federal Reserve Banks)
•Fed rate rise>USD stronger>USD/MYR rate up
•Watch out for US employment report, unemployment claim, New Home Sales figure, Existing Home Sales figure.
Nonfarm payroll is a monthly report generated and reported by the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics intended to represent the total number of paid U.S. workers of any business. Data higher means USD will become stronger.
FOMC (Federal Open Market Committee) Minutes. FOMC announcements inform
everyone about the US Federal Reserves decision on interest rate.
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Technical Factors
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StrengthsCan be used to analyse data over a wide range of time periods.
There are many charting tools and techniques.
WeaknessesThe past does not necessarily repeat itself.
It is based on probability not certainty.
Technical Analysis is the forecasting of future financial price movements based on an examination of past price movements
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Parabolic SAR
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Relative Strength Index (RSI)
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Is the market overbought or oversold
RSI measures the ratio of up-moves to down-moves and normalises the result so it falls between 0 and 100.
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Time Line
Spot
Tom SpotCash 1Year
After Spot
Short Forward Long Forward
1Mth
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Exporter’s view on the MYR Importer’s view on the MYR
Weakening
MYR
Cover Exposure
Strengthening
MYR
Cover Exposure
WeakeningMYR
Left uncovered
Strengthening
MYR
Left uncovered
Forwards – When appropriate ?
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FX Forecast
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29/08/2016 16
The Impacts of
UK Leaving EU
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What is the European Union
29/08/201617
The EU is a unique economic and political partnership between 28 European countries that together cover much
of the continent.
• 28 member countries.• With the population of approximately 507.4 million people.• With an economy that generates a nominal GDP of about €14.3
trillion (US$18.5 trillion in 2014)
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What is Brexit
29/08/201618
Brexit is an abbreviation of "British exit" that refers to the possibility of Britain's withdrawal from the European Union.
Reasons that leads to Brexit
• The interference of European Union.• The UK tax payers money goes directly into European
Union, £ 14.5 billion a year.• The European Union regulations cost UK businesses
over £ 600 million every week.
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Impact on currency
29/08/201620
Sterling (BoE) index
• Investors are worried about the possible economic impact of a decision to leave the EU.
• The Sterling Pound was falling against all major currencies.
• It was down by 2% against US Dollar and hit the lowest since 1985.
• It’s dropped 1.3% lower against the Euro.
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Thank You
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