contents...2 figures say it all… •first in the industry to get swiftmembership * based on...

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A. UAE Exchange - An overview / Strategy B. Factors Causing currency movements C. BREXIT 1 Contents

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  • A. UAE Exchange - An overview / Strategy

    B. Factors Causing currency movements

    C. BREXIT

    1

    Contents

  • 2

    Figures Say it All…

    • First in the Industry

    To get SWIFT membership

    * Based on remittance figures reported by World Bank

    6.13%share of the

    Global Remittance

    market*

    25%Compound

    annual growth rate of revenue

    over last 10 years

    AverageEBITDAmargin forthe last 5years

    40nationalities work at UAE Exchange

    Daily footfalls in UAE Exchange branches

    Average age of UAE Exchange

    employees Average Gearing

    30%

    0.82%

  • 3

    An insight into the “World’s Largest Retail Remittance Brand”

    Employs 9000 + people globally / 40 nationalities

    Sound AML policies & procedures in line with

    Global standards

    Winner of several awards and accolades for business

    excellence

    Handled USD 32 Billion in Money transfer & USD 26 Billion in foreign exchange

    Customer base of 6 Million globally, serving an

    average 400,000 daily

    SWIFT Membership

    Over 34 years of outstanding growth

    Network Spanning 31 countries with over 700

    direct offices

    Correspondent Bank relationship with nearly 150

    banks worldwide

    Agency presence in over 150 countries with more than

    170,000 + locations

  • 4

    Country Network

    AMERICAS1. USA–35 States, 11 branches2. Canada-8 AFRICA

    1. Morocco–222. Uganda-33. Kenya-14. Rwanda-25. Botswana-26. Seychelles-17. Zambia-2

    ASIA PACIFIC1. Australia-352. Fiji-33. China-24. Hong Kong-45. Malaysia-156. Japan- 1

    ASIA1. India-3612. Bangladesh- 13. Sri Lanka- 1

    MIDDLE EAST1.UAE-1352.Oman-453.Kuwait-264.Bahrain-135.Qatar-96.Jordan-6

    EUROPE1. United Kingdom-14

    With over 700 Branches in 31 countries, UAE Exchange is the World’s Largest Retail Remittance Brand

  • 5

    Key Partnerships

    Relationship with over 150 Banks

    Ability to handle in 37 different Currencies

    Banks

    across the

    Globe

    Other

    Partners

  • Factors effecting exchange rates

    6

    Fundamental Factors

    Technical Factors

  • Factors effecting exchange rates

    7

    1.Price of Oil

    •Oil price up>MYR stronger>USD/MYR rate down•OPEC (Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries) Member Meeting.

    2. Local Political-Economic Issues

    •GDP growth / CPI Number / Trade Number

    Gross domestic product (GDP) is the monetary value of all the finished goods and services produced within a country's borders in a specific time period. If GDP for a country is strong, its currency will tend to rise

    Consumer Price Index expresses the current prices of a basket of goods and

    services in terms of the prices during the same period in a previous year.

    •Commodities Price – Higher commodities price>lower USD/MYR rate

  • Factors effecting exchange rates

    8

    3.Fed decision & Report

    (The Fed): US central-banking system comprising of 12 regional central banks (called the Federal Reserve Banks)

    •Fed rate rise>USD stronger>USD/MYR rate up

    •Watch out for US employment report, unemployment claim, New Home Sales figure, Existing Home Sales figure.

    Nonfarm payroll is a monthly report generated and reported by the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics intended to represent the total number of paid U.S. workers of any business. Data higher means USD will become stronger.

    FOMC (Federal Open Market Committee) Minutes. FOMC announcements inform

    everyone about the US Federal Reserves decision on interest rate.

  • Technical Factors

    9

    StrengthsCan be used to analyse data over a wide range of time periods.

    There are many charting tools and techniques.

    WeaknessesThe past does not necessarily repeat itself.

    It is based on probability not certainty.

    Technical Analysis is the forecasting of future financial price movements based on an examination of past price movements

  • Parabolic SAR

    10

  • Relative Strength Index (RSI)

    11

    Is the market overbought or oversold

    RSI measures the ratio of up-moves to down-moves and normalises the result so it falls between 0 and 100.

  • Time Line

    Spot

    Tom SpotCash 1Year

    After Spot

    Short Forward Long Forward

    1Mth

  • Exporter’s view on the MYR Importer’s view on the MYR

    Weakening

    MYR

    Cover Exposure

    Strengthening

    MYR

    Cover Exposure

    WeakeningMYR

    Left uncovered

    Strengthening

    MYR

    Left uncovered

    Forwards – When appropriate ?

  • 14

  • FX Forecast

    15

  • 29/08/2016 16

    The Impacts of

    UK Leaving EU

  • What is the European Union

    29/08/201617

    The EU is a unique economic and political partnership between 28 European countries that together cover much

    of the continent.

    • 28 member countries.• With the population of approximately 507.4 million people.• With an economy that generates a nominal GDP of about €14.3

    trillion (US$18.5 trillion in 2014)

  • What is Brexit

    29/08/201618

    Brexit is an abbreviation of "British exit" that refers to the possibility of Britain's withdrawal from the European Union.

    Reasons that leads to Brexit

    • The interference of European Union.• The UK tax payers money goes directly into European

    Union, £ 14.5 billion a year.• The European Union regulations cost UK businesses

    over £ 600 million every week.

  • Impact on currency

    29/08/201620

    Sterling (BoE) index

    • Investors are worried about the possible economic impact of a decision to leave the EU.

    • The Sterling Pound was falling against all major currencies.

    • It was down by 2% against US Dollar and hit the lowest since 1985.

    • It’s dropped 1.3% lower against the Euro.

  • 21

  • Thank You

    22