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Comprehensive Strategic Operating and Capital Plan

FY15 Update

April 2, 2014

RELATED TO AGENDA ITEM 7

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Purpose• Provide the District’s roadmap for the next ten years

• Documents NCTD’s Short-Range Transit and Strategic Business Plans

• Includes NCTD’s Service Implementation Plan (SIP) that must be submitted to SANDAG annually

• Summarizes NCTD environment: – Contracted operations and maintenance, infrastructure needs and

constraints, operating standards, and regulatory requirements

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Table of Contents• Section 1 – Introduction• Section 2 – Transit System Overview• Section 3 – Existing Transit System• Section 4 – Service Area and Customer Demographics• Section 5 – Service Design Guidelines• Section 6 – Capital and Operating Investment Priorities• Section 7 – Operations Plan• Section 8 – Operating Budget• Section 9 – Capital Budget• Section 10 – Regulations, Oversight, and Compliance

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Key Updates• Short-Range Transit Plan

– FY 2015 Service Implementation Plan (SIP) • Ridership forecasts• Service improvements

• Application of BREEZE Performance Standards• Additional Updates

– Contractor information– Service description– Budget-related information– Approved Policies

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FY 2015 SIP• BREEZE

– Service levels remain the same as previous year– Minor adjustments based on performance monitoring framework

• COASTER/SPRINTER Rail Service– Service levels remain the same as previous year

• LIFT– Revenue Miles increase due to transition to new service model;

ridership decreases slightly as riders adjust to new service model

• FLEX– FLEX 374 was transitioned to dedicated vehicle and remaining

service will not change

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BREEZE Route Performance• Route-based performance metrics to assess route

productivity‒ Passengers/revenue mile‒ Passengers/revenue hour‒ Cost/passenger‒ Farebox recovery

• Route Performance: August 2013 to February 2014 – All Core, Corridor, and Local routes performed above standard – Two Commuter routes determined “Deficient” based on adopted

service standards

• New Route Category: Rural/Low Density

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BREEZE Route Performance

COMMUTER

311 1.75 20.55 $3.53 22.4% NO444 1.06 14.31 $5.51 15.6% NO445 0.56 7.28 $11.82 7.9% YES446 0.73 6.65 $13.03 7.3% YES

1.34 16.14 $4.77 17.6%Watch 0.81 9.68 $6.68 10.6%Fail 0.67 8.07 $7.16 8.8%

DEFICIENT?

Category Avg

Cost/PaxFarebox

RecoveryPax/

Rev MilesPax/

Rev HourRoute

• BREEZE Commuter Service

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BREEZE Routes 445/446• Route 445 Carlsbad Poinsettia COASTER Connection

to Palomar College‒ Serves High Tech High School – North County; San Marcos High

School; and McClellan Palomar Airport– Weekday Peak Service Only: Four (4) total round trips– Averages approximately 46 riders / day

• Route 446 Carlsbad Poinsettia COASTER Connection to Legoland via Paseo Del Norte

– Serves Carlsbad Premium Outlets and Flower Fields– Weekday Peak Service: Two (2) round trips– Averages approximately 13 riders / day

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Deficient Routes• Route are deemed deficient if they fail three (3) or

more performance measures• If a route is deemed deficient for two non-summer

bid periods in a 12 month period, NCTD will take measures to improve the route:– Targeted marketing of the route– Recommend service span/frequency modifications– Recommend restructuring of the route

• If, after two additional reporting periods, the route continues as deficient, NCTD will conduct public hearing a recommend route elimination

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Rural/Low Density Service • Transit service for non-urbanized areas of North

County• Access to employment, public services, education,

shopping, and healthcare• Funded/Subsidized by Federal Grants

– Job Access/Reverse Commute (JARC)– §5311 – Formula Grants for Other than Urbanized Areas– Tribal Transit Program

• Lifeline service for nondiscretionary trips• Three (3) BREEZE Routes in this category

– Routes 306, 388/389, and 395

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Additional Updates• Section 2

– Updated contractor information and NCTD organization chart

• Section 3– Updated service levels and ridership through FY 2014– Added summary of FY 2014 service changes

o Amtrak Enhanced Rail-to-Rail Program and BREEZE changes

• Section 5– FLEX Service Design Guidelines

oPerformance StandardsoService Monitoring

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Additional Updates•Section 8 and 9

– Updated Capital and Operating Budgets based on latest five-year grant revenue forecasts

•Section 10– Added information related to NCTD’s Title VI

Policies and Language Assistance Plan (LAP)– Updated contractor and compliance monitoring

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Next Steps• Finalize Updated Plan• Recommend Board Approval

(May 2014)• Submit SIP to SANDAG (July

2014)

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Questions?