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1 PC2/2009/Oct/CAM ToT V5 - 1 Complementary and Alternative Medicine (CAM) Trick or Treatment? Edzard Ernst Complementary Medicine Peninsula Medical School Universities of Exeter & Plymouth, UK Email: [email protected] Website: www.pms.ac.uk/compmed PC2/2009/Oct/CAM ToT V5 - 2

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Page 1: Complementary and Alternative Medicine (CAM) Trick or ... · 1 PC2/2009/Oct/CAM ToTV5 -1 Complementary and Alternative Medicine (CAM) Trick or Treatment? Edzard Ernst Complementary

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PC2/2009/Oct/CAM ToT V5 - 1

Complementary and Alternative Medicine

(CAM)

Trick or Treatment?Edzard Ernst

Complementary MedicinePeninsula Medical School

Universities of Exeter & Plymouth, UKEmail: [email protected]

Website: www.pms.ac.uk/compmed

PC2/2009/Oct/CAM ToT V5 - 2

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Background

• Large proportions of the general population use CAM

• For patient populations, the figures are much higher

• In the UK we spend ~ £1.6 billion on CAM each year (>90% out of our own pocket)

• Even the most fundamental questions remain unanswered

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Trick or Treatment?

- How can we find out?

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• Plausibility

• The test of time

• Ask the patient

• Do the research

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Plausibility

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• Acupuncture

• Chiropractic

• Homeopathy

• Reflexology

PC2/2009/Oct/CAM ToT V5 - 10

Yin Yang

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Daniel David Palmer

“95 % of all diseases are caused by subluxations”

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“like cures like”

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Reflexology foot map

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1) Some implausibilities turned out to be true (and some plausibilities to be false)

2) A theory can be wrong but the treatment might still be effective

But …

… implausible does not always mean false!

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So …

… implausibility can be an indicator but not a proof

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The test of time:

“What has been around for hundreds of years must be OK”

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“Experience is the name we give to our mistakes”

(Oscar Wilde)

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Ask the patient

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Hierarchy of evidence: the patient’s perspective

Verhoef M. 11th Annual Symposium on Complementary Healthcare

Gutfeelings

Trial and error

Anecdotal evidence

Popular press

Scientific evidence

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Problem: the complexity of the therapeutic response

TreatmentTreatment

PTR

Pain Pain

intensityintensity

(PTR = (PTR = perceived therapeutic response)therapeutic response)TimeTime

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Assumption: PTR was caused by the treatment

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Assumption: PTR was caused by the treatment

…a somewhat naïve idea

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The perceived therapeutic effect

Specific effect of therapy

True placebo-effect

Clinician-patientinteraction

Natural history

Regression towards themean

Social desirability

Concomittent therapies

Other context effects

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Do the research

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“Let us take.. 200 or 500 poor people that have fever… Let us divide them into two halves, let us cast lots… I will cure them without bloodletting… but you do as ye know… We shall see how many funerals we both shall have.”

The man who first suggested a controlled clinical trial

Jan Babtist van Helmont 1662

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… 147 years later…

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Sample:

Method:

Result:

366 soldiers with various conditions

Alternating allocation to 3 groups.

A)Treated by Hamilton without blood letting

B) Treated by Anderson without bloodletting

C) Treated with bloodletting.

Death rates A) 4B) 2C) 35

Hamilton’s trial of bloodletting (1809)

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Scurvy in the 18th century• Killed many 100 thousand sailors• Cause was unknown• Many treatments had been tried:

- blood letting- mercury- saltwater- vinegar- sulphuric acid- hydrochloric acid- Moselle Wine- burying patient in sand- hard labour

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The first controlled clinical trial

Date: 20 May 1747

Primary investigator: Dr. James Lind

Condition: scurvy (purid gums, lassitude with weakness of their knees)

Design:

N=12

2 sailors: a quart of cider2 sailors: 3x25 drops of elixir of vitriol2 sailors: 3x2 spoonful of vinegar 2 sailors: ½ pint of seawater2 sailors: paste of garlic, mustard, radish root and gum myrrh2 sailors: 2 oranges and a lemon

Treatment period: 6 days

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Acupuncture for knee osteoarthritis

Design:

Sample:

Intervention:

Primary outcome measure:

Main results:

RCT, sham-controlled

570 patients

A) Regular acupuncture or B) sham-acupuncture or C) education

Pain

A Improved pain significantly better than B

Berman B, et al. Ann Intern Med 2004; 141: 901

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Imagine a body of evidence (e.g. 100 RCTs)

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50 suggest efficacy

50 fail to suggest efficacy

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suggest efficacy

fail to suggest efficacy

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Such an approach is called a “ Systematic

Review”

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Two conditions are evidence-based

•Some forms of pain

•Nausea/ vomiting

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“95 % of all diseases are caused by displaced

vertabrae, the remainder by subluxations of other joints”

DD Palmer

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Chiropractic: non-spinal conditions

“…chiropractic spinal manipulation cannot be considered an effective treatment”

42Hypertension

“There is no evidence to suggest that chiropractic is effective…”

89CTS

“…there is insufficient evidence…”?Fibromyalgia

“No evidence”?Otitis

“No evidence to support the use of chiropractic SM”57Asthma

“…no convincing evidence…”63Infant Colic

“There is no evidence that SM is effective”63Dymenorrhoea

Conclusion of systematic reviews%Condition

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Chiropractic: non-spinal conditions (SRs)

“…chiropractic spinal manipulation cannot be considered an effective treatment”

42Hypertension

“There is no evidence to suggest that chiropractic is effective…”

89CTS

“…there is insufficient evidence…”?Fibromyalgia

“No evidence”?Otitis

“No evidence to support the use of chiropractic SM”57Asthma

“…no convincing evidence…”63Infant Colic

“There is no evidence that SM is effective”63Dymenorrhoea

Conclusion of systematic reviews%Condition

PC2/2009/Oct/CAM ToT V5 - 48

American Chiropractic AssociationBritish Chiropractic AssociationCanadian Chiropractic AssociationChiropractic Patients Association (US)International Chiropractors Association

Organisations promoting chiropractic for asthma (Oct-Nov 2008)

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Risks of chiropractic spinal manipulation

~ 50% mild to moderate adverse effects (not disputed)

+Several hundred cases of

severe complications (hotly disputed)

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harm

benefit

More good than harm?

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•Like cures like

•Less is more

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The homeopathic dose

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

D0 D1 D2 D3 D4

“potency”

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

concentration

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The results… do not suggest that homeopathic arnica has an advantage

over placebo

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The results… do not suggest that homeopathic arnica has an advantage

over placebo

Later confirmed by two independent systematic reviews of all 8 RCTs on

the subject

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But this is not individualised homeopathy!

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…no evidence that adjunctive homeopathic

remedies… are superior to placebo…

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…but this is just one of many RCTs…

(remember: distrust the “cherry pickers”)

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…the best evidence… does not warrant positive

recommendations for its [homeopathy’s] use in

clinical practice.

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Harm?

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Google searches: swine

flu/homeopathy

0

9

26

50

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

18/04/2009

19/04/2009

20/04/2009

21/04/2009

22/04/2009

23/04/2009

24/04/2009

25/04/2009

26/04/2009

27/04/2009

28/04/2009

29/04/2009

30/04/2009

01/05/2009

02/05/2009

Thousand hits

PC2/2009/Oct/CAM ToTV5 -66

harm

bene

fit

More

good th

an h

arm

?

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So far so good?

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St John’s wort

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“…Hypericum is a safe and effective symptomatic

treatment for…depression.”

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“…Hypericum is a safe and effective symptomatic

treatment for…depression.”

Meanwhile: ~ 40 RCTs

~12 systematic reviews

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SJW – organ transplantation

Ernst Arch Surgery 2002, 137: 316

Design:

Sample:

Results:

systematic review

76 case reports of SJW-cyclosporine interactions after organ transplant

•no doubt about causality•several life-threatening situations•high costs

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Reflexology foot map

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Reflexology

Ernst MJA 2009, 191: 263

Design:

Sample:

Results:

Conclusion

systematic review

18 Randomised clinical trials

•Trials were in 13 different areas•Independent replications were rare•Methodological quality was mostly poor•5 studies were positive, 1 were negative

“The best evidence… does not demonstrate… that reflexology is an effective treatment for any medical condition.”

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Massage therapy for cancer palliation

Ernst Support Care Cancer 2009

Design:

Sample:

Results:

systematic review

14 RCTs

Massage therapy improves the following symptoms•Pain•Nausea•Anxiety•Depression•Anger•Stress•fatigue

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Conclusion

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Email: [email protected]: www.pms.ac.uk/compmed