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Commercial Driver Human Factors Session 848: Truck & Bus Safety Key Research – Past, Present, Future Ronald R. Knipling Safety for the Long Haul Inc. & Motor Carrier Safety Associates [email protected] TRB Committee on Truck & Bus Safety 1

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Page 1: Commercial Driver Human Factors...Commercial Driver Human Factors Session 848: Truck & Bus Safety Key Research –Past, Present, Future Ronald R. Knipling Safety for the Long Haul

Commercial Driver Human Factors

Session 848: Truck & Bus SafetyKey Research – Past, Present, Future

Ronald R. KniplingSafety for the Long Haul Inc.

& Motor Carrier Safety [email protected]

TRB Committee on Truck & Bus Safety 1

Page 2: Commercial Driver Human Factors...Commercial Driver Human Factors Session 848: Truck & Bus Safety Key Research –Past, Present, Future Ronald R. Knipling Safety for the Long Haul

“Domain” Human Factors Topic Headings• Driver Functional Capabilities• Driver Age (Young & Old)• Demographic Trends and the Driver Shortage• Driver Training• Driver Fatigue

– Factors affecting alertness– How many fatigue crashes?– Alertness monitoring

• HF Research Needs

TRB Committee on Truck & Bus Safety 2

Page 3: Commercial Driver Human Factors...Commercial Driver Human Factors Session 848: Truck & Bus Safety Key Research –Past, Present, Future Ronald R. Knipling Safety for the Long Haul

2007 TRB Human Factors Workshop Topics• Driver Functional Capabilities• Driver Age (Young & Old)• Demographic Trends and the Driver Shortage• Driver Training• Driver Fatigue• Differential Driver Risk (High-Risk Drivers)• Personality & Risk• Driver-Vehicle Interaction• Car-Truck Interaction• Crash Avoidance Technologies• Carrier Operations & Safety Management• Macroergonomics and Driver Safety Motivation• Human Resource Management• Onboard Monitoring & Behavioral Safety Management

TRB Committee on Truck & Bus Safety 3

Page 4: Commercial Driver Human Factors...Commercial Driver Human Factors Session 848: Truck & Bus Safety Key Research –Past, Present, Future Ronald R. Knipling Safety for the Long Haul

What Shall We Talk About Today?• Driver Functional Capabilities• Driver Age (Young & Old)• Demographic Trends and the Driver Shortage• Driver Training• Driver Fatigue• Differential Driver Risk (High-Risk Drivers)• Personality & Risk• Driver-Vehicle Interaction• Car-Truck Interaction• Crash Avoidance Technologies• Carrier Operations & Safety Management• Macroergonomics and Driver Safety Motivation• Human Resource Management• Onboard Monitoring & Behavioral Safety Management• + Crash Causation

TRB Committee on Truck & Bus Safety 4

Page 5: Commercial Driver Human Factors...Commercial Driver Human Factors Session 848: Truck & Bus Safety Key Research –Past, Present, Future Ronald R. Knipling Safety for the Long Haul

What Shall We Talk About Today?

• Crash Causation• Driver Fatigue• Personal Risk

TRB Committee on Truck & Bus Safety 5

Page 6: Commercial Driver Human Factors...Commercial Driver Human Factors Session 848: Truck & Bus Safety Key Research –Past, Present, Future Ronald R. Knipling Safety for the Long Haul

Crash Causation: “Risk-Cause” Model

TRB Committee on Truck & Bus Safety 6

Timeline leading to a crash

PROXIMAL

CAUSE(S)

1. Factors affecting the risk of a crash2. Driver errors & other failures precipitating crashes

Driver: personality, medical, fatigue, anger, using cell phone, etc.Vehicle: brakes, equipment, etc.Roadway: traffic density, roadway type, work zones, surface condition, visibility, etc.

Page 7: Commercial Driver Human Factors...Commercial Driver Human Factors Session 848: Truck & Bus Safety Key Research –Past, Present, Future Ronald R. Knipling Safety for the Long Haul

Crash Causation: LTCCS Critical Reasons

TRB Committee on Truck & Bus Safety 7

“Critical Reason Category” Examples %

Truck Driver Physical Failure• Asleep-at-the-wheel• Heart attack• Other physical impairment

6%

Truck Driver Recognition Failure

• Inattention• Distraction (internal or external)• Inadequate surveillance (“LBDNS”)

16%

Truck Driver Decision Error• Too fast for conditions• Following too closely• Misjudgment/false assumption 21%

Truck Driver Response Execution Error

• Overcompensation• “Sloppy” maneuver 3%

Truck Vehicle Failure• Brake failure• Tire failure• Cargo shift

6%

Roadway/ Environment Affecting Truck

• Road signs/signals missing• Road design• Weather and/or slick roads

1%

OTHER DRIVER/VEHICLE 45%

Page 8: Commercial Driver Human Factors...Commercial Driver Human Factors Session 848: Truck & Bus Safety Key Research –Past, Present, Future Ronald R. Knipling Safety for the Long Haul

Driver Human Factors Research Needs

TRB Committee on Truck & Bus Safety 8

1) Conduct a comprehensive, top-down review of truck and bus safety efforts (Federal, State, industry, public education, etc.) as related to our knowledge of crash causation and characteristics. Identify under-addressed causes & under-supported countermeasures.

Page 9: Commercial Driver Human Factors...Commercial Driver Human Factors Session 848: Truck & Bus Safety Key Research –Past, Present, Future Ronald R. Knipling Safety for the Long Haul

Crash Causation: LTCCS Critical Reasons

TRB Committee on Truck & Bus Safety 9

“Critical Reason Category” Examples %

Truck Driver Physical Failure• Asleep-at-the-wheel 4%• Heart attack• Other physical impairment

6%

Truck Driver Recognition Failure

• Inattention• Distraction (internal or external)• Inadequate surveillance (“LBDNS”)

16%

Truck Driver Decision Error• Too fast for conditions• Following too closely• Misjudgment/false assumption 21%

Truck Driver Response Execution Error

• Overcompensation• “Sloppy” maneuver 3%

Truck Vehicle Failure• Brake failure• Tire failure• Cargo shift

6%

Roadway/ Environment Affecting Truck

• Road signs/signals missing• Road design• Weather and/or slick roads

1%

OTHER DRIVER/VEHICLE 45%

Page 10: Commercial Driver Human Factors...Commercial Driver Human Factors Session 848: Truck & Bus Safety Key Research –Past, Present, Future Ronald R. Knipling Safety for the Long Haul

Driver Fatigue & Alertness Study

TRB Committee on Truck & Bus Safety 10

Time-of-Day: “Strongest & most consistent factor . . .”Hours of Driving (Time-on-Task): “Not a strong or consistent predictor of observed fatigue.“Daily Sleep:

• Ideal: 7.2 hours• Actual: 5.2 hours

Driver Self-Awareness of Fatigue: “Little correlation” between subjective and concurrent objective measuresLarge Individual Differences in Susceptibility:

• 14% of drivers 54% of all drowsy episodes.

Page 11: Commercial Driver Human Factors...Commercial Driver Human Factors Session 848: Truck & Bus Safety Key Research –Past, Present, Future Ronald R. Knipling Safety for the Long Haul

Driver Fatigue & Alertness Study

TRB Committee on Truck & Bus Safety 11

Time-of-Day: “Strongest & most consistent factor . . .”Hours of Driving (Time-on-Task): “Not a strong or consistent predictor of observed fatigue.“Daily Sleep:

• Ideal: 7.2 hours• Actual: 5.2 hours

Driver Self-Awareness of Fatigue: “Little correlation” between subjective and concurrent objective measuresIndividual Differences in Susceptibility:

• “Wide variations”• 14% of drivers 54% of all drowsy episodes.

Page 12: Commercial Driver Human Factors...Commercial Driver Human Factors Session 848: Truck & Bus Safety Key Research –Past, Present, Future Ronald R. Knipling Safety for the Long Haul

2011 HOS Studies (Crashes & SCEs)

TRB Committee on Truck & Bus Safety 12

0.000

0.050

0.100

0.150

0.200

0.250

0.300

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11

Rel

ativ

e C

rash

Lik

elih

ood

Hours of Driving

2011 Penn State Study:DOT-Reported Crash Likelihood & Hours of Driving

Page 13: Commercial Driver Human Factors...Commercial Driver Human Factors Session 848: Truck & Bus Safety Key Research –Past, Present, Future Ronald R. Knipling Safety for the Long Haul

Driver Human Factors Research Needs

TRB Committee on Truck & Bus Safety 13

1) Conduct a comprehensive, top-down review of truck and bus safety efforts (Federal, State, industry, public education, etc.) as related to our knowledge of crash causation and characteristics. Identify under-addressed causes & under-supported countermeasures.

2) Identify, validate, & elucidate the driver performance mechanisms underlying time-on-task and other schedule-related associations with crashes and safety-critical events (SCEs).

Page 14: Commercial Driver Human Factors...Commercial Driver Human Factors Session 848: Truck & Bus Safety Key Research –Past, Present, Future Ronald R. Knipling Safety for the Long Haul

Personal Risk: Two Dimensions

TRB Committee on Truck & Bus Safety 14

Performance(Ability)

Behavior(Choices)

Mistakes vs. Misbehavior: Correlates & Implications

Driver Records

Driver Age

Driver Risk Factors

Selection

Training

Driver Experience

Observations of Driving

Onboard Monitoring

Rewards & Discipline

Acceptance, Tolerance, &

Forgiveness

Driver Self-Management

Crash Timeline

Driver Error Types

Crash Types

Crash Severity

Page 15: Commercial Driver Human Factors...Commercial Driver Human Factors Session 848: Truck & Bus Safety Key Research –Past, Present, Future Ronald R. Knipling Safety for the Long Haul

Personal Risk: Two Dimensions

TRB Committee on Truck & Bus Safety 15

Performance(Ability)

Behavior(Choices)

TemporaryStates

EnduringTraits

Page 16: Commercial Driver Human Factors...Commercial Driver Human Factors Session 848: Truck & Bus Safety Key Research –Past, Present, Future Ronald R. Knipling Safety for the Long Haul

Sources of Personal Risk: Four Categories

TRB Committee on Truck & Bus Safety 16

ATemporary Levels of Performance

B

Enduring Levels of Performance

Temporary Behavioral States(Affecting Choices)

C

Enduring BehavioralTraits

D

Page 17: Commercial Driver Human Factors...Commercial Driver Human Factors Session 848: Truck & Bus Safety Key Research –Past, Present, Future Ronald R. Knipling Safety for the Long Haul

Enduring Behavior Traits: The Evidence

TRB Committee on Truck & Bus Safety 17

• High differential risk seen in naturalistic driving and simulator studies (both with many data points);e.g., 19% of drivers 53% of at-fault risk.

• Surveys of safety managers & others:– High differential risk– High individual consistency of risk– Related to personality, attitudes, at-risk behaviors

• Literature on personality, values, & safety attitudes• Physiological correlates:

– Testosterone, other hormones– Brain scans– Heritabilities of risk-related traits; e.g., sensation-seeking,

impulsivity, aggression, criminality.

Page 18: Commercial Driver Human Factors...Commercial Driver Human Factors Session 848: Truck & Bus Safety Key Research –Past, Present, Future Ronald R. Knipling Safety for the Long Haul

Driver Human Factors Research Needs

TRB Committee on Truck & Bus Safety 18

1) Conduct a comprehensive, top-down review of truck and bus safety efforts (Federal, State, industry, public education, etc.) as related to our knowledge of crash causation and characteristics. Identify under-addressed causes & under-supported countermeasures.

2) Identify, validate, & elucidate the driver performance mechanisms underlying time-on-task and other schedule-related associations with crashes and safety-critical events (SCEs).

3) Validate & elucidate personal risk dimensions:– Performance vs. behavior– Temporary vs. enduringDesign safety programs based on this understanding.

And many more!!!

Page 19: Commercial Driver Human Factors...Commercial Driver Human Factors Session 848: Truck & Bus Safety Key Research –Past, Present, Future Ronald R. Knipling Safety for the Long Haul

Thanks for your attention!Ron Knipling

[email protected]