combating poverty: south africa’s big challenge harold wolpe forum lecture 15/2/03 neil coleman...

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Combating poverty: South Africa’s BIG challenge HAROLD WOLPE FORUM LECTURE 15/2/03 Neil Coleman [email protected]

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Page 1: Combating poverty: South Africa’s BIG challenge HAROLD WOLPE FORUM LECTURE 15/2/03 Neil Coleman Neil@po.cosatu.org.za

Combating poverty: South Africa’s BIG challenge

HAROLD WOLPE FORUM LECTURE 15/2/03

Neil [email protected]

Page 2: Combating poverty: South Africa’s BIG challenge HAROLD WOLPE FORUM LECTURE 15/2/03 Neil Coleman Neil@po.cosatu.org.za

Poverty and Social Security in South Africa Severe poverty affects over half SA’s

people, combined with gross income inequality. 22 million or 53% of our people live on average on less than R144 p/ month. There are 3.1 million workerless African households. 2 in 3 children live in poverty.

Poverty is deep-rooted and structural: our apartheid legacy and structure of the economy locks the majority into a poverty trap, which is reinforced by the current growth path.

Page 3: Combating poverty: South Africa’s BIG challenge HAROLD WOLPE FORUM LECTURE 15/2/03 Neil Coleman Neil@po.cosatu.org.za

Poverty and Social Security in South Africa Social security is fragmented, & a

modification of the apartheid SSS. Taylor Comm found that it totally

excludes the majority of poor people: “There is no income support for children between 7-18 years, adults between 18-59 years, (or) general household assistance where no-one is employed. Over 13 million live below the poverty line & have no access to social security… SA’s social security system is neither comprehensive nor adequate.”

Page 4: Combating poverty: South Africa’s BIG challenge HAROLD WOLPE FORUM LECTURE 15/2/03 Neil Coleman Neil@po.cosatu.org.za

Comprehensive Social Protection (CSP) Structural character of poverty in SA requires holistic

developmental response. No one magic bullet. Taylor Comm proposals address this head on -

concept of CSP. This is “broader than the traditional concept of social security, incorporating developmental strategies designed to ensure, collectively a minimum acceptable living standard for all citizens” (Taylor p40)

Taylor therefore proposes an integrated package to address 3 core areas of poverty: income poverty; services or ‘capability poverty; and asset poverty.

This CSP package should be “a universal as possible package of income transfers, services & access provided in a non-work related manner & whose availability is not primarily dependent on an ability to pay” (Taylor p42)

Page 5: Combating poverty: South Africa’s BIG challenge HAROLD WOLPE FORUM LECTURE 15/2/03 Neil Coleman Neil@po.cosatu.org.za

Comprehensive Social Protection (CSP)Measures to address Income poverty- minimum income throughout

peoples life cycle- childhood, working age & old age.

Core proposal is a BIG which “has the potential, more than any other possible social protection intervention, to reduce poverty & promote human development and sustainable livelihoods” & is ‘easier to roll out in the short term than ...(other) poverty programmes’(Taylor)

Capability/services poverty- the provision of basic services including lifeline water, electricity, free healthcare, education, affordable housing & transport.

Asset poverty- access to productive & income generating assets such as land & credit.

Page 6: Combating poverty: South Africa’s BIG challenge HAROLD WOLPE FORUM LECTURE 15/2/03 Neil Coleman Neil@po.cosatu.org.za

What is a Basic Income Grant?Idea whose time has come. In 2000 few

knew about it. Today key issue on national agenda. Key elements of Coalition platform:

Universal coverage- from cradle to grave & no means test;

Expand the net- no individual should receive less in grants than before the intro of BIG;

Amount- no less that R100 p/ person p/month on introduction

Page 7: Combating poverty: South Africa’s BIG challenge HAROLD WOLPE FORUM LECTURE 15/2/03 Neil Coleman Neil@po.cosatu.org.za

What is a Basic Income Grant II? Delivery mechanisms- payment should be

facilitated through public financial instiutions; and registration through the Hanis system;

Financing- net cost about R24 billion. Less than recent income tax cuts. Over half the cost of the grant to be recovered progressively through tax system. Some would pay grant back. Others would subsidise payment to poor. Solidarity system. Remaining cost to be borne by fiscus.

Page 8: Combating poverty: South Africa’s BIG challenge HAROLD WOLPE FORUM LECTURE 15/2/03 Neil Coleman Neil@po.cosatu.org.za

Objections to the BIG 1. “It will create dependency”. The

opposite is true. BIG would assist people to break out of the poverty trap, & empower the poor. Everyone entitled to BIG as a right. Not a ‘disincentive to work’. Cf int. experience.

2. ‘It is unaffordable’. Economists researching for Taylor found that there is fiscal space, & relatively low administration costs. In medium to long term dev.tal effects of BIG, leads to a progresive reduction of the fiscal burden.

Page 9: Combating poverty: South Africa’s BIG challenge HAROLD WOLPE FORUM LECTURE 15/2/03 Neil Coleman Neil@po.cosatu.org.za

Objections to the BIG II 3. “It will be impossible to implement”.

New technology which is available opens up enormous possibilities. Abolition of the means test radically simplifies administration; reduces corruption and bureaucratic interference; simplifies access particularly for the rural poor & the most vulnerable; and slashes the cost of administration.

Nevertheless are practical q.s which need addressing. Return to this in conclusion.

Page 10: Combating poverty: South Africa’s BIG challenge HAROLD WOLPE FORUM LECTURE 15/2/03 Neil Coleman Neil@po.cosatu.org.za

Imperatives for a BIGI The Constitutional Imperative Section 27 entrenches everyone’s right to social

security & s28 childrens rights; Grootboom judgement sets out clear standards

for realisation of socio-economic rights; Huge gaps in existing SSS, which arbitrarily

discriminate against majority falling through net. Q. able whether gov.t could survive a const. court challenge, despite CSG extension.

Even if succeeds, morality of discriminating against millions of poor cannot be defended.

Page 11: Combating poverty: South Africa’s BIG challenge HAROLD WOLPE FORUM LECTURE 15/2/03 Neil Coleman Neil@po.cosatu.org.za

Imperatives for a BIG IIII Economic Imperative Growth path remains skewed against the

poor- redistribution to the rich, & poverty a tax on working people;

Stagnation of economy directly connected to marginalisation of the majority- see surveys on obstacles to investment;

Introduction of BIG an NB part of developmental strategy to mainstream poor, create economic stimulus, & promote LED. Direct redistributive transfer. Underpins RDP approach.

Page 12: Combating poverty: South Africa’s BIG challenge HAROLD WOLPE FORUM LECTURE 15/2/03 Neil Coleman Neil@po.cosatu.org.za

Imperatives for a BIG IIIIII Social Imperative As Taylor shows, advances in certain areas

of delivery unsustainable given degree of poverty. Poverty strategy has to be holistic;

Improvement of Health (esp HIV) education and other social indicators requires elimination of worst forms of poverty. Similarly for meaningful employment strategy;

Crime, moral degeneration, and potential for major social instability can’t be addressed without this type of intervention.

Page 13: Combating poverty: South Africa’s BIG challenge HAROLD WOLPE FORUM LECTURE 15/2/03 Neil Coleman Neil@po.cosatu.org.za

Imperatives for a BIG IVIV Political Imperative Political settlement not sustainable if not

accompanied by an ‘economic settlement’. BIG would be an NB element of such a national agreement;

This will be the critical focus of the 2004 elections- critical test 10 years down the line;

Requires political vision & leadership to avoid jeapordising or reversing many NB gains made since 1994, or even a social implosion.

Page 14: Combating poverty: South Africa’s BIG challenge HAROLD WOLPE FORUM LECTURE 15/2/03 Neil Coleman Neil@po.cosatu.org.za

Will BIG alone resolve these issues?We accept that: The BIG is not by itself a panacea for the crisis

of poverty and inequality in SA; It must be seen as an integral part of an

overall development strategy; It needs to be aligned with appropriate socio-

economic strategies; Comprehensive strategies to address poverty

need to include: employment creation measures; a comprehensive social wage including BIG; Asset redistribution; access to affordable public services.

Page 15: Combating poverty: South Africa’s BIG challenge HAROLD WOLPE FORUM LECTURE 15/2/03 Neil Coleman Neil@po.cosatu.org.za

Developmental impact of BIG As part of a broad development strategy, a Basic

Income Grant would: Empower the poor and help to break the poverty

trap; In particular empower women and other vulnerable

sectors; By providing everyone with a minimum level of

income, totally eliminate the worst forms of poverty (destitution) and close the poverty gap by 75%;

Promote redistribution and equitable development; Assist the poor in entering economic activity and

pool resources; Improve key social indicators and raise economic

productivity;

Page 16: Combating poverty: South Africa’s BIG challenge HAROLD WOLPE FORUM LECTURE 15/2/03 Neil Coleman Neil@po.cosatu.org.za

Developmental impact of BIG II As part of a broad development strategy, BIG

would: Boost economic demand and local

development; Assist in promoting employment; Increase the bargaining power of the working

poor, and assist in combating the worst forms of exploitation;

Assist in fighting HIV/Aids; Promote family and economic stability; Take forward the SA Constitution’s commitment

to basic socio-economic rights for all.

Page 17: Combating poverty: South Africa’s BIG challenge HAROLD WOLPE FORUM LECTURE 15/2/03 Neil Coleman Neil@po.cosatu.org.za

Practical questions which need addressingIf there is the political will to engage on BIG &

Taylor practical q.s can be resolved jointly by government & civil society. To this end we have proposed a joint forum.

Practical questions include: How to phase in BIG & over what period; Its relationship to the CSG; Its relationship to other grants & poverty

alleviation measures; Systems of administration; The details of financing & taxation, &

appropriate cut-offs.

Page 18: Combating poverty: South Africa’s BIG challenge HAROLD WOLPE FORUM LECTURE 15/2/03 Neil Coleman Neil@po.cosatu.org.za

Retaining the Status Quo is not an option Taylor correctly excluded option

of retaining or finetuning existing system, as both unconstitutional and irresponsible. Further, that the social & economic cost of inaction were far greater than the financial costs of bold action.

Page 19: Combating poverty: South Africa’s BIG challenge HAROLD WOLPE FORUM LECTURE 15/2/03 Neil Coleman Neil@po.cosatu.org.za

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Way ForwardRequire a combination of strategies to win broad

social and governmental acceptance that approach proposed by Taylor Committee is correct:

Civil society leaders to drive engagement with government at top;

Engagement with ANC and in Alliance in run up to GDS

Agreement on approach to 2004 Elections; Continued mobilisation of society; Further serious academic work on issue; Setting up of a gov.t/ civil society forum to engage

on practical questions, including current initiatives such as social security agency.