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    All elements are projected by the Applicant to be completed by 2017, meeting thestatutes goal of economic development in the foreseeable future.

    Projected creation of more than 3,000 construction jobs and almost 900 ongoingoperations jobs represents a notable economic gain.

    2. The Project will lead to a substantial increase in out of state tourism. SeeC.R.S. 24-46-304(3)(b). Based on the work of the TPA, the Project is estimated to draw more than nine million

    net new visitors into Colorado over a thirty year period which represents a substantialincrease in out of state tourism.

    Based on the work of the TPA, a new visitor center at the Air Force Academy, (theelement with the smallest net new draw of the various Project elements) can bring 20,000new visitors into Colorado each year of stabilized operations.

    3. A significant portion of the sales tax generated within the zone can be attributed to non-residents of the zone. SeeC.R.S. 24-46-304(3)(c).

    The Olympic brand has a national and global appeal and should attract visitors fromoutside the zone. The Colorado Sports and Entertainment Complex plans to target andhost events that do not currently take place in Colorado because they lack an appropriatevenue. This new sports complex should attract participants, fans, officials and familiesfrom outside Colorado Springs into the zone.

    The nine million new out of state visitors will contribute a significant portion of sales taxrevenue from non-residents of the zone.

    4. Absent RTA funds the Project is not likely to be completed within the foreseeable future.SeeC.R.S. 24-46-304(3)(d).

    The State RTA support will accelerate and improve the chances of the Project movingforward in the foreseeable future. All four Project elements have identified some

    potential specific public, private and philanthropic sources of funds.

    Concerns/Weaknesses:1. None of the Project elements have a detailed funding plan, committed capital structure, or

    development pro-forma which demonstrates their viability with RTA funding and their lackof viability without funding.

    2. The lack of contractual commitments between the three Olympic-related Project elementsand the USOC, CSOTC and the NGBs.

    3. Large differentials in the estimated amount of new visitors and the size of the net new statesales tax increment available for the Project between Colorado Springs application and TPA.

    4. The Air Force Academy Visitor Center as a stand-alone project may not satisfy thesubstantial increase in out-of-State tourism criteria. Many visitors come to the academyfor its athletic, academic or specialized events. Visitors also come for sightseeing at theCadet Chapel, Terrazzo, and other elements of the working campus including the cadetsthemselves. A new visitors center adjacent to Falcon Stadium may not by itself draw newvisitors to Colorado.

    5. The UCCS Sports Medicine and Performance Center has a substantial possibility of beingbuilt in the foreseeable future without RTA funds particularly given the comments in the

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    November 8, 2013 letter from Brian D. Burnett, Senior Executive Vice chancellor forAdministration and Finance.

    Our recommendation is tightly bound to ensuring that the percent of incremental state sales taxrevenue to be dedicated to the Project follows the RTA statute and avoids overestimating the net

    new revenue generated by the Project. This includes guard rails as described below to ensurethat the states fiscal position is protected.

    TAX INCREMENT: Below is a summary of Applicant and TPA analysis and recommendedtax increment financing calculations assuming all four Project elements are built. TPAsmethodology for the estimates of new out-of-state visitation and net new sales tax revenue areincluded as Appendix 2.

    Tax Increment Assuming All Four Elements Approved & Built (rounded to nearest $M)

    NOTNEW

    Category of State Sales Tax Incremental Revenue State Sales Tax IncrementApplicant Third PartyAnalyst

    Total Increment $921M $867M

    Natural Growth $755M $755M

    Cannibalization $46M $59M

    NETNEW Total Net New $121M $53M

    The United States Olympic Museum $68M $28M

    Colorado Sports & Event Center $26M $15M

    UCCS Sports Medicine & Performance Center $14M $9M

    Air Force Academy Visitors Center $13M $0M

    NET NEW AS % of TOTAL INCREMENT 13.08% 6.14%CANNIBALIZATION AS % OF TOTAL INCREMENT 4.93% 6.8%

    Dollars are nominal or inflated. Applicant from Table 5-4 November 25 Summary. EPS from EPS Final Report Table 3.

    OEDIT strongly recommends using the more conservative but analytically justifiable TPA taxincrement percent of 6.14 for the following reasons:

    1) Adoption of the TPA recommended tax increment percent is more protective of theStates interest and consistent with prior Commission action.

    2) The RTA statue only authorizes net new revenue likely created by the project andrelated development being dedicated to the Financing Entity and shall exclude any sales

    tax revenue the state would likely have received without the project and development toprotect the fiscal position of the State.

    3) Because of the tax increment mechanism in the RTA statute, the Financing Entity has thepotential to receive unjustified windfall gains from un-related third party developmentswhich increase the sales tax increment growth that occurs in the regional tourism zoneover the 30 year duration of financing term (at a rate beyond the 1.5% growth estimatesused by the TPA and Applicant models). This Project in particular has a very largeregional tourism zone which has substantial potential for unforeseeable third partydevelopment.

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    4) When the Commission sets a state sales tax increment percent, the Financing Entity will

    receive that percent for at least five years and potentially longer, even if the Applicantdoes not build any Project elements or create any new revenue.

    5)

    If the Commission approves a percent of state sales tax incremental revenue that leads toa dedication of funds to the Project that exceeds the net new tax revenue created by theProject, it will be reducing the states tax receipts and harming its fiscal position.

    RECOMMENDATION: We recommend that you approve the City of Colorado Springsapplication in support of the City for Champions Project for the following four elementsproposed: U.S. Olympic Museum and Hall of Fame, Colorado Sports and Event Center, theUCCS Sports Medicine & Performance Centerand the U.S. Air Force Academy Visitor Center(also including the southwest downtown infrastructure improvements) subject to compliancewith all requirements in 24-46-301 through 24-46-310, C.R.S., and consideration of the

    following terms and conditions. The final resolution is contingent upon finalizing all terms andconditions including those listed below and upon approval by the Commission within 120 daysunless expressly extended by the Commission:

    I. Initial Terms and ConditionsA. Approved Local Government - Pursuant to C.R.S. 24-46-305(3)(a), the City of

    Colorado Springs is the local government approved to undertake the RegionalTourism Project.

    B. Regional Tourism Project - Pursuant to C.R.S. 24-46-304(3), the Regional TourismProject is defined as follows: The City of Colorado Springs via the Colorado SpringsUrban Renewal Authority shall partner with a non-profit corporation to build and runthe U.S. Olympic Museum and Hall of Fame, a Colorado Springs Stadium Authorityto build and operate the Colorado Sports and Event Center, the University ofColorado at Colorado Springs or affiliated non-profit entity to build and operate theSports Performance and Training Center and the U.S. Air Force Academy to buildand operate the visitors center. Each element of the Project must be of theapproximate cost and size described in the first table of this recommendation and withthe conditions and eligible improvements described in this recommendation.

    C. Percentage of State Sales Tax Increment Revenue Dedicated - Pursuant to C.R.S. 24-46-305(3)(d), the percentage of the state sales tax increment revenue that will bededicated to the City of Colorado Spring for the Project shall be 6.14%.

    D. Regional Tourism Authority - Pursuant to C.R.S. 24-46-305(3)(c), the creation of aRegional Tourism Authority has not been requested or authorized.

    E. Regional Tourism Advisory Board. The City of Colorado Springs indicated in itsapplication that it will create a Regional Tourism Advisory Board which will make

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    funding allocation decisions between approved RTA Project elements. This Boardshould be created and will operate subject to the conditions recommended below.

    F. Stadium Authority The City of Colorado Springs indicated in its RTA applicationthat it will create a Stadium Authority to oversee the construction and operation of the

    Colorado Sports and Event Center. Such a body shall be created by the city.

    G. Financing Entity Designation - Pursuant to C.R.S. 24-46-303(6), the ColoradoSprings Urban Renewal Authority (CSURA) is designated to be the Financing Entity.

    H. Financing Term - Pursuant to C.R.S. 24-46-303(7), the Financing Term isauthorized for 30 years from the effective date of the Commission award. Thefinancing period may be extended at the sole discretion of and with the expresspermission of the Commission but only for such period as the Commission findsnecessary to avert or resolve a default on outstanding bonds.

    I.

    Regional Tourism Zone Area - Pursuant to C.R.S. 24-46-305(3)(b), the RegionalTourism Zone Area shall be the Applicants proposed zone shown in Appendix 3 andtaken from of the original application submission.

    J. Eligible Costs - Pursuant to C.R.S. 24-46-303(4), Eligible Costs are described in thestatute.

    K. Before any use of RTA funds can begin on the Olympic Museum and Hall of Fame,the non-profit entity that will operate the Olympic Museum and Hall of Fame mustobtain a long-term (period to the satisfaction of the Commission) license or otheragreement from the USOC for the use of the Olympic name, trademarks, symbols andlogos and the exclusive right to operate the Official U.S. Olympic Museum and Hallof Fame within the United States. Additionally the non-profit entity that will operatethe Olympic Museum and Hall of fame must sign an agreement with the USOC andUSOTC for coordinating exhibits, events between the facilities, sharing memorabiliaand operating a shuttle service between the facilities for visitors. These agreementsmust be provided to OEDIT for Commission approval.

    L. The Olympic Museum complex must contain the Olympic Hall of Fame and includethe Summer and Winter Olympics and Para-Olympics within its exhibits and the Hall.

    M.Per the statements in the City for Champions application, the Olympic MuseumComplex must have an iconic design and architecture, with a World ClassFacility with State of the Art technology.

    N. Before any use of RTA funds can be spent on the Colorado Sports and Event Center,the facility must sign and provide to OEDIT, letters of intent, memorandums ofunderstanding, contractual agreements or other similar documents to host at least 20Pre-Olympic and amateur sporting events such as Olympic Time Trials, Qualifiers,Playoffs and World Championship events that will draw participants from outside

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    Colorado or other events and meetings associated with the Olympic Sports NationalGoverning Bodies for each of the first two years of Project operations. At least 10 ofthese events each year must be new to the State of Colorado meaning that they havenot been previously hosted in Colorado within 5 years prior to the opening of theCSEC.

    O. Before any RTA funds can be spent on the UCCS Sports Medicine and PerformanceCenter, per information provided by the Applicant, its component clinics, institutes,and/or faculty members must sign letters of intent, memorandums of understanding,terms of service agreements or other similar documents with the CSOTC, USOC andat least 10 U.S. Olympic Sport National Governing Bodies to provide somecombination of specialized training, research, rehabilitation or related services toOlympic sports athletes and provide these documents to OEDIT for review andapproval.

    P. Per information provided by the Applicant, the UCCS Sports Medicine andPerformance Center must be designed with clinical and other space to perform thefollowing services: Human Performance testing, Biomechanics, Medically-basedfitness, PT, ATC, Prosthetic development and integration, Orthopedics, Cardiology,Sports Psychology, Continuing Education, Research and Educational Offerings. TheProject architect and an executive official at UCCS must certify in writing to OEDITthat these elements have all been included in the facility design before constructionusing RTA funds can begin.

    II. Additional Financial and Tax Terms and ConditionsA. Colorado Springs shall submit a list of businesses in the Regional Tourism Zone to

    the Department of Revenue (DOR) on or before the date this award becomeseffective, and subsequently every month beginning with, and through, the term of theCommission Resolution, including but not limited to:

    (1)The Colorado Business Account Number and site number;(2)company name;(3)trade name or d/b/a;(4)location address;(5)start date;(6)description of whether existing, new, or closed account;(7)

    description of whether new location in the zone or moved out of the zone.(8)Other information required by DOR

    B. Before any RTA funds can be used on any Project element or infrastructure, , per thegovernance structure discussed in the City for Champions Application, the City ofColorado Springs must create a Regional Tourism Advisory Board or Commissionthat includes representatives from the City, Community Members and Members fromeach of the approved partner Project elements. The Regional Tourism Advisory

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    Board must sign intergovernmental or inter-organizational agreements delineating therelationships and decision-making authority between: Colorado Springs UrbanRenewal Authority and the partner entities for each of the Project elements: U.S.Olympic Museum and Hall of Fame Non Profit Corporation, Stadium Authority andUCCS or affiliated Non-Profitentity building and operating the Sports Medicine and

    Performance Center and the U.S. Air Force Academy.

    C. The State of Colorado accepts the Applicants contention that the three Olympic-ratedProjects (Olympic Museum and Hall of Fame, Colorado Sports and Event Center andUCCS Sports Medicine and Performance Center) have synergies with each other andthat the state has a strong interest in incentivizing the completion of all three Projectsto maximize the overall beneficial economic impact of the City for Championsprogram in Colorado. As such, the Regional Tourism Advisory Board must allocateminimum proportions of the RTA funds to these Project elements (MinimumElement Allocation Percents or MEAPs) in approximate proportion to 80% of theTPA analysts forecasted net new incremental revenue by Project element (allocations

    rounded for simplicity the below adds up to 79%). The MEAPs shall be:o U.S. Olympic Museum and Hall of Fame: 42%o Colorado Sports & Event Complex: 23%o UCCS Sports Performance and Medicine Center: 14%o The remaining 21% can be allocated by the Regional Tourism Advisory Board

    among all the elements including needed infrastructure improvements defined inthis order as eligible improvements.

    These percentages may be modified by and at the sole discretion of the Commission.

    D. As a condition precedent to paying or reimbursing any entity for any Eligible Costs,the Financing Entity shall obtain a certification from an independent engineerengaged by the Financing Entity for construction-related costs stating that suchconstruction-related costs are reasonable and comparable to similar projects andbased on competitive market pricing. The financing entity shall retain an independentCPA to certify that the soft costs of the Project including financing, consulting, legaland professional services including for the Project application preparation arereasonable and comparable to similar projects and based on competitive marketpricing. Such CPA must certify that all costs are Eligible Costs ("Certified Costs")based on copies of the invoices, bills, and requests for payment provided to theFinancing Entity and in accordance with this Resolution and the Act.

    E. Eligible Improvements Description - Pursuant to C.R.S. 24-46-303(5), the specificauthorized eligible improvements are:All the following facilities except for the southwest downtown improvements mustbe includedas part of the finished Project.

    1) OLYMPIC MUSEUM AND HALL OF FAMERequired Components:

    Attraction Exhibit: 20,000 gross square feet* Retail: 5,000 gross square feet*

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    Restaurant: 4,000 gross square feet* Grand Lobby/Special Event Space: 8,000 gross square feet* Broadcast Studio: 1,000 gross square feet* Special Event/Flex Space: 8,000 gross square feet* Administrative: 6,000 gross square feet* Back of the House: 8,000 gross square feet* TOTAL: Minimum 60,000gross square feet

    Required Components:

    Olympic Hall of Fame Theater Exhibition Hall Interactive Exhibits Champions Plaza: outdoor gathering place and amphitheater Retail space together with a caf Broadcast studio Event Space for travelling exhibits and programs

    2) COLORADO SPORTS & EVENT CENTERRequired Components:Outdoor Stadium (Minimum 10,000 seats)

    Spectator Facilities: 134,000 gross square feet* Team Facilities: 21,200 gross square feet* Media Facilities: 2,200 gross square feet* Operations and concessions: 22,100 gross square feet* Administrative: 1,300 gross square feet* TOTAL: Minimum 180,800gross square feet

    Per the application, the Outdoor Stadium must be a multi-use facility accommodating Olympicsports and outdoor sports such as soccer, baseball, rugby, lacrosse and others.

    Indoor Venue (Minimum 3,000 seats) Flexible Court arrangements: 60,000 gross square feet* Seating: 21,000 gross square feet* Concessions: 5,000 gross square feet* Locker Rooms: 6,400 gross square feet* Administration: 2,500 gross square feet* Restrooms: 6,000 gross square feet* Training: 10,000 gross square feet* Storage: 15,000 gross square feet* Entry: 2,000 gross square feet* SUB Total Minimum 127,900 gross square feet Building Circulation Approximately 12,790 gross square feet TOTAL Minimum 140,690 gross square feetPer the application, the Indoor Venue must be a multi-use facility with flexible configurationhard courts accommodating regional and national events from National Governing Bodies (47Olympic sports, 23 based in Colorado Springs) such as USA Wrestling, USA Cycling, USATriathlon, USA Boxing, USA Volleyball and others.

    3) UCCS SPORTS MEDICINE & PERFORMANCE CENTER72 to 77,000 gross square foot facility (Minimum 72,000 gross square feet)

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    Required Components:

    State-of-the-art recovery based rehabilitation clinics Orthopedic group anchor Flexible research space Faculty, Laboratory and Teaching facilities Parking Lot

    4) U.S. AIR FORCE ACADEMY VISITORS CENTERRequired Components:

    Museum / Welcome center 7,800 gross square feet* Entry Atrium 7,000 gross square feet* Retail / Restaurant 9,400 gross square feet* Museum Storage / Back of House 7,800 gross square feet* SUB Total Minimum 32,000 gross square feet Polaris Plaza 15,000 gross square feet* TOTAL Minimum 47,000 gross square feetPlus a parking lot not included in the gross square feet above.

    5) SW DOWNTOWN IMPROVEMENTSApproved but Not Required Components:

    Iconic 500-foot clear-span pedestrian bridge 1,500 vehicle parking structure Traffic signals Streetscape improvements Utility upgrades Olympic Wall of Fame in America the Beautiful Park A portion of Sierra Madre Street, Vermijo Ave. and associated right of way will be

    vacated.

    Waterway improvements* Sincedetailed architectural plans have not yet been finalized, a precise square foot calculationfor each Element and Component of the Project and the Eligible Improvements within the Projectis not available as of this writing. Further investigation of site issues, infrastructure planning,building design, and changes in construction cost are among the many factors that could causematerial differences in the gross square footage numbers set forth above. However, the totalcompleted space for each of the four Project elements may not be less than the minimum grosssquare feet outlined above.

    III. Substantial ProgressPursuant to C.R.S. 24-46-305(4), the Commission imposes the followingconditions:

    A. Applicant (in conjunction with its partners) to submit a written plan detailingProject milestones and a graduated plan by March 16, 2014, including but notlimited to the following milestones for which evidence of completion to besubmitted to the Commission:

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    (1)Letter of intent from the Applicant and its partners stating plan to moveforward with the approved Regional Tourism Project.

    (2)Detailed financing commitments, including but not limited to, philanthropicgifts, equity investors, debt instruments, local tax increment, and local salestax.

    (3)Timeline for necessary land acquisition.(4)Engineering/Architectural plans.

    (5)Construction permits.(6)Construction timeline.

    B. The Financing Entity to submit Quarterly Reports detailing the progress on theProject and the Applicant, the Financing Entity and as needed partners to beavailable to participate in Quarterly Meetings with OEDIT to discuss progress onthe Project to begin in the 1st quarter after the Commissions effective date ofapproval.

    C.

    The Applicant, the Financing Entity and relevant Project element partners toparticipate in twice yearly meetings with the Commission to discuss progress onthe Project to begin in 1sthalf year after the Commissions effective date ofapproval.

    IV. Substantial WorkPursuant to C.R.S. 24-46-309, the Commission imposes the following conditions:

    A. Applicant mustcommence substantial work on each individual approved elementof the Project pursuant to C.R.S. 24-46-309 (1-3) within five years of the date ofthe approval of the Project by the Commission or the Commission may revoke ormodify its approval of that element. If substantial work is not commenced on anyof the elements in the Project, the Commission may revoke or modify the entireProject. If the Commission revokes its approval of one ore more elements, theCommission may require that the MEAP of revenue associated with the revokedelements plus 7% per revoked element collected during that period plus anyinvestment income earned thereon be refunded to the state treasurer. In addition,the percent of State Sales Tax Increment Revenue collected by the Department ofRevenue and remitted to the Financing Authority going forward will be reducedby this MEAP plus 7% per revoked element. If after one or more elements havebeen revoked, and the Financing Entity has spent more than its available revenueon one or more non-revoked elements, the Financing Entity must refund the StateTreasury associated with the revoked elements via withholding of future taxincrement funds or other means approved by the Commission.

    V. Final Completion DateA. Each approved element must be fully completed and placed in service within 10

    years of the Commissions Approval of the RTA Project. If not, the State Sales

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    Tax Increment Revenue Percent shall be reduced by the MEAP plus 7% for theremainder of the financing term for each element with a MEAP which has notbeen placed in service yet. Alternatively, if the Financing Authority has bondedthe tax increment revenue stream, in place of reducing the State Sales TaxIncrement Revenue Percent, the Financing Authority may pay the state treasurer a

    percent of bond proceeds equal to the MEAP plus 7% for each element with aMEAP which is not completed during this time. Note this requirement may bemodified by the Commission at its sole discretion based on the final financingstructure proposed by the Financing Authority.

    VI. Audit and AccountabilityA. Pursuant to C.R.S 24-46-308(1), the Financing Entity shall submit annual

    reports detailing:(1) the total amount of state sales tax increment revenue that the Regional

    Tourism Project has collected;

    (2)how it has been spent;(3)projected revenue for the remainder of the dedication period; and

    (4)a summary of the status of construction of the Eligible Improvements.B. Pursuant to C.R.S. 24-46-305(4), annual reports shall include an economic

    analysis that assesses the actual overall effectiveness of the Regional TourismProject to date including:(1)the number of net new jobs directly created by the Project in each category as

    defined by CDLE and the wages and health benefits for jobs in each category;(2)the market impact;(3)regional and in-state competition;(4)attraction of out-of-state tourists;(5)the fiscal impact to local governments within and adjacent to the Regional

    Tourism Zone;(6)the return to the state on its investment;(7)information on all tax expenditures for regional tourism economic

    development during the prior fiscal year; and(8)In the event that the Applicant through CSURA or other local entities

    proposes to use property tax revenue to finance any element of the Project,Applicant must present an analysis of the impact to local school districts andthe percentage of the total program that the state is required to fund.

    C. Pursuant to C.R.S. 24-46-308(2), annual independent audits of its financialstatus and confirmation that sales tax increment revenue is being used for EligibleCosts shall be submitted by the Financing Entity.

    D. Pursuant to C.R.S 24-46-308(3), the statute contains liability for amounts ofsales tax increment revenue used for unauthorized purposes and remedy ofrepayment from other sources or offset against future state sales tax incrementrevenue to be disbursed.

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    APPENDIX 1: BREAKOUT OF JOB IMPACT BY PROJECT ELEMENT

    ElementName

    Temporary Construction Jobs Ongoing Operating Jobs

    Direct Indirect Induced Total Direct Indirect Induced TotalThe UnitedStatesOlympicMuseum

    557 127 243 927 71 31 26 128

    ColoradoSports &Event Center

    870 197 379 1446 232 60 106 398

    SportsMedicine &Performance

    Center

    192 44 84 320 154 45 89 288

    Air ForceAcademyVisitorsCenter

    253 58 110 421 29 13 11 53

    TOTAL 1,872 426 816 3,114 486 149 232 867Direct Jobsrepresent construction or operations jobsIndirect jobs represent business to business purchases of goods, materials and services tosupport construction or operation of the Projects.Induced jobsare created by the spending of labor income generated by the direct and indirectjobs.

    Source: Third Party Analyst (EPS)

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    APPENDIX 2: TPA TAX INCREMENT ANALYSIS

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    Colorado Springs RTA

    November 25, 2013

    Economic & Planning Systems, Inc. 10 Revised Final Report

    Table 3

    Tax Increment Calculations

    Description Applicant Third Party Analyst

    Al l Projects Combi nedState Sales Tax Increment in RTZ $880,392,458 $866,880,851

    Eligibl e Tax Increment

    U.S. Olympic Museum $68,047,597 $28,268,098

    Colorado Sports Events Center

    Downtown Stadium $4,055,189 $4,055,203

    Colorado Sports Events Center $26,412,751 $11,314,463

    Subtotal $30,467,941 $15,369,667

    UCCS Sports Medicine Center $13,657,773 $9,219,002

    USAFA Visitors Center $12,971,937 $260,870

    Total $125,145,248 $53,117,637Percent 14.2% 6.13%

    Individual Projects

    United States Olymp ic Museum

    State Sales Tax Increment in RTZ N/A $807,953,066

    Eligible Tax Increment N/A $28,268,098

    Percent N/A 3.50%

    Colorado Sports Events Center

    Downtown Stadium

    State Sales Tax Increment in RTZ N/A $768,862,346

    Eligible Tax Increment N/A $4,055,203

    Percent N/A 0.53%

    Sports Events Center

    State Sales Tax Increment in RTZ N/A $779,440,751

    Eligible Tax Increment N/A $11,314,463

    Percent N/A 1.45%

    Total

    State Sales Tax Increment in RTZ N/A $793,055,887

    Eligible Tax Increment N/A $15,369,667

    Percent N/A 1.94%

    UCCS Sports Medici ne Center

    State Sales Tax Increment in RTZ N/A $774,557,979

    Eligible Tax Increment N/A $9,219,002

    Percent N/A 1.19%

    USAF Academy Visitors Center

    State Sales Tax Increment in RTZ N/A $757,055,549

    Eligible Tax Increment N/A $260,870

    Percent N/A 0.03%

    Source: Economic & Planning Systems

    H:\133023-Color ado Regional Tourism\ Models\[ 133023-Pr ogram 11-18-2013.xlsx]Incr ement

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    Economic & Planning Systems, Inc. 29 133023-FinalReport_112513

    3. TAX INCREMENTANALYSISThis chapter presents EPS independent analysis of the proposed tourism development Project

    and its potential out of state visitation and associated State sales tax revenue. A revisedestimate of the total RTZ tax increment and the portion of the tax increment for which the

    Project would be eligible is identified.

    RTZ Base Sa les Tax

    In order to calculate the incremental sales tax that a Project is eligible to receive, the Base Sales

    Tax must be established. A Project is only eligible to receive the net new incremental sales tax it

    generates within the RTZ; other incremental sales tax revenue growth not attributable to a

    Project cannot be directed to a Project. The RTA allows an Applicant to define RTZ boundaries

    beyond project boundaries, and can encompass an entire jurisdiction, or multiple jurisdictions if

    there are multiple jurisdiction sponsors to an Application. Broadly defined RTZs, such as theproposed RTZ in Colorado Springs, contain a large portion of the retail and lodging development

    in a city and therefore will generate sales tax growth from general economic activity and the

    natural growth of the community. The eligible tax increment is only what is generated by the

    increase in tourism activity from the Project itself.

    The Base Sales Tax within the Colorado Springs RTZ is the 2014 Base Year Sales Tax increased

    over time at the estimated natural growth rate for sales tax in Colorado Springs. The Applicant

    has used a 1.5 percent annual growth rate for the sales tax base, which EPS judges to be a

    reasonable estimate. The Application identifies the RTZ 2014 Base Sales Tax of $100.1 million,

    as shown in Table 11. The natural increase of the Base grown at 1.5 percent per year for 30

    years through 2043 is estimated at $755.2 million above the base, as shown.

    The total tax increment in the RTZ is the total sales tax generated by a project in the RTZ, plus

    the natural increase of the base. The percentage of RTZ sales tax revenue a project is eligible to

    receive is the net new tax revenue from out of state visitor spending divided by the total tax

    increment.

    Table 11RTZ Base Sales Tax

    YearAnn .

    Growt h Rate 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2043 Total

    Base Year

    Sales Tax Base ($000s) 1.5% $100,183 $101,686 $103,211 $104,759 $106,331 $107,925 $109,544 $154,280

    Natural Grow th of Base ($000s) $0 $1,503 $3,028 $4,576 $6,148 $7,743 $9,361 $54,097 $755,247

    Source: Economic & Planning Systems

    H:\133023-Colora do Regional Tourism\Model s\[133023-P rogram.xl sx]RTZ Base

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    Colorado Springs RTA

    November 25, 2013

    Economic & Planning Systems, Inc. 30 Revised Final Report

    U.S O lymp ic Museum

    In the Supplemental Material, the Applicant provided an expanded set of comparable facilities

    from which it has estimated the annual visitation to the proposed Museum. The Applicants

    museum consultant judges these to be more comparable pilgrimage museums than the

    facilities EPS cited in the initial Draft Report.

    The International Spy Museum is located in Washington, D.C., and attracts 700,000 annual

    visitors, with 90 percent from outside the District of Columbia, a very small geographic

    jurisdiction (Table 12). The Rock and Roll Hall of Fame in Cleveland, OH attracts 450,000 annual

    visitors. The 69 percent out of state visitor proportion is from an induction ceremony, which is an

    annual event held to induct new members into the Hall of Fame. Certainly this type of special

    annual event would have a larger draw than a typical day or average annual attendance.

    The National World War II Museum in New Orleans, LA attracts 80 percent of its visitors from

    outside Louisiana, which is consistent with the national draw that New Orleans has on its own as

    an international tourism destination. The Mob Museum (organized crime) in Las Vegas, NV has

    250,000 annual visitors with 77 percent from outside Nevada, which is also consistent with thenational and international draw of Las Vegas and the numerous entertainment and cultural

    options there. The Football Hall of Fame draws 200,000 annual visitors, with 70 to 80 percent

    from outside Ohio.

    EPS finds the Applicants estimate of 350,000 annual visitors as potentially achievable if the

    Museum is executed to the standards and caliber described in the Application. However EPS

    believes that this estimate is aggressive, given that each comparable is located in a metro area

    with nearly two to over 8 times the population of Colorado Springs.

    Table 12Applicants Comparable Museums

    Faci l i ty Location

    MSA Population

    (2010)

    Ann.

    Visitors

    % Out of

    State

    International Spy Museum Washington, D.C. 5,636,232 700,000 90%

    Rock and Roll Hall of Fame Cleveland, OH 2,077,240 450,000 69%

    National WWII Museum New Orleans, LA 1,189,866 375,000 80%

    Proposed US Ol ympi c Museum Colorado Springs 645,613 350,000 82%

    Mob Museum Las Vegas, NV 1,951,269 250,000 77%

    Football Hall of Fame Canton, OH 2,077,240 200,000 70-80%

    Source: Barrie Projects, Economic & Planning Systems, US Census

    H:\133023-Colorado Regional Tourism\Data\ [Museum Comps.xlsx]Sheet 1

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    The Applicant estimates 82 percent of the visitors to the US Olympic Museum in Colorado

    Springs will originate from outside Colorado. In the Initial Report, EPS used the Applicants

    estimate of 60 percent out of state visitation, with caveats that this too was judged to be

    aggressive, but adjusted down the attendance to 250,000 per year. In the Supplemental

    Material, the Applicant described this as a misinterpretation by EPS.

    EPS presents publicly available data from the Denver area Science and Cultural Facilities District

    that tracks the origin of its attendees. The Denver Art Museum, housed in an iconic building

    designed by Daniel Libeskind, drew 589,000 visitors in FY2013 with 13.9 percent from outside

    Colorado (Table 13). The Denver Museum of Nature and Science draws 1.3 million visitors, with

    17.3 percent from outside Colorado. These data suggest that the Applicants 82 percent out of

    state visitor figure may be overly optimistic, given the City and States geographic location.

    This analysis will assume 350,000 annual visitors, with 60 percent originating from outside

    Colorado.

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    Economic & Planning Systems, Inc. 32

    Table 13Selected Attendance Figures, Science and Cultural Facility District, FY2013

    Attende e Residence

    Denver Museum

    of Nature and

    Science Denver Zoo

    Denver Botanic

    Gardens

    Denver Center

    for the

    Performing Arts

    Denver Art

    Museum

    Central City

    Opera House

    C

    Ch

    Attende nce

    Adams 117,760 170,888 31,492 40,466 18,766 2,994

    Arapahoe 151,030 257,830 82,558 120,974 53,499 6,671

    Boulder 74,570 103,309 44,257 40,750 37,960 3,963

    Broomfield 29,630 23,161 2,554 11,222 3,824 583

    Denver 221,430 375,925 425,559 157,131 208,249 17,368

    Douglas 63,840 149,643 30,640 64,445 37,838 3,178

    Jefferson 162,040 246,582 102,134 101,755 74,175 7,140

    CO Outside Metro Area 274,080 422,601 50,216 91,271 63,431 7,474

    US Outside Colorado 232,200 315,471 77,282 49,782 81,772 188

    Outside US 15,320 --- 4,425 15,658 9,782 ---

    Unknown --- --- --- --- --- 493 Total 1,341,900 2,065,410 851,117 693,454 589,296 50,052

    Total Attendance 1,341,900 2,065,410 851,117 746,887 592,536 50,052

    Percent

    Adams 8.8% 8.3% 3.7% 5.8% 3.2% 6.0%

    Arapahoe 11.3% 12.5% 9.7% 17.4% 9.1% 13.3%

    Boulder 5.6% 5.0% 5.2% 5.9% 6.4% 7.9%

    Broomfield 2.2% 1.1% 0.3% 1.6% 0.6% 1.2%

    Denver 16.5% 18.2% 50.0% 22.7% 35.3% 34.7%

    Douglas 4.8% 7.2% 3.6% 9.3% 6.4% 6.3%

    Jefferson 12.1% 11.9% 12.0% 14.7% 12.6% 14.3%

    CO Outside Metro Area 20.4% 20.5% 5.9% 13.2% 10.8% 14.9%

    US Outside Colorado 17.3% 15.3% 9.1% 7.2% 13.9% 0.4% Outside US 1.1% --- 0.5% 2.3% 1.7% ---

    Unknown --- --- --- --- --- 1.0%

    Total 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%

    Source: Science and Cultural Facilities District; Economic & Planning Systems

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    Economic & Planning Systems, Inc. 33 Revised Final Report

    Net New Visitor Adjustment

    Based on the information provided in the Application, Supplemental Material, and information

    obtained on the comparable museums, EPS adjusted the Applicant's estimate of net new visitors

    and spending captured in the RTZ, as summarized in Table 14.

    The Museum has the potential to be a unique attraction in Colorado as the only large sportinghall of fame in Colorado. Therefore it is not assumed to erode any visitors from existing facilities.

    The Museum will also be a new facility, not a relocation of an existing use. While the museum

    can be classified as a pilgrimage museum for Olympic sports enthusiasts, it is located in a

    smaller market than the comparable facilities, with a smaller critical mass of other tourist

    attractions. Compared to the cities in which the comparables are located, the comparable cities

    have more direct air service markets outside their respective states. There are fewer direct

    flights to Colorado Springs than there are to these other Cities. Therefore EPS estimates that a

    maximum of 50 percent of the museums visitors would not have otherwise visited Colorado if

    this museum were not built.

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    Table 14Olympic Museum Net New Adjustment

    Criteria Comments Adjustment

    Initial Total 100%

    Uniqueness and Competition - Only Olympic Museum in the U.S. with

    the backing of the USOC.

    - No comparable factility in Colorado.

    0%

    Relocation of Existing Use within Colorado N/A 0%

    Primary Destination / Reason for Trip - Museum feasibility study classifies as a

    "pilgrimage" museum.

    - Less densely populated trade area

    compared to comparable facilities.

    - More difficult access than comparable

    facilities. Trip likely to be combined with

    visits to other Colorado attractions.

    -50%

    Ability to Capture Spending/Tourism Leakage

    from Colorado Residents

    - No adjustment. Coloradoans still likely

    to visit other pilgrimage museums

    appealing to their particular interest.

    0%

    Net New Factor 50.0%

    Percent out of State 60.0%

    Total Adjustment 30.0%

    Source: Economic & Planning Systems

    C:\Users\EET\Desktop\ Brian\ [133023-Program 11-18-2013.xlsx]Museum Net New

    U.S. Olympic Museum

    USOC Museum Tax Increment in RTZ

    The first step in determining the percentage of the tax increment in the RTZ that is net new and

    attributed to the Museum project is estimating the total tax increment in the RTZ with the

    Museum. This is:

    Step 1 - The incremental growth in sales tax in the RTZ attributed to natural growth(1.5 percent per year); plus

    Step 2 - The new sales tax in the RTZ generated by the new economic activity and spendingin the RTZ as a result of constructing the museum.

    The sales tax from NNOSV is then estimated in a separate step and divided by the result of

    Step 2 to arrive at the eligible percentage.

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    The Museum generates sales tax that is new to the RTZ through the increase in visitors.

    Assuming that overnight visitors spend on average $327 per person per trip and make 75

    percent of their purchases in the zone, overnight guests produce $1.62 billion in spending in the

    RTZ over the 2014 through 2043 time period (Table 15). Based on the Longwoods Survey data,

    day visitors from out of state spend approximately $29.11 per day on retail and food and

    beverages and generate $192.8 million in spending, assuming 100 percent of their purchases are

    made in the Zone. The new sales tax generated by the Museum is estimated at $52.7 million

    over 30 years. Adding this to the tax increment from natural growth results in a total tax

    increment in the RTZ of $807.9 million over 30 years.

    EPS has not assumed any increases in visitation due to the novelty effect noted by the

    Applicant, as they may be cancelled out by declines in visitation during economic recessions or

    other events or conditions that temporarily lower visitation. In addition, EPS has not assumed

    any net new trip extending visitors as part of this analysis, as the 60 percent out of state visitor

    factor is likely higher than will be achieved given the geography of Colorado Springs.

    Museum Net New Sales Tax Increment

    To calculate the maximum net new sales tax the Museum would be eligible to receive, the

    spending and State sales tax supported by the annual visitors is estimated. Of the 350,000

    annual visitors in a stabilized operating year, 60 percent of Project visitors are estimated to be

    from outside Colorado, and for 50 percent of visitors the Museum is their primary destination.

    The Museum would therefore draw 105,000 visitors to Colorado who would not have otherwise

    come to the State in a stabilized operating year (Table 16). Museum visitors are assumed to

    spend $327 per trip per person, which supports $34.3 million in spending in a stabilized

    operating year.

    In addition to the 50 percent NNOSV adjustment, there needs to be an adjustment made for

    spending that occurs outside in the RTZ. Many visitors, even destination visitors to the Museum,will likely visit other attractions in Southern Colorado, Denver, or the mountains during their 4.5

    day average stay. EPS has applied an estimated maximum capture rate of 75 percent to adjust

    for an estimated 25 percent of spending that occurs outside the RTZ and cannot be claimed as a

    Project revenue according to the Statute. After applying the 2.9 percent State sales tax rate, the

    Project generates $746,800 in net new annual sales tax at stabilization, and $28.3 million (with

    2.0 percent inflation) over the 30-year financing period from 2014 through 2043.

    The sales tax base in the RTZ is the Base Year Sales Tax of $100.2 million grown at a natural

    growth rate of 1.5 percent as estimated by the Applicant, which includes inflation and any

    growth in population or retail space. The total State sales tax increment in the RTZ is $807.9

    million over 30 years with the Museum Project (natural growth plus Project increment). Net new

    out of state visitor spending is projected to generate $28.3 million in sales tax over 30 years

    (Table 16). The eligible tax increment is $28.3 million divided by $807.9 million, which

    is 3.50 percent of the RTZ tax increment or approximately $942,000 per year.

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    Table 15RTZ Tax Increment with Museum Project

    Description Factor 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 Base Year (Stabilization)

    Museum Visitors

    Annual Museum Visitors 100% 0 0 71,500 200,000 300,000 350,000

    Overnight Visitors, Stay in RTZ 50% 0 0 35,750 100,000 150,000 175,000

    Day Visitors and Overnight Guests Staying Elsewhere 50% 0 0 35,750 100,000 150,000 175,000

    Visitor Spendin g Potenti al ($000s) [1]

    Overnight Visitors, Stay in RTZ $327/trip $0.0 $0.0 $12,405.8 $35,395.5 $54,155.2 $64,444.6 $

    Day Visitors and Overnight Guests Staying Elsewhere $29.11/day $0.0 $0.0 $1,104.4 $3,151.1 $4,821.2 $5,737.2

    Spending Potential $0.0 $0.0 $13,510.2 $38,546.6 $58,976.3 $70,181.8 $

    Visitor Spending in RTZ ($000s)

    Overnight Visitors, Stay in RTZ 75% $0.0 $0.0 $9,304.3 $26,546.6 $40,616.4 $48,333.5 Day Visitors and Overnight Guests Stay Elsewhere 100% $0.0 $0.0 $1,104.4 $3,151.1 $4,821.2 $5,737.2

    Spending Captured in RTZ $0.0 $0.0 $10,408.8 $29,697.7 $45,437.5 $54,070.7 $

    State Sales Tax Increment 2.9% $0.0 $0.0 $301.9 $861.2 $1,317.7 $1,568.0

    Project Sales Tax Increment $0.0 $0.0 $301.9 $861.2 $1,317.7 $1,568.0

    Natural Sales Tax Increment $0.0 $1,502.7 $3,028.0 $4,576.2 $6,147.6 $7,742.5

    RTZ Incremen t w i th Museum Project ($000s) $0.0 $1,502.7 $3,329.9 $5,437.4 $7,465.3 $9,310.6 $

    [1] Includes 2.0% annual inflation above 2013

    Source: Economic & Planning Systems

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    Table 16Olympic Museum Net New Sales Tax Increment

    Description Factor 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 Base Year (Stabilization)

    VisitorsAnnual Visitors 0 0 71,500 200,000 300,000 350,000

    Out of State Visitors (OSV) 60% 0 0 42,900 120,000 180,000 210,000

    Overnight NNOSV 50% 0 0 21,450 60,000 90,000 105,000

    Visitor Spending ($000s of 2013$)Overnight NNOSV $327/trip $0 $0 $7,014 $19,620 $29,430 $34,335

    Captured in RTZ 75% $0 $0 $5,261 $14,715 $22,073 $25,751

    Sales Tax from NNOSV 2.9% $0.0 $0.0 $152.6 $426.7 $640.1 $746.8

    Eligible Tax Increment:NNOSV Spending in RTZ ($000s, Inflated) 2.0% $0.0 $0.0 $161.9 $461.9 $706.7 $841.0

    RTZ Sales Tax Increment with Museum ($000s) $0.0 $1,502.7 $3,329.9 $5,437.4 $7,465.3 $9,310.6 $

    Eligible Tax Increment ($000s) $0.0 $0.0 $161.9 $461.9 $706.7 $841.0

    % of RTZ Revenue 0.00% 0.00% 4.86% 8.50% 9.47% 9.03%

    Source: Economic & Planning Systems

    H:\133023-Col orado Regional Tourism\ Models\ [133023-P rogr am 11-18-2013.xlsx] 2-Museum NNST

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    Economic & Planning Systems, Inc. 38 Revised Final Report

    Downtown Stad ium and Events Center

    Downtown Stadium

    The existing Sky Sox stadium draws approximately 350,000 annual attendance, and the new

    stadium is estimated by the Applicant to draw 672,000 by 2019 when it is assumed to reach a

    stabilized operating year. The Applicant has estimated that the new stadium will be able to drawmore visitors because of its higher visibility closer to I-25, iconic architecture, and overall

    improved visitor experience. The Applicant did not provide any data on comparable new

    stadiums in the Midwestern or Western U.S., although there have been several built in the last

    10 to 15 years. Instead, the Applicant relies on a statistical analysis of locational attributes to

    estimate the new stadium visitation, and arrives at 672,000 visitors in a stabilized year.

    EPS compiled data on four other minor league stadiums. Their annual game attendance ranges

    from approximately 350,000 in Reno, NV to 567,000 in Albuquerque, NM, as described below.

    Albuquerque is judged to be a good comparable, as they are both Southwestern cities with a

    population of approximately half a million and lacking any major league sports teams.

    Aces Stadium, Reno, NV Aces Stadium is the 9,000-seat home of the Reno Aces, a minor

    league affiliate of the Arizona Diamondbacks. Play began in 2009 with The Freight House District,

    an attached entertainment facility with a sports bar, lounge and ale house, opening during the

    2010 season. Their attendance numbers put them in the middle of the Pacific Coast League at

    approximately 429,000 per season.

    Werner Park, Papillion (Omaha), NE Werner Park is a 9,000-seat stadium in the Omaha

    suburb of Papillion, NE. It is the home of the Omaha Storm Chasers, an affiliate of the Kansas

    City Royals. The stadium opened in 2011 after the team relocated from downtown Omahas

    Rosenblatt Stadium, the site of the College Baseball World Series. Non Storm Chaser events are

    limited to local high school baseball games. While average annual attendance of around 405,000

    puts it in the middle of the Pacific Coast League, numbers have steadily risen over the pastdecade for a few reasons. One, Omaha contains a large population of young families and young

    adults, minor league baseballs target markets for affordable family entertainment. Also, their

    new stadium has improved overall market capture as well as business market capture with an

    increase in corporate suites and group sales.

    Isotopes Park, Albuquerque, NM Isotopes Park is a 13,000-seat stadium in Albuquerque,

    NM and is the Triple A home of the Los Angeles Dodgers. The park was a $25 million redevelop-

    ment of an older, out of date stadium when the Calgary franchise relocated in 2003. The

    Isotopes draw an average of nearly 580,000 fans per season, which puts them in the top three in

    the Pacific Coast League. Events are limited to baseball as the stadium does not host any outside

    events at this time. EPS was not able to obtain attendance figures from the old stadium.

    D o w n t o w n St a d i u m N e t N e w V i s it o r s Ad j u s t m e n t

    The total projected visitation of 672,000 is higher than the comparable facilities and represents a

    92 percent increase over existing levels. However, the Applicant makes a conservative estimate

    that 7.6 percent of the attendees will be net new visitors from out of state, which is only slightly

    above the current estimated 7.0 percent. No additional adjustments to net new out of state

    visitors were made by EPS. Stabilized visitation of 672,271 is assumed to be reached by 2020

    (Table 17).

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    Economic & Planning Systems, Inc. 39 Revised Final Report

    R TZ Ta x I n c r e m e n t w i t h D o w n t o w n S t ad i u m P r o j e c t

    Stabilized attendance of 672,000, including 51,093 NNOSV, is reached in 2020 (Table 17). The

    tax increment in the RTZ created by the new stadium is added to the tax increment from the

    natural growth of sales tax to forecast the total tax increment in the RTZ over the next 30 years.

    The sales tax increment from the stadium comes from spending by from outside the RTZ,

    irrespective of their origination from inside or outside of Colorado. It does not, however, includespending from RTZ residents, as that would be a redistribution of discretionary spending from

    other existing retailers, food and beverage outlets, or entertainment venues.

    With out of state visitors extending their trip by a day to visit the stadium, they are estimated to

    spend $72.76 per day in the RTZ, generating $139.8 million in spending over 30 years

    (Table 17). Other stadium visitors from Colorado but outside the RTZ are assumed to spend $21

    per day in the RTZ, generating $329.6 million in spending that is new in the RTZ but not new to

    Colorado. After applying the 2.9 percent State sales tax rate, the State sales tax increment

    resulting from the Stadium is $13.6 million over 30 years. The total increment in the RTZ with

    the Stadium Project is $768.9 million over 30 years.

    D o w n t o w n S t ad i u m El ig i b le Ta x I n c r e m e n t

    Consistent with the Applicants analysis framework, stadium attendees from outside Colorado are

    assumed to have travelled to Colorado for other purposes, but stay an additional day that they

    would not have otherwise stayed in order to visit the stadium. At $72.67 per day per person,

    spending from NNOSV is $3.7 million per year at stabilization. Over 30 years total spending is

    estimated at $98.2 million. After applying 2.0 percent annual inflation and the 2.9 percent sales

    tax rate, the resulting 30 year sales tax increment is $4.05 million (Table 18). Total sales tax

    from 2014 through 2043 is $4.05 million and the eligible tax increment is 0.53 percent

    of the RTZ tax increment, or $135,000 per year over 30 years.

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    Table 17RTZ Tax Increment with Downtown Stadium Project

    Description Factor 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 20Base Year

    Stadium Attendess

    Downtown Stadium Total Attendees 0 0 0 450,000 550,000 650,000 672,2

    NNOSV 7.6% 0 0 0 34,200 41,800 49,400 51,0

    From outside Colorado Springs RTZ [1] 62.0% 0 0 0 279,000 341,000 403,000 416,8

    From Colorado Springs (RTZ) 30.4% 0 0 0 136,800 167,200 197,600 204,3

    Attendee Spending Pote nti al ($000s) [2]

    NNOSV $72.67/day $0.0 $0.0 $0.0 $2,690.2 $3,353.8 $4,042.8 $4,26

    From outside Colorado Springs RTZ $21/day $0.0 $0.0 $0.0 $6,342.0 $7,906.3 $9,530.7 $10,054

    Spending Potential $0.0 $0.0 $0.0 $9,032.2 $11,260.1 $13,573.5 $14,31

    State Sales Tax Increment 2.9% $0.0 $0.0 $0.0 $261.9 $326.5 $393.6 $41

    Project Sales Tax Increment $0.0 $0.0 $0.0 $261.9 $326.5 $393.6 $41

    Natural Sales Tax Increment $0.0 $1,502.7 $3,028.0 $4,576.2 $6,147.6 $7,742.5 $9,36

    RTZ Increment w i th S tadium Project ($000s) $0.0 $1,502.7 $3,028.0 $4,838.1 $6,474.1 $8,136.2 $9,77

    [1] 62% from outside Colorado Springs, p. 23 of Stadium Market Analysis.

    [2] Includes 2.0% annual inflation

    [3] $21/day spending from Stadium Feasibility Study p. 32.

    Source: Economic & Planning Systems

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    Table 18Downtown Stadium Net New Sales Tax Increment

    Description Factor 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020Base Year (Stabilization

    NNOSV 0 0 0 34,200 41,800 49,400 51,093

    Visitor Spending ($000s of 2013$)

    NNOSV Trip Spending $72.67/day $0.0 $0.0 $0.0 $2,485.3 $3,037.6 $3,589.9 $3,712.9

    Sales Tax from NNOSV 2.9% $0.0 $0.0 $0.0 $72.1 $88.1 $104.1 $107.7

    Eligible Tax Increment:

    NNOSV Spending in RTZ ($000s, Inflated) 2.0% $0.0 $0.0 $0.0 $78.0 $97.3 $117.2 $123.7

    RTZ Sales Tax Increment wi th Stadium ($000s) $0.0 $1,502.7 $3,028.0 $4,838.1 $6,474.1 $8,136.2 $9,776.

    Eligible Tax Increment ($000s) $0.0 $0.0 $0.0 $78.0 $97.3 $117.2 $123.7

    % of RTZ Revenue 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 1.61% 1.50% 1.44% 1.27%

    Source: Economic & Planning SystemsH:\133023-Color ado Regional Tourism\ Models\[ 133023-Progr am 11-18-2013.xlsx]5- Stadi um NNST

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    Economic & Planning Systems, Inc. 42 Revised Final Report

    Colorado Sports Events Center

    The Applicants consultants met with representatives from the National Governing Bodies (NGBs)

    in Colorado Springs and other sports management groups to estimate the number of annual

    events, athletes and other visitors (coaches, family/friends, spectators) that the proposed

    Colorado Sports Events Center (CSEC) could attract. Included in the Supplemental Material, an

    analysis by Summit Economics estimates 53 annual events as follows. The NGBs estimate that9 new NGB-sponsored events could be brought to Colorado Springs, and 23 events could be

    brought back to Colorado that are currently held elsewhere. The Applicant would target an

    additional 15 multisport organizations (a wide range of sporting activities) and other large

    national events averaging 6.2 per year considering that some may not come to Colorado Springs

    every year, and some are more competitive to attract. EPS has aggregated several of the

    Applicants calculations and tables into a summary shown in Table 19.

    Within the New Non-Olympic Events category, the Applicant is assuming that major events

    such as the X Games and the Mountain Dew Tour will be recruited each year. These are highly

    competitive and sought after events.

    The facility would also target sports conferences and gatherings estimated at an average of 3.6

    events per year. Among all athletes, 80 percent are estimated to be from outside Colorado based

    on information from the NGBs, and 73 percent of accompanying coaches, trainers,

    family/friends/spectators, are from outside Colorado. The average stay for these events is

    modeled at an average of 4.5 to 4.6 days.

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    Table 19Applicants Sports Events Center Visitation Estimates

    Event Type

    # of

    Events

    per Year

    Per

    Event

    % Out of

    State

    Out

    of State

    Per

    Event

    % Out of

    State

    Out

    of State

    Avg . Stay

    (Days) Athletes

    Co

    F

    New NGB1Events 9 234 91% 213 1,977 33% 662 4.5 8,618

    Existing NGB Events Retained in CO 23 500 50% 250 1,500 75% 1,125 4.5 25,875 1

    New Multi Sport Organizations 15 153 90% 137 1,177 59% 690 4.5 9,270

    New Non-Olympic Events 6.2 1,105 90% 994 1,150 90% 1,035 4.6 28,584

    Total Athletic Events 53 1,991 80% 1,594 5,804 61% 3,512 72,347 2

    Delegates Fam ily/Fr iends

    New Symposiums and Group Meetings 3.6 919 90% 828 379 90% 342 3.4 10,190

    1National Governing Bodies of Sport

    Source: Summit Economics

    H:\133023-Colorado Regional Tourism\Models\ [133023-Progr am 11-18-2013.xlsx]1-App SPEC Visit ors

    Ath le tes Out of Sta te Visito r DaCoaches, Family, Spectators

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    Economic & Planning Systems, Inc. 44 Revised Final Report

    In total, the Applicant estimates that the Sports Events Center would attract 451,000 visitors to

    sports events and nearly 16,000 annual visitors to group meetings and symposiums for a total of

    467,048 annual visitor days (Table 20).

    Table 20Year 4 Total Visitors to Sports Events Center (Applicant)

    Event Type Athletes

    Coaches,

    Family,

    Sp ect. Ath le te s

    Coaches,

    Family,

    Sp ect. Ath le tes

    Coaches,

    Family,

    Spect. Total

    New NGB Events 8,618 26,820 852 53,268 9,470 80,088 89,558

    Existing NGB Events Retained in CO 25,875 116,438 25,875 38,813 51,750 155,251 207,001

    New Multi Sport Organizations 9,270 46,598 1,030 32,823 10,300 79,421 89,721

    New Non-Olympic Events 28,584 29,745 3,176 3,305 31,760 33,050 64,810

    Total Athletic Events 72,347 219,601 30,933 128,209 103,280 347,810 451,090

    Delegates Fam ily/Fr iends Delegates Fam ily/Fr iends Total

    New Symposiums and Group Meetings 10,190 4,208 1,112 448 15,958

    Source: Summit EconomicsH:\133023-Color ado Regional Tourism\Model s\[133023-Pr ogram 11-18-2013.xlsx] 2-App SPEC Totals

    Out o f State V isi tor Days In-Sta te V isi tor Days Tota l V isi tor Days

    The analysis prepared by Summit Economics is reasonable with some limitations. It is not a

    market study in the sense that the national or regional market for these events is not quantified,

    so EPS has not been able to evaluate the amount of market share that is being assumed for

    capturing these events. While there will presumably be synergies with the USOC, if the facility is

    well executed and well marketed, many of these events targeted are still competitive with other

    venues throughout the U.S.

    Adjusted Visitation

    The only adjustment to the visitation figures made by EPS is to the Non-Olympic Events, and the

    percentages of NNOSV assumed for each event category. The Applicant is estimating that they

    will be able to attract two large events, the National Senior Games, and the National State

    Games once every 10 years. These two events draw over 10,000 athletes each.

    The Summer X Games and Mountain Dew tour will require a major recruitment effort to attract,

    as they are desired by many venues and cities. The first Summer X Games was held at Mount

    Snow Vermont in 1995, which had a long track record of hosting UCI World Cup mountain bike

    races. It has since visited several major cities including San Diego, Los Angeles, and Barcelona,

    Spain. The Mountain Dew Tour has visited Breckenridge, CO, Las Vegas, Salt Lake City, and

    other major cities as well. EPS has adjusted down the assumption of hosting the X Games or

    Mountain Dew (or similar events) to assume one major event every 10 years, consistent with theNational Senior and State Games assumption (Table 19). Total non-Olympic events are now

    assumed to be 4.4 per year with an average of 723 athletes per event. The remaining events,

    out of state visitor factors, and length of stay estimates are reasonable.

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    Table 21Non-Olympic Event Adjustment

    Event Type Applicant

    EPS

    Adj ustm ent

    Athletes per

    Event

    Year 3 - Nat'l Senior Games 0.1 0.1 11,000

    Year 4 - State Games 0.1 0.1 10,800

    Year 3 - X Games 1.0 0.1 1,000

    Year 4 - Mtn Dew or Similar 1.0 0.1 1,000

    Year 2 - TBD 1/mo per summer 4.0 4.0 200

    Total 6.2 4.4 723

    Source: Summit Economics

    H:\133023-Colorado Regional Tourism\Models\[133023-Program 11-18-2013.xlsx]3-EPS Non Oly Events

    # of Events per Year

    After adjusting for a lower probability of attracting the non-Olympic events, the revised visitor

    total is approximately 423,000 annual visitor days, including nearly 88,000 from athletes,334,000 from coaches and other visitor types, and nearly 16,000 group meeting visitor days

    (Tables 22 and 23).

    Table 22Revised Year 4 Attendance and Visitation

    Event Type

    # of

    Events

    per Year

    Per

    Event

    % Out of

    State

    Out

    of State

    Per

    Event

    % Out of

    State

    Out

    of State

    Avg. Stay

    (Days) Athletes

    Coaches,

    Family,

    Spect. Athletes

    Coaches,

    Family,

    Spect.

    New NGB1Events 9.0 234 91% 213 1,977 33% 662 4.5 8,618 26,820 852 53,268

    Existing NGB Events Retained in CO 23.0 500 50% 250 1,500 75% 1,125 4.5 25,875 116,438 25,875 38,813

    New Multi Sport Organizations 15.0 153 90% 137 1,177 59% 690 4.5 9,270 46,598 1,030 32,823

    New Non-Olympic Events 4.4 723 90% 650 864 90% 777 4.6 13,271 15,859 3,176 3,305

    Total Athletic Events 51.4 1,609 78% 1,251 5,518 59% 3,255 57,034 205,715 30,933 128,209

    New Symposiums and Group Meetings 3.6 919 90% 828 379 90% 342 3.4 10,190 4,208 1,112 448

    1National Governing Bodies of Sport

    Source: Summit Economics

    H:\133023-Colorado Regional Tourism\Models\[133023-Program 11-18-2013.xlsx]4-EPS SPEC Events

    Athl ete s Coache s, Fam il y, Sp ecta tors Out o f Sta te V isit or Da ys In-Sta te V isit or Days

    Delegates Family/Fr iends Delegates Fam ily/Friends

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    N e t N e w A d j u s t m e n t

    The Applicant estimates that 90 to 95 percent of event attendees will be new to Colorado, which

    EPS judges to be on the high side. There are several other large sporting venues in the State

    that can and do accommodate existing amateur sporting events. The athletic complexes at the

    major colleges and universities compete for some of these events. Other venues including the

    mountain resorts also seek adult and youth sports groups and tournaments. This facility will beaffiliated with the USOC, which may give it a competitive advantage for bringing some new

    events from other states, but there will still be some competition with existing facilities in

    Colorado.

    EPS has estimated that 75 percent of the National Governing Body events will be net new

    (Table 23). The multisport and Non-Olympic events are judged to be more competitive with

    existing venues and are estimated to be 50 percent net new to Colorado. The weighted average

    net new factor for out of state visitors is 65.1 percent for Athletes and 67.4 percent for coaches.

    Group meetings are also competitive with other conference venues throughout the State and in

    Colorado Springs and are estimated to be 50 percent net new. The resulting Year 4 NNOSV

    projection is 175,800 from sporting events and 7,200 from group meeting business.

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    Table 23Revised Year 4 Attendance and Visitation

    Event Type Athletes

    Coaches,

    Family,

    Sp ect. Ath le te s

    Coaches,

    Family,

    Sp ect. A th le te s

    Coaches,

    Family,

    Spect. Total

    Event Visitation - Visitor DaysNew NGB Events 8,618 26,820 852 53,268 9,470 80,088 89,558

    Existing NGB Events Retained in CO 25,875 116,438 25,875 38,813 51,750 155,251 207,001

    New Multi Sport Organizations 9,270 46,598 1,030 32,823 10,300 79,421 89,721

    New Non-Olympic Events 13,271 15,859 3,176 3,305 16,447 19,164 35,611

    Total Athletic Events 57,034 205,715 30,933 128,209 87,968 333,923 421,891

    Pct. Out of State Vi si tor Days [1] 64.8% 61.6%

    Delegates Family/Fr iends Delegates Fam ily/Friends Total

    New Symposiums and Group Meetings 10,190 4,208 1,112 448 15,958

    Net New FactorNew NGB Events 75% 75%

    Existing NGB Events Retained in CO 75% 75%

    New Multi Sport Organizations 50% 50%

    New Non-Olympic Events 50% 50%All Athl eti c Even ts (Weighted Average ) 65.1% 67.4%

    Delegates Family/Friends

    Ne w Sympo si ums a nd Grou p Me eti ng s 50. 0% 50.0%

    Net New Out of State Visitor Days TotalNew NGB Events 6,464 20,115 26,579

    Existing NGB Events Retained in CO 19,406 87,329 106,735

    New Multi Sport Organizations 4,635 23,299 27,934

    New Non-Olympic Events 6,636 7,929 14,565

    Total Athletic Events 37,140 138,672 175,812

    Delegates Family/Friends

    New Sym posi um s and Group Meeti ngs 5,095 2,104 7,199

    [1] The percentage of out of state visitor days is different from the percentage on a per event basis due to varying average stays and athletes per event.

    Source: Summit Economics

    H:\133023-Colorado Regional Tour ism\Models\[ 133023-Program 11-18-2013.xlsx]5- EPS SPEC TOTALS

    Out o f S ta te V isi to r Days In-S ta te V isi to r Days To ta l V isi to r Days

    NNOSV

    Using the factors for out of state visitors and net new events, the number of visitor days by type

    are projected through 2043 in Table 24. In a stabilized operating year, there are nearly 88,000

    visitor days from athletes, 334,000 from coaches and other attendees, and nearly 16,000 from

    group meeting attendees, for a total of 438,000. Out of state visitor days total 277,000 in a

    stabilized year, and NNOSV total 183,000. During sports events, overnight stays by NNOSV in

    the RTZ are estimated at 78 percent of visitors, using the Applicants estimate. Day visitors are

    22 percent of visitors, comprised of day visitors from outside the RTZ (11 percent) and RTZ

    residents (11 percent).

    RTZ Tax Increment with Sports Events Center

    Total visitor days are used to calculate the tax increment in the RTZ with the Sports Events

    Center in Table 25, while only the NNOSV are used in the eligible tax increment calculation. EPS

    has reproduced the Applicants calculation of the total increment in the RTZ, but with EPS

    adjusted event and visitation estimates. From 2014 through 2043, the facility is projected to

    bring 2.26 million visitor days from athletes, 8.7 million from coaches and other visitors, and

    395,000 from group meetings. The percentage of overnight stays in the RTZ for all athletes is

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    64.8 percent, with day visitors from outside the RTZ comprising 18 percent of visitors. Similarly,

    61.6 percent of all coaches and other attendees are assumed to stay overnight in the RTZ, and

    19 percent would make a day trip. Group meetings are modeled with 90 percent of overnight

    stays in the RTZ.

    Applying daily spending of $72.67 per day for overnight visitors and $29.11 per day for day

    visitors results in $834.2 million in captured spending and $24.2 million in state sales tax over

    30 years.

    Eligible Tax Increment for Sports Events Center

    The NNOSV from net new events are estimated to generate 142,700 visitor days from those who

    stay overnight, and 40,000 visitor days from day visitors, totaling 183,000 annual visitor days in

    a stabilized operating year, and 4.75 million of the 30 year time period. Overnight NNOSV are

    estimated to make 90 percent of their trip spending in the RTZ, and out of state destination day

    visitors are assumed to make 100 percent of their daily spending in the RTZ. The resulting

    spending in the RTZ totals $272.9 million over 30 years, with $7.9 million in state sales tax

    (before inflation). After applying 2.0 percent spending inflation, total sales tax is $11.3million over 30 years, or 1.45 percent of the RTZ increment ($377,000 per year), as

    shown in Table 26.

    Combined Tax Increment for Stadium and Sports Events Center

    The total eligible tax increment for the combined Stadium and Sports Events Center Project is

    estimated at $15.4 million over 30 years, or 1.94 percent of the RTZ tax increment (Table 27).

    This is equivalent to $513,000 per year. It is calculated as the sum of the net new sales tax

    generated by the Stadium and Sports Events Center, divided by the natural growth of the tax

    base plus the total project tax increments from both project components.

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    Table 24Sports Events Center Total and Net New Visitor Days, 2014-2043

    Description Factor 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 204Base Year

    Total Visitor Days

    Athletes 0 0 0 24,715 53,069 72,334 87,968 87,96

    Coaches, Trainers, Spectators 0 0 0 125,795 276,318 298,658 333,923 333,92

    Symposia/Group Mtgs. 0 0 0 1,064 4,876 6,383 15,958 15,95

    Total 0 0 0 151,573 334,264 377,375 437,849 437,84

    Out of State Visitor Days

    Athletes 64.8% 0 0 0 16,024 34,408 46,898 57,034 57,03

    Coaches, Trainers, Spectators 61.6% 0 0 0 77,496 170,227 183,989 205,715 205,71

    Symposia/Group Mtgs. 90.2% 0 0 0 960 4,399 5,759 14,398 14,39

    Total 0 0 0 94,480 209,034 236,647 277,147 277,14

    Net New Out of State Visitor Days

    Athletes 65.1% 0 0 0 10,435 22,406 30,540 37,140 37,14

    Coaches, Trainers, Spectators 67.4% 0 0 0 52,240 114,750 124,027 138,672 138,67

    Symposia/Group Mtgs. 50.0% 0 0 0 480 2,200 2,880 7,199 7,19

    Total 0 0 0 63,155 139,355 157,446 183,011 183,01

    Overnight NNOSV

    Athletes 78.0% 0 0 0 8,139 17,477 23,821 28,970 28,97

    Coaches, Trainers, Spectators 78.0% 0 0 0 40,747 89,505 96,741 108,164 108,16

    Symposia/Group Mtgs. 78.0% 0 0 0 374 1,716 2,246 5,615 5,61

    Total 0 0 0 49,261 108,697 122,808 142,749 142,74

    Day NNOSVAthletes 22% 0 0 0 2,296 4,929 6,719 8,171 8,17

    Coaches, Trainers, Spectators 22% 0 0 0 11,493 25,245 27,286 30,508 30,50

    Symposia/Group Mtgs. 22% 0 0 0 106 484 633 1,584 1,58

    Total 0 0 0 13,894 30,658 34,638 40,262 40,26

    Source: Economic & Planning Systems

    H:\133023-Colorado Regional Tourism\Models\[133023-Progr am 11-18-2013.xlsx]7-CSEC NNOSV

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    Table 25RTZ Increment with Sports Events Center

    Description Factor 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020Bas e Year

    Athle te Visito r Days

    Total Athlete Visitor Days 0 0 0 24,715 53,069 72,334 87,968

    Overnight Visitors, Staying in RTZ 64.8% 0 0 0 16,024 34,408 46,898 57,034

    Day Visitor Days to RTZ 18% 0 0 0 4,345 9,331 12,718 15,467

    Visitors from RTZ (Residents, not included) 18% 0 0 0 4,345 9,331 12,718 15,467

    Coaches, Train., Spect. Visitor Days

    Total Visitor Days 0 0 0 125,795 276,318 298,658 333,923

    Overnight Visitors, Staying in RTZ 61.6% 0 0 0 77,496 170,227 183,989 205,715

    Day Visitor Days to RTZ 19.2% 0 0 0 24,149 53,046 57,334 64,104

    Visitors from RTZ (Residents, not included) 19.2% 0 0 0 24,149 53,046 57,334 64,104

    Symposia/Group Mtgs.

    Total Visitor Days 0 0 0 1,064 4,876 6,383 15,958

    Overnight Visitors, Staying in RTZ 90% 0 0 0 957 4,388 5,745 14,362

    Day Visitor Days to RTZ 5% 0 0 0 53 244 319 798

    Visitors from RTZ (Residents, not included) 5% 0 0 0 53 244 319 798

    Spending Potential ($000s) [1]

    Overnight Visitors, Staying in RTZ $72.67 $0 $0 $0 $7,432 $16,771 $19,366 $23,132

    Day Visitor Days to RTZ $29.11 $0 $0 $0 $900 $2,013 $2,307 $2,687

    Total $0 $0 $0 $8,331 $18,783 $21,673 $25,819

    State Sales Tax Increment 2.9% $0 $0 $0 $242 $545 $629 $749

    Project Sales Tax Increment $0 $0 $0 $242 $545 $629 $749

    Natural Sales Tax Increment $0 $1,503 $3,028 $4,576 $6,148 $7,743 $9,361

    RTZ Increment wi th Events Faci l ity Project ($000s) $0 $1,503 $3,028 $4,818 $6,692 $8,371 $10,110

    [1] Includes 2.0% annual inflation

    Source: Economic & Planning Systems

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    Table 26Sports Events Center Eligible Tax Increment

    Description Factor 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 202Bas e Year

    NNOSV

    Overnight 0 0 0 49,261 108,697 122,808 142,74

    Day 0 0 0 13,894 30,658 34,638 40,26

    Total 0 0 0 63,155 139,355 157,446 183,01

    Spending Potential ($000s, 2013$)

    Overnight $72.67 $0 $0 $0 $3,580 $7,899 $8,924 $10,37

    Day $29.11 $0 $0 $0 $404 $892 $1,008 $1,17

    Total $0 $0 $0 $3,984 $8,792 $9,933 $11,54

    Spending Captured in RTZ ($000s of 2013$)

    Overnight 90% $0 $0 $0 $3,222 $7,109 $8,032 $9,33Day 100% $0 $0 $0 $404 $892 $1,008 $1,17

    Total $0 $0 $0 $3,626 $8,002 $9,040 $10,50

    State Sales Tax from NNOSV 2.9% $0.0 $0.0 $0.0 $105.2 $232.0 $262.2 $304.

    Eligible Tax Increment ($000s, Inflated) 2.0% $0.0 $0.0 $0.0 $113.8 $256.2 $295.2 $350.

    RTZ Sales Tax Increment ($000s) $0.0 $1,502.7 $3,028.0 $4,817.8 $6,692.3 $8,371.0 $10,110.

    Eligible Tax Increment ($000s) $0.0 $0.0 $0.0 $113.8 $256.2 $295.2 $350.

    % of RTZ Revenue 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 2.36% 3.83% 3.53% 3.46%

    Source: Economic & Planning Systems

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    Table 27Downtown Stadium and Colorado Sports Events Center Eligible Tax Increment (Combined)

    Description 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 202Base Year (Stabilizatio

    Net New Sale s Tax

    Stadium Net New Sales Tax $0.0 $0.0 $0.0 $78.0 $97.3 $117.2 $123

    Sports Events Center Net New Sales Tax $0.0 $0.0 $0.0 $113.8 $256.2 $295.2 $350

    Total Net New Sales Tax $0.0 $0.0 $0.0 $191.8 $353.5 $412.5 $473

    RTZ Sales Tax Increment with Stadium and CSEC ($000s) $0.0 $1,502.7 $3,028.0 $5,079.7 $7,018.8 $8,764.7 $10,525

    Eligible Tax Increment ($000s) $0.0 $0.0 $0.0 $191.8 $353.5 $412.5 $473

    % of RTZ Revenue 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 3.78% 5.04% 4.71% 4.50

    Source: Economic & Planning Systems

    H:\133023-Colorado Regional Tourism\Model s\[ 133023-Program 11-18-2013.xlsx]6- Stadi um CSEC NNST

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    Economic & Planning Systems, Inc. 53 Revised Final Report

    UCCS Spor t s Med ic ine Cent e r

    The Applicant estimates that the 72,000 square foot Sports Medicine Center will serve 40,000

    patients annually within 5 years of opening. The basis for this estimate comes from the list of

    patients provided by the RFI respondents; one respondent clinic is reported to have at least

    20,000 existing unique patients; and a list of comparable facilities. The Sports Medicine Center at

    Jefferson University Hospital in Philadelphia was cited as the most comparable facility, and

    serves 35,000 patients each year. The University of Pittsburgh Medical Center (UPMC) Center for

    Sports Medicine Concussion Center serves 25,000 annual patients out of a much smaller facility.

    The Applicant has only provided limited information on the medical tourism market in Colorado,

    or on the potential market share for this facility. The operations, capacities, and sizes of the

    comparables, and the proposed Sports Medicine Center are also only described in a summary

    manner, making it difficult to understand the economics of these centers, and how comparable

    they are. The 40,000 estimated patients at stabilization are higher than the most comparable,

    the Sports Medicine Center at Jefferson University located in a much larger metro area on the

    Eastern Seaboard. It is also located as part of a hospital and conducts orthopedic surgeries as a

    significant component of its services.

    The comparable utilization figures presented are also confusing as in some cases patient visits

    are used interchangeably with discrete patients. The facility is estimated to have the capacity to

    serve 40,000 annual patient visits, as estimated by EPS from the number of exam rooms in

    Table 28. With 40,000 annual patients, the exam rooms would be operating at approximately

    90 percent capacity which is high and potentially above functional capacity. The facility will

    presumably be able to serve patients in other settings, such as training rooms or physical

    therapy space which are not included in the figures below, suggesting that actual utilization of

    exam rooms would be lower.

    Table 28

    UCCS Sports Medicine Clinic Space Utilization

    Description 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020

    Annual Patients 12,500 25,000 30,000 35,000 40,000

    Weekly Patients 50 w eeks 250 500 600 700 800

    Daily Patients 5 50 100 120 140 160

    Exam Rooms 21 21 21 21 21

    Sessions per week 1 40 840 840 840 840 840

    Sessions per year 50 42,000 42,000 42,000 42,000 42,000

    Estimated Clinic Capacity 30% 60% 71% 83% 95%

    1Assumes 8 45-minute sessions per day.

    Source: Economic & Planning Systems

    H:\133023-Colorado Regional Tourism\Models\[133023-Program 11-18-2013.xlsx]UCCS Uti lizat ion

    Lacking a more detailed market and feasibility study, and more information from potential

    project partners in the proposed facility, EPS used the estimate of 40,000 patients at stabilization

    as an optimistic but potentially achievable goal. There could be synergies between the USOC and

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    University Hospital that will attract patients. If nationally recognized practitioners are also

    attracted to the facility, it will also help increase the number of patients served.

    As described, the proposed facility will have the potential to be a National Center of Excellence

    for sports medicine, and for serving disabled or wounded active duty military personnel, veterans

    and athletes. However, it is unreasonable to assume that the associated patients and visitors

    would be completely new to the State. There are already several highly ranked orthopedic,

    spinal, and other rehabilitation clinics in the State including the Steadman Clinic in Vail, and

    Craig Hospital in Denver. There are also numerous sports medicine practitioners and physical

    therapists throughout the State. We have applied a conservative deduction of 25 percent to

    account for some amount of cannibalization, recognizing that the facility as described has the

    potential to attract a large share of destination visitors to the State. Additional rationale is

    provided in Table 29.

    Table 29Sports Medicine Center Net New Adjustment

    Criteria Comments Adjustment

    Initial Total 100%

    Uniqueness and Competition - CO has several nationally recognized

    orthopaedic, and spinal/brain injury clinics

    -25%

    Relocation of Existing Use within Colorado - Patients transferring to facility are

    assumed to be largely from Colorado and

    do not affect out of state visitor est imates.

    0%

    Primary Destination / Reason for Trip - Will be primary destination for out of state

    patients. Assumed to be a nationally

    recognized practice.

    0%

    Ability to Capture Spending/Tourism Leakage

    from Colorado Residents

    - CO has several nationally recognized

    orthopaedic, and spinal/brain injury clinics

    - No adjustment

    0%

    Net New Factor 75.0%

    Percent out of State 30.0%

    Total Adjustment 22.5%

    Applicant's Net New Factor 100%

    Percent Out of State 30%

    Applicant's Total Adjustment 30.0%

    Source: Economic & Planning Systems

    H:\133023-Colorado Regional Tourism\Models\[133023-Program 11-18-2013.xlsx]UCCS Net New

    UCCS Sports Medicineand Performance Center

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    Table 30RTZ Tax Increment with UCCS Sports Medicine Center

    Description Factor 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 Base Year

    Annual SMPC Patients 0 0 12,500 25,000 30,000 35,000 40,000 40

    Out of State Patients 30% 0 0 3,750 7,500 9,000 10,500 12,000 1

    Accompanying Family/Friends 1.20 0 0 4,500 9,000 10,800 12,600 14,400 1

    Out of State Patients 0 0 8,250 16,500 19,800 23,100 26,400 2

    Total Visitor Days (OSV) 6.50 0 0 53,625 107,250 128,700 150,150 171,600 17

    In State Patients 70% 0 0 8,750 17,500 21,000 24,500 28,000 2

    Accompanying Family/Friends 1.20 0 0 10,500 21,000 25,200 29,400 33,600 3

    Total In State Visitors 0 0 19,250 38,500 46,200 53,900 61,600 6

    Day Visitor Days to RTZ 50.0% 0 0 9,625 19,250 23,100 26,950 30,800 3

    Visitors (Residents) from RTZ 50.0% 0 0 9,625 19,250 23,100 26,950 30,800 3

    Visitor Spending Potential ($000s) [1]

    OSV, Stay in RTZ (per trip) $72.67/day $0 $0 $4,135 $8,436 $10,326 $12,288 $14,324 $1

    Day Visitors to RTZ $29.11/day $0 $0 $297 $607 $742 $883 $1,030 $Spending Potential $0 $0 $4,433 $9,043 $11,068 $13,171 $15,354 $1

    Visitor Spending in RTZ

    OSV, Stay in RTZ (per trip) 90% $0 $0 $3,950 $8,219 $10,261 $12,454 $14,809 $1

    Day Visitors to RTZ 100% $0 $0 $316 $657 $820 $995 $1,183 $

    Spending Captured in RTZ $0 $0 $4,265 $8,875 $11,080 $13,449 $15,992 $1

    State Sales Tax Increment 2.9% $0.0 $0.0 $123.7 $257.4 $321.3 $390.0 $463.8 $

    Project Sales Tax Increment $0.0 $0.0 $123.7 $257.4 $321.3 $390.0 $463.8 $

    Natural Sales Tax Increment $0.0 $1,502.7 $3,028.0 $4,576.2 $6,147.6 $7,742.5 $9,361.4 $11,

    RTZ Increment wi th Sports Med. Pro jec t ($000s) $0.0 $1,502.7 $3,151.7 $4,833.6 $6,468.9 $8,132.6 $9,825.2 $11,

    [1] All spending figures include 2.0% annual inflation

    Source: Economic & Planning Systems

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    Table 31Eligible Tax Increment for UCCS Sports Medicine Center

    Descri