[cm2015] chapter 9 - land ice modeling

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Chapter 9 Land Ice, Climate, and Modeling Yonggang Liu William M. Connolley

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Page 1: [CM2015] Chapter 9 - Land Ice Modeling

Chapter 9Land Ice, Climate, and Modeling

Yonggang Liu

William M. Connolley

Page 2: [CM2015] Chapter 9 - Land Ice Modeling

Lisiecki and Raymo (2005, Paleoceanography)

Page 3: [CM2015] Chapter 9 - Land Ice Modeling

Petit et al. (1999, Nature)Figure by Robert A. Rohde

Page 4: [CM2015] Chapter 9 - Land Ice Modeling
Page 5: [CM2015] Chapter 9 - Land Ice Modeling

Land Ice Sheet Drew Tremendous Attention During the Past Decade

Paolo et al. (2015, Science) NOAA Arctic Report Card for 2013

Page 6: [CM2015] Chapter 9 - Land Ice Modeling

How Does Ice Sheet Affect the Climate?

Answer: mainly through albedo feedback

But sea level rise has a substantial impact on the human society

Page 7: [CM2015] Chapter 9 - Land Ice Modeling

What Property of the Ice Sheet Do We Care About the Most?

Answer: its mass or thickness

Where h is the thickness of ice sheet, A dot and B dot are the surface and basal mass balance, respectively, q = uh is the mass flux

Page 8: [CM2015] Chapter 9 - Land Ice Modeling

Surface and Basal Mass Balance

Winkelmann et al. (2012, Nature)

Page 9: [CM2015] Chapter 9 - Land Ice Modeling

Dynamics (to get mass flux q)

Deviatoric stress

Strain rate

Pressure

Constitutional relationship

where

Stokes’ Equations

What’s the difference from themomentum equation for theatmosphere and ocean

Page 10: [CM2015] Chapter 9 - Land Ice Modeling

T’ is a tensor, which makes the Stokes’ Equation hard to solve

Are all these components important for the ice sheet?

Page 11: [CM2015] Chapter 9 - Land Ice Modeling

http://mail.colonial.net/~hkaiter/Glaciers_Ice_Ages.html

Ice sheet is very thin compared to its horizontal scale; It is moving slowly

Page 12: [CM2015] Chapter 9 - Land Ice Modeling

Winkelmann et al. (2012, Nature)

Additionally, in most part of the ice sheet, vertical shear dominates the motion

Page 13: [CM2015] Chapter 9 - Land Ice Modeling

Shallow-Ice Approximation

Where s and b are surface and bottom elevation, respectively. C(T) is the basalsliding constant and B dot is the basal melting rate.

Then we get decoupled equations of u, v and w (Greve, 1995)

, andAssume

Note the temperature dependence

Page 14: [CM2015] Chapter 9 - Land Ice Modeling

Alpine Glacier (http://mail.colonial.net/~hkaiter/Glaciers_Ice_Ages.html)

Lateral friction is large, obviously cannot ignored

Other examples: fast flowing ice streams

Full Stokes’ Equation needs to be solved!

Page 15: [CM2015] Chapter 9 - Land Ice Modeling

Shallow-Shelf Approximation

Assume vertical shear is 0

Winkelmann et al. (2012, Nature)

The following equations result

Page 16: [CM2015] Chapter 9 - Land Ice Modeling

Thermal dynamics

What assumption has been made?

Boundary conditions

T = Ta

Q = Qb At the bottom

At the surface

The viscosity of ice is dependent on temperature, and frictional heating andgeothermal heating at the bottom of the ice sheet may cause melting there.These require that the temperature evolution of the ice sheet need to besolved.

Where

is the frictional heating

Page 17: [CM2015] Chapter 9 - Land Ice Modeling

MacAyeal (1997)

Page 18: [CM2015] Chapter 9 - Land Ice Modeling

Summary