clicks group limited - annual results for the year ......clicks group does not undertake to update...
TRANSCRIPT
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ANNUAL RESULTS FOR THE YEAR ENDED
31 AUGUST 2017
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2CLICKS GROUP ANNUAL RESULTS 2017
PRESENTATION OUTLINE
▪ Review of the year
▪ Financial results
▪ Trading performance
▪ Outlook
▪ Questions
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DAVID KNEALE
REVIEW OF THE YEAR
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4CLICKS GROUP ANNUAL RESULTS 2017
REVIEW OF THE YEAR
▪ Strong Clicks trading performance
▪ Continuing good volume growth
▪ Increased market shares across the board
▪ Opened 111 Clicks stores
▪ Good sales and profit performance from UPD
▪ R2 billion cash generated by operations
▪ Another record year of capital investment
▪ Additional shareholder value of R7.5 billion created
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MICHAEL FLEMING
FINANCIAL RESULTS
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6CLICKS GROUP ANNUAL RESULTS 2017
FINANCIAL HIGHLIGHTS
▪ Group turnover up 10.9%
▪ Health & Beauty turnover up 14.7%
▪ UPD turnover up 11.4%
▪ Operating margin up from 6.5% to 6.8%
▪ Diluted HEPS up 14.5% to 502.1 cps
▪ Cash generated by operations R2.0 billion
▪ Total dividend of 322 cps, up 18.4%
▪ 60% dividend payout ratio
▪ Return on equity of 44.1%
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7CLICKS GROUP ANNUAL RESULTS 2017
SUSTAINED FINANCIAL PERFORMANCE
* Based on HEPS ** Based on reinvestment of dividends paid and the closing share price
10-year
CAGRs
Diluted HEPS:
17.2%
Dividend per
share: 20.9%
Total
shareholder
return**: 28.9%
61
106125
168190
235
272
322
132
166
211
250273
298
337
384
439
502
84
152
46%50% 50% 50%
56% 56% 56%59% 59% 60%
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
Dividend per share (cents) Diluted HEPS (cents) Dividend payout ratio*
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8CLICKS GROUP ANNUAL RESULTS 2017
TURNOVER
R′m 2017 2016%
change
% same stores growth
%inflation
Retail 18 893 16 640 13.5 8.0 4.9
Health & Beauty 14.7
Musica (7.0)
Distribution 12 321 11 055 11.4 5.8
Intragroup turnover (4 405) (3 524) 25.0
Total group 26 809 24 171 10.9 5.3
▪ Good volume growth in health and beauty brands
▪ UPD benefited from two SEP increases
▪ Inflation in guided range of 5 - 6%
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9CLICKS GROUP ANNUAL RESULTS 2017
TOTAL INCOME
2017R′m
2016R′m
%change
2017% margin
2016% margin
Retail 6 335 5 604 13.0 33.5 33.7
Distribution 937 867 8.1 7.6 7.8
Intragroup (125) (103)
Total group 7 147 6 368 12.2 26.7 26.3
▪ Impact of stronger growth in pharmacy category
▪ Investment in every day competitive pricing in Retail
▪ Favourable mix impact on the group
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10CLICKS GROUP ANNUAL RESULTS 2017
OPERATING EXPENDITURE - RETAIL
▪ Investing in stores and pharmacies
▪ Comparable retail costs up 6.3%
R′m 2017 2016 % change
Depreciation and amortisation 252 223 12.9
Occupancy costs 793 680 16.7
Employment costs 2 612 2 319 12.6
Other operating costs 1 193 1 076 10.9
Total retail costs 4 850 4 298 12.8
% of turnover 25.7% 25.8%
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11CLICKS GROUP ANNUAL RESULTS 2017
OPERATING EXPENDITURE - DISTRIBUTION
R′m 2017 2016 % change
Depreciation and amortisation 31 29 6.0
Occupancy costs 3 4 (32.3)
Employment costs 234 232 0.9
Other operating costs 339 326 4.0
Total distribution costs 607 591 2.7
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12CLICKS GROUP ANNUAL RESULTS 2017
OPERATING PROFIT
2017R′m
2016R′m
%change
2017% margin
2016% margin
Retail 1 485 1 306 13.7 7.9 7.8
Distribution 330 276 19.6 2.7 2.5
Intragroup (1) (10)
Total group 1 814 1 572 15.4 6.8 6.5
▪ Musica profit R28m lower
▪ Both divisions benefiting from increased scale
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13CLICKS GROUP ANNUAL RESULTS 2017
INVENTORY
Days in stock Inventory (R′m)
2017 2016 2017 2016 % change
Retail 69 72 2 529 2 338 8.1
Distribution 38 40 1 267 1 181 7.3
Intragroup inventory (42) (40)
Total group 65 66 3 754 3 479 7.9
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14CLICKS GROUP ANNUAL RESULTS 2017
CASH MANAGEMENT
-2 040
(6) (31)
(472)
(518)
(677) (5)
331
Operating profit
before
working
capital
Working capital
movements
Net finance costs
Taxation Capex Dividends Other financing
and
investing activities
Net increase in cash
R'm
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15CLICKS GROUP ANNUAL RESULTS 2017
CAPITAL EXPENDITURE
▪ R680m capex planned for FY2018
▪ R300m on stores, including:
- 25 – 30 new Clicks stores
- 30 – 35 new pharmacies
- 60 store refurbishments
▪ R380m on infrastructure, including:
- Clicks Centurion DC expansion
- R74m for UPD
▪ Capex of R650m – R700m p.a. over the next three years
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16CLICKS GROUP ANNUAL RESULTS 2017
MEDIUM-TERM FINANCIAL TARGETS
Achieved
in FY2017
Medium-
term target
ROE (%) 44.1 50 – 60
ROA (%) 14.0 14 – 18
Inventory days 65 60 – 65
Group operating margin (%) 6.8 6.5 – 7.5*
Retail 7.9 7.5 – 8.5
Distribution 2.7 2.2 – 2.7*
Dividend payout ratio (%) 60 60 – 65
* Targets increased
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DAVID KNEALE
TRADING PERFORMANCE
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18CLICKS GROUP ANNUAL RESULTS 2017
HEALTH & BEAUTY SALES PERFORMANCE
% change % contribution
Pharmacy 25.7 29.9
Front shop health 13.7 22.9
Beauty and personal care 9.5 31.6
General merchandise 8.4 15.6
Total turnover 14.7 100.0
▪ Comparable stores turnover growth +8.6%
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1919CLICKS GROUP ANNUAL RESULTS 2017
REVIEW OF THE YEAR
▪ Expanding store network
▪ 622 Clicks stores with 473 pharmacies
▪ Only 57 SA stores still to get a pharmacy
▪ Strong performance in pharmacy & health
▪ Good winter for cold and flu
▪ Continued switch to generics +30.4%
▪ Repeat Prescription Service
▪ Promotional sales +24.1%
▪ 34.7% of turnover
▪ Continue to be price competitive
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2020CLICKS GROUP ANNUAL RESULTS 2017
REVIEW OF THE YEAR (CONTINUED)
▪ Continued investment in customer experience
▪ Private label maintained at 22% of sales
▪ Front shop at 28.5%
▪ Pharmacy at 6.1%
▪ 7.0 million active ClubCard members
▪ 77.4% of sales
▪ Enhanced digital capability
▪ Online platform well received
▪ Clicks app launched
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2121CLICKS GROUP ANNUAL RESULTS 2017
MARKET SHARES
* Per Quintiles IMS (Private Retail Pharmacy S1-6) ** Per AC Nielsen (restated) *** Per GfK (restated)
% Aug 2017 Aug 2016
Health
Retail pharmacy* 22.2 19.7
Front shop health** 29.7 29.0
Baby** 13.9 12.2
Beauty
Skincare** 28.3 27.3
Haircare** 27.2 25.7
General merchandise
Small household appliances*** 20.0 19.2
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22CLICKS GROUP ANNUAL RESULTS 2017
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2323CLICKS GROUP ANNUAL RESULTS 2017
PERFORMANCE
▪ Structural change exacerbated by weak release schedule in music and movies
▪ Musica remains profitable and cash generative
▪ Moving to consignment stock model
* Per Aquidneck / GfK (restated)
Turnover Market share*
% change % contribution Aug 2017 Aug 2016
Music (12.8) 39.1 77.6% 69.2%
Movies (7.9) 21.8 59.8% 52.3%
Gaming (4.3) 18.1 13.9% 15.0%
Technology 6.6 21.0
Total turnover (7.0) 100.0
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24CLICKS GROUP ANNUAL RESULTS 2017
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25CLICKS GROUP ANNUAL RESULTS 2017
FINE WHOLESALE TURNOVER
▪ Wholesale turnover up 12.1%
▪ Benefit of two SEP increases and core customer growth
▪ Wholesale market share 25.6%*
* MAT per IMS
52.2%29.8%
14.3%
3.7%
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26CLICKS GROUP ANNUAL RESULTS 2017
REVIEW OF THE YEAR
▪ Total managed turnover +8.8% to R16.5bn
▪ 20 distribution clients
▪ Ongoing margin pressure from product mix
▪ Generics increased from 47.2% to 49.1% of wholesale turnover
▪ Business continues to identify efficiency improvements
▪ Service levels further improved – over 96% order fulfillment
▪ Increasing capacity through DC expansion and reorganisation
▪ Additional 30% distribution space being created
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DAVID KNEALE
OUTLOOK
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28CLICKS GROUP ANNUAL RESULTS 2017
DRIVERS OF LONGER TERM GROWTH
▪ Favourable market dynamics
▪ Expansion of retail footprint
▪ Goal of 900 Clicks stores in South Africa
▪ 30% retail pharmacy market share goal
▪ Differentiated product offer
▪ Objective of 30% front shop private label and exclusive brands
▪ Leveraging customer loyalty
▪ Growing digital engagement
▪ Opportunity to add scale to UPD
▪ 30% wholesale market share goal
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29CLICKS GROUP ANNUAL RESULTS 2017
OUTLOOK FOR FY2018
▪ Consumer environment will remain challenging
▪ Selling price inflation to come down
▪ 2018 SEP increase likely to be much lower than 2017
▪ Health & beauty markets and business model are resilient
▪ Investment in stores, IT, supply chain and people to
enable growth
▪ Confident of the group’s ability to deliver on targets
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THANK YOU
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31CLICKS GROUP ANNUAL RESULTS 2017
DISCLAIMER
Clicks Group has acted in good faith and has made every reasonable effort to ensure the accuracy and completeness of the information contained in this presentation, including all information that may be defined as 'forward-looking statements' within the meaning of United States securities legislation.
Forward-looking statements may be identified by words such as 'believe', 'anticipate', 'expect', 'plan', 'estimate', 'intend', 'project', 'target', 'predict' and 'hope'.
Forward-looking statements are not statements of fact, but statements by the management of Clicks Group based on its current estimates, projections, expectations, beliefs and assumptions regarding the group's future performance.
No assurance can be given that forward-looking statements will prove to be correct and undue reliance should not be placed on such statements.
The risks and uncertainties inherent in the forward-looking statements contained in this presentation include, but are not limited to: changes to IFRS and the interpretations, applications and practices subject thereto as they apply to past, present and future periods; domestic business and market conditions; changes in the domestic regulatory and legislative environments; changes to domestic operational, social, economic and political risks; and the effects of both current and future litigation.
Clicks Group does not undertake to update any forward-looking statements contained in this presentation and does not assume responsibility for any loss or damage whatsoever and howsoever arising as a result of the reliance by any party thereon, including, but not limited to, loss of earnings, profits, or consequential loss or damage.