cities wri board_presentation_11_mar_2014
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WHY CITIES NOW?
(Photo: EMBARQ Turkey)
Looking back…
Mexico City BRT
National Transport Finance
National Urban Development Policy
National Transport Policy
1st BRT
International Finance
Public Space
Green Power GHG Accounting
HOW DID WE GET HERE?
MEXICO BRAZIL INDIA CHINA TURKEY
Low-Carbon Plan
172 staff in 9 offices in 6 countries
55 Cities of active engagement
$20 million annual funding
WHAT IS OUR CURRENT CAPACITY?
36 major outcomes
WHERE ARE WE TODAY?
Mexico team (2013) India team (2012)
WRI (Wash., DC)
Brazil
Turkey China
Legend: Proposed deep engagement WRI offices WRI has active projects or has had direct impact
0!
25!
50!
75!
100!
125!
150!
175!
0!
5!
10!
15!
20!
25!
1970! 1975! 1980! 1985! 1990! 1995! 2000! 2005! 2010!
Cum
ulat
ive
Num
ber o
f Citi
es!
New
Citi
es!
! Cities with BRT or busway systems
2010: Guangzhou!
2000: Bogotá (TransMilenio),
Colombia!
1974/1991*: Curitiba!
source: BRTdata.org, November 2013!
1972/2010*: Lima!
* Busway / BRT year commenced!
“GAME CHANGERS” – INFLUENCE AT SCALE
36 MAJOR OUTCOMES
Qingdao Low-Carbon City Plan (2012)
Mexico Urban Development Plan (2013) Chennai Rickshaws (2013)
Advice & Products
(commercial) • Consultants • Infrastructure
Providers
Finance • Private Banks • Development
Banks
Networks • City Networks • Associations
Research & Knowledge
• Universities & Thinkers
• Advisors
GLOBAL PLAYERS IN CITIES
Research & Knowledge
• Universities & Thinkers
• Advisors
Advice & Products
(commercial) • Consultants • Infrastructure
Providers
Networks • City Networks • Associations
Finance • Private Banks • Development
Banks
1. Global and Local
2. Independent
3. Evidence-based tools, advice, research
OUR VALUE PROPOSITION
Looking forward…
BRT Station
Naya Raipur, India
Light § Policy, finance, research, tool dissemination
200+ cities
Targeted: § 1-2 sectors § Focus on a best practice
30+ cities
Deep § Mexico City, Rio,
Bangalore, 1 in China § Multiple sectors § Long-term
4+ cities
CITY ENGAGEMENT
From Today To 2019 Emerging • Small portfolio of high-
impact plans & policy
Deepen • Plans & Zoning • City Scenarios • National Policy
WHAT WILL CHANGE?
Proven Approach • Game-changing pilots • Policy, finance, research
Enhance • Tool dissemination
One Mature Sector • Transport
Diversify & Integrate • Transport • Energy • Water • Governance & Adaptation
Early Success • GPC
City Watch • GPC ++ • AQUEDUCT • Mobility Watch
1. URBAN DEVELOPMENT
2. SECTORS
3. DIAGNOSTIC TOOLS
4. SCALING UP
1. URBAN DEVELOPMENT: THE CHALLENGE
This? Or this?
Source: Atlanta Axis database, Barcelona Regional Planning Office
pop. 2.8 million 162 sq. km
Barcelona
pop. 2.5 million 4,380 sq. km
Atlanta
National Housing Finance
Master Plans
Zoning Codes
Neighborhood Plans
1. URBAN DEVELOPMENT: OUR APPROACH
Today 2041Automobility Sustainable Transport
Population (millions) 5.4 13.2 13.2Trips (millions/yr) 5.6 39.75 39.75Area (Sq. Km.) 1330 6484 3242Emissions(million Tons CO2/yr) 0.33 12.32 1.97Traffic Fatalities (per yr) 175 5,232 1,225
1. URBAN DEVELOPMENT – EX. 1: SCENARIO TOOL
Ahmedabad, India: 1 city, 2 futures Today Year 2041
Sprawl Compact Population (M) 5.4 13.2
Area (sq. km) 1,330 6,484 3,242
CO2 (Mt/yr.) 0.3 12.3 2.0
Fatalities (per yr.) 175 5,232 1,225
Infrastructure ($bn 2014-2030)
20 7
vs.
1. URBAN DEVELOPMENT – EX. 2: COMPACT URBAN GROWTH
Bangalore, India
(Photo: EMBARQ Mexico)
2. SECTORS
DO Transport Integrated Transport
Transport Demand Management Mobility Plans & Policy
Climate & Energy
GHG Accoun?ng
Low Carbon Planning Distributed Clean Energy
Water Water Risk Management Water-‐Energy Policy Natural Infrastructure
2. SECTORS – EX. 1: AIR POLLUTION & ENERGY
(Photo: Reuters)
Beijing, China
MOU signature Beijing Municipal Commission of Transport
0.2 0.2 0.5 0.6 0.7
1.5
2.5 2.8 2.8 2.9
3.1 3.1 3.3 3.4
3.6
4.0 4.0 4.2
4.8
Many cities in China are withdrawing water at unsustainable rates
Ratio of total local water withdrawal over renewable freshwater supply When the ratio is greater than 1, it means that the city withdraws more water than it’s naturally given supply
2. SECTORS – EX. 2: WATER USAGE
unsustainable
1
2. SECTORS – EX. 2: WATER USAGE
Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei metro area, China
October 2011 Launched the GHGP City Project
Year 2 (2013): 60+ cities use the GPC to measure emissions
Year One (2012) Launched the GPC Pilot Version 1.0
Achieved landmark international consensus on city GHG measurement
200+ cities adopt the GPC
Year 3 (2014): Publish the GPC Final Version Convene 100 cities to adopt the GPC
Year 8 (2019): 3. DIAGNOSTIC TOOLS: GPC
3. DIAGNOSTIC TOOLS: AQUEDUCT
Year 8 (2019): 3. DIAGNOSTIC TOOLS: URBAN MOBILITY WATCH
Example: Accessibility to…
Education Health Leisure
in meters Mexico City
International Finance Research, Tools, & Convening
National Policy
4. SCALING UP
WHAT WILL CHANGE?
From Today
To 2019
Institutional Setup City Unit + EMBARQ Center for Sustainable Cities (Integrated Program)
Staff 172
280
Annual Funding $20 million
$33 million
Key Performance Indicators
5 KPIs Expanding
WHAT WILL CHANGE: INSTITUTIONAL SET-UP
Center for Sustainable Cities
Urban Water
EMBARQ – Transport – Urban Dev’t
Urban Energy
– Economics – Adaptation – Governance
Other WRI programs Cross-Cut Themes
NYC Liaison Office
WHAT WILL CHANGE: STAFF
Focus Area Today
2019 Estimate
Urban Development 41 90
Transport 90 105
Energy & Climate 30 40
Water 6 30
Governance & Adaptation 5 15
Total 172 * 280 *
* 80% located in-country
WHAT WILL CHANGE: FUNDING (2003-2019)
WHAT WILL CHANGE: BUILDING AND EXPANDING KPIs
Key Performance Indicators
People served Investment leveraged Travel time saved
$
Lives saved CO2 avoided Water-stress reduced NEW
280 staff In 9 offices in 6 countries
200 cities Influenced
30+ targeted | 4+ deep
$33 million Annual funding
2019 CAPACITY
35 Major new outcomes
QUESTIONS FOR WRI BOARD
Have we made a persuasive case for establishing the Center and expanding our work on cities? • Is the scope of our strategy and areas of core competencies sufficiently focused? • Have we articulated a clear and distinctive value proposition for WRI’s role in the field of sustainable cities?
• Do we have a clear and logical theory for scaling our impact?
• Have we developed a robust approach for defining performance metrics and measuring our results?