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© 2012 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Cisco Public 1Cisco Public 1© 2012 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved.
Peek into the Future
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Mobile Momentum
Metrics
Global Mobile Data Traffic Drivers
By 2016…
Source: Cisco Visual Networking Index (VNI) Global Mobile Data Traffic Forecast, 2011–2016
More Mobile Connections
More Mobile Users
Faster Mobile Speeds
More Mobile Video
2G 3G4G
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By 2016, nearly three-fourth’s (71%) of the world’s mobile data traffic will be video. Mobile video traffic will double every year between 2011 and 2016.
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Source: Cisco Visual Networking Index (VNI) Global Mobile Data Traffic Forecast, 2011–2016
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By 2016, 60 percent of mobile users (3 billion people) will belong to the Gigabyte Club, generating more than one gigabyte of mobile data traffic per month.
In 2011, 0.5 percent of mobile users belonged to the Gigabyte Club.
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Source: Cisco Visual Networking Index (VNI) Global Mobile Data Traffic Forecast, 2011–2016
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Mobile Network Speeds to Increase 9-fold by 2016 The Average Mobile Connection Speed (315 kbps in 2011) will Grow at a 56% CAGR, Exceeding 2.8 Mbps in 2016
(kbps) 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 CAGR 2011-2016
Global
Global Speed – Avg. Mobile Connection 315 504 792 1,236 1,908 2,873 56%
Global Speed – Avg. Smartphone Connection 1,344 1,829 2,425 3,166 4,102 5,244 31%
By Region
Middle East & Africa 89 206 434 850 1,555 2,618 97%
Central & Eastern Europe 205 396 739 1,316 2,228 3,476 76%
Latin America 125 227 396 673 1,082 1,627 67%
Western Europe 667 1,196 1,967 2,960 4,163 5,549 53%
Asia-Pacific 337 497 732 1,101 1,697 2,608 51%
North America 1,138 1,712 2,485 3,531 4,923 6,785 43%
Source: Cisco Global Internet Speed Test (GIST) results and other independent speed test findings
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2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 20160
2,000,000,000
4,000,000,000
6,000,000,000
8,000,000,000
10,000,000,000
12,000,000,000
14,000,000,000
16,000,000,000Offload Traffic from Mobile Devices
Cellular Traffic from Mobile Devices
Exa
byt
es p
er M
on
th
Global Mobile Data Traffic Offload22% of Mobile Traffic to be Offloaded in 201611% of Mobile Traffic Offloaded in 2011
22%
78%
Source: Cisco Visual Networking Index (VNI) Global Mobile Data Traffic Forecast, 2011–2016
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Covers in most of the places where we are.
Source: Cisco IBSG Connected Life Market Watch, 2011
Location of Mobile Usagepercentage of total time spend in activity
Mobile Internet Mobile Video
42%49%
17%14%
20%21%
20% 16%
Office
In-transit
Home
Other Indoor Location
80% Internet
84% Video
Base: Respondents engaged in activity
WiFi Addressable
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What are the Service Providers looking for
New revenues
Generate new revenue streams via innovative wireless services
Reduce churn
Increase customer loyalty & stickiness offering a complementary service
High-speed access
Provide higher speeds for smartphone users cost-effectively
Brand enhancement
Associate service provider brand with innovation & consumer experience
3G-like experience
Extend the mobile service in a transparent manner
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News Room
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The Latest in Trends
Integrated Small Cell Solution
Next Gen Hotspot (HS 2.0)Community
WiFi
• 3G+LTE+WiFi Radio
• Integrated packet core for macro radio, Wi-Fi and Femto
• Common subscriber mgmt/policy/authentication for seamless service integration
• Seamless roaming and secure authentication between operators
• Solution available to software upgrade majority of 12M Cisco Access points
• Validated as 1st HotSpot 2.0 solution by WBA
• Infrastructure owned by 1 Operator with a shared SSID
• Residential and HD
• Crowdsourced WiFi: Share a little WiFi at home and enjoy access to millions of hotspot everywhere
Cisco has 65% Market Share in Global WiFi Deployments
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Service Provider Wi-Fi SolutionFour Pillars
Key SP Wi-Fi Requirements
Mobility, Carrier-Grade, Scalability, Security
Cisco Solution Pillars
Intelligent Radio
Unified Architecture
Seamless Experience
Converged Core
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Cisco SP Wi-Fi: Global Customers
• 65%+ market share in Wi-Fi
• Nearly 12 million APs deployed
• Nearly 700 engineering resources focused on Wi-Fi
• Over 200 Service Provider customers worldwide
• Business models: Hotspot, venue, off-load, customer retention and service extension
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Cisco SP Wi-Fi: Case Studies
• Over 100,000 Cisco APs
• Wholesale off-load
• Over 25,000 Cisco APs
• Indoor + Outdoor + Venue mix
• Complete Cisco Solution
• Over 80,000 Cisco APs
• Retail Hotspots Starbucks McDonalds
• 3G Off-load
• Stadiums
• In-flight Wi-Fi access service
• Same service is customized for each airline
• Complete Cisco solution
• Over 25,000 Cisco Aps
• Over 10,000 locations
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Next Generation Hotspot Roam, Authenticate, Monetize
SEAMLESSSimplifies network
discovery and selection for
seamless cellular data offload
SECUREExtends existing
SIM-based authentication
techniques over encrypted Wi-Fi
RELIABLECarrier-class
solution
PROFITABLEEnables location-based and value-added services
802.1x , EAP-SIMAuto SIM credentials
Encrypted Wi-Fi Link
802.11i
1
802.11u
2 3 4
Mobile “concierge” serviceMobile Service Advertisement Protocol
(MSAP)
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History of SP Wi-Fi Authentication
802.11AppleAirport
WebAuth
WISPr1.0
AppleiPhone
WISPr2.0 HS2.0
1997 1999 2003 2007 2010 2011
TRUSTED WI-FI NETWORK
802.1x/802.11i 3G Offload
EAP-FASTEAP-SIMEAP-TLS
802.1x902.11i
UNTRUSTED WI-FI NETWORKWeb-Based Auth/No EncryptionMostly Hotspot Side Business
UsernamePassword
UsernamePassword
UsernamePasswordEAP-SIM
Portal Page
AutoPortal Page
AutoPortal Page
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Hotspot 2.0 Technology Creates a 3G-Like Experience
Automatic network selection
Transparent authentication
Secured air interface
Security: rogue prevention
Transparent roaming
Full mobility & portability
MCC MNC
EAP-SIM/AKA
A5
A3/A8
802.11u
EAP-SIM/AKA
802.1x
802.1x
802.11u
Hotspot today Hotspot 2.0
Hotspot 2.0 and Service Provider WiFi:Same transparent experience as the mobile network ...
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Example: Automatically Connect to Movistar Wi-Fi When Available*
* Starting from the 2nd access and initial device registration; User oriented to leave Wi-Fi on;
User steps into Movistar Wi-Fi service area1 Network automatically
detects & authenticates device (no user intervention)2 3 User is now
connected to the Internet over Wi-Fi