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    China's Military Industrial Complex: Its Approach to the Acquisition of Modern MilitaryTechnologyAuthor(s): Joseph P. GallagherSource: Asian Survey, Vol. 27, No. 9 (Sep., 1987), pp. 991-1002Published by: University of California PressStable URL: http://www.jstor.org/stable/2644649.

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    CHINA'S

    MILITARY

    NDUSTRIAL

    COMPLEX

    Its Approach to the Acquisition of

    Modern Military Technology

    Joseph

    P.

    Gallagher

    China has

    begun

    a

    new attempt

    at

    military moderniza-

    tion. The latest movement to strengthen the Chinese military, articulated

    by

    Zhou Enlai in

    the early

    1970s as a

    key element of the

    Four

    Moderniza-

    tions, took

    on

    a new impetus after the 1979 Sino-Vietnamese conflict. This

    was the first

    major battle the People's Liberation Army (PLA)

    had

    partici-

    pated

    in

    since the conflict with India in 1962, and it convinced China's

    leadership that more than ideology was needed to defend China'sinterests.

    Although China's incursion into Vietnam achieved the political goal of

    diverting

    Vietnam's attention from

    Kampuchea to the Sino-Vietnamese

    border,

    it also

    demonstrated the many weaknesses that had evolved

    from

    ignoring the needs of the military during the Cultural Revolution. As a

    result Deng Xioaping, addressing the PLA in September 1981,

    called on

    the

    Chinese

    military

    to build

    a

    powerful, modern,

    and

    regularized

    revolu-

    tionary armed force and, on the basis of our steadily expandingeconomy,

    [to] improve the army's weapons

    and

    equipment and speed up

    the

    modern-

    ization of

    our

    national defense. ' Significantly, Deng used

    the term mod-

    ernization to

    mean the

    upgrading

    of

    weapons

    and

    equipment.

    This narrow

    Chinese

    usage

    of

    the term military modernization will be used

    in this arti-

    cle;

    it

    does not

    encompass

    other movements such

    as reform

    and

    regulariza-

    tion of

    the military.

    Major Joseph

    P.

    Gallagher

    is

    a China

    foreign

    area officer

    in the

    United States

    Army.

    He

    was Assistant

    Army

    Attache

    in

    Beijing

    in

    1984-1986

    and

    presently

    is

    assigned to Army Staff Headquarters, Washington, D.C. The views expressed are the

    author's and do not necessarily reflect those of the Department of Defense.

    ?

    1987

    by

    The

    Regents

    of the

    University

    of

    California

    1.

    Deng

    Xiaoping, The

    Selected Works of

    Deng Xiaoping

    (Beijing: Foreign

    Language

    Press, 1984), p. 373.

    991

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    992 ASIAN

    SURVEY,

    VOL.

    XXVII,NO. 9, SEPTEMBER 987

    Since coming

    to

    power

    in

    1949,

    the

    Chinese Communists

    have done

    much to lay the basis

    for

    modernizing

    their

    military. Of particular note

    has been the establishment of

    China's

    military-industrial

    complex,

    a vast

    system of defense industries and military organizations dedicated to the

    production of

    military equipment. It is this

    complex that

    directs Beijing's

    seemingly

    cohesive

    approach

    to the

    acquisition

    of

    military technology.

    However, an examination of China's

    military-industrial

    complex reveals

    that

    it

    is ill-suited to the task of

    absorbing modern

    military technology.

    Unless China's defense sector

    changes

    its

    organization and

    approach to the

    acquisition

    of

    technology,

    China

    may

    once

    again

    fail

    to

    modernize

    its mili-

    tary.

    The basic problem centers on the relationshipof tactics and technology

    and the issue of which of

    these two factors

    should drive China's

    search

    for

    modern weapon

    systems. Put

    in

    other

    words, the question

    is, who deter-

    mines

    the

    direction

    of

    China's quest

    for

    modern military

    technology, its

    soldiers or its

    technicians?

    To

    answer

    this

    question,

    I

    will

    examine four

    factors: the

    organization of

    China's

    defense sector, the

    process for acquir-

    ing military

    technology,

    China's

    present

    modernization

    policy, and

    the

    lack of a force

    development

    concept.

    An analysis of the first three factors demonstrates that technicians are

    controlling

    China's

    acquisition

    of modern

    military

    technology,

    and the

    fourth

    factor-creation

    of

    a

    cohesive

    force development concept-is

    thereby being

    inhibited.

    Force

    development

    planning,

    a critical

    element

    in

    the

    acquisition

    of

    highly sophisticated

    military

    technology,

    insures that

    weapons

    are

    designed

    and

    produced

    which

    can be

    operated, maintained,

    and

    supplied

    by existing military

    units. Without

    such

    a

    concept China

    may

    be

    acquiring military

    technology

    that

    will

    produce weapon systems

    the PLA is ill-equipped to support and use. As a result, an expensively

    E

    acquired

    military technology

    could well

    have little

    significant

    effect

    on the

    PLA's

    ability

    to

    defend China

    and,

    in

    the

    long term,

    cause

    China's leader-

    ship

    to

    conclude, incorrectly,

    that

    self-reliance

    is less

    expensive and just

    as

    effective as

    acquiring foreign

    technology.

    Organization

    of

    the Defense

    Sector

    China's

    military-industrial

    complex

    has

    three distinct elements-the Peo-

    ple's Liberation Army, the defense industries, and the organization that

    links

    the first

    two,

    the

    National Defense Science Technology

    and Industry

    Commission

    (NDSTIC).

    The

    PLA

    is the

    ultimate end-user

    of

    the

    defense

    industries'

    products.

    At

    the

    highest

    level

    the

    PLA

    is

    divided

    into

    three

    coequal

    departments,

    the

    General

    Political

    Department

    (GPD),

    the Gen-

    eral Staff

    Department

    (GSD),

    and

    the

    General

    Logistics

    Department

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    JOSEPH

    P.

    GALLAGHER 993

    (GLD).

    The

    GPD, which is responsible

    for

    propaganda,

    ideological work,

    and personnel management, is not directly involved

    in the procurement of

    defense equipment.

    The

    GSD, the staff

    that

    directs

    the operational forces,

    is responsible for the coordinated purchase of materials for the PLA. The

    GLD

    is

    responsible

    for

    the storage, disbursement,

    maintenance, and

    transportation of military material, 2

    and it also

    manages

    a number

    of fac-

    tories

    that are

    identified

    as

    numbered

    PLA

    factories. These

    factories,

    which

    are not

    involved

    in

    the

    production

    of

    major weapon systems, mainly

    produce quartermastergoods (clothing, food, etc.) and repair parts. The

    establishment of these factories stems from the PLA's historic reliance on

    self-sufficiency. During the 1930s and 1940s, the

    PLA

    produced many of

    its quartermastergoods and relied on captured weapons to bolster its fight-

    ing capabilities.

    After coming to power

    in

    1949, the Chinese government

    began restoring

    captured

    defense factories and

    it

    established machine building industries.3

    Significantly, these

    industries

    were not placed under

    the control of the

    PLA but

    rather were responsive to the State Council. These machine

    building industries have evolved into six ministries that make up the pro-

    duction element of the defense

    sector

    and are known collectively

    as

    the

    defense industrial ministries. The six are the Ministry of Nuclear Indus-

    try,

    which

    produces

    nuclear

    weapons; the Ministry

    of Aviation

    Industry,

    which produces aircraft;

    the

    Ministry of

    Electronics Industry, which pro-

    duces electronics

    systems;

    the

    Ministry

    of

    Ordnance Industry, which pro-

    duces munitions and

    armaments;

    the China

    State

    Shipbuilding

    Corporation,

    which

    produces ships; and

    the

    Ministry of Space (Astronau-

    tics) Industry,

    which

    produces

    ballistic

    missiles and

    space systems.

    The term defense industrial ministry is misleading,

    since

    these minis-

    tries

    also

    produce goods

    for the

    civilian

    sector. For

    example,

    a

    major

    cus-

    tomer

    of

    the

    Ministry

    of Aviation is China's civil

    airline,

    CAAC.

    In

    the

    past, many factories

    of the defense

    industrial

    ministries, particularly

    those

    in

    the

    Ministry

    of Ordnance

    Industry, produced

    only defense goods.

    But

    because

    of

    the

    present emphasis

    on

    combining

    military

    and civilian ef-

    forts, 4 many

    of

    these factories are

    now

    using

    otherwise-idle

    production

    lines

    to

    make

    goods such

    as

    fans, bicycles, mopeds,

    etc.

    For

    example,

    one

    such Ordnance

    Industry factory

    has

    changed

    sole

    production

    of

    products

    for

    military

    use into simultaneous

    production

    of

    products

    for

    both

    military

    2.

    The

    Organization of China's Defense

    System,

    China

    Tech, June, 10, 1985,

    p.

    1.

    3. Ibid.

    4.

    Sun

    Lin,

    Shanghai Transfers Military

    Technology to Civilian

    Sector,

    Jiefang

    Ribao,

    February

    1,

    1986, p.1,

    in Joint Publications

    Research Service

    (JPRS),

    China

    Report,

    no.

    31,

    April

    21, 1986,

    p. 55.

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    994

    ASIAN SURVEY,

    VOL.

    XXVII,

    NO.

    9,

    SEPTEMBER 987

    and civilian

    use. 5

    This movement

    to make the defense sector serve the

    civil sector does

    not

    indicate a shift of

    priorities

    or

    a

    movement

    away

    from

    the PLA, but

    is

    merely

    a more efficient use of the defense

    sector.

    These two elements of the defense sector-the PLA and the defense in-

    dustrial

    ministries-are

    supervised by separate

    organizations.

    The PLA

    is

    led by the

    Central Military

    Commission and

    the

    ministries

    are

    supervised

    by the State

    Council.6 The

    link between the two

    is

    the Minister of

    Na-

    tional Defense, a

    member

    of both bodies. He serves as

    a

    coequal

    member

    in

    the

    Central Military Commission

    with

    senior PLA

    leaders,

    including

    the heads

    of each of

    the

    three

    PLA

    Departments,

    and

    as

    a

    fellow minister

    with the chiefs

    of the defense industrial

    ministries

    in

    the State Council.7

    He has no direct control over either the ministries or the PLA, but serves

    as

    a

    link

    between

    them. To assist

    him in this

    capacity

    is the

    NDSTIC,

    the

    third element

    in

    the defense

    complex,

    over

    which

    he has direct

    supervisory

    control.

    The NDSTIC, which

    as a state commission

    is

    responsive

    to the

    State

    Council and as

    a

    military organization

    is

    led

    by

    the Central

    Military

    Com-

    mission,

    is

    theoretically

    a

    neutral arbiter between the

    PLA

    and the defense

    industrial ministries.

    The members

    of

    the NDSTIC are uniformed officers

    of the PLA, a status that gives them the appearanceof alignment with the

    operational

    forces.

    In

    reality, they

    tend to

    represent

    the

    ministries' views

    more than those of the

    PLA, as these officers are lifelong technicians with

    little or no military operational experience,

    who in their careers often

    move between

    NDSTIC and the defense industrial ministries. Three strik-

    ing examples are Xie

    Guang, a vice

    minister

    of

    NDSTIC, who was a mem-

    ber of

    the

    Ministry of Aviation

    before

    joining

    the

    commission;

    the

    present

    Minister of Ordnance Industries, Zhou Jiahua,

    who was

    a

    former vice

    min-

    ister of NDSTIC; and

    Wu Shaozu, the political commissar of NDSTIC,

    who

    previously

    worked

    in

    the

    Ministry

    of

    Nuclear

    Industry.8

    Staffing

    NDSTIC

    with

    technicians

    in

    uniform

    may appear

    to be the most efficient

    method

    of

    controlling

    the military-industrial complex,

    but it inhibits the

    PLA from developing a comprehensive force

    development concept.

    A recent evolution

    in

    the

    organization

    of

    China's

    defense sector has

    been the

    creation

    of

    commercial companies that represent the

    PLA,

    NDSTIC,

    and

    the

    defense

    industrial ministries. As

    China

    instituted its

    5. Ordnance Ministry,

    Heilongjiang

    Sign Cooperation Agreement,

    Heilongjiang

    Provin-

    cial Service (Harbin), January 7, 1986,

    in

    JPRS, China Report, no. 25, March 12, 1986, p.

    46.

    6. The Organization

    of

    China's Defense System, p.1-2.

    7. PLA Restructuring and Leadership Reshuffle,

    China Tech 1, July 10, 1985, pp.2-3.

    8. Meetings and

    interviews with

    Wu

    Shaozu, Xie

    Guang,

    and

    Zhou Jiahua

    in

    Beijing,

    1985-1986.

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    JOSEPH

    P.

    GALLAGHER

    995

    open

    door policy, each

    element of the defense sector recognized the advan-

    tage of

    establishing

    commercial entities to deal with foreigners.

    These

    companies offer a familiar

    setting for officials of

    foreign companies who

    are

    uncomfortable dealing with major governmental bureaucracies, and they

    establish a convenient

    front for the Chinese,

    keeping foreigners away from

    the

    power center of each

    ministry. These commercial companies,

    outlined

    in

    Figure 1, are subofficesof

    the bureaucracythey represent.9 As such,

    the

    relationship and interests of

    these companies are a

    reflection of the inter-

    ests

    of

    their

    parent organizations.

    Poly Technologies' major

    business

    is

    purchasing major end items of

    equipment for the

    GSD; Xinxing purchases

    or sells

    quartermaster parts

    produced

    in

    the

    GLD's factories; and

    NORINCO does an import/export business for the Ministry of Ordnance

    Industry.

    The

    organizational key

    to

    the military-industrial

    complex

    is

    held by

    the

    Minister of

    National Defense, who is

    in

    a position to

    integrate the

    various

    views

    of

    the three

    elements

    of

    the defense sector to insure that the PLA's

    requirements

    are

    being satisfied. Such an office requires

    a person with ex-

    tensive

    military experience

    since the

    organizational alliance of NDSTIC

    and

    the

    defense industrial ministries tends to favor

    the latter's viewpoints.

    In fact, the procedures by which military technology is acquiredreinforce

    this

    tendency.

    The

    AcquisitionProcess

    The

    preceding organizational overview demonstrates that China does

    not

    have a monolithic defense

    sector. Since the

    PLA

    does not have direct con-

    trol over

    the major defense

    industries,

    it must

    pass

    its

    production require-

    ments

    on

    to them

    through

    the NDSTIC. The

    requirements

    for

    defense

    equipment are formulated within an office of the PLA's General Staff De-

    partment,

    the

    Equipment

    Bureau.

    The

    Equipment

    Bureau acts

    as the

    pur-

    chaser

    of

    major

    defense items

    for the

    PLA,

    collating

    and

    prioritizing

    all

    the

    requirements

    of

    PLA

    subordinate

    organizations.

    Once the

    defense in-

    dustries

    produce

    and deliver the

    required items,

    the

    Equipment

    Bureau

    assigns

    the GLD the task of

    accounting

    for

    and

    supplying

    these items to

    subordinate units.

    9. Sze A-lan and Zhang Si-wei, High Technology Acquisition

    Procedures in the People's

    Republic of China (Hong Kong: Conmilit Press, 1985). This

    information also appeared n an

    article by G.

    G.

    Connor, Defence Procurement Procedures

    in the People's Republic of

    China. Jane's Defence Weekly, August 3, 1985, p. 219 (Conmilit is a Hong Kong-based

    organization with ties to NDSTIC. Through its publications, primarily

    China

    Tech,

    Conmilit

    provides information on China's defense acquisition procedures.)

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    JOSEPHP.

    GALLAGHER 997

    When a dispute arises between the PLA and the defense industrial min-

    istries over issues such as the type of weapon to be produced, the price of

    equipment,

    or

    the necessity of meeting a production quota, NDSTIC re-

    solves the problem. However, since the members of NDSTIC are mainly

    technicians who are

    unfamiliar with the demands of the operating forces,

    they

    tend to be

    sympathetic

    with

    the

    ministries'

    arguments. One

    PLA Air

    Force officer explained that NDSTIC's close relationship with the defense

    industries accords

    with

    China's national policy

    of

    modernizing the indus-

    trial sector first. The

    officer fully expected that

    the NDSTIC

    would favor

    the industries'

    viewpoint

    in

    disputes between

    the Air

    Force and

    the

    indus-

    tries,

    but

    in

    any conflict with a customer outside the defense sector,

    NDSTIC would always argue for defense needs. He went on to explain

    that

    in

    a dispute between the Air Force and the Ministry of Aviation

    In-

    dustry

    over

    delivery

    dates

    or

    prices

    of

    aircraft,

    NDSTIC

    probably would

    defend the

    Ministry

    of Aviation's

    arguments. However,

    in

    a conflict

    over

    production quotas of aircraft

    for

    the

    PLA Air

    Force or CAAC, the

    NDSTIC

    would

    argue

    for the Air

    Force.'0

    In

    acquiring new technology

    from

    abroad, a

    difference exists

    between

    the interests of the PLA

    and the defense

    industries. The

    Equipment

    Bu-

    reau of the PLA is primarily concerned with purchasing end items of

    equipment

    for direct

    military

    use.

    For

    example,

    in

    1984

    it

    purchased

    24

    Blackhawk

    helicopters

    from

    Sikorsky.

    In

    contrast,

    the defense industries

    are interested in

    purchasing technology.

    Economic

    constraints and an em-

    phasis

    on

    self-reliance favor

    their

    position.

    As

    stated by

    Minister of Na-

    tional Defense

    Zhang Aiping, introducing

    advanced

    foreign technology

    is

    not

    just

    our

    purpose

    but

    is

    a means

    to

    improve

    our

    technological

    level and

    production capacity. Our purpose is to improve our ability to carry out

    self-reliance.

    Clearly Zhang Aiping

    believes that the

    process

    for

    acquiring technology

    should be driven

    by

    the needs of the defense industries.

    Accordingly,

    the

    majority

    of the commercial

    companies

    involved

    in

    the process

    of

    acquiring

    technology

    are associated with the defense industries.

    As

    shown

    in

    Figure

    1,

    the

    production element of

    the

    defense

    sector

    is represented by

    nine

    dif-

    ferent

    commercial

    companies, counting

    the two

    NDSTIC

    companies.

    The

    only organization

    that

    represents

    the PLA

    in

    gathering

    information about

    new weapon systems is Poly Technologies. The method

    of

    acquiring

    infor-

    10. PLA Air Force officer assigned to the Science and Technology Section of

    Air

    Force

    headquarters. Interview in Beijing, July 1985.

    11. Zhang Aiping, Strengthen Leadership and Do a Better Job

    in

    Importing Technol-

    ogy, Red Flag, no. 24, December 16, 1985, pp. 4-9, in JPRS, China Report, no. 3,

    February

    5, 1986, p. 7.

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    998 ASIAN SURVEY,VOL.

    XXVII,

    NO.

    9,

    SEPTEMBER

    987

    mation is

    important

    since the PLA and the defense industrial

    ministries

    have different reasons for

    acquiring military

    technology.

    The

    ministries

    tend to seek out

    technology that will

    directly

    affect indus-

    trial modernizationand help them compete in the international arms mar-

    ket. A

    prime example was the

    announcement

    that

    the

    Ministry

    of

    Ordnance

    Industries, through

    NORINCO,

    had

    signed

    an

    agreement

    with

    Vickers

    to produce an armored vehicle for

    export, a vehicle the PLA

    had

    not

    yet decided

    to

    purchase.'2

    The PLA's

    ability

    to

    influence the process

    is

    limited since

    it is

    a captive customer of

    a state-run

    socialist system, un-

    able to turn to

    an

    alternate market. On the

    other

    hand,

    the

    defense

    indus-

    trial ministries

    are

    concerned

    with

    the desires of

    international customers

    whose foreign currency is worth more than the local currency of the PLA.

    As a

    result, the defense

    industries

    and

    the

    PLA

    may

    not

    agree on the

    type

    of

    technology that

    must

    be

    purchased.

    In

    addition, the defense

    industries are much

    better equipped to

    argue for

    their

    priorities

    than the PLA.

    The

    experts

    on

    technology work

    for the

    defense industrial ministries. The

    Ministry

    of

    Ordnance Industry

    alone

    has

    more than

    350

    engineers working

    in 10

    research

    institutes whose

    pri-

    mary task is

    to research

    technological requirements

    for

    their mission ar-

    eas.

    13

    The officers of the PLA may know about the operational

    parameters

    of new

    weapon

    systems,

    but

    they

    are not

    qualified to debate

    the

    technical minutia

    of

    design and construction. This

    handicap is critical in

    discussions

    among

    the defense industrial

    ministries,

    the

    PLA, and the

    ND-

    STIC on

    which

    technology

    is

    to

    be

    purchased,

    particularly

    since national

    policy reinforces

    the ministries'

    viewpoints.

    National Policy

    The defense industrialministries argue their positions for the purchase of a

    particular technology

    confident that

    national

    policy supports them.

    China's de

    facto

    leader,

    Deng Xiaoping,

    articulated the

    national

    policy

    when

    he

    said

    defense

    modernization can be

    achieved

    only

    when it is

    based

    on the

    development

    of the

    country's

    industry

    and

    agriculture

    as

    a

    whole. 14

    To

    PLA

    Chief

    of Staff

    Yang Dezhi,

    this meant that

    the

    PLA

    should

    rely

    on

    the

    development

    of the

    national

    economy and science and

    12.

    NORINCO Vickers Joint

    Venture Product

    in

    JPRS,

    China

    Report,

    no. 38, May 14,

    1986, p. 56.

    13. The

    Military Budget System in the

    PRC, China

    Tech,

    no.

    1, June

    10, 1985, p. 2.

    14.

    Quoted in Yang

    Dezhi,

    A

    Strategic Decision on

    Strengthening the

    Building of our

    Army in the

    New Period,

    Red Flag, August 1, 1985,

    pp.3-7,

    in

    JPRS, China

    Report, no. 20,

    September 17, 1985, p. 4.

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    JOSEPH

    P. GALLAGHER 999

    technology to change the backwardness of our weaponry.

    5

    The

    defense

    industrial ministries, therefore, can argue that the technology they wish to

    purchase will upgrade their industries and directly assist economic mod-

    ernization. This is an argument that the Equipment Bureau will find diffi-

    cult to refute

    if

    it wishes to

    press

    for the

    purchase

    of a different

    technology.

    The present national policy that favors economic construction over de-

    fense

    modernization ensures that

    a minimum of state funds is

    spent

    on

    defense modernization. Yang

    Dezhi

    willingly

    admits

    that

    China's econ-

    omy

    is still

    relatively

    backward

    .

    .

    .

    [and

    the

    state]

    is not

    in

    a

    position

    to

    put

    more

    money into

    the

    development

    of

    national defense. However,

    he

    goes

    on to

    argue that

    China

    should spend

    more

    money

    on

    the develop-

    ment of urgently needed weapons. The chief of staff proposed that the

    funds

    for

    the

    development

    of

    weapons

    be

    obtained

    by cutting

    the number

    of

    our

    soldiers, eliminating

    obsolete and backward

    equipment, reducing

    expenses

    for

    food, clothing, and daily expenses

    of

    personnel

    as

    well

    as

    for

    the maintenance of

    equipment. 16

    Fan

    Gongsong,

    a PLA

    official, stated

    the same

    argument, only

    in more

    specific terms

    than

    his

    chief

    of

    staff. Fan

    wrote that

    present

    defense

    spending

    is

    equivalent

    to a

    military per capita

    expenditure

    of

    4,000 yuan (approximately US$1,300).

    He

    argued

    that this

    per capita expenditure should be increased, not by increasing overall de-

    fense spending, but by reducing the size of the PLA. He stated that if

    funds saved

    through troop

    reductions were used

    in

    our national economic

    building, [it] would

    be

    extremely beneficial to quickening

    the

    implementa-

    tion of our four

    modernizations.

    7

    In effect,

    Fan

    is arguing that

    the PLA

    make

    do with less operational funds

    in

    order that more defense

    funds

    can

    be furnished to the defense industrial ministries.

    Force Development

    Because of the factors

    just described,

    the

    PLA

    enters

    negotiations

    with the

    defense industrial ministries and NDSTIC

    at a

    serious

    disadvantage.

    NDSTIC's inclination to be

    sympathetic

    with the defense industries'

    posi-

    tion

    is

    reinforced

    by

    national

    policy

    and

    the industries'

    superior knowledge

    of the

    technology

    under discussion.

    As a

    result,

    NDSTIC will favor

    purchasing technology sought by

    the defense industries.

    Consequently,

    defense

    industry priorities

    drive the

    quest

    for modern

    military technology,

    a fact

    that inhibits the creation of a force

    development plan.

    15.

    Ibid.

    16.

    Ibid.

    17. Fan

    Gongsong, The National Defense

    Population Ratio and Military Streamlining,

    Shehui Kexue, no.

    8, August 15, 1985, pp. 49-52,

    in

    JPRS, China Report, no. 112,

    November

    4, 1986, p.

    52.

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    1000 ASIAN SURVEY,VOL.XXVII, NO. 9, SEPTEMBER 987

    A cohesive force development plan requires close coordination between

    operating units

    and

    industry.

    Detailed

    requirements

    need to be formulated

    by the operators, requirements that

    take into account the level of educa-

    tion of the soldiers who will use the weapon, the type of organization that

    will field the weapon, and the

    unit's

    capability

    to maintain

    and support

    the

    weapon.

    The

    existence

    of a

    force

    development concept requires operators

    who have an

    understanding

    of

    technological capabilities

    and

    limitations,

    and technicians who understand

    the

    operator's environment and require-

    ments. The lack of such

    a

    concept

    is

    not noticeable when introducing sim-

    ple weapons such as

    a

    new bayonet, but force development

    is

    critical

    to

    the

    successful fielding

    of

    a

    sophisticated weapon,

    such

    as a missile.

    Without

    such a concept weapons can be produced that are of little value once they

    are supplied to units

    in

    the

    field.

    There is little indication that such

    a

    concept exists

    in

    China's

    military-industrial complex.

    In more than

    30

    presentations by,

    and

    discussions

    with Western

    defense

    firms held

    in

    Beijing

    in

    1984-86, which

    I

    attended, the operational forces

    and the GSD were

    represented by

    less

    than

    5%

    of

    the Chinese

    present.

    Over

    95%

    of

    those

    who

    attended

    were from the defense industries and

    NDSTIC. The Chinese demonstrated little interest

    in

    the briefingson op-

    erational reasons for developing the weapon systems, but asked many

    knowledgeable questions on the technical aspects of the systems. When

    reminded that discussions of supportability and training were essential to

    successful

    transfer

    of a

    military technology,

    the Chinese either

    ignored the

    remarks or answered that such aspects would be considered only after pro-

    duction was

    successfully

    started.

    Since

    1984,

    NDSTIC has

    been

    negotiating

    with the U.S.

    Department

    of

    Defense for the

    purchase

    of

    technology

    to set

    up large-caliberartillery fuse

    and detonator

    plants

    and the

    coproduction

    of

    improved-TOW antitank

    guided missiles.18 These and other negotiations with foreign firms for the

    purchase

    of

    military technology

    are driven

    by

    defense

    industry priorities,

    not the PLA's. Undoubtedly the purchase of modern military technology

    will

    fulfill

    a

    general requirement

    of

    the PLA; China's army certainly has a

    need for an antitank guided missile to contend with Soviet armored forces.

    But the

    PLA

    should determine which antitank guided missile will best suit

    its forces, rather than let the industries' requirementsdictate the choice.

    For

    example,

    the U.S.

    Army

    fields several

    generations

    of

    antitank

    weap-

    ons, each new generation a technological improvement over its predeces-

    sor. The

    defense industries

    wish

    to

    purchase

    the

    technology

    to

    produce

    the

    latest

    generation,

    a

    natural

    inclination

    since their

    motivation

    is

    to

    up-

    18.

    Edward Ross, The Military Balance

    in

    the Taiwan

    Strait,

    Martin

    L.

    Lasater, ed.,

    The Two Chinas

    (Washington,

    D.C.:

    The Heritage

    Foundation, 1986).

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    JOSEPHP. GALLAGHER 1001

    date factories with

    the

    most

    modern technology and production equip-

    ment. However, the PLA may be able to more effectively use an older

    generation

    or

    modified antitank guided missile. More to the point, the

    Western firmsthat are transferringthe technology may be able to alter the

    weapon system

    to

    better suit

    the

    logistic

    and

    operating

    units of

    the PLA.

    Such a

    determination cannot

    be

    made since the

    PLA

    does not participate

    in

    discussions with Western firms nor, apparently, do PLA officers see the

    need to join such discussions since they are not acquainted with the opera-

    tional

    capabilities

    and

    limitations of modern

    technology.

    Conclusion

    The nascent dilemma in China's approach to acquiring military technol-

    ogy

    is its

    tendency

    to

    reinforce

    the PLA's

    lack

    of

    familiarity

    with

    technol-

    ogy. Organizationally

    NDSTIC is

    supposed

    to

    represent

    the views of the

    PLA, and thus members of the GSD stay away from critical discussions on

    technology.

    The

    process

    for

    acquiring technology handicaps

    the

    PLA's

    ability to gather information, and therefore the

    PLA

    must rely on

    NDSTIC's

    judgment.

    National

    policy,

    which

    gives priority

    to industrial

    modernization, bolsters the already close relationship between NDSTIC

    and the defense industrial ministries. These factors constrain PLA partici-

    pation

    in

    the

    acquisition

    of

    technology and prevent

    China's

    soldiers

    from

    learning

    that

    they

    have a

    critical role to

    play, thus inhibiting

    the creation

    of

    a

    force

    development concept.

    China's

    present approach

    to the

    acquisition

    of

    technology

    creates two

    interrelated

    problems.

    The

    first,

    a near-term

    problem,

    is

    that the defense

    industries

    may produce

    a

    weapon system that the

    PLA

    is

    incapable

    of us-

    ing effectively.

    After

    expending

    a

    great

    deal

    of time, effort, and resources,

    the defense sector may find itself with a technology that has not signifi-

    cantly

    increased

    its

    ability

    to defend China.

    The

    second,

    a

    long-term

    and

    more substantial

    problem,

    is the effect that a failure of

    military

    moderniza-

    tion

    will have on

    national

    policy.

    Defense

    Minister

    Zhang Aiping

    com-

    mented that a

    technology exporting country

    transfers

    to

    other countries

    only

    ...

    the

    parts

    of

    the

    manufacturing technology

    which are difficult

    to

    keep secret, retaining

    the secret

    parts

    of the

    technology exported.

    9

    China's

    leadership may

    conclude

    incorrectly

    that

    foreign

    firms have with-

    held

    key ingredients

    of

    technology and

    call for

    increased self-reliance,

    thus

    closing

    the

    recently opened

    door

    to

    the West.

    The

    future success

    of

    China's

    acquisition

    of modern

    military technology

    will

    depend largely

    on the PLA's

    ability

    to become

    familiar

    with

    modern

    19. Zhang Aiping, Strengthen Leadership, p. 9.

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    1002

    ASIAN SURVEY,VOL.XXVII,NO.

    9, SEPTEMBER 987

    technology,

    and

    ultimately

    to determine the

    type

    of

    technology

    to be

    purchased.

    At

    present,

    defense

    organization

    and

    modernization policy

    relegates the

    PLA to the

    position

    of a

    captive customer

    who, knowing little

    about the product he is being sold other than that it is modern, has put his

    trust

    in

    the

    judgment

    of

    the

    producers

    to

    satisfy

    his needs. Future

    ap-

    pointments,

    or

    lack thereof,

    of PLA

    officers with operational experience to

    NDSTIC and

    to the

    position of that organization's

    ultimate boss,

    the Min-

    ister of National Defense, should give some indication of the PLA's deter-

    mination to become more involved and to direct the

    acquisition process.