china's military industrial complex
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China's Military Industrial Complex: Its Approach to the Acquisition of Modern MilitaryTechnologyAuthor(s): Joseph P. GallagherSource: Asian Survey, Vol. 27, No. 9 (Sep., 1987), pp. 991-1002Published by: University of California PressStable URL: http://www.jstor.org/stable/2644649.
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CHINA'S
MILITARY
NDUSTRIAL
COMPLEX
Its Approach to the Acquisition of
Modern Military Technology
Joseph
P.
Gallagher
China has
begun
a
new attempt
at
military moderniza-
tion. The latest movement to strengthen the Chinese military, articulated
by
Zhou Enlai in
the early
1970s as a
key element of the
Four
Moderniza-
tions, took
on
a new impetus after the 1979 Sino-Vietnamese conflict. This
was the first
major battle the People's Liberation Army (PLA)
had
partici-
pated
in
since the conflict with India in 1962, and it convinced China's
leadership that more than ideology was needed to defend China'sinterests.
Although China's incursion into Vietnam achieved the political goal of
diverting
Vietnam's attention from
Kampuchea to the Sino-Vietnamese
border,
it also
demonstrated the many weaknesses that had evolved
from
ignoring the needs of the military during the Cultural Revolution. As a
result Deng Xioaping, addressing the PLA in September 1981,
called on
the
Chinese
military
to build
a
powerful, modern,
and
regularized
revolu-
tionary armed force and, on the basis of our steadily expandingeconomy,
[to] improve the army's weapons
and
equipment and speed up
the
modern-
ization of
our
national defense. ' Significantly, Deng used
the term mod-
ernization to
mean the
upgrading
of
weapons
and
equipment.
This narrow
Chinese
usage
of
the term military modernization will be used
in this arti-
cle;
it
does not
encompass
other movements such
as reform
and
regulariza-
tion of
the military.
Major Joseph
P.
Gallagher
is
a China
foreign
area officer
in the
United States
Army.
He
was Assistant
Army
Attache
in
Beijing
in
1984-1986
and
presently
is
assigned to Army Staff Headquarters, Washington, D.C. The views expressed are the
author's and do not necessarily reflect those of the Department of Defense.
?
1987
by
The
Regents
of the
University
of
California
1.
Deng
Xiaoping, The
Selected Works of
Deng Xiaoping
(Beijing: Foreign
Language
Press, 1984), p. 373.
991
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992 ASIAN
SURVEY,
VOL.
XXVII,NO. 9, SEPTEMBER 987
Since coming
to
power
in
1949,
the
Chinese Communists
have done
much to lay the basis
for
modernizing
their
military. Of particular note
has been the establishment of
China's
military-industrial
complex,
a vast
system of defense industries and military organizations dedicated to the
production of
military equipment. It is this
complex that
directs Beijing's
seemingly
cohesive
approach
to the
acquisition
of
military technology.
However, an examination of China's
military-industrial
complex reveals
that
it
is ill-suited to the task of
absorbing modern
military technology.
Unless China's defense sector
changes
its
organization and
approach to the
acquisition
of
technology,
China
may
once
again
fail
to
modernize
its mili-
tary.
The basic problem centers on the relationshipof tactics and technology
and the issue of which of
these two factors
should drive China's
search
for
modern weapon
systems. Put
in
other
words, the question
is, who deter-
mines
the
direction
of
China's quest
for
modern military
technology, its
soldiers or its
technicians?
To
answer
this
question,
I
will
examine four
factors: the
organization of
China's
defense sector, the
process for acquir-
ing military
technology,
China's
present
modernization
policy, and
the
lack of a force
development
concept.
An analysis of the first three factors demonstrates that technicians are
controlling
China's
acquisition
of modern
military
technology,
and the
fourth
factor-creation
of
a
cohesive
force development concept-is
thereby being
inhibited.
Force
development
planning,
a critical
element
in
the
acquisition
of
highly sophisticated
military
technology,
insures that
weapons
are
designed
and
produced
which
can be
operated, maintained,
and
supplied
by existing military
units. Without
such
a
concept China
may
be
acquiring military
technology
that
will
produce weapon systems
the PLA is ill-equipped to support and use. As a result, an expensively
E
acquired
military technology
could well
have little
significant
effect
on the
PLA's
ability
to
defend China
and,
in
the
long term,
cause
China's leader-
ship
to
conclude, incorrectly,
that
self-reliance
is less
expensive and just
as
effective as
acquiring foreign
technology.
Organization
of
the Defense
Sector
China's
military-industrial
complex
has
three distinct elements-the Peo-
ple's Liberation Army, the defense industries, and the organization that
links
the first
two,
the
National Defense Science Technology
and Industry
Commission
(NDSTIC).
The
PLA
is the
ultimate end-user
of
the
defense
industries'
products.
At
the
highest
level
the
PLA
is
divided
into
three
coequal
departments,
the
General
Political
Department
(GPD),
the Gen-
eral Staff
Department
(GSD),
and
the
General
Logistics
Department
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JOSEPH
P.
GALLAGHER 993
(GLD).
The
GPD, which is responsible
for
propaganda,
ideological work,
and personnel management, is not directly involved
in the procurement of
defense equipment.
The
GSD, the staff
that
directs
the operational forces,
is responsible for the coordinated purchase of materials for the PLA. The
GLD
is
responsible
for
the storage, disbursement,
maintenance, and
transportation of military material, 2
and it also
manages
a number
of fac-
tories
that are
identified
as
numbered
PLA
factories. These
factories,
which
are not
involved
in
the
production
of
major weapon systems, mainly
produce quartermastergoods (clothing, food, etc.) and repair parts. The
establishment of these factories stems from the PLA's historic reliance on
self-sufficiency. During the 1930s and 1940s, the
PLA
produced many of
its quartermastergoods and relied on captured weapons to bolster its fight-
ing capabilities.
After coming to power
in
1949, the Chinese government
began restoring
captured
defense factories and
it
established machine building industries.3
Significantly, these
industries
were not placed under
the control of the
PLA but
rather were responsive to the State Council. These machine
building industries have evolved into six ministries that make up the pro-
duction element of the defense
sector
and are known collectively
as
the
defense industrial ministries. The six are the Ministry of Nuclear Indus-
try,
which
produces
nuclear
weapons; the Ministry
of Aviation
Industry,
which produces aircraft;
the
Ministry of
Electronics Industry, which pro-
duces electronics
systems;
the
Ministry
of
Ordnance Industry, which pro-
duces munitions and
armaments;
the China
State
Shipbuilding
Corporation,
which
produces ships; and
the
Ministry of Space (Astronau-
tics) Industry,
which
produces
ballistic
missiles and
space systems.
The term defense industrial ministry is misleading,
since
these minis-
tries
also
produce goods
for the
civilian
sector. For
example,
a
major
cus-
tomer
of
the
Ministry
of Aviation is China's civil
airline,
CAAC.
In
the
past, many factories
of the defense
industrial
ministries, particularly
those
in
the
Ministry
of Ordnance
Industry, produced
only defense goods.
But
because
of
the
present emphasis
on
combining
military
and civilian ef-
forts, 4 many
of
these factories are
now
using
otherwise-idle
production
lines
to
make
goods such
as
fans, bicycles, mopeds,
etc.
For
example,
one
such Ordnance
Industry factory
has
changed
sole
production
of
products
for
military
use into simultaneous
production
of
products
for
both
military
2.
The
Organization of China's Defense
System,
China
Tech, June, 10, 1985,
p.
1.
3. Ibid.
4.
Sun
Lin,
Shanghai Transfers Military
Technology to Civilian
Sector,
Jiefang
Ribao,
February
1,
1986, p.1,
in Joint Publications
Research Service
(JPRS),
China
Report,
no.
31,
April
21, 1986,
p. 55.
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994
ASIAN SURVEY,
VOL.
XXVII,
NO.
9,
SEPTEMBER 987
and civilian
use. 5
This movement
to make the defense sector serve the
civil sector does
not
indicate a shift of
priorities
or
a
movement
away
from
the PLA, but
is
merely
a more efficient use of the defense
sector.
These two elements of the defense sector-the PLA and the defense in-
dustrial
ministries-are
supervised by separate
organizations.
The PLA
is
led by the
Central Military
Commission and
the
ministries
are
supervised
by the State
Council.6 The
link between the two
is
the Minister of
Na-
tional Defense, a
member
of both bodies. He serves as
a
coequal
member
in
the
Central Military Commission
with
senior PLA
leaders,
including
the heads
of each of
the
three
PLA
Departments,
and
as
a
fellow minister
with the chiefs
of the defense industrial
ministries
in
the State Council.7
He has no direct control over either the ministries or the PLA, but serves
as
a
link
between
them. To assist
him in this
capacity
is the
NDSTIC,
the
third element
in
the defense
complex,
over
which
he has direct
supervisory
control.
The NDSTIC, which
as a state commission
is
responsive
to the
State
Council and as
a
military organization
is
led
by
the Central
Military
Com-
mission,
is
theoretically
a
neutral arbiter between the
PLA
and the defense
industrial ministries.
The members
of
the NDSTIC are uniformed officers
of the PLA, a status that gives them the appearanceof alignment with the
operational
forces.
In
reality, they
tend to
represent
the
ministries' views
more than those of the
PLA, as these officers are lifelong technicians with
little or no military operational experience,
who in their careers often
move between
NDSTIC and the defense industrial ministries. Three strik-
ing examples are Xie
Guang, a vice
minister
of
NDSTIC, who was a mem-
ber of
the
Ministry of Aviation
before
joining
the
commission;
the
present
Minister of Ordnance Industries, Zhou Jiahua,
who was
a
former vice
min-
ister of NDSTIC; and
Wu Shaozu, the political commissar of NDSTIC,
who
previously
worked
in
the
Ministry
of
Nuclear
Industry.8
Staffing
NDSTIC
with
technicians
in
uniform
may appear
to be the most efficient
method
of
controlling
the military-industrial complex,
but it inhibits the
PLA from developing a comprehensive force
development concept.
A recent evolution
in
the
organization
of
China's
defense sector has
been the
creation
of
commercial companies that represent the
PLA,
NDSTIC,
and
the
defense
industrial ministries. As
China
instituted its
5. Ordnance Ministry,
Heilongjiang
Sign Cooperation Agreement,
Heilongjiang
Provin-
cial Service (Harbin), January 7, 1986,
in
JPRS, China Report, no. 25, March 12, 1986, p.
46.
6. The Organization
of
China's Defense System, p.1-2.
7. PLA Restructuring and Leadership Reshuffle,
China Tech 1, July 10, 1985, pp.2-3.
8. Meetings and
interviews with
Wu
Shaozu, Xie
Guang,
and
Zhou Jiahua
in
Beijing,
1985-1986.
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JOSEPH
P.
GALLAGHER
995
open
door policy, each
element of the defense sector recognized the advan-
tage of
establishing
commercial entities to deal with foreigners.
These
companies offer a familiar
setting for officials of
foreign companies who
are
uncomfortable dealing with major governmental bureaucracies, and they
establish a convenient
front for the Chinese,
keeping foreigners away from
the
power center of each
ministry. These commercial companies,
outlined
in
Figure 1, are subofficesof
the bureaucracythey represent.9 As such,
the
relationship and interests of
these companies are a
reflection of the inter-
ests
of
their
parent organizations.
Poly Technologies' major
business
is
purchasing major end items of
equipment for the
GSD; Xinxing purchases
or sells
quartermaster parts
produced
in
the
GLD's factories; and
NORINCO does an import/export business for the Ministry of Ordnance
Industry.
The
organizational key
to
the military-industrial
complex
is
held by
the
Minister of
National Defense, who is
in
a position to
integrate the
various
views
of
the three
elements
of
the defense sector to insure that the PLA's
requirements
are
being satisfied. Such an office requires
a person with ex-
tensive
military experience
since the
organizational alliance of NDSTIC
and
the
defense industrial ministries tends to favor
the latter's viewpoints.
In fact, the procedures by which military technology is acquiredreinforce
this
tendency.
The
AcquisitionProcess
The
preceding organizational overview demonstrates that China does
not
have a monolithic defense
sector. Since the
PLA
does not have direct con-
trol over
the major defense
industries,
it must
pass
its
production require-
ments
on
to them
through
the NDSTIC. The
requirements
for
defense
equipment are formulated within an office of the PLA's General Staff De-
partment,
the
Equipment
Bureau.
The
Equipment
Bureau acts
as the
pur-
chaser
of
major
defense items
for the
PLA,
collating
and
prioritizing
all
the
requirements
of
PLA
subordinate
organizations.
Once the
defense in-
dustries
produce
and deliver the
required items,
the
Equipment
Bureau
assigns
the GLD the task of
accounting
for
and
supplying
these items to
subordinate units.
9. Sze A-lan and Zhang Si-wei, High Technology Acquisition
Procedures in the People's
Republic of China (Hong Kong: Conmilit Press, 1985). This
information also appeared n an
article by G.
G.
Connor, Defence Procurement Procedures
in the People's Republic of
China. Jane's Defence Weekly, August 3, 1985, p. 219 (Conmilit is a Hong Kong-based
organization with ties to NDSTIC. Through its publications, primarily
China
Tech,
Conmilit
provides information on China's defense acquisition procedures.)
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JOSEPHP.
GALLAGHER 997
When a dispute arises between the PLA and the defense industrial min-
istries over issues such as the type of weapon to be produced, the price of
equipment,
or
the necessity of meeting a production quota, NDSTIC re-
solves the problem. However, since the members of NDSTIC are mainly
technicians who are
unfamiliar with the demands of the operating forces,
they
tend to be
sympathetic
with
the
ministries'
arguments. One
PLA Air
Force officer explained that NDSTIC's close relationship with the defense
industries accords
with
China's national policy
of
modernizing the indus-
trial sector first. The
officer fully expected that
the NDSTIC
would favor
the industries'
viewpoint
in
disputes between
the Air
Force and
the
indus-
tries,
but
in
any conflict with a customer outside the defense sector,
NDSTIC would always argue for defense needs. He went on to explain
that
in
a dispute between the Air Force and the Ministry of Aviation
In-
dustry
over
delivery
dates
or
prices
of
aircraft,
NDSTIC
probably would
defend the
Ministry
of Aviation's
arguments. However,
in
a conflict
over
production quotas of aircraft
for
the
PLA Air
Force or CAAC, the
NDSTIC
would
argue
for the Air
Force.'0
In
acquiring new technology
from
abroad, a
difference exists
between
the interests of the PLA
and the defense
industries. The
Equipment
Bu-
reau of the PLA is primarily concerned with purchasing end items of
equipment
for direct
military
use.
For
example,
in
1984
it
purchased
24
Blackhawk
helicopters
from
Sikorsky.
In
contrast,
the defense industries
are interested in
purchasing technology.
Economic
constraints and an em-
phasis
on
self-reliance favor
their
position.
As
stated by
Minister of Na-
tional Defense
Zhang Aiping, introducing
advanced
foreign technology
is
not
just
our
purpose
but
is
a means
to
improve
our
technological
level and
production capacity. Our purpose is to improve our ability to carry out
self-reliance.
Clearly Zhang Aiping
believes that the
process
for
acquiring technology
should be driven
by
the needs of the defense industries.
Accordingly,
the
majority
of the commercial
companies
involved
in
the process
of
acquiring
technology
are associated with the defense industries.
As
shown
in
Figure
1,
the
production element of
the
defense
sector
is represented by
nine
dif-
ferent
commercial
companies, counting
the two
NDSTIC
companies.
The
only organization
that
represents
the PLA
in
gathering
information about
new weapon systems is Poly Technologies. The method
of
acquiring
infor-
10. PLA Air Force officer assigned to the Science and Technology Section of
Air
Force
headquarters. Interview in Beijing, July 1985.
11. Zhang Aiping, Strengthen Leadership and Do a Better Job
in
Importing Technol-
ogy, Red Flag, no. 24, December 16, 1985, pp. 4-9, in JPRS, China Report, no. 3,
February
5, 1986, p. 7.
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998 ASIAN SURVEY,VOL.
XXVII,
NO.
9,
SEPTEMBER
987
mation is
important
since the PLA and the defense industrial
ministries
have different reasons for
acquiring military
technology.
The
ministries
tend to seek out
technology that will
directly
affect indus-
trial modernizationand help them compete in the international arms mar-
ket. A
prime example was the
announcement
that
the
Ministry
of
Ordnance
Industries, through
NORINCO,
had
signed
an
agreement
with
Vickers
to produce an armored vehicle for
export, a vehicle the PLA
had
not
yet decided
to
purchase.'2
The PLA's
ability
to
influence the process
is
limited since
it is
a captive customer of
a state-run
socialist system, un-
able to turn to
an
alternate market. On the
other
hand,
the
defense
indus-
trial ministries
are
concerned
with
the desires of
international customers
whose foreign currency is worth more than the local currency of the PLA.
As a
result, the defense
industries
and
the
PLA
may
not
agree on the
type
of
technology that
must
be
purchased.
In
addition, the defense
industries are much
better equipped to
argue for
their
priorities
than the PLA.
The
experts
on
technology work
for the
defense industrial ministries. The
Ministry
of
Ordnance Industry
alone
has
more than
350
engineers working
in 10
research
institutes whose
pri-
mary task is
to research
technological requirements
for
their mission ar-
eas.
13
The officers of the PLA may know about the operational
parameters
of new
weapon
systems,
but
they
are not
qualified to debate
the
technical minutia
of
design and construction. This
handicap is critical in
discussions
among
the defense industrial
ministries,
the
PLA, and the
ND-
STIC on
which
technology
is
to
be
purchased,
particularly
since national
policy reinforces
the ministries'
viewpoints.
National Policy
The defense industrialministries argue their positions for the purchase of a
particular technology
confident that
national
policy supports them.
China's de
facto
leader,
Deng Xiaoping,
articulated the
national
policy
when
he
said
defense
modernization can be
achieved
only
when it is
based
on the
development
of the
country's
industry
and
agriculture
as
a
whole. 14
To
PLA
Chief
of Staff
Yang Dezhi,
this meant that
the
PLA
should
rely
on
the
development
of the
national
economy and science and
12.
NORINCO Vickers Joint
Venture Product
in
JPRS,
China
Report,
no. 38, May 14,
1986, p. 56.
13. The
Military Budget System in the
PRC, China
Tech,
no.
1, June
10, 1985, p. 2.
14.
Quoted in Yang
Dezhi,
A
Strategic Decision on
Strengthening the
Building of our
Army in the
New Period,
Red Flag, August 1, 1985,
pp.3-7,
in
JPRS, China
Report, no. 20,
September 17, 1985, p. 4.
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JOSEPH
P. GALLAGHER 999
technology to change the backwardness of our weaponry.
5
The
defense
industrial ministries, therefore, can argue that the technology they wish to
purchase will upgrade their industries and directly assist economic mod-
ernization. This is an argument that the Equipment Bureau will find diffi-
cult to refute
if
it wishes to
press
for the
purchase
of a different
technology.
The present national policy that favors economic construction over de-
fense
modernization ensures that
a minimum of state funds is
spent
on
defense modernization. Yang
Dezhi
willingly
admits
that
China's econ-
omy
is still
relatively
backward
.
.
.
[and
the
state]
is not
in
a
position
to
put
more
money into
the
development
of
national defense. However,
he
goes
on to
argue that
China
should spend
more
money
on
the develop-
ment of urgently needed weapons. The chief of staff proposed that the
funds
for
the
development
of
weapons
be
obtained
by cutting
the number
of
our
soldiers, eliminating
obsolete and backward
equipment, reducing
expenses
for
food, clothing, and daily expenses
of
personnel
as
well
as
for
the maintenance of
equipment. 16
Fan
Gongsong,
a PLA
official, stated
the same
argument, only
in more
specific terms
than
his
chief
of
staff. Fan
wrote that
present
defense
spending
is
equivalent
to a
military per capita
expenditure
of
4,000 yuan (approximately US$1,300).
He
argued
that this
per capita expenditure should be increased, not by increasing overall de-
fense spending, but by reducing the size of the PLA. He stated that if
funds saved
through troop
reductions were used
in
our national economic
building, [it] would
be
extremely beneficial to quickening
the
implementa-
tion of our four
modernizations.
7
In effect,
Fan
is arguing that
the PLA
make
do with less operational funds
in
order that more defense
funds
can
be furnished to the defense industrial ministries.
Force Development
Because of the factors
just described,
the
PLA
enters
negotiations
with the
defense industrial ministries and NDSTIC
at a
serious
disadvantage.
NDSTIC's inclination to be
sympathetic
with the defense industries'
posi-
tion
is
reinforced
by
national
policy
and
the industries'
superior knowledge
of the
technology
under discussion.
As a
result,
NDSTIC will favor
purchasing technology sought by
the defense industries.
Consequently,
defense
industry priorities
drive the
quest
for modern
military technology,
a fact
that inhibits the creation of a force
development plan.
15.
Ibid.
16.
Ibid.
17. Fan
Gongsong, The National Defense
Population Ratio and Military Streamlining,
Shehui Kexue, no.
8, August 15, 1985, pp. 49-52,
in
JPRS, China Report, no. 112,
November
4, 1986, p.
52.
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1000 ASIAN SURVEY,VOL.XXVII, NO. 9, SEPTEMBER 987
A cohesive force development plan requires close coordination between
operating units
and
industry.
Detailed
requirements
need to be formulated
by the operators, requirements that
take into account the level of educa-
tion of the soldiers who will use the weapon, the type of organization that
will field the weapon, and the
unit's
capability
to maintain
and support
the
weapon.
The
existence
of a
force
development concept requires operators
who have an
understanding
of
technological capabilities
and
limitations,
and technicians who understand
the
operator's environment and require-
ments. The lack of such
a
concept
is
not noticeable when introducing sim-
ple weapons such as
a
new bayonet, but force development
is
critical
to
the
successful fielding
of
a
sophisticated weapon,
such
as a missile.
Without
such a concept weapons can be produced that are of little value once they
are supplied to units
in
the
field.
There is little indication that such
a
concept exists
in
China's
military-industrial complex.
In more than
30
presentations by,
and
discussions
with Western
defense
firms held
in
Beijing
in
1984-86, which
I
attended, the operational forces
and the GSD were
represented by
less
than
5%
of
the Chinese
present.
Over
95%
of
those
who
attended
were from the defense industries and
NDSTIC. The Chinese demonstrated little interest
in
the briefingson op-
erational reasons for developing the weapon systems, but asked many
knowledgeable questions on the technical aspects of the systems. When
reminded that discussions of supportability and training were essential to
successful
transfer
of a
military technology,
the Chinese either
ignored the
remarks or answered that such aspects would be considered only after pro-
duction was
successfully
started.
Since
1984,
NDSTIC has
been
negotiating
with the U.S.
Department
of
Defense for the
purchase
of
technology
to set
up large-caliberartillery fuse
and detonator
plants
and the
coproduction
of
improved-TOW antitank
guided missiles.18 These and other negotiations with foreign firms for the
purchase
of
military technology
are driven
by
defense
industry priorities,
not the PLA's. Undoubtedly the purchase of modern military technology
will
fulfill
a
general requirement
of
the PLA; China's army certainly has a
need for an antitank guided missile to contend with Soviet armored forces.
But the
PLA
should determine which antitank guided missile will best suit
its forces, rather than let the industries' requirementsdictate the choice.
For
example,
the U.S.
Army
fields several
generations
of
antitank
weap-
ons, each new generation a technological improvement over its predeces-
sor. The
defense industries
wish
to
purchase
the
technology
to
produce
the
latest
generation,
a
natural
inclination
since their
motivation
is
to
up-
18.
Edward Ross, The Military Balance
in
the Taiwan
Strait,
Martin
L.
Lasater, ed.,
The Two Chinas
(Washington,
D.C.:
The Heritage
Foundation, 1986).
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JOSEPHP. GALLAGHER 1001
date factories with
the
most
modern technology and production equip-
ment. However, the PLA may be able to more effectively use an older
generation
or
modified antitank guided missile. More to the point, the
Western firmsthat are transferringthe technology may be able to alter the
weapon system
to
better suit
the
logistic
and
operating
units of
the PLA.
Such a
determination cannot
be
made since the
PLA
does not participate
in
discussions with Western firms nor, apparently, do PLA officers see the
need to join such discussions since they are not acquainted with the opera-
tional
capabilities
and
limitations of modern
technology.
Conclusion
The nascent dilemma in China's approach to acquiring military technol-
ogy
is its
tendency
to
reinforce
the PLA's
lack
of
familiarity
with
technol-
ogy. Organizationally
NDSTIC is
supposed
to
represent
the views of the
PLA, and thus members of the GSD stay away from critical discussions on
technology.
The
process
for
acquiring technology handicaps
the
PLA's
ability to gather information, and therefore the
PLA
must rely on
NDSTIC's
judgment.
National
policy,
which
gives priority
to industrial
modernization, bolsters the already close relationship between NDSTIC
and the defense industrial ministries. These factors constrain PLA partici-
pation
in
the
acquisition
of
technology and prevent
China's
soldiers
from
learning
that
they
have a
critical role to
play, thus inhibiting
the creation
of
a
force
development concept.
China's
present approach
to the
acquisition
of
technology
creates two
interrelated
problems.
The
first,
a near-term
problem,
is
that the defense
industries
may produce
a
weapon system that the
PLA
is
incapable
of us-
ing effectively.
After
expending
a
great
deal
of time, effort, and resources,
the defense sector may find itself with a technology that has not signifi-
cantly
increased
its
ability
to defend China.
The
second,
a
long-term
and
more substantial
problem,
is the effect that a failure of
military
moderniza-
tion
will have on
national
policy.
Defense
Minister
Zhang Aiping
com-
mented that a
technology exporting country
transfers
to
other countries
only
...
the
parts
of
the
manufacturing technology
which are difficult
to
keep secret, retaining
the secret
parts
of the
technology exported.
9
China's
leadership may
conclude
incorrectly
that
foreign
firms have with-
held
key ingredients
of
technology and
call for
increased self-reliance,
thus
closing
the
recently opened
door
to
the West.
The
future success
of
China's
acquisition
of modern
military technology
will
depend largely
on the PLA's
ability
to become
familiar
with
modern
19. Zhang Aiping, Strengthen Leadership, p. 9.
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1002
ASIAN SURVEY,VOL.XXVII,NO.
9, SEPTEMBER 987
technology,
and
ultimately
to determine the
type
of
technology
to be
purchased.
At
present,
defense
organization
and
modernization policy
relegates the
PLA to the
position
of a
captive customer
who, knowing little
about the product he is being sold other than that it is modern, has put his
trust
in
the
judgment
of
the
producers
to
satisfy
his needs. Future
ap-
pointments,
or
lack thereof,
of PLA
officers with operational experience to
NDSTIC and
to the
position of that organization's
ultimate boss,
the Min-
ister of National Defense, should give some indication of the PLA's deter-
mination to become more involved and to direct the
acquisition process.