china – eu information center for sustainable development strategy and global dynamic monitoring
TRANSCRIPT
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China – EU INFORMATION CENTER
for Sustainable Development Strategy
and Global Dynamic Monitoring
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Leslaw Michnowski
Committee for Futures Studies "Poland 2000 Plus"
Polish Academy of Scienceswww.psl.org.pl
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Main Common Goals:- the continuous improvement of the quality of life
for present and future generations;- Inclusive Globalization - fair globalization. globalization with
human face - full and productive employment and decent work for all;
- sustained economic growth;
For these ends: - internalizing externalities (social and environmental);
- decoupling (the range of economic growth from the range of deficit natural resources depletion growth and degradation of
environment), and - coupling (the economic growth with social development - for
general improvement in the quality of life), - sustainable development of the world society
are essential
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„three pillars” of sustainable development
of the world society.
It is impossible to integrate social development with economic development
and environmental protection without computer simulation
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Dynamic monitoring(set: society–environment life-process):
collecting data, that reflect this process, and computer simulation (System Dynamics) transforming them into
information about its quality, dynamics, and future.
Dynamic monitoring predicts future of monitored process
under condition, that any intervention into it will be undertaken
Dynamic monitoringdelivers
warning forecasting, i.e. long-term early warning information about up to date
socio-economy activity negative consequences.
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To achieve above goals we propose to build - in multi stage way -
continuously under development, commonly accessible -
worldwide (net and GRID) sustainable development information system
for:- dynamic monitoring,
- long-range forecasting, and- measurable evaluation
policy, economy, work and other changes in the life conditions
(of human-beings and nature in general) effects
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The main tasksof China – EU Information Center:
- worldwide sustainable development information system building;
- world dynamic monitoring and warning forecasting creating and disseminating;
- creation of information bases for
sustainable development policy and
sustainable development economy.
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Realization of above proposal allow for
quite new S&T development method: - to look for knowledge that is necessary
for future prediction;- to build technology that is necessary for overcoming predicted dangers in
anticipatory way.
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UNEMPLOYMENT ELIMINATION and
SUSTAINED ECONOMIC GROWTH without access to knowledge about complex (and FUTURE) work effects
are IMPOSSIBLE
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The building of information bases
of sustainable development policy
and sustainable development economy
is the precondition for avoiding
the global catastrophe