china and alternatives to democratic means of combating corruption
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China and alternatives to Democratic means of combating Corruption
Introduction
Corruption is a universal phenomenon which every society on Earth must deal with. And China
is no exception. The post-Mao economic reforms have brought both a great deal of growth and
corruption into Chinese society. China today is one of the more corrupt countries on the planet,
ranking 75 out of 183 according to the corruption perception index, with a score of 3.6 on a
scale of 1 to 10 with 10 being the least corrupt. [Corruption Perception Index] Corruption, which
we will define as misuse of public authority for private gains, is frequently identified as one of the
biggest problems in governing China today: indeed, Chinese president Hu Jintao has stated
that corruption could be fatal to the continued rule of the Chinese Communist Party. [Badkar]
In general, countries which are found to be the least corrupt also tend to be mature democracies.
[Corruption and Democracy] This suggests that one possible path in ending the extreme levels of
corruption is democratization. This however, comes into direct conflict with the Chinese
Communist Partys continued political monopoly. A key question which is central to Chinas
political future is therefore: can Chinas corruption be reined in without full democratization?
It is, therefore, instructive to examine governments which are less than full democracies and
which have managed to rein in corruption in their societies as possible models for China to
follow. If it is determined that China could not effectively adapt the models laid out by other
societies in retaining both less than democratic governments and generally non-corrupt
societies, then full Democracy might be the only path for China to avoid the extreme levels of
corruption it faces today.
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The cases to examine:
In order to determine which countries we should look at as possible models for China to follow,
we will examine every country which has both significantly (which we will define somewhat
arbitrarily as having better than 5.0 on a scale from 1-10 under the CPI) less corruption than
China is, and is classified as more authoritarian than flawed democracy under the Democracy
Index published by the Economists Intelligence Unit. [Democracy Index] The results are, in order
of their CPI score:
Country Democracy Index CPI
Bhutan Hybrid Regime 5.7
UAE Authoritarian regime 6.8
Qatar Authoritarian regime 7.2
Hong Kong Hybrid Regime 8.4
Singapore Hybrid Regime 9.2
It should be noted that the fact that there are only 5 countries which fit our criteria indicate the
rarity of states which have achieved incorrupt societies while having less than democratic
governmental forms and implies that it is quite difficult to do so. This is a fact that China itself
can attest to, with its numerous anti-corruption drives [Becker, 10] but constant high levels of
corruption.
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Of the 5 countries we have identified, one, Bhutan, is a rapidly democratizing country and
therefore not a model worth examining. Two others, the UAE and Qatar, are amongst what are
commonly known as Gulf Oil Monarchies. [Davison] Those states have cultures, institutions,
and economic contexts which are completely different from and cannot be copied by China. Not
only that, but the Arab Spring have also cast severe doubts on both the immediate and long
term political stability of those regimes. Therefore, they should not be considered to be
instructive examples for Chinas future.
The two cases which remain are both majority (almost entirely in case of Hong Kong) ethnically
Chinese. Both are culturally and geographically proximately close to that of the Peoples
Republic. Not only that, but both have managed to curb corruption to the point where they are
less corrupt than that of first world democracies such as Germany, the UK, and the US. They
are, in other words, perfect cases to study if one wants a China without either corruption or full
democracy. This is especially true of Singapore, which we will focus on, since it developed anti-
corruption measures under a de facto one party system. Indeed, Chinas current leader Xi Ji
Ping have specifically studied Singapore as a possible model for China to follow. [Hartcher]
Hong Kong, Singapore and Anti-Corruption Bureaus
Remarkably, both Singapore and Hong Kong took very similar path towards achieving non-
corrupt societies. Both entities suffered greatly from corruption in the post war era. Both
societies then went on to form efficient anti-corruption strategies with an anti-corruption bureau
(ACB) at its center. Both are among the least corrupt places on earth largely thanks to the
efforts of their ACBs.
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We will first give an examination over those agencies as to why they are successful and then
determine if such models can be applied to China. The following conditions are identified as
necessary for ACBs to be successful in Hong Kong and Singapore. [Heilbrunn]
1) Political Will: The political elite of the country must be truly committed to ending corruption in
their country. They must, necessarily, be willing to stop protect their clients from persecution by
the ACB. They must also be willing to draft legislations which support anti-corruption measures
and close legal loopholes. They must also be willing to fund the ACB adequately as well as
provide them with enough authority to do their job. And crucially, they must not use the ACB as
a tool to attack political opponents as that will weaken the credibility of the agency and lead to
its ultimate failure.
2) Independence of the bureau: The ACB must not be under the jurisdiction of the police, as it is
the police which is often the cause of corruption in the first place. The ACB must also be free of
interference of dependence from other bureaucratic organizations.
3) The anti-corruption agency itself must be incorruptible, this is especially important and is
identified as the cause of the failure of Thailands ACB [Heilbrunn]
4) The ACB must be only a part of a concerted drive towards anti-corruption. For instance, the
bureaucracy must be streamlined to reduce rent. At the same time public awareness must be
raised as to the harms of corruption and a sense of responsibility not to participate in it be
instilled.
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ACB and China
To examine whether China can fulfill the conditions listed above, we will consider those
requirements in context of Chinas political system.
Accompanying strategies
Both Hong Kong and Singapore used their ACBs as only the center-piece of a comprehensive
anti-corruption strategy. Hong Kong for instance, conducted a 3 prong attack on corruption.
They combined enforcement by the ACB with efforts to prevent corruption, and by conducting
public awareness campaigns to raise cooperation with the ACB as well as educating the public
on the harms of corruption. [Heilbrunn, 5]
Therefore, we must examine whether the second and third portions of the strategy can be
conducted in conjecture with the first when it comes to China. In order for the ACB to be
effective, China must reign in opportunities for corruption or else the ACB risk being simply
swamped by the sheer number of corruption cases it must handle.
It follows that China must reduce rent extraction as those represent a significant portion of
corruption. This is perhaps the most important of the state controlled banks, which is today
heavily corrupt. In 2003, and state owned banks gave out and took in around 2/3 of all loans
and deposits in China respectively. In the same year it is estimated that on the average, firms
must kickback around 8.8% if loans taken back to those banks in order to acquire credit. [Pei,
106] Around 2/3 of all banking loans were given to SOEs under party control, often because of
the connections between SOE affiliates and banks. This resulted in a huge percentage of non-
performing loans, more than 40% by some measures. This is despite reforms to the banking
system in the late 90s, which indicates a failure of reforms to curb corruption in this sector.
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While it is possible that further reforms might bring about more accountability in the banks, it
must be acknowledged that the CCP is reluctant to give up any power over such commanding
heights of the economy; therefore privatization is unlikely, eliminating an avenue of reform. As
long as the party keeps control of this vital sector, current forms corruption is likely to be
entrenched in it, it will have significant problems in effectively preventing corruption as all
sectors of the economy are ultimately tied to it.
Political Will at the top
In China, political will does exist at the top for effective anti-corruption measures at least on the
superficial level, the Chinese leadership at the Politburo level have repeatedly emphasised the
need to reduce corruption and launched anti-corruption campaigns on a regular basis. [Becker,
17] yet at the same time, it is undeniable that party leaders at the very top have either protected
corrupted figures directly or at have relatives who are major business figures which therefore
inevitably results in conflict of interest. They have also sometimes taken direct part in the
corruption themselves.
A good example of investigation into the former is the Lai Changxing affair, Lai was a smuggler
who had connections with numerous members of the Communist party elite, many of whom
were implicated in aiding and abetting his smuggler activities. [Oliver, 10] The government was
able to assemble a task force to prosecute many of those officials, while some officials were
punished (i.e the deputy mayor of Xiamen was sentenced to death), many of those suspected
were protected by men at the very top of the CCP. Liu Huqing, song of a PLA general, for
instance, was believe to be protected by premier Li Ping during the investigations, while
suspected politburo member Jia Qinglin was believed to have being protected by Jiang Zemin
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himself. [Oliver, 210]
What this establishes is a precedent in which, despite rhetoric from the top about ending
corruption, even members of the standing committee protects their clients and friends from
corruption persecution, even in very highly publicized cases. Any anti-corruption agency on the
Singapore model would presumably need to be dependent on political power at the center,
because thats precisely the case with Singapores CIPBwhich is under the Prime Ministers
office, thus making it extremely doubtful that there wouldnt be political interference with the
agency from party chiefs.
A case of party chiefs directly involving themselves in corruption is the case of Shanghai mayor
and Politburo member Chen Liangyu. Chen was convicted of taking bribes, financial fraud and
other charges. While on the surface it was a triumph to convict such a high ranking leader of
corruption, the case was tainted by rumors that it was done for political purposes. [Brown]
Specifically, that Chen was an ally of former president Jiang Zhemin and current president Hu
Jintao was taking an opportunity to purge a political opponent. While it is hard to decipher to
what degree it was political, the mere impression that the case was politically motivated
undermines the credibility of anti-corruption efforts. One of the fundamental requirements for
effectiveness of ACBs is for investigations not to be political. Nor is Chen the only case of this,
recently Bo Xilai was dismissed on corruption charges in what is widely regarded as a political
move.
Singapore managed to avoid similarly pitfalls; this might be because the PAP rapidly started to
build up an effective and comprehensive anti-corruption strategy as soon as they took power in
1959. The previously ineffective CPIB (Singapores ACB) was given more powers starting in
1960, when they were granted the power to arrest persons and numerous anti-corruption
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legislations were also enacted to support them. In 1963 the CPIB was transferred to the prime
Ministers office to give it more independence. The CPIB was able to make one of its first high
profile case in 1966 when it removed Tan Kia Gan, the minister for national development from
the government. Later it was able to achieve numerous other high profile conviction such as the
imprisoning the minister of state for bribery, all without the implications of being a tool for
attacking political opponents. [Jon] Every single time it does so credibility is improved with the
public: which is fundamental in improving its effectiveness even further.
If we were to use 1979, the year which usually is acknowledged to mark the beginning of reform
and opening in China, as analogous to 1959 in Singapore, then China have already gone for
more than 40 years without enacting an effective ACB and accompanying anti-corruption
measures. What this means is that corruption has entrenched itself in the power elite unchecked.
Ultimately without democratization the ACB will have to report to someone in the CCP, probably
the standing committee. Since even presidents and premiers have shown themselves willing to
protect their relatives and clients from anti-corruption charges, and even Politburo members are
themselves corrupt, it is highly unlikely for the political will to manifest for allowing true
independence and effectiveness of the ACB anymore than that of current anti-corruption
measures. It is also hard to see the ACB not being used as a political tool for attacking
opponents of individual party chiefs or party factions, simply because current anti-corruption
measures are already being used for that purpose. The ACB would therefore simply become
part of the existing corrupted political framework. Not only that, but even if central politburo are
committed towards using the ACB effectively, they would still lack the credibility to mount an
effective anti-corruption campaign due to past failures and past misdeeds. This would still
undermine the potential ACB since the lack of credibility means that there would be limited
cooperation from the population in its efforts. It is the case that the corruption at the very highest
levels of the CCP has became so entrenched in the last 40 years that having the CCP
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leadership policing itself as the PAP effectively did is unlikely. In many ways, creating a new
ACB is simply too late, the CCP missed the opportunity for that at the start of the reform period.
This nulls conditions 1 and 3 on our list of preconditions.
The Question of Authority
It should be noted that China already has several anti-corruption agencies, the party disciplinary
commissions, the Ministry of Supervision, and the Procuratorate. Thus far, Chinas attempt at
creating an agency on Hong Kongs model has resulted in the National Corruption Prevention
Bureau. The NCPB however, is under the control of the ministry of supervision and therefore
unlikely to become truly independent and effective. [Becker]
Even if an ACB is created directly independently of any existing ministries or agencies, it still
has to engage in tug of wars with existing anti-corruption agencies. This is particularly important
in the area of jurisdiction and information gathering. [Becker] While perhaps not insurmountable,
it does add yet another stumbling block for any potential ACBs in establishes independence as
per condition 2.
Fragmented authoritarianism: Central-local conflict and agency independence
Both Hong Kong and Singapores Anti-corruption efforts were fairly centralized. [Heilbrunn]
Therefore, we must consider the question, how would Chinas ACB function away from the
urban center of Beijing? Indeed, if Chinas past experience is any indication, since Chinas
leadership likes to experiment locally in one area before implementing new policies elsewhere,
that an ACB will start at the local level. Indeed, China is already trying an ACB at the local level
in Guangdong. [Offices to unite in fight against graft]
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The issue with this is the nature of Chinas fragmented Authoritarian system in which different
government ministries and agencies end up fighting and bargaining with each other for power
and influence. What this means is that if new ACBs are created at a local level, they simply
become a player in local politics and are unlikely to gain enough authority to be effective. For
instance, the ACB would still depend on the court system to convict suspect they investigate
and persecution when the court system itself in China is quite corrupt. In this case the ACB
might very well end up having to negotiate and bargain with the courts in order to do its job,
which dilutes the agencys credibility since an effective ACB would need to be above those
types of politics. It also produces an interesting catch-22 situation: the ACB needs incorrupt
courts in order to function, yet a non-corrupt court system needs the ACB to function effectively
in order to rid it of corruption. Therefore the ACB at the local level seems unlikely to be
independent.
Conclusion
Hong Kong and Singapore both turned their societies from dens of corruption into two of the
cleanest in the world and are judged to be the only realistic models for China to follow. Both
cities adopted an anti-corruption bureau as a center part of their strategy. However, we have
seen that this same strategy is unlikely to be effectively implemented in China. The CCPs
desire to control the banking sector means it will have difficulty in reducing the opportunity for
corruption as part of a comprehensive strategy. If the ACB is to be tied to the center as in the
case of Singapore, then the already corrupt individuals at the center will likely use the ACB to
attack political opponents and also protect their allies from investigation. Due to bureaucratic
infighting and Chinas political model, the ACB is also unlikely to be independent.
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Therefore, there are no existing models for China to follow which would allow it to retain both an
authoritarian regime and to reign in corruption. While we cannot rule out that China might be
able to discover other methods for controlling corruption, authoritarian regimes over the last
decades have being trying to do so with remarkably few successes. The fact that China cannot
follow any of those successes means we must conclude, by the process of elimination, that it is
most likely that China must at least reach the level of flawed democracies in order to reduce its
corruption to manageable levels.
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