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Chapter Two Population

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Chapter Two. Population. Introduction. Population is studied to provide a basis of understanding issues in Human Geography Population is important for three reasons: More people are alive today Population increased faster in the 2 nd half of the 20 th century than ever before - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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Chapter Two

Population

Introduction

• Population is studied to provide a basis of understanding issues in Human Geography

• Population is important for three reasons:– More people are alive today– Population increased faster in the 2nd half of the 20th

century than ever before– Almost all population growth is in LDC’s

• Demography is the study of population growth and it looks at how people are spatially distributed by age, gender, occupation, fertility, health, etc…

Key Issue #1: Where is the World’s Population Distributed?

I. Population Concentrations• 2/3 of the world’s population (6 ¾ billion) are

in four regions: – East Asia– South Asia– Southeast Asia– Western Europe

Key Issue #1: Where is the World’s Population Distributed?

• 2/3 of the world’s population live with in 300 miles of an Ocean

• The four population clusters are all:– low-lying areas– have fertile soil– temperate climates

Key Issue #1: Where is the World’s Population Distributed?

East Asia:• 1/5 of the world’s population• China, Koreas, Japan, & Taiwan• 5/6 live in China (the most populous country

in the world)• Most people are farmers in rural areas

Key Issue #1: Where is the World’s Population Distributed?

South Asia:• 1/5 of the world’s Population• India, Pakistan, Bangladesh, Sri Lanka• India is the 2nd most populous country in the

world• Most people are farmers in rural areas

Key Issue #1: Where is the World’s Population Distributed?

• Southeast Asia:• Indonesia, Papua New Guinea, & the

Philippines• Europe:• 1/9 of the world’s population & 3rd largest

population cluster in the world• ¾ of Europe’s inhabitants live in cities

Key Issue #1: Where is the World’s Population Distributed?

Other Population Clusters:• Largest population concentration in the

Western Hemisphere is the northeastern US & southeastern Canada – 2% of the world’s population

• Most Americans are urban dwellers• West Africa 2% of the world’s population –

mostly in Nigeria

Key Issue #1: Where is the World’s Population Distributed?

II. Sparsely Populated Regions• Ecumene is the portion of the Earth’s surface

occupied by permanent human settlement• Dry Lands:• 20% of the Earth’s surface is too dry for farming• People adapt by using irrigation, raise animals like

Camels, & settle for cultivation of natural resources such as oil

• Wet Lands• The rain & heat hinders agriculture

Key Issue #1: Where is the World’s Population Distributed?

• Cold Lands:• Polar regions• Permafrost prevents agriculture, few animals

can survive, & few humans can live here• High Lands:• Few people live at high elevations with the

exception of areas in Latin America & Africa

Key Issue #1: Where is the World’s Population Distributed?

III. Population Density• Density (# of people occupying an area of

land) is looked at by:– Arithmetic Density,– Physiological Density– Agricultural Density

Key Issue #1: Where is the World’s Population Distributed?

Arithmetic Density:• Arithmetic Density is the total number of people

divided by the total area of land aka population density

• Calculated by the total population & total land area• Varies within individual countries• Enables geographers to compare the number of

people trying to live on a given peace of land in different regions of the world

Key Issue #1: Where is the World’s Population Distributed?

Physiological Density:• Physiological Density the number of people

supported by a unit area of arable land• The higher the physiological density, the

greater the pressure on the people to produce enough food

• Looks at the relationship between the size of a population & the availability of resources

Key Issue #1: Where is the World’s Population Distributed?

Agricultural Density• Agricultural Density ratio of the number of

farmers to the amount of arable land• helps account for economic differences• MDC’s have a lower agricultural density than

LDC’s

Key Issue #2: Where has the World’s Population Increased

Crude means we are concerned with society as a whole rather than a refined look at individuals or groups

I. Natural Increase:• Geographers most frequently measure population

change in a country/world as a whole through three measures:

• Crude Birth Rate (CBR) total # of live births in a year for every 1000 people EX: CBR of 20 means 20 babies are born for every 1000 people

Key Issue #2: Where has the World’s Population Increased

• Crude Death Rate (CDR) total # of deaths in a year for every 1000 people alive in a society

• Natural Increase Rate (NIR) the % by which a population grows in a year. It is computed by subtracting CDR from CBR – this excludes migration– About 80 million people are added to the world

annually– Doubling Time the number of years needed to double a

population assuming a constant rate of natural increase

Key Issue #2: Where has the World’s Population Increased

II. Fertility:• The CBRs are mostly in sub-Saharan Africa• Total Fertility Rate (TFR) average number of

children a woman will have in her childbearing years (15-49)

• TFR attempt to predict the future behavior of individual women in the world

Key Issue #2: Where has the World’s Population Increased

III. Mortality:• Infant Mortality Rate (IMR) is the annual

number of deaths of infants under 1 year of age compared to total live births– The highest rate of IMRs are in sub-Saharan Africa– The lowest rates are in Western Europe– IMR reflect a country’s health-care system– Minorities in the US have IMRs twice as high as

the national average comparable to levels in Latin America & Asia

Key Issue #2: Where has the World’s Population Increased

• Life Expectancy measures the average number of years a newborn infant can expect to live at current morality levels– Highest in wealthy countries– People can live into their 70’s in Western Europe

compared to their 40’s in sub-Saharan Africa

Key Issue # 3: Why is Population Increasing at Different Rates in Different Countries?

I. The Demographic Transition the process of change in a society’s population from a condition of high CBR & CDR & low NIR to a condition of low CBR & CDR & high NIR

• The process with several stages and every country is in one of them. There are four stages

Key Issue # 3: Why is Population Increasing at Different Rates in Different Countries?

• Stage 1: Low Growth– During this period people depended on hunting &

gathering – when food was easy to find population increased and when food was scarce it declined

– Between 8000BC & 1750 AD the earth’s population rose from 5 million to 800 million this was due to agricultural revolution – when humans began to use domesticated plants and animal

– Every country has progressed to at least stage 2

Key Issue # 3: Why is Population Increasing at Different Rates in Different Countries?

• Stage 2: High Growth– Most countries entered this stage as a result of the

Industrial Revolution – This enabled farmers to increase agricultural production &

feed the rapidly growing population– The industrial revolution led to factory jobs, better

sanitation, & personal hygiene– Europe & N. America entered stage 2 in 1800 and Africa,

Asia, & Latin America 1950’s– Medical Revolution the advances in medical technology in

Europe & N. America diffused to LDCs

Key Issue # 3: Why is Population Increasing at Different Rates in Different Countries?

• Stage 3: Moderate Growth– This happens when CBR begins to drop sharply &

the CDR also begins to decline– N. America & Europe are in this stage– Economic changes occur, people have less

children, & live in cities rather than rural areas

Key Issue # 3: Why is Population Increasing at Different Rates in Different Countries?

• Stage 4: Low Growth– This occurs when the CBR & CDR & the NIR

approaches zero– Zero Population Growth (ZPG) – Most European countries are in stage 4– Women working, using birth-control, more

income, etc…have led to less child bearing

III. Population Pyramids• Displays age & gender on a bar graph• Shows the percentage of the total population

in 5 year age groups• Shape is determined by the CBR

Key Issue # 3: Why is Population Increasing at Different Rates in Different Countries?

• Age Distribution – Dependency ration is the number of people who

are too young or too old to work– Larger the number of dependents the greater the

financial burden of those working– 0-14 & 65+ are classified as dependent – Countries in stage 2 you see a ratio of 1:1 (1

dependent for every worker)– Countries in stage 4 is 1:2 (1 dependent for every 2

workers)

Key Issue # 3: Why is Population Increasing at Different Rates in Different Countries?

• Age Distribution Cont’– The larger the number of dependents in stage 2

countries prevents poorer countries to provide services (school, hospitals)

– When there is a large population of elderly people it places a burden on governments. EX: US and Social Security, Health Care programs, etc…

Key Issue # 3: Why is Population Increasing at Different Rates in Different Countries?

Key Issue # 3: Why is Population Increasing at Different Rates in Different Countries?

– Sex Ratio is the number of males per hundred females in the population

– Poor countries generally have a lower percentage of women due to mortality during childbirth

– Younger children in poor countries are mostly male while older populations are generally higher

Key Issue # 3: Why is Population Increasing at Different Rates in Different Countries?

IV. Demographic Transition• No country remains in stage 1• Few have reached stage 4• Most countries are in stage 2 or 3• Two Big Breaks in the four stage demographic– Sudden drop in death rates – mostly due to

diffusion of medical technology– Sudden drop in birth rates

Key Issue #4: Why might the world face an overpopulation problem?

I. Malthus on Overpopulation:• Thomas Malthus (economist) argued that the

world’s rate of pop. Increase was far outrunning the development of food supply

• Said population increase would press against available resources unless the CBR decreased or disease, famine, war, or other disasters produced higher CDRs

Key Issue #4: Why might the world face an overpopulation problem?

• Neo-Malthusians:– The gap between population growth and

resources is wider than he anticipated– The population growth is outstripping a wide

variety of resources, not just food production

Key Issue #4: Why might the world face an overpopulation problem?

• Malthus’s Critics:– Some think his beliefs are unrealistically pessimistic – They believe the world’s resources are fixed not expanding– Possibilists believe humans can choose a course of action

to expand resources– Boserup & Kuznetsbelieve larger populations can stimulate

economic growth• Marxists such as Friedrich Engels said there are

enough resources but they are just not shared equally

Key Issue #4: Why might the world face an overpopulation problem?

II. Declining Birth Rates:• Malthus Theory & Reality– His theory is not supported by conditions during

the past half-century– Problems lie on distribution of wealth rather than

insufficient global production of food– Population is increasing at a slower rate than

theorized

Key Issue #4: Why might the world face an overpopulation problem?

• Reasons for Declining Birth Rates– Economic Development• Wealthier communities have more money to spend on

education & health care thus promoting lower birth rates• More educated women know their reproductive rights,

make more informed reproductive choices, & select more effective contraception• IMRs decline due to better health care

– Distribution of Contraception• LDCs are demanding a greater supply of contraceptive

devices• Use of contraceptives: ¼ Africa, ¾ Latin America, & 2/3

in Asia• Birth rates are still very high in Africa & SW Asia which

reflects the low status of women – little education, # of children reflects a woman’s status & a mans virility• Many oppose birth control due to religion or politics

Key Issue #4: Why might the world face an overpopulation problem?

III. World Health Threats:• Epidemiologic Transition is the distinctive

causes of death in each stage of demographic transition

• Epidemiologic Transition Stages 1 & 2– Black Plague (Stage 1)• Killed ½ of Europe’s pop (25 million) between 1347-

1350• Killed 13 million in China 1380

Key Issue #4: Why might the world face an overpopulation problem?

– Cholera (Stage 2)• Pandemic diseases occur over a wide geographic area

and affects a high proportion of the population• 500,000 died in 1832 in NYC• Due to poor sanitation & contaminated water supply in

poor urban areas

Key Issue #4: Why might the world face an overpopulation problem?

• Epidemiologic Transition Stages 3 & 4– Cardiovascular Disease– Cancer– Decline in infectious diseases such as Polio &

Measles

Key Issue #4: Why might the world face an overpopulation problem?

• Epidemiologic Transition Possible Stage 5– Some medical analysts think the world is moving

to a stage of reemergence of infectious & parasitic diseases

– This will cause higher CDRs

Key Issue #4: Why might the world face an overpopulation problem?

– Reasons for Stage 5• Evolution

– Resistance to antibiotics– Diseases evolve – Malaria

• Continued epidemics in poverty - TB• Improved travel – Avian flu

Key Issue #4: Why might the world face an overpopulation problem?

– AIDS• Most lethal pandemic in recent years• 95% of those infected & 99% of new cases are in LDCs• 2/3 of the world’s total HIV positive people live in sub-

Saharan Africa• Second highest rate of infection is in India

Key Issue #4: Why might the world face an overpopulation problem?