chapter 7 transportation energy use and environmental … · • transportation is the second...
TRANSCRIPT
7-1
CHAPTER 7
Transportation Energy Use and Environmental Impacts
Highlights• Theenergyrequiredtomoveoneperson
onemileoronetonoffreightonemilehasgenerallydeclinedovertime.
• Transportationcontinuestorelyalmostentirelyonpetroleumtomovepeopleandgoods.However,thesector’sdependencehasdecreasedfromapeakof97.3percentin1978to92.2percentin2016.Thisisdueinparttoincreasedblendingofdomesticallyproducedethanolingasolineandimprovedfueleconomy.
• Increaseddomesticoilproductionsharplyreducedtransportation’sdependenceonimportedoil,fromahighof60.3percentin2005to24.8percentin2015.
• Thehighwaymodecontinuestodominatetransportationenergyuse,accountingfor61.6percentoftotaltransportationenergyuse.
• Transportationisthesecondlargestproducerofgreenhousegasemissions(GHG),accountingfor27.0percentoftotalU.S.emissionsin2015.
• Overall,greenhousegasesandthesixothermostcommonairpollutantemissionsfromtransportation,withtheexceptionofparticulatematter(PM-10),arebelowtheir2000levels,andcontinuedtodeclinefrom2009to2016duetomanyfactors,includingmotorvehicleemissionscontrolsandtechnologicaladvancements,suchaselectricvehicleshavecontributedtoconsiderablereductions.
• Reductionsintransportation’sairemissionshavecontributedtoimprovedairqualityintheNation’surbanareas.Onaverage,airqualitywasgoodfor247daysin2015comparedto192daysin2000.
• Over97percentoftheU.S.populationhaspotentialtobeexposedtoaviationandinterstatehighwaynoiseatlevelsbelow50decibels(equivalenttothesoundofahummingrefrigerator).
7-2
Chapter 7: Transportation Energy Use and Environmental Impacts
Thischapterreviewsthepatternsandtrendsintransportationenergyuse,otheraspectsofenergyassociatedwithourNation’stransportationsystem,andtransportation’simpactontheenvironment.EnergyuseiscloselytiedtothetransportationsectorbecausemostvehiclesintheU.S.relyonpetroleumasafuel.Therefore,developmentsindomesticoilproduction,alternativefuels,andimprovementsinvehicleenergyefficienciesplayacriticalroleinthevitalityofthetransportationsystem.Environmentalimpactsunderconsiderationincludegreenhousegas(GHG)emissionscausedbythetransportationsector,petroleumspills,noise,andotherimpacts.Theseenergyandenvironmentalaspectsofthetransportationsystemarealsoimportantmeasuresofperformance,alongwithsuchprimarymeasuresassystemreliability,efficiency,andsafety.
U.S.dependenceonimportedoilistrendinglowerthaninprioryearsasaresultofincreaseddomesticproduction,improvedfueleconomyforvehicles,andthegrowthinalternativeenergysources.U.S.dependenceonimportedoilpeakedat60.3percentin2005,buthassincedecreasedbymorethanhalf,to24.8percentin2015[USDOEEIA2017c].In2015thisdependencewasatitslowestsince1971,butwithincreasingfuelefficiencyandreducedfuelprices,peoplearedrivingmoremilesonaverageanddemandforlessfuel-efficientsportutilityvehicles(SUVs).CarandtruckSUVsachievedarecordmarketshareof38percentinmodelyear2015[USEPA2017f].
In2016theU.S.transportationsectorused27.5quadrillionBtu(Britishthermalunit)of
energy,secondonlytoelectricitygeneration,butdownfromthepeakof28.8quadrillionBtuin2007(figures7-1and7-2).Transportationactivitiesreliedonpetroleumfor92.2percentofthetransportation-relatedenergyusedin2016,downfromarecord97.3percentin1978.In2016,theU.S.consumedmorethan19.6millionbarrelsofoilperday,ofwhich13.9millionbarrels(70.9percent)wereconsumedbytheU.S.transportationsystem[USDOEEIA2017c].Despitetransportation’scontinueddependenceonpetroleum,recenttrendsshowsmallreductionsingreenhousegasemissionsandsharplyreducedemissionsofotherairpollutants.
Greenhousegas(GHG)emissions(carbondioxide,hydrofluorocarbons,methane,andnitrousoxide)havehistoricallycloselyparalleledtransportationenergyuseand,asaresult,were4.9percentlowerin2015thanin2010,whiletransportationsectorGHGemissionsdecreasedby1.2percent[USEPA2017a].Overall,thetransportationsectorcontributed27percentoftotalU.S.GHGemissionsin2015,secondonlytoelectricitygenerationat29percent.TransportationsectorGHGemissionspeakedin2005,buttrendeddownwardinthefollowingyearswithalowpointin2012.Thedeclinewasduetoincreaseduseofalternativefuelsandimprovedfueleconomiesrelatedtomanufacturers’effortstomakedrivingmoreaffordableasfuelpriceswereincreasing.SincethenGHGemissionshavebeguntoincreaseduetoincreasesinbothmilestraveledanduseofsportutilityvehicles(SUVs)andlighttrucksassociatedwithlowerfuelpricesmentionedearlier[USEPA2017a].
7-3
Transportation Statistics Annual Report
FIGURE 7-1 U.S. Energy Use by Sector: 2016
Transportation28.6%
Industrial21.8%
Residential andcommercial
10.8%
Energy input at electric utilities
38.8%
Total = 97.4 Quadrillion Btu
NOTES: The data for Residential, Commercial, and Industrial sectors include only fossil fuels consumed directly. Most renewable fuels are not includ-ed. The data for the Transportation sector includes only fossil and renewable fuels consumed directly. The data for Electric utilities includes all fuels (fossil, nuclear, geothermal, hydro, and other renewables) used by electric utilities.
SOURCE: U.S. Department of Energy, Energy Information Administration, Monthly Energy Review, Table 2-1, Available at http://www.eia.gov/totalen-ergy/ as of April 2017.
FIGURE 7-2 Transportation Energy Use by Energy Source: 1950–2016
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010
Qua
drill
ion
btus
Coal Natural Gas Petroleum Biomass Electricity
SOURCE: U.S. Department of Energy, Energy Information Administration, Monthly Energy Review, table 2.5. Available at http://www.eia.gov as of April 2017.
7-4
Chapter 7: Transportation Energy Use and Environmental Impacts
Energy Use Patterns and TrendsTransportation’spetroleumdependencedecreasedfrom96.5percentin2005toabout92.1percentin2016,chieflyduetoincreasedblendingofdomesticallyproducedethanolfrombiomassingasoline[USDOEEIA2017c].TodayalmostallgasolinesoldintheUnitedStatescontains10.0percentethanol(E10).Nearlyalltransportation-relatednaturalgasconsumption,showninfigure7-2,isusedtofuelpipelinecompressors.Naturalgasusebymotorvehiclesremainsasmallfractionoftotaltransportationenergyuse(figure7-2).
Transportation’spetroleumuseisexpectedtoremainatabout13.5millionbarrelsperdaythrough2050andbeyond,eventhoughmorestringentfueleconomystandardsmayproducedecreasesintheamountofgasolineusedbypersonalvehicles[USDOEEIA2017a].Additionally,asvehiclesbecomemorefuelefficientandnewtechnologiesforalternativefuelsourcestopowervehiclescontinuestogrowincludingallelectricvehicles(box7-A),lesspetroleumwillberequiredforasimilarlevelofpersonaltravelmiles(seesections7-4through7-6).Thisimprovementinfuelefficienciesandadropinfuelpricesrecentlyhasledtoanincreaseinpersonalvehiclemilestraveledcontributingtotherelativelystablepetroleumuse.Thislevelingoffofpetroleumconsumptionisalsoexpectedbecausedecliningpersonalvehiclepetroleumuseisprojectedtobeoffsetbygrowthinpetroleumdemandbyothermodes,particularlymedium-andheavy-dutytrucksandair.Forexample,U.S.domesticaircarriermilesflownhasincreasedby10percentsince2000,butthishasbeensomewhatoffsetbyincreasedfuelefficienciesoftheaircraft.
Alternativefueluse(excludinggasohol)bymotorvehiclesincreasedby12.7percentfrom2010to2011(thelatestyearforwhichdataareavailable)[USDOEEIA2017b].Totalalternativefueluseexceeded500milliongasoline-equivalentgallonsin2011.Incomparison,gasolineconsumptionintheUnitedStatesgrewfromabout134billiongallonsin2011tomorethan140billiongallonsin2015—approximately385milliongallonsperday[USDOEEIA2017c].Intermsofoverallenergyconsumption,compressedandliquefiednaturalgasaccountedforalmostone-halfofthetotalalternativeenergyusedbytransportationactivities,followedbyE85,propane,electricity,andhydrogen.E85isablendofbetween51and85percentdenaturedethanolandgasolineandcanbeusedsafelybyapproximately20millionflex-fuelvehiclesoperatingonU.S.roads[USDOEAFDC2017a].However,E85ispredominantlyavailableintheMidwestcorn-beltstatesasindicatedinfigure7-3.
Thehighwaymodedominatestransportationenergyuse(figure7-4).Highwayvehiclesaccountedfor84.0percentofthetotalandusedfivetimesmoreenergythanallothermodescombinedin2015.Light-dutyvehicles(passengercars,SUVs,minivans,andpick-uptrucks)accountedfor73.3percentofhighwayenergyuseand61.6percentoftotaltransportationenergyuse.Airtransportcameinadistantsecondwith6.5percentoftransportationenergyuse,butthisnumberexcludesenergyforinternationalflights.JetfuelssuppliedtointernationalflightsoriginatingintheUnitedStatesamountedto931.6trillionBtu[USEPA2015a],whichisnearlyfivetimestheamountoffuelusedby
7-5
Transportation Statistics Annual Report
FIGURE 7-3 E85 Refueling Stations by State: 2016
IN202
AL40
AR44
CA120
CT4
FL77
GA55
ID6
KS21
KY73
MD36
MA7
MN333
MS3
NE80
NJ5
NM11
NY77
NC58
OH154
OR10
SC66
SD75
TN78
VA30
WA21
WV21
MT2
PA41
WI152
AZ27
CO92
DE1
IA216
LA11
ME0
MI254
MO92
ND43
OK30
RI0
NV20
NH0
TX211
UT1
VT0
WY10
IL264
DC3
AK0
HI2 0 100 Miles0 200 Miles 0 100 Miles
Number of stations200
1050100
SOURCE: U.S. Department of Energy, Alternative Fuels Data Center, Alternative Fueling Station Counts (as of 03/16/2017), available at http://www.afdc.energy.gov/fuels/stations_counts.html as of March 2017.
7-6
Chapter 7: Transportation Energy Use and Environmental Impacts
domesticflights.Watertransportationisthirdwith4.3percent,butonceagainmostoftheenergyusedininternationalshipmentsisnotincludedinthisfigure.Anestimated455.2trillionBtuweresuppliedtointernationalshipsatU.S.ports[USEPA2015a],anamountmorethandoublethatusedbydomesticwaterborneshipping.Railfreightaccountedfor2.0percentoftransportationenergyuse,althoughitcarriesroughly30percentofU.S.freightton-miles.Pipelinesused2.7percentoftransportationenergy,muchofwhichisnaturalgastofuelpipelinecompressors.Transitoperationsaccountedfor0.6percentoftransportationenergyuse.
Greenhouse Gas EmissionsTotaltransportationgreenhousegas(GHG)emissionswere4.0percentlowerin2015
thanin2000.Boththerecessionandtheimprovementsinavailabilityofenergyefficientvehicleslikelycontributedtothisreduction[USEPA2017a].
Despitethelong-termemissionsdecrease,thetransportationsectorremainsthesecondlargestproducerofgreenhousegas(GHG)emissions,accountingforapproximately27.0percentoftotalU.S.emissionsin2015[USEPA2017a].ElectricitygenerationisthehighestGHGproducer.Inrecentyears,transportation-relatedGHGemissionshavebeentrendingupward,butarebelowthe2005peak(figure7-5).Carbondioxide(CO2)producedbythecombustionoffossilfuelsininternalcombustionenginesisthepredominantGHGemittedbythetransportationsector.In2015passengercarswerethelargestsourceofCO2fromtransportation,accountingfor
FIGURE 7-4 Energy Use by Mode of Transportation: 2015
Air6.5%Rail freight
2.0%
Transit & Amtrak
0.6%
Water4.3%
Pipeline2.7%
Combination truck14.1%
Bus1.1%
Highway84.0%
Light-duty61.6%
Single-unit truck7.2%
NOTES: The following conversion rates were used: Jet fuel = 135,000 Btu/gallon. Aviation gasoline = 120,200 Btu/gallon. Automotive gasoline = 125,000 Btu/gallon. Diesel motor fuel = 138,700 Btu/gallon. Compressed natural gas = 138,700 Btu/gallon. Distillate fuel = 138,700 Btu/gallon. Re-sidual fuel = 149,700 Btu/gallon. Natural gas = 1,031 Btu/ft3. Electricity 1kWh = 3,412 Btu, negating electrical system losses. To include approximate electrical system losses, multiply this conversion factor by 3.
SOURCE: Air–Bureau of Transportation Statistics, Office of Airline Information. Rail–Association of American Railroads. Transit–Federal Transit Admin-istration. Amtrak–National Railroad Passenger Corporation (Amtrak), personal communication with Energy Management Department and Government Affairs Department. Water– U.S. Department of Energy, Energy Information Administration and U.S. Department of Transportation, Federal Highway Administration. Pipeline– U.S. Department of Energy, Energy Information Administration. Highway– Federal Highway Administration as cited in U.S. De-partment of Transportation, Bureau of Transportation Statistics, National Transportation Statistics, table 4-6, available at www.bts.gov as of March 2017.
7-7
Transportation Statistics Annual Report
FIGURE 7-5 CO2 Greenhouse Gas Emissions by Mode: 1990–2015
0
200
400
600
800
1,000
1,200
1,400
1,600
1,800
2,000
1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014
Met
ric to
ns C
O2 (m
illio
ns)
Passenger cars
Light-duty trucks
Medium-and Heavy-trucks
Buses
Aircraft
Ships and boats
Rail
Other
NOTES: Other greenhouse gas emissions are from motorcycles, pipelines, and lubricants. International bunker fuel emissions (not included in the total) result from the combustion of fuels purchased in the United States but used for international aviation and maritime transportation. U.S. Total, all modes; Aircraft; and Ships and boats include emissions data for only domestic activity only as do all other data shown. International emissions from bunker fuels purchased in the United States are not included. Alternative-fuel vehicle emissions are allocated to the specific vehicle types in which they were classified (i.e., Passenger cars, Light-duty trucks, All other trucks, and Buses).
SOURCE: U.S. Environmental Protection Agency, Inventory of U.S. Greenhouse Gas Emissions and Sinks: 1990-2015 (2017), table 2-13, available at http://epa.gov/climatechange/emissions/usinventoryreport.html as of March 2017.
41.6percent,followedbyfreighttrucks(23.5percent)andlight-dutytrucks(17.4percent).Domesticoperationofcommercialaircraftproduced9.1percentoftransportationCO2
emissions;however,asmentionedinchapter2,therearenowmoreairpassengermilesininternationalflightsoriginatingandendingintheUnitedStatesthantherearedomesticpassengermiles,leavingmuchoftheairtravelemissionsunaccountedfor.Pipelineswereresponsiblefor3.0percentofemissions,followedbyrail(2.5percent)andshipsandboats(1.8percent)[USEPA2017a].
Hydrofluorocarbons(HFC),methane(CH4),andnitrousoxides(N2O)aretheotherprincipalGHGsemittedbythetransportationsector.EachGHGisreportedusingacommon
metricofequivalentgramsofCO2foreachemission(figure7-6).HFCs,suchasthoseonceusedinautomotiveairconditioners,aresecondinabundancebehindCO2.HFCsarethemostdetrimentalGHGsknown.GHGemissionregulationsforpersonalvehiclesgivemanufacturerscreditsforreducingtheseHFCemissions,anditislikelythattheseemissionswilldecreaseinthefuture.Nitrousoxidesarechieflyproducedinthecatalyticconvertersofmotorvehicles,andaverysmallquantityofmethaneemissionsisproducedbyincompletecombustionoffossilfuelsorbyleakage.
Because96.7percentoftransportationGHGemissionsareCO2producedbyfossilfuelcombustionandbecausepetroleumcomprises92.2percentoftransportationenergyuse,
7-8
Chapter 7: Transportation Energy Use and Environmental Impacts
modalGHGemissionscloselytrackmodalenergyuse.TransportationGHGemissionsincreasedfrom2000to2007(figure7-5),fellby5.0percentduringtheeconomicrecessionin2008,andthenstabilizedatslightlyunder1,800teragrams(millionmetrictons)inthe2009to2015periodwithaslightincreasefrom2014to2015[USEPA2017a].Theshort-termdecreaseineconomicactivityandtherelateddeclineintransportationdemandcontributed,inpart,tothedecreaseinCO2emissionsduringtherecession.
Evidentinfigure7-7aretheresultsoftheU.S.EnvironmentalProtectionAgency’s(EPA’s)
decisiontochangethedefinitionsofpassengercarsandlighttrucksin2007.Manyvehiclesformerlyclassifiedaslighttrucks,butdesignedpredominantlyforpassengertransportation,werereclassifiedaspassengercars,causinganapparentjumpinpassengercaremissionsthatwereoffsetbyacompensatingdropinlight-truckemissions.
Energy Efficiency Historically,improvementsintheefficiencyinenergyusehavereducedenergyconsumptioninthetransportationsector.FueleconomiesofpassengercarsandlighttruckshavecloselytrackedtheCorporateAverageFuelEconomy
FIGURE 7-6 CO2 Greenhouse Gas Emissions by Mode: 1990–2015Total = 1,804 Teragrams or million metric tons of CO2 Equivalent Units
Carbon dioxide - CO296.7%
Hydro�uorocarbonsHFCs2.6%
Nitrous oxideN2O0.7%Methane
CH4 < 0.1%
NOTES: The data for the transportation sector includes only fossil and renewable fuels consumed directly. The data for Non-Transportation includes the Residential, Commercial, and Industrial sectors, which include only fossil fuels consumed directly, and electric utilities, which includes all fuels (fossil, nuclear, geothermal, hydro, and other renewables) used by electric utilities. Most renewable fuels are not included. Totals may not add to 100% due to rounding.
SOURCE: U.S. Environmental Protection Agency, Inventory of U.S. Greenhouse Gas Emissions and Sinks: 1990-2015, table 2-12 and table ES-6, available at http://epa.gov/climatechange/emissions/usinventoryreport.html as of March 2017.
7-9
Transportation Statistics Annual Report
FIGURE 7-7 Car and Light Truck Corporate Average Fuel Economy (CAFE) and Miles per Gallon (MPG): Model Years 1975–2016
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
19751977
19791981
19831985
19871989
19911993
19951997
19992001
20032005
20072009
20112013
2015
Mile
s pe
r gal
lon
Car EPA Unadj., Lab (MPG)Car CAFE Standard (domestic)
Light Truck EPA Unadj., Lab (MPG) Light Truck CAFE Standard (domestic)
KEY: MPG = Miles per Gallon; EPA = U.S. Environmental Protection Agency; P = preliminary; R = revised.
NOTES: Corporate Average Fuel Economy (CAFE) standards, which must be met at the manufacturer level were established by the U.S. Energy Policy and Conservation Act of 1975 (PL 94-163). EPA Unadjusted, Laboratory (MPG) estimates are based upon standardized laboratory tests and do not account for factors that may affect actual roadway fuel economies such as aerodynamics, climate, etc.
SOURCE: All Car and All Truck CAFE Stds: Davis, S.C., S.W. Diegel and R.G.Boundy. Transportation Energy Data Book, Edition 35 (October 2016), Oak Ridge National Laboratory, Oak Ridge, TN. Tables 4-21 and 4-22. Available at cta.ornl.gov/data as of April 2016. Car and All Truck EPA MPG: U.S. Environmental Protection Agency (EPA), Light-Duty Automotive Technology, Carbon Dioxide Emissions, and Fuel Economy Trends: 1975 - 2016. Table 9.1. Available at http://epa.gov/otaq/fetrends.htm as of March 2017.
7-10
Chapter 7: Transportation Energy Use and Environmental Impacts
(CAFE)standardssincetheytookeffectin1978(figure7-7).Themilespergallon(mpg)valuesshowninfigure7-7aretheunadjusted,laboratorytestvaluesonwhichcompliancewiththestandardsisbased.Thesevaluesdonotaccountforfactorsthataffecthighwayfuelefficiencysuchaswindandvehicleaerodynamics.Theactualmpgvaluesseenonwindowstickersandinpublicadvertisingareadjusteddownwardtobetterrepresentthefueleconomydriverswilllikelyexperienceontheroad.1
Theaverage25.6mpg(preliminaryestimates)formodelyear2016forallmodelswasdownslightlyfrom24.8mpgin2015,duetoincreasedconsumerdemandforlessfuelefficientlighttrucksandSUVsassociatedwithlowfuelcostsasdiscussedearlier[USEPA2017f].Thesempgresultsareupsignificantlyfrom1975,thestartoftheeraoffueleconomyimprovementsasvehicle-milestraveledgrewfasterthanfuelconsumption(figure7-8).However,dropsinfuelusearetemperedsomewhatbyincreasesintravelstimulatedbyimprovementsinfueleconomy,aphenomenonknownasthe“reboundeffect.”Fuelpricedeclineshavebeenafactorinanincreaseinindividualmilesdrivenonanannualbasis.
1Theapparentdecreaseinon-roadfueleconomyes-timatesafter2005morelikelyreflectsachangeinthedefinitionsofpassengercarsandlighttrucksandthemethodsusedtoestimatetheirtravelandfuelusethananactualdecreaseinmpg.Anotherchangeinreport-ingoccurredwhentheU.S.DepartmentofTranspor-tation(USDOT),FederalHighwayAdministration(FHWA),startedusingtheclassificationsofshort-andlong-wheelbaselight-dutyvehiclesin2007ratherthanthepreviouscategoriesofpassengercarsandtwo-axle,four-tiretrucks.Asaresult,thepost2006on-roadfueleconomydataarenotconsistentwiththedatafrom2006andearlieryears,unlessthecategoriesarecombined
Forexample,regulargasolinepricesintheU.S.droppedtoanaverageof$2.14pergallonin2015downfrom$3.62pergallonin2012,thehighestannualaveragesince2000[USDOEEIA2017d].Whengaspriceswereathighlevels,automanufacturersfocusedonsmall,fuel-efficientvehicles.Withthepricedecline,driversareagaindemandingthelargetrucksandSUVsofearlieryears,butduetoCAFEstandards,theyarenowmorefuelefficientwiththenewdieselandhybridand/orelectricoptionstoday(seesections7-4to7-6)[WOODYARD2015].
OnAugust28,2012,theUSDOTandtheEPAsetfueleconomyandGHGemissionsstandardsforpassengercarsandlighttrucksthrough2025.Nominally,thestandardsrequireatotalfleetaverageof54.5mpg(163gramsofCO2equivalent)fornewpersonalvehiclesby2025[USEPA2012].However,thesestandardsarebasedonlaboratorytestcyclesratherthanrealworlddrivinganddonotconsiderthemanywaysmanufacturerscanearnfueleconomycredits.Creditsmaybeearnedforsolarpanelsonhybrids,engineshutoffatidle,andotherfeaturesthatimproveonroadfueleconomybutwhicharenotreflectedinthetestcycle.
Furthermore,thenewstandardsvarywiththesizeofthevehiclesamanufacturerproduces.Medium-andheavy-dutyhighwayvehicles(e.g.,combinationtrucksandbuses)arethesecondlargestenergyusersamongmodes,accountingfor23.0percentoftransportationenergyusein2015[ORNL2015].In2011theUSDOTandtheEPAannouncedthefirstfueleconomyandemissionstandardsforthisvehicleclassformodelyears2014–2018
7-11
Transportation Statistics Annual Report
FIGURE 7-8 Vehicle-Miles of Travel and Fuel Use by Personal Vehicles: 1965–2015
0
50,000
100,000
150,000
200,000
0
500,000
1,000,000
1,500,000
2,000,000
2,500,000
3,000,000
1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015
Fuel consumption (m
illion gallons)
Vehicle travel
Fuel consumption
Vehi
cle-
mile
s tr
avel
ed (m
illio
ns)
Cor
pora
te A
vera
ge F
uel E
cono
my
(CA
FE) S
tand
ards
Firs
t Ena
cted
NOTES: Includes passenger cars, light trucks and motorcycles for year 1965. The definition of light-duty vehicle was changed after 2006, affecting the vehicle types included in the personal vehicle category.
SOURCE: U.S. Department of Transportation, Federal Highway Administration, Highway Statistics (multiple years), Table VM-1, available at http://www.fhwa.dot.gov/policyinformation/statistics.cfm as of March 2017.
[USEPA2011].By2018therequirementsforcombinationtractortrailersspecifyfueleconomyimprovementsrangingfrom9to23percent,dependingonthetrucktype.Similarimprovementsarerequiredforthediverseclassofsingleunitcommercialtrucksandbuses—vehiclesasvariousasdeliverytrucks,dumptrucks,cementmixers,andschoolbuses.Ifamanufacturerproducesmostlylargevehicles,thenitsactualfueleconomyrequirementwillbelowerthanifitproducesmostlysmallvehicles.Takingallthesefactorsintoaccount,USDOTandEPAestimatedthatmanufacturerswouldachievefueleconomylevelsof46.2to47.4mpgonthelaboratorytestcycles[FEDERALREGISTER2012].Fueleconomiesachievedinactualdrivingwouldlikelybe15to20percentlower.Newfuel-economystandardsweredevelopedformodelyears2022-2025thatwouldbeevenmorestringentthanbefore,butatpresentareonholdastheyarebeingre-reviewed.
Theenergyintensitiesofpassengermodeshavegenerallydeclinedovertime,withfiveoutofsixpassengermodesnowaveraginglessthan4,000Btuperperson-mile,orabout30person-milespergallonofgasolineequivalent(figure7-9).Thesedeclinesarelargelytheresultofmoreaerodynamicvehiclesandefficientenginesaswellasimprovedoperatingefficiencies(e.g.,higheraircarrierloadfactors).From2000to2014,theenergyintensityofshort-andlong-wheelbaselight-dutyvehiclesandbustransitroselikelyduetoincreasedfuelefficiencies,whiletheenergyintensityofotherpassengermodes—airandAmtrak—declined.Theenergyintensityofrailfreighttransportdecreasedfrom14,826Btu/car-milein2000to14,421in2014.Movingonetonoffreightonemilein2014required88.4percentasmuchenergyasitdidin2000.Thisreductionwasaccomplishedmostlythroughreducingenergyuseperfreightcar-milebyabout2.1percent[USDOTBTSNTS
7-12
Chapter 7: Transportation Energy Use and Environmental Impacts
2017].Toreducebothfuelconsumptionandemissions,shipsarenowareusingalternativepowersourcestopowerairconditioningandotherfunctionswhiledocked.Truckingfleetsarebothleveragingnewhybriddieseltechnologyaswellasplatooningwheretheyutilizeautomateddrivingtechnologyallowingthemtodrivelessthan1secondaparttoreducefuelconsumptionandimproveefficiencies.
Alternative Fuels and VehiclesAlargepartofthegrowinguseofbiofuels(representedasbiomass)intransportation,anover900percentincreasefrom2000to
2016,showninfigure7-2,canbeattributedtotherequirementsoftheFederalRenewableFuelsStandard(RFS).EnactedaspartoftheEnergy Policy Act of 2005 (Pub.L.109-58)andextendedbytheEnergy Independence and Security Act of 2007(Pub.L.110-140),theRFSrequirestheintroductionofincreasingamountsofrenewableenergyintogasolineanddieselfuelseachyear,ultimatelyreaching36billiongallonsby2022[USLOCCRS2013band2015].Atleast16billiongallonsarerequiredtobecellulosicethanol,andnomorethan15billiongallonscanbeethanolproducedfromcornstarch.In2014theU.S.
FIGURE 7-9 Energy Intensity of Passenger Modes: 1990–2015 (Btu per passenger mile)
Air domestic
Air international
Light duty highway vehicle
Passenger car
Light truck
Transit bus
Amtrak
0
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
5,000
6,000
1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014
Btu
per p
asse
nger
mile
NOTES: Light-duty highway vehicles include passenger cars, light trucks, vans, and sport utility vehicles. Highway data for 2007-2011 were calculated using a new methodology and are not comparable to previous years. A change in vehicle occupancy rates derived from the National Household Travel Surveys results in a shift of highway passenger-miles between 2008 and 2009. Energy Intensity (Btu per Passenger mile) = Energy Use (Btu) / Passenger Miles, Energy Use calculated by using fuel and electricity usage and converting to energy by using BTS conversion rates. The following conversion rates were used: Diesel =138,700 Btu/gallon. Compressed natural gas = 22,500 Btu/gallon. Bio-Diesel = 126,200 Btu/gallon. Liquefied natural gas = 84,800 Btu/gallon. Gasoline = 125,000 Btu/gallon. Liquefied petroleum gas = 91,300 Btu/gallon. Methanol = 64,600 Btu/gallon. Ethanol = 84,600 Btu/gallon. Bunker fuel = 149,700 Btu/gallon. Kerosene = 135,000 Btu/gallon. Grain additive = 120,900 Btu/gallon. Electricity 1KWH = 3,412 Btu, negating electrical system losses. This table includes approximate electrical system losses, and thus the conversion factor is multiplied by 3.
SOURCE: Highway–Federal Highway Administration. Air–Bureau of Transportation Statistics, Office of Airline Information. Amtrak–National Railroad Passenger Corporation (Amtrak), personal communication with Energy Management Department and Government Affairs Department and Association of American Railroads. Transit–Federal Transit Administration as cited in U.S. Department of Transportation, Bureau of Transportation Statistics, National Transportation Statistics, table 4-21, 4-22, 4-24, and 4-16, available at www.bts.gov as of November 2017.
7-13
Transportation Statistics Annual Report
consumednearly13.5billiongallonsoffuelethanoland1.4billiongallonsofbiodiesel[USDOEEIA2017c].Therefore,wearenearthegoalforethanolalready,butnotsointermsofbiodiesel.
Morethan39billiongallonsofdieselfuelwereconsumedbyvehiclesin2015comparedto33billiongallonsin2000[USDOEEIA2017e].Dieselvehiclesofferings,includingnew,cleandieseltechnologiesarehittingthemarket,andthesevehiclesareprovidingmorefuelefficienciesthansimilar-sizedgasolineengines.Dieselfuelcanprovideupto15percentmoreenergythantheequivalentamountofgasoline[USDOEandUSEPA2016].ThesevehiclesareasmallpercentageoftheNation’sfleetofmotorvehicles,mostlymediumandheavytrucks.In2015therewereanestimated1.74millionturbochargeddirectinjection(TDI)light-dutydieselvehiclesintheUnitedStatesoutof210.2millionconventionalcarsandlight-dutytrucks[USDOEORNL2017].
Flexible-fuelvehicles(FFVs)cansafelyusemixturesofupto85percentethanol(E85)withgasoline.FFVsaccountedfor75.7percentofthenearly19.7millionalternativefuelvehiclesoperatingonU.S.roadsin2015[USDOEEIA2017a].However,moston-roadFFVsarefueledwithgasolineorgasoline/E10blendsonly.Until2016automobilemanufacturescouldearnextracreditstowardmeetingCAFEstandardsbymakingandsellingFFVs.FutureFFVsalesareuncertainbecausethecreditswillbelargelyphasedoutunlessactualuseofE85increasessubstantially.Together,liquidpetroleumgas/propaneandcompressed/liquefiednaturalgas-poweredvehiclesaccountedforapproximately4.5percent
ofalternativefuelvehiclesinusein2015[USDOEEIA2017a].
Alternative Refueling/RechargingThefirstmass-producedhybridelectricvehicle(HEV),poweredbyaninternalcombustionengineandanelectricmotor,wasintroducedin1999.Hybridvehicleshavebecomepopularasareplacementfortraditionalgasoline-ordiesel-fueledvehicles.HEVsalesgrewfrom17vehiclesin1999toahighof592,000in2013(includingplug-inhybridandbattery-poweredvehicles)beforedeclining,likelyduetoadropingasolinepricesthatmadethesevehicleslessattractivetobuyers.In2016about504,000HEV/electricsweresoldintheUnitedStates(figure7-10).
In2010just19electric-onlyand326plug-inhybridvehiclesweresold.By2016thesenumberswere84,000and73,000,respectively[HYBRIDCARS2017].Overthesameperiod,thenumberofnewtothemarketmakesandmodelsofbatteryelectric-onlyvehiclesincreasedfrom3to15,whileplug-inhybridofferingsincreasedfrom1to17[USDOEandUSEPA2017b].Electricallydrivenmotorvehiclesaregainingpopularityintheconsumermarket.
Thefirstmass-produced“plug-in”hybridelectricvehicles(PHEV),abletodrawelectricpowerfromtheutilitygridandstoreiton-board,weresoldin2010.Hybridelectricvehicles(HEV),PHEVs,andbatteryelectricvehicles(BEV)sawa69.1percentriseinsalesfrom2015to2016andcomprisedabout2.9percentofthe17.5millionvehiclesalesin2016[HYBRIDCARS2016].However,automakerssharemustreducecosts,overcomethemarket’s
7-14
Chapter 7: Transportation Energy Use and Environmental Impacts
FIGURE 7-10 Sales of Hybrid, Plug-in Hybrid and Battery Electric Vehicles: 1999–2016
0
100,000
200,000
300,000
400,000
500,000
600,000
700,000
1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Uni
t sal
es
Hybrid electric vehicle (HEV)
“Plug-in hybrid electric vehicles (PHEV)
Battery electric-only vehicles (BEV)
SOURCE: HybridCars, December Dashboards, Annual Issues, available at www.hybridcars.com as of March 2017.
Box 7-A Electric VehiclesAll-electricvehicles(i.e.,thosepoweredsolelybyanelectricmotornotrequiringotherfuel)havealonghistory,withtheearliestbatterypoweredvehiclesproducedpriorto1900beforelosingoutinthemarkettogasolinepoweredvehicles[USDOE2016].
Today,all-electricvehiclesaretakingalargershareofthemarketwithover87,000unitssoldin2016comparedtoover70,000plug-inhybridelectricvehicles.Formodelyear2017,atleast12modelsofall-electricvehiclesand17modelsofplug-inhybridelectricvehicles(PHEVs)exist[USDOEORNL2016].
Today,thetypicaldrivingrangeforall-electricvehiclesis60to120miles[USDOE2017f].Today’sbatteriesholdmorechargeandtakeuplessspaceinthevehicle.Batterycapacitiesinall-electricvehiclestodayrangefrom22kW-hrsto100kW-hrs,whichexceedthecapacityrangeforPHEVs(7.1to33kW-hrs).Batterycostscontinuetogodownforconsumersasnewtechnologiesemerge.Publicelectriccharging
stations/outletshaveincreasedfromabout3,500in2011toover42,000in2016[USDOEORNL2016].
TheEIA’sAnnualEnergyOutlookprojectsthatbattery-electricvehicleswillsurpassPHEVssalesnearlydoublingPHEVsalesbytheyear2040.ThisdemandispartiallydrivenbyincentivizedprogramssuchasCalifornia’sZero-EmissionVehicleregulationthathasbeenreplicatedin9otherstates.Thetrendisexpectedtocontinuetocombatairqualityconcernsandmitigateclimatechange[USDOEORNL2016].
Considerableprogresshasbeenmadeincreatinganationwiderecharginginfrastructure.AsofMay2017,thereweremorethan18,000rechargingstationsincludingprivatelyownedstationswithmorethan49,000nonresidentialchargingoutletsacrosstheUnitedStates,upfromalmost3,400outletsin2011[USDOEAFDC2017c].Thedistributionofelectricvehiclerechargingstations(figure7-11)tendstofavorstatesthathaveoptedintoCalifornia’sZeroEmissionVehicles(ZEV)standards.
7-15
Transportation Statistics Annual Report
FIGURE 7-11 Electric Vehicle Refueling Stations by State: March 2017
AL243
AR90
CA14,884
CT724
FL2,174
GA1,777
ID148
IL1,136
IN389
KS741
KY175
MD1,229
MA1,295
MN709
MS66
NE144
NJ522NJ522
NM139
NY1,644
NC1,055
OH650
OR1,290
SC382
SD40
TN1,013
VA1,028
WA1,870
WV108
MT86
PA715
WI457
AZ1,043
CO1,080
DE79
IA215
LA165
ME189
MI1,107
MO1,316
ND11
OK104
RI208
NV496
NH187
TX2,502
UT329
VT405
WY65
DC250
AK7
HI563 0 100 Miles0 200 Miles 0 100 Miles
Number of outlets
5001,000
5,00010,000
SOURCE: U.S. Department of Energy, Alternative Fuels Data Center, Alternative Fueling Station Counts (as of 03/16/2017), available at http://www.afdc.energy.gov/fuels/stations_counts.html as of March 2017.
7-16
Chapter 7: Transportation Energy Use and Environmental Impacts
unfamiliaritywiththenewtechnology,decreasethelengthoftimerequiredforrechargingbatteries,increasethedistancethatcanbedrivenononechargeandfurther,developrecharginginfrastructuretoincreasemarketshare.
Liquidpetroleumgas/propaneandcompressed/liquefiednaturalgas-poweredvehiclesaccountedforapproximately4.5percentofalternativefuelvehiclesinusein2015[USDOEEIA2017a].California,Texas,Oklahoma,andNewYorkhavewidedistributionandavailabilityofcompressedandliquefiednaturalgasrefuelingstations(figure7-12).ThesestateshaveamongthehighestnumberofCNG/LNGvehiclesregistered.
Transportation’s Energy OutlookTheEIAhasprojectedthelikelyeffectsofcurrenttrendsandexistingpoliciesontransportation’sfutureenergyuseandGHGemissions.Transportationenergyuseisprojectedtoremainatornearthecurrentlevelof27quadrillionBtuthrough2050[USDOEEIA2017a].ExistingfueleconomyandGHGemissionsstandardsareexpectedtodecreaselight-dutyvehicleenergyuseby15.8percentby2050,resultinginapproximately13.5quadrillionBtuofenergyusefor2050(figure7-13).Mostofthisreductionisexpectedtobeoffsetbygrowthinenergyusebymedium-andheavy-dutytrucks,althoughthatcouldchangeiffueleconomyandemissionsstandardsforthosevehiclesarefurthertightened.
Forallothermodes,activitygrowthisapproximatelybalancedbyimprovementsinenergyefficiency.Theseprojectionsarebasedonexistingpoliciesandincreasingoilprices
whichhavedeclinedinrecentyears;therefore,theprojectionsaresubjecttochangeashasbeenseeninrecentyearswiththedeclineinpetroleumprices.Naturalgasusebymotorvehiclesincompressedandliquefiedformisprojectedtoincreasefromjust0.06quadsin2015to0.52quadsby2050[USDOEEIA2017a].EIAattributedalloftheprojectedincreaseinnaturalgasusebymotorvehiclestomedium-andheavy-dutytrucksandbuses.
AccordingtotheEIA,the2011–2025fueleconomystandardscoupledwiththeanticipatedsecondphaseoffuelefficiencyregulationsareplannedtotakeeffectin2027.Togetherwiththemarket’sresponsetohighergasolineprices,thesefuelefficiencyregulationsareprojectedtosavepersonalvehicleownersabout26billiongallonsofmotorfuelin2050,ifconsumptionwouldhaveremainedatthesamelevelofvehicletravelwithoutanyincreaseinfueleconomy(figure7-14).
Byfueltype,EIAprojectsgasolineusetodeclinefrom17.0quadsin2015(actual)to13.4in2050,inlinewithlight-dutyvehicleenergyuse.Dieselfueluseisprojectedtoincreasefrom6.6in2015to7.0quadsin2050,whichisconsistentwiththegrowthoftruckfreightenergyuse.E85willincreasebutwillstillamounttoonly0.17quadsoftransportationenergyin2050.Interestingly,electricityisanticipatedtohavethesecondhighestincreasenexttogasolineoverthe2015to2050timeperiod,goingfrom0.03quadsto0.41quadsperyear.Hydrogenisprojectedtoleadintermsofgrowth,from0.0atpresentto0.08quadsperyear[USDOEEIA2017a].Thegrowthinnewtechnologiesthatmake
7-17
Transportation Statistics Annual Report
FIGURE 7-12 Alternative Fuel Stations by State: March 2017
AL34
AR18
CA365
CT 22
FL59
GA52
ID13
IL50
IN37
KS21
KY12
MDMD17
MA17MA17
MN25
MS9
NE13
NJ28
NM15
NY114
NC41
OH66
OR18
SC13
SD1
TN25
VA20
WA29
WV4
MT1
PA71
WI60
AZ43
CO46
DE1
IA9
LA24
ME2
MI24
MO23
ND1
OK124
RI5
NV8
TX145
UT91
VT3
WY13
NH3
DC2
AK1
HI1
Number of stations
5010
100200
0 100 Miles0 200 Miles 0 100 Miles
SOURCE: U.S. Department of Energy, Alternative Fuels Data Center, Alternative Fueling Station Counts (as of 03/16/2017), available at http://www.afdc.energy.gov/fuels/stations_counts.html as of March 2017.
FIGURE 7-13 Transportation Energy Use: 2015 Projected to 2050
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 2040 2045 2050
Qua
dilli
on b
tu
Light-duty vehicle
Other highwayFreight trucks
AirWaterRailPIpeline & other
SOURCE: U.S. Department of Energy, Energy Information Administration, Annual Energy Outlook 2017. Transportation Sector Energy Use by Mode and Type. Available at http://www.eia.gov/forecasts/aeo/ as of March 2017.
7-18
Chapter 7: Transportation Energy Use and Environmental Impacts
FIGURE 7-14 Highway Vehicle Fuel Use and Travel: 2015 Projected to 2050
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
3,000
3,500
4,000
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
180
200
2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 2040 2045 2050
Vehi
cle
trav
el (b
illio
ns o
f mile
s)
Fuel
use
(bill
ions
of g
allio
ns)
Light-duty vehicle fuel use (billion gallons)
Medum & heavy-duty vehicle fuel use (billion gallons)
Light-duty vehicle VMT
Medium & heavy-duty vehicle VMT
KEY: VMT = Vehicle-miles Travelled.
SOURCE: U.S. Department of Energy, Energy Information Administration, Annual Energy Outlook 2017. Reference Case table 7. Available at http://www.eia.gov/forecasts/aeo/ as of March 2017.
thesefuelsourcesmoreaffordableandeasilyaccessibleforbothelectricandhydrogen-poweredvehiclesarethedrivingforcesbehindthisprojectedtrend.
Air and Water Quality, Noise, and Habitat ImpactsBeyondthegreenhousegasesaddressedearlierinthechapter,vehicleemissionscontrolsandotherpolicieshavereducedtransportation’sothersixmostcommoncriteriaairpollutantemissionstobelow2000levels,atrendthatcontinuedthrough2016withtheexceptionofparticulatematter10(PM-10),whichhaveremainedconstantfrom2014to2016(figure7-15).PM-10referstosmall,inhalableparticlessmallerthan10micrometersindiameterthatformfromcomplexreactionsofchemicals,suchassulfurdioxide(SO2)and
nitrogenoxides(NOx).Particulatemattercanalsobeemitteddirectlyfromsourcessuchasconstructionsites,smokestacks,orfires.Transportation’sshareoftotalU.S.PM-2.5emissionsdecreasedby15.4percentfrom2000to2016,whiletheshareofPM-10emissionsincreasedby2.9percentoverthesameperiod.
Smog-formingemissionsofvolatileorganiccompounds(VOC)andNOxwere9.4and53.6percentlower,respectively,in2016thantheywerein2000.Inrecentyears,NOxemissionshavedecreasedmorerapidly,partlyduetomoreadvanceddieselemissioncontrolsandtheuseofcleaner,ultra-lowsulfurdieselfuel.Diesel-fueledvehiclesmakeup4percentofthetotaltransportationfleetwiththemajorityofthedieselvehiclesbeingmediumandheavytrucks[USDOEEIA2015].
7-19
Transportation Statistics Annual Report
FIGURE 7-15 Indexes of Key Air Pollutant Emissions from U.S. Transportation: 2000–2016
0.20
0
0.40
0.60
0.80
1.00
1.20
1.40
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Particulate matter - PM 2.5
Particulate matter - PM 10
Nitrous oxide - NOx
Volatile organic compounds - VOC
Sulfur dioxide - SO2
Carbon monoxide
Ammonia - NH3
SOURCE: U.S. Environmental Protection Agency, National Emissions Inventory Air Pollutant Emissions Trends Data, 1970-2016, Average Annual Emissions All Criteria Pollutants, Available at https://www.epa.gov/air-emissions-inventories/air-pollutant-emissions-trends-data as of March 2017.
EmissionsofSO2were83.4percentlowerin2016thanin2000,dueinlargeparttoreductionsinthesulfurcontentsofgasolineanddieselfuel.TheClean Air Act of 1970ledtothereductioninleademissions,onceamajorairpollutantfromtransportation;leadisnotshowninfigure7-15becauseithasbeenvirtuallyeliminatedfromtransportationwiththephase-outofleadedgasoline.
Emissionsofammonia(NH3),anotherairpollutant,alsoshowsasignificantdeclinefrom2000levelswithareductionof21.4percentin2016[USEPA2017d].Transportationcomprised2.4percentoftotalU.S.emissionsofammoniain2014[USEPA2016b].
Reductionsintransportation’sairemissionshavecontributedtoimprovedairqualityintheNation’surbanareas.Figure7-16comparesairqualitydaysfor169continuouslymonitoredurbanareasin2000andin2015.Theaverage
numberofdaysfromthe169urbanareasinwhichairqualitywasreportedtobeunhealthyforsensitivegroups(e.g.,peoplewithlungdisease,youngchildren,andolderadults)droppedfrom53.6in2000to6.9in2015;theaveragenumberofdayswithunhealthyairqualityforthepopulationasawholedeclinedfrom12.2in2000to0.9in2015,andthetotalnumberofveryunhealthydays(whichcouldtriggerhealthemergencywarningsforthepublic)decreasedfromanaverageof1.8in2000to0.1in2015.Thegreatmajorityofdayshadgoodormoderate(192goodand106moderate)airqualityin2000andagainin2015(247goodand110moderate).Onaverage,airqualityinthesecitieswasgoodfor247daysin2015,whichwasasubstantialincreasecomparedto192daysin2000[USEPA2017b].
Pipelines,shipsandbarges,railroadcars,andtanktrucksareamongthesourcesofspillsof
7-20
Chapter 7: Transportation Energy Use and Environmental Impacts
FIGURE 7-16 Air Quality Index (AQI) Across 169 U.S. Cities: 2000 and 2015
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
Good Moderate Unhealthy for sensitive groups
Unhealthy Very unhealthy
Ave
rage
num
ber o
f day
s pe
r yea
r
AQI Category
2000 2015
NOTES: Based on number of days in the year in which an AQI measurement was reported from any monitoring site in the county or Metropolitan Statistical Area to the Air Quality Statistics database.# Days Good: number of days in the year having an AQI value 0-50# Days Moderate: number of days in the year having an AQI value 51-100# Days Unhealthy for Sensitive Groups: number of days in the year having an AQI value 101-150# Days Unhealthy: number of days in the year having an AQI value 151-200# Days Very Unhealthy: number of days in the year having an AQI value greater than 201. This includes the AQI categories very unhealthy and hazardous.
SOURCE: U.S. Environmental Protection Agency, Air Quality Index Information. Available at http://www.epa.gov/airtrends/aqi_info.html as of June 2016.
crudeoilandpetroleumproductsintosurfacewatersandnavigablewaterways.Theannualvolumespilledvariesgreatlyfromyeartoyearandisstronglyaffectedbyinfrequent,largeevents(figure7-17).Forexample,in2005HurricaneKatrinacausednumerousspillsintonavigablewaterwaysfromavarietyofsourcesinLouisianaandMississippiasthevolumeofpetroleumspilledjumpedto9.9milliongallons,morethanthreetimestheamountofpetroleumspilledinanyotheryearfrom1995through2015.Whilethenumberfluctuatesfromyear-to-year,the1,375spillincidentsfromvesselsin2015wereslightlylessthanthe1,508incidentsin2010ofandconsiderablylessthanthe5,560in2000.The681spillincidentsfrompipelinesandother
non-vesselsourcesintonavigablewatersin2015showasimilardecliningtrendfromthe1,008incidentsin2010and1,645in2000,indicatingimprovementsinsafetymeasuresforallpetroleumtransportmodes.
Additionally,theUSDOTPipelineandHazardousMaterialsSafetyAdministration(PHMSA)reportsthatthenumberofseriouspipelineincidentsfrom2010to2015wastrendingdownfrom34to28,untilincreasingto37in2016.Manyoftheseincidentswereeitherbyexcavationequipmentorvehiclesnotinvolvedinexcavationintersectingwithgaspipelines(orgastransmissionpipelines).Asmentionedinchapter6,pipeline-relatedfatalitiesaveragedabout16deathsperyear
7-21
Transportation Statistics Annual Report
FIGURE 7-17 Petroleum Spills Impacting Navigable Waterways: 1985, 1990, and 1995–2015
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
1985 1990 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Gal
lons
spi
lled
(mill
ions
)
Vessels
Pipelines and other
Unknown
NOTES: The spike in Gallons spilled for 2005 can be attributed to the passage of Hurricane Katrina in Louisiana and Mississippi on Aug. 29, 2005, which caused numerous spills approximating 8 million gallons of oil in U.S. waters. The largest spill in U. S. waters began on April 20, 2010 with an explosion and fire on the mobile offshore drilling unit (MODU) DEEPWATER HORIZON. Subsequently, the MODU sank, leaving an open exploratory well to discharge crude oil into the Gulf of Mexico for several weeks. The most commonly accepted spill amout from the well is approximately 206.6 million gallons, plus approximately 400,000 gallons of oil products from the MODU. The totals in this table may be different from those that appear in the source, due to rounding by the source.
SOURCE: U.S. Department of Transportation, Bureau of Transportation Statistics, National Transportation Statistics, Table 4-54, Available at http://www.bts.gov as of May 2017.
intheperiodof1997to2016.In2016therewere17fatalitiesacrossalltypesofpipelineincidents[PHMSA2016].
In1985,inresponsetoacongressionalrequirement,EPAbegananefforttoregulateundergroundstoragetanksthatcancontaminategroundwater,tocleanupleaks,andpreventfutureleaks[USEPA2017c].Sincethen,thenumberofnewleaksfromstoragetankshasbeenreducedbynearlyanorderofmagnitude,andover86percentofallleakshavebeencleanedup(figure7-18).
Pollutionofwaterwaysfromspills,however,isnottheonlyenvironmentalchallengeposedbymarinetransportation.Portandvessel
operationscannegativelyimpactairqualityandhaveotherdetrimentalimpactsontheenvironmentthroughemissionsduringidling,movingcargofromonemodeoftransporttotheother,etc.Butrecenttrendsinalternatemarinepower(AMP),suchasshipsshiftingtoshore-sidepowerwhiledockedforbasicshipfunctionssuchaslightsandair-conditioning,andlow-sulfurfuelarehelpinglessontheimpacts[MARINEINSIGHT2016].
Asrainwaterorsnowmeltrunsofftransportationinfrastructure,likeroads,parkinglots,andbridges,itpicksupde-icingsalts,rubberandmetalparticlesfromtirewear,antifreezeandlubricants,andotherwastesthatmayhavebeendepositedoninfrastructure
7-22
Chapter 7: Transportation Energy Use and Environmental Impacts
FIGURE 7-18 Leaking Underground Storage Tank Releases and Cleanup: 1990-2016
0.0%
10.0%
20.0%
30.0%
40.0%
50.0%
60.0%
70.0%
80.0%
90.0%
100.0%
0
10,000
20,000
30,000
40,000
50,000
60,000
70,000
1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016
Cum
ulat
ive
rele
ases
cle
aned
up
Num
ber o
f new
rele
ases New releasees Cumulative cleanup
NOTES: All data are cumulative from the start of the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency’s Underground Storage Tank program, which began in 1984. Data represent fiscal year, October 1 through September 30.
SOURCE: U.S. Department of Transportation, Bureau of Transportation Statistics, National Transportation Statistics, Table 4-55, Available at http://www.bts.gov as of March 2017.
surfaces.Therunoffcarriesthesecontaminantsintostreams,lakes,estuaries,andoceans.Anin-depthstudyofroad-saltimpactsonwaterqualityexaminedU.S.GeologicalSurveyhistoricaldatacollectedbetween1969and2008from13northernand4southernmetropolitanareas.DuringtheNovembertoAprilperiod,whenroadsaltapplicationismostcommon,theconcentrationofchloride(aningredientofsalt)chronicallysurpassedEPA’swater-qualitycriteriaat55percentofthemonitoringlocationsinnorthernmetropolitanareas;chloridelevelsacutelysurpassedthecriteriaat25percentofthesenorthernstations.FromMaytoOctober,only16percentofthenorthernstationschronicallyexceededthecriteria,andjust1percentshowedacuteexceedances.Atsouthernsites,whereroadsaltislessfrequentlyapplied,therewerefewsamplesinanyseasonthatexceededthechronicwater-qualitycriteria,andnone
exceededtheacutecriteria[CORSI,ETAL.2010].
Highwaysandothertransportationinfrastructurealsoaffectwildlifeviaroadkills,habitatloss,andhabitatfragmentation.NumerousprojectshavebeenundertakenacrosstheUnitedStatestomitigatetheseimpacts,fromsalamanderandbadgertunnelstomountaingoatunderpassesonhighwaystofishpassagesthroughculverts.TherearenosystematicestimatesofthenumbersofwildlifekilledbytransportationvehiclesintheU.S.Ingeneral,thenumberofbirdkillsexceedsthenumberofmammalskilled.Insuranceindustryrecordsindicatethattherearebetweenoneandtwomillionreportedcollisionsbetweenanimalsandvehicleseachyear.Thesenumbersonlyincludereportedincidents;collisionswithsmallanimalsresultinginnovehicleorhumandamagearenotgenerallyreported[GASKILL2013].
7-23
Transportation Statistics Annual Report
TransportationnoiseispervasiveanddifficulttoavoidintheUnitedStates[USDOTFHWAHEP2006].Itisgeneratedbyengines,exhaust,drivetrains,tires,andaerodynamicdrag.Atfreewayspeedstire-pavementnoisedominatesforhighwayvehicles,whileexhaustandaerodynamicnoisedominateforaircraft.IntheU.S.thereareover2,700linearmilesofnoisebarrierstoprotectthepublic.Theknowninvestmentby27statesinnoisebarrierconstructionisontheorderof$1.2billion.However,inasurveyofstatesin2010,manystateshaddifficultyindeterminingtheamountsinvestedintheseefforts[USDOTFHWA2010].
Althoughhighwaysarethemostwidespreadsourceoftransportationnoise,exposuretotransportationnoiseissystematicallymeasuredonlyforaircraft.In2014,321,000individualslivedinhighnoise(>65dB)areasaroundU.S.airports.Thenumberwasdownfromnearly7millionover30yearsagoand847,000in2000.Thenumberwasreducedthroughacombinationofchangesinengineandairframedesignandoperationalstrategies[USDOTBTSNTS2017].Take-offandlandingoperationsaretheprimarysourceofannoyingaircraftnoise,whichperdBisgenerallymoreannoyingtothepublicthanhighwayorrailnoise.
Untilrecently,anationaltransportationnoiseexposureinventorydidnotexist,butBTSinconjunctionwiththeJohnA.VolpeNationalTransportationSystemsCenterhasbeenworkingtodevelopanational,multimodaltransportationnoiseinventory.TheoutcomeofthiseffortistherecentlyreleasedNationalTransportationNoiseMapwhichshowsthe
potentialfornoiseexposurefrominterstatehighwaysandairports.Overtime,additionallayerswillbeaddedtotrackandevaluatetrendsinpotentialnoiseexposureatmultiplelevels(local,State,Federal)andacrossmodes[USDOTBTSNTNM2017].
ThenewnoisedataprovidesanestimateofthepercentageoftheU.S.populationthathasthepotentialtobeexposedtoaviationandinterstateroadnoiseatboththenationalandcounty-level.Thedatashowsthatover97percentoftheU.S.populationhaspotentialtobeexposedtoaviationandinterstatehighwaynoiseatlevelsbelow50decibels(equivalenttothesoundofahummingrefrigerator).Lessthanone-tenthofapercentofthepopulationhaspotentialtobeexposedtonoiselevelsof80decibelsormore(equivalenttothesoundofagarbagedisposal).Figure7-19shows2014aviationandhighwaysnoisefortheNewYorkCityMetropolitanarea.Darkerareasindicate24-hourLAEQ(anequivalentcontinuouslevelofnoiseoveragivenperiodmeasuredindecibels)decibelsof70.0orhigher.TheyarenearmajorinternationalairportssuchasJohnF.Kennedy,NewarkLiberty,andLaGuardia.Table7-2providesacomparisonofthelevelofnoiseinLAEQindecibelsandhowitcompareswithcommoneverydaysounds,aviationnoiselevels,andhighwaynoiselevelsasareference[UDOTBTSNTNM2017].
Unwantednoisecanhaveavarietyofimpactsincludingannoyance,sleepdisruption,interferencewithcommunication,adverseimpactsonhealthandacademicperformance,andconsequentreductionsinpropertyvalues.ThereisalmostnopartoftheU.S.inwhichtransportationnoiseisnotnoticeable[WAITZ
7-24
Chapter 7: Transportation Energy Use and Environmental Impacts
FIGURE 7-19 Transportation Noise Map: 2014
KEY: LAEQ = Equivalent Continuous Sound Level
SOURCE: U.S. Department of Transportation, National Transportation Noise Map press release, imbedded table, Available at https://www.transportation.gov/highlights/national-transportation-noise-map as of July 2017.
2007;UDOTBTSNTNM2017].Whentransportationnoiselevelsarebelow50decibels(dB),thelevelofannoyanceinthepopulationisnegligible,butwhennoiselevelsexceed69dB,impactscanbesevere.
Inadditiontotheprimaryperformancemeasuresofhowefficiently,reliably,andsafelypeopleandgoodsmoveonthesystem,transportation’senergyusageanditsenvironmentalimpactsarealsoimportantmeasuresofhowwellthetransportationsystemperforms.Inrecognitionofthis,therehavebeeneffortstomitigatetransportation’sdependenceonpetroleumandenvironmental
impacts.Asdetailedinthischapter,transportationhasbecomemoreefficientoverthepastfewdecadesinitsuseofenergyandhasreducedmanyofitsenvironmentalimpactseventhoughactivitylevelshaveincreased.Itcontinues,however,tobethesecondleadingemitterofgreenhousegasesintheUnitedStatesandhashadothermajorimpactsontheenvironment,suchasoilpollution,habitatloss,andnoise.Goingforward,appropriateandaccuratedatawillbeneededtomonitorprogressanddeterminewhethersocietaleffortstoimprovethesystem’sperformancearehavingthedesiredeffect.
7-25
Transportation Statistics Annual Report
ReferencesChevrolet.2017.TheVoltElectricCar.Availableathttp://www.chevrolet.com/volt-electric-carasofJuly2017.
Corsi,StevenR.,etal.2010.“AFreshLookatRoadSalt:AquaticToxicityandWater-QualityImpactsonLocal,Regional,andNationalScales,”Environmental Science and Technology,44(19),pp.7376–7382.September1.Availableathttp://pubs.acs.org/asofMay2017.
CouncilofEurope(COE).2010.Resolution1776:NoiseandLightPollution.Availableathttp://assembly.coe.int/asofMay2017.
DieselTechnologyForum. 2017.Clean Diesel Vehicles Available in the U.S.Availableathttp://www.dieselforum.orgasofApril2017.
Federal Register.2012.2017andLaterModelYearLight-DutyVehicleGreenhouseGasEmissionsandCorporateAverageFuelEconomyStandards,vol.77,no.199,PartII,pp.62623-63200.Availableathttp://www.federalregister.gov/asofMay2017.
Gaskill,Melissa.2013.“RiseinRoadkillRequiresNewSolutions:Vehicle–wildlifecollisionskillmillionsofanimals—andharmthousandsofpeople—eachyear.Scientistsareworkingonsolutions.”Scientific American. May16.Availableathttp://www.scientificamerican.com/asofMay2017.
HybridCars.2016.June 2016 Dashboard.Availableatwww.hybridcars.comasofAugust2017.
HybridCars.2017.Top-Selling Chevy Volt Crosses 100,000 US Sales Milestone.Available
atwww.hybridcars.comasofJuly2017.
MunicipalResearchandServicesCenterofWashington(MRSCW).2016.“LightNuisances–AmbientLight,LightPollution,Glare.”Availableathttp://www.mrsc.org/asofMay2017.
Nissan.2017.2017NissanLeafElectricCar.Availableathttps://www.nissanusa.com/electric-cars/leaf/asofJuly2017.
PipelineandHazardousMaterialsSafetyAdministration(PHMSA).1997-2016.PipelineSeriousIncident20YearTrend.USDOT.Availableathttp://www.phmsa.dot.gov/asofMay2017.
ProblemandResponse.FHWA-HEP-06-020.Availableathttp://fhwa.dot.gov/asofMay2017.
RenewableFuelsAssociation(RFA).PocketGuidetoEthanol2016.Availableathttp://www.ethanolrfa.org/wp-content/uploads/2016/02/10823-RFA.pdfasofApril2017.
Tesla.2017.AboutTesla.Availableatwww.tesla.com/aboutasofMay2017.
UnitedKingdomDepartmentofEnvironment,FoodandRuralAffairs(UKDEFRA),2015.NoiseMappingEngland.Availableatwww.gov.uk/asofMay2017.
U.S.DepartmentofCommerce(USDOC),BureauofEconomicAnalysis(BEA),MotorVehicleUnitRetailSales(April2017).Availableathttp://www.bea.govasofApril2017.
U.S.DepartmentofEnergy(USDOE),
7-26
Chapter 7: Transportation Energy Use and Environmental Impacts
AlternativeFuelsDataCenter(AFDC).2017.
—2017a.Flexible Fuel Vehicles.May2017.Availableatwww.afdc.energy.govasofMay2017.
—2017b.E15.Availableathttp://www.afdc.energy.gov/asofMay2017.
—2017c.Alternative Fueling Station Counts by State.May2017.Availableatwww.afdc.energy.govasofMay2017.
U.S.DepartmentofEnergy(USDOE),EnergyInformationAdministration(EIA):
—2015b.Diesel Fuel Explained(October8,2015).Availableathttp://www.eia.gov/asofMay2017.
—2017a.Annual Energy Outlook 2017.Availableathttp://www.eia.govasofMay2017.
—2017b.AlternativeFuelVehicleData.Availableatwww.eia.gov/renewable/afv/asofMay2017.
—2017c.Monthly Energy Review.April.Availableatwww.eia.govasofMay2017.
—2017d.WeeklyRetailGasolineandDieselPrices(2015annual).May29.Availableatwww.eia.govasofMay2017.
—2017e.DistillateFuelOilandKeroseneSalesbyEndUse.December5,2016.Availableatwww.eia.govasofMay2017.
—2017f.EnergyEfficiencyandRenewableEnergy.May2017.Availableatwww.fueleconomy.gov/asofMay2017.
U.S.DepartmentofEnergy(USDOE),OfficeofEnergyEfficiencyandRenewableEnergy.
Transportation Energy Futures(March2013).Availableathttp://eere.energy.gov/asofNovember2017.
U.S.DepartmentofEnergy(USDOE).2014.TheHistoryoftheElectricCar.September,2014.Availableatwww.energy.govasofMay2017.
U.S.DepartmentofEnergy(USDOE),OakRidgeNationalLaboratory(ORNL).2016.Transportation Energy Data Book.Edition35.October.Availableathttp://cta.ornl.govasofMay2017.
U.S.DepartmentofEnergy(USDOE),OakRidgeNationalLaboratory(ORNL),2016VehicleTechnologiesMarketReport(2016).Availableathttp://cta.ornl.gov/asofMay2017.
U.S.DepartmentofEnergy(USDOE)andEnvironmentalProtectionAgency(USEPA).2017.DieselVehicles.Availableatwww.fueleconomy.govasofMay2017.
—2016a.DieselFuels.Availableatwww.fueleconomy.govasofMay2017.
—2016b.Hybrids,Diesels,andAlternativeFuelCars.Availableatwww.fueleconomy.govasofAugust2016.
U.S.DepartmentofTransportation(USDOT),BureauofTransportationStatistics(BTS).NationalTransportationNoiseMap(NTTM).2017.Availableathttps://www.bts.gov/newsroom/national-transportation-noise-mapasofMay2017.
U.S.DepartmentofTransportation(USDOT),BureauofTransportationStatistics(BTS).NationalTransportationStatistics(NTS).2017.
7-27
Transportation Statistics Annual Report
Availableatwww.rita.dot.govasofMay2017.
U.S.DepartmentofTransportation(USDOT),FederalHighwayAdministration(FHWA),OfficeofNaturalandHumanEnvironment,NoiseTeam.2010.Summary of Noise Barriers Constructed by December 31, 2010. Availableathttps://www.fhwa.dot.gov/environment/noise/noise_barriers/inventory/summary/sintro7.cfm asofSeptember2017.
U.S.DepartmentofTransportation(USDOT),FederalHighwayAdministration(FHWA),OfficeofPlanning,EnvironmentandRealty(HEP).2006.Highway Traffic Noise in the United States. Availableathttp://www.fhwa.dot.gov/environment/noise/regulations_and_guidance/usprbrsp.pdf asofMay2017.
U.S.EnvironmentalProtectionAgency(USEPA):
—2017a.Inventory of U.S. Greenhouse Gas Emissions and Sinks: 1990-2015,EPA430-P-17-001.Availableathttps://www3.epa.gov/asofMay2017.
—2017b.AirQualityIndexBasics.Availableathttp://www.airnow.gov/asofMay2017.
—2017c.SemiannualReportofUSTPerformanceMeasuresMidFiscalYear2017(Oct.1,2014–Mar.31,2017).Availableathttps://www.epa.gov/asofMay2017.
—2017d.AirPollutantEmissionsTrendsData.Availableathttps://www.epa.gov/asofMay2017.
—2017e.FuelsRegistration,Reporting,andComplianceHelp:E15FuelRegistration.Availableathttps://www.epa.gov/asofOctober2017.
—2017f.Light-DutyAutomotiveTechnology,CarbonDioxideEmissions,andFuelEconomyTrends:1975–2015.Availableathttps://www3.epa.gov/asofOctober2017.
—2014a.Light-DutyAutomotiveTechnology,CarbonDioxideEmissions,andFuelEconomyTrends:1975–2015(December2015).Availableathttp://www3.epa.gov/asofSeptember2017.
—2014b.EPAIssuesDirectFinalRulefor2013CellulosicStandard,EPA-420-F-14-018.April.Availableathttp://ww.epa.govasofMay2017.
—2012.EPA and NHTSA Set Standards to Reduce Greenhouse Gases and Improve Fuel Economy for Model Years 2017-2025 Cars and Light Trucks,EPA-420-F-12-051,August.Availableathttp://www.epa.gov/asofMay2017.
—2011.EPA and NHTSA Adopt First-Ever Program to Reduce Greenhouse Gas Emissions and Improve Fuel Efficiency of Medium- and Heavy- Duty Vehicles,EPA-420-F-11-031,August.Availableathttp://www.epa.gov/asofMay2017.
—1995.Controlling Nonpoint Source Runoff Pollution from Roads, Highways and Bridges,EPA-841-F-95-008a.Availableathttp://www.epa.gov/asofMay2017.
U.S.LibraryofCongress(USLOC),CongressionalResearchService(CRS):
—2015.Renewable Fuel Standard (RFS): In Brief.KelsiBracmort,CongressionalResearchService,R43325,January16.Availableatwww.nationalaglawcenter.orgasofMay2017.
—2013a.Deepwater Horizon Oil Spill: Recent
7-28
Chapter 7: Transportation Energy Use and Environmental Impacts
Activities and Ongoing Developments,7-5700,R42942,Jan.31,2013,Washington,DC.
—2013b.Renewable Fuels Standard (RFS): Overview and Issues,Washington,D.C.,March.
Waitz,I.A.,R.J.BernhardandC.E.Hanson,2007.“ChallengesandPromisesinMitigatingTransportationNoise,”The Bridge,vol.37,no.3,pp.25-32.Availableathttps://www.nae.edu/asofMay2017.
Woodyard,Chris,2015.“AutomakersChallengedbyLowGasPrices”.USAToday(Jan.4,2015).Availableathttp://www.usatoday.comasofMay2017.