chapter 7 normal curves & sampling...
TRANSCRIPT
Name _____________________
1
Focus Points:
Graph a normal
curve and summarize
its important
properties
Apply the empirical
rule to solve real-
world problems
Chapter 7 Normal Curves & Sampling Distributions
Section 7.1 Graphs of Normal Probability Distributions
Objective: In this lesson you learned how to graph a normal curve and apply the empirical rule to
solve real-world problems.
What is the graph of a normal distribution called?
What is another name for a normal curve?
What does the parameter 𝜎 (standard deviation) control?
If 𝜎 is large what happens to the curve? If 𝜎 is small?
Important Properties of a Normal Curve
1.
2.
3.
4.
5.
Important Vocabulary
Normal Curve Empirical Rule
2
Why is the area under a normal curve important?
Empirical Rule
How does the application of the empirical rule vary from Chebyshev’s Theorem?
What does a Normal Distribution tell us?
Figure 7-1
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Section 7.1 Example – Graphs of Normal Probability Distributions
( 1 ) The yearly wheat yield per acre on a particular farm is normally distributed with mean 𝜇 = 35 bushels
and standard deviation 𝜎 = 8 bushels.
a. Shade the area under the curve, in the
figure to the right, that represents the
probability that an acre will yield between
19 and 35 bushels.
b. Is the area the same as the area between 𝜇 − 2𝜎 and 𝜇?
c. Use Figure 7-1 (from your notes) to find the percentage of area over the interval between 19
and 35.
d. What is the probability that the yield will be between 19 and 35 bushels per acre?
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Focus Points:
Given 𝜇 and 𝜎,
convert raw scores to
𝑧-scores
Given 𝜇 and 𝜎,
convert 𝑧-scores to
raw scores
Focus Point:
Graph the standard
normal distribution
Section 7.2 Standard Units and Areas Under the Standard Normal Distribution
Objective: In this lesson you learned to convert between raw scores and 𝑧-scores; graph standard
normal distributions; and find areas under the standard normal curve.
I. 𝒛-Scores and Raw Scores
In what ways do normal distributions vary from each other?
In standard units, what is the mean of the original distribution?
A 𝑥-value that is above the original mean is what?
A 𝑥-value that is below the original mean is what?
What is a raw score? How is it calculated?
II. Standard Normal Distribution
Important Vocabulary
𝑧-score Standard Score Raw Score Standard Normal Distribution
The 𝒛-value
The standard normal distribution
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Focus Point:
Find areas under the
Standard Normal
Curve
What does the Standard Normal Distribution tell us?
III. Areas Under the Standard Normal Curve
What is the advantage to converting a normal distribution to a
standard distribution?
Why are the area(s) under the curve important?
IV. Using a Standard Normal Distribution Table
How to use a Left-Tail style Standard Normal Distribution Table
1.
2.
3.
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Section 7.2 Examples – Standard Units and Areas Under the Standard Normal
Distribution
( 1 ) Rod figures that it takes an average (mean) of 17 minutes with a standard deviation of 3 minutes to
drive from home, park the car, and walk to an early morning class.
a. One day it took Rod 21 minutes to get to class. How many standard deviations from the average
is that? Is the 𝑧-value positive or negative? Explain why the 𝑧-value should be either positive or
negative.
b. What commuting time corresponds to a standard score of 𝑧 = −2.5? Could Rod count on
making it to class in this amount of time or less?
( 2 ) Table 3, Areas of a Standard Normal Distribution, is located in the Appendix as well as in the endpapers
of the text. Spend a little time studying the table, and then answer these questions.
a. As 𝑧-values increase, do the areas to the left of 𝑧 increase?
b. If a 𝑧 value is negative, is the area to the left of 𝑧 less than 0.5000?
c. If a 𝑧 value is positive, is the area to the left of 𝑧 greater than 0.5000?
( 3 ) Let 𝑧 be a random variable with a standard normal distribution.
a. 𝑃(𝑧 ≥ 1.15) refers to the probability that 𝑧-values lie to the right of 1.15. Draw and shade the
corresponding area under the standard normal curve and find 𝑃(𝑧 ≥ 1.15).
b. Find 𝑃(−1.78 ≤ 𝑧 ≤ 0.35). First, sketch the area under the standard normal curve
corresponding to 𝑃(−1.78 ≤ 𝑧 ≤ 0.35).
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Focus Point:
Compute the
probability of
“standardized
events”
Focus Point:
Find a 𝑧-score from a
given normal
probability (inverse
normal)
Section 7.3 Areas Under Any Normal Curve
Objective: In this lesson you learned to compute probabilities of “standardized events” and find a
𝑧-score from a given normal probability.
I. Normal Distribution Areas
II. Inverse Normal Distribution
What is inverse normal probability distribution?
III. Checking for Normality
1. Histogram:
2. Outliers:
3. Skewness:
How to work with Normal Distributions
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Section 7.3 Examples – Areas Under Any Normal Curve
( 1 ) The life span of a rechargeable battery is the time before the battery must be replaced because it no
longer holds a charge. One tablet computer model has a battery with a life span that is normally
distributed with a mean of 2.3 years and a standard deviation of 0.4 year. What is the probability that
the battery will have to be replaced during the guarantee period of 2 years?
a. Let 𝑥 represent the battery life span. The statement that the battery needs to be replaced during
the 2-year guarantee period means the life span is less than 2 years, or 𝑥 ≤ 2. Convert this
statement to a statement about 𝑧.
b. Indicate the area to be found, in the figure below, by shading. Does this area correspond to the
probability that 𝑧 ≤ −0.75?
c. Use the Standard Normal Distribution table to find 𝑃(𝑧 ≤ −0.75).
d. What is the probability that the battery will fail before the end of the guarantee period?
( 2 ) Find the 𝑧-value such that 3% of the area under the standard normal curve lies to the right of 𝑧.
a. Draw a sketch of the standard normal distribution showing the described area.
b. Find the area to the left of 𝑧.
c. Look up the area in the Standard Normal Distribution table and find the corresponding 𝑧-value.
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d. Suppose the time to complete a test is normally distributed with 𝜇 = 40 minutes and 𝜎 = 5
minutes. After how many minutes can we expect all but about 3% of the tests to be completed?
e. Use the Standard Normal Distribution table to find a 𝑧-value such that 3% of the area under the
standard normal curve lies to the left of 𝑧.
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Focus Points:
Review such
commonly used
terms as random
sample, relative
frequency,
parameter, statistic,
and sampling
distribution
From raw data,
construct a relative
frequency
distribution for �̅�
values and compare
the result to a
theoretical sampling
distribution
Section 7.4 Sampling Distributions
Objective: In this lesson you learned to construct a relative frequency distribution for �̅� values from
raw data.
What is a population, in terms of statistics?
What is a sample?
What is a statistic?
What is a parameter?
Important Vocabulary
Statistic Parameter Sampling Distribution
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Types of Inferences
1. Estimation:
2. Testing:
3. Regression:
What does a sampling distribution tell us?
A sampling distribution
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Section 7.4 Examples – Sampling Distributions
( 1 ) What is a population parameter? Give an example.
( 2 ) What is a sample statistic? Give an example.
( 3 ) What is a sampling distribution?
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Focus Point:
For a normal
distribution, use 𝜇
and 𝜎 to construct
the theoretical
sampling distribution
for the statistic �̅�
Section 7.5 The Central Limit Theorem
Objective: In this lesson you learned to construct theoretical sampling distributions for the statistic
�̅�; use sample estimates to construct a good approximate sampling distribution for the
statistic �̅�; the underlying meaning of the central limit theorem.
I. The �̅� Distribution, Given 𝒙 is Normal
What is the standard deviation of a statistic referred to as?
Important Vocabulary
Standard Error Central Limit Theorem Large Sample
Theorem 7.1 – For a Normal Probability Distribution
The standard error
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Focus Point:
For large samples,
use sample estimates
to construct a good
approximate
sampling distribution
for the statistic �̅�
II. The �̅� Distribution, Given 𝒙 Has an Distribution
How large should a sample be for the �̅� distribution to appear normal?
What does the Central Limit Theorem tell us?
Theorem 7.2 – The Central Limit Theorem
Using the Central Limit Theorem to convert the �̅� Distribution
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Section 7.5 Examples – The Central Limit Theorem
( 1 ) Using the Central Limit Theorem
a. Suppose 𝑥 has a normal distribution with mean 𝜇 = 18 and standard deviation 𝜎 = 13. If you
draw random samples of size 5 from the 𝑥 distribution and �̅� represents the sample mean, what
can you say about the �̅� distribution? How could you standardize the �̅� distribution?
b. Suppose you know that the 𝑥 distribution has mean 𝜇 = 75 and standard deviation 𝜎 = 12, but
you have no information as to whether or not the 𝑥 distribution is normal. If you draw samples
of size 30 from the 𝑥 distribution and �̅� represents the sample mean, what can you say about
the �̅� distribution? How could you standardize the �̅� distribution?
c. Suppose you did not know that 𝑥 had a normal distribution. Would you be justified in saying that
the �̅� distribution is approximately normal if the sample size were 𝑛 = 8?
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( 2 ) In mountain country, major highways sometimes use tunnels instead of long, winding roads over high
passes. However, too many vehicles in a tunnel at a time can cause a hazardous situation. Traffic
engineers are studying a long tunnel in Colorado. If 𝑥 represents the time for a vehicle to go through the
tunnel, it is known that the 𝑥 distribution has a mean 𝜇 = 12.1 minutes and standard deviation 𝜎 = 3.8
minutes under ordinary traffic conditions. From a histogram of 𝑥 values, it was found that the 𝑥
distribution is mound-shaped with some symmetry about the mean.
Engineers have calculated that, on average, vehicle should spend from 11 to 13 minutes in the tunnel. If
the time is less than 11 minutes, traffic is moving too fast for safe travel in the tunnel. If the time is more
than 13 minutes, there is a problem of bad air quality (too much carbon monoxide and other pollutants).
Under ordinary conditions, there are about 50 vehicles in the tunnel at one time. What is the probability
that the mean time for 50 vehicles in the tunnel will be from 11 to 13 minutes?
a. Let �̅� represent the sample mean based on samples of size 50. Describe the �̅� distribution.
b. Find 𝑃(11 < �̅� < 13).
c. Interpret your answer to part (b).
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Focus Point:
State assumptions
needed to use the
normal
approximation to the
binomial distribution
Compute 𝜇 and 𝜎 for
the normal
approximation
Use the continuity
correction to convert
a range of 𝑟 values to
normal 𝑥 values,
then into
standardized 𝑧 scores
to find desired
probabilities
Section 7.6 Normal Approximation to Binomial Distribution and to �̂� Distribution
Objective: In this lesson you learned how to compute 𝜇 and 𝜎 for the normal approximation; use
continuity correction to convert a range of 𝑟 values to a corresponding range of normal
𝑥 values; convert the 𝑥 values to a range of standardized 𝑧 scores and find desired
probabilities; and describe the sampling distribution for proportions �̂�.
I. Normal Approximations
What does a Normal Approximation to the Binomial tell us?
Normal Approximation to the Binomial Distribution
Consider a binomial distribution where
How to make a Continuity Correction
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Focus Point:
Describe the
sampling distribution
for proportions �̂�
II. Sampling Distributions for Proportions
What does a �̂� Sampling Distribution tell us?
Sampling Distribution for the Proportion �̂� =𝒓
𝒏
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Section 7.6 Examples – Normal Approximation to Binomial Distribution and to �̂�
Distribution
( 1 ) From many years of observation, a biologist knows that the probability is only 0.65 than any given Arctic
tern (a type of bird) will survive the migration from its summer nesting area to its winter feeding
grounds. A random sample of 500 Arctic terns were banded at their summer nesting area. Use the
normal approximation to the binomial and the following steps to find the probability that between 310
and 340 of the banded Arctic terns will survive the migration. Let 𝑟 be the number of surviving terns.
a. To approximate 𝑃(310 ≤ 𝑟 ≤ 340), we use the normal curve with 𝜇 = _________ and
𝜎 = _________.
b. 𝑃(310 ≤ 𝑟 ≤ 340) is approximately equal to 𝑃( _________ ≤ 𝑥 ≤ _________ ), where 𝑥 is a
variable from the normal distribution described in part (a).
c. Convert the condition 309.5 ≤ 𝑥 ≤ 340.5 to a condition in standard units.
d. 𝑃(310 ≤ 𝑟 ≤ 340) = 𝑃(309.5 ≤ 𝑥 ≤ 340.5) = 𝑃(−1.45 ≤ 𝑧 ≤ 1.45) = _________.
e. Will the normal distribution make a good approximation to the binomial for the problem?
Explain your answer.