chapter 1 national currencies spot rates, cross rates, and the arbitrage opportunities intra-day...
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Chapter 1
National currenciesSpot rates, cross rates, and the arbitrage opportunitiesIntra-day activity
Central bank interventionTrading volume and major players
Poorna Pal, MS MBA Ph.D.
USD US dollarEUR EuroGBP British poundJPY Japanese yenAFN Afghanistan AfghaniALL Albanian Lek
The currencies and currency symbols
World currencies
Paper Currencies of the World
Currencies with their own special symbols: $ US Dollar€ Euro£ British Pound¥ Japanese Yen₹ Indian Rupee
The ISO codes of national currencies
ISO (International Standards Organization) maintains the 2-digits/3-digits codes for every country and its currency.
Euro (EUR) is the common currency of the following European countries:
Austria, Belgium, Cyprus, Finland, France, Germany, Greece, Ireland, Italy, Luxem-bourg, Malta, Netherlands, Portugal, Spain and Slovenia.
http://www.xe.com/symbols.php#list
Spot rates and spreadsSpot rates and spreads
Recent OANDA SpreadsSelect from the currency-pair list to see 7-day historical spread charts for any of the currency pairs available for trading at OANDA. Our prices are a true reflection of forex market pricing. We always publish tradable spreads—even when spreads widen due to market events or on weekends, when liquidity is scarce. Click the numbers in the charts to see market events that may have affected our spreads. OANDA also publishes real-time currency spreads and a comparison of spreads with other brokers.
Bid/offer spread (also known as bid/ask or buy/sell spread) for securities (such as stocks, futures contracts, options, or currency pairs) is the difference between the prices quoted (either by a single market maker or in a limit order book) for an immediate sale (ask) and an immediate purchase (bid). The size of the bid-offer spread in a security is a measure of the liquidity of the market and of the size of the transaction cost. Example: Currency spreadIf the current bid price for the EUR/USD currency pair is 1.5760 and the current ask price is 1.5763, this means that currently you can sell the EUR/USD at 1.5760 and buy at 1.5763. The difference between those prices is the spread. If the USD/JPY currency pair is currently trading at 101.89/92, that is another way of saying that the bid for the USD/JPY is 101.89 and the ask is 101.92. This means that currently, holders of USD can sell 1 USD for 101.89 JPY and investors who wish to buy dollars can do so at a cost of 101.92 JPY per 1 USD.
Cross ratesCross rates
http://www.marketwatch.com/investing/currencies/tools
Cross Rate Calculationby csbhatnagar 1,395 views
More on cross rates here
http://www.ritholtz.com/blog/2010/05/comparing-world-indices/
Comparing Major World Indexes(March 9, 2009 to May 25, 2010)
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The Forex Market Never Sleeps
$ Quantity
¥/$
Exc
hang
e R
ate
100
DemandSupply
Start with …• ¥100 = 1 $ exchange rate, and• demand and supply for $ as shown.
90
Suppose US demand for Japanese goods increases. More $ now become available, so driving the exchange rate to ¥90 = 1 $.
S1D1
As this appreciation of ¥ against $ hurts the Japanese sales, Bank of Japan can make ¥ cheaper by lowering Japanese interest rates or $ costlier by buying $, so restoring ¥100 = 1$ exchange rate.
Central Bank intervention can steady the exchange rate.
0
1
2
3
41
989
199
5
199
2
200
1
199
8
200
4
200
7
201
0
Spot transactions
Foreign exchange swaps
Options etc.
Forwards
Ave
rage
dai
ly t
urno
ver,
trill
ion
US$
at A
pril
2010
exc
hang
e ra
te
Source: Bank of International Settlements(http://www.bis.org/)
Global foreign exchange market turnover by instrument
0
1
2
3
41
989
199
5
199
2
200
1
199
8
200
4
200
7
201
0
Spot transactions
Foreign exchange swaps
Options etc.
Forwards
Ave
rage
dai
ly t
urno
ver,
trill
ion
US$
at A
pril
2010
exc
hang
e ra
te
Source: Bank of International Settlements (http://www.bis.org/)
Forex Trading Volume Minimizes SwingsOxford Analytica, 09.29.10, 06:00 AM EDT In most developed economies currency trading is such a huge market that no one player can cause a substantial move.
According to the Bank for Inter-national Settlements' April 2010
surveys:• the euro/dollar market is trading over $1 trillion per day, and the
overall market for dollar as a counterpart is worth $3.1 trillion/day. • yen intervention faces a market worth $750 billion per day; and • the Swiss National Bank is active in the Swiss franc today, while
acknowledging that it can have little sustained impact in a market worth $240 billion per day.
As the yen and Swiss franc show that even the "smaller" markets are too big to be influenced unilaterally. As neither Japanese nor Swiss efforts today would enjoy the support of a multilateral agreement to intervene, they are likely to have little more than brief effect on these currencies' values.
The Forex Market: A layman's guide to how it works, and why it does what it does
Black Market versus Parallel MarketThe distinction between the parallel and the black markets is drawn along several related lines: how much is being sold, who is buying and who is selling, and where the transaction is taking place.
The parallel market usually deals in large sums — many millions of dollars; it is often between businessmen and companies and, in the past, had bankers as its middle-men; and it takes place in offices and sometimes homes.
Black market transactions happen on the streets, in the flea markets, and in back-rooms; sometimes for small sums of money like 20 US Dollars; and the deals often take place between individuals.