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Queensland University of Technology Cellulosic ethanol from sugarcane bagasse in Australia: exploring industry feasibility through systems analysis, techno-economic assessment and pilot plant development Ian O’Hara BE (Chem), MBA Principal Supervisor: Dr Les A Edye Associate Supervisor: Dr Geoff A Kent A thesis submitted for the degree of Doctor of Philosophy in the Faculty of Science and Technology Queensland University of Technology according to QUT requirements 2011

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Queensland University of Technology

Cellulosic ethanol from sugarcane bagasse in Australia: exploring industry

feasibility through systems analysis, techno-economic assessment and pilot

plant development

Ian O’Hara BE (Chem), MBA

Principal Supervisor: Dr Les A Edye

Associate Supervisor: Dr Geoff A Kent

A thesis submitted for the degree of

Doctor of Philosophy

in the Faculty of Science and Technology

Queensland University of Technology

according to QUT requirements

2011

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Keywords

sugarcane, bagasse, lignocellulose, fibre, biofuels, biorefinery, ethanol,

pretreatment, systems analysis, uncertainty, risk, techno-economic

assessment, feasibility, plant expressed enzymes, pilot plant

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Abstract

Overcoming many of the constraints to early stage investment in biofuels

production from sugarcane bagasse in Australia requires an understanding of the

complex technical, economic and systemic challenges associated with the transition

of established sugar industry structures from single product agri-businesses to new

diversified multi-product biorefineries.

While positive investment decisions in new infrastructure requires technically

feasible solutions and the attainment of project economic investment thresholds,

many other systemic factors will influence the investment decision. These factors

include the interrelationships between feedstock availability and energy use,

competing product alternatives, technology acceptance and perceptions of project

uncertainty and risk.

This thesis explores the feasibility of a new cellulosic ethanol industry in Australia

based on the large sugarcane fibre (bagasse) resource available. The research

explores industry feasibility from multiple angles including the challenges of

integrating ethanol production into an established sugarcane processing system,

scoping the economic drivers and key variables relating to bioethanol projects and

considering the impact of emerging technologies in improving industry feasibility.

The opportunities available from pilot scale technology demonstration are also

addressed.

Systems analysis techniques are used to explore the interrelationships between the

existing sugarcane industry and the developing cellulosic biofuels industry. This

analysis has resulted in the development of a conceptual framework for a bagasse-

based cellulosic ethanol industry in Australia and uses this framework to assess the

uncertainty in key project factors and investment risk. The analysis showed that the

fundamental issue affecting investment in a cellulosic ethanol industry from

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sugarcane in Australia is the uncertainty in the future price of ethanol and

government support that reduces the risks associated with early stage investment is

likely to be necessary to promote commercialisation of this novel technology.

Comprehensive techno-economic models have been developed and used to assess

the potential quantum of ethanol production from sugarcane in Australia, to assess

the feasibility of a soda-based biorefinery at the Racecourse Sugar Mill in Mackay,

Queensland and to assess the feasibility of reducing the cost of production of

fermentable sugars from the in-planta expression of cellulases in sugarcane in

Australia. These assessments show that ethanol from sugarcane in Australia has the

potential to make a significant contribution to reducing Australia’s transportation

fuel requirements from fossil fuels and that economically viable projects exist

depending upon assumptions relating to product price, ethanol taxation

arrangements and greenhouse gas emission reduction incentives.

The conceptual design and development of a novel pilot scale cellulosic ethanol

research and development facility is also reported in this thesis. The establishment

of this facility enables the technical and economic feasibility of new technologies to

be assessed in a multi-partner, collaborative environment. As a key outcome of this

work, this study has delivered a facility that will enable novel cellulosic ethanol

technologies to be assessed in a low investment risk environment, reducing the

potential risks associated with early stage investment in commercial projects and

hence promoting more rapid technology uptake.

While the study has focussed on an exploration of the feasibility of a commercial

cellulosic ethanol industry from sugarcane in Australia, many of the same key issues

will be of relevance to other sugarcane industries throughout the world seeking

diversification of revenue through the implementation of novel cellulosic ethanol

technologies.

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Contents

Keywords ii Abstract iii Contents v

Figures ix

Tables x

Authorship xi Acknowledgements xii

Chapter 1

Introduction 1

1.1 Introduction 1

1.2 Aims and objectives of the research 2

1.3 Research and communication methodology 3

1.4 Thesis outline 4

1.5 Original contributions 7

1.6 Conclusion 8

Systems analysis

Chapter 2

Introduction to biofuels and the Australian sugar industry 11

2.1 Transportation fuels in the early 21st century 11

2.1.1 The use of crude oil as a transportation fuel 11

2.1.2 The contribution of transport fuels to climate change 12

2.1.3 Peak oil and future oil price 13

2.1.4 Energy security and development 14

2.2 Bioethanol – a renewable transport fuel 14

2.2.1 Ethanol as a transportation fuel 14

2.2.2 First-generation ethanol 15

2.2.3 Second-generation bioethanol 16

2.2.4 The global biomass resource 17

2.3 Sugarcane as a bio-energy resource 18

2.3.1 The global sugar industry 18

2.3.2 The sugarcane biomass resource 19

2.3.3 The Australian sugar industry 20

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2.3.4 Current uses of sugarcane bagasse in Australia 22

2.3.5 The sugarcane biorefinery 23

2.4 The composition and structure of sugarcane bagasse 24

2.4.1 Cellulose 26

2.4.2 Hemicelluloses 27

2.4.3 Lignin 28

2.5 Overview of the process for ethanol production from sugarcane bagasse 28

2.6 Conclusion 30

Chapter 3

Pretreatment technologies for ethanol production from sugarcane bagasse 31

3.1 Introduction 31

3.2 The objectives of the pretreatment process 31

3.3 Chemical pretreatments 34

3.3.1 Concentrated acid hydrolysis 34

3.3.2 Dilute acid hydrolysis and pretreatment 34

3.3.3 Alkaline pretreatments 38

3.3.4 Oxidative pretreatments 40

3.3.5 Solvent pretreatments 41

3.3.6 Ionic liquid pretreatments 43

3.4 Physical pretreatments 43

3.4.1 Steam explosion pretreatment 43

3.4.2 Other explosive pretreatments 44

3.4.3 Liquid hot water pretreatments 45

3.4.4 Mechanical pretreatments 46

3.4.5 Ultrasonic and radiation pretreatments 47

3.5 Biological pretreatments 47

3.5.1 Microbiological degradation 47

3.6 Conclusion 49

Chapter 4

Commercialising cellulosic ethanol from sugarcane bagasse: use of systems analysis to reduce the risk and uncertainty associated with early stage investment 51

4.1 Introduction 51

4.2 Systems analysis 52

4.3 Scoping and exploring the problem space 54

4.4 Defining the system purpose and CONOPS 58

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4.5 Scoping the solution space through techno-economic modelling 64

4.6 Manifesting the optimum solution 70

4.6.1 Ethanol price and production incentives 70

4.6.2 Bagasse price 71

4.6.3 Cellulase price 73

4.6.4 Bioethanol plant capital cost 73

4.7 Creating the solution and deep learning 73

Techno-economic assessment

Chapter 5

The potential for ethanol production from sugarcane in Australia 77

5.1 Introduction 77

5.2 Transport fuel use in Australia 77

5.3 The capacity of the Australian sugarcane industry 78

5.4 Ethanol production from sugarcane juice and molasses 79

5.5 Ethanol production from bagasse and sugarcane trash 80

5.6 Scenario analysis 83

5.7 Discussion 86

5.8 Conclusion 89

Chapter 6

Economic feasibility of a soda-based biorefinery at Racecourse Mill 91

Chapter 7

Feasibility assessment of in-planta cellulolytic enzyme expression for the production of biofuels from sugarcane bagasse in Australia 93

Pilot plant development

Chapter 8

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Towards a commercial lignocellulosic ethanol industry in Australia: the Mackay Renewable Biocommodities Pilot Plant 97

8.1 Introduction 97

8.2 Pilot plants – facilitating commercial development 98

8.3 MRBPP funding 98

8.4 Design and construction of the MRBPP 100

8.5 Site services 101

8.6 Plant and equipment 102

8.7 Lignin product recovery 105

8.8 Future developments 105

Discussion

Chapter 9

Discussion 109

9.1 Introduction 109

9.2 Achievement of research objectives and key findings 109

9.3 Importance of research 112

9.4 Recommendations for future work 112

Bibliography 115

Appendices

APPENDIX A

Supplementary data for Chapter 6 145

APPENDIX B

The Mackay Renewable Biocommodities Pilot Plant – photographic record of construction and equipment installation 147

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Figures Figure 2.1 Leading sugarcane producing countries 2006 [32] ................................. 18

Figure 2.2 Map of the Australian sugar industry [39] .............................................. 21

Figure 2.3 Australian No.1 sugar pool price 1990-91 to 2005-06 and QSL seasonal pool price 2006-07 to 2010-11 (AU$/t) [38, 41] ..................... 22

Figure 2.4 An overview of current and potential products from sugarcane in Australia – current products shown in black and potential products shown in red ........................................................................................ 24

Figure 2.5 Simple schematic of the key processes required for the ethanol from sugarcane bagasse ...................................................................... 30

Figure 4.1 Issues impacting the commercialisation of bioethanol technologies viewed through economic, technical, sustainability and public policy lenses ........................................................................................ 53

Figure 4.2 Conceptual map of a sugarcane processing system in Australia ............. 55

Figure 4.3 Objectives tree for the sugarcane bioethanol system ............................ 60

Figure 4.4 Schematic representation of the sugarcane bioethanol system ............. 61

Figure 4.5 Techno-economic model of the sugarcane bioethanol system (the sugarcane bioethanol model) based upon the common methodological framework [194] ......................................................... 64

Figure 4.6 Sensitivity of the key factors in bagasse based ethanol project viability (net present value) to the project assumptions....................... 68

Figure 4.7 Sensitivity of the major factors in bagasse based ethanol project viability (net present value) to the assumptions in the techno-economic model .................................................................................. 69

Figure 5.1 Schematic representation of the QUT techno-economic model of an integrated sugar factory, juice and molasses distillery and cellulosic ethanol production facility .................................................... 83

Figure 8.1 Typical biorefinery process diagram .....................................................102

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Tables Table 2.1 Typical constitutive analysis of Australian sugarcane bagasse ................. 26

Table 4.1 Summary of the key issues relating to bagasse-based bioethanol commercialisation in the sugarcane industry in Australia..................... 57

Table 4.2 Summary purpose, concept of operations (CONOPS) and key measures of effectiveness of the integrated sugar – ethanol system ................................................................................................. 63

Table 4.3 Key variable inputs to the sugarcane bioethanol model .......................... 66

Table 4.4 Key fixed inputs to the sugarcane bioethanol model ............................... 67

Table 5.1 Consumption of petroleum products in Australia, Queensland and NSW 2007-08 [198] .............................................................................. 78

Table 5.2 Approximate ethanol yields per tonne of product................................... 80

Table 5.3 Common input data for scenario analysis ............................................... 87

Table 5.4 Input data for the scenario analysis ........................................................ 87

Table 5.5 Results from scenario analysis ................................................................ 88

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Authorship

The work contained in this thesis has not been previously submitted to meet the requirements for an award at this or any other higher education institution. To the best of my knowledge and belief, the thesis contains no material previously published or written by another person except where due reference is made. Signature

Name Ian Mark O’Hara

Date

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Acknowledgements I would like to thank my Supervisors Dr Les Edye and Dr Geoff Kent for their support

throughout the research program and their invaluable advice and feedback on the

various aspects of the work.

I would like to especially acknowledge receipt of scholarship

funding from the Australian Government and the Australian

Sugarcane Industry as provided by the Sugar Research and

Development Corporation.

The author of this thesis is not a partner, joint venturer, employee or agent of SRDC

and has no authority to legally bind SRDC, in any publication of substantive details

or results of this Project.

I would also like to acknowledge and thank the QUT Centre for Tropical Crops and

Biocommodities for financial support in this project.

This research program would not have been possible without the strong support of

several research partner organisations. I would like to acknowledge the support of

the partners of the Biorefinery Development Project including the Queensland

Government through the Research Industries Partnership Program (RIPP), Mackay

Sugar Ltd, Sugar Research Ltd, Veridian Chemicals Pty Ltd and Hexion Specialty

Chemicals Inc. I would also like to acknowledge the partners of the Syngenta Centre

for Sugarcane Biofuels Development including the Queensland Government

through the National and International Research Alliances Program (NIRAP),

Syngenta Biotechnology Inc, and Farmacule Bioindustries Pty Ltd.

I would like to thank funding partners of the Mackay Renewable Biocommodities

Pilot Plant for the opportunity to be involved in such an exciting and visionary

project. The funding for the design and construction of the pilot plant was provided

by the Australian Government through the National Collaborative Research

Infrastructure Strategy (NCRIS) and the Education Investment Fund (EIF), the

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Queensland Government through the Innovation Building Fund (IBF) and QUT. The

strong support of Mackay Sugar Ltd in the development of the facility has again

been invaluable.

There are many individuals who have contributed to the research program or this

thesis in many ways and your contributions are very much appreciated. In

particular, I would like to acknowledge the contributions and support of Professor

James Dale, Dr William Doherty, Dr Zhanying Zhang, Dr Heng-Ho Wong and Mr

Peter Albertson from the QUT Centre for Tropical Crops and Biocommodities and Dr

Bryan Lavarack from Mackay Sugar Ltd for your support in various aspects of the

work.

Finally I would like to thank my family and in particular my wife Penny for your on-

going patience and support.

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Chapter 1

Introduction

1.1 Introduction

This thesis reports the results of a research program exploring the feasibility of

ethanol production from sugarcane bagasse in Australia. The nature of the research

undertaken in this research program acknowledges that overcoming many of the

constraints to early stage investment in biofuels production from sugarcane bagasse

requires a multi-disciplinary approach to the technical, economic and systemic

challenges associated with the transition of established sugar industry structures

from single product agri-businesses to new multi-product, diversified, integrated

biorefineries. These challenges include not only the technical challenges associated

with the novel biofuel technology, but also the integration of new and existing

facilities (site integration), the requirement to produce surplus bagasse (energy

efficiency), changed imperatives for sugarcane variety selection (higher fibre) and

the need to balance agronomic and industrial value-adds (trash collection or field

retention of trash).

Some of the work reported in this thesis was undertaken within research projects at

QUT and funded by several project partners. Of particular note are:

- The work undertaken for Chapter 6 was funded by the partners of the

Biorefinery Development Project including the Queensland Government

through the Research Industries Partnership Program (RIPP), Mackay Sugar

Ltd, Sugar Research Ltd, Veridian Chemicals Pty Ltd and Hexion Specialty

Chemicals Inc.

- The work undertaken for Chapter 7 was funded by the partners of the

Syngenta Centre for Sugarcane Biofuels Development including the

Queensland Government through the National and International Research

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Alliances Program (NIRAP), Syngenta Biotechnology Inc, and Farmacule

Bioindustries Pty Ltd.

- The work undertaken for Chapter 8 was funded by the partners of the

Mackay Renewable Biocommodities Pilot Plant (MRBPP) project including

the Australian Government through the National Collaborative Research

Infrastructure Strategy (NCRIS) and Education Investment Fund (EIF), the

Queensland Government through the Innovation Building Fund (IBF),

Mackay Sugar Ltd and QUT.

- Scholarship funding for the overall PhD project was provided by the Sugar

Research and Development Corporation (SRDC).

1.2 Aims and objectives of the research

The research program aimed to answer key questions relating to the technical and

economic feasibility of ethanol production from sugarcane bagasse in Australia and

the systemic impediments to commercialisation of the technology in Australia.

The research program aimed to:

- Identify the key technical, economic and systemic factors impacting upon

investment in commercial scale facilities for the production of ethanol from

sugarcane bagasse in Australia;

- Explore leading technologies for the biochemical production of ethanol from

sugarcane bagasse to determine the conceptual feasibility of the technology;

- Conceptualise and develop a framework for assessing the interrelationships

between energy use, feedstock availability and potential cellulosic ethanol

production of integrated sugar and bagasse-based ethanol production

facilities;

- Model the use of the framework through its application to the design and

construction of a pilot scale facility for demonstration of technology for the

production of ethanol from bagasse; and

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- Communicate key outcomes to the Australian sugar industry to develop a

deeper understanding within the industry of the potential opportunities and

economic feasibility of the technology.

1.3 Research and communication methodology

The research program was based on developing a comprehensive understanding of

the issues impacting on the feasibility of ethanol production from sugarcane

bagasse in Australia. This understanding was formed through both literature

reviews and the use of systems analysis techniques to explore the complex

interrelationships between the existing sugarcane industry and the developing

cellulosic biofuels industry.

The systems analysis led to the development of new technical and economic models

of integrated sugarcane processing, sugar production and cellulosic ethanol

production facilities. These models were then used to undertake comprehensive

assessments of technology options that impact on the feasibility of the system.

These models were applied to the development of a pilot plant for research and

demonstration of ethanol production from sugarcane bagasse. Many of the

elements associated with the design and construction of the facility resulted from

the modelling framework developed in the systems analysis and techno-economic

assessments.

Information contained in two of the chapters in this thesis (Chapter 5 and Chapter

8) were presented as peer-reviewed conference papers to the Australian Society of

Sugar Cane Technologists (ASSCT) in 2009 and 2010. Two further papers have been

submitted to the ASSCT conference in 2011. The decision to address aspects of the

reporting for this research project to the ASSCT conference was made on the basis

that:

- ASSCT is the preeminent research forum of the Australian sugarcane

industry and globally recognised for leading industry-specific research;

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- ASSCT attracts many of the Australian sugar industry leaders,

researchers and industry practitioners to discuss innovation and the

future directions of the industry;

- The Australian sugar industry is actively seeking diversification options

for bagasse, however, most industry participants have only a limited

understanding of the technology and the economics of ethanol

production from bagasse;

- The papers addressed to the ASSCT conference will serve to inform and

educate participants in the Australian sugar industry on the technology

and economics of ethanol production from bagasse and, through

engaging in on-going dialogue in the ASSCT forum, promote

consideration of sugar industry investment in this technology; and

- Presenting work at the ASSCT forum was encouraged by the scholarship

provider for the research project (SRDC).

1.4 Thesis outline

This thesis explores the progress toward the feasibility of ethanol from cellulosic

biomass feedstock through three different approaches to understanding and

analysing the biofuels system.

Section 1 contains three chapters that provide an analysis of the sugarcane and

bioethanol systems. These chapters provide an introduction to the national and

global drivers impacting upon ethanol production from cellulosic biomass, describe

the literature underpinning the research and address strategies that promote

investment in the technology.

Chapter 2 is an introduction to transportation fuels, the global and national

challenges impacting upon future transportation fuel use and the drivers for

the development of biofuels from cellulosic feedstocks. In addition, this

chapter describes the sugarcane industry in Australia and the factors

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impacting upon the production of biofuels (and in particular) ethanol from

sugarcane fibre (bagasse).

Chapter 3 provides a brief review of the leading pretreatment technologies

for ethanol production from sugarcane bagasse and the strategies for

producing a fibre that is more amenable to enzymatic hydrolysis.

Chapter 4 reports on a comprehensive analysis of the sugarcane bioethanol

system and uses complex decision making tools to analyse the risks and

uncertainties associated with early stage investment in cellulosic ethanol

production facilities. From this analysis, the chapter draws conclusions about

the relative magnitude of the key investment risks and proposes strategies

that seek to minimise risk and hence promote the likelihood of positive early

stage investment decisions in cellulosic ethanol production from bagasse.

Section 2 contains three chapters that provide techno-economic assessments of

various cellulosic ethanol systems. These assessments reflect different model

systems and focus upon increasing the understanding of the technical and

economic feasibility of each system.

Chapter 5 reports on an assessment of the potential quantum of ethanol

production from sugarcane in Australia and analyses several case studies of

integrated sugarcane processing, juice and molasses-based ethanol

production and bagasse-based ethanol production facilities. This chapter

was presented as a peer-reviewed conference paper at the Australian

Society of Sugar Cane Technologists annual conference in Bundaberg,

Queensland in May 2010.

Chapter 6 is an assessment of the conceptual feasibility of a soda-based

biorefinery at a specific site in Australia, namely the Mackay Sugar Ltd

Racecourse Mill in Mackay, Queensland. The chapter details the results of a

comprehensive techno-economic assessment of the proposed project,

reports on one and two-component sensitivity analyses and assesses several

project alternatives. This chapter was provided as a confidential research

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report to the partners of the Queensland Government Research Industry

Partnerships Program (RIPP) and multi-partner funded Biorefinery

Development Project.

Chapter 7 is an assessment of the conceptual economic feasibility of the in-

planta expression of cellulase enzymes in the sugarcane production and

processing system, exploring several processing strategies. This chapter was

provided as a confidential research report to the partners of the Syngenta

Centre for Sugarcane Biofuels Development (SCSBD).

Section 3 reports on the development of the Mackay Renewable Biocommodities

Pilot Plant (MRBPP). The author of this thesis was responsible for the conceptual

and detailed process design of the MRBPP, was responsible for the selection and

purchasing of equipment and was the key client representative during the design,

construction and installation phases. The development of this novel facility has

provided significant capability in Australia for the development and demonstration

of innovative technologies for ethanol production from bagasse and other cellulosic

feedstocks and is one of the only flexible and publicly accessible cellulosic ethanol

pilot scale development facilities in the world.

Chapter 8 reports on the development of the MRBPP and discusses the

funding of the facility, the value of pilot plants to commercial development

and provides an overview of the sugarcane biorefinery. Information

contained in this chapter was presented as a peer-reviewed conference

paper at the opening general session of the Australian Society of Sugar Cane

Technologists annual conference in Ballina, NSW in May 2009.

Section 4 is a critical evaluation of the key themes of the thesis and highlights the

fundamental contributions and key outcomes that have resulted from the overall

research project.

Chapter 9 presents the discussion of the key themes of the thesis and draws

conclusions on the value of this work to the development of a sustainable

cellulosic ethanol industry in Australia.

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Throughout this thesis, the terms ‘cellulosic ethanol’ and ‘bioethanol’ have been

used to refer to ethanol produced from cellulosic feedstocks. While a purified

ethanol product from cellulosic feedstocks is indistinguishable from ethanol

produced from other feedstocks and processes, the terms are convenient ones to

imply an ethanol product manufactured from a cellulosic feedstock.

1.5 Original contributions

This thesis is the first comprehensive assessment of the integration of bagasse-

based ethanol production facilities into established sugar processing systems and

the first to take an integrated approach to systems analysis, feasibility assessment

and pilot plant development. This thesis describes the following original

contributions to the fields of sugar and biofuels research:

- A detailed analysis of the Australian sugarcane processing system with

reference to the integration of ethanol from bagasse into the system;

- The development of a new framework and comprehensive techno-

economic models for assessing the feasibility of ethanol production from

sugarcane in integrated processing facilities;

- An assessment of the economic and systemic uncertainties that will

impact upon early stage investment in cellulosic ethanol technology in

Australia and the identification of strategies for reducing investment risk.

This assessment used Monte Carlo analysis to identify the key variables

and to simulate the impact of uncertainty on the economic indicators of

investment;

- A comprehensive assessment of the technical and economic feasibility of

a soda-based biorefinery in Australia, including a one and two-

component sensitivity analysis of the key variables affecting feasibility;

- An assessment of the economic and technical impact of energy systems

integration for co-located sugar and bagasse-based ethanol production

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facilities including the impact of energy demand on feedstock

availability, electricity use and ancillary fuel requirements; and

- The conceptual design and development of a novel pilot scale facility for

demonstrating the technical and economic feasibility of processes for

the ethanol production from sugarcane bagasse.

Despite sugarcane being perhaps the best biomass feedstock for early stage

cellulosic ethanol production, such an integrated and multi-dimensional analysis for

cellulosic ethanol production from sugarcane has not previously been undertaken in

Australia, and an extensive literature review has not revealed a similar study

elsewhere in the world.

1.6 Conclusion

This chapter has reviewed the key research question, the aims and outcomes of the

research and provided an outline of the thesis. The next section of the thesis

provides a more detailed introduction to the sugarcane and biofuels systems and

analyses the key factors impacting upon early stage investment in cellulosic ethanol

technologies.

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Systems analysis

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Chapter 2

Introduction to biofuels and the Australian sugar industry

2.1 Transportation fuels in the early 21st century

2.1.1 The use of crude oil as a transportation fuel

Although some of the earliest combustion powered transportation vehicles were

fuelled with ethanol, crude oil derivatives have provided the vast majority of

transportation fuels throughout the 20th and early 21st centuries. The overwhelming

reliance on crude oil derivatives as the source of virtually all transportation fuels

throughout this period has been the result of abundant crude oil deposits that have

been inexpensive to extract, refine and distribute to the consumer. The high energy

density of crude oil and its derivatives (including automotive gasoline, diesel and

aviation fuels) has also contributed to the popularity of these products as

transportation fuels.

In 2006, global demand for petroleum and other liquid fuels was 85.0 million barrels

oil equivalent per day (Mb/d) and this is forecast to grow to 106.6 Mb/d in 2030,

with the growth in transportation fuel use being responsible for 80 % of the higher

total crude oil use [1]. Despite improvements in energy efficiency standards in many

countries and the dampened demand resulting from the global economic recession

experienced in 2008-09, global crude oil consumption continues to increase by over

1 % annually, driven primarily by the increased demand for fuel in developing

countries [2], and particularly by the growth in demand in India and China [2, 3].

The only non-fossil liquid transport fuels currently of significance on a global scale

are biofuels, including bioethanol and biodiesel. World production of biofuels

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exceeded 0.7 Mb/d in 2007, an increase of 35 % from 2006 and accounting for 1.5 %

of total road transport fuel use [4]. Biofuels production is forecast to grow by about

8.6 % annually to approximately 5.9 Mb/d in 2030, increasing to 5.5 % of total liquid

fuel consumption [2].

2.1.2 The contribution of transport fuels to climate change

The Stern Review on the Economics of Climate Change [5] concluded that the

scientific evidence on climate change is now overwhelming, a serious and urgent

issue and that the benefits of strong, early action considerably outweigh the costs

of action. Independent reviews from many sources now recognise the majority

scientific opinion that the climate is changing as a result of anthropogenic

greenhouse gas emissions [5-8] and that the energy future we are creating is

unsustainable [9]. In general, these reports conclude that it is economically

advantageous to undertake early action, and that the introduction of deep cuts in

carbon emissions in the first half of the 21st century is not only essential but

achievable and affordable. Emissions reduction actions, however, are likely to

require a high carbon price in an emissions trading scheme depending upon the

stabilisation goal and emissions target trajectory to achieve the goal [10].

Transport fuels account for 14 % (6.5 GtCO2-e) of global greenhouse gas emissions,

with the majority of these from road transport (76 %) and aviation (12 %), without

accounting for non-CO2 effects of aviation or upstream CO2 emissions from fuel

production. These percentages are expected to remain stable although the total

greenhouse gas emissions from the transport sector are projected to grow to 9

GtCO2-e by 2030 and 12 GtCO2-e by 2050 [5].

It is generally recognised that there is no single solution for the challenges that

climate change will bring through the 21st century and beyond, and that multiple

strategies are required to both reduce carbon emissions and to adapt to the climate

change effects that will inevitably occur. Cost effective greenhouse gas emissions

savings in transportation are expected to result from improvements to fuel

efficiency, behavioural change and the increased use of biofuels. A combination of

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energy efficiency measures in transport fuel use and increased biofuel use are

estimated to have the potential to result in greenhouse gas savings of 7 GtCO2-e

per annum by 2050 at a cost of $25 /tCO2-e [5, 11].

2.1.3 Peak oil and future oil price

In 1956, M. King Hubbert [12] proposed a state where the production rate of crude

oil in the USA would peak, which would be followed by rapid depletion of the

remaining reserves. He later proposed a similar global state and this point became

known as Hubberts’ peak. Many commentators have since attempted to estimate

the date of this peak, although some commentators doubt the existence of a near

term peak [13].

One of the difficulties in estimating the peak is whether or not to include in the

analysis non-conventional oil deposits such as oil shale and tar sand deposits. While

these deposits are significant, the cost of extraction and environmental concerns

may limit the future viability of these deposits for large scale oil production. The use

of synfuels (liquid fuels produced from coal or gas) also affects the date of the peak.

Synfuels, oil shale and tar sand based fuels have much higher carbon emissions than

conventional crude oil based fuels as a result of emissions released in the

production process [5, 9].

It appears certain, however, that increasing scarcity of economically recoverable

conventional oil deposits will lead to higher costs of crude oil and its fuel

derivatives. Estimates of the future cost of crude oil are highly variable, but it is very

likely that crude oil prices will increase as conventional crude oil deposits deplete

and become more geographically concentrated.

The US Energy Information Agency reference case in 2009 [2] shows the crude oil

price being greater than US$100 /barrel in 2013 and rising to US$130 /barrel in

2030 (2007 dollars). Uncertainty in the projections is evident from the range of

alternative oil price scenarios between US$50 /barrel and US$200 /barrel [2].

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In their 2009 study, the International Energy Agency [4] reports a reference case

import crude oil price of US$115 per barrel in 2030 (2008 dollars), and also

acknowledge considerable uncertainty in attempting to estimate future oil prices

[9].

2.1.4 Energy security and development

Conventional crude oil reserves are becoming increasingly geographically

concentrated with 62 % of known reserves in Middle Eastern and North African

countries [9]. As conventional reserves diminish, supply pressures are likely to

increase and continuing supply may become politically prejudiced.

Many nations are increasingly concerned with ensuring the security of their future

energy resource and seek to ensure that a sizable portion is able to be produced

domestically. Renewable energy technologies (including renewable transport fuels),

have been reported to have the potential to play a significant role in enhancing

energy security [14] through diversifying energy sources.

In addition to the potential environmental benefits, many developing countries

have a particular interest in developing biofuel industries with the aim of

diversifying energy sources, reducing exposure to price volatility in the international

oil market, stimulating rural development, creating jobs and saving foreign

exchange [15].

2.2 Bioethanol – a renewable transport fuel

2.2.1 Ethanol as a transportation fuel

Ethanol has been used as an alternate transportation fuel since the introduction of

the very first combustion engines. Although crude oil fuel derivatives became the

primary fuel for transportation, ethanol production spikes occurred during the

1920s and 1930s (following the first world war), and during the 1970s and early

1980s as a result of high petroleum prices [16].

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Ethanol has been used in combustion engines as a standalone fuel, fuel extender in

petroleum blends and as an additive. As an additive, ethanol increases the octane

rating of the fuel, reducing or eliminating the need for toxic octane enhancing

additives such as benzene [17]. While ethanol has a volumetric energy content

about two-thirds that of petroleum, the higher efficiency of combustion of ethanol

leads to an ethanol volumetric fuel efficiency about 75 - 80 % that of petroleum

[17].

Ethanol burned as a standalone fuel, or in blends with petroleum products,

produces fewer tailpipe particulate emissions, fewer oxides of nitrogen emissions

(NOx) and fewer emissions of aromatics, although produces higher volatile organic

carbons (VOCs) [17]. A recent Australian study [18] reported significant health cost

savings in urban Australia from a move to 10 % ethanol substitution in spark-

ignition engines from both a 50 % and 100 % uptake of E10 use in these vehicles.

The majority of post-1986 vehicles operating on Australian roads are suitable for

use with ethanol in blends up to 10 % ethanol [19]. In Brazil, vehicles with an

ethanol - petroleum fuel management system, known as flex-fuel vehicles are

capable of using a wide range of ethanol fuel blends. Eighty-five percent of all new

cars sold in Brazil are flex-fuel, capable of utilising any blend of petrol and ethanol

up to ethanol concentrations of 100 % [20].

2.2.2 First-generation ethanol

First generation ethanol has been produced primarily from starch based feedstocks

(grains such as wheat and corn) or sugar based feedstocks including sugarcane juice

and molasses. Both starch and sucrose are readily hydrolysed into simple hexose

sugars that can be fermented at high efficiency using conventional fermentation

organisms [21].

Starch and sucrose based feedstocks, however, are also used for both human

consumption and for livestock feed, and as a result, the price of these feedstocks

may be impacted by their relative value as a food. The impact of the diversion of

food crops such as corn into ethanol has already been linked to higher food prices in

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some countries including Mexico and the United States of America [22] although

other reports suggest that the increased use of biofuels accounted for only 10 –

30 % of the food price increase evident during 2007 and 2008 [23, 24]. Other factors

such as the effects of drought, higher oil prices and economic growth increasing

global demand for wheat, dairy and protein in Asia and Africa, along with market

speculation and trade barriers, also impacted on the price of grain [24]. As the cost

of first generation feedstocks is typically 60 – 80 % of the ethanol production cost,

factors that act to increase the price of feedstocks used for both ethanol and food

production will have a significant impact on first generation bioethanol viability

during these periods of high feedstock prices.

2.2.3 Second-generation bioethanol

In contrast, second generation biofuels utilise lower value lignocellulosic materials

from forestry, agricultural residues or dedicated energy crops for ethanol

production. Materials considered for second generation biofuel production are

generally low value feedstocks that are often excess to that required in the farming

system.

Lignocellulosic biomass consists principally of the biopolymers cellulose,

hemicellulose and lignin. Both the cellulose and hemicellulose can be pretreated,

hydrolysed and fermented with varying efficiencies into ethanol [21, 25].

While considerable research has been undertaken on lignocellulosic ethanol since

the early 20th century, there remain some significant challenges to the economic

commercialisation of the technology. Apart from the financial challenges of

developing a cost-effective process, one of the major issues for any biomass

processing system is developing an efficient collection and transportation system

for the high volume, low density biomass feedstock to the ethanol processing

facility [22].

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2.2.4 The global biomass resource

Cellulose is the most abundant organic material on the earth with natural processes

producing biomass from carbon dioxide and water. As the biomass resource can be

replenished in a short timeframe, the resource is both renewable and carbon

neutral. The continental biomass resource resulting from the growth of plants is

estimated to be 117.5 billion t/y, with 62 % of this resource in tropical rainforests

and other woods [26]. Agricultural crops contribute currently about 9.1 billion t/y

[26], with biomass typically yielding an ethanol volume of 275 - 309 L/t feedstock

(dry basis) [27].

Biomass contributes about 45 EJ/y of the current 467 EJ/y (2004 data) of global

energy demand, supplying up to 10 % of the energy in developed countries and 20 –

30 % in developing countries. Average estimates of global biomass energy farming

potential on current agricultural land are reported typically in the range of 100 - 300

EJ/y, without jeopardising future food supply. The use of organic wastes and

residues are reported to offer the potential of an additional 40 - 170 EJ/y, making

the total potential contribution from biomass this century up to 400 EJ/y [28]. A

review of 17 previous biomass energy studies reported estimates from less than

100 EJ/y to greater than 400 EJ/y [29].

Biofuels currently contribute about 1.5 EJ/y or about 1.5 % of global transportation

fuel use [28]. Production of ethanol in 2006 was 39 billion litres, increasing 18 %

from 2005 [30]. Estimates of the long-term world liquid biofuel production potential

range from 12 - 455 EJ/y, with most studies in the range of 48 - 158 EJ/y [21],

although the economically viable production potential may be significantly lower

than the technical production potential frequently reported. In Australia, up to

140 % of existing transport fuel use could be supplied by biofuels if the industry

develops around second generation biofuel technologies [31].

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2.3 Sugarcane as a bio-energy resource

2.3.1 The global sugar industry

Sugar is one of the major food carbohydrate energy sources in the world. It is

principally produced from two major crops – sugarcane, grown in tropical and sub-

tropical regions of the world, and sugar beet grown in more temperate climates.

In 2006, 1.392 billion tonnes of sugarcane were grown globally at an average yield

of 68.3 t/ha dominated by production in Brazil and India. Sugar beet production in

2006 was 256 million tonnes at an average yield of 47.1 t/ha [32]. The leading

sugarcane producing countries are shown in Figure 2.1.

Figure 2.1 Leading sugarcane producing countries 2006 [32]

The principal use of sugarcane throughout the world is for crystal sugar production

for human consumption. In several countries including Brazil, a sizable portion of

the crop is also used for ethanol production from both sugarcane juice and

molasses. Many other countries including Australia produce lesser quantities of

ethanol from molasses.

0

100

200

300

400

500

Brazil

India

China

Mexico

Thaila

nd

Pakist

an

Colombia

Austra

lia

Indon

esia

USA

Philipp

ines

South

Africa

2006

sug

ar c

ane

prod

uctio

n (m

illio

n to

nnes

)

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Over the past decade, global sugarcane production has increased by 8 %, driven by

a 37 % increase in sugarcane production in Brazil [32]. This increased sugarcane

production has resulted in both increased crystal sugar production and increased

ethanol production, and has had a significant impact on the world price of raw

sugar. Land use change enabling this global expansion of sugarcane production has

both direct and indirect sustainability implications and the factors relating to these

implications are diverse and complex [33-35].

2.3.2 The sugarcane biomass resource

Sugarcane is a C4 monocotyledonous perennial grass grown principally in tropical

and subtropical regions of the world. Modern sugarcane varieties cultivated in

Australia are complex hybrids derived through intensive selective breeding between

the species Saccharum officinarum and Saccharum spontaneum [36].

Globally, the 1.4 billion tonnes of sugarcane produced annually is grown on about

20.4 million hectares [32] in tropical and sub-tropical regions of the world. In

Australia, modern sugarcane varieties are capable of producing in excess of 55 t/ha

of biomass (dry weight). The development of high biomass sugarcane (often

referred to as ‘energy cane’) has the potential to significantly increase the amount

of biomass available.

Traditional sugarcane harvesting processes remove the top of the stalk (tops) and

leaf material, and only the stalk is transported into the factory for extraction and

production of sugar. Tops and leaf material remaining after harvesting are either

left in the field to decompose, acting as mulch and providing organic matter and

nutrient for the soil, or burnt depending upon farming practices. It is likely that only

a portion of this leaf material is of value in the agricultural system, and for

improving soil condition. The remainder of this extraneous matter is potentially

available as a feedstock for biomass value adding processes such as bioethanol

production. The impacts of harvesting and transporting extraneous matter on the

sugar milling process and the economics of the industry are complex and an

integrated modelling approach has been developed to analyse these effects [37].

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2.3.3 The Australian sugar industry

Over the past decade, the Australian sugar industry has harvested approximately 28

– 38 million t/y of sugarcane from approximately 400,000 hectares [38] along the

eastern coast of Australia (Figure 2.2). Approximately 95 % of the sugarcane is

grown in Queensland with the remainder of the industry operating in Northern New

South Wales (NSW). Sugarcane is Queensland’s highest value agricultural crop with

an annual value of approximately $1.5 - $2.5 billion [39].

Sugarcane in Australia is crushed at one of 25 sugar factories and processed into key

products including crystal sugar and molasses. Typically, 4.5 – 5 million tonnes of

raw sugar is produced [39] and 75 % of the sugar produced is exported. While

Australia is only the eighth largest producer of sugarcane [32], Australia is typically

the second or third largest exporter of sugar after Brazil and (in some years)

Thailand.

The average area of sugarcane harvested in Queensland has decreased over the

past decade as a result of economic challenges posed by drought and disease,

extended periods of poor sugar prices and industry restructuring programs. In

particular, low sugar prices during the early 21st century resulted in an industry

restructuring program that led to up to a quarter of the growers in Australia exiting

the industry. A survey of the financial performance of sugarcane growers in 2007-08

[40] determined that the volume of production is relatively stable with a trend

toward a smaller number of larger farms improving the viability of sugarcane

producers. In the period since 2008, higher prices have provided improved financial

conditions for sugarcane growers (Figure 2.3).

For domestic sugar consumption, raw sugar is processed into refined sugar at

refineries in Mackay and Bundaberg (Queensland), Yarraville (Victoria), and

Harwood (NSW).

The only distillery of significant capacity currently producing ethanol from

sugarcane products in Australia is the Sucrogen 60 ML/y molasses-based distillery

located on the site of the Plane Creek sugar factory in Sarina, Queensland. Small

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quantities of ethanol are also produced in boutique distilleries in Bundaberg and

Beenleigh, Queensland, producing rum and other consumer products from

molasses.

Figure 2.2 Map of the Australian sugar industry [39]

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Figure 2.3 Australian No.1 sugar pool price 1990-91 to 2005-06 and QSL seasonal pool price 2006-07 to 2010-11 (AU$/t) [38, 41]

2.3.4 Current uses of sugarcane bagasse in Australia

In most sugar factories, bagasse from the crushing or diffuser station is burnt in

suspension fired boilers to generate steam for electricity, mechanical power and

process heat requirements for the factory. Historically, sugar factory boilers and

factory production technologies have been designed to be energy inefficient to

ensure that the energy requirements of the factory match the availability of bagasse

from the sugarcane. This approach has ensured that the factories required little if

any supplementary fuels (such as coal or oil) for process energy, while ensuring that

the factories were not left with an expensive bagasse disposal problem. Small

quantities of surplus electricity have been sold to the electricity transmission or

distribution networks.

With increasing value in the market for energy products, sugar factories are

investing in higher efficiency boilers and more efficient process technologies to

2010-11 Estimated pool price range

200

250

300

350

400

450

500

550

Seas

onal

poo

l pri

ce

(AU

$/t)

Year

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enable a significantly greater quantity of electrical export and hence capture

additional value from the sugarcane resource [42, 43].

Around the world, sugarcane bagasse is used for many applications including animal

feed, pulp and paper production, particle and fibre board production and furfural

production. Other potential uses of bagasse include xylitol production, speciality

building products, microcrystalline cellulose production and the production of

furfural and lignin derivatives [44, 45].

Sugarcane has some major advantages as a feedstock for lignocellulosic ethanol

production compared to other feedstocks. One of the most significant advantages is

that the sugarcane bagasse is an existing centrally located resource supported by a

harvesting and transport infrastructure that supplies the sugarcane to the sugar

factory.

2.3.5 The sugarcane biorefinery

Several studies have commented on the need to improve the economics of the

bioethanol production process through the integrated production of multiple co-

products in a biomass biorefinery [46-54]. In a biorefinery, bagasse is typically

fractionated into its components and value is added to each component through

the production of multiple high value co-products. Bioethanol is generally

considered to be a significant (but not the only) revenue stream for a biorefinery.

Products that are able to be produced in a biorefinery include ethanol, compounds

derived from lignin, specialty sugars, organic acids, fermentation products, and

other energy products including biodiesel, hydrogen and methane.

Typical products able to be produced in a sugarcane biorefinery are shown in Figure

2.4.

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2.4 The composition and structure of sugarcane bagasse

Bagasse from the sugarcane diffusion and milling processes generally contains 44 –

53 % moisture, 1 – 2 % soluble solids, 1 – 5 % insoluble solids (ash) and the

remainder lignocellulosic fibre [45]. The fibre analysis of bagasse by standard sugar

factory methods [55] includes dirt and other insoluble impurities and these

impurities can vary from quite small quantities to very significant quantities

depending upon the sugarcane supply and processing technologies.

Lignocellulosic materials such as sugarcane bagasse are complex mixtures of

cellulose, hemicellulose and lignin with minor amounts of ash, proteins, lipids and

extractives. The actual composition of the lignocellulosic material depends upon the

growth conditions of the plant, the plant tissue and the age at harvesting [16].

Reports of bagasse fibre composition in the literature vary with cellulose typically

34 – 47 %, hemicellulose 24 – 29 % and lignin 18 – 28 % on a dry basis [27, 44, 45,

56-58].

Figure 2.4 An overview of current and potential products from sugarcane in Australia –current products shown in black and potential products shown in red

Sugar cane

Renewable electricity

Crystal sugar

Ethanol, Bio-crude Chemicals

Filter mudBagasse

Export

Juice

Fertiliser

High value chemicals

Molasses

Pulp

ChemicalsBio-plastics

Ethanol

WaxesProteinsPlant made products

BiofuelsPharmaceuticalsIndustrial products

Ethanol Animal feed

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Sugarcane is a non-homogenous material and can be thought of as consisting of

peripheral fibres (rind) enclosing a soft central pith [58]. The rind is covered by a

waxy coating. The sugarcane stalk transports water and nutrients from the soil to

the growing portion of the plant and stores sugar that has been synthesised in the

plant leaves. Vascular bundles in the stalk account for a large proportion of the stalk

fibre and the sugar is stored in parenchyma tissue surrounding the vascular bundles

[45].

In sugar extraction operations, the structural order of the fibres in the sugarcane

plant is lost [44] and the resultant bagasse is a mixture of fibre components of

varying length and composition. Pith cells are broken into fine particles generally

much less than 1 mm in length, while other fibres may retain a length of up to

25 mm. For the practical measurement of pith, all of the fibres passing through a

fine screen of approximately 1.5 mm aperture are generally considered to be pith

fibres. By this definition, pith constitutes approximately 40 % of the total bagasse

fibres by weight. Pith is chemically similar to the non-pith fibre, although the non-

pith fibre has been reported to have lower hemicellulose concentrations [59] and

higher α-cellulose concentrations [45]. For bagasse fibre pulping operations, the

pith is generally removed prior to digestion as the presence of pith increases

chemical usage and adversely affects fibre drainage.

A typical constitutive analysis of Australian bagasse fibre on a dry basis is shown in

Table 2.1.

In lignocellulosic materials such as bagasse, cellulose is ordered into fibrils which are

surrounded by lignin and hemicellulose [60]. The hemicellulose provides an

interpenetrating matrix for the cellulose microfibrils with molecular interactions

including hydrogen bonds and Van der Waals forces, while lignin is incorporated

into the spaces around the fibrillar elements, forming lignin polysaccharide

complexes [61].

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Table 2.1 Typical constitutive analysis of Australian sugarcane bagasse

Weight

percent

Cellulose 43

Hemicellulose

– xylose

– arabinose

27

4

Lignin 23

Extractives 1

Ash 2

2.4.1 Cellulose

To describe the structure of native celluloses, it is necessary to consider three levels

of structure, including at the molecular scale of the macromolecule, the

supramolecular level of packing and ordering and the morphological architecture

[62].

At the molecular level, cellulose is a linear homopolymer of D-glucopyranose units

linked at the 1 and 4 carbon atoms by b-glycosidic bonds, with hydroxy groups at C-

2, C-3 and C-6. The hydroxy group at the C-1 end of the glucose chain has reducing

properties and the hydroxy group at C-6 is non-reducing [62]. The solubility of the

anhydroglucose polymer in water decreases above a degree of polymerisation (DP)

of 6, due to strong intermolecular hydrogen bonds. Sugarcane bagasse celluloses

typically have a molecular weight between 150,000 and 350,000 [44] which equates

to a DP between 800 and 1900.

At the supramolecular level, the chemical composition and spatial conformation of

cellulose molecules results in cellulose having the tendency to aggregate into highly

ordered structural entities through an extensive network of hydrogen bonds. This

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structural aggregation is not uniform throughout the structure with regions of high

crystalline order and regions of relatively low crystallinity (amorphous) [62].

Native cellulose morphology is characterised by the well-ordered aggregation of

microfibrils into macrofibrils. The macrofibrils contain a non-uniform system of

pores, capillaries, voids and interstices that increase the surface area of the

cellulose fibrils [62].

2.4.2 Hemicelluloses

Hemicelluloses are heterogeneous polymers of pentoses (xylose, arabinose),

hexoses (mannose, glucose and galactose), and uronic acids [54]. Hemicelluloses

are typically branched with much lower degrees of polymerisation than cellulose

(typically 80 - 200) [63]. Hemicelluloses are not crystalline and as a result are more

readily accessible for hydrolysis than cellulose [64]. The structure of hemicelluloses

is generally considered to be rod-shaped with branches and side chains folded back

to the main chain through hydrogen bonding [65].

In cell walls, hemicellulose molecules hydrogen bond to the cellulose microfibrils.

While they act to coat the microfibrils, restricting the enzyme pathway to the

cellulose, they are also long enough to span the microfibrils and link them together

[66].

In sugarcane bagasse, the principle hemicelluloses are heteropolymers based on a

D-xylose polymer backbone with side groups containing mainly glucuronic acid and

arabinose. The average viscometric molecular weight of sugarcane bagasse

hemicelluloses is between 10,000 and 20,000 [44]. A review of previous research

has found considerable variation in the proportions of the relative constituents of

hemicellulose, with a mole ratio of xylose to arabinose of 4.0 - 52.6 and a mole ratio

of xylose to glucuronic acid of 7.4 - 100 [67].

Hemicellulose extraction from bagasse with water at temperatures between 150 oC

and 170 oC resulted in xylose yields of 60 %, with 80 % of the extracted xylose in the

oligo- or polysaccharide form [68].

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2.4.3 Lignin

Lignin is a natural amorphous polymer composed of phenylpropane olignol units

with hydroxyl and carbonyl substitutions. There are three major phenylpropane

units, p-hydroxyphenyl (H), guaiacyl (G), and syringyl (S) which differ in the O-

methyl substitution of the aromatic ring. The structure of lignin that has been

isolated from biomass is dependent upon both the plant and the process used for

delignification [69, 70].

In a lignocellulosic material, lignin is covalently linked to both cellulose and

hemicellulose. Cross-linking possibilities exist through hydrogen bonds, ionic

interactions, ester and ether linkages and Van der Waals interactions. Lignin –

carbohydrate interactions have been shown to strongly affect ruminant and

enzymatic digestibility [66].

Both the total quantity and structure of the lignin within the plant varies with cell

tissue and these have been shown to affect the recalcitrance of the tissue to

biodegradation. Warm season grasses such as sugarcane are reported to have both

lignified cell walls as well as high levels of phenolic acid esters linked to arabinose

[71]. In addition, warm season grasses contain ferulic acid esterified with

hemicelluloses and etherified with lignin while p-coumaric acid is esterified with

lignin [72]. Each of these linkages, in addition to the structure and quantity of lignin

present, has a substantial effect on digestibility for bioethanol production through

both the covalent linkages themselves and the effect they have of physically

reducing access to the carbohydrate polymers [73].

Sugarcane bagasse lignin has a higher content of p-hydroxyphenyl lignin, and as a

result, a lower methoxy content than lignin from other hardwood and softwood

lignins [69]. The importance of delignifying bagasse to produce a residue that is

readily hydrolysed by enzyme has been highlighted [74].

2.5 Overview of the process for ethanol production from sugarcane bagasse

Unlike the starch or sugar feedstocks upon which first generation bioethanol has

been based, the structural rigidity of lignocellulosic materials results in a material

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that is extremely resistant to hydrolysis (depolymerisation). As a result, the ethanol

production process from biomass such as sugarcane bagasse requires aggressive

thermochemical or physical pretreatments, or combinations of both to generate a

material more amenable to hydrolysis. These pretreatment processes add to the

cost of bioethanol production from biomass feedstocks and, depending upon the

process used, generate significant degradation products that can detrimentally

affect the fermentation productivity and product yield [75].

Due to the formation of degradation products in the acid hydrolysis of cellulose and

hemicellulose, considerable attention is being given to the development of efficient

enzymatic hydrolysis processes for the conversion of cellulose and hemicellulose

into fermentable sugars. Significant quantities of cellulolytic and hemicellulolytic

enzymes are required for this conversion process to ensure both high yields and

rapid hydrolysis rates.

Despite significant research investment into improved enzyme efficacy, the cost of

the enzymes and the capital required to produce them in the quantities required for

commercial bioethanol facilities remain major cost impediments to the

commercialisation of the technology. In the landmark 2002 study by Aden, et al [76]

on ethanol production from corn stover, cellulase enzyme cost was assessed to be

9 % of the total cost contribution to the process, with pretreatment and

conditioning accounting for 19 % of the total cost contribution (including feedstock

and capital depreciation costs). A later study by Tao and Aden [77] showed an

enzyme cost of 7 % of total operating costs (including feedstock and capital

depreciation costs).

Effective pretreatment strategies reduce the quantity and cost of enzymes required

for hydrolysis of cellulose and hemicellulose. These strategies include hydrolysing

the hemicellulose fraction of the fibre, decreasing the lignin content of the material,

reducing the crystallinity of the cellulose fibrils or modifying the fibre architecture

to enable more rapid transport of the enzyme into the fibre.

A simple schematic of the key processes required for ethanol production from

sugarcane bagasse via a biochemical pathway is shown in Figure 2.5.

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Figure 2.5 Simple schematic of the key processes required for the ethanol from sugarcane bagasse

2.6 Conclusion

This chapter has provided an introduction to transportation fuel use and the

challenges associated with commercialising biofuels production from cellulosic

feedstocks. An overview of the global and Australian sugar industries and the

structure of sugarcane bagasse as a bioenergy feedstock have also been provided.

Chapter 3 provides more detail on the technologies for pretreatment of fibre from

sugarcane bagasse.

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Chapter 3

Pretreatment technologies for ethanol production from sugarcane bagasse

3.1 Introduction

Chapter 2 provided an introduction to the sugarcane system and to the drivers

affecting biofuel production from sugarcane. This chapter builds upon the

information in the previous chapter discussing in more detail the objectives of

the pretreatment processing of sugarcane bagasse and reviews the key research

work that has been reported for the pretreatment of sugarcane bagasse.

3.2 The objectives of the pretreatment process

The economic production of ethanol from lignocellulosic fibre requires a

feedstock to the hydrolysis process that is readily amenable to enzymatic attack

and subsequent fermentation at high yields. Native lignocellulosic materials are

extremely resistant to enzymatic hydrolysis and require an effective

pretreatment process prior to hydrolysis.

The pretreatment process in a lignocellulosic ethanol facility can be considered

to have the following key objectives [16, 78]:

- To improve the structure and accessibility of the carbohydrate

compounds to enable rapid and cost-effective enzymatic hydrolysis;

- To avoid the degradation of carbohydrates, ensuring maximum

fermentable sugar and ethanol yield;

- To avoid the production of degradation products inhibitory to

hydrolysis or fermentation; and

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- To be a cost-effective process within the context of an economically

viable facility.

To achieve these objectives, the following specific attributes are desirable in a

pretreatment process [79, 80]:

- Low cost of chemicals for both the pretreatment and neutralisation or

chemical recovery stages;

- Minimal generation of wastes;

- Minimal requirement for energy-intensive biomass particle size

reduction prior to pretreatment;

- Preservation of hemicelluloses and enhancement of the accessibility

of hemicelluloses for fermentation;

- Short reaction times with non-corrosive chemicals to minimise

reactor costs;

- High fermentable sugars concentration to minimise fermentation

reactor sizes and energy costs in ethanol recovery;

- High product yields in hydrolysis and fermentation with minimal

hydrolysate conditioning (for removal of fermentation inhibitory

compounds) required;

- Hydrolysate conditioning should not form products that present

processing or waste disposal challenges;

- The pretreated cellulose and hemicellulose should require minimal

enzyme loadings to obtain greater than 90 % digestibility in less than

three days; and

- Facilitate recovery of lignin and other products for conversion to

valuable co-products.

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Several reviews have been undertaken relating to the pretreatment processing

of lignocellulosic materials and the technology involved [16, 25, 27, 78, 79, 81-

85]. In general, most pretreatment strategies improve the digestibility of the

fibre through one or more of the following strategies:

- Reducing the lignin content or modifying or redistributing the lignin

component;

- Reducing the hemicellulose content;

- Reducing the crystallinity or degree of polymerisation of the cellulose

component; and

- Influencing the fibre particle size, porosity, cell wall thickness or fibre

surface area.

The lignin concentration of the fibre and the degree of cellulose crystallinity have

been shown to have the most significant effect on biomass digestibility by

enzyme and this has been shown to hold true for bagasse [86]. Reducing the

acetyl content has been shown to have a lesser impact on biomass digestibility

although this remains an effective strategy [86]. While effective pretreatment is

critical to bagasse digestion by enzymes, the hydrolytic effectiveness is also

dependent upon digestion conditions including pH, temperature, solids content

and enzyme loading [87].

Bagasse pretreatment technologies can be categorised as chemical, physical and

biological treatments and have been used either singly or in combinations of

treatments. The following sections review some of the key work that has been

undertaken.

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3.3 Chemical pretreatments

3.3.1 Concentrated acid hydrolysis

Concentrated acid hydrolysis has been used commercially (during the Second

World War) for hydrolysing biomass. In the concentrated acid process, sulphuric

acid is typically used at concentrations greater than 40 % at room temperature

for periods of approximately 1 hour [25]. The use of concentrated acids for

hydrolysis at low temperatures results in high yields of both pentoses and

hexoses, with reported yields of 85 – 95 % of theoretical yields and with minimal

production of degradation products [25].

Commercialisation of the concentrated acid process has been hindered by the

high cost of acid, necessitating expensive acid recovery processes (such as

chromatographic techniques for separating the acid and sugars) and the

requirement for expensive alloys in plant construction [25].

3.3.2 Dilute acid hydrolysis and pretreatment

Dilute acid hydrolysis of biomass for ethanol production is favoured by many

researchers as the process is simple, rapid and requires no solvent recovery

process. In dilute acid hydrolysis, both the cellulose and the hemicellulose

fractions are substantially hydrolysed.

In general, the dilute acid hydrolysis process is a single or double stage process

using sulphuric acid in concentrations of up to 1.5 % acid, with reaction times of

several minutes and temperatures between 180 oC and 230 oC. Higher

temperatures are mostly used to ensure rapid hydrolysis rates and high glucose

yields during saccharification. The higher temperatures, however, also increase

the rate of generation of pentose degradation products, primarily furfural, and

hexose degradation products, primarily 5-hydroxymethyl furfural (HMF) [56, 79].

Furfural and HMF can further degrade to other products including furan, levulinic

acid and formic acid. Several phenolic compounds resulting from lignin

degradation can also be formed under these conditions [25].

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Glucose yields from the dilute acid hydrolysis process have been mostly reported

between 50 % and 60 % of theoretical glucose yield, however, more recent

studies have reported glucose yields over 80 % and xylose yields above 90 % with

new reactor designs [25]. Despite the improvements in glucose and xylose

yields, significant quantities of inhibitory degradation products are formed and

low hydrolysate sugar concentrations have been achieved [25].

Acetic acid is also formed from the hydrolysis of acetyl groups in the

hemicellulose fraction and can be a further inhibitor to microbial growth in

concentrations as low as 4 g/L [88]. HMF and furfural concentrations as low as

0.5 g/L have been shown to reduce microbial growth substantially in

lignocellulosic materials [88] and in sugarcane bagasse hydrolysates at

concentrations greater than 0.9 g/L [89].

Mild acid pretreatment processes utilise lower process temperatures, shorter

reaction times and lower acid concentrations than dilute acid hydrolysis to

substantially hydrolyse the hemicellulose with a resultant 80 – 90 % yield of

monomer sugars. The cellulose and lignin remain in the solid residue following

pretreatment, and the cellulose can be subsequently enzymatically hydrolysed

[79].

Mild acid pretreatments on bagasse attack the lignocellulosic structure through

hydrolysing hemicellulose chains attached to the lignin, as well as degrading

some of the lignin. The degree of cellulose crystallinity of the fibre can increase

during mild acid pretreatment as a portion of the amorphous cellulose is

solubilised, resulting in a residual solid with a higher proportion of more resistant

crystalline cellulose [90].

One approach to reducing the formation of degradation products in mild acid

pretreatment processes is to utilise a two stage pretreatment process, with a

moderate temperature first stage solubilising the most readily available

hemicellulose and separating the hydrolysate from the solid residue prior to a

second stage higher temperature process. Following the second stage hydrolysis,

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the fibre undergoes rapid decompression in a process known as steam explosion

(Section 3.4.1) to affect fibre morphology.

One of the major challenges with mild acid hydrolysis or pretreatment is the

corrosive nature of the process conditions (low pH, elevated temperature and

pressure) resulting in a requirement for pressurised reactors manufactured from

exotic and expensive alloys. Other concerns include the need for neutralisation

chemicals for hydrolysate conditioning and the disposal costs associated with the

salts formed (typically gypsum). The continuing presence of lignin in the solid

residue results in non-productive adsorption of a portion of the enzymes on the

lignin, requiring a higher enzyme usage rate [79].

Studies with sugarcane bagasse have looked at the kinetics of hydrolysis with a

range of mineral acids. A kinetic study [56] of sulphuric acid hydrolysis of bagasse

modelled xylose, glucose, acetic acid and furfural concentrations at

temperatures of 100 - 128 oC and acid concentrations of 2 – 6 %. Up to 90 % of

the hemicelluloses were hydrolysed under these conditions with minimal

hydrolysis of cellulose. Further detailed studies [59, 67] looked at the kinetics of

xylose, arabinose, glucose and furfural production under a large range of

temperature conditions, solid to liquid ratios and bagasse type, comparing both

sulphuric and hydrochloric acids. About 80 % of theoretical xylose yields were

achieved. Bagasse particle size was found to have a negligible effect on the rate

of hydrolysis.

Further studies with sugarcane bagasse have also investigated the kinetics of

hemicellulose hydrolysis in dilute sulphuric acid [91], hydrochloric acid [92],

phosphoric acid [93-96] and nitric acid [97]. The use of sulphur dioxide

impregnated bagasse with steam treatment has been studied and resulted in

sugar yields of 87 % [98].

A study [99] on dilute acid pretreatment of sugarcane bagasse and other biomass

sources (rice hulls, peanut shells and cassava stalks) using dilute sulphuric acid at

122 oC and times up to 1 hour showed that bagasse was the most susceptible of

these materials to hemicellulose hydrolysis, with conversion of the xylan of 73 –

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81 %. Cellulose was only marginally hydrolysed (less than 10 %) under these

conditions. Minor inhibition of the fermentability of the prehydrolysate was

reported as a result of inhibitory compound formation, but the yield of glucose

from cellulose from enzymatic hydrolysis of the solid residue was only 40 %

taking into account losses from the dilute acid prehydrolysis [99].

Another study of sugarcane bagasse with sulphuric acid pretreatment has shown

that hemicellulose monomer sugar yield is most influenced by acid concentration

and that higher temperatures increase degradation product formation, favouring

the selection of reaction conditions with higher acid concentrations, longer

reaction times and lower reaction temperatures [91]. Despite the hydrolysis and

removal of hemicellulose from the residual solid, the relative increase in lignin in

the solid residue has been shown to restrict the potential gains in susceptibility

of the solid residue to enzymatic hydrolysis [100].

Reprecipitated cellulose from sugarcane bagasse pretreated with zinc chloride

and dilute hydrochloric acid was found to have a significantly greater rate and

extent of hydrolysis than untreated bagasse cellulose [101].

Acid pretreatments under very mild concentrations have also been trialled for

enhancing the digestion characteristics of bagasse feeds for ruminant animals

[102].

Strategies for minimising the impact of fermentation inhibitors on ethanol

production from acidic treatments of bagasse include control of process

conditions to minimise the production of inhibitory compounds, detoxification

prior to fermentation and the selection and adaptation of inhibitor tolerant

fermentation organisms [103]. Strategies for detoxification of hydrolysates from

bagasse include overliming [89, 103], laccase treatment [103], pH adjustment

[104], activated carbon adsorption [105] and electrodialysis [106]. Mechanisms

of inhibition and detoxification have been reviewed generally for lignocellulosic

materials [88, 107, 108].

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3.3.3 Alkaline pretreatments

Alkaline pretreatments are extensively used in the pulping industry for both

wood and non-wood feedstocks. The pulping industry principally uses the Kraft

process for pulping of wood fibres which combines the use of caustic soda and

sodium sulphite for effective delignification. Non-wood fibres such as bagasse

more readily delignify than fibres from woody plants and as a consequence, for

bagasse, caustic soda is a satisfactory delignifying agent. In the bagasse pulping

soda process, caustic soda is typically used at a concentration of 18 - 26 % NaOH

on dry fibre at temperatures up to 160 oC.

Alkaline pretreatments aim to dissolve a large proportion of the lignin from the

biomass with the rate and extent of dissolution varying with the alkali

concentration, reaction time and reaction temperature [109]. The removal of

lignin from lignocellulosic materials is a key strategy in improving cellulose

digestibility [75, 79, 100]. Pulping processes aim to delignify bagasse to a target

lignin concentration (known in the pulping industry as the Kappa number [110]).

Some dissolution of hemicellulose also occurs in alkaline pretreatments but this

is generally undesirable as this leads to a reduction in pulp yield.

Alkali pretreatments of sugarcane bagasse have been shown to remove lignin

and hemicellulose through both solubilisation and hydrolysis from the fibre,

resulting in a more open structure that is more readily accessible to cellulosic

enzymes than untreated bagasse [90]. Delignification of bagasse fibre in alkali

pretreatment is rapid to about 75 % delignification with the preferential removal

of p-hydroxyphenol lignin [111]. The major degradation products from alkali

bagasse pretreatments are formic acid, acetic acid and hydroxymonocarboxylic

acids [112], although the inhibitory impact of these on fermentation are much

less significant than the degradation products that result from acidic

pretreatments.

Due to the less corrosive environment, the cost of materials for the fabrication of

pretreatment reactors for alkaline pulping is significantly lower than the cost of

materials required for acidic pretreatments, however, it is reported that the cost

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of chemicals is likely to be significantly higher with caustic soda being four times

as expensive as sulphuric acid. As the processes operate in aqueous

environments above 100 oC, pressure vessels are required for pretreatment

processing. Little testing of alkaline processes at pilot scale has been reported in

the literature and little information is available on the process economics [80].

Low temperature, low concentration NaOH treatment of bagasse has been

trialled with long residence times (1 - 6 days) although improved results were

obtained with bagasse pretreatment by sodium chlorite prior to NaOH

pretreatment [113].

Lime pretreatment has been studied for its effectiveness in enhancing enzymatic

digestibility of bagasse and wheat straw [114]. Short pretreatment times (1 - 3

hours) at high temperatures (85 – 135 oC) were effective in achieving high sugar

yields, while lower temperatures (50 – 65 oC) required much longer pretreatment

times (24 hours). Glucans and xylans were not removed in the pretreatment and

a maximum of only 14 % of the lignin was solubilised. Enzymatic hydrolysis of the

lime pretreated bagasse produced 75 % of theoretical sugar yield after 72 hours

[114]. A comparison of lime and alkaline hydrogen peroxide pretreatments

achieved glucose yields of up to 87.5 % for lime and 62.4 % for alkaline hydrogen

peroxide with longer reaction times, higher temperatures and higher lime

loadings all favoured in producing a higher glucose yield [115].

Aqueous ammonia has been trialled for its effectiveness as a pretreatment agent

for enzymatic hydrolysis of bagasse, corn husk and switchgrass [116]. Bagasse

was treated with aqueous ammonia at 120 oC for 20 minutes and glucan and

xylan yields of 72.9 % and 82.4 % respectively were reported. The residual

ammonia was separated from the bagasse by vacuum drying and no washing of

the biomass prior to hydrolysis was required. The enzymatic effectiveness of

various cellulase and hemicellulase preparations and mixtures have also been

studied on aqueous ammonia and ammonia freeze explosion pretreated bagasse

[117].

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The addition of potassium hydroxide has been used to significantly improve

delignification of aqueous ammonia bagasse pulps for paper applications. The

use of aqueous ammonia and potash offers an alternative alkaline pretreatment

strategy as the black liquor from the process can be converted into a valuable

fertiliser, reducing the necessity for expensive alkali recovery processes. Eighty

percent delignification was achieved using 35 % NH4OH and 5 % KOH and minor

amounts of anthroquinone at temperatures of 165 oC for 1 hour [118].

Alkaline pretreatments have been conducted in conjunction with oxidative

pretreatments and these are discussed in the following section.

3.3.4 Oxidative pretreatments

Wet oxidation involves the reaction of a lignocellulosic material with water

(under alkaline conditions) and oxygen or air at temperatures greater than

120 oC, more typically at 170 - 200 oC and pressures of 10 - 12 bar [25]. Sodium

carbonate is often added to the process to prevent the formation of degradation

products that would occur under acidic conditions.

During wet oxidation, both a low temperature hydrolytic reaction and a high

temperature oxidative reaction occur. Wet oxidation of sugarcane bagasse under

alkali conditions has been shown to reduce the formation of toxic formaldehydes

and phenol aldehydes compared to wet oxidation alone [119-121].

Alkaline wet oxidation is reported to enhance the susceptibility of bagasse to

enzymatic hydrolysis. In the studies, alkaline wet oxidation at 195 oC for 15

minutes produced a solid product with 70 % cellulose content, and solubilised

93 % of the hemicellulose and 50 % of the lignin [119-121].

Oxidising agents including peracetic acid [94, 122-127], acetic acid and ozone

[128], peroxyacetic acid [129], alkaline hydrogen peroxide [130] and sodium

hypochlorite and hydrogen peroxide [131] have also been used to reduce the

lignin content of lignocellulosic pulps.

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Peracetic acid is known to selectively oxidise aromatic compounds such as lignin,

resulting in delignification of the fibre, increasing surface area and exposure of

cellulose fibres [127]. The effectiveness of the peracetic acid pretreatment on

bagasse was studied for its effect on simultaneous saccharification and

fermentation and ethanol yields greater than 90 % of theoretical were achieved

[126]. Peracetic acid charge, reaction temperature and reaction time have been

found to have a significant effect on the yield of glucose from peracetic acid

pretreatments [125]. Although the process provides high yields of sugars, the

high cost of chemicals is likely to make the process too expensive for commercial

application [127].

Peracetic acid pretreatment of bagasse at room temperature has also been

studied [123] with pretreatment reaction periods of 7 days, delivering high

glucan, xylan and ethanol yields. The treatment of bagasse with 6 % NaOH prior

to peracetic acid pretreatment was found to enable a significant reduction in the

concentration of peracetic acid used.

3.3.5 Solvent pretreatments

The organosolv process utilises aqueous ethanol at temperatures of between

150 oC and 200 oC to dissolve lignin from lignocellulosic fibre. The organosolv

process is reported to require less capital than conventional pulping technologies

as the organic solvent used (ethanol) is readily recovered through flashing and

distillation [132]. Using aqueous ethanol as a fractionating medium is attractive

in an ethanol based biorefinery as large quantities of ethanol are produced as a

major product in the plant which reduces chemical costs for the fractionation

stage.

A number of organosolv pulping studies using sugarcane bagasse and aqueous

ethanol [132-136] or butanol [137] have been reported. Studies at the Sugar

Research Institute in Australia on the organosolv process on bagasse, utilising

technology supplied by Ecopulp, produced bleachable pulps with a moderate

reduction in lignin content and cellulose viscosity. Lower lignin contents were

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achieved using bagasse that had been stored for a period prior to treatment

[132].

The DHR – Dedini rapid hydrolysis process uses an organsolv process to delignify

bagasse under mild acid conditions for the subsequent acid hydrolysis of

polysaccharides. Saccharification yields of 82 % and hexose fermentation yields

of 90 % have been reported at the pilot scale [138].

In the search for more environmentally benign pulping chemicals in the paper

industry, acetic acid has been used for delignification [128, 139, 140]. While

acetic acid is an effective solvent of lignin, a variety of catalysts have been used

to enhance the lignin removal characteristics of acetic acid including magnesium

chloride, sulphuric acid, hydrochloric acid, acetone and oxygen [128]. The

acetosolv process uses a combination of 93 % acetic acid and 0.1 % hydrochloric

acid [139].

Both the kappa number and viscosity of acetosolv and organosolv bagasse pulps

have been shown to decrease following subsequent treatments of both pulps

with commercial xylanase enzymes [141].

Studies of bagasse delignification using upper critical temperature binary

mixtures of cyclohexane and water enabled good sugar recovery and

delignification [142], and delignification was shown to improve further with the

use of non-ionic surfactants [143].

N-methylmorpholine-N-oxide (NMMO) is used as a cellulose solvent in the

commercial Lyocell process for the manufacture of textile fibres and has been

investigated for the pretreatment of sugarcane bagasse [144]. NMMO is both a

solvent and a strong oxidant. The components of bagasse reprecipitated from an

NMMO – bagasse solution (with the addition of water) formed a porous and

amorphous mixture of the original components which could be readily

hydrolysed and fermented [144].

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3.3.6 Ionic liquid pretreatments

Ionic liquids are a class of organic salts that have the ability to either completely

or selectively dissolve the fractional components of bagasse. Little work has been

published to date on the pretreatment of sugarcane bagasse with ionic liquids

for ethanol production although some work has occurred for the production of

bagasse pulp [145]. Most of the work reported has focussed on compounds

based on the imidazolium cation [146].

3.4 Physical pretreatments

3.4.1 Steam explosion pretreatment

Steam explosion is a process that involves heating a wet biomass under pressure

to maintain the water in the biomass in a liquid phase and then rapidly

depressurising the fibre to atmospheric pressure. This process improves enzyme

hydrolysis rates by increasing available surface area for enzyme activity, partially

removing hemicellulose and through a minor impact on lignin structure [75].

Typically, the process involves heating the bagasse to a temperature around

200 oC under pressure, holding the biomass under these conditions for a short

period of time and then expelling the material through a valve to a blow tank at

atmospheric pressure. The high temperature steam impregnation into the fibre

solubilises hemicellulose and some lignin, while the rapid depressurisation

dramatically affects the cell integrity and fibre dimensions. A dye may be used at

the exit of the chamber to assist in fibre disruption.

Steam explosion can be carried out in the presence of an acid catalyst (acid

catalysed steam explosion) or without an acid catalyst (autohydrolysed steam

explosion). When no acid catalyst is present, the acid catalysed cleavage of

glycosidic linkages results from acids released from the biomass itself [65]. Steam

exploded sugarcane bagasse without an acid catalyst has been compared to

steam exploded bagasse that was impregnated with sulphur dioxide or sulphuric

acid prior to steaming [147]. The highest hydrolysis glucose yields were achieved

with sulphuric acid impregnated bagasse, however, the hydrolysate from this

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bagasse also contained the highest levels of fermentation inhibitory furan

aldehydes and levulinic acid [148]. The impregnation of bagasse and trash with

carbon dioxide prior to steam explosion has also been investigated [148].

Steam explosion with bagasse was trialled by steaming for 10 minutes at 205 oC

[121, 149]. A 66.5 % yield of dry matter was achieved with a significant

reduction in hemicellulose content and lignin content. Significant inhibition of

hydrolysis and fermentation of the product was reported, resulting from the

presence of furan aldehydes. Furan aldehydes were reported to be more

significant inhibitory compounds than acetic acid. Hydrolysis and fermentation

rates in the washed residual solid were significantly higher than in the unwashed

slurry [121].

In another study, steam exploded sugarcane bagasse achieved solubilisation of

90 % of the hemicelluloses. Shorter reaction times were shown to result in a

pulp more amenable to hydrolysis [150]. A number of other studies of steam

explosion for both ethanol and pulp production have been reported [150-159].

Steam explosion was trialled on bagasse in combination with a variety of alkali

treatments to determine its effectiveness for production of volatile fatty acids by

fermentation. The digestibility of steam exploded bagasse under alkaline

conditions was found to increase with no inhibitory effect on degradation by

cellulolytic enzymes or rumen microorganisms [160].

3.4.2 Other explosive pretreatments

Ammonia fibre explosion (AFEX) is a rapid decompression treatment that occurs

in an alkaline environment. In this pretreatment process, lignocellulosic fibre is

treated with liquid ammonia and heated to 50 - 90 oC under a pressure of 10 - 20

atmospheres. After 15 - 30 minutes the material is rapidly depressurised. The

treatment with ammonia results in some decrystallisation of the cellulose and

the rapid depressurisation disrupts fibre structure. AFEX does not significantly

hydrolyse hemicellulose or solubilise lignin, but does cause alterations in the

structure of cellulose and lignin and an increase in fibre surface area [25].

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AFEX pretreated sugarcane bagasse has been shown to have higher cellulase and

xylanase hydrolysis rates than aqueous ammonia treated bagasse with a variety

of commercial enzymes [117]. AFEX pretreatment of moist sugarcane bagasse

and trash have been studied with a maximum glucan conversion in hydrolysis of

about 85 % [161].

Carbon dioxide explosion has also been trialled as a pretreatment process with

bagasse [162, 163]. In this process, supercritical carbon dioxide is injected into a

reactor at pressures of 68 - 279 atmospheres and temperatures of 35 – 80 oC and

subsequently depressurised. Cellulolytic enzyme hydrolysis rates and yields

increased as a result of the treatment.

3.4.3 Liquid hot water pretreatments

Sugarcane bagasse and leaves have been fractionated in hot compressed liquid

water at 190 – 230 oC in less than 4 minutes at pressures greater than the

saturation pressure of the liquid [164]. Under these conditions, over 50 % of the

biomass was solubilised. This included all of the hemicellulose and greater than

60 % of the acid-insoluble lignin, with less than 10 % of the cellulose solubilised.

Complete recovery of the hemicellulose as monomeric sugars following the

liquid hot water pretreatment at a reaction temperature of 190 oC and a mild

acid hydrolysis is possible. Greater than 90 % recovery of hemicellulose is

possible at a temperature of 220 oC with about 5 % of the hemicellulose

converted into furfural [164].

Significant quantities of lignin are also solubilised in the liquid hot water

pretreatment process. Sugarcane bagasse and leaves showed similar solubility

outcomes [164]. Hemicellulose from liquid hot water pretreated bagasse has

been shown to be readily enzymatically hydrolysed [165].

Further studies on liquid hot water pretreatment and steam pretreatment of

sugarcane bagasse investigated the effect of the pretreatments on fibre

reactivity, xylan recovery and the extent of fermentation inhibition [166]. Both

pretreatments increased the reactivity of the fibre for simultaneous

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saccharification and fermentation (SSF), although liquid hot water treatment

resulted in higher xylan recovery. Fermentation inhibition was significant at

increasing solids concentration. SSF conversion was favoured under the

conditions of high temperature (220 oC) and short residence time (2 minutes)

[166].

Hydrotreating bagasse at increasing temperatures up to 330 oC, showed that

organic compounds from hemicellulose and lignin (equivalent to 60 % of the

initial bagasse) are extracted into the liquid phase at temperatures of 200 –

230 oC as measured by the organic constituents of the filtrate. At temperatures

between 230 oC and 280 oC, glucose and cellobiose (and some additional

aromatic compounds) are extracted equivalent to 30 % of the initial bagasse. The

residue remaining after the hydrothermal treatment had a crystal structure and

composition similar to crystalline cellulose [167].

Liquid hot water pretreated bagasse has been used as a substrate for the

production of cellulases from Trichoderma reesei [168]. The kinetics of

hemicellulose removal from bagasse under hydrothermal conditions at varying

solids concentration identified a trend toward lower xylose yield at higher solids

concentrations [169].

3.4.4 Mechanical pretreatments

In the pulping industry, semi-chemical, mechanical or thermo-mechanical

pulping techniques may be used to reduce or eliminate the pulping chemicals

used in the process. Mechanical pulping produces higher pulp yields and is less

capital intensive than chemical pulping. Mechanical pulping, however, requires

extensive input of electrical energy [170]. In semi-chemical pulping, mild

chemical treatments are applied to soften and swell the fibres and then

mechanical work is applied to shear the lignin – fibre bonds. In mechanical

pulping, all of the work required to break the lignin – fibre bonds is applied

mechanically [45].

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A study with sugarcane bagasse used a high pressure homogenisation process to

investigate the digestibility of bagasse pretreated by this process. Significant

changes in fibre microstructure were noted, crystallinity of the fibre decreased

and hydrolysis rate increased [171].

The impacts of ball milling and wet disc milling of sugarcane bagasse were

investigated with ball milled bagasse at optimum conditions achieving a glucose

hydrolysis yield of 78 % and wet disc milled bagasse achieving a glucose

hydrolysis yield of 49 % [172]. The ball milling process was reported to

significantly decrease bagasse crystallinity and particle size, while wet disc milling

was shown to result in defibrillation of the bagasse and reduced particle size

[172]. Other ball milling studies of sugarcane bagasse have also been reported

recently [173].

3.4.5 Ultrasonic and radiation pretreatments

Small scale trials of ultrasonic and radiation pretreatments of sugarcane bagasse

have been conducted to improve pretreatment outcomes in the laboratory.

Ultrasonic irradiation is well established as a method for separating plant

materials [72, 174].

Gamma and microwave irradiation pretreatments on sugarcane bagasse have

been shown to improve glucose yield for both acid and enzyme hydrolysis [175-

179]. At radiation doses above 10 MR, bagasse was extensively degraded and

became fragile. It was proposed that at this level irradiation may cleave b-1-4-

glucosidic bonds. Higher radiation levels (above 100 MR) appear to lead to

decomposition of oligosaccharides and the glucose ring structure [176].

3.5 Biological pretreatments

3.5.1 Microbiological degradation

Fungal or enzymatic pretreatments have been principally studied to analyse their

effect on both mechanical and chemical pulping treatments. While unlikely to be

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effective enough as a standalone pretreatment, microbial pretreatments may be

able to be used to reduce the severity of subsequent chemical and physical

pretreatments, reducing energy and chemical use in processing.

Fungal pretreatments of bagasse prior to chemical pulping have been trialled

using Ceriporiopsis subvermispora. Pretreatment with the fungus for two weeks

has been shown to increase the amount of delignification of chemical pulps and

produce biopulps with higher final brightness although a yield loss of 1.5 – 2.0 %

was noted [180, 181] The yield loss was principally the result of decreased

hemicellulose, lignin and extractives [180].

In another trial [182], the use of C. subvermispora prior to chemi-thermo-

mechanical pulping (CMTP) resulted in a reduction in energy consumption of

28 % and a reduced lignin content of the pulp. Xylanase enzyme pretreatment in

addition to the C. subvermispora pretreatment resulted in a 33 % reduction in

refining energy consumption, and a similar lignin reduction. Significant

mechanical pulping energy consumption savings have also been found for wood,

kenaf and jute using similar fungal treatments.

C. subvermispora pretreatment of sugarcane trash resulted in degradation of

both cellulose and lignin, with lignin degradation rates exceeding cellulose

degradation rates 2.4 fold [183]. Biopulps with reduced lignin content required

40 % reduced pulping time and generated less acetic acid during the subsequent

organosolv pretreatment [183].

The use of crude ligninolytic enzymes extracted from Phanerochaete

chrysosporium fungi as a pretreatment for thermomechanical pulping (TMP) and

CTMP reduced energy consumption by 29.2 % and 17.3 % respectively in 36

hours of enzyme treatment [170]. P chrysosporium has also been used for the

biodegradation of effluent from wet storage of sugarcane bagasse [184].

The effects of various microorganisms on the biological pretreatment of

sugarcane trash have also been studied [185].

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3.6 Conclusion

This chapter has reviewed the work that has been undertaken on sugarcane

bagasse pretreatment which is a critical process stage in the manufacture of

ethanol from bagasse. The choice of pretreatment technology determines many

of the following process requirements and has the largest impact on overall

process efficiency, capital cost and operating cost.

The next chapter undertakes a systems assessment of bioethanol production in

the sugar industry and assesses key uncertainties and risks associated with early

stage investment.

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Chapter 4

Commercialising cellulosic ethanol from sugarcane bagasse: use of systems analysis to reduce the risk and uncertainty associated with early stage investment

4.1 Introduction

Globally, sugarcane is one of the major crop feedstocks for ethanol production via

first generation molasses and juice fermentation technologies. The ready availability

of the fibrous residue from sugarcane processing (bagasse) at existing industrial

facilities, the scale of the sugarcane resource and the existence of established

infrastructure for research, breeding, harvesting, transport and crop processing,

makes sugarcane perhaps the best feedstock for early commercialisation of

cellulosic ethanol technologies.

Some significant challenges, however, do exist in developing early stage investment

in cellulosic ethanol technologies within the global sugarcane industry. These

challenges relate not only to the technical and economic imperatives, but to the

broader industry structures within which the sugarcane industries operate.

Through a detailed understanding of the complex sugarcane processing, sugar

production and bioethanol production systems, opportunities for lower cost

synergistic integration of bagasse-based bioethanol processing into the existing

production systems can be developed. In this chapter, systems analysis and techno-

economic modelling are used to develop an understanding of the risks and

uncertainties that affect the viability of early stage investment in cellulosic ethanol

production within the sugarcane agro-industrial system.

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4.2 Systems analysis

The science of systems, which includes complex systems theory, the study of

complexity and non-linearity, arose from the recognition that not every problem

could be resolved by taking the more traditional reductionist approach to problem

solving. Many systems, while constituted of separate elements, operate as an

interdependent whole and an analysis of the individual elements in isolation can

lead to incorrect or incomplete understandings of the behaviour of the whole

system.

A system is typically considered to consist of a number of interacting, interrelating

or interdependent elements that form a complex whole [186]. Many definitions of a

system add that the system works toward some common goal or purpose, and use

analogies based upon functioning organisms or social organisations. Systems theory

seeks to understand the interactions between the system elements and between

the system whole and its environment [187].

A complex system is a system that is recognised as exhibiting degrees of non-

linearity, emergence and self-organisation [187]. Complex systems approaches are

useful when accurate predictions of the whole system cannot be inferred by

studying the system components in isolation [188], when the system cannot be

truly understood by reducing it into smaller manageable units and when the

emergence of different properties at different scales is evident [189]. Increasingly,

complex systems theory is being used for studying manufacturing environments

[188].

Complex adaptive systems can be further considered as a subset of complex

systems where the system consists of individually acting elements that learn and

adapt to their environment [188]. Complex adaptive systems typically make

predictions based upon internal models of the environment and the assumptions of

the agents, and then act, learn and adapt to the outcomes.

The challenges of commercialising cellulosic ethanol present a problem significantly

broader than the technical challenges alone. Different conclusions on the most

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significant commercialisation challenges will be reached depending upon the lens

through which the viewer sees the system (Figure 4.1).

Figure 4.1 Issues impacting the commercialisation of bioethanol technologies viewed through economic, technical, sustainability and public policy lenses

It is proposed that the system encompassing the commercialisation of cellulosic

ethanol from sugarcane, the sugarcane bioethanol system, can be considered as a

complex system within a dynamic economic, technical, policy and social

environment, and further that the system can be considered to act like a complex

adaptive system. In this system, multiple agents contribute and compete to deliver

components of the technology, with each of these agents learning and adapting to

the rapidly changing environment. The success of any component technology is

dependent perhaps to only a minor extent on its technical superiority, but to a

significantly greater extent on its proponent’s entrepreneurial aptitude, financial

backing and ability to establish collaborative relationships with other key

technology partners, feedstock providers and customers.

TechnicalBiomass collection

Biomass storageChemical usage & recovery

Pretreatment strategyCo-product options

Reactor designs

Enzyme productionHydrolysis strategyFermentation organismProcess integrationWaste processingEnergy use

EconomicProduction costs

Capital costsBiomass transport costs

Feedstock priceOff-take agreements

Product price

Project hurdle ratesRevenue diversificationCash flowPrice risk and sensitivityLiquidityFunding models

SustainabilityLife cycle analysisCarbon efficiency

Future energy technologiesFate of process wastes

Embedded energyFertiliser inputs

Land use changeImpact on food productionGreenhouse gas reductionFarming practicesWater useFossil fuel use

Public policyCarbon tax

Emissions trading Post-Kyoto agreements

Uni/multi-lateral actionCommunity support

Support for R&D

Energy securityBiofuel mandatesRural supportRenewable energy policyTax incentivesHealth benefits

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Systems engineering offers a framework for the analysis of complex engineering

systems. Systems engineering is generally considered to be multi-disciplinary, to

deal with systems that are open (interacting with their environment) and to take a

top-down approach to generating a solution; starting with the high level intent or

purpose of the system and successively elaborating increasing functional detail

[190]. Systems engineering aims to produce whole-of-system solutions through a

process which includes:

1. Scoping the problem space;

2. Exploring the problem space;

3. Characterising the whole problem;

4. Conceiving potential remedies;

5. Formulating and manifesting the optimum solution (best solution achievable

given constraints and circumstance); and hence

6. Solving, resolving or dissolving the problem [190].

In this study, systems engineering tools have been used for analysing the challenges

associated with developing commercially feasible cellulosic ethanol from sugarcane.

4.3 Scoping and exploring the problem space

A conceptual map of the Australian sugarcane processing system is shown in Figure

4.2. This map views the system with a simplified value chain at its core, highlights

the key factors impacting upon profitability and sustainability of the system and

identifies the broader environmental influences.

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Figure 4.2 Conceptual map of a sugarcane processing system in Australia

An analysis of the factors affecting the sugarcane bioethanol system has been

undertaken using a systems analysis method [191]. This approach has identified

core understandings related to Identity, Information and Relationships, and the key

issues in the pathway to developing a new sugarcane bioethanol system, from

Intention through to the development of New Contexts, Structures and Strategies

for the industry. A summary of some of the key issues identified in this analysis is

shown in Table 4.1.

The key issues relating to Identity, Information and Relationships reflect existing

states, both real and perceived. For example, while the sugar industry in Australia

has very efficient sugarcane farming and sugar production systems, there has been

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some change over the past decade towards increased renewable energy production

as a co-product of the sugar production process. That this shift has not been more

pronounced has been the result of challenging investment conditions including low

industry returns, declining sugarcane production, sunk capital in sugar manufacture

and the high capital cost of plant and equipment in Australia.

The issues relating to Intention, Principles and Tensions reflect the opportunities

(and challenges) in the industry that have been presented by the increasing cost of

energy and the community desire for access to low greenhouse gas emission

renewable energy. Assessing financial viability and sustainability is a fundamental

component in the further technology development and investment in renewable

energy.

The imperative for revenue diversification in the sugar industry requires a paradigm

shift for the industry from being primarily a sugar producer to a new context as a

renewable energy provider, producing larger scale electrical energy generation from

biomass combustion (cogeneration) and the production of liquid transport fuels and

co-products. An understanding of this new context is required not just by the

industry where new revenue opportunities emerge, but also by the government and

community to whom many of the environmental and social benefits of this new

investment will flow.

Within this new context, the production of ethanol from bagasse is a

complementary measure to both higher efficiency cogeneration infrastructure and

infrastructure for the production of ethanol from sugarcane juice or molasses.

Enabling projects to meet investment thresholds will require the integration of

existing plant and new capital equipment in innovative ways and will challenge

many of the traditional practices at the farm – factory interface.

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Table 4.1 Summary of the key issues relating to bagasse-based bioethanol commercialisation in the sugarcane industry in Australia

Identity Sugarcane industry – growing, harvesting, transport,

milling, storage and marketing Commodity based agribusinesses Support services – government, research, extension,

financial Conventional ethanol industry from molasses is

established technology Industry exposed to world market and rapidly

restructuring Information

Well developed understanding of conventional sugar milling technology

1st generation ethanol well understood 2nd generation bioethanol technically more complex

and not well developed Future price of crude oil and ethanol difficult to predict Uncertain value for co-products but overall important

for economics Government support needed for the establishment of

industry – what form of assistance? Various technical processes for bioethanol – no clear

technology winner Relationships

Existing contractual and supply chain integration between growers, millers and harvesters

Well developed connections between industry and industry-based researchers

Trend from government regulation of industry to support for innovation

Existing relationships with green energy providers through electricity products

Intention

Enhance industry sustainability and profitability Create increased value from fibre Bioethanol production from lower value biomass Value add through co-products Develop new IP where possible and facilitate

introduction of leading technologies into industry Reduce greenhouse gas emissions and impact on climate

change Reduce dependence on imported crude oil

Principles, standards

Accurately measure and optimise sustainability No impact on food supply Measure and report on financial viability Minimise risk of the new technology for early

adopters Tensions, issues

Food v fuel Resistance from fossil fuel industry Concern with misleading sustainability measures Technology risk for early adopters Existing sunk capital in sugar production Perceived slow rate of technology adoption in

industry Access to finance for industry investment New contexts, structures, strategies

Sugarcane is a renewable bio-energy crop Biofuels and energy efficiency measures together

significantly reduce greenhouse emissions from transport

Sugar mills are integrated sugar and bio-energy factories

Integrated industry vision for bio-energy future Viable industry future independent of any

government support or assistance Industry delivers positive environmental and

financial benefits for community The work

Develop technology for bioethanol from bagasse Key issues of pretreatment, enzymatic hydrolysis

and fermentation technologies Integrate technologies into sugarcane milling system Develop complimentary co-products in biorefinery Market test co-products Deep learning, sustainability

Measurement of sustainability through embodied energy, LCA and other indicators

Assessment of economic viability First bioethanol facilities may look quite different to

later facilities Technology will develop rapidly following early

stage commercialisation

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Through challenging traditional practices, new opportunities will emerge such as

the development of sugarcane varieties with higher fibre content, harvesting and

collection of sugarcane leaf residue (trash) for increased bioenergy production,

development of new sugarcane payment systems that promote whole of system

profitability and extensions to the traditional annual harvesting season length for

improved utilisation of new processing infrastructure.

4.4 Defining the system purpose and CONOPS

One of the critical steps in systems analysis is to develop a deep understanding of

the ultimate purpose (or prime directive) of the system and to develop a high level

concept of operations (CONOPS). While the purpose clearly articulates objectively

what is to be achieved, the CONOPS describes the way the system is to work or

operate. Competing CONOPS can be assessed using comparative measures of

effectiveness [190].

In the sugarcane bioethanol system, the declaration of the purpose of the system

would reference the requirement for both commercial profitability at the business

level and the delivery of significant societal environmental sustainability benefits.

The following is proposed as a possible definition of the purpose of the sugarcane

bioethanol system:

To deliver long-term profitable return on investment and a high level of

sustainability including greenhouse gas emission reduction from the production of

ethanol from sugarcane fibre in an integrated sugar – bioethanol production facility.

This statement not only defines the purpose of the system, but also infers some of

the key measures of effectiveness of the conceptual system solution. An

understanding of the system purpose can be further developed using an objectives

tree as shown in Figure 4.3.

The objectives tree highlights some of the complexity in understanding the ultimate

purpose of the system, and in particular identifying at which level the ultimate

purpose should be formulated. In the objectives tree, the decision was made to

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focus the prime directive at the business level, which is ultimately the level at which

investment decisions in new bioethanol facilities will be made.

Within the objectives tree, the sub-objectives provide ever increasing detail on the

means by which the higher level objectives will be met. At the lowest level shown,

the sub-objectives highlight the fundamental drivers of project value, including

maximising economies of scale, minimising capital costs, maximising the revenue

through co-product value adding and integration of the bioethanol system within

existing sugarcane industry structures.

Several public policy objectives were identified that flow from attainment of the

prime directive but which do not necessarily directly relate to the investment

decision at the business level.

As previously stated, the CONOPS describes the way the system is to work, or how

the prime directive is to be achieved. The CONOPS typically addresses strategies,

policies and constraints of the system and the full CONOPS should be demonstrably

realised in the final solution [192].

The proposed CONOPS of the sugarcane bioethanol system is for a system that

identifies as a multi-product renewable energy hub, utilising the existing industry

value chain to produce sugar, ethanol and value-added co-products in a fully

integrated processing environment (Figure 4.4).

Within this environment, process streams flow seamlessly between facilities and

waste or co-product streams are utilised across individual facility boundaries to

maximise overall profitability. The facilities share common utilities and services

including steam and electrical generation infrastructure. Other site services such as

transport infrastructure, waste water and co-product recycling are shared where

possible to minimise capital investment and reduce overall production costs.

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Figure 4.3 Objectives tree for the sugarcane bioethanol system

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Figure 4.4 Schematic representation of the sugarcane bioethanol system

The integrated facilities continue to utilise the previously existing processing

facilities, maximising the value from sunk capital and optimising the value from

existing supply and value chains. Opportunities are sought to partner with

technology leaders to produce co-products that add value to the overall profitability

of the system, including promoting value from permit trading in an emissions

trading scheme.

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The profitability of the whole system is enhanced by harvesting of a proportion of

the sugarcane leaf material (trash) to maximise bioenergy production, but ensuring

that sufficient trash remains in the field crop to enhance soil health and enhance

the future productivity of the farming system. By-products from the process are

recycled to the farming system as required and where this enhances the

productivity of the farming system.

The harvesting and sugarcane processing season length is optimised to produce the

highest overall system profitability. Intermediate product storage for concentrated

liquor, molasses and bagasse enhance the efficient use of capital in the integrated

facilities by extending the ethanol production processes period beyond the

sugarcane harvesting season.

Key measures of effectiveness are required to be able to comparatively assess

alternate viable solutions in order to select the optimum solution and can include

both economic measures and non-economic measures. The key economic measure

used for project investment is typically Net Present Value (NPV) as this measure

allows ranking of alternate solutions. NPV is a measure of the present worth of

project future cashflows and can be represented by the following equation [193]:

∑= +

=N

ott

t

rCFNPV

)1(

where t = time of the cashflow in years;

CFt = net cashflow at time t;

r = the opportunity cost of capital (discount rate); and

N = period (years) over which the NPV is calculated.

Environmental sustainability is principally measured via life cycle assessment to

understand criteria such as greenhouse gas (GHG) emission reduction potential,

allowing comparison between alternate solutions on a consistent basis. A summary

of the purpose, CONOPS and key measures of effectiveness is shown in Table 4.2.

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Table 4.2 Summary purpose, concept of operations (CONOPS) and key measures of effectiveness of the integrated sugar – ethanol system

The sugarcane bioethanol system

Purpose:

To deliver long-term profitable return on investment and a high level of sustainability performance including greenhouse gas emission reduction from the production of ethanol from sugarcane fibre in an integrated sugar – ethanol production facility

Concept of Operations:

Integrate new bioethanol facilities with sugar processing and juice/molasses processing facilities to reduce capital and operating costs

Utilise shared services, infrastructure and administration

Utilise sugarcane extraneous matter (trash) for extra fibre availability and to improve economies of scale

Enhance the sustainability of the agricultural system through encouraging and enabling good agricultural practice including sufficient trash for green sugarcane trash blanketing and recycling of co-products

Consider the transfer of process streams between sugar and ethanol processing facilities where this enhances overall profitability

Utilise energy transfers between processes to optimise process energy efficiency

Utilise shared liquid and solid waste treatment facilities

Consider storage of bagasse and molasses for effective use of capital

Generate new revenue streams for revenue diversification

Maximise sustainability outcomes for community benefit

Maximise revenue opportunities from carbon trading

Minimise technology risks for early adopters

Have minimal negative impact on global food availability

Create value from co-products for higher economic viability and resilience

Utilise the value from existing sunk capital in sugar and ethanol production facilities

Utilise existing value and supply chains

Utilise existing industry research and extension infrastructure – plant breeding, processing, etc

Focus efforts by working with technology leaders

Continually reinforce the paradigm that sugarcane industry is a renewable energy industry

Key measures of effectiveness:

Net present value of the project

Greenhouse gas emission reduction by life cycle analysis

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4.5 Scoping the solution space through techno-economic modelling

To understand and explore the solution space, a techno-economic model of a

sugarcane bioethanol system was constructed, the sugarcane bioethanol model.

Conceptually, the sugarcane bioethanol model is based upon the common

methodological framework as described by de Rocquigny et al [194] and links both

fixed inputs (d) and uncertain inputs (x) to the model outputs (z), based upon which

decision criteria are assessed (Figure 4.5). The sugarcane bioethanol model

(constructed in MS Excel) uses Monte Carlo techniques within Oracle Crystal Ball to

analyse model outputs and uncertainty.

Figure 4.5 Techno-economic model of the sugarcane bioethanol system (the sugarcane bioethanol model) based upon the common methodological framework [194]

Other materials usagesOther materials pricesBagasse storage and

handling costsMaintenance costs

Fixed inputs (d)

Quantity of fibre availableFactory availabilityProduct lignin quality Calorific value of ancillary

fuelsBoiler operating conditionsSteam lossesCapital on-costs and

location factorsTransport distancesTransport cost ratesIP and insurance costsInflationDiscount rateTax ratePlant depreciation life

System model

Model outputs (z)

Forecast variables

Net present valueInternal rate of returnPaybackReturn on funds

employedf (x , d)

Decision criteria

Maximise net present value

NPV > 0Certainty > 95%

Feedback process

Take action to reduce uncertainty in model

Input experimental dataConvert less sensitive

variables to fixed

Input uncertainty

Measure of uncertainty

Probability / cumulative distribution function of the uncertain variables

Parameters of the uncertainty model

Correlation coefficients

Output uncertainty

Measure of uncertainty

Probability / cumulative distribution function of the forecast variable

Quantity of interest

Coefficient of variation (=stdev/mean)

Uncertainty propagation

Output presentation

Forecast chartsSensitivity chartsCorrelation dataOptimum results

Uncertainty propagation

Sensitivity analysis

Monte Carlo analysis

Uncertain inputs (x)

Sugarcane constituentsFibre constituents Pretreatment yieldsHydrolysis efficiencyFermentation efficiencyCo-product yieldsCapital costsLabour ratesLabour requirementsHydrolysis solids loadingElectrical requirementsSteam requirementsBagasse priceEthanol priceEthanol production tax

rebateLignin priceElectricity priceRenewable energy

incentivesAncillary fuel pricesEnzyme usage & price

Summary of model inputs

Rank correlation coefficients

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Unlike the traditional sugarcane production system which utilises well understood

technology and operates in established markets, the sugarcane bioethanol system is

subject to large degrees of uncertainty both in technology outcomes and in the

markets for the products of the process. There is a high degree of uncertainty in the

policy arena with regard to the future price of carbon, emission reduction programs

and renewable fuel production incentives. The common methodological framework

provides a basis for both defining and assessing the impact of this uncertainty on

the model inputs and measuring the effect of this uncertainty on the output of

interest.

The uncertainty in the inputs is caused by the variables being subject to

randomness, lack of knowledge, measurement errors, predictions of future states,

technology assumptions and others sources of uncertainty.

Uncertainty in the sugarcane bioethanol model input assumptions is represented as

probability distribution functions for each of the uncertain inputs. For each of the

variables, a triangular distribution function is applied to each variable using

estimates of the minimum, maximum and most likely states of the variable. Key

uncertain and fixed inputs for the model are shown in Table 4.3 and Table 4.4. Note

that the simulations undertaken in this example refer to a fixed quantity of fibre

available and it is assumed that the sugar factory has the capacity to vary the sugar

production process to enable the fibre to be available as required.

Uncertainty is propagated in the model from the input to the output variables. The

key output variable (forecast variable) of the model is the net present value of the

process. Uncertainty in the net present value is represented as a normalised

probability distribution of the forecast variable and the probability of achieving a

predetermined target or range is termed the ‘certainty’. The decision criteria can

then apply a benchmark to the certainty of the forecast variable distribution

function to determine the acceptability of the result. The certainty can be increased

by analysing the sensitivity of the results to the uncertain assumptions and

focussing on reducing assumption uncertainty.

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Table 4.3 Key variable inputs to the sugarcane bioethanol model

Key model input variables Units 1 Minimum Likeliest Maximum

Cellulose content of bagasse % odf 2 32 38 52

Hemicellulose content of

bagasse

% odf 2 20 26 30

Lignin content of bagasse % odf 2 17 20 24

Hexose yield (from

pretreatment

kg / kg cellulose 0.70 0.85 0.98

Pentose yield (from

pretreatment)

kg / kg pentan 0.75 0.90 0.98

Ethanol yield from hexose

fermentation

% theoretical 80 88 94

Ethanol yield from pentose

fermentation

% theoretical 40 65 90

Bioethanol plant capital cost

factor 3

6 8 10

Cellulase price $ / t enzyme 120 160 420

Bagasse price $ / t odf 2 10 60 90

Ethanol factory gate price $ / L 0.4 0.7 1.0

Ethanol production incentive

value

$ / L 0 0.26 0.38

Export electricity price $ / MWh 20 30 60

Renewable electricity

incentive value

$/ MWh 0 30 40

Coal price $ / t 40 90 200

Bagasse storage and handling

cost

$ / t bagasse 8 12 20

1All prices in 2009 Australian dollars 2Oven dry fibre 3Capital cost (AUD m) = Cost factor x (Plant capacity ML ^ 0.7)

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Table 4.4 Key fixed inputs to the sugarcane bioethanol model

Key model fixed inputs Units Value

Annual throughput t odf 1 / annum 1,000,000

Maintenance cost rate % capital cost 2.2

Administration and overheads cost rate % capital cost 2.0

Capital expenditure year 1 / year 2 % 60/40

Inflation rate % / annum 3.0

Discount rate % 12.0

Tax rate % 30.0

1Oven dry fibre

Model simulations were based on 10,000 trials using the Monte Carlo simulation

tool in Oracle Crystal Ball. A typical analysis of the sensitivity of the key input

variables to the net present value of the ethanol production process is shown in the

tornado chart in Figure 4.6. The tornado chart represents in descending order the

factors with the greatest sensitivity to project net present value. Sensitivity is

calculated by computing the rank correlation coefficients between every

assumption and forecast variable using the data generated from all of the 10,000

simulations. In calculating sensitivities, data for the assumption variables were

selected according to a triangular probability distribution generated from the

Minimum, Likeliest and Maximum values shown in Table 4.3.

As can be seen from Figure 4.6, the key variables impacting upon the net present

value include:

1. ethanol price and ethanol producer subsidy;

2. bagasse price;

3. cellulase price; and

4. bioethanol plant capital cost.

Other variables including the constituents of the bagasse, hydrolysis yields and

fermentation yields have a much lower impact on net present value. It is worth

noting that much of the on-going technology development is focussing on

incremental gains in these criteria.

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The results of an analysis of the relationship between assumption uncertainty and

the net present value sensitivity are shown in Figure 4.7. Assumption uncertainty is

calculated as the coefficient of variation of the probability distribution of the model

uncertain assumption variables and sensitivity is the normalised correlation

coefficients of the forecast variables.

Figure 4.6 Sensitivity of the key factors in bagasse based ethanol project viability (net present value) to the project assumptions

From this figure it can be clearly seen that both the ethanol price and feedstock

price present the most risk to any commercial project as these variables have a high

assumption uncertainty and a high impact on the net present value of the project.

35.7%-16.3%

14.0%

9.2%

-6.6%

-6.0%

4.3%

3.7%

1.5%

1.2%

0.3%

0.3%

0.1%

0.8%

-20% -10% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40%

Ethanol price

Bagasse price

Ethanol producer subsidy

Renewable electricity incentive price

Cellulase price

Plant capital cost factor

Cellulose % fibre

Export electricity price

Hemicellulose % fibre

Lignin % fibre

Pentose fermentation efficiency

Bagasse storage and handling costs

Hexose fermentation efficiency

Other

Sensitivity: Net present value

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Managing the uncertainty associated with these variables is the most significant

issue in establishing viable commercial projects. While lignin price, capital cost and

enzyme cost have similarly high assumption uncertainties, the impact on the net

present value of the project is less dependent upon variations in the future price of

these factors, although these factors are still significant.

Figure 4.7 Sensitivity of the major factors in bagasse based ethanol project viability (net present value) to the assumptions in the techno-economic model

1 Ethanol price 2 Feedstock (bagasse) price 3 Ethanol producer subsidy 4 Renewable electricity incentive price 5 Cellulase price 6 Bioethanol plant capital cost factor

8 Bagasse storage and handling costs 9 Pentose fermentation efficiency 10 Cellulose % fibre 11 Hemicellulose % fibre 12 Lignin % fibre 13 Hexose fermentation efficiency

7 Export electricity price

1

2

4

3

5 6

10

11

7

912

13 8

Sens

itivi

ty: N

et p

rese

nt v

alue

Assumption uncertaintyLow High

Low

High

Low High

Low

High

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4.6 Manifesting the optimum solution

To increase the likelihood of early stage investment in bioethanol production from

sugarcane, it is critical to ensure that the key factors identified above are optimised

to provide a positive return for the facility over the life of the project, the risk

associated with these factors is managed and that the uncertainty in the future

value of these factors is reduced to the greatest extent possible. By optimising these

variables and minimising uncertainty, the technological and financial risks are

minimised for early adopters of the technology.

4.6.1 Ethanol price and production incentives

There is a high degree of uncertainty in the future price of fuel grade ethanol and

this uncertainty is the major contributor to investment risk. Future ethanol prices

will be influenced by the complex behaviour of the crude oil market, public demand

for renewable fuels and the presence or absence of national policies promoting the

use of alternate fuels. It is likely though that ethanol prices will be significantly

correlated to traded global crude oil and petroleum prices. For most early stage

commercialisation projects, however, the establishment of long term off-take

agreements will be essential in mitigating the ethanol product demand and price

risks.

Unlike many globally traded commodities there is no accepted international

benchmark price for ethanol, although such a benchmark may develop as the

market matures. Currently, the reference price of ethanol is dependent upon the

market in which it is traded. In the USA, the domestic price of ethanol is largely

determined by trade in the spot and longer term physical markets but, while trading

volumes are still reasonably light, ethanol futures prices on the Chicago Board of

Trade (CBOT) are highly correlated with physical values [195] and can be effectively

used as a reference price for physical market values. The existence of derivatives

markets such as the CBOT for ethanol allows some management of product price

risk through forward pricing in futures contracts, options and other commodity

price management strategies.

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The technology risk associated with second generation ethanol facilities increases

the risk associated with the commercialisation of early stage second generation

facilities. Many countries currently have in place ethanol incentive schemes to

encourage the uptake of ethanol technologies. Around the world, and particularly in

Brazil and the USA, biofuel production incentive schemes and mandates have

assisted in underpinning an ethanol price either directly or indirectly at a level that

has encouraged early stage investment in first generation biofuels.

For a government subsidy or production rebate to enhance commercialisation of

biofuel processing infrastructure, there needs to be sufficient certainty in the policy

position for an extended period of time. As with the market price of ethanol, the

value of biofuel production incentive schemes for renewable or low emission

transport fuel production has a significant impact on investment indicators, and is a

key factor in promoting early stage investment.

Further government policy support is likely to be necessary to promote this

investment in early stage second generation ethanol technologies in Australia.

4.6.2 Bagasse price

Like other fibrous residues, sugarcane bagasse is a high volume, low value material

and as such is generally considered to only find economic utility within a small

distance of the sugar factory in which it is generated. As a result, there is no

significant national or global market for bagasse, and no commonly traded market

price. The value of bagasse as a feedstock for a bioethanol plant is therefore

dependent upon the region in which it is generated including any local alternative

uses for excess bagasse, such as cogeneration or paper products manufacture.

Historically, bagasse has been combusted in the sugar factory boilers to provide

steam and energy for the process, but as there is significantly more energy in

bagasse than is required for the process, both the boilers and sugar production

processes have been designed to utilise this energy inefficiently to ensure complete

disposal of the bagasse. Increasingly, excess energy from the process is being

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converted to electricity which is exported to generate additional revenue for the

sugar factory.

The value of bagasse to the factory for site energy generation is dependent upon

the energy balance of the factory and the capacity of the factory to generate and

economically utilise additional steam and electricity. In a factory with surplus

bagasse and limited electricity generation infrastructure, the value of bagasse could

be negative as excess bagasse represents a disposal cost to the factory. In a factory

with both surplus bagasse and surplus capacity to generate and export electricity,

the bagasse value is dependent upon the electricity export price including any value

for renewable or low emission energy generation. Where the factory regularly

imports extraneous fuels to supplement bagasse combustion for energy generation,

the bagasse value may be considered to have the value of the extraneous fuel on an

energy equivalent basis [196].

The farming decision to cultivate sugarcane is (in most of the world) a decision

made on the projected revenue from sugar, or as in Brazil, on the revenue from

sugar and ethanol from juice fermentation. A shortage of fibre from bagasse and

sugarcane trash, leading to an increase in fibre price, is unlikely to result in a

significant supply response from sugarcane growers (in the absence of a sugar price

driver). An increase in fibre price, however, may make the import of alternative

sources of fibre into the process more economic such as through the harvesting of

sugarcane trash or the utilisation of complementary feedstocks (green waste or

fibre crops).

To minimise the risks associated with feedstock price, it is necessary to consider

locating bagasse based bioethanol facilities where there is long term certainty of

bagasse availability and where the bagasse has limited alternate economic value. It

may also be possible to reduce risk by considering in the location of a facility the

availability of cost-effective supplementary feedstocks.

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4.6.3 Cellulase price

This analysis shows that the cost of cellulase for the cellulose hydrolysis stage is the

key operating cost in a bioethanol facility. Cellulase may be supplied to the facility

as an imported product, but given the large quantity of enzyme required for a

commercial process, is likely to be manufactured on-site in many cases. The future

price of cellulase is uncertain at the scale required for commercial facilities but

there exists a high likelihood of significant cost reductions over the next decade.

The risks associated with enzyme supply cost may be mitigated through innovative

plant design and operation to minimise enzyme requirements and through

contractual supply arrangements with enzyme producers. Research toward plant

made cellulases in sugarcane offers opportunities for significantly reducing the cost

of enzymes in the sugarcane bioethanol system [197].

4.6.4 Bioethanol plant capital cost

The capital cost of the bioethanol facility is dependent upon many factors including

facility location, scale and process technology choices. The uncertainty in bioethanol

plant capital cost has a significant impact on the uncertainty in net present value of

the facility although for any one project may be defined with greater certainty

through detailed engineering design. Integrating processing operations in co-

located sugar processing and ethanol production facilities offers significant

opportunities for reducing the capital cost of new bioethanol facilities.

4.7 Creating the solution and deep learning

A long-term profitable return on investment is the key objective (purpose) of an

integrated sugarcane bioethanol facility. Such a facility, however, must also

demonstrate that there are significant sustainability benefits from the production

system, including in particular a significant greenhouse gas emission reduction

benefit. An analysis of this greenhouse gas reduction benefit is beyond the scope of

this paper.

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Minimising the commercial and technical risk associated with investment in

sugarcane bioethanol facilities will enhance early stage uptake of the technology.

This process requires solutions at the science, engineering design, marketing and

government policy levels to address the key variables impacting on project

assumption uncertainty and sensitivity to project investment indicators such as net

present value.

This study has analysed the sugarcane bioethanol system as a complex system and

considered the integration of bioethanol production from bagasse into the

sugarcane processing system. The techno-economic analysis of the system

concludes that the key factors which need to be addressed to enable early stage

uptake of the technology and minimise risk for investors in Australia include ethanol

price, bagasse price, ethanol producer subsidy, cellulase price and biorefinery

capital cost.

While to some extent these conclusions appear self-evident, this analysis provides

an assessment of the scale of influence and relative magnitude of importance of

these factors to early stage commercial success. The analysis results in a deeper

understanding of the influence of uncertainty in early stage project investment and

highlights the importance of reducing the uncertainty in these key factors to

encourage project investment.

Uncertainty in the future price of ethanol is the major impediment to early stage

investment in second generation ethanol production from bagasse. Government

policy support which underpins the ethanol price and reduces investment risk

through renewable fuels incentives such as the ethanol producer subsidy in

Australia or through the establishment of a carbon price under an emissions trading

scheme is likely to be necessary to promote early stage commercial investment in

this technology and hence deliver the significant greenhouse gas reduction, health

and community benefits possible from second generation biofuel use.

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Techno-economic assessment

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Chapter 5

The potential for ethanol production from sugarcane in Australia

5.1 Introduction

The information in this chapter was presented at the Australian Society of Sugar

Cane Technologists annual conference in Bundaberg, Queensland from the 11th

– 14th May 2010. The paper was peer-reviewed and included in the published

proceedings of the conference cited as the Proceedings of the Australian Society

of Sugar Cane Technologists, Volume 32, 2010.

This chapter identifies the current quantum of transport fuel used in Australia

and assesses the options for substituting a portion of this fuel usage by ethanol

produced from components of the sugarcane crop (juice, molasses, bagasse and

trash). The chapter describes the development of a comprehensive and

integrated techno-economic model of a sugarcane processing facility, juice and

molasses-based ethanol distillery and cellulosic ethanol facility, including an

assessment of the energy requirements of the integrated facility. The chapter

compares the potential industry revenues for five scenarios including a base

case, cogeneration scenario and three ethanol options of varying scales.

5.2 Transport fuel use in Australia

Transport fuel consumption in Australia is dominated by the four key fuels –

automotive gasoline, diesel, aviation fuel and LPG. Statistics on transport fuel

consumption in Australia and in the individual states are reported annually by

the Australian Bureau of Agricultural Resource Economics (ABARE) in the series

entitled Consumption of Petroleum Products [198]. The most recent ABARE data

on petroleum product use in Australia and the key sugarcane growing states of

Queensland and NSW are shown in Table 5.1.

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The major growth in transport fuel use in Australia is in the consumption of

diesel and to a lesser extent aviation fuels. Over the past 10 years in Australia,

diesel fuel use has increased by 42 % and aviation fuel use has increased 26 %

while automotive gasoline use has only increased by 6 %.

Table 5.1 Consumption of petroleum products in Australia, Queensland and NSW 2007-08 [198]

Australia

(ML)

Queensland

(ML)

NSW

(ML)

Automotive gasoline 19 234 4475 6072

Diesel 18 256 5164 3776

Aviation fuel 6158 1313 2738

LPG 4024 613 1139

Other 3116 573 913

TOTAL 50 788 12 138 14 638

5.3 The capacity of the Australian sugarcane industry

The Australian sugarcane industry extends across 2200 km of coastal Queensland

and NSW. Over the past decade, the industry has contracted as a result of a

sustained period of poor world sugar prices, drought, disease and industry

rationalisation. The Australian sugarcane crop has dropped from a peak of 39.5

Mt in 1998 to 30.3 Mt in the 2008 season. Area harvested has decreased from a

peak of 450 000 ha to about 370 000 ha [38]. The average Australian sugarcane

productivity over the previous ten year period was 85.8 t/ha, varying on a

seasonal basis between 69.8 t/ha and 99.1 t/ha. With the reduction in milling

capacity in some areas, a proportion of the area lost to sugarcane cultivation is

unlikely to be readily returned to production. Higher world sugar prices in 2008

and 2009 are likely to result in the stabilisation of sugarcane production and

perhaps some increases in sugarcane cultivation in several areas in the short

term.

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It seems likely that, unless there is a sustained step change in the world sugar

price or a significant move to high biomass sugarcane cultivation, sugarcane

production in Australia in the short to medium term will continue to average

between 30 and 35 Mt from approximately 400,000 ha. It is recognised that, in

the right business environment, further significant expansion of the sugarcane

industry in Australia is possible particularly through tropical Queensland,

Western Australia and the Northern Territory, however, significant infrastructure

and investment capital is required to support this expansion and as a result this

possible future expansion scenario has not been assessed in this study.

5.4 Ethanol production from sugarcane juice and molasses

Ethanol can be produced from a variety of sugarcane feedstocks, including juice,

molasses and crystal sugar. The conversion of sucrose to reducing sugars and

ethanol through yeast fermentation of juice and molasses has been previously

reported [199].

In the fermentation of sugarcane juice or molasses, sucrose is hydrolysed to

hexoses (glucose and fructose) which are fermented to ethanol as shown in

Equations 1 and 2.

C12H22O11 + H2O 2C6H12O6 (Equation 1)

C6H12O6 2C2H5OH + 2CO2 (Equation 2)

As reported [199], the production of significant quantities of carbon dioxide as a

by-product of the fermentation process limits the maximum theoretical

fermentation yield of ethanol from hexose to 51.14 % (w/w) but the maximum

practical yield using conventional fermentation organisms is around 48.40 %

(w/w) as a result of hexose consumption in side reactions.

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The maximum theoretical yield of ethanol from sucrose is 105.3 % of the ethanol

yield from an equivalent weight of glucose, as a result of a mass increase in the

initial sucrose hydrolysis reaction. Approximate ethanol yields per tonne of

product are shown in Table 5.2.

Table 5.2 Approximate ethanol yields per tonne of product

Typical sucrose concentration1

(%)

Typical reducing sugars

concentration1

(%)

Approximate ethanol yield2

(L/t)

Final molasses 35.0 13.0 280

B molasses 46.5 8.7 324

A molasses 53.5 5.2 345

Evaporator supply juice (ESJ)

13.5 0.4 82

Raw sugar 98.9 0.3 590 1SRI data 2Based on fermentation yield of 88.0 %, distillation efficiency of 99.0 % and ethanol density of 0.789 kg/L

5.5 Ethanol production from bagasse and sugarcane trash

The production of ethanol from the fibre component of tops and leaf (trash) and

bagasse is significantly more complex than the production of ethanol from

sugarcane juice or molasses as a result of the resilience of the carbohydrates in

the fibre to undergo hydrolysis to their monomer sugars. Pretreatment of the

fibre through physical or chemical processing is required to make the

carbohydrates in the fibre more susceptible to hydrolysis. Hydrolysis is achieved

through the application of hydrolytic enzymes or acids.

In general, the hydrolysis reactions can be described as shown in Equation 3 for

cellulose and in Equation 4 for hemicellulose [79]. The hydrolysis of cellulose

results in the production of the glucose monomer and from sugarcane bagasse

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the primary monomers from hemicellulose hydrolysis are the pentoses xylose

and arabinose.

(C6H10O5)n + nH2O nC6H12O6 (Equation 3)

(C5H8O4)n + nH2O nC5H10O5 (Equation 4)

In the cellulose hydrolysis reaction, the molecular weight of the carbohydrates

increases by 11.1 %, and for hemicelluloses the molecular weight increases by

13.6 %.

Due to the harsh nature of the leading pretreatment processes, a number of

degradation products may be formed which not only reduce hexose and pentose

yields but can be inhibitory to the organisms involved in fermentation of the

sugars to ethanol. These degradation products include furfural, 5-

hydroxymethylfurfural, levulinic acid, formic acid and acetic acid. Minimising the

formation of these degradation products is a critical challenge for any biomass

pretreatment strategy.

The crystalline nature of the cellulose in plant fibres typically restricts the

economically achievable glucose yield from cellulose hydrolysis, although the

glucose released can be readily fermented at very high efficiencies using

conventional fermentation organisms.

While hemicellulose can be readily hydrolysed to pentoses using mild acid

processes, the slow rate of fermentation of pentoses by yeasts and other

organisms restricts the economically achievable ethanol yield from pentoses. A

large global research effort is focussing on increasing the economic yield of

ethanol from cellulose and hemicellulose by improving enzyme and fermentation

organism effectiveness. Currently, however, pentose fermentation remains a key

challenge for the development of a commercial cellulosic ethanol industry.

When estimating the potential yield of ethanol from bagasse, it is necessary to

account for the efficiency of the whole production process. The overall yield of

ethanol will be a product of the yields from each of the pretreatment, hydrolysis,

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fermentation and distillation stages and will account for the different yields from

the cellulose and hemicellulose components of the biomass.

For an ethanol conversion efficiency of approximately 80 % from cellulose and a

moderate 50 % from hemicellulose, an ethanol product yield of around 340 L/t

dry fibre can be achieved. This consists of about 260 L/t dry fibre from the

cellulose component and 80 L /t dry fibre from the hemicellulose component of

the fibre.

In most sugarcane factories, bagasse is the primary energy source, where it is

combusted to produce steam and electricity for the process and export.

Historically, the bagasse has been burnt inefficiently in low pressure boilers and

with energy inefficient sugar processing techniques to ensure complete disposal

of the bagasse. With increasing prices for sales of export electricity to the

electricity distribution network, and for green incentives such as renewable

energy certificates generated under the Mandatory Renewable Energy Target

(MRET) scheme, there is now a significant focus on energy efficiency

improvements of sugarcane factories to maximise electricity generation and

export.

In an integrated crystal sugar factory and bagasse ethanol facility, it is envisaged

that the energy requirements for the process will still principally derive from

bagasse combustion, and it is only the surplus bagasse (the bagasse in excess of

that required for process energy) that is made available for cellulosic ethanol

production. This bagasse can be supplemented with a portion of the available

trash to provide extra fibre for both combustion and ethanol production, while

still ensuring sufficient trash remains in the field for its mulch and soil

conditioning value. The availability of trash for value-adding applications in a

region will depend upon both the economics of trash collection and transport,

and the value of the trash to the farming system. A previous biomass availability

model has assessed utilisation options based upon additional trash availability of

12.3 % for whole of crop harvesting compared to a typical sugarcane supply

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[200]. The following scenario analyses assume a maximum trash availability

equivalent to 10 % of the existing sugarcane supply.

5.6 Scenario analysis

A comprehensive technical and economic model of an integrated sugar factory,

juice and molasses-based ethanol distillery and cellulosic ethanol facility has

been developed in this research program (shown schematically in Figure 5.1).

This model enables the evaluation of possible scenarios for integrated sugar and

ethanol production facilities, including integrated options for energy generation

and export.

Simulations have been undertaken for several whole-of-industry scenarios to

estimate the potential for ethanol production from the Australian sugar industry

and the results of five of these scenarios are summarised in this report.

Figure 5.1 Schematic representation of the QUT techno-economic model of an integrated sugar factory, juice and molasses distillery and cellulosic ethanol production facility

Supplementary fuel

Cane preparation

and juice extraction

Juice and molasses distillation

Cellulosic ethanol

facility and biorefinery

Cogeneration boiler

Bagasse

Sugar cane

Crystal sugar

production

Electricity generation

Juice

Molasses storage

Bagasse storage

Sugar

Export molasses

Export bagasse

Ethanol

CO2

Vinasse

Ethanol

CO2

Lignin

Solid residue

Waste water treatment

Water

Import trash

Import bagasse

Import molasses

Export electricity

Import electricity

Filter mud

Boiler ash

ElectricitySteam

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In all of the scenarios reported, the average Australian sugarcane crop is

assumed to be 35 million tonnes. Additionally, it is assumed that a portion of the

trash from the field is collected and transported to the factory for processing.

The sugarcane processing period is assumed to be 23 weeks/y with the ethanol

facilities operating 48 weeks/y, requiring significant bagasse and molasses

storage. The bagasse is assumed to be composed of 45 % cellulose, 22 %

hemicellulose and 19 % lignin, the remainder being minor amounts of ash,

extractives and protein.

Although the model allows for their inclusion, in these scenarios, no value has

been included for renewable energy certificates, carbon credits or ethanol

production incentives. The analysis excludes rum production at the Bundaberg

distillery and other minor ethanol production in small distilleries. It is noted that

there is a considerable market for molasses as an animal feed which is likely to

limit the availability of molasses for ethanol production, but this is not

considered in these scenarios. Likewise, other markets for bagasse or trash

products are not assessed.

The five scenarios presented in this paper are:

Base scenario

This scenario models the approximate sugar, ethanol and electricity production

in the Australian sugar industry using currently installed infrastructure. In this

scenario, no sugarcane juice is utilised for ethanol production and a total of 60

ML of ethanol is produced from final molasses. All of the bagasse is used for

cogeneration and the production of export electricity. Bagasse is assumed to be

combusted in low pressure inefficient boilers and no bagasse is used for

cellulosic ethanol production. No trash is processed in this scenario.

Cogeneration scenario

In this scenario, no sugarcane juice is utilised for ethanol production. A total of

60 ML of ethanol is produced from final molasses. All of the bagasse and a

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proportion of the available trash are used for cogeneration and the production of

export electricity. Bagasse is assumed to be combusted in high pressure efficient

boilers and energy efficient process technologies are implemented to maximise

electricity generation and export.

Low ethanol scenario

In the low ethanol scenario, no sugarcane juice is utilised for ethanol production.

Ethanol is produced from all of the final molasses generated from the sugar

production process. Bagasse and trash surplus to the energy requirements of the

process are used for cellulosic ethanol production. Bagasse and trash used for

energy production are combusted in high pressure efficient boilers and energy

efficient sugar production process technologies are implemented.

Moderate ethanol scenario

In the moderate ethanol scenario, 70 % of the sugarcane juice is utilised for

crystal sugar production with the remaining sugarcane juice utilised for ethanol

production. All of the A molasses from the crystal sugar production process is

utilised for ethanol production. Bagasse and trash surplus to the energy

requirements of the process are used for cellulosic ethanol production. Bagasse

and trash used for energy production are combusted in high pressure efficient

boilers and energy efficient sugar production process technologies are

implemented.

High ethanol scenario

In the high ethanol scenario, no crystal sugar is produced and all of the

sugarcane juice is used for ethanol production. Bagasse and trash surplus to the

energy requirements of the process are used for cellulosic ethanol production.

Bagasse and trash used for energy production are combusted in high pressure

efficient boilers. Key input data for the scenario analyses are shown in Table 5.3

and Table 5.4 and the results are shown in Table 5.5.

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5.7 Discussion

Based on the assumptions used, the scenario analysis detailed in this report

shows that in a high ethanol scenario, a maximum of 4657 ML of ethanol is able

to be produced which equates to 24 % of Australia’s automotive gasoline

requirement or 104 % of Queensland’s automotive gasoline requirement on a

volumetric basis1. With the quantity of existing crystal sugar production

infrastructure in Australia, however, it is very unlikely at any stage in the future

that this quantity of sugarcane juice will be diverted from crystal sugar

manufacture to ethanol production.

The moderate scenario is a more achievable long-term ethanol production

estimate from sugarcane in Australia that may be possible in the right

commercial and policy environment. In this scenario, 30 % of the current

sugarcane juice is diverted from crystal sugar production to ethanol production

and, with the production of cellulosic ethanol from surplus bagasse and trash,

results in the production of 2622 ML of ethanol, equivalent to 14 % of Australia’s

(or 61 % of Queensland’s) automotive gasoline requirement on a volumetric

basis. It must be noted, however, that several significant economic and technical

challenges need to be overcome particularly with respect to aspects of the

cellulosic ethanol production process and the collection, transport and

processing of sugarcane trash before ethanol production at these levels could be

realised.

Even in the low ethanol production scenario, over 28 % of Queensland’s

automotive gasoline requirement on a volumetric basis can be met using ethanol

produced from sugarcane resources alone. In all of the scenarios analysed, the

process is energy self-sufficient, requiring no significant quantities of coal or

other ancillary fuels for energy generation and no significant electricity import

during operation.

1 Throughout this chapter, ethanol substitution in automotive gasoline is referenced on a volumetric basis. Reporting on a volumetric basis does not account for the lower energy content of ethanol compared to gasoline. Ethanol substitution results on an energy content basis can be calculated by multiplying the result on a volumetric basis by 0.67.

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Table 5.3 Common input data for scenario analysis

Common input data

Cane crushed (t) 35 000 000

Crushing season length (weeks/y) 23

Ethanol production period (weeks/y) 48

Commercial cane sugar content (CCS) 13.72

Cane purity (%) 85.9

Fibre % sugarcane 14.70

Fibre % trash 51.06

Cellulose % dry fibre 45.0

Hemicellulose % dry fibre 22.0

Lignin % dry fibre 19.0

Overall ethanol yield from fibre (L/t dry fibre) 340

Sugar price ($ /t IPS) 350

Ethanol price ($ /L) 0.70

Molasses price ($ /t) 90

Export electricity price ($ /MWh) 40

Table 5.4 Input data for the scenario analysis

Base scenario

Cogeneration scenario

Low ethanol scenario

Moderate ethanol scenario

High ethanol scenario

Trash collected (% cane) 0 10 10 10 10

Mixed juice to ethanol production (%)

0 0 0 30 100

Final molasses purity (molasses distillery feed purity; %)

45 45 45 72 -

Average boiler pressure (bar)

18 65 65 65 65

Average boiler efficiency (%)

60 72 72 72 72

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Table 5.5 Results from scenario analysis

Base scenario

Cogeneration scenario

Low ethanol scenario

Moderate ethanol scenario

High ethanol scenario

Sugar produced (t IPS) 4 850 000 4 850 000 4 850 000 2 770 000 0

Molasses produced (t) 1 002 000 1 002 000 0 0 0

Ethanol produced from juice or molasses fermentation (ML)

60 60 316 1574 3248

Ethanol produced from cellulosic biomass (ML)

0 0 973 1159 1409

Total ethanol produced (ML)

60 60 1289 2733 4657

Export electricity produced (GWh)

1156 12 784 3122 2425 1493

% fibre required for combustion

100 100 61.8 54.4 44.6

Sugar revenue ($ M) 1698 1698 1698 970 0

Molasses revenue ($ M) 90 90 0 0 0

Electricity revenue ($ M) 46 511 125 97 60

Ethanol revenue ($ M) 42 42 902 1913 3260

Total revenue ($ M) 1876 2341 2725 2980 3320

Sugar revenue (%) 90 72 62 33 0

Molasses revenue (%) 5 4 0 0 0

Electricity revenue (%) 3 22 5 3 2

Ethanol revenue (%) 2 2 33 64 98

% Australian automotive gasoline substitution1

0.3 % 0.3 % 6.7 % 14.2 % 24.2 %

% Queensland automotive gasoline substitution1

1.3 % 1.3 % 28.8 % 61.1 % 104.1 %

12007-08 automotive gasoline usage on a volumetric basis for ethanol substitution

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The proportion of fibre required for energy generation decreases with a decrease

in the amount of crystal sugar produced, as a result of the lower energy

requirements for ethanol production, increasing the amount of fibre available for

cellulosic ethanol production. An increase in the production of export electricity

is expected even in the high ethanol production scenario as excess high pressure

steam is utilised for electricity generation.

Compared to the base scenario with revenue of $1876 million, the cogeneration

scenario shows that an additional $465 million is able to be generated from

increased electricity production with the installation of efficient high pressure

boilers and generation equipment, energy efficient processing technologies and

the combustion of additional trash. Significantly more income is able to be

generated from the combined use of molasses, juice and bagasse for ethanol

production with an additional $849 million possible in the low ethanol scenario,

$1104 million possible in the moderate ethanol scenario and an additional $1444

million possible in the high ethanol scenario.

Further income is possible from the cellulosic ethanol production process if a

valuable co-product is able to be made from the lignin component of the fibre.

5.8 Conclusion

With a sugarcane crop of 35 Mt, ethanol produced from sugarcane has the

potential to meet a very significant proportion of Australia’s current automotive

gasoline requirements. In a possible moderate ethanol production scenario that

includes trash collection and cellulosic ethanol production, sugarcane has the

potential to provide sufficient ethanol to meet 14 % of Australia’s (or 61 % of

Queensland’s) automotive gasoline requirement on a volumetric basis while not

consuming any additional coal or other supplementary fuels.

Through crop expansion or the co-processing of other renewable fibres (such as

sweet sorghum or green waste), further ethanol production may even be

possible. Higher ethanol production quantities are also possible with the

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cultivation of higher biomass sugarcane varieties and the cultivation of varieties

with a higher proportion of total fermentable sugars.

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Chapter 6

Economic feasibility of a soda-based biorefinery at Racecourse Mill

This chapter was written as a confidential research report in 2010 for the

partners in the Biorefinery Development Project including Mackay Sugar Ltd,

Sugar Research Ltd, Viridian Chemicals Pty Ltd and Hexion Specialty Chemicals

Inc. Funding for this project was also provided by the Queensland Government

through the Research Industry Partnerships Program (RIPP).

This chapter assesses the technology options for a biorefinery that utilises

caustic soda pulping technology for pretreatment of sugarcane bagasse to

produce ethanol, lignin and co-products. The chapter develops a process for

feasibility analysis, and utilises a comprehensive technical and economic model

to assess the likely revenue, capital and operating costs for a potential facility

located at a sugar factory in the Mackay region of Queensland. The chapter

assesses the feasibility of the proposed facility against benchmark project

indicators, and undertakes a one and two component sensitivity analysis of the

key factors impacting project viability. The chapter also analyses the feasibility of

several process alternatives.

This chapter will not be made publicly available without the consent of the

project partners. Any requests for information relating to this chapter should be

directed to the author of this thesis.

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.

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Chapter 7

Feasibility assessment of in-planta cellulolytic enzyme expression for the production of biofuels from sugarcane bagasse in Australia

This chapter includes information confidential to the partners of the Syngenta

Centre for Sugarcane Biofuels Development (SCSBD) including QUT, Syngenta

Biotechnology Inc and Farmacule Bioindustries Pty Ltd. This research project was

funded by both Syngenta and the Queensland Government through the National

and International Research Alliances Program (NIRAP).

This chapter explores the feasibility of a novel technology for reducing the cost

of cellulolytic enzymes for the production of ethanol from sugarcane bagasse.

The chapter explores the advantages and disadvantages of several concepts for

in-plant expression of cellulases in sugarcane and investigates the economic

benefits of the two leading concepts.

The analysis of concept feasibility reported in this chapter was undertaken by the

author of this thesis. Dr Zhanying Zhang undertook the protein analysis reported

in this chapter, assisted with the analysis of the project concepts and co-

authored the reports on this work to the project partners.

This chapter will not be made publicly available without the consent of the

project partners. Any requests for information relating to this chapter should be

directed to the author of this thesis.

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Pilot plant development

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Chapter 8

Towards a commercial lignocellulosic ethanol industry in Australia: the Mackay Renewable Biocommodities Pilot Plant

8.1 Introduction

This chapter describes the value of pilot-scale production facilities in the context of

the development of a cellulosic ethanol industry in Australia. The chapter details the

funding, design and construction of a new pilot scale biorefinery facility, the Mackay

Renewable Biocommodities Pilot Plant (MRBPP), the unique capabilities of the

facility and the future opportunities that the facility generates for the Australian

sugar industry.

The author of this thesis was responsible for the conceptual and detailed process

design of the MRBPP, was responsible for the selection and purchasing of

equipment and was the key client representative during the design, construction

and installation phases. The MRBPP is the only facility of its kind in Australia and

one of the only publicly available, flexible pilot scale cellulosic ethanol facilities in

the world, requiring a novel approach to the facility design and the development of

collaborative industry partnerships.

The pilot plant will be utilised for demonstrating the technologies described in

Chapter 6 and Chapter 7 of this thesis and has been designed to be flexible enough

to demonstrate many of the pretreatment processes described in Chapter 3. The

demonstration to be undertaken includes both the technical feasibility and the

economic feasibility of the biofuel production processes.

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8.2 Pilot plants – facilitating commercial development

Pilot plants are an essential tool for the development of new technologies, bridging

the gap between laboratory research and commercial application of the technology.

Pilot plants are used to optimise key process parameters such as yield, rate and

efficiency at a scale much larger than that used for laboratory development and in

equipment that mimics large scale industrial facilities. This allows key process

economics to be evaluated and provides information on both the robustness of the

process and scale-up data for the design of the commercial facility. Additionally,

pilot plants also allow production of a significant amount of product for pre-

commercial testing.

Several pilot scale research facilities exist around the world for the production of

ethanol in a biorefinery. Most pilot and demonstration facilities are focussed on a

particular process technology, with only a few facilities capable of demonstrating a

broader range of technologies.

8.3 MRBPP funding

The Mackay Renewable Biocommodities Pilot Plant (MRBPP) was funded jointly by

the Queensland Government through a $3.1 million loan agreement and by the

Australian Government through a $3.4 million grant under the National

Collaborative Research Infrastructure Scheme (NCRIS) and a $1.765 million grant

under the Education Investment Fund (EIF). Further funding of about $1.7 million

was provided by QUT to ensure that the facility meets its objectives and to underpin

the pilot plant as a world class facility.

Queensland Government funding was provided through the then Department of

State Development through the Innovation Building Fund. The Innovation Building

Fund was established to promote the development of research infrastructure for

science and technology in Queensland. The funding under this program was to

provide the MRBPP building (factory building, laboratory, offices and hazardous

goods containment facilities) and plant and equipment for the pretreatment /

fractionation stages and for the separation and concentration of the lignin product.

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The NCRIS program was initiated by the Australian Government in 2004-05 to

implement “a strategic and collaborative approach to investment in world-class

facilities, networks and infrastructure that are accessible to researchers and meet

their long term needs” [201]. In the initial round, $542 million was provided to

2010-11, with an initial nine high priority areas identified in the 2006 Strategic

Roadmap.

Funding for the MRBPP was awarded to QUT under NCRIS Capability 5.5

Biotechnology Products. The aim of this program was to “develop research

infrastructure to assist in the production of pre-commercial quantities of

recombinant proteins and biofuels”. A total of $23.5 million of Australian

Government funding was awarded under this capability at 11 sites around Australia.

The overall project value (including other funding sources) totalled $62 million

[202]. NCRIS Capability 5.5 is being managed by AusBiotech Ltd.

Under the NCRIS funding rules, it is a requirement that facilities be substantially

available for both public and private sector research. The priority and cost of access

to any of the NCRIS Capability 5.5 facilities including MRBPP is determined in

accordance with an Access and Pricing Code, a copy of which is available on the

program website http://www.ncrisbiofuels.org/. Access to the facility for eligible

researchers is at a subsidised rate.

The NCRIS funding for the MRBPP facility included $2.85 million for hard

infrastructure (plant and equipment) and an additional $0.6 million for soft

infrastructure (facility labour). Plant and equipment funding under the NCRIS

program includes funding for equipment for the saccharification and fermentation

facilities and for ethanol product purification and concentration. A Mettler Toledo

RCe1 reaction calorimeter with on-line infra-red detection was funded to enable the

development of comprehensive chemical reaction kinetic and thermodynamic

information.

Soft infrastructure funding included salaries for 2 facility employees through to July

2011. The inclusion of the soft infrastructure is a valuable component of the NCRIS

program in ensuring that core skills are developed and maintained in operation of

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the infrastructure and in ensuring that the access cost is minimised for users of the

facility.

8.4 Design and construction of the MRBPP

The MRBPP is located at the Mackay Sugar Limited (MSL) Racecourse Mill to the

north-west of the factory boiler station. The facility is built on land leased from MSL

to QUT. Co-location of the facility at the site of a raw sugar factory offers a number

of advantages, with the most significant advantage being the development of the

facility to industrial standards.

Co-location also allowed the facility ready access to large amounts of bagasse and

to utilise essential services from the Racecourse Mill site, reducing the cost of

construction. Services provided by the site include electrical supply, potable and

raw water supply and waste water treatment. The initiative shown by MSL in

supporting the establishment of a long term research facility on-site and in

providing services and personnel support during the design and construction phase

has been invaluable. This support has also ensured that the development of the

facility was undertaken according to industrial standards, including rigorous

consideration of environmental and health and safety requirements.

A design contract was awarded to Champion Engineers of Mackay in February 2008

to design the ‘site infrastructure’, including the provision of site services, factory

building, laboratory and office facilities, bagasse feeding arrangements, hazardous

chemical and waste management facilities for the site. Conceptual and process

design, including the mass and energy balances and the specification and selection

of plant and equipment, was undertaken by the author of this thesis. Electrical and

control system design was undertaken by Logicamms Pty Ptd.

Separate tenders were issued for the construction of the site infrastructure and the

installation of facility plant and equipment. The tender for the construction of the

site infrastructure was issued in October 2008 and the tender awarded to FK

Gardner and Sons in December 2008. Construction of the MRBPP factory building

commenced in January 2009, and the majority of the site infrastructure including

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factory building, hazardous chemicals storage, waste capture and storage and truck

loading facilities were completed by July 2009.

The construction of the office, laboratory and amenity areas, which had been

delayed pending the finalisation of costs from the main building contract, was

commenced in July 2009. The office, laboratory and amenity buildings were

supplied as modular buildings from ATCO Structures and Logistics Pty Ltd and

transported to site for installation by FK Gardener & Sons. Practical completion was

achieved on 11th December 2009.

The mechanical installation of plant and equipment commenced in May 2010 and

was undertaken by J&T Mechanical Installation Pty Ltd. Electrical installation of

plant and equipment commenced in September 2010 and was undertaken by MIE

Pty Ltd. Installation of the plant and equipment was completed in November 2010.

Commissioning of the facility was undertaken throughout November and December

2010 and the facility became fully operational in December 2010.

A photographic record of the construction of the MRBPP facility is contained in

Appendix B.

8.5 Site services

Electrical supply for the facility is fed from a switch room located within Racecourse

Mill which feeds a distribution board located within the MRBPP electrical switch

room. Potable water, raw water and fire water are also provided through a

common services trench from the Racecourse Mill to the MRBPP site. This trench

also returns waste water from the MRBPP site to connect to the mill waste water

treatment system.

Steam for the facility is provided by an on-site LPG steam generator. The steam

generator is a TSG Thermic HPTS30 package water tube boiler capable of providing

470 kg/h steam at a pressure of 27 bar. Compressed air (Champion CSF11 11kW

rotary screw compressor with a capacity of 31 L/s at 7.8 bar) and chilled water are

also provided from on-site units located within the services room of the MRBPP. A

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control room inside the MRBPP contains the PLC and operator interface stations.

Other services for the facility are either produced on-site or supplied under a supply

of services agreement with Mackay Sugar Ltd.

The facility has designated storage areas for both Class 3 and Class 8 hazardous

goods. The site contains a first flush waste water collection system and a dedicated

truck unloading area with spill containment. Waste water is able to collected and

stored in on-site storage tanks for collection and off-site disposal if required. Solid

wastes are also collected for off-site disposal.

8.6 Plant and equipment

Plant and equipment for the MRBPP facility has been selected to simulate a range

of processes typical of biochemical biorefineries and in particular to demonstrate

the processes required for soda based pretreatments and lignin recovery processes.

A typical biorefinery process is shown in Figure 8.1, in which the major products are

ethanol and lignin.

Figure 8.1 Typical biorefinery process diagram

One of the major considerations in the conceptual design and selection of plant and

equipment for the facility was the need to provide sufficient flexibility to

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demonstrate several of the pretreatment processes described in Chapter 3 of this

thesis. While sugarcane bagasse was the feedstock of most interest, the facility had

to also be capable of processing a variety of other woody and fibrous feedstocks.

Providing the flexibility to simulate a range of pretreatment processes, feedstocks

and product options maximises the value of the facility both to the Australian

research community and to potential industry partners.

The requirement for flexible processing options and multiple product options

presented challenges in designing a fully integrated process. In particular, the

requirement to be able to undertake a variety of pretreatment processing options

required a novel approach to the design of the pretreatment reactor, as it was

clearly identified that no reactors were currently available on the market with the

capabilities required of the facility.

The techno-economic model described in Chapter 6 of this thesis was used to

provide detailed mass and energy balances of biorefinery processes (in particular

for caustic soda and mild acid processes). This provided data on the flowrates of

process streams and allowed selection of equipment size including pumping energy

requirements. Energy balance data were used to calculate the heat and power

requirements for processing heating, cooling and evaporation.

Results from the uncertainty assessment in the systems analysis and the analysis of

soda-based biorefinery processes clearly identified that the major focus of pilot

scale work needed to be in the areas of pretreatment, enzymatic hydrolysis and

fermentation. The high energy costs identified in the soda-based biorefinery

assessment highlighted the requirement for high solids concentration processing of

biomass and the need for minimal energy input in mechanical biomass size

reduction prior to pretreatment.

The biomass storage, preparation and weighing systems were constructed by Paxon

Packaging Pty Ltd from Melbourne. The integrated feeding system includes a feed

hopper, clump breaker to loosen large clumps of bagasse, vibrating table and sieve

tray for separating pith and ash if required, conveyor and linear weighing machine.

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The main pretreatment reactor for the facility was constructed by Andritz Inc in

Glens Falls, NY. The batch pretreatment reactor is constructed mostly from

corrosion resistant Hastelloy C-2000 enabling simulation of many of the leading

pretreatment technologies with up to 25 kg of fibre per batch. The pretreatment

reactor consists of a horizontal pre-hydrolysis reactor with an integrated hydraulic

ram, vertical reactor for steam explosion, blow tank for collecting solid material

expelled from the reactor and a hydrolysate collection vessel. Chemicals and wash

water for the reactor are fed from two purpose built tanks constructed by TSG

Thermic.

The majority of the fermentation equipment and bioseparations equipment was

purchased from the Tridan Pty Ltd – Albright & Wilson Australia CRC fermentation

facility located at the Albright & Wilson Australia manufacturing plant in Yarraville,

Melbourne. Key equipment purchased from this facility included:

- Stirred fermenters – 10 L, 100 L, 1000 L, 10 000 L;

- Airlift fermenters – 10 L, 100 L, 1000 L;

- Westfalia SB-7 disc stack centrifuge;

- Rotary drum vacuum filter;

- NIRO production minor spray drier;

- Fluidised bed drier;

- Steriliser; and

- Assorted feed tanks and pumps.

The continuous packed bed distillation column was also purchased second hand and

was a Davy McKee design.

A Mettler Toledo RCe1 reaction calorimeter with an integrated infra-red probe was

purchased for use in process development from Mettler Toledo Australia. While an

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asset of the MRBPP facility, this item is permanently housed at the QUT Gardens

Point Campus in Brisbane.

The control system is a Schneider Electric Modicon TSX Micro PLC processor.

Supervisory control and data acquisition is undertaken using Citect software.

8.7 Lignin product recovery

One of the key co-products from the biorefinery is lignin. The economic assessment

of the soda-based biorefinery process highlighted the necessity of producing a

valuable product from the lignin component of the fibre in developing an

economically feasible process. As a result, the extraction, recovery and purification

of lignin became a key focus of the pilot plant design.

The pilot plant includes equipment for both the delignification of biomass

(pretreatment) and the subsequent recovery of lignin from chemical solvents. The

purified lignin can be manufactured and dried in significant quantities to enable

product development and testing and this work aims to reduce the uncertainty in

the future marketability and market value of soda-lignin.

8.8 Future developments

Commissioning of the MRBPP was completed in December 2010. Preliminary trials

of pretreatment, hydrolysis and fermentation have laid the foundation for further

validation of the techno-economic assessments undertaken in Chapter 6 and

Chapter 7 of this thesis. While the conceptual design of the pilot plant was a key

outcome of this research program, the conduct of pilot trials was not a component

of the work of this thesis but will be undertaken in on-going research with the

project partners.

The MRBPP is valuable research and development infrastructure for both the

Australian research community, future biomass-based industries and in particular

the Australian sugar industry. This facility provides unique subsidised infrastructure

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for biomass utilisation, particularly focussed upon the enzymatic conversion of

cellulose into ethanol in an integrated biorefinery.

Additionally, the ability to produce novel co-products such as lignin allows

opportunities for large scale product development and testing.

The infrastructure will provide even greater value over time as it evolves to meet

the product diversification challenges of the next decade. This evolution will be

essential if the facility is to remain relevant to future research challenges. It is

expected that the MRBPP will have sufficient flexibility to undertake pilot trials on

fermentation technologies based on sugar, molasses and bioethanol process

streams to manufacture organic acids and other products.

It is envisaged that the MRBPP will in the future need to incorporate additional

technologies, including thermochemical processing technologies such as gasification

and pyrolysis including downstream catalytic processing. This will assist in ensuring

that the MRBPP remains at the forefront of bioenergy research and one of the

leading tools for facilitating the introduction of new products into Australian

industries.

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Discussion

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Chapter 9

Discussion

9.1 Introduction

This chapter provides an analysis of the work undertaken in the research

program and highlights the key findings of the research, the importance of this

research and recommendations for future work.

9.2 Achievement of research objectives and key findings

This section reviews the achievement of the research objectives outlined for this

research project in Chapter 1.

Objective 1 - Identify the key technical, economic and systemic factors

impacting upon investment in commercial scale facilities for the production of

ethanol from sugarcane bagasse in Australia

Chapter 2 provides an introductory analysis of the role of crude oil in transport

fuel use, the growing impact of biofuel use and an overview of the sugarcane

industry in Australia. Chapter 3 reviews the scientific research that has occurred

globally on the pretreatment of sugarcane bagasse. Chapter 4 provides an

analysis of the systemic factors influencing investment in commercial cellulosic

ethanol facilities and, through the use of Monte Carlo analysis, provides a

probabilistic analysis of the relative impact of assumption uncertainty on

investment risk for investment in cellulosic ethanol production. Chapter 6

provides a comprehensive assessment of a specific potential cellulosic ethanol

project in Australia and identifies through one and two component sensitivity

analyses the key impacts on project viability.

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In general, these analyses conclude ethanol price, government production

incentives, feedstock price, capital cost, co-product revenue, cellulase cost and

energy cost have the major impact on project investment and a number of

strategies are proposed in Chapters 1 – 4 and Chapter 6 for reducing investment

risk and increasing the viability of cellulosic ethanol production in Australia.

Objective 2 - Explore leading technologies for the biochemical production

of ethanol from sugarcane bagasse to determine the conceptual

feasibility of the technology

Chapter 3 reviews the leading pretreatment technologies and the scientific work

that has been undertaken globally on sugarcane bagasse pretreatment. The

choice of pretreatment technology is the critical determinant of the style of

facility and determines many of the other technological requirements of the

facility. Chapter 6 analyses the technical and economic feasibility of a soda-based

biorefinery in Australia, producing ethanol and lignin in an integrated facility.

Chapter 7 analyses the economic feasibility of a leading but early stage

technology for reducing the cost of cellulase enzymes through the expression of

cellulase in sugarcane.

These chapters highlight the potential feasibility of this technology and the

conditions under which the technology becomes commercially viable, providing

recommendations relating to the choice of technology for managing project risk.

Objective 3 - Conceptualise and develop a framework for assessing the

interrelationships between energy use, feedstock availability and

potential cellulosic ethanol production of integrated sugar and bagasse-

based ethanol production facilities

In the systems analysis undertaken in Chapter 4, the interrelationships between

energy use and feedstock availability are clearly identified as a major factor in

understanding the feasibility of the cellulosic ethanol system. Chapter 5 identifies

the potential quantum of ethanol production from sugarcane in Australia and

explores the relationship between energy consumption, energy production

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(cogeneration and ethanol production) and feedstock availability. Chapter 6

analyses through comprehensive technical and economic modelling the

relationship between energy use and project viability.

These chapters identify that ethanol from sugarcane has the potential to

contribute significantly to the transport fuel mix in Australia and that both

cogenerated electricity and ethanol production are complementary products

from integrated facilities. Technology choices that minimise overall energy use

are critical in maximising revenue and minimising process costs.

Objective 4 - Model the use of the framework through its application to

the design and construction of a pilot scale facility for demonstration of

technology for the production of ethanol from bagasse

Chapter 8 relates the details of the design and construction of the Mackay

Renewable Biocommodities Pilot Plant (MRBPP) through to the commencement

of facility commissioning. The process design of this facility, undertaken by the

author and supported by the work of this research program is a key outcome of

this research program and provides an on-going contribution to the further

research, development and techno-economic assessment of this important

technology in Australia.

Objective 5 - Communicate key outcomes to the Australian sugar industry

to develop a deeper understanding within the industry of the potential

opportunities and economic feasibility of the technology

Information reported in Chapter 3 and Chapter 8 of this thesis have been

presented as peer-reviewed conference papers to the Australian Society of Sugar

Cane Technologists (ASSCT) which is the leading research forum for the

Australian sugar industry. Two further papers will be presented to the same

forum in 2011. Chapter 6 has been presented to Australian sugar company

Mackay Sugar Ltd as a confidential research report for consideration at a senior

level in their organisation.

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The construction of the MRBPP has been widely anticipated across the sugar

industry and the author has spoken to many conferences and groups within the

industry about the facility. This engagement has provoked considerable interest

and engagement in cellulosic ethanol technologies across the industry and

further reporting will occur as the MRBPP facility commences operations and

generates research outcomes.

9.3 Importance of research

This research program has provided a multi-dimensional analysis of the feasibility

of cellulosic ethanol from sugarcane in Australia, assessing the key factors

affecting industry viability and the likely impacts of these on investment.

Through engagement with project partners and the sugar industry research

community, the research outcomes have provided a deeper understanding of

cellulosic ethanol production at both a conceptual and project specific level.

Despite sugarcane being perhaps the best biomass feedstock for early stage

cellulosic ethanol production, such an integrated and multi-dimensional analysis

has not previously been undertaken in Australia, or to the author’s knowledge

anywhere around the world for cellulosic ethanol production from sugarcane.

9.4 Recommendations for future work

The following recommendations are made for future work in understanding and

promoting the establishment of a viable cellulosic ethanol industry in Australia.

1. Explore the opportunities for energy reduction in integrated sugarcane –

cellulosic ethanol facilities through the modelling of energy efficiency

measures and pinch analysis;

2. Explore the opportunities in sugarcane production regions for

supplementing the availability of fibre for cogeneration or ethanol

production with other new or existing fibre sources;

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3. Explore the economic case for regional clustering of sugarcane processing

facilities for ethanol production;

4. Explore the business case for modified sugar milling operations for

integrated ethanol facilities from sugarcane juice and bagasse;

5. Explore the impact of possible government policy incentive measures on

promoting investment in cellulosic ethanol production from sugarcane,

and particularly measures relating to a carbon price or emissions trading

scheme; and

6. Explore the impact of higher fibre sugarcane on fibre availability for

cellulosic ethanol production and in particular, explore models for the

industry transition from processing current sugarcane varieties to

processing higher fibre varieties.

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Appendices

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APPENDIX A

Supplementary data for Chapter 6

The supplementary data for Chapter 6 is not available in this version of the

thesis.

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APPENDIX B

The Mackay Renewable Biocommodities Pilot Plant – photographic record of construction and equipment installation

This appendix provides a photographic record of the construction and equipment

installation for the Mackay Renewable Biocommodities Pilot Plant (MRBPP) from

the commencement of facility construction to the completion of equipment,

electrical and instrumentation installation.

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Site infrastructure

The infrastructure for the MRBPP site consists of a three story factory building,

office and laboratory. To the west of the factory building is an outdoor pad

consisting of truck unloading area, Class 3 and Class 8 chemical storage facility, LPG

storage tank and waste water storage tanks.

Appendix Figure B.1 contains a photographic record of the construction of the site

infrastructure.

A Construction signage

B Preparation and levelling of site

C Laying of building foundations

D Concrete base of factory building

E Concrete base of factory building looking west toward Racecourse Mill

F Installation of block work for fermentation room and services rooms

G Framing for the concrete slab and factory building

H Pouring of the concrete slab

I Installation of the ATCO modular laboratory and office buildings

J Factory building looking toward the Racecourse Mill bagasse stockpile

K Factory building looking north-west

L Site photo looking east

M Internal photo of factory building (west)

N Internal photo of factory building (north)

O Top floor of factory building

P Office area during construction

Q Laboratory area during construction

R Completed exterior of factory building

S Site photo looking west

T Site photo looking east toward Racecourse Mill

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G H

F E

C D

B A

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K L

N M

J I

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Appendix Figure B.1 Photographic record of the construction of site infrastructure

T S

Q R

P O

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Plant and equipment

The first stage of plant and equipment in the facility includes a biomass feeding and

weighing system supplied by Paxon Packaging Pty Ltd, a two-stage pretreatment

reactor supplied by Andritz Inc and chemical and wash water tanks supplied by

Thermic TSG.

Appendix Figure B.2 contains a photographic record of the plant and equipment

installed in the biomass feeding and pretreatment stages of the MRBPP facility.

A Biomass feeding system, conveyor and weighing machine

B Schematic of the Andritz two-stage pretreatment reactor

C Chemical and wash water feed tank for pretreatment reactor

D Pre-hydrolysis reactor

E Front view of the pre-hydrolysis reactor

F Vertical pressure reactor (steam explosion reactor)

G Reactor blow tank and hydrolysate tank

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Appendix Figure B.2 Photographic record of the biomass feeding and pretreatment stage equipment

A

B C

E D

F G

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The saccharification, fermentation, distillation and co-product recovery stages

contain a variety of equipment which can be configured in a flexible manner.

Appendix Figure B.3 contains a photographic record of the fermentation,

bioseparations and other equipment installed in the MRBPP facility.

A 100 L stirred fermenter

B 1000 L stirred fermenter

C 10 000 L stirred fermenter

D 10 L airlift fermenter

E 100 L airlift fermenter

F 1000 L airlift fermenter

G Fermenter feed tank

H Membrane filter

I Westfalia centrifuge

J Steriliser

K Rotary drum vacuum filter

L Spray drier

M Hydrolysis reactor

N Mettler Toledo RCe1 reaction calorimeter

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E F

D C

B A

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L K

J I

H G

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Appendix Figure B.3 Photographic record of the plant and equipment installed in the MRBPP facility

M

N

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Opening of the MRBPP facility

The official opening of the MRBPP facility was held on the 9th July 2010. The facility

was opened by The Hon Anna Bligh MP, Premier of Queensland and Minister for the

Arts and Senator Kim Carr MP, Minister for Innovation, Industry, Science and

Research and supported by The Hon Tim Mulherin MP, Minister for Primary

Industries, Fisheries and Rural and Regional Queensland and Member for Mackay.

Appendix Figure B.4 contains a photographic record of the MRBPP opening.

A Opening ceremony

B Mr Andrew Cappello, Chairman, Mackay Sugar Ltd

C The Hon Anna Bligh MP

D Official party with the opening plaque (l – r) – Professor Peter Coaldrake, Senator Kim Carr MP, The Hon Anna Bligh MP, Distinguished Professor James Dale, Mr Andrew Cappello

E Senator Kim Carr MP, The Hon Anna Bligh MP and the author during the official tour of the MRBPP facility

F The Hon Anna Bligh MP, Distinguished Professor James Dale, Senator Kim Carr MP and the author in front of the Andritz pretreatment reactor during the official tour of the facility

G Dr William Doherty discusses biorefinery value added products with guests at the opening

H The MRBPP opening official plaque

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Appendix Figure B.4 Photographic record of the opening of the MRBPP facility

B A

C D

F E

G H

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Image credits Photographs used in this appendix were provided by the author, Erika Fish, Jan

Zhang, Bernard Milford, John Bankie, Barry George, Heng-Ho Wong and Peter

Albertson.