cbs nyt poll rep toplines 9-15-15

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CBS NEWS/NEW YORK TIMES POLL The Republican Nomination: Trump Maintains His Lead but Carson Gains September 9-13, 2015 Q1. How much attention have you been able to pay to the 2016 Presidential campaign -- a lot, some, not much, or no attention so far? ************** REGISTERED VOTERS ************* Total Rep Dem Ind Rep. Primary Voters Jul15e % % % % % % A lot 36 44 30 35 48 30 Some 35 35 35 35 36 41 Not much 17 12 22 15 9 20 No attention so far 12 8 12 15 6 9 Don’t know/No answer 1 1 1 0 * -- Q2. Next year, are you more likely to vote in a (Republican presidential primary) or caucus, or a (Democratic presidential primary) or caucus or aren't you likely to vote in a primary or caucus at all? Republican primary 36 87 4 22 Democratic primary 33 1 76 20 Not likely to vote 17 6 10 32 Never vote * - - 1 Don’t know/No answer 14 6 10 24 Q3. (Which one of these candidates would you like to see the Republican Party nominate for President in 2016? REPUBLICAN PRIMARY VOTERS Jul15e % % Donald Trump 27 24 Ben Carson 23 6 Jeb Bush 6 13 Mike Huckabee 6 8 Marco Rubio 6 6 Ted Cruz 5 6 Carly Fiorina 4 * John Kasich 3 1 Rand Paul 3 4 Scott Walker 2 10 Chris Christie 1 3 Rick Perry 1 2 Rick Santorum 1 1 Lindsey Graham * * Bobby Jindal * 2 George Pataki * 1 Jim Gilmore - 1 Someone Else (vol.) * 1 None of them (vol.) 4 3 Don’t know/No answer 9 9 *Less than 0.5%

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Cbs Nyt Poll Rep Toplines 9-15-15

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Page 1: Cbs Nyt Poll Rep Toplines 9-15-15

CBS NEWS/NEW YORK TIMES POLL The Republican Nomination: Trump Maintains His Lead but Carson Gains September 9-13, 2015 Q1. How much attention have you been able to pay to the 2016 Presidential campaign -- a lot, some, not much, or no attention so far? ************** REGISTERED VOTERS ************* Total Rep Dem Ind Rep. Primary Voters Jul15e % % % % % % A lot 36 44 30 35 48 30 Some 35 35 35 35 36 41 Not much 17 12 22 15 9 20 No attention so far 12 8 12 15 6 9 Don’t know/No answer 1 1 1 0 * -- Q2. Next year, are you more likely to vote in a (Republican presidential primary) or caucus, or a (Democratic presidential primary) or caucus or aren't you likely to vote in a primary or caucus at all? Republican primary 36 87 4 22 Democratic primary 33 1 76 20 Not likely to vote 17 6 10 32 Never vote * - - 1 Don’t know/No answer 14 6 10 24 Q3. (Which one of these candidates would you like to see the Republican Party nominate for President in 2016?

REPUBLICAN PRIMARY VOTERS Jul15e % %

Donald Trump 27 24 Ben Carson 23 6 Jeb Bush 6 13 Mike Huckabee 6 8 Marco Rubio 6 6 Ted Cruz 5 6 Carly Fiorina 4 * John Kasich 3 1 Rand Paul 3 4 Scott Walker 2 10 Chris Christie 1 3 Rick Perry 1 2 Rick Santorum 1 1 Lindsey Graham * * Bobby Jindal * 2 George Pataki * 1 Jim Gilmore - 1 Someone Else (vol.) * 1 None of them (vol.) 4 3 Don’t know/No answer 9 9 *Less than 0.5%

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Q4. Is your mind made up or is it still too early to say for sure? REPUBLICAN PRIMARY VOTERS WHO CHOOSE A CANDIDATE % Mind made up 37 Too early 63 Don’t know/No answer *

Q5. Who would be your second choice for the Republican nomination for president?

REPUBLICAN PRIMARY VOTERS Jul15e % %

Ben Carson 19 10 Ted Cruz 12 8 Donald Trump 12 6 Jeb Bush 9 10 Marco Rubio 7 11 Carly Fiorina 6 5 Scott Walker 4 8 Chris Christie 4 3 Mike Huckabee 4 7 Rand Paul 3 8 John Kasich 2 4 Bobby Jindal 1 3 Rick Perry 1 4 Jim Gilmore 1 * Lindsey Graham * 1 George Pataki * * Rick Santorum - 2 Someone Else (vol.) 2 * None of them (vol.) 5 2 Don’t know/No answer 8 9 *Less than 0.5%

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Q6. What is the main reason you would like to see the Republican Party nominate Donald Trump as its 2016 presidential candidate? TRUMP IS 1st or 2nd CHOICE %

Outspoken/says what he believes 15 Not a politicians/outsider 13 Strong leader 10 Patriot/make America great 9 Successful businessman 8 Honest/trustworthy 7 Need for change/will bring change 4 Bold/has guts/not a pushover 4 Agree on the issues 3 Don’t like the other candidates 3 Stance on the economy 3 Stance on immigration 3 Best candidate for the job 2 New/fresh ideas 2 Smart/intelligent 2 Other 11 Don’t know/No answer 1 Q7. Regardless of how you intend to vote in 2016, which one of these Republican presidential candidates would you be most dissatisfied with as the Republican nominee?

REPUBLICAN PRIMARY VOTERS Jul15e % %

Donald Trump 23 27 Jeb Bush 15 18 Chris Christie 11 10 Lindsey Graham 8 6 Rand Paul 7 17 Mike Huckabee 4 2 Ben Carson 2 1 John Kasich 2 * Rick Perry 2 3 Marco Rubio 2 3 Rick Santorum 2 2 Jim Gilmore 2 1 Ted Cruz 1 3 Carly Fiorina 1 1 Bobby Jindal 1 1 George Pataki 1 1 Scott Walker 1 1 Someone Else (vol.) 1 * None of them (vol.) 3 2 Don’t know/No answer 12 9 *Less than 0.5%

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Q8. Regardless of how you intend to vote in 2016, which one of these Republican presidential candidates do you think has the best chance of winning the general election in November 2016?

REPUBLICAN PRIMARY VOTERS Jul15e % %

Donald Trump 39 26 Ben Carson 18 1 Jeb Bush 11 23 Marco Rubio 5 4 Ted Cruz 4 4 Chris Christie 2 2 John Kasich 2 1 Scott Walker 2 8 Mike Huckabee 1 4 Rand Paul 1 5 Rick Perry 1 2 Carly Fiorina * -- Lindsey Graham * * George Pataki * -- Rick Santorum * 1 Bobby Jindal - * Jim Gilmore - 1 Someone Else (vol.) - * None of them (vol.) * 1 Don’t know/No answer 14 16 *Less than 0.5%

Q9. If Donald Trump became the 2016 Republican nominee for President, would you enthusiastically support him, support him but with reservations, support him only because he is the Republican Party nominee, or not support him? Enthusiastically support 35 Support with reservations 36 Support only because nominee 12 No support 15 Don’t know/No answer 2 Q10. Thinking about the Republican party's nominee for president in 2016, which is more important to you -- a nominee who (agrees with your position on most issues), or a nominee who (can win the general election in November)? Agrees on issues 60 Can win in November 35 Don’t know/No answer 5

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Q11. Would you prefer the Republican nominee for president be someone whose experience has been mostly (in politics and government), or someone whose experience has been mostly in the business or private sector, or doesn't it matter to you?

REPUBLICAN PRIMARY VOTERS %

Mostly politics & government 9 Mostly business 48 Doesn't matter 41 Don’t know/No answer 2 Q12. Do you think Donald Trump is honest and trustworthy, or not? ************* REGISTERED VOTERS ************** Total Rep Dem Ind Rep. Primary Voters % % % % %

Honest and trustworthy 35 53 18 34 55 Not honest and trustworthy 55 32 74 56 32 Don’t know/no answer 11 15 7 10 12 Q13. Do you think Donald Trump has strong qualities of leadership, or not? Yes, strong qualities of leadership 56 80 35 54 81 No, does not have strong qualities of leadership 41 16 63 43 17 Don’t know/no answer 3 3 2 4 2 Q14. Do you think Donald Trump’s views on most issues are too conservative for you, not conservative enough, or just about right? Too conservative 9 Not conservative enough 28 Just about right 56 Don’t know/no answer 7 Q15. Do you think Ben Carson is honest and trustworthy, or not? ************* REGISTERED VOTERS ************** Total Rep Dem Ind Rep. Primary Voters % % % % %

Honest and trustworthy 49 73 27 48 79 Not honest and trustworthy 16 5 26 16 4 Don’t know/no answer 36 22 47 36 16 Q16. Do you think Ben Carson has strong qualities of leadership, or not? Yes, strong qualities of leadership 38 59 21 35 64 No, does not have strong qualities of leadership 25 15 31 29 15 Don’t know/no answer 37 26 48 36 22

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Q17. Do you think Ben Carson’s views on most issues are too conservative for you, not conservative enough, or just about right?

REPUBLICAN PRIMARY VOTERS %

Too conservative 8 Not conservative enough 8 Just about right 66 Don’t know/no answer 18 Q18. Do you think Jeb Bush is honest and trustworthy, or not? ************* REGISTERED VOTERS ************** Total Rep Dem Ind Rep. Primary Voters % % % % %

Honest and trustworthy 48 71 32 43 72 Not honest and trustworthy 35 15 51 39 16 Don’t know/no answer 17 14 17 19 13 Q19. Do you think Jeb Bush has strong qualities of leadership, or not? Yes, strong qualities of leadership 44 57 37 41 58 No, does not have strong qualities of leadership 42 31 50 43 32 Don’t know/no answer 14 11 13 16 10 Q20. Do you think Jeb Bush’s views on most issues are too conservative for you, not conservative enough, or just about right? Too conservative 12 8 49 22 12 Not conservative enough 40 42 5 36 40 Just about right 39 41 22 36 39 Don’t know/no answer 9 9 25 7 9 Q21-Q31 SEPARATE RELEASE Q32. Do you think it should be legal or not legal for same sex couples to marry? Total Rep Dem Ind Rep. Primary Voters Jun15b % % % % % %

Legal 55 36 67 57 35 57 Not legal 37 58 26 32 59 35 Don’t know/no answer 8 6 7 11 7 8

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Q33. Which comes closest to your view about illegal immigrants who are living in the U.S.? 1. (They should be allowed to stay in the U.S and eventually apply for citizenship), 2. They should be allowed to stay in the U.S. legally, but not be allowed to apply for citizenship or 3. (They should be required to leave the U.S.) ************* TOTAL RESPONDENTS ************** Total Rep Dem Ind Rep. Primary Voters Jul15e % % % % % %

Stay and apply for citizenship 58 38 72 59 35 61 Stay in the US legally, but not apply 10 12 7 10 11 9 Required to leave the US 27 45 18 24 49 29 Don’t know/no answer 5 4 3 8 5 5 Q34. Would you favor or oppose a policy where all people who are in this country illegally would be sent back to the country they came from, but some could legally be allowed back into the U.S. on a faster track than other immigrants? ************* TOTAL RESPONDENTS ************** Total Rep Dem Ind Rep. Primary Voters % % % % %

Favor 45 52 42 44 54 Oppose 45 39 48 48 37 Don’t know/no answer 9 9 10 8 9 Unweighted Weighted Margin of error Total Respondents 1,261 3 pts. Total Registered voters 1,021 926 4 pts. Total Republican Primary Voters 376 331 6 pts.