cautiously reopen gradually resume...gradually resume continued staggered reopening into a new...

25

Upload: others

Post on 05-Oct-2020

1 views

Category:

Documents


0 download

TRANSCRIPT

Page 1: CAUTIOUSLY REOPEN GRADUALLY RESUME...GRADUALLY RESUME Continued staggered reopening into a new normal IV Goal is to continue to maintain safety until COVID-19 is contained • Set

1

Page 2: CAUTIOUSLY REOPEN GRADUALLY RESUME...GRADUALLY RESUME Continued staggered reopening into a new normal IV Goal is to continue to maintain safety until COVID-19 is contained • Set

2

Goal is to limit interactions to rapidly slow the spread of COVID-19

• Physically distance from anyone you do not live with, especially vulnerable friends and family

• When meeting others, physically distance and wear a face covering

• Non-business, social gatherings limited to <10 persons

• Phased, limited public amenities begin to open

• Stay at home and limit going out to essential activities only

• Essential workers go to work; everyone else works from home

STRICT STAY-AT-HOMELimit the amount of contact with others

I

Goal is to thoughtfully begin to reopen Chicago safely

• Stay at home if you feel ill or have come into contact with someone with COVID-19

• Continue to physically distance from vulnerable populations

• Get tested if you have symptoms

• Non-essential workers begin to return to work in a phased way

• Select businesses, non-profits, city entities open with demonstrated, appropriate protections for workers and customers

CAUTIOUSLY REOPENStrict physical distancing with some businesses reopening

III

Goal is to further reopen Chicago while ensuring the safety of residents

• Continue to distance and allow vulnerable residents to shelter

• Get tested if you have symptoms or think you have had COVID-19

• Additional public amenities open• Continue to a wear face covering

and physically distance

• Additional business and capacity restrictions are lifted with appropriate safeguards

GRADUALLY RESUMEContinued staggered

reopening into a new normal

IV

Goal is to continue to maintain safety until COVID-19 is contained

• Set up screenings and tests at work or with your family

• Sign up for a vaccine on the COVID Coach web portal

• Most activities resume with health safety in place

• Some events can resume

• All businesses open

• Non-vulnerable individuals can resume working

PROTECTContinue to protect

vulnerable populations

V

Goal is to continue flattening the curve while safely being outside

• Physically distance from anyone you do not live with, especially vulnerable friends and family

• Stay at home as much as possible

• Wear a face covering while outside your home

• Essential workers go to work; everyone else works from home

STAY-AT-HOMEGuard against unsafe

interactions with others

II

HEALTH

LIFE

WORK

Page 3: CAUTIOUSLY REOPEN GRADUALLY RESUME...GRADUALLY RESUME Continued staggered reopening into a new normal IV Goal is to continue to maintain safety until COVID-19 is contained • Set

3

Industry-specific updates

Bars re-open indoor seating at 25% capacity (food partner required)

Indoor liquor sales at restaurants & bars extended to 1:00AM and hours of operation to 1:30AM

Fitness classes, after-school programing, and childcare group sizes set at 15 individuals

Personal services that require removal of face coverings re-open (e.g., facials, beard trims)

Primary changes to expect in Phase 4 updates

Expand indoor capacity to 40%, but maintain max. 50

individuals per space

• Tables at restaurants / group size in households maintained at 6 individuals

• Outdoor gatherings remain at 50% capacity / max. 100 individuals

Page 4: CAUTIOUSLY REOPEN GRADUALLY RESUME...GRADUALLY RESUME Continued staggered reopening into a new normal IV Goal is to continue to maintain safety until COVID-19 is contained • Set

4

Protocols will be put in place (and enforced) to mitigate risks that come with increased capacity

• Restaurants:– Diners must wear face coverings while seated, except when actively eating or

drinking– When taking reservations and seating walk-in customers, restaurants should

retain an email and/or phone number for possible contact tracing

• Bars, breweries, and taverns that serve alcohol without a food license must have customers seated when eating, drinking or ordering – patrons cannot walk up to the bar to order

• Personal services that require the removal of face masks (e.g., facials, beard trims) should be kept under 15 minutes, and the employee conducting the service must always wear a face covering

• All places of business should provide hand sanitizer for patrons and employees to use upon entry

1

2

3

4

Page 5: CAUTIOUSLY REOPEN GRADUALLY RESUME...GRADUALLY RESUME Continued staggered reopening into a new normal IV Goal is to continue to maintain safety until COVID-19 is contained • Set

5

Chicago-based Tock stepping up to supportrestaurants across the city

• Homegrown technology company Tock to provide free technology solutions for

restaurants and bars in low-income communities

• Through this partnership with the City of Chicago, Tock will offer a free set-up and

six-month subscription to Tock Plus Lite for restaurants and bars without a

reservation system in areas of the city below 60% of the Area Median Income

• This one-of-a-kind program will provide these establishments with the ability to

manage reservations, takeout, and delivery all through one unified system

• This program, which is also available at a low cost citywide, can be used by

businesses to retain cell phone numbers and email addresses to support contact

tracing for reservations and when seating walk-ins

Page 6: CAUTIOUSLY REOPEN GRADUALLY RESUME...GRADUALLY RESUME Continued staggered reopening into a new normal IV Goal is to continue to maintain safety until COVID-19 is contained • Set

6

Page 7: CAUTIOUSLY REOPEN GRADUALLY RESUME...GRADUALLY RESUME Continued staggered reopening into a new normal IV Goal is to continue to maintain safety until COVID-19 is contained • Set

Stop: Delay moving ahead or pull back

Caution: Pause and monitor

Go: Cautious progress

Go: Continued progress

Go: Advanced progress

Cases7-day rolling daily average

Any sustained increase >14 days within the past 28

days

Increase 0-14 days(in most recent14 -day period)

Stable or decrease 0-13 days

(w/o increase in most recent 14-day

period)

Stable or decrease 14-28

days

Stable or decrease >28 days

and/or sustained <200 new cases per

day

Hospitalizations7-day rolling daily average

Deaths7-day rolling daily average

COVID emergency department visits7-day rolling daily average

Positivity rate7-day rolling daily average >10% 5% - 10% <5% of all daily tests are confirmed positive

Hospital system capacity7-day rolling daily average

>1280 non-ICU beds>480 ICU beds

>360 ventilators

>1000 non-ICU beds>400 ICU beds

>300 ventilators

<1000 non-ICU beds occupied by COVID patients<400 ICU beds occupied by COVID patients

<300 ventilators occupied by COVID patients

Testing capacity7-day rolling daily average

Unexplained decline in testing <4500 total tests/day

Explained decline in testing <4500 total tests/day

Stable testing >4500 total tests/day

Response capacity

N/A N/AAssign case for investigation within 24h for

50% of cases 75% of cases 90% of cases

CDPH reopening metrics for Phase 4 (Gradually Resume) starting June 26

Page 8: CAUTIOUSLY REOPEN GRADUALLY RESUME...GRADUALLY RESUME Continued staggered reopening into a new normal IV Goal is to continue to maintain safety until COVID-19 is contained • Set

8

Current

299new cases/day

Source: chicago.gov/coronavirus

200 cases/day

400 cases/day

Cumulative new COVID-19 case count and 7-day average for Chicago

Phase 4: Gradually Resume

Page 9: CAUTIOUSLY REOPEN GRADUALLY RESUME...GRADUALLY RESUME Continued staggered reopening into a new normal IV Goal is to continue to maintain safety until COVID-19 is contained • Set

9

0

100

200

300

400

500

6/2

1

6/2

3

6/2

5

6/2

7

6/2

9

7/1

7/3

7/5

7/7

7/9

7/1

1

7/1

3

7/1

5

7/1

7

7/1

9

7/2

1

7/2

3

7/2

5

7/2

7

7/2

9

7/3

1

8/2

8/4

8/6

8/8

8/1

0

8/1

2

8/1

4

8/1

6

8/1

8

8/2

0

8/2

2

8/2

4

8/2

6

8/2

8

8/3

0

9/1

9/3

9/5

9/7

9/9

9/1

1

9/1

3

9/1

5

9/1

7

9/1

9

9/2

1

9/2

3

Ne

w c

as

es

, Ch

ica

go

re

sid

en

ts

Go: Advanced

progress

Stable or

decrease >28

days

and/or

sustained <200

new cases per

day

Labor Day

week

Cases during Phase 4: Increasing daily avg of new cases; stable or decreasing since Aug. 24 (>28 days) Excludes dip from low Labor Day testing

358 new

cases per

day

299 new

cases per day

Page 10: CAUTIOUSLY REOPEN GRADUALLY RESUME...GRADUALLY RESUME Continued staggered reopening into a new normal IV Goal is to continue to maintain safety until COVID-19 is contained • Set

10

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

6/2

1

6/2

4

6/2

7

6/3

0

7/3

7/6

7/9

7/1

2

7/1

5

7/1

8

7/2

1

7/2

4

7/2

7

7/3

0

8/2

8/5

8/8

8/1

1

8/1

4

8/1

7

8/2

0

8/2

3

8/2

6

8/2

9

9/1

9/4

9/7

9/1

0

9/1

3

9/1

6

9/1

9

9/2

2

Hospitalizations during Phase 4: Stable or decreasing new hospitalizations since August 27 (>28 days)

Go: Advanced

progress

Stable or decrease

>28 days

14 new

hospitalizations

per day

Ne

w h

os

pit

aliz

ati

on

s, C

hic

ag

o r

es

ide

nts

Page 11: CAUTIOUSLY REOPEN GRADUALLY RESUME...GRADUALLY RESUME Continued staggered reopening into a new normal IV Goal is to continue to maintain safety until COVID-19 is contained • Set

11

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

16

6/21 6/28 7/5 7/12 7/19 7/26 8/2 8/9 8/16 8/23 8/30 9/6 9/13 9/20

Deaths during Phase 4: Consistently stable or declining deaths since June (>28 days)

Go: Advanced progress

Stable or decrease >28 days

3 deaths per

day

Ne

w d

ea

ths

, Ch

ica

go

re

sid

en

ts

Page 12: CAUTIOUSLY REOPEN GRADUALLY RESUME...GRADUALLY RESUME Continued staggered reopening into a new normal IV Goal is to continue to maintain safety until COVID-19 is contained • Set

12

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

Emergency Dept. visits during Phase 4: Stable or decreasing for COVID-like illness since Aug. 30 (>28 days)

Go: Advanced

progress

Stable or decrease

>28 days

CO

VID

-lik

e il

lne

ss

em

erg

en

cy

de

pa

rtm

en

t vi

sit

s, C

hic

ag

o 45 emergency

department visits

per day

Page 13: CAUTIOUSLY REOPEN GRADUALLY RESUME...GRADUALLY RESUME Continued staggered reopening into a new normal IV Goal is to continue to maintain safety until COVID-19 is contained • Set

13

Positivity rate7-day rolling daily average >10% 5% - 10%

<5% of all daily tests are

confirmed positive

Test positivity during Phase 4: Increasing test positivity to >5%; decreased back under 5% since Sept. 10 (now >14 days); person positivity remains above 7%

4.3%

positive

Go: Continued

progress

Stable or

decrease 14-28

days

Page 14: CAUTIOUSLY REOPEN GRADUALLY RESUME...GRADUALLY RESUME Continued staggered reopening into a new normal IV Goal is to continue to maintain safety until COVID-19 is contained • Set

14

0

200

400

600

800

1,000

1,200

1,400

4/3

4/1

44

/25

5/6

5/1

75

/28

6/8

6/1

96

/30

7/1

17

/22

8/2

8/1

38

/24

9/4

9/1

5

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

3/1

93

/28

4/6

4/1

54

/24

5/3

5/1

25

/21

5/3

06

/86

/17

6/2

67

/57

/14

7/2

38

/18

/10

8/1

98

/28

9/6

9/1

5

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

400

3/1

93

/28

4/6

4/1

54

/24

5/3

5/1

25

/21

5/3

06

/86

/17

6/2

67

/57

/14

7/2

38

/18

/10

8/1

98

/28

9/6

9/1

5

Hospital (non-ICU) beds

in use by COVID patients

ICU beds

in use by COVID patientsVentilators

in use by COVID patients

259

Goal is below 1000 Goal is below 400

89

Goal is below 300

45

Hospital capacity during Phase 4: Adequate hospital system capacity throughout (since early June)

Hospital

system

capacity7-day rolling daily average

>1280 non-ICU

beds

>480 ICU beds

>360 ventilators

>1000 non-ICU

beds

>400 ICU beds

>300 ventilators

<1000 non-ICU beds occupied by COVID patients

<400 ICU beds occupied by COVID patients

<300 ventilators occupied by COVID patients

Page 15: CAUTIOUSLY REOPEN GRADUALLY RESUME...GRADUALLY RESUME Continued staggered reopening into a new normal IV Goal is to continue to maintain safety until COVID-19 is contained • Set

15

0

1,000

2,000

3,000

4,000

5,000

6,000

7,000

8,000

9,000

10,000

11,0003

/14

3/1

73

/20

3/2

33

/26

3/2

94

/14

/44

/74

/10

4/1

34

/16

4/1

94

/22

4/2

54

/28

5/1

5/4

5/7

5/1

05

/13

5/1

65

/19

5/2

25

/25

5/2

85

/31

6/3

6/6

6/9

6/1

26

/15

6/1

86

/21

6/2

46

/27

6/3

07

/37

/67

/97

/12

7/1

57

/18

7/2

17

/24

7/2

77

/30

8/2

8/5

8/8

8/1

18

/14

8/1

78

/20

8/2

38

/26

8/2

99

/19

/49

/79

/10

9/1

39

/16

9/1

99

/22

Goal is 4,500 or

more per day

8,235

Testing capacity during Phase 4: Adequate testing capacity throughout (since mid-June)

Testing

capacity7-day rolling daily average

Unexplained

decline in testing

<4500

total tests/day

Explained

decline in testing

<4500

total tests/day

Stable testing >4500 total tests/day

Page 16: CAUTIOUSLY REOPEN GRADUALLY RESUME...GRADUALLY RESUME Continued staggered reopening into a new normal IV Goal is to continue to maintain safety until COVID-19 is contained • Set

16

Response capacity during Phase 4: Adequate capacity (case investigation/contact tracing) since June

90%85%

93%89% 89%

84%89%

81%85%

Goal: 90%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

0

400

800

1200

1600

2000

Week Ending7/25/2020

Week Ending8/1/2020

Week Ending8/8/2020

Week Ending8/15/2020

Week Ending8/22/2020

Week Ending8/29/2020

Week Ending9/5/2020

Week Ending9/12/2020

Week Ending9/19/2020

Cases assigned within 24h (n) Cases not assigned within 24h (n) Cases assigned within 24h (%)

Response

capacityN/A N/A

Assign case for investigation within 24h for

50% of cases 75% of cases 90% of cases

Page 17: CAUTIOUSLY REOPEN GRADUALLY RESUME...GRADUALLY RESUME Continued staggered reopening into a new normal IV Goal is to continue to maintain safety until COVID-19 is contained • Set

17

Page 18: CAUTIOUSLY REOPEN GRADUALLY RESUME...GRADUALLY RESUME Continued staggered reopening into a new normal IV Goal is to continue to maintain safety until COVID-19 is contained • Set

18

We are still in the midst of recovery

Overall Trends of Hours Scheduled

Hours scheduled as % of baseline

Source: University of Chicago Poverty Lab; Homebase

Firm Closures

Both charts specific to Chicago small businesses

Page 19: CAUTIOUSLY REOPEN GRADUALLY RESUME...GRADUALLY RESUME Continued staggered reopening into a new normal IV Goal is to continue to maintain safety until COVID-19 is contained • Set

19

Chicago’s small business recovery has outpaced peer cities

19

Overall Trends of Hours Scheduled / Open Firms

Hours scheduled as % of January baseline

Overall Trends of Number of Employees

Source: University of Chicago Poverty Lab; Homebase

-42%

-38%

-36%

-29%

-27%

NYC

Los Angeles

Phoenix

Houston

Chicago

Number of Employees as % of January baseline

-41%

-36%

-34%

-30%

-25%

NYC

Los Angeles

Phoenix

Houston

Chicago

Page 20: CAUTIOUSLY REOPEN GRADUALLY RESUME...GRADUALLY RESUME Continued staggered reopening into a new normal IV Goal is to continue to maintain safety until COVID-19 is contained • Set

20

Chicago has allocated nearly 3x the support of the next most active large city

Small business grants Small business loans Funds allocated total Programs

Chicago $46.6M $100M $146.6M

Community COVID-19 Response Fund Microbusiness Recovery Grant Fund Chicago Small Business Resiliency Fund Together Now Fund CityArts and Arts for Illinois Relief grants

New York $26M $22M $48M Emergency Grant Program Employee Retention Grant Program Small Business Continuity Loan Fund

Los Angeles $3M $38M $41M L.A. Regional COVD-19 Relief Fund Small Business Assistance Program

Portland $16M $1M $17M Small Business Relief Fund Small Business Loan Program

San

Francisco $6M $9M $15M

Small Business Grant Resiliency Fund Neighborhood Mini Grants AA Small Business Revolving Loan Fund Emergency Loan Fund

Note: Non-exhaustive list per city; rounded numbers Source: ABC7Chicago, Chicago BACP, The Wall Street Journal, Prosper Portland, San Francisco OEWD; L.A. Biz Journal

Page 21: CAUTIOUSLY REOPEN GRADUALLY RESUME...GRADUALLY RESUME Continued staggered reopening into a new normal IV Goal is to continue to maintain safety until COVID-19 is contained • Set

21

The City designed programs to help businesses that fell through the cracks of federal assistance

Chicago Small Business Resiliency Fund loans

per 1,000 businessesFederal PPP loans per 1,000 businesses

Note: PPP data as of 06/30; 34,131 loans below $150K that total $1.093B were distributed. 6,252 loans above $150K were not reported with specified amounts, and so could total between $2.7B and $6.6B

Page 22: CAUTIOUSLY REOPEN GRADUALLY RESUME...GRADUALLY RESUME Continued staggered reopening into a new normal IV Goal is to continue to maintain safety until COVID-19 is contained • Set

22

While we have a ways to go, Chicago exhibiting strong spending growth vs. other metropolitan areas

Aggregated daily total card spending by major Metropolitan Statistical Area (% YoY growth)

Source: Bank of America

Of the cities with

top 7 spending

growth, Chicago is

the largest

Page 23: CAUTIOUSLY REOPEN GRADUALLY RESUME...GRADUALLY RESUME Continued staggered reopening into a new normal IV Goal is to continue to maintain safety until COVID-19 is contained • Set

23

New listings for Chicago residential properties highlight a stable market

Source: Chicago Association of Realtors

Page 24: CAUTIOUSLY REOPEN GRADUALLY RESUME...GRADUALLY RESUME Continued staggered reopening into a new normal IV Goal is to continue to maintain safety until COVID-19 is contained • Set

24

Innovation and growth in Chicago continue

Page 25: CAUTIOUSLY REOPEN GRADUALLY RESUME...GRADUALLY RESUME Continued staggered reopening into a new normal IV Goal is to continue to maintain safety until COVID-19 is contained • Set

25