cautiously reopen gradually resume...gradually resume continued staggered reopening into a new...
TRANSCRIPT
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Goal is to limit interactions to rapidly slow the spread of COVID-19
• Physically distance from anyone you do not live with, especially vulnerable friends and family
• When meeting others, physically distance and wear a face covering
• Non-business, social gatherings limited to <10 persons
• Phased, limited public amenities begin to open
• Stay at home and limit going out to essential activities only
• Essential workers go to work; everyone else works from home
STRICT STAY-AT-HOMELimit the amount of contact with others
I
Goal is to thoughtfully begin to reopen Chicago safely
• Stay at home if you feel ill or have come into contact with someone with COVID-19
• Continue to physically distance from vulnerable populations
• Get tested if you have symptoms
• Non-essential workers begin to return to work in a phased way
• Select businesses, non-profits, city entities open with demonstrated, appropriate protections for workers and customers
CAUTIOUSLY REOPENStrict physical distancing with some businesses reopening
III
Goal is to further reopen Chicago while ensuring the safety of residents
• Continue to distance and allow vulnerable residents to shelter
• Get tested if you have symptoms or think you have had COVID-19
• Additional public amenities open• Continue to a wear face covering
and physically distance
• Additional business and capacity restrictions are lifted with appropriate safeguards
GRADUALLY RESUMEContinued staggered
reopening into a new normal
IV
Goal is to continue to maintain safety until COVID-19 is contained
• Set up screenings and tests at work or with your family
• Sign up for a vaccine on the COVID Coach web portal
• Most activities resume with health safety in place
• Some events can resume
• All businesses open
• Non-vulnerable individuals can resume working
PROTECTContinue to protect
vulnerable populations
V
Goal is to continue flattening the curve while safely being outside
• Physically distance from anyone you do not live with, especially vulnerable friends and family
• Stay at home as much as possible
• Wear a face covering while outside your home
• Essential workers go to work; everyone else works from home
STAY-AT-HOMEGuard against unsafe
interactions with others
II
HEALTH
LIFE
WORK
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Industry-specific updates
Bars re-open indoor seating at 25% capacity (food partner required)
Indoor liquor sales at restaurants & bars extended to 1:00AM and hours of operation to 1:30AM
Fitness classes, after-school programing, and childcare group sizes set at 15 individuals
Personal services that require removal of face coverings re-open (e.g., facials, beard trims)
Primary changes to expect in Phase 4 updates
Expand indoor capacity to 40%, but maintain max. 50
individuals per space
• Tables at restaurants / group size in households maintained at 6 individuals
• Outdoor gatherings remain at 50% capacity / max. 100 individuals
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Protocols will be put in place (and enforced) to mitigate risks that come with increased capacity
• Restaurants:– Diners must wear face coverings while seated, except when actively eating or
drinking– When taking reservations and seating walk-in customers, restaurants should
retain an email and/or phone number for possible contact tracing
• Bars, breweries, and taverns that serve alcohol without a food license must have customers seated when eating, drinking or ordering – patrons cannot walk up to the bar to order
• Personal services that require the removal of face masks (e.g., facials, beard trims) should be kept under 15 minutes, and the employee conducting the service must always wear a face covering
• All places of business should provide hand sanitizer for patrons and employees to use upon entry
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Chicago-based Tock stepping up to supportrestaurants across the city
• Homegrown technology company Tock to provide free technology solutions for
restaurants and bars in low-income communities
• Through this partnership with the City of Chicago, Tock will offer a free set-up and
six-month subscription to Tock Plus Lite for restaurants and bars without a
reservation system in areas of the city below 60% of the Area Median Income
• This one-of-a-kind program will provide these establishments with the ability to
manage reservations, takeout, and delivery all through one unified system
• This program, which is also available at a low cost citywide, can be used by
businesses to retain cell phone numbers and email addresses to support contact
tracing for reservations and when seating walk-ins
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Stop: Delay moving ahead or pull back
Caution: Pause and monitor
Go: Cautious progress
Go: Continued progress
Go: Advanced progress
Cases7-day rolling daily average
Any sustained increase >14 days within the past 28
days
Increase 0-14 days(in most recent14 -day period)
Stable or decrease 0-13 days
(w/o increase in most recent 14-day
period)
Stable or decrease 14-28
days
Stable or decrease >28 days
and/or sustained <200 new cases per
day
Hospitalizations7-day rolling daily average
Deaths7-day rolling daily average
COVID emergency department visits7-day rolling daily average
Positivity rate7-day rolling daily average >10% 5% - 10% <5% of all daily tests are confirmed positive
Hospital system capacity7-day rolling daily average
>1280 non-ICU beds>480 ICU beds
>360 ventilators
>1000 non-ICU beds>400 ICU beds
>300 ventilators
<1000 non-ICU beds occupied by COVID patients<400 ICU beds occupied by COVID patients
<300 ventilators occupied by COVID patients
Testing capacity7-day rolling daily average
Unexplained decline in testing <4500 total tests/day
Explained decline in testing <4500 total tests/day
Stable testing >4500 total tests/day
Response capacity
N/A N/AAssign case for investigation within 24h for
50% of cases 75% of cases 90% of cases
CDPH reopening metrics for Phase 4 (Gradually Resume) starting June 26
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Current
299new cases/day
Source: chicago.gov/coronavirus
200 cases/day
400 cases/day
Cumulative new COVID-19 case count and 7-day average for Chicago
Phase 4: Gradually Resume
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9
0
100
200
300
400
500
6/2
1
6/2
3
6/2
5
6/2
7
6/2
9
7/1
7/3
7/5
7/7
7/9
7/1
1
7/1
3
7/1
5
7/1
7
7/1
9
7/2
1
7/2
3
7/2
5
7/2
7
7/2
9
7/3
1
8/2
8/4
8/6
8/8
8/1
0
8/1
2
8/1
4
8/1
6
8/1
8
8/2
0
8/2
2
8/2
4
8/2
6
8/2
8
8/3
0
9/1
9/3
9/5
9/7
9/9
9/1
1
9/1
3
9/1
5
9/1
7
9/1
9
9/2
1
9/2
3
Ne
w c
as
es
, Ch
ica
go
re
sid
en
ts
Go: Advanced
progress
Stable or
decrease >28
days
and/or
sustained <200
new cases per
day
Labor Day
week
Cases during Phase 4: Increasing daily avg of new cases; stable or decreasing since Aug. 24 (>28 days) Excludes dip from low Labor Day testing
358 new
cases per
day
299 new
cases per day
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10
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
6/2
1
6/2
4
6/2
7
6/3
0
7/3
7/6
7/9
7/1
2
7/1
5
7/1
8
7/2
1
7/2
4
7/2
7
7/3
0
8/2
8/5
8/8
8/1
1
8/1
4
8/1
7
8/2
0
8/2
3
8/2
6
8/2
9
9/1
9/4
9/7
9/1
0
9/1
3
9/1
6
9/1
9
9/2
2
Hospitalizations during Phase 4: Stable or decreasing new hospitalizations since August 27 (>28 days)
Go: Advanced
progress
Stable or decrease
>28 days
14 new
hospitalizations
per day
Ne
w h
os
pit
aliz
ati
on
s, C
hic
ag
o r
es
ide
nts
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11
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
6/21 6/28 7/5 7/12 7/19 7/26 8/2 8/9 8/16 8/23 8/30 9/6 9/13 9/20
Deaths during Phase 4: Consistently stable or declining deaths since June (>28 days)
Go: Advanced progress
Stable or decrease >28 days
3 deaths per
day
Ne
w d
ea
ths
, Ch
ica
go
re
sid
en
ts
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12
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
Emergency Dept. visits during Phase 4: Stable or decreasing for COVID-like illness since Aug. 30 (>28 days)
Go: Advanced
progress
Stable or decrease
>28 days
CO
VID
-lik
e il
lne
ss
em
erg
en
cy
de
pa
rtm
en
t vi
sit
s, C
hic
ag
o 45 emergency
department visits
per day
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Positivity rate7-day rolling daily average >10% 5% - 10%
<5% of all daily tests are
confirmed positive
Test positivity during Phase 4: Increasing test positivity to >5%; decreased back under 5% since Sept. 10 (now >14 days); person positivity remains above 7%
4.3%
positive
Go: Continued
progress
Stable or
decrease 14-28
days
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14
0
200
400
600
800
1,000
1,200
1,400
4/3
4/1
44
/25
5/6
5/1
75
/28
6/8
6/1
96
/30
7/1
17
/22
8/2
8/1
38
/24
9/4
9/1
5
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
3/1
93
/28
4/6
4/1
54
/24
5/3
5/1
25
/21
5/3
06
/86
/17
6/2
67
/57
/14
7/2
38
/18
/10
8/1
98
/28
9/6
9/1
5
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
400
3/1
93
/28
4/6
4/1
54
/24
5/3
5/1
25
/21
5/3
06
/86
/17
6/2
67
/57
/14
7/2
38
/18
/10
8/1
98
/28
9/6
9/1
5
Hospital (non-ICU) beds
in use by COVID patients
ICU beds
in use by COVID patientsVentilators
in use by COVID patients
259
Goal is below 1000 Goal is below 400
89
Goal is below 300
45
Hospital capacity during Phase 4: Adequate hospital system capacity throughout (since early June)
Hospital
system
capacity7-day rolling daily average
>1280 non-ICU
beds
>480 ICU beds
>360 ventilators
>1000 non-ICU
beds
>400 ICU beds
>300 ventilators
<1000 non-ICU beds occupied by COVID patients
<400 ICU beds occupied by COVID patients
<300 ventilators occupied by COVID patients
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15
0
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
5,000
6,000
7,000
8,000
9,000
10,000
11,0003
/14
3/1
73
/20
3/2
33
/26
3/2
94
/14
/44
/74
/10
4/1
34
/16
4/1
94
/22
4/2
54
/28
5/1
5/4
5/7
5/1
05
/13
5/1
65
/19
5/2
25
/25
5/2
85
/31
6/3
6/6
6/9
6/1
26
/15
6/1
86
/21
6/2
46
/27
6/3
07
/37
/67
/97
/12
7/1
57
/18
7/2
17
/24
7/2
77
/30
8/2
8/5
8/8
8/1
18
/14
8/1
78
/20
8/2
38
/26
8/2
99
/19
/49
/79
/10
9/1
39
/16
9/1
99
/22
Goal is 4,500 or
more per day
8,235
Testing capacity during Phase 4: Adequate testing capacity throughout (since mid-June)
Testing
capacity7-day rolling daily average
Unexplained
decline in testing
<4500
total tests/day
Explained
decline in testing
<4500
total tests/day
Stable testing >4500 total tests/day
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Response capacity during Phase 4: Adequate capacity (case investigation/contact tracing) since June
90%85%
93%89% 89%
84%89%
81%85%
Goal: 90%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
0
400
800
1200
1600
2000
Week Ending7/25/2020
Week Ending8/1/2020
Week Ending8/8/2020
Week Ending8/15/2020
Week Ending8/22/2020
Week Ending8/29/2020
Week Ending9/5/2020
Week Ending9/12/2020
Week Ending9/19/2020
Cases assigned within 24h (n) Cases not assigned within 24h (n) Cases assigned within 24h (%)
Response
capacityN/A N/A
Assign case for investigation within 24h for
50% of cases 75% of cases 90% of cases
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We are still in the midst of recovery
Overall Trends of Hours Scheduled
Hours scheduled as % of baseline
Source: University of Chicago Poverty Lab; Homebase
Firm Closures
Both charts specific to Chicago small businesses
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Chicago’s small business recovery has outpaced peer cities
19
Overall Trends of Hours Scheduled / Open Firms
Hours scheduled as % of January baseline
Overall Trends of Number of Employees
Source: University of Chicago Poverty Lab; Homebase
-42%
-38%
-36%
-29%
-27%
NYC
Los Angeles
Phoenix
Houston
Chicago
Number of Employees as % of January baseline
-41%
-36%
-34%
-30%
-25%
NYC
Los Angeles
Phoenix
Houston
Chicago
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Chicago has allocated nearly 3x the support of the next most active large city
Small business grants Small business loans Funds allocated total Programs
Chicago $46.6M $100M $146.6M
Community COVID-19 Response Fund Microbusiness Recovery Grant Fund Chicago Small Business Resiliency Fund Together Now Fund CityArts and Arts for Illinois Relief grants
New York $26M $22M $48M Emergency Grant Program Employee Retention Grant Program Small Business Continuity Loan Fund
Los Angeles $3M $38M $41M L.A. Regional COVD-19 Relief Fund Small Business Assistance Program
Portland $16M $1M $17M Small Business Relief Fund Small Business Loan Program
San
Francisco $6M $9M $15M
Small Business Grant Resiliency Fund Neighborhood Mini Grants AA Small Business Revolving Loan Fund Emergency Loan Fund
Note: Non-exhaustive list per city; rounded numbers Source: ABC7Chicago, Chicago BACP, The Wall Street Journal, Prosper Portland, San Francisco OEWD; L.A. Biz Journal
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The City designed programs to help businesses that fell through the cracks of federal assistance
Chicago Small Business Resiliency Fund loans
per 1,000 businessesFederal PPP loans per 1,000 businesses
Note: PPP data as of 06/30; 34,131 loans below $150K that total $1.093B were distributed. 6,252 loans above $150K were not reported with specified amounts, and so could total between $2.7B and $6.6B
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While we have a ways to go, Chicago exhibiting strong spending growth vs. other metropolitan areas
Aggregated daily total card spending by major Metropolitan Statistical Area (% YoY growth)
Source: Bank of America
Of the cities with
top 7 spending
growth, Chicago is
the largest
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New listings for Chicago residential properties highlight a stable market
Source: Chicago Association of Realtors
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Innovation and growth in Chicago continue
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