case study of the may 7, 2002 tornadic supercell outbreak kathryn saussy san francisco state...

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Case Study of the May 7, 2002 Tornadic Supercell Outbreak Kathryn Saussy San Francisco State University Department of Geosciences

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Page 1: Case Study of the May 7, 2002 Tornadic Supercell Outbreak Kathryn Saussy San Francisco State University Department of Geosciences

Case Study of the May 7, 2002 Tornadic Supercell

Outbreak

Kathryn Saussy

San Francisco State University

Department of Geosciences

Page 2: Case Study of the May 7, 2002 Tornadic Supercell Outbreak Kathryn Saussy San Francisco State University Department of Geosciences

500 mb chartMay 7, 2002 12 UTC

Strong WSW winds flow over the Great Plains;

a longwave trough approaches Arizona.

Page 3: Case Study of the May 7, 2002 Tornadic Supercell Outbreak Kathryn Saussy San Francisco State University Department of Geosciences
Page 4: Case Study of the May 7, 2002 Tornadic Supercell Outbreak Kathryn Saussy San Francisco State University Department of Geosciences

500 mb ChartMay 8, 2002 00 UTC

Strong SW winds continue to flow over the Great Plains;

a trough approaches New Mexico, and pushes closer to the Great Plains region.

Page 5: Case Study of the May 7, 2002 Tornadic Supercell Outbreak Kathryn Saussy San Francisco State University Department of Geosciences
Page 6: Case Study of the May 7, 2002 Tornadic Supercell Outbreak Kathryn Saussy San Francisco State University Department of Geosciences

Surface AnalysisMay 8, 2002 00 UTC

A trough extends over OK;

SSE winds, which are nearly perpendicular to the 500 mb flow, are nearly present over OK and KS - which pave the road to excellent storm relative helicity;

High dewpoints are in the upper 60s to lower 70s, helping to create the perfect recipe for deep convection: Buoyancy, CAPE, and lifting.

Page 7: Case Study of the May 7, 2002 Tornadic Supercell Outbreak Kathryn Saussy San Francisco State University Department of Geosciences
Page 8: Case Study of the May 7, 2002 Tornadic Supercell Outbreak Kathryn Saussy San Francisco State University Department of Geosciences

00 UTC Soundings:Topeka, KS

and Norman, OKMiller Type I (“loaded gun”);

Excellent shear environments (strong differences between 500 mb and surface winds) for conversion streamwise vorticity into rotating updrafts;

Storm motions are NE;

Anticyclonic loops in both hodographs show large areas of helicity.

Page 9: Case Study of the May 7, 2002 Tornadic Supercell Outbreak Kathryn Saussy San Francisco State University Department of Geosciences

Norman, OK

Page 10: Case Study of the May 7, 2002 Tornadic Supercell Outbreak Kathryn Saussy San Francisco State University Department of Geosciences

Topeka, KS

Page 11: Case Study of the May 7, 2002 Tornadic Supercell Outbreak Kathryn Saussy San Francisco State University Department of Geosciences

Radar Reflectivity at 2235 UTC

Note the fan-shaped echo of the storm as the system moves across Oklahoma.

Page 12: Case Study of the May 7, 2002 Tornadic Supercell Outbreak Kathryn Saussy San Francisco State University Department of Geosciences

Radar Reflectivity 2305 UTC

A beautiful echo; look for the signature “hook.” Also, the storm is beginning to split. (The fan-shape now looks like a heart.)

Page 13: Case Study of the May 7, 2002 Tornadic Supercell Outbreak Kathryn Saussy San Francisco State University Department of Geosciences

Visible Satellite Images at 2145 and 2315 UTC

The explosion of the supercell is clearly evident on both of these visible satellite images. The tornado (seen as a TVS on radar) is also brilliantly clear.