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Managing the future Capitalizing on the Presented by Robert B. Tucker EskoWorld 2019 Innovation Resource Consulting Group Nashville, Tennessee, June 24 th , 2019 Driving Forces of Change

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Page 1: Capitalizing on the Driving Forces of Change · 2019-06-25 · Businessweek most innovative companies 2006. INNOVATION BARRIERS, 2006 Source: TIR ... Dreamer mode Sustainer mode defeatist

Managing the futureCapitalizing on the

Presented by Robert B. Tucker

EskoWorld 2019

Innovation Resource Consulting Group

Nashville, Tennessee, June 24th, 2019

Driving Forces of Change

Page 2: Capitalizing on the Driving Forces of Change · 2019-06-25 · Businessweek most innovative companies 2006. INNOVATION BARRIERS, 2006 Source: TIR ... Dreamer mode Sustainer mode defeatist

DRIVING FORCES OF CHANGE

TECHNO-TRENDS

TRENDS

FADS

Duration and Impact

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Page 3: Capitalizing on the Driving Forces of Change · 2019-06-25 · Businessweek most innovative companies 2006. INNOVATION BARRIERS, 2006 Source: TIR ... Dreamer mode Sustainer mode defeatist

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DRIVING FORCE of change:AGE OF ACCELERATION

Page 4: Capitalizing on the Driving Forces of Change · 2019-06-25 · Businessweek most innovative companies 2006. INNOVATION BARRIERS, 2006 Source: TIR ... Dreamer mode Sustainer mode defeatist

Act Ahead

Look Ahead

Think Ahead

Page 5: Capitalizing on the Driving Forces of Change · 2019-06-25 · Businessweek most innovative companies 2006. INNOVATION BARRIERS, 2006 Source: TIR ... Dreamer mode Sustainer mode defeatist

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LOOK AHEAD PRINCIPLE The further backwards you

can look the farther forward you can see.

1440: Johann Gutenberg invents the printing press and

sets off a revolution

Page 6: Capitalizing on the Driving Forces of Change · 2019-06-25 · Businessweek most innovative companies 2006. INNOVATION BARRIERS, 2006 Source: TIR ... Dreamer mode Sustainer mode defeatist

Industry 1.0

1700s

Mechanization, Steam Power,

Weaving Loom

Industry 2.0

1800s

Mass Production, Assembly Line,

Electrical Energy

Industry 3.0

1900s

Automation,

Mainframes, and Electronics

Industry 4.0

TODAY

5G, A.I.,Internet of Things,

Global Supply Chains

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the 2nd Industrial Revolutionthe 4th Industrial Revolutionthe 3rd Industrial Revolutionthe 1st Industrial Revolution

Page 7: Capitalizing on the Driving Forces of Change · 2019-06-25 · Businessweek most innovative companies 2006. INNOVATION BARRIERS, 2006 Source: TIR ... Dreamer mode Sustainer mode defeatist

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Moore’s Law is driving the 4th Industrial Revolution

Page 8: Capitalizing on the Driving Forces of Change · 2019-06-25 · Businessweek most innovative companies 2006. INNOVATION BARRIERS, 2006 Source: TIR ... Dreamer mode Sustainer mode defeatist

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LINEAR VS. EXPONENTIAL change

Human Adaptation

time

We are Here

Can we go back here?

Moore’s Law

Rate

of ch

ange

Page 9: Capitalizing on the Driving Forces of Change · 2019-06-25 · Businessweek most innovative companies 2006. INNOVATION BARRIERS, 2006 Source: TIR ... Dreamer mode Sustainer mode defeatist

Source: Babson Olin School of Business

“In 10 years, over 40% of the

FORTUNE

will N0 LONGER be around.”9

Page 10: Capitalizing on the Driving Forces of Change · 2019-06-25 · Businessweek most innovative companies 2006. INNOVATION BARRIERS, 2006 Source: TIR ... Dreamer mode Sustainer mode defeatist

Source: Professor Richard Foster, Yale University

“In 10 years, more than three fourths of the S&P 500 will be companies that we have not heard of yet.”

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Page 11: Capitalizing on the Driving Forces of Change · 2019-06-25 · Businessweek most innovative companies 2006. INNOVATION BARRIERS, 2006 Source: TIR ... Dreamer mode Sustainer mode defeatist

Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics

Over the next 10 years…

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Travel Agents

TaxiDriver

Switch-board

OperatorsPublishers

File Clerks

Printers

Data Entry

Keyers

Locomotive Firers

HomeAppraisers

Parking Enforcement

Workers

Computer Operators

Page 12: Capitalizing on the Driving Forces of Change · 2019-06-25 · Businessweek most innovative companies 2006. INNOVATION BARRIERS, 2006 Source: TIR ... Dreamer mode Sustainer mode defeatist

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Solutions Architect

Data Scientist

Solar Panel

Installer

Wind Turbine

Technician

Product Designer

Enterprise Account

Executive

Customer Success

Manager

Genetic Counselor Home

Health Aids

these jobs will add millions of workers

Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics and Linked In

Page 13: Capitalizing on the Driving Forces of Change · 2019-06-25 · Businessweek most innovative companies 2006. INNOVATION BARRIERS, 2006 Source: TIR ... Dreamer mode Sustainer mode defeatist

THE 3 A’S OF AUTOMATION, ANALYTICS AND ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE WILL transform the workplace OVER THE NEXT DECADE.

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Page 14: Capitalizing on the Driving Forces of Change · 2019-06-25 · Businessweek most innovative companies 2006. INNOVATION BARRIERS, 2006 Source: TIR ... Dreamer mode Sustainer mode defeatist

Source: McKinsey

“Currently demonstrated technologies could

automate 45 percent of the activities people are paid to perform today.”

Source: McKinsey Global Institute 2017

Page 15: Capitalizing on the Driving Forces of Change · 2019-06-25 · Businessweek most innovative companies 2006. INNOVATION BARRIERS, 2006 Source: TIR ... Dreamer mode Sustainer mode defeatist

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As automation impacts the pharmacy

profession, pharmacists will need to rethink

how they add value.

Page 16: Capitalizing on the Driving Forces of Change · 2019-06-25 · Businessweek most innovative companies 2006. INNOVATION BARRIERS, 2006 Source: TIR ... Dreamer mode Sustainer mode defeatist

LOOK AHEAD PRINCIPLE Track trends and try out ways of experiencing the future, such as these age

simulation suits.

Page 17: Capitalizing on the Driving Forces of Change · 2019-06-25 · Businessweek most innovative companies 2006. INNOVATION BARRIERS, 2006 Source: TIR ... Dreamer mode Sustainer mode defeatist

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What’s the view over the breakfast table going to be?

LOOK AHEAD PRINCIPLE Foresight is a Learned

Behavior. Think 10 years out and work backwards.

Page 18: Capitalizing on the Driving Forces of Change · 2019-06-25 · Businessweek most innovative companies 2006. INNOVATION BARRIERS, 2006 Source: TIR ... Dreamer mode Sustainer mode defeatist

those who manage the future are the ones who will inherit the future.

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Page 19: Capitalizing on the Driving Forces of Change · 2019-06-25 · Businessweek most innovative companies 2006. INNOVATION BARRIERS, 2006 Source: TIR ... Dreamer mode Sustainer mode defeatist

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Look Ahead

Think Ahead of the curve

Page 20: Capitalizing on the Driving Forces of Change · 2019-06-25 · Businessweek most innovative companies 2006. INNOVATION BARRIERS, 2006 Source: TIR ... Dreamer mode Sustainer mode defeatist

Innovation Design Team at Viva Mobile, Bahrain

Page 21: Capitalizing on the Driving Forces of Change · 2019-06-25 · Businessweek most innovative companies 2006. INNOVATION BARRIERS, 2006 Source: TIR ... Dreamer mode Sustainer mode defeatist

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Page 22: Capitalizing on the Driving Forces of Change · 2019-06-25 · Businessweek most innovative companies 2006. INNOVATION BARRIERS, 2006 Source: TIR ... Dreamer mode Sustainer mode defeatist

What were they thinking?

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Page 23: Capitalizing on the Driving Forces of Change · 2019-06-25 · Businessweek most innovative companies 2006. INNOVATION BARRIERS, 2006 Source: TIR ... Dreamer mode Sustainer mode defeatist

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Businessweek most innovative companies 2006

Page 24: Capitalizing on the Driving Forces of Change · 2019-06-25 · Businessweek most innovative companies 2006. INNOVATION BARRIERS, 2006 Source: TIR ... Dreamer mode Sustainer mode defeatist

INNOVATION BARRIERS, 2006

Source: TIR Survey of Nokia High Potential Leaders 24

Legacy business

slows change

Operational mindset

dominates

Large corporation

syndrome

Short-term focus

Little budget freedom to experiment

Lack of time to work on new ideas

We are a risk

averse culture

Resource constraints

Page 25: Capitalizing on the Driving Forces of Change · 2019-06-25 · Businessweek most innovative companies 2006. INNOVATION BARRIERS, 2006 Source: TIR ... Dreamer mode Sustainer mode defeatist

What were they thinking at radio shack?

Page 26: Capitalizing on the Driving Forces of Change · 2019-06-25 · Businessweek most innovative companies 2006. INNOVATION BARRIERS, 2006 Source: TIR ... Dreamer mode Sustainer mode defeatist

DISRUPT YOURSELF!

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Page 27: Capitalizing on the Driving Forces of Change · 2019-06-25 · Businessweek most innovative companies 2006. INNOVATION BARRIERS, 2006 Source: TIR ... Dreamer mode Sustainer mode defeatist

Fortify your idea factory

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Page 28: Capitalizing on the Driving Forces of Change · 2019-06-25 · Businessweek most innovative companies 2006. INNOVATION BARRIERS, 2006 Source: TIR ... Dreamer mode Sustainer mode defeatist

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Opportunity mode

Dreamer mode

Sustainer mode

defeatist mode

Page 29: Capitalizing on the Driving Forces of Change · 2019-06-25 · Businessweek most innovative companies 2006. INNOVATION BARRIERS, 2006 Source: TIR ... Dreamer mode Sustainer mode defeatist

SCHEDULE A DOUG DAY

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Page 32: Capitalizing on the Driving Forces of Change · 2019-06-25 · Businessweek most innovative companies 2006. INNOVATION BARRIERS, 2006 Source: TIR ... Dreamer mode Sustainer mode defeatist

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Assault your assumptions

Ask a different question

Look for a 3rd option

Study examples

from history

Invite others to think big

Become aware of your own

assumptions

Page 33: Capitalizing on the Driving Forces of Change · 2019-06-25 · Businessweek most innovative companies 2006. INNOVATION BARRIERS, 2006 Source: TIR ... Dreamer mode Sustainer mode defeatist

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Page 35: Capitalizing on the Driving Forces of Change · 2019-06-25 · Businessweek most innovative companies 2006. INNOVATION BARRIERS, 2006 Source: TIR ... Dreamer mode Sustainer mode defeatist

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HOW PELOTON THINKS

Page 36: Capitalizing on the Driving Forces of Change · 2019-06-25 · Businessweek most innovative companies 2006. INNOVATION BARRIERS, 2006 Source: TIR ... Dreamer mode Sustainer mode defeatist

Look Ahead

Think Ahead

Act Ahead of the curve

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Page 37: Capitalizing on the Driving Forces of Change · 2019-06-25 · Businessweek most innovative companies 2006. INNOVATION BARRIERS, 2006 Source: TIR ... Dreamer mode Sustainer mode defeatist

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Product Process Strategy

Breakthrough

Substantial

Incremental

YOUR COMPANY’S INNOVATION ROAD MAP

Page 38: Capitalizing on the Driving Forces of Change · 2019-06-25 · Businessweek most innovative companies 2006. INNOVATION BARRIERS, 2006 Source: TIR ... Dreamer mode Sustainer mode defeatist

To Cross-Functional Teams

To Breakthrough Ideas

To Risk-Taking Cultures

To Systematic Innovation

To Everybody’s Business

From Operating in Silos

From Incremental Ideas

From Risk-Adverse Cultures

From Operational Focus

From Innovation as Dept.

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INNOVATING HOW WE INNOVATE

Page 39: Capitalizing on the Driving Forces of Change · 2019-06-25 · Businessweek most innovative companies 2006. INNOVATION BARRIERS, 2006 Source: TIR ... Dreamer mode Sustainer mode defeatist

INNOVATION IS

EVERYBODY’S BUSINESS

Obligation?

Or Opportunity?

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1Innovation isn’t something you do after you get your work done. It’s how you approach your work.

2 You can innovate in any job, department, or organization.

3 Don’t wait for others to ask you to innovate.

4Innovation is figuring out how to add value where you are.

5Innovation isn’t just having ideas, it’s about taking action on your ideas.

Page 40: Capitalizing on the Driving Forces of Change · 2019-06-25 · Businessweek most innovative companies 2006. INNOVATION BARRIERS, 2006 Source: TIR ... Dreamer mode Sustainer mode defeatist

Twitter: @RobertBTucker

For More Information:

Robert B. Tucker, President

The Innovation Resource

(805) 682-1012

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