capital addicuacy ratio
TRANSCRIPT
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Capital Adequacy
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Basel II AccordsProposed 2004, Implemented Soon
Three Pillars
1. Minimum capital requirements,
New methodology for calculating requiredcapital for credit risk.
Charges for operational risk
2. Supervisory review - regulators use more
comprehensive tools for assessing risk.3. Market discipline banks expected to
increase reporting to financial markets.
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Basel Accords
Under the Auspices of the Bank for InternationalSettlements, the Basle Committee (whichconsists of the G-10 countries central bankgovernors), have agreed upon a scheme of
regulation which will be applied to internationalbanks. (What is the BIS?)
The key element of this scheme is a set ofrequirements relating a minimum amount of
bank capital relative to a risk based measure ofassets.
Why capital?
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Capital: Tension between profitsand risk
The equity multiplier magnifies the effect ofprofits on returns which gives bank owners anincentive to increase leverage.
Bank capital absorbs losses before depositors orcreditors absorb losses. So bank depositors andcreditors prefer capital.
Risky banks may pay higher interest rates so
banks may internalize depositors preferencesBut regulators have adopted a preferencetoward capital requirements institutionalized byBasel.
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Capital and Moral Hazard Consider a bank with 0 capital, full financed with deposits of $100
(which for convenience pay 0 interest rate).
Bank managers face two loan projects with differing payoff profiles. Which will the bank choose? Which is socially optimal?
Prob. ofGoodOutcome
Prob. ofBadOutcome
Interest Recovery%
Project A(Risky)
.5 .5 .2 0
Project B
(Safe)
1 0 .05 N/A
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Expected Payoffs to depositors andbankers
The safe project creates value in excess ofcustomers demand for funds. The expectedvalue of the risky project is just $60, less than
what was put in the project.Assume that in the event of bankruptcy, depositors
claim all remaining assets.
The depositors have an expected payoff of 100under the safe scheme and only 50 under therisky lending scheme. They prefer safety.
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Bankers payoffs
Under the safe scheme, the bankers willget a payoff of 5. Under the risky schemethe bankers will get an expected payoff of
10. They will prefer the destructive, riskyscheme. Why?
Bankers get upside pay-off of risky
scheme but put downsize risk ondepositors.
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Well capitalized banks?
Compare with bank finance by 80% depositsand 20% equity.
Under safe scheme, bank gets an expected
payoff of 25 for a 25% ROE. Under risky scheme, the bank owners receives
40 back in a good outcome and 0 back in a badoutcome for an expected payoff of 20.
Bank owners share the downside risk and avoidthe risky scheme.
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Measures of Capital Risk
Chief measures are Tier 1 leverageratio and CAR (capital adequacy) ratio.
(Tier 1+ Tier 2)/RAA Tier 1/RAA Tier 1/aTA
Well Capitalized > 10% > 6% > 5%
Adequately Capitalized 8-10% 4-6% 4-5%Undercapitalized 6-8% 3%-4% 3%-4%
Significantly Undercapitalized
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Recent rise in US capital ratios aswell
FDIC Historical Banking StatisticsCapita/Asset Ratio
0.00%
2.00%
4.00%
6.00%
8.00%
10.00%
12.00%
14.00%
1934
1938
1942
1946
1950
1954
1958
1962
1966
1970
1974
1978
1982
1986
1990
1994
1998
2002
http://www2.fdic.gov/hsob/SelectRpt.asp?EntryTyp=10
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Rising Capitalization Ratios inHong Kong
Source: CEIC/HKMA
Capital/Asset Ratio
0.00%
2.00%
4.00%
6.00%
8.00%
10.00%
12.00%
14.00%
Jan-91
Jan-92
Jan-93
Jan-94
Jan-95
Jan-96
Jan-97
Jan-98
Jan-99
Jan-00
Jan-01
Jan-02
Jan-03
Jan-04
Jan-05
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Capital Adequacy Ratio
Main regulatory requirement of HK banks isthe CAR: Capital Adequacy Ratio.
CAR is
Since 1987, the Basel Accords imposed in
HK and CAR > .08. What is regulatory capital? How do you
adjust for risk?
Regulatory CapitalRisk Adjusted Assets
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Historical Capital Adequacy for HKSource:
Sep-1997 Sep-1999 Sep-2001 Sep-2003 Sep-2005
20.5
20.0
19.5
19.0
18.5
18.0
17.5
17.0
16.5
16.0
15.5
15.0
HK: Capital Adequacy Ratio
%
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Types of Capital
Tier 1 capital is thought to be more stable andmore aligned with the concept of capital as thefunds that owners have invested in the banks
(i.e. equity capital, perpetual preferred stock andretained earnings)
Tier 2 capital are funds that protect depositorsbut may be withdrawn (subordinated debt) or is
already somewhat committed to other purposes(reserves).
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Measuring Capital
For regulatory purposes, capital is dividedinto two tiers.
Tier 11. Common Stock at Par + Surplus2. Undivided Profits/Retained Earnings3. Minority Interests
Tier 21. Subordinated Debt2. General Loan Reserves (LLA)3. Other Reserves (similar to undivided profits)
MinusIntangible
Assets, Goodwill
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Risk Adjusted Assets
Loans & securities are placed in a number ofbuckets Aj
On with associated risk weights based on
the identity of the borrower
Off-balance sheet items are converted to creditequivalents with credit conversion factor, ccfk, based
on type of item.
AjOff = ccf1 Aj,1
Off + ..
Aj = AjOn + Aj
Off
Risk Adjusted Assets: w1A1 + w2A2 + w4A4
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Risk adjustment ofassets:
Standardized Approach
Different assets aredifferentiated into bucketswhich have different riskweights.
Risk Bucket Loans Risk Weights
1. Domestic Central Govt. 0%
2. Public Entities, ForeignGovernments (OECD),
Banking.
20%
3. Secured Residential Lending. 50%
4. Commercial and consumer loans 100%
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Timeline
Basel Accords signed in 1987 imposed risk-based capital requirements
Basel Market Risk Amendment in 1996.
Impose market risk requirement
Problems with Basel I
Risk weights too broad
Does not account for new risk managementtechniques.
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Standardized ApproachBasel II
Meant for smaller, less sophisticated banks. New risk weights (0%; 20%; 50%; 100%, 150%)
used for assessing capital required based on creditrating and type of assets.
Uses External Ratings (where available)
Unrated (most SMEs) weighted at 100%
35% weight for claims secured by ResidentialMortgage
100% weight for claims secured by CommercialMortgage
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Set of risk weights(ranging from 0 to150%) for differenttypes of assets with
different credit ratingsclaims on
Sovereign
Public Entities
MDB
Banks
Securities Firms
Corporate
Residential Lending
Cash
Regulatory Retail
Other Assets Past Due
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Credit Conversion FactorsOff Balanced Sheet
Type ccf
1. Standby LOC, Guarantees,Securitization w/ Recourse
100%
2. LT Loan Commitments 50%
3. Commercial LOC 20%
4. Finanical Derivatives (dependson type & maturity) 0-15%
5. ST Loan Commitments 0%
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Market Risk
Banks with significant trading activity(trading assets+liabilities > 10% of totalassets) must have additional capital
beyond 8% of credit risk adjusted assets.
Banks should calculate VAR of foreignexchange and securities positions and
allocate some capital equal to 8% of VAR.
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IRB Approach
Internal Ratings Based: Foundation ApproachBanks examine lending and associated assets and calculate probability of default
for loans. Regulators provide formulas for associated capital requirement.
Only banks that can demonstrate
competence can use IRB approac
Internal Ratings Based: Advanced ApproachBank constructs own (supervisor approved) formulas tocalculate.
PD: probability of default,EAD: exposure of bank to defaultLAD: Loss at defaultM: remaining maturity
and uses these to determine required capital.
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Operations Risk
Loss of funds through operatingcircumstances may be a source of risk forbanks.
Standardized Approach: Allocate capital toequal 15% of 3year lagged moving average ofrevenues.
Subject to regulatory approval, most
sophisticated banks may design their ownsystems for operations risk.
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How much capital?
Depends on risk appetite of the bank,regulatory requirements, maintaining agood debt rating, limits of internal growth,
relative cost of debt and equity financing.
Use statistical ratios to describe the riskappetite of banks.
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Capital and Growth
Capital adequacy limitations can act asbrake on bank growth.
Consider a bank that can achieve 10%
growth on the asset side of its balancesheets and also can borrow freely toachieve that growth.
An adequately capitalized bank mustachieve 10% capital growth or fall belowthe adequacy standard.
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Achieving Capital Growth
Reduce dividend payout ratios
Earn higher ROA to increase cash flow (mayincrease risk)
Change mix of assets to those with smallercapital charges
Move assets off balance sheet
Issue more stock/subordinated debt.
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Internal Growth Rate
The change in the capital of the bank thatcan be obtained from internal sources is:
Retained Earnings Retained Earnings Net Income
Equity Capital Net Income Equity Capital =
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Modern Capital Management
Instead of evaluating how much capital the bankneeds, modern banks will evaluate lines ofbusiness and how much capital should be
allocated for the assets needed to generateincome in that line.
Different businesses require different quantitiesof capital. Capital is more expensive than debt,
so business requiring heavy capitalization mustearn higher returns.
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Basel II Accords
In what ways have recent eventschallenged the Basel Accords?
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Reading List
Bank for International Settlements BaselII OverviewInternational Convergence of Capital Standar
KPMG Canada, 2006, -Basel II: A Worldwide Challenge for the Banki
http://www.bis.org/publ/bcbs128a.pdfhttp://www.kpmg.ca/en/industries/fs/banking/documents/BaselII.pdfhttp://www.kpmg.ca/en/industries/fs/banking/documents/BaselII.pdfhttp://www.bis.org/publ/bcbs128a.pdf