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CapeCodCapeHatterasNJMACTVADENYNCRIMDPAMiddle AtlanticRegional Association Coastal Ocean Observing System1000 km Cape to Cape MARACOOS into the 21st century: Moving from Observing to Forecasting in order to Save Lives, Protect Livelihoods, and Boost the Economy in the Mid-AtlanticMARACOOS MISSION:To seek, discover, share, and apply new knowledge & understanding of our coastal oceanGerhard F. Kuska, Executive Director Michael F. Crowley, Technical Director1 MID-ATLANTIC REGIONAL DRIVERS

Ocean Circulation

Tropical Storms

PopulationPortsNortheastersClimate ChangeCritical Habitat2Mid-Atlantic Regional Association Coastal Ocean Observing SystemEstablished 2007: 35 Co-PIs, 25 Institutions, 10 States (&DC), 111 Congr.districts

Sustained regional observing networks are establishedSocietal priorities drive developmentMARACOOS supports the R&D continuum throughout the region3MARACOOS REGIONAL THEMES & SUCCESS STORIES

2) Ecosystem Decision Support - Fisheries

4) Coastal Inundation - Flooding

5) Energy Offshore Wind

1) Maritime Operations Safety at Sea3) Water Quality a) Floatables, b) Hypoxia, c) Nutrients4

RegionalPriority ThemesRegional Observation & Modeling CapabilitiesWeather MesonetHF Radar NetworkStatistical STPSSatellite ImageryGlider SurveysDynamical Ocean ForecastsTheme 1. Maritime SafetyOperational Input to USCG SAROPSOperational input to USCG SAROPSOperational input to USCG SAROPSSST for survivability planningAssimilation dataset for forecast modelsSurface currents for SAROPSTheme 2. Ecological Decision SupportWeather forecast ensemble validationCirculation and divergence maps for habitatSST & Color for habitatSubsurface T & S for habitat3-D fields of T, S, circulation for habitatTheme 3. Water QualityWinds for transport, river plumes, & upwellingSurface currents for flotables, bacteria, spill responseSurface currents for flotables, bacteria, spill responseOcean color for river plumesNearshore dissolved oxygen surveysSurface currents for floatables, bacteria, spill responseTheme 4. Coastal InundationWeather forecast ensemble validationCurrent forecast model validationSSTs assimilation into forecast modelsAssimilation dataset for forecast modelsNested forecast ensemblesTheme 5. Offshore EnergyHistorical analysis & wind model validationHistorical current analysis & wind model validationHistorical analysis surface fronts & plumes for sitingHistorical analysis of subsurface fronts & plumesCoupled ocean-atmosphere models for resource estimatesLeveraging Data & Products 5

Maritime Safety: U.S. Coast Guard Search and Rescue example

Mid-Atlantic Operational Data Flow to SAROPSSAROPS 96-Hour Search Area: HYCOM = 36,000 km2SAROPS 96-Hour Search Area: HF Radar = 12,000 km2

SAROPS User Interface6

Ecological Decision Support Fisheries

Our Approach: Develop statistical models using bottom trawl surveys and MARACOOS 3-D data to predict species distribution based on observed or forecasted MARACOOS 3-D fields.

+Downwelling UpwellingDownwelling UpwellingLike UpwellingHate Downwelling

7Water Quality

Data and Modeling to respond to 120+ million gallons of sewage released into the Hudson River following North River Wastewater Treatment Plant fire in NYC, July 20118

From ForecastTo ImpactMATURING TECHNOLOGY Regional scale atmospheric wind forecast modelVery high-resolution hydrodynamic models with land flooding Very high-resolution land elevation data (LIDAR) Emerging GIS and visualization capabilities for integrated, high-resolution pictures and productsBridging the GapChesapeake Inundation Prediction System (CIPS) Partners Coastal Inundation

9Offshore Wind Energy High Resolution Atmospheric Forecast validated with HF radar

Spatial validation of Atmospheric Model with 13 MHz Multi-static HF Radar Array

2-Site Mono-static CoverageAdditional Radar SitesBi-static Geometries2-Site Multi-static CoverageHigh Resolution Wind Resource670 m horizontal resolution

10The Next DecadeBuilding out the system (10-year BOP)(www.maracoos.org, see technology tab)2. Engaging the Stakeholders - Product Development supported by R&D

3. Education and Communications

11Engaging the StakeholdersGovernance StructureUser CouncilWorking Groups

Stakeholder Liaison Service (Geographic and Theme-focused)User CouncilEDS: FishWindEnergyMarine SafetyInund-ationWater Quality

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4) HOPSU. Massachusetts, Dartmouth

3) ROMS Rutgers University1) STPSU. Connecticut

2) NYHOPSStevens Institute of TechnologyImproved Predictive Modeling and Data Assimilation

13HF Radar

X-Band (installed 2003)L-Band (installed 1992)Autonomous Underwater GlidersEnhancing Platforms and Observing Capabilities

Satellites

DriftersShips

1414Education vs. CommunicationsNot the same thing; need to distinguishCommunication / Outreach: Stakeholders, Decision makers, FundersDeveloping and selling our products/servicesEducation: Informal Educators, K-12, Community College/2-yr programs, Undergrad/4-yr, Graduate, WorkforceUsing real time data in the classroom15

THANK YOU

www.maracoos.org www.usnfra.org

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