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    Capacity Building for Transmission system- Supply & Execution

    Presented By:Rajeev DalelaKEC International Limited18TH August 2009

    International Conclave on Key Inputs for Accelerated Development of

    Indian Power Sector for 12th Plan and Beyond

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    Contents..

    Indian EconomyPresent Status

    Indian Power Scenario An Update

    The 11

    th

    Five year plan & beyond

    Industry capacity

    Challenges

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    Indian EconomyPresent Status

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    Indian Economy on revival path?

    Economy estimated to grow at 6 % in 2009-10 according to

    RBI, weakest GDP growth projection in seven years due toweak monsoon & impact of global downturn.

    Indian business has started showing signs of recovery drivenby strong domestic demand after the dismal performanceduring last year.

    Fiscal & monetary stimulus measures initiated in 2008-09coupled with lower commodity prices has catalyzed domesticdemand.

    Encouraging IIP data rekindles revival hope, Industrial output

    jumped by 7.8% and power by 8% in June 09.

    Constrained private investment in Infrastructure projects due toinadequate shelf of bankable projects and shortage of longterm finance for projects

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    Indian Power Scenario An Update

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    11TH Plan Power Sector Update

    Power deficit has increased over the year to 11.1% in FY09with peak deficit at 11.9%.

    Regional situation is chronic with western region havingpeak deficit of 19% in FY09.

    T&D losses continue to be on the higher side. (approx 27%)

    Under Investment in T&D Sector .

    The present investment in Generation and T &D Sector is1:0.5 as against the desired ratio of 1:1.

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    11TH Plan Power Sector Update

    Against target Generation capacity addition of 78,700 MWgenerating capacity of 80,610 MW is under execution

    15,036 MW already been commissioned (Aug09) -19%

    65,574 MW Projects are under construction - 83.32%

    Inter-regional transmission capacity addition to reach37,700 MW by March 2012, as of now 20,700 MW hasalready been reached.

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    CAPACITY UNDER EXECUTION 80,610 MW

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    Hydro Thermal Nuclear Total

    Central 8654 21496 3380 33530

    State 3362 22001 0 25363

    Private 3491 18226 0 21717

    TOTAL 15507 61723 3380 80610

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    STATUS OF COMMISSIONING OF TRANSMISSION PROJECTS

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    Transmission Lines Unit

    Target upto 11th plan

    March 2012

    Existing March

    2009

    765 kV CKm 7850 3118

    HVDC +/- 500 kV CKm 7432 7172

    400 k V CKm 125000 89496

    230/220 kV CKm 150000 122960

    Total Transmission Line CKm 290282 222746

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    The 11th

    Five year plan & beyond

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    The 11th Five year plan & beyond

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    11TH Plan & Beyond : Generation

    YEAR Capacity Addition (MW)Total Installedcapacity (MW)

    2006-07- 10th Plan 21,180 132,330

    2011-12- 11th

    Plan 78,700 210,907

    2016-17 12th Plan 96,129 307,036

    2121-22 13th Plan 151,893 458,929

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    Transmission: BOO Projects

    Private sector participation in Transmission Sector projects onBOO basis by IPTCs is under progress.

    Bidders selected through Competitive Tariff based bidding.

    WRSS-II B & C are the 1st projects in India to be implemented by IPTCselected through Tariff based bidding at an estimated cost of Rs.1500Cr.

    RFQ invited for 3 new project in Dec08.

    Nodal Agencies to Co-ordinate the bidding Process : REC and PFC.

    Projects Comprising of 765KV & 400KV Lines & Sub Stations.

    Post RFQ the selected Bidders to submit RFP for :

    North Karanpura Rs. 2,700Cr.

    Talcher II Transmission System Rs. 1,400Cr.

    NER/ER Surplus power to NR Rs. 1,700 Cr.

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    Transmission: BOO Projects

    8 Future projects identified ( Apart from 3 in process)

    Total Value Rs.12000 Crores approx.

    Kawas Navsari.

    Navsari Mumbai.

    Evacuation System for Barh-II.

    Evacuation System for Nabinagar.

    Evacuation system for Daripally Integrated Project.

    Evacuation system for Lara Integrated Project.

    Evacuation system for Simhadri Extension.

    SR-WR Synchronous Inter-Connector.

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    Transmission Industry

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    Interregional Transmission Capacity (MW)

    TypeDecember 2008Achievement

    2012 (Target)

    765 1100 9800

    400 9300 16400

    HVDC bipole 2500 5500

    HVDC back to back 3000 4000

    HVDC monopole 200 200

    220 1800 1800

    Total 17900 37700

    11TH PLAN INTERSTATE TRANSMISSION LINE ADDITION

    Present Inter-regional Capacity 20,800 MW

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    765 KV cKm 5,428 8,000

    500HVDC cKm 5,206 4,500

    400KV cKm 49,278 51,000

    220KV cKm 35,371 50,000

    TOTAL cKm 95,283 113,500

    11th & 12th Plan : Transmission lines targets

    RATINGS

    1200 KV UHVAC Super Grid Planned in 12th Plan

    XI Plan XII Plan

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    Power Grid : Business Environment

    The 11th five year plan envisaged an investment of Rs. 55000

    Crores by Power Grid.

    Interregional power transfer capacity to be increased to 37,700 MWby 2012 under Phase-III of National Grid Programme.

    Majority of the schemes associated with UMPP and Regionalsystem strengthening finalized now.

    Plans to Increase total Transmission lines by over 45% betweenFY08-12 (by adding 29,907 cKm).

    Doubling transformation Capacity by adding 74,720 MVA between2008-09 and 2011-12.

    Field test for 1200 KV UHVAC in collaborative effort with equipmentmanufacturers is under progress at Bina in Madhya Pradesh.

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    State Utilities: Business Scenario

    The transmission systems in most of the states is being

    upgraded/revamped after years of neglect and lack of investments

    by the state utilities.

    With rapid industrialization and growing power requirements, many

    states decided to set up high capacity intra-state power

    transmission systems.

    The majority of the new projects are 400 KV voltage ratings with

    twin, triple and Quad bundle configurations.

    Different utilities follow different specifications and in many cases

    the specifications have not been updated for last several years.

    PPP (Public Private Partnership) model is being adopted by many

    utilities to attract private investment in transmission sector

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    Private Sector : Initiatives

    18,177 MW is expected to be added by IPPs/MPPs being developedby Private Sector during the 11th plan.

    Non availability of capacity in the existing transmission systems hasnecessitated setting up of dedicated transmission lines by thesedevelopers.

    Some developers have tied up with state/Central Utilities to set upthe transmission lines either on JV or on consultancy basis.

    Private developers like ESSAR,JAYPEE & Adani are setting up inter-state transmission lines by directly inviting bids.

    Many projects of similar nature are expected to be floated astransmission capacities are not expected to be available in nearfuture as well.

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    11TH Plan & Beyond Capacity Requirement ( 2009-2012)

    Expected : CKT Kms - 181,050 Kms

    Tower Requirement

    4,962,000 MT

    Stringing

    181,050 Kms

    Annual requirement for next 8 years

    Tower Supply

    620,000 MT

    Stringing

    22,650 Kms

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    A) STRUCTURES.. Requirement Per Annum

    Tower (PGCIL) ~ 345,000 MT

    Tower (SEBs/ IPTCs) ~ 175,000 MT

    Swt Yrd Structures ~ 100,000 MT

    Total REQUIREMENT 620,000 MT

    Annualized Requirements Supply & Execution

    B) STRINGING

    PGCIL ~ 16,000 KMS

    SEBs/ IPTC ~ 6,650 KMS

    Total ~ 22,650 KMS

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    Tower Manufacturing Trend

    0

    100000

    200000

    300000

    400000

    500000

    600000

    700000

    TonnageinMT

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    THE INDUSTRY HAS ADEQUATE CAPACITIES TO MEET THE DEMAND

    Capacity Build-up

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    Tower Manufacturing - Capability vs. Production

    CAPACITY UNDER UTILIZATION REMAINS MAJOR CONCERN

    INCREASINGCAPACITY vs.

    UTILIZATION GAP

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    Stringing Capabilities

    Stringing execution capacity increased by over 30% from 2007.

    TSE machines added after 2005-06 are suitable for Quad conductor stringing400/765 KV.

    Recently new TSE M/c additions are being done for Hexagonal conductor

    stringing for 800 kV HVDC lines.

    2003-04 2004-05 2005-06 2006-07 2007-08 2008-09

    No of TSEMACHINES

    60 75 88 102 118 132

    % INCREASE 25% 17% 16% 14% 14%

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    Challenges

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    Challenges

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    Timely Placement of Orders for capacity planning & utilization.

    Long gestation period between NIT and Award of Contract.

    Delays in Right of way and Forest clearances.

    Technology up gradation in construction.

    Acute skilled Manpower Crunch both Managerial and supervisory.

    Non - Standardization of Specification among Utilities in many casesnot updated for many years.

    Commercial conditions such as terms of payment, Price Variation

    clauses are often not rational and lead to unrealistic price levels.

    Fast resolution of Contractual Issues and early closure of contract.

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