capacity building for transmission system
TRANSCRIPT
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Capacity Building for Transmission system- Supply & Execution
Presented By:Rajeev DalelaKEC International Limited18TH August 2009
International Conclave on Key Inputs for Accelerated Development of
Indian Power Sector for 12th Plan and Beyond
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Contents..
Indian EconomyPresent Status
Indian Power Scenario An Update
The 11
th
Five year plan & beyond
Industry capacity
Challenges
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Indian EconomyPresent Status
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Indian Economy on revival path?
Economy estimated to grow at 6 % in 2009-10 according to
RBI, weakest GDP growth projection in seven years due toweak monsoon & impact of global downturn.
Indian business has started showing signs of recovery drivenby strong domestic demand after the dismal performanceduring last year.
Fiscal & monetary stimulus measures initiated in 2008-09coupled with lower commodity prices has catalyzed domesticdemand.
Encouraging IIP data rekindles revival hope, Industrial output
jumped by 7.8% and power by 8% in June 09.
Constrained private investment in Infrastructure projects due toinadequate shelf of bankable projects and shortage of longterm finance for projects
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Indian Power Scenario An Update
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11TH Plan Power Sector Update
Power deficit has increased over the year to 11.1% in FY09with peak deficit at 11.9%.
Regional situation is chronic with western region havingpeak deficit of 19% in FY09.
T&D losses continue to be on the higher side. (approx 27%)
Under Investment in T&D Sector .
The present investment in Generation and T &D Sector is1:0.5 as against the desired ratio of 1:1.
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11TH Plan Power Sector Update
Against target Generation capacity addition of 78,700 MWgenerating capacity of 80,610 MW is under execution
15,036 MW already been commissioned (Aug09) -19%
65,574 MW Projects are under construction - 83.32%
Inter-regional transmission capacity addition to reach37,700 MW by March 2012, as of now 20,700 MW hasalready been reached.
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CAPACITY UNDER EXECUTION 80,610 MW
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Hydro Thermal Nuclear Total
Central 8654 21496 3380 33530
State 3362 22001 0 25363
Private 3491 18226 0 21717
TOTAL 15507 61723 3380 80610
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STATUS OF COMMISSIONING OF TRANSMISSION PROJECTS
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Transmission Lines Unit
Target upto 11th plan
March 2012
Existing March
2009
765 kV CKm 7850 3118
HVDC +/- 500 kV CKm 7432 7172
400 k V CKm 125000 89496
230/220 kV CKm 150000 122960
Total Transmission Line CKm 290282 222746
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The 11th
Five year plan & beyond
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The 11th Five year plan & beyond
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11TH Plan & Beyond : Generation
YEAR Capacity Addition (MW)Total Installedcapacity (MW)
2006-07- 10th Plan 21,180 132,330
2011-12- 11th
Plan 78,700 210,907
2016-17 12th Plan 96,129 307,036
2121-22 13th Plan 151,893 458,929
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Transmission: BOO Projects
Private sector participation in Transmission Sector projects onBOO basis by IPTCs is under progress.
Bidders selected through Competitive Tariff based bidding.
WRSS-II B & C are the 1st projects in India to be implemented by IPTCselected through Tariff based bidding at an estimated cost of Rs.1500Cr.
RFQ invited for 3 new project in Dec08.
Nodal Agencies to Co-ordinate the bidding Process : REC and PFC.
Projects Comprising of 765KV & 400KV Lines & Sub Stations.
Post RFQ the selected Bidders to submit RFP for :
North Karanpura Rs. 2,700Cr.
Talcher II Transmission System Rs. 1,400Cr.
NER/ER Surplus power to NR Rs. 1,700 Cr.
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Transmission: BOO Projects
8 Future projects identified ( Apart from 3 in process)
Total Value Rs.12000 Crores approx.
Kawas Navsari.
Navsari Mumbai.
Evacuation System for Barh-II.
Evacuation System for Nabinagar.
Evacuation system for Daripally Integrated Project.
Evacuation system for Lara Integrated Project.
Evacuation system for Simhadri Extension.
SR-WR Synchronous Inter-Connector.
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Transmission Industry
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Interregional Transmission Capacity (MW)
TypeDecember 2008Achievement
2012 (Target)
765 1100 9800
400 9300 16400
HVDC bipole 2500 5500
HVDC back to back 3000 4000
HVDC monopole 200 200
220 1800 1800
Total 17900 37700
11TH PLAN INTERSTATE TRANSMISSION LINE ADDITION
Present Inter-regional Capacity 20,800 MW
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765 KV cKm 5,428 8,000
500HVDC cKm 5,206 4,500
400KV cKm 49,278 51,000
220KV cKm 35,371 50,000
TOTAL cKm 95,283 113,500
11th & 12th Plan : Transmission lines targets
RATINGS
1200 KV UHVAC Super Grid Planned in 12th Plan
XI Plan XII Plan
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Power Grid : Business Environment
The 11th five year plan envisaged an investment of Rs. 55000
Crores by Power Grid.
Interregional power transfer capacity to be increased to 37,700 MWby 2012 under Phase-III of National Grid Programme.
Majority of the schemes associated with UMPP and Regionalsystem strengthening finalized now.
Plans to Increase total Transmission lines by over 45% betweenFY08-12 (by adding 29,907 cKm).
Doubling transformation Capacity by adding 74,720 MVA between2008-09 and 2011-12.
Field test for 1200 KV UHVAC in collaborative effort with equipmentmanufacturers is under progress at Bina in Madhya Pradesh.
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State Utilities: Business Scenario
The transmission systems in most of the states is being
upgraded/revamped after years of neglect and lack of investments
by the state utilities.
With rapid industrialization and growing power requirements, many
states decided to set up high capacity intra-state power
transmission systems.
The majority of the new projects are 400 KV voltage ratings with
twin, triple and Quad bundle configurations.
Different utilities follow different specifications and in many cases
the specifications have not been updated for last several years.
PPP (Public Private Partnership) model is being adopted by many
utilities to attract private investment in transmission sector
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Private Sector : Initiatives
18,177 MW is expected to be added by IPPs/MPPs being developedby Private Sector during the 11th plan.
Non availability of capacity in the existing transmission systems hasnecessitated setting up of dedicated transmission lines by thesedevelopers.
Some developers have tied up with state/Central Utilities to set upthe transmission lines either on JV or on consultancy basis.
Private developers like ESSAR,JAYPEE & Adani are setting up inter-state transmission lines by directly inviting bids.
Many projects of similar nature are expected to be floated astransmission capacities are not expected to be available in nearfuture as well.
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11TH Plan & Beyond Capacity Requirement ( 2009-2012)
Expected : CKT Kms - 181,050 Kms
Tower Requirement
4,962,000 MT
Stringing
181,050 Kms
Annual requirement for next 8 years
Tower Supply
620,000 MT
Stringing
22,650 Kms
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A) STRUCTURES.. Requirement Per Annum
Tower (PGCIL) ~ 345,000 MT
Tower (SEBs/ IPTCs) ~ 175,000 MT
Swt Yrd Structures ~ 100,000 MT
Total REQUIREMENT 620,000 MT
Annualized Requirements Supply & Execution
B) STRINGING
PGCIL ~ 16,000 KMS
SEBs/ IPTC ~ 6,650 KMS
Total ~ 22,650 KMS
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Tower Manufacturing Trend
0
100000
200000
300000
400000
500000
600000
700000
TonnageinMT
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THE INDUSTRY HAS ADEQUATE CAPACITIES TO MEET THE DEMAND
Capacity Build-up
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Tower Manufacturing - Capability vs. Production
CAPACITY UNDER UTILIZATION REMAINS MAJOR CONCERN
INCREASINGCAPACITY vs.
UTILIZATION GAP
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Stringing Capabilities
Stringing execution capacity increased by over 30% from 2007.
TSE machines added after 2005-06 are suitable for Quad conductor stringing400/765 KV.
Recently new TSE M/c additions are being done for Hexagonal conductor
stringing for 800 kV HVDC lines.
2003-04 2004-05 2005-06 2006-07 2007-08 2008-09
No of TSEMACHINES
60 75 88 102 118 132
% INCREASE 25% 17% 16% 14% 14%
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Challenges
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Challenges
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Timely Placement of Orders for capacity planning & utilization.
Long gestation period between NIT and Award of Contract.
Delays in Right of way and Forest clearances.
Technology up gradation in construction.
Acute skilled Manpower Crunch both Managerial and supervisory.
Non - Standardization of Specification among Utilities in many casesnot updated for many years.
Commercial conditions such as terms of payment, Price Variation
clauses are often not rational and lead to unrealistic price levels.
Fast resolution of Contractual Issues and early closure of contract.
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