can financial services in developed countries remain on a long-term basis within postal...

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Can financial services in developed countries remain on a long-term basis within postal organizations or is separation inevitable? TIP Conference, 16.9.2011, Lausanne Thierry Kneissler Member of the Executive Board and Head of Corporate Development, PostFinance

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Can financial services in developed countries remain on a long-term basis within postal organizations or is separation inevitable?

TIP Conference, 16.9.2011, Lausanne

Thierry KneisslerMember of the Executive Board and Head of Corporate Development, PostFinance

2

payment system

post offices

savings accounts

trust

Historic rationale for financial services in postal organisations

3selection based on data Worldbank of 2007, with own additions and eliminations; access to financial services (= account) > 2/3 of population

Australia AU Luxembourg LU

Austria AT Malta MT

Belgium BE Netherlands NL

Canada CA New Zealand NZ

Cyprus CY Norway NO

Czech Republic

CZ Poland PL

Denmark DK Portugal PT

Estonia EE Russian Federation

RU

Finland FI Singapore SG

France FR Slovakia SK

Germany DE Slovenia SI

Greece GR Spain ES

Hungary HU Sweden SE

Ireland IE Switzerland CH

Italy IT United Kingdom

UK

Japan JP United States US

Lithuania LT

Analysis of 33 countries with high financial inclusion

4

1990

2000

2010

NLCZ

SI

SK

PL

ES

AT

SE

NO

HU

IE

DEBE

GRUK

partial privatisation

privatisation

DK

FI

1980

Development since 1980

>50%

broad financial services(payment & savings by themselves, further offerings with banks)

narrow financial services(basic payment services)

cooperation with bank(branding, products, distribution, equity)

bank uses post offices(distribution, s.t. equity)

5

4 models

broad financial services

narrow financial services

cooperation with bank

bank uses post offices

6

SI

UK PL

ES CZNOGRDE

CHNZJPIT

FISEPTMTLULTEECY CA

SG

IE

NL

US

SK

RU

DKHU

BE

AT

FR

AU

4 models

7

Strong position

PrivatisationWeak position,

start up

not existingreduction of

infrastructure

strongcooperationbank/post

Common dynamics for financial services in postal organisations?

8

Strong position

PrivatisationWeak position,

start up

politicsriskmoneyknow how

post officesrevenues

not existingreduction of

infrastructurecooperationbank/post

politicscosts

historypoliticsstrategyeconomics

traditionpost offices

Relevant forces for movements

9

Strong position

PrivatisationWeak position,

start up

not existingreduction of

infrastructurecooperationbank/post

ES ES

2nd round

Examples: Spain

10

Strong position

PrivatisationWeak position,

start up

not existingreduction of

infrastructurecooperationbank/post

NZ

NZ

2nd round

Examples: New Zealand

11

Strong position

PrivatisationWeak position,

start up

not existingreduction of

infrastructurecooperationbank/post

UK

UK

2nd round

Examples: United Kingdom

12

Strong position

PrivatisationWeak position,

start up

not existingreduction of

infrastructurecooperationbank/post

2nd round

JP

NZ

NZ

DK

UK

UK

GR BE

HU

ES

SK

SI

DESE

ES HU

SW

AU

IT

FR

EECY

PT

PT

LT

CH

NLIE

CZ

AT

PLNO

FIUSSG CA

LUMT RU

Positions today

13

trust trust (brand)

post offices post offices

payment systemsavings accounts

moneypolitics

Historic vs today‘s rationale