caltrans planning horizons meeting march 12, 2002 gordon palmer port of stockton
TRANSCRIPT
CaltransCaltransPlanning HorizonsPlanning Horizons
MeetingMeeting
March 12, 2002March 12, 2002
Gordon PalmerGordon Palmer
Port of StocktonPort of Stockton
($60)
($40)
($20)
$0
$20
$40
$60
$80
$100
$120
$140
Cu
rre
nt
Do
llars
(b
illio
ns
)
Balance
Exports
Imports
U.S. Monthly Trade BalanceU.S. Monthly Trade Balance
-50
-40
-30
-20
-10
0
10
20
30
40
Jan-9
6
May-
96
Sep-96
Jan-9
7
May-
97
Sep-97
Jan-9
8
May-
98
Sep-98
Jan-9
9
May-
99
Sep-99
Jan-0
0
May-
00
Sep-00
Jan-0
1
May-
01
Sep-01
Ind
ex
: J
an
19
96
= 1
00
US
CA
LA
Value of ExportsValue of ExportsYear to Year Index ChangeYear to Year Index Change
-30
-20
-10
0
10
20
30
40
Jan-9
6
Jun-9
6
Nov-96
Apr-97
Sep-97
Feb-98
Jul-9
8
Dec-98
May-
99
Oct-9
9
Mar-0
0
Aug-00
Jan-0
1
Jun-0
1
Nov-01
Ind
ex
: J
an
19
96
= 1
00
US
CA
LA
Value of ImportsValue of ImportsYear to Year Index ChangeYear to Year Index Change
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
40%
Sh
are
ASIA
NAFTA
EUROPE
L AMER.
U.S. Trade by RegionU.S. Trade by RegionShare of Total TradeShare of Total Trade
-$400 -$350 -$300 -$250 -$200 -$150 -$100 -$50 $0 $50
Hong Kong
South Korea
Singapore
Taiwan
Japan
China
E. Europe
EU
Canada
Mexico
U.S. Total
Dollars (billions)
U.S. Merchandise TradeU.S. Merchandise Trade Balance Through 11/01Balance Through 11/01
Major Customs DistrictsMajor Customs Districts
Los AngelesLos Angeles
New YorkNew York
DetroitDetroitSeattleSeattle
San FranciscoSan Francisco
$0
$50
$100
$150
$200
$250
$300
Va
lue
(b
illio
ns
)
Los Angeles New York Detroit San Francisco Seattle
2001 2000
U.S. Merchandise TradeU.S. Merchandise TradeThrough NovemberThrough November
California Customs California Customs DistrictsDistricts
San FranciscoSan Francisco
Los AngelesLos Angeles
San DiegoSan Diego
11
6443
118
19
186
47
252
31
250
90
370
$0
$100
$200
$300
$400
$500
SAN DIEGO LOS ANGELES SAN FRANCISCO CALIFORNIA
Va
lue
(b
illio
ns
)
Exports Imports Total
2001 Customs Value by District2001 Customs Value by DistrictThrough NovemberThrough November
76%
1%
33%
8%
34%
24%
59%
28%
38%
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
VESSEL AIR OTHER
Mo
de
Sh
are
of
Dis
tric
t
Los Angeles California United States
2001 Customs Value by Mode2001 Customs Value by ModeTotal Trade Through NovemberTotal Trade Through November
Types of Waterborne CargoTypes of Waterborne Cargo
• ContainerContainer
• BreakbulkBreakbulk
• Dry BulkDry Bulk
• Liquid BulkLiquid Bulk
• Roll On/Roll OffRoll On/Roll Off
• Project CargoProject Cargo
Port AccessPort Access
• WaterWater
• HighwayHighway
• RailroadRailroad
• PipelinePipeline
U.S. Container PortsU.S. Container Ports20002000
1.0
1.1
1.4
1.4
1.5
1.6
1.8
3.0
4.6
4.9
0.0 1.0 2.0 3.0 4.0 5.0 6.0
Savannah
Houston
Hampton Roads
Tacoma
Seattle
Charleston
Oakland
New York/New Jersey
Long Beach
Los Angeles
TEU (milliions)
U.S. Container PortsU.S. Container Ports 2000 Growth 2000 Growth
156
73
41
105
-2
146
113
178
192
1,051
-100 0 100 200 300 400 500 600 700 800 900 1,000 1,100 1,200
Savannah
Houston
Hampton Roads
Tacoma
Seattle
Charleston
Oakland
New York/New Jersey
Long Beach
Los Angeles
TEU (thousands)
World Container PortsWorld Container Ports20002000
3.9
4.1
4.3
5.6
6.3
7.4
7.5
9.5
17.1
18.1
0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18 20
Shenzhen
Antwerp
Hamburg
Shanghai
Rotterdam
Kaohsiung
Pusan
LA/LB
Singapore
Hong Kong
TEU (millions)
3rd in World
California Share U.S. Containers
37%
63%
Calif. Ports Rest of U.S.
Why California?Why California?
• Large local marketsLarge local markets
• Globalization of the California Globalization of the California economyeconomy
• Excellent port facilitiesExcellent port facilities
• Railroad connections with rest Railroad connections with rest of U.S.of U.S.
Intermodal ServicesIntermodal Services
Implications for California Implications for California PortsPorts
• Land is scarceLand is scarce• Large capital expendituresLarge capital expenditures• Channel deepeningChannel deepening• Landside accessLandside access• Road and rail conflictsRoad and rail conflicts• Need for “niche” portsNeed for “niche” ports