calculation of index in finance
TRANSCRIPT
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Chapter 1
Market index
Simply index refers to an indicator which is used to show the change in variables
between two distinct time periods. Index may be price index, inflation index etc. But nowwe are being concerning about market index. Market index as an indicator is used to
show the moment of market or security market between two periods of tells about the
bullish or bearish trend of market i.e. whether the market is going up or down.
Objectives of calculating index
For the assessment or evaluation of investment as well as market. To make appropriate decision. For planning and forecasting. To analyze the impact of economic and other indicator. To make research.
Main concerns of index computation
Sample size Representatives Weighting (price weighting, value weighting, equally weighting) Expression unit
Price weighted index
Under this index the average price of security, which are included in sample size is
taken to show the change in security market. The higher fluctuation in price range of
individual stock will mislead the index.
Where,
Price index (PI) =
Example:
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Day 0 Day 1 Day 2 Day 3
Stock No Price(Rs) No Price(Rs) No Price(Rs) No Price(Rs)
A 10 300 10 330 20 170 20 110
B 20 200 20 200 20 240 22 210
C 30 100 30 95 30 105 30 115
Other information
At the end of day 1 company A declares 2 for 1 stock. At the end of day 2 company B declares 10% stock dividend.
Required:
Calculate the PI for day 0.
Index for day 0 (I0) =
=
= PWI for day 1.
Index for day 1 (I1) =
=
=
Here index has increased to 211.67 from 200.
Change in index =
=
=
=
c. By considering the stock split of day 1 revised the divisor and find the index for
day 2.
Price index for day one (I1) =
The new divisor used until the next change.
Index for day 2 (I2) =
=
.. Index has increased to 231.98 from 211.67
.. Return on index = % change =
=
d. Find the price index for day 3.
By considering the effect of stock dividend.
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Index for day 2 (I2) =
New index for day 3 (I3) =
.. Index has increased to 242.24 form 231.98.
.. Return on index = % change =
=
Summary
Price 600 635 515 515
Divisor 3 3 2.22 2.126
Index 200 211.67 231.98 242.24
Return - 5.93% 9.596% 4.423%
Stock split
I1=
.22
Stock dividend
I2=
231.98 =
New divisor = 2.126
Value weighted index (VWI)
Under this index the overall value of securities (which are included in
sample size) between two distinct period is taken to show the change in market.
Since it uses the overall capitalization of market it is also known as capitalization
method. NEPSE and S & P 500 index are calculated on the value weighted index.Where,
Value weighted index (It) =
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Where,
MV = Market value
N = Number
P = Pricet = t-period
b = base period
I = index
For example
Day 0 Day 1 Day 2 Day 3
Stock No Price(Rs) No Price(Rs) No Price(Rs) No Price(Rs)
A 10 300 10 330 20 170 20 110
B 20 200 20 200 20 240 22 210C 30 100 30 95 30 105 30 115
Other information
At the end of day 1 company A declares 2 for 1 stock. At the end of day 2 company B declares 10% stock dividend. At the end of day 3 company C list additional 10 shares.
SUMMARY TABLE
MVt= N*P MVo = 10,000 MV1 = 10,350 MV2 = 11,350 MV3= 11,870
Index
100 103.5 113.5 118.70
Return,
- 3.5% 9.66% 4.58%
Value weighted index for tperiod (It) =
=
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Where,
MVMarket value
PPrice
NNumber
tt- periodbbase period
Iindex
a. Value weighted index for day 0 (I0) = 100 (assume)b. Value weighted index for day 1 (I1) =
.. Index has increased to 103.5 for 100.
.. Return in index =
c. value weighted index for day 2
.. Index has increased to 118.70 from 113.5
.. Return on index
By considering the additional listing of company C, raise the base value for index
computation.
OR
Form day 4 onward,
The revised base value is used
i.e.
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Equally weighted index
Under this method the relative change in price of securities (which are included
in sample size) is taken to show the change in market between two distinct periods
by assuming equal rupee investment is made in each assets.
For example:Consider the following price
Stock No Po N1 P1 N2 P2
A10 300 10 330 20 170
B20 200 20 210 20 240
C30 100 30 95 30 105
Additional information:
At the end of day 1 there is share split of 2 for 1 on company AEqually weighted index for t-period (It)=
=
Equally weighted index for day 0 (I0) = 100 (assume)
Equally weighted index for day 1 (I1) =
= 103.33
.. Index has increased from 100 to 103.33
.. Return on index = % change =
=
Equally weighted index for day 2 (I2) =
=
=
= 112.78