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Introduction Research Design Descriptive Evidence Hyp. Testing Econometric Analysis Robustness Conclusions Calamity, Aid and Indirect Reciprocity: The Long Run Impact of Tsunami on Altruism Leonardo Becchetti 1 Stefano Castriota 1 Pierluigi Conzo 2 1 Univ. of Rome “Tor Vergata”; 2 CSEF June 18, 2012 Becchetti, Castriota, Conzo Univ. of Rome “Tor Vergata”, CSEF “Calamity, Aid and Indirect Reciprocity: the Long Run Impact of Tsunami on Altruism”

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  • Introduction Research Design Descriptive Evidence Hyp. Testing Econometric Analysis Robustness Conclusions

    Calamity, Aid and Indirect Reciprocity:

    The Long Run Impact of Tsunami on Altruism

    Leonardo Becchetti1 Stefano Castriota1 Pierluigi Conzo2

    1Univ. of Rome “Tor Vergata”; 2CSEF

    June 18, 2012

    Becchetti, Castriota, Conzo Univ. of Rome “Tor Vergata”, CSEF

    “Calamity, Aid and Indirect Reciprocity: the Long Run Impact of Tsunami on Altruism”

  • Introduction Research Design Descriptive Evidence Hyp. Testing Econometric Analysis Robustness Conclusions

    1 Introduction

    2 Research Design

    3 Descriptive Evidence

    4 Hyp. Testing

    5 Econometric Analysis

    6 Robustness

    7 Conclusions

    Becchetti, Castriota, Conzo Univ. of Rome “Tor Vergata”, CSEF

    “Calamity, Aid and Indirect Reciprocity: the Long Run Impact of Tsunami on Altruism”

  • Introduction Research Design Descriptive Evidence Hyp. Testing Econometric Analysis Robustness Conclusions

    Introduction

    Natural Disasters:

    destruction of material wealth and capital stock + job losses

    affect expectations, preferences and choices →consumption/saving and human capital investment decisions.

    What we do:

    test the impact of 2004 tsunami on a sample of Sri LankanMF borrowers’ altruistic preferences

    ...7 year later, dictator game, exploiting variation invictimization and damage type at individual level.

    Becchetti, Castriota, Conzo Univ. of Rome “Tor Vergata”, CSEF

    “Calamity, Aid and Indirect Reciprocity: the Long Run Impact of Tsunami on Altruism”

  • Introduction Research Design Descriptive Evidence Hyp. Testing Econometric Analysis Robustness Conclusions

    Related experimental literature (1)

    Conflicting results!

    Cassar et al. (2011): Thai tsunami victims become slightlymore impatient, trusting, trustworthy, risk-averse (uncertaintyabout the future, unrealistically higher probabilities of natural disasters).

    Callen (2010): Sri Lankan victims of the same Tsunamicalamity are more patient.

    Whitt and Wilson (2007): missing family members reducecontributions among evacuated from New Orleans to Houstonshelters after Hurricane Katrina

    Castillo and Carter (2011): non-linear impact of 1998hurricane Mitch on trust and reciprocity of Honduran victims(intermediate shocks help coordination around a higher equilibrium, while

    extreme shocks undercut it)

    Becchetti, Castriota, Conzo Univ. of Rome “Tor Vergata”, CSEF

    “Calamity, Aid and Indirect Reciprocity: the Long Run Impact of Tsunami on Altruism”

  • Introduction Research Design Descriptive Evidence Hyp. Testing Econometric Analysis Robustness Conclusions

    Related experimental literature (2)

    Fleming et al. (2011): victims of Chilean 2010 earthquakereveal significantly lower trustworthiness (“aftermath moralhazard”, migration, displacement)

    Eckel et al. (2009): survivors of Hurricane Katrina in NewOrleans tended to act more risk lovingly in the short term(“heaven owes me for my past bad luck”)

    Voors et al. (2012): people exposed to violence in Burundihave higher discount rates.

    Becchetti et al. (2011): violence after 2007 political outbreaksnegatively affects trustworthiness in Kenya.

    Heterogeneous results may be explained by type of damages

    Becchetti, Castriota, Conzo Univ. of Rome “Tor Vergata”, CSEF

    “Calamity, Aid and Indirect Reciprocity: the Long Run Impact of Tsunami on Altruism”

  • Introduction Research Design Descriptive Evidence Hyp. Testing Econometric Analysis Robustness Conclusions

    Our contribution/identification strategy (1)

    Our experiment set in Dec. 2011 = longer time horizon(Callen: mid 2007; Cassar et al.: mid 2009)

    Info on individuals’ victimization within each village → reducesheterogeneity between “treatment” & “control”

    Discriminate among damages to individuals, to their homesand to their economic activity.

    Becchetti, Castriota, Conzo Univ. of Rome “Tor Vergata”, CSEF

    “Calamity, Aid and Indirect Reciprocity: the Long Run Impact of Tsunami on Altruism”

  • Introduction Research Design Descriptive Evidence Hyp. Testing Econometric Analysis Robustness Conclusions

    Our contribution/identification strategy (2)

    Causality tsunami → preferences supported by:

    limited differences between damaged and non damaged in thesame villages;

    differences not significant when we compare types of shocks

    both damaged and non damaged belong to same MFI → samescreening, same “ethos” → less heterogeneity.

    Becchetti, Castriota, Conzo Univ. of Rome “Tor Vergata”, CSEF

    “Calamity, Aid and Indirect Reciprocity: the Long Run Impact of Tsunami on Altruism”

  • Introduction Research Design Descriptive Evidence Hyp. Testing Econometric Analysis Robustness Conclusions

    Main Findings

    The shock affects participants’ altruistic preferences even in thelong run:

    who report at least one damage give and expect less thanthose who did not

    who reports only losses to the ec. activities give and expectsignificantly less than those who suffer also injuries or housedamages

    the latter receive significantly more help than the former

    Possible interpretation of such generosity: indirect reciprocity.

    Becchetti, Castriota, Conzo Univ. of Rome “Tor Vergata”, CSEF

    “Calamity, Aid and Indirect Reciprocity: the Long Run Impact of Tsunami on Altruism”

  • Introduction Research Design Descriptive Evidence Hyp. Testing Econometric Analysis Robustness Conclusions

    Background

    Over 1,000 Km of coast (2/3) affected by the wave;

    Dramatic human impact: over 35,000 dead;

    Economic losses: 24,000 boats, 11,000 businesses and 88,500houses damaged or destroyed;

    Several international organizations and NGOs provided helpand support.

    Affecting almost randomly individuals living at short distancefrom each other...

    ...based on their location at the moment of the tsunami withrespect to the waterline

    Becchetti, Castriota, Conzo Univ. of Rome “Tor Vergata”, CSEF

    “Calamity, Aid and Indirect Reciprocity: the Long Run Impact of Tsunami on Altruism”

  • Introduction Research Design Descriptive Evidence Hyp. Testing Econometric Analysis Robustness Conclusions

    Sampling

    Randomly selected 380 borrowers from list of AMF → identifydamaged and non damaged in each village.

    3 villages (Galle, Matara and Hambantota) only partiallyaffected by the calamity → within-village heterogeneity

    Tsunami Impact Figure

    Why AMF sampling:

    initial screening by AMF (and/or potential self-selection intoit) is likely to reduce heterogeneity;

    loan officers informed us about the damaged/non-damagedstatus → avoided potential framing.

    Becchetti, Castriota, Conzo Univ. of Rome “Tor Vergata”, CSEF

    “Calamity, Aid and Indirect Reciprocity: the Long Run Impact of Tsunami on Altruism”

  • Introduction Research Design Descriptive Evidence Hyp. Testing Econometric Analysis Robustness Conclusions

    Experiment

    Dictator Game: 2 players, a Sender (S) and a Receiver (R).Anonymity.

    S is endowed with 900 LKR (5.74 eur) and has to decide howmuch of it to send to R;

    R takes no actions in this game and receives the amount ofmoney S has sent.

    S’s maximum utility is reached by sending 0 LKR and keepingthe whole endowment (900 LKR).

    S’s deviation from 0 can be interpreted as a measure ofaltruism.

    Additional games to control for risk and time preferences+ socio-demographic survey

    Becchetti, Castriota, Conzo Univ. of Rome “Tor Vergata”, CSEF

    “Calamity, Aid and Indirect Reciprocity: the Long Run Impact of Tsunami on Altruism”

  • Introduction Research Design Descriptive Evidence Hyp. Testing Econometric Analysis Robustness Conclusions

    Protocol

    Participants are told about the sequence of the interviewprocess i.e. an experimental session + survey + a final lottery.

    They are paid just for one game extracted before they play.

    If the participant is chosen to be R in DG we elicit her/hisFirst Order Beliefs (50 LKR for a correct guess)

    Max payoff 900 LKR = about 51% of the median per capitamonthly food expenditure in our sample

    Damage Classification:

    1 injuries to family members2 damages to house3 damages to economic activity (raw materials, economic

    activity, working tools)

    Becchetti, Castriota, Conzo Univ. of Rome “Tor Vergata”, CSEF

    “Calamity, Aid and Indirect Reciprocity: the Long Run Impact of Tsunami on Altruism”

  • ...working hard and/or hardly working...

  • Introduction Research Design Descriptive Evidence Hyp. Testing Econometric Analysis Robustness Conclusions

    Descriptive Statistics

    Age = 47; n. of household members = 4.5; n. of educationyears = 10.5; about 63% = relatively impatient and 60% ofthe amount in the risky option.Declare at least 1 type of damage (“damaged”)= 53%.Damage distribution:

    Variable Obs Mean Std. Dev. Min Max

    Injury 201 0.239 0.427 0 1Economicloss 201 0.841 0.367 0 1Housedamage 201 0.259 0.439 0 1

    Injuryonly 201 0.065 0.247 0 1Eclossonly 201 0.473 0.5 0 1

    Housedamageonly 201 0.005 0.071 0 1

    Injuryhousedamage 201 0.06 0.238 0 1Injuryeconomic 201 0.174 0.38 0 1

    Eclosshousedamage 201 0.254 0.436 0 1

    Alldamages 201 0.06 0.238 0 1

    Becchetti, Castriota, Conzo Univ. of Rome “Tor Vergata”, CSEF

    “Calamity, Aid and Indirect Reciprocity: the Long Run Impact of Tsunami on Altruism”

  • Balancing Properties (Damaged vs. Non-Damaged)Variable Group Obs Mean Non-par test (z, p)

    age Rest of sample 179 44.53 -3.41Damaged 201 48.93 0.001

    male Rest of sample 179 0.05 -1.485Damaged 201 0.09 0.137

    married Rest of sample 179 0.9 3.001Damaged 201 0.79 0.003

    separated Rest of sample 179 0.01 -1.754Damaged 201 0.03 0.08

    widowed Rest of sample 179 0.07 -1.88Damaged 201 0.12 0.06

    single Rest of sample 179 0.03 -1.493Damaged 201 0.06 0.135

    n house members Rest of sample 179 4.37 -2.598Damaged 201 4.69 0.009

    years schooling Rest of sample 178 10.81 1.981Damaged 196 10.29 0.048

    agricolture Rest of sample 179 0.31 3.95Damaged 201 0.14 0.000

    manufacturing Rest of sample 179 0.32 -0.103Damaged 201 0.32 0.918

    fishery Rest of sample 179 0.01 -2.503Damaged 201 0.06 0.012

    trading Rest of sample 179 0.32 -2.098Damaged 201 0.42 0.036

  • (cont.) Balancing Properties (Damaged vs. Non-Damaged)Variable Group Obs Mean Non-par test (z, p)foodexp Rest of sample 178 8.27 -0.646

    Damaged 201 9.16 0.518switch Rest of sample 179 5.7 -1.292

    Damaged 201 6.07 0.197impatient Rest of sample 179 0.6 -1.186

    Damaged 201 0.66 0.236riskloving Rest of sample 179 176.31 -0.146

    Damaged 201 179.1 0.884trustindex Rest of sample 179 1.21 0.538

    Damaged 199 1.2 0.591most can be trusted Rest of sample 179 1.97 0.088

    Damaged 199 1.96 0.93cant rely Rest of sample 179 1.54 0.802

    Damaged 201 1.47 0.423people take advantage Rest of sample 179 1.06 -1.202

    Damaged 199 1.11 0.229BMI Rest of sample 177 22.97 -1.671

    Damaged 200 24.11 0.095distance housecoast Rest of sample 173 10.73 9.988

    Damaged 197 3.54 0.000distant Rest of sample 179 0.74 9.026

    Damaged 201 0.28 0.000

  • Helpindexi =∑

    8k=1 aidsk

    8 , where aids concern money, credit, food,medicines, raw materials, tools, consumption, other.

    Damaged Obs 201Mean 0.211

    [95% CI] .1726659 .2489759Non Damaged Obs 179

    Mean 0.071[95% CI] .0482759 .0941822

    Injury Obs 48Mean 0.24

    [95% CI] .1532893 .3258774Economic Losses Obs 169

    Mean 0.231[95% CI] .1877707 .2737678

    House damage Obs 52Mean 0.361

    [95% CI] .2689816 .4521723Injury Or Housedamaged Obs 88

    Mean 0.29[95% CI] .2249546 .3545909

    Ec. Loss only Obs 95Mean 0.172

    [95% CI] .1227889 .221948

  • Balancing Properties (InjuryOrHouseDamaged vs. Only Ec. Loss)Variable Group Obs Mean Non-par test (z, p)

    age InjuryOrHouseDamaged 88 49.67 1.618Only Ec. Loss 95 46.93 0.106

    male InjuryOrHouseDamaged 88 0.08 -0.363Only Ec. Loss 95 0.09 0.717

    married InjuryOrHouseDamaged 88 0.78 -0.627Only Ec. Loss 95 0.82 0.531

    separated InjuryOrHouseDamaged 88 0.02 -0.366Only Ec. Loss 95 0.03 0.714

    widowed InjuryOrHouseDamaged 88 0.15 1.869Only Ec. Loss 95 0.06 0.062

    single InjuryOrHouseDamaged 88 0.05 -1.055Only Ec. Loss 95 0.08 0.291

    n house members InjuryOrHouseDamaged 88 4.66 -0.422Only Ec. Loss 95 4.83 0.673

    years schooling InjuryOrHouseDamaged 84 10.05 -1.144Only Ec. Loss 94 10.54 0.252

    agricolture InjuryOrHouseDamaged 88 0.14 0.201Only Ec. Loss 95 0.13 0.841

    manufacturing InjuryOrHouseDamaged 88 0.31 -0.433Only Ec. Loss 95 0.34 0.665

    fishery InjuryOrHouseDamaged 88 0.1 1.925Only Ec. Loss 95 0.03 0.054

    trading InjuryOrHouseDamaged 88 0.43 0.291Only Ec. Loss 95 0.41 0.771

  • (cont.) Balancing Properties (InjuryOrHouseDamaged vs. Only Ec. Loss)Variable Group Obs Mean Non-par test (z, p)foodexp InjuryOrHouseDamaged 88 8.4 -0.494

    Only Ec. Loss 95 8.75 0.621switch InjuryOrHouseDamaged 88 5.77 -1.13

    Only Ec. Loss 95 6.28 0.259impatient InjuryOrHouseDamaged 88 0.6 -1.307

    Only Ec. Loss 95 0.69 0.191riskloving InjuryOrHouseDamaged 88 188.86 1.606

    Only Ec. Loss 95 169.89 0.108trustindex InjuryOrHouseDamaged 87 1.18 -1.836

    Only Ec. Loss 94 1.25 0.066most can be trusted InjuryOrHouseDamaged 87 2 2.575

    Only Ec. Loss 95 1.93 0.01cant rely InjuryOrHouseDamaged 88 1.42 -1.649

    Only Ec. Loss 95 1.57 0.099people take advantage InjuryOrHouseDamaged 87 1.14 -0.274

    Only Ec. Loss 94 1.11 0.784BMI InjuryOrHouseDamaged 88 24.13 0.704

    Only Ec. Loss 94 24.04 0.481distance housecoast InjuryOrHouseDamaged 86 3.39 -2.406

    Only Ec. Loss 95 3.35 0.016distant InjuryOrHouseDamaged 88 0.25 -0.363

    Only Ec. Loss 95 0.27 0.717

  • Introduction Research Design Descriptive Evidence Hyp. Testing Econometric Analysis Robustness Conclusions

    Testing Giving By Damage

    Giving by: Obs Mean Std dev Non-par test (z, p)Rest of sample 89 0.37 0.205 2.051

    Damaged 101 0.31 0.168 0.04Rest of sample 169 0.34 0.191 0.518

    Injury 21 0.32 0.16 0.604Rest of sample 103 0.37 0.2 2.069Economicloss 87 0.31 0.169 0.039Rest of sample 165 0.34 0.194 -1.056Housedamage 25 0.37 0.139 0.291Rest of sample 96 0.37 0.202 0.41Only injured 6 0.32 0.17 0.682

    Rest of sample 96 0.37 0.202 2.329Only economicloss 54 0.29 0.181 0.02

    Rest of sample 96 0.37 0.202 -0.977Only housedamage 1 0.5 . 0.329

    Injury 21 0.32 0.16 0.837Only Ec. Losses 54 0.29 0.181 0.403

    InjuryOrHouseDamage 40 0.34 0.148 1.667Only Ec. Losses 54 0.29 0.181 0.096

    Becchetti, Castriota, Conzo Univ. of Rome “Tor Vergata”, CSEF

    “Calamity, Aid and Indirect Reciprocity: the Long Run Impact of Tsunami on Altruism”

  • Introduction Research Design Descriptive Evidence Hyp. Testing Econometric Analysis Robustness Conclusions

    Testing Expected Receiving By Damage

    Expected Receiving by: Obs Mean Std dev Non-par test (z, p)Rest of sample 90 0.44 0.189 2.396

    Damaged 100 0.39 0.209 0.017Rest of sample 163 0.41 0.194 0.067

    Injury 27 0.43 0.242 0.947Rest of sample 108 0.44 0.191 2.473Economicloss 82 0.38 0.209 0.013Rest of sample 163 0.42 0.204 0.198Housedamage 27 0.42 0.185 0.843Rest of sample 101 0.44 0.183 0.151Only injured 7 0.46 0.307 0.88

    Rest of sample 101 0.44 0.183 3.221Only economicloss 41 0.33 0.203 0.001

    Injury 27 0.43 0.242 1.647Only Ec. Losses 41 0.33 0.203 0.100

    InjuryOrHouseDamage 48 0.44 0.22 2.235Only Ec. Losses 41 0.33 0.203 0.025

    Becchetti, Castriota, Conzo Univ. of Rome “Tor Vergata”, CSEF

    “Calamity, Aid and Indirect Reciprocity: the Long Run Impact of Tsunami on Altruism”

  • Introduction Research Design Descriptive Evidence Hyp. Testing Econometric Analysis Robustness Conclusions

    Testing the Solidarity Norm by Damage

    Solidarity Norm by: Obs Mean Std dev Non-par test (z, p)Rest of sample 179 0.41 0.2 3.164

    Damaged 201 0.35 0.193 0.002Rest of sample 332 0.38 0.195 0.271

    Injury 48 0.38 0.216 0.786Rest of sample 211 0.4 0.198 3.298Economicloss 169 0.34 0.193 0.001Rest of sample 328 0.38 0.203 -0.588housedamage 52 0.39 0.165 0.557Rest of sample 197 0.4 0.195 0.436Only injured 13 0.39 0.255 0.663

    Rest of sample 197 0.4 0.195 4.106Only economicloss 95 0.31 0.191 0.000

    Rest of sample 379 0.38 0.198 -0.869Only housedamage 1 0.5 . 0.385

    Injury 48 0.38 0.216 1.87Only Ec. Losses 95 0.31 0.191 0.062

    InjuryOrHouseDamage 88 0.39 0.196 2.863Only Ec. Losses 95 0.31 0.191 0.004

    Becchetti, Castriota, Conzo Univ. of Rome “Tor Vergata”, CSEF

    “Calamity, Aid and Indirect Reciprocity: the Long Run Impact of Tsunami on Altruism”

  • Introduction Research Design Descriptive Evidence Hyp. Testing Econometric Analysis Robustness Conclusions

    Determinants Of Giving (OLS)

    Dep. Var: Giving (1) (2) (3) (4)OLS OLS OLS OLS

    damaged -0.0593** -0.0582**(0.0274) (0.0291)

    injury -0.0111 -0.018(0.0381) (0.0419)

    economicloss -0.0556** -0.0505*(0.0272) (0.0299)

    impatient -0.0452 -0.046(0.0298) (0.0299)

    riskloving ratio 0.108** 0.107**(0.0486) (0.0504)

    SocioDem. Controls NO YES NO YES

    Observations 190 185 190 185R-squared 0.025 0.127 0.023 0.123

    Robust se in parentheses; Controls: age, marital status, gender, foodexp, village, yearsschool., house members, employment sector, trustindex, loancycle

    Robustness: WLS and TOBIT

    Becchetti, Castriota, Conzo Univ. of Rome “Tor Vergata”, CSEF

    “Calamity, Aid and Indirect Reciprocity: the Long Run Impact of Tsunami on Altruism”

  • Introduction Research Design Descriptive Evidence Hyp. Testing Econometric Analysis Robustness Conclusions

    Determinants Of Expected Receiving (OLS)

    Dep Var (1) (2) (3) (4)Expected Receiving OLS OLS OLS OLS

    damaged -0.0491* -0.0754**(0.0289) (0.0304)

    injury 0.0460 0.0242(0.0511) (0.0546)

    economicloss -0.0651** -0.0715**(0.0314) (0.0320)

    impatient -0.0689** -0.0677**(0.0302) (0.0299)

    riskloving ratio -0.0353 -0.0360(0.0602) (0.0590)

    SocioDem. Controls NO YES NO YES

    Observations 190 187 190 187R-squared 0.015 0.185 0.026 0.181

    Robust se in parentheses; Controls: age, marital status, gender, foodexp, village, yearsschool., house members, employment sector, trustindex, loancycle

    Robustness: WLS and TOBIT

    Becchetti, Castriota, Conzo Univ. of Rome “Tor Vergata”, CSEF

    “Calamity, Aid and Indirect Reciprocity: the Long Run Impact of Tsunami on Altruism”

  • Introduction Research Design Descriptive Evidence Hyp. Testing Econometric Analysis Robustness Conclusions

    Determinants Of Solidarity Norm (1)

    Dep. Var.: Solidarity Norm OLS OLS TOBIT TOBIT

    receiver 0.0750*** 0.0780*** 0.0761*** 0.0794***(0.0198) (0.0204) (0.0205) (0.0207)

    damage -0.0542*** -0.0619*** -0.0539*** -0.0618***(0.0199) (0.0213) (0.0206) (0.0215)

    impatient -0.0626*** -0.0653***(0.0214) (0.0217)

    riskloving ratio 0.0407 0.0394(0.0388) (0.0401)

    SocioDem. Controls NO YES NO YES

    Observations 380 372 380 372R-squared 0.055 0.132

    Robust se in parentheses; Controls: age, marital status, gender, foodexp, village, years school., housemembers, employment sector, trustindex, loancycle

    Robustness: WLS

    Becchetti, Castriota, Conzo Univ. of Rome “Tor Vergata”, CSEF

    “Calamity, Aid and Indirect Reciprocity: the Long Run Impact of Tsunami on Altruism”

  • Introduction Research Design Descriptive Evidence Hyp. Testing Econometric Analysis Robustness Conclusions

    Determinants Of Solidarity Norm (2)

    Dep. Var: Solidarity Norm OLS OLS OLS OLS

    receiver 0.0731*** 0.0695*** 0.0762*** 0.0728***(0.0198) (0.0197) (0.0205) (0.0205)

    injury 0.0200 0.0149(0.0328) (0.0365)

    economicloss -0.0598*** -0.0612***(0.0206) (0.0226)

    eclossonly -0.0845*** -0.0711***(0.0227) (0.0233)

    impatient -0.0624*** -0.0605***(0.0212) (0.0212)

    riskloving ratio 0.0374 0.0354(0.0389) (0.0385)

    SocioDem. Controls NO YES NO YES

    Observations 380 380 372 372R-squared 0.058 0.070 0.130 0.133

    Robust se in parentheses; Controls: see above. Robustness: WLS and TOBIT

    Becchetti, Castriota, Conzo Univ. of Rome “Tor Vergata”, CSEF

    “Calamity, Aid and Indirect Reciprocity: the Long Run Impact of Tsunami on Altruism”

  • Introduction Research Design Descriptive Evidence Hyp. Testing Econometric Analysis Robustness Conclusions

    WLS and IV

    All OLS and TOBIT results robust to WLS, where the weightsare the inverse p-score [Blattman and Annan (2010) and Hirano et al. (2003)]:

    damagedpscore(damaged)

    +1−damaged

    1−pscore(damaged)

    Tables: Giving ; Expected Giving ; Solidarity (1) ; Solidarity (2)

    All results on Solidarity Norm are robust to IV-estimates usingDistance from Coast and BMI to instrument the Damageddummy. IV

    Becchetti, Castriota, Conzo Univ. of Rome “Tor Vergata”, CSEF

    “Calamity, Aid and Indirect Reciprocity: the Long Run Impact of Tsunami on Altruism”

  • Introduction Research Design Descriptive Evidence Hyp. Testing Econometric Analysis Robustness Conclusions

    What we do

    We test the long run impact of 2004 Tsunami in Sri Lanka onaltruistic preferences;

    We exploit within-village variability betweendamaged/non-damaged and across damage types;

    Among victims, we compare those who report only losses tothe economic activity vs. those who report also damages tothe house and/or injuries to relatives;

    Differences in observables (including the distance from thecoast) between the two groups disappear;

    Sample composed by MF borrowers → common unobservables→ reduced heterogeneity + IV estimate

    Becchetti, Castriota, Conzo Univ. of Rome “Tor Vergata”, CSEF

    “Calamity, Aid and Indirect Reciprocity: the Long Run Impact of Tsunami on Altruism”

  • Introduction Research Design Descriptive Evidence Hyp. Testing Econometric Analysis Robustness Conclusions

    What we find

    Those who report at least one damage give and expect lessthan those who do not;

    Among damaged, those suffering not only losses to economicactivities (but also damages to house or injuries to relatives)give and expect significantly more than other damaged;

    since those who report only losses to economic activityexperience on average less aid than those who also reporthouse damages or injuries...

    ...we interpret the superior pro-sociality of the latter in termsof indirect reciprocity.

    Becchetti, Castriota, Conzo Univ. of Rome “Tor Vergata”, CSEF

    “Calamity, Aid and Indirect Reciprocity: the Long Run Impact of Tsunami on Altruism”

  • THANK YOU!

    We thank:

    CSEF and EIEF fellows for all useful comments and suggestions.

    C. Angelico, C. Pagano, E. Agostino and N. Kurera for the precioussupport on field data collection.

    Etimos Foundation, Etimos Lanka and AMF for financial and logistic aid.

  • Back

    Becchetti, Castriota, Conzo Univ. of Rome “Tor Vergata”, CSEF

    “Calamity, Aid and Indirect Reciprocity: the Long Run Impact of Tsunami on Altruism”

  • Risk Preferences

    Simplified Charness and Genicot (2009)’s approach.

    Participants endowed with 300 LKR; decide if KEEP orINVEST any portion x in a risky asset;

    risky asset pays 3x with 1/2 prob. and 0 otherwise;

    x = rough proxy of risk aversion (the higher x , the less riskaverse).

    Back to the main experiment

    Becchetti, Castriota, Conzo Univ. of Rome “Tor Vergata”, CSEF

    “Calamity, Aid and Indirect Reciprocity: the Long Run Impact of Tsunami on Altruism”

  • Time Preferences

    If you win the lottery, would you like to receive:Option n. A B

    1 10,000 after 2 month 10,100 after 8 months2 10,000 after 2 month 10,198 after 8 months3 10,000 after 2 month 10,368 after 8 months4 10,000 after 2 month 10,607 after 8 months5 10,000 after 2 month 10,840 after 8 months6 10,000 after 2 month 11,180 after 8 months7 10,000 after 2 month 12,247 after 8 months8 10,000 after 2 month 14,142 after 8 months

    Back to the main experiment

    Becchetti, Castriota, Conzo Univ. of Rome “Tor Vergata”, CSEF

    “Calamity, Aid and Indirect Reciprocity: the Long Run Impact of Tsunami on Altruism”

  • Socio-Demographic Survey

    socio-demographic information

    social preferences: standard GSS questions regarding trust,negative reciprocity, sociability

    damage received in the 2004 on six dimensions: familymembers, house, economic activity, buildings/assets, workingtools, raw materials.

    Classified as:

    1 injuries to family members2 damages to house3 damages to economic activity

    Back to the main experiment

    Becchetti, Castriota, Conzo Univ. of Rome “Tor Vergata”, CSEF

    “Calamity, Aid and Indirect Reciprocity: the Long Run Impact of Tsunami on Altruism”

  • Determinants Of Giving (WLS)

    Dep. Var: Giving WLS WLS WLS WLS

    damaged -0.0913*** -0.0802**(0.0338) (0.0346)

    injury -0.0579 -0.0662(0.0501) (0.0509)

    economicloss -0.0848** -0.0667**(0.0327) (0.0336)

    impatient -0.0757** -0.0760**(0.0354) (0.0353)

    riskloving ratio 0.136*** 0.139***(0.0520) (0.0524)

    SocioDem. Controls NO YES NO YES

    Observations 184 183 184 183R-squared 0.047 0.184 0.050 0.186

    Notes: Robust standard errors in parentheses; Weights: damagedpscore(damaged )

    + 1−damaged1−pscore

    (damaged );

    pscore estimated using age, years school., village, employm. sector, BMI, distant, loancycle

    Back to OLS or back to Robustness

    Becchetti, Castriota, Conzo Univ. of Rome “Tor Vergata”, CSEF

    “Calamity, Aid and Indirect Reciprocity: the Long Run Impact of Tsunami on Altruism”

  • Determinants Of Giving (TOBIT)

    Dep. Var: Giving (5) (7) (9) (11)TOBIT TOBIT TOBIT TOBIT

    damaged -0.0590** -0.0566**(0.0282) (0.0284)

    injury -0.00903 -0.016(0.038)1 (0.0402)

    economicloss -0.0560** -0.0494*(0.0278) (0.0293)

    impatient -0.0478 -0.0486*(0.0291) (0.0291)

    riskloving ratio 0.111** 0.110**(0.0478) (0.0494)

    SocioDem. Controls NO YES NO YES

    Observations 190 185 190 185

    Notes: Robust standard errors in parentheses; *** p

  • Determinants Of Expected Receiving (WLS)

    Dep Var: Expected Receiving WLS WLS WLS WLS

    damaged -0.0313 -0.0507(0.0314) (0.0326)

    injury -0.0579 -0.0662(0.0501) (0.0509)

    economicloss -0.0848** -0.0667**(0.0327) (0.0336)

    impatient -0.0999*** -0.0760**(0.0326) (0.0353)

    riskloving ratio -0.0381 0.139***(0.0554) (0.0524)

    SocioDem. Controls NO YES NO YES

    Observations 187 186 184 183R-squared 0.007 0.190 0.050 0.186

    Notes: Robust standard errors in parentheses; Weights: damagedpscore(damaged )

    + 1−damaged1−pscore

    (damaged );

    pscore estimated using age, years school., village, employm. sector, BMI, distant, loancycle

    Back to OLS or back to Robustness

    Becchetti, Castriota, Conzo Univ. of Rome “Tor Vergata”, CSEF

    “Calamity, Aid and Indirect Reciprocity: the Long Run Impact of Tsunami on Altruism”

  • Determinants Of Expected Receiving (TOBIT)

    Dep Var (5) (7) (9) (11)Expected Receiving TOBIT TOBIT TOBIT TOBIT

    damaged -0.0488 -0.0759**(0.0302) (0.0301)

    injury 0.0534 0.0317(0.0540) (0.0554)

    economicloss -0.0678** -0.0751**(0.0329) (0.0319)

    impatient -0.0723** -0.0712**(0.0300) (0.0295)

    riskloving ratio -0.0413 -0.0423(0.0620) (0.0607)

    SocioDem. Controls NO YES NO YES

    Observations 190 187 190 187

    Notes: Robust standard errors in parentheses; *** p

  • Determinants Of Solidarity Norm (WLS)

    Dep. Var.: Solidarity Norm WLS WLS I. W. TOBIT I. W. TOBIT

    receiver 0.0582** 0.0646*** 0.0588** 0.0655***(0.0243) (0.0234) (0.0251) (0.0238)

    damaged -0.0611*** -0.0648*** -0.0602** -0.0637***(0.0232) (0.0238) (0.0239) (0.0238)

    impatient -0.0957*** -0.0998***(0.0243) (0.0247)

    riskloving ratio 0.0529 0.0524(0.0397) (0.0404)

    SocioDem. Controls NO YES NO YES

    Observations 371 369 371 369R-squared 0.045 0.149

    Notes: Robust standard errors in parentheses; Weights: damagedpscore(damaged )

    + 1−damaged1−pscore

    (damaged );

    pscore estimated using age, years school., village, employm. sector, BMI, distant, loancycle

    Back to OLS or back to Robustness

    Becchetti, Castriota, Conzo Univ. of Rome “Tor Vergata”, CSEF

    “Calamity, Aid and Indirect Reciprocity: the Long Run Impact of Tsunami on Altruism”

  • Determinants Of Solidarity Norm (TOBIT)

    Dep. Var: Solidarity Norm TOBIT TOBIT TOBIT TOBIT

    receiver 0.0740*** 0.0703*** 0.0774*** 0.0740***(0.0205) (0.0205) (0.0208) (0.0209)

    injury 0.0246 0.0201(0.0340) (0.0372)

    economicloss -0.0612*** -0.0632***(0.0214) (0.0230)

    eclossonly -0.0878*** -0.0744***(0.0239) (0.0241)

    impatient -0.0651*** -0.0631***(0.0215) (0.0215)

    riskloving ratio 0.0357 0.0337(0.0402) (0.0398)

    SocioDem. Controls NO YES NO YES

    Observations 380 380 372 372

    Notes: Robust standard errors in parentheses; *** p

  • Determinants Of Solidarity Norm (WLS)

    Dep. Var: Solidarity Norm WLS WLS WLS WLS

    receiver 0.0580** 0.0560** 0.0638*** 0.0618***(0.0241) (0.0246) (0.0232) (0.0237)

    injury -0.0683*** -0.0627***(0.0231) (0.0230)

    economicloss -0.0143 -0.0284(0.0434) (0.0426)

    eclossonly -0.0725*** -0.0608***(0.0244) (0.0231)

    impatient -0.0942*** -0.0942***(0.0241) (0.0244)

    riskloving ratio 0.0526 0.0529(0.0398) (0.0401)

    SocioDem. Controls NO YES NO YES

    Observations 371 371 369 369R-squared 0.049 0.042 0.149 0.140

    Notes: Robust standard errors in parentheses; Weights and pscore: see above.

    Back to OLS or back to Robustness

    Becchetti, Castriota, Conzo Univ. of Rome “Tor Vergata”, CSEF

    “Calamity, Aid and Indirect Reciprocity: the Long Run Impact of Tsunami on Altruism”

  • Determinants Of Solidarity Norm (IV)

    Dep. Var.: Solidarity Norm IV IV IV IVdamaged -0.0947** -0.0998** -0.0961** -0.0959**

    (0.0431) (0.0491) (0.0417) (0.0477)receiver 0.0748*** 0.0783*** 0.0775*** 0.0807***

    (0.0199) (0.0199) (0.0200) (0.0200)impatient -0.0613*** -0.0627***

    riskloving ratio 0.0403 0.0347(0.0379) (0.0381)

    SocioDem. Controls NO YES NO YESObservations 380 372 377 369

    R-squared 0.045 0.124 0.044 0.123Instruments distant distant distant, BMI distant, BMI

    First Stage: F 51.64 13.28 37.49 13.40Exogeneity test: χ2 1.062 0.699 1.415 0.642Exogeneity test: p 0.303 0.403 0.234 0.423

    Weak Id.Test: F 103.3 76.32 56.23 40.24Overid.test: χ2 0.0687 0.454Overid.test: p 0.793 0.500

    Notes: Robust standard errors in parentheses.

    back to Robustness

    Becchetti, Castriota, Conzo Univ. of Rome “Tor Vergata”, CSEF

    “Calamity, Aid and Indirect Reciprocity: the Long Run Impact of Tsunami on Altruism”