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This may be the author’s version of a work that was submitted/acceptedfor publication in the following source:
Moore, Sophie, Norman, Rosana, Sly, Peter, Whitehouse, Andrew,Zubrick, Steve, & Scott, James(2014)Adolescent peer aggression and its association with mental health andsubstance use in an Australian cohort.Journal of Adolescence, 37 (1), pp. 11-21.
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https://doi.org/10.1016/j.adolescence.2013.10.006
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Adolescent peer aggression and its association with mental health and substance use in an Australian cohort
Sophie E. Moore a, Rosana E. Norman a,b, Peter D. Sly a, Andrew J.O. Whitehouse c,d, Stephen R. Zubrick c, James Scott e, f,*
a Children’s Health and Environment Program, Queensland Children’s Medical Research Institute, University of Queensland, Royal
Children’s Hospital, Herston, QLD, 4029, Australia
b School of Population Health, University of Queensland, Herston, QLD, 4006, Australia
c Telethon Institute for Child Health Research, Centre for Child Health Research, University of Western Australia, Subiaco, WA, 6008,
Australia
d School of Psychology, University of Western Australia, Crawley, WA, 6009, Australia
e Metro North Mental Health, Royal Brisbane and Women’s Hospital, Herston, QLD, 4029, Australia
f The University of Queensland Centre for Clinical Research, Herston, QLD, 4029, Australia
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Abstract
Prospective longitudinal birth cohort data was used to examine the association between
peer aggression at 14 years and mental health and substance use at 17 years. A sample
of 1590 participants from the Western Australian Pregnancy Cohort (Raine) study were
divided into mutually exclusive categories (victims, perpetrators, victim-perpetrators
and uninvolved). Involvement in any type of peer aggression as a victim (10.1%),
perpetrator (21.4%), or a victim-perpetrator (8.7%) was reported by 40.2% of
participants. After adjusting for confounding factors, those who were a victim of peer
aggression had increased odds of later depression and internalising symptoms whilst
perpetrators of peer aggression were found to be at increased risk of depression and
harmful alcohol use. Victim-perpetrators of peer aggression were more likely to have
externalising behaviours at 17 years. These results show an independent temporal
relationship between peer aggression and later mental health and substance use
problems in adolescence.
Keywords
Bullying; Peer aggression; adolescent; Raine Study; mental health; substance use.
Abbreviations
Western Australian Pregnancy Cohort (Raine) study, Child Behaviour Checklist
(CBCL), Beck Depression Inventory for Youth (BDI-Y), Youth Self Report (YSR),
Odds Ratio (OR), Confidence Interval (CI).
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Introduction
Peer aggression is a common sub-type of aggression in children and adolescents
(Ybrandt & Armelius, 2010), most prevalent between the ages of 9 and 14 (Cross et al.,
2009; Due, Holstein, & Soc, 2008). There are three main groups of participants in peer
aggression; the victim, the perpetrator and a third group who are both the victim and the
perpetrator (victim-perpetrator) (Austin & Joseph, 1996; Haynie et al., 2001; Veenstra
et al., 2005). The estimated prevalence of peer aggression (victim or perpetrator) ranges
from 5% to 35% with lower prevalence (3% -13%) for those in the victim-perpetrator
group (Copeland, Wolke, Angold, & Costello, 2013; Craig et al., 2009; Cross et al.,
2009; Due et al., 2008; Jansen et al., 2012; Solberg & Olweus, 2003; Sourander, Jensen,
Rönning, et al., 2007b). The variation in prevalence has been linked to methodological
differences in definition and measurement (Griffin & Gross, 2004; Shaw, Dooley,
Cross, Zubrick, & Waters, 2013) with recent studies now incorporating cyber-
aggression. Irrespective of this, it is clear that a large number of children and
adolescents are involved in peer aggression.
Victims of peer aggression are more likely to have fewer close friends, and are
at increased risk of mental health problems, particularly internalising symptoms which
are characterised by an over control of emotion expressed through behaviours such as
excessive worrying and social withdrawal (Achenbach & Edelbrock, 1978; Arseneault
et al., 2006; Boulton & Underwood, 1992; Nansel et al., 2001; Zeman, Cassano, Perry-
Parrish, & Stegall, 2006). It has been further demonstrated that victims of peer
aggression are likely to display sub-assertive behaviour which may increase their
likelihood of becoming victims of peer aggression, as perpetrators of peer aggression
perceive them as easy targets that are less likely to retaliate (Fekkes, Pijpers, Fredriks,
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Vogels, & Verloove-Vanhorick, 2006). Longitudinal studies have consistently found
strong links between victims of peer aggression as a child or adolescent and later mental
health problems including depression, anxiety, suicide ideation and suicide attempts
(Copeland et al., 2013; Heikkilä et al., 2013; Hemphill et al., 2011; Klomek et al., 2008;
Sourander, Jensen, Rönning, et al., 2007b; Ybrandt & Armelius, 2010). The association
between being a victim of peer aggression and later substance abuse problems is less
clear with some studies reporting that victims of peer aggression are less likely to drink
alcohol later in life (Nansel et al., 2001) whereas others suggest that being a victim of
peer aggression is associated with an increased risk of later harmful alcohol use
(Goebert, Else, Matsu, Chung-Do, & Chang, 2011; Tharp-Taylor, Haviland, &
D'Amico, 2009). Similarly some studies have shown an association between being a
victim of peer aggression and later illicit drug and tobacco use (Goebert et al., 2011;
Niemela et al., 2011; Tharp-Taylor et al., 2009), whereas others have found no
association at all (Copeland et al., 2013; Hemphill et al., 2011; Sourander, Jensen,
Rönning, et al., 2007b).
Perpetrators of peer aggression have been consistently found to be at increased
risk of mental health problems particularly externalising behaviours which are
characterised by an under control of emotions and are displayed through acts such as
impulsivity, defiance, swearing and aggression towards others (Achenbach &
Edelbrock, 1978; Kim, Leventhal, Koh, Hubbard, & Boyce, 2006; Sourander et al.,
2010; Van der Wal, De Wit, & Hirasing, 2003; Veenstra et al., 2005). Most longitudinal
studies show perpetrators of peer aggression in early adolescence to be at an increased
risk of later alcohol dependence and other substance abuse problems as well as
increased risk of later criminal and violent behaviour (Farrington & Ttofi, 2011;
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Hemphill et al., 2011; Niemela et al., 2011; Sourander, Jensen, Ronning, et al., 2007a;
Sourander, Jensen, Rönning, et al., 2007b). Some studies suggest that being a
perpetrator of peer aggression in childhood or adolescence increases the risk of later
depression, however this is seen predominately in males (Kaltiala-Heino, Fröjd, &
Marttunen, 2010; Klomek et al., 2008). Furthermore longitudinal evidence suggests that
perpetrators of peer aggression are more likely at risk of anti-social personality disorder
(Copeland et al., 2013; Sourander, Jensen, Rönning, et al., 2007b).
Compared to studies of victims and perpetrators of peer aggression, there is less
research examining the concurrent and later mental health problems of victim-
perpetrators of peer aggression. This group are more likely to display externalising
behaviours similar to perpetrators of peer aggression, but also have internalising
behaviours similar to victims (Ivarsson, Broberg, Arvidsson, & Gillberg, 2005).
Victim-perpetrators of peer aggression have the highest risk of later psychiatric
problems (Copeland et al., 2013; Kumpulainen & Rasanen, 2000; Sourander, Jensen,
Rönning, et al., 2007b) and the poorest psychosocial functioning out of the three groups
(Haynie et al., 2001; Veenstra et al., 2005). They have an increased risk of wide ranging
adverse outcomes including anxiety, depression, suicidal ideation, substance use
disorders and criminal behaviour (Copeland et al., 2013; Kim, Koh, & Leventhal, 2005;
Klomek et al., 2008; Sourander, Jensen, Ronning, et al., 2007a; Sourander, Jensen,
Rönning, et al., 2007b; Winsper, Lereya, Zanarini, & Wolke, 2012).
General strain theory is a framework that explains the underlying process in
which peer aggression affects mental health and substance use (Agnew, 1992, 2001).
This argues that those who are exposed to strain or strenuous events (i.e. peer
aggression) often develop negative emotions as a result. These negative emotions such
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as depression, anxiety, and anger can then lead to the individual trying to escape the
strain through acts such as substance use, self-harm or suicide (Hay, Meldrum, & Mann,
2010). Although this provides a rationale for why victims or victim-perpetrators of peer
aggression develop mental health and substance use problems it does not explain why
perpetrators of peer aggression are at increased risk of adverse outcomes. Keeping this
theoretical framework in mind it is possible that adolescents become perpetrators of
peer aggression to escape strain or a strenuous event in their life. However, perpetrating
peer aggression may alienate these adolescents from their peers and teachers, further
exacerbating existing strain, causing these perpetrators like victims, to be at increased
risk of mental health and substance use problems.
An alternative explanation for the increased risk of mental health and substance
use problems after involvement in peer aggression is that early adverse experiences (i.e.
peer aggression) that occur during vulnerable developmental periods can cause
neurobiological changes (Anda et al., 2006; Shonkoff, Boyce, & McEwen, 2009)
expressed as illnesses such as depression in later years (Shonkoff et al., 2009).
Currently there are some limitations to the existing studies examining the mental
health problems of children and adolescents involved in peer aggression. Initially many
studies were cross sectional (Fekkes, Pijpers, & Verloove-Vanhorick, 2004; Kaltiala-
Heino, Rimpela, Rantanen, & Rimpela, 2000; Nansel, Craig, Overpeck, Saluja, & Ruan,
2004; Nansel et al., 2001; Van der Wal et al., 2003) which prevents the determination of
the direction of causality (Reichenheim & Coutinho, 2010). The advantage of more
recent longitudinal studies is that they may permit the direction of causality between
peer aggression and mental health problems to be inferred. However, the majority of
longitudinal studies have only adjusted for mental health problems at the time peer
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aggression was measured and not for pre-existing mental health problems prior to the
age that the peer aggression was measured (Heikkilä et al., 2013; Kaltiala-Heino et al.,
2010; Kim et al., 2006; Klomek et al., 2008; Sourander, Jensen, Rönning, et al., 2007b).
It has been previously shown that children exhibiting emotional and behavioural
problems including aggression from as early as 17 months are at an increased risk of
becoming a victim or perpetrator of peer aggression in later life (Barker et al., 2008;
Jansen, Veenstra, Ormel, Verhulst, & Reijneveld, 2011). This aggression in very young
children is not necessarily directed towards another child but may consist of behaviours
such as destroying toys or temper tantrums (Reebye, 2005).
Fisher et al. (2012) suggests that there are individual characteristics such as pre-
existing mental health problems that make certain children and adolescents more
vulnerable to becoming victims of peer aggression. Incorporating this into their
methodology, Fisher et al. (2012) found that after controlling for early internalising and
externalising problems at age 5 the association remained between being a victim of peer
aggression (at 7 and 10 years) and later self-harm (at 12 years). This current study
builds on this premise by additionally controlling for co-existing mental health
problems at the age peer aggression was measured and including a broader range of
outcomes. By adjusting for pre-existing and co-existing mental health problems, any
association between peer aggression and later mental health and substance use problems
provides strong evidence of a temporal relationship. The presence of a temporal
relationship is one of the required criteria to show that a relationship is causal (Hill,
1965).
The aim of the present study was to examine the association between peer
aggression (victim, perpetrator, victim-perpetrator) at 14 years and mental health and
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substance use problems at 17 years using a large prospective longitudinal birth cohort
after adjusting for pre-existing mental health problems at 5 years of age, and co-existing
mental health and substance use problems at 14 years.
Methods
Study Population
This study utilised population based data from the Western Australian Pregnancy
Cohort (Raine) study, a prospective birth cohort study of 2868 children born in Western
Australia between September 1989 and April 1992. Initial recruitment was from the sole
tertiary maternity hospital in Perth, Western Australia and consisted of pregnant women
who were between 16-20 weeks gestation. These women were followed up at 24, 28
and 38 weeks (Newnham, Evans, Michael, Stanley, & Landau, 1993). Data used in this
study were collected when the participants were 5 (78.0% retention), 10 (71.4%
retention), 14 (64.9% retention) and 17 (61.2% retention) years of age. At 17 years,
1754 of the original cohort participated, of whom 1590 (90.6%) completed the peer
aggression questionnaire at 14 years. Ethical approval for this study was granted by the
Human Research Ethics Committees from the Princess Margaret Hospital for Children
and King Edward Memorial Hospital in Western Australia and consent was obtained at
each follow up stage from the participants’ guardians.
Measures and Procedure
Peer Aggression. This study categorised participants into four mutually
exclusive groups; victims of peer aggression, perpetrators of peer aggression, victim-
perpetrators of peer aggression and the reference group of participants who were
uninvolved in any type of peer aggression. At 14 years peer aggression was assessed
through a self-reported questionnaire designed for the Raine study. The questionnaire
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begins with the following statement, “Bullying is when someone is picked on by
another person, or a group of people say nasty things to him or her. It is also when
someone is hit, kicked, threatened, sent nasty notes or when no one talks to them.”
Although the Raine questionnaire used the term ‘bullying’ to describe these behaviours,
‘peer aggression’ is a better term as the definition provided to the participants does not
refer to a power differential or repetition of the behaviour, two key components of
bullying (Olweus, 1993). ‘Victims of peer aggression’ were those participants who
endorsed having been bullied at school in the previous three months. ‘Perpetrators of
peer aggression’ were those participants who endorsed having bullied other children at
school. ‘Victim-perpetrators of peer aggression’ were those participants who endorsed
having been bullied in the past three months and also having bullied other children at
school.
Outcomes. Depression was assessed at 17 years using the Beck Depression
Inventory for Youth (BDI-Y). The BDI-Y is a reliable and valid self-reported scale
which assesses the intensity of depression in adolescents and has excellent test-retest
reliability (Beck, Beck, & Jolly, 2001). The BDI-Y includes 20 items that relate to
depressive symptoms and feelings that the participant may have experienced over the
past two weeks. Each item has four possible answers (never=0, sometimes=1, often=2,
always=3) and the participant’s final score can range from 0 to 60, with higher scores
indicating a greater degree of depression. In order to obtain a binary variable
participants were either categorised as not having depression (normal) or mild-severe
depression, these categories were based on clinical cut-offs (normal <13; mild-severe
depression >14) (Beck et al., 2001).
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Adolescent internalising and externalising problems were measured at 17 years
through the Youth Self Report (YSR/11-18) (Achenbach, 1991b). The YSR is
composed of 118 items and is an empirically validated and reliable measure of
emotional and behavioural problems in adolescents (Achenbach & McConaughy, 1997).
Responses to YSR are scored on a three point scale with statements either being, not
true (0); somewhat/sometimes true (1) or very true (2). The raw scores were converted
to standardised T-scores for internalising (withdrawn, somatic complaints,
anxious/depressed) and externalising problems (aggressive/delinquent). In order to
obtain a binary variable a cut-off (T-score ≥60) was used to indicate clinically
significant internalising and externalising problems (Achenbach, 1991b).
Harmful alcohol use was assessed at 17 years through a self-reported
questionnaire designed for the Raine study. Participants were asked, “Have you ever
drunk 6 or more alcoholic drinks at one time or drunk so much alcohol that you
vomited?” In order to obtain a binary variable those who endorsed this question by
responding “yes, more than once” were categorised as harmful alcohol users and those
who reported “never” or “only once” were categorised as non-harmful alcohol users.
Harmful cannabis use was assessed at 17 years through a self-reported
questionnaire designed for the Raine study. The participants were asked, “How often do
you use cannabis (marijuana) for non-medical purposes?” In order to obtain a binary
variable those participants who responded to using cannabis monthly, weekly or daily
were categorised as harmful users of cannabis and those participants who responded to
using cannabis less than monthly, once a year or never were categorised as non-harmful
users/abstainers. Congruent with previous studies which have shown an association
between monthly use of cannabis in adolescence and increased risk of depression,
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suicide ideation and attempts and the use of other illicit drugs (Fergusson, Horwood, &
Ridder, 2005; Moore et al., 2007), this study classified monthly use of cannabis as
harmful.
Current cigarette smoking was assessed at 17 years through a self-report
questionnaire of their smoking habits in the past week. Those participants who reported
smoking more than one cigarette in the past week were categorised as current cigarette
smokers. Non- smokers were those either reported smoking one or less cigarettes in the
past week or never smoking.
Confounding Variables. Socioeconomic status was assessed by asking the
parent, “What is your total family income before tax per year?” This study divided the
income into low (<$25 000), middle and high (>$60 000) categories based on the
Australian Taxation Office cut offs in that time period. Family structure was assessed
by asking the child’s parent “Is the father/mother of your child living with you?” If the
answer was “No” the parent was asked, “Do you have another partner who lives with
you?” This study divided family structure into three categories: lives with biological
parents, lives with single parent or lives in a blended family. Maternal mental health
problems were assessed by asking the child’s mother, “Have you ever been treated for
an emotional or mental health problem?”
Pre-existing mental health problems were measured at 5 years through the use of
The Child Behaviour Check List (CBCL/4-18) (Achenbach, 1991a). The CBCL is a
parent report measure which has 118 items consistent with the YSR. The CBCL was
chosen to be used in the Raine study due to its extensive use in Australia and in various
other settings (Hensley, 1988; Sawyer et al., 2001; Verhulst et al., 2003). It has been
well validated and widely used in research in studies of childhood mental health
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problems, with Australian studies finding an eight week test-retest reliability of the
parent CBCL to be 0.87 and six month test-retest reliability 0.75 (Garton, Zubrick, &
Silburn, 1995; Zubrick et al., 1997).
Co-existing mental health problems, at the same time involvement in peer
aggression was assessed (14 years), were measured through the YSR and BDI-Y. Prior
use of substances (alcohol, cigarettes, cannabis) was also measured at 14 years. The
same self-report questionnaires to assess substance use were used at 14 and 17 years of
age.
Statistical Analysis
Using STATA 12.0 (StataCorp., 2011) descriptive statistics were obtained for all
variables. Logistic regression models with binary outcomes were used to investigate the
association between exposure to peer aggression (victims, perpetrators, victim-
perpetrators) at 14 years and mental health (depression, internalising, externalising
behaviour) and substance use (alcohol, cigarettes. cannabis) problems at 17 years.
Firstly, univariate logistic regression was used to calculate the unadjusted odds ratios. If
peer aggression contributed significantly (p<0.05) to an outcome these associations
were then further investigated through multivariate logistic regression. Model 1
controlled for the effects of sex, family income, maternal mental health problems and
family structure. Model 2 included all variables in model 1 plus pre-existing substance
use problems at 14 years and model 3 included all variables in model 2 plus pre-existing
(5 years) and co-existing mental health problems (14 years).
Results
Prevalence and sex differences in peer aggression
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Involvement in any peer aggression was reported by 40.2% of the sample, with
10.1% (N=121) of the participants reporting that they had been victims of peer
aggression. Of the 121 participants that reported being victims of peer aggression,
44.6% (N=54) were male (OR and 95% CI: 0.91, 0.62-1.33). One in five adolescents
(21.4%, N=293) reported that they were perpetrators of peer aggression. Being male
was associated with a doubling of the odds of being a perpetrator of peer aggression
compared to females (OR and 95% CI: 2.20, 1.69 –2.89). Victim-perpetrators accounted
for 8.7% (N=102) of whom males were more prevalent (59.8%) than females (OR and
95% CI: 1.68, 1.11 –2.53). Two significant sex differences were observed between the
outcome variables reported. Females were twice as likely to report depression than
males (OR and 95% CI: 2.55, 1.94 –3.35) and were also more likely to report
externalising problems than males (OR and 95% CI: 1.47, 1.11 –1.95) (Table 1).
Peer aggression at 14 years and mental health problems at 17 years
After controlling for sociodemographic covariates, mental health problems at 5
and co-existing mental health and substance use problems at 14 years (Model 3), those
participants who were victims or perpetrators of peer aggression at 14 years were
significantly more likely to be depressed at 17 years (OR and 95% CI: 2.12, 1.22- 3.69
and 1.81, 1.19-2.76 respectively). Only those participants who were victims of peer
aggression had significantly increased odds of being in the clinical range for
internalising problems at 17 years (OR and 95% CI: 2.34, 1.25-4.37). With respect to
externalising problems, only those participants who were victim-perpetrator of peer
aggression at 14 years were significantly more likely to have externalising symptoms in
the clinical range at 17 years (OR and 95% CI: 2.23, 1.08- 4.64) (Table 2).
Peer aggression at 14 years and substance use problems at 17 years
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Being a perpetrator of peer aggression at 14 years was associated with an
increased risk of harmful alcohol use at 17 years even after controlling for mental health
problems at 5 and co-existing mental health and substance use problems at 14 years
(OR and 95% CI: 1.76, 1.23-2.53). Those who were victims of peer aggression at 14
years were significantly less likely to drink alcohol at 17 years (OR and 95% CI: 0.48,
0.26-0.88). After adjusting for all confounding variables (Model 3), no significant
associations were observed between any types of peer aggression at 14 years and
harmful cannabis use or cigarette smoking at 17 years (Table 3).
Discussion
The prevalence of peer aggression at 14 years reported in this study was
consistent with previous research which reports perpetration is the most common form
of peer aggression followed by victimisation and then engaging in both (Cross et al.,
2009; Kim et al., 2006). Similarly, previous research shows males are more likely to be
the perpetrators and victim-perpetrators of peer aggression (Copeland et al., 2013; Craig
et al., 2009; Veenstra et al., 2005).
This study demonstrates that peer aggression at 14 years is associated with a
variety of mental health and substance use problems at 17 years. These outcomes of the
groups diverge with victims of peer aggression being at increased risk of future
internalising symptoms whilst victim-perpetrators of peer aggression were found to be
at increased risk of developing later externalising problems such as aggressive and
delinquent behaviours. Other studies report similar findings (Arseneault et al., 2006;
Kim et al., 2006; Kumpulainen et al., 1998; Veenstra et al., 2005; Ybrandt & Armelius,
2010). Those in the victim-perpetrator group are sometimes known as ‘aggressive
victims’ as they react to victimisation by either becoming perpetrators of peer
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aggression themselves or developing other externalising problems including delinquent
and disruptive behaviours (Olweus, 1978; Pellegrini, Bartini, & Brooks, 1999;
Schwartz, Dodge, Pettit, & Bates, 1997).
In relation to future alcohol use, those who were victims of peer aggression were
less likely to engage in later harmful alcohol use, whilst perpetrators of peer aggression
were at an increased risk of later harmful alcohol use. This might be attributed to the
differences in social interaction between victims and perpetrators of peer aggression.
During adolescent years, alcohol is often consumed in group situations (Cooper, 1994).
Since research has shown that victims of peer aggression are often socially isolated
individuals (Nansel et al., 2001), they may avoid social pressures that lead to alcohol
misuse. Harmful drinking is associated with externalising behaviours in adolescents
(Laukkanen, Shemeikka, Notkola, Koivumaa-Honkanen, & Nissinen, 2002). The
increased risk of future harmful alcohol use by those who perpetrate peer aggression
may in part be due to their social networks but also part of the spectrum of externalising
problems in which they are more likely to engage.
Similar to another Australian study (Hemphill et al., 2011), there was no
association between any type of peer aggression and later cannabis use. Other studies
however have shown that perpetrators of peer aggression are at increased risk of later
cannabis use (Farhat, Simons-Morton, & Luk, 2011; Kim, Catalano, Haggerty, &
Abbott, 2011). The lack of association between perpetrators of peer aggression and
cannabis use in this study may be due to inadequate power. Consistent with other
studies, there was no association between victims of peer aggression and later cannabis
use (Farhat et al., 2011; Hemphill et al., 2011). Similar to alcohol use, as these
individuals are less socially connected (Nansel et al., 2001) this in turn may limit their
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access to cannabis. Bond et al. (2007) found that good social connectedness at school
increased the risk of cannabis use in adolescence. Further research is needed to better
establish the reasons for the presence or absence of associations between involvement in
various aspects of peer aggression and later substance use. Unlike a previous study
(Niemela et al. 2011), this study found no association between cigarette smoking and
peer aggression after adjusting for mental health. It is likely that any association
between peer aggression and smoking is mediated by pre-existing and co-existing
mental health problems.
This study extends current knowledge of the outcomes associated with peer
aggression. Previous longitudinal studies have either adjusted for co-existing mental
health problems at the same age as when the peer aggression was measured (Kaltiala-
Heino et al., 2010; Kim et al., 2006; Klomek et al., 2008; Sourander, Jensen, Rönning,
et al., 2007b) or controlled for early childhood mental health problems that preceded the
peer aggression (Fisher et al., 2012). To the best of our knowledge this is the first study
to control for both pre-existing and co-existing mental health problems. These results
provide strong evidence of a temporal relationship between peer aggression and later
mental health problems suggesting that this outcome is not simply a continuation of pre-
existing psychopathology. This study shows that whilst some forms of peer aggression
are associated with later outcomes independent of pre-existing emotional and
behavioural problems (e.g. victims of peer aggression at 14 years and internalising
symptoms at 17 years), other outcomes are no longer significant (e.g. perpetrators of
peer aggression at 14 years and externalising behaviours at 17 years).
Strengths of this study include the prospective longitudinal methodology and the
use of well validated measures for depression (BDI-Y) and internalising and
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17
externalising problems (CBCL/YSR). However, like all research, this study has
limitations. The measures used to assess peer aggression and substance use were
questionnaires designed specifically for the Raine study and therefore not widely used
measures. Additionally, the questionnaire did not collect information about the severity
or type of peer aggression (Shaw et al., 2013; Griffin & Gross, 2004) or the different
roles of adolescents in this behaviour such as reinforcing the victim or perpetrator or
bystanding (Gini, Albiero, Benelli, & Altoè, 2008; Salmivalli, Lagerspetz, Björkqvist,
Österman, & Kaukiainen, 1996). Although the study asked participants if they had been
victims of aggression in the previous three months, there was no measurement of when
the perpetration of aggression took place. Therefore, some of the participants who
endorsed that they had perpetrated aggression may have only engaged in that behaviour
when they were much younger.
Another limitation is that this study did not assess cyber aggression
independently of traditional forms of peer aggression. Little is known about the
differences between cyber aggression and traditional peer aggression in terms of long-
term impacts although several studies have linked cyber aggression (victim and
perpetrator) to mental health problems and suicidal behaviour (Dooley, Pyżalski, &
Cross, 2009; Hinduja & Patchin, 2010; Schneider, O'Donnell, Stueve, & Coulter, 2012).
However, it has been suggested that individuals may be engaged in both forms
of peer aggression. Therefore some of the consequences associated with traditional
forms of peer aggression observed in this analysis may be the result of an overlap with
unmeasured cyber forms of aggression. In addition, some participants reporting no
involvement in traditional forms of peer aggression may have engaged in cyber
aggression. A recent study has shown cyber aggression (victim or perpetrator) to be a
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unique predictor of depressive symptoms and suicidal ideation after controlling for sex
and traditional peer aggression (Bonanno & Hymel, 2013). It is therefore important that
future peer aggression instruments measure involvement in cyber aggression along with
traditional forms of peer aggression, to enable comparisons and assess independent and
combined effects. Given the increasing accessibility to, and reliance on, technology,
cyber aggression should be addressed as a unique risk factor both in terms of
interventions and research (Bonanno & Hymel, 2013).
Although this study used clinical cut-offs, dichotomization of emotional and
behavioural problems that were measured on a continuum may have resulted in a loss of
information about individual differences and reduced the effect size and power of
statistical tests (MacCallum, Zhang, Preacher, & Rucker, 2002). Furthermore the
absence of an association between the victim-perpetrators and alcohol or cannabis use is
likely a result of lack of power due to the relatively small number of participants in this
group. A study with greater power may well have yielded a significant association.
Additionally the externalising subscale of the YSR has one item (of 28) that asks about
‘use alcohol and drugs for non-medical purposes.’ A decision was made to retain this
item in the YSR even though other outcomes measured alcohol and cannabis use.
Retention of this item enables the well validated clinical cut offs to be used in the study.
The final limitation of this current study was the attrition rate which varied
across follow-up periods and among measured variables. Attrition is expected amongst
large cohort studies and this attrition rate is similar to other large Australian birth cohort
studies (Najman et al., 2005). Multiple imputation could not be used in this study to
address the attrition rate. Only baseline information is available for a large proportion of
those lost-to-follow-up with no early measurement of our main variables of interest
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(peer aggression - victim, perpetrator, and victim-perpetrator and mental health and
substance use problems) for these participants. The variables available at baseline are
not strong predictors of the missing process and therefore imputing based on these
baseline variables would not give our study a more accurate result (Enders, 2010; Spratt
et al., 2010).
It is possible however that the selective attrition among socially disadvantaged
families may have impacted on the current results as previous studies have shown that
children or adolescents who come from socially disadvantaged families are at an
increased risk of involvement in peer aggression as either the victim or perpetrator
(Jansen et al., 2011; Kim et al., 2006). Selective attrition among social disadvantaged
families has been consistently reported in studies utilising Raine cohort data
(Whitehouse et al., 2010). The loss of participants from socially disadvantaged families
may have led to an underestimation of the prevalence of peer aggression in this sample
and therefore an attenuation of the associations between peer aggression and the
outcome. Selective attrition in a similar longitudinal study, however, did not invalidate
regression models used to predict behavioural outcomes (Wolke et al., 2009). While the
loss of these participants may have affected the results of this study, the original cohort
over-represented socially-disadvantaged women (Li et al., 2008), and therefore this
pattern of attrition may have increased the extent to which the findings can be
generalised.
This study provides strong evidence that peer aggression is independently
associated with adverse mental health and alcohol problems and that there is a temporal
relationship with the peer aggression preceding later mental health and alcohol
problems. Mental health problems continue to rank highly as causes of global morbidity
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(Murray et al., 2012). There is robust evidence strongly supported by this current study
that peer aggression is associated with both co-existing and future mental health
problems. The causes of mental health problems are complex and many aetiological
factors such as genetic disposition, poverty and child maltreatment are difficult to
modify (Norman et al., 2012; Scott, Varghese, & McGrath, 2010). Peer aggression is
considered a modifiable risk factor for mental health problems (Scott, Moore, Sly, &
Norman et al. 2013) with school wide interventions that involve the entire school
community (i.e. both staff and students) found to be effective in reducing the prevalence
of peer aggression (Vreeman & Carroll, 2007). With an urgent need to address the
persistently high prevalence of mental health problems in adolescents, this study
highlights the need for implementation of effective interventions to reduce the high
prevalence of children and adolescents engaging in peer aggression.
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Table 1.
Prevalence and sex differences in peer aggression at 14 years and characteristics of
participants included in the study at 21 years
Peer Aggression and Bullying
No#
n (%)
Yes
n (%)
Model 1
OR (95% CI) N=1590
Victims 1074 (89.9%) 121 (10.1%)
Females 569 (53.0%) 67 (55.4%) Reference
Males 505 (47.0%) 54 (44.6%) 0.91 (0.62- 1.33)
Perpetrators 1074 (78.6%) 293 (21.4%)
Females 569 (53.0%) 99 (33.8%) Reference
Males 505 (47.0%) 194 (66.2%) 2.20 (1.69- 2.89)**
Victim-Perpetrators 1074 (91.3%) 102 (8.7%)
Females 569 (53.0%) 41 (40.2%) Reference
Males 505 (47.0%) 61 (59.8%) 1.68 (1.11- 2.53)*
No longer in the study at 21 years
No
n (%)
Yes
n (%)
Model 1
OR (95% CI)
Sex (N=2868)
Females 394 (27.9%) 1019 (72.1%) Reference
Males 324 (22.3%) 1131 (77.7%) 1.35 (1.14- 1.60)**
Internalising Behaviours
2 yrs. (N=1990)
No 508 (49.0%) 109 (55.1%) Reference
Yes 529 (51.0%) 89 (44.9%) 1.25 (0.88- 1.79)
Internalising Behaviours
5 yrs. (N=2170)
No 477 (48.1%) 140 (57.6%) Reference
Yes 515 (51.9%) 103 (42.4%) 1.32 (1.04- 1.69)^
Externalising Behaviours
2 yrs. (N=1990)
No 380 (50.3%) 237 (50.8%) Reference
Yes 376 (49.7%) 230 (49.2%) 1.40 (1.04- 1.88)^
Externalising Behaviours
5 yrs. (N=2170)
No 563 (51.2%) 49 (42.6%) Reference
Yes 537 (48.8%) 66 (57.4%) 1.61 (1.27- 2.05)**
Family Income (N=1236)
Low
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Middle 508 (49.3%) 113 (54.9%) 1.25 (0.92- 1.69)
High 522 (50.7%) 93 (45.1%) Reference
OR = Odds Ratio; CI = 95% Confidence Interval; ^ p< 0.05; * p< 0.01; ** p< 0.001
Model 1= unadjusted OR’s
Note: Number of participants varies due to different response rate
# Participants who were uninvolved in any type of bullying behaviour (comparison group)
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OR = Odds Ratio; CI = 95% Confidence Interval; ^ p< 0.05; * p< 0.01; ** p< 0.001
Model 1= adjusted for sex, family income, mothers mental health, family structure; Model 2= adjusted for sex, family income,
mothers mental health, family structure, substance use at 14; Model 2= adjusted for sex, family income, mothers mental health,
family structure, substance use at 14 years, pre-existing mental health at 5 and 14 years.
Note: Number of participants varies due to different response rates
Table 2.
Associations between peer aggression at age 14 and mental health outcomes at age 17
Depression as measured by the BDI
N = 1103 No
n (%)
Yes
n (%)
Model 1
OR (95% CI)
Model 2
OR (95% CI)
Model 3
OR (95% CI)
Victims
No 612 (92.6%) 149 (81.4%) Reference Reference Reference
Yes 49 (7.4%) 34 (18.6%) 2.70 (1.61-4.52)** 2.63 (1.55-4.46)** 2.12 (1.22-3.69)*
Perpetrators
No 612 (81.6%) 149 (72.3%) Reference Reference Reference
Yes 138 (18.4%) 57 (27.7%) 2.13 (1.43-3.18)** 2.05 (1.38-3.08)** 1.81 (1.19-2.76)*
Victim-Perpetrators
No 612 (93.6%) 149 (87.1%) Reference Reference Reference
Yes 42 (6.4%) 79 (12.9%) 2.84 (1.55-5.20)** 2.51 (1.34-4.70)** 1.71 (0.87-3.36)
N=1114 Internalising Behaviours as
measured by the YSR
Victims
No 680 (92.1%) 91 (78.5%) Reference Reference Reference
Yes 58 (7.9%) 25 (21.5%) 2.92 (1.69-5.05)** 2.96 (1.68-5.19)* 2.34 (1.25-4.37)*
Perpetrators
No 680 (81.0%) 91 (70.5%) Reference Reference Reference
Yes 159 (19.0%) 38 (29.5%) 1.82 (1.16-2.84)* 1.87 (1.19-2.92)* 1.53 (0.93-2.52)
Victim-Perpetrators
No 680 (94.3%) 91 (80.5%) Reference Reference Reference
Yes 41 (5.7%) 22 (19.5%) 3.85 (2.09-7.08)** 3.16 (1.67-6.01)** 1.78 (0.84-3.78)
N=1114 Externalising Behaviours as
measured by the YSR
Victims
No 656 (90.7%) 115 (87.8%) Reference Reference Reference
Yes 67 (9.3%) 16 (12.2%) 1.28 (0.69-2.36) 1.27 (0.69-2.36) 1.10 (0.56-2.19)
Perpetrators
No 656 (82.2%) 115 (67.7%) Reference Reference Reference
Yes 142 (17.8%) 55 (32.3%) 2.36 (1.57-3.53)** 2.27 (1.51-3.41)** 1.12 (0.68-1.84)
Victim-Perpetrators
No 656 (95.2%) 115 (79.3%) Reference Reference Reference
Yes 33 (4.8%) 30 (20.7%) 6.41 (3.60-11.4)** 5.57 (3.08-10.09)** 2.23 (1.08-4.64)^
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OR = Odds Ratio; CI = 95% Confidence Interval; ^ p< 0.05; * p< 0.01; ** p< 0.001
Model 1= adjusted for sex, family income, mothers mental health, family structure; Model 2= adjusted for sex, family income,
mothers mental health, family structure, substance use at 14; Model 2= adjusted for sex, family income, mothers mental health,
family structure, substance use at 14 years, pre-existing mental health at 5 and 14 years.
Note: Number of participants varies due to different response rates
Table 3.
Associations between peer aggression at age 14 and substance use at age 17
Harmful Alcohol Use
N=1101 No
n (%)
Yes
n (%)
Model 1
OR (95% CI)
Model 2
OR (95% CI)
Model 3
OR (95% CI)
Victims
No 473 (88.6%) 288 (92.9%) Reference Reference Reference
Yes 61 (11.4%) 22 (7.1%) 0.57 (0.34-0.98)^ 0.52 (0.30-0.91)^ 0.48 (0.26-0.88)^
Perpetrators
No 473 (83.6%) 288 (73.8%) Reference Reference Reference
Yes 93 (16.4%) 102 (26.2%) 1.87 (1.34-2.63)** 1.80 (1.28-2.54)** 1.76 (1.23-2.53)*
Victim-Perpetrators
No 473 (91.7%) 288 (93.8%) Reference Reference Reference
Yes 43 (8.3%) 19 (6.2%) 0.64 (0.35-1.17) 0.66 (0.36-1.22) 0.54 (0.27-1.06)
N=1094 Harmful Cannabis Use
Victims
No 699 (90.3%) 59 (89.4%) Reference
Yes 75 (7.9%) 7 (10.6%) 0.81 (0.33-1.99)
Perpetrators
No 699 (81.2%) 59 (67.1%) Reference
Yes 162 (18.8%) 29 (32.9%) 1.61 (0.96-2.70)
Victim-Perpetrators
No 699 (92.8%) 88 (86.8%) Reference
Yes 54 (7.2%) 9 (13.2%) 1.55 (0.69-3.50)
N=1113 Cigarette Smoking
Victims
No 660 (90.9%) 109 (85.8%) Reference Reference Reference
Yes 66 (9.1%) 45 (14.2%) 1.65 (0.94-2.89) 1.36 (0.74-2.50) 1.45 (0.78-2.72)
Perpetrators
No 660 (81.3%) 109 (70.8%) Reference Reference Reference
Yes 152 (18.7%) 45 (29.2%) 1.79 (1.21-2.65)* 1.69 (1.10-2.60)^ 1.14 (0.70-1.86)
Victim-Perpetrators
No 660 (93.2%) 109 (87.9%) Reference Reference Reference
Yes 48 (6.8%) 15 (12.1%) 1.89 (1.02-3.50)^ 1.70 (0.85-3.38) 1.11 (0.51-2.39)
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