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Buyer Behavior changes in Luxury Travel a June 2017 update for Chief Digital Marketer Ed Alexander

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Buyer Behavior changes in Luxury Travel

a June 2017 update for

Chief Digital MarketerEd Alexander

Buyer Behavior changes in Luxury Travel

Resources used in this report

American Affluence

Research Center

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What has changed? How should agents change?

Agenda: This is the future now

Trendspotting - new, now, next

Adapting – to keep pace

Transforming – to lead change

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Get these right, and you could succeed in attracting Wealthy and Mass Affluent customers.

Opening Conclusions:

• Travelers are notoriously early tech adopters • Travelers prefer Authentic Experience over Luxury Brand• Brokers & Agents regain relevance as choice proliferates • Behavior shifts affect luxury travel

What has changed? How should agents change?

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a)User Generated Content (UGC) – welcome it!Support & curate it with: interactive planning, group collaboration, social chat

b) Clients become Ambassadors and Evangelists- if they like how you make them feel. (see item (a) above)

c) Use tech to enhance the human connection. Seamless facilitation for buyers (see item (a) above)

What has changed? How should agents change?

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Travelers are notoriously early tech adopters

Upshot: Hire tech savvy talent

Interest Over TimeLuxury Yacht; Yacht

Boating

2004 2008 2012 2016

2004 2008 2012 2016

What has changed? How should agents change?

Q: Do these trends coincide with wealth concentration?

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Authentic experience vs. luxury brand

Luxury Travel Travel Reviews Travel Blog

2004 2008 2012 2016

What has changed? How should agents change?

(call it something else) always relevant; what’s your rep?

table stakes now

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Authentic experience vs. luxury brand

Upshot: Blog / socialize

The Mass Luxury Challenge

Digital Strategy – 3 topics

18%

Influence Disruption Activation

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The Mass Luxury Challenge

Digital Strategy

1. Digital’s growing influence

% of Luxury Sales

2015: 6% ($14B/$224B)2025: 18% ($70B/$390B)

2015 2025

18%

Influence Disruption Activation

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$14B

$70B

Upshot: Hire tech savvy talent

The Mass Luxury Challenge

Digital Strategy

2. Digital Disruption

Pre-digital (was): Brand-centric exclusive brand image

Post-digital (is): Buyer-centric frequent, relevant engagement

Influence Disruption Activation

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Upshot: Blog / socialize

The Mass Luxury Challenge

Digital Strategy

3. Digital Activation

Marketing spend cranks up to address:Multiple touchpoints Single view of client

Influence Disruption Activation

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Upshot: Get media tech-savvy

The Mass Luxury Challenge

Digital Strategy

3. Digital Activation

Marketing spend cranks up to address:Multiple touchpoints Single view of client

Social channels crank up to: Build online communities Create purpose Leverage convenience

Influence Disruption Activation

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The Mass Luxury Challenge

2. Discretionary Spending Trends

The Shift to Thrift

Global Spending Power

Mass Affluence

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Travel issues:

Over-tourism Sustainability Security Privacy

What has changed? How should we change?

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Upshot: Know the locals

2017 Luxury Brands

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The Shift to Thrift

2017 Luxury Brands

Can you name them all?

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The Shift to Thrift

Upshot: Address frugality

About the HNW:

Who are they? Where are they?

How do they buy? How do we sell?

How are they changing? How are we adapting?

f

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Global Spending Power

About the NHW: Who are they? Where are they?

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2000 (41,000)

2015 (128,000)

Worldwide UHNW (>$50M) Population Growth, 2000 - 2015

$50M $100M $500M

14,000 1,200

45,000

4,300

25,800

78,700

3X

Global Spending Power

Upshot: More Buyers

About the HNW: Who are they? Where are they?

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Global Spending Power

The new luxury hotspots, based on luxury property growth

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Global Spending Power

The Growth Markets: Who are they? Where are they?

Urban World: The New Global Consumers

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Upshot: Learn Chinese?

Urban World*: The 3 Global Consumers to Watch (McKinsey, 2016) *91% of global consumption will occur in cities.

❶ Retirees in US, W.EU and NE Asia (>60 YO)

• Will grow by 1/3 to 222M in 2030 (US:+10K/day)• Will generate >1/3 of global consumption growth • Per Capita spending will DOUBLE –

2005: 30%; 2030: 60%

❷ China's working age consumers (age 15 - 59)

• Will grow 20% to 100M by 2030• Per capita spending will DOUBLE• Optimistic about financial future • 2x more willing to pay more for new products

❸ N. American, working age (15-59)

• Inequality rising - Median net worth of top 20% is 8x the other 80% (up from 4x in 2000)

• Incomes under pressure - suggests multi-tier pricing • 20% more likely to use sharing economy services;

this may require customized strategies

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Concern: overinflated economy

US Concerns: High Debt Low Savings

$$ $

$ $$Why Watch These Groups?

They stimulate consumption growth. Was: new spenders, until pop. growth ↓ Is: same spenders - per-capita spend ↑

Marketing Challenges - are you equipped for:

1 : 1 Relationships - retargeting and recommendations-based buying

Profile each target buyer

Age •Income • Ethnicity Shopping preferences • Buying habits

Where they are • What they want What drives their spending

Urban World*: The 3 Global Consumers to Watch (McKinsey, 2016) *91% of global consumption will occur in cities.

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$ Was: New Spenders

Is: Same SpendersUpshot: Embrace analytics

❶ Retiring & elderly in the developed world

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❶ Retiring & elderly in the developed world

In the US, this group will represent more than 40% of consumption growth in:

40%↑

Housing Transport

Entertainment

spending

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❶ Retiring & elderly in the developed world

In the US, this group will represent more than 40% of consumption growth in:

2006: 33%

2011: 50%

Home Improvement: A decade ago, people aged 55+ accounted for <33%of US spend on home improvement. By 2011, this grew to nearly 50%.40%↑

Housing Transport

Entertainment

spending

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❶ Retiring & elderly in the developed world

Home Improvement purchase growth trend may also signal an affinity market for luxury travel sales. Why?

=

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❶ Retiring & elderly in the developed world

(a) Both require planning assistance (b) Older citizens are likely buyers of both

Caveats: 1. Home improvement trend may signal frugality (underwater mortgages), yet some older homeowners have mortgages paid off, freeing cash for entertainment and travel 2. Over 90% of all affluent retirees are self-made, accustomed to running things – not idle rich.

Home Improvement purchase growth trend may also signal an affinity market for luxury travel sales. Why?

=

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Agents wanted!

Upshot: Agents relevant

Entertainment is multifaceted. Affinity markets matter.

❶ Retiring & elderly in the developed world

=

In the US, this group will represent more than 40% of consumption growth in:

40%↑

Housing Transport

Entertainment

spending

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Upshot: Find partners

❶ Retiring & elderly in the developed world

Travel plans:

1. YES! Travel is in just about everyone’s plans.2. Price is not a dealbreaker, but it needs proof. 3. Bucket List items vary with wealth and life stage4. Hot spots are, of course, hotspots 5. Connecting while away is “table stakes” for some, but not all6. Fun and family are primary drivers of travel

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❸ North America’s working-age population

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Impact investing

EntertainmentWarm Climate

Active Lifestyle

Romance Culinary SustainabilityWorld Sport

2000 2016

4x 8x

Top 20%

Other 80%

Net Worth

Affluent young consumers They are fewer (15% of all Millennials), but also more affluent - increasingly so.

❸ North America’s working-age population

15% 8x$$$

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2000 2016

4x 8x

Top 20%

Other 80%

Net Worth

Affluent young consumers They are fewer (15% of all Millennials), but also more affluent - increasingly so.

❸ North America’s working-age population

15% 8x$$$

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Today, the median net worth of the top 20% of young-adult households is 8X that of the other 80%, up from 4x in 2000.

❸ North America’s working-age population: who are they?

About those affluent Millennials ….

ETERNAL OPTIMISTS

ENGAGEDDECISION MAKERS

OPEN MINDED

SOCIAL CENTRIC

HUNGRY FOR INFO

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Upshot: Content is King

2017 Luxury Market Shifts Buyer Profile

Media Social, not traditional

Behavior“NET SET”: Global citizen, midcareer, tribe-aligned

Preference Experiences vs Things

Value trend Lease / share vs. own

Engagement Frictionless, online

Environment Tech-enabled

Channels Digital (mobile, social, app)

ValuesSpirituality, well being, conscience, ethics, taste

Source: Luxury Society

Brand Centric

“What I own”

Buyer Centric

“Who Iam”

❸ North America’s working-age population: where are they?

( )

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was: is:

How are we adapting to reach them?

• Referrals and Influencers

• Events and Activities (passion, partner, charity)

• Web, Social, AI (1:1)

• Chatbots (on-demand CSR)

❸ North America’s working-age population

About those affluent Millennials ….

Source: The American Affluence Research Board

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❸ North America’s working-age population

They are mobile …

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Upshot: bemobile-responsive

❸ North America’s working-age population

Source: The GrabYourWallet.org top list of businesses to boycott

2/2/17

They vote their conscience when aligning with brands

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2017 Luxury BrandsThey vote their pocketbooks, too.

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35 - 66 College educated

White collar Married

Caucasian F.I.R.E.

About the 1%: Who are they?

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The 1%: How do they buy? How do we sell?

Research what they buy, who sells to them, and how

Purchase Habits • Websites • Social Channels Set Alerts • Nurture & Support Partnerships for co-selling

Ultimate Status Symbols of the Super-Rich (partner opportunities)

Private island Unlimited First Class Air Travel PassPrivate jet Exclusive designer handbags - Birkn, etc. Electric supercar Limited edition cars Children's car Submarine Luxury treehouse Expensive stocks (ex.: Berkshire Hathaway) Robot butler Membership in elite club Enchanted forest (legacy trees) Amex Centurion Black Card Kiteboard Mega-mansion Attractive bodyguard Superyacht

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Upshot: Exploit Your niche

Philanthropy Sports Travel Reading Art Cultural events Fashion and style Golf Politics Dining Wine and spirits Hunting Boating Jewelry Health and exercise Fishing Automobiles Watches Collectibles (cars, etc.) Skiing

Top Hobbies of Billionaires (more Partner markets)

Hmmm… How and where do they socialize about these things?

Source: businessinsider.com

?

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Upshot: Exploit your niche

2017 Luxury Market Shifts Source: Luxury Society

Even More Partner Markets Relevant Influencers (consider engaging)

Concierge Personal Assistant Private Jet Charter Sports (Tennis, LaCrosse) Business and Leadership Self improvementFinance – Stocks, Bonds, Real Estate

Good Read (Forbes): “Luxury Market Travel Trends Shift as Affluent Millennials Act on Their Aspirations”

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Currency devaluedEconomy cooling

Geopolitical effects

Luxury Cities, Millionaire Migration Source: Luxury Society

Buyers Partners Brand HQ

+11,000

+10,000

+8,000-12K

-9K

-8K

+4,000

-6K

-6K

Migration Factors: EducationSafetyClimate Healthcare Cleanliness

Source: New World Wealth

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Key HNW Issues Source: US Trust

1. Health - a top factor in "living well".

2. Life purpose – this would not change, even if all money were lost.

3. Social impact - top investing interests:38% Enviro. protection & sustainability 35% Healthcare quality and access 35% Disease prevention, treatment and cure 24% Access to education 23% Veterans' assistance 21% Child and youth development

4. Family - #2 after Health (career = #3 during peak earning years)

5. Equality - Women and men contribute equally to household wealth

6. Financial planning - essential to financial success.

7. Wealth / Health balance – difficult to do.

Formative Family Values Charity Academic achievement Financial discipline (recession-induced thrift)

Rich people are cheap! Brands they shop:

Millennials' Outlook Confidence in future is high Connections are a big success factor

- includes mentors and Board members

- Regardless of age

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Upshot: Address shifting values

14%29%

Target market

Affluence in America – long term trend

Source: CEPA Report - Stanford Center for Economic Policy Analysis, March 2016

The US HNW Market is expanding

Share of affluent & high income households has doubled in US since 1970

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Affluent

High Income

Hi-Mid Income

Lo-Mid Income

Low Income

Poor

Marketing to the HNW

If Luxury is - by definition - exclusive, and the NHW is expanding …

Q: How do you market broadly, yet remain exclusive?

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Marketing to the HNW

How do you market broadly, yet remain exclusive?

A: Do both.

If Luxury is - by definition - exclusive, and the NHW is expanding …

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Marketing to the HNW

If Luxury is, by definition, exclusive...

Market Broadly.

Create aspirational products and experiences that

appeal to broader audience interests

Align with shared values: transparency, privacy, impact, adventure, sustainability …

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Marketing to the HNW

If Luxury is, by definition, exclusive...

Remain Exclusive. Cultivate insider relations with:

Clients Influencers (values and relevance)High potential prospects

Deliver exclusive benefits

High value content Members-only Perks

VIP-Exclusive Experiences

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Cultivate “insider” relations • Clients • Influencers (value, relevance)• High potential prospects

Deliver exclusive benefits • Members-only Perks • VIP-Exclusive Experiences • High value content

Marketing to the HNW

If Luxury is, by definition, exclusive...

Be Exclusive.

Connect with a key Influencer’s affinity groups based on his/her engagement with your brand.

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Marketing to the HNW

2 words about privacy: It depends.

So, maybe … ask about it?

Ultra HNW: Highly Guarded

New HNW:

Digital Native:

Less insistent

Online sharer

Less affluent: Less concerned

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Upshot: Personify integrity

Top Trip Types across generations

Significant decline

over 2016

Balearic Islands Costa Rica Bali Cuba Bermuda Fiji Bora Bora Galapagos Islands Cancun Sardinia Corfu Seychelles

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Get to know:

Who they are Where they are

How they buy How we sell

How they are changing How we adapt

The US HNW Market is expanding

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Hire tech savvy talent

Blog and get social

Get media tech-savvy

Know the locals

Address frugality

More Buyers

Learn Chinese?

Embrace analytics

Agents relevant

Content is King

Exploit your niche

Market broadly

Offer exclusives

Personify integrity

Address shifting values

Upshot:

Be mobile-responsive

Thank you!

For in-depth, tailored assistance, or if you have a question, contact:

Ed Alexander, Chief Digital Marketer [email protected]+1 781 492 7638 USA East

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Appendix

Industry info

Tactical Approaches in Specific Markets