business plan for a centralized pig abattoir in masaka, uganda
TRANSCRIPT
Business plan for a centralized pig abattoir in Masaka, Uganda
Uganda smallholder smallholder pigs value chain review and planning meeting
Kampala, 14-15 May 2015
Mable Kabagabu
Presentation summary
• Background• Business strategy• SWOT Analysis• Market opportunity.• Market segregation• Competition• Pork demand• Pork supply• Financing plan• Implementation• Recommendation
Background
• Pig production has been on the increase in Uganda. According toinformation from (MAAIF 2011) the numbers of pigs in Uganda has beenincreasing by 3% today’s more than two million pigs are in the hands of1.1 million households (MAAIF 2009).
• In 2011, Uganda had the highest per capita consumption of pork in sub-Saharan Africa (3.4 kg per person per year) (ILRI 2011).
• However, the pork production is characterized by several constraints, likelimited market information and standards, poor slaughter technologiesand infrastructures, disease control and public health concerns whichposses a health risk to pork consumers. (ILRI 2014).
• Therefore the is need for central pig abattoir where pigs can be properly
slaughtered, inspected for quality before being released to the market for
consumption.
4
Expected Business case
Union-Slaughter house
Pig Abattoir as a of Hub services to farmers
Fresh cuts factory ( Seguku).
Farmers
Cooperative.
Farmer cooperative
Payment for BDS via
pig/pork deduction
Payment for pork/ pig
BDS services e.g.Agro vet, Animal health, transport etc.
Provision of services
Direct Payment for BDS services
Pig/pork Payments
and Dividends
Pig/pork Payments and
Dividends
Investment for establishing services or payment
subsidization of existing services
Traders buy from the slaughter house and sell pork joints.
Abattoir SWOT analysis
.
Helpful
to achieving the objective and must be
maintained.
Harmful
to achieving the objective and must be
converted to strengths and opportunities.
Inte
rnal
ori
gin
(att
ribute
s of
the
syst
em)
Strengths
Farmer owned, thus resulting in
farmer willingness to participate by
supplying of pigs.
Availability of pigs in region greater
Masaka.
Economies of scale due to
aggregation and bulk selling.
Profitability of the abattoir.
Weaknesses
Lack of resources for setting up the
abattoir.
Disenfranchised farmers have no
bargaining capacity.
Lack of logistical support for members
to operate effectively.
The cooperative is not yet registered.
Low numbers of members mobilized.
Exte
rnal
ori
gin
(att
ribute
s of
the
envir
onm
ent)
Opportunities
Increasing demand for quality pork in
the country.
Support from development partners.
Planned local government regulation
for pig business in Masaka.
No organized provision of BDS.
Threats
Competition from pig traders.
Diseases like ASF.
Resistance to adapt to new concept of
Business hub model.
• The SWOT analysis will enable us get competitive strength for Masaka.
Market opportunity
• The current daily consumption of pigs (pigs slaughtered per day) in
Kampala city alone is estimated to be between 300 and 500 animals
(Tatwangire 2013).
• The per capita consumption of pork is 3.4 kg/person/year, the
highest in the region. This level of consumption is reported to have
increased 10 times more than it used to be 30 years ago( FOASTAT
2013).
Market Segregation
Formal Market:
• Processors: In Uganda there is
only of processor of pork i.e.
Fresh cuts Uganda with capacity
of handling of 3,000kg per day.
Fresh cuts gets its supplies from
as far as Kabale and Kibale. So
Masaka Union will have an
opportunity to sign a contract and
supply into this market.
Informal Market;
• Traders: According to primary
source, there are 62 pig butchers
within Masaka with each selling
on average 25Kgs and over 158
pork outlets in Kampala (Kungu
M. Joseph)
Competition for Masaka slaughter house
• There are 62 local butchers in Masaka. This also target the pigs fromsmall holder cooperative farmers the same farmers targeted by thecooperative union.
• Traders at Wambizzi cooperative society are a big threat to theabattoir as their mandate requires to source pigs all over the countryMasaka inclusive.
Pork demand per Capita
0
0.5
1
1.5
2
2.5
3
3.5
4
Northern Western Eastern Central Kampala
Pork demand
Urban(Mts)
Rural(Mts)
Source: Uganda national household survey 2012/2013.
In the above graph, the total pork demand is 19Mts per annum. Most of it isconsumed in Central region and Kampala. This huge domestic demand is goodopportunity for pork producers in the country and Masaka Union farmerscould take advantage of this and make business
Number of pigs in greater Masaka region
.
- 50,000 100,000 150,000 200,000 250,000
Masaka
Rakai
Sembabule
Lyatonde
Kalangala
Pigs
Masaka is the biggest producer of pigs according to the livestock statistics
produced by UBOS as per the above graph. This implies that establishing
the abattoir in Masaka will have enough supplies of pigs and smallholders
farmers will be helped as a result. Greater Masaka will produce total of
about 388,734 pigs.
Source: UBOS statistics 2011
Expected pig supplies to the abattoir
The pig supply analysis to the abattoir
Number of operating days in the year 365 Percentage
Total Number of pigs in Masaka 388,734
Pigs segregated by purpose
Boar 9% 34,986
Sow 10% 38,873
Gilt 15% 58,310
Weaning 15% 58,310
Finishers 21% 81,634
Piglets 30% 116,620
Total Herd 100% 388,734
Total finishers expected to the abattoir 10% 8,163.41
Expected daily supplies to the abattoir. 22
Source; ILRI benchmark survey and focus group discussion
Abattoir financing plan
• For farmers to have stake in the business, they are expected toraise 23% of the finances in form of equity.
• As seen from the graph above 23% of the financing will beraised from farmers as equity and 77% will be commercial debt.
Equity 23%
Debit77%
The Abattoir Financing plan
Source: Assumptions
Phased Implementation of the Abattoir
Initial capital cost. As seen in the above extract from the
finance model, Option I requires only USD 83,064 compared to
Option II which requires initial capital of USD 204,564.It is
easier for union to raise $83,064 than $204,564.
Particulars
Option I(10-15
pigs per day)
Option II(25-50 Pig
per day)
Initial capital investment UGX 234,489,672.0 577,484,172.0
Initial capital investment USD 83,064.0 204,564.0
Net present value UGX 256,854,314.0 184,122,122.0
Net present value USD 90,986.3 65,222.1
IRR (%) 64.16 39.9
Profitability levels (%) 8 to 9 9% to 15%
Leverage ratio Ratio 0.68:1 3.34:1
Implemtation plan for abattoir
Organization of Masaka abattoir
.Chairman
BOD.
Accountant
General hand-staff
Slaughterers
Abattoir Manager.
Source: Cooperative by-laws
Abattoir management
• The Board of Directors:
This will comprise of representatives from different primarycooperatives. The BOD will have 9 delegates each representing aprimary cooperative. This BOD will be the top most policy organ ofthe union responsible for policies and strategic plans. It will directlysupervise the operations of the business and management teamheaded by the secretary manager.
• Abattoir Manager. The secretary manager will be the overall paidemployee of the union responsible to operationalize the abattoiractivities. He will be responsible for all the staff of the abattoir and isexpected to turn around the farmers investment into profitablebusiness.
Risk and Mitigations of the abattoir
Risk Mitigation
• There is eminent risk of the abattoir
not attracting membership from the
greater Masaka region as planned.
This means less buy in for abattoir
and related services by the
smallholder farmers .
• The Cooperative leadership,
development partners to mobilize
and support mobilization effort.
This will reduce the objection from
small holder farmers shunning the
abattoir business by the cooperative.
• The abattoir may remain a good plan
on the paper without funds to
operationalize the plan. Farmers need
at least UGX178M and maximum of
about UGX 577M.Collected to date is
1.1M.
• Union interim committee should
mobilize for funds by lobbying
government and other development
partners to realize required funds
for investment in the abattoir. This
is provided for as other sources.
• Lack of title in the land provided by
the district local government. The
cooperative union, the owner of
business has no registered land in its
names and yet the investment is so
significant.
• The Union is not yet registered
• Fast track the cooperative
registration so that the land can be
registered appropriately. This will
alley fears of investing that huge
some of money only to realize that
land is not for the local council in
light of land grabbing experience.
Recommendations
.
Economically: The abattoir is economically viable and subjective to theresults of the financial projections for options 1 and 2,the two optionsmay be implemented as mutually exclusive projects as a result of fundsavailability may be implemented in the phased way as mobilization of startcapital may be insufficient.
Increased pig supply: The sustainability of abattoir profitability dependson mobilizing and recruiting more farmers beyond the current 392farmers and 10 primary cooperatives.
Significant initial Capital expenditure: This expenditure will delay profitsto the union as the break even period is after the 4th year. It isrecommended that the union starts small and grows gradually to fullcapacity of the required option.
Establishment of BDS
Other recommendations
• Private public partnership: The cooperative union can enter apartnership with government under Private Public Partnership toraise enough capital for investment.
• Lobby for government support: The union can lobby for fundingfrom government projects like CAIIP and AMP to realize theirbusiness dream
• Private Partnership: Private Individual/individuals can invest in theabattoir business, as the union focuses on supply of pigs. This willensure ready market for their pigs and no operational costsincurred by the union at the abattoir.
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