burleigh heads area property watch 2013 q2

2
www.prdresearch.com.au Your home of property knowledge Second Quarter │2013 BURLEIGH HEADS AREA Property Watch ® MARKET INDICATORS Change from Last Year Half Year HOUSE SALES HOUSE MEDIAN HOUSE RENTS UNIT SALES UNIT MEDIAN UNIT RENTS The indicators depicted above are based on the year ending January 2013, except for aggregate rental indicators which reflect quarterly data up to March 2013. The price gap between houses and units represents excellent value for money opportunities on offer in the Burleigh Heads Area unit market BURLEIGH HEADS AREA MARKET OVERVIEW The following Property Watch report is the result of an investigation into the historic and current market trends of the Burleigh Heads Area, defined by the suburbs of Burleigh Heads, Burleigh Waters, Miami and Varsity Lakes. Sales in the Burleigh Heads Area house market have been on a steady decline since stimulus packages propped the market up through the second half of 2009 into the first half of 2010. While the back half of 2012 saw more activity in the market, the six months to January 2013 saw sales come back 11 per cent. During this period there were 190 transactions recorded. With the Gold Coast City Council attempting to facilitate construction with their Construction Kickstart initiative (commenced 1 st October 2012), it is hoped this stimulus promotes small to medium-sized businesses and creates short-term construction jobs. The median house price over the past 12 months has strengthened in the Burleigh Heads Area with a notable nine per cent increase over the year to January 2013, rising in a similar vain to that seen from 2009 to 2010. During this time the House Price Points charts notes that there has been a notable contraction of sales activity of approximately seven per cent in the $400,000 to $499,999 price range. Concurrently, the $600,000 plus price range grew seven per cent to account for a total 28 per cent of sales. Although lower priced property still occupies the majority of the market, the expansion of the higher priced properties transacting is a likely sign of the increased mortgage affordability coupled with the development of more flexible options when it comes to mortgage products. However as sales have continued to decline it may be a sign that the latest price rise is unsustainable, with sellers needing to be realistic if they wish to sell their property in a timely manner. BURLEIGH HEADS AREA HOUSE SALES CYCLE Prepared by PRDnationwide Research. Source: PDS $505,000 $0 $100,000 $200,000 $300,000 $400,000 $500,000 $600,000 0 50 100 150 200 250 300 350 400 450 500 2003 JAN 2003 JUL 2004 JAN 2004 JUL 2005 JAN 2005 JUL 2006 JAN 2006 JUL 2007 JAN 2007 JUL 2008 JAN 2008 JUL 2009 JAN 2009 JUL 2010 JAN 2010 JUL 2011 JAN 2011 JUL 2012 JAN 2012 JUL 2013 JAN Median sale price Number of sales Half year period Number of sales Median

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Burleigh Heads Area Property Watch 2013 Q2

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Page 1: Burleigh Heads Area Property Watch 2013 Q2

www.prdresearch.com.au Your home of property knowledge

Second Quarter │2013

BURLEIGH HEADS AREA Property Watch®

MARKET INDICATORS

Change from Last Year Half Year

HOUSE SALES

HOUSE MEDIAN

HOUSE RENTS

UNIT SALES

UNIT MEDIAN

UNIT RENTS

The indicators depicted above are based on the year

ending January 2013, except for aggregate rental

indicators which reflect quarterly data up to March

2013.

The price gap between houses and

units represents excellent value for

money opportunities on offer in the

Burleigh Heads Area unit market

BURLEIGH HEADS AREA MARKET OVERVIEW

The following Property Watch report is the result of an investigation into the

historic and current market trends of the Burleigh Heads Area, defined by the

suburbs of Burleigh Heads, Burleigh Waters, Miami and Varsity Lakes.

Sales in the Burleigh Heads Area house market have been on a steady decline

since stimulus packages propped the market up through the second half of 2009

into the first half of 2010. While the back half of 2012 saw more activity in the

market, the six months to January 2013 saw sales come back 11 per cent.

During this period there were 190 transactions recorded. With the Gold Coast

City Council attempting to facilitate construction with their Construction Kickstart

initiative (commenced 1st October 2012), it is hoped this stimulus promotes small

to medium-sized businesses and creates short-term construction jobs.

The median house price over the past 12 months has strengthened in the

Burleigh Heads Area with a notable nine per cent increase over the year to

January 2013, rising in a similar vain to that seen from 2009 to 2010. During this

time the House Price Points charts notes that there has been a notable

contraction of sales activity of approximately seven per cent in the $400,000 to

$499,999 price range. Concurrently, the $600,000 plus price range grew seven

per cent to account for a total 28 per cent of sales. Although lower priced

property still occupies the majority of the market, the expansion of the higher

priced properties transacting is a likely sign of the increased mortgage

affordability coupled with the development of more flexible options when it comes

to mortgage products. However as sales have continued to decline it may be a

sign that the latest price rise is unsustainable, with sellers needing to be realistic

if they wish to sell their property in a timely manner.

BURLEIGH HEADS AREA HOUSE SALES CYCLE

Prepared by PRDnationwide Research. Source: PDS

$505,000

$0

$100,000

$200,000

$300,000

$400,000

$500,000

$600,000

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

400

450

500

200

3 J

AN

200

3 J

UL

200

4 J

AN

200

4 J

UL

200

5 J

AN

200

5 J

UL

200

6 J

AN

200

6 J

UL

200

7 J

AN

200

7 J

UL

200

8 J

AN

200

8 J

UL

200

9 J

AN

200

9 J

UL

201

0 J

AN

201

0 J

UL

201

1 J

AN

201

1 J

UL

201

2 J

AN

201

2 J

UL

201

3 J

AN

Med

ian

sale

pri

ce

Nu

mb

er

of

sale

s

Half year period

Number of sales

Median

Page 2: Burleigh Heads Area Property Watch 2013 Q2

Prepared by PRDnationwide Research. Source: PDS, ABS, Residential Tenancy Authority. PRDnationwide does not give any warranty in relation to the accuracy of the information contained in this report. If you intend to rely upon the information contained herein, you must take note that the information, figures and projections have been provided by various sources and have not been verified by us. We have no belief one way or the other in relation to the accuracy of such information, figures and projections. PRDnationwide will not be liable for any loss or damage resulting from any statement, figure, calculation or any other information that you rely upon that is contained in the material. Prepared by PRDnationwide Research © All medians and volumes are calculated by PRDnationwide Research. Use with written permission only. All other responsibilities disclaimed. © 2013

Your home of property knowledge www.prdresearch.com.au

Research Analyst │Matt Ballam P (07) 3026 3356 F (07) 3166 0456 E [email protected]

PRDnationwide Burleigh Heads │ P (07) 5535 4544 F (07) 5576 1382 E [email protected]

HOUSE PRICE POINTS

Prepared by PRDnationwide Research. Source: PDS

UNIT PRICE POINTS

Prepared by PRDnationwide Research. Source: PDS

MEDIAN RENTS – 4220 PC

Prepared by PRDnationwide Research. Source: PDS

Sales in the Burleigh Heads Area unit market have been steady and plateaued as

median price has contracted and is beginning to stabilise. In the six month period

ending January 2013, there were 242 recorded unit transactions, representing a

minimal one per cent drop from the previous six months; however represents a

nine per cent increase over 12 months. Over the same time the median price

has come back four per cent over the 12 months (and one per cent over the

previous six months) to round out the January 2013 period at $345,000. With the

median price beginning to level off at its lowest point in six years, now represents

a good time for buyers to enter the market. With a very limited amount of new

unit supply occurring in the Burleigh Heads Area (approximately 31 units), and

none of it due in 2013, median price can be expected to plateau and perhaps rise

provided demand remains stable. Given the price gap between houses and units

is currently at its greatest, the affordability and value for money offered in the unit

market cannot be ignored.

The Unit Price Points chart represents the appetite of buyers for more affordable

property, with the $300,000 to $349,999 accounting for 24 per cent of

transactions, while the sub $350,000 market accounted for 51 per cent of all

transactions for the period. The $550,000 plus market contracted three per cent

over the 12 months to January 2013.

BURLEIGH HEADS AREA UNIT SALES CYCLE

Prepared by PRDnationwide Research. Source: PDS

The rental market in the Burleigh Heads Area has been slow over the past three

years, with the average three year growth rate across all dwelling types sitting at

a very modest 0.49 per cent. For interested investors intent on buying in the

Burleigh Heads Area, three bedroom houses represent the most solid investment

vehicle, with the category receiving a five per cent growth in bonds over three

years, and a one per cent growth in weekly median rent.

MOST ACTIVE SUBURBS FOR THE JANUARY 2013 HALF YEAR

House market No. House Sales Unit Market No. Unit Sales

HY

Jan-13

Annual

Change

HY

Jan-13

Annual

Change

Burleigh Waters 85 -8% Burleigh Heads 103 16%

Varsity Lakes 55 -13% Varsity Lakes 67 8%

Burleigh Heads 29 4% Miami 43 5%

Miami 21 11% Burleigh Waters 29 -6%

Prepared by PRDnationwide Research. Source: PDS

4%

14%

21%

16%

14%

8%

6%

17%

8%

18%

19%

18%

10%

9%

4%

15%

17%

26%

20%

9%

8%

5%

2%

13%

13%

23%

20%

14%

9%

7%

4%

10%

11%

18%

18%

17%

7%

10%

4%

14%

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

Less than$400,000

$400,000 to$449,999

$450,000 to$499,999

$500,000 to$549,999

$550,000 to$599,999

$600,000 to$649,999

$650,000 to$699,999

At least$700,000

Percentage of total sales

Pri

ce p

oin

ts

2011 JAN 2011 JUL 2012 JAN 2012 JUL 2013 JAN

6%

7%

23%

20%

16%

5%

4%

18%

7%

8%

19%

20%

15%

8%

7%

17%

12%

15%

20%

17%

9%

6%

4%

17%

14%

12%

23%

18%

10%

6%

5%

12%

14%

13%

24%

15%

10%

4%

6%

14%

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

Less than$250,000

$250,000 to$299,999

$300,000 to$349,999

$350,000 to$399,999

$400,000 to$449,999

$450,000 to$499,999

$500,000 to$549,999

At least$550,000

Percentage of total sales

Pri

ce

po

ints

2011 JAN 2011 JUL 2012 JAN 2012 JUL 2013 JAN

$270

$350

$410

$435

$530

$280

$350

$420

$440

$500

$270

$360

$420

$450

$540

$-

$1

00

$2

00

$3

00

$4

00

$5

00

$6

00

1 Bed Units

2 Bed Units

3 Bed Units

3 Bed House

4 Bed Houses

Median rent

Dw

ellin

g t

yp

e

Mar-11 Mar-12 Mar-13

$345,000

$0

$50,000

$100,000

$150,000

$200,000

$250,000

$300,000

$350,000

$400,000

$450,000

$500,000

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

800

200

3 J

AN

200

3 J

UL

200

4 J

AN

200

4 J

UL

200

5 J

AN

200

5 J

UL

200

6 J

AN

200

6 J

UL

200

7 J

AN

200

7 J

UL

200

8 J

AN

200

8 J

UL

200

9 J

AN

200

9 J

UL

201

0 J

AN

201

0 J

UL

201

1 J

AN

201

1 J

UL

201

2 J

AN

201

2 J

UL

201

3 J

AN

Med

ian

sale

pri

ce

Nu

mb

er

of

sale

s

Half year period

Number of sales

Median