budget report january 26, 2009 prepared by the business office special board meeting
TRANSCRIPT
Budget Report
January 26, 2009
Prepared by the Business Office
Special Board Meeting
The State Budget shortfall is huge and growing
The Administration’s current estimate is $41 billion over the 17-month period of 2008-09 and 2009-10
A “normal” State Budget has expenditures of about $100 billion
So the shortfall equates to approx. 40% of a single year Budget or 20% of the combined expenditures for two years – either way, a huge number
Legislative Analyst’s Revenue Forecasts
General Fund Revenues(In Billions)
$80
$90
$100
$110
$120
$130
$140
2007-08 2008-09 2009-10 2010-11 2011-12 2012-13
LAO Nov 2007
LAO Nov 2008
Sources: Legislative Analyst’s Office, California’s Fiscal Outlook, November 2007 (p. 26) and November 2008 (p. 18)
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General Fund Revenue Collapse
$103.0 $102.6 $102.6
$87.5
$102.6
$86.3
$75.0
$80.0
$85.0
$90.0
$95.0
$100.0
$105.0
2007-08 2008-09 2009-10
Baseline Revenue Projections1
(In Billions) 2008-09 Budget Act2009-10 Governor's Budget
1 Excludes new tax proposalsSource: 2009-10 Governor's Budget
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2008-09 General Fund Budget
Revenue Sources
Federal Revenues
11%
Other State Revenue
21%
Other Local Revenue
2%
Revenue Limit Sources
66%
Note: The majority of our revenue comes from the State.
2008-09 General Fund Budget
Expenditures and Uses
Benefits21%
Salaries65%
Other1%
Supplies & Services
13%
Note: Personnel costs including salaries and benefits make up 86% of the budget.
Student Enrollment, K - 12
PERCENTSCHOOL YEAR ELEMENTARY MIDDLE TOTAL CHANGE
1999 - 00 47,174 20,651 24,255 92,080
2000 - 01 47,572 20,949 25,133 93,654 1.7%
2001 - 02 46,686 21,625 26,272 94,583 1.0%
2002 - 03 46,619 22,299 27,430 96,348 1.9%
2003 - 04 45,348 22,968 27,658 95,974 -0.4%
2004 - 05 43,744 22,876 28,198 94,818 -1.2%
2005 - 06 41,827 22,227 28,295 92,349 -2.6%
2006 - 07 40,619 21,793 28,148 89,668 -2.9%
2007 - 08 38,507 20,509 28,220 87,236 -2.7%
2008 - 09 (Projected) 37,640 20,048 27,585 85,273 -2.3%
ACTUAL AND PROJECTED
SENIOR HIGH
LBUSD 2008-2009 Adopted Budget
Approved on June 17, 2008
Balanced budget
Deficit spending
Met 2% reserve requirement
Included board-approved $40 million cuts
Assumptions were based on state fiscal projections at the
time
Board-Approved Budget Cuts
Date Amount For Fiscal Year
3-4-08 $19,818,000 08-09
2-19-08 $20,833,000 08-09
8-23-05 $19,757,518 05-06
1-18-05 $27,561,258 04-05 & 05-06
March 4, 2008 Board Action Reduction in BudgetReduce Summer School offering 800,000
Decrease site allocations by 10% 400,000
Reduction in Head Start and Child Development encroachment
1,300,000
Utilize Music and Library Block Grant 1,000,000
Fund Middle School Counselors with SSC carryover 1,200,000
Reduce substitute teacher rate by 10% 1,000,000
Raise Camp Hi-Hill fees 862,000
Butler configuration change -
Eliminate over-quota staff allocations at all schools 1,600,000
Reductions in Superintendent Office, Board of Education, Legal, and others
960,000
Shift in funding and reduction in School Safety 585,800
LBUSD Budget Reductions
March 4, 2008 Board Action, cont’d Reduction in BudgetReductions in Research and Testing 340,000
Reductions in vacant Counselor positions (Elem.) 515,000
Reductions in Elementary Office 154,000
Reduce Community Services program (Rec. Aides 20%) 788,000
Truancy Counseling Center reductions 87,000
Reduction in Student Placement Services positions 187,000
Close School Health Center on Atlantic 297,000
Reduce Student Activity subsidy by 20% 63,000
Shift funding for Bethune and other reductions 112,000
Cut back on Middle School Sports 111,000
Reductions to Personnel Commission budget 353,000
Reductions in HRS 213,000
Cut back on high school support services 626,000
Eliminate extra-curricular transportation for high schools 39,000
CAMS program cutbacks 436,000
Shifts and reductions in High School Office 74,000
LBUSD Budget Reductions, cont’d
LBUSD Budget Reduction, cont’d
March 4, 2008 Board Action, cont’d Reduction in BudgetReductions in Curriculum Services (Instructional resources) 210,000
Financial Services Reductions 4,180,000
Business Services Reductions 1,326,000
Total $19,818,000
LBUSD Budget ReductionsFebruary 19, 2008 Board Action Reduction in Budget
Increase in mega-item shift 1,200,000
Suspend quota bulletin 16,000,000
Reduce number of Asst. Principals 1,066,000
Redirect income from wireless contract 300,000
Program realignment at Tucker 900,000
Staff moving from 12 months to 11.05 months 667,000
Reduction of over-quota classified staff at y/r schools
400,000
Freeze all new hires for support staff TBD
Reduce Strategic Planning staff 300,000
Total $20,833,000
First Interim Report Assumptions
COLA for Revenue Limit--.68% for FY 08/09, 0% for
FY 09/10, 3.5% for FY 10/11
COLA for Categoricals and Special Education—0%
for FY 08/09, 0% for FY 09/10, 3.5% for FY 10/11
Declining enrollment
Positive cash conditions based on current information
Anticipated budget cuts of $20 million in FY 09-10
and $28 million in FY 10-11
First Interim Report Did Not Include:
08/09 Mid Year Revenue Cuts
Current assumption of 2010-2011--more
likely to be 0%, not 3.5%
Governor’s Approach to 2009-10
Governor continues to deal with a growing problem – $28 billion to $41 billion in just two months
Across-the-board cuts in all areas of government, but by far the heaviest cuts are to education
The Proposition 98 floor has fallen dramatically in parallel with state revenues
Suspension is not needed to make approx. $7.5 billion in cuts to education
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Governor’s Proposal—Jan. 09
Eliminate .68% COLA
Reduce Revenue Limit by 4.5%
Defer February 2009 Revenue Limit and
Class Size Reduction apportionments to
July 2009 (cash impact)
Fiscal Year 2008-2009
Governor’s Proposal—Jan. 09
Use state categorical funds for any purpose
Reduce Routine Restricted Maintenance Account
requirement from 3% of General Fund to 1%
Eliminate Deferred Maintenance match
Reduce state requirement for reserves to half
2008-2009 Flexibility
Governor’s Proposal—Jan. 09
Eliminate COLA from 5.02% to 0%
Reduce Revenue Limit by <2.8%>
Allow reduction of school year by 5 days
Eliminate High Priority School Grant
program
Fiscal Year 2009-2010
ComparisonDescription 1st Interim
Report
Jan. 09 Governor’s
Proposal
COLA
.68%--08/09
0%--09/10
3.5%--10/11
0%--08/09
0%--09/10
Revenue Limit cut None
4.5%--08/09
2.8%--09/10
High Priority Schools Grant Yes Eliminate in 09/10
Flexibility with state categorical funds Very little Yes
Apportionment deferred to July (cash) None Yes
Governor’s Approach to 2009-10 The 0.68% COLA included in the adopted Budget for 2008-09 is eliminated
and additional amounts to be cut from Proposition 98 in the current year
The overall reduction to Proposition 98 proposed for 2008-09 is about $6.3 billion
For 2009-10, the Governor’s proposals include:
COLA is declared at 5.02%, but not funded
Revenue limit deficit is imposed at <16.161%> of new base revenue limit
Categorical and other flexibility is proposed to help school agencies deal with the loss of funding
Between the two years, education loses both COLA and another $7.5 billion
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Fewer Dollars = Fewer Days? The Governor has proposed cutting back the work year for state employees,
as well as for schools and students
As part of the Governor’s proposal, the state would:
Permit schools to drop from a minimum of 180 days of instruction to 175 days (five fewer days)
Reduce funding for revenue limits by $1.092 billion, or an additional 2.8%
The Governor’s proposal reduces revenue and makes it possible to legally reduce expenditures
But, ultimately, LEAs would need to renegotiate contracts to realize expenditure savings
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Impact on LBUSD Budget
Based on the assumptions in the Governor’s Proposed Budget:
LBUSD needs to reduce expenditures and/or raise revenues by $70 million.
This number will change when the legislature and Governor reach agreement on State Budget Legislation.
What’s Proposed for the Rest of the Budget? Health and Human Services expenditures are reduced by $1.025 billion
(3%)
Major reductions include
$668.7 million for various eligibility and benefit changes in Medi-Cal
$79.1 million by suspending the July 2009 CalWORKs COLA
$1.247 billion in Supplemental Security Income/State Supplementary Payment (SSI/SSP) by reducing the grant to the federally required minimum and eliminating Cash Assistance Program for Immigrants
$384.2 million from In-Home Supportive Services program
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What’s Proposed for the Rest of the Budget? Department of Corrections and Rehabilitation is reduced by $841.9 million (8.7%)
including:
$598.4 million for prison and parole reforms
Eliminating parole for nonserious, nonviolent, nonsex offenders
$181.2 million for local public safety grants
Legislature: reduced by $24.9 million (10%)
Business, Transportation, and Housing – $399.2 million increase (+29.2%) due to proposed 1.5¢ sales tax rate increase
Debt service: $1.406 billion increase (+31.5%)
K-12 Education: $7.5+ billion decrease (~17%)
K-14 Education Spending and Budget ShortfallComparison of Major General Fund Expenditure Areas
1998-99 through 2009-10
(Dollars in Billions)
1998-991 2009-102 % Increase
K-14 (Prop. 98) Expenditures $35.2 $55.9 59%
Health & Human Services $15.3 $30.0 96%
Business, Transportation & Housing $0.4 $2.3 475%
Corrections $4.4 $9.6 119%
Resources $1.0 $1.92 92%
General Fund Revenues $57 $97.7 71%
1 Legislative Analyst’s Office. State Spending Plan: 1998-99. October 1998, Page 4, Revenues & Expenditures; p. 26 Proposition 98
2 Department of Finance. Overview of the Governor’s Budget: 2009-10. January 2009 (assumed all proposed budget solutions)
Is there any light
on the horizon?
Federal “Bail out” for Schools?
Title I-A Increase—$19.5 million
Construction—$45 million
Special Education—$11 million
2009
2010
Title I-A Increase—$19.5 million
Special Education—$12.7 million
What We Are Sure About:
Our assumptions won’t turn out to be
completely accurate. When the State
figures out its budget our estimates will
change.
There will be drastic reductions in education
funding.
Major Factors We are Watching:
Mid-year Budget Cuts
Federal Revenues
State Flexibility
District’s Response to Budget Crisis Suspend activities and spending
Implement hiring freeze
Eliminate overtime
Establish preliminary budget reduction target of $70 million
Reconvene Budget Advisory Committee
Increase communication
Solicit input and suggestion
Online survey
Special Board meeting on Budget
Key Assumptions
Certificated Step & Column +2.57%
Classified Step & Column +0.34%
Health & Welfare +10%
Enrollment Decline -2%
Benefits
Unrestricted Restricted Total
STRS 22,626,931 9,033,201 31,660,132
PERS 7,811,394 4,032,890 11,844,284
OASDI/Medicare 9,237,463 4,520,166 13,757,629
Health & Welfare 49,870,488 25,335,527 75,206,015
Unemployment Insurance 1,052,883 458,585 1,511,468
Workers Comp 10,605,710 4,571,450 15,177,160
OPEB 6,921,638 3,257,557 10,179,195
TOTAL 108,126,507 51,209,376 159,335,883
Selected AreasFTE $ in Millions FTE $ in Millions
Payroll Office 21.00 $ 1.6 Teachers 4,277.11 $ 381.4
Nurses 54.90 5.6 School Office Staff 210.43 11.8
Librarians 51.90 5.1
Counselors 181.90 19.2 School Administration
Custodians 356.45 22.7 Certificated--Principals 89.00 12.6
Media Assistants 14.95 0.9 Cert.--Asst Principals 71.50 8.5
Certificated--Other 9.80 1.2
Office Administration Subtotal--Certificated 170.30 22.3
Certificated 63.95 9.1 Classified 179.30 12.5
Classified 188.80 20.0 Total--Schl Adm 349.60 34.9
Total--Office Adm 252.75 29.0
District * FTEDistrict Per Pupil Ratio
County Per Pupil Ratio
Long Beach Unified 210.9 418.1 230.8Santa Ana Unified 151.9 375.6 326.4Glendale Unified 81.3 332.5 230.8Garden Grove Unified 161.7 301.0 326.4Elk Grove Unified 216.9 287.2 240.1San Jose Unified 110.8 281.9 262.2Montebello Unified 121.4 275.9 230.8Sacramento Unified 187.6 258.2 240.1Fresno Unified 353.8 216.1 208.5San Bernardino City Unified 263.0 215.7 285.5San Francisco Unified 265.6 207.3 198.2San Diego Unified 657.4 200.1 258.2Los Angeles Unified 3,847.6 180.3 230.8Riverside Unified 248.7 175.2 268.2Oakland Unified 274.2 169.3 228.0
District Ratios
Why Fund Education?
“Educate and inform the whole mass of the
people...they are the only sure reliance for the
preservation of our liberty.”
Ask Thomas Jefferson:
Our Founding Fathers Knew a Lot About Surviving Hard TimesThomas Paine in “American Crisis”:
“These are the times that try men's souls.”
“Government, even in its best state, is but a necessary evil; in its worst state,
an intolerable one.”
“If there must be trouble, let it be in my day, that my child may have peace.”
A Last Thought from Thomas Jefferson
“When you reach the end of your
rope, tie a knot in it and hang on.”
……to be continued…….