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Fiscal Year BUDGET SUPPLEMENT BUDGET OF THE UNITED STATES GOVERNMENT

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Page 1: Budget 1997 Budsupp

Fiscal Year

BUDGETSUPPLEMENT

BUDGET OF THE UNITED STATES GOVERNMENT

Page 2: Budget 1997 Budsupp

1

THE BUDGET DOCUMENTS

Budget of the United States Government, Fiscal Year 1997contains a summary of the President’s budget proposals. This docu-ment was released on February 5, 1996.

Budget of the United States Government, Fiscal Year1997—Supplement contains the Budget Message of the Presidentand information on the President’s 1997 budget proposals.

Analytical Perspectives, Budget of the United States Gov-ernment, Fiscal Year 1997 contains analyses that are designed tohighlight specified subject areas or provide other significant presen-tations of budget data that place the budget in perspective.

It includes economic and accounting analyses; information onFederal receipts and collections; analyses of Federal spending; de-tailed information on Federal borrowing and debt; the Budget En-forcement Act preview report; current services estimates; and othertechnical presentations. It also includes information on the budgetsystem and concepts and a listing of the Federal programs by agencyand account.

Historical Tables, Budget of the United States Govern-ment, Fiscal Year 1997 provides data on budget receipts, outlays,surpluses or deficits, Federal debt, and Federal employment coveringan extended time period—in most cases beginning in fiscal year1940 or earlier and ending in fiscal year 2002. These are muchlonger time periods than those covered by similar tables in otherbudget documents. As much as possible, the data in this volume andall other historical data in the budget documents have been madeconsistent with the concepts and presentation used in the 1997Budget, so the data series are comparable over time.

Budget of the United States Government, Fiscal Year1997—Appendix contains detailed information on the variousappropriations and funds that constitute the budget and is designedprimarily for the use of the Appropriations Committee. The Appen-dix contains more detailed financial information on individual pro-grams and appropriation accounts than any of the other budget doc-uments. It includes for each agency: the proposed text of appropria-tions language, budget schedules for each account, new legislativeproposals, explanations of the work to be performed and the fundsneeded, and proposed general provisions applicable to the appropria-tions of entire agencies or group of agencies. Supplemental, rescis-sion, and adjustment proposals for the current year are presentedseparately. Information is also provided on certain activities whoseoutlays are not part of the budget totals.

A Citizen’s Guide to the Federal Budget, Budget of theUnited States Government, Fiscal Year 1997 is an Office of Man-agement and Budget publication that provides general informationabout the budget and the budget process for the general public.

Budget System and Concepts, Fiscal Year 1997 contains anexplanation of the system and concepts used to formulate the Presi-dent’s budget proposals.

AUTOMATED SOURCES OF BUDGET INFORMATION

The information contained in these documents is available in elec-tronic format from the following sources:

• The budget documents are available on CD-ROM from STAT-USA and the Government Printing Office. For more informa-tion, see the order form at the back of this document.

• The budget documents can be accessed using a computermodem as well as on the Internet through the U.S. Depart-ment of Commerce’s STAT-USA information service. There isno charge for use of this service when used to obtain budgetinformation.

BBS Access: Set your computer communications softwareparameters to 8-bit words, no parity, and 1 stop-bit, then useyour computer to contact STAT-USA’s Economic BulletinBoard (EBB) at one of the following modem numbers:

2400 bps (202) 482–38709600 bps (202) 482–258414400 bps (202) 482–2167

When connecting to the EBB, use the word GUEST as yourlogin userid. At the EBB’s main information menu, select the[P]residential option for a list of budget documents that areavailable for online viewing or downloading to your computer.

Internet Access: Budget documents are available throughSTAT-USA’s Internet service using the file transfer protocol(ftp), gopher, and the World Wide Web (WWW) at the followingaddresses:

STAT-USA ftp address ...... ftp.doc.gov/pub/BudgetFY97STAT-USA gopher address gopher.doc.gov/BudgetFY97STAT-USA WWW URL ..... http://www.doc.gov/BudgetFY97

/index.html

For more information on access to STAT-USA informationservices, call 1–800–STAT–USA.

GENERAL NOTES

1. All years referred to are fiscal years, unless otherwise noted.2. Detail in this document may not add to the totals due to rounding.3. At the time of this writing, five of the 13 appropriations bills were not enacted, and

the programs covered by them were operating under a continuing resolution. Forthese programs, references to 1996 spending levels in the text and tables incorporatethe Administration’s proposed adjustments to the continuing resolution levels.

U.S. GOVERNMENT PRINTING OFFICEWASHINGTON 1996

For sale by the Superintendent of Documents, U.S. Government Printing Office, Washington, D.C. 20402

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i

TABLE OF CONTENTS

The Budget Message of the President .............................................................................. 1

Creating an Age of Possibility

1. A Vision for the Future ........................................................................................ 13

2. Three Years of Progress ....................................................................................... 19

Projecting American Leadership

3. Advancing United States Leadership in the World ........................................... 39

4. Supporting the World’s Strongest Military Force .............................................. 45

Creating Opportunity and Encouraging Responsibility

5. Restoring the American Community .................................................................. 57

6. Strengthening Health Care ................................................................................. 63

7. Making Work Pay ................................................................................................. 69

8. Investing in Education and Training ................................................................. 75

9. Protecting the Environment ................................................................................ 83

10. Promoting Science and Technology ..................................................................... 95

11. Enforcing the Law ................................................................................................ 103

12. Promoting Tax Fairness ...................................................................................... 111

Making Government Work

13. Improving Government Performance ................................................................. 121

14. Building on Success .............................................................................................. 131

Summary Tables

Budget Aggregates ............................................................................................... 139

1997 Budget Proposals ......................................................................................... 145

Summaries by Agency/Function .......................................................................... 161

Other Summary Tables ........................................................................................ 169

List of Charts and Tables .................................................................................................... 175

OMB Contributors to the 1997 Budget ............................................................................. 181

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1

THE BUDGET MESSAGEOF THE PRESIDENT

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2 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1997

THE FEDERAL GOVERNMENT DOLLAR

WHERE IT GOES...

DIRECT BENEFITPAYMENTS FOR

INDIVIDUALS49 %

NETINTEREST

15 %

NATIONALDEFENSE

16 %

OTHERFEDERAL

OPERATIONS5 %

GRANTS TO STATES

& LOCALITIES15 %

WHERE IT COMES FROM...

OTHER4 %

EXCISETAXES

4 %

CORPORATEINCOMETAXES11 %

FISCAL YEAR 1997 ESTIMATES

SOCIALINSURANCERECEIPTS

33 %

BORROWING9 %

INDIVIDUALINCOMETAXES39 %

RECEIPTS, OUTLAYS, AND SURPLUS OR DEFICIT(In billions of dollars)

1995Actual

Estimate

1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002

Receipts ....................... 1,355 1,427 1,495 1,578 1,653 1,734 1,820 1,912Outlays ........................ 1,519 1,572 1,635 1,676 1,717 1,761 1,812 1,868

Surplus/Deficit (–) ...... –164 –146 –140 –98 –64 –28 8 44

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THE BUDGET MESSAGE OF THE PRESIDENTTo the Congress of the United States:

The 1997 Budget, which I am transmittingto you with this message, builds on ourstrong economic record by balancing the budg-et in seven years while continuing to investin the American people.

The budget cuts unnecessary and lowerpriority spending while protecting senior citi-zens, working families, and children. It re-forms welfare to make work pay and providestax relief to middle-income Americans andsmall business.

Three years ago, we inherited an economythat was suffering from short- and long-term problems—problems that were createdor exacerbated by the economic and budgetarypolicies of the previous 12 years.

In the short term, economic growth wasslow and job creation was weak. The budgetdeficit, which had first exploded in sizein the early 1980s, was rising to unsustainablelevels.

Over the longer term, the growth in produc-tivity had slowed since the early 1970s and,as a result, living standards had stagnatedor fallen for most Americans. At the sametime, the gap between rich and poor hadwidened.

Over the last three years, we have putin place budgetary and other economic policiesthat have fundamentally changed the directionof the economy—for the better. We haveproduced stronger growth, lower interest rates,stable prices, millions of new jobs, recordexports, lower personal and corporate debtburdens, and higher living standards.

Working with the last Congress in 1993,we enacted an economic program that hasworked better than even we projected inspurring growth and reducing the deficit.We have cut the deficit nearly in half,from $290 billion in 1992 to $164 billionin 1995. As a share of the Gross DomesticProduct, we have cut the deficit by more

than half in three years, bringing the deficitto its lowest level since 1979.

While cutting overall discretionary spending,we also shifted resources to investments inour future. With wages increasingly linkedto skills, we invested wisely in educationand training to help Americans acquire thetools they need for the high-wage jobs oftomorrow. We also invested heavily in scienceand technology, which has been a strongengine of economic growth throughout theNation’s history.

For Americans struggling to raise theirchildren and make ends meet, we havesought to make work pay. We expandedthe Earned Income Tax Credit, providingtax relief for 15 million working families.And we have given 37 States the freedomto test ways to move people from welfareto work while protecting children.

As the economy has become increasinglyglobal, prosperity at home depends heavilyon opening foreign markets to American goodsand services. With this in mind, we securedlegislation to implement the General Agree-ment on Tariffs and Trade and the NorthAmerican Free Trade Agreement, and wehave completed over 80 other trade agree-ments. Under our leadership, U.S. exportshave grown to an all-time high.

With these policies, we have helped pavethe way for a future of sustained economicgrowth, low interest rates, stable prices, andmore opportunity for Americans of all incomes.But our work is not done.

Looking ahead, as I said recently in myState of the Union address, we must answerthree fundamental questions: First, how dowe make the American dream of opportunityfor all a reality for all Americans whoare willing to work for it? Second, howdo we preserve our old and enduring valuesas we move into the future? And, third,how do we meet these challenges together,as one America?

This budget addresses those questions.

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4 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1997

Creating an Age of Possibility

I am committed to finishing the job thatwe began in 1993 and finally bringing thebudget into balance. In our negotiations withcongressional leaders, we have made greatprogress toward reaching an agreement. Wehave simply come too far to let this oppor-tunity slip away.

A balanced budget would reduce interestrates for all Americans, including the youngfamilies across the land who are strugglingto buy their first homes. It also wouldfree up funds in the private markets withwhich businesses could invest in factoriesand equipment, or in training their workers.

But we have to balance the budget theright way—by cutting unnecessary and lowerpriority spending; investing in the future;protecting senior citizens, working families,children, and other vulnerable Americans;and providing tax relief for middle-incomeAmericans and small businesses.

My budget does that. It strengthens Medi-care and Medicaid, on which millions ofsenior citizens, people with disabilities, andlow-income Americans rely. It reforms welfare.It cuts other entitlements. And it cuts deeplyinto discretionary spending.

But while cutting overall discretionaryspending, my budget invests in educationand training, the environment, science andtechnology, law enforcement, and other prior-ities to help build a brighter future forall Americans. We should spend more onwhat we need, less on what we don’t.

Projecting American Leadership

Across the globe, we live in a time ofgreat opportunity and great challenge. Withthe end of the Cold War, the world looksto the United States for leadership. Providingit is clearly in our best interest. We mustnot turn away.

My budget provides the necessary resourcesto advance America’s strategic interests, carryout our foreign policy, open markets abroad,and support U.S. exports. It also providesthe resources to confront the emerging globalthreats that have replaced the Cold Waras major concerns—regional, ethnic, and na-

tional conflicts; the proliferation of weaponsof mass destruction; international terrorismand crime; narcotics trading; and environ-mental degradation.

On the diplomatic front, our successes havebeen numerous and heartening, and theyhave made the world a safer and morestable place. Through our leadership, weare helping to bring peace to Bosnia andthe Middle East, and we have spurred progressin Northern Ireland. We also encouragedthe movement toward democracy and freemarkets in Russia and Central Europe, andwe led a successful international effort todefuse the nuclear threat from North Korea.

On the military front, we have deployedour forces where we could be effective andwhere it was in our interest to promotestability by ending bloodshed (such as inBosnia) and suffering (such as in Rwanda).We also have used the threat of force toease tensions, such as to unseat an unwelcomedictatorship in Haiti and to stare downIraq when it threatened again to move againstKuwait.

This budget provides the funds to sustainand modernize the world’s strongest, best-trained, best-equipped, and most ready mili-tary force. Through it, we continue to supportservice members and their families with qual-ity-of-life improvements in the short term,while planning to acquire the new technologiesthat will become available at the turn ofthis decade.

Creating Opportunity and EncouragingResponsibility

The Federal Government cannot—by itself—solve most of the problems and addressmost of the challenges that we face asa people. In some cases, it must play alead role—whether to ensure the guaranteeof health care for vulnerable Americans, ex-pand access to education and training, investin science and technology, protect the environ-ment, or make the tax code fairer. In othercases, it must play more of a partnershiprole—working with States, localities, non-profit groups, churches and synagogues, fami-lies, and individuals to strengthen commu-nities, make work pay, protect public safety,and improve the quality of education.

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5THE BUDGET MESSAGE OF THE PRESIDENT

To restore the American community, thebudget invests in national service, throughwhich 25,000 Americans this year are helpingto solve problems in communities while earn-ing money for postsecondary education orto repay student loans. We want to createmore Empowerment Zones and EnterpriseCommunities to spur economic developmentand expand opportunities for the residentsof distressed urban and rural areas. Wewant to expand the Community DevelopmentFinancial Institutions Fund to provide creditand other services to such communities. Withthe same goal in mind, we want to transformthe Department of Housing and Urban Devel-opment into an agency that better addresseslocal needs. And we want to maintain ourrelationship with, and the important serviceswe provide to, Native Americans.

In health care, our challenge is to improvethe existing and largely successful system,not to end the guarantees of coverage onwhich millions of vulnerable Americans rely.My budget strengthens Medicare and Medic-aid, ensuring their continued vitality. ForMedicare, it strengthens the Part A trustfund, provides more choice for seniors andpeople with disabilities, and makes the pro-gram more efficient and responsive to bene-ficiary needs. For Medicaid, it gives Statesmore flexibility to manage their programswhile preserving the guarantee of healthcoverage for the most vulnerable Americans,retains current nursing home quality stand-ards, and continues to protect the spousesof nursing home residents from impoverish-ment. My budget proposes reforms to makeprivate health care more accessible and afford-able, and premium subsidies to help thosewho lose their jobs pay for private coveragefor up to six months. It also invests morein various public health services, such asthe Ryan White program to serve peopleliving with AIDS, and research and regulatoryactivities that promote public health.

Because America’s welfare system is broken,we have worked hard to fix those partsof it that we could without congressionalaction. For instance, we have given 37 Statesthe freedom to test ways to move peoplefrom welfare to work while protecting children,and we are collecting record amounts ofchild support. But now, I need the help

of Congress. Together, in 1993 we expandedthe Earned Income Tax Credit for 15 millionworking families, rewarding work over welfare.Now, my budget overhauls welfare by settinga time limit on cash benefits and imposingtough work requirements, and I want usto enact bipartisan legislation that requireswork, demands responsibility, protects chil-dren, and provides adequate resources toget the job done right—with child care andtraining, giving recipients the tools they need.

More and more, education and traininghave become the keys to higher living stand-ards. While Americans clearly want Statesand localities to play the lead role in edu-cation, the Federal Government has an impor-tant supporting role to play—from fundingpre-school services that prepare children tolearn, to expanding access to college andworker retraining. My budget continues thestrong investments that we have made togive Americans the skills they need to getgood jobs. Along with my ongoing investments,my budget proposes a Technology LiteracyChallenge Fund to bring the benefits oftechnology into the classroom, a $1,000 meritscholarship for the top five percent of grad-uates in every high school, and more CharterSchools to let parents, teachers, and commu-nities create public schools to meet theirown children’s needs.

As Americans, we can take pride in cleaningup the environment over the last 25 years,with leadership from Presidents of both par-ties. But our job is not done—not withso many Americans breathing dirty air ordrinking unsafe water. My budget continuesour efforts to find solutions to our environ-mental problems without burdening businessor imposing unnecessary regulations. We areproviding the necessary funds for the Environ-mental Protection Agency’s operating program,for our national parks and forests, for myplan to restore the Florida Everglades, andfor my ‘‘brownfields’’ initiative to clean upabandoned, contaminated industrial sites indistressed urban and rural communities. Andwe are continuing to reinvent the regulatoryprocess by working collaboratively with busi-ness, rather than treating it as an adversary.

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6 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1997

With science and technology (S&T) so vitalto our economic future, our national security,and the well-being of our people, my budgetcontinues our investments in this crucialarea. To maintain our investments, I amasking Congress to fulfill my request forbasic research in health sciences at theNational Institutes of Health, for basic re-search and education at the National ScienceFoundation, for research at other agenciesthat depend on S&T for their missions,and for cooperative projects with universitiesand industry, such as the industry partner-ships created under the Advanced TechnologyProgram.

To attack crime, the Federal Governmentmust work with States and communitieson some problems and lead on others. Tohelp communities, we continue to invest inthe Community Oriented Policing Services(COPS) program, which is putting 100,000more police on the street. We are helpingStates build more prisons and jail space,better enforce the Brady bill that helpsprevent criminals from buying handguns, andbetter address the problem of youth gangs.At the Federal level, we are leading thefight to stop drugs from entering the countryand expand drug treatment efforts, and weare stepping up our efforts to secure theborder against illegal immigration while wehelp to defray State costs for such immigra-tion.

For many families, of course, the firstchallenge often is just to pay the bills.My budget proposes tax relief for middle-income Americans and small businesses. Itprovides an income tax credit for each depend-ent child under 13; a deduction for collegetuition and fees; and expanded individualretirement accounts to help families savefor future needs and more easily pay forcollege, buy a first home, pay the billsduring times of unemployment, or pay medicalor nursing home costs. For small business,it offers more tax benefits to invest, providesestate tax relief, and makes it easier toset up pensions for employees. It also wouldexpand the tax deduction to make healthinsurance for the self-employed more afford-able.

Making Government Work

As we pursue these priorities, we willdo so with a Government that is leaner,but not meaner, one that works efficiently,manages resources wisely, focuses on resultsrather than merely spending money, andprovides better service to the American people.Through the National Performance Review,led by Vice President Gore, we are makingreal progress in creating a Government that‘‘works better and costs less.’’

We have cut the size of the Federalworkforce by over 200,000 people, creatingthe smallest Federal workforce in 30 years,and the smallest as a share of the totalworkforce since before the New Deal. Weare ahead of schedule to cut the workforceby 272,900 positions, as required by the1994 Federal Workforce Restructuring Actthat I signed into law.

Just as important, the Government is work-ing better. Agencies such as the Social SecurityAdministration, the Customs Service, andthe Veterans Affairs Department are providingmuch better service to their customers. Acrossthe Government, agencies are using informa-tion technology to deliver services more effi-ciently to more people.

We are continuing to reduce the burdenof Federal regulation, ensuring that our rulesserve a purpose and do not unduly burdenbusinesses or taxpayers. We are eliminating16,000 pages of regulations across Govern-ment, and agencies are improving their rule-making processes.

In addition, we continue to overhaul Federalprocurement so that the Government canbuy better products at cheaper prices fromthe private sector. No longer does the Govern-ment pay outrageous prices for hammers,ashtrays, and other small items that it canbuy cheaper at local stores.

As we look ahead, we plan to work moreclosely with States and localities, with busi-nesses and individuals, and with Federalworkers to focus our efforts on improvingservices for the American people. Under theVice President’s leadership, agencies are set-ting higher and higher standards for deliveringfaster and better service.

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7THE BUDGET MESSAGE OF THE PRESIDENT

Conclusion

Our agenda is working. We have signifi-cantly reduced the deficit, strengthened theeconomy, invested in our future, and cutthe size of Government while making itwork better for the American people.

Now, we have an opportunity to buildon our success by balancing the budgetthe right way. It is an opportunity weshould not miss.

WILLIAM J. CLINTON

March 1996

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9

CREATING AN AGE OFPOSSIBILITY

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CREATING AN AGE OF POSSIBILITY

We live in an age of possibility. A hundred years ago we moved from farm to factory. Now wemove to an age of technology, information, and global competition. These changes have openedvast new opportunities for our people, but they have also presented them with stiff challenges.

President ClintonJanuary 1996

The change that we face is both excitingand frightening. For some, it raises hopeof a better, more prosperous, and more securelife. For others, it transforms the traditionalrules of life and work in unsettling ways.

In this period of change, our challengeis to make the age of possibility one thatwill raise living standards and expand oppor-tunity for all; make our streets safer andour air and water cleaner; and enable Ameri-cans to share the full potential of a newera.

Change of that magnitude comes mainlyfrom the private sector. But a leaner, moreflexible Federal Government—as the Presidentis creating—has an important supporting roleto play, working with State and local govern-ments, businesses, schools, churches and syna-gogues, and other organizations. By providinga sense of national purpose, and the fundswhen appropriate, the Federal Governmentcan be an important catalyst for change.

The Government also plays a key rolein creating a climate for strong, sustainedeconomic growth, and higher living standardsnow and in the future. Its tools includea responsible budget policy, an expansivetrade policy, and investments in educationand training, science and technology, andother priorities.

Over the last three years, the President’seconomic program has generated much strong-er growth, millions more new jobs, and lowerinterest rates than under the previous Admin-

istration. The program also has producedstable prices and record exports. For thefirst time in a decade, the economy is movingin the right direction.

In this budget, the President proposes tobuild on his strong record of deficit reductionand to bring the budget into balance overthe next seven years. His plan includesa balanced mix of deep spending cuts inboth entitlements and discretionary spend-ing—deep enough to allow for a modesttax cut for average Americans and smallbusinesses.

The budget balances the need to cut totaldiscretionary spending with maintaining, andin many cases increasing, the President’sinvestments in key priorities. A balancedbudget would help set the stage for continuedeconomic growth, low interest rates, andstable prices in the future.

Clearly, the Nation cannot achieve its com-mon goals without strong economic growth.But growth alone is not enough. We mustensure that America is growing together,and that everyone is sharing the benefits.Today, too many Americans are workingharder and harder just to stay in place,or are actually falling behind. To addressthat problem, the President proposes to helpAmericans get the skills they need to assumehigh-wage jobs in the new economy. Hewould invest in education, from pre-schoolto college; fund training for the workplace;and support science and technology to spurfuture productivity and wage growth.

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12 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1997

As the President has said, ‘‘the era ofbig Government is over.’’ At the same time,the Federal Government must support growthby giving the private sector the tools it

needs. This budget builds on the Administra-tion’s three-year record of success in establish-ing, and implementing, Government’s properrole in our economy.

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13

1. A VISION FOR THE FUTUREThis budget helps promote a strong economy

for the future and, with it, helps Americansbuild better lives for themselves and theirfamilies.

To promote a strong economy with sustainedgrowth and low interest rates, the budgetreaches balance in seven years by cuttingunnecessary and lower priority spending. Atthe same time, it invests in education andtraining, the environment, science and tech-nology, and other priorities to help raiseaverage living standards and the qualityof life. The budget protects Medicare andMedicaid, reforms welfare to make work pay,and provides tax relief to middle-income Amer-icans as well as small businesses.

Reaching Balance the Right Way

This budget reaches balance in 2002, agoal to which the President is committed,using the last available economic and technicalassumptions of the Congressional Budget Of-fice (CBO). It also achieves a surplus of$44 billion in 2002 under the economic andtechnical assumptions of the Office of Manage-ment and Budget (OMB).

The budget embodies the proposal thatthe President put forth in budget negotiationswith the bipartisan congressional leadership

on January 18, 1996. The President andthe leaders have worked hard to find agree-ment on a plan to balance the budget overseven years. While they have not finishedthe job, the President believes strongly thattheir negotiations have been productive, bring-ing the two sides closer together. He iscommitted to doing whatever he can to com-plete the task.

In their talks, the President and the leadershave outlined a variety of proposals. Theminimum amounts of savings that the planshave in common in the major budget categories(e.g., $124 billion in Medicare, $297 billionin discretionary spending) provide enoughin total savings to balance the budget andalso provide a modest tax cut.

The congressional leadership wants biggertax cuts—offset by deeper cuts in Medicareand Medicaid, other mandatory programs thathelp farmers and the poor, and discretionaryspending. But the President believes thosecuts are too deep and would threaten theGovernment’s vital role in guaranteeing healthcare to vulnerable Americans and investingin the future. He has proposed that thetwo sides quickly enact the savings theyhave in common and give the Americanpeople a balanced budget.

To estimate the deficit for 1996 through 2002 based on assumptions from the CongressionalBudget Office (CBO), the Administration used the most recent assumptions that were avail-able—from December 1995.

In March or April, CBO plans to release a new, updated set of economic and technical as-sumptions. While the President’s budget reaches balance under CBO’s December 1995 assump-tions, the new assumptions could change the President’s path to balance; in 2002, they couldproduce a bigger surplus or a deficit.

In case the new assumptions produce a deficit in 2002, the President’s budget proposes an im-mediate adjustment to the annual limits, or ‘‘caps,’’ on discretionary spending, lowering themenough to reach balance in 2002.

The President is committed not only to proposing a budget that reaches balance according toCBO, but reaching an agreement with Congress to enact such a budget.

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14 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1997

Using the last available CBO assumptions,this budget saves $593 billion over sevenyears (after accounting for the President’stax cuts) by reforming Federal entitlementprograms, cutting deeply into discretionaryspending, and limiting corporate subsidies.

Among its major elements, the budget:

• saves $297 billion in discretionary spend-ing, cutting unnecessary spending but in-vesting in education and training, the en-vironment, science and technology, law en-forcement, and other priorities that willraise living standards and improve thequality of American life (see Chapters8–11);

• saves $124 billion in Medicare, strengthen-ing and improving the program and guar-anteeing the solvency of the Part A trustfund for over a decade (see Chapter 6);

• saves $59 billion in Medicaid, reformingthe program but continuing the guaranteeof meaningful health and long-term carecoverage for the most vulnerable Ameri-cans (see Chapter 6);

• saves $40 billion through real welfare re-form, moving recipients to work while pro-tecting children (see Chapter 7);

• saves $49 billion by reforming a host ofother mandatory programs (see the moredetailed explanation in the next para-graph);

• saves $62 billion by ending corporate sub-sidies and other tax loopholes, and takingsteps to improve tax compliance (seeChapter 12); and

• cuts taxes by $100 billion, providing taxrelief to tens of millions of middle-incomeAmericans and to small businesses (seeChapter 12).

Among the $49 billion in other mandatorysavings, the budget proposes to auction, pri-vatize, or sell, rather than give away, valuablepublic resources, including segments of thebroadcast spectrum, energy resources, mate-rials stockpiles, and other assets. It alsoproposes that Federal agencies fully fundtheir employees’ retirement costs.

In addition, the budget extends previously-enacted savings in veterans’ benefits; cuts

subsidies to financial institutions that makeand hold student loans (without increasingprogram costs to borrowers); imposes feesto recover the costs of services that theFederal Government provides to private busi-nesses; reforms Federal housing and bankingprograms; and makes other program effi-ciencies and improvements.

The budget also includes a ‘‘trigger’’ toensure that the budget reaches balance undereither CBO or OMB assumptions. Underthe trigger, most of the tax cuts end after2000 if the deficit is not at least $20billion below CBO’s initial estimate for thatyear. If, however, the deficit is at least$20 billion below the estimate, then thebudget distributes the additional savings inthe following order:

• first, it maintains the tax cuts after theyear 2000;

• second, it reduces the cuts in discretionaryspending; and

• third, it splits any additional savings even-ly among more tax cuts, more reductionsin the discretionary cuts, and more deficitreduction.

If OMB’s assumptions prove correct, thebudget would provide tax relief over thenext seven years of $117 billion, and discre-tionary spending cuts of $186 billion.

Maintaining Our Values

From the start, the President’s economicprogram has emphasized one primary con-cern—to raise the standard of living of averageAmericans now and in the future. His budgetpolicy has played a central role.

By cutting the deficit nearly in half inthe last three years, we have reduced Federalborrowing, making more funds available inthe private markets so that businesses caninvest, grow more productive, expand, andcreate jobs. We also have shifted resourcesto education and training, science and tech-nology, and other priorities—to enable Ameri-cans to get the skills they need to competein the new economy and to help businessesbecome more competitive.

Like the President’s previous budgets, thisbudget maintains his investments in education

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151. A VISION FOR THE FUTURE

and training, science and technology, environ-mental protection, law enforcement, and otherkey priorities.

These investments include Head Start fordisadvantaged children; the Safe and Drug-Free Schools and Communities program tocreate safe learning environments; Goals 2000,which helps States and school systems extendhigh academic standards, better teaching,and better learning to all students; Ameri-Corps, through which 25,000 Americans areserving their communities this year and earn-ing money for college; direct lending thatmakes it easier to borrow and repay collegeloans; Pell grant scholarships for needy stu-dents; and job training Skill Grants fordislocated workers and low-income adults.

The budget maintains environmental en-forcement; protects national parks and othersensitive resources; and invests in basic andapplied research and technology. It fundsthe Community Oriented Policing Services(COPS) initiative to put 100,000 more policeon the street by the year 2000; more borderpatrol agents to prevent illegal immigrationand more inspections to prevent the hiringof illegal immigrants; and the CommunityDevelopment Financial Institutions Fund tospur growth and create jobs in communitiesthat have been left behind.

In addition, the budget includes funds tolaunch the important initiatives that thePresident outlined in his State of the Unionaddress.

• To promote educational opportunity, thebudget funds a Technology Literacy Chal-lenge to bring the benefits of technologyinto the classroom; expanded work-studyto help one million students work theirway through college by the year 2000; a$1,000 merit scholarship for the top fivepercent of graduates in every high school;and more Charter Schools to let parents,teachers, and communities create publicschools to meet their own children’s needs.

• To promote a secure future for Americanworkers, the budget funds initiatives tomake it easier for small businesses andfarmers to establish their own pensionplans, to encourage these and other em-ployers to established flexible pension

plans that workers can take with themwhen they change jobs, and to help work-ers who lose their health insurance whenthey lose their jobs pay for private insur-ance coverage for up to six months.

• To protect our environment, the budgetfunds tax incentives to encourage compa-nies to clean up ‘‘brownfields’’—aban-doned, contaminated industrial propertiesin distressed areas.

• To protect public safety, the budget pro-vides funds for the FBI and other law en-forcement agencies to step up efforts tocombat juvenile crime and gangs that in-volve juveniles.

A Period of Change

The Nation has entered a period of profoundchange—from an economy based primarilyon traditional manufacturing to one basedmore heavily on information—the most pro-found change since we moved from the farmto the factory a century ago. It is a periodof great opportunity and great uncertainty,a period that demands new thinking andnew responses.

In the 19th and early 20th Centuries,and with the American economy assumingthe lead, the economies of the developedworld moved from agriculture to manufactur-ing by way of a pull and a push. Thepull: the explosion of opportunities in manufac-turing. The push: the growth of productivityin agriculture that freed resources—that is,both workers and investment—to exploit thenew opportunities.

Now, an explosion of possibilities in theuse of information is drawing workers frommanufacturing, while the rapid growth inmanufacturing productivity has eased thechange. The revolution in information tech-nology has increased productivity by helpingpeople work faster and smarter. It has createdjobs, rewarded entrepreneurs and investors,improved learning, and provided more enjoy-able uses of leisure time. For society atlarge, it is both desirable and inevitable.

As President Clinton said in signing theTelecommunications Act of 1996 into lawon February 8:

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16 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1997

1 Population growth would have raised the number to roughly16,000, and changes in income definitions in the tax law mighthave raised it slightly higher.

Today our world is being remade yet again byan information revolution, changing the way wework, the way we live, the way we relate to eachother. Already the revolution is so profound thatit is changing the dominant economic model ofthe age. And already, thanks to the scientific andentrepreneurial genius of American workers inthis country, it has created vast, vast opportuni-ties for us to grow and learn and enrich ourselvesin body and in spirit.

But the benefits of this revolution arenot spread evenly among all Americans.

The Perils of Change

In 1979, 13,505 taxpayers filed Federaltax returns with incomes of over $500,000.From that year to 1993, the cost of livingroughly doubled. If incomes had just keptpace with inflation over that period, thesame number of taxpayers would have hadincomes of over $1 million in 1993. 1

In fact, the number of taxpayers withincomes over $1 million had almost quintupledby 1993, to 66,485. Obviously, at the upperend of the income scale, opportunity is aliveand well—as it should be for all Americanswho are working their way up the economicladder.

Opportunity, however, has been absent formany others. Average families in the middlefifth of the income scale had $447 lessin purchasing power in 1992 than in 1979.Those in the bottom two-fifths had evenlarger declines in percentage terms. At thesame time, the income of the top fifthof families grew by 12 percent, and thatof the highest five percent by 17 percent.

More and more, workers entering the labormarket without the requisite skills face worseincome prospects over their working livesthan their predecessors did. Those who didnot invest in their skills, or who investedin skills that have become obsolete, canfind that what were once lifetime jobs aredisappearing. Too often, these workers facelimited prospects for maintaining their in-comes.

Wage trends of 25–34 year-old workersmake the point: In 1979, male workers withhigh school degrees who worked full time

and year-round earned, in 1992 dollars, anaverage of about $30,900; by 1992, theirearnings had fallen to $24,400. Their femalecounterparts saw their earnings fall by twopercent, to only $18,900.

On the other hand, the earnings of youngmale college graduates rose two percent,to $40,000, after adjusting for inflation. Fe-male college graduates enjoyed an even largergain, 15 percent (see Chart 1–1). And yet,though those with college degrees are doingbetter than others, even they have experiencedslower income growth in recent years.

Nor do these figures begin to explainhow profound economic change has affectedpeoples’ lives. If economic change shakesan entire business firm, the retirement secu-rity of that firm’s workers can shake withit. Young people who cannot get the skillsand training to compete in the informationeconomy risk facing a considerable disadvan-tage for their working lives. And with healthcare often dependent on employment, theabsence of skills or loss of a good jobcan adversely affect family security beyondthe measure of a worker’s income.

The Nation cannot afford to dismiss anyworkers, to relegate them to the bottomrung of the economic ladder. The stakesare far too high. To build a stronger, morecompetitive economy at a time of increasingglobal competition, we need the contributionsof all Americans. We need everyone to activelypartake in the society at large, rather thanimpose costs on it through crime or depend-ency. As the President often says, ‘‘We don’thave a person to waste.’’

The Federal Government cannot guaranteeeach, or any, person’s success. But it can,and should, help every individual to achievehis or her greatest potential by reducingthe barriers and the risks to building personalskills for a changing, information-based econ-omy.

Education and training are the cornerstoneof the new economy. To help give workersthe skills they need, and the opportunitiesthey deserve, for high-wage jobs, the budgetenhances the Government’s support for edu-cation and training. It protects funding foressential education programs, from Head Start

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171. A VISION FOR THE FUTURE

1980 1982 1984 1986 1988 1990 1992

10,000

15,000

20,000

25,000

30,000

35,000

40,000

45,000

CONSTANT 1992 DOLLARS

1980 1982 1984 1986 1988 1990 1992

10,000

15,000

20,000

25,000

30,000

35,000

40,000

45,000

CONSTANT 1992 DOLLARS

(year-round full-time workers, age 25 to 34)CHART 1-1. ANNUAL EARNINGS BY EDUCATIONAL ATTAINMENT

COLLEGEGRADUATES

FEMALESMALES

HIGH SCHOOLGRADUATES

HIGH SCHOOLGRADUATES

COLLEGEGRADUATES

Source: Bureau of the Census.

for disadvantaged pre-schoolers to collegescholarships. The budget proposes an incometax deduction for tuition and expenses forcollege and career training, to encourageespecially those for whom costs present thegreatest obstacle. It allows penalty-free with-drawals from individual retirement accounts(IRAs) for educational costs. And it anticipatesa major overhaul of Federal job trainingprograms based on the President’s G.I. Billfor America’s Workers, proposed in last year’sbudget.

Building on the retirement safety net thatSocial Security and Federal pension protec-tions already offer, the budget proposes toexpand IRAs to help workers build theirown reserves against their retirement needs.The budget also proposes to help workerswho lose their jobs to continue health insur-ance for themselves and their families. Andit proposes simplified retirement savings sys-tems to encourage employers to establish

flexible, portable pension plans that workerscan take with them when they change jobs.

Maintaining Our Edge—Abroad

In this age of possibility, the United Statesmust continue to provide leadership acrossthe globe and cooperate in the communityof nations, not withdraw from it. Despitethe voices that call for a U.S. retreat intoisolationism, our diplomatic leadership re-mains critical to keeping the peace anddefending our interests in major regions ofthe world.

American leadership is a key ingredientin dealing with the new threats of thepost-Cold War era. Leading the global effortfor arms reductions and nonproliferation con-tinues to be an integral element of ourdiplomacy and national security strategy.

Our efforts support a broad range of pro-grams to reduce the threat of nuclear andchemical weapons. We are making our chil-

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18 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1997

dren’s future safer by reducing existing arse-nals and ensuring that rogue states andterrorist groups do not acquire these terribleweapons or the materials and technologiesneeded to make them.

Other emerging threats know no nationalborders. America must lead in confrontingsuch problems as ethnic and national conflictsthat threaten regional stability; terrorism,international crime, and drug trafficking,which directly threaten our free and opensociety; and large-scale environmental deg-radation.

More than ever, our domestic and foreigneconomic interests are closely intertwined,and mutually reinforcing. Economic and tradeissues are increasingly at the forefront ofour diplomacy. We need a strong economyto sustain our military forces and diplomaticstrategy. And we must be global leadersin trade and investment in order to openforeign markets and create the high-wagejobs that will raise the living standardsof our people.

Our defense capability is what sustainsand supports our diplomacy. We have theworld’s strongest and most ready militaryforce, one designed to fight successfully twonearly simultaneous regional conflicts. Ourweapons are state-of-the-art, and our militaryis the best equipped, best trained, and bestprepared in the world. And, when necessary,we have sent the men and women of ourmilitary into action.

Maintaining Our Edge—At Home

At home in this time of change, thepublic and private sectors must work together;we cannot rely on just one or the other.Americans of all generations must come to-

gether in the interests of all—whether itis for better schools, safer streets, or acleaner and healthier environment.

As Americans, we should dedicate ourselvesto building a society in which we all havethe opportunity to use our talents to theirfullest potential, and in which we all takeresponsibility for our actions; in which allchildren can learn at safe and stimulatingschools, free from the fear of gangs andguns; in which all fathers and mothers givethe task of raising their children the energyand attention it deserves; and in whichall those who want to work can find goodjobs.

To reach this goal in a time of change,we need the right kind of Government andthe right kind of policies. We need a Govern-ment that creates opportunity, not bureauc-racy; one that works with State and localgovernments, businesses, and religious, chari-table, and civic associations; and one thatmanages its resources wisely.

We need a leaner, but not meaner, Govern-ment, one that puts its customers—the Amer-ican people—first by delivering better servicesevery day and not imposing undue burdenson individuals and businesses. And we needa Government dedicated to better performanceand results, rather than to simply dolingout dollars.

Government should not do for individualswhat they can do for themselves. We mustask more of ourselves, expect more of oneanother, and meet the challenges that confrontus together. We must strive to enable allof our people to make the most of theirlives with stronger families, more educationalopportunity, economic security, safer streets,a cleaner environment, and a safer world.

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19

2. THREE YEARS OF PROGRESSAs President Clinton took office in January

1993, the economy was only then emergingfrom a long period of sluggish growth—beginning with the 1990–1991 recession andcontinuing through an extremely weak recov-ery, marked by rising unemployment.

The sluggishness exacerbated some seriouslong-term trends. Since the early 1970s, theincomes of most Americans have not grownas much as they once did—in fact, notmuch at all. As discussed in the previouschapter, only those atop the income ladderhave enjoyed steady income growth. For oth-ers, the daily struggle to make ends meethas threatened to become a losing battle.For workers with only a high school education,times have been especially tough.

The President campaigned on a pledgeto restore widely shared prosperity, and heshaped his economic policies to achieve thisprimary goal. The huge Federal budget deficitwas a major obstacle. Others included sluggishbusiness investment, slow job growth, andthe overgrown Federal Government, aboutwhich the public had grown deeply cynical.

Three years later, our economy is strongerand the deficit is down even more thanwe had predicted. In dollar terms, the policiesthat we enacted with the last Congresshave cut it almost in half, from $290 billionin 1992 to $164 billion in 1995. As ashare of the economy, we have cut it byover half, to 2.3 percent (see Charts 2–1and 2–2).

But as detailed in Chapter 1, we needfurther action to balance the budget onceand for all.

The Administration also has begun to sig-nificantly change the way that the FederalGovernment works. Under the leadership ofthe Vice President’s National PerformanceReview, we are working to create a Govern-ment that ‘‘works better and costs less.’’

Since January 1993, we have cut thenumber of Federal employees by over 200,000,to its lowest level in 30 years; the Federal

share of the civilian workforce is at itlowest level since the 1930s. We are eliminat-ing 16,000 pages of Federal regulations. Wehave reformed Federal procurement so thatthe Government now buys at the best price;no longer do we read news accounts of$600 hammers. (For more details on howwe are making Government work, see Chap-ters 13 and 14.)

Meanwhile, the Administration has em-ployed Government where it does the mostgood—investing in education and training,protecting the environment and public health,helping people get needed health care,strengthening families by helping America’sneediest children, and rewarding work. Onthe world stage, the President has strength-ened American leadership and advanced Amer-ican strategic and economic interests andvalues.

Still, we have much more to do. Fullyreversing the long-term trends that haveweakened America will take time and enor-mous effort.

This chapter reviews what we have doneto meet the economic and social challengesthat the Administration inherited three yearsago. It describes how the economy and societyhave responded to these initiatives, and theeconomic path that we envision for the future.

WHAT THE ADMINISTRATIONINHERITED

Near-Term Economic Problems

The President inherited an economy thathad nominally escaped from recession, buthad not yet resumed solid and sustainableeconomic growth either for the short termor further down the road.

Unemployment: Unemployment rose sharp-ly in late 1990 with the onset of recession.Though the recession technically ended inearly 1991, growth was so weak for manymonths that unemployment continued to rise.In January 1993, unemployment was 7.1 per-

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20 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1997

1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992

0

-50

-100

-150

-200

-250

-300

DOLLARS IN BILLIONS

Chart 2-1. FEDERAL BUDGET DEFICITS

cent, about a quarter-point higher than whenthe 1990–91 recession ended.

Although the economy created some newjobs in the recovery of 1991–92, net jobcreation was weak. In the four years beforeJanuary 1993, the economy created just 2.4million net new jobs—about 51,000 a month.Over the same period, the labor force grewby 80,000 people each month. With thenumber of potential workers rising fasterthan the number of jobs, higher unemploymentnecessarily followed.

Slow Growth: Weakness in the labor mar-ket reflected weak economic activity in gen-eral. The economy was growing, but very slow-ly. From the start of 1991, through the firstquarter of 1993, real Gross Domestic Product,or GDP, grew at well under half the rate ofeconomic recoveries since 1960 that lasted atleast that long.

The Credit Crunch: The U.S. financial sys-tem showed increasing strains in the 1980s.

Individuals and corporations pushed their debtburdens higher and higher, and interest pay-ments absorbed more and more income. Whilethe amount of debt was rising, its quality wasfalling. Savings and loan institutions andbanks made some extremely risky loans, manyof which proved worthless.

As losses to the Government’s deposit insur-ance programs mounted, the problems ofdeteriorating credit quality and failing finan-cial institutions became clear. Bank and thriftregulators began to close the failed institutionsand the surviving ones raised their creditstandards sharply. Many businesses, especiallyin areas with heavy concentrations of badloans, had trouble getting needed credit.

Meanwhile, individuals and businesses re-duced their borrowing to improve their balancesheets and cut the burden of their interestpayments. These steps led to slower consumerspending and less real estate investment.In cities across the country, new construction

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212. THREE YEARS OF PROGRESS

1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002

+100

0

-100

-200

-300

-400

-500

-600

DE

FIC

IT

PRE - CLINTON BASELINE

DOLLARS IN BILLIONS

Chart 2-2. THE DEFICIT RECORD UNDER PRESIDENT CLINTON

1997 BALANCED BUDGET

SU

RP

LUS

came to a halt as developers scrambledto find tenants for empty office buildings.

Long-Term Problems

The economy’s cyclical problems were justpart of what the new Administration faced.Underlying those problems were chronic condi-tions that had lasted over a decade. Amongthe most damaging were the Federal budgetdeficit, the fall in private saving, the slowdownin productivity growth, and the increase inincome inequality.

The Budget Deficit: The Government hasincurred a deficit every year since 1969, butthe deficit exploded in size in the 1980s—largely due to the fiscal policies of 1981 andthe economic conditions of that day.

The Administration and Congress cut in-come tax rates by 23 percent, reducing revenueby over four percent of GDP, and increasedspending on defense. The tax cuts, higherdefense spending, and second recession in

two years combined to send the deficit soaring.By 1983, it had nearly tripled, to $208billion, and since then has never fallen below$149 billion.

Higher and higher deficits brought moreand more debt. From the start of the Republicto 1980, the Government had accumulatedjust under $1 trillion in debt. From 1980to 1992, the debt rose to $4 trillion.

To be sure, a big deficit can help tostabilize the economy during a recession.But this deficit was harmful because it was‘‘structural’’; it would continue even if theeconomy performed well. Despite numerousattempts to cut the deficit over the nextdecade, it threatened to reach unsustainablelevels as this Administration assumed office.

A structural deficit is important becauseit affects the Nation’s pool of saving. Nationsmust set aside funds today to build thefactories and machines that will generateincome for tomorrow; what they set aside

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22 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1997

1975 1977 1980 1982 1985 1987 1990 1992 1995

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

PERCENT OF GDP

NET NATIONAL SAVING

NET PRIVATE SAVING

Chart 2-3. SAVING RATES

is their saving. It has two components: (1)private saving (by individuals and businesses);and (2) public saving (by Federal, State,and local governments).

If the Federal Government borrows fromthat pool to finance its deficit, then theborrowed saving is not available to makeproductive private investment. With its bigdeficits, the Federal Government in the 1980smassively drained our Nation’s saving pool.Worse, as Federal deficits were rising, privatesaving was falling, making the Nation’s savingproblem worse.

Private Saving: Private saving averaged13.3 percent of GDP in the 1960s, but droppedto 7.3 percent in the 1980s (see Chart 2–3).A fall in private saving affects investment andthe trade balance in the same way as anincrease in the budget deficit. Thus, the fallin private saving exacerbated the economiceffects of the higher budget deficit.

In the 1980s, lower national saving pulleddown investment. To some extent, the dropin investment was offset by more borrowingfrom abroad. But that, in turn, led to otherproblems—including a rising trade deficit.Increased foreign borrowing converted theUnited States from the world’s largest creditorto its largest debtor nation. To service thosedebts, the Nation will have to increase itsexports over its imports for the foreseeablefuture (see Chart 2–4).

Thus, because of the higher deficits andlower private saving, the 1980s economicexpansion was financed by debt to an unprece-dented degree (see Chart 2–5). Much ofthe extra borrowing was not backed by moreassets; thus, the borrowing raised the burdenof debt service without providing a correspond-ing increase in resources to service the debt.High real interest rates, caused by the higherborrowing, further aggravated the problem.

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232. THREE YEARS OF PROGRESS

1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994

-10

-8

-6

-4

-2

0

2

4

6

8

10

PERCENT OF GDP

Chart 2-4. U.S. NET INTERNATIONAL INVESTMENT POSITION

1975 1977 1980 1982 1985 1987 1990 1992 1995

80

100

120

140

160

180

200

PERCENT OF GDP

Chart 2-5. NONFINANCIAL DEBT

TOTAL DEBT

NON-FEDERAL

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24 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1997

Chart 2-6. PRODUCTIVITY OUTPUT PER HOUR IN THE NONFARM BUSINESS SECTOR

1960-1969 1969-1973 1973-1979 1979-1990 1990-19940

0.5

1

1.5

2

2.5

3

3.5

4

3.1 3.0

1.1 1.0 1.1

PERCENT

(average annual growth rates in percent)

1968 1970 1972 1974 1976 1978 1980 1982 1984 1986 1988 1990 1992 1994

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

16

18

20

22

PERCENT

THE MISERY INDEX

INFLATION - ANNUAL PERCENT CHANGE IN THE

CPI-U

THE CIVILIAN UNEMPLOYMENT RATE PLUS...

Chart 2-7. THE "MISERY" INDEX

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252. THREE YEARS OF PROGRESS

Chart 2-8. CIVILIAN UNEMPLOYMENT RATES

1991 1992 1993 1994 19950

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

8

6.7

7.4

6.8

6.1

5.6

PERCENT OF CIVILIAN FORCE

Debt left the economy vulnerable whenrecession struck in the 1990s, and it helpsexplain why the recovery was initially soweak. No strong recovery could occur untilthe unwise policies of the 1980s were reversed.

The decline in saving and investment alsocontributed to another of the economy’s chronicweaknesses—sluggish productivity growth.

The Productivity Slowdown: Rising pro-ductivity holds the key to higher incomes. For25 years after World War II, productivitygrowth averaged 2.7 percent a year, the high-est in U.S. history for that long a time period,and it reached three percent a year in the1960s. Incomes rose substantially for mostfamilies, and workers grew accustomed to an-nual pay increases that outstripped inflation.The middle class expanded, as did opportuni-ties for home ownership, education, and lei-sure.

Since the early 1970s, productivity hasgrown an average of only about one percent

a year, about a third as fast as before(see Chart 2–6). With slower productivitygrowth, the rapid rise in living standardscame to an end. The Nation’s promise ofopportunity was in danger and Americansbegan to fear that, for the first time inU.S. history, future generations would notenjoy higher living standards than their par-ents.

While the economy continued to grow, itdid not grow as fast as in earlier decades.Moreover, growth depended more on theentry of new workers, especially marriedwomen, into the labor market. When growthin the labor force slowed, as at the beginningof the 1990s, productivity improvements alonecould not sustain continued rapid increasesin real GDP.

Rising Inequality: Another chronic prob-lem, aggravated by slower productivity growthand lower saving, was rising income inequal-ity. For the lowest 60 percent of American

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26 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1997

families, the standard of living actually fellfrom 1979 to 1992. Only those at the top con-tinued to enjoy substantial income gains.

For families in the bottom 20 percentof income, real mean income was 14 percentlower in 1992 than in 1973; for familiesin the top five percent, real income was17 percent higher. As a result, the gapbetween the top and bottom incomes widenedto record levels.

The Social Repercussions

Slow productivity growth and widening in-come inequality have effects throughout soci-ety. The difficulties of working families inmaking ends meet have raised the pressureson them and weakened the social fabric.The consequences have come to light inthe economic and social statistics on poverty,social breakdown, and crime.

The sluggish economy of the early 1990swas especially hard on the poor. The officialpoverty rate hit its low point in 1973, afterfalling sharply for most of the previousdecade. Since then, increases in poverty duringrecessions have outpaced reductions in povertyduring recoveries.

By 1992, the poverty rate had risen tonearly 15 percent. That year, more thanone in five of the Nation’s children werepoor.

WHAT THE ADMINISTRATION HASACHIEVED

To bring the economy back to health,the Administration sought to tackle the budgetdeficit while promoting prosperity by investingin education and training, and science andtechnology; by opening new markets; andby keeping interest rates and inflation incheck.

Budget Policy

The President and the last Congress enactedthe Omnibus Budget and Reconciliation Actof 1993, designed to reduce the deficits bya combined $505 billion over five years,1994–98. Because the economy has performedbetter than even the Administration hadpredicted, we now expect those deficits to

fall by $697 billion over the same period,even without further steps to reduce them.

The President’s 1993 economic plan, whichstill governs U.S. fiscal policy, achieved overhalf of its $505 billion of deficit reductionthrough spending cuts ($255 billion), andthe rest through tax measures designed toincrease the progressivity of the tax codeand also raise revenue. It made deep cutsin discretionary spending and entitlementprograms. It extended through 1998 the an-nual limits, or ‘‘caps,’’ on discretionary spend-ing that Congress first imposed in 1990.(This budget would extend them even further.)In addition, it cut entitlements by $98 billion.

Nevertheless, the President’s plan also ex-panded the Earned Income Tax Credit (EITC),which rewards work for those in the lowest-income brackets. The EITC makes work pay.It offers a positive inducement to low-incomefamilies to enter the working world andavoid the cycle of dependency. The planraised the rate of the EITC, expanded itto provide tax relief to more lower-incomeworking families with children, and extendedthe credit to apply, at lower rates, to low-income workers without children.

In the 1993 plan, only one revenue increaseaffected typical American households—a 4.3cent per gallon increase in the Federal excisetax on gasoline. The change was well timed;it occurred while gas prices were falling,so it imposed little or no extra burdenon households. Moreover, the plan broughtdown interest rates, saving these typicalhouseholds sizable sums on home mortgagesand auto and other consumer loans.

All told, about 90 percent of the revenueincreases came from households with incomesof over $100,000. To be sure, no one everwants to raise taxes. But this change wasappropriate—given the pressing need to cutthe deficit, and given that high-income familiesprospered so much in the preceding decade.And with the plan at least partly responsiblefor growth in the economy and the stockmarket since 1993, these people have pros-pered in the last three years.

Largely due to the President’s plan andthe economic growth it helped spur, thedeficit fell from $290 billion in 1992 to

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272. THREE YEARS OF PROGRESS

$164 billion in 1995; we expect it to remainnear this level through 1997. This Nationnow has the smallest deficit, relative tothe size of its economy, of any developedcountry in the world except Norway.

At the same time, even with total discre-tionary spending rising far less than inflation,the President has worked with Congressto reallocate funds to programs that investin the future and, thus, spur economic growth.While the private sector plays the lead rolein creating growth, the Federal Governmentmust play a key supporting role.

Among other things, the President andCongress increased funding for Head Start;Goals 2000 educational reforms; college schol-arships; dislocated worker assistance; researchand technology; environmental protection; thenational forests and parks; Clean Water andSafe Drinking Water revolving funds; commu-nity policing; and the operations of the FBI,the Immigration and Naturalization Service,and Federal prisons.

The President and Congress also createdand funded the Americorps program thatenables students to work in communitieswhile earning funds for college; the CharterSchools program to support public schoolchoice; the School-to-Work Opportunities Actto help young people make a smooth transitionfrom high school to work; and the FederalDirect Student Loan program to make borrow-ing cheaper and more effective, and to easethe burden of repayment.

Economic Achievements

By addressing the deficit, the Administrationhelped resolve the economy’s short-run prob-lems. The President’s plan enabled the FederalReserve to maintain low interest ratesthroughout 1993, and financial markets re-sponded by lowering long-term rates.

For example, the yield on ten-year Treasurynotes fell from 63⁄4 percent in late 1992to 53⁄4 percent by the end of 1993, helpingto end the credit crunch. Interest rates havefluctuated since 1993, but with the fall inthe deficit freeing up resources for privateinvestment, investment has boomed ever since.

Real growth accelerated in 1993, but infla-tion remained firmly in check. Within two

years, unemployment fell below six percent,producing the lowest combined rates of unem-ployment and inflation in three decades (seeCharts 2–7 and 2–8).

Job Growth Up, Unemployment Down:Since January 1993, the economy has added7.7 million net new jobs, an average of 214,000a month (see Chart 2–9). Over seven millionwere in the private sector. Over half of thenew jobs were in the high-paying professionalor managerial categories. The economy createdover a million new jobs in the basic industriesof construction and manufacturing, includingthe bellwether automobile industry.

Economic Growth Up: Also since January1993, real GDP has risen at a 2.6 percent an-nual rate, roughly triple the average growthrate of the prior three years and faster thansuch economies as Japan’s and Germany’s (seeCharts 2–10 and 2–11). Since the first quarterof 1993, private sector GDP—excluding govern-ment—has grown by 3.2 percent a year.

Inflation Under Control: The ConsumerPrice Index has risen an average of just 2.7percent a year since January 1993, markingthe smallest three-year rise since the mid-1960s (see Chart 2–12).

Interest Rates Down: In the President’sfirst year, long-term interest rates paid byhome buyers, business investors, and the Gov-ernment fell by over a point. Inflation fearstemporarily reversed that drop in 1994, butinterest rates fell again in 1995 as inflationfears proved unwarranted and chances formore deficit reduction rose. By the end of 1995,long-term rates were down a full point fromtheir levels of January 1993. Aside from a fewmonths in 1993, long-term rates were at theirlowest point since the 1960s (see Chart 2–13).

Household Wealth Up: Lower interestrates improved the financial standing of house-holds by making home ownership more afford-able and boosting the stock market. The homeownership rate rose to 65.1 percent by the endof 1995, its highest since 1981. Meanwhile, thestock market has given its strong endorsementon the state of the economy. Since January1993, the Dow-Jones Industrial average hasrisen by over 60 percent, with 36 percent ofthe rise coming in 1995. All other major stock

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28 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1997

1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995

-1

0

1

2

3

4

1.5

-1.2

0.3

2.1

3.3

2.6

JOBS IN MILLIONS

Chart 2-9. JOB CREATION

Chart 2-10. ECONOMIC GROWTH(average annual growth rate of real GDP)

Previous 11 Quarters Most Recent 11 Quart0

0.5

1

1.5

2

2.5

3

3.5

0.9

2.6

PERCENT

Most Recent 11 Quarters

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292. THREE YEARS OF PROGRESS

Chart 2-11. COMPARATIVE GROWTH RATES(average annual growth rates of real GDP, Q4/1992 to Q2/1995)

U.S. Japan Germany0

0.5

1

1.5

2

2.5

3

2.4

0.40.3

PERCENT

market indexes were up by correspondingamounts.

Exports Up: U.S. exports of goods and serv-ices have risen at a rapid 7.6 percent annualrate (after adjusting for inflation) since thefirst quarter of 1993. Merchandise exportshave risen even quicker, at a 9.6 percent rate.The export record is particularly impressivein light of the anemic growth in some of theother major industrialized countries.

With other economies growing more slowlythan America’s, our imports should havegrown faster than our exports. They did.Consequently, the trade deficit rose throughthe first half of 1995. But, as the gapin economic growth narrowed a bit in thesecond half of the year, so did the deficit—it fell between June and December of 1995,from $11.4 billion to $6.8 billion. The bilateraldeficit with Japan dropped from an annualrate of $64.7 billion in the first half of1995 to $56.3 billion in the second half.

Progress Against Unfavorable Long-TermTrends

As we have seen, the economy as a wholehas improved markedly in the last threeyears. To be sure, we face the ongoingchallenge of addressing the fundamental fac-tors that determine long-term prosperity. Evenfor those, however, various signs of progressappeared in 1994, the last year for whichstatistics are available.

That year, median family income rose whilethe poverty rate—and, importantly, the pov-erty rate for children—fell. Real incomesgrew in all five quintiles of the incomescale for the first time in five years (seeChart 2–14).

Further improvement may have occurredlast year, given the favorable levels of unem-ployment and growth in real income. ThePresident’s program is designed to do evenmore by creating opportunity and encouragingresponsibility (see Chapters 5 through 12)

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30 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1997

Chart 2-12. INFLATION

Dec. 1989-Jan. 1993 Jan. 1993-Jan. 19960

1

2

3

4

5

3.8

2.7

PERCENT(average annual change in the Consumer Price Index, or CPI)

1 For a more detailed explanation of the Administration’s eco-nomic assumptions, see Analytical Perspectives, Chapter 1.

2 The Government now measures growth on the new basis thatthe Bureau of Economic Analysis introduced in January 1996.

and providing tax relief to millions of middle-income families (see Chapter 12).

Productivity growth has only begun torise, and the final pay-off of deficit reductionhas not yet arrived. But the fundamentaleconomic changes are in the right direction.

In the coming years, the saving and invest-ment boom of the last three years willgenerate higher incomes by enabling workersto produce and earn more. In the nearterm, the main effect of higher investmenthas been to lower unemployment—itself anearly step toward greater prosperity.

A PRUDENT LOOK AT THE ECONOMICFUTURE

In its economic assumptions, the Adminis-tration projects a continuation of currentfavorable economic conditions. The assump-tions are reasonable and conservative.1

Specifically, they project:

• Real GDP growth (on the new chain-weighted basis 2) that averages 2.3 percenta year through 2002, in line with privateforecasters and CBO—about a half-pointa year less than what the Administrationhas achieved over the last three years;

• The unemployment rate to remain stableat 5.7 percent, close to its current leveland within the range that it has main-tained for over a year;

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312. THREE YEARS OF PROGRESS

Chart 2-13. LONG-TERM INTEREST RATES

(average yield on 10-year Treasury Notes)

Jan. 1990-Dec. 1992 Jan. 1993-Dec. 19950

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

87.8

6.5

PERCENT

-1

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

PERCENT, ANNUAL RATE

Lowest quintile

Second lowest

Middlequintile

Fourth quintile

Top quintile

Top5%

Source: Bureau of the Census.

1992-941979-92

Chart 2-14. AVERAGE FAMILY INCOME BY QUINTILE(mean income adjusted for inflation)

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32 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1997

• An increase in the CPI of about 2.8 per-cent a year from 1998 to 2002, about thesame as it averaged in the previous threeyears; and

• The 10-year Treasury bond rate to fall by1.1 percentage points over the next fouryears as the deficit continues to decline.Over the past year, the rate has fallenby two percentage points.

These economic assumptions presume thatCongress adopts the President’s proposals—most fundamentally that the President andCongress put the budget on a path to balanceby 2002—and that the progress will be evidentto households, businesses, and investors. Forthis reason, the Administration expects tosee declines in interest rates, stimulatingsustained growth and investment.

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332. THREE YEARS OF PROGRESS

Table 2–1. ECONOMIC ASSUMPTIONS 1

(Calendar years; dollar amounts in billions)

1994Actual

Projections

1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002

Gross Domestic Product (GDP):Levels, dollar amounts in billions:

Current dollars .............................................. 6,931 7,254 7,621 8,008 8,417 8,848 9,295 9,772 10,268Real, chained (1992) dollars ......................... 6,604 6,742 6,888 7,047 7,212 7,380 7,553 7,730 7,911Chained price index (1992 = 100), annual

average ....................................................... 105.0 107.6 110.6 113.6 116.7 119.9 123.1 126.4 129.8Percent change, fourth quarter over fourth

quarter:Current dollars .............................................. 5.9 4.1 5.1 5.1 5.1 5.1 5.1 5.1 5.1Real, chained (1992) dollars ......................... 3.5 1.5 2.2 2.3 2.3 2.3 2.3 2.3 2.3Chained price index (1992 = 100), annual

average ....................................................... 2.3 2.5 2.8 2.7 2.7 2.7 2.7 2.7 2.7Percent change, year over year:

Current dollars .............................................. 5.8 4.7 5.1 5.1 5.1 5.1 5.1 5.1 5.1Real, chained (1992) dollars ......................... 3.5 2.1 2.2 2.3 2.3 2.3 2.3 2.3 2.3Chained price index (1992 = 100), annual

average ....................................................... 2.3 2.5 2.8 2.7 2.7 2.7 2.7 2.7 2.7

Incomes, billions of current dollars:Personal income ............................................ 5,750 6,104 6,416 6,716 7,025 7,337 7,664 8,031 8,434Wages and salaries ....................................... 3,241 3,420 3,607 3,801 3,995 4,193 4,403 4,629 4,864Corporate profits before tax ......................... 528 602 650 702 753 800 843 882 917

Consumer Price Index (all urban): 2

Level (1982–84 = 100), annual average ....... 148.2 152.4 156.6 161.3 165.9 170.5 175.3 180.2 185.2Percent change, fourth quarter over fourth

quarter ....................................................... 2.6 2.7 3.1 2.9 2.8 2.8 2.8 2.8 2.8Percent change, year over year ................... 2.6 2.8 2.8 3.0 2.8 2.8 2.8 2.8 2.8

Unemployment rate, civilian, percent:Fourth quarter level ..................................... 5.6 5.6 5.7 5.7 5.7 5.7 5.7 5.7 5.7Annual average ............................................. 6.1 5.6 5.7 5.7 5.7 5.7 5.7 5.7 5.7

Federal pay raises, January, percent:Military .......................................................... 2.2 2.2 2.6 3.0 3.1 3.1 3.1 3.1 3.1Civilian 3 ........................................................ ............ 2.0 2.0 3.0 NA NA NA NA NA

Interest rates, percent:91-day Treasury bills 4 .................................. 4.3 5.5 4.9 4.5 4.3 4.2 4.0 4.0 4.010-year Treasury notes ................................. 7.1 6.6 5.6 5.3 5.0 5.0 5.0 5.0 5.0

NA = Not available.1 Based on information available as of mid-January 1996.2 CPI for all urban consumers. Two versions of the CPI are published. The index shown here is that currently used, as required by law,

in calculating automatic adjustments to individual income tax brackets. Projections reflect scheduled changes in methodology.3 Percentages for 1994–1996 exclude locality pay adjustments. Percentages to be proposed for years after 1997 have not yet been deter-

mined.4 Average rate (bank discount basis) on new issues within period.

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35

PROJECTING AMERICANLEADERSHIP

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37

PROJECTING AMERICAN LEADERSHIPThe age of possibility, about which the

President has spoken, extends beyond Amer-ican borders to the world at large. Theend of the Cold War and the spread ofdemocracy and free markets across the globeoffer the promise of a safer, more prosperousworld and a more secure America.

Nevertheless, the world is not withoutits dangers. Indeed, the Nation faces aninternational arena of unprecedented uncer-tainty, with new dangers that know noborders and that do not fit neatly intothe convenient framework of the Cold War.

It is a world in which the line betweenforeign and domestic issues is increasinglyblurred. With American standards of livingincreasingly dependent on how well our busi-nesses compete overseas, what we do abroadmatters a great deal for how well we live

at home. Put simply, retreat from the inter-national arena is not an option for theUnited States.

On the diplomatic front, our leadershiphas helped ease tensions, end conflicts, andbring peace in Europe, the Middle East,North Korea, and elsewhere over the lastthree years. And through trade and overseasassistance programs, we are helping spurdemocracy, expand markets, promote our ex-ports, and meet humanitarian needs.

When needed, we have called on our militaryforces—the world’s strongest and best pre-pared—to promote our interests and sustainthe peace. For 1997 and beyond, the budgetwould ensure that our forces remain readyand obtain the best military technology tocontinue to do their job.

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39

3. ADVANCING UNITED STATESLEADERSHIP IN THE WORLD

All over the world, even after the Cold War, people still look to us to help them seek the bless-ings of peace and freedom . . . . The United States can and should be the very best peacemaker . . . .By keeping our military strong, by using diplomacy where we can and force where we must, byworking with others to share the risk and cost of our efforts, America is making a difference forpeople here and around the world.

President ClintonJanuary 1996

The budget provides the resources to supportAmerican diplomatic leadership in defendingour interests and promoting democracy, freemarkets, and peace throughout the world.

The call and the opportunity for Americanleadership have never been greater. At atime when major threats to the United Statesare few, the opportunity to expand the reachof democracy and free markets is great.At the same time, new challenges to ourwell-being and to world peace have arisen—from regional, ethnic, and national conflicts;to the proliferation of weapons of mass de-struction; to international terrorism and crime,narcotics trading, and environmental degrada-tion.

In this environment, the United Statesis uniquely suited to lead. And, in thisenvironment, the Nation must not foolishly,and shortsightedly, withdraw into isolationismand protectionism and deny ourselves theresources we require to provide that leader-ship.

The President proposes $19.2 billion forinternational affairs, slightly over 1 percentof the budget and 0.25 percent of GrossDomestic Product. Nearly all industrializedcountries spend a greater portion of theirincome on international activities.

As America engages overseas, we mustfirst ensure that we promote and protectour interests in regions that are critical

to our security. Over the past three years,our achievements have been heartening.

Spurring Foreign Policy Achievements

Through skilled diplomacy, the judicioususe of the world’s finest military force, andthe careful provision of foreign assistance,the United States has promoted peace andreduced threats to our security to a remark-able extent. Though problems obviously re-main in the Middle East, the seeminglyintractable hostility between Arabs and Israe-lis is giving way gradually to a recognitionthat the people of the region can benefitfar more from cooperation than confrontation.We continue to lead in promoting the peaceprocess, particularly between Syria and Israel.

In Europe, U.S. leadership in NATO provedcritical in bringing an end to the longestand bloodiest conflict on that continent sinceWorld War II. American diplomacy, forces,and assistance programs are now offeringhope to Bosnians and others in a regiontorn by struggle for over four years. Ourdecision to lead in ending this conflict hasbrought together a coalition of nations provid-ing forces and assistance to the new Federa-tion.

Nor is Bosnia the only American successin Europe. Though the peace process inNorthern Ireland remains difficult, it hasmade more progress in the past two yearsthan it has in decades—thanks, in part,

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40 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1997

Table 3–1. INTERNATIONAL DISCRETIONARY PROGRAMS(Budget authority, dollar amounts in millions)

1993Actual

1995Actual

1996Estimate 1

1997Proposed

DollarChange:1993 to

1997

PercentChange:1993 to

1997

International development andhumanitarian assistance .......... 8,900 8,441 7,061 7,472 –1,428 –16%

International security assistance 6,148 5,670 5,915 5,828 –320 –5%Conduct of foreign affairs ............ 4,300 4,061 3,951 4,164 –136 –3%Foreign information and ex-

change activities ........................ 1,247 1,421 1,115 1,162 –85 –7%International financial programs 599 536 553 567 –32 –5%

Total, International discre-tionary programs ............... 21,194 20,129 18,595 19,193 –2,001 –9%

1 Includes Administration’s proposed adjustments to 1996 continuing resolution levels.

to our leadership in helping to bring theparties together.

In Central Europe, which was at the heartof the Cold War struggle, challenges continueon the road to democracy and free markets.Yet the amount of change, which our supportand strong leadership helped to spur, istruly amazing. In many cases, Central Euro-pean economies are free and largely privatized.Gradually, these countries—for example, Po-land, the Czech Republic, and Hungary—are becoming strong U.S. trading and diplo-matic partners and, along with some ofEurope’s other new democracies, are wellon their way to integration with the trans-atlantic community.

While progress is slower in the New Inde-pendent States, U.S. relations with Russiaare strong and vital; in that critical country,the United States has provided unwaveringsupport for the movement to democracy andfree markets. We also have new, strongpartnerships with other key countries inthe region, such as Ukraine.

In Asia, America created an internationalcoalition to end the threat of nuclear prolifera-tion in North Korea. The North Koreanframework agreement continues to move for-ward with international assistance. We main-tain a strong diplomatic and economic relation-

ship with Japan and are building a better,though complex, relationship with China.

In our own Western Hemisphere, we havealso led the way in promoting democracyand healthy trade and investment relation-ships. Most notably, U.S. leadership restoreddemocratic government and freedom to thepeople of Haiti, where the first peacefultransition from one elected president to an-other has just occurred.

Promoting Our Security Objectives

The budget continues to support our Na-tion’s critical security objectives.

The budget will provide funding for inter-national security assistance, especially criticalto the Middle East peace process, at $5.8billion (see Table 3–1). Of this amount,$5.3 billion in military financing grants andeconomic support (about the same as in1996) would help further the peace process.

In addition, the budget proposes to partlyfinance the cost of a squadron of F–16aircraft to Jordan, in recognition of therisks that King Hussein is taking to advancethe Middle East peace process. Separately,the Administration has requested funds in1996 to initiate this important program.

The budget proposes to provide foreignmilitary financing grants to our emergingpartners in Central and Eastern Europe under

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413. ADVANCING UNITED STATES LEADERSHIP IN THE WORLD

the President’s Partnership for Peace initia-tive, which would help these countries meetthe conditions for membership in NATO.Economic support fund grants to countriessuch as Haiti and Cambodia are designedto help consolidate recent democratic gainsin those countries.

The budget proposes to continue assistanceto support the transition to democracy andfree markets in Central Europe and thepeace process in the Balkans. Specifically,it proposes $475 million for assistance pro-grams in the region. While the budget contin-ues to phase down assistance to northerntier countries, it includes the second $200million installment toward economic recon-struction funding for Bosnia. The Administra-tion has already requested the first install-ment of this program as a supplement tothe 1996 budget.

Burden sharing is especially strong in thisprogram; the United States is providing only20 percent of the bilateral reconstructionassistance that Bosnia will receive. This aidwould help restore municipal infrastructurethat was severely damaged by the war,and would offer financing for small, privateenterprises in order to rapidly boost employ-ment. By 1997, the economic recovery thatthis aid should foster would permit a gradualphasedown in humanitarian aid.

U.S. assistance to the New IndependentStates of the former Soviet Union wouldcontinue at $640 million. Given the potentialfor political and economic change in thisregion, legislative earmarking of the fundsby country and activity is particularly inappro-priate and may frustrate the achievementof objectives it is designed to reach.

Promoting Trade

America’s second major international goalis to promote an open trading system, whichwill contribute to U.S. economic prosperity.We have gone a long way toward layingthe groundwork for sustained, non-inflationarygrowth into the next century, most notablywith implementation of the North AmericanFree Trade Agreement and the multilateraltrade agreements concluded during the Uru-guay Round. In addition, we have moreclosely integrated the Government’s many

trade promotion activities through the TradePromotion Coordinating Committee, creatingsynergy among agency trade programs, signifi-cantly improving American business’ abilityto win contracts overseas, and creating export-related jobs at home. Consequently, we expectthe recent increases in U.S. exports to con-tinue, leading to major U.S. economic andjob gains.

The budget puts a high priority on programsthat help U.S. exporters meet foreign competi-tion and seize the opportunities that tradeagreements offer.

The Trade and Development Agency makesgrants for feasibility studies of capital projectsabroad, and the Overseas Private InvestmentCorporation insures and finances U.S. invest-ment in developing countries. The activitiesof both agencies are designed to help increaseexports, and the budget holds 1997 fundinglevels close to or above the 1996 enactedlevel.

A larger source of support for exportsis the Export-Import Bank, which offers loans,loan guarantees, and insurance for exports,primarily of capital goods. The budget main-tains funding levels for the Bank’s coreexport financing and insurance programs.

Finally, Commerce Department programspromote U.S. trade, especially through theInternational Trade Administration (ITA) andits U.S. Export Assistance Centers. The budgetproposes a slight increase for the ITA, com-pared to 1996 funding levels.

Bilateral development assistance throughthe U.S. Agency for International Development(USAID) and contributions to the multilateraldevelopment banks (MDBs) also support U.S.exports. In the near term, development assist-ance promotes American exports by financingdevelopment projects abroad which importAmerican goods (such as imports of Americanbulldozers to build a U.S.-financed road).In the longer term, dynamic economies indeveloping countries create strong commercialdemand for U.S. exports (as illustrated byrecipients of development aid in East Asia).For 1997, the budget proposes that USAIDdevelopment assistance grow by four percent,to $1.7 billion.

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42 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1997

The budget proposes that U.S. contributionsto the World Bank and the regional develop-ment banks grow to $1.4 billion, a 24 percentincrease over 1996. Congress cut the Presi-dent’s MDB budget request by 50 percentin 1996, reflecting a serious misunderstandingof how important MDBs are—they not onlyhelp the United States achieve its economicdevelopment and export promotion objectives,they also leverage our foreign assistancedollars through contributions from other do-nors.

When the World Bank, the first MDB,was established at the end of World WarII, the United States provided nearly allof the international funding. Today, the aver-age U.S. share of annual contributions tothe MDBs is only slightly over 20 percent.Moreover, the MDBs, particularly the WorldBank group, are coordinating multilateraland bilateral assistance programs and provid-ing large-scale funding to countries and re-gions of critical importance to the UnitedStates—the Middle East, Bosnia, South Africa,the New Independent States, and Centraland Eastern Europe.

Addressing New Threats

The third goal of our international leader-ship is to address the new transnationalthreats to U.S. and global security and pros-perity: the proliferation of weapons of massdestruction, drug trafficking and the spreadof crime and terrorism on an internationalscale, unrestrained population growth, andenvironmental degradation.

U.S. diplomacy and law enforcement activi-ties are playing a key role in preventingthe spread of nuclear and other major destruc-tive weapons, particularly to outlaw stateslike Libya, Iraq, and Iran. The DefenseDepartment’s Nunn-Lugar program and theState Department’s Nonproliferation and Dis-armament Fund are important parts of ourcommitment. (For additional information onthe Nunn-Lugar program, see Chapter 4.)

U.S. bilateral assistance programs relatedirectly to solving other transnational prob-lems. For example, assistance programs em-phasize source-country approaches to the waron drugs. The budget proposes $213 millionfor the State Department’s narcotics and

anti-crime programs, nearly double the 1996level. In addition, USAID carries out largeand successful programs to improve the envi-ronment, and America is a recognized worldleader in promoting safe and effective familyplanning projects. The budget requests over$700 million to meet the needs in thesetwo sectors.

The United States also plays a key leader-ship role as the world community addressesthese problems. The United Nations andits related specialized agencies, such as theWorld Health Organization and the Inter-national Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA), areimportant mechanisms for such internationalcooperation. In some instances, such as theU.N.’s and IAEA’s efforts to identify anddestroy Iraq’s weapons of mass destruction,international organizations prove an indispen-sable vehicle to help us achieve our nationalinterests.

Meeting Our U.N. Commitments

The United States has provided leadershipto these international organizations for over40 years. Today, that leadership is underattack, threatened by sharp cuts in appropria-tions for U.S. contributions to the organiza-tions. For many of these institutions, member-country contributions are mandated by treaty;when America fails to meet its commitments,it accumulates arrears.

For the United Nations, related organiza-tions, and peacekeeping, U.S. arrears havenow grown to roughly $1 billion. The Adminis-tration recognizes the need for serious reformin the United Nations and related organiza-tions and is leading the effort. The budgetseeks full funding for our current obligationsto these institutions, as well as a downpayment on clearing the arrears, linked toaccomplishing needed reforms.

The United States also makes voluntarycontributions to a variety of internationalorganizations principally involved in develop-ment, population, and environmental pro-grams, such as UNICEF, the U.N. Develop-ment Program, the U.N. Population Fund,and the program created under the MontrealProtocol to protect the ozone layer. Becauseour leadership is critical to the success of

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433. ADVANCING UNITED STATES LEADERSHIP IN THE WORLD

these organizations, the budget proposes a14 percent increase in funding.

Providing Humanitarian Assistance

Finally, humanitarian and disaster reliefremains a major international need, especiallyin areas with regional conflict. The budgetproposes $1.7 billion to continue our globalrole, which has enjoyed bipartisan support,in providing American humanitarian relieffor the victims of natural and man-madedisasters.

Disaster relief programs in USAID andhumanitarian feeding under Public Law 480would continue slightly above 1996 spendinglevels. Funding for refugees would fall bythree percent, to $700 million, due to theend of the refugee problem in SoutheastAsia and the expected return of severalmillion refugees and displaced persons totheir homes in Bosnia under the peace settle-ment. The budget proposes to keep large-scale assistance available for the continuingrefugee needs in Africa and the Near East.

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45

4. SUPPORTING THE WORLD’S STRONGESTMILITARY FORCE

The men and women of our armed forces remain the foundation, the fundamental foundationof our security. You put the steel into our diplomacy. You get the job done when all means shortof force have been tried and failed.

President ClintonMay 1995

America’s defense capability is the bulwarkthat sustains and supports its foreign policy.

• Only when U.S. forces were about to landcould our negotiators convince an unwel-come dictatorship to leave Haiti; we thenreinstalled the rightful democratically-elected leader and, in the process,stemmed the large-scale migration fromHaiti to our borders.

• With Iraq once again threatening Kuwait,we moved quickly to send additional forcesto the region, averting another crisis.

• We saved hundreds of thousands of livesby employing our military forces in hu-manitarian efforts in Rwanda.

• Finally, the resolve shown in the NATOair campaign and the promise of U.S. mili-tary involvement in securing a peace waspivotal in bringing the warring factions inBosnia to the negotiating table and achiev-ing the Dayton Peace Accord; U.S. forcesare now leading the cooperative NATO ef-fort to enforce that agreement.

Because the United States must lead, andour forces must prevail when called to fightin a world of new post-Cold War threats,the budget proposes to continue sustainingand modernizing the world’s strongest, best-trained, best-equipped, and most ready mili-tary force.

The budget continues the Administration’sdefense funding plan, supporting our militaryforces with quality of life improvements andthe best technology we can develop. Thebudget also supports the President’s commit-

ment to arms control and to reducing thedangers of nuclear weapons at home andabroad.

Sustaining a Strong Military Capability

U.S. military forces must deter our adversar-ies and reassure our friends and allies thatAmerica is prepared to use force to defendits interests.

When committed to combat, U.S. forcesmust win decisively. They must be highlyready and armed with the best equipmentthat technology can provide. They must beprepared and trained for the new threatsof the post-Cold War era, many of whichknow no national borders: the proliferationof weapons of mass destruction; ethnic andregional conflicts that undermine stability;and terrorism and drug trafficking, whichdirectly threaten our free and open society.

Today, the United States is the only nationwith the logistics, mobility, intelligence, andcommunications capabilities required to con-duct large-scale, effective military operationson a global basis. Coupled with our uniqueposition as the preferred security partnerin many regions, our military capability pro-vides a foundation for regional stabilitythrough mutually beneficial partnerships. Ourwillingness and ability to play a leadingrole in defending common interests help en-sure that we retain a strong leadershipposition in the world.

The budget builds upon the Administration’spolicy of the last three years—sustainingand modernizing the world’s strongest and

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46 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1997

Table 4–1. MILITARY FORCE TRENDS

1989Cold War 1997 Target

Force

Active Forces:Army Divisions ........................................................................... 18 10 10Navy Aircraft Carriers 1 ............................................................ 16 11 11Navy Air Wings .......................................................................... 13 10 10Navy Surface Combatants and Attack Submarines ............... 287 192 161–171Marine Divisions and Air Wings .............................................. 3 3 3Air Force Tactical Wings ........................................................... 25 13 13

Reserve Forces:Army Combat Brigades ............................................................. 57 42 42Navy Air Wings .......................................................................... 2 1 1Navy Aircraft Carrier ................................................................ 0 1 1Other Navy Ships ...................................................................... 26 17 15Marine Divisions/Air Wings ...................................................... 1 1 1Air Force Tactical Wings ........................................................... 12 7 7

Nuclear Deterrent: 2

Intercontinental Ballistic Missiles ........................................... 1,000 580 500Ballistic Missile Submarines (Missiles) ................................... 32 (576) 17 (408) 14 (336)Bombers ...................................................................................... 359 174 86

Mobility Forces:Strategic Airlift Aircraft ............................................................ 431 389 283Sealift Ships 3 ............................................................................. 162 152 149

Military Personnel (in thousands):Active Forces .............................................................................. 2,130 1,457 1,418Guard and Reserve Forces ........................................................ 1,171 901 893

1 Includes one non-deployable training carrier in 1989.2 Assumes START II ratification and entry into force. Does not include 95 B–1 bombers dedicated to con-

ventional missions in 2002 or in the Target Force.3 Includes ships in the Ready Reserve Force maintained by the Department of Transportation but funded

by DOD.

most ready military force, capable of prevailingwith our regional allies in two nearly simulta-neous regional conflicts. The budget maintainsour commitment to high levels of trainingand readiness for that force and equippingit with technology second to none (see Table4–1).

Providing Budget Levels that Ensure aStrong Defense

For programs in the National Defense func-tion (050), the budget proposes 1997 discre-tionary funding of $255.1 billion in budgetauthority and $259.4 billion in outlays. Thisoverall function includes the activities ofthe Department of Defense-Military (051),Atomic Energy Defense Activities (053), andother Defense-Related Activities (054).

Table 4–2 shows budget authority andoutlay levels for these functions through2002.

For Department of Defense (DOD) militaryfunctions (051), the budget proposes $243.4billion in budget authority and $248.3 billionin outlays for 1997. After 1997, the budgetreflects the impact of lower estimates ofinflation, offset by the planned increasesneeded to modernize our military forces. DODfunding would roughly keep pace with inflationthrough 1999, then increase slightly fasterthan inflation through the rest of the five-year planning period.

The budget continues the Administration’sdefense funding plan of the last three years,which provides for a careful resizing of our

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474. SUPPORTING THE WORLD’S STRONGEST MILITARY FORCE

Table 4–2 FUNDING SUMMARY FOR NATIONAL DEFENSE(Discretionary funding, in billions of dollars)

1995Actual

1996Estimate

Proposed

1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002

Department of Defense-Military (051):Budget Authority ........... 257.4 252.6 243.4 248.9 255.0 262.4 270.3 277.3Outlays ........................... 261.2 255.3 248.3 244.7 247.3 254.6 257.3 265.6

Atomic Energy DefenseActivities (053):Budget Authority ........... 10.1 10.6 10.9 10.0 9.1 8.2 9.4 10.6Outlays ........................... 11.7 10.2 10.5 10.2 9.3 8.4 8.8 9.9

Other Defense RelatedActivities (054):Budget Authority ........... 0.4 0.7 0.8 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.4Outlays ........................... 0.7 0.9 0.6 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.6

Total National Defense(050):Budget Authority ........... 267.9 263.9 255.1 259.3 264.4 270.9 280.0 288.3Outlays ........................... 273.6 266.4 259.4 255.5 257.1 263.5 266.6 276.1

military forces, ensures full support in thenear term for military readiness and qualityof life, and provides properly for modernizingour forces as new technology comes on linelater in the decade.

We have carefully recalibrated this defenseplan over the past three years in responseto experience and events. Reflecting the find-ings of a 1993 review of previously assumedbut unrealized savings, we increased the1994 defense budget. As pay levels rose,we adjusted defense budgets accordingly. InDecember 1994, we added $25 billion toour long-term defense plan to provide forreadiness and quality of life initiatives andfor real growth in 2000 and 2001 to purchasenew military hardware.

The President’s plan is a rational, carefulapproach to defense funding. By contrast,in 1996 Congress provided $7 billion morethan the Administration requested, principallyfor military hardware programs that theservices have said they do not need orhad planned to request later.

These additional funds mean that, overall,1996 funding for DOD military functionsis higher than the 1997 proposed level—and observers might take that to meanthat most programs funded in 1996 wouldface cuts in 1997. This is not the case.Congress added funding for programs in 1996that do not require funding in 1997.

As Chart 4–1 shows, our 1997 requestreturns defense funding to a plan that makessense, providing increases for modernizationat the end of the decade when new tech-nologies become available. By contrast, thecongressional plan provides funds for oldertechnologies early, then falls well below theAdministration’s budget plan at the turnof the century—just as the newer defensetechnologies for which the military forcesare planning will begin production.

Because the President believes that Con-gress added funds last year for many unneces-sary projects, the budget proposes to rescindor cancel some 1996 defense resources.

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48 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1997

1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002

160

180

200

220

240

260

280

CONSTANT 1997 DOLLARS IN BILLIONS

PRESIDENT'S DEFENSE BUDGET

PRESIDENT'S PROCUREMENT BUDGET 40

20

0

1996 BUDGET RESOLUTION

60

Chart 4-1. DEFENSE BUDGET, PROCUREMENT, AND THE1996 CONGRESSIONAL BUDGET RESOLUTION

(discretionary budget authority)

Modernizing Our Military Forces

Relating Procurement to the Total De-fense Budget: A key objective of the Adminis-tration’s defense funding plan is to modernizeour military hardware.

As Chart 4–2 shows, historical changesin procurement funding coincide with changesin total defense funding. In the late 1970sand early 1980s, as the defense budget rose,the President and Congress invested moreand more in equipment. These investmentsfunded a wide range of systems (such asfighter aircraft, attack submarines, and ar-mored vehicles) and provided the backboneof today’s modern force.

The equipment that the Government boughtthen is now aging and must be modernizedto include the latest technological advances.For example, the average age of Air Forcefighter and attack aircraft is about 10 yearstoday, but will grow to around 20 years

by 2010. When complex military equipmentages, it becomes costlier and more difficultto maintain and operate. Most importantof all, the decisive technological advantagethat superior equipment provides means fewcasualties and the quick, successful resolutionof conflict. For all these reasons, modernizationis a high priority.

Providing Modernization Funding: TheAdministration proposes $314 billion from1997 to 2002 for procurement, so that procure-ment funding would grow by 42 percent inreal terms over the period. Important mod-ernization programs in production wouldcontinue, including DDG-51 guided-missile de-stroyers, the C-17 strategic airlift aircraft, andstandoff precision munitions like the JointStandoff Weapon.

In 1997, low-rate production of MarineCorps V–22 tilt rotor aircraft and the Navy’smulti-role F/A-18E/F fighter would begin. Mod-ernization funding would grow in 1998 and

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TOTAL

PROCUREMENT

Chart 4-2. DEFENSE TOTALS AND PROCUREMENT BUDGET AUTHORITY

1950 1955 1960 1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995

0

100

200

300

400

500

CONSTANT 1997 DOLLARS IN BILLIONS

1999 with initial procurement of the Navy’sNew Attack Submarine and low-rate produc-tion of the Air Force’s F-22 Advanced TacticalFighter. Full-rate production of the V-22,F/A-18E/F, and the F-22 would occur atthe turn of the century.

Providing Modernization for the Long-Term: The budget proposes large investmentsin research and development for advanced sys-tems that will enter production in the middleof the next decade. The Air Force, Navy, andMarine Corps are developing a Joint StrikeFighter as a cost-effective replacement for to-day’s tactical fighter and attack aircraft. Othermajor weapons in development include theArmy Comanche helicopter, a new surface shipfor the Navy, and an advanced amphibious-assault vehicle for the Marine Corps.

Ensuring the Nation’s Security

Achieving Arms Control: The President’spolicy of stressing arms control to reducethreats from weapons of mass destruction was

rewarded by an overwhelming Senate vote forratification of the START II treaty. Followingapproval by the Russian Republic, implemen-tation of this seminal treaty, together with theSTART I Treaty that took effect in December1994, will bring warheads deployed on long-range missiles and bombers by the former So-viet Union to a third of the Cold War level.By reducing weapons levels on both sides, andby banning land-based missiles with multiplewarheads, START II will make the world amuch safer place.

To reinforce our arms control efforts, thebudget proposes $3.3 billion for a wide rangeof programs to blunt threats posed by theglobal proliferation of nuclear, biological, andchemical weapons.

Reducing Weapons of Mass Destructionin the Former Soviet Union (FSU): TheCooperative Threat Reduction program (alsoknown as the Nunn-Lugar program) has con-tributed greatly to U.S. security. Nunn-Lugar

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50 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1997

assistance increased the safety and speed withwhich states of the FSU have dismantled theirnuclear weapons. The budget proposes $328million to continue this important program in1997.

Countering Proliferation of Weapons ofMass Destruction: The budget proposes near-ly $500 million to develop capabilities to locateand neutralize weapons of mass destructionbefore they can be used, and to protect U.S.troops against their effects. High-priority ef-forts include developing the means to identifyand destroy underground storage sites, and themethods to detect and track weapons ship-ments. To protect troops against chemical andbiological agents, key efforts include develop-ing advanced detection devices, vaccines, andprotective clothing.

Developing and Deploying DefensesAgainst Tactical Ballistic Missiles: The Ad-ministration’s Theater Missile Defense (TMD)program is designed to defeat existing and fu-ture ballistic missile threats around the world.With over $2 billion in proposed funding (morethan two-thirds of the total budgeted for ballis-tic-missile defense), TMD would provide de-fenses against those missiles that directlythreaten American and allied ground, naval,and air forces deployed abroad. Funding forTMD supports development, as soon as pos-sible, of an advanced version of the Army’sPatriot missile and the Navy’s Lower-Tier Sys-tem, as well as the development of moreadvanced systems to meet future threats.

Developing Options to Defend AgainstStrategic Ballistic Missiles: The budget pro-poses $500 million for a vigorous program todevelop the central elements of a national mis-sile defense system that could be used to pro-tect the United States. Although the Adminis-tration does not believe that such a systemis needed now, the development of a contin-gency capability continues to ensure that de-ployment could proceed rapidly—if a missilethreat emerges sooner than our intelligencecommunity estimates. A decision to force earlydeployment would not only waste billions ofdollars, it would force adoption of immaturetechnologies that would not likely provide aneffective defense.

Maintaining Stewardship Over OurNuclear Capability: The unifying mission of

the Department of Energy’s (DOE) defense ac-tivities is to reduce the global nuclear danger.DOE does this by:

• supporting and maintaining a safe, secure,reliable, and smaller nuclear weaponsstockpile without explosive testing of nu-clear weapons;

• dismantling excess nuclear weapons;

• providing technical leadership for nationaland global nonproliferation efforts; and

• reducing the environmental, safety, andhealth risks from current and former fa-cilities in the nuclear weapons complex.

The budget proposes $10.9 billion for DOEspending on defense activities, a $230 millionincrease from the 1996 enacted level. Fundingfor stewardship and management of the nu-clear weapons stockpile would rise by $250million, to $3.7 billion, reflecting the Presi-dent’s commitment to provide sufficient fund-ing for this program next year and overthe next decade. The increase is designedto help maintain the safety and reliabilityof the nuclear weapons stockpile under acomprehensive test ban treaty, which theAdministration hopes to complete and signin 1996.

Undertaking Successful ContingencyOperations: U.S. forces are engaged in contin-gency operations around the world that sup-port American interests and demonstrateinternational leadership—from monitoringU.N. sanctions on Iraq, to supporting the re-turn to democracy in Haiti, to playing a keyrole in the NATO-led military force implement-ing the Dayton Peace Accord in Bosnia andHerzegovina. The budget includes funding forongoing contingency operations in SouthwestAsia, and Bosnia and Herzegovina, to help en-sure that we protect force readiness. If Con-gress approves these funds, and no unexpectednew costs arise, DOD can avoid redirectingfunds from operations and maintenance pro-grams, thereby maintaining its high level ofreadiness.

In the 1996 Defense Appropriations Act,Congress funded a portion of the costs ofcontingency operations in Southwest Asia.The remaining unfunded contingency oper-ations costs, stemming mostly from operations

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514. SUPPORTING THE WORLD’S STRONGEST MILITARY FORCE

in Bosnia and Herzegovina, total $2.2 billion.A reprogramming of savings from lower-than-expected inflation can fund nearly halfof these costs. Another $620 million is includedin a supplemental appropriations request.The Administration submitted these proposalsto Congress early this year and plans tosubmit a second reprogramming to fund thebalance of the Bosnia and other contingencycosts.

Establishing Information Dominance:Information is power. U.S. preeminence in in-formation technology helps us to field theworld’s premier military force. The Adminis-tration’s goal is to continue advances in infor-mation technology to support military oper-ations and our national security strategy.

Intelligence is critical to information domi-nance and it continues to play a largerole in military operations and national secu-rity decision-making. This year’s intelligencebudget is guided by explicit intelligence prior-ities that the President established for thepost-Cold War era. We have realigned fundswithin national and tactical intelligence tobetter cover the President’s top priorities,such as support to military operations andcounter-proliferation. The intelligence budgetalso realigns funds to achieve a better balancebetween collecting and analyzing information.

A new initiative—the Global Broadcast Sys-tem—exemplifies the Administration’s drivefor information dominance. DOD is adaptingcommercial, direct-broadcast, digital TV tech-nology to provide real-time logistics, weather,and intelligence information to military forces.Commanders equipped with terminals as smallas 18 inches would receive instantaneous,secure, high-data-rate information to out-smart, out-maneuver, and out-fight any oppo-nent.

Maintaining the Readiness of Our Forces

Ensuring Adequate Resources for Readi-ness: The Administration’s top defense prioritycontinues to be maintaining the readiness andsustainability of our military forces. The budg-et provides full funding for operations and sup-port programs critical to sustaining the mili-tary’s current high readiness levels. These pro-grams include unit training activities, recruit-ing and retention programs, joint exercises,

and equipment maintenance activities. TheAdministration also proposes funding for hu-manitarian assistance programs.

DOD has embarked on several initiativesto improve the assessment of current andfuture military readiness. Of particular noteare the Senior Readiness Oversight Counciland the Joint Monthly Readiness Reviewprocess. These initiatives enhance DOD’s abil-ity to ensure that critical readiness programsreceive sufficient resources and that our forcesremain prepared to accomplish their missions.

Enhancing Quality of Life for Our Mili-tary Personnel: The Administration continuesto strongly back programs that directly, or in-directly, support military readiness. Ourarmed forces have been extremely successfulin attracting and retaining motivated, high-quality personnel in part because of the Ad-ministration’s continuing strong commitmentto fund quality of life programs. For example,the budget provides military personnel a threepercent military pay raise, effective January1997, and substantial funding to upgrade andimprove military barracks and family housing.

Managing our Defense Resources MoreEfficiently

Implementing Base Closure and Re-alignment: Since 1988, four Base Closure andRealignment Commissions have recommendedthe closure of 97 out of 495 major militaryinstallations and over 200 smaller installa-tions—about 20 percent of our defense infra-structure. The projected annual savings of $5.8billion by 2001 would help fund, in part, themodernization of our military forces. To ensurethat the Government reaps these savings, thebudget proposes increases for 1997–2000 tofully fund the implementation of final rec-ommendations of the 1995 Base Closure andRealignment Commission.

Improving Financial Management: TheAdministration remains committed to reform-ing DOD’s financial management and account-ing systems. DOD’s progress includes develop-ing and implementing standard financial sys-tems for civilian payroll, military retirement,transportation, and debt management. Signifi-cantly, DOD has cut the category known asproblem disbursements from $51 billion in1993 to $22 billion in 1995.

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52 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1997

The Administration is committed to imple-menting the Chief Financial Officers Actin order to ensure that DOD can produceauditable financial statements. In addition,DOD will continue to pursue the most cost-effective solutions to its finance and accountingneeds, which may include contracting outsome functions.

Streamlining the Civilian Workforce:DOD plans to continue streamlining its civil-ian workforce while maintaining the qualityof its workers. The budget reflects a cut ofover 208,000, or 22 percent, of DOD civilianpositions from 1993 to 1999. Consistent withthe principles of the Vice President’s NationalPerformance Review, DOD is cutting head-quarters, procurement, finance, and adminis-trative staffs.

Implementing the Government Perform-ance and Results Act (GPRA): DOD contin-ues to incorporate performance evaluation into

its decision-making for such broad-based issuesas weapons purchases, transportation meth-ods, and inventory control. It has designatedseven programs (including the Defense Logis-tics Agency and Air Combat Command) asdemonstration projects to provide a guide toimplementing GPRA fully.

Using the Private Sector for SupportFunctions: The Commission on Roles andMissions of the Armed Forces (CORM) rec-ommended that, to save money, DOD use theprivate sector for a number of support func-tions. In August 1995, the Deputy Secretaryof Defense established an Integrated PolicyTeam for Privatization, which includes seniorrepresentatives from the military departments,defense agencies, and the Secretary’s staff.They will look for opportunities, identify obsta-cles, and develop solutions and strategies tosupport the CORM recommendation. Thebudget provides funds to accomplish thesegoals.

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CREATING OPPORTUNITY ANDENCOURAGING RESPONSIBILITY

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CREATING OPPORTUNITY ANDENCOURAGING RESPONSIBILITY

Opportunity and responsibility—they arethe twin pillars of American citizenship. Theydefine who we are as a people and asociety.

The opportunity for Americans to live safe,secure, healthy, and prosperous lives comesthrough their families, neighborhoods andcommunities, schools, churches and syna-gogues, civic associations and clubs, and,when necessary, the Federal, State, and localgovernments.

Americans expect one another to fulfillthe responsibilities of citizenship—to obeythe law, raise their children, support theirfamilies, and participate as full-fledged mem-bers of society.

The President proposes to deploy the FederalGovernment appropriately to create oppor-tunity for all Americans while encouragingresponsibility. To meet these goals, the budgetwould restore communities, strengthen thehealth care system, make work pay, investin education and training, protect the environ-ment, promote science and technology, enforcethe law, and cut taxes for middle-incomeAmericans and small businesses while makingthe tax system fairer.

• Restoring the American Community:The budget proposes to expand the Presi-dent’s national service program, which en-courages Americans of all ages to helpsolve the problems of communities andearn money to help pay for postsecondaryeducation. It also proposes to designatemore Empowerment Zones and EnterpriseCommunities to spur community revital-ization; expand the Community Develop-ment Financial Institutions Fund to pro-vide investment in distressed areas; andmaintain the Government-to-governmentcommitment to Native Americans.

• Strengthening Health Care: The budgetproposes to improve Medicare and Medic-aid in ways that reflect the President’scommitment to expand access to coverage

while making the system more efficient.These changes would give Medicare’s 37million beneficiaries more plans to choosefrom, higher quality care, and a more cost-effective program. And they would main-tain and strengthen Medicaid’s guaranteeof coverage for 36 million vulnerableAmericans.

• Making Work Pay: Building on the Ad-ministration’s efforts to date, the budgetwould repeal the current welfare system,replacing it with one that requires workand provides child care so people can leavewelfare for work. Although its efforts arehaving an impact in making work pay andmoving people from welfare to work, theAdministration is committed to the nec-essary next step: to work with Congresson bipartisan welfare legislation that re-flects the basic values all Americansshare—work, responsibility, and family.

• Investing in Education and Training:Today’s most successful workers are thosewith the best-quality education who con-tinue learning throughout their careers tocompete successfully. The Federal Govern-ment plays a crucial, if limited, role inproviding the necessary education andtraining. The budget continues to investin education and training, and also buildson previous legislative and managementreforms in key Federal programs.

• Protecting the Environment: ThePresident wants a Government that helpsprotect the environment and our naturalresources without burdening business,choking innovation, or wasting taxpayerdollars. To meet these objectives, the Ad-ministration continues to reinvent the reg-ulatory process to cut excessive regulationand invest in programs that will have thebiggest impact in improving the environ-ment, protecting public health, and en-hancing natural resources.

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56 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1997

• Promoting Science and Technology:Because Federal investments in scienceand technology (S&T) have paid rich divi-dends in economic growth, national secu-rity, and environmental protection, thePresident is committed to sustaining U.S.leadership in S&T. The budget maintainskey investments by adding funds forhealth research at the National Institutesof Health, for basic research and educationat the National Science Foundation, for re-search at agencies that depend on S&Tfor their missions, and for cooperativeprojects with industry and universities.

• Enforcing the Law: The budget contin-ues Administration efforts to make thestreets safer for all Americans and to se-cure the Nation’s borders. Among its im-portant features, it empowers States andcommunities to fight crime locally by hir-

ing more police while it funds innovativeprevention programs; commits resources toensure that violent criminals and seriousdrug traffickers remain behind bars; andtargets resources on combating illegal im-migration through deterrence, enforce-ment, and swift deportation.

• Promoting Tax Fairness: The budgetproposes tax reforms that would promotetax fairness and encourage activities thatfoster economic growth. The President’stax plan calls for tax cuts that would bene-fit middle-class families with children,make higher education more accessible,and spur long-term saving. The plan helpssmall business with more favorable treat-ment of investment, estate tax relief, pen-sion simplification, and health insurancefor the self-employed. And it contains tar-geted tax relief to promote urban renewal.

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5. RESTORING THE AMERICAN COMMUNITY

We cannot go on as a Nation of strangers, mistrusting one another because we’ve never had thechance to work side by side or had the chance to walk in one another’s shoes. If we just standonly on our own ground, we will never find common ground . . . . We are all part of the Americanfamily, joined by a national purpose, bound by a common sense of responsibility, challenged bycommon possibilities that know no limits.

President ClintonSeptember 1994

Communities are the heart of the Americanexperience, the boundaries of much of ourlives. They are where we live, where wework, where we worship, where we shop,and where we raise our children and sendthem to school.

Despite their commonality as the centerof American life, communities vary greatlyin their financial and social health, withsome prospering while others continue todecay. More and more, communities facethe problems of crime, violence, drugs, home-lessness, unemployment, and poverty. In bothurban and rural areas across the country,communities need help in attracting the kindand amount of private investment that couldspur their revitalization.

With its wide-ranging proposals that addresscommunity needs, the budget is designedto use Federal dollars wisely—not to imposeanswers from above, but to encourage solutionsat the community level. These proposals wouldcreate incentives for Americans of all agesto participate directly in addressing localproblems, and for financial institutions toinvest, create jobs, lend to would-be home-owners and entrepreneurs, and rehabilitaterental housing. And they would maintainthe Federal Government’s special relationshipwith Native Americans, providing funds toaddress special needs.

National Service

National service is rooted in Americanvalues of performing community service, re-building communities, rewarding personal

responsibility, expanding educational oppor-tunity, and fostering a sense of commongood. Established two years ago, the Corpora-tion for National and Community Serviceis engaging Americans of all ages and back-grounds to solve problems inside America’scommunities.

The Corporation’s signature initiative isAmeriCorps, which includes the Volunteersin Service to America program, VISTA.AmeriCorps enables young Americans of allbackgrounds to serve their local communitiesfull- or part-time. In return, they earn aminimum living allowance and, at the endof their term, an education award to helppay for post-secondary education or repaystudent loans. Currently, about 25,000 Ameri-cans participate in AmeriCorps.

The budget proposes $772 million for theCorporation, $87 million more than in 1995,to expand programs begun in 1994 andcontinued in 1995 and 1996. The $772 millionwould finance 30,000 participants in 1997,bringing to 100,000 the total number ofAmericans who have participated in Ameri-Corps since the program began in 1994.

The budget also proposes $53 million forthe Learn and Serve program, providingalmost 900,000 opportunities for school-ageyouth to serve their communities. It proposes$145 million for the National Senior ServiceCorps (NSSC)—which includes the RetiredSenior Volunteer Program, Foster Grand-parent Program, and Senior Companion Pro-gram—to engage nearly 480,000 older Ameri-cans in service. Under the NSSC, mature,

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experienced, skilled people serve the ill, thefrail, the isolated elderly, and young peoplewith emotional, mental, or physical disabil-ities. The budget also proposes $6 millionfor The Points of Light Foundation. Alltold, the Corporation would provide opportuni-ties for over a million Americans to engagein service.

AmeriCorps strengthens America’s commu-nities in several ways. National, State, andlocal organizations operate AmeriCorps pro-grams, designing them individually to meetspecific needs. AmeriCorps members do notdisplace existing volunteers or employees;they participate alongside the men and womenalready working to solve problems at thecommunity level. They provide a regularsource of service that most volunteers, giventheir time constraints, cannot offer.

The Corporation operates few AmeriCorpsprograms itself; its primary work is ensuringquality in AmeriCorps programs that arelocally developed and implemented. The Cor-poration works with States to run competitionsthat determine what programs will participatein AmeriCorps. Because States best knowtheir own needs, they enjoy considerableautonomy in determining priorities, selectingprograms, and offering additional assistance.AmeriCorps is not a mandate for any Stateor organization, although 49 States soughtAmeriCorps funds last year.

In addition, AmeriCorps seeks to encouragestrong partnerships with the private andnon-profit sectors. AmeriCorps grantees mustraise matching funds from outside the Cor-poration, and many AmeriCorps programsare underwritten by businesses, includingAmerican Express, Fannie Mae, General Elec-tric, IBM, and Timberland.

Following intense competition last year,bipartisan, gubernatorially-appointed Statecommissions and the Corporation chose 450organizations to participate in AmeriCorps,including the American Red Cross, the Na-tional Coalition of Homeless Veterans, theYMCA, and local United Ways across thecountry. Wherever they serve, AmeriCorpsmembers are meeting vital needs and gettingsolid results:

• In Kansas City, they helped close 44 crackhouses and drove out drug dealers froma 173-block community—and brought inover 3,000 volunteers to keep the area safeand clean;

• In Simpson County, Kentucky, they raisedthe reading levels of nearly half of thecounty’s second grade students; and

• In Miami, they recruited and worked withover 5,000 volunteers to build 44 newhomes for working families.

Many AmeriCorps members act as ‘‘volun-teer generators’’ who recruit and superviseother citizens in direct service. The Corpora-tion’s motto—‘‘getting things done’’—expressesAmeriCorps’ commitment to achieving directand demonstrable results.

With a strong commitment to community-based direction, the Corporation maintainsa small Washington staff. The law limitsadministrative costs included in grants toAmeriCorps programs to five percent of grantamounts.

Empowerment Zones and EnterpriseCommunities

As part of his 1993 economic program,the President proposed, and Congress enacted,the Empowerment Zones and Enterprise Com-munities program. Under it, communities de-velop a strategic plan to help spur economicdevelopment and expand opportunities fortheir residents, in exchange for Federal taxbenefits, social service grants, and betterprogram coordination.

Empowerment Zones (EZs) and EnterpriseCommunities (ECs) are parts of urban orrural areas with high unemployment andhigh poverty rates. For EZs, the FederalGovernment provides tax benefits for busi-nesses that set up shop, and grants tocommunity groups for job training, day care,and other purposes. For ECs, the Governmentprovides grants to community groups forthe same array of purposes. EZs and ECsboth can apply for waivers from Federalregulations, enabling them to better addresstheir local needs.

The 1994 competition for the first roundof EZ and EC designations generated over

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595. RESTORING THE AMERICAN COMMUNITY

500 applications as well as new partnershipsfor community revitalization. The 105 selectedcommunities made well over $8 billion inprivate-public commitments, apart from thepromised Federal resources. Even in commu-nities that applied but were not designatedas EZs or ECs, local efforts to marshalresources and forge broad coalitions to supportan innovative economic empowerment strategyproduced tangible benefits.

But many other communities lack the seedcapital to implement their strategies andsustain private commitments. Thus, the Presi-dent now proposes a second round of EZs/ECs to stimulate further private investmentand economic opportunity in distressed urbanand rural communities and to connect resi-dents to available local jobs. The programwould again challenge communities to developtheir own comprehensive, strategic plans forrevitalization, with input from residents anda wide array of community partners. TheAdministration would invest in communitiesthat develop the most innovative plans andsecure significant local commitments.

The second round would build on thePresident’s ‘‘brownfields’’ tax incentive (de-scribed in Chapter 9), which would encouragebusinesses to clean up abandoned, contami-nated industrial properties in distressed com-munities. Also, this round would offer acompetitive application process that wouldstimulate the public-private partnerships need-ed for large-scale job creation, business oppor-tunities, and job connections for familiesin distressed communities. The Administrationwould seek up to 105 new designations,with communities receiving a combinationof tax incentives, direct grants, and priorityconsideration for waivers of Federal programrequirements from the President’s CommunityEmpowerment Board, chaired by Vice Presi-dent Gore.

The proposed budget for the second roundincludes $2 billion for tax incentives, includingincentives for brownfields clean-up and smallbusiness investment, and $1 billion for directgrants and loans over three years. EachEZ or EC would have to identify performancebenchmarks to show what it plans to accom-plish in each year of the 10-year designation.

Community Development FinancialInstitutions (CDFIs)

Proposed by the President in 1993 andcreated a year later, the CDFI Fund isdesigned to expand the availability of credit,investment capital, financial services, andother development services in distressed urbanand rural communities. By stimulating thecreation and expansion of a diverse set ofCDFIs, the Fund will help develop newprivate markets, create healthy local econo-mies, promote entrepreneurship, restore neigh-borhoods, generate tax revenues, and empowerresidents.

CDFIs provide a wide range of financialproducts and services—e.g., mortgage financ-ing to first-time home buyers, commercialloans and investments to start or expandsmall businesses, loans to rehabilitate rentalhousing, and basic financial services. CDFIsalso cover a broad range of institutions—e.g., community development banks, commu-nity development credit unions, communitydevelopment loan funds, community develop-ment venture capital funds, and microenter-prise loan funds. These institutions, not theCDFI Fund, decide which individual projectsto finance.

The budget proposes $125 million for theCDFI Fund, with gradual increases eachyear to bring the six-year total to $1.6billion. Private sector interest in the programhas already dramatically exceeded expecta-tions. To date, the CDFI Fund has receivedrequests for assistance from new and existingCDFIs of over $300 million, about 10 timesthe amount available for the first round.

These applications, however, barely scratchthe surface of long-run potential. The Fundalso plans to implement an aggressive, long-term program of training, technical assistance,and capacity building, which would help theCDFI field grow substantially over time whilemaintaining high-quality standards and mar-ket discipline. In addition, the Fund willinaugurate an annual Presidential Microenter-prise Awards program and coordinate a newFederal Microenterprise Initiative.

Additional resources would enable the Fundto implement a new initiative to supportprivate institutions that provide secondary

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markets for CDFIs, leveraging public resourceswith private capital. The added money alsowould substantially enhance the CDFIs’ capac-ity to take advantage of coordinated, multi-faceted community development efforts, suchas EZs and ECs. Finally, this initiativewould increase the resources to provide incen-tives, through the Bank Enterprise Awardprogram, for traditional banks to expandtheir community development lending andsupport local CDFIs.

Federal Relationship With Communities

The EZ/EC initiative and CDFI programare just two examples of the Administration’sefforts to help communities develop theirown strategies to face their toughest economicand social challenges.

To implement this new relationship withcommunities, the budget builds on the Presi-dent’s reinvention proposal of last year byrestructuring the major programs of the De-partment of Housing and Urban Development(HUD). The Administration would consolidateHUD programs into three flexible, perform-ance-based funds. It would award most ofthe funding by formula, as in a block grant,but focus it on clearly-stated national goals.And it would judge communities’ use offunds against measures that are consistentwith national goals but tailored to eachcommunity’s situation.

Like the EZ/EC initiative, this structureprovides flexibility but demands accountability.To further reward results, communities wouldbe eligible for bonus funding. Funds wouldgo to communities that set and achieveambitious performance goals, consistent withnational program objectives and local needs.

HUD Secretary Henry Cisneros proposesto transform HUD by creating single pointsof contact for all major localities and givingHUD staff the expertise to help communitiesreach their goals. In this transformation,HUD would move much of its staff outof Washington and into the communitiesto operate as problem-solvers, working with,and for, the States and communities. Mayorsand other local leaders would no longerhave to work with three or four HUD officesto get answers on community priorities. In-stead, community contacts would troubleshoot,

respond to community complaints, and helpcommunities identify and overcome Federalimpediments to achieving local priorities.

The budget also builds on the President’sreinvention proposal of last year by supportingefforts to demolish 54,000 of the worst publichousing units in the next three years and,in their place, provide portable rental subsidycertificates that give residents greater mobil-ity. In limited cases where appropriate, com-munities would construct new, less denseunits.

Through the Campus of Learners program,HUD also is working to transform selectedpublic housing developments into avenuesof educational achievement and job advance-ment. On these campuses, public housingagencies link up with local schools, univer-sities, and training centers—many of themlocated near the housing developments. Theprogram would require residents to participatein education and job training programs, andwould limit the period of residency. Uponcompleting campus programs, residents wouldreceive help in moving into private housingand securing employment.

Government-to-Government Commitmentto Native Americans

The President continues to listen to theviews and concerns of Native Americans,and proposes to address basic needs andrestore high-priority Native American pro-grams to pre-1996 levels.

The Administration has fought to restorecritical 1996 funding to enable the FederalGovernment to fulfill its trust responsibilityto Tribes. The budget proposes a 10 percentincrease for Government-wide programs, com-pared to 1996.

Budgets for the Interior Department’s Bu-reau of Indian Affairs (BIA) and the Healthand Human Services Department’s IndianHealth Service (IHS) comprise about two-thirds of Federal funding for Native Americanprograms.

• BIA: The budget proposes $1.8 billion, anincrease of $136 million over 1996. TheBIA budget focuses on supporting thegrowing school population on or nearIndian reservations, increasing Tribal self-

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615. RESTORING THE AMERICAN COMMUNITY

determination, and protecting Indian trustresources.

• IHS: The budget proposes $2.4 billion, anincrease of $186 million over 1996. TheIHS budget emphasizes support for clinicalservices, often the only source of medicalcare on isolated reservations. It also sup-ports water and sewer line construction—such basic utilities are still lacking on toomany reservations.

The BIA and IHS will continue to promoteself-determination by allowing Tribes to directand administer more resources for Tribalpriorities at the reservation level. In addition,both agencies have worked extensively withTribes to develop regulations to implementrecent amendments to the Self-DeterminationAct.

The Interior Department continues to en-courage an increase in the number of Self-

Governance Tribes. Self-Governance compacts,which give Tribes greater flexibility to admin-ister Federal programs on reservations, nownumber 54 and will rise to a projected74 in 1997.

Finally, the budget proposes $36 millionfor a new Office of the Special Trusteefor American Indians to oversee trust fundmanagement reform, and Interior SecretaryBruce Babbitt has directed all Interior Depart-ment offices and bureaus to redouble theirefforts to protect trust resources.

Beyond funding issues, the Administrationcontinues to emphasize the spirit of consulta-tion and recognition of the unique statusof Native Americans. In the past year, theAdministration invited Tribal leaders to twonational meetings—one marking the first anni-versary of President Clinton’s historic April1994 meeting with Tribes, the other focusingon economic development.

Table 5–1. GOVERNMENT-WIDE NATIVE AMERICAN PROGRAM FUNDING(Budget authority, in millions of dollars)

1993Actual

1995Actual

1996Estimate 1

1997Proposed

Change:1996 to

1997

Change:1993 to

1997

BIA ................................................. 1,647 1,733 1,646 1,782 +136 +135IHS 2 .............................................. 2,022 2,173 2,214 2,400 +186 +378

Subtotal, BIA/IHS ..................... 3,669 3,906 3,860 4,182 +322 +513

All other ......................................... 1,828 1,992 1,865 2,098 +233 +270

Total ........................................... 5,497 5,898 5,726 6,280 +554 +783

1 Includes Administration’s proposed adjustments to 1996 continuing resolution levels.2 IHS program level includes both budget authority and Medicaid, Medicare, and private insurance collec-

tions.

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63

1 Manton, Kenneth G., and Vaupel, James W., ‘‘Survival Afterthe Age of 80 in the United States, Sweden, France, England, andJapan,’’ New England Journal of Medicine, November 2, 1995, pp.1232–1235.

6. STRENGTHENING HEALTH CARE

We still have a lot of work to do. But the answer to the problems of the great American middleclass, the answer to the problem of curing the American deficit, the answer to the problem ofdealing with the challenge of educating a new generation of Americans for a new, highly competi-tive economy—surely the answer to those problems is not to break down the one thing we havedone right completely, which is to keep faith with our elderly people.

President ClintonJuly 1995

In a recent report in the New EnglandJournal of Medicine, two demographers wrotethat Americans who reach the age of 80have a longer life expectancy than theircounterparts in Japan, England, France, andSweden. One reason, they wrote, is thatolder Americans receive better health carethan the elderly in other countries.1

With this in mind, our challenge is tobuild on the existing health care system—to protect its strengths and address its weak-nesses—as the President has tried to dofor the last three years. It is not to doas others would—that is, to tear it down.

The President has consistently worked tobalance two competing demands in healthcare: (1) improving access to coverage, and(2) making the system more efficient. Thus,he has sought to create an environmentin the public and private health systemswhere plans compete based on quality andcost-effectiveness, not on which can choosethe healthiest and cheapest populations toinsure. The budget includes health care provi-sions that reflect this commitment.

Many innovations in health care have helpedto contain costs in the private sector. Thebest of them make our delivery system moreefficient, and improve quality by increasingconsumer choice, stressing accountability, andfocusing on medical outcomes. The Presidentproposes to introduce these kinds of improve-

ments into Medicare. For its 37 millionbeneficiaries, they would create more plansto choose from, higher quality care, anda more cost-effective program.

For Medicaid, the President’s plan proposesto give States unprecedented flexibility tobetter manage their programs. They no longerwould have to receive Federal permissionto use managed care for their Medicaidpopulations, to expand into more desirablehome- and community-based service programsfor the chronically ill, or to expand coverage.

The plan would let States better negotiatecontracts with health providers. And thePresident’s per-person limit on Medicaidspending would ensure that federal dollarsfollow the recipients—an approach that wouldlimit the growth in Medicaid spending whileprotecting States that face high populationgrowth or economic downturns. These andother provisions would maintain and strength-en Medicaid’s guarantee of meaningful cov-erage for 36 million vulnerable Americans.

In addition, the budget proposes $26.9billion, a $1.2 billion increase over 1996,for a wide range of public health servicesas well as research and regulatory activitiesthat promote public health.

• The services range from community healthcenters in inner cities, to clinics on remoteIndian reservations, to research activitiesat prestigious universities and medicalschools. Public health clinics provide im-munizations for uninsured children, dentalcare for the underinsured, and prenatal

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64 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1997

2 The Administration expects that, for technical reasons—e.g.,different assumptions about how fast Medicare spending will grow,and how providers and beneficiaries will behave—the Congres-sional Budget Office (CBO) will estimate that the Administration’splan saves slightly less. In that event, the Administration has iden-tified a way to close the gap—specifically, by changing the legalformula for paying hospital outpatient departments to better reflectactual costs.

3 The hospital update will be based on a single ‘‘conversion fac-tor,’’ or base payment amount, replacing the current three conver-sion factors, effective January 1, 1997.

care for millions of low- and moderate-in-come women. Other public health servicesthat help those in need include the RyanWhite program, which gives States andcities the resources to deliver vital servicesto people with AIDS.

• The research and regulatory activities in-clude biomedical and behavioral researchat the National Institutes of Health (NIH),worker safety and health research at theNational Institute for Occupational Safetyand Health, and food and pharmaceuticalsafety regulation and enforcement at theFood and Drug Administration.

STRENGTHENING MEDICARE

The budget strengthens and improves Medi-care, extending the solvency of the PartA Hospital Insurance trust fund throughthe next decade. It gives seniors and peoplewith disabilities more choices among privatehealth plans, makes Medicare more efficientand responsive to beneficiary needs, attacksfraud and abuse through programs praisedby law enforcement officials, slows the growthrate of provider payments, and holds thePart B Supplementary Medical Insurance pre-mium at 25 percent of program costs.

The plan saves $124 billion over sevenyears, as estimated by the Health CareFinancing Administration’s Office of the Actu-ary. The Administration is proposing policiesthat save $124 billion in Medicare usingeither the Administration’s or CBO’s ‘‘baseline’’(i.e., projection of Medicare spending). TheAdministration will work with Congress toensure that any plan that the Presidentproposes will save $124 billion as estimatedby CBO.2

Provider Payment Reforms and ProgramSavings

• Hospitals.—The budget reduces the an-nual inflation increase, or ‘‘update,’’ forhospitals; reduces payments for hospital

capital; reforms payments for graduatemedical education; and begins to reformthe payment method for outpatient depart-ments while protecting beneficiaries fromincreasing charges for those services.

• Managed Care.—The budget reforms pay-ments by using reasonable rate-of-growthlimits on updates for managed care pay-ments and reducing the current geo-graphic variation in payments.

• Physicians.—The budget reforms physicianpayments by paying a single update forall physicians 3 and replaces current ‘‘vol-ume performance standards’’ with a sus-tainable growth rate.

• Home Health Care/Skilled Nursing Facili-ties.—The budget implements interim pay-ment reforms, leading to separate prospec-tive payment systems for home health careand skilled nursing facilities.

• Fraud and Abuse.—The budget introducesaggressive and comprehensive policies tostamp out Medicare waste, fraud, andabuse, and extends and enhances Medi-care’s secondary payor policy to ensurethat Medicare pays only when it should.

• Other Providers.—The budget freezes orreduces payments for durable medicalequipment and ambulatory surgical cen-ters.

• Beneficiaries.—The budget continues, butdoes not increase, the requirement thatbeneficiaries pay 25 percent of Part Bcosts through the monthly Part B pre-mium; it imposes no new cost increaseson beneficiaries.

Provisions to Improve Rural Health Care

The budget enhances access to, and thequality of, health care in rural areas. Itextends the Rural Referral Center program;allows direct Medicare reimbursement fornurse practitioners, clinical nurse specialists,and physician assistants; improves the SoleCommunity Hospital program; expands theRural Primary Care Hospital program; and

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656. STRENGTHENING HEALTH CARE

provides grants to promote telemedicine andrural health outreach.

Provisions to Expand Choices and AddPreventive Benefits

The budget expands and improves Medicaremanaged care by:

• ensuring beneficiary protections while in-creasing the types of plans—including Pre-ferred Provider Organizations and Pro-vider Sponsored Networks—available toseniors and people with disabilities; and

• instituting a coordinated annual open en-rollment process—similar to that used bythe Federal Employees Health BenefitsPlan—during which beneficiaries use com-parative information to choose amongmanaged care and supplemental insuranceoptions.

In addition, the budget expands coverageof preventive benefits to include annual mam-mograms and the elimination of mammog-raphy coinsurance, colorectal cancer screening,flu shots, and diabetes screening and edu-cation. Finally, the budget introduces a respitecare benefit, providing relief to families caringfor relatives with Alzheimer’s disease.

STRENGTHENING MEDICAID

The budget reforms Medicaid to give Statesmuch more flexibility to manage their pro-grams, while preserving the guarantee ofmeaningful health coverage for the mostvulnerable Americans. Millions of children,people with disabilities, and the elderly wouldretain the guarantee of basic health andlong-term care services.

The budget saves $59 billion over sevenyears by imposing a per-person limit onspending, and cutting Disproportionate ShareHospital payments and retargeting them tohospitals that serve large numbers of Medicaidand uninsured patients. As with Medicare,the Administration expects CBO to makesomewhat different estimates about how muchthe budget would save in Medicaid. In thiscase, too, the Administration will work withCongress to ensure that any plan that thePresident proposes saves $59 billion underCBO estimates.

The plan provides special payments toStates for their transition into the new systemand for meeting their most pressing needs.It gives States unprecedented flexibility toadminister their programs more efficiently.Finally, it retains current nursing home qual-ity standards and continues to protect thespouses of nursing home residents from impov-erishment.

Program Savings

• Per-person cap.—A per-person cap on Med-icaid growth would limit spending to areasonable level, while retaining currenteligibility and benefit guidelines. This ap-proach guarantees that the elderly, peoplewith disabilities, pregnant women, andchildren who depend on Medicaid wouldremain eligible for health benefits, whileit slows increases in spending to levelsthat States and the Federal Governmentcan support. In contrast to a block grant,the Administration’s plan protects Statesfacing population growth or economicdownturns.

• Disproportionate Share Hospital Payments(DSH).—The budget gradually reducesDSH payments and retargets them to hos-pitals that serve a large proportion ofMedicaid and uninsured patients, includ-ing children’s and public hospitals. It pro-vides special payments for FederallyQualified Health Centers, Rural HealthClinics, States with large numbers of un-documented immigrants, and States mov-ing into the new system.

Provisions to Increase State Flexibility

The budget includes a number of policiesto give States more flexibility in managingtheir Medicaid programs, such as:

• Boren amendment.—The plan repeals the‘‘Boren amendment’’ for hospitals andnursing homes, allowing States more flexi-bility to negotiate provider payment rates.

• Managed care.—The plan allows States toadopt managed care without Federal waiv-ers.

• Home- and community-based care.—Theplan allows States to move populationswho need long-term care from nursing

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66 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1997

homes to home- and community-based set-tings without Federal waivers.

• Coverage expansions without waivers.—The plan enables States, without waivers,to expand coverage to any person whoseincome is under 150 percent of the povertyline. States would pursue these expansionswithin their per-person limits, therebylimiting Federal costs.

Protections for the Most Vulnerable

The budget retains the policy of helpinglow-income seniors and people with disabilitiesby preserving the shared Federal-State respon-sibility for their Medicare premiums, copay-ments, and deductibles. It also retains pay-ment protections for Medicaid-eligible NativeAmericans treated in Indian Health Serviceand other facilities. These protections arenot subject to the per-person cap.

MAINTAINING AND EXPANDING COV-ERAGE FOR WORKING AMERICANS

Reforms to Make Health Coverage MoreAccessible and Affordable

In his State of the Union address, thePresident challenged Congress to enact insur-ance reforms to enable more Americans tomaintain health insurance coverage whenthey change jobs, and stop insurance compa-nies from denying coverage for pre-existingconditions. The budget proposes that plansmake coverage available to all groups ofbusinesses, regardless of the health statusof any group members. Insurers would haveto provide an open enrollment period ofat least 30 days for all new employees(whether or not they were previously insured),and insurers could not individually underwritenew enrollees—i.e., their premiums wouldhave to match other enrollees’ with similardemographic characteristics.

To increase affordability, the President’sinsurance reforms phase out the use of claimsexperience, duration of coverage, and healthstatus in determining rates for small busi-nesses. To put the self-employed on a moreequal footing with other businesses, the re-forms gradually raise the self-employed taxdeduction for health insurance premiums from30 to 50 percent. And to help give small

businesses the purchasing clout that largerbusinesses have, the budget proposes $25million a year in grants that States canuse for technical assistance and for settingup voluntary purchasing cooperatives.

Health Insurance for the TemporarilyUnemployed

The budget gives premium subsidies toindividuals who lose their health insurancewhen they lose their jobs, to pay for privateinsurance coverage for up to six months.States would receive funding to design andadminister the program, which would providecoverage for about 3.8 million Americansa year. During the four-year period for whichthis program is authorized, a Commissionwould study and provide recommendationsto the Administration and Congress as tomaking it permanent.

PROMOTING PUBLIC HEALTH

The budget continues our Nation’s criticalinvestment in basic biomedical research, aninvestment that plants the seeds for lifesavingadvances in medicine. The budget proposes$12.4 billion for NIH, a $467 million increaseover 1996 and a 20 percent increase since1993. Further, the budget advances our effortsto eradicate, once and for all, the dreadeddisease of polio. And it supports childhoodimmunizations, which have proven their cost-effectiveness time and again.

The budget continues the President’s strongcommitment to HIV/AIDS prevention andtreatment. It increases funds to prevent HIVtransmission by $34 million over 1996 levels.It increases Ryan White funding by $32million over 1996 to ensure that our mosthard-hit cities, States, and local clinics canassist those with AIDS. It increases fundingfor potentially life-prolonging therapies, includ-ing some of the newly-discovered drugs thatshow so much promise in treating AIDS.It increases support for drug treatment—one of the most effective forms of HIVprevention. And it increases AIDS researchfunding at NIH in the continuing searchfor effective treatments, vaccines, and a cure.

The budget also gives substance abusetreatment and prevention a 17 percent in-crease, helping expand efforts against drugs.

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676. STRENGTHENING HEALTH CARE

And it increases support for the IndianHealth Service (IHS) by eight percent—keep-ing our Nation’s commitment to Native Ameri-cans and continuing efforts to promote Tribaladministration of IHS programs.

Biomedical and Behavioral Research:The budget continues the Administration’slong-standing commitment to biomedical andbehavioral research, which advances thehealth and well-being of all Americans. The$12.4 billion proposal for the NIH invests inresearch directed to areas of high need andpromise, as well as in basic biomedical re-search that would lay the foundation for futureinnovations that improve health and preventdisease. The budget includes increases forHIV/AIDS-related research, breast cancer re-search, high performance computing, preven-tion research, gene therapy, and developmen-tal and reproductive biology. The Office ofAIDS Research will continue to coordinate allof NIH’s AIDS research. The budget alsoincludes funding for a new NIH Clinical Re-search Center, which would give NIH a state-of-the-art research facility in which research-ers would bring the latest discoveries directlyto patients’ bedsides. NIH’s highest prioritycontinues to be financing investigator-initiatedresearch project grants.

Ryan White HIV/AIDS TreatmentGrants: The budget proposes $807 million foractivities authorized under the Ryan WhiteCARE Act, an increase of $32 million over1996. This level would fund grants to citiesdisproportionately affected by the HIV epi-demic; to States to provide medical andsupport services; to community-based organi-zations to provide HIV early intervention serv-ices; and to support pediatric AIDS demonstra-tion activities. In addition, the Administrationhas sought more funds for State AIDS drugassistance programs funded under Title II ofthe Ryan White program—to finance newly-discovered life-prolonging AIDS therapies,some of which are beginning to receive Foodand Drug Administration approval. Under thisAdministration, funding for Ryan White grantshas risen by 89 percent. The budget for 1997would increase Ryan White funding by 132percent since 1993.

HIV Prevention: The budget proposes $618million for Centers for Disease Control and

Prevention (CDC) HIV prevention activities, a$34 million increase over 1996. At the historicWhite House Conference on HIV and AIDS,the President made his commitment to HIVprevention clear: ‘‘We have to reduce the num-ber of new infections each and every year untilthere are no more new infections.’’ A portionof these funds would address the linkages be-tween substance abuse and HIV infection.

Indian Health Service: The budget pro-poses $2.4 billion for the IHS, a $186 millionincrease. IHS clinical services—often the onlysource of medical care on isolated reservationlands—grow by $138 million, maintaining ourcommitment to Native Americans. The budgetallows the Tribes to continue taking greaterresponsibility for managing their own hospitalsand clinics; it increases the ‘‘contract supportcosts’’ that help underwrite Tribal activities by31 percent, to $201 million. In addition, thebudget proposes a major new initiative tobring water and sewer lines to those NativeAmericans still without adequate access tothese basic necessities. This initiative wouldensure that about 4,000 more Native Americanhomes receive water and sewer lines—a stepwhich has been critical to improving publichealth.

Substance Abuse Treatment and Preven-tion: The budget increases support for Statesubstance abuse treatment and prevention ac-tivities by $67 million, to $1.3 billion. Thebudget reiterates support for PerformancePartnerships, which would give States moreflexibility to better design and coordinate theirsubstance abuse prevention and treatment pro-grams, and better target resources to local pri-ority areas. In addition, it increases funds forsubstance abuse demonstration and trainingactivities by $140 million, to $352 million. Thebudget establishes a $20 million SubstanceAbuse Managed Care Initiative that, with therapid growth of managed care, would help toestablish service guidelines and design qualityassurance, monitoring, and evaluation sys-tems. This strong support for substance abuseactivities would enable hundreds of thousandsof pregnant women, high risk youth, and otherunder-served Americans to receive drug treat-ment and prevention services.

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68 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1997

Special Supplemental Nutrition Pro-gram for Women, Infants, and Children(WIC): WIC reaches over seven millionwomen, infants, and children a year, providingnutrition assistance, nutrition education andcounseling, and health and immunization re-ferrals. As a result of funding increases underPresident Clinton, WIC participation hasgrown by nearly 25 percent in the past threeyears. The budget proposes $3.9 billion, toserve 7.5 million individuals by the end of1997, fulfilling the President’s goal of fullyfunding WIC in four years.

Immunizations: The budget proposes $957million in spending on immunizations, includ-ing the Vaccines for Children program. Formany diseases, the Administration is ahead ofschedule to meet the goal of immunizing 90percent of two-year-old children by 1996. Themost recent figures show that, from April 1994to December 1995, 90 percent or more of alltwo-year-old children were immunized againstdiphtheria, tetanus, pertussis, and hemophilusinfluenza type B. Further, rates for immuniza-tion against measles, mumps, rubella and polioare approaching the 1996 goals. Nevertheless,the Nation must maintain its efforts in order

to lock in these gains and meet the goals forthe remaining immunizations.

The budget also includes a major $47million initiative in the Department of Healthand Human Services (HHS) to eradicatepolio—preventable through immunizations—throughout the world. (This HHS fundingcomes in addition to polio-eradication effortsthat the Agency for International Developmentsupports.) Polio is already gone from theWestern Hemisphere. This shows that, likesmallpox, polio can be wiped from the faceof the earth, sparing all children from thiscrippling disease and saving the United Statesthe hundreds of millions of dollars we nowspend to immunize against it.

Infectious Disease: The budget proposes$88 million for CDC’s cooperative efforts withStates to address infectious disease, an in-crease of $25 million. It would support trainingand applied research, and States’ disease sur-veillance capability. All Americans face threatsfrom the onset of infectious disease problems,such as drug resistant bacteria, and emergingviruses, such as the hantavirus. CDC workswith State health departments to monitor andprevent such problems and to contain out-breaks.

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69

7. MAKING WORK PAY

I think the objective of welfare reform should be to break the cycle of dependency in a way thatpromotes responsibility, work, and parenthood. I believe that our objective for all Americansshould be to make sure that every family can succeed at home and at work, not to make peoplechoose.

President ClintonFebruary 1996

America’s welfare system is broken. Itdoes not serve the taxpayers or those trappedin it. And it undermines the values ofwork and family. We must replace it. Atthe same time, Congress’ failure to raisethe minimum wage has hurt millions ofhardworking families.

For three years, the Administration hasworked aggressively to fix specific parts ofthe welfare system, while pursuing comprehen-sive reform. In 1993, the President’s economicprogram gave tax cuts to 15 million workingfamilies through the Earned Income TaxCredit, which rewards work over welfare.In 1994, the Federal Government collecteda record $10 billion in child support (seeChart 7–1). A year later, the President signedan Executive Order to make the FederalGovernment a model employer for collectingchild support. In July 1995, the Presidentordered that Federal regulations be strength-ened to prevent welfare recipients who refuseto work from getting higher Food Stampbenefits when their welfare checks are cut.

The Administration’s actions—combinedwith the falling unemployment rates thata strong economy has generated—are havingan impact. Since their peak in March 1994,welfare caseloads have fallen from 14.4 millionto 12.9 million, or 10 percent (see Chart7–2).

The Administration has given 37 Statesthe freedom to test ways to move peoplefrom welfare to work and protect children.The President’s welfare plan also would dra-matically increase State options to structurethe system, but retain basic standards for

helping the poor to live and become self-sufficient.

Through State welfare experiments, 9.9million recipients across the Nation are inhouseholds in which adults are being requiredto work, take more responsibility for theirchildren, sign a personal responsibility con-tract, or earn a paycheck from a businessthat uses money otherwise spent on FoodStamps and welfare benefits to subsidizeprivate sector jobs. These States are doingtheir part to promote real reform that reflectsthe basic values that Americans share: work,responsibility, and family.

Now, however, Congress needs to do itspart and work with the Administration onbipartisan legislation that honors those samevalues by requiring work, demanding respon-sibility, protecting children, and providingadequate resources to get the job done right.

In 1994, the President sent Congress adramatic welfare reform plan to: time-limitwelfare benefits; establish tough work require-ments and provide child care for welfarerecipients; impose tough child support enforce-ment measures on non-custodial parents; in-crease State flexibility to run public assistanceprograms; and protect children. That proposaltriggered many others—in Congress and fromthe Nation’s governors.

The President is determined to keep workingwith Congress to enact a bipartisan welfarereform bill. In this budget, the Presidentproposes a revised plan to replace the currentwelfare system with one that requires workand provides child care so people can leave

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70 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1997

Chart 7-1. THE ADMINISTRATION'S CHILD SUPPORT COLLECTIONS CONTINUE TO GROW

1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 19944

5

6

7

8

9

10

11

Source: Department of Health and Human Services, Office of Child Support Enforcement, 19th Annual Report to Congress.

0

$10 B

DOLLARS IN BILLIONS

welfare for work. This new plan saves about$40 billion over seven years while promotingsweeping work-based reform and protectingchildren.

WELFARE REFORM

To succeed, welfare reform must focus onmoving those who can work to independencethrough: tough work requirements; child care;incentives to reward States for placing peoplein jobs; a continued financial commitmentby States to reform; a flexible program struc-ture that can respond quickly to fluctuationsin welfare caseloads and adapt to local needs;a strong national nutritional safety net; andprotection for children even if their parentslose assistance.

Moving People from Welfare to Work

Welfare reform is mainly about work. ThePresident’s plan would repeal Aid to Familieswith Dependent Children (AFDC) and create

a new, time-limited, conditional entitlementto cash assistance. As soon as they jointhe rolls, beneficiaries would have to developand sign a personal responsibility contractwith their welfare office. Within two years,able-bodied parents would have to work orlose their benefits—and after five years, theyno longer would get cash benefits.

Providing Child Care to Reward WorkOver Welfare: Child care is vital to movingpeople off welfare and helping them stay off.Many people stay on welfare because whenthey work, the cost of child care leaves themworse off. The budget proposes significantlymore funding for child care to help low-incomeparents get the skills to hold a job or lookfor one. Child care funds also would help par-ents avoid welfare in the first place.

Ensuring Protection During EconomicDownturns: In a recession, State revenuesfall as welfare caseloads rise because more job-less families seek public assistance. Without

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717. MAKING WORK PAY

Jan-94 Apr-94 Jul-94 Oct-94 Jan-95 Apr-95 Jul-95 Oct-95

22

23

24

25

26

27

28

PERSONS IN MILLIONS

FOOD

STAMPS

AFDC

Chart 7-2. FOOD STAMP AND AFDC CASELOADSARE SHRINKING STEADILY

0 0

13

14

0

15

a funding structure that can adjust to caseloadchanges, a recession could render many Statesunable to keep paying welfare benefits andstill meet the tough work requirements of anyreal reform. The President believes stronglyin maintaining a flexible funding structurethat adjusts to changing economic cir-cumstances.

Keeping a Stake in Successful Reform:States must maintain their commitment tomove people from welfare to work. Withoutit, some States may withdraw their supportfor programs that move people to work anddrastically cut benefits in a ‘‘race to the bot-tom.’’ States should be held accountable formaking welfare reform a success. The Presi-dent’s proposal requires a sustained State fi-nancial contribution. The proposal also recog-nizes that State welfare bureaucracies need apositive incentive to focus on the central goalof moving people from welfare to work. Thus,the President proposes $800 million in per-formance bonuses to reward States that

achieve the best results in moving people fromwelfare to work.

Requiring Parental Responsibility

To end welfare as we know it, we mustencourage responsible behavior. The Presi-dent’s proposal sends a strong message tothe next generation that they should nothave children until they can care for them.

Strengthening Child Support Enforce-ment: In his 1994 welfare plan, the Presidentproposed sweeping changes to strengthen childsupport enforcement. These included: revokingdriver and professional licenses for parentswho refuse to pay child support; improvinginterstate laws to find such parents; andstrengthening the tools to establish paternityso that both parents take full responsibilityfor their children.

Reducing Teen Pregnancy and Stabiliz-ing Families: In his State of the Union ad-dress, the President launched a national cam-

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72 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1997

paign to cut teen pregnancy by a third overthe next 10 years. The budget proposes $30million to address the problem and supportgrass-roots community efforts. A NationalClearinghouse on Adolescent Pregnancy wouldprovide information, data, and technical assist-ance to teen pregnancy prevention programs,including education about abstinence.

Teens who become parents often need sup-port and guidance, especially to meet theirchildren’s emotional and material needs.Under the President’s proposal, minor parentswould have to live in an adult-supervisedenvironment as a condition of receiving tem-porary employment assistance. To help thembecome self-sufficient, minor parents alsowould have to participate in education orjob training activities.

Protecting Children

Welfare reform should not punish children.

Maintaining our National Commitmentto Abused and Neglected Children: In 1993,the Administration secured legislation to pro-vide close to $1 billion for the new FamilyPreservation and Support program. The lawrecognized that child abuse and neglect areserious, growing problems. Recently, reportedchild maltreatment and the need for out-of-home placements have both risen sharply—about 2,000 children die each year due toabuse and neglect.

Some congressional welfare bills would cutchild protection programs, leading to moreuninvestigated reports of mistreatment, morechildren left in unsafe homes, and morechildren languishing while they await adoptionand permanent homes. Congress should rejectsuch cuts and, instead, maintain a flexiblesystem that can respond over time to changesin children’s need for protection.

Maintaining our National NutritionSafety Net: Every day, the national nutritionsafety net protects millions of children, work-ing families, and elderly. The Food Stamp pro-gram reaches one in 10 Americans everymonth—over 13 million children and two mil-lion elderly people. About 26 million childrenreceive lunches supported by the AgricultureDepartment each school day. Another 2.5 mil-

lion children a day participate in the child andadult care feeding program.

Throughout their history, Food Stamps andChild Nutrition have produced significant,measurable improvements in the nutritionof children and families. The programs workbecause of: national standards on nutrition,eligibility, and benefits; funding structuresthat ensure that the programs respond tochanging needs caused by economic fluctua-tion; and Federal oversight that helps ensuretheir integrity. The Food Stamp programhelps to ensure that low-income familiesand individuals have access to the resourcesthey need to maintain an adequate diet.The President’s plan maintains the nationalnutrition safety net for Food Stamps andChild Nutrition, enabling them to respondto the changing and disparate circumstancesof families and children.

Under the President’s plan, the Food Stampprogram continues to index basic benefitswith inflation; counts all energy assistanceas income; and imposes a new work require-ment that makes adults aged 18–50 withno dependents ineligible for Food Stampsafter six months of each year unless theywork 20 hours a week or participate inworkfare or training (eligibility continues ifa State does not supply a training or workfareslot). Tough new integrity measures crackdown on fraudulent Food Stamp traffickingand waste. In addition, the plan gives Statesunprecedented flexibility to run the FoodStamp program. It better targets food sub-sidies for Family Day Care homes and makesother minor changes in Child Nutrition pro-grams.

Protecting Children Whose ParentsReach the Time Limit: As we have said, wel-fare reform should not punish children. Evenafter a family’s cash benefits end, the Presi-dent’s plan calls for vouchers for goods andservices so that children continue to receiveessential items, such as clothing and housing.

Protecting Health Coverage for PoorFamilies: Health care is an important partof the strategy to move poor people from wel-fare to work. The President proposes to retainthe Federal guarantee of coverage under Med-icaid—which provides health care to low-in-come Americans—for those who receive cash

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737. MAKING WORK PAY

assistance. In addition, his plan does not re-strict Medicaid for documented immigrants.

Reforming Supplemental Security Income(SSI)

The SSI program provides critical financialsupport for the neediest aged, blind, andpeople with disabilities. The budget supportskey reforms to ensure that SSI continuesto reach those most in need.

The budget tightens eligibility standardsfor childhood disability benefits. It woulddeny benefits to adults who are on SSIdue to substance abuse. It proposes improvedSSI and Social Security Disability programintegrity measures, such as continuing disabil-ity reviews. It would give the Social SecurityAdministration new tools to collect SSI over-payments from individuals no longer on theSSI rolls. Finally, it proposes to allow afamily to use any large, retroactive SSIbenefit to establish a dedicated savings ac-count for a child with disabilities, with fundsin the account usable only for educationand training, special equipment, housing modi-fications, or therapy and rehabilitation.

Making Equitable Changes in Benefits forLegal Immigrants

The President believes that legal immigrantsshould have the opportunity, and bear theresponsibility, to be productive members ofsociety. He also believes they should beable to tap the social safety net when theneed arises.

The budget proposes to hold sponsors whobring immigrants into the country legallyresponsible for their financial well-being. Spe-cifically, it would count (or ‘‘deem’’) sponsors’income when determining whether immigrantsare eligible for SSI, Food Stamps, or AFDC—until immigrants become citizens. These rules,however, would not apply to those who suffera disabling impairment after entering thecountry, the very elderly who have livedin the country for at least five years, thosewho have worked for over five years, orveterans and their families. The budget pre-serves Medicaid eligibility for low-income,eligible legal immigrants. It also creates aconsistent definition of eligibility for docu-mented aliens for AFDC, SSI, and Medicaid,

and lets States apply this definition to theirown State-funded programs.

THE EARNED INCOME TAX CREDIT(EITC)

To move people from welfare to work,the Government must do more than settime limits and work requirements in welfareprograms. It must ensure that those whowork can support their children. As a wagesupplement, the EITC helps low-income par-ents do that.

This tax credit has long enjoyed broad,bipartisan support as a vital tool for makingwork pay. Congress created it 20 years ago,and Presidents of both parties have pushedsuccessfully to expand it. The most recentwas President Clinton, who teamed up withCongress in 1993 to reward work for 15million families.

The budget maintains these gains for hard-working, low-income families. In addition,the President proposes to allow States, ona test basis, to make advance EITC paymentsto low-income working families—that is, pay-ments during the tax year, rather thana lump sum at the end—to learn whetherthis would help move more families fromwelfare to work. Currently, employers caninclude a portion of a family’s expectedEITC in an employee’s paycheck, but fewof them do. The Administration also seeksto cut program costs by improving complianceand targeting. (For more details on thecompliance and targeting measures, see Chap-ter 12.)

THE MINIMUM WAGE

In real, inflation-adjusted dollars, the valueof the minimum wage is nearing its lowestlevel in 40 years. The President proposesto raise the minimum wage from $4.25 to$5.15 an hour over two years, in two stepsof 45 cents each.

A higher minimum wage would truly makework pay. A 90-cent rise would mean over$1,800 a year in higher earnings for full-time, full-year workers at the minimum levelwho now make less than $9,000 a year.With the proposed increase, nearly 10 millionworking Americans would get an immediate

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74 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1997

pay raise. Another nine million low-wageworkers with wages up to a dollar abovethe new minimum also could benefit indirectly,presuming that their paychecks rise as well.

The stereotype of minimum-wage teenagersin comfortable circumstances who work onlyfor ‘‘extras’’ is sadly inaccurate. In truth,minimum-wage paychecks mostly go for ex-penses like rent and baby food. The averageminimum wage worker brings home halfof his or her family’s earnings.

Nevertheless, about a quarter of workerswho would get a pay raise with this increaseare teenagers. These teenagers’ jobs are theirintroduction to the world of work. Overthree-fifths of all workers have been paidat the minimum wage at some time duringtheir working lives.

Generally, economists agree that while aminimum wage increase of 90 cents an hourwould raise the living standards of millionsof low-wage workers, it would cost the economyfew, if any, jobs.

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75

8. INVESTING IN EDUCATION ANDTRAINING

We have worked on a simple strategy for education. We believe in high standards. We believe inhigh expectations. We believe in high levels of opportunity. We believe in high technology. And webelieve the doors of college should be open to every single American citizen.

President ClintonFebruary 1996

Today’s most successful workers are thosewith technical skills and a firm educationalfooting who continue to learn throughouttheir careers in order to compete successfullyin this fast-changing economy.

In recent years, education and wages havebecome increasingly intertwined. Generally,those with the best skills and educationhave made steady progress, enjoying higherliving standards. Those without the requisiteskills and education have fallen behind. To-morrow’s workers face an even greater chal-lenge: As the very nature of work changeswith technological innovation, employers willdemand even more highly-skilled workers.The best-paying jobs increasingly will goonly to those with education and trainingbeyond high school.

For the most part, our Nation places respon-sibility for education and training on Stateand local governments, families and individ-uals, and the private sector. Nevertheless,the Federal Government plays a crucial, iflimited, role in providing education for alifetime—from pre-school to adult career train-ing.

Federal resources help States improve thequality of education and training for thedisadvantaged and people with disabilities;support State- and locally-designed elementaryand secondary school reform; and help low-and middle-income families gain financialaccess to postsecondary education and skilltraining through loans and grants. To helpStates raise student achievement, the Presi-dent has consistently worked to make schools

safer, improve teacher quality, move tech-nology into the classroom as quickly aspossible, raise academic standards, and betterprepare students for college and the newworkplace.

The budget reaffirms the President’s long-standing commitment to education and train-ing. It builds on previous legislative andmanagement reforms, and continues supportfor policies that the President has articulatedsince assuming office in 1993.

Over seven years, the budget proposes$311 billion for education and training, $61billion more than the 1996 congressionalbudget resolution (see Chart 8–1). For selectedprograms, the budget proposes an increaseof $5.9 billion, or 24 percent, over the 1993level (see Table 8–1).

The Education Department’s programs playa key role in the Nation’s efforts to improvethe quality of elementary and secondary edu-cation for all children, and to help low-and middle-income families pay for postsecond-ary education and skill training. For 1997,the budget proposes $25.6 billion in discre-tionary funds for department programs.

Preparing Children for School

Head Start: A healthy, caring family envi-ronment is the best preparation for school. Forover 30 years, Head Start has helped familiescreate this environment by taking a com-prehensive approach to child development—improving children’s learning skills, health,nutrition, and social competency. Head Startinvolves parents in their children’s learning,

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76 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1997

Table 8–1. THE BUDGET INCREASES SPENDING ON MAJOR EDUCATIONAND TRAINING PROGRAMS BY $3.4 BILLION, OR 13 PERCENT, OVER1995, AND BY $5.9 BILLION, OR 24 PERCENT, SINCE 1993

(Budget authority, dollar amounts in millions)

1993Actual

1995Actual

1996Estimate 1

1997Proposed

DollarChange:1995 to

1997

PercentChange:1995 to

1997

DollarChange:1993 to

1997

PercentChange:1993 to

1997

Head Start ...................................... 2,776 3,534 3,631 3,981 +447 +13% +1,205 +43%Goals 2000 ...................................... ............ 372 486 491 +119 +32% +491 NACharter Schools .............................. ............ 6 20 40 +34 +567% +40 NATitle I—Ed for disadvantaged ....... 6,709 7,228 7,328 7,679 +451 +6% +970 +14%Education Technology .................... ............ 56 74 357 +301 +538% +357 NASafe and Drug-Free Schools .......... 582 466 500 540 +74 +16% –42 –10%Special education ........................... 2,966 3,253 3,342 3,553 +300 +9% +587 +20%Eisenhower/Ch. 2 teacher training 682 599 599 610 +11 +2% –72 –11%Summer jobs for youth .................. 849 867 635 871 +4 +*% +22 +3%Job Corps ........................................ 966 1,089 1,121 1,154 +65 +6% +188 +19%Out-of-School Youth ....................... ............ ............ .................. 250 +250 NA +250 NASchool-to-Work opportunities ........ ............ 245 372 400 +155 +63% +400 NAVocational and adult education .... 1,474 1,383 1,383 1,420 +37 +3% –54 –4%Adult/dislocated worker training .. 1,666 2,226 2,176 2,240 +14 +1% +574 +34%Honors scholarships ....................... ............ ............ .................. 130 +130 NA +130 NAPell grants 2 .................................... 5,633 5,444 6,189 6,425 +981 +18% +792 +14%College work-study ......................... 616 617 617 679 +62 +10% +63 +10%

Total ........................................... 24,919 27,385 28,473 30,820 +3,435 +13% +5,901 +24%Student loans (dollar amount of

loans, in millions):New loans:

Direct loans ............................. ............ 5,200 10,400 13,200 +8,000 +154% +13,200 NAGuaranteed loans .................... 16,100 18,500 14,800 13,200 –5,300 –29% –2,900 –18%

Loan consolidations .................... 1,500 3,400 4,900 6,100 +2,700 +79% +4,600 +307%

Total loan volume ................... 17,600 27,100 30,100 32,500 +5,400 +20% +14,900 +85%

NA = Not applicable.* Less than $500 thousand or 0.5 percent.1 Includes Administration’s proposed adjustments to 1996 continuing resolution levels.2 To permit comparability, data are shown at the program level, not budget authority.

and links children and their families to a widearray of services in their communities.

To ensure that all Head Start programsconsistently deliver the high-quality servicesneeded to produce good results for children,the President proposed, and Congress enacted,major quality improvements in 1994. Thisbudget builds on these important gains bycontinuing to support local efforts to improvethe quality of instruction, attract and retainbetter workers, improve child-to-staff ratios,and upgrade facilities.

The budget proposes $3.98 billion for HeadStart, $447 million more than in 1995, whichwould enable another 46,000 children to par-

ticipate. The budget proposes to enable amillion children to participate by 2002 (seeChart 8–2).

Elementary and Secondary Education

Education is a national priority and aState and local responsibility. Americans wide-ly support State and local control of elemen-tary and secondary education. At the sametime, the Federal Government over the yearshas helped to improve areas of critical concernto all Americans, such as teacher educationor schooling for low-income children or thosewith disabilities.

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778. INVESTING IN EDUCATION AND TRAINING

1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002

30

35

40

45

50

BUDGET AUTHORITY IN BILLIONS

ADMINISTRATION POLICY

REPUBLICAN POLICY(1996 Budget Resolution)

Because of anomalies in technical estimates for the Pell program, 1996 and 1997 include program level instead of budget authority.

EDUCATION AND TRAINING:$61 BILLION OVER REPUBLICAN PLAN, 1996-2002

Chart 8-1. THE BUDGET MAINTAINS LONG-RANGE COMMITMENT TO

Notes: Discretionary budget authority, function 500: Education, Training, & Social Services. Includes Education Department, Labor Department training, Head Start, national service, and other activities.

1993 1993 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002

600

650

700

750

800

850

900

950

1,000

1,050

SLOTS IN THOUSANDS

Chart 8-2. 46 THOUSAND NEW HEAD START OPPORTUNITIES FOR CHILDREN IN 1997 OVER 1995; ONE MILLION BY 2002

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78 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1997

HOW STATES USE GOALS 2000 TO ADVANCE THEIR REFORMS

In Maryland, scores on tests designed to measure progress toward the State’s standards areincreasing year after year.

In Michigan, 13 Upper Peninsula school districts are working with Bay Mills Community Col-lege and Lake Superior University to train teachers to use technology to improve math andscience teaching and learning.

In Harrison County, Kentucky, Goals 2000 is helping train parents as volunteer instructionalaides and reaching out to parents through cable television programs and homework hotlines.

This Administration has energized Stateand local efforts to raise the educationalachievement of every child and to createsafe learning environments. It also has workedwith Congress to improve the largest Federaleducation programs for disadvantaged chil-dren, focusing them more on results andless on process.

Goals 2000: This Administration initiative,enacted in 1994, supports State efforts to raiseacademic achievement for all students. Goals2000 helps States and communities focus onresults. It builds on the National EducationGoals, first articulated by the Nation’s gov-ernors (led by then-Governor Bill Clinton) andPresident Bush in 1989, which provide cleartargets but encourage States to develop theirown means to achieve them.

States and localities receive funds to settheir own challenging academic standardsfor all children, then design their curriculum,teacher training, educational technology, in-struction methods, and assessment toolsaround them. Goals 2000 also helps Statesand schools involve parents in the educationof their children. Currently, nearly all Statesparticipate in the program.

The budget proposes $491 million for theprogram, 32 percent more than in 1995.Under it, every State and over 12,000 schoolscould receive grants.

Charter Schools: Charter schools are pub-lic schools that parents, teachers, and commu-nities create, and that States free from mostrules and regulations and hold accountable forraising student achievement. Begun as agrassroots movement in 1991, and supportedby Federal start-up funds since 1995, publiccharter schools now number 250 nationwide,

some of them already showing results in high-er student test scores and lower drop-out rates.The budget proposes $40 million for publiccharter schools in 1997, and increases over thenext five years to fund start-up costs for upto 3,000 such new schools.

Title I—Education for the Disadvan-taged: Title I provides funds to raise the edu-cational achievement of disadvantaged chil-dren. In 1994, the President proposed andCongress adopted changes to: focus Title I re-sources better on areas with the largest con-centrations of low-income children; set thesame high standards for those children as forall others; and hold schools accountable forprogress toward achieving those standards.Schools now have much more flexibility inusing these funds. The budget includes $7.7billion, six percent more than in 1995.

Education Technology: Technology can ex-pand learning opportunities for all studentsand help raise student achievement. Yet manyschool districts lack the necessary resourcesto integrate technology fully into their schoolcurricula.

The President has launched a nationalmission to ensure that all children are techno-logically literate by the dawn of the 21stCentury, with communication, math, science,and critical thinking skills essential to succeedin the Information Age. Specifically, the Presi-dent proposes a Technology Literacy ChallengeFund, with four goals: (1) helping Statesput enough computers in every classroom;(2) connecting these computers to the Informa-tion Superhighway; (3) giving teachers thetraining they need to integrate technologyinto teaching; and (4) fostering the develop-ment of high quality, widely available edu-

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798. INVESTING IN EDUCATION AND TRAINING

cational software. To be eligible for Federalfunds, a State must meet three challenges:

• develop a strategy that enables everyschool in the State to meet the four goalsby the dawn of the 21st Century, completewith benchmarks and timetables;

• demonstrate significant private sector par-ticipation and commitments that should atleast match the amount of Federal sup-port; and

• publicly report at the end of every schoolyear on progress in achieving its bench-marks.

The budget requests $250 million for theChallenge Fund in 1997, and $2 billionover five years.

The budget also expands the successfulTechnology Learning Challenge program,which in 1995 began providing school-centered,public-private partnerships with matchingFederal funds to support projects that inte-grate technology into the curriculum. In 1995,$10 million funded 19 partnerships and lever-aged over $70 million in other public- andprivate-sector resources. The budget provides$75 million for the program.

Teacher Training: The Eisenhower Profes-sional Development program helps States in-vest in training teachers and other educatorsso that they, in turn, can help all childrenreach the State’s challenging academic stand-ards. The President proposed, and Congressenacted, major improvements in 1994 to en-sure that the training is of high enough qual-ity and sufficient duration to pay off in theclassroom. For this purpose, the budget com-bines funding for the Eisenhower programwith general funds now in Title VI of the Ele-mentary and Secondary Education Act; alltold, it provides $610 million for these activi-ties.

Safe and Drug-Free Schools and Com-munities: Students can reach their full poten-tial only if they can learn in safe and dis-ciplined environments. This program helps 97percent of the Nation’s school districts imple-ment anti-drug and anti-violence programs inour schools. It helps students resolve conflictsbefore they escalate into tragedy, teaches themthe dangers of drug use, and helps schools in-

crease security measures. The budget includes$540 million for this program, a $74 millionincrease over the 1995 level.

Special Education: States have made con-siderable progress in providing children withdisabilities ‘‘free appropriate public education,’’as the Individuals with Disabilities EducationAct (IDEA) calls for. The primary challengenow is to improve the quality of that educationso that children with disabilities can, as muchas possible, meet challenging standards thathave been established for all children, and beprepared to lead productive, independent adultlives.

To that end, the Administration proposedamendments to IDEA in 1995 to link individ-ualized education programs to participationin the general curriculum; require that chil-dren with disabilities be included in State-and district-wide assessment programs; andgive States and schools greater flexibilityto use IDEA funds to meet children’s needsin the regular classroom.

The budget provides $3.6 billion for specialeducation, nine percent more than in 1995.

Postsecondary Education

The Federal Government’s primary rolesin postsecondary education and skill trainingare to (1) help students finance their edu-cation; and (2) help ensure the availabilityof skill training and access to good jobsfor youth and adults, including dislocatedworkers. (For information on skill training,see the section on the G.I. Bill for America’sWorkers.)

Postsecondary costs continue to climb rap-idly, outpacing the ability of many workingfamilies to meet them without sizable assist-ance. To that end, the budget proposes moreaid to more individuals than ever before(see Chart 8–3). It also proposes a phased-in, $10,000 tax deduction to help familiespay for education and career training beyondhigh school. (For more details on the taxdeduction, see Chapter 12.)

Student Loans: An estimated 5.7 millionindividuals will borrow over $32 billionthrough the Federal student loan programs in1997. Families at any income level can receiveloans, but needy students can get interest sub-

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80 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1997

CHART 8-3. THE BUDGET PROVIDES UNPRECEDENTED AMOUNTS OF STUDENT FINANCIAL AID TO HELP MORE STUDENTS PAY FOR

POSTSECONDARY EDUCATION AND TRAINING

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Loans Pell Grants Other

AID AVAILABLE TO STUDENTS

1993 1994 1995 1996 19970

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

45

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25.8

31.8

35.2

38.9

41.5

DOLLARS IN BILLIONSNUMBER OF AWARDS

Note: In any given year, some students may have received more than one award (for example, a Pell grant and a loan).

1993 1994 1995 1996 19970

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

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11.7

12.9 13.113.4 13.6

NUMBERS IN MILLIONS

sidies. The loans finance study toward under-graduate or graduate degrees, or short-termvocational training programs. The annual max-imum loan amount varies from $2,625 for afirst-year student financially dependent on hisor her parents, to $18,500 for a graduate orprofessional program student.

Eligible institutions of higher educationmay participate in either the Federal DirectLoan Program (FDLP) or the Federal FamilyEducation Loan Program (FFELP). FDLP,enacted at the President’s request in 1993,offers an efficient, streamlined, low-cost sys-tem for students, parents, and schools. Italso offers flexible repayment options forstudents, including repayment based on in-come. The Education Department estimatesthat direct loans will make up half of totalloan volume in academic year 1996–97 (seeChart 8–4).

The FFELP, created in 1965, is a bank-based program, with over 7,000 commercial

and other lenders receiving Federal guaranteesthrough 36 non-profit and State intermedia-ries, 90 secondary markets eventually holdingmost loans, and dozens of servicing companies.Federal and school administrative burdensand complexities are much greater and costlierunder FFELP.

The budget proposes legislative changesto both programs to save money withoutincreasing costs or curtailing benefits to bor-rowers.

Pell Grants: Pell grants provide need-basedgrants to low- and middle-income undergradu-ates for associate and bachelors degree pro-grams and vocational training. In the 1995–96academic year, about 3.6 million students, afifth of all college students, are receivinggrants. Over 61 percent of the recipients comefrom families with incomes under $15,000, andover 90 percent from families with incomesunder $30,000.

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818. INVESTING IN EDUCATION AND TRAINING

1994 1995 1996 19970

4

8

12

16

20

24

28

21.7

23.725.2

26.4

DOLLARS IN BILLIONS

Direct Guaranteed

Note: Chart excludes consolidation loans in all years.

Chart 8-4. NEW STUDENT LOAN BORROWING SHIFTS TOWARDDIRECT LENDING

Pell grants help raise the participationand graduation rates of low-income studentsin postsecondary programs. Recipients fromthe poorest families are twice as likely toearn a bachelor’s degree as are college stu-dents from similar families without grants.

For 1997, the budget would raise themaximum Pell grant to $2,700, a $360 increaseover 1995. It also would continue to raisethe maximum award by three percent ayear, providing a maximum award of $3,128in 2002.

Presidential Honors Scholarships: ThePresident proposes to create an achievement-based scholarship program, rewarding the bestand the brightest of high school students. Thisprogram would grant $1,000 honors awards tothe top five percent of graduating students inevery secondary school in the Nation, makingclear the Government’s commitment to excel-lence for all children. The budget requests$130 million for this program.

College Work-Study: Work-study helpsneedy undergraduate and graduate studentsthrough part-time employment, rewardingtheir hard work and commitment to education.The President proposes a significant expansionover the next four years, enabling the programto serve a million students a year by 2000.The budget proposes $679 million, 10 percentmore than in 1995.

G.I. Bill for America’s Workers

Most people change jobs and get newskills by themselves or through employers.For others who need help, the Federal Govern-ment has supported State and private effortsover the last 30 years to provide it, butwith mixed results.

Last year, the President proposed to dra-matically overhaul the complex, inefficientstructure of Federal job training programsthrough the G.I. Bill for America’s Workers.It would consolidate some 70 programs intoa single, integrated workforce development

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82 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1997

system. It would make the programs moreeffective by cutting bureaucracy, streamliningadministration, and improving accountabilityby freeing States and localities to focuson results, not process.

As of this writing, Congress was consideringlegislation based on the principles of theG.I. Bill. House- and Senate-passed billsdiffer, but final legislation should embodythe President’s vision of fostering individualopportunity by: giving workers the resources—i.e., Skill Grants—and information they needto make good training choices; providingaccess to employment services through cus-tomer-friendly, ‘‘One-stop’’ career centers; anddesigning youth programs based on the School-to-Work Opportunities Act. But, because thenew law may not take full effect until1998, the budget proposes funding for theseparate programs that would remain inplace until then.

The budget provides sizeable new supportfor those with the biggest job problems—out-of-school youth in low-income areas—build-ing on lessons of the past and relying onlocally-tailored designs. It proposes to main-tain support for programs that come underthe G.I. Bill. To ensure that employers complywith Federal workplace laws, it maintains,and often substantially reforms, enforcementprograms.

Out-of-School Youth OpportunitiesProgram: Recognizing the special problems ofout-of-school youth, the budget proposes $250million for new competitive grants to the low-est-income urban and rural areas with majoryouth unemployment problems. These commu-nities would have to provide matching fundsfrom State, local, or private sources. The LaborDepartment would award funds based on thequality of applications—that is, to those withthe best chance of substantially increasing em-ployment among youth in the area.

In a related proposal, the Administration’splan to fund a second round of EmpowermentZones and Enterprise Communities for dis-tressed communities includes $50 million forthe Labor Department to support a ‘‘Jobsfor Residents’’ component. (For more informa-tion on the Empowerment Zones and Enter-prise Communities program, see Chapter 5.)

School-to-Work: School-to-Work, which theEducation and Labor Departments administerjointly, gives States and communities competi-tive grants to build comprehensive systems tohelp young people move from high school tocareers or postsecondary training and edu-cation. Young people can prepare for high-skill,high-wage careers; receive top-quality aca-demic and occupational training; and pursuemore education or training. And businesses getthe trained workers they need to stay globallycompetitive.

By mid-1996, 27 States and 91 local partner-ships will have received grants to implementtheir school-to-work systems. The budget pro-poses $400 million for the program, a 63percent increase over 1995. With it, theGovernment could allocate implementationgrants to nearly every State.

Summer Youth: The Summer Youth Em-ployment and Training Program (SYETP)gives many urban and rural disadvantagedstudents their first work experiences, and lo-calities may include an academic componentthat reenforces the skills they have learnedduring the school year. Under the G.I. Bill,SYETP would continue to provide these serv-ices, but would be fully integrated into eachlocal school-to-work system.

For 1996, Congress sought to eliminateSYETP, but the President is committed toensuring that it continues. The budget expandsthe program to provide 574,000 opportunitiesfor the summer of 1997.

Job Corps: The Job Corps provides inten-sive skill training, academic and social educa-tion, and support services to severely dis-advantaged young people in a controlledresidential setting. The budget provides $1.2billion to fund opportunities for 68,000 youngpeople.

Dislocated Workers and Low-IncomeAdult Training: The budget proposes $2.2billion for Job Training Partnership Act pro-grams that provide training, job search assist-ance, and related services to laid-off workersand economically disadvantaged adults. Whenthe new workforce development system beginsoperating in 1998, these funds would finance,among other things, Skill Grants with whichadults pay for the training of their choice.

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83

9. PROTECTING THE ENVIRONMENT

[P]rotecting our environment is a fundamental community value for all Americans, and it can’tbe sacrificed to balance the budget. Because we cherish our children, we want to be sure thewater they drink and the food they eat won’t make them sick. Because we honor our parents, wewant the air they breathe to be clean so they can live long and healthy lives and not be house-bound by smog. Because we believe that what God created, we must not destroy, each of us has asacred obligation to pass on a clean planet to future generations.

President ClintonNovember 1995

The modern era of environmental protectionbegan over 25 years ago with passage oflandmark legislation and creation of the Envi-ronmental Protection Agency (EPA). Thanksto a generation of bipartisan effort, theenvironment is a great American successstory. The air is cleaner, the water safer,and the land less polluted with toxic chemi-cals.

Despite these gains, we have much moreto do. A third of Americans still live inareas that do not meet air quality standards,and too many communities have drinkingwater whose safety is threatened. While thesolutions of 25 years ago are not necessarilythe best suited for tomorrow’s challenges,we should not discard the gains, or forgetthe lessons learned, by rolling back environ-mental safeguards that Americans find soimportant.

Americans want a Government that helpsprotect the environment and our naturalresources without burdening business, chokinginnovation, or wasting taxpayer dollars. Tomeet these objectives, the Administration hasbeen reinventing the regulatory process tocut excessive regulation, and targeting invest-ments in programs that will have the biggestimpact on improving the environment, protect-ing public health, providing more opportunitiesfor outdoor recreation, and enhancing naturalresources.

In his 1996 State of the Union address,the President’s fifth challenge for the Nationwas to leave our environment safe and clean

for the next generation. This budget andongoing Administration policies reflect thePresident’s strong commitment to meet thatchallenge.

MEETING THE CHALLENGE

The Administration has pioneered variousways to protect the environment and conservenatural resources that are cleaner, cheaper,and smarter.

Regulatory Reinvention: The Presidenthas challenged businesses to take more initia-tive to protect the environment, and pledgedto make it easier for them to do so. In thisregard, the Administration’s regulatoryreinvention efforts have been broad and far-reaching. In March 1995, the President an-nounced a comprehensive set of 25 high-prior-ity actions to substantially improve the regu-latory system and move significantly towarda new and better environmental managementsystem for the 21st Century.

One of the most fundamental reforms isProject XL (for excellence and leadership),a pilot program for 50 companies or commu-nities. Under it, companies will get theopportunity to set aside EPA rules if theycan design an alternative system that willbe both cheaper for the company and cleanerfor the environment.

The Emergency Planning and CommunityRight-To-Know Act has been among the mostsuccessful, cost-effective laws ever enacted—under it, toxic releases of reported chemicals

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84 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1997

1 Common Sense Government.

have fallen over 40 percent. The law succeedsbecause it recognizes that knowledge is powerand that, often, the most effective way toachieve environmental protection is to givethe power back to the community.

To build on this success, the Presidentstrongly supports expanding the requirementsfor industry to disclose releases, becausethe public has a right to know that itsair and water are safe. But, because thelaw is most effective when communities andcitizen groups actively use the information,the President has challenged communitiesto take the initiative and work with businessto cut pollution.

The President is committed to cutting thepaperwork tied to meeting environmentalstandards by 25 percent, which will savebusinesses and communities 20 million hoursof work. For small businesses, the Presidenthas pledged to create centers to help themcomply with environmental standards, andto give them a six-month grace period forcorrecting infractions before penalizing themwhen they act in good faith. In addition,EPA is eliminating over 1,400 pages of regula-tions.

Performance Partnerships: In last year’sbudget, EPA proposed to offer States andTribes one or more Performance Partnershipgrants, to combine several categorical grants(e.g., grants that go specifically to address air,water, or hazardous waste). The partnershipgrants would consolidate funding streams, cutmicromanagement, and focus programs on re-sults. While the proposal awaits legislative ac-tion, State officials and others have praisedit and the Administration is proposing it againthis year.

In May 1995, the Environmental Councilof the States, consisting of the State environ-mental commissioners, adopted a resolutionof support for the partnership grants, andagreed with EPA on a broader proposalto create a new partnership based on perform-ance. This partnership system includes envi-ronmental performance agreements and lessintensive EPA oversight of States with strongperformance.

In September 1995, the third report ofVice President Gore’s National Performance

Review 1 proposed to give States more flexibil-ity to move funds between the Clean Waterand Drinking Water State Revolving Funds.This initiative, which the budget proposes,would give States more flexibility to addresshigh-priority water infrastructure issues.

Ecosystem Management: The Administra-tion has pioneered the use of ecosystem man-agement—an approach to restore and maintainthe health, sustainability, and biological diver-sity of marine and terrestrial ecosystems whilesupporting vital economies and communities.

• Everglades/South Florida EcosystemRestoration Initiative: The South Flor-ida Ecosystem is a unique national treas-ure that includes the Everglades, FloridaBay, and other internationally-renownednatural resources. Its long-term viabilityand sustainability is critical for the tour-ism and fishing industries, as well as thewater supply, economy, and quality of lifefor South Florida’s entire population ofover six million people.

In the budget, the Administration is pro-posing legislation to establish an ‘‘Ever-glades Restoration Fund’’ to provide asteady source of funding, mainly for landacquisition, to maintain a sustainable eco-system. The budget proposes $100 milliona year for four years to establish the Fund.In addition, the budget proposes a one-cent-per-pound marketing assessment onFlorida sugar production to add about $35million a year to the Fund. This approachdivides the costs of restoration betweenthe public and the principal industry thathas benefited from water projects alteringthe South Florida ecosystem.

In addition, the budget would continue tostrongly support the active programs ofvarious Federal agencies involved in theEverglades and South Florida ecosystemrestoration. The budget would increasefunding for the initiative to $136 million,compared to $104 million in 1996.

• Northwest Forest Plan (Oregon, Wash-ington, and Northern California): ThePresident’s Forest Plan is protecting natu-ral resources and providing new economic

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859. PROTECTING THE ENVIRONMENT

opportunities for the people of the PacificNorthwest. It is a balanced, science-basedblueprint to strengthen the economic andenvironmental health of the three-Statearea. It is also the first region-wide appli-cation of ecosystem management by Fed-eral, State, and local agencies; Tribes; non-governmental organizations; and individ-uals.

The Administration has begun refilling thetimber pipeline with hundreds of millionsof board feet of timber for the first timein years; restored thousands of acres ofkey habitat and watersheds while provid-ing short-term employment opportunitiesto displaced timber workers; spurred smallbusinesses through grants and job train-ing; and strengthened local economies.

In 1995, the region received over $350 mil-lion in grants, loans, and other resourcesthrough the coordinated efforts of 12 Fed-eral agencies. The Federal Governmentplans to spend just $318 million in 1996(due to congressional cuts), but the budgetproposes $391 million for 1997.

The President also is seeking major changesin the timber provisions of the 1995 rescissionlaw. He wants Congress to: repeal provisionsthat force the Government to award environ-mentally unsound contracts to cut ‘‘old-growth’’timber; let the Government replace old-growthtimber with other timber, or buy it backfrom contractors—before its harvesting causesenvironmental problems; and work with himto allow the private sector to harvest salvagetimber in compliance with environmental laws.

• Salmon Recovery Plan: Salmon runsthroughout the Pacific Northwest are amajor part of the region’s ecosystem andeconomy. For various reasons, salmonruns originating in the Columbia/SnakeRiver Basin have declined so much thatthe National Marine Fisheries Service liststhree runs as endangered or threatened.

The Administration supports a regional,bipartisan effort to pay for recovery—in-cluding the preparation of a stable, multi-year salmon budget. The Administration,in October 1995, reached agreement with

congressional and regional interests to es-tablish a Federal contingency fund to tryto hold salmon recovery costs to no morethan $435 million for customers of theBonneville Power Administration.

ENVIRONMENTAL AND NATURALRESOURCE INVESTMENTS

The budget proposes to boost funding forhigh-priority environmental and natural re-source programs by eight percent over thelevels in place when the President tookoffice (see Table 9–1).

EPA Operating Program: The budget pro-poses a nine percent increase over 1996, to$3.4 billion, for EPA’s operating program,which includes most of EPA’s research, regu-latory, partnership grants (for States andTribes), and enforcement programs. The pro-gram represents the backbone of the Nation’sefforts to protect public health through stand-ard setting, enforcement, and other means toensure that our water is pure, our air clean,and our food safe.

Chart 9–1 illustrates the Nation’s progressin improving air quality but also pinpointswhere we still need to go. Similarly, Chart9–2 illustrates the progress needed in improv-ing wastewater treatment to help reach waterquality goals.

The budget stresses environmental enforce-ment to ensure that polluters find a copon the environmental beat. It would fullyfund the EPA’s part of the Climate ChangeAction Plan to promote voluntary, innovativeenergy conservation programs to meet ourinternational commitments to reduce green-house gases. In addition, the budget wouldfund the Environmental Technology Initiativeto spur the development of new technologiesto protect public health, cut costs, createnew jobs, and increase exports. Finally, thebudget continues to support a ‘‘watershedapproach’’ for key water systems, such asthe Great Lakes and Chesapeake Bay, inwhich the Government considers the systemas a whole—rather than, separately, eachindividual threat to the environment andpublic health.

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86 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1997

Table 9–1. ENVIRONMENTAL/NATURAL RESOURCE INVESTMENTS AND OTHERHIGH-PRIORITY PROGRAMS

(Discretionary budget authority unless otherwise noted; dollar amounts in millions)

1993Actual

1995Actual

1996Estimate 1

1997Proposed

DollarChange:1996 to

1997

PercentChange:1996 to

1997

Environmental Protection Agency (EPA):Operating Program ......................................................................................... 2,767 2,853 3,113 3,403 +290 +9%State Revolving Funds (SRFs):

Clean Water ................................................................................................ 1,928 1,236 1,365 1,350 –15 –1%Drinking Water ........................................................................................... ............... –374 500 550 +50 +10%

Superfund ........................................................................................................ 1,589 1,354 1,313 1,394 +81 +6%Other ............................................................................................................... 639 900 386 330 –56 –15%

Subtotal, EPA .............................................................................................. 6,923 5,969 6,677 7,027 +350 +5%Department of the Interior (DOI):

National Park Service Operating Program .................................................. 984 1,078 1,158 1,173 +15 +1%Bureau of Land Management Operating Program ...................................... 638 695 658 685 +27 +4%Fish & Wildlife Service Operating Program ................................................ 531 511 498 540 +42 +8%Investment Non-Operating Program (Natural Resources Research and

other) ............................................................................................................ 11 192 182 290 +108 +59%

Subtotal, DOI (Select programs) ............................................................... 2,164 2,476 2,496 2,688 +192 +8%Department of Agriculture (USDA):

Forest Service Operating Program ............................................................... 1,319 1,338 1,256 1,292 +36 +3%Investment Non-Operating Program (NW Forest Plan, Infrastructure,

and other) .................................................................................................... 276 234 172 199 +27 +16%Rural Water & Wastewater ........................................................................... 508 627 488 659 +171 +35%Wetlands ......................................................................................................... 115 212 139 216 +77 +55%Wetlands Reserve Program (Mandatory) ..................................................... ............... 93 77 188 +111 +144%Conservation Reserve Program (Mandatory) ............................................... 1,579 1,743 1,782 1,925 +143 +8%

Subtotal, USDA (Select programs) ............................................................ 3,797 4,247 3,914 4,479 +565 +14%Land Acquisition: LWCF (DOI/USDA) and Everglades Restoration

Fund (DOI) .................................................................................................... 285 217 140 262 +122 +87%Other Everglades Restoration (DOI, Corps, USDA, NOAA, EPA) ...... 82 103 104 136 +32 +31%Department of Energy (DOE):

Energy Conservation and Efficiency ............................................................. 592 715 613 715 +102 +17%Solar and Renewable Energy R&D ............................................................... 257 363 275 363 +88 +32%Federal Facilities Cleanup (Environmental Management Program) ......... 6,396 5,804 6,084 6,059 –25 –*

Subtotal, DOE (Select programs) .............................................................. 7,245 6,882 6,972 7,137 +165 +2%Department of Defense (DOD):

Cleanup ........................................................................................................... 1,604 2,086 2,093 2,108 +15 +1%Environmental Compliance/Pollution Prevention/Conservation ................. 2,227 2,504 2,654 2,406 –248 –9%Environmental Technology ............................................................................ 393 281 223 204 –19 –9%

Subtotal, DOD (Select programs) .............................................................. 4,224 4,871 4,970 4,718 –252 –5%National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA):

Fisheries and Protected Species .................................................................... 232 269 282 306 +24 +9%Ocean and Coastal Management .................................................................. 121 130 119 132 +13 +11%Ocean and Atmospheric Research ................................................................. 138 160 156 160 +4 +3%

Subtotal, NOAA (Select programs) ............................................................ 491 559 557 598 +41 +7%Pacific Northwest Forest Plan (USDA, DOI, EPA, DOC, DOL) ........... ............... 359 318 391 +73 +23%Army Corps of Engineers Regulatory Program (wetlands) ................. 86 102 101 112 +11 +11%Partnership for a New Generation of Vehicles (DOE, DOC, NSF,

EPA, DOT) ..................................................................................................... ............... 223 241 288 +47 +20%U.S. Global Change Research (NASA, DOE, NSF, DOC, others) ......... 1,319 1,785 1,712 1,852 +140 +8%Climate Change Action Plan (EPA, DOE, USDA, Corps) ...................... ............... 218 224 305 +81 +36%GLOBE—Global Environmental Education (NOAA, NASA, EPA,

NSF) ................................................................................................................ ............... 15 14 15 +1 +7%Montreal Protocol (State/EPA) .................................................................... 25 38 34 47 +13 +38%Global Environment Facility (Treasury) .................................................. ............... 90 35 100 +65 +186%Multilateral & Bilateral Assistance (Funds Appropriated to the

President/AID) ............................................................................................. 272 355 310 343 +33 +11%Border Environmental Activities (State/Treasury) ............................... 30 81 81 87 +6 +7%

Total 2 ...................................................................................................... 25,190 25,803 26,204 27,309 +1,105 +4%

* Less than $500 thousand or 0.5 percent.1 Includes Administration’s proposed adjustments to 1996 continuing resolution levels.2 Total adjusted to eliminate double counts and mandatory spending.

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879. PROTECTING THE ENVIRONMENT

Chart 9-1. AIR QUALITY TRENDS IN MAJOR URBAN AREAS

PMSA = Primary Metropolitan Statistical Area PSI = Pollutant Standards Index (Air Quality)*Note: A PSI level of 100 is the level which denotes that residents are breathing unhealthy air.

1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 19930

100

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400

500

600

700

800

900823

679 673

578

674

487

385 363

275 272

NUMBER OF DAYS PSI EXCEEDED 100*

Los Angeles OtherPMSAs

Natural Resource Protection: The budgetcontinues the President’s commitment to pro-tect the national parks and forests, wildliferefuges, other public lands, and marine sanc-tuaries. While offering natural beauty, histori-cal significance, and other pleasures for today’sand future generations, these areas play animportant role in maintaining ecosystem sta-bility and protecting species that are threat-ened or endangered.

The budget proposes $1.2 billion for oper-ations in national parks, an increase of$15 million from 1996, to protect the Nation’simportant natural and cultural resources andprovide a level of visitor services that thepublic rightly expects. The Administrationwill continue to promote entrepreneurial landmanagement by seeking legislation to givethe National Park Service more authorityto collect user fees. The proposal wouldreturn 80 percent of new fee receipts ofthe National Park Service, Bureau of LandManagement, and the Forest Service for each

of them to use on visitor services. In addition,the budget proposes about $111 million inup-front funding (to be spent over severalyears) to restore the Elwha River watershedand fisheries in and around the OlympicNational Park, in the State of Washington.Chart 9–3 illustrates the growing demandfor recreational services in parks, forests,refuges, and public lands.

Endangered Species Act: The Administra-tion is committed to the goals of the Endan-gered Species Act (ESA). Congress, however,has voted to severely limit the ability of theInterior and Commerce Departments to carryout the ESA by placing unwarranted moratoriaon listing actions and eliminating funding forlisting new species.

Last year, the Administration unveiled a10-point plan to better implement the ESA.The plan shows that the Government canadminister the ESA to protect species andimprove recovery rates in ways that minimize

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88 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1997

Chart 9-2. U.S. POPULATION SERVED BY SECONDARY TREATMENT OR BETTER

1972 1977 1982 1987 1992 19970

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

160

180

85

104

128

146159

170

MILLIONS

Actual Estimate

impacts on land owners and give greaterauthority to State and local governments.The budget contains full funding to implementthe Administration’s plan.

Healthy Coasts: Over half of Americanslive in coastal areas—areas that provideunique and critical habitat for a wide rangeof species. The budget proposes to increasefunds for programs that are instrumental insustaining healthy coasts to $132 million in1997, a $13 million increase over 1996, in thebudget of the National Oceanic and Atmos-pheric Administration (NOAA). Among thesevital efforts, NOAA is working to raise partici-pation in the Coastal Zone Management Pro-gram, which promotes integrated coastal stew-ardship, from 29 to 34 states. In addition,NOAA’s National Marine Sanctuaries Programwill complete a management plan for the Flor-ida Keys National Marine Sanctuary.

Water Quality Infrastructure: EPA pro-vides capitalization grants to Clean Water

State Revolving Funds (SRFs), which makelow-interest loans to municipalities to improvecompliance with the Clean Water Act. Thebudget proposes $1.35 billion for this program,which would help reduce beach closures andkeep our waterways safe and clean. In addi-tion, the budget proposes targeted wastewaterfunds for areas facing unique circumstances,such as high needs or an inability to pay—including $100 million for Boston Harbor, $150million for U.S.-Mexico border projects, and$15 million for Alaskan Native villages.

The President also is proposing $550 millionin Federal capitalization grants for new Drink-ing Water SRFs to help municipalities complywith the Safe Drinking Water Act. Suchcompliance will help ensure that our citizenshave a safe, clean supply of drinking water—our first line of defense in protecting publichealth.

Department of Agriculture (USDA)‘‘Water 2000’’: USDA has launched an effort

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899. PROTECTING THE ENVIRONMENT

Note: Includes National Park Service, Fish & Wildlife Service, Bureau of Land Management, and Forest Service.

1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 19950

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

800

401436

512 522

606

709

MILLIONS

Chart 9-3. RECREATIONAL VISITS TO SELECT FEDERAL LANDS

to bring safe drinking water to the remainingrural Americans in very remote areas who livewithout running water. The budget would fundthe initiative, ‘‘Water 2000,’’ as part of the $1.4billion in loan and grant authority that it pro-poses for rural water and wastewater loansand grants, a 75 percent increase over 1996.In 1995, ‘‘Water 2000’’ funded 217 new water-treatment systems; the Administration expectsto fund 150 new systems in 1996 and 225 in1997.

Wetlands Reserve Program (WRP): His-torically, developers obtained a fourth of U.S.cropland, or over 100 million acres, by clearingand draining wetlands. The WRP is a vol-untary program in which willing sellers receivethe fair market value to retire wetland acresfrom agricultural production. The WRP hasbeen so popular with farmers that the Govern-ment has only had the funds to buy a fifthof the acres that landowners have offered. Thebudget proposes to purchase long-term andperpetual conservation easements on 226,000

acres in 1997, which—along with the‘‘Swampbuster’’ provisions of Federal law thatrestrict farmers’ use of wetlands—would allowcontinued progress toward reaching the Presi-dent’s goal of a net gain in national wetlandacres (see Chart 9–4).

The retirement of cropland through theWRP will directly benefit the recovery ofthreatened or endangered species—thoughwetlands account for just five percent ofland in the lower 48 States, almost 35percent of threatened or endangered specieslive in, or depend on, wetlands. Also, becauseof other benefits of wetlands—floodwater re-tention and surface water storage—the budgetassumes at least $5 million for the EmergencyWetlands Reserve Program (EWRP) in 1997(depending on the nature of natural disastersthat year).

Conservation Reserve Program (CRP):The CRP pays farmers to temporarily retireenvironmentally sensitive (mostly erosion-

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90 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1997

326

803

1,116

CHART 9-4. USDA WETLANDS CONSERVATION

1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 20030

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1,100

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Annual WRP acres Annual EWRP acres Cumulative wetlands

prone) lands from production. Producers re-ceive rental payments for 10 years, after whichthey can bring the lands back into production.The CRP has 36.4 million acres enrolled, withthe remaining 1.6 million acres proposed inthe budget for sign-up in 1997, in order toreach the legal target of 38 million acres. InDecember 1994, the Administration also pro-posed that farmers have the option of extend-ing expiring contracts. Contracts for around15 million acres expire in 1996.

The CRP’s benefits include less erosionand better water quality. In addition, theCRP’s wildlife benefits have been overwhelm-ing: wild duck populations fell between 35and 50 percent in the 1970s and 1980s,but these populations bounced back witha 38 percent increase from the 1980s tothe mid-1990s largely due to the CRP (seeChart 9–5).

Superfund: EPA’s Superfund programcleaned up another 68 sites in 1995, exceeding

its 1995 target of 65 and bringing to 346 thetotal number cleaned up through 1995 (seeChart 9–6). In the past four years, the pro-gram has, on average, cleaned up more siteseach year than in its entire first decade. Bythe end of 1995, construction was completedor initiated at nearly 800 National PriorityList (NPL) sites, well over half the sites onthe list. With funding at the President’s re-quested level, EPA would remain on courseto achieve its target of 650 construction com-pletions by the year 2000.

Nevertheless, Superfund has been criticizedfor costing too much and accomplishing toolittle. The Administration has worked todevelop and propose legislative reforms tofundamentally change the way Superfundoperates. While awaiting Congressional actionon Superfund reauthorization, EPA has redi-rected the program in the past two yearswith ‘‘common sense’’ administrative reformsto increase fairness, cut cleanup and trans-action costs, and encourage economic redevel-

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919. PROTECTING THE ENVIRONMENT

Chart 9-5. CONSERVATION RESERVE PROGRAM(Acres Conserved and Wildlife Benefits)

CRP PRESIDENT'S POLICY

CRP BASE ACRES

DUCK POPULATION

1980 1982 1984 1986 1988 1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 20020

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opment. The budget includes $1.4 billion,an $81 million increase over 1996, to continueprogress in Superfund.

Brownfields: The current Superfund law,which extends liability to both past and pro-spective owners of contaminated sites, can de-press the market value of older industrial sitesand diminish the attractiveness of investingin these ‘‘brownfield’’ areas. The President pro-poses to offer new purchasers and other busi-nesses a targeted tax incentive to recover thecost of a brownfield cleanup in distressed com-munities over a shorter time period. This ini-tiative would spur the private sector to createjobs, return land to productive use, and cleanup the environment in our communities.

In addition, the budget proposes $25 millionto expand and complement EPA’s BrownfieldsEconomic Redevelopment Initiative. Of that,EPA would use $5 million to award another25 brownfield pilot projects to stimulate envi-ronmental cleanup through economic redevel-

opment, bringing the total number of pilotsto 75. In addition, the budget includes $20million for grants to brownfields pilot commu-nities to help finance such cleanups andto work with States to develop their capabilityto address brownfield cleanup and redevelop-ment.

Federal Facilities Cleanup and Compli-ance: The Federal Government faces an enor-mous challenge in cleaning up Federal facili-ties contaminated with radioactive or hazard-ous waste. The Energy Department (DOE)faces the most complex and costly problems,the result of over four decades of research,production, and testing of nuclear weapons.The Defense Department’s (DOD) environ-mental problems include hazardous wastessimilar to those at industrial sites andunexploded ordnance at test ranges.

In 1997, DOE will continue to stress riskreduction, management and stabilization ofnuclear materials, aggressive site cleanup,

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92 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1997

through 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 20000

100

200

300

400

500

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700

149

217

278

346

411

476

650

FISCAL YEAR COMPLETIONS CUMULATIVE COMPLETIONS

Chart 9-6. MAJOR PROGRESS IN SUPERFUND CLEANUPS

CONSTRUCTION COMPLETIONS

est.

68 61 68 65 65

est. goal

and investment in new cleanup technologies.The budget proposes $5.9 billion for DOE’sOffice of Environmental Management pro-gram—a figure that reflects sizable savingsfrom administrative and contracting reformsand that would support the completion ofcleanup of 260 release sites and facilities.The budget also proposes $182 million tofund projects to privatize the treatment ofcertain types of nuclear waste.

DOD continues to make significant progressin cleanup, compliance/pollution prevention,conservation, and environmental technology.The budget provides $4.7 billion for theseactivities. To date, 760 military installationsand over 2,200 formerly-used defense prop-erties have nearly 15,000 sites where astudy or cleanup is underway, while DODhas determined that 9,900 sites require nofurther cleanup.

Energy Conservation and Efficiency: Thebudget proposes $715 million for DOE energy

conservation and efficiency programs, 17 per-cent above 1996. It provides for continued im-plementation of the Climate Change ActionPlan to cut greenhouse gas emissions, and con-tinues the Partnership for a New Generationof Vehicles to triple fuel economy by early nextcentury. The Administration is committed toimproving the energy efficiency of federally-owned or operated buildings. DOD, DOE, theVeterans Affairs Department, and the GeneralServices Administration have made significantprogress in cutting energy consumption andsaving taxpayer money, and the budget pro-poses $289 million to continue the progress.

Solar and Renewable Energy: The budgetfunds DOE solar and renewable energy activi-ties at $363 million, 32 percent above 1996.This funding continues the Administration’sstrong support for research and developmentto reduce manufacturing costs in photovoltaicsand solar thermal technologies, promote windpower, and spur a wider use of biofuels.

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939. PROTECTING THE ENVIRONMENT

Multilateral and Bilateral Environ-mental Assistance: The budget proposes a$33 million increase over 1996, to $343 mil-lion, for bilateral and multilateral environ-mental assistance. Bilateral assistance in-cludes U.S. Agency for International Develop-ment (AID) activities to address climatechange, biodiversity, and sustainable agri-culture in developing countries. Multilateralassistance funds U.S. voluntary contributionsto the U.N. environmental system and otherinternational organizations to address variousinternational environmental activities.

Global Environment Facility: U.S. partici-pation in the Global Environment Facility

(GEF) is a cornerstone of U.S. foreign and en-vironmental policy. The GEF has become theworld’s leading institution for protecting theglobal environment and avoiding economic dis-ruption from climate change, massive extinc-tion of valuable species, and dramatic collapseof the ocean’s fish population. The $100 millionbudget request meets the Nation’s annualpledge to the four-year (1995–1998) fundingprogram for the GEF—the United Statespledged 20 percent ($400 million) of the GEF’sresources, a lower proportion than in mostmultilateral fora. Meeting this commitment isvital to maintaining U.S. leadership of the pro-gram.

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95

10. PROMOTING SCIENCE ANDTECHNOLOGY

American history clearly demonstrates the importance of American leadership in science andtechnology to the future of our Nation. Investments in science and technology drive economicgrowth, generate new knowledge, create new jobs, build new industries, ensure sustained nationalsecurity, and improve our quality of life.

President ClintonNovember 1995

Technological innovation has accounted forat least half of the Nation’s productivitygrowth in the last 50 years. We enjoy thefruits of this innovation every day in themany technologies we have come to dependon for our way of life, including lasers,computers, x-rays, teflon, weather and commu-nication satellites, jet aircraft, microwaveovens, solar-electric cells, and human insulin.The development of these technologies hascreated new industries and millions of high-skilled, high-wage American jobs. Thus, tech-nology has become a major engine of economicgrowth, a significant contributor to our na-tional security, a generator of new knowledge,and a critical tool in protecting our healthand environment.

Because our investments in science andtechnology (S&T) have paid such rich divi-dends, sustaining U.S. leadership in S&Tis a cornerstone of the President’s visionfor America. The budget maintains vital in-vestments in S&T by adding funds for basicresearch in health sciences at the NationalInstitutes of Health, for basic research andeducation at the National Science Foundation,for research at other agencies that dependon S&T for their missions, and for cooperativeprojects with industry and universities.

As the President has said, we need tobalance the budget in a way that boostseconomic growth and encourages public andprivate investment in innovative S&T. Thisbudget continues the record of S&T investmentand economic stimulation that has helped

to keep the economy strong over the lastthree years.

The Federal Role in S&T

The post-Cold War era is one of intenseglobal economic competition. Our country alsofaces new national security challenges, includ-ing threats from environmental degradation,emerging infectious diseases, the proliferationof nuclear and biological weapons, and regionalconflicts.

Thus, the Federal Government has an indis-pensable role to play in investing in S&T—a role critical to the country’s economy,national security, environment, health, andother social needs. This is especially truewhen the risk is too great for individualcompanies to make the needed investment,or when the public benefit is large butprivate return is small. Our Nation alsomust support a balanced mix of S&T invest-ments (i.e., basic research, applied research,and technology development), since the stepsinvolved in technological innovation are soprofoundly interwoven.

The Administration has initiated or ex-panded public-private partnerships to spurinnovations with broad economic impact. Thesepartnerships have traditionally served ourNation well, not only in building transpor-tation infrastructure (e.g., highways, airways,harbors, and railroads), but in nurturingnew types of technological infrastructure (e.g.,information highways, global positioning sat-ellites, and environmental monitoring sys-

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96 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1997

1 American Association for the Advancement of Science, 1995.2 Research and development (R&D) is a widely-accepted measure

of investment in S&T.

tems). The partnerships enable the privatesector to translate new knowledge into noveltechnologies that benefit its bottom line andsociety at large.

Science and Technology Highlights

Under the 1996 budget resolution, Congresswould cut support to S&T programs byabout 30 percent by the year 2002. 1 Ata time when increased global competitionthreatens U.S. markets, and when Japanhas proposed doubling its investments inS&T, the President believes we cannot affordsuch deep cuts. In his budget negotiationswith the bipartisan congressional leadership,the President has repeatedly reaffirmed hiscommitment to economic prosperity, education,health, the environment, and national security.S&T investments are critical to these goals.The budget fulfills his commitments by:

Increasing Total Funding for Scienceand Technology: This budget marks thefourth straight year that the President hasproposed increases in S&T investments. Table10–1 shows the proposal to invest roughly $73billion in research and development (R&D),over $1 billion more than in 1996. 2 In keepingwith previous efforts, the budget also providesan increasing share for civilian R&D invest-ments, with those investments at 47 percentof the total. Table 10–2 lists selected S&Thighlights.

Boosting Funding for Basic Researchand Health Research: The budget proposes$14 billion for basic research, a $278 millionincrease over 1996, including a four percentincrease for the National Science Foundation.Given the importance of basic and appliedhealth science research, the budget boostsfunding at the National Institutes of Healthby four percent.

Strengthening University-based Re-search: University-based research is key toAmerica’s future; simultaneously, it provides

new knowledge and new technology, and ittrains the next generation of scientists and en-gineers. The budget proposes $13 billion foruniversity-based research, an increase of $155million over 1996. It also proposes $22 billionfor merit-reviewed research (six percent morethan in 1996), which comprises 31 percent ofthe R&D budget.

Investing in Innovation to Create NewJobs and Industries: Under this Administra-tion, many of the new jobs have been high-tech, high-wage jobs in industries like bio-technology and computing—jobs that didn’texist a decade or two ago. The budget main-tains a strong investment in technology to fos-ter these high-priority civilian S&T industriesand jobs. Funding continues or expands forhigh-performance computing research; for theAdvanced Technology Program, which workswith industry to develop high-risk, high-payofftechnologies; for a Manufacturing ExtensionProgram to help small business battle foreigncompetition by adopting modern technologiesand production techniques; and for other pro-grams.

Increasing Environmental Research:S&T investments are critical for enhancing en-vironmental quality. While we are makingprogress on many pollution fronts, emergingglobal environmental problems pose new risks.The budget maintains vital research to providesafe food, clean air, and pure water. It sup-ports research into new environmental tech-nologies to provide better environmental pro-tection at lower cost, while generating jobs andexports. It supports programs to increaseenergy efficiency and the development of re-newable energy sources that cut demand forforeign oil, and partnerships with industry todevelop cars that use less fuel. The budgetinvests in programs that preserve biological di-versity and help us understand and preparefor changing climate conditions and naturaldisasters. These investments also provide asound scientific basis for rational rule-makingon, and the cost-effective implementation of,environmental regulations. (For more details,see Chapter 9.)

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Table 10–1. RESEARCH AND DEVELOPMENT INVESTMENTS(Budget authority, dollar amounts in millions)

1993Actual

1995Actual

1996Estimate 1

1997Proposed

DollarChange:1996 to

1997

PercentChange:1996 to

1997

By Agency:Defense .............................................................................. 38,898 35,350 35,428 35,523 +95 +*%Health and Human Services ........................................... 10,472 11,519 12,118 12,621 +503 +4%National Aeronautics and Space Administration .......... 8,873 9,390 9,334 9,359 +25 +*%Energy ............................................................................... 6,896 6,481 6,689 6,269 –420 –6%National Science Foundation .......................................... 2,012 2,431 2,430 2,516 +86 +4%Agriculture ........................................................................ 1,467 1,542 1,479 1,499 +20 +1%Commerce ......................................................................... 793 1,164 1,086 1,260 +174 +16%Interior .............................................................................. 649 668 622 582 –40 –6%Transportation .................................................................. 613 667 622 679 +57 +9%EPA ................................................................................... 511 554 508 585 +77 +15%Other ................................................................................. 1,308 1,315 1,134 2 1,786 +652 +57%

Total ................................................................................. 72,492 71,081 71,450 72,679 +1,229 +2%

By R&D Theme:Basic research .................................................................. 13,362 13,805 14,059 14,337 +278 +2%Applied research .............................................................. 13,608 14,273 14,251 14,862 +611 +4%Development ..................................................................... 42,795 41,118 41,238 41,042 –196 –*%Equipment ........................................................................ ............. 743 701 696 –5 –1%Facilities ........................................................................... 2,727 1,142 1,201 1,742 +541 +45%

Total ............................................................................. 72,492 71,081 71,450 72,679 +1,229 +2%

By Civilian Theme:Basic research .................................................................. 11,951 12,629 12,940 13,181 +241 +2%Applied research .............................................................. 9,130 10,566 10,560 11,135 +575 +5%Development ..................................................................... 7,269 8,488 8,297 8,096 –201 –2%Equipment ........................................................................ ............. 599 554 546 –8 –1%Facilities ........................................................................... 1,979 975 996 1,446 +450 +45%

Subtotal ......................................................................... 30,329 33,257 33,347 34,404 +1,057 +3%

By Defense Theme:Basic research .................................................................. 1,411 1,176 1,119 1,156 +37 +3%Applied research .............................................................. 4,478 3,707 3,691 3,727 +36 +1%Development ..................................................................... 35,526 32,316 32,612 32,615 +3 +*%Equipment ........................................................................ ............. 458 476 481 +5 +1%Facilities ........................................................................... 748 167 205 296 +91 +44%

Subtotal ......................................................................... 42,163 37,824 38,103 38,275 +172 +*%

By R&D Share:Defense .............................................................................. 42,163 37,824 38,103 38,275 +172 +*%Civilian .............................................................................. 30,329 33,257 33,347 34,404 +1,057 +3%

Total ............................................................................. 72,492 71,081 71,450 72,679 +1,229 +2%

Percent civilian .................................................................... 42% 47% 47% 47% NA NA

R&D support to universities ............................................... 11,674 12,445 12,573 12,728 +155 +1%Merit (peer) reviewed R&D programs ............................... ............. 21,895 21,160 22,406 +1,246 +6%

NA = Not applicable.* Less than $500 thousand or 0.5 percent.1 Includes Administration’s proposed adjustments to 1996 continuing resolution levels.2 Includes total funding for several projects as part of a Government-wide transition to upfront funding of fixed assets.

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98 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1997

Table 10–2. SELECTED SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY HIGHLIGHTS(Budget authority, dollar amounts in millions)

1993Actual

1995Actual

1996Estimate 1

1997Proposed

DollarChange:1996 to

1997

PercentChange:1996 to

1997

National Science Foundation ........................................... 2,734 3,229 3,220 3,325 +105 +3%National Institutes of Health ............................................ 10,325 11,240 11,939 12,406 +467 +4%Environmental Protection Agency:

Environmental technology initiative .................................. ............. 72 72 72 +* +*%Science to achieve results ................................................... ............. 48 95 115 +20 +21%

National Aeronautics and Space Administration:International space station ................................................. 2,262 2,113 2,144 2,149 +5 +*%Mission to Planet Earth ...................................................... 917 1,344 1,289 1,402 +113 +9%New millennium initiative .................................................. 67 436 569 549 –20 –4%Reusable launch vehicle technology program ................... 0 129 159 266 +107 +67%Aeronautics inititiative ....................................................... 129 347 415 442 +27 +7%

Department of Energy:Stockpile stewardship ......................................................... 1,799 1,520 1,567 1,648 +81 +5%Science users facilities initiative ........................................ ............. ............. 100 100 +* +*Energy efficiency and pollution preventions R&D ........... 350 447 417 548 +131 +31%Renewable energy R&D ...................................................... 257 363 275 363 +88 +32%Fusion energy science program .......................................... 340 361 244 264 +20 +8%

Department of Commerce:NIST—Advanced technology program ............................... 68 341 300 345 +45 +15%NIST—Manufacturing extension partners ........................ 18 74 100 105 +5 +5%NIST—Intramural research ............................................... 193 247 259 271 +12 +5%NOAA—Weather service modernization ........................... 474 576 604 742 +138 +23%NTIA—National information infrastructure ..................... ............. 42 54 59 +5 +9%

Department of Defense dual use application pro-gram .................................................................................... ............. ............. ............... 250 +250 +*

USDA national research initiative .................................. 98 101 97 130 +33 +34%Department of Transportation intelligent transpor-

tation system ..................................................................... 155 217 208 337 +129 +62%National Science and Technology Council initia-

tives:High performance computing and communications: 2

Defense ............................................................................. 298 375 315 337 +22 +7%Health and Human Services ........................................... 47 68 81 87 +6 +7%National Aeronautics and Space Administration .......... 82 131 116 104 –12 –10%Energy .............................................................................. 100 119 121 125 +4 +3%National Science Foundation .......................................... 233 297 291 280 –11 –4%Commerce ......................................................................... 12 30 31 34 +3 +10%Environmental Protection Agency .................................. ............. 12 12 6 –6 –48%Transportation ................................................................. ............. 24 23 43 +20 +87%Education .......................................................................... ............. 16 12 18 +6 +50%Veterans ........................................................................... ............. 24 21 16 –5 –24%

Subtotal ....................................................................... 772 1,096 1,023 1,050 +28 +3%U.S. global change research program: 3

Health and Human Services ........................................... 1 4 4 4 +* +*National Aeronautics and Space Administration .......... 917 1,308 1,250 1,375 +125 +10%Energy .............................................................................. 118 119 111 112 +2 +1%National Science Foundation .......................................... 124 169 163 170 +7 +4%Agriculture ....................................................................... 55 60 56 59 +3 +5%Commerce ......................................................................... 66 57 60 69 +9 +15%Interior .............................................................................. 38 30 29 29 +* +*Transportation ................................................................. ............. 6 6 7 +1 +17%Environmental Protection Agency .................................. ............. 23 25 19 –6 –24%Smithsonian ..................................................................... ............. 7 7 7 +* +*Tennesse Valley Authority .............................................. ............. 2 1 1 +* +*

Subtotal ....................................................................... 1,319 1,785 1,712 1,852 +141 +8%Environment and natural resources .................................. ............. 5,365 5,186 5,448 +262 +5%Partnership for a new generation of vehicles ................... ............. 223 241 288 +47 +20%Construction and building .................................................. ............. 168 162 194 +32 +20%Educational technology ....................................................... ............. 464 397 434 +37 +9%

* Less than $500 thousand or 0.5 percent.1 Includes Administration’s proposed adjustments to 1996 continuing resolution levels.2 Listing by agency required by law.3 Listing by agency required by law, subset of Environment and Natural Resources.

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9910. PROMOTING SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY

Investing in a 21st-Century Education:Information technology has revolutionizedAmerica’s businesses, but largely bypassed itsclassrooms. We must use this new technologyto help children prepare for the challenges ofthe 21st Century. Building on the experienceof earlier Federal investment in educationaltechnology, the President is proposing a newTechnology Literacy Challenge Fund to encour-age States and communities, working with pri-vate sector partners, to develop and implementplans for adopting these technologies. (Formore details, see Chapter 8.)

Enhancing Programs to Keep Our Na-tion Secure: While the budget continues in-vestments in defense research that ensure ourstrong, future military capabilities, it also fos-ters key programs to: keep nuclear weaponsout of the hands of terrorists; achieve a Com-prehensive Test Ban Treaty by using science-based techniques to ensure the safety and reli-ability of our nuclear weapons stockpiles; andbolster strong international S&T cooperationto improve global stability. The budget alsosupports the Dual Use Applications program,which puts the technical know-how and econo-mies of scale from commercial industry at theservice of national defense.

Agency Highlights

National Science Foundation (NSF): TheNSF promotes science in service to society, pri-marily by awarding competitively-selectedgrants for research and education. Becausemost NSF awards go to our Nation’s collegesand universities, they serve to both produceknowledge and train the next generation ofscientists and engineers. The budget proposes$3.3 billion for NSF, a more than three percentincrease over 1996. Included are funds to ad-dress critical health, safety, and environmentalimpact issues at the Amundsen-Scott Stationat the South Pole.

National Institutes of Health (NIH): Thebudget continues the Administration’s commit-ment to biomedical and behavioral research,which promotes the health and well-being ofall Americans. The proposed $12.4 billion forNIH is a $467 million, or four percent, increaseover 1996. NIH’s highest priority continues tobe funding investigator-initiated, peer-re-viewed research project grants. The budget in-

cludes increases for HIV/AIDS-related re-search, research into breast cancer and otherhealth concerns of women, minority health ini-tiatives, high performance computing, preven-tion research, gene therapy, and developmen-tal and reproductive biology. The budget alsoincludes funding for a new NIH Clinical Re-search Center, which would give NIH a state-of-the-art research facility in which scientistswould bring their latest discoveries from thelaboratory bench to the patient’s bedside.

Environmental Protection Agency (EPA):

Environmental Technology Initiative (ETI):The ETI is a partnership among government,industry, non-governmental organizations, andcommunities to protect public health andprevent pollution by promoting innovativeenvironmental technologies, both in the UnitedStates and abroad. ETI supports regulatoryreinvention efforts by allowing companies andcommunities to comply with environmentalregulations by using the most cost-effectivetechnology strategies possible. The budgetproposes $72 million for ETI, and a totalof $127 million for all of EPA’s environmentaltechnology efforts.

Science to Achieve Results (STAR) Program:The budget proposes $115 million (21 percentmore than in 1996) for the STAR program,which awards grants on the basis of rigorouspeer review by extramural researchers. Underthe program, EPA cooperates with NSF andthe Energy Department to sponsor joint re-quests for grant applications.

National Aeronautics and Space Admin-istration (NASA):

International Space Station: The Adminis-tration proposes continued funding of theInternational Space Station at $2.1 billion.In less than two years, NASA will launchthe first segments of this ambitious undertak-ing among the United States, Europe, Japan,Canada, and Russia. NASA and the RussianSpace Agency have reconfirmed their commit-ments to the program and have conductedprecursor research on two Space Shuttleflights to the Russian MIR space station,with another seven planned through 1998.

Mission to Planet Earth (MTPE): MTPEis NASA’s effort to observe, understand, andpredict natural and human-induced changes

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100 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1997

to the environment. The budget proposes$1.4 billion for MTPE, nine percent morethan in 1996. MTPE programs include theEarth Observing System satellites and infor-mation system, the Landsat satellite, anda broad range of scientific research anddata analysis activities. NASA is also explor-ing new ways to obtain environmental datausing very small spacecraft and purchasingdata sets from industry.

New Millennium Initiative (NMI): The NMIrepresents a fundamentally new way forNASA to develop and operate robotic spacemissions. The initiative has transformed spacemissions from occasional, decade-long, multi-billion dollar undertakings to more frequent,cheaper, and exciting projects that have rein-vigorated a broad section of the space sciencecommunity. The budget proposes $549 millionto support over 25 missions, either in orbitor under development.

Reusable Launch Vehicle (RLV) TechnologyProgram: The RLV technology program devel-ops technology designed to significantly cutthe cost of getting into space. The budgetproposes $266 million in preparation for a1996 decision whether to proceed with theX–33, an experimental flight vehicle whosecosts would be shared with industry.

Aeronautics Initiative: The budget proposes$442 million for NASA aeronautics initiatives,a seven percent increase over 1996. Theseinitiatives are partnerships with industry andinclude advanced subsonic technology andhigh speed research that may revolutionizethe next generation of airplanes.

Department of Energy (DOE):

Stockpile Stewardship: The President’s com-mitment to a Comprehensive Test Ban Treaty(CTBT) is closely linked to the Administra-tion’s plan to maintain the safety and reliabil-ity of the nuclear weapons stockpile throughscientific experiments and computer modeling(i.e., no explosive testing of nuclear weapons).The budget proposes $1.6 billion for theseefforts in 1997, a five percent increase over1996, reflecting the President’s commitmentto provide sufficient funding for this programnext year and over the next decade. Closelylinked to this program, the President alsois committed to funding a comprehensive

R&D program over the next decade to improvetreaty monitoring capabilities and operations.President Clinton hopes to complete andsign the CTBT in 1996.

Science User Facilities Initiative: The budgetproposes continuing this $100 million initiativebegun in 1996 to supplement the operationsand capabilities of DOE’s major basic researchfacilities. The 1996 funding has generatedan increase in hours of operation rangingfrom 20 to 100 percent at various DOEfacilities; additional staff support for theuniversity, government, and industry research-ers; and upgraded and expanded instrumenta-tion.

Energy Efficiency and Pollution PreventionR&D: The budget proposes increases for re-search on technologies that use natural gasand electricity more efficiently; new manufac-turing processes that offer higher productivityas well as lower energy and environmentalcosts; and innovative transportation and en-ergy conversion processes. The budget proposes$548 million, $131 million more than in1996.

Renewable Energy R&D: The budget pro-poses $363 million, $88 million over 1996,for research and technical assistance to fosterworld-class competitive renewable electricityand fuels industries, including solar thermaland photovoltaic, wind and geothermal power,transportation fuels, and energy from biomasscrops and wastes. The development of alter-native energy sources represents a criticalenvironmental and economic issue for thenext century.

Fusion Energy Sciences Program: DOE con-tinues to support basic research and experi-mentation in plasma and fusion sciences,with the long-term goal of harnessing fusionas a viable energy source. The budget proposes$264 million, roughly an eight percent increaseover 1996, and provides for increased basicresearch activities, the investigation oftokamak alternatives, and continued operationof the three major U.S. experimental ma-chines. The budget proposes continued U.S.participation in the design of the InternationalThermonuclear Experimental Reactor.

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10110. PROMOTING SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY

Department of Commerce (DOC):

National Institute of Standards and Tech-nology (NIST): NIST promotes U.S. economicgrowth by working with industry to developand apply technology, measurements, andstandards. NIST employs a unique combina-tion of innovative programs. The AdvancedTechnology Program (ATP) is a rigorouslycompetitive, industry-led, and cost-sharedR&D program that fosters technology develop-ment, promotes industrial alliances, and cre-ates jobs. The budget proposes $345 millionfor ATP to support roughly $120 millionin new awards and continue commitmentsto over 500 companies. The ManufacturingExtension Partnership (MEP) provides theNation’s 381,000 smaller manufacturers withtechnological information and expertise thatcould improve their operations. The budgetproposes $105 million for MEP to support75 extension centers nationwide. The budgetproposes $271 million for NIST laboratoriesto support important measurement researchwith industry in areas such as semiconductormetrology, advanced materials, and bio-technology. The budget also proposes $105million for technology facilities, $80 millionof which to construct a new Advanced Tech-nology Laboratory to support cutting-edgeresearch.

National Oceanic and Atmospheric Adminis-tration (NOAA) National Weather Service Mod-ernization: The largest modernization in theNational Weather Service’s history is wellunderway. The budget requests $742 millionto support this multi-year effort to developand deploy cutting-edge technology, includingadvanced radar equipment, other ground ob-serving systems, and geostationary and polar-orbiting satellites that will greatly improvethe timeliness and accuracy of severe weatherand flood warnings.

National Telecommunications and Informa-tion Administration (NTIA) National Informa-tion Infrastructure (NII) Grants Program: Thebudget requests $59 million in grants tohelp develop the NII, which provides theinfrastructure that enables computers to con-nect to one another and to information systemsacross the country. These grants help fund

demonstration projects to show how informa-tion technology can improve the deliveryof educational, health, and other social serv-ices.

Department of Defense (DOD) Dual UseApplications Program: The budget includes$250 million for the Dual Use ApplicationsProgram (DUAP). DOD would solicit projectsas Government-industry partnerships, and se-lect those that meet military needs. The DUAPis built around a three-year process of transi-tion from technology concept to product dem-onstration. This new program builds on theTechnology Reinvestment Project (TRP), ahighly successful experiment that proved DODcould acquire superior commercial technologiesfor military needs through cost sharing, Gov-ernment-industry partnerships.

Department of Agriculture (USDA) Na-tional Research Initiative: The budget pro-poses $130 million for the National ResearchInitiative (NRI), a 34 percent increase over1996, to support research on a broad rangeof topics, including integrated pest manage-ment, biological control of pests and diseases,human nutrition, plant genome, water quality,food safety, sustainable agriculture, and agri-cultural systems. NRI is unique in USDA’s re-search portfolio because its awards are basedon merit review evaluations by scientific peers.

Department of Transportation Intel-ligent Transportation System (ITS) Initia-tive: The budget includes $337 million for theITS initiative, an increase of 62 percent over1996. Under ITS, the Administration wouldwork with 75 of the Nation’s largest and mostcongested metropolitan areas to develop anddeploy modern information technology forhighway and transit systems.

National Science and Technology CouncilInteragency Initiatives

High Performance Computing and Com-munications (HPCC): The budget proposes$1 billion, a three percent increase over 1996,for research and development in informationand communications technologies that build onHPCC’s accomplishments over the past fiveyears.

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102 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1997

Environment and Natural Resources:The budget proposes $5.4 billion, a five percentincrease over 1996, for research to address en-vironmental issues ranging from local to re-gional to global, including: air quality,biodiversity and ecosystems, global change,natural disaster reduction, resource use andmanagement, toxic substances/hazardous andsolid waste, and water resources/coastal andmarine environments. The budget includes$1.9 billion for the U.S. Global Change Re-search Program, eight percent more than in1996.

Partnership for a New Generation of Ve-hicles: The budget proposes $288 million, a$47 million increase over 1996, for researchto: 1) develop advanced manufacturing tech-niques that make it easier to get new auto-mobiles and auto components into the market-place quickly; 2) use new technologies for near-

term improvements in auto efficiency, safety,and emissions; and 3) lead to production proto-types of vehicles that are three times morefuel efficient than today’s cars, with no sac-rifice in comfort, performance, or price.

Construction and Building: The budgetproposes $194 million, a 20 percent increaseover 1996, for research to develop better con-struction technologies to improve the competi-tive performance of U.S. industry, raise thelife cycle performance of buildings, and protectpublic safety and the environment.

Educational Technology: The budget pro-poses $434 million, or a nine percent increaseover 1996, for research and development oneducation and training to improve learning inschools, workplaces, and homes. (See, for in-stance, ‘‘Investing in a 21st-Century Edu-cation,’’ earlier in this chapter.)

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103

11. ENFORCING THE LAW

At last we have begun to find the way to reduce crime, forming community partnerships withlocal police forces to catch criminals and prevent crime.

President ClintonJanuary 1996

The budget continues the Administration’saggressive efforts to make the streets saferfor all Americans and to secure the Nation’sborders. It:

• empowers communities to fight crimelocally by hiring more police, provides in-novative programs to prevent non-violentoffenders from becoming hardened crimi-nals, and stresses drug treatment and pre-vention;

• commits resources to ensure that violentcriminals and serious drug traffickers re-main behind bars, and proposes that vio-lent juvenile offenders be prosecuted asadults; and

• targets resources to combat illegal immi-gration—at the border, at worksites, andin prisons—through deterrence, enforce-ment, and swift deportation.

TAKING BACK OUR STREETS

The Administration’s continuing efforts towork with communities and local police forcesare paying off. In 1994, America’s violentcrime rate dropped by four percent from1993, to its lowest level since 1989. Prelimi-nary figures for the first six months of1995 indicate a further drop in violent crime.While this trend is encouraging, violent crime,especially among juveniles, remains at anintolerable level.

The budget proposes $23.9 billion to controlcrime, an increase of $2.6 billion over 1996.Chart 11–1 shows law enforcement spendingby year. To help make our streets safeand free people from fear, the budget continuesinitiatives to hire more police in communities

of all sizes, enhance State and local lawenforcement and crime prevention assistance,and confront gangs, including juvenile gangs,involved in violent crimes.

Community Policing: Community policingis integral to fighting crime and improving thequality of life in the Nation’s cities, towns, andrural areas. That’s why the President haspledged to put 100,000 new police officers onthe street by the year 2000. By the end of1996, the Community Oriented Policing Serv-ices (COPS) initiative will have funded almost49,000 officers. The budget proposes almost $2billion to put 19,000 more officers on the streetin local communities. COPS provides flexibilityto communities, giving local law enforcementagencies the funds to buy sophisticated crimeequipment, hire support personnel that allowthe deployment of more officers, and imple-ment community policing techniques.

The budget also proposes $25 million togive police officers advanced education andtraining. The Police Corps grant programwould give educational assistance to studentswith a sincere interest in law enforcement—scholarship recipients would have to makea four-year law enforcement service obligation.The Police Scholarship program would givescholarships to individuals now working aspolice officers. These two programs wouldhelp enhance State and local law enforcementrecruitment, retention, and education.

State and Local Assistance: The ViolentCrime Control and Law Enforcement Act of1994 was designed to provide a balance be-tween enforcement and prevention programs.The Violent Crime Reduction Trust Fund(VCRTF) provides $5 billion in 1997 towardprograms authorized in the 1994 crime law.

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104 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1997

1993 1995 1996 19970

5

10

15

20

25

30

15.2

18.8

21.3

23.9

DOLLARS IN BILLIONS

General Appropriations Violent Crime ReductionTrust Fund

Chart 11-1. ANTI-CRIME BUDGET HISTORY

2.4

16.4 17.3

4.0

18.9

5.0

The President’s VCRTF request includes $3.6billion for State and local law enforcement and$0.5 billion for prevention programs (see Table11–1). Along with COPS, the VCRTF fundsgrants for new prisons and prevention pro-grams for violence against women and hand-gun violence.

Violent Offenders: The Administrationseeks to ensure that convicted violent offendersserve at least 85 percent of their sentencesbehind bars. For this purpose, the budget pro-poses $630 million in State grants to buildnew prisons and jail cells under two pro-grams—the Violent Offender Incarceration andTruth in Sentencing programs. The funding in-cludes $170 million to reimburse States for thecosts of incarcerating criminal aliens.

Violence Against Women: The budget pro-poses $250 million to combat gender-basedcrime. About $180 million would go for pro-grams to investigate, prosecute, and convictthose who commit violent crimes against

women. The other $70 million would fund pro-grams that prevent rape and the sexual exploi-tation of runaway, homeless, and street youth.

Brady Handgun Violence Prevention: Todate, the 1993 Brady bill, which provides fora waiting period before a gun purchase, al-ready has stopped 60,000 people who are pro-hibited purchasers from buying guns. To fur-ther prevent the sale of firearms to ineligiblepurchasers, the budget proposes $50 millionto help States upgrade their criminal historyrecord-keeping systems and $20 million to cre-ate a national instant handgun check system.

Gangs: Clearly, criminal gang violence isamong the most difficult challenges facing lawenforcement. As gangs become an increasinglypowerful and deadly force, the Administrationis pursuing a coordinated national strategy tohelp combat them. The budget proposes a vari-ety of programs to stem violence on the streetand in public housing.

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10511. ENFORCING THE LAW

Table 11–1. VIOLENT CRIME REDUCTION TRUST FUND SPENDING BYFUNCTION

(Budget authority, in millions of dollars)

1995Actual

1996Estimate 1

1997Proposed

DollarChange:1995 to

1997

PercentChange:1995 to

1997

Prevention:Violence Against Women ............................ 27 180 254 +227 +841%Drug Courts ................................................. 12 100 100 +88 +733%Prison Drug Treatment .............................. .............. 41 61 +61 NAOther Prevention Programs ....................... 21 19 42 +21 +100%

Subtotal, Prevention ............................... 60 340 457 +397 +662%

State and Local Assistance:Community Policing (COPS) ...................... 1,300 1,803 1,950 +650 +50%Incarceration of Violent Offenders ............ 25 618 630 +605 +2,420%Incarceration of Undocumented Criminal

Aliens ....................................................... 130 300 330 +200 +154%Other State and Local Assistance ............. 550 187 659 +109 +20%

Subtotal, State and Local Assistance .... 2,005 2,908 3,569 +1,564 +78%

Federal Law Enforcement Assistance:Department of Justice:

Immigration ............................................. 284 381 505 +221 +78%Other Department of Justice .................. .............. 321 344 +344 NA

Department of the Treasury ...................... 30 69 90 +60 +200%Judiciary ...................................................... .............. 30 35 +35 NA

Subtotal, Federal Law EnforcementAssistance ......................................... 314 801 974 +660 +210%

Total, Violent Crime Reduction TrustFund ............................................................ 2,379 4,049 5,000 +2,621 +110%

NA = Not applicable.1 Includes Administration’s proposed adjustments to 1996 continuing resolution levels.

• Safe Streets: The budget proposes $117million, an increase of $2.9 million over1996, for the Safe Streets program, whichblends the efforts of the FBI, other Federallaw enforcement agencies, and State andlocal police departments to investigatestreet crime and violence.

• Mobile Enforcement Teams (METS): TheDrug Enforcement Administration pro-vides guidance and other assistance tolocal police agencies and State and localpolice departments to disrupt and disman-tle the most violent gangs involved in drugtrafficking. The budget proposes $20 mil-

lion for this program, an increase of $5.9million over 1996.

• Juveniles: Juvenile arrests for serious of-fenses rose 68 percent from 1984 to 1993,partly due to gang violence as groupsfought for turf. As a result, the Presidentpledged in his State of the Union address,‘‘I’m directing the FBI and other investiga-tive agencies to target gangs that involvejuveniles and violent crime, and to seekauthority to prosecute as adults teenagerswho maim and kill like adults.’’

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106 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1997

1 ‘‘Substance Abuse: The Nation’s Number One Health Problem,’’Key Indicators for Policy, Institute for Health Policy, Brandeis Uni-versity (1993).

• One Strike and You’re Out: The Presidentbelieves that public housing is a privilege,not a right, and that residents who commitcrimes and peddle drugs should be imme-diately evicted. The budget provides $290million to support anti-drug and anti-crime activities in public housing, includ-ing $10 million to implement the Presi-dent’s ‘‘one strike and you’re out’’ initia-tive.

Domestic Terrorism: Though few in num-ber, domestic terrorist groups are a seriousthreat to the security and safety of the Govern-ment and public. The budget provides about$100 million to help Federal law enforcementagencies prevent domestic terrorism, and in-vestigate and prosecute domestic terroristswho commit violent and illegal acts.

Digital Telephony: The CommunicationsAssistance for Law Enforcement Act ensuresthat law enforcement agencies can conductcourt-authorized wiretaps as the Nation con-verts from analog to digital communicationstechnology. In 1996, the President proposed$100 million to reimburse telecommunicationscarriers for modifying equipment and servicesin order to maintain the ability to conductwiretaps. Congress did not fund the programbut, due to its importance, the budget againproposes $100 million.

COMBATING DRUG ABUSE AND DRUG-RELATED CRIME

Drug abuse and drug-related crime costour society an estimated $67 billion a year 1

and destroy the lives and futures of a majorportion of our most precious resource—ouryouth. Illicit drug trafficking breeds crimeand corruption, drug use helps to spreadAIDS and other deadly diseases, and addictionerodes our productivity. The effects of drugsand drug-related crime are felt acutely inour communities and on our urban streetcorners.

The budget proposes $15.1 billion for drugcontrol, an increase of $1.3 billion over 1996.The budget would build on initiatives thatbegan in 1996 by renewing the emphasison drug law enforcement, interdiction, inter-national programs, and drug treatment andprevention. Table 11–2 shows the fundingaccording to drug control functions.

Drug Law Enforcement: The budget pro-poses $8.3 billion for domestic drug law en-forcement, an increase of $0.7 billion over1996. The budget boosts Federal law enforce-ment efforts while targeting new resources tocommunity-based law enforcement and to stop-ping the flow of illegal drugs at the border.

Table 11–2. DRUG CONTROL FUNDING(Budget authority, dollar amounts in millions)

1995Actual

1996Estimate 1

1997Proposed

DollarChange:1995 to

1997

PercentChange:1995 to

1997

Domestic Law Enforcement ........................... 6,983 7,553 8,255 +1,272 +18%Demand Reduction ......................................... 4,692 4,572 4,971 +279 +6%Interdiction ..................................................... 1,280 1,339 1,437 +157 +12%International ................................................... 296 320 401 +105 +35%

Total, Drug Control Funding ............... 13,251 13,784 15,064 +1,813 +14%

1 Includes Administration’s proposed adjustments to 1996 continuing resolution levels.

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10711. ENFORCING THE LAW

The Federal role continues to focus on provid-ing leadership and training, fostering inter-governmental cooperation, and providing in-centives to States and localities to adopt suc-cessful drug control methods.

Interdiction and International Pro-grams: The Administration has an integratedinternational strategy that has made it harderfor traffickers to get their product into theUnited States for sale. The budget proposes$1.8 billion, $100 million more than in 1996,for these programs.

• Source Country Efforts: Internationally,the United States is focusing on not justinterdiction, but also on disrupting thedrug leadership and its production,marketing, and money-laundering infra-structure. This requires that we closely co-operate with narcotics source and transitcountries, and hold our allies to a highstandard of action.

Drug Treatment: The budget proposes $2.9billion from all sources to treat drug abuse,$200 million more than in 1996.

To rid America of drug addiction, theAdministration’s top priority is treating hard-core users. The following programs reflectthe Administration’s commitment to addressdrug abuse where the battle is toughest—in the streets, jails, and urban and ruraldrug markets of America.

• Drug Testing: To break the cycle of crimeand drugs, the budget proposes $42 mil-lion for the Administration’s criminal jus-tice drug testing initiative. Under it, allthose arrested for Federal crimes wouldbe drug tested before being released backinto the community.

• Drug Courts: Drug courts, for which thebudget proposes $100 million, offer an al-ternative for non-violent offenders who arewilling to participate in, and would benefitfrom, rehabilitative drug treatment. Drugcourt programs rely on sanctions, such asincarceration and increased drug-testingand supervision, to encourage treatment.

• Substance Abuse Treatment: The budgetproposes $1.2 billion, a $67 million in-crease over 1996, to support State sub-stance abuse activities, which help target

resources to local hard-core user popu-lations. In addition, the budget helps re-store funding for substance abuse dem-onstration programs to $352 million, a$140 million increase over 1996, providingtreatment and prevention services forpregnant women, high-risk youth, andother under-served Americans.

Community-Based Prevention: The budgetproposes $1.6 billion for drug prevention pro-grams, an increase of $200 million over 1996.After significant and steady declines throughthe 1980s, teenage drug use is rising and anti-drug attitudes are softening. Drug glamoriza-tion in popular culture, especially rock music,and the highly publicized debate about druglegalization have fueled these reversals. Tohelp stem these trends, the budget puts amajor focus on keeping America’s youth drug-free.

• The Safe and Drug Free Schools and Com-munities Program: The Safe and DrugFree Schools and Communities programprovides an important foundation for theNation’s drug and violence preventionefforts, helping school districts implementanti-drug and anti-violence programs inthe schools. The program now serves 39million students in 97 percent of schooldistricts. The budget proposes $540 mil-lion, an increase of $74 million over 1995.

SECURING OUR BORDERS ANDENFORCING THE LAW

The President has placed a high priorityon controlling our Nation’s borders. For toolong, insufficient staff, inadequate facilities,and outmoded equipment and technology havepermitted uncontrolled movement across theborder—over 3.5 million aliens now residein this country illegally. As a Nation ofimmigrants, we must welcome those whoseek legal entry or refugees who seek protec-tion from harm. As a Nation of laws, however,we must maintain our borders and deterand remove those who enter illegally.

The President has worked with Congressover the last three years to boost fundsfor the Immigration and Naturalization Serv-ice (INS) by 74 percent. The President’sImmigration Initiative is a strategic plan

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Table 11–3. IMMIGRATION AND NATURALIZATION SERVICE PROGRAMFUNDING

(Budget authority, dollar amounts in millions)

1993Actual

1995Actual

1996Estimate

1997Proposed

DollarChange:1993 to

1997

PercentChange:1993 to

1997

Appropriated Funds:Border Patrol .............................. 354 442 583 716 +362 +102%Investigations and Intelligence . 142 169 229 279 +136 +96%Land Border Inspections ............ 83 88 122 152 +69 +83%Detention and Deportation ........ 161 194 309 401 +240 +149%Program Support and Construc-

tion ........................................... 227 437 493 599 +373 +164%

Subtotal ................................... 967 1,330 1,736 2,147 +1,180 +122%

Fee Collections andReimbursements:Citizenship and Benefits ............ 308 359 539 511 +203 +66%Air/Sea Inspections and Support 255 362 381 439 +184 +72%

Subtotal ................................... 563 721 920 950 +387 +69%

Total, INS ...................................... 1,530 2,051 2,656 3,097 +1,567 +102%

to secure the borders as we work withState and local governments to reduce theeffects of illegal immigration. The budgetproposes $3.1 billion for INS, $441 millionmore than in 1996 (see Table 11–3).

Securing the Border: Controlling illegalentry at the border with limited resources hasbeen a continuing challenge for INS—one thatthe Administration has addressed. Under itsplan, Border Patrol staffing would rise by over85 percent from 1993 to 1998 (to over 7,000agents). Since 1993, the Administration andCongress have provided funds to hire 1,850more patrol agents to meet staffing needs atthe Nation’s busiest Southwest border crossingpoints. The budget builds on this foundation,adding resources to support 700 more BorderPatrol agents, 150 INS inspectors, and 657Customs personnel to strengthen land ports-of-entry and stem the flow of illegal aliens anddrugs (see Chart 11–2).

• Enforcement Strategy Along the Border:Since 1993, the Administration has fo-cused on deterrence at the border. Thismultiyear plan has targeted border en-

forcement along the Southwest border,starting with the largest illegal crossingareas. Projects such as ‘‘Operation Gate-keeper’’ in San Diego and ‘‘OperationHold-the-Line’’ in El Paso have helpeddeter illegal crossing. Local law enforce-ment officials cite these projects as impor-tant factors that helped to reduce crimesignificantly—upwards of 60 percent—inaffected border communities. The budgetexpands these initiatives to cover the fullSouthwest border. It adds 850 INS agentsand inspectors; proposes $33 million to re-place outmoded equipment; and funds newweapons and electronic detection tech-nology.

• Use of Technology: INS is using advancedbiometric technology along the Southwestborder to identify and control alien cross-ings. Its IDENT system uses stored finger-prints and photographs to form a uniqueidentifier with information on aliens, foruse in law enforcement. The IDENT sys-tem has allowed INS to tap ‘‘lookout’’ andlaw enforcement criminal data bases and

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10911. ENFORCING THE LAW

CHART 11-2. IMMIGRATION AND NATURALIZATION SERVICE

1993 1994 1995 1996 19970

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

8

9

10

THOUSANDS

BorderPatrol

Border PatrolSupport Staff

Land BorderInspectors

4224

BORDER PATROL AND LAND BORDER INSPECTION STAFFING

3963

828

905

4881

1065

1175

5581

638111151103

1178

1765

1919

784

provide real-time evaluation of illegalcrossing trends, enabling INS to quicklyredeploy Border Patrol resources. Thebudget provides $7.8 million to expandand operate the IDENT pilot along the en-tire Southwest border, and includes an-other $16.8 million for technology tostrengthen Southwest border enforcement.

Reducing the ‘‘Job Magnet’’ for IllegalEntry: Each year, a powerful ‘‘job magnet’’draws hundreds of thousands of illegal aliensto this country. The Administration has putmuscle into the employer sanctions enforce-ment provisions of the 1986 ImmigrationReform and Control Act. Since 1993, the Gov-ernment has taken over 15,000 enforcementactions, leading to over 25,000 apprehensionsand $10.5 million in employer fines. The budg-et proposes to make it easier for employersto verify employment eligibility, and to expandenforcement efforts against traditional employ-ers of unauthorized labor. In addition, the

President signed a path-breaking ExecutiveOrder on February 13, 1996 to deny Federalcontracts, for up to a year, to firms that em-ploy illegal aliens.

• Employment Verification: Over half of theillegal aliens in this country never crossedour borders illegally; rather, they over-stayed the terms of their visas. Many ofthem use fraudulent documents to getjobs. To address this problem, INS devel-oped several pilot employment verificationsystems to help employers determine theeligibility of potential employees. A tele-phone verification system in Orange Coun-ty, California has enlisted over 200 em-ployers—expected to grow to over 1,000 in1996—who use a quick, effective, and non-discriminatory system to verify the em-ployment eligibility of new employees. Thebudget proposes $10 million to expand ver-ification and fraud detection and preven-tion programs.

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• Worksite Enforcement: Worksite enforce-ment and employer sanctions are keys todampening the lure of illegal employment.The Administration’s vigorous enforcementof employment standards denies employersthe advantages of hiring highly vulnerableand exploitable illegal immigrants to workat substandard wages and in poor workingconditions. Employers who knowingly hireillegal aliens should be held accountable.INS has launched a concentrated enforce-ment effort, centered in the Midwest andtitled ‘‘Operation JOBS,’’ that targets em-ployers who routinely flout the law andhire illegal aliens. The joint exercise,drawing on the expertise of INS, the Stateand Labor Departments, and local offi-cials, has generated 5,555 alien apprehen-sions and 4,453 removals since it beganin January 1995. In addition, it has placedover 3,000 citizens in jobs that illegalaliens previously held. The budget pro-poses to add 106 investigators and depor-tation officials to strengthen INS’ worksiteenforcement efforts.

Swiftly Removing Illegal and CriminalAliens: The budget expands another part ofthe President’s Immigration Initiative—remov-ing criminal and undocumented aliens. It pro-poses to enhance INS’ ability to identify,locate, and remove criminals and other deport-able aliens. With these and other resources,INS would be able to remove 93,000 aliensin 1997, a 50 percent increase over projectionsfor 1996.

• Port Courts and Deportation: The budgetproposes $4.2 million to expand efforts byINS and the Executive Office of Immigra-tion Review (EOIR) to expand the innova-

tive ‘‘port court’’ concept that began inCalifornia. INS has established a portcourt at the Otay Mesa land border cross-ing port to expedite immigration hearingsfor aliens who try to enter the countryusing counterfeit documents or falselyclaiming U.S. citizenship. The budget ex-pands the courts to additional ports ofentry in 1997.

• Institutional Hearing Program: The crimi-nal alien inmate population represents agrowing portion of all inmates in Federal,State, and local prisons and correctionalfacilities. To expedite deportation and ex-pulsions, INS, in conjunction with EOIRand State correction officials, has launchedan innovative, on-site prison hearing pro-gram to conduct criminal alien deportationhearings while inmates serve their sen-tences. The program led to the removalof over 9,500 criminal aliens in 1995. Thebudget proposes $9.2 million to add court-rooms and staff, and $11.1 million to ex-pand the same concept to aliens incarcer-ated in local jails.

• Deportation: The budget proposes funds toactivate 700 new detention beds in Texasand Florida, and to enhance the INS alientransportation system.

Assisting States and Localities with theCosts of Illegal Aliens: Through the StateCriminal Alien Assistance Program, the Presi-dent has provided unprecedented help to reim-burse State and local governments for thecosts of incarcerating illegal aliens. In 1995,the Federal Government provided $130 millionto reimburse 41 States. The budget rec-ommends $500 million to expand reimburse-ments to State and local governments.

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Table 12–1. THE PRESIDENT’S TAX PLAN(In billions of dollars)

Estimate Total1996–20021996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002

Middle Class Bill of Rights tax cuts:Provide tax credit for dependent children ............................. –1.1 –9.7 –7.0 –8.9 –10.7 –10.7 –10.6 –58.6Expand individual retirement accounts ................................ .......... –1.4 –0.4 –0.7 –1.1 –1.6 –2.5 –7.7Provide incentive for education and training ........................ –0.2 –5.8 –5.6 –6.2 –7.5 –7.8 –8.0 –41.2

Subtotal, Middle Class Bill of Rights tax cut ............ –1.3 –17.0 –13.0 –15.8 –19.3 –20.0 –21.1 –107.5Additional targeted tax relief:

Tax relief for small business:Increase expensing for small business ............................... .......... –0.6 –0.5 –0.6 –0.7 –0.9 –0.8 –4.1Provide estate tax relief for small business ....................... .......... .......... –0.2 –0.2 –0.2 –0.2 –0.2 –1.0Simplify pension plan rules 1 .............................................. * –* –0.1 –0.3 –0.3 –0.3 –0.3 –1.4Increase self-employed health deduction ........................... –* –0.1 –0.1 –0.2 –0.4 –0.5 –0.5 –1.9

Other targeted tax relief:Provide tax incentives for distressed areas ....................... –* –* –0.3 –0.6 –0.8 –0.9 –0.8 –3.4Provide tax relief to troops in Bosnia ................................ –* –* .......... .......... .......... .......... .......... –*

Subtotal, Additional targeted tax relief .................. –* –0.7 –1.2 –1.9 –2.4 –2.8 –2.6 –11.8Restrict corporate loopholes and other proposals ......... –0.3 5.7 7.4 9.5 10.3 10.9 12.6 56.2Modify earned income tax credit 2 ...................................... * 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 2.3

* Less than $50 million.1 Net of income offsets.2 This proposal reduces outlays by less than $50 million in 1996, and by $0.6 billion in every year from 1997 to 2002.

1 The trigger applies to all of the tax relief provisions except pen-sion simplification, estate and gift tax relief, expanded Empower-ment Zones and Enterprise Communities, and tax relief for thetroops in Bosnia.

12. PROMOTING TAX FAIRNESS

The spotlight should shine on those who make the right choice for themselves, their families,and their communities. I have proposed the Middle Class Bill of Rights [to] give needed tax reliefand raise incomes in both the short run and the long run in a way that benefits all of us.

President ClintonJanuary 1995

The budget proposes tax reforms that wouldpromote tax fairness and encourage activitiesthat foster economic growth. It calls fortax cuts that would benefit middle-class fami-lies with children, encourage investment inhigher education, and promote long-term sav-ing. It helps small business with more favor-able treatment of investment, estate tax relief,pension simplification, and health insurancefor the self-employed. And it contains targetedtax relief to promote the renewal and environ-mental cleanup of distressed communities.

The President’s tax plan is fiscally respon-sible. The budget funds the tax relief through

cuts in spending and in unnecessary corporatesubsidies and other unwarranted tax breaks.In addition, the budget includes a ‘‘trigger’’mechanism to ensure fiscal discipline by guar-anteeing that most of the tax cuts wouldremain in effect beyond the year 2000 onlyif the Government is meeting deficit reductiontargets.1

This chapter provides an overview of thePresident’s tax proposals. For additional de-tails, see Chapter 3 of Analytical Perspectives.

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112 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1997

2 Modified AGI includes taxable Social Security benefits and cer-tain income earned abroad.

A Middle Class Tax Cut

The President continues to view tax cutsfor middle-income families as an importantpriority. In 1993, the President worked withthe last Congress to enact policies that notonly reversed the Nation’s trend of steadilyrising rising deficits, but also cut taxes for15 million working families. Building on thatprogress, the budget proposes to balancethe Federal books by the year 2002, butalso to ensure that middle-income Americansshare the benefits of economic growth.

Specifically, the President again calls forenactment of the Middle Class Bill of Rightsthat he proposed last year. It would imme-diately and significantly benefit families withyoung children, encourage investment in post-secondary education, and promote long-termsaving.

The Tax Credit for Dependent Children:Today, most American families with childrenface significant challenges. Many have twoworking spouses; others are headed by singleparents. All, however, confront their children’seconomic, educational, and emotional needs.

Economic growth in the last two decadeshas not generated big gains in after-taxincome for most families. In fact, the bottom60 percent ranked by income lost groundfrom 1979 to 1992. For more on how Ameri-cans at different income levels have fared,see Chapter 2.

The President proposes a non-refundableincome tax credit for each dependent childunder age 13, a credit that would benefitabout 19 million families with 36.6 milliondependent children. The credit would bephased in, starting at $300 per child intax years 1996, 1997, and 1998, and risingto $500 per child in 1999 and beyond.It would be phased out for taxpayers withadjusted gross incomes (AGI) between $60,000and $75,000. Starting in 2000, the creditand the phase-out range would be indexedfor inflation. Working families would firstdeduct the child credit from their incometaxes before deducting the refundable EarnedIncome Tax Credit—making it easier forthem to get the benefit of both credits.

For a two-parent, two-child family with$50,000 of income and $12,500 of itemized

deductions, the credit would cut taxes by25 percent, from $4,005 to $3,005, whenfully in place in 1999. Overall, the creditwould cut families’ taxes by an estimated$58.6 billion from 1996 to 2002.

The Education and Job Training TaxDeduction: Education is vital to making andkeeping American workers the world’s mostproductive, but tuition remains a dauntingbarrier to families of modest means. The Presi-dent believes that the tax system should betterencourage higher education.

The President proposes a deduction of upto $5,000 a year for qualifying educationand training expenses in 1996, 1997, and1998. Beginning in 1999, it rises to $10,000.Qualifying expenses include tuition and feesdirectly related to a student’s enrollmentin degree programs and courses to improvejob skills. The deduction would be availablefor the education of a taxpayer, his orher spouse, or dependents.

The deduction would be available whetheror not a person itemizes deductions. Fortaxpayers filing jointly, the deduction wouldbe phased out for returns with modifiedAGI 2 of $100,000 to $120,000. The phase-out range is $70,000 to $90,000 for othertaxpayers. Starting in 2000, these rangeswould be indexed for inflation.

Once fully implemented, this tax deductionwould cut the taxes of eligible families byup to $2,800. Overall, it would give eligiblefamilies $41.2 billion in tax relief from 1996to 2002, and increase enrollment in highereducation and training programs.

Expanded Individual Retirement Ac-counts (IRAs): The President proposes toexpand IRAs in order to provide greater incen-tives for saving for retirement and other im-portant purposes. Currently, for taxpayers whoparticipate in employer-sponsored retirementplans and file joint returns, the tax codephases out the availability of deductible IRAsbetween $40,000 and $50,000 of AGI. ThePresident’s plan would double this range overtime, to $80,000 to $100,000 (and double therange for single taxpayers to between $50,000and $70,000). The plan also would index for

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11312. PROMOTING TAX FAIRNESS

inflation these income limits and the currentmaximum contribution of $2,000.

Also under this budget, eligible taxpayerscould contribute to a ‘‘Special IRA’’ as analternative to a deductible IRA. Contributionsto Special IRAs would not be tax deductible,but distributions of the contributions wouldbe tax-free and—if contributors kept theirfunds in the account for at least five years—earnings on the contributions would be distrib-uted tax-free as well. Many taxpayers wouldbe eligible to convert existing deductible IRAsto Special IRAs. Also, contributors to bothof the IRAs could, at any time, withdrawthe funds without penalty to pay for highereducation, first-time home purchases, expensesduring a period of unemployment, or medicalcare and nursing home costs.

The expanded eligibility of IRAs wouldenable many two-earner families to reducetheir taxes by as much as $1,120 a yearif they make the maximum allowable IRAcontributions. From 1996 to 2002, this provi-sion would cut taxes by an estimated $7.7billion.

Tax Relief for Small Business

Increased Expensing for Small Business:In 1993, the President worked with the lastCongress to increase the amount of investmenteligible for expensing, which gives neededfunds to small businesses that have limitedaccess to capital markets. Expensing also sim-plifies tax reporting and record-keeping, whichare more burdensome for small business. Asa result, businesses that invest less than$200,000 a year may deduct $17,500 of invest-ment in the year they place an asset in service,rather than depreciating it over several years.Now, the President proposes to raise thisamount to $19,000 in 1996 and continue rais-ing the level so that it reaches $25,000 bythe year 2002.

Estate Tax Benefits for Closely-HeldBusinesses: The budget would cut the burdenof estate taxes on farms and other small busi-nesses. It would allow owners of closely-heldbusinesses to defer taxes on $2.5 million ofvalue (up from $1 million under current law),and pay the taxes at a favorable interest rate

over 14 years. In addition, the budget wouldexpand the types of businesses eligible for thistreatment by making the form of businessownership irrelevant. The budget proposesother changes to cut the administrative burdenon taxpayers electing deferral.

Pension Simplification: The Presidentproposes measures to simplify the design andadministration of employer-provided pensionplans. These measures not only would simplifythe tax laws, but would expand pension cov-erage and stimulate private saving, particu-larly for employees of small firms.

The President proposes a new plan forsmall business—the National Employee Sav-ings Trust (NEST). It would replace a seriesof provisions that limit the contributionsof highly-compensated personnel with a simple‘‘safe-harbor’’ formula, thus removing hurdlesthat discourage small employers from creatingretirement plans for employees. NEST com-bines the most attractive features of IRAand 401(k) plans, minimizes administrativeand compliance costs, and eliminates theneed for employer involvement with the Gov-ernment. NEST is designed to encourageworkers of all incomes to save for retirementwithout complicated forms or calculations.

The budget includes other provisions tosimplify pension plans sponsored by businessesof all sizes, as well as tax-exempt employers,multi-employer groups, and the self-employed.These reforms would allow employers to cutadministrative costs, and direct more dollarsto providing retirement benefits and stimulat-ing retirement savings.

Increased Health Insurance Deductionfor the Self-Employed: The Administrationhas worked hard to expand access to affordablehealth insurance. One group that faces consid-erable hurdles is the self-employed. Only 30percent of their contributions for health insur-ance are deductible; by contrast, employer-pro-vided insurance is fully exempt from taxes forthe employee, and tax deductible for the em-ployer. This budget would increase the deduct-ible share of self-employed health insurancepremiums, over time, to 50 percent, benefittingat least three million self-employed people.

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Other Targeted Tax Relief

Expanded Empowerment Zones and En-terprise Communities: The President pro-poses a second round of competition to des-ignate Empowerment Zones and EnterpriseCommunities, providing over $1 billion in taxbenefits through 2002 to these areas. The pro-gram promises to mobilize communities to pro-mote business development and create jobs.(For more details, see Chapter 5.)

Brownfields Cleanup: The budget wouldprovide accelerated write-offs of the costs ofcleaning up and developing ‘‘brownfields’’—abandoned, contaminated industrial sites ineconomically distressed urban and rural areas.(For more details, see Chapter 9.)

Benefits for Troops in Bosnia: The Presi-dent proposes to extend tax relief that is nowavailable to those in combat operations to U.S.troops involved in the Bosnia peacekeeping op-erations. While their role is peacekeeping, notcombat, the risks and problems of this missionargue for providing a series of benefits, includ-ing tax exemptions for certain amounts of pay,the relaxing of filing deadlines, and similaradministrative requirements.

Earned Income Tax Credit Targeting andCompliance

The Earned Income Tax Credit (EITC)is a cornerstone of the President’s effortsto promote work and self-sufficiency. Thebudget would maintain the positive workincentives while better targeting the creditand improving compliance. People who arenot citizens or not legally authorized towork in this country would no longer beeligible for the EITC.

The budget proposes expedited proceduresfor handling the failure to provide a correctsocial security number for the EITC andother tax purposes. It also would restricteligibility for families with sizable amountsof capital gains and other passive income,and disregard certain losses in computingthe EITC phase out. These changes wouldraise about $2.3 billion from 1996 to 2002.

Loopholes, Corporate Preferences, andCompliance

The budget would reduce or eliminate aseries of corporate tax loopholes and pref-erences that are no longer warranted. Someinvolve highly specialized financial and ac-counting techniques. Restricting them wouldhelp balance the budget, increase the equityand efficiency of the tax system, and keepcorporations focused on productivity and prof-its, rather than on reducing their taxes.

For example, the plan would:

• Close the loophole that lets individuals ac-crue gains as Americans and then re-nounce their citizenship to avoid taxes.The proposal also tightens rules governingforeign trusts with a package of infor-mation-reporting and anti-abuse rulesdirected at sophisticated tax-planningtechniques.

• Reform depreciation deductions to betteraccount for expected future income.

• Capture, over time, the indefinite deferralsof income by some large farm corporations.

• Restrict interest deductions for loanstaken against corporate-owned life insur-ance policies, preventing the policies fromserving as inappropriate tax-free savingsaccounts for corporations.

• Require corporations to recognize gainsunder certain stock sales, rather thantreat them as ‘‘extraordinary dividends’’ toavoid corporate taxes.

• Require thrift institutions to account forbad debts in the same way as banks.

• Increase the requirements for corporatetax shelters to register with the InternalRevenue Service (IRS), to help the IRSmake more-informed judgments about themerits of the proposed tax treatment.

• Repeal percentage depletion for non-fuelminerals mined on Federal lands thatwere acquired for nominal amounts underthe 1872 Mining Act.

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11512. PROMOTING TAX FAIRNESS

• Deny or defer interest deductions on cer-tain financial instruments that have sub-stantial equity features.

• Restrict interest deductions for corpora-tions that invest in tax-exempt bonds.

• Reform inventory accounting, to reflectcosts more accurately.

• Improve compliance by requiring Federalagencies to file information returns fortheir payments to corporations for servicesrendered, and by increasing the penaltiesfor not filing correct information.

• Reform the section 936 tax credit (benefit-ing activities in Puerto Rico and other U.S.possessions), so that it promotes economicactivity rather than merely encouragingfirms to attribute profits there.

Additional Tax Measures

Finally, the Administration supports reve-nue-neutral extensions of a range of taxprovisions that have recently expired. It alsosupports revenue-neutral initiatives to promotesensible and equitable administration of thetax laws, including tax simplification initia-tives and technical corrections.

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MAKING GOVERNMENT WORK

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MAKING GOVERNMENT WORK

We know big Government does not have all the answers. We know there’s not a program forevery problem. We know, and we have worked to give the American people a smaller, less bureau-cratic Government in Washington. And we have to give the American people one that lives withinits means. The era of big Government is over. But we cannot go back to the time when our citi-zens were left to fend for themselves.

President ClintonJanuary 1996

As the President told the Nation, he andhis team have worked hard since 1993 tocreate a leaner, but not meaner, FederalGovernment, one that works hand-in-handwith States, localities, businesses, and commu-nity and civic associations to manage resourceswisely while helping those Americans whocannot help themselves.

The President has delivered.

• Since 1993, the Administration has cut theFederal workforce by over 200,000 employ-ees, creating the smallest Federalworkforce in 30 years—and, as a shareof the total civilian workforce, the smallestFederal workforce since 1931.

• The Administration is creating a Govern-ment that provides better service to theAmerican people by building on the fourprinciples of Vice President Gore’s Na-tional Performance Review—putting cus-tomers first, empowering employees to getresults, cutting red tape, and cutting backto basics.

• The Administration is transforming agen-cies into lean, flexible organizations thatemphasize performance: measuring the re-

sults of programs, not just the amount ofmoney spent on them; making the Govern-ment an effective buyer and manager, es-pecially of complicated information sys-tems; and providing financial accountabil-ity for Government spending.

The job has not always been easy. Afterall, the Administration is trying to transforma Federal Government with vestiges of early20th Century thinking and organization intoone suited for the next century. And, asthe Government moves toward a balancedbudget, it will have to do as private organiza-tions have done—that is, more with less.

The engines of change are the Federalworkers themselves. They are why we canreduce the size of the workforce and stillimprove service. They are working harderand smarter each and every day.

The President proposes a three percentpay raise for both civilian employees andthe military. Once again, the Administrationwill consult with employee organizations andothers before recommending how to allocatethe civilian pay raise between locality payand a national schedule adjustment.

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13. IMPROVING GOVERNMENTPERFORMANCE

In past years, debates about Governmentprograms were usually dominated by discus-sions over how much the Government shouldspend, rather than on what the spendingwould accomplish. But for Americans, thedebates were largely academic. For well overa decade, the public has been saying thatGovernment simply is not working.

Americans expect and deserve common senseGovernment—a Government that performswell, uses their tax dollars wisely, viewsthem as valued customers, does not imposeexcessive burdens, and makes a positive im-pact on their lives when it addresses suchproblems as crime and poverty and thechallenges of employment and education.

To answer the call, the Administrationis making Government smaller, better man-aged, and more efficient. It is, in fact,creating a Government that ‘‘works betterand costs less.’’

A GOVERNMENT THAT WORKSBETTER

Putting Customers First

In 1993, the President issued an ExecutiveOrder directing all agencies to develop acomprehensive program of customer surveys,training, standard setting, and benchmarkingto enable the Government to deliver service‘‘equal to the best in business.’’ A yearlater, the National Performance Review (NPR)published the Government’s first comprehen-sive set of customer service standards.

The focus on customer service is bearingfruit, as the NPR outlined in Putting Cus-tomers First. Consider the following successes:

Social Security Administration’s (SSA)Customer Service Line: Business Week re-ported in mid-1995 that an independent surveyof some of the Nation’s best 1–800 customerservice lines ranked SSA’s service on top,ahead of companies like L.L. Bean, FederalExpress, and Disney. SSA’s reputation for solv-

ing problems quickly and courteously earnedit the highest overall score.

Customs Service—Streamlining Inspec-tions: In Miami, the airlines and Federalagencies formed partnerships to overhaul Cus-toms procedures for international travelers,eliminating three-hour delays and missed con-necting flights. Officials from the CustomsService, the Immigration and NaturalizationService (INS), and the Agriculture Departmentworked with airline officials to reduce clear-ance times to 45 minutes, on average.

Veterans Affairs Department (VA)—Re-sponding to Customers: Responding to com-plaints about long waits to see benefits coun-selors, the VA promised veterans it would cutwaiting times to 30 minutes or less. Havingmet that promise, the VA in the past yearhas aimed higher; it now promises veteransno more than a 20-minute wait and is meetingthat goal 90 percent of the time.

The Administration has used advances ininformation technology (IT) to serve customersfaster, more accurately, and more reliably.IT is not an end in itself, but a meansfor agencies to work smarter, faster, andbetter. By making data more easily accessible,the electronic dissemination of informationnot only better serves current users butexpands the potential audience.

Previously, for information about benefitsor services, citizens typically had to visita Federal office during business hours. Now,the Government is increasingly using 1–800numbers and on-line connections to deliversuch information 24 hours a day.

The information that only the Governmentcollects is vital for many reasons. Businessesand markets depend on census data andother economic statistics to make sound andtimely decisions, and access to the resultsof federally-funded scientific and technicalresearch helps increase the competitivenessof U.S. businesses. Federal geographic andclimatological information helps farmers to

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122 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1997

plan efficiently, local governments to formulateenvironmental policy, and public safety offi-cials to prepare for natural disasters.

To expand access to the information, theGovernment is increasingly using the Internet.For instance, those who rely on economicand social data will soon find it in theEconomic and Social Statistics Briefing Roomon the White House home page (http://www.whitehouse.gov/WH/html/briefroom.html). Other ex-amples include:

• U.S. Business Advisor Web Site (http://www.business.gov). In February 1996, theVice President dedicated the opening ofthis new form of virtual Government agen-cy, which gives businesses one-stop accessto all Federal agencies that assist or regu-late business.

• Expand Deployment of Technology inSchools (http://www.ed.gov/prog_info/ERIC/index.html). This Education Department on-lineinformation service gives teachers, par-ents, and students a personal touchthrough trained specialists available tohelp them search for information.

• Modernize Tax Systems (http://www.irs.ustreas.gov). This Internal Revenue Service website offers electronic versions of the 500most frequently used tax forms and in-struction booklets. In the first half of April1995, Americans downloaded over 200,000tax forms and booklets; the day that taxeswere due, they downloaded nearly 20,000forms.

Also to improve customer service, theAdministration is encouraging a wider useof electronic payments between citizens andgovernment.

The Federal Government is making moreand more payments electronically. In 1996,taxpayers will be able to receive their taxrefunds electronically. And as part of theFederal-State Electronic Benefit Transfer(EBT), more beneficiaries of Social Security,Food Stamps, and other programs soon willbe able to receive electronic payments.

The Government makes payments to over90 percent of Federal employees and retireesthrough direct deposit, and pays vendorsthrough the Government-wide small purchase

card and Government travel card. The Admin-istration and Congress are developing legisla-tion to mandate that, by 1999, the Governmentmake all Federal payments electronically.Chart 13–1 shows the trend for paper checksand electronic payments and, assuming enact-ment of the bill, projections to 2002.

These efforts to improve customer serviceand Government performance are beginningto pay off. In 1995, six Federal organizationseach received one of the 15 prestigious Innova-tions in American Government Award, spon-sored by the Ford Foundation and HarvardUniversity’s John F. Kennedy School of Gov-ernment. Winners received $100,000 grantsto foster innovation.

The winners included:

• The Interior Department’s Bureau of Rec-lamation, which transformed itself from a‘‘dam-building agency’’ into a leadingwater resource management bureau.

• The Defense Logistics Agency’s DefensePersonnel Support Center in Philadelphia,which connects consumers with suppliersof food, clothing, and medicine. The centerreplaced a cumbersome stockpile systemwith electronic ordering technology.

• INS’ Operations Jobs Project in the Mid-west, which formed partnerships withbusinesses to help detect illegal alienworkers and replace them with unem-ployed citizens.

A GOVERNMENT THAT COSTS LESS

Streamlining the Government

Americans want a smaller Government,and the Administration is creating one. Start-ing with the NPR’s report of September1993, From Red Tape to Results, and continu-ing a year later in the Federal WorkforceRestructuring Act, the President and Congressagreed to cut 272,900 full-time equivalent(FTE) personnel by the end of this decade—that is, 12 percent in six years. (An FTEis not necessarily synonymous with an em-ployee. Put simply, one full-time employeecounts as one FTE, or two employees whoeach work half-time count as one FTE.)

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12313. IMPROVING GOVERNMENT PERFORMANCE

Note: 1996-2002 numbers are estimates based on passage of electronic payment legislation.

CHECK PAYMENTS

Chart 13-1. ELECTRONIC PAYMENT FORECAST

ELECTRONIC PAYMENTS

1988 1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

800

900

NUMBER OF PAYMENTS IN MILLIONS

1 The figure of over 200,000 refers to the latest count of actualemployees. It corresponds to a reduction of 185,000 FTEs, or 8.6percent, from January 1993 to September 30, 1995.

The Administration is ahead of schedule.It has cut the Federal civilian workforceby 9.8 percent, or by over 200,000 employees,out of 2.2 million in January 1993.1 Wenow have the smallest Federal workforcein 30 years (see Chart 13–2) and, as ashare of the Nation’s total workforce, thesmallest since 1931.

Just as important, virtually all departmentsand major agencies are streamlining theirworkforces (see Chart 13–3). Agencies withthe largest FTE cuts from 1993 to 1995,as a share of their workforce, are the Officeof Personnel Management (OPM), at 32 per-cent; the General Services Administration(GSA), at 18 percent; and the National Aero-nautics and Space Administration (NASA),at 13 percent.

Restructuring Agencies

A smaller Government is not an end initself. The Government must change the wayit operates.

In place of the highly centralized, inflexibleorganizations of yesterday that focused onprocess, the Administration is creating decen-tralized management structures within agen-cies to focus on results. In the past threeyears, agencies themselves have cut the num-ber of their supervisory personnel by over45,000, or 23 percent of the overall cutin employees. The President’s ManagementCouncil has led efforts to restructure andeliminate unnecessary agency field offices.In many instances, agencies are consolidatingtheir operations, allowing them to close small,inefficient field offices in some places whilestrengthening the services they provide tocustomers.

NASA and OPM are two of the agenciesthat are restructuring.

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Chart 13-2. EXECUTIVE BRANCH CIVILIAN EMPLOYMENT, 1965 - 1996(excluding Postal Service)

Note: Data for 1965 - 1995 is end-of-year count. 1996 data is as of December 1995.

1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995

1.8

1.9

2

2.1

2.2

2.3

2.4

EMPLOYEES IN MILLIONS

0

NASA: Nearly 40 years ago, Congress cre-ated NASA and gave it nearly unlimited re-sources to win the ‘‘space race.’’ Today, NASAhas launched a major restructuring to do morewith less. Without canceling major programs,NASA is cutting its budget needs from 1995through the year 2000 by 36 percent, and isboosting its productivity by 40 percent overthe same period. NASA also is cutting the costof its spacecraft and increasing the numberof launches a year.

How? First, NASA is cutting its head-quarters staff in half, consolidating redundantfield functions, and focusing the missionsof the respective field centers. From1993–1995, NASA cut its workforce by over3,000 FTEs. By 2000, the agency will have8,000 fewer civil servants and 50,000 fewercontract employees.

Second, NASA has changed the natureof its relationship with private industry. Theagency and its contractors are engaged in

a new partnership, with contractors operatingand commercializing more routine space ven-tures while the Government focuses on high-reward, multi-decade research and develop-ment. NASA is using performance-based con-tracting to tell contractors what it needsfrom them, but is giving contractors morefreedom on how they meet these needs.(For more details on performance-based con-tracting, see the discussion later in thischapter.)

OPM: OPM, the Government’s central per-sonnel management agency, also is doing morewith less. After cutting its workforce by 32percent from 1993 to 1995; scrapping four lay-ers of management and overhead in its fieldstructure; and refocusing its mission on ensur-ing the integrity of the merit system, OPMredesigned its management structure andfunctions.

Despite furloughs and a 67 percent cutin appropriated funds in the Employment

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12513. IMPROVING GOVERNMENT PERFORMANCE

OPMGSA

NASATVA

Defense--MilitaryUSIAHUD

AgricultureTransportation

HHSInterior

Exec Branch AverageLaborState

All Other AgenciesEPA

SmithsonianCorps of Engineers

TreasuryEnergy

EducationCommerce

Veterans AffairsJustice

SSA

0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35

FTE REDUCTIONS (in thousands)

1993 1995 DifferencePercent

Difference

Cabinet Depts.

1,880 1,717 -163 -8.7

All Other Agencies

275 254 -22 -7.9

Exec.Branch Total

2,155 1,970 -185 -8.6

Notes: The Executive Branch total excludes Postal Service. The 1993 base, which is the starting point for calculating the 272,900 FTE reduction required by the Federal Workforce Restructuring Act, is 2.2 million.

Chart 13-3. CIVILIAN FTE REDUCTIONS ON A PERCENT BASIS, 1993 - 1995

CABINET DEPARTMENTS AND SELECTED INDEPENDENT AGENCIES

Exec Branch Average

Service Program in 1996, OPM worked toprovide first-rate service to its customer agen-cies. Among other things, it used technologyto work smarter and cheaper in humanresources activities. OPM also reversed a10-year trend of higher deficits in its revolvingfund by imposing tough management deci-sions, tighter financial controls, and increasedaccountability. And the agency successfullyprivatized its training program and will com-plete privatization of its investigations func-tion in early 1996.

Reforming Procurement

Until recently, the Federal procurementprocess had been controlled by a maze ofrigid laws and regulations that caused delay,consumed resources, hindered innovation, andmade it hard for the Government to choosesuppliers committed to delivering good qualityat competitive prices.

Federal procurement, which accounts forabout $200 billion in spending a year, hasbeen a top focus of Administration activity.The NPR called for a redesigned procurementsystem that would rely less on bureaucracyand more on streamlined, customer-orientedpractices to deliver better value to the tax-payer.

The Federal Acquisition Streamlining Actof 1994 (FASA), which the Administrationand Congress developed cooperatively, includesmany Administration proposals relating topurchases of commercial items and purchasesconsidered ‘‘smaller-dollar’’—that is, under$100,000. FASA allows agencies to use sim-plified procedures for a larger class of smaller-dollar purchases, promotes the acquisitionof standard commercial items, eliminatesmany record-keeping and reporting require-ments, focuses on past performance in choos-ing contractors, and reinforces the President’s

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directive that instructs agencies to use elec-tronic commerce to streamline procurement.

More recently, and at the Administration’surging, Congress reformed the way Govern-ment makes larger-dollar purchases and ac-quires information technology (IT) as partof the Federal Acquisition Reform Act (FARA)and Information Technology Management Re-form Act, which the President signed intolaw earlier this year.

These laws:

• allow the Government to reduce the num-ber of suppliers with whom it has negotia-tions after it receives initial proposals;

• permit the Government to develop sim-plified procedures for buying commercialitems up to $5 million, up from $100,000under previous law;

• repeal the ‘‘Brooks Act,’’ which forcedagencies that were buying IT to adhereto special rules and obtain GSA approval;

• establish criteria for agencies to evaluateIT investment programs, modeled on thebest practices of successful companies; and

• require agencies first to make the waythey work as efficient as possible, then toautomate that efficient process, and, fi-nally, to measure the improvement.

Streamlined Negotiation Process: TheAdministration is working to enable agenciesto issue solicitations more easily and to reducetheir reliance on the detailed written proposalsthey receive from suppliers. For example,agencies might ask potential suppliers topresent their proposals orally. The TreasuryDepartment’s Bureau of Engraving and Print-ing (BEP) awarded a service contract this wayfor an international public education campaignrelating to the new version of the $100 bill.BEP estimates that oral presentations savedfrom eight to 12 months in negotiating time.Firms bidding on the BEP project reported sig-nificant cuts in their proposal preparationcosts.

Using a different streamlining practice, theGovernment renegotiated the price of itslong-distance telephone contract in 1995 byputting two suppliers in direct competitionwith one another. The Government chose

two long-distance providers up-front and willperiodically put them in head-to-head competi-tion in the future to ensure that the Govern-ment continues to get the best value forits dollar. Due to the most recent renegoti-ation, the Government will save $200 milliona year for the next three years, and willenjoy the lowest long-distance rates any-where—averaging 3.5 cents a minute.

Commercial Purchases: FASA and FARAalso will simplify the procurement process forcommercial products and encourage agenciesto adopt more commercial practices. Theselaws are enabling the Government to enjoy thesame access to good prices and current tech-nology that other commercial market cus-tomers enjoy.

The Defense Department (DOD), Govern-ment’s largest buyer, is increasingly usingcommercial products and capabilities in placeof custom-designed products that were manu-factured solely for the Government market.

• The Air Force, looking to meet DOD’s air-lift needs, was able to consider a deriva-tive of a commercial airliner as an alter-native to the C–17. The competitive pres-sure enabled the Air Force to save an esti-mated $4 billion on C–17 purchases.

• The Navy used commercial electronics inits new sonar systems, instead of a mili-tary specifications system, thus reducingthe life-cycle costs for 13 systems by $100million over 15 years. In addition, com-mercial electronics have reduced mainte-nance requirements, training, and down-time by 75 percent.

Performance-Based Service Contracting:The Government spends $110 billion a yearfor contracted services. To improve what theGovernment gets for its dollar, the Administra-tion is introducing performance-based contract-ing; the Government will make contractors re-sponsible for meeting performance standardswhile giving them the freedom to decide how.

This method can cut contract costs byan average of 15 percent, according to resultsof a Government-wide pilot project. The Navy’sconversion to performance-based contractingfor aircraft maintenance saved an immediate$25 million, and the selection process took30 fewer days than the previous, non-perform-

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12713. IMPROVING GOVERNMENT PERFORMANCE

ance-based competition. With this in mind,OMB Director Alice Rivlin asked agenciesto develop a structured approach to perform-ance-based contracting in order to boost sav-ings and productivity.

Past Performance in Picking Contrac-tors: In an early initiative, the Administrationencouraged agencies to use the commercialpractice of comparing the past performance ofcompeting contractors. Knowing their abilityto get work depends on how well they haveperformed, contractors now have a strong in-centive to strive for excellence.

The change was immediately apparent toGSA’s Federal Supply Service (FSS). Afteridentifying 213 suppliers in its Stock andSpecial Order Program with poor work his-tories, FSS stopped working with 163 ofthem. According to FSS, the remaining 50have significantly improved their performance.

MEETING BOTH GOALS:WORKS BETTER AND COSTS LESS

Changing the Way Government ManagesIts Work

The Administration is committed to empow-ering Federal workers, and encouraging andrecognizing their enterprising efforts. Man-agers and workers are transforming Govern-ment from its preoccupation with procedures,process, and penalties to a focus on customers,partnerships, and delivering information andservices rapidly. That is, managers and work-ers are changing the way Government oper-ates.

‘‘Reinvention Labs’’: In the past threeyears, the Administration has created over 200Reinvention Labs, in which groups of employ-ees work outside normal bureaucratic proc-esses to achieve results.

Some Reinvention Labs focus on the workof entire agencies or bureaus. Others con-centrate on improving or redesigning specificprocesses.

• Labs within the Agriculture, Commerce,Energy, Interior, Justice, and Housing andUrban Development (HUD) Departmentsare developing collaborative partnershipswith State and municipal governments

and private entities to reach and servecustomers better, and to respond moreeffectively to local priorities.

• Labs within the Department of Health andHuman Services (HHS), GSA, and OPMare streamlining internal systems, such astravel, to save money and free up employ-ees for other work.

• Several DOD labs are employing new tech-nologies to enhance their battlefield sup-port to fighting forces.

Vice President Gore has recognized thesuccesses of reinvention with over 280 ‘‘Ham-mer Awards’’ for teams of Federal, State,and local employees, businesses, and citizens—praising their efforts to build a Governmentthat works better and costs less.

Over a dozen such awards have goneto multiagency teams, recognizing interagencyand intergovernmental cooperation. Atlanta’sGovernment-Owned Real Estate Team, com-prising officials from GSA and nine otheragencies, received its Hammer Award forsimplifying the sale of government-owned realestate.

The President’s Management Council(PMC): In his first year, the President askedall executive departments and agencies toname a Chief Operating Officer who would re-port directly to the agency head and be respon-sible for the agency’s overall management. Atthe same time, to help him and the Vice Presi-dent foster management reforms, the Presi-dent created the PMC, comprising the ChiefOperating Officers of the Cabinet departmentsand several other major agencies.

The PMC is a catalyst and implementerof management reforms. It has contributedto the Administration’s efforts to reform pro-curement and personnel systems, improvecustomer service, rationalize field office struc-tures, and streamline the Federal workforce.It has worked closely with employee represent-atives and associations of Government man-agers to make labor-management partnershipsa reality. PMC members also worked closelywith Members of Congress to craft buyoutlegislation to make the necessary Governmentdownsizing more humane.

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Improving Financial Management

An efficient, effective Government needssound financial management, including man-agement and reporting systems that producereliable information. To develop these systems,the Administration is establishing Govern-ment-wide accounting standards, producingaudited financial statements, streamliningmanagement controls and reporting, and mod-ernizing debt collection.

Government-wide Accounting Stand-ards: To make the Government’s financial in-formation more consistent, the Administrationset an ambitious goal for the Federal Account-ing Standards Advisory Board to recommenda comprehensive set of Government-wide fi-nancial accounting and cost accounting stand-ards by spring. Once the Administration andthe General Accounting Office adopt the stand-ards, agencies will use them as they preparefinancial reports and cost information that, inturn, make the agencies more accountable totaxpayers.

Audited Financial Statements: The Ad-ministration has worked to increase the num-ber of agencies with audited financial state-ments that earned ‘‘unqualified opinions’’ (thatis, a clean bill of health). Under the 1990 ChiefFinancial Officers (CFOs) Act, several agenciesand other Government entities must preparefinancial statements and have them audited.In 1991, only 35 percent of these entitiesearned unqualified opinions. By 1994, almost60 percent did.

The 1994 Government Management ReformAct extended the requirement for auditedfinancial statements to all activities of agen-cies covered by the CFOs Act, beginningin 1996. Many of the agencies, such asSSA, GSA, NASA, and the Nuclear RegulatoryCommission (NRC), already have compliedand issued department-wide audited financialstatements with unqualified opinions.

Management Controls and Reporting:The Administration has worked to cut agencyadministrative burdens by streamlining man-agement controls and reporting. In June 1995,OMB gave agencies a framework for integrat-ing management control assessments that arenow done by agency managers, auditors, andevaluators.

SSA and GSA have produced reports thatrepresent a first step toward such integration.These pilot Accountability Reports, a proposalof the Chief Financial Officers Council, willhelp these agencies track their progress inmeeting performance goals. Four other agen-cies—the Treasury and Veterans Affairs De-partments, NASA, and the NRC—will issuesimilar Accountability Reports as they com-plete their 1995 audited financial statements.The pilot effort will continue in 1996. Theseinitiatives also eliminate the need to sepa-rately identify and track ‘‘high risk areas’’—the Government’s serious management chal-lenges. Of the 57 high risk areas discussedin last year’s budget, agencies have adequatelyaddressed 12 and are tracking the rest.

Debt Collection: The Administration andCongress have been developing legislation tomodernize debt collection, creating new incen-tives for the Treasury Department and otheragencies to support electronic payment and thecollection of debts owed to the Federal Govern-ment. Coordinated, Government-wide debt-col-lection systems can have a substantial payoff.

• Treasury’s Tax Refund Offset Program,which intercepts tax refund payments toindividuals who owe money to the Govern-ment, collected over $1.2 billion in 1995,including the Education Department’s re-covery of over $1 billion for defaulted stu-dent loans.

• The Justice Department’s Central IntakeFacility, which gives agencies a central ad-ministrative point to which they can referdebt claims for litigation and enforcement,collected over $1.2 billion in 1995.

• HUD’s Credit Alert system has helpedagencies avoid making over $8.1 billion inpotentially bad loans since 1987 by deter-mining whether loan applicants have beenlate in paying debts owed to the Govern-ment.

Changing the Face of Federal Regulation

Regulations have the potential to be goodor bad. Good regulations bring us safercars and workplaces, cleaner air and water,and fairer business practices. But bad regula-tions—those that are too costly, too intrusive,

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12913. IMPROVING GOVERNMENT PERFORMANCE

and too inflexible—can impede businessesand other institutions from doing their jobs.

This Administration has sought to developa more sensible regulatory program, onethat reduces the burdens of current andnew regulations while improving their effec-tiveness—in short, a regulatory system that‘‘works better and costs less.’’ The Presidentlaid out his regulatory principles in ExecutiveOrder 12866. They include:

• collecting accurate data and using objec-tive analysis to make decisions;

• considering the costs and benefits of alter-native ways to reach the goals; and

• opening the decision-making process, withmeaningful input from affected entities.

In applying these principles to Government’sday-to-day work, agencies have made impres-sive progress toward reforming, and restoringconfidence in, the regulatory system. Thefollowing examples show how agencies haveapplied these principles to new regulations.

• Properly identify problems and risks to beaddressed, and tailor the regulatory ap-proach narrowly to address them. After re-ports of illness from people eating seafood,the Food and Drug Administration (FDA)worked closely with the seafood industryto adopt an approach that had proven ef-fective in improving seafood safety. Theresulting regulation requires seafood proc-essors to continually monitor areas wherehealth hazards will most likely develop,employing sound science and a sense ofresponsibility.

• Develop Alternative Approaches to Tradi-tional ‘‘Command-and-Control’’ Regula-tion. Too frequently, the Government hastold regulated entities precisely what todo, when to do it, and how to do it. Experi-ence shows that, in many areas, there arebetter ways to reach the same goal. Asa result, the Administration has decidedto:

1. Tell people the goals to meet, not howto meet them. The Transportation De-partment (DOT) had long required spe-cific designs for packages used to trans-port hazardous materials. Many of thesedesigns, however, became outdated—

some were never tested to see whetherthey actually protected the materialsbeing moved and the people movingthem. In the past several years, how-ever, DOT has developed new rules thatgive shippers greater flexibility to designpackages, so long as they meet safetythresholds. DOT’s action has cut costs,in time as well as money.

2. Rely on Market Incentives. In such areasas fisheries, air transportation, and theenvironment, the Government is creat-ing ‘‘tradeable permit’’ systems. For ex-ample, in regions where fishermen re-ceive permits to catch a certain amountof fish, tradeable permits let them catchmore fish by buying the unused portionof other fishermen’s quotas. Similarly,airlines can buy and sell landing rightsat congested airports, and businessescan buy and sell permits to dischargelimited amounts of specific pollutants.

• Develop rules that, according to soundanalysis, are cost-effective and providemaximum benefits. When such analysissuggested how to save more lives for lessmoney, DOT reassessed a proposal to in-crease protection for side impacts in lighttrucks and, instead, chose a more cost-ef-fective proposal to increase protection forhead impacts in passenger cars andtrucks.

• Streamline, simplify, and reduce the bur-den of Federal regulation. To reduce theburdens on small business, the SmallBusiness Administration (SBA) recentlydeveloped an easy, one-page applicationfor loans up to $100,000.

• Consult with those affected by the regula-tion, especially State, local, and Tribalgovernments. The law requires the Envi-ronmental Protection Agency (EPA) to setemissions limits for certain toxic materialsfrom new and existing municipal wastecombusters. After consulting with local of-ficials who operate these facilities, EPA re-vised its regulation, maintaining adequateprotection without unduly burdening localgovernments.

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Regulatory Reform: Improving new regula-tions is only half the challenge; revising exist-ing ones is equally important. In 1995, thePresident directed agencies to review, page-by-page, their existing regulations and eliminatethose that were unduly burdensome, outdated,or in need of revision. The Government is noweliminating 16,000 pages of regulations andimproving another 31,000. By the end of 1995,agencies already had eliminated over a thirdof the 16,000 pages, and improved nearly 5,000others.

In 1995, the President announced specificregulatory reforms by major agencies, includ-ing the EPA; FDA; the Departments of Agri-culture, Labor, and Treasury; the PensionBenefit Guaranty Corporation; and SBA. Forexample, FDA will reform the process fordeveloping drugs and medical devices to bringsafe and effective products to market quicker.Recently, FDA also pledged to simplify andspeed the development of drugs created

through biotechnology—an important growthindustry. And FDA has joined with theAgriculture Department to make major re-forms in the rules that govern food safety.

Waivers: The Administration has used waiv-ers to cut Federal red tape and give more flexi-bility to States and localities. HHS has givenwelfare reform waivers to 37 States and Med-icaid waivers to 12, allowing them to experi-ment with new ways to provide services. TheAdministration also has provided over 700waivers to the Food Stamp Act.

The Education Department has used waiversextensively, approving 84 under the Elemen-tary and Secondary Education Act and Goals2000 to give States, school districts, andschools more flexibility to improve academicachievement. It also has designated Kansas,Massachusetts, Ohio, Oregon, and Texas asEd-Flex States, allowing them to providewaiver authority to their local districts withoutfurther approval.

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14. BUILDING ON SUCCESSAs Vice President Gore said three years

ago, reinventing the Federal Government willtake years of work. Having accomplishedmuch so far, the Administration remainscommitted to building on its success byfinding new, better ways to deliver serviceto the American people.

As the Administration works to balancethe budget, these efforts become even moreimportant. Red tape, perverse incentives, andbureaucratic inertia are even less acceptablein an era of limited funds. In the comingyears, the Government will have to makefundamental changes in the way it workswith State and local governments, with thoseit regulates, and with the American public.The initiatives described below are the nextin a series of steps to fundamentally changethe way Government works.

• Despite some progress, the Government isstill fragmented by agency and program,with State and local governments admin-istering 600 Federal programs. At thelocal level, problems and opportunities donot fit neatly into boxes on the Federalorganizational chart. As a result, the Ad-ministration is working to redefine the re-lationship among Federal, State, and localgovernments to focus on missions and so-lutions, rather than organizations andstructures.

• The Administration is encouraging astronger partnership between Federalmanagement and its employees. Across theGovernment, the National PartnershipCouncil is spurring collaborative labor-management efforts, improving customerservice, and cutting costs.

• In all of its efforts, the Administration isworking to ensure that Government deliv-ers better service to its customers, theAmerican people. In fact, the Administra-tion is creating a new kind of organiza-tion—a Performance-Based Organization—to put customer service at the forefrontwhen agencies perform their tasks. Andthe Administration is redoubling its cus-

tomer service efforts in those ‘‘VanguardAgencies’’ that most frequently have con-tact with citizens.

• To improve customer service and ensurethat taxpayer dollars are well spent, theAdministration is implementing a com-prehensive plan for agencies to managetheir resources and programs with a focuson performance and results. The 1993Government Performance and Results Actand other performance management ef-forts will give taxpayers a report card onthe cost-effectiveness of Government pro-grams.

Performance-Based IntergovernmentalPartnerships

The Administration is working to fundamen-tally shift the way the Federal Governmentfinances and administers over 600 intergovern-mental programs. Performance-based intergov-ernmental partnerships are agreements be-tween the Federal Government and otherlevels of government based on goals andthe progress toward meeting them. In ex-change for commitments to specific perform-ance levels, State and local governmentsreceive more administrative flexibility on howto achieve these levels.

Performance Partnerships: Last year, thePresident proposed to consolidate 271 pro-grams into 27 ‘‘Performance Partnerships’’ inareas such as public health, rural develop-ment, education and training, housing andurban development, and transportation. Gen-erally, these partnerships would consolidatefunding streams and eliminate overlapping au-thorities, create financial incentives and re-ward results, and cut Federal micro-manage-ment and paperwork.

For example, the Public Health Servicewould consolidate over 100 programs intopartnership categories, such as chronic dis-eases. Larger, flexible funding pools wouldreplace small categorical grants. Granteeswould decide how to use funds, but woulddevelop—and show progress toward meeting—

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public health goals, such as increasing theshare of women whose breast cancer is de-tected at an early stage.

Congress has not yet enacted legislationto implement the proposed partnerships. But,where it can, the Administration is actingon its own. For example, the Departmentof Health and Human Services has begunconsulting with State and local governments,and non-profit service providers, on appro-priate measures of program performance.

The Southern Alliance of States: MostStates are working with the Federal Govern-ment to enhance the dignity and security ofpublic assistance recipients. Rather than usecash or paper instruments such as FoodStamps, they will be able to use debit cards.The efforts build on existing commercial auto-mated teller machine and point-of-sale debitcard networks.

In 1994, the Federal Government signedonto a multi-State, multiprogram prototypeto provide cash and food assistance to house-holds that do not have bank accounts. TheSouthern Alliance of States—which includesArkansas, Missouri, Alabama, North Carolina,Tennessee, Kentucky, Georgia, and Florida—formed a partnership with the Treasury,Agriculture, and Health and Human ServicesDepartments, and the Social Security Adminis-tration to choose a financial services providerand implement a one-card program of elec-tronic benefits transfer (EBT) starting in1995.

Regional alliances in the Northeast, Mid-west, and West also are implementing EBT.By 1999, any State will be able to entera partnership with the Federal Government,giving the 31 million citizens who lack bankaccounts access to Federal and State benefitson a secure plastic card.

Oregon Option: In 1994, the Federal Gov-ernment launched an interagency partnershipwith Oregon to achieve specific results: betterhealth for children, more stable families, anda more capable workforce. Federal agencies aregiving their State counterparts more freedomin how to spend Federal dollars, in exchangefor a commitment to be accountable for achiev-ing measurable results. The Administration re-cently signed a similar partnership with Con-

necticut to improve the State’s poorest commu-nities through economic development andneighborhood revitalization.

Local Partnerships: Individual Federalagencies also have developed performance-based intergovernmental partnerships. TheDepartment of Housing and Urban Develop-ment, for example, formed a partnership withthe State of Texas and the City of Dallas torevitalize that city, with deadlines for achiev-ing certain objectives and performance meas-ures to assess success. The Environmental Pro-tection Agency has launched an effort, ‘‘XL forCommunities,’’ giving communities the assist-ance and flexibility to implement their owncommunity-designed strategies for greater en-vironmental quality.

‘‘Local Flex’’: More flexibility for States andlocalities to address their own needs will in-crease the impact of Federal programs. Onlya few Federal agencies, however, can now pro-vide the necessary waivers from legal and reg-ulatory requirements. Other steps are needed.

With some key changes, the proposed LocalEmpowerment and Flexibility Act would giveStates and localities a chance to proposeplans for better coordination of Federal, State,local, and nonprofit funds and services, andto request waivers from Federal laws andregulations that hinder a locality’s abilityto achieve results.

Under the legislation, proposed by SenatorHatfield, a team of Cabinet-level officialswould review local plans to integrate Federalfunds, and Federal agencies could providemore flexibility to achieve results.

Regulatory Partnerships

Among its steps to improve the regulatoryprocess, the Administration is moving awayfrom adversarial enforcement and toward part-nerships.

For example, the Labor Department’s Occu-pational Safety and Health Administration(OSHA) is taking its ‘‘Maine 200’’ programto the Nation at large. The program givesthe owners of high-injury workplaces theoption of developing effective health andsafety plans or facing intense scrutiny byOSHA.

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13314. BUILDING ON SUCCESS

‘‘Maine 200’’ demonstrates the benefits oftreating businesses as partners—through thisprogram, companies have eliminated 14 timesmore workplace hazards than Governmentinspectors could have found. Under its enforce-ment partnerships, OSHA: (1) reduces pen-alties for violations that employers fix duringinspection; (2) provides incentives for employ-ers to fix hazards quickly in exchange forreduced penalties; and, most importantly, (3)measures its own performance based on safetyand health results, not regulatory compliance.

Federal Workforce Partnerships

In any large organization, change requiresleadership, the continued commitment of sen-ior management, and meaningful participationby workers. Leadership and management-employee partnerships will help create amore flexible, efficient Government.

The National Partnership Council(NPC) and Labor-Management Partner-ships: Since its creation in October 1993, theNPC has stimulated collaborative labor-man-agement activities across the Government, en-abling agencies to accomplish their missionsmore efficiently and save tax dollars. For ex-ample, Red River Army Depot and its sixunions saved over $14 million in 1994; theDenver Mint and the American Federation ofGovernment Employees ended third-partyintervention in disputes, saving an estimated$10 million; the Customs Service and the Na-tional Treasury Employees Union joined handsto reorganize Customs in order to provide bet-ter service; and the Labor Department’s myr-iad of partnership reinvention activities re-ceived seven of the Vice President’s HammerAwards. (For additional information on theHammer Awards, see Chapter 13.)

The NPC and other interagency councils—the President’s Management Council, the ChiefFinancial Officers Council, and the President’sCouncil on Integrity and Efficiency—encouragethe cross-agency dissemination of ideas, speed-

ing the process of reforming Government.These councils will be responsible for main-taining the reforms in 1997 and beyond.

Performance-Based Organizations andMarket Incentives

Performance-Based Organizations(PBOs): In September 1995, the Vice Presi-dent unveiled the next phase of Administrationefforts to improve the delivery of Governmentservices, designating the Commerce Depart-ment’s Patent and Trademark Office as thefirst agency function to be transformed intoa PBO.

With PBOs, the customer comes first. TheAdministration will transform some agencycustomer service functions, such as issuingpatents or retirement benefits, into perform-ance-driven, customer-oriented tasks. Theagencies will get considerable flexibility tomake personnel, procurement, and financialmanagement decisions and, in return, willbe held accountable for meeting measurableperformance goals in delivering services tothe public.

Before the Administration designates a PBO,the agency must have a clear mission withbroad support from key ‘‘stakeholders,’’ andit must be able to clearly distinguish betweenits policy-making, regulatory, and service de-livery functions. The Administration will onlytarget the service delivery function for PBOstatus.

In a major change from how the Governmentnormally does business, agencies will hire‘‘chief executives’’ of the PBOs on a fixed-term contract, with a clear agreement onperformance goals, service delivery, and, insome cases, taxpayer savings. Agencies willpay chief executives at market rates, witha large chunk of pay tied to performance.

Candidates to become PBOs in 1997 arelisted in Table 14–1.

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134 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1997

Table 14–1. Performance-Based Organizations

Department or Agency Function

Agriculture ................................................ Inspection of international travelers and cargoCommerce ................................................. Technical information disseminationCommerce ................................................. Intellectual property rights (Patent and Trademark

Office)Defense ...................................................... Commissary servicesHousing and Urban Development ........... Mortgage insurance services (FHA and GNMA)Transportation .......................................... St. Lawrence Seaway CorporationOffice of Personnel Management ............ Retirement benefit management services

Internal Market Competition, Contract-ing Out, and Privatizing: Competition spursefficiency. Agencies that provide administra-tive or other commercial/industrial services tocaptive customers lack the stimulus of com-petition to sharpen their performance. The Ad-ministration’s ‘‘franchising’’ initiative is de-signed to increase competition by encouragingagencies to compete with one another and withthe private sector to provide common adminis-trative services. The Administration is consult-ing with Congress on pilot programs in suchdepartments as Interior, Veterans Affairs, andCommerce.

Agency managers also can procure servicesfrom the private sector. OMB Circular A–76governs how the Government chooses themost efficient source of commercial-type, publicservices—the Government or the private sec-tor. OMB is revising the Circular to simplifycost comparison requirements; cut reportingand other administrative burdens; providefor more employee participation; facilitateemployee placement; maintain the ‘‘level play-ing field’’ to compare costs between theFederal and private sectors; and improveoversight to ensure that the most cost-effectivedecision is implemented.

Increased Emphasis on Customer Service

Better customer service is central to theAdministration’s efforts to make Governmentwork better and cost less. The Presidentand Vice President have challenged service-providing agencies to make significant, visibleimprovements in their customer service (seeTable 14–2). A number of the agencies willmake their specific commitments to improveservice through the Internet and, for thefirst time, will take feedback from theircustomers through that medium.

Agencies are communicating with their cus-tomers more than ever, and in more ways.In early 1996, many agencies will post theircustomer service standards on their ‘‘homepages.’’ Future initiatives will include: one-stop assistance, such as the U.S. GeneralStore for Small Businesses in Houston; 24-hour on-line services, such as the U.S. Busi-ness Advisor; and new ways for Americansto find Federal services in the Governmentor blue pages of telephone directories. Agenciesare listing their services, not their organizationcharts—so, instead of looking for passportservices under the State Department andthe Bureau of Consular Affairs, citizens need-ing passports will be able to look under‘‘P’’ for Passports.

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13514. BUILDING ON SUCCESS

Table 14–2. Specific Commitments of Members of the President’s Vanguard

Occupational Safety and Health Administration:• Make a visible improvement in recruiting for partnership programs by taking the concepts

of ‘‘Maine 200’’ program nationwide.• Overhaul the worker complaint system to cut response time in half by working with em-

ployees and employers to immediately correct the hazards.

Internal Revenue Service:• Make it easier, faster, and more convenient for taxpayers to file their tax returns and get

forms and information by: expanding electronic filing; bringing telefile to all 50 States;making Form 1040EZ available to more people; and providing electronic services for 24-hour access—worldwide—to forms, publications, and information.

Environmental Protection Agency (EPA):• Dramatically increase EPA’s partnerships with business to better protect the environment

and public health at less cost, through such programs as Project XL and the CommonSense Initiative, and through the agency’s voluntary pollution prevention programs,such as Energy Star, Pesticide Environmental Stewardship, WAVE, Green Lights, Cli-mate Wise, WasteWi$e, and 33/50.

Forest Service & Park Service:• Dramatically improve the quality of the recreational experience and the services received

by campers and visitors to the forests and parks.• Team up to develop a prototype one-stop information and campground reservation system

for public lands.

Customs Service, Immigration and Naturalization Service, and Agriculture:• Use technology to strengthen enforcement by providing more comprehensive and more

timely information to front-line inspectors.• Team up to beat the International Air Transportation Association standard of 45 minutes

from block time to exit in every major international airport.• Develop and meet a similar standard for land border crossings.

Veterans Affairs:• Give veterans and their dependents heightened interaction in benefits delivery.• Make timely access the hallmark of veterans medical care.• Maintain cemeteries as befit national shrines.• Provide the advantages of electronic commerce to veterans and suppliers.

Passport Office:• Ensure that all customers visiting a passport office by summer 1996 have a pleasant expe-

rience.• Slash the lines in passport offices by summer 1996.• If a customer has a concern regarding service, they can speak with a customer service rep-

resentative.• Ensure that all telephone inquiries are answered within 2 to 3 minutes.• Partner with the travel industry to give travelers easy access to passport information and

forms.

Social Security Administration:• Improve access to SSA’s 1–800 line by giving callers nationwide immediate access to auto-

mated services and a choice of a live operator.• Make spectacular improvements in callers’ ability to reach SSA during 1996.

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136 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1997

The Focus on Results

To improve customer service and ensurethat Government spends money wisely, theAdministration has directed agencies to man-age their programs with an eye towardachieving performance goals—that is, results.Using the 1993 Government Performance andResults Act (GPRA), the Administration isworking to transform the way agencies areadministered and programs are managed.

The number and importance of agencyperformance goals is growing. For example,the Coast Guard has set a target for cuttingdeaths in the commercial fishing industry,one of the Nation’s most hazardous occupa-tions, from 55 deaths per 100,000 workersin 1993, to 44 in 1996 and 36 in 1998.

The Forest Service has set a goal of increasing,by nearly half over 1994 levels, the numberof acres on which the Government is takingsteps (such as chemical treatment) to cutthe threat and consequence of wildfires.

Under GPRA, agencies will prepare strategicplans that are built around their missionsand clearly outline their goals, and developmeasures to track their progress in achievingthe goals. They will publish annual perform-ance reports to enable Congress and thepublic to better understand how the Govern-ment is spending tax dollars and what itis achieving. These reports will give thepublic an annual update on our efforts tocreate a Government that works better andcosts less.

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SUMMARY TABLES

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139

Budget Aggregates

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141

BUDGET AGGREGATES

Table S–1. OUTLAYS, RECEIPTS, AND DEFICIT SUMMARY(In billions of dollars)

1995Actual

Estimate

1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002

Outlays:Discretionary:

National defense ....................................... 273.5 266.3 259.4 255.5 257.1 263.5 266.6 276.1International ............................................. 20.1 20.1 19.8 19.1 18.5 17.9 17.9 18.5Domestic .................................................... 252.0 254.8 263.0 264.5 260.1 255.4 263.7 278.2

Subtotal, discretionary ......................... 545.7 541.2 542.3 539.1 535.7 536.8 548.2 572.9

Mandatory:Programmatic:

Social security ....................................... 333.3 348.1 364.8 383.3 401.7 421.3 441.9 463.5Medicare ................................................ 156.9 174.9 187.4 202.2 215.6 228.3 245.5 264.1Medicaid ................................................ 89.1 94.9 105.6 111.3 116.5 122.3 128.6 133.2Means-tested entitlements (except

Medicaid) ........................................... 92.5 96.8 103.9 108.8 113.7 121.4 121.2 129.3Deposit insurance ................................. –17.9 –13.5 –4.3 –2.0 –0.5 –2.2 –1.6 –1.8Other ...................................................... 131.9 131.2 138.1 139.5 142.9 148.9 148.6 152.5

Subtotal, programmatic .................... 785.8 832.4 895.5 943.1 990.0 1,040.2 1,084.2 1,140.9

Undistributed offsetting receipts ............ –44.5 –42.3 –41.0 –42.4 –43.4 –45.5 –47.9 –68.7

Subtotal, mandatory ............................. 741.3 790.2 854.5 900.7 946.6 994.7 1,036.3 1,072.2

Net interest .................................................. 232.2 241.1 238.5 236.1 234.6 229.9 227.0 223.2

Subtotal, mandatory and net interest .... 973.5 1,031.2 1,093.0 1,136.8 1,181.3 1,224.5 1,263.3 1,295.5

Total outlays .................................................. 1,519.1 1,572.4 1,635.3 1,675.9 1,716.9 1,761.4 1,811.5 1,868.3

Receipts .......................................................... 1,355.2 1,426.8 1,495.2 1,577.9 1,652.5 1,733.8 1,819.8 1,912.2

Deficit/Surplus .............................................. –163.9 –145.6 –140.1 –98.0 –64.4 –27.5 8.3 43.9

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142 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1997

Table S–2. ON- AND OFF-BUDGET TOTALS (1995–2006)

1995Actual

Estimate

1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006

In billions of dollars

Outlays .................... 1,519.1 1,572.4 1,635.3 1,675.9 1,716.9 1,761.4 1,811.5 1,868.3 1,970.7 2,050.5 2,141.7 2,229.1Receipts ................... 1,355.2 1,426.8 1,495.2 1,577.9 1,652.5 1,733.8 1,819.8 1,912.2 2,010.5 2,109.5 2,221.4 2,326.8

Deficit/Surplus ........ –163.9 –145.6 –140.1 –98.0 –64.4 –27.5 8.3 43.9 39.8 59.0 79.7 97.7On-budget ............ (–226.3) (–211.0) (–210.4) (–175.3) (–150.2) (–119.7) (–90.6) (–62.2) (–73.2) (–60.1) (–52.2) (–38.2)Off-budget ............ (62.4) (65.3) (70.3) (77.3) (85.8) (92.1) (98.9) (106.1) (113.1) (119.2) (131.9) (135.9)

As percentages of GDP

Outlays .................... 21.2 20.9 20.7 20.2 19.6 19.2 18.8 18.4 18.5 18.3 18.2 18.0Receipts ................... 18.9 19.0 18.9 19.0 18.9 18.9 18.9 18.9 18.9 18.8 18.9 18.8

Deficit/Surplus ........ –2.3 –1.9 –1.8 –1.2 –0.7 –0.3 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.7 0.8On-budget ............ (–3.2) (–2.8) (–2.7) (–2.1) (–1.7) (–1.3) (–0.9) (–0.6) (–0.7) (–0.5) (–0.4) (–0.3)Off-budget ............ (0.9) (0.9) (0.9) (0.9) (1.0) (1.0) (1.0) (1.0) (1.1) (1.1) (1.1) (1.1)

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143BUDGET AGGREGATES

Table S–3. SUMMARY OF RECEIPTS, OUTLAYS, AND SURPLUSES OR DEFICITS (–):1789–2002

(In millions of dollars)

YearTotal On-Budget Off-Budget

Receipts Outlays Surplus orDeficit (–) Receipts Outlays Surplus or

Deficit (–) Receipts Outlays Surplus orDeficit (–)

1789–1849 ......... 1,160 1,090 70 1,160 1,090 70 ................ ................ ................1850–1900 ......... 14,462 15,453 –991 14,462 15,453 –991 ................ ................ ................

1901 ................... 588 525 63 588 525 63 ................ ................ ................1902 ................... 562 485 77 562 485 77 ................ ................ ................1903 ................... 562 517 45 562 517 45 ................ ................ ................1904 ................... 541 584 –43 541 584 –43 ................ ................ ................

1905 ................... 544 567 –23 544 567 –23 ................ ................ ................1906 ................... 595 570 25 595 570 25 ................ ................ ................1907 ................... 666 579 87 666 579 87 ................ ................ ................1908 ................... 602 659 –57 602 659 –57 ................ ................ ................1909 ................... 604 694 –89 604 694 –89 ................ ................ ................

1910 ................... 676 694 –18 676 694 –18 ................ ................ ................1911 ................... 702 691 11 702 691 11 ................ ................ ................1912 ................... 693 690 3 693 690 3 ................ ................ ................1913 ................... 714 715 –* 714 715 –* ................ ................ ................1914 ................... 725 726 –* 725 726 –* ................ ................ ................

1915 ................... 683 746 –63 683 746 –63 ................ ................ ................1916 ................... 761 713 48 761 713 48 ................ ................ ................1917 ................... 1,101 1,954 –853 1,101 1,954 –853 ................ ................ ................1918 ................... 3,645 12,677 –9,032 3,645 12,677 –9,032 ................ ................ ................1919 ................... 5,130 18,493 –13,363 5,130 18,493 –13,363 ................ ................ ................

1920 ................... 6,649 6,358 291 6,649 6,358 291 ................ ................ ................1921 ................... 5,571 5,062 509 5,571 5,062 509 ................ ................ ................1922 ................... 4,026 3,289 736 4,026 3,289 736 ................ ................ ................1923 ................... 3,853 3,140 713 3,853 3,140 713 ................ ................ ................1924 ................... 3,871 2,908 963 3,871 2,908 963 ................ ................ ................

1925 ................... 3,641 2,924 717 3,641 2,924 717 ................ ................ ................1926 ................... 3,795 2,930 865 3,795 2,930 865 ................ ................ ................1927 ................... 4,013 2,857 1,155 4,013 2,857 1,155 ................ ................ ................1928 ................... 3,900 2,961 939 3,900 2,961 939 ................ ................ ................1929 ................... 3,862 3,127 734 3,862 3,127 734 ................ ................ ................

1930 ................... 4,058 3,320 738 4,058 3,320 738 ................ ................ ................1931 ................... 3,116 3,577 –462 3,116 3,577 –462 ................ ................ ................1932 ................... 1,924 4,659 –2,735 1,924 4,659 –2,735 ................ ................ ................1933 ................... 1,997 4,598 –2,602 1,997 4,598 –2,602 ................ ................ ................1934 ................... 2,955 6,541 –3,586 2,955 6,541 –3,586 ................ ................ ................

1935 ................... 3,609 6,412 –2,803 3,609 6,412 –2,803 ................ ................ ................1936 ................... 3,923 8,228 –4,304 3,923 8,228 –4,304 ................ ................ ................1937 ................... 5,387 7,580 –2,193 5,122 7,582 –2,460 265 –2 2671938 ................... 6,751 6,840 –89 6,364 6,850 –486 387 –10 3971939 ................... 6,295 9,141 –2,846 5,792 9,154 –3,362 503 –13 516

1940 ................... 6,548 9,468 –2,920 5,998 9,482 –3,484 550 –14 5641941 ................... 8,712 13,653 –4,941 8,024 13,618 –5,594 688 35 6531942 ................... 14,634 35,137 –20,503 13,738 35,071 –21,333 896 66 8301943 ................... 24,001 78,555 –54,554 22,871 78,466 –55,595 1,130 89 1,0411944 ................... 43,747 91,304 –47,557 42,455 91,190 –48,735 1,292 114 1,178

1945 ................... 45,159 92,712 –47,553 43,849 92,569 –48,720 1,310 143 1,1671946 ................... 39,296 55,232 –15,936 38,057 55,022 –16,964 1,238 210 1,0281947 ................... 38,514 34,496 4,018 37,055 34,193 2,861 1,459 303 1,1571948 ................... 41,560 29,764 11,796 39,944 29,396 10,548 1,616 368 1,2481949 ................... 39,415 38,835 580 37,724 38,408 –684 1,690 427 1,263

1950 ................... 39,443 42,562 –3,119 37,336 42,038 –4,702 2,106 524 1,5831951 ................... 51,616 45,514 6,102 48,496 44,237 4,259 3,120 1,277 1,8431952 ................... 66,167 67,686 –1,519 62,573 65,956 –3,383 3,594 1,730 1,8641953 ................... 69,608 76,101 –6,493 65,511 73,771 –8,259 4,097 2,330 1,7661954 ................... 69,701 70,855 –1,154 65,112 67,943 –2,831 4,589 2,912 1,677

* $500 thousand or less.

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144 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1997

Table S–3. SUMMARY OF RECEIPTS, OUTLAYS, AND SURPLUSES OR DEFICITS(–):1789–2002—Continued

(In millions of dollars)

YearTotal On-Budget Off-Budget

Receipts Outlays Surplus orDeficit (–) Receipts Outlays Surplus or

Deficit (–) Receipts Outlays Surplus orDeficit (–)

1955 ................... 65,451 68,444 –2,993 60,370 64,461 –4,091 5,081 3,983 1,0981956 ................... 74,587 70,640 3,947 68,162 65,668 2,494 6,425 4,972 1,4521957 ................... 79,990 76,578 3,412 73,201 70,562 2,639 6,789 6,016 7731958 ................... 79,636 82,405 –2,769 71,587 74,902 –3,315 8,049 7,503 5461959 ................... 79,249 92,098 –12,849 70,953 83,102 –12,149 8,296 8,996 –700

1960 ................... 92,492 92,191 301 81,851 81,341 510 10,641 10,850 –2091961 ................... 94,388 97,723 –3,335 82,279 86,046 –3,766 12,109 11,677 4311962 ................... 99,676 106,821 –7,146 87,405 93,286 –5,881 12,271 13,535 –1,2651963 ................... 106,560 111,316 –4,756 92,385 96,352 –3,966 14,175 14,964 –7891964 ................... 112,613 118,528 –5,915 96,248 102,794 –6,546 16,366 15,734 632

1965 ................... 116,817 118,228 –1,411 100,094 101,699 –1,605 16,723 16,529 1941966 ................... 130,835 134,532 –3,698 111,749 114,817 –3,068 19,085 19,715 –6301967 ................... 148,822 157,464 –8,643 124,420 137,040 –12,620 24,401 20,424 3,9781968 ................... 152,973 178,134 –25,161 128,056 155,798 –27,742 24,917 22,336 2,5811969 ................... 186,882 183,640 3,242 157,928 158,436 –507 28,953 25,204 3,749

1970 ................... 192,807 195,649 –2,842 159,348 168,042 –8,694 33,459 27,607 5,8521971 ................... 187,139 210,172 –23,033 151,294 177,346 –26,052 35,845 32,826 3,0191972 ................... 207,309 230,681 –23,373 167,402 193,824 –26,423 39,907 36,857 3,0501973 ................... 230,799 245,707 –14,908 184,715 200,118 –15,403 46,084 45,589 4951974 ................... 263,224 269,359 –6,135 209,299 217,270 –7,971 53,925 52,089 1,836

1975 ................... 279,090 332,332 –53,242 216,633 271,892 –55,260 62,458 60,440 2,0181976 ................... 298,060 371,792 –73,732 231,671 302,183 –70,512 66,389 69,609 –3,220TQ ...................... 81,232 95,975 –14,744 63,216 76,555 –13,339 18,016 19,421 –1,4051977 ................... 355,559 409,218 –53,659 278,741 328,502 –49,760 76,817 80,716 –3,8991978 ................... 399,561 458,746 –59,186 314,169 369,089 –54,920 85,391 89,657 –4,2661979 ................... 463,302 504,032 –40,729 365,309 404,054 –38,745 97,994 99,978 –1,984

1980 ................... 517,112 590,947 –73,835 403,903 476,618 –72,715 113,209 114,329 –1,1201981 ................... 599,272 678,249 –78,976 469,097 543,053 –73,956 130,176 135,196 –5,0201982 ................... 617,766 745,755 –127,989 474,299 594,351 –120,052 143,467 151,404 –7,9371983 ................... 600,562 808,380 –207,818 453,242 661,272 –208,030 147,320 147,108 2121984 ................... 666,457 851,846 –185,388 500,382 686,032 –185,650 166,075 165,813 262

1985 ................... 734,057 946,391 –212,334 547,886 769,584 –221,698 186,171 176,807 9,3631986 ................... 769,091 990,336 –221,245 568,862 806,838 –237,976 200,228 183,498 16,7311987 ................... 854,143 1,003,911 –149,769 640,741 810,079 –169,339 213,402 193,832 19,5701988 ................... 908,954 1,064,140 –155,187 667,463 861,449 –193,986 241,491 202,691 38,8001989 ................... 990,691 1,143,172 –152,481 727,026 932,261 –205,235 263,666 210,911 52,754

1990 ................... 1,031,321 1,252,515 –221,194 749,666 1,027,450 –277,784 281,656 225,065 56,5901991 ................... 1,054,272 1,323,631 –269,359 760,388 1,081,944 –321,557 293,885 241,687 52,1981992 ................... 1,090,453 1,380,856 –290,403 788,027 1,128,518 –340,490 302,426 252,339 50,0871993 ................... 1,153,535 1,408,675 –255,140 841,601 1,142,088 –300,487 311,934 266,587 45,3471994 ................... 1,257,737 1,460,841 –203,104 922,711 1,181,469 –258,758 335,026 279,372 55,654

1995 ................... 1,355,213 1,519,133 –163,920 1,004,134 1,230,469 –226,335 351,079 288,664 62,4151996 estimate .... 1,426,775 1,572,411 –145,636 1,059,334 1,270,292 –210,958 367,441 302,119 65,3221997 estimate .... 1,495,238 1,635,329 –140,091 1,107,223 1,317,655 –210,432 388,015 317,674 70,3411998 estimate .... 1,577,925 1,675,877 –97,952 1,171,627 1,346,891 –175,264 406,298 328,986 77,3121999 estimate .... 1,652,546 1,716,949 –64,403 1,224,759 1,374,955 –150,196 427,787 341,994 85,793

2000 estimate .... 1,733,818 1,761,367 –27,549 1,283,860 1,403,537 –119,677 449,958 357,830 92,1282001 estimate .... 1,819,796 1,811,531 8,265 1,348,591 1,439,213 –90,622 471,205 372,318 98,8872002 estimate .... 1,912,218 1,868,316 43,902 1,417,595 1,479,809 –62,214 494,623 388,507 106,116

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145

1997 Budget Proposals

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147

1997 BUDGET PROPOSALS

Table S–4. SUMMARY OF BUDGET PROPOSALS(In billions of dollars)

Estimate Total1996–20021996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002

Current services baseline deficit ..................... 153.6 149.8 144.4 144.4 139.8 130.8 131.0 993.7Switch to discretionary caps ........................ 7.8 –0.2 –17.6 –13.7 –12.9 –13.1 –10.8 –60.4Extend expired trust fund excise taxes ...... –0.5 –5.5 –5.7 –6.0 –6.3 –6.7 –7.0 –37.7Related debt service ..................................... 0.2 0.2 –0.5 –1.5 –2.3 –3.2 –4.2 –11.2

Revised baseline deficit ................................... 161.2 144.4 120.6 123.3 118.3 107.8 109.0 884.4

Savings:Discretionary 1 .............................................. –7.5 –7.1 –9.9 –28.9 –43.6 –48.4 –40.4 –185.7Mandatory:

Medicare 2 .................................................. 0.3 –5.8 –10.0 –16.1 –24.7 –30.6 –36.9 –123.8Medicaid 3 .................................................. ............. 3.3 –0.6 –5.6 –11.3 –17.6 –27.0 –58.7Welfare reform 4 ........................................ –0.3 –4.9 –6.5 –6.3 –7.0 –7.1 –8.6 –40.8Earned Income Tax Credit (EITC) 5 ........ –* –0.9 –1.0 –1.0 –1.0 –1.0 –0.9 –5.8Other mandatory ...................................... –9.2 0.1 0.6 –5.4 –7.0 –11.0 –31.1 –62.9

Total, mandatory ................................... –9.2 –8.1 –17.5 –34.4 –51.0 –67.3 –104.6 –292.2Tax cuts ......................................................... 1.3 17.6 14.1 17.5 21.4 22.4 23.2 117.4Corporate loopholes and other .................... 0.3 –5.6 –7.3 –9.3 –10.0 –10.3 –12.1 –54.3

Total, policy proposals .................................. –15.2 –3.2 –20.7 –55.0 –83.1 –103.7 –133.8 –414.7Debt service .................................................. –0.4 –1.1 –2.0 –3.8 –7.6 –12.4 –19.0 –46.3

Total savings .................................................... –15.5 –4.3 –22.7 –58.9 –90.7 –116.0 –152.9 –461.0Deficit/surplus .................................................. 145.6 140.1 98.0 64.4 27.5 –8.3 –43.9 423.5

* $50 million or less.1 The President is committed to producing a balanced budget by 2002 under the economic and technical assumptions of the Congres-

sional Budget Office (CBO). If under CBO’s revised economic and technical assumptions, which will be released later this spring, therewould be a deficit in 2002, the discretionary proposals will be reduced by the amount necessary to eliminate that deficit.

2 Effects of Medicare savings proposals on HI premium receipts are included in ‘‘other mandatory.’’3 Interactions with Medicare and VA health proposals are included in ‘‘other mandatory.’’4 Includes savings to cover discretionary cap increases that fund administrative costs of implementing welfare reform provisions.5 Includes EITC revenues.

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148 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1997

Table S–5. APPLICATION OF THE ‘‘FISCAL DIVIDEND’’ TO BUDGET PROPOSALS(In billions of dollars)

Estimate

1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002

Deficit or surplus assuming tax cuts expire on December 31, 2000:

CBO December economic and technical assumptions . –158.0 –164.2 –150.0 –126.2 –108.7 –62.1 7.6OMB March economic and technical assumptions ...... –145.6 –140.1 –98.0 –64.4 –27.5 39.5 115.2

Difference .................................................................... 12.4 24.1 52.0 61.8 81.1 101.5 107.6Trigger impact on OMB estimates:

Step 1—Continue tax cut ............................................... (20.0) 8.9 22.7Step 2—Increase discretionary spending ..................... (20.0) 12.9 27.1Step 3:

Further discretionary increases ................................. Not applicable (13.7) 8.8 18.6Reserved for additional tax cuts ................................ (13.7)Reserved for deficit reduction .................................... (13.7)

Debt service .................................................................... 0.7 2.9

Total trigger ....................................................................... (81.1) 31.2 71.3OMB deficit or surplus ...................................................... –145.6 –140.1 –98.0 –64.4 –27.5 8.3 43.9

Note: The President is committed to producing a balanced budget by 2002 under the economic and technical assumptions of theCongressional Budget Office (CBO). If under CBO’s revised economic and technical assumptions, which will be released later this spring,there would be a deficit in 2002, the discretionary proposals will be reduced by the amount necessary to eliminate that deficit.

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1491997 BUDGET PROPOSALS

Table S–6. PROPOSED DISCRETIONARY SPENDING RELATIVE TO THE CAPPEDBASELINE

(In billions of dollars)

Estimate Total1996–20021996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002

Preview Report capped baseline ........... BA 523.0 530.3 534.4 549.3 564.7 580.5 596.8 3,878.9OL 548.0 548.7 548.5 563.8 579.6 595.9 612.6 3,997.1

Proposed Levels:Discretionary proposals other than the

Department of Defense .......................... BA 247.3 258.4 258.1 256.1 253.7 275.7 292.6 1,841.9OL 286.0 294.0 294.3 288.4 282.2 290.9 307.2 2,043.2

Department of Defense ............................. BA 252.6 243.4 248.9 255.0 262.4 270.3 277.3 1,809.9OL 255.2 248.3 244.7 247.3 254.6 257.3 265.6 1,773.0

Total discretionary proposals 1 .............. BA 499.8 501.8 507.0 511.1 516.1 546.1 570.0 3,651.8OL 541.2 542.3 539.1 535.7 536.8 548.2 572.9 3,816.2

Discretionary savings from cappedbaseline 2 ................................................... BA –23.1 –28.5 –27.3 –38.3 –48.6 –34.4 –26.8 –227.1

OL –6.9 –6.4 –9.4 –28.2 –42.8 –47.6 –39.7 –180.9

1 The budget proposes to extend the discretionary spending limits from 1999 through 2002 consistent with the level ofdiscretionary spending assumed in the budget that achieves balance in 2002.

2 The total discretionary outlay savings for 1996–2002 are $180.9 billion. The table below explains why these savings dif-fer from the 1996–2002 savings of $185.7 billion listed in Table S–4, as well as the $297.2 billion savings listed in TableS–11 that uses CBO’s baseline.

Adjustment toCBO Capped

DecemberBaseline

Adjustment toOMB Capped

MarchBaseline

Outlays Outlays

Discretionary savings, excluding fiscal dividend and other adjustments, 1996–2002 ................. –297.2 –253.1Additional discretionary spending from the fiscal dividend ...................................................................... NA 67.4

Discretionary savings, including fiscal dividend, 1996–2002 ......................................................... –297.2 –185.7

Other Adjustments:Welfare Reform: Funding to increase continuing disability reviews and implement the Administra-

tion’s welfare reform proposal .................................................................................................................. 3.9 3.9Emergencies ................................................................................................................................................... 0.8 0.8

Total discretionary savings, 1996–2002 ............................................................................................ –292.4 –180.9

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150 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1997

Table S–7. ESTIMATES OF MANDATORY BUDGET PROPOSALS BY PROGRAM(In millions of dollars)

Mandatory ProposalsEstimate Total

1996–20021996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002

Medicare savings ................................................... 306 –5,800 –9,969 –16,115 –24,666 –30,645 –36,946 –123,835Impact of Medicare proposals on premiums for

otherwise uninsured (HI) ..................................... ............ 123 178 226 286 332 380 1,525Medicaid savings ................................................... ............ 3,292 –646 –5,563 –11,264 –17,589 –26,961 –58,731Effects of VA and Medicare proposals on Medicaid ............ –15 –25 336 437 598 763 2,094Health insurance for the temporarily unemployed ............ 1,519 2,158 2,345 2,550 .............. ................ 8,572Health insurance reform: grants for health insur-

ance cooperatives ................................................... ............ 25 25 25 25 25 ................ 125Welfare reform 1 ..................................................... –320 –4,883 –6,505 –6,346 –7,010 –7,147 –8,625 –40,836Modify earned income tax credit eligibility rules:

Outlays ................................................................... –14 –596 –606 –602 –598 –580 –568 –3,564Receipts .................................................................. –2 –278 –419 –409 –397 –388 –380 –2,273

Earned income tax credit, subtotal .................. –16 –874 –1,025 –1,011 –995 –968 –948 –5,837Other mandatory:

Student loans:Reduce payments to lenders, guaranty agen-

cies, secondary markets and postsecondaryinstitutions, and reduce Federal adminis-trative funding ............................................... –847 –568 –665 –607 –571 –582 –595 –4,435

Civilian retirement:Extend civilian retirement COLA delay .......... ............ –278 –307 –295 –302 –310 –319 –1,811Modify Congressional retirement benefits ....... ............ ............ –1 –1 –2 –2 –2 –8

Subtotal, civilian retirement ................................ ............ –278 –308 –296 –304 –312 –321 –1,819Veterans:

Paygo proposals:Compensation and Pensions:

Extend rounding down for compensationcost-of-living adjustment (COLA) .......... ............ –17 –37 –56 –77 –92 –118 –397

Restrict collection of compensation fornon-malpractice injuries (Gardner deci-sion) .......................................................... –36 –112 –191 –272 –359 –450 –544 –1,964

Extend income verification of pension andmedical care beneficiaries ...................... ............ ............ .............. –45 –60 –76 –92 –273

Limit pension benefits to Medicaid eligi-ble beneficiaries in nursing homes ........ ............ ............ .............. –553 –567 –580 –597 –2,297

Subtotal, compensation and pensions .......... –36 –129 –228 –926 –1,063 –1,198 –1,351 –4,931Housing:

Enable VA to use Federal salary and taxrefund offset to collect on deficiencybalances for defaulted loans guaranteedprior to 1990 ............................................ –90 ............ .............. .............. .............. .............. ................ –90

Extend three provisions that maintainhigher loan fees and reduce resalelosses on foreclosed properties ............... ............ ............ .............. –189 –183 –187 –189 –748

Extend medical care copayments, perdiems, and third party insurance recover-ies ................................................................. ............ ............ .............. –282 –288 –292 –306 –1,168

Restrict vocational rehabilitation benefits toonly those veterans who have service-con-nected disabilities that are substantiallylinked to their employment handicaps(Davenport decision) ................................... ............ –20 –39 –56 –56 –57 –57 –285

Subtotal, paygo proposals ................................. –126 –149 –267 –1,453 –1,590 –1,734 –1,903 –7,222Non-paygo proposals:

Retain portion of excess medical insurancecollections .................................................... –11 –46 –36 –36 –36 –36 –37 –238

Subtotal, veterans proposals ................................ –137 –195 –303 –1,489 –1,626 –1,770 –1,940 –7,460Auction spectrum .................................................. –150 –1,800 –2,650 –3,550 –3,100 –2,650 –18,400 –32,300

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1511997 BUDGET PROPOSALS

Table S–7. ESTIMATES OF MANDATORY BUDGET PROPOSALS BY PROGRAM—Continued

(In millions of dollars)

Mandatory ProposalsEstimate Total

1996–20021996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002

Auction ‘‘888’’ phone numbers .............................. ............ –200 –300 –200 .............. .............. ................ –700

New/extend user fees:Extend vessel tonnage fees ............................... ............ ............ .............. –62 –62 –62 –62 –248Extend hardrock mining fees ........................... ............ –1 –2 –34 –36 –37 –38 –148Impose Hetch Hetchy Dam rental payments .. ............ –1 –1 –1 –1 –1 –1 –6Extend Deepwater royalty relief ...................... ............ ............ .............. .............. .............. –20 –20 –40Extend surcharge on patent fees ...................... ............ ............ .............. –119 –119 –119 –119 –476Extend Nuclear Regulatory Commission fees . ............ ............ .............. –310 –310 –310 –310 –1,240Authorize FEMA fees ........................................ ............ –12 –12 –12 –12 –12 –12 –72Collect fisheries management fees ................... ............ –3 .............. .............. .............. .............. ................ –3Expand authority for National Park Service

fees 2 ................................................................ ............ –13 –8 –13 –10 –14 –9 –67Extend rail safety fees ...................................... –22 –47 –49 –51 –53 –55 –57 –334Extend pesticide re-registration fee ................. ............ –1 –1 .............. 1 1 ................ ................Restore the Everglades (sugar assessment-

net) .................................................................. ............ –18 –4 .............. .............. .............. ................ –22Agriculture marketing order fees ..................... ............ –10 –11 –11 –11 –11 –11 –65Spending from SEC fees (included under rev-

enues) .............................................................. ............ 224 266 277 288 299 311 1,665

Subtotal, new/extend user fees ............................ –22 118 178 –336 –325 –341 –328 –1,056Housing/banking reform:

FHA portfolio reengineering ............................. –1,386 ............ .............. .............. .............. .............. ................ –1,386Alter FHA single-family assignment and port-

folio reengineering:Non-paygo ................................................... –303 791 307 117 –995 –1,170 –1,068 –2,321

Limit Section 8 annual rent increases ............. –60 –236 –342 –388 –408 –411 –419 –2,264Savings Association Insurance Fund (SAIF)/

Bank Insurance Fund (BIF): 3

Paygo ............................................................... 592 ............ .............. .............. .............. .............. ................ 592Non-paygo ....................................................... –4,974 469 –187 –219 –29 –65 –95 –5,100

Subtotal, SAIF/BIF ............................................ –4,382 469 –187 –219 –29 –65 –95 –4,508Reimburse the Federal reserve bank ............... ............ 122 122 122 122 122 122 732

Subtotal, housing/banking reforms ...................... –6,131 1,146 –100 –368 –1,310 –1,524 –1,460 –9,747Strategic Petroleum and Naval Petroleum Re-

serve:Lease excess Strategic Petroleum Reserve ...... ............ ............ –20 –40 –80 –100 –120 –360Sell Weeks Island Strategic Petroleum Re-

serve ................................................................ ............ ............ .............. .............. .............. .............. –1,534 –1,534Naval Petroleum Reserve ................................. ............ ............ 2,215 –370 –340 –310 –1,980 –785

Subtotal, Strategic Petroleum and Naval Petro-leum Reserve ...................................................... ............ ............ 2,195 –410 –420 –410 –3,634 –2,679

Sell/privatize government assetsPrivatize the College Construction Loan In-

surance Association through the sale ofFederally owned stock (Non-paygo) .............. ............ –7 .............. .............. .............. .............. ................ –7

Sale of Governor’s Island .................................. ............ ............ .............. .............. .............. .............. –500 –500Privatize US Enrichment Corporation ............ –1,561 204 207 124 –102 –119 –319 –1,566Sales from National Defense Stockpile ............ –21 –79 –79 –79 –80 –155 –156 –649Terminate helium refinery and sell helium

stockpile .......................................................... ............ –3 –8 –10 –10 –10 –9 –50Sale of Union Station air rights ....................... ............ ............ .............. .............. .............. .............. –40 –40

Subtotal, sell/privatize government assets .......... –1,582 115 120 35 –192 –284 –1,024 –2,812Debt management/collection and other specified

proposal:Repeal the mandatory appropriation under

the Smith-Hughes Act of 1918 ...................... ............ –1 –6 –7 –7 –7 –7 –35

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152 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1997

Table S–7. ESTIMATES OF MANDATORY BUDGET PROPOSALS BY PROGRAM—Continued

(In millions of dollars)

Mandatory ProposalsEstimate Total

1996–20021996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002

Debt management savings:Non-paygo ....................................................... ............ ............ –244 –851 –1,523 –2,224 –2,130 –6,972

Strengthen debt collection:Non-paygo ....................................................... –327 –76 –65 –56 –56 –65 –36 –681

Refinance Bonneville Power Administration ... ............ –14 –14 –13 –12 –11 –25 –89Prepayments (construction charges, Central

Utah) ............................................................... ............ –75 –145 2 2 –37 2 –251New funding for medical, cash, and job train-

ing assistance for Puerto Rico (in lieu of Sec936) .................................................................. ............ 57 247 499 758 982 1,142 3,685

Repeal Workers’ Compensation Reimburse-ment to the United States Postal Service:Paygo ............................................................... –37 –36 –34 –32 –31 –29 –28 –227Non-paygo ....................................................... 37 36 9 .............. .............. .............. ................ 82

Increase boat safety grants ............................... 9 26 38 51 51 51 51 277Increase agency contributions to CSRS (non-

paygo) .............................................................. ............ ............ .............. –1,034 –2,077 –3,128 –3,936 –10,175Other non-paygo proposals (mainly pay raise) ............ 224 321 366 410 411 430 2,162

Subtotal, debt management collection and otherspecified proposals ............................................. –318 141 107 –1,075 –2,485 –4,057 –4,537 –12,224

Subtotal, other mandatory ....................................... –9,187 –1,521 –1,726 –8,296 –10,333 –11,930 –32,239 –75,232

Tax cut 4 ................................................................... 1,264 17,564 14,093 17,528 21,367 22,376 23,200 117,392Corporate loopholes and other: 4

Paygo ...................................................................... 308 –5,660 –7,459 –9,413 –10,096 –10,480 –12,240 –55,040Non-Paygo .............................................................. ............ 98 129 131 133 135 137 763

Subtotal, corporate loopholes and other ........ 308 –5,562 –7,330 –9,282 –9,963 –10,345 –12,103 –54,277

Total savings ........................................................... –7,645 3,868 –10,772 –26,153 –39,566 –55,293 –93,479 –229,040

Memorandum:Subtotal, other mandatory (from above) ............. –9,187 –1,521 –1,726 –8,296 –10,333 –11,930 –32,239 –75,232

Impact of Medicare proposals on premiumsfor otherwise uninsured (HI) ........................ ............ 123 178 226 286 332 380 1,525

Effects of VA and Medicare proposals on Med-icaid ................................................................. ............ –15 –25 336 437 598 763 2,094

Health insurance for the temporarily unem-ployed .............................................................. ............ 1,519 2,158 2,345 2,550 .............. ................ 8,572

Health insurance reform: grants for health in-surance cooperatives ...................................... ............ 25 25 25 25 25 ................ 125

Total, other mandatory including health pro-visions ................................................................. –9,187 131 610 –5,364 –7,035 –10,975 –31,096 –62,916

Outlays:Mandatory paygo proposals .............................. –3,740 –9,733 –17,699 –32,978 –47,024 –61,377 –97,992 –270,543Mandatory non-paygo proposals ....................... –5,578 1,391 105 –1,713 –4,306 –6,277 –6,872 –23,250Discretionary included above 1 ......................... 103 486 478 701 757 718 668 3,911

Total outlays .......................................................... –9,215 –7,856 –17,116 –33,990 –50,573 –66,936 –104,196 –289,882Receipts:

Paygo .................................................................. 1,570 11,626 6,215 7,706 10,874 11,508 10,580 60,079Non-Paygo .......................................................... ............ 98 129 131 133 135 137 763

Total receipts ......................................................... 1,570 11,724 6,344 7,837 11,007 11,643 10,717 60,842

1 Includes savings to cover discretionary cap increases that fund administrative costs of implementing welfare reform provisions. Thediscretionary amounts shown in the memorandum are included in the welfare reform totals.

2 Also affects Bureau of Land Management and Forest Service.3 Treatment of proposal for BEA scoring purposes are under review.4 For more detailed estimates on revenue proposals, see Table S–8.

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1531997 BUDGET PROPOSALS

Table S–8. EFFECT OF PROPOSALS ON RECEIPTS(In billions of dollars)

Estimate Total1996–20021996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002

Provide tax relief:Middle Class Bill of Rights:

Provide tax credit for dependent children ..................... –1.1 –9.7 –7.0 –8.9 –10.7 –10.7 –10.6 –58.6Expand Individual Retirement Accounts (IRAs) ........... ........... –1.4 –0.4 –0.7 –1.1 –1.6 –2.5 –7.7Provide tax incentive for education and training ......... –0.2 –5.8 –5.6 –6.2 –7.5 –7.8 –8.0 –41.2

Subtotal, Middle Class Bill of Rights ......................... –1.3 –17.0 –13.0 –15.8 –19.3 –20.0 –21.1 –107.5

Increase expensing for small business .............................. ........... –0.6 –0.5 –0.6 –0.7 –0.9 –0.8 –4.1Provide estate tax relief for small business ...................... ........... ........... –0.2 –0.2 –0.2 –0.2 –0.2 –1.0Simplify pension plan rules 1 ............................................. * –* –0.1 –0.3 –0.3 –0.3 –0.3 –1.4Provide tax incentives for distressed areas ...................... –* –* –0.3 –0.6 –0.8 –0.9 –0.8 –3.4

Subtotal, Provide tax relief ...................................... –1.3 –17.6 –14.1 –17.5 –21.4 –22.4 –23.2 –117.4

Eliminate unwarranted benefits and adopt other revenuemeasures:Disallow interest deduction for corporate-owned life

insurance policy loans ..................................................... ........... 0.6 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.7 0.8 3.9Deny interest deduction on certain debt instruments ..... ........... 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.4 1.3Defer original issue discount deduction on convertible

debt ................................................................................... ........... * * * * * 0.1 0.2Limit dividends-received deduction (DRD):

Reduce DRD to 50 percent .............................................. ........... 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 2.0Modify holding period for DRD ...................................... ........... * * * * * * 0.2Interaction ........................................................................ ........... –* –* –* –* –* –* –*

Extend pro rata disallowance of tax-exempt interestexpense to all corporations ............................................. ........... * 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.5

Require average-cost basis for stocks, securities, etc. ...... ........... 0.6 0.7 0.6 0.7 0.7 0.7 4.1Require recognition of gain on certain stocks, indebted-

ness and partnership interests ....................................... ........... 0.2 –* 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.4Change the treatment of gains and losses on extinguish-

ment .................................................................................. ........... * * * * * * *Require reasonable payment assumptions for interest

accruals on certain debt instruments ............................ ........... 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.1 1.1Require gain recognition for certain extraordinary divi-

dends ................................................................................. ........... –0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3Repeal percentage depletion for non-fuel minerals mined

on Federal and formerly Federal lands ......................... ........... 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.5Modify loss carryback and carryforward rules ................. –* * 0.7 0.8 0.7 0.6 0.6 3.4Treat certain preferred stock as ‘‘boot’’ ............................. ........... 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 * 0.9Repeal tax-free conversions of large C corporations to S

corporations ...................................................................... ........... * * * * * 0.1 0.2Require gain recognition in certain distributions of

controlled corporation stock ............................................ ........... 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.5Reform treatment of certain stock transfers ..................... ........... 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.8Reformulate Puerto Rico and possessions tax credit ....... ........... 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.8 1.0 1.1 3.7Expand Subpart F provisions regarding certain income . ........... * * * * * * 0.2Modify taxation of captive ‘‘insurance’’ companies ........... ........... * * * * * * 0.1Reform foreign tax credit .................................................... ........... 0.2 0.9 1.1 1.0 0.9 0.9 4.9Modify rules relating to foreign oil and gas extraction

income ............................................................................... ........... * * 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.4Require thrifts to account for bad debts in same manner

as banks ........................................................................... ........... 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 1.6Reform depreciation under the income forecast method . ........... 0.1 0.1 0.1 * * * 0.3Phase out preferential tax deferral for certain large

farm corporations required to use accrual accounting . 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.8Initiate inventory reform:

Repeal lower of cost or market method ......................... ........... 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.1 * 1.2

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154 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1997

Table S–8. EFFECT OF PROPOSALS ON RECEIPTS—Continued(In billions of dollars)

Estimate Total1996–20021996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002

Repeal components of cost method ................................ ........... 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 1.1Modify basis adjustment rules under Section 1033 ......... * * * * * * * 0.1Expand requirement that involuntarily converted prop-

erty be replaced with property acquired from an unre-lated party ........................................................................ ........... * * * * * * *

Place further restrictions on like-kind exchanges involv-ing personal property ...................................................... ........... * * * * * * 0.1

Disallow rollover and one-time exclusion on sale of resi-dence to the extent of previously claimed depreciation ........... * * * * * * *

Require registration of certain corporate tax shelters ..... ........... ........... * * * * * *Require reporting of payments to corporations rendering

services to Federal agencies ........................................... ........... * * * * 0.1 0.1 0.3Increase penalties for failure to file correct information

returns .............................................................................. ........... * * * * * * 0.1Extend IRS user fees .......................................................... ........... ........... ........... ........... ........... * * 0.1Apply failure-to-pay penalty to substitute returns .......... * * * * * * * 0.1Repeal exemption for withholding on gambling winnings

from bingo and keno in excess of $5,000 ....................... * * * * * * * *Require tax reporting for payments to attorneys ............. ........... ........... * * * * * *Repeal advance refunds of diesel fuel tax for diesel cars

and light trucks 1 ............................................................. * * * * * * * 0.1Extend oil spill excise tax 1 ................................................. * 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 1.4Impose excise taxes on kerosene as diesel fuel 1 .............. ........... * * * * * * 0.2Permanently extend luxury excise tax on passenger

vehicles 1 ........................................................................... ........... ........... ........... ........... 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.7Extend and modify FUTA provisions:

Extend FUTA surtax 1 ..................................................... ........... ........... ........... 0.8 1.2 1.2 1.2 4.4Accelerate deposit of unemployment insurance taxes .. ........... ........... ........... ........... ........... ........... 1.3 1.3

Subtotal, Eliminate unwarranted benefits ................ 0.1 3.8 5.6 7.5 8.3 8.5 9.9 43.6

Other provisions that affect receipts:Assess fees for examination of FDIC-insured banks and

bank holding companies (receipt effect) 1 ...................... ........... 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.5Expand fees collected under the securities laws .............. ........... 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.4 2.0Establish IRS continuous levy ........................................... ........... 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.1 1.8Extend GSP and modify other trade provisions 1 ............. –0.6 –0.6 –0.5 –0.6 –0.6 –0.3 ........... –3.2Increase deduction for self-employed health insurance ... –* –0.1 –0.1 –0.2 –0.4 –0.5 –0.5 –1.9Increase employee contributions to CSRS and FERS ...... 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 3.4Deter expatriation tax avoidance ....................................... * 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.5 2.3Tighten rules for taxing foreign trusts .............................. 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 2.1Extend corporate environmental tax 2 ............................... ........... 1.0 0.6 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.8 4.5Improve compliance by tax-exempt entities through in-

termediate sanctions and other measures ..................... * * * * * * * *Modify Federal pay raise (receipt effect) ........................... ........... –0.1 –0.1 –0.1 –0.1 –0.1 –0.1 –0.8Provide tax relief to troops in Bosnia ................................ –* –* ........... ........... ........... ........... ........... –*

Subtotal, Other ................................................................ –0.4 1.8 1.8 1.8 1.7 1.9 2.2 10.7

Subtotal, Eliminate unwarranted benefits and otherprovisions that affect receipts ................................. –0.3 5.6 7.3 9.3 10.0 10.3 12.1 54.3

Modify earned income tax credit (EITC) .............................. * 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 2.3

Total effect of proposals 1 .................................................. –1.6 –11.7 –6.3 –7.8 –11.0 –11.6 –10.7 –60.8

(Paygo proposals) ................................................................ (–1.6) (–11.6) (–6.2) (–7.7) (–10.9) (–11.5) (–10.6) (–60.1)(Non-Paygo proposals) ........................................................ ........... (–0.1) (–0.1) (–0.1) (–0.1) (–0.1) (–0.1) (–0.8)

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1551997 BUDGET PROPOSALS

Table S–8. EFFECT OF PROPOSALS ON RECEIPTS—Continued(In billions of dollars)

Estimate Total1996–20021996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002

Extend expired trust fund excise taxes:Extend superfund trust fund excise taxes 1 ...................... 0.1 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 4.2Extend airport and airway trust fund taxes 1 ................... 0.4 4.7 4.9 5.2 5.5 5.9 6.2 32.8Extend LUST trust fund taxes 1 ........................................ * 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.8

Total effect of extending expired trust fund excisetaxes 1 ............................................................................ 0.5 5.5 5.7 6.0 6.3 6.7 7.0 37.7

* $50 million or less.1 Net of income offsets.2 Net of deductibility for income tax purposes.

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156 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1997

Table S–9. SUMMARY OF SUPPLEMENTAL, RESCISSION, AND ADJUSTMENTPROPOSALS

(In millions of dollars)

1996Budget

Authority

Outlays

1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001

Adjustments to 1996 Continuing Resolution Levels:Executive Office of the President ....................................... 1 1 .............. .............. .............. .............. ..............Department of Agriculture .................................................. 2 1 1 .............. .............. .............. ..............Department of Commerce .................................................... 127 25 38 38 26 2 ..............Department of Education .................................................... 2,099 289 1,294 456 56 .............. ..............Department of Energy ......................................................... 38 11 21 6 .............. .............. ..............Department of Health and Human Services ..................... 654 322 257 45 18 5 ..............Department of Housing and Urban Development ............. 685 56 101 137 109 131 53Department of the Interior .................................................. 166 111 54 2 .............. .............. ..............Department of Justice ......................................................... 3 2 .............. .............. .............. .............. ..............Department of Labor ........................................................... 579 114 348 95 24 .............. ..............Department of State ............................................................ 438 430 8 .............. .............. .............. ..............Department of the Treasury ............................................... 12 2 5 5 .............. .............. ..............Department of Veterans Affairs .......................................... 275 195 36 22 16 6 2Environmental Protection Agency ...................................... 966 224 210 190 144 83 43Social Security Administration ........................................... 251 93 158 .............. .............. .............. ..............Other Independent Agencies ............................................... 277 183 65 15 5 2 2

Subtotal, Adjustments to 1996 Continuing Reso-lution Levels ............................................................... 6,573 2,059 2,595 1,011 398 229 100

Discretionary Supplementals:Executive Office of the President ....................................... 3 3 .............. .............. .............. .............. ..............International Security Assistance ...................................... 140 25 67 27 13 8 ..............Agency for International Development .............................. 200 74 126 .............. .............. .............. ..............Department of Agriculture .................................................. 12 12 .............. .............. .............. .............. ..............Department of Defense—Military ....................................... 621 492 82 30 11 1 ..............Department of Energy ......................................................... .............. 4 2 .............. .............. .............. ..............

Subtotal, Supplemental Proposals ........................... 976 610 277 57 24 9 ..............

Total, Increases in Discretionary Programs ............. 7,549 2,669 2,872 1,068 422 238 100

Decreases in Discretionary Programs:Department of Agriculture .................................................. –12 –1 –1 –4 –4 –2 ..............Department of Defense—Military 1 .................................... –1,961 –812 –617 –202 –27 –12 –5General Services Administration ........................................ –3 –2 –1 .............. .............. .............. ..............

Subtotal, Decreases in Discretionary Programs ... –1,976 –815 –619 –206 –31 –14 –5

Total, All Proposals ...................................................... 5,573 1,854 2,253 862 391 224 95

1 In addition to rescissions, this includes a provision that requires the Secretary of Defense to reduce 1996 budget authority by $600million.

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1571997 BUDGET PROPOSALS

Table S–10. DISCRETIONARY PROPOSALS BY APPROPRIATIONS SUBCOMMITTEE(In millions of dollars)

Appropriations Subcommittee1995

Enacted1996

Estimate1997

ProposedChange: 1996 to

1997

BA Outlays BA Outlays BA Outlays BA Outlays

General Purpose Discretionary

Agriculture and Rural Development .............. 13,763 14,014 13,775 14,284 13,957 13,983 182 –301Commerce, Justice, State, and the Judiciary 24,055 24,217 23,835 24,315 26,262 26,038 2,427 1,723Defense ............................................................. 248,633 250,942 240,810 244,360 234,361 238,012 –6,449 –6,348District of Columbia ........................................ 712 714 712 712 770 770 58 58Energy and Water Development .................... 20,181 22,833 19,339 19,824 19,751 19,617 412 –207Foreign Operations .......................................... 13,724 13,195 12,415 13,475 12,961 13,238 546 –237Interior and Related Agencies ........................ 13,668 14,439 12,571 13,301 12,790 13,436 219 135Labor, HHS, and Education ........................... 67,752 68,121 66,987 70,286 71,586 72,450 4,599 2,164Legislative ........................................................ 2,361 2,177 2,193 2,251 2,338 2,323 145 72Military Construction ...................................... 8,820 10,394 11,215 10,552 9,131 10,285 –2,084 –267Transportation and Related Agencies ........... 11,187 36,064 12,418 35,758 12,324 35,130 –94 –628Treasury, Postal Service, and General Gov-

ernment 1 ...................................................... 11,527 12,071 11,432 11,618 12,791 12,521 1,484 984Veterans Affairs, HUD, and Independent

Agencies 1 ...................................................... 66,153 75,784 67,228 77,766 66,350 80,628 –1,003 2,781Allowances ....................................................... 1 1 1 1 1,409 .............. 1,408 –1

Subtotal, General Purpose Discretionary .. 502,537 544,965 494,931 538,503 496,781 538,431 1,850 –72

Violent Crime Reduction Trust Fund(VCRTF)

Commerce, Justice, State, and the Judiciary 2,328 659 3,959 2,026 4,829 3,526 870 1,500Labor, HHS, and Education ........................... 11 4 45 19 61 38 16 19Transportation and Related Agencies ........... .............. .............. .............. .............. 10 1 10 1Treasury, Postal Service, and General Gov-

ernment ........................................................ 39 30 77 73 97 93 20 20Veterans Affairs, HUD, and Independent ..... .............. .............. .............. .............. 3 3 3 3

Subtotal, VCRTF ......................................... 2,378 694 4,081 2,118 5,000 3,661 919 1,543

Total, Discretionary ............................. 504,915 545,659 499,012 540,621 501,781 542,092 2,769 1,471

Memorandum: Amounts Excluded From Budget Resolution Allocations And Not Included Above

Defense ............................................................. .............. .............. 621 492 .............. 82Foreign Operations .......................................... .............. .............. 200 74 .............. 126

Total, Proposed Emergencies ................ .............. .............. 821 566 .............. 208

1 Reflects the proposed shift of Community Development Financial Institutions from the Veterans Affairs, HUD, and Independent Agen-cies subcommittee to the Treasury, Postal Service, and General Government subcommittee in 1997.

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158 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1997

Table S–11. BUDGET PROPOSALS UNDER CBO ASSUMPTIONS(Uses CBO December economic and technical assumptions, in billions of dollars)

Estimate Total1996–20021996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002

Baseline Deficit 1 .............................................. 173.9 181.7 180.8 192.3 200.0 204.4 221.2 1,354.4

Savings:Discretionary ................................................. –8.8 –10.2 –15.6 –35.7 –51.4 –78.9 –96.6 –297.2Mandatory:

Medicare 2 .................................................. –2.6 –5.7 –9.1 –16.6 –22.9 –27.3 –40.1 –124.2Medicaid 3 .................................................. ............. 0.9 –2.0 –6.5 –11.0 –16.1 –24.4 –59.1Welfare reform 4 ........................................ –* –4.7 –6.1 –6.5 –7.1 –7.1 –8.5 –39.9Earned Income Tax Credit (EITC) 5 ........ –* –0.7 –0.8 –0.8 –0.8 –0.9 –0.9 –5.0Other mandatory ...................................... –5.6 –2.2 –1.5 –3.9 –4.3 –6.7 –24.6 –48.9

Total, mandatory ................................... –8.2 –12.4 –19.5 –34.3 –46.1 –58.0 –98.5 –277.2Tax cuts ......................................................... 3.3 13.9 16.0 18.8 25.3 20.0 2.3 99.7Corporate loopholes and other .................... –1.8 –7.5 –9.1 –9.8 –10.4 –11.2 –12.7 –62.4

Total, policy proposal ................................... –15.5 –16.1 –28.2 –61.1 –82.6 –128.1 –205.5 –537.1Debt service .................................................. –0.4 –1.4 –2.6 –5.0 –8.7 –14.3 –23.4 –55.8

Total savings .................................................... –15.9 –17.5 –30.8 –66.1 –91.3 –142.4 –228.8 –592.9Deficit/surplus .................................................. 158.0 164.2 150.0 126.2 108.7 62.1 –7.6 761.5

* $50 million or less.1 OMB has adjusted CBO’s adjusted December baseline to remove the directed scorekeeping of student loan administrative costs and to

reflect the pending Supreme Court review of a lower court decision on accounting ‘‘goodwill.’’ The estimates also reflect legislation enactedsince the December baseline was released, assume Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) adjustments in the consumer price index, and includereleased and proposed emergency appropriations.

2 Includes an additional savings proposal—reforming outpatient department payments to correct the so-called ‘‘formula-driven over-payment’’—to account for technical differences, including different behavioral assumptions and other baseline differences, between theAdministration and CBO.

3 Because of technical baseline differences between the Administration and CBO, a less restrictive per capita index is used in order toachieve $59 billion in savings off of CBO’s December 1995 baseline. Interactions with Medicare and VA health proposals are included in‘‘other mandatory.’’

4 Includes savings to cover discretionary cap increases that fund administrative costs of implementing welfare reform provisions.5 Includes EITC revenues.

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1591997 BUDGET PROPOSALS

Table S–12. BUDGET SUMMARY UNDER CBO ASSUMPTIONS(Uses CBO December economic and technical assumptions, in billions of dollars)

Estimate Total1996–20021996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002

Outlays:Discretionary .......................... 541.2 542.3 539.1 535.7 536.8 526.6 527.1 3,748.8Mandatory:

Social security .................... 349.2 366.8 385.6 405.1 425.5 446.8 469.3 2,848.4Medicare ............................. 173.9 189.2 203.9 216.7 231.9 250.9 263.5 1,529.9Medicaid .............................. 97.2 108.1 116.0 123.4 131.9 141.2 149.0 867.0Other ................................... 178.5 194.5 207.7 218.4 231.4 233.7 228.0 1,492.2

Subtotal, mandatory .......... 798.9 858.6 913.2 963.6 1,020.7 1,072.7 1,109.8 6,737.4Net interest ............................ 243.0 247.7 249.9 249.6 246.7 246.9 246.7 1,730.4

Total outlays .......................... 1,583.1 1,648.6 1,702.1 1,748.9 1,804.2 1,846.1 1,883.6 12,216.6Revenues .................................... 1,425.1 1,484.4 1,552.2 1,622.7 1,695.5 1,784.0 1,891.2 11,455.1

Deficit/surplus ........................... –158.0 –164.2 –150.0 –126.2 –108.7 –62.1 7.6 –761.5

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161

Summaries byAgency/Function

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163

SUMMARIES BY AGENCY/FUNCTION

Table S–13. DISCRETIONARY BUDGET AUTHORITY BY AGENCY(In billions of dollars)

Agency 1993Actual

1994Actual

1995Actual

1996Estimate

1997Proposed

1996–1997Change

1993–1997Change

Legislative Branch ....................................... 2.3 2.3 2.4 2.2 2.4 0.1 0.1The Judiciary ............................................... 2.4 2.5 2.7 2.8 3.2 0.4 0.8Executive Office of the President ............... 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 * –*Funds Appropriated to the President ........ 12.2 1 11.5 12.1 11.1 11.4 0.3 –0.8Agriculture ................................................... 15.6 16.8 15.5 15.1 15.3 0.2 –0.3Commerce ..................................................... 3.2 3.9 4.1 3.8 4.3 0.5 1.0Defense—Military ........................................ 262.6 250.5 257.4 252.6 243.4 –9.2 –19.2Defense—Civil .............................................. 3.9 4.0 3.4 3.3 3.4 0.1 –0.6Education ...................................................... 23.7 24.5 24.5 24.1 25.6 1.5 1.9Energy ........................................................... 19.3 18.7 17.2 16.4 16.3 –0.1 –2.9Health and Human Services ....................... 30.1 33.0 33.3 32.8 35.0 2.2 4.8Housing and Urban Development .............. 25.5 26.3 20.1 20.3 21.7 1.4 –3.9Interior .......................................................... 7.1 7.5 7.2 6.9 7.2 0.3 0.2Justice ........................................................... 9.3 9.5 12.3 14.5 16.4 2.0 7.1Labor ............................................................. 9.9 10.6 9.4 9.8 10.4 0.7 0.5State .............................................................. 5.1 5.4 4.9 4.8 5.0 0.3 –*Transportation ............................................. 13.5 14.5 11.2 12.5 12.5 –* –1.0Treasury ....................................................... 10.1 10.3 10.7 10.5 11.5 1.0 1.4Veterans Affairs ........................................... 16.7 17.7 18.2 18.6 18.9 0.3 2.2Environmental Protection Agency .............. 6.9 6.6 6.0 6.7 7.0 0.3 0.1General Services Administration ................ 0.3 0.6 0.2 0.2 0.7 0.5 0.4National Aeronautics and Space Adminis-

tration ....................................................... 14.3 14.6 13.9 13.8 13.8 –* –0.5Office of Personnel Management ................ 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 * –*Small Business Administration .................. 0.9 1.9 0.8 0.7 0.8 0.1 –0.1Social Security Administration ................... 1.5 1.8 2.4 2.1 2.1 * 0.7Other Independent Agencies ....................... 12.5 16.7 14.9 14.0 11.1 –2.8 –1.4Allowances .................................................... ................. ................. ................. 0.1 1.9 1.8 1.9

Total ............................................................. 509.4 512.1 504.9 499.8 501.8 1.9 –7.6

* $50 million or less.1 Excludes increase of $12.3 billion in International Monetary Fund special drawing rights; authority that does not result in net outlays.

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164 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1997

Table S–14. DISCRETIONARY OUTLAYS BY AGENCY(In billions of dollars)

Agency 1993Actual

1994Actual

1995Actual

1996Estimate

1997Proposed

1996–1997Change

1993–1997Change

Legislative Branch ....................................... 2.3 2.3 2.2 2.3 2.4 0.1 *The Judiciary ............................................... 2.4 2.5 2.7 2.9 3.2 0.3 0.8Executive Office of the President ............... 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 * *Funds Appropriated to the President ........ 13.4 12.1 12.2 12.3 12.1 –0.2 –1.3Agriculture ................................................... 14.6 15.9 15.9 15.6 15.3 –0.4 0.7Commerce ..................................................... 2.9 3.0 3.5 3.9 4.1 0.2 1.2Defense—Military ........................................ 280.1 269.5 261.2 255.3 248.3 –7.0 –31.8Defense—Civil .............................................. 3.4 3.7 3.9 3.6 3.5 –0.1 0.1Education ...................................................... 23.0 22.9 23.1 25.0 25.0 –* 2.0Energy ........................................................... 18.0 19.3 19.7 16.8 16.7 –0.1 –1.3Health and Human Services ....................... 27.7 31.1 32.3 31.9 33.3 1.4 5.6Housing and Urban Development .............. 25.0 27.6 31.8 30.2 33.2 3.0 8.2Interior .......................................................... 7.1 7.3 7.5 7.2 7.3 * 0.2Justice ........................................................... 9.2 9.4 10.3 12.0 14.9 2.9 5.7Labor ............................................................. 9.5 9.8 10.0 10.2 10.2 * 0.7State .............................................................. 5.1 5.3 5.0 5.0 5.0 * –*Transportation ............................................. 32.7 35.1 36.5 36.1 35.4 –0.8 2.6Treasury ....................................................... 9.9 10.1 10.6 10.4 11.3 0.8 1.3Veterans Affairs ........................................... 16.3 17.2 18.0 18.8 19.1 0.4 2.9Environmental Protection Agency .............. 6.1 6.1 6.6 6.5 6.7 0.1 0.6General Services Administration ................ 0.4 0.3 0.6 0.4 0.5 0.1 0.1National Aeronautics and Space Adminis-

tration ....................................................... 14.3 13.7 13.4 14.2 13.7 –0.5 –0.6Office of Personnel Management ................ 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 –* –*Small Business Administration .................. 1.1 1.3 1.3 1.1 0.8 –0.2 –0.3Social Security Administration ................... 4.2 4.4 4.6 4.9 5.4 0.5 1.2Other Independent Agencies ....................... 11.7 13.5 12.3 14.0 14.0 –* 2.2Allowances .................................................... ................. ................. ................. 0.1 0.5 0.4 0.5

Total ............................................................. 541.0 543.9 545.7 541.2 542.3 1.1 1.4

* $50 million or less.

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165SUMMARIES BY AGENCY/FUNCTION

Table S–15. BUDGET AUTHORITY BY AGENCY(In billions of dollars)

Agency 1995Actual

Estimate

1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002

Legislative Branch .................................... 2.7 2.5 2.7 2.7 2.8 2.8 2.9 2.9The Judiciary ............................................ 3.0 3.2 3.6 3.7 3.8 4.0 4.0 4.2Executive Office of the President ............ 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2Funds Appropriated to the President ..... 15.2 9.1 9.1 8.7 8.5 8.8 9.8 10.9Agriculture ................................................ 58.6 54.1 59.0 66.3 67.3 67.7 70.6 75.0Commerce .................................................. 4.0 3.7 4.2 4.4 4.7 5.9 4.2 4.4Defense—Military ..................................... 255.7 251.8 242.6 248.1 254.3 261.7 269.6 276.6Defense—Civil ........................................... 31.4 31.9 33.2 34.1 35.0 35.8 37.2 38.6Education .................................................. 32.4 30.4 30.2 30.7 31.8 32.8 33.8 34.9Energy ....................................................... 15.0 14.3 14.2 13.7 12.1 10.8 12.6 12.6Health and Human Services .................... 302.0 317.2 355.2 378.3 398.5 417.1 441.5 469.2Housing and Urban Development ........... 19.8 17.9 21.9 27.4 29.1 30.5 33.3 36.1Interior ...................................................... 7.5 6.9 7.1 7.1 6.9 6.7 7.0 7.5Justice ........................................................ 12.9 15.4 17.3 18.4 19.5 19.6 18.5 17.5Labor .......................................................... 32.2 34.8 36.5 37.4 38.2 39.3 40.7 42.3State ........................................................... 5.3 5.2 5.5 5.3 5.1 4.9 5.3 5.5Transportation .......................................... 38.1 36.3 41.5 34.5 32.3 30.0 33.3 36.4Treasury .................................................... 353.8 367.1 371.4 372.6 376.1 378.5 379.9 383.0Veterans Affairs ........................................ 38.1 38.6 39.3 38.3 37.1 35.9 38.1 40.5Environmental Protection Agency ........... 5.7 6.5 6.8 6.9 7.1 7.2 7.4 7.6General Services Administration ............ 0.2 0.2 0.7 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1National Aeronautics and Space Admin-

istration .................................................. 13.9 13.8 13.8 13.1 12.4 11.6 12.7 14.0Office of Personnel Management ............. 42.9 43.7 45.9 48.1 50.5 52.9 55.5 58.4Small Business Administration ............... 0.8 1.0 0.8 0.7 0.7 0.6 0.7 0.8Social Security Administration ................ 361.1 377.2 397.8 419.4 439.9 463.9 481.2 507.3

On-Budget .............................................. (33.3) (31.3) (35.4) (39.5) (41.7) (46.5) (43.9) (48.9)Off-Budget ............................................. (327.8) (345.9) (362.4) (380.0) (398.2) (417.4) (437.3) (458.4)

Other Independent Agencies .................... 28.7 29.2 24.3 24.5 23.9 22.3 25.8 26.0

On-Budget .............................................. (26.2) (24.3) (21.1) (21.5) (22.0) (22.1) (23.6) (24.6)Off-Budget ............................................. (2.6) (5.0) (3.2) (3.1) (1.9) (0.3) (2.3) (1.4)

Allowances:Welfare reform ...................................... ............... –0.4 –5.0 –6.5 –6.4 –7.0 –7.1 –8.6Full funding for fixed assets ................ ............... ............... 1.4 ............... ............... ............... ............... ...............Unallocated discretionary fiscal divi-

dend .................................................... ............... ............... ............... ............... ............... ............... 8.7 9.0

Total Allowances ................................... ............... –0.4 –3.6 –6.5 –6.4 –7.0 1.6 0.4

Undistributed Offsetting Receipts ........... –137.6 –139.9 –143.0 –147.6 –152.5 –160.7 –165.8 –191.9

On-Budget .............................................. (–97.9) (–97.1) (–97.0) (–98.0) (–99.4) (–103.4) (–104.2) (–125.4)Off-Budget ............................................. (–39.7) (–42.7) (–46.0) (–49.6) (–53.2) (–57.3) (–61.6) (–66.5)

Total .......................................................... 1,543.3 1,571.6 1,638.4 1,690.9 1,738.9 1,783.7 1,861.8 1,920.9

On-budget .............................................. (1,252.7) (1,263.5) (1,318.8) (1,357.4) (1,391.9) (1,423.4) (1,483.7) (1,527.6)Off-budget .............................................. (290.6) (308.1) (319.6) (333.5) (347.0) (360.4) (378.0) (393.4)

* $50 million or less.

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166 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1997

Table S–16. OUTLAYS BY AGENCY(In billions of dollars)

Agency 1995Actual

Estimate

1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002

Legislative Branch .................................... 2.6 2.7 2.8 2.8 2.9 2.9 3.0 3.0The Judiciary ............................................ 2.9 3.3 3.6 3.6 3.8 3.9 4.0 4.1Executive Office of the President ............ 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2Funds Appropriated to the President ..... 11.2 10.4 10.3 10.1 10.0 9.5 9.4 10.2Agriculture ................................................ 56.7 54.8 55.9 58.0 58.7 59.0 60.8 63.2Commerce .................................................. 3.4 3.8 4.0 4.1 4.6 6.1 4.3 4.3Defense—Military ..................................... 259.6 254.3 247.5 243.9 246.5 253.9 256.6 264.9Defense—Civil ........................................... 31.7 32.3 33.3 33.9 34.7 35.5 36.7 38.2Education .................................................. 31.3 30.4 29.6 28.9 30.0 31.0 32.0 33.1Energy ....................................................... 17.6 14.7 14.6 13.9 12.8 11.6 12.0 11.8Health and Human Services .................... 303.1 327.4 354.3 377.7 397.2 416.3 439.0 465.4Housing and Urban Development ........... 29.0 26.4 32.2 33.2 32.7 30.7 30.0 30.0Interior ...................................................... 7.4 6.9 6.9 6.9 6.9 6.7 6.9 7.3Justice ........................................................ 10.8 13.0 15.6 17.8 18.8 19.6 19.9 18.8Labor .......................................................... 32.1 34.4 35.2 36.1 37.1 38.4 39.7 41.3State ........................................................... 5.3 5.5 5.5 5.4 5.2 5.0 5.2 5.4Transportation .......................................... 38.8 39.0 38.1 37.9 35.9 33.8 33.2 34.5Treasury .................................................... 348.6 365.0 368.9 370.2 373.8 376.1 377.4 380.5Veterans Affairs ........................................ 37.8 37.6 39.8 39.3 37.1 37.4 36.3 40.1Environmental Protection Agency ........... 6.4 6.3 6.5 6.6 6.7 7.0 7.2 7.3General Services Administration ............ 0.7 0.5 0.7 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1National Aeronautics and Space Admin-

istration .................................................. 13.4 14.2 13.7 13.8 12.6 11.9 12.3 13.4Office of Personnel Management ............. 41.3 42.4 44.6 46.7 48.7 51.2 54.0 57.1Small Business Administration ............... 0.7 1.0 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.5Social Security Administration ................ 362.1 377.3 398.1 418.0 438.3 462.1 479.6 505.5

On-Budget .............................................. (31.8) (32.1) (37.0) (39.5) (41.7) (46.5) (43.8) (48.7)Off-Budget ............................................. (330.4) (345.2) (361.1) (378.5) (396.6) (415.7) (435.7) (456.8)

Other Independent Agencies .................... 2.2 9.2 21.2 20.2 20.1 18.8 19.1 19.7

On-Budget .............................................. (4.2) (9.5) (18.5) (20.1) (21.5) (19.3) (20.9) (21.5)Off-Budget ............................................. (–2.0) (–0.3) (2.6) (*) (–1.5) (–0.5) (–1.8) (–1.8)

Allowances:Government-wide debt collection ......... ............... –0.3 –0.1 –0.1 –0.1 –0.1 –0.1 –*Welfare reform ...................................... ............... –0.3 –4.9 –6.5 –6.3 –7.0 –7.1 –8.6Unallocated discretionary fiscal divi-

dend .................................................... ............... ............... ............... ............... ............... ............... 5.2 9.0

Total Allowances ................................... ............... –0.6 –5.0 –6.6 –6.4 –7.1 –2.0 0.3

Undistributed Offsetting Receipts ........... –137.6 –139.9 –143.0 –147.6 –152.5 –160.7 –165.8 –191.9

On-Budget .............................................. (–97.9) (–97.1) (–97.0) (–98.0) (–99.4) (–103.4) (–104.2) (–125.4)Off-Budget ............................................. (–39.7) (–42.7) (–46.0) (–49.6) (–53.2) (–57.3) (–61.6) (–66.5)

Total .......................................................... 1,519.1 1,572.4 1,635.3 1,675.9 1,716.9 1,761.4 1,811.5 1,868.3

On-budget .............................................. (1,230.5) (1,270.3) (1,317.7) (1,346.9) (1,375.0) (1,403.5) (1,439.2) (1,479.8)Off-budget .............................................. (288.7) (302.1) (317.7) (329.0) (342.0) (357.8) (372.3) (388.5)

* $50 million or less.

Page 171: Budget 1997 Budsupp

167SUMMARIES BY AGENCY/FUNCTION

Table S–17. BUDGET AUTHORITY BY FUNCTION(In billions of dollars)

Function 1995Actual

Estimate

1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002

National defense:Department of Defense—Military ........ 255.7 251.8 242.6 248.1 254.3 261.7 269.6 276.6Other ...................................................... 10.7 11.5 11.7 10.7 9.8 8.9 10.0 11.3

Total National defense .......................... 266.3 263.3 254.4 258.8 264.1 270.5 279.6 287.9

International affairs ................................. 25.9 16.3 16.6 15.8 15.2 15.0 16.6 18.2General science, space, and technology .. 16.7 16.7 17.9 16.1 15.3 14.6 15.8 17.2Energy ....................................................... 5.0 2.0 1.4 2.0 1.6 1.2 1.8 0.4Natural resources and environment ....... 21.0 20.7 21.9 21.6 21.2 20.6 21.4 22.6Agriculture ................................................ 8.6 6.9 8.5 8.7 8.1 7.1 7.0 7.9Commerce and housing credit ................. 11.8 9.3 12.1 12.7 12.0 11.6 13.3 13.2

On-Budget .............................................. (9.2) (4.3) (8.9) (9.6) (10.1) (11.3) (11.0) (11.8)Off-Budget ............................................. (2.6) (5.0) (3.2) (3.1) (1.9) (0.3) (2.3) (1.4)

Transportation .......................................... 39.3 37.1 42.5 35.5 33.2 30.9 34.2 37.4Community and regional development ... 13.0 11.9 9.1 8.6 8.3 7.8 8.3 9.3Education, training, employment, and

social services ........................................ 55.6 53.9 55.3 57.1 59.2 60.9 63.7 66.6Health ........................................................ 117.0 110.9 134.7 141.2 146.7 152.1 157.3 163.5Medicare .................................................... 156.5 178.0 189.9 204.7 218.8 230.9 248.1 267.5Income security ......................................... 215.3 220.9 228.8 249.4 260.5 274.1 282.1 296.9Social security ........................................... 333.3 351.6 369.4 387.6 406.4 426.1 446.6 468.3

On-Budget .............................................. (5.5) (5.8) (7.0) (7.6) (8.2) (8.7) (9.3) (9.9)Off-Budget ............................................. (327.8) (345.9) (362.4) (380.0) (398.2) (417.4) (437.3) (458.4)

Veterans benefits and services ................ 38.2 38.8 39.5 38.5 37.2 36.0 38.2 40.7Administration of justice .......................... 18.8 21.3 23.9 24.7 25.6 25.7 25.0 24.4General government ................................. 13.2 13.3 14.8 14.0 14.2 14.4 15.0 15.5Net interest ............................................... 232.2 241.1 238.5 236.1 234.6 229.9 227.0 223.2

On-Budget .............................................. (265.5) (277.5) (277.9) (278.5) (280.1) (278.7) (279.6) (279.8)Off-Budget ............................................. (–33.3) (–36.4) (–39.4) (–42.4) (–45.5) (–48.9) (–52.6) (–56.6)

Allowances ................................................. ............... ............... ............... ............... ............... ............... 8.7 9.0Undistributed offsetting receipts:

Employer share, employee retirement(on-budget) ......................................... –28.0 –27.1 –27.5 –27.7 –29.3 –31.4 –33.7 –35.9

Employer share, employee retirement(off-budget) ......................................... –6.4 –6.3 –6.7 –7.1 –7.7 –8.4 –9.0 –9.9

Rents and royalties on the Outer Con-tinental Shelf ..................................... –2.4 –2.7 –3.1 –2.6 –2.6 –2.6 –2.6 –2.6

Sale of major assets .............................. ............... –1.8 –0.1 ............... ............... ............... ............... –1.9Other undistributed offsetting receipts –7.6 –4.4 –3.6 –5.0 –3.8 –3.1 –2.6 –18.4

Total Undistributed offsetting receipts –44.5 –42.3 –41.0 –42.4 –43.4 –45.5 –47.9 –68.7

On-Budget .............................................. (–38.0) (–36.0) (–34.3) (–35.3) (–35.7) (–37.1) (–38.9) (–58.8)Off-Budget ............................................. (–6.4) (–6.3) (–6.7) (–7.1) (–7.7) (–8.4) (–9.0) (–9.9)

Total .......................................................... 1,543.3 1,571.6 1,638.4 1,690.9 1,738.9 1,783.7 1,861.8 1,920.9

On-budget .............................................. (1,252.7) (1,263.5) (1,318.8) (1,357.4) (1,391.9) (1,423.4) (1,483.7) (1,527.6)Off-budget .............................................. (290.6) (308.1) (319.6) (333.5) (347.0) (360.4) (378.0) (393.4)

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168 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1997

Table S–18. OUTLAYS BY FUNCTION(In billions of dollars)

Function 1995Actual

Estimate

1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002

National defense:Department of Defense—Military ........ 259.4 254.3 247.5 243.9 246.5 253.9 256.6 264.9Other ...................................................... 12.6 11.3 11.3 10.9 10.0 9.1 9.4 10.6

Total National defense .......................... 272.1 265.6 258.7 254.8 256.5 262.9 266.0 275.5

International affairs ................................. 16.4 14.8 15.0 14.4 14.0 13.4 13.5 14.5General science, space, and technology .. 16.7 16.9 16.6 16.6 15.6 14.9 15.3 16.5Energy ....................................................... 4.9 3.2 2.2 1.9 1.9 1.5 1.6 0.3Natural resources and environment ....... 22.1 21.6 21.6 21.0 20.8 20.4 20.8 21.7Agriculture ................................................ 9.8 7.7 7.7 9.0 8.5 7.6 7.4 7.4Commerce and housing credit ................. –14.4 –10.7 5.6 6.4 7.0 6.7 4.5 4.6

On-Budget .............................................. (–12.5) (–10.4) (3.0) (6.4) (8.5) (7.2) (6.4) (6.4)Off-Budget ............................................. (–2.0) (–0.3) (2.6) (0.0) (–1.5) (–0.5) (–1.8) (–1.8)

Transportation .......................................... 39.4 39.8 39.1 38.9 36.9 34.8 34.1 35.5Community and regional development ... 10.6 12.9 11.8 10.5 9.5 8.3 8.0 8.1Education, training, employment, and

social services ........................................ 54.3 54.1 53.5 53.8 55.6 57.2 59.5 62.2Health ........................................................ 115.4 121.2 134.6 141.3 146.6 152.1 156.4 162.2Medicare .................................................... 159.9 177.6 190.1 204.9 218.4 231.1 248.4 267.0Income security ......................................... 220.4 228.3 236.7 244.9 253.4 264.3 269.3 281.6Social security ........................................... 335.8 350.9 368.1 386.2 404.8 424.4 445.0 466.7

On-Budget .............................................. (5.5) (5.8) (7.0) (7.6) (8.2) (8.7) (9.3) (9.9)Off-Budget ............................................. (330.4) (345.2) (361.1) (378.5) (396.6) (415.7) (435.7) (456.8)

Veterans benefits and services ................ 37.9 37.7 39.9 39.4 37.2 37.4 36.4 40.2Administration of justice .......................... 16.2 18.8 22.0 24.0 24.9 25.6 26.1 25.4General government ................................. 13.8 13.6 14.6 14.4 14.2 14.4 14.9 15.5Net interest ............................................... 232.2 241.1 238.5 236.1 234.6 229.9 227.0 223.2

On-Budget .............................................. (265.5) (277.5) (277.9) (278.5) (280.1) (278.7) (279.6) (279.8)Off-Budget ............................................. (–33.3) (–36.4) (–39.4) (–42.4) (–45.5) (–48.9) (–52.6) (–56.6)

Allowances ................................................. ............... –0.3 –0.1 –0.1 –0.1 –0.1 5.1 9.0Undistributed offsetting receipts:

Employer share, employee retirement(on-budget) ......................................... –28.0 –27.1 –27.5 –27.7 –29.3 –31.4 –33.7 –35.9

Employer share, employee retirement(off-budget) ......................................... –6.4 –6.3 –6.7 –7.1 –7.7 –8.4 –9.0 –9.9

Rents and royalties on the Outer Con-tinental Shelf ..................................... –2.4 –2.7 –3.1 –2.6 –2.6 –2.6 –2.6 –2.6

Sale of major assets .............................. ............... –1.8 –0.1 ............... ............... ............... ............... –1.9Other undistributed offsetting receipts –7.6 –4.4 –3.6 –5.0 –3.8 –3.1 –2.6 –18.4

Total Undistributed offsetting receipts –44.5 –42.3 –41.0 –42.4 –43.4 –45.5 –47.9 –68.7

On-Budget .............................................. (–38.0) (–36.0) (–34.3) (–35.3) (–35.7) (–37.1) (–38.9) (–58.8)Off-Budget ............................................. (–6.4) (–6.3) (–6.7) (–7.1) (–7.7) (–8.4) (–9.0) (–9.9)

Total .......................................................... 1,519.1 1,572.4 1,635.3 1,675.9 1,716.9 1,761.4 1,811.5 1,868.3

On-budget .............................................. (1,230.5) (1,270.3) (1,317.7) (1,346.9) (1,375.0) (1,403.5) (1,439.2) (1,479.8)Off-budget .............................................. (288.7) (302.1) (317.7) (329.0) (342.0) (357.8) (372.3) (388.5)

Page 173: Budget 1997 Budsupp

169

Other Summary Tables

Page 174: Budget 1997 Budsupp
Page 175: Budget 1997 Budsupp

171

OTHER SUMMARY TABLES

Table S–19. RECEIPTS BY SOURCE—SUMMARY(In billions of dollars)

Source 1995Actual

Estimate

1996 1997 1998 1998 2000 2001 2002

Individual income taxes ....... 590.2 630.9 645.1 683.4 714.2 748.7 790.0 834.5Corporation income taxes .... 157.0 167.1 185.0 201.7 212.7 225.4 236.7 245.8Social insurance taxes and

contributions ...................... 484.5 507.5 536.2 560.9 589.4 618.8 647.0 679.5On-budget .......................... (133.4) (140.1) (148.2) (154.6) (161.6) (168.8) (175.8) (184.8)Off-budget .......................... (351.1) (367.4) (388.0) (406.3) (427.8) (450.0) (471.2) (494.6)

Excise taxes ........................... 57.5 53.9 59.6 60.4 61.7 62.8 64.2 65.6Estate and gift taxes ............ 14.8 15.9 17.1 18.1 19.5 20.9 22.5 24.1Customs duties ..................... 19.3 19.3 20.5 20.8 20.9 21.9 22.4 24.3Miscellaneous receipts ......... 31.9 32.1 31.8 32.7 34.2 35.3 37.1 38.4

Total receipts .................. 1,355.2 1,426.8 1,495.2 1,577.9 1,652.5 1,733.8 1,819.8 1,912.2On-budget ....................... (1,004.1) (1,059.3) (1,107.2) (1,171.6) (1,224.8) (1,283.9) (1,348.6) (1,417.6)Off-budget ...................... (351.1) (367.4) (388.0) (406.3) (427.8) (450.0) (471.2) (494.6)

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172 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1997

Table S–20. FEDERAL EMPLOYMENT IN THE EXECUTIVE BRANCH(Civilian employment as measured by Full-Time Equivalents, in thousands)

Agency 1993Base

Actual Estimate Change: 1993base to 1997

1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 FTE’s Percent

Cabinet agencies:Agriculture ............................................................. 115.6 114.4 109.8 103.8 105.5 104.6 –11.1 –9.5%Commerce .............................................................. 36.7 36.1 36.0 35.3 35.2 35.5 –1.2 –3.3%Defense—military functions ................................. 931.3 931.8 868.3 821.7 800.0 767.4 –163.9 –17.6%Education ............................................................... 5.0 4.9 4.8 4.8 4.8 4.6 –0.4 –8.1%Energy .................................................................... 20.6 20.3 19.8 19.7 19.7 18.5 –2.1 –10.3%Health and Human Services 1 2 ............................ 64.5 65.6 62.4 59.0 58.5 58.9 –5.6 –8.6%Health and Human Services, exempt FTEs ........ 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.3 0.3 0.3 –0.1 –28.7%Social Security Administration 2 .......................... 65.4 64.8 64.5 64.6 64.8 64.8 –0.6 –0.9%Housing and Urban Development ....................... 13.6 13.3 13.1 12.1 11.9 11.4 –2.2 –16.4%Interior ................................................................... 79.3 78.1 76.3 72.0 70.5 72.2 –7.2 –9.0%Justice .................................................................... 99.4 95.4 95.3 97.9 106.3 112.5 13.1 13.1%Labor ...................................................................... 18.3 18.0 17.5 16.8 16.7 17.1 –1.3 –6.8%State ....................................................................... 26.0 25.6 25.2 23.9 23.7 23.5 –2.5 –9.7%Transportation ....................................................... 70.3 69.1 66.4 63.2 63.9 63.9 –6.5 –9.1%Treasury ................................................................. 166.1 161.1 157.3 157.5 153.3 156.8 –9.3 –5.6%Veterans Affairs 1 .................................................. 227.0 229.1 227.8 223.1 218.2 217.3 –9.7 –4.2%Veterans Affairs, exempt FTEs ............................ 5.4 5.1 5.3 5.4 5.5 5.5 0.2 3.3%

Other agencies (excluding Postal Service):Agency for International Development 1 ............. 4.4 4.1 3.9 3.6 3.4 3.1 –1.3 –29.2%Corps of Engineers ................................................ 29.2 28.4 27.9 27.7 27.6 27.2 –2.0 –6.8%Environmental Protection Agency ....................... 18.6 17.9 17.6 17.5 18.1 18.0 –0.6 –3.3%Equal Employment Opportunity Commission .... 2.9 2.8 2.8 2.8 2.8 3.0 0.2 5.8%Federal Emergency Management Agency ........... 2.7 4.0 4.9 4.6 3.9 4.0 1.2 43.8%Federal Deposit Insurance Corp./Resolution

Trust Corp. ......................................................... 21.6 21.9 20.0 15.7 12.8 9.2 –12.3 –57.1%General Services Administration ......................... 20.6 20.2 19.5 17.0 16.2 14.8 –5.9 –28.4%National Aeronautics and Space Administration 25.7 24.9 23.9 22.4 21.8 21.2 –4.5 –17.5%National Archives and Records Administration . 2.8 2.6 2.6 2.4 2.5 2.5 –0.2 –8.5%National Labor Relations Board .......................... 2.1 2.1 2.1 2.0 2.0 2.0 –0.1 –4.8%National Science Foundation ............................... 1.3 1.2 1.2 1.2 1.3 1.3 –0.1 –6.2%Nuclear Regulatory Commission .......................... 3.4 3.4 3.3 3.2 3.2 3.1 –0.3 –8.3%Office of Personnel Management ......................... 6.2 5.9 5.3 4.2 4.0 3.6 –2.7 –42.7%Panama Canal Commission ................................. 8.7 8.5 8.5 8.8 9.0 9.1 0.4 4.8%Peace Corps ........................................................... 1.3 1.2 1.2 1.2 1.2 1.2 –0.1 –3.4%Railroad Retirement Board .................................. 1.9 1.8 1.7 1.6 1.5 1.4 –0.4 –24.0%Securities and Exchange Commission ................. 2.7 2.7 2.7 2.7 2.8 2.8 –0.1 –2.2%Small Business Administration ........................... 4.0 5.6 6.3 5.7 4.3 4.2 0.2 5.2%Smithsonian Institution ........................................ 5.9 5.5 5.4 5.3 5.3 5.3 –0.6 –10.4%Tennessee Valley Authority ................................. 19.1 17.3 18.6 16.7 16.4 16.4 –2.7 –14.1%United States Information Agency ...................... 8.7 8.3 8.1 7.7 7.3 7.1 –1.6 –18.6%All other small agencies ....................................... 16.1 15.4 15.0 15.1 14.8 14.8 –1.3 –8.3%Allowance for welfare reform 3 ............................. .............. .............. .............. .............. .............. 0.5 0.5 100.0%

Total, Executive Branch civilian employment 2,155.2 2,138.8 2,052.7 1,970.2 1,940.8 1,910.5 –244.7 –11.3%Total, Defense ........................................................... 931.3 931.8 868.3 821.7 800.0 767.4 –163.9 –17.6%Total, Non-Defense ................................................... 1,223.9 1,207.1 1,184.4 1,148.4 1,140.8 1,143.1 –80.8 –6.3%FTEs exempt from Ceiling ....................................... .............. .............. 5.8 5.7 5.9 5.9 .............. ..............Total, Executive Branch subject to Ceiling ............ .............. .............. 2,047.0 1,964.4 1,934.9 1,904.6 .............. ..............FTE Ceiling 4 ............................................................. .............. .............. 2,084.6 2,043.3 2,003.3 1,963.3 .............. ..............

Total FTE reduction from the 1993 base ............ .............. –16.4 –102.5 –185.0 –214.4 –244.7 .............. ..............

1 The Departments of Health and Human Services, Veterans Affairs, and the Agency for International Developmenthave components that are exempt from FTE controls. 2 The Social Security Administration became a separate agency,no longer part of Health and Human Services, on March 31, 1995. 3 This allowance is for an estimated 500 FTEs forthe Social Security Administration to conduct additional continuing disability reviews. 4 FTE limitations are set for theExecutive Branch in the Federal Workforce Restructuring Act of 1994 (P.L. 103–226).

Page 177: Budget 1997 Budsupp

173OTHER SUMMARY TABLES

Table S–21. FEDERAL GOVERNMENT FINANCING AND DEBT 1

(In billions of dollars)

1995Actual

Estimate

1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002

Financing:Surplus or deficit (–) ............................................. –163.9 –145.6 –140.1 –98.0 –64.4 –27.5 8.3 43.9

(On-budget) ........................................................ –226.3 –211.0 –210.4 –175.3 –150.2 –119.7 –90.6 –62.2(Off-budget) ........................................................ 62.4 65.3 70.3 77.3 85.8 92.1 98.9 106.1

Means of financing other than borrowing fromthe public:Changes in: 2

Treasury operating cash balance .................. –2.0 –2.1 .............. .............. .............. .............. .............. ..............Checks outstanding, etc.3 .............................. –2.8 –* –3.3 .............. .............. .............. .............. ..............Deposit fund balances .................................... 0.9 0.1 –1.5 .............. .............. .............. .............. ..............

Seigniorage on coins .......................................... 0.7 0.7 0.6 0.7 0.7 0.8 0.8 0.8Less: Net financing disbursements:

Direct loan financing accounts ...................... –7.0 –17.9 –20.8 –25.2 –27.3 –27.3 –26.7 –25.7Guaranteed loan financing accounts ............ 2.9 –0.4 0.8 –2.0 –2.2 –2.4 –1.9 –1.9

Total, means of financing other than borrow-ing from the public ......................................... –7.4 –19.6 –24.2 –26.5 –28.7 –29.0 –27.8 –26.8

Total, requirement for borrowing from the pub-lic ........................................................................ –171.3 –165.3 –164.3 –124.5 –93.1 –56.5 –19.6 17.1

Change in debt held by the public ....................... 171.3 165.3 164.3 124.5 93.1 56.5 19.6 –17.1

Debt Outstanding, End of Year:Gross Federal debt:

Debt issued by Treasury ................................... 4,894.0 5,172.1 5,465.4 5,720.3 5,948.5 6,154.8 6,330.5 6,477.3Debt issued by other agencies .......................... 27.0 35.2 33.4 30.1 30.0 29.9 29.6 29.2

Total, gross Federal debt .................................. 4,921.0 5,207.3 5,498.9 5,750.4 5,978.5 6,184.7 6,360.2 6,506.5Held by:

Government accounts ........................................ 1,317.6 1,438.6 1,565.8 1,692.9 1,827.9 1,977.6 2,133.5 2,296.8The public. .......................................................... 3,603.4 3,768.7 3,933.0 4,057.5 4,150.6 4,207.1 4,226.7 4,209.6

Federal Reserve Banks .................................. 374.1 .............. .............. .............. .............. .............. .............. ..............Other ............................................................... 3,229.3 .............. .............. .............. .............. .............. .............. ..............

Debt Subject to Statutory Limitation, End ofYear:Debt issued by Treasury ....................................... 4,894.0 5,172.1 5,465.4 5,720.3 5,948.5 6,154.8 6,330.5 6,477.3Less: Treasury debt not subject to limitation 4 ... –15.6 –15.6 –15.6 –15.6 –15.6 –15.6 –15.6 –15.6Agency debt subject to limitation ........................ 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1Adjustment for discount and premium 5 ............. 6.1 6.1 6.1 6.1 6.1 6.1 6.1 6.1

Total, debt subject to statutory limitation 6 ........ 4,884.6 5,162.7 5,456.0 5,710.9 5,939.2 6,145.5 6,321.2 6,467.9

* $50 million or less.1 Treasury securities held by the public and zero-coupon bonds held by Government accounts are almost entirely meas-

ured at sales price plus amortized discount or less amortized premium. Agency debt is almost entirely measured at facevalue. Treasury securities in the Government account series are measured at face value less unrealized discount (if any).

2 A decrease in the Treasury operating cash balance (which is an asset) would be a means of financing the deficit andtherefore have a positive sign. An increase in checks outstanding or deposit fund balances (which are liabilities) would alsobe a means of financing the deficit and therefore have a positive sign.

3 Besides checks outstanding, includes accrued interest payable on Treasury debt, miscellaneous liability accounts,allocations of special drawing rights, and, as an offset, cash and monetary assets other than the Treasury operating cashbalance, miscellaneous asset accounts, and profit on the sale of gold.

4 Consists primarily of Federal Financing Bank debt.5 Consists of unamortized discount (less premium) on public issues of Treasury notes and bonds (other than zero-coupon

bonds) and unrealized discount on Government account series securities.6 The statutory debt limit is $4,900 billion.

Page 178: Budget 1997 Budsupp

174 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1997

Table S–22. COMPARISON OF ECONOMIC ASSUMPTIONS(Calendar years)

Projections

1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002

Real GDP (chain-weighted): 1

1996 Mid-Session Review 2 .......... 2.3 2.3 2.3 2.3 2.3 2.2 2.2CBO December ............................. 2.2 2.3 2.3 2.3 2.3 2.3 2.31997 Budget ................................. 2.2 2.3 2.3 2.3 2.3 2.3 2.3

Chain-weighted GDP PriceIndex: 1

1996 Mid-Session Review 2 .......... 3.1 3.1 3.1 3.1 3.1 3.1 3.1CBO December ............................. 2.7 2.6 2.6 2.6 2.6 2.6 2.61997 Budget ................................. 2.8 2.7 2.7 2.7 2.7 2.7 2.7

Consumer Price Index (all-urban): 1

1996 Mid-Session Review ............ 3.2 3.2 3.2 3.1 3.1 3.1 3.1CBO December ............................. 3.2 3.1 3.0 2.9 2.9 2.9 3.01997 Budget ................................. 3.1 2.9 2.8 2.8 2.8 2.8 2.8

Unemployment rate: 3

1996 Mid-Session Review ............ 5.9 5.8 5.8 5.8 5.8 5.8 5.8CBO December ............................. 5.9 6.0 6.0 6.0 6.0 6.0 6.01997 Budget ................................. 5.7 5.7 5.7 5.7 5.7 5.7 5.7

Interest rates: 3

91-day Treasury bills:1996 Mid-Session Review ........ 5.4 5.2 5.0 4.8 4.6 4.6 4.4CBO December ......................... 5.3 5.0 4.7 4.2 3.9 3.9 3.91997 Budget .............................. 4.9 4.5 4.3 4.2 4.0 4.0 4.0

10-year Treasury notes:1996 Mid-Session Review ........ 6.5 6.6 6.4 6.2 6.0 5.8 5.6CBO December ......................... 5.8 5.6 5.5 5.5 5.5 5.5 5.51997 Budget .............................. 5.6 5.3 5.0 5.0 5.0 5.0 5.0

1 Percent change, fourth quarter over fourth quarter.2 Adjusted to chain-weighted basis.3 Annual averages, percent.

Page 179: Budget 1997 Budsupp

A

Gordon AdamsMarsha D. AdamsGordon P. AgressSteven D. AitkenSusan AlesiRichard M. AllenLois E. AltoftKenneth S. ApfelBarry B. AndersonRobert B. AndersonDonald R. ArbuckleH. Lindsey Arison IIIJohn B. ArthurJeffrey H. AshfordRenee Austin

B

Paul W. BakerSharon A. BarkelooRobert E. BarkerChristina BarnesPamela S. BarrMary C. BarthJohn BassolinoShireif M. BattatRichard B. BavierJean D. BaxterBruce D. BeardGary L. BennethumDeborah L. BenoitRodney G. BentChristoph P. BertramPamela L. BeverlyKeith B. BickelAngela R. BillerbeckJeff BlaylockJill M. BlicksteinJames I. BlountMathew C. BlumJames BodenDebra J. BondConstance J. BowersYvonne T. BowldingMary BowlerBeverly BoydJacqueline BoykinJames Bradford, Jr.Betty I. BradshawNancy BrandelDenise M. BrayJonathan D. BreulAnna M. BriaticoHazel W. BriggsEdward A. BrighamPaul W. BrowerAllan E. BrownJames A. Brown

Kimberly BrownThomas M. BrownPaul BuggAnn M. BurgetKim H. BurkeJohn D. Burnim

CSusan M. CarrMichelle CarterMichael CasellaLester D. CashMary I. CassellWinifred Y. ChangEdward H. ChaseAntonio E. ChavezAnita ChellarajDaniel J. ChenokDavid C. ChildsJennifer ChristensenMargaret B. Davis ChristianDennis R. ChristmasJames P. ChristopoulosMary M. ChuckerelZach ChurchRobert L. CiviakEdward H. ClarkeBarry T. ClendeninRon CogswellWilliam S. Coleman Jr.Debra M. CollinsTeresa L. CollinsNani A. ColorettiSheila ConleyMelissa Y. CookRobert M. CooperDionne M. CopperDaniel J. CorbettJacqueline A. CorsettyDaniel W. CostelloWilliam H. Coughlin, Jr.Michael F. CrowleyJames C. CrutchfieldWilliam P. Curtis

DJosie R. DadeRosemarie W. DalePhilip R. DameRobert G. DamusJ. Michael DanielJames DardenCaroline B. DavisJozelyn DavisPeter O. DavisLorraine DayStacy L. DeanArline P. DellCarol R. Dennis

Aurelia A. DeRubisG. Edward DeseveCheree D. DesimoneEugene J. DevineElizabeth M. DiGennaroMichael J. Discenza, Jr.Arnold E. DonahueRobert J. DonnellyMichele M. DonovanRobert S. DotsonSherron R. DuncanPhilip A. DuSaultNancy J. DuykersMarguerite D. Dyson

E

Jacqueline A. EasleyGary M. EbertEugene M. EbnerTeresa F. EllisonRichard P. Emery Jr.Noah EngelbergMichelle A. EngerRobert EpplinAdrienne C. ErbachJim R. EsqueaMargaret EvansMarilyn EvansTina L. Evans-MitchellRowe EwellQuincy Ewing III

F

Chris FairhallLisa B. FairhallRobert S. FairweatherJeffrey A. FarkasEvan FarleyWilliam R. FeezleJack D. FellowsPatricia A. FerrellJohn W. FieldingDesiree FilipponeJoseph FirscheinJames F. FishElyse H. FitterMichael FitzpatrickDarlene B. FlemingDana L. Flower-LakeKeith J. FontenotJanet R. ForsgrenWanda J. FosterWilliam P. Frazier Andrew S. FreemanStephen M. FrerichsPeter P. Fulford

G

Lisa GaisfordEvett F. GardnerDarlene O. GaymonMichael D. GerichM. Jill GibbonsBrian GillisT.J. GlauthierKenneth G. GlozerMichael L. GoadJo Ellen GodfreyRobert GoldbergJeffrey D. GoldsteinJanet L. GravesArecia A. GraytonMaryanne B. GreenPamela B. GreenRichard E. GreenJack A. GribbenWalter S. Groszyk Jr.Norman E. Gunderson

H

Julie HaasLawrence J. HaasLauren HaberHarvey D. HagmanWilliam A. HalterDianne M. HamPatricia S. HaneyMichelle L. HansonRebecca J. HardyBrenda F. HarperMelinda D. HaskinsDavid J. HaunNicole HaynesDaniel D. HeathRenee P. HelmGregory G. HenryNicolette HighsmithJefferson B. HillTimothy B. HillJanet L. HimlerAdam HoffbergJean W. HolcombeChristine P. HolmesLinda L. HoogeveenEdith D. HopkinsSarah G. HorriganLaura J. HousemanKathy M. HudginsPaul W. HuelskampLawrence W. HushToni S. Hustead

I

Janet IrwinSteven J. Isakowitz

OMB CONTRIBUTORS TO THE 1997 BUDGET

The following personnel contributed to the preparation of this publication. Hundreds, perhapsthousands, of others throughout the Government also deserve credit for their valuable contributions.

181

Page 180: Budget 1997 Budsupp

J

Norwood J. Jackson Jr.Claire Newcomer JacobiLaurence R. JacobsonLisa E. JacobsonE. Irene JamesCarline M. JelsmaCarol D. JenkinsLarry C. JiggettsCarol S. JohnsonDarrell A. JohnsonHeather A. JohnstonMarilyn E. JonesRonald E. JonesJames F. JordanJames J. JukesTheodore A. JumpRobert Justus

K

Barbara F. KahlowPhyllis E. Kaiser-DarkStephen KaneStuart KasdinDavid E. KatagueSally KatzenStanley KaufmanStephanie I. KaufmanJames B. KazelAlex S. KeenanStephan A. KeisterJohn W. KellyKenneth S. KellySteven KelmanAnn H. KendrallRobert O. KerrFarooq A. KhanCharles E. KiefferRobert W. KilpatrickLisa KimballTina M. Kirk-FrankCarole KittiKarin L. KizerLouisa KochRichard H. KodlRaymond P. KogutAlicia K. KolaianCharles S. KonigsbergJohn A. KoskinenLisa KountoupesDeborah F. KramerLori A. KraussBradley W. Kyser

L

Leonard L. LainhartNeil F. LambSarah LaskinEdwin LauBarbara LeeKi LeeAlexandra LehrCameron M. LeuthyPeter LevinJacob J. LewThomas S. LewisRichard A. LichtenbergerTyrone C. LigonHenry E. LilienthalDiane G. Limo

Susanne D. LindRobert E. LitanJenise LittlejohnNeil R. LobronPatrick G. LockeRichard C. LoebBruce D. LongJonna M. LongRon LongoJanet LooneyRandolph M. Lyon

M

Eric L. MacrisLarry D. MagidJennifer E. MainKimberly MaluskiDalton L. MannJudith F. MannKaren A. MarisBernard H. MartinLarry R. MatlackShelly McAllisterAlexander J. McClellandBruce W. McConnellDouglas D. McCormickYvonne A. McCoyMichael J. McDermottKatrina A. McDonaldWilliam N. McLeodWilliam J. McQuaidJames B. MedicaMark D. MenchikWilliam C. MenthKatherine L. MeredithRichard A. MertensSteven M. MertensLinda L. MesarosHarry G. MeyersJames D. MietusMark E. MillerNancy-Ann E. MinJoseph MinarikJanet W. MinklerGinger MoenchDiane MontgomeryJohn B. MooreHarry E. MoranJohn F. Morrall, IIIDavid H. MorrisonDelphine C. MotleyJane T. MoyLydia MunizJames C. MurrMargaret A. MurraySuzanne M. MurrinLeslie S. MustainAnne W. MuttiDavid L. Muzio

N

Robert J. NassifSuneeth NayakC. Spencer Nelms, Jr.Kimberly A. NewmanSheila D. NewmanKevin F. NeylandJames A. NixDesiree C. NobleS. Aromie NoeChristine L. Nolin

Memphis A. NormanDouglas A. Norwood

O

Marcia D. OccomyKashira D. Oldes-HinesMarvis G. OlfusValerie M. Owens

P

William D. PalmerKristen E. PaneraliAnna K. PannellDarrell ParkJacqueline ParrishParashar B. PatelJacqueline M. PeayRobert J. PellicciAlison C. PerkinsKathleen PeroffRonald K. PetersonJohn R. PfeifferCarolyn R. PhelpsRenee PicotJanet S. PillerJoseph G. PipanKeith J. PosenHelen Primo

Q

Scott Quehl

R

John S. RadzikowskiBernice M. RandolphEdward M. ReaFrancis S. RedburnMcGavock D. ReedThomas M. ReillyRosalyn J. RettmanBarbara A. RetzlaffAlan B. RhinesmithJohn M. RichardsonSarah B. RichardsonMichelle S. RichmanIrelene RicksNancy S. RidenourRobert B. RideoutDonna M. RivelliAlice M. RivlinJustine F. RodriguezLara L. RoholtAnnette E. RooneyLynn C. RossElizabeth L. RossmanJohn RoyMartha A. Rubenstein

S

Ashish SahniCynthia R. SalavantisMaria F. SalcedoLisa SalesLaVonne D. SampsonMark S. SandyBruce K. SasserFrederick J. Saunders Jr.Ruth D. SaundersThomas G. Schaaf

Lori R. SchackVictoria A. SchaeferKevin J. ScheidAndrew M. SchoenbachIngrid M. SchroederJohn T. SchuhartKenneth L. SchwartzMark J. SchwartzNancy E. SchwartzArdy D. ScottW. Larry ScottRobyn L. SeatonJasmeet K. SeehraAlbert SeferianFrank J. Seidl IIINeil K. ShapiroDeborah L. ShawAlice S. SheckVanna J. ShieldsAlice E. ShuffieldMary Jo SiclariRonald L. SilbermanAngela C. SimmonsPamula L. SimmsJack A. SmalliganBrian D. SmithBryan R. SmithCynthia SmithPatricia A. SmithShuenae SmithJulie J. SonierShaun D. SpencerKathryn StackThomas P. StackNorman H. StarlerRandolph J. SteerDouglas L. SteigerAlbert F. StidmanCarla B. StoneDennis L. StoutMark S. StregerLisa StuartKelley A. SullivanSylvia SuttonE. S. SwainKimberly Swain

T

Sahar TamanDaniel M. TangherliniVernetta TannerNathan S. TashWendy A. TaylorBeverly B. ThierwechterJohn E. ThompsonCourtney B. TimberlakeNaomi M. TinklepaughElisabeth S. TopelDavid E. TornquistHai M. TranMoon T. TranRobert J. TuccilloDonald L. TuckAnne TumlinsonKathleen M. TurcoRichard J. TurmanKatherine M. Tyer

V

Cynthia A. VallinaOrlando Mike Valore Jr.

182 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1997

Page 181: Budget 1997 Budsupp

Pamela B. VanWieAreletha L. VensonSandra L. ViaPhebe N. VickersAllan VillabrozaFrances W. Von Schilling

W

Victoria A. WachinoJennifer WagnerJoyce M. WakefieldMartha A. WallaceStanley R. WallaceMaureen H. WalshSharon A. WarnerTheodore Wartell

Barbara E. WashingtonMark A. WassermanIratha H. WatersGary WaxmanRebecca A. WayneMark A. WeatherlyBessie M. WeaverTawana F. WebbStephen A. WeiglerJeffrey A. WeinbergDianne M. WellsPhilip R. WengerMichael G. WenkOphelia D. WestLisa F. WesternArnette C. WhiteBarry White

Kim S. WhiteWilliam G. WhiteOra L. WhitmanJoseph S. WholeyLinda K. WiesmanWilliam F. WigginsRoxanne V. WillardNaomi O. WilleyLinda WilliamsDoris J. WingardJoseph M. WireWayne A. WittigChantale WongDaren K. WongLatasha WoodallDavid J. WorzalaAnthony B. Wu

YLouise D. YoungJulia E. Yuille

ZDavid M. ZavadaWendy B. ZenkerRichard ZeoliGail S. ZimmermanDebra ZuvicLeonard B. Zuza

OMB CONTRIBUTORS TO THE 1997 BUDGET 183

Page 182: Budget 1997 Budsupp

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