bucking the trend: integrated, smart, sustainable energy ... · disclosed fund raising amount:...
TRANSCRIPT
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April 2020
Review and outlook of M&A activities in China’s
energy industry in 2019
Bucking the trend: Integrated, smart, sustainable energy investments
Methodology
1
Source of data (Power & Utilities Section)
• The data presented in this section is based on information collected from
ThomsonReuters, Mergermarket, ChinaVenture, Zero2IPO Research, public news and
PwC analysis unless stated otherwise.
The deal volume and value (Power & Utilities Section)
• The deal volume figures presented in this section refer to the number of
deals disclosed, regardless of whether or not the corresponding deal value
is disclosed.
• The deals mentioned in this section include those with a transaction size that is publicly
disclosed in detail. Values are rounded off; Lack of detailed information about transaction
size may affect the completeness of this analysis. For transaction size disclosed in the
form of divisors shown in the table below, we used the corresponding rounded figures in
our calculation and analysis.
• Deal values in the report are presented in Rmb billion unless stated otherwise. In order to
exclude foreign exchange impact, deal values are adjusted to the RMB mid-market
exchange rate announced by the Bank of China on the deal announcement dates.
Source of data (Oil & Gas Section)
• The data presented in this section is based on information compiled by Mergermarket,
public news and PwC analysis unless stated otherwise.
• The deal values in this section are presented in USD1 million unless stated otherwise.
• The deal volume figures presented in this report refer to the number of deals disclosed,
whether or not a value is disclosed for the deal
Investment types
• Deals are categorised as follows:
− “Domestic” means that the investor and the investee are both located in Mainland
China, Hong Kong or Macau
− “Outbound” relates to Chinese investors, including Hong Kong and Macau, investing
in overseas targets
− “Inbound” relates to overseas investors investing in targets located in Mainland
China, Hong Kong or Macau
Disclosed fund raising amount: Converted amount (Rmb)
Hundreds of thousands 500,000
Nearly a million 1,000,000
A few millions 5,000,000
Nearly ten millions 10,000,000
Tens of millions 50,000,000
Nearly a hundred of millions 100,000,000
Hundreds of millions 500,000,000
Industry description
2
Description of power industry sub-sectors
• This report categorizes the power industry into the following sub-sectors:
− Conventional: Includes thermal power (e.g. coal, gas and fuel oil) and
nuclear power
− Renewable: Includes hydropower, solar PV, wind power, new energy
batteries & energy storage, other new energy power generation (e.g.
biomass, waste to energy, geothermal energy and tidal energy), and
integrated power generation (i.e. the target company or asset package
operates multiple types of renewables)
− Transmission and distribution: Includes grid construction investment, and
R&D and manufacturing of power transmission and distribution equipment
Description of utilities industry sub-sectors
• This report categorizes the utilities industry into the following sub-sectors:
− Water: Includes raw water, water supply, water conservation, drainage,
sewage treatment and water resource recycling
− Gas: Includes gas production, transportation and supply. Details on this
sub-sector can be found in the coming report on Oil & Gas
− Heating: Includes the manufacture of urban heating and industrial heating
equipment and the construction and operation of thermal stations
− Other: Includes solid waste, hazardous waste, domestic waste treatment, and
other municipal public services
Description of Oil & Gas industry sub-sectors
• This report categorizes the Oil & Gas industry into the following sub-sectors:
- Upstream: exploration and production
- Midstream: transportation and storage of oil and gas products
- Downstream: oil refining and petrochemicals, gas purification, distribution and
sales of final products (incl. city gas)
- Supply chain: equipment/engineering services/technology related
The above classifications are based on PwC’s understanding of the industry’s
policies and regulations, deal characteristics, and future development trends of the
industry. They do not represent industry standard classifications.
Content
Section 1 — power industry
Overview of 2019 M&A in the power industry 5
Key data at a glance 6
Power M&A market review in 2019 7
Top 10 M&A deals by value in 2019 10
Domestic M&A 11
Outbound M&A 13
Inbound M&A 15
Investment outlook and insight 16
Conventional energy 17
Renewable energy 19
Power transmission and distribution 21
Investment outlook and hotspots 22
Section 2 — utilities industry
Overview of M&A in the utilities industry in 2019 24
Key data at A glance 25
Utilities M&A market review in 2019 26
Water 29
Heating 31
Investment outlook and hotspots 33
Section 3 — oil and gas industry
2019 overview of M&A in oil and gas industry 35
Key data at A glance 37
2019 oil and gas industry M&A market review 38
2019 top ten oil & gas deals 40
Domestic M&A 41
Outbound M&A 44
Inbound M&A 46
Natural gas 48
Investment outlook and hotspots 54
Contact us
3
Integrated energy services that fulfil diversified
energy production and consumption became the
key area of investment in 2019
• With the acceleration of energy transformation and power
system reform, integrated energy services that fulfill
diversified energy production and consumption have
become the focus of energy investment in 2019, engaging
investors especially among state-owned and leading
international energy groups.
• According to deal data disclosed in 2019, two of the top
ten deals involve integrated energy services, signaling the
industry’s interest in exploring and deploying integrated
energy services.
• Integrated energy services blur the boundaries between
different energy sectors. They not only include
comprehensive supply of end products (air conditioning,
heat, electricity, steam, etc.), but also promote
complementarity among different energy types. At the
same time, they emphasize the integration of energy
internet, distributed energy technology, smart grid
technology and energy storage technology, enhancing the
flexibility and integrity of energy production, transmission,
storage, and consumption.
M&A activity soared in renewable energy, while
plunging in the conventional energy sector
• With the ongoing energy transformation, M&A in
renewable energy continues to rise. Disclosed deal
volume and value of renewable energy in 2019 accounted
for 84% and 70% of total deals in the power industry.
These were mainly photovoltaic, wind power and new
energy vehicle battery-related investments.
• As subsidies to the renewable energy sector in China
have gradually been phased out, the industry will shift
from a policy-driven to a market-driven model. In the short
term, the decrease in subsidies will incentivize cost
reductions through technology upgrades and business
scaling, while putting companies under capital and
operating pressure. In the long term, however, investors
will continue to be optimistic about the quality of China’s
renewables sector.
• The conventional energy industry has become less
attractive to investors due to marketization of the power
industry; policies and restrictions; rising environment
protection costs; and competition from wind and solar
power. As a result, deal value plummeted to the lowest
level of the past four years, from Rmb52.6 billion in 2018
to Rmb15.9 billion in 2019.
The COVID-19 epidemic has brought challenges to
the emergency response system of traditional
cities. This may encourage investment in smart city
construction relating to automation, digital
technologies and services
• More than 500 green smart city projects have been
proposed or are under construction as part of the
Government Work Report and the 13th Five-Year Plan, of
which around 290 cities have already been selected as
pilots.
• At the beginning of 2020, the outbreak of COVID-19
caused city shut-downs and regional isolation, which made
apparent the importance of stable and flexible power supply
in the event of disasters. At the same time, it reflected the
necessity of promoting smart city construction.
• In the process of constructing smart cities, technologies that
can improve the intelligence and automation of infrastructure,
such as the Internet of Things, advanced distributed and
energy storage, and big data will be prioritized.
• According to PwC’s recent M&A Market Review of 2019 and
Outlook of 2020, the overall M&A deal value of Chinese
companies in 2019 fell by 14% to USD558.7 billion, marking the
lowest level since 2015. Despite the slowdown in M&A activity in
most industries, deal value in the power industry soared 21% for
an approximate deal value of USD32 billion.
• In our analysis of deals data, we came across the following key
characteristics that surfaced from the recent M&A investment
activities in China’s power industry:
5
Overview of 2019 M&A in the power industry
Key data at a glance
Power industry
Renewable
energy
~84%
SOEs
~44%
20 7358
Domestic
M&A
Outbound
M&A
Inbound
M&A
(Rmb billion)
Note: The average deal value is calculated as the total disclosed deal value/number of deals with disclosed deal value
The deals volume by investor type does not reconcile with total deals volume because of a transaction with undisclosed investor type in
2019. This was therefore excluded from the investment type classification.
Most active sub-sector Renewable Energy
Most active investor State-owned enterprises (SOEs)
Deal value and volume by investment types in 2019
Rmb 222.9 billionTotal deal value in 2019
Up 21%Y.O.Y
386Total deal volume in 2019
Down12%Y.O.Y
Rmb 0.7 billionAverage deal value in 2019
Up 46%Y.O.Y
6
165.1
57.4
0.3
M&A in the power sector by deal value and volume (2016-2019)
(incl. domestic, outbound and inbound deals)
Power M&A market review in 2019
Power — Deal value and volume by energy type (2016-2019)
Source: ChinaVenture, ThomsonReuters, Zero2IPO Research, Mergermarket and PwC analysis
Note: The deal value figures refer only to those deals where a value has been disclosed
Note: In 2017, the total value of deals with a single size> Rmb10 billion was approximately Rmb174.6 billion; after excluding the impact of deals
with a single size> Rmb10 billion, the annual deal value was stable.
2019 Top 5 Power subsectors by deal volume 2019 Proportion of lead investors by deal volume
7
Solar PV
New energy batteries &
energy storage
Other new energy power
generation
Wind power
Thermal power 39
41
43
88
97
(Rmb billion)
51 28
53 16
162 252
122 155
6
66
10 52
476 455
438
386
-
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
400
450
500
-
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
400
2016 2017 2018 2019
Power — conventional Power — Renewable Power–Transmission and distribution Total deal volume
346
219184
223
0.5 0.9 0.5 0.7Avg. disclosed
Value:
Foreign
companies,
1%
SOEs,
44%
Private companies,
33%
PE/VC funds,
19%
Undisclosed,
3%
Power M&A market review in 2019
8
M&A activity at a glance
• M&As in the power industry outperformed the overall market: According to
PwC’s recent M&A market review for 2019 and outlook for 2020, the overall deal
value of Chinese companies’ M&A fell by 14% to USD558.7 billion, marking the
lowest point since 2015. The value of M&A deals in the power industry, however,
increased 21% with a total disclosed deal value of Rmb222.9 billion in 2019. This
is ahead of the entire M&A market (down 14% in 2019). The number of disclosed
deals for the year was 386, a drop of 12% compared to 2018
• The average deal size in the power industry climbed: In 2019, we saw multiple
M&A deals above RMB10 billion. Transactions included the acquisition of Sempra
Americas Bermuda Ltd.’s power grid assets in South America by China Yangtze
Power Co., Ltd. and State Grid China Co., Ltd.; and the privatization of Huaneng
Renewables Corporation Limited (listed in HK) of China Huaneng Group Co., Ltd.
These large-scale deals drove the average deal value in the power industry up
from Rmb500 million in 2018 to Rmb730 million in 2019.
• Continuous transformation of energy structure: With the transformation of the
domestic energy structure, deals in the renewable energy sector have remained
active. The 2019 volume and value of deals in renewables accounted for 84% and
70% respectively of the overall power industry M&As. The activity of conventional
energy deals has decreased significantly, from Rmb52.6 billion in 2018 to
Rmb15.9 billion in 2019.
• SOEs have become the mainstay of M&A in the renewable energy sector:
small and medium-sized companies are facing cash flow challenges from grid
parity pressure and delays in subsidy payout. At the same time, SOEs have been
given more investment autonomy thanks to the issuance of the State Council’s
Notice on Printing and Distributing the List of Authorization and Decentralization of
SASAC of the State Council (Version 2019). SOEs with sufficient funds and
resources have successively upgraded their energy structure by investing in
domestic and foreign renewable energy power plants, moving a step closer
towards becoming international leaders in sustainable energy.
Source: ChinaVenture, ThomsonReuters, Zero2IPO Research, Mergermarket and PwC analysis
Note: The deal value figures refer only to deals with disclosed values
M&A activity at a glance (cont’d)
• Domestic M&A is the main investment type in the power sector, accounting for more than 90% of deal volume in 2019. The
scale of investment increased steadily in 2019, reaching its highest point in recent years. The renewable energy sector
continued to be in the investment spotlight — particularly new energy vehicle battery and solar PV.
• After excluding the outlier impact of two deals of over Rmb10 billion in power transmission and distribution, the volume and
value of outbound deals dropped significantly compared to previous years. Technical investments in new energy vehicle
batteries and energy storage took the lead. This shows that domestic energy companies have started to seek intellectual
property and brand acquisitions in addition to the traditional pursuit of overseas technology breakthroughs.
• With the partial lifting of the ban on foreign investments in China’s renewables sector since 2019, the deal volume of
inbound M&A grew significantly on previous years. Financial and cross-sector investors played a major role, in addition to
international energy companies.
Power — Deal value and volume (2016-2019) (by investment types)
9
M&A in the power sector by deal value and volume (2016-2019)
(incl. domestic, outbound and inbound deals)
Domestic
Outbound
Inbound
Power M&A market review in 2019
(Rmb billion)
61
197
3757
1
0
1
38
42 41
20
6
35
7
157 149 146
165
2016 2017 2018 2019
431 408 392
358
Deal value — Domestic Deal value — Outbound Deal value — Inbound Deal volume
Top 10 deals by value in 2019
Deal Date InvestorInvestor
typeTarget Industry
Investment
Type
Deal value
(Rmb Billion)
09/30/2019 China Yangtze Power Co., Ltd. SOEPower distribution and other assets
of Sempra Energy in Peru
Power
transmission and
distribution/
Renewable
energy
Outbound
25.4
12/10/2019
China Life Insurance Company Limited,
ICBC financial assets investment Co.,
Ltd, ABC financial assets investment
Co., Ltd,Guoxinjian credit equity
investment fund, State Power
Investment Corporation, Zhejiang
Yuneng Energy Development Co., Ltd,
Yunnan energy investment capital
investment Co., Ltd and Goldstone
Investment Limited
SOEQinghai Yellow River Hydropower
Development Co. Ltd.
Renewable
energyDomestic 24.2
10/14/2019 State Grid China Co., Ltd. SOEPower distribution assets of Sempra
Energy in Chilquinta Energía in Chile
Power
transmission and
distribution
Outbound 15.8
09/02/2019 China Huaneng Group Co., Ltd. SOEHuaneng Renewables Corporation
Limited
Renewable
energyDomestic 14.4
12/15/2019 State Grid China Co., Ltd. SOE Oman Electricity
Power
transmission and
distribution
Outbound 7.0
01/22/2019CGN Energy International Holdings
Co., LimitedSOE Enel’s new energy assets in Brazil
Renewable
energyOutbound 5.3
12/26/2019
State Grid Energy Saving Service Co.,
Ltd , Zhongtian Technology Group Co.,
Ltd. , Jiangsu Frontier Electric Power
Technology Co., Ltd. , Shenzhen
Jiyuan Integrated Energy Technology
Service Co., Ltd , Qingkong fanneng
(Jiangsu) Technology Development
Co., Ltd and Daqo Group Co., Ltd
SOE/
Private
State Grid Jiangsu integrated energy
service Co., Ltd
Integrated
energy serviceDomestic 5.1
12/30/2019 China Yangtze Power Co., Ltd. SOE
Yunnan Huadian Jinsha River
Midstream Hydropower Development
Co., Ltd.
Renewable
energyDomestic 4.9
04/20/2019 Zhejiang Huayou Cobalt Co., Ltd PrivateTianjin B&M Science and Technology
Joint-Stock Co., Ltd.
Renewable
energyDomestic 3.2
12/20/2019Guangdong Hengjian Investment
Holding Co., Ltd. SOE East Group Co.,Ltd
Integrated
energy serviceDomestic 3.1
10
• In 2019, large-scale deals were concentrated in the cross-border power transmission
and distribution sector and the renewable energy sector. Two deals involving
integrated energy services indicate growing interest on the part of investors.
• SOEs continued to be the main players in large-scale deals. China Yangtze Power
Co., Ltd. and State Grid China Co., Ltd. remained active in the M&A market in 2019.
Top 10 deals by value in 2019
40 21
37 16
113 122
106 146
3 6
2 3
431 408
392
358
-
50
100
150
200
250
2016 2017 2018 2019
Power — Conventional Power — Renewable Power — Transmission and distribution Total deal volume
Domestic M&A
Power — Domestic M&A by deal value and volume (2016-2019)
Domestic power M&A deal investors in 2019
(by deal volume)
2019 top 5 active sectors of domestic power M&A
by deal volume
Domestic M&A in the power sector by deal value and volume (2016-2019)
11
Source: ChinaVenture, ThomsonReuters, Zero2IPO Research, Mergermarket and PwC analysis
Note: The deal value figures refer only to deals with disclosed values
Investment in Power industry,
41%
Technology, 4%
Manufacturing, 9%
Real estate and construction, 3%
Business services, 13%
Others, 9%
37
38
38
81
88
Other new energy powergeneration
Thermal power
Wind power
Solar PV
New energy vehicle battery
Investors in
2019
0.4 0.4 0.4 0.6Avg. disclosed
value:
Financial,
21%
(Rmb billion)
M&A activity at a glance
1. Market activity
In 2019, there were 358 power-related domestic deals in
China, with a total value of Rmb165.1 billion, the highest
since 2016. In terms of sub-sector, investments in
conventional power, renewable energy, and power
transmission and distribution accounted for 11%, 84% and
5% respectively.
Average deal value in 2019 (Rmb570 million) was slightly
higher than in the past three years. The majority of deals
were in the Rmb100 million to Rmb1 billion range.
2. Investor type
41% of domestic power deals in 2019 were carried out by
investors from within the power industry, down from the
2018 level of 45%. At the same time, we observed that, with
the rise of integrated energy services, cross-sector
investors from the business service and technology
industry have shown growing interest in the supply side
of power distribution (such investments accounted for
17% of the total)
SOEs were the mainstay of domestic M&A, driven by
factors such as 1) cash flow challenges resulting from grid
parity pressure and delayed payout of subsidies faced by small
and medium-sized power plants; and 2) investment autonomy
of SOEs granted by newly established policies. SOEs with
sufficient resources have managed to successfully upgrade
their energy structure through M&As in the domestic market.
3. Major sub-sectors
Among power sub-sectors, new energy vehicle battery supply
was the most popular. Affected by the phase-out of subsidies
for new energy vehicles, the number of deals in 2019
decreased slightly compared to the previous three years (113
in 2016, 97 in 2017, and 92 in 2018). However, in January
2020, Minister of Industry and Information Technology Miao
Wei announced that the phase out of subsidies will
temporarily decelerate in 2020. Activity level in new energy
vehicle battery M&A, as a result, may pick up in 2020.
The deals market in solar PV and wind power remained
active in 2019 (a total of 119 deals), focused largely on power
plant deals. In the whole year, there were 83 deals made up
of 51 solar PV power stations and 32 wind power stations.
12
Domestic M&A
“Subsidies and the uncertainty of payment are the
biggest risks of power plant investment at present.
However, with the coming of ‘grid parity’ age, the
investment return on power plant will be more
predictable and stable, which will stimulate the
investment interest. Solar and wind power
industries will be completely transformed to market-
based competition in the future with enormous
growth prospect. Leading companies in the wind
power and solar industries are expected to further
expand their market share due to scale effects, and
backward capacity will be phased out after the
retreat of subsidies. ”
Sunshine Law Firm ERE Research Center
12
Source: ThomsonReuters, ChinaVenture, Mergermarket, Zero2IPO Research and PwC analysis
6
5
3
2
2
2019 outbound investment destination by deal volume 2019 Top 5 Outbound M&A subsectors by deal volume
Outbound M&A
13
New energy vehicle battery
Solar PV
Power transmission and
distribution
Wind power
Hydropower
11 6 15 -
48
130
15
9
3
61
7 48
38
42 41
20
-
50
100
150
200
250
2016 2017 2018 2019
Power — Conventional Power — Renewable Power — Transmission and distribution Total deal volume
Belt & road counties, 35%
USA, 10%
Brazil, 10%Germany,
5%
UK, 10%
Others, 30%
1.9 6.0 1.2 4.8Avg. disclosed
value:
Outbound M&A in the power sector by deal value and volume (2016-2019)
Power — Outbound M&A by deal value and volume (2016-2019)
(Rmb billion)
M&A activity at a glance
1. Market activity
In 2019, there were 20 outbound M&A deals in the power
industry, with a total deal value of more than Rmb57.4 billion.
The number of deals was less than half that in 2018. After
excluding the two megadeals (> 10bn), the total value of
disclosed deals (Rmb16.2 billion) in 2019 was more than
60% lower than 2018.
The volume and value of outbound deals declined
significantly. Amid political tensions on cross-border M&A
and Sino-US trade friction, the volume and value of outbound
M&A dropped significantly, especially in the conventional
power generation sector. However, this may not be the case
for outbound investment in the renewables sectors in the
years to come. As single deal transactions are small scale,
there is little political scrutiny. Also, Chinese companies have
been motivated to seek core technology, intellectual property
and brands in overseas markets in recent years to achieve
technological breakthroughs and leapfrog development.
2. Major outbound market
Of the 20 outbound M&A deals that took place in 2019, seven
were investments in countries along the Belt and Road with
deal value totalingRmb10 billion. In addition, there were two
investments in the US market, all of which were in new
energy vehicle batteries and energy storage technologies.
3. Major sub-sectors
By sub-sector, new energy vehicle batteries and energy storage
were the most popular industries for outbound M&A. Overseas
solar PV and wind power stations were also hot spots for
investors’ overseas market expansion and resource allocation.
4. Megadeals
The two megadeals (>10bn) that occurred in the power
transmission and distribution sector in 2019 were the separate
purchases of Sempra Energy’s power distribution assets in
Peru and Chile by Yangtze Power and State Grid China Co.,
Ltd., respectively. Sempra Energy is listed on the New York
Stock Exchange in the US. The above two deals are
indications that SOEs are expanding into overseas markets.
After the initial layout of overseas power plants and integration
of power transmission, distribution and sales will follow.
14
Outbound M&A
Inbound M&A
M&A activity at a glance
Disclosure of inbound M&A activities was limited. There were seven deals in 2019, with a
disclosed value of Rmb321 million, a decline from 2018. Most of the inbound deals were in the
renewable energy sector, with a disclosed deal value of Rmb318 million.
Some of the medium and large sized deals include:
• Shah Capital Opportunities Fund’s increase of its holding of new shares of Renesola
Zhejiang Ltd. with Rmb78 million;
• ITOCHU Corporation’s investment in 20% of the shares to subscribe for the third-party
private placement of Shenzhen Pandpower Co., Ltd., a recycling technology service provider
for vehicle batteries;
• BP group’s investment in series-A financing of PowerShare, a start-up company for China’s
electric vehicle charging platform.
Compared with previous years, 2019 witnessed more direct and indirect participation by
foreign financial investors in inbound M&A deals. Of particular note is Powershare, the first
direct investment in China by BP using its venture capital platform, BP Ventures. This also
reflects foreign companies’ close attention to the domestic energy sector and the continuous
innovation in deal structures for them to realize desirable deals.
15
1. Key drivers
We believe that the gradual
implementation of policies in the
domestic renewable energy sector,
abundant renewable energy resources,
and international layout of overseas
companies and funds have driven
overseas companies’ mergers and
acquisitions in the Chinese market.
2. Policy review
• In order to promote the development
of renewable energy, the government
has been providing support through a
series of policies, including direct
investment subsidies or policy
preferences, tax incentives and
reductions, and low-interest loans.
The most direct and effective is the
national direct subsidy policy, which
has attracted many domestic and
foreign investors to the renewable
energy sector in recent years.
• On June 30, 2019, the National
Development and Reform
Commission (NDRC) and the
Ministry of Commerce published the
Catalogue of Industries for
Encouraging Foreign Investments
(2019 version), which significantly
lowered the threshold for foreign
investment. The new edition
encourages foreign companies to
invest in electric power-related
business listed in the new
industrial catalogue, which
includes various types of
renewable energy power stations;
district energy projects powered
by renewable energy; and
construction and operation of key
components, charging stations
and battery replacement stations
for new energy vehicles. The
revised policy not only shows the
government’s determination to
promote foreign investments, but
also significantly relaxes the
restriction on access for foreign
companies. The policies encouraged
foreign capital inflow into
environmental protection and energy
saving, advancing manufacturing and
high technologies.
• In July 2019, the NDRC and the
Ministry of Commerce issued the
Special Management Measures
(Negative List) for Foreign
Investment Access (Version 2019). In
the list, except for construction and
operation of nuclear power stations
which must be controlled by Chinese
companies, there are no limitations
on the power industry. This list
demonstrates China’s determination
to continue opening up the market.
• In December 2019, the Ministry of
Industry and Information Technology
(MIIT) issued the New Energy Vehicle
Industry Development Plan (2021-
2035) (draft), which outlines the goal of
fostering new advantages through
international cooperation and
competition while integrating global
industry into the domestic market. The
draft further encourages companies in
fields such as complete vehicles and
parts, the Internet, data and
communications to form alliances in
developing the full value chain of
power batteries.
3. Opportunities and challenges
• According to the state development
plan, China aims to achieve grid parity
and phase out subsidies for solar and
wind power by 2020. In January 2020,
the National Energy Administration
released a construction plan for wind
and solar PV power generation projects
in 2020. The plan will promote the
construction of affordable grid-
connected projects, prioritizing support
for voluntary conversion of wind power
projects that have been connected to
the grid or projects that require national
financial subsidy during the valid
period. This reform, in the short term,
will affect the profit margins of wind
power and solar PV power generation,
but in the long run it will set the market-
oriented new energy sector on a
sustainable path.
• Relaxation of regulations and
incentives from the government have
encouraged collaboration between
foreign and Chinese companies in
energy projects. For example,
É lectricité de France S.A. became
the first foreign company to invest in
China’s offshore wind power in April
2019. Oil and gas giants and non-
energy companies around the world
are actively seeking investment
opportunities in renewable energy as
part of their business transformation.
PwC Views“
Domestic M&A
Outbound M&A
We expect the following features in outbound M&A in 2020:
• In the context of the ongoing tension between China
and the US, the US continues to enforce security
scrutiny of Chinese companies’ investments in the
US, which may lead to rising uncertainties for Chinese
investments in technology-related industries in Europe
and US. This may further impact large-scale deals in the
energy industry.
• As an important promoter of the Belt & Road Initiative
(BRI), China has entered into energy partnerships with
30 member countries, indicating that transnational
energy cooperation is still a key focus. In the medium to
long term, the Chinese government will likely continue to
support domestic companies investing overseas.
Chinese enterprises may expand their market in
underdeveloped Belt & Road regions by promoting
power grid interconnectivity projects and providing
comprehensive solutions.
• In response to the pressure and challenges created by
grid parity, Chinese companies have not only been
building up their in-house R&D, but have also been
keen on importing core energy technology from
overseas. Companies have also been shifting the focus
of their overseas investments to brands and advanced
technologies in an aim to reduce cost.
• While SOEs continue to play an important role in
driving large to medium outbound M&As, diversified
investors such as private companies and industry
funds will also come into play. While SOEs are
usually better placed in terms of resources to engage in
high-barrier outbound M&As, private companies and
investment funds can share in investments in the wind
and solar energy sector, due to the moderate investment
size and considerable profitability in these areas.
• As the power transmission and distribution sector has
abundant power stations deployed overseas, we expect
subsequent M&A activities in integrating the
transmission and distribution along the upstream or
downstream segments of the industrial chain.
Investment outlook and insight
We expect that domestic M&A will grow steadily:
• Due to the outbreak of the COVID-19 epidemic,
businesses across the country have been suspended to
various degrees, which has resulted in considerable
losses for power and energy related industries. However,
we believe that the epidemic will enhance society’s
disaster awareness and preparedness, and the power
industry will further explore and innovate its current
heavy asset structure to become more risk resilient.
• Investments in sub-sectors, such as wind power and
solar PV, as well as new energy mobility will remain
active. The delayed payout of subsidies in the domestic
renewable energy sector might continue to be an issue.
It may create ongoing financing and cash flow
challenges for small to medium-sized investors, which
will further limit their investing activities in renewables. In
light of policy relaxation regarding SOEs’ investment
autonomy, we predict that they will continue to play a
leading role in future M&As in the renewable sector.
• From the top ten M&A deals in the power industry in
2019, we note the emergence of the power industry in
integrated energy services: the acquisition of East Group
Co., Ltd by Guangdong Hengjian Investment Holding
Co., Ltd.; the investment in State Grid Jiangsu
Integrated Energy Service Co., Ltd led by Zhongtian
Technology Group Co., Ltd. and Jiangsu Frontier
Electric Power Technology Co., Ltd. both signal the
power companies’ strategic rollout in integrated energy
services. At the same time, investors in the professional
services and Internet-related sector have also started
seeking opportunities in integrated energy services
thanks to the inclusive and multi-dimensional nature of
this sector. In line with the country’s advocacy of
energy efficiency, we expect a continued boom in
integrated energy services investments.
16
Due to geopolitical tensions, subsidy phase-out and grid
parity, we do not foresee a huge change in the total volume
and value of inbound deals in 2020. Foreign investors (both
strategic and financial) may show sustained interest in
China’s renewables sector, and therefore continue to
explore innovative deal structure and products/services
offering to enter the market. Examples include the
continued penetration by the Dutch oil giant Shell into
China’s hydrogen industry and hydrogen refueling stations;
and the energy funds established by Apple, Total, etc. in the
Chinese power M&A market.
Inbound M&A
60 56 55 39
Conventional Energy — Deal value and volume (2016-2019)
Conventional energy
Source: ThomsonReuters, ChinaVenture, Mergermarket, PE Data and PwC analysis
Note: The deal value figures refer only to deals where a value has been disclosed
M&A in Conventional Energy sector by deal value and volume (2016-2019)
17
1. M&A Overview
The conventional energy sector includes thermal and nuclear power. In the 13th Five-Year Plan for Power Development issued
by the NDRC and the National Energy Administration, it is clearly stated that in order to promote clean energy, coal-fired power
transformation will be carried out intensively and construction of new coal power plants will be strictly controlled. As the new
instalment of coal-fired power plants is restricted, M&A in existing installed capacity has been inactive.
Since 2016, the value and volume of deals in the conventional energy market have been on the decline. In 2019, deal value in
this sector hit the lowest level in the reporting period. Specifically, there were 39 M&A announced in the thermal power
sector, with deal value totalling Rmb15.2 billion in 2019. Two deals were announced in the nuclear power sector, with an
accumulated deal value of Rmb0.7 billion. Compared to 2018, the volume and value of M&A in the conventional energy sector
decreased by 29% and 70%, respectively.
Conventional
Energy M&A
deal volume
45
28 35
15
6
-
18
1
-
10
20
30
40
50
60
2016 2017 2018 2019
Thermal power Nuclear power
PwC Views“
(Rmb billion)
M&A Characteristics
In light of policy support for energy structure transformation,
there has been a strong buyer’s market for conventional
energy. Investors are less motivated to invest in conventional
energy assets and have higher quality standards. These
trends have led 2019 M&As in the conventional energy sector
to feature discounts in transaction price and concentration in
investor types:
1. The transaction price of deals in the conventional energy
sector has continued to decline; large state-owned
enterprises have been drawn to policy-incentivized
investment opportunities in the new energy power
generation sector. Apart from the policy orientation,
business performance in many conventional power
stations was not promising. Among listed thermal power
companies, the average PB ratio was only about 0.7x, with
further discounts offered in transactions involving
conventional energy after considering unfavorable factors
such as small power capacity and lack of market demand.
2. SOEs continue to play the major role in the conventional
energy sector. Business integration has become the major
driving force for companies to buy and sell businesses in
this sector. This can be explained by the top-down energy
reform that has further reduced the room for additional
conventional energy capacity. This makes it difficult for
conventional energy companies to grow from within,
therefore incentivizing them to either restructure or pursue
vertical and/or horizontal integration.
3. Unlike typical cross-border deals in the conventional
energy sector from 2016 to 2018, only a few took place in
2019. Guangdong Yudean Group Co., Ltd. and YTL
Power International Berhad invested in Attarat Power
Company in 2016, Chow Tai Fook Group invested in an
Australian energy company called Anlinta in 2017, and
Taikang Life invested in a nuclear power project in the
United Kingdom called Hinckley C in 2018. However,
transaction volume dropped in 2019, possibly caused by
1) SOEs, which had once been the main force behind
overseas conventional power deals, have gradually
shifted their investment focus to renewable energy and
clean energy; and 2) developing countries that have
become more environmentally conscious, making it more
difficult to invest in thermal power green field projects.
4. With the start of construction of the Guangdong
Taipingling and Fujian Zhangzhou Plants, China’s
nuclear power sector showed encouraging signs of
activity after three sluggish years. However, M&A volume
and value in this sector still remained low in 2019. Deals
mainly covered SOEs’ internal asset reorganization. As
barriers to entry are high in this subsector, and nuclear
power is not the focus of energy structure transformation,
we expect M&A activity in the nuclear sector to remain
broadly stable in the future.
18
Types of investors in Conventional Energy sector
by deal volume in 2019
SOEs, 63%
Others, 5%
Conventional energy
Private
companies,
27%
PE/VC funds,
5%
41 72
15 24
36
63
31 25
27
41
34 26
30
16
12 26
7
47
19 44
20
12
10
11
-
50
100
150
200
250
300
2016 2017 2018 2019
Hydropower Solar PV New energy vehicle battery
Wind power Integrated power generation Other new energy power generation
162
252
122
155
Renewable energy
Source: data from Thomson Reuters, Chinaventure, Mergermarket, PE Data and PWC analysis
Note: Deal value is calculated on the basis of disclosed value.
M&A in Renewable Energy sector by deal value and volume (2016-2019)
19
M&A Overview
Renewable energy includes hydropower, solar PV, wind power, new energy vehicle battery and energy storage, other new
energy power generation (biomass, waste to energy, geothermal energy, tidal energy etc.), integrated power generation (the
target company or asset package operates multiple renewable energy types).
In 2019, there were 326 announced M&A deals in the renewable energy sector, with an accumulated deal value of Rmb155.4
billion, an increase of approximately 28% over 2018. By subsector, wind power and hydropower deals collectively accounted for
32% of the total deal value in renewables energy, marking an increase of 9% from 2018 and proving that the policy incentives
under the 13th Five-Year Plan have been effective. Meanwhile, the new energy vehicle battery and energy storage subsector
has also taken a major stake in the renewable energy sector. This subsector recorded 97 deals in 2019, with a deal value of
about Rmb25.9 billion, accounting for 17% of total deal value in renewables.
Renewable Energy — Deal value and volume (2016-2019)
388 370 362 326
Renewable
Energy M&A
deal volume
PwC Views“
(Rmb billion)
Amid continued cost reduction in the wind and solar power
sector, grid parity, and government’s policies supporting energy
transformation, conventional energy companies have
successively made their way into the renewable energy sector.
1) In 2019, SOEs were involved in 137 deals in this sector,
accounting for 42% of the total deal volume. Specifically,
SOE investors were interested in hydropower stations
and wind farms, mainly in southwestern China such as
Yunnan, Guizhou, and Sichuan. Major power enterprises
have been actively rolling out the government’s energy
strategies, promoting energy reform from the supply side
and expanding the capacity in renewable energy power
generation through M&As. This was evidenced by
Yunnan Huadian Power Generation Co., Ltd.’s
acquisition of Yunnan Huadian Jinsha River Midstream
Hydropower Development Co., Ltd. for Rmb6.1 billion in
2019, and Huaneng Lancang Hydropower Co., Ltd.’s
Rmb2 billion payment for an 11% stake in Yunnan
Huadian Jinsha River Midstream Hydropower
Development Co., Ltd.
2) The rise of electric vehicles has catalyzed the deals
market along the battery and energy storage value chain,
resulting in noteworthy deal volume and values in
relevant subsectors. These include lithium batteries,
charging pile manufacturing, hydrogen fuel cells, new
energy charging stations, and used battery recycling. In
2017, deal value for this sector increased by 50% year-
on-year, followed by a plunge in 2018 due to license
restrictions and subsidy phase-out. In January 2020,
however, the Ministry of Industry and Information
Technology signaled a slowdown of subsidy phase-out,
which is expected to boost the M&A activity in the sector.
3) Although the integrated power generation subsector
recorded a less significant number in deal volume, its
deal value accounted for the highest share in the
renewable energy sector. This resulted from the
continued restructuring of assets and management by the
top five SOEs in power generation to be better positioned
in the renewables sector, and large outbound megadeals
that usually cover multiple types of power generation.
4) As for the investment model of renewable energy,
innovative models are continuously emerging, such as
the “Public-Private-Cooperated” funds; through the
cooperation with private capital, SOEs are enabled to
access to more projects, while private investors are
benefiting from SOEs’ bankroll and technology strengths.
Both parties are taking advantages from each other,
securing not only the quality of project, but also the future
exit path for private capital
20
Types of investors in Renewable Energy sector by
deal volume in 2019
SOEs, 42%
Others, 25%
Renewable energy
Private companies,
33%
“Through M&A activities in the renewable energy
sector in 2019, we’ve seen SOEs, as the main
force in the deal market, established new energy
funds that cooperate with private capital… Both
parties are enabled to fully display respective
advantages and avoid their own disadvantages …
In the future, similar structure will be copied and
optimized in renewable energy investment.”
Brian Feng
Chief consultant of renewable energy from
Tianfeng Tianrui (“TFTR”) Investment, Founder of
the Renewable Alliance
1. M&A Overview
The 13th Five-Year Plan for Power
Development emphasizes the need to:
1) enhance the capacity of the power
grid and build a west-to-east power
transmission channel using both
ultra-high voltage power transmission
and standard transmission
technologies, with an additional
capacity of 130 million kilowatts, to
reach a total of 270 million kilowatts;
and 2) control construction costs and
improve operation efficiency of the
power grid. Following the
announcement of the plan, China has
added 92,000 kilometers of the
transmission channel with 500 KV+ AC
lines and 920 million KVA capacity.
From 2016 to 2019, M&A deals in the
power transmission and distribution
sector dipped but then recovered The
deal volume has been relatively stable
in the past two years, after peaking in
2017. There were 19 deals announced
in the sector, with an accumulated deal
value of Rmb51.6 billion. Two
cross-border M&A deals by state-owned
enterprises were the largest deals in the
sector this year. However, these were
extraordinary, and unlikely to reoccur in
the coming years. After excluding them,
the annual announced deal value in
2019 was about Rmb10.4 billion.
Strategic investors continued to
dominate the sector, accounting for
71% of the 19 deals .
2. M&A Characteristics
M&A in the power transmission and
distribution sector, 2019:
1) SOE-led outbound M&A was far
larger than domestic deals. There
were two cross-border M&A deals
in 2019: Yangtze Power’s purchase
of distribution assets in Peru of
Sempra Energy for Rmb25.4
billion; and the State Grid’s
acquisition of a 100% equity stake
in Chile’s third largest distribution
group for Rmb15.8 billion. Large
state-owned enterprises entered
overseas markets through cross-
border M&A to achieve a
comprehensive coverage of
overseas markets.
2) Vertical integration has become the
main motivation of domestic
strategic investors. In 2019
domestic transmission and
distribution sector deals, strategic
investors were mostly from
industries such as power,
infrastructure and engineering
construction. Through the merger
and acquisition of power
transmission and distribution
companies, investors could
potentially benefit from the
synergies of power generation and
distribution, realizing optimal
resource allocation and diversified
risk portfolios.
M&A in power transmission and distribution sector by deal value and volume (2016-2019)
M&A in power transmission and distribution sector by deal value and
volume (2016-2019)
Power transmission and distribution
21
6
66
10
52
18
29
18 19
(20)
(10)
-
10
20
30
-
20
40
60
80
100
2016 2017 2018 2019
Power transmission and distribution Total deal volume
PwC Views“
(Rmb billion)
Integrated energy services
Along with developments in information technology,
advances in renewables, and reform of energy structure,
integrated energy services have become a solution to reduce
cost and increase efficiency. State Grid and China Southern
Power Grid, two major power grid SOEs, took the lead in
launching the integrated energy service development plan in
2019, encouraged by government policies. Aside from power-
related companies, Internet and commercial service
companies may also seek opportunities to invest in power-
related supply side assets that match their portfolios or
strategies, given the wide range of businesses in integrated
energy services.
Investment hotspots:Integrated energy supply and
utilization (including electricity, heating, cooling and
steam), Energy saving, Intelligent building system
solutions
Waste heat utilization and
co-generation
Along with the government’s support for energy efficiency,
large thermal power companies have adopted approaches
such as waste heat utilization and heating concessions, given
their continued losses and valuation discounts in
conventional energy. The co-generation of heat and power
has won favor among investors due to its outstanding
profitability. In particular, biomass co-generation and
companies in renewables have been facing cash flow
challenges caused by subsidy arrears; therefore, we expect
the financing needs and investment activities in this area to
continue to increase.
Investment hotspots: Coal-fired cogeneration, Biomass
cogeneration, Thermal power with waste heat utilization
Electric automation and Internet
of thingsCollectively, the development of information technology,
stabilization of demand in substation equipment and policy
support in power grid automation have marked the dawning
of a golden age in the domestic power industry. This reflects
the importance of stable, flexible and automated power
supply. The construction of Ubiquitous Power Internet of
Things has paved the way for safe operation, lean
management and high-quality power transmission and
distribution. In addition, the Internet of things can give full
play to the unique advantages of the power grid while
opening up the digital economy.
Investment hotspots: Power
transformation/distribution/dispatching automation
Distributed energy + Energy storage
As required in Energy Production and Consumption
Revolution Strategy (2016-2030), both centralized and
distributed generation should be at the forefront of developing
renewable energy. For distributed energy, energy storage is
especially a challenge in ensuring the stability and security of
the power grid from the generation site. While centralized
energy generation (power plants) is relatively mature, the
business model for distributed energy and energy storage is
still at an early stage due to its high cost in China. As one of
the important upper stream sectors of integrated energy
services, distributed energy will grow in importance.
Investment hotspots: Auxiliary frequency modulation at
grid side, Virtual power plant, distributed integrated
station of photovoltaic power and storage energy,
distributed combined cooling heating and power
Investment hotspots
22
Outlook
Integrated services prevail as industry continues to
consolidate
• At present, the utilities industry features low concentration
and regional monopolies. Therefore, players within the
industry buy and sell businesses to expand geographically
and achieve economies of scale.
• With the progress of the energy structure reform, the once
scattered and separate energy supplies have started to
merge into integrated energy services. Utilities companies
have been keen to expand their value chain to cover more
types of energy services, and turn into comprehensive
service providers.
• We expect that intra-industry M&A will continue.
Meanwhile, the transition of large single energy suppliers
to roles such as integrated energy service providers,
environmental governance service providers, and water
operation providers will promote more cross-industry
M&As.
Energy structure in transit, renewables & low
carbon became mainstream
• Renewables & low-carbon took the lead in reform of
energy structure. Considered a major step in the
transformation and prioritized in policies, distributed
energy generation and clean energy consumption have
attracted investors. SOEs have incorporated plans, while
more and more listed companies have included it as one
of their development strategies.
• We expect that utilities companies engaged in advanced
cleaning technologies, applications and equipment, and
sewage treatment technology will attract greater attention
from investors.
Internet & IoT fueled sustainable development
• The automation and utilities industry has successfully
brought about unprecedented applications of smart grid,
intelligent water, and intelligent heating. These newly
invented business models, though in their early stages,
enable comprehensive utilization of energy, and fuel a
resource-efficient society. Emerging intelligent
technologies such as the IOT and cloud computing,
provide new angles to optimize business management
systems, improve overall efficiency and promote
industrial upgrade.
• We expect that the intelligence incorporated utilities
industry will bring development opportunities. Intelligent
infrastructure & technologies may come under the
investment spotlight.
Overview of M&A in the utilities industry in 2019
24
Based on the announced deals of 2019 and
our understanding of the market development,
we’ve seen following major market trends in
the utilities industry:
196.7
0.6
Key data at A glance
Utilities industry
Deal value and volume by investment type in 2019
Rmb 19.7 billionTotal deal value of 2019
Up 128%Compared
with 2018
72Total deal volume of 2019
Up 29%Compared
with 2018
Rmb 0.3 billionAverage deal value of 2019
Up 71%Compared
with 2018
Note: The average deal value excludes undisclosed deals
171
Domestic
M&A
Outbound
M&A
Water
~69%
SOEs
~47%
Most active sub-sector
Most active investor: State-owned enterprises (SOEs)
25
Note: The average deal value is calculated as the total disclosed deal value/number of deals with disclosed deal value
(excluding undisclosed deals)
(Rmb billion)
0.1
19.7
Source: ThomsonReuters,ChinaVenture, Mergermarket, Zero2IPO Research and PwC analysis
Note: The deal value figures refer only to deals with disclosed values. Numbers do not include the two large deals related to the Luenmei Quantum
Co., Ltd. in the heating supply industry in 2016 and 2017, with values of Rmb2.39 billion and Rmb3.87 billion, respectively.
Utilities M&A market review in 2019
Utilities — Deal value and volume by sectors (2016-2019)
Utilities — Deal value and volume (2016-2019)
(by investment types)
2019 Proportion of investors by deal volume
Utilities deal value and volume (2016-2019)
26
47% 29%
16%
4%
4%
SOEs
Private
companies
PE/VC funds
Undisclosed
Others
5.2 7.5 0.50.1
5
3 3
1
-
2
4
6
-
5
2016 2017 2018 2019
11.0 14.2 8.2 19.7
46 51 53
71
-
20
40
60
80
-
5
10
15
20
25
2016 2017 2018 2019
Domestic
Outbound
13.4
20.7
7.4
16.8
1.3
1.0
1.2
2.71.6
0.0
0.1
0.3
51 56 56
72
(90)
(70)
(50)
(30)
(10)
10
30
50
70
-
5
10
15
20
25
30
2016 2017 2018 2019
Water Heating Others Total deal volume
21.7
16.3
8.7
19.6
0.4 0.4 0.2 0.3Avg. disclosed
Value
(Rmb billion)
(Rmb billion)Avg. deal value
27
M&A activity at a glance
• Utilities transactions have been steadily
increasing: After experiencing a relatively slow year
in 2018, total M&A deal value in the utilities industry
related to Chinese companies increased in 2019.
The total disclosed M&A deal value in 2019
exceeded Rmb19.7 billion, an increase of 128%
over 2018; the disclosed deal volume in 2019 was
72, an increase of 29% over 2018.
• Led by SOEs, M&As in utilities continued to
drive industry integration: At present, the utilities
industry is characterized by its low concentration,
insufficient scale and regional dispersion. We found
that the deal volume of SOE investors accounted for
47% in 2019. Large SOEs have been seeking to
achieve value chain integration through M&A;
Luenmei Quantum Co., Ltd. expanded its market
share through horizontal integration in the heating
subsector and China Urban and Rural Holding
Group Co., Ltd. acquired shares of Beijing
OriginWater Technology Co., Ltd. (BOW) in the
water subsector.
• The domestic market is the main arena for
utilities M&A: The deal volume of domestic
investors stepped up from 46 in 2016 to 71 in 2019.
In contrast, the deal value for overseas targets has
fallen year after year since reaching Rmb7.5 billion
in 2017. Macro factors have also made a
contribution, including domestic macroeconomic
downturns and credit tightening, which posed
challenges for small players in the water sector,
creating conditions for takeover and integration of
the domestic market.
Utilities M&A market review in 2019
M&A activity at a glance
• M&A activities in water subsector were more active:
Consistent with the trend for sustainable development, the water
subsector, especially sewage treatment, has maintained a high
level of activity. The deal value and volume of the water subsector
in 2019 accounted for 85% and 69% respectively of the total M&A
market in the utilities industry. Gas, power and clean energy
companies in the heating subsector were also actively involved in
M&A, paving the way for future promotion of clean heating.
• Large-scale utilities deals took place in the water subsector:
Among the utilities deals in 2019, deals with a value of Rmb1
billion and above were all water subsector M&As. Examples
include China Urban and Rural Holding Group Co., Ltd. (CCCC)
acquired shares of Beijing Origin Water Technology Co., Ltd.
(BOW) and China Yangtze Power Co., Ltd. (China Three Gorges
Corporation) subscribed the newly issued common shares of
Beijing Enterprises Water Group Limited. Driven by large-scale
deals, the average value of deals for utilities industry in 2019
(excluding undisclosed deals) jumped from Rmb190 million in
2018 to Rmb330 million, marking an increase of 71%.
• Financial investors started showing interest in utilities:
The utilities industry deals were characterized by large transaction
amount and long investment cycles, which is also the reason why
the industry has been less attractive to financial investors in
previous years. However, the stable nature of the utilities industry
has become advantageous in attracting financial investors’
interest amid a slowdown in the economy. 2019 witnessed several
financial investment cases in the market; for example, Agricultural
Bank Financial Assets Investment Co., Ltd. increased the capital
of Beijing Enterprises Water (Guangxi) Group Co., Ltd. with
Rmb1 billion.
28
Utilities M&A market review in 2019
Industry Overview
China’s total water consumption reached a peak in 2013, after which the growth rate slowed down or even declined, which
indicates that the water supply has stabilised. Sewage treatment, on the other hand, is in growing rapidly with the introduction of
environmental laws and regulations, such as the Action Plan for Prevention and Control of Water Pollution issued by the State
Council in April 2015, 13th Five-Year Plan Water Environment Comprehensive Environmental Governance Construction Plan
for Key River issued by the National Development and Reform Commission in August 2016 and Action Plan for the Yangtze
River Protection and Restoration jointly issued by Ministry of Ecological Environment and the National Development and Reform
Commission in January 2019. Given the stricter requirements in environmental protection, sewage treatment companies now
have to be equipped with stronger technical capabilities.
The total M&A deal value of water supply was relatively small at only Rmb1.1 billion in 2019. After excluding China Gezhouba
Group’s acquisition of Brazil’s Sao Paulo San Lorenzo Water Supply System Company for approximately Rmb5.8 billion in
2017, the annual deal amounts of water supply were less than Rmb5 billion during the 2016-2019 period.
M&A deals in sewage treatment were more active, with deal value hitting Rmb14 billion in 2019, a surge of 215% from the
Rmb4.4 billion in 2018. In 2016 and 2017, the deal values of sewage treatment also reached Rmb7.9 billion.
Water
Water — Deal value and volume (2016-2019)
Water — Deal value and volume (2016-2019)
29
Source: ThomsonReuters, ChinaVenture, Mergermarket, Zero2IPO Research and PwC analysis
Note: The deal value figures refer only to deals where a value has been disclosed. It does not include the two large deals related to the Luenmei
Quantum Co., Ltd. in the heating supply industry in 2016 and 2017, with a value of Rmb2.39 billion and Rmb3.87 billion, respectively.
4.18.2
1.8 1.1
7.9
7.9
4.4
14.0
4.5
1.1
1.6
1.4
0.2
0.1
0.1
45 45 40
50
-
10
20
30
40
50
60
-
5
10
15
20
25
30
2016 2017 2018 2019
"Water supply" "Sewage treatment" Integrated water Others Total deal volume
PwC Views“
(Rmb billion)
0.3 0.5 0.2 0.3Avg. disclosed
value:
Water Supply Sewage Treatment
2) Technology-driven M&A has become another trend in the
water sector. Different sub-processes in the sewage
treatment value chain — such as sewage treatment asset
operation, EPC project construction, and core equipment for
sewage treatment technology — have all presented
technological barriers of some sort. Top performing
companies in each subsector are all technology leaders,
indicating the essential role of IP in the water sector.
Therefore, technology-driven M&A is regarded as an effective
means to break the technical barriers. In 2019, BOW (which
boasts core advantages in membrane treatment technology)
and Anhui Guozhen Environmental Protection Technology
M&A Characteristics
M&A in the water subsector, 2019:
1) SOEs and private companies have started to join hands. In
2019, the deal volume of SOEs as investors accounted for
62% of total deal volume. The deal volume of private
companies as targets accounted for 70% of the total, showing
the attempts by SOEs and private companies to form
alliances in the water sector. Examples of this cooperation in
2019 included China Urban and Rural Holding Group Co., Ltd
(CCCC)’s acquisition of Beijing Origin Water Technology Co.,
Ltd. (BOW)’s shares for approximately Rmb2.9 billion. After
CCCC’s investment in BOW, it made full use of BOW’s core
advantages in membrane treatment technology to quickly
build a leading water treatment platform in China. Meanwhile,
BOW is expected to benefit from the credit and resource of
SOEs, collaborating with CCCC’s group companies in issues
surrounding environmental protection, water, urban
environment construction and other related projects.
In the water subsector, the advantages of private companies
include experienced and stable management teams and
advanced technology, while the advantages of SOEs include
long-term development strategies and funding. Therefore, the
complementary traits of SOEs and private companies allow
for a win-win under an environment of de-leveraging and
increasingly strict environmental assessments in China.
Water
2016-2019 Proportion of investors by deal volume
2016-2019 Proportion of investors and investees
by deal volume
By type of investors
Joint Stock Co., Ltd. (which has a technological advantage in
small and medium-sized sewage treatment in second and
third tier cities) both garnered investors’ attention due to their
technological outperformance.
In addition, the popularity of IoT technology has enabled the water
sector to develop from centralized information management to
decentralized smart water grid. In 2019, Mianyang Investment
Holding (Group) Ltd. invested in Kingland Technology and
Zhejiang Yongan took a stake in Beijing Tepia Technology. The
main businesses of these targets are both platforms created by
IoT and cloud computing.
3) Strategic investments to jointly develop or operate projects
were the main type of deals. During 2016-2019, strategic
investors completed approximately 88% of the total deal
volume. Among them, strategic investors from within the
industry and cross-industry accounted for 59% and 29% of
the deal volume, respectively.
Because of the asset-intensive and thin margin nature of the
water sector, financial investors tended to overlook
investments in this sector. However, as economic growth
slowed down, financial investors have started to seek
opportunities in this relatively stable sector. Financial
investors showed more interest in sewage treatment and
leading companies in this subsector. In 2019, Agricultural
Bank Financial Assets Investment Co., Ltd. completed its
capital injection in Beijing Enterprises Water (Guangxi) Group
Co., Ltd. of Rmb1 billion.
By type of investors
42% 56% 53% 62%
49%40% 38% 32%
9% 4% 10% 6%
2016 2017 2018 2019
SOEs Private companies Others
40% 38% 38% 26%
49% 38%58% 70%
9%16%
5% 2%
2% 9% 0% 2%
2016 2017 2018 2019
SOEs Private companies Foreign companies Others
Strategic investors in Water
industry, 59%
Non-water industry strategic
investors, 29%
30
Financial investors,
12%
Heating
Heating — Deal value and volume (2016-2019)
Heating — Deal value and volume (2016-2019)
(Rmb billion)
Source: ThomsonReuters, ChinaVenture, Mergermarket, Zero2IPO Research and PwC analysis
Note: The deal value figures refer only to deals where a value has been disclosed. It does not include the two large deals related to the Luenmei
Quantum Co., Ltd. in the heating supply industry in 2016 and 2017, with the value of Rmb2.39 billion and Rmb3.87 billion, respectively.
M&A Overview
By end-user, the heating subsector can be further divided into residential and industrial heating. At present, heat is sourced
mainly from coal-fired boilers and waste heat of power plants.
Deal volume in the heating market continued to grow from 2016 to 2019, at an annualized growth rate of 68%. Deal value, on
the other hand, after a continued slide from 2016 to 2018, surged 123% in 2019 over 2018. Average deal value has also
increased slightly. Nineteen M&As took place in the heating subsector in 2019, with a deal value of Rmb2.67 billion.
The heating sector saw some large deals in the past four years:
• In 2019, Xinjiang East Universe (Group) Gas Co., Ltd. acquired 80% of Yining Heat Supply Company, a supply provider
under SASAC, for Rmb698 million.
• In 2017, Ruifeng Fund, Lhasa Hetai and Golden Eagle Asset acquired 22.71% of a listed urban heating company, Luenmei
Quantum Co., Ltd., for Rmb3.87 billion.
• In 2016, Yibin Paper Industry Co., Ltd. acquired a domestic cross-province central heating investment & operation leader,
Zhonghuan Huanhui, for Rmb900 million.
0.3 0.1 0.1 0.1Avg. disclosed
value
1.3
1.0
1.2
2.7 4
9
14
19
(30)
(25)
(20)
(15)
(10)
(5)
-
5
10
15
20
-
0.5
1.0
1.5
2.0
2.5
3.0
2016 2017 2018 2019
Deal value(exclude Justin Holding Limited) Deal volume(exclude Justin Holding Limited)
PwC Views“
31
Heating
M&A Characteristics
M&As in the heating sector, 2019:
• At present, the heating subsector still relies on coal as the
main heating source, while energy structure transformation
and sustainable development have prompted the sector to
search for alternative heating sources. According to the
Clean Heating Plan for Winter in the Northern Region
(2017-2021), the development of central heating was given
priority and the clean heating rate in 2019/2021 is expected
to reach 50%/70%. Subsequently, more than 30 provinces
and cities have put forward relevant requirements, adopting
clean coal, “coal to gas”, “coal to electricity”, and renewable
energy heating projects. Therefore, clean investments has
become a major trend in the heating industry. In 2019,
Zhejiang Fuchunjiang Environmental Thermoelectric Co.,
Ltd. acquired Zhongmao Shengyuan Industry, which uses
solid waste disposal for heating and power supply in the
papermaking process.
• Industrial heating is believed to have greater investment
prospects over residential heating. Industrial heating is
generally distributed in or around the industrial campus to
meet the needs of all the users. Therefore, the deployment
of integrated, efficient and clean energy has become the
main focus in the development. Integrated energy services
have gained attention as they enable simultaneous supply
of various energy sources such as power, gas, cooling and
heat, and adds value in services by combining the Internet
and technology. In June 2019, State Grid China Co., Ltd.
launched the “China Comprehensive Energy Service
Industry Innovation and Development Alliance” jointly with
21 upstream and downstream head companies alongside
the integrated energy service industry chain. State Grid
China Co., Ltd. and China Southern Power Grid Co., Ltd.
have successively established integrated energy service
companies, and other companies in the industry are
expected to follow suit. In 2019, Harbin Jiuzhou Electrical
Co.,Ltd acquired Qiqihar Xingda Investment Group Tailai
County Xingda Thermal Co., Ltd., and Guangzhou
Zhiguang Electric Co., Ltd. acquired Pinglu County
Heating Company, both attracted by the heating assets
held by the targets and planned for upgrading to form a
strategic layout in integrated energy development.
• In terms of heating method, both distributed heating supply
and concentrated heating supply — such as the
development of traditional boiler to cogeneration — have
been popular in recent years. For example, Yantai’s use of
air-source heat pump combined with off-peak power thermal
storage system, and Binhu District’s use of ground-source
heat pump combined with other clean energy sources have
brought rewarding results. Although government pilot
projects still dominate distributed heating generations,
related technology has attracted the attention of investors.
In 2019, companies in the clean energy subsector, such as
Hepu Energy, State Power Investment Corporation (SPIC),
and China Geothermal Industry Development Group
Limited, have all received interest from investors.
Investors
SOEs were the main participants in the heating subsector
M&As, while private companies outcompeted SOEs in
deal volume in 2019. With the introduction of a number of
national policies, companies and social capital have been
encouraged to invest in the heating subsector, and this has
since lessened the dominance of SOEs in the heating sector.
Among the disclosed M&As in 2019, most of the SOEs’ M&As
were local heating companies. They were focused largely on
increasing their local market share and promoting the grid-
connected transformation of small heating boilers.
Private companies, especially listed companies, have come
into play by investing in areas where the competition in
heating is less intense. The same strategy also applied to
cross-sector investors such as gas and power companies. For
example, Luenmei Quantum Co., Ltd. in Shenyang merged
with Shandong Heze Thermal Power Company and Xinjiang
East Universe (Group) Gas Co., Ltd. merged with Yining Heat
Supply Company, expanding from gas to heating supply
business and transforming to an integrated utilities service
provider. Therefore, the deal volume of private companies as
investors far exceeded that of SOEs in 2019.
32
2016-2019 comparison of investors
(Rmb billion)
2016-2019 Proportion of investors and investees
by deal volume
By type of investors
By type of investors
We further noticed that financial investors have become more
interested in the heating sector due to its stable and low risk
nature in times of uncertainties. The deal value of financial
investment in 2019 increased by 33% over that in 2018.
50%11%
43% 42%
50%67%
50% 53%
22% 7% 5%
2016 2017 2018 2019
SOEs Private companies Foreign companies
50% 33% 20% 35%
50% 56%67% 45%
13% 20%
2016 2017 2018 2019SOEs Private companies Others
1.3
1.0
0.8
2.1
-
-
0.4
0.6
2016
2017
2018
2019
Financial investors Strategic investors
Water, heating and other utilities are inelastic in demand due
to their close connection with livelihood. M&As in these areas
are expected to continue steadily and progressively.
We expect research and development in technology related to
pollution control and clean energy to become the main trend
in industry development. Technology driven M&As are,
therefore, more likely to dominate the deals in utilities in the
coming years.
Water Subsector
We expect to see increasing cooperation between SOEs and
private companies in sewage treatment in 2020. Cash flow
will remain a challenge for private companies in this sector,
encouraging the leverage of resources from SOEs. As
mentioned in the earlier sections, the major factors
contributing to the cash flow challenges are the downturn of
the economy, slowdown of demand and tightening of credit in
the domestic market.
In addition, we expect financial investors to play a greater role
in water sector M&As. As mentioned, financial investors will
more likely to be drawn to the water sector by its stable and
low risk nature in times of uncertainties.
We further expect that the mobile water treatment service and
the third-party governance business will have more
opportunities than their industry peers, and may become an
investment hotspot in the near future.
Heating Subsector
Large companies are expected to continue to take over small
ones in 2020. Under the driving policies of “dismantling small
boilers and connecting large ones” and the implementation of
cogeneration, the heating sector will continue to integrate
through M&As.
At the same time, increasing awareness of the carbon
footprint of large corporations will also drive the transition from
traditional heating to clean heating service providers. We
expect that areas such as clean heating technology and
equipment will continue to receive investors’ attention in 2020.
Outlook
Investment hotspots
33
From the perspective of M&A, along with deals data since
2019 and the judgment on future market dynamics, we have
seen the following trends in China’s oil and gas industry:
Oil & Gas companies are actively seeking low-carbon
transition, and the deal volume and value related to gas
industry have steadily increased.
• Driven by increased environmental protection and public
health awareness, China’s gas consumption has
increased rapidly in recent years. M&A activities on the
Gas (incl. LNG) value chain are becoming increasingly
active. In 2019, the disclosed volume and value of deals
in gas industry accounted for 39% and 47% of the total Oil
& Gas deals respectively, with a main focus on urban gas
distribution & sale and upstream gas fields.
• The official establishment of China Oil & Gas Pipeline
Network Corporation in December 2019 marks a key step
for China to deepen the reform of the oil and gas system,
and it will also have a long-term and significant impact on
the main players in the market. National Oil Companies
rely on their upstream resource advantages to actively
expand in the urban gas distribution and retail market.
Nationwide leading city gas companies and SOEs at
provincial level are further expanding their scale
advantage in the domestic market by securing low-cost
overseas gas sources. The competitive landscape of the
urban gas market is much more scattered in tier 2 and tier
3 cities and county-level regions, and therefore,
competent companies can increase their scale and
consolidate the market through acquisition.
• With the restructuring of the Gas industry’s competitive
landscape, we expect more M&A activities to take place in
the fields of unconventional gas, urban gas
distribution/operation/maintenance, and relevant
engineering and equipment manufacturing companies.
The development mode of refinery and petrochemical
sector tends to be large scale-led and the industrial
value chain is becoming more integrated.
2019 overview of M&A in oil and gas industry
35
• In 2019, deal volume in the downstream sector increased
significantly (by 26%) compared to that in the previous
year. which are mainly in the refinery & petrochemical and
urban gas areas. Many companies have extended their
business lines towards upstream and downstream on the
value chain and enhanced the overall competitiveness
through M&A activities.
• In the “Great Petrochemical Age”, the integration of
refinery and petrochemical technologies is becoming
more technically mature, which can help companies
reduce operational costs and excessive refined oil
production, also increase production of high value-added
petrochemicals to meet the demand brought by
consumption and industrial upgrade (e.g. energy,
construction, and transportation).
• Meanwhile, multinational companies remain confident
about the huge potential of the China market, and actively
expand in China to be closer to raw material resources
and local consumption markets.
COVID-19 has had a huge impact on the recent oil and
gas market, but it might not affect the fundamentals of
China’s long-term demand for oil and gas.
• The outbreak of epidemic since the beginning of 2020
caused a delay in the operation of domestic factories after
the Spring Festival, nationwide traffic restrictions as well
as a sharp decline in industrial and commercial services,
greatly affecting the consumption of oil and gas.
Assuming the epidemic is successfully contained in the
short time, domestic consumption of oil and gas might
increase in a compensatory manner afterwards.
• The epidemic also put forward higher requirements for
intelligent and unmanned management in the oil and gas
industry. Adopting advanced digital technology in
production and operation can effectively reduce
unnecessary interaction, improve safety, and reduce
costs. Automated oil drilling platform, IOT smart gas
meters, unmanned gasoline stations might increasingly
attract investors’ attention in the future.
2019 overview of M&A in oil and gas industry
36
石油天然气行业
Key data at a glance
Oil and Gas Industry
~66%
Downstream
~65%
Private
companies
10 253
Domestic Outbound Inbound
(USD in millions)
Note: The average deal value is calculated as the total disclosed deal value/deal volume
(excluding undisclosed deals)
Most active sub-sector (by volume)
Most active investor (by volume)
Deal value and volume by investment types
in 2019
15.5 bnUSD
Total deal value of 2019
Increased by 44%Compared with 2018
65Total deal volume of 2019
239 mnUSD
Average deal value of 2019
37
13,891
827 797
StableCompared with 2018 Increased by 44%Compared with 2018
Source: Data from Mergermarket, public news and PwC analysis
Note: Deal value is calculated based on the disclosed deal value information
Deal volume
2019 oil and gas industry M&A market review
14
24
14
2
5
2
34
34
43
14
2
6
2017
2018
2019
Upstream Midstream Downstream Supply Chain
M&A in Oil & Gas industry by deal value and volume (2017-2019) (incl. outbound/domestic/inbound deals)
(USD in millions)
Note: We divided the oil and gas industry value chain into four segments: Upstream — exploration and production; Midstream — transportation
and storage of oil and gas products; Downstream — oil refining and petrochemical, gas purification, distribution and sales of final products
(incl. urban gas); Supply chain — equipment/engineering services/technology related
38
average deal value 168 165 239
10,744 10,744
15,515
2017 2018 2019
Upstream-Total deal value Midstream-Total deal value Downstream-Total deal value
Supply Chain-Total deal value Total
2019 oil and gas industry M&A market review
39
M&A activity at a glance
From 2017 to 2019, 194 China-related oil and gas deals took
place, which was worth more than USD37billion.
The deal volume has remained steady around 65 per year.
The total deal value was stable at around USD10.7 billion per
year in 2017-18 and increased to USD15.5 billion in 2019.
Both the total deal value and average value in 2019 have
increased significantly compared with that in the previous two
years, mainly due to the contribution of several mega deals
related to corporate restructuring and mixed ownership reform
of SOEs:
1. Downstream – ENN Ecological Holdings Co., Ltd.
purchased 32.8% of ENN Energy Holdings Limited for
Rmb25.9 billion (about USD3.67 billion);
ENN Ecological Holdings is the A-share listing platform of
ENN group energy sector, whose main business covers
from domestic/outbound gas production and sales,
energy engineering and other upstream business. ENN
Energy is engaged in urban gas distribution and sale
nationwide. This acquisition promoted ENN Ecological to
transform from an upstream gas supplier into the
integrated natural gas company, and further enhance its
overall competitiveness for market expansion.
2. Downstream – Danhua Chemical Technology acquired
Jiangsu Sailboat Petrochemical’s 100% share for an
estimated Rmb11 billion (about USD1.59 billion).
As a new material platform of Shenghong Petrochemical,
Sailboat Petrochemical mainly uses methanol as raw material
to produce ethylene, propylene and high value-added
downstream derivatives. Through this acquisition, Danhua
Chemical (focusing on the coal-to-chemical business) will
place more profitable petrochemical assets to enrich its
product types. Danhua Chemical has coal-chemical projects
in its coal resources abundant area, and has certain
experience and geographical advantages in developing coal-
to-methanol projects, which is able to generate synergy with
Sailboat.
2019 top ten oil & gas deals
2019 Top 10 mega deals
40
Target Investor DateDeal Value
(USD in millions)Type
Sinopec Group Wuhan Branch
(35% stake) SK Global Chemical Co., Ltd. April 2019 667 Downstream
Jiangsu Honggang Petrochemical Co., Ltd.
Jiangsu Shenghong Petrochemical
Industry Development Co., Ltd. April 2019 297 Downstream
Hubei Xingrui Silicon Material Co., Ltd.
(50% stake)
Hubei Xingfa Chemicals Group Co.,
Ltd. March 2019 265 Downstream
Jinhong Holding Group Co., Ltd. — 17
subsidiaries PetroChina Kunlun Gas Co.,Ltd. August 2019 235 Downstream
Taixing Sunke Chemicals Co. Ltd.
(45% stake) Arkema Asie SAS April 2019 130 Downstream
Ningbo Haiyue New Material Co., Ltd.
(51% stake) Kingfa Sci. and Tech. Co., Ltd. March 2019 104 Downstream
Range Resources Trinidad Limited LandOcean Energy Services Co., Ltd.
September
2019 93.5 Upstream
Tibet Wojin Energy Development Co., Ltd.
(41% stake) Shanghai Worth Garden Co., Ltd. April 2019 91 Upstream
Qingdao Sinoenergy Group Co., Ltd.
(49.23% stake) Senyu Chemical Oil and Gas Co., Ltd. August 2019 84 Downstream
Yinchuan China Oil Jingcheng Gas
Company Limited; Zichang Huacheng
Natural Gas Co., Ltd. (65% stake) Dalian Energas Gas-System Co., Ltd. November 2019 76 Downstream
Note: Deals above are based on the disclosed information, excluding deals related to corporate restructuring and mixed ownership reform
Domestic M&A
Total deal value
(USD in millions)
27 5 102 16
Total deal value
(USD in millions)Deal volume
Source: Mergermarket, public news and PwC analysis
Note: Deal value is calculated based on the disclosed value.
Domestic M&A by deal value (2017-2019) Domestic M&A by deal value and volume
(2017-2019)
2019 Type of investment entities (by volume)
41
2,221 186
21,833
355
-
5,000
10,000
15,000
20,000
25,000
上游 中游 下游 供应链
-
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
-
2,000
4,000
6,000
8,000
10,000
12,000
14,000
16,000
2017 2018 2019
上游-交易额 中游-交易额 下游-交易额
供应链-交易额 上游-交易量 中游-交易量
下游-交易量 供应链-交易量
Financial investors,6%
Private companies,
66%
Other SOEs, 21%
Upstream Midstream Downstream Supply Chain Upstream-
Deal value
Supply Chain-
Deal value
Downstream-
Deal volume
Midstream-
Deal value
Upstream-
Deal volume
Supply Chain-
Deal volume
Downstream-
Deal value
Midstream-
Deal volume
Three NOCs,
7%
M&A activity at a glance
1. Market activity
From 2017 to 2019, 150 deals took
place in the domestic market, with a
total value of approximately USD24.7
billion. Most deals (102) took place in
the downstream.
Deal volume remained broadly stable in
2017-18 (about 48 deals per year), but
saw a slight increase to 54 deals in
2019. Total deal value, on the other
hand, fell to USD4.6 billion in 2018 from
USD6 billion in 2017, but rebounded
sharply in 2019, reaching over USD14
billion.
2. Investment entities and their key
interests
M&A by private companies accounted
for more than 66% of the total domestic
deal volume in 2019. Their investments
focused on refinery & petrochemical
and urban gas distribution/sales
(including operation and maintenance),
oil and gas engineering services and
equipment manufacturing. M&A by
other SOEs (excluding Three NOCs)
accounted for 21% of the total domestic
deal volume and the target companies
were mainly in the downstream areas,
such as petrochemical/new materials
and city gas distribution. For example:
1) Three NOCs — In August 2019,
CNOOC acquired a 100% equity of
China United Coalbed Methane
Corp., Ltd.. The target company is
engaged in exploration &
production, transportation, sales
and utilization of coal-bed methane.
2) Private companies — In November
2019, Dalian Energas Gas-System
Co., Ltd. acquired a 100% equity of
Yinchuan Zhongyou Jingcheng Gas
Co., Ltd. and 65% share of Zichang
Huacheng Gas Co., Ltd. for
Rmb530 million (about USD76
million). The target companies are
engaged in the natural gas pipeline
transmission & distribution and retail
as well as pipeline installation, etc.
3) Private companies — In March
2019, Kingfa Sci. and Tech. Co.,
Ltd. acquired a 51% share of
Ningbo Haiyue New Material Co.,
Ltd. for Rmb699 million (about USD
104 million). Through this deal,
Kingfa entered upstream raw
material industry such as propylene,
strengthened the control of raw
materials needed for its product
(modified polypropylene).
4) Other SOEs — In December 2019,
Hangzhou Iron & Steel Group Co.,
Ltd. purchased a 15.01% share of
Zhejiang Juhua Co., Ltd. for
Rmb700 million. The target
company is engaged in
manufacturing fluorine chemical,
chlor alkali chemical and
comprehensive set.
5) Other SOEs — Beijing Gas Blue
Sky planed to acquire Zhejiang Bo
Xin (engaged in LNG supply and
trade) for Rmb205 million (about
USD31 million) in April 2019.
3. Range of deal size
Deal size varied significantly in 2019,
ranging from several million US dollars
to several billion USD.
Among these deals, over 70% were
small and medium-sized deals with a
value of below USD100 million. 22%
were large deals with a value between
USD100 million and USD1 billion, while
7% were mega deals with a value
above USD1 billion (based on the
analysis of deals with disclosed value).
Domestic M&A
42
Key deals at a glance
Domestic M&A
43
• In April 2019, Beijing Gas Blue Sky Holdings Limited
acquired Zhejiang Bo Xin for Rmb205 million. Its
business cover from LNG direct supply to commercial &
industrial users and LNG trading. Boxin secures stable gas
supply from Ningbo LNG receiving terminal, and
distributes and sells gas mainly to large industry users in
the Yangtze River Delta region, where there is a strong
demand. Through this deal, Beijing Gas Blue Sky
(comprehensive gas supplier and operator) is able to make
up the market share of the midstream and downstream
LNG business in the Yangtze River Delta region. With its
established distribution network in Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei
area, Beijing Gas Blue Sky is striving to achieve its
objective to develop new markets and import more
overseas gas sources in the future, which allows the
company to capture growth opportunities of domestic gas
market development.
• In March 2019, Kingfa Sci. and Tech. Co., Ltd. acquired
51% share of Ningbo Haiyue New Material Co., Ltd. for
Rmb699 million. Kingfa is a supplier for high performance
new materials, and one of its main products is modified
polypropylene. In the past Kingfa used to rely on external
suppliers for the purchase of polypropylene. Since 2016,
the price fluctuation of polypropylene has increased its
purchase cost. But the company was unable to fully
transfer the raw materials costs to the downstream
customers due to the stable price of its product (modified
polypropylene). Through the acquisition of Ningbo Haiyue
(a producer of propylene, isooctane, etc.) , Kingfa
successfully entered its upstream sector and thereby tried
to develop the entire value chain of “propane-propylene-
polypropylene-modified polypropylene”. As such, it was
able to avoid the impact of raw materials price fluctuations
and increase its influence on raw materials control. It can
also supply hydrogen, a by-product of propane
dehydrogenation, to other users after purification, and help
the company develop new business growth areas.
Total deal value
(USD in millions) 23 4 4 6
Total deal value
(USD in millions) Deal volume
Outbound M&A
Source: Mergermarket, public news and PwC analysis
Note: Deal value is calculated based on the disclosed information.
Outbound M&A by deal value (2017-2019) Outbound M&A by deal value and volume
(2017-2019)
2019 Type of
investment entities
(by volume)
2019 Investment Entities & Target type
(by total deal value)
2019 Distribution of
investment destination
(by volume)
Total deal value
(USD in millions) 2 2 1 5
44
6,177
2,318
461 819
-
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
5,000
6,000
7,000
上游 中游 下游 供应链 -
2
4
6
8
10
12
-
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
5,000
6,000
2017 2018 2019Upstream Midstream Downstream Supply Chain
-
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
FinancialInvestors
The NOCs Other SOEs PrivateCompanies
Upstream Midstream Downstream
Supply Chain Total
Kazakhstan, 10%
Russia, 20%
Singapore, 20%
North America, 20%
UK, 10%
Others, 20%
Financial investors
20%
Three NOCs20%
Other SOEs10%
Private companies
50%
Supply Chain-Deal valueDownstream-Deal value
Midstream-Deal valueUpstream-Deal value
Upstream-Deal volume
Supply Chain-Deal volume
Midstream-Deal volume
Downstream-Deal volume
Outbound M&A
M&A activity at a glance
1. Market activity
From 2017 to 2019, a total of 37
outbound deals took place, with a total
value of over USD9.7billion. Among
these deals, 23 took place in upstream
E&P, and were worth more than
USD6.1 billion. 4 deals were involved in
the midstream and downstream
respectively, and 6 deals took place on
the supply chain.
Since the end of 2016, the Chinese
government has been exercising stricter
control on capital outflow, which has
affected the outbound M&A in the Oil
and Gas industry. The total deal value
has steadily rebounded from 2017
(USD3.7 billion) to USD5.3 billion in
2018, and decreased to USD 800
million in 2019. Considering the value of
two mega deals (CNOOC’s and
CNPC’s respective purchase of a 10%
stake in Arctic LNG 2 project) was not
disclosed to the public (the total deal
value in this report is calculated based
on disclosed available information), the
actual deal value in 2019 is estimated
to be far greater than USD800 million.
2. Investment entities and targets
Among the ten disclosed deals in 2019,
private companies accounted for the
majority of the deal volume (about
50%), but the deal value was relatively
small; the target companies covered
upstream, downstream and supply
chains. NOCs continue to focus on the
purchase of upstream assets while
financial investors tend to opt for
minority stakes in overseas mid-stream
assets, whose deal value is large. For
example:
1) Three NOCs — In July 2019,
CNOOC and CNPC subsidiaries
purchased a 10% stake in the
Arctic LNG 2 in Russia
respectively;
2) Financial investors — In June
2019, China Investment
Corporation took a stake in the
midstream natural gas pipeline
distribution business of UK
National Grid;
3) Other SOEs — In June 2019,
ZEPC purchased 18.95% of
Kazakhstan’s TNG Group for
USD30 million. TNG holds a 100%
equity of the local blocks of Tenge
Oil & Gas;
4) Private companies — In Sep 2019,
LandOcean Energy Services
acquired Range Resources
Trinidad Limited, which owns oil
blocks in Trinidad & Tobago.
3. Range of deal size
In 2019, outbound deals with a
value of below USD100 million
accounted for 83% of the total
outbound deals (by volume). Deals
within the range of USD100 million
and USD1 billion accounted for
17% of the total by volume (based
on the analysis of deals with
disclosed value)
4. Key outbound markets
Russia, North America, and Central
Asia have been popular among the
Chinese enterprises that have
gone abroad.
45
Inbound M&A
Inbound M&A at a glance
• Public disclosure of inbound deals is very limited. Deals disclosed in 2019 include:
1) SK Chemicals’ acquisition of 35% of Sinopec Wuhan Oil Refinery for USD667 million;
2) Arkema Asie SAS’ acquisition of a 45% share of Taixing Sunke Chemicals Co., Ltd.
for USD130 million.
• Compared with 2017 and 2018, deal volume remained flat in 2019 (3 in 2017 and 2 in
2018), whereas deal value increased compared with that of 2017 (over USD300 million
in 2017) and was largely unchanged from that of 2018 (about USD800 million).
1. Driving factors
We believe foreign companies are lured
to making investment in the domestic
market by: China’s abundant
unconventional oil and gas reserves,
growing energy demand, increasingly
strict environmental and safety
regulations, the policy of opening-up to
the outside world and the international
expansion of multinational corporations.
2. Policies and regulations
On June 30, 2019, the NDRC and the
Ministry of Commerce issued the 2019
version of the “Catalogue of Industries
that Encourage Foreign Investment”, in
which the negative list of foreign
investment was revised. The following
oil-gas-related industries are being
encouraged:
1) Oil & gas exploration and
development, and mine gas
utilization
2) Development and application of
enhanced oil recovery (in the form
of engineering services) and
related new technologies
3) New technology related to oil
exploration and development, such
as geophysical exploration, drilling,
logging, and underground
operation
4) Oil processing, coking, etc.
5) Special equipment manufacturing
- Oil exploration, drilling,
collection and transportation
equipment manufacturing:
floating drilling with water
depth over 1500 meters.
Floating production system,
subsea oil recovery and
collection equipment
- Shale gas equipment
manufacturing
- Key components’’
manufacturing of ethylene
complete sets of equipment
with 1 million tones/year
and above
- Offshore oil spill recovery
equipment manufacturing
6) Construction and operation of oil
(gas) pipeline and storage facilities
7) Construction and operation of
regional energy supply (cooling
and heating) projects fired by
natural gas.
46
PwC Views“
Inbound M&A
47
On December 31, 2019, the Ministry of
Natural Resources released the
“Opinions of the Ministry of natural
resources on several issues concerning
the promotion of mineral resource
management reform”. With China fully
opening its oil & gas exploration and
production market, private and foreign
investors are now allowed to enter this
field. Domestic and foreign companies
registered in China with a net asset of
no less than Rmb300 million are now
eligible for oil & gas mining right in
accordance with the regulations. The
opinions touch upon the reform of
mining right transfer, oil & gas
exploration and production
management and reserves
management.
3. Prospect analysis
In recent years, China’s economy and
energy demand have grown steadily
amid tightening supply & demand,
resulting in greater dependence on
foreign imports. With the opening of the
whole industry value chain of the
domestic oil & gas industry, more
foreign companies will be attracted to
the field of oil & gas exploration and
production in China and increase the
country’s self-sufficiency. Including
conventional onshore oil and gas
development, foreign companies have
interest in unconventional oil & gas
resources as well.
With the further opening-up of China’s
market, foreign oil and gas giants are
considering expanding their retail
(gasoline) stations here, through joint
ventures, M&A, wholly foreign-owned
enterprises, etc. At the same time, they
might be also interested in exploring the
business model of the comprehensive
energy service station which integrates
the services of gasoline, hydrogen
supply and electric charging.
The 2019 version of the negative list for
foreign investment access removes the
restriction that urban gas of a city with a
population over 500,000 has to be
controlled by the Chinese side. With the
official establishment of China Oil &
Gas Pipeline Network Corporation
(December 2019), the domestic gas
market is expected to undergo
significant changes. Competent foreign
companies can now enter China’s city
gas market through M&A, and bring
their comprehensive service ability
(operation and maintenance, etc.) to
domestic end-users.
In addition, foreign companies with
overseas gas sources can approach
more local customers here by investing
in domestic LNG receiving terminals.
PwC Views“
Natural gas
1. Market activity
As the second largest consumer of natural gas in the world,
China’s natural gas consumption has grown rapidly in recent
years. According to the “Opinions on Accelerating the Use of
Natural Gas” issued by the NDRC, by 2020 and 2030, the
proportion of natural gas in the primary energy consumption
will be increased to about 10% and 15%. Compared with
other fossil fuels (coal/oil), natural gas is generally regarded
as a cleaner energy, which might become one of the main
supplies of China’s modern clean energy system.
We found that the natural gas related deals (including LNG)
accounted for 39% and 47% of the total deal volume and
value respectively (a total of 25 deals with disclosed value
of USD6.3billion). If taking into account wider gas related
deals (including mixed oil & gas fields), the volume accounted
for 53%.
The deal volume and deal value related to natural gas
(including LNG) showed a steady upward trend from 2017 to
2019. Total deal value increased from USD1.1 billion in 2017
to USD4.2 billion in 2018, and further to USD6.3 billion in
2019; deal volume increased from 19 in 2017 to 26 in 2018,
and remained largely unchanged in 2019.
11
8
14
12
10
15
2017 H1 2017 H2 2018 H1 2018 H2 2019 H1 2019 H2
659 510
3,138
1,091 968
5,302
2017 H1 2017 H2 2018 H1 2018 H2 2019 H1 2019 H2
USD in millions
Source: Data from Mergermarket and PwC analysis
Note: Deal value is calculated based on the disclosed value
M&A in natural gas (incl. LNG) sector by deal value and volume (2019)
Natural gas related deal volume (2017-2019)
Non gas,47%
Mixed, 14%
Gas,39%
Natural gas related deal value (2017-2019)
48
Non gas,52%
Mixed, 1%
Gas,47%
By deal volume By deal value
2. Investment entity
Investors in the natural gas sector are diversified, which
include the three NOCs, provincial natural gas pipeline
network companies, private urban gas suppliers, and
financial investors.
1) Three NOCs – In August 2019, PetroChina Kunlun
Gas purchased 17 subsidiaries of Jinhong Holding
Group with Rmb1.65 billion (about USD235 million);
2) Provincial pipeline network company – In January
2019, Shaanxi Natural Gas acquired 100% of the
shares of Wuqi Baoze Natural Gas;
3) Private city gas supplier – In January 2019,
Zhongyu Gas acquired 100% of the shares of
Mengzhou City Gaoyuan Natural Gas Co., Ltd and
Wen County Gaoyuan Natural Gas Co., Ltd;
4) Financial investor – In June 2019, China Investment
took a stake in Cadent Gas (a subsidiary of National
Grid);
5) Other investor – In May 2019, Beijing Sanju
Environmental Protection & New Materials acquired
49% of the shares of Inner Mongolia Sanju Jiajing
New Energy for Rmb190.61 million (about USD28
million).
3. The establishment of China Oil & Gas Pipeline
Network Corporation
On December 9, 2019, China Oil & Gas Pipeline Network
Corporation was officially established in Beijing, marking a key
step in deepening the reform of oil and gas system in China.
For a long time, the construction and operation of China’s oil
and gas pipeline network has been dominated by national oil
companies. According to publicly available data, “as at the
end of 2018 the three national oil companies had 96,000
kilometers of main oil and gas pipeline network, with CNPC,
Sinopec and CNOOC accounting for 63%, 31% and 6%
respectively. At the same time, the provincial pipeline
network was 25,000 kilometres long, of which three NOCs
and other stakeholders accounted for a 50% stake
respectively.”
The newly established China Oil & Gas Pipeline network
Corporation will be responsible for the investment and
construction of national oil and gas pipeline network and
some gas storage facility, as well as the pipeline
transportation of crude oil, refined oil, and natural gas. This
will effectively solve problems such as low interconnectivity of
pipeline network, and the lack of unified planning and
regulatory, as well as ensure the stable market supply and
fair open access to all the third parties.
The establishment of China Oil & Gas Pipeline Network
Corporation is expected to restructure the competitive
landscape of the natural gas industry. In the long run, it will
help accelerate the transition to a new market pattern: The
upstream is dominated by Three NOCs, supplemented by a
variety of gas sources, the midstream is transported by a
unified pipeline network, and the downstream sales market is
fully competitive (x+1+x).
Natural gas
49
We think that the long-term and far-reaching impact on the
entities of the sector includes:
1) For NOCs, the separation of pipeline network will break the
integrated operation model of upstream, midstream and
downstream. The loss of the monopoly advantage of the
midstream through the pipeline network, leaving only two
business units of upstream production and downstream
sales, will have an impact on its own profitability. However,
the NOCs can change their development strategies, better
rely on their upstream resource advantages, actively enter
the city gas sale market, and find new profit growth model;
2) For other upstream companies, with the separation of
pipeline network business and the liberalization of
upstream competition, capital expenditure is expected to
be more inclined to the exploration and production, thus
helping to increase natural gas production.
Unconventional gas companies and equipment &
engineering companies related to exploration and
production are likely to benefit.
3) For midstream companies, the establishment of China
Oil & Gas Pipeline Network Corporation promotes the
interconnection of the pipeline network. Pipeline
investment and construction companies will likely be
among the first to reap the benefits.
4) For the downstream, large city gas companies operating
nationwide will be keen to facilitate the integration of
value chain and further secure more potential customers.
4. Potential Challenge
With the gradual opening-up of the domestic gas industry and
the introduction of social capital, more investment
opportunities have emerged, but accompanied by challenges:
The asset integration of China Oil & Gas pipeline network
corporation might lag behind: After the establishment of
China Oil & Gas pipeline network corporation, the details of
the assets involved are yet to be finalized. It will also take a
considerable amount of time, manpower and material
resources to integrate the pipeline business of each
company. The slower-than-expected asset integration would
lead to the lag in the reform of the natural gas industry.
Natural gas consumption grew below expectations: To
prevent the COVID-19 from spreading, most regions in the
country have issued traffic restrictions since early 2020.
Many enterprises and factories also postponed the date of
work after the Spring Festival. Public places and
entertainment/catering industries were closed for a while.
These led to a sharp decrease in the demand for natural gas
in the short term and a decrease in the growth rate of annual
consumption. It is unlikely for the natural gas consumption
this year to meet the objective of “13th five-year” plan (10%
of total primary energy consumption in 2020).
Natural gas
50
Natural gas
51
• In August 2019, PetroChina Kunlun Gas purchased 17
subsidiaries of Jinhong Holding Group for Rmb1.65
billion (about USD235 million). Kunlun Gas is a
professional company in charge of urban gas business
under CNPC. With its advantages in upstream resources,
Kunlun Gas actively expands in the urban gas market.
Jinhong Holding is headquartered in Jilin City. Its main
business is the construction and operation of long-distance
natural gas pipeline and urban gas pipeline network.
Among the 17 target companies, all except Tai’an Port, are
engaged in city gas supply and management. We believe
that through this acquisition, Kunlun would be able to
increase its market share in the urban gas market in
Hengyang, Tai’an and Hengshui. It would also contribute
to the integration of the company’s gas business and the
achievement of gas sale targets.
• In January 2019, Zhongyu Gas acquired 100% of the
shares of Mengzhou City Gaoyuan Natural Gas Co.,
Ltd and Wen County Gaoyuan Natural Gas Co., Ltd. As
a professional gas operation service provider, Zhongyu
Gas operates in 11 provinces and cities including Henan,
Shandong, Hebei, Beijing, and Jiangsu, and distributes
pipe gas to residential and industrial and commercial users.
Mengzhou City Gaoyuan Natural Gas and Wen County
Gaoyuan Natural Gas, located in Henan Province, have
signed franchise agreements with Mengzhou and Wen
County local governments respectively, and are mainly
engaged in the sales of pipe gas and gas appliances. This
acquisition is in line with Zhongyu’s development strategy:
“that is, entering the surrounding developed areas by
accelerating the acquisition of high-quality projects”.
Zhongyu Gas has not carried out any large business in the
target company’s business operation areas (Mengzhou
and Wen County), but owns several urban gas projects in
the nearby regions. Through the acquisition, Zhongyu can
expand the coverage of its products and services, and
further increase its market share in the region.
Key deals at a glance
Natural gas
52
Xi Wei, Assistant General Manager of Shanghai Petroleum
& Gas Exchange (Strategic Investment)
With the rapidly increasing natural gas consumption,
China has been the major driving force for the growth
of global natural gas market. Considering natural gas
infrastructure development in China relatively lag
behind, it is more important to consider the
investment on the entire industrial value chain other
than purely upstream gas assets. Meanwhile, foreign
companies are paying closer attention to combine
the strengths of their overseas gas supply together
with the enormous customer group in China market.
For example, South Korea SK Group recently
announced their plan to jointly develop and construct
LNG receiving station in Weihai in collaboration with
CNPC Shandong Branch.
We believe the key investment themes in the future
mainly include the areas below:
1) LNG receiving terminals – including the existing
operational 22 LNG terminals in China, over 30 LNG
terminals will be expected to be in operation in 3-5
years, which means there might be an excessive
capacity by then. However with the establishment of
national Oil & Gas Pipeline Network Corporation,
LNG terminals will be playing an increasingly
important role. Also because the distribution of LNG
terminals around coastal provinces/cities is not even,
some regions might still have the room for further
development, particularly the provinces where there
are high demands for natural gas and pipeline
infrastructure is better established, such as Jiangsu,
Zhejiang and Guangdong provinces.
2) City gas is another area worthwhile for further
study. Along with China urban redevelopment and
battle for blue sky, the future gasification rate among
city dwellers will be gradually increased. Heating
supply in some of Northern and Central cities will
heavily reply on the natural gas, and large
Commercial & Industrial customers are also being
encouraged to switch from burning coal to using gas.
Stable cash inflow and huge consumers group make
the city gas more attractive for investors.
Expert opinion
Natural gas
53
Xi Wei, Assistant General Manager of Shanghai Petroleum
& Gas Exchange (Strategic Investment)
In the short term, many small private city gas
companies are on the offer for sale. Under the
background of national oil & gas pipeline network
corporation’s establishment, gas companies are
moving towards both upstream and downstream on
the value chain. Nationwide operational city gas
companies and regional leading players are more
capable of achieving expansion and building the
entire value chain through green-field investment and
M&A. On the other side, some small private city gas
companies are willing to be sold due to the pressure
on profits. This might become an opportunity for
M&A of city gas industry.
In the long run, we are also positive about the
prospect of gas-fired power. Power industry will
become one of the important channels to consume
surplus imported LNG, and newly built LNG-fired
power stations can also contribute to the local
economy development, which is the strategic growth
direction currently being explored by many medium
and small costal cities.
The outbreak of COVID-19 since early 2020 has led
to travel restriction and reduced commercial &
industrial activities. Natural gas consumption in 2020
is hard to predict at this moment. Provided the
pandemic in Europe and America is under control by
end of Q2 2020, we expect China’s exports to bring
recovery and economy development and energy
consumption to rebound.
Shanghai Petroleum & Gas Exchange (SHPGX) was set up approved by Shanghai
government with the purpose to become a national energy trading platform, under the
guidance by NDRC and NEA.
Expert opinion
With the establishment of China Oil & Gas Pipeline Network
Corporation, the distribution pattern of interests in natural
gas industry chain will change. Market players can seek new
business opportunities through M&A:
1. Three NOCs with upstream resources in hand might
actively enter and integrate downstream city gas
markets through M&A. In addition, the fair access of
China Oil & Gas pipeline network corporation to third
parties will also benefit non-conventional natural gas
companies (coalbed methane/shale gas/tight gas, etc.)
by alleviating problems, such as the lack of gas
pipelines in development zones which will affect their
enthusiasm for expanding production;
2. Nationwide city gas companies and local leading
companies will invest in and secure low-cost overseas gas
sources by entering LNG receiving terminals to further
expand their scale advantages in the domestic market;
3. At present, most of the regional gas franchise rights of
the second-tier, third-tier and the county-level cities are
owned by local companies, and the competition pattern
is relatively scattered. Local private city gas companies
are small and relatively passive because they lack the
ability to negotiate with upstream and it is difficult to
obtain overseas gas sources through using LNG
receiving terminals. This may lead to opportunities for
merger and consolidation of the city gas industry.
In addition, the establishment of China Oil & Gas
Pipeline Network Corporation will promote the
independence of oil and gas pipelines, separate pipeline
transmission and sales, and accelerate the construction
of pipeline infrastructure. Engineering and equipment
companies in the natural gas industry might also attract
investors’ attention, such as steel pipe manufacturing,
storage and transportation services.
Investment outlook and hotspots
Restructure of natural gas industry stimulating M&A activities
Survival of the fittest in the refinery industry;
stepping into the period of integration
54
In the next two years, the expansion of China’s refining and
chemical industry will continue to be released, competition
will become fierce, and some products may have excess
capacity (such as refining and PTA). On the other hand,
China still heavily reply on the imports for high-end
petrochemical products.
In the great Petrochemical age, “refinery and petrochemical
integration” will become the long-term development trend. A
new model is being adopted in refining and petrochemical
integration to promote companies to reduce the proportion of
refined oil production and increase the output of high value-
added petrochemicals.
In addition, increasingly stringent environmental regulations
will affect SMEs substantially. Only companies with high
environmental performance can survive, while those with low
efficiency and environmental protection will be eliminated or
merged. The industry has entered the survival-of-the-fittest
phase and is moving towards a high-quality development
stage.
Investment outlook and hotspots
55
China at present depends largely on foreign oil and gas
imports (72% oil and 43% natural gas in 2018). Although
China has the resource base to achieve stable oil and gas
production, the probability of discovery of large conventional
oil and gas fields is uncertain. To accelerate the realization
of resources, more advanced technologies would be needed
to serve old oilfields or unconventional oil and gas fields.
Technologies that help reduce costs and increase
operational efficiency will be favoured by more companies
and investors.
• Digital Technology – Information technology is used as a
means to fully realize digitization, networking, intelligence
and visualization of oilfield entities and companies. The
application of digital and intelligent technologies in the
field of oil and gas production can help companies
reduce costs and improve their overall competitiveness.
In addition, the recent COVID-19 epidemic has also put
forward higher requirements for emergency management
in the oil and gas industry. Adopting advanced
unmanned and intelligent production operation
management technology can effectively reduce
unnecessary personnel contact and improve safety
performance. For example, automated (unmanned) oil
rigs, LOT smart gas meters, self-service gasoline
refuelling stations, etc.
• Enhanced Oil Recovery – At present, several
mainstream methods, such as the injection of water˴
polymer˴ and carbon dioxide, have been formed around
the world to enhance oil recovery in oil fields. In recent
years, the proportion of China’s difficult-to-recover oil and
gas reserves has increased year by year. To prolong the
lifespan of old oil fields, further development and
application of enhanced oil recovery technology (EOR)
are needed.
Technological innovation leads to the change
Opportunities in the hydrogen era
• As a clean and efficient energy source, hydrogen has
turned the heads of many investors and policy makers at
home and abroad in recent years. hydrogen production
by natural gas (one of the paths) has mature technology,
high output, and moderate cost, which is suitable for
large-scale hydrogen production. In the future, further
integration may occur between the natural gas and
hydrogen energy industries. For example, the joint
construction of liquid hydrogen LNG receiving terminals,
and the blended hydrogen into natural gas pipeline
network for transportation.
• The rapid development of China’s hydrogen energy
industry also provides opportunities for petrochemical
companies. The cost of by-product hydrogen in the
petrochemical industry is relatively low, which could
become a stable and cheap source of hydrogen.
• In addition, more conventional refuelling stations will be
expected to be transformed into integrated energy
service stations (gasoline + hydrogen + electric charging)
to meet the needs of different types of consumers
(vehicles). For example, the Foshan Station built by
Sinopec in Guangdong is the first new outlet that
integrates gasoline˴ hydrogen energy˴ EV charging and
convenience chain services in China. The integrated
energy station model saves related costs such as land
and labor, and contributes to the better use of different
energy resources.
Outbound, domestic and inbound deals
The COVID-19 has had a large impact
on the M&A market recently, and some
planned deals have been delayed.
Assuming the epidemic is successfully
contained in the short time, M&A
activities might rebound in the next 1-2
years. Seeking growth opportunities and
breakthroughs in an uncertain
environment will be an important issue
quality investors and companies must
consider.
• Affected by the COVID-19 outbreak
since the beginning of 2020, travels
due to traffic regulations are
reduced, factory resumption is
delayed, and the easing of global oil
and gas supply and demand will
continue. With China being a major
importer of oil and natural gas, it is a
good time for Chinese investors to
purchase “good and cheap”
upstream assets worldwide when
international oil prices are low. The
NOCs and local SOEs with deep
pockets remain important forces for
outbound M&A;
• When the epidemic is over, oil and
gas demand and consumption might
resume their previous vitality, and
overseas strategic investors will
again be paying close attention to
the Chinese market. Multinational
companies will consider establishing
closer partnerships with Chinese
companies to seize opportunities
and advantages, especially in the
fields of high-end refining and
petrochemical, unconventional and
offshore oil and gas field
development, and comprehensive
energy service stations;
• Regarding M&A in the domestic
market, we believe that they are still
concentrated in areas such as urban
gas and refinery & petrochemicals.
Urban gas companies have carried
out horizontal M&A activities of “big
eats small” in order to continuously
expand their coverage and achieve
expansion. Refinery and
petrochemical companies are keen
to extend their upstream and
downstream businesses through
vertical M&A, to achieve the
integration of the industrial value
chain. Investors will also have a
more diversified distribution. In
addition to SOEs, private companies
will play an important role.
Investment outlook and hotspots
56
Future trend in the period of low oil price
Since the beginning of this year,
affected by geopolitical factors, and also
because of the demand slowdown and
global economy downturn caused by
COVID-19 outbreak, international oil
prices have plunged sharply. Price of
WTI future contracts for May 2020
before expiration date even fell below
zero (also due to the lack of available
storage capacity). During the period of
low oil prices, investment entities on the
market tend to take a more rational and
pragmatic attitude towards green-field
investment and
M&A activities. Some small/medium
size oil & gas operators with high costs
and incompetent performance are likely
to face the risks of reducing or
suspending production. Some refinery &
petrochemical companies might benefit
because the prices of their products do
not fall as much as the price of raw
materials (crude oil). Given the fact that
imported gas price here is related to
international crude oil price to some
extent, gas prices might go lower, which
might benefit the development of city
gas and gas-fired power industry.
Meanwhile, in the future, oil and gas
storage facilities/infrastructure will
probably attract more attention from
investors.
In the middle to long term, there is
uncertainty on the future trend of oil
price which might need more
observation. The corresponding impact
on each subsector development and
associated investment/M&A activities
will need further understanding and
comprehensive study.
57
This article is for the purpose of providing general information only and should not be used as a substitute
for the advice provided by professional consultants.
© 2020 PwC. All rights reserved. PricewaterhouseCoopers refers to the independent member organizations
of the PricewaterhouseCoopers network and/or the PricewaterhouseCoopers network. For more
information, please go to www.pwc.com/structure.
Franklin Zhai
EUM (Energy/Utility/Mining)
Industry Deals Lead Partner
PwC China
+86 (21) 2323 2957
Sammy Lai
Power and Utilities Deals
Lead Partner
PwC China
+86 (10) 6533 2991
Bing Lu
Deals Strategy &
Operation Partner
PwC China
+86 (10) 6533 2118
Contact us
Steve Cheng
Energy Oil and Gas Industry Deals
Lead Partner
PwC Hong Kong
+852 2289 2568