bringing global climate change to a local application
TRANSCRIPT
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http://cal-adapt.org
Kevin Koy, Brian Galey, Sarah Van Wart, Matea Marsic,
Mark O’Connor, Maggi Kelly
Geospatial Innovation Facility
College of Natural Resources
UC Berkeley
Bringing Global Climate Change
to a Local Application
A product of the
Public Interest Energy Research (PIER) program
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http://cal-adapt.org
What the GIF does… Advising Support
Project Development Equipment
Access
Data Discovery
Training
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http://cal-adapt.org
Public Interest Energy Research
California Energy Commission (CEC) program informs decision makers through:
• Climate Monitoring, Analysis, and Modeling • Greenhouse gas Inventory Methods • Options to Reduce GHG Emissions • Impact and Adaptation
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http://cal-adapt.org
• More than 150 peer reviewed reports on climate change
• Dozens of researchers and organizations
• Thousands of data layers
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http://cal-adapt.org
Mission
Develop an innovative web based platform
to increase access to the wealth of climate
change research and data being produced
by the scientific community in California.
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http://cal-adapt.org
How?
• Relevant information presented in easy to understand themes and topics
• Interactive maps and charts providing a variety of approaches to explore different aspects of climate change
• Improved access to primary climate change data in GIS and tabular formats
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http://cal-adapt.org
Target Audiences
• General Public Learn about climate change data relevant to their area
• Local planners and technicians
Obtain meaningful information and data to help guide locally relevant climate action plans and adaptation strategies
• Scientific community Access primary data relevant to an area of interest
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http://cal-adapt.org
Collaborative Effort
• Advisory Oversight from CEC, Natural Resources Agency, Google.org
• Initial Research and Data Output from • Scripps Institution of Oceanography • Santa Clara University • Pacific Institute • U.S. Geological Survey (USGS) • UC Berkeley • UC Merced
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http://cal-adapt.org
Development
• Potential users from each audience polled for use cases and needs via survey and interviews
• Initial Beta releases privately tested
• Tools and interactive maps verified with data authors for accuracy
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http://cal-adapt.org
Data
• 2 Scenarios • B1 - The lower emissions scenario • A2 - The medium-high emissions scenario
• 4 Models
• NCAR - National Center for Atmospheric Research Parallel Climate Model (PCM1)
• CCSM - Community Climate System Model Version 3.0 (CCSM3) • GFDL - Geophysical Fluids Dynamic Laboratory (GFDL) CM2.1 • CNRM - Centre National de Recherches Météorologiques
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http://cal-adapt.org
Data Monthly layers 1950-2099 • Actual evapotranspiration • Average temperature • Baseflow • Fire • Fractional moisture in the entire
soil column • Maximum temperature • Minimum temperature • Net surface radiation • Precipitation • Relative humidity • Runoff • Snow water equivalent • Soil moisture at bottom layer • Soil moisture at middle layer • Soil moisture at top layer • Wind
Each variable = 14,400 layers * 150 years * 12 months * 4 Models * 2 Scenarios
Over 230,000 total
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http://cal-adapt.org
How does it work?
12
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http://cal-adapt.org
Demo
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http://cal-adapt.org
Temperature Animations
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http://cal-adapt.org
Temperature Differences
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http://cal-adapt.org
Temperature Charts
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http://cal-adapt.org
Upcoming… New tool will aggregate daily temperature projection data to visualize
potential frequency, duration, and severity of future heat waves
Projected number of heat wave days in Los Angeles from the GFDL GCM
simulation, under the A2 GHG emissions scenario. In this case, a heat wave is
any day exceeding 81°F, the 95th percentile of daytime temperature in Los
Angeles during May through September from 1961-1990.
- Dan Cayan - Climate Change and the Future of Southern California