breeding status and population trends of seabirds in … · 2019. 5. 23. · ii table b. regional...
TRANSCRIPT
BREEDING STATUS
AND POPULATION
TRENDS OF SEABIRDS
IN ALASKA, 2017
U.S. FISH AND WILDLIFE SERVICE
AMNWR 2018/02
BREEDING STATUS AND POPULATION TRENDS OF SEABIRDS IN ALASKA, 2017
Compiled By:
Donald E. Dragoo, Heather M. Renner and Robb S. A. Kalera
Key words: Aethia, Alaska, Aleutian Islands, ancient murrelet, Bering Sea, black-legged kittiwake, Cepphus, Cerorhinca, Chukchi Sea, common murre, crested auklet, fork-tailed storm-petrel, Fratercula, Fulmarus, glaucous-winged gull, Gulf of Alaska, hatching chronology, horned puffin, Larus, Leach’s storm-petrel, least auklet, long-term monitoring, northern fulmar, Oceanodroma, parakeet auklet, pelagic cormorant, Phalacrocorax, pigeon guillemot, Prince William Sound, productivity, red-faced cormorant, red-legged kittiwake, rhinoceros auklet, Rissa, seabirds, Synthliboramphus, thick-billed murre, tufted puffin, Uria, whiskered auklet.
U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service
Alaska Maritime National Wildlife Refuge Migratory Bird Management 95 Sterling Highway, Suite 1 1011 East Tudor Road Homer, Alaska, USA 99603 Anchorage, Alaska USA 99503
February 2018
Cite as: Dragoo, D. E., H. M. Renner, and R. S. A. Kaler. 2018. Breeding status and population trends of seabirds in Alaska, 2017. U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service Report AMNWR 2018/02. Homer, Alaska.aDragoo ([email protected]) and Renner ([email protected]), Alaska Maritime NWR, Homer; Kaler ([email protected]), U. S. Fish and Wildlife Service, Migratory Bird Management, Anchorage.
When using information from this report, data, results, or conclusions specific to a location(s) should not be used in other publications without first obtaining permission from the original contributor(s). Results and conclusions general to large geographic areas may be cited without permission. This report updates previous reports.
The findings and conclusions in this report are those of the author(s) and do not necessarily represent the views of the U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service or the Department of the Interior.
i
Executive Summary
Data are collected annually for selected species of marine birds at breeding colonies on the far-flung Alaska Maritime National Wildlife Refuge (NWR), and at other areas in Alaska, to monitor the condition of the marine ecosystem and to evaluate the conservation status of species under the trust of the U. S. Fish and Wildlife Service. The strategy for colony monitoring includes estimating timing of nesting events, rates of reproductive success, and population trends of representative species of various foraging guilds (e.g., offshore diving fish-feeders, diving plankton-feeders) at geographically dispersed breeding sites. This information enables managers to better understand ecosystem processes and respond appropriately to resource issues. It also provides a basis for researchers to test hypotheses about ecosystem change. The value of the marine bird monitoring program is enhanced by having sufficiently long time-series to describe patterns for these long-lived species.
During the summer of 2017, seabird data were gathered at seven of the eight annual monitoring sites on the Alaska Maritime NWR. Birds were not monitored at St. Lazaria Island due to inadequate funding. The species monitored were murres, pigeon guillemots, ancient murrelets, auklets, puffins, kittiwakes, glaucous-winged gulls, northern fulmars, storm-petrels, and cormorants. In addition, data were gathered at five other locations which are visited intermittently, or were part of a research or monitoring program outside the refuge.
Timing of breeding (Table A)
l Statewide, in 2017 mean hatch date was early in 43%, average in 36%, and late in 21% of monitored species. Three of the four monitored auklets exhibited early timing in 2017, whereas murres and black-legged kittiwakes were later than average.
l Murre and kittiwake eggs failed to hatch on study plots at several monitored colonies in 2017 (e. g., common and thick-billed murres at Aiktak Island; black-legged kittiwakes at St. Paul Island; red-legged kittiwakes at all three monitored colonies--St. Paul, St. George, and Buldir islands), probably due to nest depredation and/or nest abandonment by adults.
Table A. Regional and statewide seabird breeding chronologya compared to averages for past years within regions and the state of Alaska as a whole. Only regions for which there were data from 2017 are included.
Productivity (Table B)
l Statewide, 2017 productivity was average in 47% of monitored species and below average in 53%. No monitored species had above average productivity statewide in 2017.
l In 2017, murres, tufted puffins, and kittiwakes exhibited widespread breeding failures, although the failures were not as prevalent for murres as they were in 2016, following an extensive 2015-2016 wintertime die off event.
Region COMUb TBMU ANMU PAAU LEAU WHAU CRAU HOPU TUPU BLKI GWGU FTSP LHSP RFCO
SE Bering L L E E E A E E A ESW Bering L E E E E A L LN. GOAc A L A E A L AAlaska L L E A E E E A A L A E A E
aCodes:“E” and red cell color indicate hatching chronology was > 3 days earlier than the average for sites in this region.“A” and yellow cell color indicate hatching chronology was within 3 days of average.“L” and green cell color indicate hatching chronology was > 3 days later than the average for sites in this region.
bCOMU=common murre, TBMU=thick-billed murre, ANMU=ancient murrelet, PAAU=parakeet auklet, LEAU=least auklet, WHAU=whiskered auklet, CRAU=crested auklet, HOPU=horned puffin, TUPU=tufted puffin, BLKI=black-legged kittiwake, GWGU=glaucous-winged gull, FTSP=fork-tailed storm-petrel, LHSP=Leach’s storm-petrel, RFCO=red-faced cormorant.
cGOA=Gulf of Alaska.
ii
Table B. Regional and statewide seabird breeding productivity levelsa compared to averages for past years within regions and the state of Alaska as a whole. Only regions for which there were data from 2017 are included.
Population trends during 2008-2017 (Table C)
l Statewide, 19% of species showed increasing population trends, 37% were stable, and 44% declined between 2008 and 2017.
l Low colony attendance in recent years following the 2015-2016 winter die off may be a consequence of poor localized habitat conditions, and may or may not reflect true changes in population size. Birds not attending the cliffs frequently form large rafts in nearby waters.
l In some cases, the 2017 counts were a small fraction of prior years’ counts. For example, the 2017 murre count at Aiktak Island was about 6% of the 2016 count there. Future counts will be needed to determine whether there was mortality, whether breeding birds emigrated out of the area, or whether they simply didn’t breed in 2017.Table C. Regional and statewide seabird population trendsa between 2008 and 2017 within regions and the state of Alaska as a whole. Only sites for which there were data from at least two years (at least 5 years apart) within the target decade are included.
Regionb COMUc TBMU ANMU PAAU LEAU WHAU CRAU RHAU HOPU TUPU BLKI RLKI GWGU FTSP LHSP RFCO PECO
N. BS/CS HSE Bering L L A L A L L L A A A L LSW Bering L A A A A H L L L L L AN. GOA H H A A L L L H HAlaska L L A A L A A A A L L L A L A L L
aCodes:“L” and red cell color indicate productivity was > 20% below the average for the region.“A” and yellow cell color indicate productivity was within 20% of average.“H” and green cell color indicate productivity was > 20% above the average for the region.
bBS=Bering Sea, CS=Chukchi Sea, GOA=Gulf of Alaska.cCOMU=common murre, TBMU=thick-billed murre, ANMU=ancient murrelet, PAAU=parakeet auklet, LEAU=least auklet, WHAU=whiskered
auklet, CRAU=crested auklet, RHAU=rhinoceros auklet, HOPU=horned puffin, TUPU=tufted puffin, BLKI=black-legged kittiwake, RLKI=red-legged kittiwake, GWGU=glaucous-winged gull, FTSP=fork-tailed storm-petrel, LHSP=Leach’s storm-petrel, RFCO=red-faced cormorant, PECO=pelagic cormorant.
Regionb COMUc TBMU UNMU PIGU LEAU RHAU TUPU BLKI RLKI GWGU NOFU FTSP STPE RFCO PECO UNCO
N. BS/CS h hSE Bering i 1 i i 1 i 1 i h h i i iSW Bering 1 h h i 1N. GOA i h 1 i i 1 1 1Southeast 1 1 1 h 1 hAlaska i 1 i 1 i 1 i 1 h 1 h 1 h i i i
aCodes: i and red cell color indicate a negative population trend of ≥3% per annum for this site or region.1 and yellow cell color indicate that per annum change was within 3% of the site average. h and green cell color indicate a positive population trend of ≥3% per annum for this site or region.
bBS=Bering Sea, CS=Chukchi Sea, GOA=Gulf of Alaska.cCOMU=common murre, TBMU=thick-billed murre, UNMU=unspecified murre, PIGU=pigeon guillemot, LEAU=least auklet, RHAU=rhinoceros auklet,
TUPU=tufted puffin, BLKI=black-legged kittiwake, RLKI=red-legged kittiwake, GWGU=glaucous-winged gull, NOFU=northern fulmar, FTSP=fork-tailed storm-petrel, STPE=unspecified storm-petrel, RFCO=red-faced cormorant, PECO=pelagic cormorant, UNCO=unspecified cormorant.
l However, there were exceptions, with some species exhibiting above average productivity at certain colonies in 2017 (e.g., black-legged kittiwakes at Cape Lisburne; red-faced cormorants at St. Paul Island; common and thick-billed murres, glaucous-winged gulls, and pelagic cormorants at Chowiet Island).
iii
TABLE OF CONTENTS Page
Executive Summary ........................................................................................................................................iTable of Contents ......................................................................................................................................... iii Introduction ...................................................................................................................................................1Methods ........................................................................................................................................................1Results ............................................................................................................................................................4 Common murre (Uria aalge) ............................................................................................................4 Breeding chronology ...........................................................................................................4 Productivity ..........................................................................................................................4 Populations ..........................................................................................................................7 Thick-billed murre (Uria lomvia) ...................................................................................................10 Breeding chronology .........................................................................................................10 Productivity ........................................................................................................................10 Populations ..........................................................................................................................7 Pigeon guillemot (Cepphus columba) .............................................................................................13 Populations ........................................................................................................................13 Ancient murrelet (Synthliboramphus antiquus) ..............................................................................14 Breeding chronology .........................................................................................................14 Productivity ........................................................................................................................14 Parakeet auklet (Aethia psittacula) .................................................................................................15 Breeding chronology .........................................................................................................15 Productivity ........................................................................................................................15 Least auklet (Aethia pusilla) ...........................................................................................................18 Breeding chronology .........................................................................................................18 Productivity ........................................................................................................................18 Populations ........................................................................................................................18 Whiskered auklet (Aethia pygmaea) ...............................................................................................21 Breeding chronology .........................................................................................................21 Productivity ........................................................................................................................21 Crested auklet (Aethia cristatella) ..................................................................................................22 Breeding chronology .........................................................................................................22 Productivity ........................................................................................................................22 Rhinoceros auklet (Cerorhinca monocerata) .................................................................................23 Productivity ........................................................................................................................23 Populations ........................................................................................................................23 Horned puffin (Fratercula corniculata) ..........................................................................................25 Breeding chronology .........................................................................................................25 Productivity ........................................................................................................................25 Tufted puffin (Fratercula cirrhata) ................................................................................................28 Breeding chronology .........................................................................................................28 Productivity ........................................................................................................................28 Populations ........................................................................................................................31
iv
TABLE OF CONTENTS (continued) Page
Black-legged kittiwake (Rissa tridactyla) ......................................................................................32 Breeding chronology .........................................................................................................32 Productivity ........................................................................................................................32 Populations ........................................................................................................................35 Red-legged kittiwake (Rissa brevirostris) ......................................................................................37 Breeding chronology .........................................................................................................37 Productivity ........................................................................................................................37 Populations ........................................................................................................................40 Glaucous-winged gull (Larus glaucescens) ....................................................................................41 Breeding chronology .........................................................................................................41 Productivity ........................................................................................................................41 Populations ........................................................................................................................44 Northern fulmar (Fulmarus glacialis) ............................................................................................45 Populations ........................................................................................................................45 Fork-tailed storm-petrel (Oceanodroma furcata) ...........................................................................46 Breeding chronology .........................................................................................................46 Productivity ........................................................................................................................46 Populations ........................................................................................................................49 Leach’s storm-petrel (Oceanodroma leucorhoa) ............................................................................50 Breeding chronology .........................................................................................................50 Productivity ........................................................................................................................50 Populations ........................................................................................................................49 Red-faced cormorant (Phalacrocorax urile)...................................................................................53 Breeding chronology .........................................................................................................53 Productivity ........................................................................................................................53 Populations ........................................................................................................................55 Pelagic cormorant (Phalacrocorax pelagicus) ...............................................................................57 Productivity ........................................................................................................................57 Populations ........................................................................................................................55Summary tables ............................................................................................................................................59Acknowledgments ........................................................................................................................................62References ...................................................................................................................................................62
1
Introduction
This report is the latest in a series of annual reports summarizing the results of seabird monitoring efforts at breeding colonies on the Alaska Maritime National Wildlife Refuge (NWR) and elsewhere in Alaska (see Byrd and Dragoo 1997, Byrd et al. 1998 and 1999, Dragoo et al. 2000, 2001, 2003, 2004 and 2006-2017 for compilations of previous years’ data). The seabird monitoring program in Alaska is designed to keep track of selected species of marine birds that indicate changes in the ocean environment. Furthermore, the U. S. Fish and Wildlife Service has the responsibility to conserve seabirds, and monitoring data are used to identify conservation problems. The objective is to provide long-term, time-series data from which biologically significant changes may be detected and from which hypotheses about causes of changes may be tested. The Alaska Maritime NWR was established specifically to conserve marine bird populations and habitats in their natural diversity and the marine resources upon which they rely, and to provide for an international program for research on marine resources (Alaska National Interests Land Conservation Act of 1982). The monitoring program is an integral part of the management of this refuge and provides data that can be used to define “normal” variability in demographic parameters and identify patterns that fall outside norms and thereby constitute potential conservation issues. Although approximately 80% of the seabird nesting colonies in Alaska occur on the Alaska Maritime NWR, marine bird nesting colonies occur on other public lands (e.g., national and state refuges) and on private lands as well. The strategy for colony monitoring includes estimating timing of nesting events, reproductive success, population trends, and prey used by representative species of various foraging guilds (e.g., murres are offshore diving fish-feeders, kittiwakes are surface-feeding fish-feeders, auklets are diving plankton-feeders, etc.) at geographically dispersed breeding sites along the entire coastline of Alaska (Figure 1). A total of eight sites on the Alaska Maritime NWR, located roughly 300-500 km apart, are scheduled for annual surveys (Byrd 2007). During the summer of 2017, seabird data were gathered at seven of the eight annual monitoring sites on the Alaska Maritime NWR. Birds were not monitored at St. Lazaria Island due to inadequate funding. Furthermore, data are recorded annually or semiannually at other sites in Alaska (e.g., Cape Peirce, Togiak NWR; Puale Bay, Alaska Peninsula/Becharof NWR; Round and Middleton islands; Prince William Sound). In addition, colonies near the annual sites are identified for less frequent surveys to “calibrate” the information at the annual sites. Data provided from other research projects (e.g., those associated with evaluating the impacts of invasive rodents on marine birds) also supplement the monitoring database. In this report, we summarize information from 2017 for each species; i.e., tables with estimates of average hatch dates and reproductive success, and maps with symbols indicating the relative timing of hatching and reproductive success at various sites. In addition, historical patterns of hatching chronology and productivity are illustrated for those sites for which we have sufficient data. Population trend information is included for sites where adequate data are available.
Methods
Data collection methods followed standardized protocols (e.g., AMNWR 2017). Timing of nesting events and productivity usually were based on periodic checks of samples of nests (usually in plots) throughout the breeding season, but a few estimates of productivity were based on single visits to colonies late in the breeding season (as noted in the tables). Hatch dates were used to describe nesting chronology. Productivity typically was expressed as chicks fledged per egg, but occasionally other variables were used (Table 1). Population surveys were conducted for ledge-nesting species at times of the day and breeding season when variability in attendance was reduced. Most burrow-nester counts were made early in the season before vegetation obscured burrow entrances. Deviations from standard methods are indicated in reports from individual sites which are referenced herein.
2
Figure 1. Map of Alaska showing the locations of seabird monitoring sites summarized in this report. Text color indicates geographic regions.
500
KM
N
Cape
Lisb
urne
Cape
Peir
ceSt
. Pau
l I.
St. G
eorg
e I.
Buldi
r I.
Aikta
k I.
Roun
d I.
Chow
iet I.
E. A
matul
i I.Midd
leton
I.Princ
e Willi
am S
ound
St. L
azar
ia I.
Nor
ther
n B
erin
g/C
hukc
hiS
outh
east
ern
Ber
ing
Nor
ther
n G
ulf o
f Ala
ska
Sou
thw
este
rn B
erin
g
Sou
thea
st A
lask
a
Hall I
.
Puale
Bay
Ulak
I.
3
Table 1. Productivity parameters used in this report (see AMNWR 2017).Species Productivity Value Murres Chicks Fledged/Nest Site (Total chicks fledged/Total sites where egg was laid)Ancient murrelet Chicks Fledged/Egg (Total chicks fledged/Total eggs)Auklets (except RHAU) Chicks Fledged/Nest Site (Total chicks fledged/Total sites where egg was laid)Rhinoceros auklet Overall Residency Index (Late apparent occupancy/Early apparent occupancy)Horned puffin Chicks Fledged/Egg (Total chicks fledged/Total eggs)Tufted puffin Overall Residency Index (Late apparent occupancy/Early apparent occupancy)Kittiwakes Chicks Fledged/Nest (Total chicks fledged/Total nests)Glaucous-winged gull Hatching Success (Total chicks/Total eggs)Storm-petrels Chicks Fledged/Egg (Total chicks fledged/Total eggs) Cormorants Chicks Fledged/Nest (Total chicks fledged/Total nests)
This report summarizes monitoring data for 2017, and compares 2017 results with previous years. For sites with at least two years of data prior to 2017, site averages were used for comparisons. For chronology, we considered dates within 3 days of the long-term average to be “normal”; larger deviations represented relatively early or late dates. For productivity, we defined significant deviations from “normal” as any that differed by more than 20% from the site average. Population trends were analyzed using linear regression models on log-transformed data (ln) to calculate the slope of the line. The resultant slope is equivalent to the annual rate of population change. A trend was defined as any change greater than or equal to a three percent per annum increase or decline (≥3% p.a.). Population counts were analyzed using two time frames: 1) data from all available years, and 2) data from the last decade (2008-2017 for this report). A percent per annum change was calculated for each data set during both time periods, if sufficient data were available. We also summarized seabird phenology and productivity, as well as recent population trends (from 2008-2017), by region and for the entire state. Chronology was calculated for each species in a region using data from all colonies. Each colony was weighted equally within each region. The chronology was averaged for all sites within each region resulting in a value for each species, thus producing one statewide value for each species. Productivity was calculated for each species in a region using data from all colonies. Each colony was weighted equally within each region. The productivity was averaged for all sites within each region resulting in a value for each species. Species productivities were then averaged to calculate a statewide value for each species. Population trends were calculated for each species in a region using data from all colonies. Each colony was weighted equally within each region. Trends (line slopes) were averaged for all sites within each region resulting in a regional value for each species. Only sites for which there were data from at least two years (at least 5 years apart) between 2008 and 2017 were included.
4
Results
Common murre (Uria aalge)
Table 2. Hatching chronology of common murres at Alaskan sites monitored in 2017. Long-termSite Mean Average ReferenceSt. Paul I. 14 Aug (3)a 3 Aug (29)a Mong and Romano 2017St. George I. 8 Aug (9) 3 Aug (32) Pollom et al. 2018Chowiet I. 20 Jul (124) 23 Jul (20) Evans et al. 2017
aSample size in parentheses represents the number of nest sites used to calculate the mean hatch date and the number of years used to calculate the long-term average. Current year not included in long-term average.
Table 3. Reproductive performance of common murres at Alaskan sites monitored in 2017. Chicks Fledged/ No. of Long-termSite Nest Sitea Plots Average ReferenceSt. Paul I. 0.02 3 (48)b 0.49 (30)b Mong and Romano 2017St. George I. 0.33 4 (39) 0.48 (33) Pollom et al. 2018Round I. 0.00 3 (36) 0.18 (16) E. Weiss Unpubl. DataAiktak I. 0.00 NAc (0) 0.23 (20) N. Rojek Unpubl. DataChowiet I. 0.66 11 (233) 0.49 (22) Evans et al. 2017E. Amatuli I. 0.15 4 (26) 0.54 (19) A. Kettle Unpubl. Data
aSince murres do not build nests, nest sites were defined as sites where eggs were laid.bSample size in parentheses represents the number of nest sites used to calculate productivity and the
number of years used to calculate the long-term average. Current year not used in long-term average.cNot applicable or not reported.
5
Figure 2. Hatching chronology of common murres at Alaskan sites. Graphs indicate the departure in days (if any) from the site mean (value in parentheses; current year not included). Lack of bars indicates that no data were gathered in those years. Color of graph bar and map symbol indicates how current year’s success compared to the site mean (red is >3 days early, black is within 3 days and green is >3 days later than the site mean). Error bars represent ± 1 standard deviation.
Aver
age
=La
te+-E
arly
NN
o H
atch
2017
CO
MU
Hat
chin
gC
hron
olog
y
St. P
aul (
3 Au
g)
St. G
eorg
e (3
Aug
)
Cho
wie
t (23
Jul
)
E. A
mat
uli (
17Au
g)St
. Laz
aria
(13
Aug)
Aikt
ak (1
3 Au
g)Pu
ale
Bay
(21
Aug)
+
N
00
-20
-1001020
7580
8590
9500
0510
15
0
-20-1001020
7580
8590
9500
0510
15
0
-20
-1001020
7580
8590
9500
0510
15
000
00
-20
-1001020
7580
8590
9500
0510
15
+
-20
-1001020
7580
8590
9500
0510
15
=
-20
-1001020
7580
8590
9500
0510
15
-20
-1001020
7580
8590
9500
0510
15
6
Figure 3. Productivity of common murres (chicks fledged/nest site) at Alaskan sites. Lack of bars indicates that no data were gathered in those years. Blue line is the mean productivity at the site (value in parentheses; current year not included). Color of graph bar and map symbol indicates how current year’s success compared to the site mean (red is >20% below, black is within 20% and green is >20% above site mean). Error bars represent ± 1 standard deviation.
N
0.76
- 1.
00
0.51
- 0.
75
0.26
- 0.
50
0.01
- 0.
25
<0.0
1
2017
CO
MU
Pro
duct
ivity
St.
Pau
l (0.
49)
St.
Geo
rge
(0.4
8)
Rou
nd (0
.18)
Bul
dir (
0.42
)A
ikta
k (0
.23)
Cho
wie
t (0.
49)
St.
Laza
ria (0
.47)
Pua
le B
ay (0
.51)
0.00.25.50.751.0
0
7681
8691
9601
0611
16
00
.00
.25
.50
.75
1.00
7681
8691
9601
0611
16
0.0
0
.25
.50
.75
1.00
7681
8691
9601
0611
16
0.00.25.50.751.0
0
7681
8691
9601
0611
16
0.0
0
.25
.50
.75
1.00
7681
8691
9601
0611
16
00
00.0
0
.25
.50
.75
1.00
7681
8691
9601
0611
16
N
N
000
000
0000
00
.00
.25
.50
.75
1.00
7681
8691
9601
0611
16
.00
.25
.50
.75
1.00
7681
8691
9601
0611
16
7
Figure 4. Trends in populations of murres at Alaskan sites. Error bars (90% confidence intervals) are shown for years with multiple counts. Percent per annum (p.a.) changes are indicated for all years and for just the last decade (2008-2017, in parentheses). “NA” indicates that insufficient data were available.
Year1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015
Per
cent
of
Max
imum
(26
58 b
irds
)
0
100
Murres, Cape Lisburne+3.1% p.a. (+5.1% p.a.)
Year1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015
Per
cent
of
Max
imum
(38
75 b
irds
)
0
100
Common murre, Hall I.-1.8% p.a. (N/A)
Year1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015
Per
cent
of
Max
imum
(30
14 b
irds
)
0
100
Thick-billed murre, Hall I.-2.6% p.a. (N/A)
Year1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015
Per
cent
of
Max
imum
(39
03 b
irds
)
0
100
Common murre, St. Paul I.-3.6% p.a. (-9.1% p.a.)
Year1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015
Per
cent
of
Max
imum
(10
,223
bir
ds)
0
100
Thick-billed murre, St. Paul I.-1.5% p.a. (-2.1% p.a.)
Year1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015
Per
cent
of
Max
imum
(32
39 b
irds
)
0
100
Common murre, St. George I.-2.0% p.a. (-15.1% p.a.)
8
Figure 4 (continued). Trends in populations of murres at Alaskan sites. Error bars (90% confidence intervals) are shown for years with multiple counts. Percent per annum (p.a.) changes are indicated for all years and for just the last decade (2008-2017, in parentheses).
Year1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015
0Perc
ent o
f M
axim
um (
3203
bir
ds) 100
Murres, Buldir I.+8.6% p.a. (+8.7% p.a.)
Year1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015
0Perc
ent o
f M
axim
um (
3771
bir
ds) 100
Murres, Ulak I.-0.3% p.a. (-6.3% p.a.)
Year1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015
Per
cent
of
Max
imum
(23
,890
bir
ds)
0
100
Thick-billed murre, St. George I.+0.6% p.a. (+0.5% p.a.)
Year1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015
Per
cent
of
Max
imum
(14
32 b
irds
)
0
100
Common murre, Round I.-5.4% p.a. (-22.0% p.a.)
Year1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015
0Per
cent
of
Max
imum
(31
01 b
irds
) 100
Murres, Aiktak I.-8.9% p.a. (-30.6% p.a.)
Year1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015
Per
cent
of
Max
imum
(44
90 b
irds
)
0
100
Common murre, Cape Peirce-7.1% p.a. (-41.0% p.a.)
9
Figure 4 (continued). Trends in populations of murres at Alaskan sites. Error bars (90% confidence intervals) are shown for years with multiple counts. Percent per annum (p.a.) changes are indicated for all years and for just the last decade (2008-2017, in parentheses). “NA” indicates that insufficient data were available.
Year1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015
Per
cent
of
Max
imum
(42
83 b
irds
)
0
100
Murres, Chowiet I.-0.8% p.a. (-21.6 p.a.)
Year1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015
Per
cent
of
Max
imum
(97
5 bi
rds)
0
100
Murres, St. Lazaria I.-0.7% p.a. (-0.2% p.a.)
Year1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015
Per
cent
of
Max
imum
(22
95 b
irds
)
0
100
Murres, Puale Bay-2.2% p.a. (-13.4% p.a.)
10
Thick-billed murre (Uria lomvia)
Table 4. Hatching chronology of thick-billed murres at Alaskan sites monitored in 2017. Long-termSite Mean Average ReferenceSt. Paul I. 11 Aug (18)a 6 Aug (32)a Mong and Romano 2017St. George I. 8 Aug (74) 1 Aug (35) Pollom et al. 2018Buldir I. 27 Jul (117) 19 Jul (29) Pietrzak et al. 2017Chowiet I. 25 Jul (59) 21 Jul (19) Evans et al. 2017
aSample size in parentheses represents the number of nest sites used to calculate the mean hatch date and the number of years used to calculate the long-term average. Current year not included in long-term average.
Table 5. Reproductive performance of thick-billed murres at Alaskan sites monitored in 2017. Chicks Fledged/ No. of Long-termSite Nest Sitea Plots Average ReferenceSt. Paul I. 0.07 12 (243)b 0.45 (32)b Mong and Romano 2017St. George I. 0.15 16 (392) 0.50 (36) Pollom et al. 2018Buldir I. 0.46 9 (271) 0.66 (29) Pietrzak et al. 2017Aiktak I. 0.00 NAc (0) 0.27 (16) N. Rojek Unpubl. DataChowiet I. 0.53 5 (124) 0.40 (22) Evans et al. 2017
aSince murres do not build nests, nest sites were defined as sites where eggs were laid.bSample size in parentheses represents the number of nest sites used to calculate productivity and the
number of years used to calculate the long-term average. Current year not used in long-term average.cNot applicable or not reported.
11
Figure 5. Hatching chronology of thick-billed murres at Alaskan sites. Graphs indicate the departure in days (if any) from the site mean (value in parentheses; current year not included). Lack of bars indicates that no data were gathered in those years. Color of graph bar and map symbol indicates how current year’s success compared to the site mean (red is >3 days early, black is within 3 days and green is >3 days later than the site mean). Error bars represent ± 1 standard deviation.
Aver
age
=La
te+-E
arly
NN
o H
atch
2017
TBM
UH
atch
ing
Chr
onol
ogy
St.
Pau
l (6
Aug
)
St.
Geo
rge
(1 A
ug)
Bul
dir (
19 J
ul)
Cho
wie
t (21
Jul
)
St.
Laza
ria (1
1 A
ug)
+
Aik
tak
(8 A
ug)
Pua
le B
ay (2
0 A
ug)
++
-1
-15-80815
7580
8590
9500
0510
15
0
-15-80815
7580
8590
9500
0510
15
00
-15-80815
7580
8590
9500
0510
15
-15-80815
7580
8590
9500
0510
15
00
-15-80815
7580
8590
9500
0510
15
+
-15-80815
7580
8590
9500
0510
15
N
-15-80815
7580
8590
9500
0510
15
12
Figure 6. Productivity of thick-billed murres (chicks fledged/nest site) at Alaskan sites. Lack of bars indicates that no data were gathered in those years. Blue line is the mean productivity at the site (value in parentheses; current year not included). Color of graph bar and map symbol indicates how current year’s success compared to the site mean (red is >20% below, black is within 20% and green is >20% above site mean). Error bars represent ± 1 standard deviation.
N
0.76
- 1.
00
0.51
- 0.
75
0.26
- 0.
50
0.01
- 0.
25
<0.0
1
2017
TBM
UP
rodu
ctiv
ity
St.
Pau
l (0.
45)
St.
Geo
rge
(0.5
0)
Bul
dir (
0.66
)A
ikta
k (0
.27)
Cho
wie
t (0.
40)
St.
Laza
ria (0
.44)
Pua
le B
ay (0
.48)
.00.30.60.90
7681
8691
9601
0611
16
.00.30.60.90
7681
8691
9601
0611
16
0.00.30.60.90
7681
8691
9601
0611
16
0.00.30.60.90
7681
8691
9601
0611
16
0.00.30.60.90
7681
8691
9601
0611
16
N
000
000
0.00.30.60.90
7681
8691
9601
0611
16
.00.30.60.90
7681
8691
9601
0611
16
13
Pigeon guillemot (Cepphus columba)
Figure 7. Trends in populations of pigeon guillemots at Alaskan sites. Error bars (90% confidence intervals) are shown for years with multiple counts. Percent per annum (p.a.) changes are indicated for all years and for just the last decade (2008-2017, in parentheses).
Year1978 1983 1988 1993 1998 2003 2008 2013
Per
cent
of
Max
imum
(18
71 b
irds
)
0
100
Pigeon guillemot, Pr. William Snd.-9.0% p.a. (+6.7% p.a.)
Year1978 1983 1988 1993 1998 2003 2008 2013
Per
cent
of
Max
imum
(13
4 bi
rds)
0
100
Pigeon guillemot, St. Lazaria I.-0.7% p.a. (-2.8% p.a.)
14
Ancient murrelet (Synthliboramphus antiquus)
Table 6. Hatching chronology of ancient murrelets at Alaskan sites monitored in 2017. Long-term Site Mean Average ReferenceAiktak I. 27 Jun (89)a 3 Jul (20)a N. Rojek Unpubl. Data
aSample size in parentheses represents the number of nest sites used to calculate the mean hatch date and the number of years used to calculate the long-term average. Current year not included in long-term average.
Table 7. Reproductive performance of ancient murrelets at Alaskan sites monitored in 2017. Chicks No. of Long-termSite Fledged/Egga Plots Average ReferenceAiktak I. 0.87 NAb (192)c 0.79 (20)c N. Rojek Unpubl. Data
aTotal chicks fledged/Total eggs.bNot applicable or not reported.cSample size in parentheses represents the number of eggs used to calculate productivity and the number
of years used to calculate the long-term average. Current year not used in long-term average.
15
Parakeet auklet (Aethia psittacula)
Table 8. Hatching chronology of parakeet auklets at Alaskan sites monitored in 2017. Long-termSite Mean Average ReferenceBuldir I. 29 Jun (12)a 4 Jul (25)a Pietrzak et al. 2017Chowiet I. 3 Jul (41) 4 Jul (12) Evans et al. 2017
aSample size in parentheses represents the number of nest sites used to calculate the mean hatch date and the number of years used to calculate the long-term average. Current year not included in long-term average.
Table 9. Reproductive performance of parakeet auklets at Alaskan sites monitored in 2017. Chicks Fledged/ No. of Long-termSite Nest Sitea Plots Average ReferenceBuldir I. 0.48 NAb (66)c 0.53 (25)c Pietrzak et al. 2017Chowiet I. 0.46 NA (71) 0.40 (12) Evans et al. 2017
aNest site is defined as a site where an egg was laid.bNot applicable or not reported.cSample size in parentheses represents the number of nest sites used to calculate productivity and the
number of years used to calculate the long-term average. Current year not used in long-term average.
16
Figure 8. Hatching chronology of parakeet auklets at Alaskan sites. Graphs indicate the departure in days (if any) from the site mean (value in parentheses; current year not included). Lack of bars indicates that no data were gathered in those years. Color of graph bar and map symbol indicates how current year’s success compared to the site mean (red is >3 days early, black is within 3 days and green is >3 days later than the site mean). Error bars represent ± 1 standard deviation.
Aver
age
=La
te+-E
arly
NN
o H
atch
2017
PAA
UH
atch
ing
Chr
onol
ogy
Bul
dir (
4 Ju
l)
Cho
wie
t (4
Jul)=
-0
-15-80815
7580
8590
9500
0510
15
00
0
-15-80815
7580
8590
9500
0510
15
17
Figure 9. Productivity of parakeet auklets (chicks fledged/nest site) at Alaskan sites. Lack of bars indicates that no data were gathered in those years. Blue line is the mean productivity at the site (value in parentheses; current year not included). Color of graph bar and map symbol indicates how current year’s success compared to the site mean (red is >20% below, black is within 20% and green is >20% above site mean).
N
0.76
- 1.
00
0.51
- 0.
75
0.26
- 0.
50
0.01
- 0.
25
<0.0
1
2017
PAA
UP
rodu
ctiv
ity
Bul
dir (
0.53
)
Cho
wie
t (0.
40)
0.0
0
.20
.40
.60
.80
1.0
0
91
96
01
06
11
16
.00
.20
.40
.60
.80
1.00
9196
0106
1116
18
Least auklet (Aethia pusilla)
Table 10. Hatching chronology of least auklets at Alaskan sites monitored in 2017. Long-termSite Mean Average ReferenceSt. George I. 29 Jun (43)a 13 Jul (9)a Pollom et al. 2018Buldir I. 23 Jun (19) 27 Jun (27) Pietrzak et al. 2017
aSample size in parentheses represents the number of nest sites used to calculate the mean hatch date and the number of years used to calculate the long-term average. Current year not included in long-term average.
Table 11. Reproductive performance of least auklets at Alaskan sites monitored in 2017. Chicks Fledged/ No. of Long-termSite Nest Sitea Plots Average ReferenceSt. George I. 0.33 NAb (75)c 0.61 (9)c Pollom et al. 2018Buldir I. 0.58 NA (77) 0.58 (28) Pietrzak et al. 2017s
aNest site is defined as a site where an egg was laid.bNot applicable or not reported.cSample size in parentheses represents the number of nest sites used to calculate productivity and the
number of years used to calculate the long-term average. Current year not used in long-term average.
Figure 10. Trends in populations of least auklets at Alaskan sites. Error bars (90% confidence intervals) are shown for years with multiple counts. Percent per annum (p.a.) changes are indicated for all years and for just the last decade (2008-2017, in parentheses).
Year1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015
0
Per
cent
of
Max
imum
(14
82 b
irds
) 100
Least auklet, St. George I.-0.5% p.a. (-9.2% p.a.)
19
Figure 11. Hatching chronology of least auklets at Alaskan sites. Graphs indicate the departure in days (if any) from the site mean (value in parentheses; current year not included). Lack of bars indicates that no data were gathered in those years. Color of graph bar and map symbol indicates how current year’s success compared to the site mean (red is >3 days early, black is within 3 days and green is >3 days later than the site mean). Error bars represent ± 1 standard deviation.
Aver
age
=La
te+-E
arly
NN
o H
atch
2017
LEA
UH
atch
ing
Chr
onol
ogy
Bul
dir (
27 J
un)
St.
Geo
rge
(13
Jul)
-
00
00
-15-80815
7580
8590
9500
0510
15
-15-80815
7580
8590
9500
0510
15
-
20
Figure 12. Productivity of least auklets (chicks fledged/nest site) at Alaskan sites. Lack of bars indicates that no data were gathered in those years. Blue line is the mean productivity at the site (value in parentheses; current year not included). Color of graph bar and map symbol indicates how current year’s success compared to the site mean (red is >20% below, black is within 20% and green is >20% above site mean).
N
0.76
- 1.
00
0.51
- 0.
75
0.26
- 0.
50
0.01
- 0.
25
<0.0
1
2017
LEA
UP
rodu
ctiv
ity
Bul
dir (
0.58
)St.
Geo
rge
(0.6
1)
.00
.30
.60
.90
8893
9803
0813
.00
.30
.60
.90
8893
9803
0813
21
Whiskered auklet (Aethia pygmaea)
Table 12. Hatching chronology of whiskered auklets at Alaskan sites monitored in 2017. Long-termSite Mean Average ReferenceBuldir I. 12 Jun (23)a 22 Jun (26)a Pietrzak et al. 2017
a Sample size in parentheses represents the number of nest sites used to calculate the mean hatch date and the number of years used to calculate the long-term average. Current year not included in long-term average.
Table 13. Reproductive performance of whiskered auklets at Alaskan sites monitored in 2017. Chicks Fledged/ No. of Long-termSite Nest Sitea Plots Average ReferenceBuldir I. 0.78 NAb (74)c 0.65 (27)c Pietrzak et al. 2017
aNest site is defined as a site where an egg was laid.bNot applicable or not reported.cSample size in parentheses represents the number of nest sites used to calculate productivity and the
number of years used to calculate the long-term average. Current year not used in long-term average.
22
Crested auklet (Aethia cristatella)
Table 14. Hatching chronology of crested auklets at Alaskan sites monitored in 2017. Long-termSite Mean Average ReferenceBuldir I. 23 Jun (39)a 28 Jun (27)a Pietrzak et al. 2017
aSample size in parentheses represents the number of nest sites used to calculate the mean hatch date and the number of years used to calculate the long-term average. Current year not included in long-term average.
Table 15. Reproductive performance of crested auklets at Alaskan sites monitored in 2017. Chicks Fledged/ No. of Long-termSite Nest Sitea Plots Average ReferenceBuldir I. 0.67 NAb (103)c 0.65 (28)c Pietrzak et al. 2017
aNest site is defined as a site where an egg was laid.bNot applicable or not reported.cSample size in parentheses represents the number of nest sites used to calculate productivity and the
number of years used to calculate the long-term average. Current year not used in long-term average.
23
Rhinoceros auklet (Cerorhinca monocerata)
Table 16. Reproductive performance of rhinoceros auklets at Alaskan sites monitored in 2017. Chicks No. of Long-termSite Fledged/Egg Plots Average ReferenceChowiet I. 0.59 NAa (46)b 0.62 (5)b Evans et al. 2017Middleton I. 0.52 NA (62) 0.69 (17) ISRC 2017
aNot applicable or not reported.bSample size in parentheses represents the number of burrows used to calculate productivity and the
number of years used to calculate the long-term average. Current year not used in long-term average.
Figure 13. Trends in populations of rhinoceros auklets at Alaskan sites. Percent per annum (p.a.) changes are indicated for all years and for just the last decade (2008-2017, in parentheses).
Year1995 2000 2005 2010 2015
Perc
ent o
f M
axim
um (
Den
sity
0.3
1)
0
100
Rhinoceros auklet, Chowiet I.-0.5% p.a. (-0.5% p.a.)
Year1995 2000 2005 2010 2015
Perc
ent o
f M
axim
um (
Den
sity
1.0
7)
0
100
Rhinoceros auklet, St. Lazaria I.+4.0% p.a. (+2.4% p.a.)
24
Figure 14. Productivity of rhinoceros auklets (chicks fledged/nest site) at Alaskan sites. Lack of bars indicates that no data were gathered in those years. Blue line is the mean productivity at the site (value in parentheses; current year not included). Color of graph bar and map symbol indicates how current year’s success compared to the site mean (red is >20% below, black is within 20% and green is >20% above site mean).
N
0.76
- 1.
00
0.51
- 0.
75
0.26
- 0.
50
0.01
- 0.
25
<0.0
1
2017
RH
AUPr
oduc
tivity
St. L
azar
ia (0
.65)
Cho
wie
t (0.
62)
Mid
dlet
on (0
.69)
.00
.25
.50
.75
1.00
9499
0409
14
.00
.30
.60
.90
9498
0206
1014
.00
.25
.50
.75
1.00
9498
0206
1014
25
Horned puffin (Fratercula corniculata)
Table 17. Hatching chronology of horned puffins at Alaskan sites monitored in 2017. Long-termSite Mean Average ReferenceBuldir I. 27 Jul (38)a 25 Jul (27)a Pietrzak et al. 2017Aiktak I. 26 Jul (3) 31 Jul (12) N. Rojek Unpubl. DataChowiet I. 26 Jul (71) 30 Jul (13) Evans et al. 2017
aSample size in parentheses represents the number of nest sites used to calculate the mean hatch date and the number of years used to calculate the long-term average. Current year not included in long-term average.
Table 18. Reproductive performance of horned puffins at Alaskan sites monitored in 2017. Chicks No. of Long-termSite Fledged/Egg Plots Average ReferenceBuldir I. 0.68 NAa (44)b 0.47 (29)b Pietrzak et al. 2017Aiktak I. 0.55 NA (11) 0.58 (15) N. Rojek Unpubl. DataChowiet I. 0.06 NA (118) 0.38 (12) Evans et al. 2017
aNot applicable or not reported.bSample size in parentheses represents the number of eggs used to calculate productivity and the number
of years used to calculate the long-term average. Current year not used in long-term average.
26
Figure 15. Hatching chronology of horned puffins at Alaskan sites. Graphs indicate the departure in days (if any) from the site mean (value in parentheses; current year not included). Lack of bars indicates that no data were gathered in those years. Color of graph bar and map symbol indicates how current year’s success compared to the site mean (red is >3 days early, black is within 3 days and green is >3 days later than the site mean). Error bars represent ± 1 standard deviation.
Aver
age
=La
te+-E
arly
NN
o H
atch
2017
HO
PU
Hat
chin
gC
hron
olog
y
Bul
dir (
25 J
ul)
Aik
tak
(31
Jul)
Cho
wie
t (30
Jul
)
-=
00
-15-80815
7580
8590
9500
0510
15
0
-15-80815
7580
8590
9500
0510
15-1
5-80815
7580
8590
9500
0510
15
-
27
Figure 16. Productivity of horned puffins (chicks fledged/egg) at Alaskan sites. Lack of bars indicates that no data were gathered in those years. Blue line is the mean productivity at the site (value in parentheses; current year not included). Color of graph bar and map symbol indicates how current year’s success compared to the site mean (red is >20% below, black is within 20% and green is >20% above site mean).
N
0.76
- 1.
00
0.51
- 0.
75
0.26
- 0.
50
0.01
- 0.
25
<0.0
1
2017
HO
PU
Pro
duct
ivity
Bul
dir (
0.47
)
Cho
wie
t (0.
38)
Aik
tak
(0.5
8)
0.0
0.2
0.4
0.6
0.8
8893
9803
0813
0.0
0.2
0.4
0.6
0.8
8893
9803
0813
0.00.20.40.60.8
8893
9803
0813
28
Tufted puffin (Fratercula cirrhata)
Table 19. Hatching chronology of tufted puffins at Alaskan sites monitored in 2017. Long-term Site Mean Average ReferenceAiktak I. 30 Jul (4)a 31 Jul (20)a N. Rojek Unpubl. DataChowiet I. 27 Jul (31) 24 Jul (12) Evans et al. 2017
aSample size in parentheses represents the number of nest sites used to calculate the mean hatch date and the number of years used to calculate the long-term average. Current year not included in long-term average.
Table 20. Reproductive performance of tufted puffins at Alaskan sites monitored in 2017. Chicks No. of Long-term Site Fledgeda/Egg Plots Average ReferenceBuldir I. 0.06 NAb (17)c 0.40 (29)c Pietrzak et al. 2017Aiktak I. 0.13 NA (82) 0.56 (21) N. Rojek Unpubl. DataChowiet I. 0.02 NA (63) 0.40 (11) Evans et al. 2017Middleton I. 0.17 NA (71) 0.41 (12) ISRC 2017
aFledged chick defined as being still alive at last check in August or September.bNot applicable or not reported.cSample size in parentheses represents the number of burrows used to calculate productivity and the
number of years used to calculate the long-term average. Current year not used in long-term average.
29
Figure 17. Hatching chronology of tufted puffins at Alaskan sites. Graphs indicate the departure in days (if any) from the site mean (value in parentheses; current year not included). Lack of bars indicates that no data were gathered in those years. Color of graph bar and map symbol indicates how current year’s success compared to the site mean (red is >3 days early, black is within 3 days and green is >3 days later than the site mean). Error bars represent ± 1 standard deviation.
Aver
age
=La
te+-E
arly
NN
o H
atch
2017
TUP
UH
atch
ing
Chr
onol
ogy
Bul
dir (
13 J
ul)
Aik
tak
(31
Jul)
Cho
wie
t (24
Jul
)
=
00
-15-80815
7580
8590
9500
0510
15
-15-80815
7580
8590
9500
0510
15
0
-15-80815
7580
8590
9500
0510
15
=
30
Figure 18. Productivity of tufted puffins (chicks fledged/egg) at Alaskan sites. Lack of bars indicates that no data were gathered in those years. Blue line is the mean productivity at the site (value in parentheses; current year not included). Color of graph bar and map symbol indicates how current year’s success compared to the site mean (red is >20% below, black is within 20% and green is >20% above site mean).
N
0.76
- 1.
00
0.51
- 0.
75
0.26
- 0.
50
0.01
- 0.
25
<0.0
1
2017
TUP
UP
rodu
ctiv
ity
Bul
dir (
0.40
)
Aik
tak
(0.5
6)
Cho
wie
t (0.
40)
Mid
dlet
on (0
.41)
St.
Laza
ria (0
.53)
0.0
0
.25
.50
.75
1.00
8893
9803
0813
0.0
0
.25
.50
.75
1.00
8893
9803
0813
.00
.25
.50
.75
1.00
8893
9803
0813
0.0
0
.25
.50
.75
1.00
8893
9803
0813
.00.25.50.751.00
8893
9803
0813
31
Figure 19. Trends in populations of tufted puffins at Alaskan sites. Percent per annum (p.a.) changes are indicated for all years and for just the last decade (2008-2017, in parentheses).
Year1995 2000 2005 2010 2015
Per
cent
of
Max
imum
(19
9 bu
rrow
s)
0
100
Tufted puffin, E. Amatuli I.-4.2% p.a. (-7.1% p.a.)
Year1995 2000 2005 2010 2015
0
100
Per
cent
of
Max
imum
(D
ensi
ty 0
.62)
Tufted puffin, Aiktak I.0.0% p.a. (-0.6% p.a.)
32
Black-legged kittiwake (Rissa tridactyla)
Table 21. Hatching chronology of black-legged kittiwakes at Alaskan sites monitored in 2017. Long-term Site Mean Average ReferenceBuldir I. 20 Jul (14)a 7 Jul (29)a Pietrzak et al. 2017Chowiet I. 16 Jul (101) 17 Jul (20) Evans et al. 2017E. Amatuli I. 24 Jul (14) 14 Jul (19) A. Kettle Unpubl. Data
aSample size in parentheses represents the number of nest sites used to calculate the mean hatch date and the number of years used to calculate the long-term average. Current year not included in long-term average.
Table 22. Reproductive performance of black-legged kittiwakes at Alaskan sites monitored in 2017. Chicks No. of Long-termSite Fledgeda/Nest Plots Average ReferenceC. Lisburne 0.79b 2 (92)c 0.57 (33)c Dragoo et al. 2017St. Paul I. 0.00 10 (202) 0.27 (37) Mong and Romano 2017St. George I. 0.01 7 (198) 0.20 (41) Pollom et al. 2018C. Peirce 0.00 6 (147) 0.21 (32) K. Hilwig Unpubl. DataRound I. 0.00 2 (29) 0.19 (20) E. Weiss Unpubl. DataBuldir I. 0.01 7 (212) 0.16 (29) Pietrzak et al. 2017Chowiet I. 0.22 11 (328) 0.19 (21) Evans et al. 2017E. Amatuli I. 0.17 4 (96) 0.36 (25) A. Kettle Unpubl. DataPr. Will. Snd. 0.20b NAd (19,350) 0.22 (31) D. Irons Unpubl. DataMiddleton I. 0.22 NA (104) 0.36 (37) ISRC 2017
aTotal chicks fledged/Total nests.bShort visit.cSample size in parentheses represents the number of nests used to calculate productivity and the number
of years used to calculate the long-term average. Current year not used in long-term average.dNot applicable or not reported.
33
Figure 20. Hatching chronology of black-legged kittiwakes at Alaskan sites. Graphs indicate the departure in days (if any) from the site mean (value in parentheses; current year not included). Lack of bars indicates that no data were gathered in those years. Color of graph bar and map symbol indicates how current year’s success compared to the site mean (red is >3 days early, black is within 3 days and green is >3 days later than the site mean). Error bars represent ± 1 standard deviation.
Aver
age
=La
te+-E
arly
NN
o H
atch
2017
BLK
IH
atch
ing
Chr
onol
ogy
St.
Pau
l (17
Jul
)
St.
Geo
rge
(16
Jul)
Bul
dir (
7 Ju
l)
Cho
wie
t (17
Jul
)
E. A
mat
uli (
14 J
ul)
+=
N
-20
-1001020
7580
8590
9500
0510
15
0
-20
-1001020
7580
8590
9500
0510
15
00
-20
-1001020
7580
8590
9500
0510
15
-20
-1001020
7580
8590
9500
0510
15
-20
-1001020
7580
8590
9500
0510
15
+
34
Figure 21. Productivity of black-legged kittiwakes (chicks fledged/nest) at Alaskan sites. Lack of bars indicates that no data were gathered in those years. Blue line is the mean productivity at the site (value in parentheses; current year not included). Color of graph bar and map symbol indicates how current year’s success compared to the site mean (red is >20% below, black is within 20% and green is >20% above site mean). Error bars represent ± 1 standard deviation.
C. L
isbu
rne
(0.5
7)
St.
Pau
l (0.
27)
St.
Geo
rge
(0.2
0)
C. P
eirc
e (0
.21)
Rou
nd (0
.19)
Bul
dir (
0.16
)
Mid
dlet
on(0
.36)
Cho
wie
t (0.
19)
Pr.
Will
iam
Snd
. (0.
22)
E. A
mat
uli (
0.36
)
N
0.76
- 1.
00
0.51
- 0.
75
0.26
- 0.
50
0.01
- 0.
25
<0.0
1
2017
BLK
IP
rodu
ctiv
ity1.
01 -
1.25
N
00
0.0
0.3
0.6
0.9
1.2
1.5
1.8
7580
8590
9500
0510
15
00
00
0.00.30.60.91.21.51.8
7580
8590
9500
0510
15
00.00.30.60.91.21.51.8
7580
8590
9500
0510
15
00
00
0
0.0
0.3
0.6
0.9
1.2
1.5
1.8
7580
8590
9500
0510
15
000
0000
00.
00.
30.
60.
91.
21.
51.
8
7580
8590
9500
0510
15
00
00
00
0.00.30.60.91.21.51.8
7580
8590
9500
0510
15
000
00
00
0.0
0.3
0.6
0.9
1.2
1.5
1.8
7580
8590
9500
0510
1500
00
000
0 0
0.00.30.60.91.21.51.8
7580
8590
9500
0510
15
00
00.00.30.60.91.21.51.8
7580
8590
9500
0510
15
0.0
0.3
0.6
0.9
1.2
1.5
1.8
7580
8590
9500
0510
15
NN
35
Figure 22. Trends in populations of black-legged kittiwakes at Alaskan sites. Error bars (90% confidence intervals) are shown for years with multiple counts. Percent per annum (p.a.) changes are indicated for all years and for just the last decade (2008-2017, in parentheses). “NA” indicates that insufficient data were available.
Year1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015
Per
cent
of
Max
imum
(17
6 bi
rds)
0
100
Black-legged kittiwake, Cape Lisburne+15.3% p.a. (+14.6% p.a.)
Year1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015
Per
cent
of
Max
imum
(37
4 bi
rds)
0
100
Black-legged kittiwake, Hall I.-5.8% p.a. (N/A.)
Year1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015
Per
cent
of
Max
imum
(29
39 b
irds
)
0
100
Black-legged kittiwake, St. Paul I.-1.4% p.a. (-3.5% p.a.)
Year1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015
Per
cent
of
Max
imum
(18
82 b
irds
)
0
100
Black-legged kittiwake, St. George I.+0.2% p.a. (-2.4% p.a.)
Year1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015
Perc
ent o
f M
axim
um (
445
bird
s)
0
100
Black-legged kittiwake, Round I.-3.5% p.a. (-7.7% p.a.)
Year1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015
Per
cent
of
Max
imum
(19
06 b
irds
)
0
100
Black-legged kittiwake, Cape Peirce-3.5% p.a (-11.8% p.a.)
36
Figure 22 (continued). Trends in populations of black-legged kittiwakes at Alaskan sites. Error bars (90% confidence intervals) are shown for years with multiple counts. Percent per annum (p.a.) changes are indicated for all years and for just the last decade (2008-2017, in parentheses). “NA” indicates that insufficient data were available.
Year1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015
Per
cent
of
Max
imum
(41
00 n
ests
)
0
100
Black-legged kittiwake, Buldir I.+3.0% p.a. (+7.9% p.a.)
Year1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015
Per
cent
of
Max
imum
(48
5 bi
rds)
0
100
Black-legged kittiwake, Chowiet I.-0.6% p.a. (-4.3% p.a.)
Year1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015
Per
cent
of
Max
imum
(32
,501
nes
ts)
0
100
Black-legged kittiwake, Pr. William Snd.+0.8% p.a. (-7.8% p.a.)
Year1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015
Per
cent
of
Max
imum
(13
26 b
irds
)
0
100
Black-legged kittiwake, Puale Bay-0.7% p.a. (N/A)
37
Red-legged kittiwake (Rissa brevirostris)
Table 23. Reproductive performance of red-legged kittiwakes at Alaskan sites monitored in 2017. Chicks No. of Long-termSite Fledgeda/Nest Plots Average ReferenceSt. Paul I. 0.00 4 (12)b 0.25 (34)b Mong and Romano 2017St. George I. 0.00 8 (153) 0.24 (41) Pollom et al. 2018Buldir I. 0.00 6 (41) 0.19 (29) Pietrzak et al. 2017
aTotal chicks fledged/Total nests.bSample size in parentheses represents the number of nests used to calculate productivity and the number
of years used to calculate the long-term average. Current year not used in long-term average.
38
Figure 23. Hatching chronology of red-legged kittiwakes at Alaskan sites. Graphs indicate the departure in days (if any) from the site mean (value in parentheses; current year not included). Lack of bars indicates that no data were gathered in those years. Color of graph bar and map symbol indicates how current year’s success compared to the site mean (red is >3 days early, black is within 3 days and green is >3 days later than the site mean). Error bars represent ± 1 standard deviation.
Aver
age
=La
te+-E
arly
NN
o H
atch
2017
R
LKI
Hat
chin
gC
hron
olog
y
St.
Pau
l (18
Jul
)
St.
Geo
rge
(15
Jul)
Bul
dir (
10 J
ul)
N
N
-25
-1301325
7580
8590
9500
0510
15
00
-25
-1301325
7580
8590
9500
0510
15
00
00
0
-25
-1301325
7580
8590
9500
0510
15
N
39
Figure 24. Productivity of red-legged kittiwakes (chicks fledged/nest) at Alaskan sites. Lack of bars indicates that no data were gathered in those years. Blue line is the mean productivity at the site (value in parentheses; current year not included). Color of graph bar and map symbol indicates how current year’s success compared to the site mean (red is >20% below, black is within 20% and green is >20% above site mean). Error bars represent ± 1 standard deviation.
N
0.76
- 1.
00
0.51
- 0.
75
0.26
- 0.
50
0.01
- 0.
25
<0.0
1
2017
RLK
IP
rodu
ctiv
ity
St.
Pau
l (0.
25)
St.
Geo
rge
(0.2
4)
Bul
dir (
0.19
)
N
N
00
00
00 0
0.00.25.50.75
7580
8590
9500
0510
15
00
.00.25.50.75
7580
8590
9500
0510
15
000
.00
.25
.50
.75
7580
8590
9500
0510
15
N
40
Figure 25. Trends in populations of red-legged kittiwakes at Alaskan sites. Error bars (90% confidence intervals) are shown for years with multiple counts. Percent per annum (p.a.) changes are indicated for all years and for just the last decade (2008-2017, in parentheses).
Year1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015
Per
cent
of
Max
imum
(18
0 bi
rds)
0
100
Red-legged kittiwake, St. Paul I.-4.1% p.a. (+2.0% p.a.)
Year1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015
0
100
Per
cent
of
Max
imum
(10
95 n
ests
)
Red-legged kittiwake, Buldir I.+2.3% p.a. (+12.3% p.a.)
Year1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015
Per
cent
of
Max
imum
(44
84 b
irds
)
0
100
Red-legged kittiwake, St. George I.+0.3% p.a. (-4.7% p.a.)
41
Glaucous-winged gull (Larus glaucescens)
Table 24. Hatching chronology of glaucous-winged gulls at Alaskan sites monitored in 2017. Long-termSite Mean Average ReferenceBuldir I. 28 Jun (6)a 24 Jun (16)a Pietrzak et al. 2017Aiktak I. 4 Jul (77) 11 Jul (22) N. Rojek Unpubl. DataChowiet I. 2 Jul (32) 2 Jul (11) Evans et al. 2017
aSample size in parentheses represents the number of nest sites used to calculate the mean hatch date and the number of years used to calculate the long-term average. Current year not included in long-term average.
Table 25. Reproductive performance of glaucous-winged gulls at Alaskan sites monitored in 2017. Hatching No. of Long-termSite Successa Plots Average ReferenceBuldir I. 0.38 NAb (45)c 0.48 (19)c Pietrzak et al. 2017Aiktak I. 0.53 4 (278) 0.54 (22) N. Rojek Unpubl. DataChowiet I. 0.81 3 (78) 0.61 (10) Evans et al. 2017
aTotal chicks/Total eggs.bNot applicable or not reported.cSample size in parentheses represents the number of eggs used to calculate hatching success and the
number of years used to calculate the long-term average. Current year not used in long-term average.
42
Figure 26. Hatching chronology of glaucous-winged gulls at Alaskan sites. Graphs indicate the departure in days (if any) from the site mean (value in parentheses; current year not included). Lack of bars indicates that no data were gathered in those years. Color of graph bar and map symbol indicates how current year’s success compared to the site mean (red is >3 days early, black is within 3 days and green is >3 days later than the site mean). Error bars represent ± 1 standard deviation.
Aver
age
=La
te+-E
arly
NN
o H
atch
2017
GW
GU
Hat
chin
gC
hron
olog
y
Aik
tak
(11
Jul)
St.
Laza
ria (5
Jul
)
Cho
wie
t (2
Jul)
Bul
dir (
24 J
un)
-+
=
00
0
-20
-100102030
7580
8590
9500
0510
15
-20
-1001020
7580
8590
9500
0510
15
0
-20
-1001020
7580
8590
9500
0510
15
0
-20
-1001020
7580
8590
9500
0510
15
43
Figure 27. Productivity of glaucous-winged gulls (hatching success) at Alaskan sites. Lack of bars indicates that no data were gathered in those years. Blue line is the mean productivity at the site (value in parentheses; current year not included). Color of graph bar and map symbol indicates how current year’s success compared to the site mean (red is >20% below, black is within 20% and green is >20% above site mean). Error bars represent ± 1 standard deviation.
N
0.76
- 1.
00
0.51
- 0.
75
0.26
- 0.
50
0.01
- 0.
25
<0.0
1
2017
GW
GU
Pro
duct
ivity
Bul
dir (
0.48
)
Aik
tak
(0.5
4)C
how
iet (
0.61
)
St.
Laza
ria (0
.53)
.00
.25
.50
.75
1.00
9296
0004
0812
16
.00
.25
.50
.75
1.00
9296
0004
0812
16
.00
.25
.50
.75
1.00
9296
0004
0812
16
.00
.25
.50
.75
1.00
9296
0004
0812
16
44
Figure 28. Trends in populations of glaucous-winged gulls at Alaskan sites. Error bars (90% confidence intervals) are shown for years with multiple counts. Percent per annum (p.a.) changes are indicated for all years and for just the last decade (2008-2017, in parentheses).
Year1994 1999 2004 2009 2014
0
Per
cent
of
Max
imum
(22
4 ne
sts)
100
Glaucous-winged gull, Chowiet I.-0.4% p.a. (+0.1% p.a.)
Year1994 1999 2004 2009 2014
Per
cent
of
Max
imum
(17
6 ne
sts)
0
100
Glaucous-winged gull, St. Lazaria I.+8.4% p.a. (+7.0% p.a.)
Year1994 1999 2004 2009 2014
0
100
Per
cent
of
Max
imum
(44
68 b
irds
)Glaucous-winged gull, Aiktak I.
-0.1% p.a. (-8.2% p.a.)
45
Figure 29. Trends in populations of northern fulmars at Alaskan sites. Error bars (90% confidence intervals) are shown for years with multiple counts. Percent per annum (p.a.) changes are indicated for all years and for just the last decade (2008-2017, in parentheses). “N/A” indicates that insufficient data were available.
Northern fulmar (Fulmarus glacialis)
Year1976 1981 1986 1991 1996 2001 2006 2011 2016
Perc
ent o
f M
axim
um (
487
bird
s)
0
100
Northern fulmar, Hall I. +0.2% p.a. (N/A)
Year1976 1981 1986 1991 1996 2001 2006 2011 2016
Per
cent
of
Max
imum
(19
8 bi
rds)
0
100
Northern fulmar, St. Paul I. +1.4% p.a. (+2.9% p.a.)
Year1976 1981 1986 1991 1996 2001 2006 2011 2016
Per
cent
of
max
imum
(62
3 bi
rds)
0
100
Northern fulmar, Chowiet I. -1.0% p.a. (0.0% p.a.)
Year1976 1981 1986 1991 1996 2001 2006 2011 2016
Per
cent
of
Max
imum
(23
50 b
irds
)
0
100
Northern fulmar, St. George I. -1.0% p.a. (+7.9% p.a.)
46
Fork-tailed storm-petrel (Oceanodroma furcata)
Table 26. Hatching chronology of fork-tailed storm-petrels at Alaskan sites monitored in 2017. Long-term Site Mean Average ReferenceBuldir I. 17 Jul (13)a NAb Pietrzak et al. 2017Aiktak I. 11 Jul (44) 15 Jul (20)a N. Rojek Unpubl. Data
aSample size in parentheses represents the number of nest sites used to calculate the mean hatch date and the number of years used to calculate the long-term average. Current year not included in long-term average.
bNot applicable or not reported.
Table 27. Reproductive performance of fork-tailed storm-petrels at Alaskan sites monitored in 2017. Chicks No. of Long-termSite Fledgeda/Egg Plots Average ReferenceBuldir I. 0.18 5 (34)b 0.73 (30)b Pietrzak et al. 2017Aiktak I. 0.84 13 (79) 0.80 (17) N. Rojek Unpubl. Data
aFledged chick defined as being alive at last check in August or September.bSample size in parentheses represents the number of eggs used to calculate productivity and the number
of years used to calculate the long-term average. Current year not used in long-term average.
47
Figure 30. Hatching chronology of fork-tailed storm-petrels at Alaskan sites. Graphs indicate the departure in days (if any) from the site mean (value in parentheses; current year not included). Lack of bars indicates that no data were gathered in those years. Color of graph bar and map symbol indicates how current year’s success compared to the site mean (red is >3 days early, black is within 3 days and green is >3 days later than the site mean). Error bars represent ± 1 standard deviation.
Aik
tak
(15
Jul)
St.
Laza
ria (1
4 Ju
l)
Aver
age
=La
te+-E
arly
NN
o H
atch
2017
FTS
PH
atch
ing
Chr
onol
ogy
0
-20
-1001020
7580
8590
9500
0510
15
-
0
-20
-1001020
7580
8590
9500
0510
15
48
Figure 31. Productivity of fork-tailed storm-petrels (chicks fledged/egg) at Alaskan sites. Lack of bars indicates that no data were gathered in those years. Blue line is the mean productivity at the site (value in parentheses; current year not included). Color of graph bar and map symbol indicates how current year’s success compared to the site mean (red is >20% below, black is within 20% and green is >20% above site mean). Error bars represent ± 1 standard deviation.
N
0.76
- 1.
00
0.51
- 0.
75
0.26
- 0.
50
0.01
- 0.
25
<0.0
1
2017
FTS
PP
rodu
ctiv
ity
Bul
dir (
0.73
)
Aik
tak
(0.8
0)
St.
Laza
ria (0
.68)
0.00
0.25
0.50
0.75
1.00
7479
8489
9499
0409
14
0.00
0.25
0.50
0.75
1.00
7479
8489
9499
0409
14
Ula
k (0
.64)
0.00
0.25
0.50
0.75
1.00
7479
8489
9499
0409
14
0.00
0.25
0.50
0.75
1.00
7479
8489
9499
0409
14
49
Figure 32. Trends in populations of storm-petrels at Alaskan sites. Percent per annum (p.a.) changes are indicated for all years and for just the last decade (2008-2017, in parentheses).
Year1995 2000 2005 2010 2015
Per
cent
of
Max
imum
(D
ensi
ty 2
.86)
0
100
Storm-petrels, St. Lazaria I. +1.0% p.a. (+2.4% p.a.)
Year1995 2000 2005 2010 2015
Per
cent
of
Max
imum
(61
5 bu
rrow
s)
0
100
Fork-tailed storm-petrel, E. Amatuli I. -0.3% p.a. (-2.6% p.a.)
Year1995 2000 2005 2010 2015
Per
cent
of
Max
imum
(D
ensi
ty 0
.22)
0
100
Storm-petrels, Aiktak I. +2.7% p.a. (+4.0% p.a.)
50
Leach’s storm-petrel (Oceanodroma leucorhoa)
Table 28. Hatching chronology of Leach’s storm-petrels at Alaskan sites monitored in 2017. Long-term Site Mean Average ReferenceBuldir I. 29 Jul (20)a NAb Pietrzak et al. 2017Aiktak I. 30 Jul (49) 30 Jul (20)a N. Rojek Unpubl. Data
aSample size in parentheses represents the number of nest sites used to calculate the mean hatch date and the number of years used to calculate the long-term average. Current year not included in long-term average.
bNot applicable or not reported.
Table 29. Reproductive performance of Leach’s storm-petrels at Alaskan sites monitored in 2017. Chicks No. of Long-term Site Fledgeda/Egg Plots Average ReferenceBuldir I. 0.81 5 (32)b 0.75 (30)b Pietrzak et al. 2017Aiktak I. 0.88 12 (117) 0.84 (17) N. Rojek Unpubl. Data
aFledged chick defined as being alive at last check in August or September.bSample size in parentheses represents the number of eggs used to calculate productivity and the number
of years used to calculate the long-term average. Current year not used in long-term average.
51
Figure 33. Hatching chronology of Leach’s storm-petrels at Alaskan sites. Graphs indicate the departure in days (if any) from the site mean (value in parentheses; current year not included). Lack of bars indicates that no data were gathered in those years. Color of graph bar and map symbol indicates how current year’s success compared to the site mean (red is >3 days early, black is within 3 days and green is >3 days later than the site mean). Error bars represent ± 1 standard deviation.
Aver
age
=La
te+-E
arly
NN
o H
atch
2017
LHS
PH
atch
ing
Chr
onol
ogy
Aik
tak
(30
Jul)
St.
Laza
ria (3
0 Ju
l)
00
-20
-1001020
7580
8590
9500
0510
15
00
-20
-1001020
7580
8590
9500
0510
15
=
52
Figure 34. Productivity of Leach’s storm-petrels (chicks fledged/egg) at Alaskan sites. Lack of bars indicates that no data were gathered in those years. Blue line is the mean productivity at the site (value in parentheses; current year not included). Color of graph bar and map symbol indicates how current year’s success compared to the site mean (red is >20% below, black is within 20% and green is >20% above site mean). Error bars represent ± 1 standard deviation.
N
0.76
- 1.
00
0.51
- 0.
75
0.26
- 0.
50
0.01
- 0.
25
<0.0
1
2017
LHSP
Prod
uctiv
ityBu
ldir
(0.7
5)
Aikt
ak (0
.84)
St. L
azar
ia (0
.71)
0.00
0.25
0.50
0.75
1.00
7479
8489
9499
0409
14
0.00
0.25
0.50
0.75
1.00
7479
8489
9499
0409
14
0.00
0.25
0.50
0.75
1.00
7479
8489
9499
0409
14
53
Red-faced cormorant (Phalacrocorax urile)
Table 30. Hatching chronology of red-faced cormorants at Alaskan sites monitored in 2017. Long-term Site Mean Average Reference St. Paul I. 22 Jun (55)a 29 Jun (27)a Mong and Romano 2017
aSample size in parentheses represents the number of nest sites used to calculate the mean hatch date and the number of years used to calculate the long-term average. Current year not included in long-term average.
Table 31. Reproductive performance of red-faced cormorants at Alaskan sites monitored in 2017. Chicks No. of Long-termSite Fledged/Nest Plots Average ReferenceSt. Paul I. 1.65 4 (89)a 1.30 (32)a Mong and Romano 2017St. George I. 0.96 3 (45) 1.14 (17) Pollom et al. 2018Aiktak I. 0.00 NAb (174) 0.85 (11) N. Rojek Unpubl. Data
aSample size in parentheses represents the number of nests used to calculate productivity and the number of years used to calculate the long-term average. Current year not used in long-term average.
bNot applicable or not reported.
54
Figure 35. Productivity of red-faced cormorants (chicks fledged/nest) at Alaskan sites. Lack of bars indicates that no data were gathered in those years. Blue line is the mean productivity at the site (value in parentheses; current year not included). Color of graph bar and map symbol indicates how current year’s success compared to the site mean (red is >20% below, black is within 20% and green is >20% above site mean). Error bars represent ± 1 standard deviation.
N
1.51
- 2.
00
1.01
- 1.
50
0.51
- 1.
00
0.01
- 0.
50
<0.0
1
2.01
- 2.
50
2.51
- 3.
00
2017
RFC
OP
rodu
ctiv
ity
St.
Pau
l (1.
30)
St.
Geo
rge
(1.1
4)
Aik
tak
(0.8
5)B
uldi
r (1.
19)
Cho
wie
t (0.
17)
0.0
0.5
1.0
1.5
2.0
2.5
3.0
3.5
7580
8590
9500
0510
15
0.0
0.5
1.0
1.5
2.0
2.5
3.0
3.5
7580
8590
9500
0510
15
00.
0
0.5
1.0
1.5
2.0
2.5
3.0
3.5
7580
8590
9500
0510
15
00.
00.
51.
01.
52.
02.
53.
03.
5
7580
8590
9500
0510
15
00
00.
0
0.5
1.0
1.5
2.0
2.5
3.0
3.5
7580
8590
9500
0510
15
N
55
Figure 36. Trends in populations of cormorants at Alaskan sites. Error bars (90% confidence intervals) are shown for years with multiple counts. Percent per annum (p.a.) changes are indicated for all years and for just the last decade (2008-2017, in parentheses). “NA” indicates that insufficient data were available.
Year1974 1979 1984 1989 1994 1999 2004 2009 2014
Per
cent
of
Max
imum
(61
bir
ds)
0
100
Pelagic cormorant, Hall I. -3.6% p.a. (N/A)
Year1974 1979 1984 1989 1994 1999 2004 2009 2014
Per
cent
of
Max
imum
(34
5 bi
rds)
0
100
Red-faced cormorant, St. Paul I. -1.6% p.a. (-16.9% p.a.)
Year1974 1979 1984 1989 1994 1999 2004 2009 2014
Per
cent
of
Max
imum
(14
9 bi
rds)
0
100
Pelagic cormorant, Cape Peirce -1.9% p.a. (-11.5% p.a.)
Year1974 1979 1984 1989 1994 1999 2004 2009 2014
0
100
Per
cent
of
Max
imum
(92
nes
ts)
Pelagic cormorant, Buldir I. +1.9% p.a. (-17.0% p.a.)
Year1974 1979 1984 1989 1994 1999 2004 2009 2014
Per
cent
of
Max
imum
(19
5 bi
rds)
0
100
Red-faced cormorant, St. George I. -1.2% p.a. (+6.4% p.a.)
Year1974 1979 1984 1989 1994 1999 2004 2009 2014
Per
cent
of
Max
imum
(17
9 ne
sts)
0
100
Cormorants, Ulak I. -5.8% p.a. (-2.5% p.a.)
56
Figure 36 (continued). Trends in populations of cormorants at Alaskan sites. Error bars (90% confidence intervals) are shown for years with multiple counts. Percent per annum (p.a.) changes are indicated for all years and for just the last decade (2008-2017, in parentheses).
Year1974 1979 1984 1989 1994 1999 2004 2009 2014
Per
cent
of
Max
imum
(29
7 ne
sts)
0
100
Pelagic cormorant, St. Lazaria I.+5.5% p.a. (+16.7% p.a.)
Year1974 1979 1984 1989 1994 1999 2004 2009 2014
0
Per
cent
of
Max
imum
(34
5 bi
rds)
50
100
Cormorants, Aiktak I. +1.6% p.a. (-6.8% p.a.)
57
Pelagic cormorant (Phalacrocorax pelagicus)
Table 32. Reproductive performance of pelagic cormorants at Alaskan sites monitored in 2017. Chicks No. of Long-termSite Fledged/Nest Plots Average ReferenceC. Peirce 0.00 1 (6)a 1.16 (29)a K. Hilwig Unpubl. DataRound I. 0.16 3 (31) 1.21 (17) E. Weiss Unpubl. DataAiktak I. 0.00 NAb (51) 1.00 (14) N. Rojek Unpubl. DataMiddleton I. 1.60 NA (69) 0.84 (34) ISRC 2017
aSample size in parentheses represents the number of nests used to calculate productivity and the number of years used to calculate the long-term average. Current year not used in long-term average.
bNot applicable or not reported.
58
Figure 37. Productivity of pelagic cormorants (chicks fledged/nest) at Alaskan sites. Lack of bars indicates that no data were gathered in those years. Blue line is the mean productivity at the site (value in parentheses; current year not included). Color of graph bar and map symbol indicates how current year’s success compared to the site mean (red is >20% below, black is within 20% and green is >20% above site mean).
1.51
- 2.
00
1.01
- 1.
50
0.51
- 1.
00
0.01
- 0.
50
<0.0
1
2.01
- 2.
50
2.51
- 3.
00
N
2017
PE
CO
Pro
duct
ivity
C. P
eirc
e (1
.16)
Rou
nd (1
.21)
Bul
dir (
0.98
)A
ikta
k (1
.00)
St.
Laza
ria (0
.68)
Mid
dlet
on (0
.84)
Cho
wie
t (0.
64)
N
00.00.51.01.52.02.53.03.5
7479
8489
9499
0409
14
0.00.51.01.52.02.53.03.5
7479
8489
9499
0409
14
0.00.51.01.52.02.53.03.5
7479
8489
9499
0409
14
000
00.00.51.01.52.02.53.03.5
7479
8489
9499
0409
14
00.00.51.01.52.02.53.03.5
7479
8489
9499
0409
14
000
00.00.51.01.52.02.53.03.5
7479
8489
9499
0409
14
00
00
0.00.51.01.52.02.53.03.5
7479
8489
9499
0409
14
N
59
Tabl
e 33
. Sea
bird
rela
tive
bree
ding
chr
onol
ogya c
ompa
red
to a
vera
ges f
or p
ast y
ears
. Onl
y si
tes f
or w
hich
ther
e w
ere
data
from
201
7 ar
e in
clud
ed.
Reg
ion
Site
CO
MU
bTB
MU
AN
MU
PAA
ULE
AU
WH
AU
CR
AU
HO
PU
TUP
UB
LKI
GW
GU
FTS
PLH
SP
RFC
O
SE
Ber
ing
St.
Pau
l I.
LL
ES
t. G
eorg
e I.
LL
EA
ikta
k I.
EE
AE
EA
SW
Ber
ing
Bul
dir I
.L
EE
EE
AL
L
N G
ulf o
f AK
Cho
wie
t I.
AL
AE
AA
AE
. Am
atul
i I.
La C
odes
:“E
” an
d re
d ce
ll co
lor i
ndic
ate
hatc
hing
chr
onol
ogy
was
> 3
day
s ear
lier t
han
the
aver
age
for s
ites i
n th
is re
gion
.“A
” an
d ye
llow
cel
l col
or in
dica
te h
atch
ing
chro
nolo
gy w
as w
ithin
3 d
ays o
f ave
rage
.“L
” an
d gr
een
cell
colo
r ind
icat
e ha
tchi
ng c
hron
olog
y w
as >
3 d
ays l
ater
than
the
aver
age
for s
ites i
n th
is re
gion
.b C
OM
U=c
omm
on m
urre
, TB
MU
=thi
ck-b
illed
mur
re, A
NM
U=a
ncie
nt m
urre
let,
PAA
U=p
arak
eet a
ukle
t, LE
AU
=lea
st a
ukle
t, W
HA
U=w
hisk
ered
auk
let,
CR
AU
=cre
sted
auk
let,
HO
PU=h
orne
d pu
ffin,
TU
PU=t
ufte
d pu
ffin,
BLK
I=bl
ack-
legg
ed k
ittiw
ake,
GW
GU
=gla
ucou
s-w
inge
d gu
ll, F
TSP=
fork
-taile
d st
orm
-pet
rel,
LHSP
=Lea
ch’s
stor
m-p
etre
l, R
FCO
=red
-fac
ed c
orm
oran
t.
60
Tabl
e 34
. Sea
bird
rela
tive
prod
uctiv
ity le
vels
a com
pare
d to
ave
rage
s for
pas
t yea
rs. O
nly
site
s for
whi
ch th
ere
wer
e da
ta fr
om 2
017
are
incl
uded
.R
egio
nS
iteC
OM
Ub
TBM
UA
NM
UPA
AU
LEA
UW
HA
UC
RA
UR
HA
UH
OP
UTU
PU
BLK
IR
LKI
GW
GU
FTS
PLH
SP
RFC
OP
EC
ON
. Ber
./Chu
kchi
C. L
isbu
rne
H
SE
Ber
ing
St.
Pau
l I.
LL
LL
HS
t. G
eorg
e I.
LL
LL
LA
C. P
eirc
eL
LR
ound
I.L
LL
Aik
tak
I.L
LA
AL
AA
AL
LS
W B
erin
gB
uldi
r I.
LA
AA
AH
LL
LL
LA
N. G
ulf o
f A
lask
a
Cho
wie
t I.
HH
AA
LL
AH
E. A
mat
uli I
.L
Pr.
Will
. Snd
.A
Mid
dlet
on I.
LL
LH
a Cod
es:
“L”
and
red
cell
colo
r ind
icat
e pr
oduc
tivity
was
> 2
0% b
elow
the
aver
age
for t
he re
gion
.“A
” a
nd y
ello
w c
ell c
olor
indi
cate
pro
duct
ivity
was
with
in 2
0% o
f ave
rage
.“H
” an
d gr
een
cell
colo
r ind
icat
e pr
oduc
tivity
was
> 2
0% a
bove
the
aver
age
for t
he re
gion
.b C
OM
U=c
omm
on m
urre
, TB
MU
=thi
ck-b
illed
mur
re, A
NM
U=a
ncie
nt m
urre
let,
PAA
U=p
arak
eet a
ukle
t, LE
AU
=lea
st au
klet
, WH
AU
=whi
sker
ed au
klet
, CR
AU
=cre
sted
aukl
et, R
HA
U=r
hino
cero
s au
klet
, HO
PU=h
orne
d pu
ffin,
TU
PU=t
ufte
d pu
ffin,
BLK
I=bl
ack-
legg
ed k
ittiw
ake,
RLK
I=re
d-le
gged
kitt
iwak
e, G
WG
U=g
lauc
ous-
win
ged
gull,
FTS
P=fo
rk-ta
iled
stor
m-p
etre
l, LH
SP=L
each
’s st
orm
-pe
trel,
RFC
O=r
ed-f
aced
cor
mor
ant,
PEC
O=p
elag
ic c
orm
oran
t.
61
Tabl
e 35
. Sea
bird
pop
ulat
ion
trend
sa for
all
avai
labl
e ye
ars (
“A”
colu
mns
), an
d th
e pa
st d
ecad
e (2
008-
2017
, “D
” co
lum
ns).
CO
MU
bTB
MU
UN
MU
PIG
ULE
AU
RH
AU
TUP
UB
LKI
RLK
IG
WG
UN
OFU
FTS
PS
TPE
RFC
OP
EC
OU
NC
OR
egio
nS
iteA
DA
DA
DA
DA
DA
DA
DA
DA
DA
DA
DA
DA
DA
DA
DA
D
N B
erin
g/C
hukc
hiC
. Lis
burn
eh
hh
hH
all I
.1
N/A
1N
/Ai
N/A
1N
/Ai
N/A
SE
Ber
ing
St.
Pau
l I.
ii
11
1i
i1
11
1i
St.
Geo
rge
I.1
i1
11
i1
11
i1
h1
hC
. Pei
rce
ii
ii
1i
Rou
nd I.
ii
ii
Aik
tak
I.i
i1
11
i1
h1
i
SW
Ber
ing
Bul
dir I
.h
hh
h1
h1
iU
lak
I.1
ii
1
N G
ulf o
f A
lask
a
Cho
wie
t I.
1i
11
1i
11
11
Pua
le B
ay1
i1
N/A
E. A
mat
uli I
.i
i1
1P.
Will
iam
Snd
.i
h1
iS
outh
east
St.
Laza
ria I.
11
11
h1
hh
11
hh
a Cod
es:
i a
nd re
d ce
ll co
lor i
ndic
ate
a ne
gativ
e po
pula
tion
trend
of ≥
3% p
er a
nnum
for t
his s
ite o
r reg
ion.
1 a
nd y
ello
w c
ell c
olor
indi
cate
that
per
ann
um c
hang
e w
as w
ithin
3%
of t
he si
te a
vera
ge.
h a
nd g
reen
cel
l col
or in
dica
te a
pos
itive
pop
ulat
ion
trend
of ≥
3% p
er a
nnum
for t
his s
ite o
r reg
ion.
“N
/A”
indi
cate
s tha
t the
re w
ere
insu
ffici
ent d
ata
to d
eter
min
e a
trend
.b C
OM
U=c
omm
on m
urre
, TB
MU
=thi
ck-b
illed
mur
re, U
NM
U=u
nspe
cifie
d m
urre
, PIG
U=p
igeo
n gu
illem
ot, L
EAU
=lea
st a
ukle
t, R
HA
U=r
hino
cero
s au
klet
, TU
PU=t
ufte
d pu
ffin,
BLK
I=bl
ack-
legg
ed k
ittiw
ake,
RLK
I=re
d-le
gged
kitt
iwak
e, G
WG
U=g
lauc
ous-
win
ged
gull,
NO
FU=n
orth
ern
fulm
ar, F
TSP=
fork
-taile
d st
orm
-pet
rel,
STPE
=uns
peci
fied
stor
m-p
etre
l, R
FCO
=red
-fac
ed c
orm
oran
t, PE
CO
=pel
agic
cor
mor
ant,
UN
CO
=uns
peci
fied
corm
oran
t.
62
Acknowledgments
The data summarized in this report were gathered by many people, most of whom are cited in the references section. We appreciate their efforts. We thank Melissa Cady (Alaska Peninsula/Becharof NWR), Kara Hilwig (Togiak NWR), David Irons (USFWS Migr. Birds, Ret.), Arthur Kettle (Alaska Maritime NWR), Nora Rojek (Alaska Maritime NWR), and Ed Weiss (Alaska Dept. Fish and Game) for the unpublished data they kindly provided. We would like to extend our thanks to the staff of the Alaska Maritime NWR for their assistance during both the data collection and writing phases of this project. All photographs used in this report are Fish and Wildlife Service pictures except those of the fork-tailed storm-petrel, parakeet auklet, least auklet, tufted puffin, and horned puffin which were taken by Ian Jones, and the ancient murrelet taken by Fiona Hunter; all used with permission. Cover art by Susan Steinacher.
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