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TRANSCRIPT
August 2015Market Commentary 03Commodity Performance BCOM 07 Roll Select 08 Historical 09Contribution to Return & Weights 10Commodity Volatility Realized 11 Implied 12 Historical Realized 13Commodity Correlation Composites 14 Singles 15 US CPI Indices 16 Country CPI 17 Country GDP 18Commitment of Traders Report Monthly Notional Change & Correlation 19 Historical Net Positions 20Commodity Inventories & Sales Monthly Change & Correlation 22 Historical Levels 23Commodity ETP Flows 25Term Structures 26BI Dashboards 28Bloomberg Cheat Sheet 29
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TABLES & CHARTS(BCOM)BLOOMBERG COMMODITY INDEX
MACRO AND REGULATION CHALLENGES FOR COMMODITY INVESTORS
When
Where
Highlights
Agenda8:00 Registration & Breakfast8:30 Welcome Remarks8:45 The macroeconomic outlook and impact on commodities prices
Thomas Thygesen, Economist, SEB+ Outlook for inflation+ Dollar strength+ QE & rates outlook+ Impact on commodity pricing
9:25 Commodity markets outlook: review fundamentals of commodity sectors, price performance+ Energy - pricing and market dynamics, shale industry impact+ Metals - supply and demand in light of the 'new normal' in China+ Agriculture - supply and inventory levels outlook for grains and softsRichard Mallinson, Geopolitics Analyst, Energy AspectsTom Price, Global Commodity Analyst, Morgan StanleyTracey Allen, Senior Commodities Analyst, Rabobank
10:25 Coffee Break10:40
11:20
Regulatory Framework: Evolving Regulations Across Europe and the US and their impact on processes, liquidity and market as a whole> FTT - Financial transaction tax - impact on commodity trading> ESMA rules and impact on UCIT funds> IOSCO and a move towards news benchmark standards> MiFID 2 - latest revision of the markets in financial instruments directive implemented in 2007 has been revised through a recast directive (MiFID 2) and a new regulation (MiFIR) What do they mean to the commodities industry? Exemptions, scope and position limits - Simon Turek, Governance Relations for CME- Nicolas Bouveret, Investment Management for Arendt- Gary Campbell, Consultant, DeloitteRecent Developments in Bloomberg Commodity Indices
11:35
12:3013:30
Panel Discussion: Commodity Investments, New PerspectiveManaging commodity exposure within a changing regulatory framework, new pricing era in terms of pricing and changing asset allocation outlook. Investors, consultants and Market participants would give you a deep insight into these and other industry topics.- Fiona Boal, Commodity Research Director, Fulcrum Asset Management- Scott Kerson, Partner & Head of Commodities, AHL Partners LP- Moderator: Victoria Hegan, EMEA, Executive Director, EMEA Commodity Investor Sales, Goldman Sachs International Networking ReceptionEvent Close
Tuesday 8 September 2015 08:00 — 12:30
Bloomberg City Gate House 39-45 Finsbury Square London EC2A 1PQ RSVP
Investing in commodities over the past few years has been a challenge. A glut in supply and concerns about a slowdown in global growth posed risks to asset class performance – and now regulatory changes have added further burden to the market. As new geopolitical and macroeconomic dynamics are revealed and regulatory framework takes shape, what does the future hold for commodity investment?
Join us and our market specialists to gain more insight into such topics as:> New economic era – are low interest rates and deflation here to stay?> OPEC’s “war” with shale and impact on oil price> Agricultural market dynamics – are high inventories and oversupply here to stay? > Industrial metals pricing in China’s “new normal”> Investment impact by such regulatory initiatives as FTT, MIFID, ESMA
http://go.bloomberg.com/promo/invite/macro-and-regulation-challenges/
Commodities Fell 0.9% in August, Sentiment Fueled Oil Rally, Spiked Volatility
• Performance: The Bloomberg Commodity Index (BCOM) ended August down 0.9% while the Bloomberg Petroleum Indexand Precious Metals Index each returned 2.2%.
• Money manager positions: The notional exposure to commodity futures and options fell $4 billion in August. Energypositions were down $3.5 billion, Grains were down $6.8 billion, while Precious Metals were up $7.3 billion.
• Fund flows: U.S. listed Exchange Trades Products saw positive commodity fund flows of $1.2 billion in August.• Volatility: 19 out of 22 commodities in BCOM saw increased volatility in August. Realized volatilities for petroleum products
rose sharply with the monthly volatility for the Petroleum Index (59.59%) more than double its five-year average (26.37%).Short term implied volatilities for the oil products increased by around 50% from the last month (37% to 54% for 1m WTI at-the-money).
ENERGY (34.8% weight in BCOM)
The Bloomberg Natural Gas Index capped a second straight monthly drop as forecasts showed waning air-conditioning demand after heat in the eastern U.S. in the latter part of August. The weather may be mostly normal in the lower 48 states from September 10-14, according to the Commodity Weather Group LLC. The bears are winning as the summer winds downs and any fears of significant heat are passing. Gas stockpiles totaled 3.099 trillion cubic feet as of August 21, 2.9% above the five-year average and 18% higher than last year’s supplies for the period, according to the EIA. By the end of the injection season on October 31, inventories (DOENUST1 Index) may reach 3.867 trillion cubic feet, 1.8% above the five-year norm.
Marketed gas production (DOEGMARK Index) in the U.S. may climb 5.4% this year to a record 78.72 billion cubic feet a day, the EIA said August 11 in its monthly Short-Term Energy Outlook. The agency cut its forecast for the average 2015 price of gas at the benchmark Henry Hub in Erath, Louisiana, to $2.89 per million Btu from $2.97 estimated in July. Gross gas output from the lower 48 states slipped 0.1% in June to 89.537 billion cubic feet a day from a month earlier, the EIA said August 31 in its monthly EIA-914 production report. Supplies from Ohio jumped 12.6% to 2.848 billion a day.
On August 31, oil capped the biggest three-day gain in 25 years after OPEC signaled it might cut production and the U.S. lowered its oil output estimates. WTI surged 27% in three days, the most since August 1990 when Iraq invaded Kuwait.
Any speculation the 12 members of OPEC may rein in oil production underestimates Iran’s determination to go it alone. Iran is pushing ahead with its goal to increase market share, with the nation pumping 2.9 million barrels a day in August, the fastest rate in three years, according to a Bloomberg survey of oil companies, producers and analysts. That helped boost OPEC production to 32.3 million barrels a day, the 15th straight month the group has pumped above its 30-million-barrel-a-day quota, the data show.
U.S. refineries operated at 94.5% of their capacity (DOEPPERC Index) on August 21, down 0.6% from the prior week and the lowest since June. Refiners cut operating rates during September (DOEPPERC Index) in nine of the past ten years and gasoline demand dropped with end of the summer driving season, which will end with Labor Day on September 7.
The number of active rigs seeking oil in the U.S. increased for a sixth week to the highest level since early May. Refiners may be able to maintain high refining margins and enjoy reduced feedstock costs while crude oil prices remain low. The industry will probably keep maximizing throughput to reap the benefits of the high-margin environment.
GRAINS (22.1% weight in BCOM)
Soybeans declined with U.S. crop conditions better than estimated. The USDA said August 31 that the U.S. crop conditions at 63% good/excellent were unchanged from the previous week. Analysts surveyed by Bloomberg expected plants to deteriorate. At current prices, soybean producers don’t want to sell, while end-users aren’t eager to buy after commodities slump.
U.S. corn rated 'excellent' or 'good' fell further to 68% in the week ended August 30, according to the USDA, while soybean continues to be stalled at 63% for the fifth consecutive week. Worsening conditions are attributable to drier weather stunting growth, which may suggest WASDE lowers production forecasts. DTN expects drier conditions will remain for the next week in the Midwest. A reduced production outlook could support crop prices and farm income.
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While the USDA boosted its corn output estimate in August and prices have plunged for two straight months, farms in the world’s biggest corn-growing region are showing signs of strain before the bulk of the harvest begins. The Midwest had the fourth-wettest June since 1895, threatening to erode the benefits of crops from Missouri to Ohio that were planted early. When the rains came, corn futures jumped 28% from June 15 to July 13, touching a one-year high of $4.5425 a bushel, on concern too much moisture would leave damaged plants. Then, prices plunged 17% through September 1 as warm weather dried fields and the USDA unexpectedly raised its national yield forecast, citing the second-biggest plant population and third-highest ear weight ever.
BMAP <GO> Midwest corn prices
Since then, the annual Pro Farmer Crop Tour estimated smaller ears after surveying fields in seven states, and the government reported higher insurance claims by growers. Still, with the slowdown in China pushing most commodities lower in recent weeks, closing corn prices on the Chicago Board of Trade have fluctuated between $3.7325 and $3.825 since August 12. December futures fell 0.9% on August 31.
U.S. corn yields will fall 1.3% to 168.8 bushels an acre this year from the record 171 bushels in 2014, the USDA said on August 12. Production from 81.1 million harvested acres was estimated at 13.686 billion bushels. Marketing adviser Pro Farmer said August 21 that output would fall 2.7% to 13.323 billion, partly based on samples from 1,400 fields from Ohio to South Dakota. The average ear length measured on the tour was 6.56 inches (16.7 centimeters), down 3.4% from last year.
INDUSTRIAL METALS (15.3% weight in BCOM)
Copper prices fell for a fourth straight month, the longest streak since the global financial crisis, as concern that the economic slowdown in China will deepen helped dim the outlook for the metal. The Bloomberg Copper Index ended down 1.4% in August. Stock market turmoil, a surprise currency devaluation and weakening economic indicators in China, the world’s largest metals consumer, have dominated trading sentiment this month, pulling prices to a six-year low.
Copper inventories in China’s bonded warehouses fell to the smallest in almost two years as traders moved metal to the domestic market amid slower sales from smelters. Stockpiles dropped 17% to 540,000 metric tons in August from a month earlier, the lowest level since November 2013, according to Bloomberg Intelligence analysts.
Pessimism in the Chinese metals market has grown since April, according to Bloomberg Intelligence discussions with traders, company managers and associations. Traders are pulling back in the expectation that the copper selloff is overdone in the near term, and slowing growth is leaving them bearish on long-term demand. The stock market's performance, and the government's efforts to stabilize it, was a primary focus.
The mood of Chinese metal traders is closely linked to the performance of equity markets, most commonly the Shanghai A Index. The sentiment among Chinese investors and traders is that economic growth could continue to worsen if the government can't stabilize the stock market. They expect efforts to halt the decline will be successful and the economy will slow more gradually and avoid a sharper decline. The five-year planning conference in October is seen as an important key to 2016 growth. The October government meetings to develop China's 13th five-year plan will be closely watched for insight into the path of the country's economy. A move toward higher-value-added industries, such as technology and high-speed trains, would shift focus away from the many metals-intensive construction projects that had been a priority until a few years ago. China's effort to boost its economic value-added output while cutting pollution continues to hurt demand for metals.
After a year-to-date 17.7% decline in the Bloomberg Copper Index, China and new mine supply may determine the rest of the year. Chinese demand growth, more buying by the Chinese State Reserve Bureau and this year's estimate of 7.88 million metric tons of new mine supply by 2020, and whether it will come into the market as the companies expected after a year of major new mining delays, will also be important.
New aluminum-production facilities with lower costs threaten to exacerbate overcapacity in China this year. Some 3.9 million metric tons of capacity is set to be added in 2015, according to Bloomberg Intelligence estimates. Many of the new projects are likely
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to secure significantly lower electricity costs than traditional smelters because of captive coal mines and power plants. The new low-cost output is driving down the industry cost curve, weighing on prices, and may squeeze out higher-cost producers.
PRECIOUS METALS (16.3% weight in BCOM)
Investors piled into gold in hopes that the turmoil sweeping financial markets would finally help revive prices. Instead of a rally, futures in New York fell for four straight sessions as global equities plunged to a two-year low. Rather than providing a refuge from the meltdown, gold’s volatility rose right along with a measure of equity turbulence. As stocks started to recover, the metal kept falling because of reports that signaled gains for the U.S. economy. More than $52 billion has been wiped from the value of physical bullion funds since April 2013. Money managers have raised their net-long position to the highest since June just before futures capped the worst slump in a month.
BMAP<GO> Global gold mines
Speculators more than tripled their net-bullish position to 44,271 futures and option contracts (CFCDUMMN Index <GO>) in the week ended August 25, according to the CFTC. Long holdings rose for a third straight week, the longest run since January. Even as the U.S. economy has proven to be resilient, Fed policy makers will have to contend with a weaker global-growth scenario. The world equity rout has lowered expectations for a quick rate rise, with traders as of August 31 pricing in a 38% chance (WIRP <GO>) that policy makers will tighten at their September meeting. That compares with 48% two weeks earlier. The metal climbed 70% from December 2008 to June 2011 as the U.S. central bank fanned inflation fears as it bought debt and held borrowing costs near zero in a bid to shore up growth. Holdings in ETPs backed by the metal have dropped 12% over the past year and on August 11 shrunk to the smallest since 2009. With U.S. inflation languishing below the Fed’s 2% target, there’s little interest in buying gold to hedge against rising consumer prices. With global growth concerns reemerging, we are seeing fears of deflation and gold may not do well in that scenario. ETPs linked to precious metal have lost $22.5 billion year to date, roughly 26% of their market cap.
The opening of gold trading in the Shanghai free-trade zone and the launch of the yuan-denominated gold fix late this year may promote more open trading of China's currency internationally. Gold trading has soared in China, and the metal is a recognized currency instrument that may be used to move yuan into and out of China. The trading of gold via the free-trade zone may be seen as a sign of China's ambition to take a central place in the global market for the commodity and spur the yuan's internationalization.
SOFTS (6.6% weight in BCOM)
The Bloomberg Sugar Index which tracks the sugar contract on ICE dropped 4% in August. Sugar occupies a special place in U.S. politics. The commodity has been a source of controversy since before the American Revolution. Import protections have artificially inflated domestic costs for decades. Major sugar-users like PepsiCo Inc. and Hershey Co. have complained about the sugar program for years, saying it needlessly raises costs, both for them and for consumers. Sugar accounts for a small fraction of U.S. farm output, but the industry contributes more to congressional campaign coffers than any other commodity producer. Between 2007 and 2014, growers donated $18.5 million, according to the Center for Responsive Politics. While a global production surplus has driven world sugar prices to their lowest levels since 2008, U.S. prices are much higher than elsewhere.
The main issue for coffee remains the forex market. Brazil real fell as much as 1.4% against the dollar after touching on August 31 the lowest since February 2003, while Colombia peso has slumped 37% in the past 12 months, boosting producer incentive for commodity sales in the greenback. Cotton dropped 1.9% in August, losing its status as one of the only two raw materials with gains this year in the Bloomberg Commodity Index.
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LIVESTOCK (5.0% weight in BCOM)
China consumes more than half the world’s pork, and hasn’t been able to produce enough to meet demand. The need for imports increased after a slump in prices bankrupted hog producers. Like dozens of countries, China bans the use of ractopamine that is fed to more than three-quarters of American hogs to help them gain muscle faster while eating less grain. As hog and pork prices surge in China, its record imports this year will likely be dominated by Europe, not the U.S. Pork exports will be 4.999 billion pounds in the U.S. this year, down from a July forecast of 5.065 billion, the government said on August 10. At the same time, production will reach a record 24.6 billion pounds, exceeding beef for the first time in 63 years, according to the USDA.
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Composite Indices
Aug Jul Q2 Q1 3-Month 1-Year 3-Year 5-Year 10-Year 20-YearBloomberg Commodity ER BCOM -0.93% -10.62% 4.65% -5.95% -12.84% -9.92% -28.16% -37.73% -30.49% -46.77% -6.77%Bloomberg Commodity TR BCOMTR -0.92% -10.62% 4.66% -5.94% -12.82% -9.91% -28.14% -37.64% -30.27% -39.59% 53.52%
Bloomberg Commodity Spot BCOMSP -0.45% -10.67% 6.17% -4.03% -9.39% -9.30% -24.29% -33.05% -16.55% 24.31% 178.67%Bloomberg Roll Select BCOMRST -0.90% -9.95% 3.43% -5.45% -12.73% -9.19% -27.18% -34.81% -24.09% -1.01% 241.27%
1 Month Forward BCOMF1T -0.94% -10.55% 4.47% -5.57% -12.59% -9.70% -27.44% -35.00% -25.29% -23.06% 179.21% 2 Month Forward BCOMF2T -0.84% -10.46% 3.88% -5.64% -12.97% -9.67% -27.39% -35.85% -26.95% -13.86% 213.47% 3 Month Forward BCOMF3T -0.97% -10.38% 3.69% -5.41% -12.96% -9.69% -26.90% -34.86% -24.71% -5.87% 226.32% 4 Month Forward BCOMF4T -0.86% -10.09% 3.60% -5.19% -12.45% -9.31% -26.26% -33.61% -21.79% 5.47% 5 Month Forward BCOMF5T -0.95% -9.86% 3.44% -4.98% -12.25% -9.21% -26.19% -34.34% -21.90% 8.69% 6 Month Forward BCOMF6T -0.83% -9.70% 3.13% -4.93% -12.20% -9.04% -25.87% -33.86% -21.65% 13.99%
Energy BCOMENTR 0.75% -14.47% 10.92% -8.20% -12.25% -14.21% -46.80% -45.75% -51.58% -88.14% 8.18%Petroleum BCOMPETR 2.24% -17.58% 13.98% -8.46% -12.07% -17.61% -49.32% -49.59% -33.85% -66.76% 218.16%Agriculture BCOMAGTR -3.85% -11.11% 8.29% -8.82% -15.61% -3.58% -19.39% -43.67% -19.50% 2.82% -20.48%
Grains BCOMGRTR -3.54% -13.04% 10.21% -8.18% -15.12% -0.59% -13.30% -46.27% -15.60% 6.00% -29.21%Industrial Metals BCOMINTR -2.80% -7.30% -5.31% -5.32% -19.22% -14.26% -29.27% -30.49% -38.52% 4.31% 60.69%Precious Metals BCOMPRTR 2.16% -6.37% -2.55% 1.30% -5.58% -7.21% -16.11% -39.99% -15.18% 133.50% 193.43%
Softs BCOMSOTR -3.28% -8.04% 1.61% -13.70% -22.01% -8.93% -35.72% -46.15% -39.47% -36.66% -45.35%Livestock BCOMLITR 1.13% -2.17% -1.52% -9.78% -12.10% -6.41% -12.00% -3.00% -8.54% -46.48% -46.64%Ex-Energy BCOMXETR -1.78% -8.48% 1.50% -5.77% -14.02% -7.44% -20.65% -36.69% -22.08% 19.72% 31.88%
Ex-Petroleum BCOMXPET -1.92% -8.01% 1.55% -6.43% -14.26% -6.79% -23.41% -36.12% -32.17% -34.96%Ex-Agriculture BCOMXAGT 0.31% -10.41% 3.21% -4.87% -11.76% -12.19% -32.06% -35.10% -35.85% -54.15%
Ex-Grains BCOMXGRT -0.37% -10.10% 3.55% -5.47% -12.33% -11.55% -30.80% -35.19% -34.02% -49.33%Ex-Industrial Metals BCOMXIMT -0.57% -11.20% 6.63% -6.00% -11.50% -9.08% -28.05% -39.32% -28.75% -50.30%Ex-Precious Metals BCOMXPMT -1.50% -11.38% 6.06% -7.40% -14.26% -10.42% -30.37% -37.76% -33.28% -49.36%
Ex-Softs BCOMXSOT -0.75% -10.80% 4.87% -5.47% -12.23% -9.98% -27.66% -37.09% -29.97% -40.85%Ex-Livestock BCOMXLIT -1.02% -11.02% 4.98% -5.69% -12.81% -10.08% -29.05% -39.30% -31.41% -39.14%
Ex-Agriculture & Livestock BCOMXALT 0.25% -10.98% 3.57% -4.43% -11.67% -12.60% -33.75% -37.49% -37.90% -55.34%S&P 500 Total Return SPXT -6.03% 2.10% 0.28% 0.95% -2.88% -5.92% 0.48% 49.38% 108.88% 99.55% 410.70%
Bloomberg US Treasury Bond BUSY -0.14% 1.17% -1.96% 1.77% 0.80% 0.07% 2.48% 2.81% 12.80%Bloomberg USD IG Corporate Bond BUSC -0.79% 0.78% -3.05% 2.23% -0.89% -1.64% -0.64% 6.70% 22.81%Bloomberg USD HY Corporate Bond BUHY -1.92% -0.69% 0.65% 2.63% 0.62% -3.97% -3.34% 13.44% 39.09%
Bloomberg Dollar Spot BBDXY -0.13% 2.34% -1.66% 6.16% 6.70% 1.25% 17.23% 21.30% 17.18% 14.34%
Single Commodity Indices
Aug Jul Q2 Q1 YTD 3-Month 1-Year 3-Year 5-Year 10-Year 20-YearNatural Gas BCOMNGTR -2.73% -4.43% 1.82% -11.02% -15.78% -1.52% -43.06% -38.97% -79.48% -99.11% -97.82%WTI Crude BCOMCLTR 2.10% -21.24% 17.51% -14.86% -19.55% -21.26% -54.19% -53.27% -48.11% -75.66% 142.02%
Brent Crude BCOMCOT 2.70% -17.85% 10.67% -9.27% -15.29% -18.77% -53.81% -53.33% -25.69% -47.89% 618.58%ULS Diesel BCOMHOTR 6.50% -16.56% 9.10% -4.38% -7.30% -14.26% -40.15% -45.11% -18.07% -55.92% 240.53%
Unleaded Gasoline BCOMRBTR -2.37% -11.38% 18.00% 1.01% 3.12% -12.63% -40.31% -40.33% 11.61% -38.74% 524.09%Corn BCOMCNTR -1.75% -12.08% 7.79% -7.18% -13.58% 1.70% -9.03% -54.55% -12.06% -18.68% -73.45%
Soybeans BCOMSYTR -5.60% -9.35% 9.17% -5.37% -11.60% -2.21% -12.95% -25.75% 30.96% 108.40% 299.18%Wheat BCOMWHTR -3.80% -18.92% 19.26% -13.20% -19.25% -0.53% -16.59% -54.17% -57.64% -56.16% -90.54%
Soybean Oil BCOMBOTR -7.04% -10.80% 10.66% -6.05% -13.79% -15.82% -15.08% -54.50% -41.69% -24.68% -46.49%Soybean Meal BCOMSMT -3.88% -6.22% 11.45% -3.98% -3.55% 7.40% -0.17% 3.85% 98.13% 346.87% 1401.72%HRW Wheat BCOMKWT -5.00% -19.33% 6.13% -11.07% -27.68% -8.11% -29.74% -54.13% -50.77% -32.20% -64.26%
Copper BCOMHGTR -1.39% -9.62% -4.79% -3.01% -17.70% -14.71% -26.29% -33.98% -34.48% 51.98% 199.56%Alumnium BCOMALTR -1.31% -4.76% -7.25% -4.18% -16.46% -9.26% -27.40% -31.26% -42.84% -45.91% -44.83%
Zinc BCOMZSTR -5.60% -4.39% -4.39% -4.83% -17.87% -17.66% -24.76% -12.41% -26.89% 9.35% 28.56%Nickel BCOMNITR -8.95% -7.97% -3.67% -18.54% -34.25% -20.53% -47.35% -39.99% -54.54% -23.58% 106.50%Gold BCOMGCTR 3.42% -6.73% -1.05% -0.23% -4.76% -4.99% -12.46% -33.77% -11.83% 139.92% 185.84%Silver BCOMSITR -1.40% -5.36% -6.63% 6.13% -7.53% -13.18% -26.23% -55.27% -28.70% 92.57% 151.99%Sugar BCOMSBTR -4.03% -10.66% 2.20% -17.61% -27.81% -13.40% -41.57% -62.03% -48.20% -46.88% -10.83%Coffee BCOMKCTR -3.10% -5.40% -3.85% -21.58% -30.88% -5.36% -44.07% -44.17% -54.29% -49.80% -71.97%Cotton BCOMCTTR -1.88% -5.45% 6.21% 4.26% 2.74% -3.18% -4.90% -14.89% 4.98% -19.39% -79.37%
Live Cattle BCOMLCTR -1.86% -3.54% -1.83% -0.69% -7.70% -7.33% -2.71% 6.47% 6.14% -16.84% 10.17%Lean Hogs BCOMLHTR 6.76% 0.45% -0.98% -23.73% -19.01% -3.83% -27.09% -17.21% -30.09% -75.12% -85.59%
Index Name Ticker
Index Name Ticker
PERFORMANCE: Bloomberg Commodity Indices
2015
2015
YTD
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Composite Roll Select Indices
Aug Jul Q2 Q1 YTD 1-Year 3-Year 5-Year 10-Year 20-YearBCOM Roll Select BCOMRST -0.90% -9.95% 3.43% -5.45% -12.73% -27.18% -34.81% -24.09% -1.01% 241.27%
Roll Select Agriculture BCOMRAGT -3.77% -10.85% 7.60% -9.06% -16.06% -19.80% -41.64% -13.38% 43.85% 45.06%Roll Select Ex-Ags & Livestock BBURXALT 0.23% -9.95% 2.18% -3.75% -11.24% -32.36% -34.63% -32.23% -25.15%
Roll Select Grains BCOMRGRT -3.18% -12.73% 9.78% -7.79% -14.47% -13.42% -45.26% -11.46% 51.36% 31.58%Roll Select Softs BCOMRSOT -3.92% -7.74% 0.52% -15.31% -24.54% -36.79% -42.33% -30.48% -9.47% 0.58%
Roll Select Livestock BCOMRLIT 1.23% -3.69% -2.82% -6.78% -11.68% -8.91% 4.01% 7.41% 14.43%Roll Select Energy BCOMRENT 0.68% -12.57% 7.81% -6.56% -11.33% -44.15% -40.87% -43.04% -69.99%
Roll Select Ex-Energy BCOMRXET -1.76% -8.44% 1.21% -5.68% -14.13% -20.51% -34.99% -17.66% 61.73%Roll Select Petroleum BCOMRPET 2.59% -15.97% 10.26% -7.56% -12.12% -47.06% -46.01% -27.00% -33.38% 878.15%
Roll Select Industrial Metals BCOMRINT -2.80% -7.11% -4.96% -5.38% -18.80% -28.85% -28.85% -35.91% 33.73% 146.71%Roll Select Precious Metals BCOMRPRT 2.15% -6.38% -2.53% 1.36% -5.52% -16.03% -39.88% -14.76% 136.31% 202.39%
Single Commodity Roll Select Indices
Aug Jul Q2 Q1 YTD 1-Year 3-Year 5-Year 10-Year 20-YearNatural Gas RS BCOMRNGT -4.18% -2.78% 0.44% -6.12% -12.16% -38.99% -30.63% -69.41% -95.71% -56.51%WTI Crude RS BCOMRCLT 3.20% -17.15% 10.68% -11.84% -16.58% -50.94% -48.87% -36.99% -37.51% 1013.61%
Brent Crude RS BCOMRCOT 3.10% -15.78% 8.15% -7.45% -13.08% -48.12% -46.96% -21.47% -20.75% 1134.18%ULS Diesel RS BCOMRHOT 5.32% -15.12% 9.11% -4.38% -6.74% -40.62% -44.42% -21.05% -35.08% 548.04%
Unleaded Gasoline RS BCOMRRBT -2.24% -14.67% 14.74% -2.61% -6.78% -43.08% -39.68% 0.34% -27.16% 766.54%Corn RS BCOMRCNT -1.46% -11.28% 7.32% -5.91% -11.72% -7.81% -54.94% -11.57% 14.46% -51.78%
Soybeans RS BCOMRSYT -5.05% -9.35% 8.59% -5.44% -11.62% -13.17% -22.27% 40.83% 152.13% 369.96%Wheat RS BCOMRWHT -3.73% -19.02% 19.26% -14.01% -20.04% -19.50% -53.75% -53.49% -13.92% -53.66%
Soybean Oil RS BCOMRBOT -6.91% -10.80% 10.73% -6.04% -13.61% -15.18% -52.77% -36.71% -7.13% -9.26%Soybean Meal RS BCOMRSMT -3.95% -6.22% 9.76% -3.98% -5.08% -1.66% 12.48% 113.27% 415.91% 1661.31%HRW Wheat RS BCOMRKWT -4.56% -18.65% 6.13% -11.28% -26.89% -28.88% -52.64% -47.11% 18.55% -13.90%
Copper RS BCOMRHGT -1.39% -9.62% -4.88% -3.01% -17.77% -26.84% -33.99% -33.29% 83.48% 336.33%Alumnium RS BCOMRALT -1.18% -4.23% -5.74% -4.37% -14.69% -25.25% -27.10% -37.80% -28.42% -12.46%
Zinc RS BCOMRZST -5.80% -4.23% -4.67% -5.03% -18.32% -24.78% -10.10% -25.04% 45.14% 102.73%Nickel RS BCOMRNIT -9.06% -7.95% -3.70% -18.37% -34.20% -47.22% -39.06% -52.77% 2.85% 255.14%Gold RS BCOMRGCT 3.42% -6.73% -1.04% -0.21% -4.75% -12.44% -33.79% -11.76% 139.16% 187.30%Silver RS BCOMRSIT -1.40% -5.37% -6.57% 6.29% -7.33% -25.97% -54.86% -27.39% 103.54% 180.28%Sugar RS BCOMRSBT -4.92% -9.70% 0.73% -21.20% -31.86% -42.76% -56.65% -39.56% -9.78% 78.60%Coffee RS BCOMRKCT -3.10% -5.42% -4.55% -19.68% -29.74% -42.74% -42.48% -49.15% -38.64% -53.81%Cotton RS BCOMRCTT -2.52% -5.44% 6.21% 3.53% 1.36% -8.83% -12.59% 18.27% 7.24% -63.45%
Live Cattle RS BCOMRLCT -1.71% -3.78% -1.83% -1.66% -8.69% -2.24% 3.12% 12.21% 18.72% 135.12%Lean Hogs RS BCOMRLHT 6.76% -3.45% -4.55% -14.65% -16.03% -19.35% 4.85% -3.66% -2.45% 53.12%
PERFORMANCE: Bloomberg Commodity Roll Select Indices
Index Name Ticker
Index Name Ticker
2015
2015
8
PERFORMANCE: Historical ReturnBloomberg Commodity Composite Indices
Commodities vs. Equities vs. Bonds vs. USD
Bloomberg Commodity Energy Subindices
Bloomberg Commodity Forward Indices
Bloomberg Commodity Group Subindices
Bloomberg Commodity Grains Subindices
Bloomberg Commodity Industrial Metals Subindices Bloomberg Commodity Precious Metals Subindices
Bloomberg Commodity Softs Subindices Bloomberg Commodity Livestock Subindices
-100%0%
100%200%300%400%500%600%700%800%900%
91 93 95 97 99 01 03 05 07 09 11 13 15
BloombergCommodity Index ER
BloombergCommodity Index TR
BloombergCommodity IndexSpotBloombergCommodity IndexRoll Select
-50%0%
50%100%150%200%250%300%350%400%450%
00 02 04 06 08 10 12 14
Bloomberg CommodityIndex TR
Bloomberg CommodityIndex 1 MonthForwardBloomberg CommodityIndex 3 MonthForwardBloomberg CommodityIndex 6 MonthForward
-40%
-20%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
120%
10 11 12 13 14 15
BloombergCommodity Index TR
S&P 500 Total ReturnIndex
Bloomberg USTreasury Bond Index
Bloomberg USD IGCorporate Bond Index
Bloomberg USD HYCorporate Bond Index
Bloomberg U.S. DollarSpot Index
-200%
0%
200%
400%
600%
800%
1000%
91 93 95 97 99 01 03 05 07 09 11 13 15
Energy
Grains
Industrial Metals
Precious Metals
Softs
Livestock
-500%
0%
500%
1000%
1500%
2000%
2500%
3000%
91 93 95 97 99 01 03 05 07 09 11 13 15
Natural Gas
WTI Crude
Brent Crude
ULS Diesel
Unleaded Gasoline-200%
0%200%400%600%800%
1000%1200%1400%1600%1800%
91 93 95 97 99 01 03 05 07 09 11 13 15
Corn
Soybeans
Wheat
Soybean Oil
Soybean Meal
HRW Wheat
-200%
0%
200%
400%
600%
800%
1000%
91 93 95 97 99 01 03 05 07 09 11 13 15
Copper
Alumnium
Zinc
Nickel-100%
0%100%200%300%400%500%600%700%800%900%
91 93 95 97 99 01 03 05 07 09 11 13 15
Gold
Silver
-200%
-100%
0%
100%
200%
300%
400%
500%
91 93 95 97 99 01 03 05 07 09 11 13 15
Sugar
Coffee
Cotton
-100%-80%-60%-40%-20%
0%20%40%60%80%
100%120%
91 93 95 97 99 01 03 05 07 09 11 13 15
Live Cattle
Lean Hogs
9
BCOM Contribution to Return (CTR) and Constituent Weights BCOM Index MEMB <GO>, PORT <GO>
Group Commodity Aug 2015 CTR
31 Aug 2015 Actual Weight
31 Jul 2015 Actual Weight
Aug 2015 Weight Change
2015 Target Weight
Natural Gas -0.29% 9.22% 9.03% 0.19% 8.74% WTI Crude 0.23% 8.74% 8.21% 0.53% 7.84%
Brent Crude 0.23% 8.26% 8.01% 0.25% 7.16% ULS Diesel 0.26% 4.22% 3.89% 0.33% 3.76% Gasoline -0.15% 4.33% 5.18% -0.85% 3.69%Subtotal 0.28% 34.77% 34.32% 0.45% 31.19%
Corn -0.14% 7.51% 7.40% 0.11% 7.25% Soybeans -0.31% 5.23% 5.51% -0.28% 5.68%
Wheat -0.13% 3.05% 3.13% -0.08% 3.33% Soybean Oil -0.20% 2.62% 2.81% -0.19% 2.81%
Soybean Meal -0.11% 2.64% 2.74% -0.10% 2.75% HRW Wheat -0.05% 1.01% 1.01% 0.00% 1.17%
Subtotal -0.94% 22.06% 22.60% -0.54% 22.98% Copper -0.09% 6.99% 7.04% -0.05% 7.54%
Aluminum -0.04% 4.52% 4.50% 0.02% 4.59% Zinc -0.13% 2.24% 2.35% -0.11% 2.40%
Nickel -0.15% 1.50% 1.64% -0.14% 2.12%Subtotal -0.41% 15.25% 15.53% -0.28% 16.65%
Gold 0.39% 12.19% 11.74% 0.45% 11.90% Silver -0.07% 4.13% 4.15% -0.02% 4.28%
Subtotal 0.32% 16.32% 15.89% 0.43% 16.18% Sugar -0.13% 3.16% 3.28% -0.12% 4.00% Coffee -0.06% 1.72% 1.73% -0.01% 2.21% Cotton -0.04% 1.73% 1.75% -0.02% 1.51%
Subtotal -0.23% 6.61% 6.76% -0.15% 7.72% Live Cattle -0.06% 3.15% 3.19% -0.04% 3.33% Lean Hogs 0.11% 1.82% 1.70% 0.12% 1.94%Subtotal 0.05% 4.97% 4.89% 0.08% 5.27%
Total -0.9% 100% 100% 100%
Commodity Price ForecastsCPFC <GO>
Group Commodity Q3 15 Q4 15 Q1 16 Q2 16Forward 2.75 2.90 2.93 2.87Forecast 2.80 3.19 3.36 3.23Forward 47.79 51.03 53.12 54.21Forecast 51.50 55.00 56.50 61.00Forward 53.31 56.15 58.36 59.87Forecast 56.00 60.00 60.00 63.00Forward 163.77 173.54 179.31 179.31Forecast 177.00 183.00 196.50 196.50Forward 167.50 146.27 156.79 172.76Forecast 171.00 170.50 168.30 180.00Forward 381.85 377.31 387.53 395.07Forecast 385.00 390.00 408.00 403.50Forward 950.85 889.88 894.07 898.43Forecast 937.50 920.00 950.00 937.50Forward 510.48 485.98 491.04 496.18Forecast 526.00 527.00 537.00 540.00Forward 5,252 5,136 5,130 5,134Forecast 5,700 5,925 5,938 6,100Forward 1,606 1,612 1,625 1,640Forecast 1,750 1,850 1,800 1,806Forward 1,876 1,810 1,816 1,825Forecast 2,163 2,250 2,308 2,350Forward 10,639 10,061 10,085 10,109Forecast 13,750 14,500 14,996 15,000Forward 1,126 1,132 1,134 1,135Forecast 1,150 1,150 1,160 1,180Forward 14.83 14.59 14.63 14.68Forecast 15.65 16.00 15.90 16.25Forward 11.09 11.77 11.83 11.98Forecast 12.40 12.60 12.75 13.15Forward 124.50 124.73 128.04 130.91Forecast 145.00 150.00 155.00 160.00Forward 64.74 62.96 62.66 63.10Forecast 65.00 64.95 66.10 64.30
Energy
Livestock
Softs
Precious Metals
Industrial Metals
Grains
Coffee
Cotton
Zinc
Nickel
Gold
Silver
Sugar
Softs
Bloomberg survey of commodity analysts
Energy
Grains
Industrial Metals
Precious Metals
Natural Gas
WTI Crude
Brent Crude
ULS Diesel
Gasoline
Corn
Soybeans
Wheat
Copper
Aluminum
10
Composite Indices
Bloomberg Commodity ER BCOM 23.02% 17.43% 15.46% 11.92% 14.24% 18.21% 15.90%Bloomberg Commodity TR BCOMTR 23.02% 17.43% 15.46% 11.92% 14.24% 18.21% 15.90%
Bloomberg Commodity Spot BCOMSP 23.08% 17.48% 15.55% 11.98% 14.31% 18.29% 16.00%Bloomberg Roll Select BCOMRST 22.14% 16.55% 14.55% 11.26% 13.54% 17.02% 14.53%
1 Month Forward BCOMF1T 22.95% 17.32% 15.17% 11.62% 13.97% 17.83% 15.34% 2 Month Forward BCOMF2T 22.77% 17.10% 14.87% 11.40% 13.75% 17.49% 14.82% 3 Month Forward BCOMF3T 22.51% 16.85% 14.48% 11.16% 13.56% 17.15% 14.39% 4 Month Forward BCOMF4T 22.35% 16.60% 14.22% 10.96% 13.34% 16.86% 5 Month Forward BCOMF5T 21.94% 16.16% 13.69% 10.57% 12.97% 16.32% 6 Month Forward BCOMF6T 21.94% 16.16% 13.69% 10.57% 12.97% 16.32%
Energy BCOMENTR 47.04% 33.86% 33.29% 23.31% 23.40% 29.36% 30.36%Petroleum BCOMPETR 64.09% 43.58% 39.41% 26.40% 26.55% 32.61% 32.57%Agriculture BCOMAGTR 22.25% 21.64% 17.28% 15.09% 18.78% 20.95% 18.36%
Grains BCOMGRTR 27.53% 27.47% 21.65% 19.30% 22.77% 25.20% 22.58%Industrial Metals BCOMINTR 26.05% 20.71% 18.07% 16.60% 19.62% 26.25% 22.25%Precious Metals BCOMPRTR 16.42% 14.09% 17.75% 19.33% 21.10% 23.36% 19.58%
Softs BCOMSOTR 20.24% 19.42% 20.43% 19.03% 21.75% 22.36% 20.52%Livestock BCOMLITR 15.23% 13.61% 14.78% 11.89% 12.99% 13.84% 14.29%Ex-Energy BCOMXETR 15.99% 13.46% 11.96% 10.99% 13.90% 16.76% 13.74%
Ex-Petroleum BCOMXPET 14.75% 13.14% 11.90% 10.97% 13.50% 16.82%Ex-Agriculture BCOMXAGT 28.12% 20.28% 18.54% 13.93% 15.57% 20.11%
Ex-Grains BCOMXGRT 15.99% 13.46% 11.96% 10.99% 13.90% 16.76%Ex-Industrial Metals BCOMXIMT 25.64% 18.57% 16.77% 12.75% 14.67% 18.92%Ex-Precious Metals BCOMXPMT 23.29% 17.99% 16.71% 12.74% 14.78% 18.50%
Ex-Softs BCOMXSOT 26.54% 20.15% 17.30% 12.80% 14.99% 19.11%Ex-Livestock BCOMXLIT 23.93% 18.12% 16.16% 12.43% 14.58% 18.79%
Ex-Agriculture & Livestock BCOMXALT 28.12% 20.28% 18.54% 13.93% 15.57% 20.11%S&P 500 Total Return Index SPXT 26.11% 17.61% 14.18% 12.19% 15.20% 20.61% 19.51%
Bloomberg US Treasury Bond Index BUSY 4.38% 4.80% 4.51% 3.78% 4.21%Bloomberg USD IG Corporate Bond Index BUSC 4.24% 4.76% 4.58% 4.00% 4.55%Bloomberg USD HY Corporate Bond Index BUHY 4.07% 3.11% 3.46% 2.80% 2.89%
Bloomberg U.S. Dollar Spot Index BBDXY 6.48% 6.80% 7.46% 5.79% 6.47% 7.06%
Single Commodity Indices
Natural Gas BCOMNGTR 27.71% 32.86% 42.87% 37.62% 38.32% 44.48% 47.18%WTI Crude BCOMCLTR 68.61% 46.95% 44.19% 29.64% 29.68% 34.58% 34.10%
Brent Crude BCOMCOT 66.57% 45.66% 40.79% 27.06% 26.59% 31.99% 31.53%ULS Diesel BCOMHOTR 55.17% 38.83% 33.61% 23.35% 23.50% 30.48% 32.03%
Unleaded Gasoline BCOMRBTR 64.01% 43.41% 38.59% 27.12% 27.03% 34.67% 33.74%Corn BCOMCNTR 30.25% 31.53% 25.25% 24.02% 28.33% 30.91% 26.87%
Soybeans BCOMSYTR 32.26% 27.31% 22.47% 20.35% 21.75% 24.89% 23.82%Wheat BCOMWHTR 26.10% 33.63% 29.93% 25.39% 30.74% 33.95% 29.66%
Soybean Oil BCOMBOTR 29.03% 25.60% 23.18% 19.28% 20.28% 24.16% 23.30%Soybean Meal BCOMSMT 33.58% 29.17% 26.93% 25.19% 25.65% 28.06% 26.59%HRW Wheat BCOMKWT 22.92% 29.75% 27.89% 23.75% 28.02% 30.90% 26.87%
Copper BCOMHGTR 27.98% 22.82% 21.21% 18.76% 22.53% 31.48% 27.72%Alumnium BCOMALTR 21.85% 17.38% 17.82% 17.82% 19.63% 24.14% 20.49%
Zinc BCOMZSTR 32.94% 24.89% 20.76% 18.50% 23.41% 34.43% 28.00%Nickel BCOMNITR 38.55% 38.72% 31.27% 26.45% 29.04% 39.15% 35.46%Gold BCOMGCTR 13.50% 12.87% 15.24% 17.26% 18.04% 20.36% 17.45%Silver BCOMSITR 30.82% 23.25% 28.75% 28.44% 33.99% 36.27% 30.45%Sugar BCOMSBTR 26.68% 27.88% 26.14% 22.19% 29.70% 33.16% 31.74%Coffee BCOMKCTR 39.98% 31.99% 36.16% 36.12% 33.93% 31.61% 36.94%Cotton BCOMCTTR 25.49% 20.94% 20.14% 19.55% 27.42% 27.42% 26.05%
Live Cattle BCOMLCTR 15.59% 13.50% 15.19% 12.17% 13.14% 13.71% 14.14%Lean Hogs BCOMLHTR 33.24% 29.17% 26.09% 20.26% 20.34% 22.20% 23.94%
VOLATILITY: Realized
Index Name Ticker
Index Name Ticker
3-Mon 1-Year 3-Year1-Mon
1-Mon 3-Mon 1-Year 3-Year 5-Year 10-Year
5-Year 10-Year 20-Year
20-Year
11
VOLATILITY: ImpliedVCA <GO>, OVDV <GO>
TermMoneyness 90% 100% 110% 90% 100% 110% 90% 100% 110%End of Aug 1% 34% 0% 0% 37% 1% 0% 40% 1%End of Jul 1% 36% 1% 1% 36% 0% 0% 37% 1%
End of Aug 3% 54% -1% 0% 50% 2% 1% 42% -1%End of Jul 3% 37% -1% 1% 37% 0% 0% 37% -2%
End of Aug -3% 52% 7% -2% 46% 3% 1% 37% 5%End of Jul 4% 34% -1% 2% 34% -1% 1% 34% -1%
End of Aug -4% 41% 5% -3% 39% 2% -3% 36% 0%End of Jul 1% 31% 0% 0% 32% 0% 1% 31% -1%
End of Aug -13% 59% 1% 0% 36% 5% -1% 34% 1%End of Jul -1% 36% 0% -3% 37% 1% -1% 34% 1%
End of Aug 1% 26% 2% -1% 27% 2% -1% 27% 1%End of Jul -1% 31% 5% -1% 29% 2% -1% 27% 1%
End of Aug 4% 23% 1% 2% 21% 0% 1% 19% 0%End of Jul 1% 22% 4% 0% 20% 2% 0% 19% 1%
End of Aug 0% 26% 3% -1% 25% 2% -1% 25% 1%End of Jul 0% 29% 3% -1% 27% 2% -1% 26% 1%
End of Aug 3% 29% 3% 1% 25% 1% 0% 22% 1%End of Jul 2% 24% 3% 1% 21% 1% 0% 20% 1%
End of Aug 3% 28% 2% 1% 26% 1% 0% 22% 1%End of Jul 2% 28% 3% 0% 25% 1% 0% 22% 1%
End of Aug 0% 26% 3% -1% 25% 2% -1% 25% 1%End of Jul 0% 29% 3% -1% 27% 1% -1% 25% 1%
End of Aug 2% 27% -1% 1% 26% -1% 3% 26% -1%End of Jul 2% 27% 1% 1% 25% -1% 3% 25% -2%
End of Aug 0% 15% 0% 0% 15% 0% 0% 15% 0%End of Jul 0% 18% 0% 0% 18% 0% 0% 18% 0%
End of Aug 0% 31% 0% 0% 24% 0% 0% 23% 0%End of Jul 0% 26% 0% 0% 24% 0% 0% 26% 0%
End of Aug 0% 42% 0% 0% 33% 1% 0% 32% 1%End of Jul 0% 36% 0% 0% 35% 0% 0% 35% 0%
End of Aug 2% 16% 1% 1% 17% 0% 1% 17% 0%End of Jul 3% 14% -1% 2% 16% -1% 1% 16% 0%
End of Aug 5% 31% 1% 3% 30% 0% 2% 29% 0%End of Jul 7% 25% 0% 3% 27% -1% 2% 27% 0%
End of Aug 1% 31% 2% 0% 27% 1% 0% 27% 0%End of Jul 1% 26% 2% 1% 23% 1% 0% 23% 1%
End of Aug -1% 39% 4% -2% 37% 3% -2% 35% 2%
End of Jul -1% 32% 5% -1% 32% 3% -2% 31% 2%End of Aug 2% 22% 4% 0% 21% 1% 1% 20% 0%End of Jul 2% 20% 3% 0% 20% 1% 0% 20% 0%
End of Aug 3% 17% 0% 2% 15% -1% 2% 14% -1%
End of Jul 4% 13% 2% 2% 14% 0% 1% 12% 0%End of Aug 3% 27% -2% 3% 28% -3% 2% 25% -2%End of Jul 10% 20% 4% 2% 29% -2% 2% 26% -2%
3M 6M
Corn
Soybeans
Wheat
1M
Live
stoc
k Live Cattle
Lean Hogs
Grai
nsPr
ecio
us
Met
als Gold
Silver
Softs
Sugar
Coffee
Cotton
Soybean Oil
Soybean Meal
HRW Wheat
Indu
stria
l Met
als Copper
Aluminum
Zinc
Nickel
Ener
gy
Natural Gas
WTI Crude
Brent Crude
ULS Diesel
Gasoline
12
Bloomberg Commodity Industrial Metals Subindices Bloomberg Commodity Precious Metals Subindices
Bloomberg Commodity Softs Subindices Bloomberg Commodity Livestock Subindices
Bloomberg Commodity Energy Subindices Bloomberg Commodity Grains Subindices
VOLATILITY: Historical 1-Year RealizedBloomberg Commodity Composite Indices Bloomberg Commodity Forward Indices
Commodities vs. Equities vs. Bonds vs. USD Bloomberg Commodity Group Subindices
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
92 94 96 98 00 02 04 06 08 10 12 14
BloombergCommodity Index ER
BloombergCommodity Index TR
BloombergCommodity IndexSpotBloombergCommodity IndexRoll Select
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
02 04 06 08 10 12 14
Bloomberg CommodityIndex TR
Bloomberg CommodityIndex 1 MonthForwardBloomberg CommodityIndex 3 MonthForwardBloomberg CommodityIndex 6 MonthForward
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
11 12 13 14 15
BloombergCommodity Index TRS&P 500 Total ReturnIndexBloomberg USTreasury Bond IndexBloomberg USD IGCorporate Bond IndexBloomberg USD HYCorporate Bond IndexBloomberg U.S. DollarSpot Index
5%10%15%20%25%30%35%40%45%50%
92 94 96 98 00 02 04 06 08 10 12 14
Energy
Grains
Industrial Metals
Precious Metals
Softs
Livestock
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
92 94 96 98 00 02 04 06 08 10 12 14
Natural Gas
WTI Crude
Brent Crude
ULS Diesel
Unleaded Gasoline10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
40%
45%
50%
92 94 96 98 00 02 04 06 08 10 12 14
Corn
Soybeans
Wheat
Soybean Oil
Soybean Meal
HRW Wheat
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
92 94 96 98 00 02 04 06 08 10 12 14
Copper
Alumnium
Zinc
Nickel0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
92 94 96 98 00 02 04 06 08 10 12 14
Gold
Silver
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
92 94 96 98 00 02 04 06 08 10 12 14
Sugar
Coffee
Cotton
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
40%
92 94 96 98 00 02 04 06 08 10 12 14
Live Cattle
Lean Hogs
13
Bloo
mbe
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Com
mod
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Roll
Sele
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1 M
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Fo
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3 M
onth
Fo
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6 M
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Fo
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Ener
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Petr
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Agric
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Gra
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Indu
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Prec
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M
etal
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Soft
s
Live
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Ex-E
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Ex-A
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Li
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Bloomberg Commodity 100% 100% 100% 99% 99% 86% 84% 60% 51% 58% 42% 38% 26% 76% 95%Roll Select 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 85% 83% 61% 52% 60% 43% 38% 25% 78% 94%
1 Month Forward 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 85% 83% 60% 52% 59% 42% 38% 26% 77% 94%3 Month Forward 99% 100% 100% 100% 100% 84% 84% 61% 53% 60% 43% 38% 25% 78% 93%6 Month Forward 99% 99% 99% 100% 100% 83% 84% 61% 52% 60% 44% 38% 25% 79% 93%
Energy 86% 85% 85% 84% 83% 100% 93% 23% 17% 32% 17% 13% 16% 34% 93%Petroleum 84% 83% 83% 84% 84% 93% 100% 25% 18% 37% 19% 16% 16% 38% 90%Agriculture 60% 61% 60% 61% 61% 23% 25% 100% 93% 31% 18% 56% 14% 82% 31%
Grains 51% 52% 52% 53% 52% 17% 18% 93% 100% 24% 12% 26% 8% 72% 23%Industrial Metals 58% 60% 59% 60% 60% 32% 37% 31% 24% 100% 29% 26% 20% 69% 56%Precious Metals 42% 43% 42% 43% 44% 17% 19% 18% 12% 29% 100% 19% 8% 58% 43%
Softs 38% 38% 38% 38% 38% 13% 16% 56% 26% 26% 19% 100% 20% 53% 22%Livestock 26% 25% 26% 25% 25% 16% 16% 14% 8% 20% 8% 20% 100% 28% 20%Ex-Energy 76% 78% 77% 78% 79% 34% 38% 82% 72% 69% 58% 53% 28% 100% 57%
Ex-Agriculture & Livestock 95% 94% 94% 93% 93% 93% 90% 31% 23% 56% 43% 22% 20% 57% 100%S&P 500 Total Return Index 19% 20% 19% 20% 21% 19% 22% 14% 12% 18% -11% 9% 6% 12% 17%
S&P Energy 56% 56% 56% 56% 56% 61% 65% 21% 16% 28% 7% 16% 10% 27% 58%S&P Financial 17% 19% 18% 19% 20% 17% 21% 16% 14% 19% -17% 9% 4% 11% 14%
S&P Health Care 8% 9% 8% 9% 10% 8% 9% 8% 8% 8% -11% 4% 7% 5% 6%S&P Consumer Discretionary 13% 15% 14% 15% 16% 13% 17% 13% 13% 18% -19% 8% 8% 9% 11%
S&P IT 14% 16% 15% 16% 17% 13% 16% 12% 11% 16% -10% 7% 4% 11% 12%S&P Utilities 0% 1% 0% 0% 1% 3% 3% -2% 1% -7% -1% -1% 0% -4% 1%
S&P Consumers Staples 8% 9% 8% 9% 10% 6% 8% 9% 8% 12% -11% 8% 5% 7% 5%S&P Industrials 18% 20% 19% 20% 21% 19% 23% 13% 12% 17% -12% 8% 3% 10% 17%
S&P Telecommunication 18% 19% 18% 20% 20% 16% 21% 15% 16% 12% -5% 11% 6% 13% 15%S&P Materials 35% 36% 35% 36% 37% 34% 40% 18% 15% 27% 0% 13% 9% 23% 34%
Bloomberg US Treasury -16% -17% -16% -17% -17% -18% -20% -13% -12% -19% 21% -4% -6% -8% -14%Bloomberg USD IG Corporate -13% -13% -13% -13% -13% -16% -16% -11% -10% -15% 19% -3% -5% -6% -12%Bloomberg USD HY Corporate 19% 20% 20% 21% 23% 16% 24% 12% 8% 26% -7% 8% 11% 16% 18%
Bloomberg U.S. Dollar Spot -33% -34% -33% -33% -34% -25% -25% -21% -15% -7% -37% -24% -8% -29% -31%EURUSD 18% 18% 18% 18% 17% 13% 12% 14% 12% -2% 23% 13% 2% 16% 16%JPYUSD 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% -4% -5% 0% -2% -12% 35% 9% 1% 8% 3%CADUSD 56% 56% 56% 57% 57% 51% 55% 27% 21% 24% 30% 21% 13% 38% 55%MXNUSD 38% 39% 38% 39% 40% 34% 34% 26% 19% 16% 14% 25% 13% 28% 35%GBPUSD 24% 24% 24% 24% 24% 19% 20% 16% 12% 3% 23% 17% 8% 20% 22%AUDUSD 37% 38% 37% 38% 39% 26% 28% 20% 15% 23% 30% 20% 14% 33% 35%CHFUSD 4% 4% 4% 4% 4% -3% -4% 2% 0% 6% 24% 10% 2% 12% 4%KRWUSD 25% 26% 25% 26% 28% 13% 13% 18% 14% 15% 35% 20% 1% 29% 23%CNYUSD 8% 8% 8% 8% 8% 8% 6% 5% 5% 6% 1% -3% 6% 6% 8%
Bloo
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Bloomberg Commodity 100% 99% 100% 99% 99% 79% 75% 72% 64% 67% 56% 50% 25% 87% 92%Roll Select 99% 100% 99% 100% 99% 77% 74% 71% 63% 68% 57% 51% 24% 88% 92%
1 Month Forward 100% 99% 100% 100% 99% 78% 75% 72% 64% 67% 57% 51% 25% 88% 92%3 Month Forward 99% 100% 100% 100% 100% 76% 75% 72% 64% 68% 58% 51% 24% 89% 91%6 Month Forward 99% 99% 99% 100% 100% 75% 74% 71% 63% 69% 59% 51% 24% 89% 91%
Energy 79% 77% 78% 76% 75% 100% 86% 30% 25% 36% 24% 23% 15% 40% 88%Petroleum 75% 74% 75% 75% 74% 86% 100% 31% 25% 43% 29% 26% 15% 45% 82%Agriculture 72% 71% 72% 72% 71% 30% 31% 100% 95% 35% 27% 60% 19% 84% 40%
Grains 64% 63% 64% 64% 63% 25% 25% 95% 100% 27% 22% 34% 16% 76% 33%Industrial Metals 67% 68% 67% 68% 69% 36% 43% 35% 27% 100% 45% 34% 14% 72% 69%Precious Metals 56% 57% 57% 58% 59% 24% 29% 27% 22% 45% 100% 23% 6% 66% 59%
Softs 50% 51% 51% 51% 51% 23% 26% 60% 34% 34% 23% 100% 16% 57% 34%Livestock 25% 24% 25% 24% 24% 15% 15% 19% 16% 14% 6% 16% 100% 26% 16%Ex-Energy 87% 88% 88% 89% 89% 40% 45% 84% 76% 72% 66% 57% 26% 100% 69%
Ex-Agriculture & Livestock 92% 92% 92% 91% 91% 88% 82% 40% 33% 69% 59% 34% 16% 69% 100%S&P 500 Total Return Index 36% 37% 37% 38% 38% 29% 37% 24% 19% 40% 8% 23% 12% 32% 35%
S&P Energy 54% 54% 54% 55% 55% 53% 60% 29% 22% 44% 19% 28% 13% 40% 56%S&P Financial 30% 31% 31% 32% 32% 24% 31% 21% 16% 37% 3% 22% 9% 27% 29%
S&P Health Care 26% 26% 26% 27% 27% 20% 26% 18% 14% 29% 3% 18% 12% 23% 23%S&P Consumer Discretionary 28% 29% 29% 30% 30% 23% 30% 20% 16% 35% 2% 18% 11% 25% 26%
S&P IT 32% 33% 33% 34% 34% 24% 32% 22% 17% 37% 7% 21% 12% 29% 30%S&P Utilities 18% 18% 18% 18% 19% 15% 18% 12% 9% 16% 5% 14% 4% 14% 17%
S&P Consumers Staples 24% 25% 25% 25% 26% 19% 24% 16% 13% 27% 6% 15% 10% 21% 23%S&P Industrials 35% 35% 35% 36% 37% 27% 35% 23% 18% 40% 8% 23% 11% 31% 33%
S&P Telecommunication 22% 23% 22% 23% 24% 19% 23% 14% 11% 23% 4% 15% 7% 18% 21%S&P Materials 46% 47% 47% 47% 48% 35% 43% 29% 23% 48% 21% 27% 13% 42% 45%
Bloomberg US Treasury -20% -21% -21% -21% -21% -21% -24% -15% -13% -24% 10% -10% -7% -15% -19%Bloomberg USD IG Corporate -14% -14% -14% -14% -14% -17% -19% -10% -9% -16% 14% -6% -6% -8% -12%Bloomberg USD HY Corporate 24% 25% 25% 25% 26% 17% 23% 16% 13% 28% 10% 14% 5% 23% 23%
Bloomberg U.S. Dollar Spot -42% -43% -42% -43% -44% -30% -33% -26% -20% -35% -35% -28% -7% -40% -41%EURUSD 33% 33% 33% 34% 34% 24% 25% 21% 16% 29% 25% 22% 4% 31% 33%JPYUSD 1% 1% 1% 1% 2% -3% -3% 2% 1% -5% 18% 4% -4% 5% 1%CADUSD 49% 50% 50% 50% 51% 42% 48% 30% 24% 39% 28% 27% 12% 41% 49%MXNUSD 37% 37% 37% 38% 38% 28% 33% 24% 18% 35% 18% 26% 12% 33% 35%GBPUSD 30% 31% 31% 32% 32% 20% 24% 20% 16% 26% 26% 20% 9% 30% 29%AUDUSD 46% 46% 46% 47% 48% 31% 37% 30% 23% 40% 33% 31% 12% 44% 43%CHFUSD 16% 16% 16% 17% 17% 6% 6% 9% 6% 18% 24% 13% -2% 20% 17%KRWUSD 32% 33% 33% 34% 35% 20% 24% 24% 20% 31% 22% 20% 11% 33% 30%CNYUSD 10% 11% 10% 10% 11% 6% 6% 9% 8% 9% 6% 5% 0% 10% 9%
Bond
Curr
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Bond
CORRELATION: BCOM Composites vs. Equities vs. Bond vs. Currency Cu
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5-Year
1-Year
Com
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14
Nat
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Bren
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Die
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Unl
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Corn
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Whe
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Soyb
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Oil
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Mea
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Whe
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Copp
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Alum
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Zinc
Nic
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Gol
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Silv
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Suga
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Coffe
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Cott
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Live
Cat
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Lean
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Natural Gas 100% 21% 19% 20% 18% 3% 4% 4% 15% 0% 5% 0% 13% 0% 2% -3% 8% 2% 3% -1% 8% 4%WTI Crude 21% 100% 95% 92% 88% 16% 26% 4% 44% 12% 7% 36% 31% 28% 24% 14% 25% 11% 15% 19% 17% 11%
Brent Crude 19% 95% 100% 97% 93% 17% 26% 4% 43% 13% 7% 35% 30% 27% 25% 11% 23% 8% 12% 22% 16% 8%ULS Diesel 20% 92% 97% 100% 93% 18% 27% 6% 44% 14% 9% 34% 29% 27% 25% 15% 27% 8% 12% 23% 14% 8%
Unleaded Gasoline 18% 88% 93% 93% 100% 13% 22% 0% 43% 10% 5% 31% 27% 24% 24% 17% 28% 3% 12% 22% 13% 5%Corn 3% 16% 17% 18% 13% 100% 70% 63% 38% 63% 59% 25% 17% 19% 16% 8% 14% 19% 12% 8% 11% 0%
Soybeans 4% 26% 26% 27% 22% 70% 100% 39% 59% 89% 35% 27% 18% 23% 26% 6% 20% 21% 22% 21% 11% 1%Wheat 4% 4% 4% 6% 0% 63% 39% 100% 20% 34% 95% 13% 1% 3% 2% 7% 8% 17% 9% 9% 10% -5%
Soybean Oil 15% 44% 43% 44% 43% 38% 59% 20% 100% 28% 17% 28% 25% 31% 32% 16% 30% 16% 23% 22% 18% -3%Soybean Meal 0% 12% 13% 14% 10% 63% 89% 34% 28% 100% 31% 18% 13% 13% 11% -1% 10% 16% 15% 16% 5% 1%HRW Wheat 5% 7% 7% 9% 5% 59% 35% 95% 17% 31% 100% 11% 0% 1% 3% 5% 6% 16% 7% 6% 9% -4%
Copper 0% 36% 35% 34% 31% 25% 27% 13% 28% 18% 11% 100% 59% 70% 55% 23% 39% 21% 9% 25% 18% 12%Alumnium 13% 31% 30% 29% 27% 17% 18% 1% 25% 13% 0% 59% 100% 67% 50% 13% 24% 20% 7% 12% 16% 10%
Zinc 0% 28% 27% 27% 24% 19% 23% 3% 31% 13% 1% 70% 67% 100% 57% 21% 34% 23% 8% 18% 18% 15%Nickel 2% 24% 25% 25% 24% 16% 26% 2% 32% 11% 3% 55% 50% 57% 100% 9% 24% 17% 17% 22% 9% 3%Gold -3% 14% 11% 15% 17% 8% 6% 7% 16% -1% 5% 23% 13% 21% 9% 100% 81% 11% 11% 8% 8% -2%Silver 8% 25% 23% 27% 28% 14% 20% 8% 30% 10% 6% 39% 24% 34% 24% 81% 100% 13% 20% 14% 16% 3%Sugar 2% 11% 8% 8% 3% 19% 21% 17% 16% 16% 16% 21% 20% 23% 17% 11% 13% 100% 22% 16% 13% 10%Coffee 3% 15% 12% 12% 12% 12% 22% 9% 23% 15% 7% 9% 7% 8% 17% 11% 20% 22% 100% 10% 13% 11%Cotton -1% 19% 22% 23% 22% 8% 21% 9% 22% 16% 6% 25% 12% 18% 22% 8% 14% 16% 10% 100% 15% 6%
Live Cattle 8% 17% 16% 14% 13% 11% 11% 10% 18% 5% 9% 18% 16% 18% 9% 8% 16% 13% 13% 15% 100% 20%Lean Hogs 4% 11% 8% 8% 5% 0% 1% -5% -3% 1% -4% 12% 10% 15% 3% -2% 3% 10% 11% 6% 20% 100%
S&P 500 Total Return Index 2% 20% 24% 21% 17% 10% 14% 9% 10% 9% 9% 15% 15% 14% 18% -16% -1% 7% 4% 20% 7% 2%S&P Energy 18% 64% 66% 63% 57% 15% 18% 8% 28% 8% 11% 27% 25% 22% 19% 2% 16% 14% 8% 22% 12% 3%
S&P Financial -1% 19% 24% 21% 15% 11% 17% 8% 11% 13% 8% 17% 14% 14% 20% -24% -5% 7% 6% 18% 7% -1%S&P Health Care 1% 8% 12% 8% 6% 6% 9% 7% 6% 6% 7% 5% 7% 5% 14% -15% -4% 1% 3% 14% 9% 2%
S&P Consumer Discretionary -3% 15% 20% 18% 12% 11% 13% 9% 7% 9% 10% 16% 12% 11% 22% -25% -7% 5% 5% 20% 9% 4%S&P IT -1% 14% 18% 17% 13% 10% 14% 5% 10% 10% 5% 13% 12% 13% 17% -15% 0% 1% 7% 17% 5% 2%
S&P Utilities 2% 0% 5% 3% 3% -1% -3% 6% -6% -5% 7% -5% -4% -11% -3% 0% -4% 0% -6% 18% 4% -5%S&P Consumers Staples -1% 7% 10% 9% 4% 6% 5% 10% 1% 3% 10% 11% 9% 7% 12% -14% -6% 6% 4% 15% 7% 1%
S&P Industrials 0% 22% 26% 23% 20% 10% 12% 8% 9% 10% 9% 16% 12% 12% 16% -17% -3% 4% 4% 16% 4% 1%S&P Telecommunication -5% 18% 22% 22% 19% 14% 9% 16% 6% 4% 19% 10% 11% 10% 13% -7% -2% 7% 5% 20% 12% -2%
S&P Materials 2% 39% 41% 39% 33% 14% 17% 7% 18% 9% 8% 26% 21% 22% 23% -4% 7% 14% 2% 21% 12% 3%Bloomberg US Treasury -3% -21% -22% -18% -15% -10% -14% -8% -11% -14% -5% -17% -19% -14% -13% 27% 9% -2% -5% -1% -1% -9%
Bloomberg USD IG Corporate -5% -18% -17% -13% -11% -8% -10% -8% -8% -11% -6% -15% -16% -8% -9% 24% 9% -1% -6% 4% 1% -9%Bloomberg USD HY Corporate -10% 22% 27% 24% 22% 9% 16% -4% 19% 12% -6% 20% 25% 27% 19% -11% 1% 10% -2% 21% 13% 4%
Bloomberg U.S. Dollar Spot -10% -26% -23% -25% -22% -14% -12% -13% -13% -8% -14% -12% -2% -2% -2% -40% -28% -16% -13% -26% -5% -8%EURUSD 8% 14% 10% 11% 10% 10% 6% 14% 4% 6% 14% 4% -6% -6% -6% 25% 16% 9% 4% 20% 0% 3%JPYUSD 0% -4% -7% -3% -3% -1% -7% 1% -11% -2% 3% -6% -12% -12% -15% 42% 20% 4% 8% 2% -3% 5%CADUSD 12% 55% 54% 54% 50% 16% 26% 12% 35% 14% 13% 24% 16% 15% 21% 29% 28% 10% 15% 32% 14% 6%MXNUSD 14% 35% 34% 33% 31% 14% 24% 11% 24% 14% 13% 13% 15% 13% 16% 12% 15% 17% 17% 24% 15% 6%GBPUSD 7% 22% 18% 20% 17% 9% 15% 8% 9% 12% 7% 4% 4% -4% 0% 24% 18% 13% 9% 18% 4% 10%AUDUSD 6% 28% 28% 31% 24% 13% 18% 7% 19% 10% 8% 21% 13% 20% 23% 30% 24% 12% 13% 25% 13% 9%CHFUSD 0% -4% -3% -2% -4% 2% -7% 3% 5% -9% 3% 10% 0% 4% -1% 29% 12% 12% -2% 13% -2% 6%KRWUSD 5% 14% 13% 15% 9% 13% 9% 12% 9% 7% 14% 15% 13% 10% 11% 36% 27% 17% 12% 12% 3% -2%CNYUSD 5% 8% 7% 6% 2% 5% 5% 2% 4% 5% 3% 2% 8% 6% 10% -1% 2% -9% 8% -3% 9% 1%
Nat
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Bren
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Unl
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Corn
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Whe
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Soyb
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Oil
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Mea
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HRW
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Copp
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Alum
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Zinc
Nic
kel
Gol
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Silv
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Suga
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Coffe
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Cott
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Live
Cat
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Natural Gas 100% 14% 12% 13% 11% 12% 6% 11% 6% 5% 11% 3% 7% 1% 3% 0% 5% 5% 6% -1% 6% 5%WTI Crude 14% 100% 91% 86% 83% 20% 26% 17% 38% 16% 18% 43% 37% 34% 32% 24% 33% 21% 17% 22% 15% 11%
Brent Crude 12% 91% 100% 96% 92% 20% 26% 17% 38% 16% 19% 39% 32% 30% 30% 22% 31% 20% 15% 22% 13% 9%ULS Diesel 13% 86% 96% 100% 89% 20% 27% 17% 39% 17% 19% 38% 31% 29% 30% 22% 31% 20% 15% 23% 12% 9%
Unleaded Gasoline 11% 83% 92% 89% 100% 18% 23% 16% 36% 13% 18% 35% 30% 27% 28% 22% 32% 15% 13% 20% 12% 6%Corn 12% 20% 20% 20% 18% 100% 62% 70% 46% 57% 66% 18% 17% 15% 19% 15% 19% 27% 15% 23% 16% 9%
Soybeans 6% 26% 26% 27% 23% 62% 100% 51% 72% 92% 50% 29% 25% 26% 23% 19% 25% 26% 16% 23% 13% 7%Wheat 11% 17% 17% 17% 16% 70% 51% 100% 41% 45% 95% 20% 16% 16% 19% 16% 19% 25% 16% 24% 13% 6%
Soybean Oil 6% 38% 38% 39% 36% 46% 72% 41% 100% 46% 40% 35% 32% 33% 29% 23% 31% 25% 19% 29% 16% 9%Soybean Meal 5% 16% 16% 17% 13% 57% 92% 45% 46% 100% 43% 20% 18% 18% 15% 14% 18% 20% 11% 16% 9% 5%HRW Wheat 11% 18% 19% 19% 18% 66% 50% 95% 40% 43% 100% 19% 15% 15% 19% 14% 17% 24% 14% 22% 13% 7%
Copper 3% 43% 39% 38% 35% 18% 29% 20% 35% 20% 19% 100% 67% 73% 60% 39% 51% 23% 20% 26% 12% 9%Alumnium 7% 37% 32% 31% 30% 17% 25% 16% 32% 18% 15% 67% 100% 70% 56% 33% 41% 22% 17% 20% 12% 10%
Zinc 1% 34% 30% 29% 27% 15% 26% 16% 33% 18% 15% 73% 70% 100% 59% 32% 42% 21% 17% 20% 10% 9%Nickel 3% 32% 30% 30% 28% 19% 23% 19% 29% 15% 19% 60% 56% 59% 100% 24% 34% 23% 17% 24% 8% 6%Gold 0% 24% 22% 22% 22% 15% 19% 16% 23% 14% 14% 39% 33% 32% 24% 100% 82% 12% 17% 13% 6% 1%Silver 5% 33% 31% 31% 32% 19% 25% 19% 31% 18% 17% 51% 41% 42% 34% 82% 100% 17% 22% 18% 9% 4%Sugar 5% 21% 20% 20% 15% 27% 26% 25% 25% 20% 24% 23% 22% 21% 23% 12% 17% 100% 28% 24% 14% 11%Coffee 6% 17% 15% 15% 13% 15% 16% 16% 19% 11% 14% 20% 17% 17% 17% 17% 22% 28% 100% 13% 10% 9%Cotton -1% 22% 22% 23% 20% 23% 23% 24% 29% 16% 22% 26% 20% 20% 24% 13% 18% 24% 13% 100% 9% 6%
Live Cattle 6% 15% 13% 12% 12% 16% 13% 13% 16% 9% 13% 12% 12% 10% 8% 6% 9% 14% 10% 9% 100% 35%Lean Hogs 5% 11% 9% 9% 6% 9% 7% 6% 9% 5% 7% 9% 10% 9% 6% 1% 4% 11% 9% 6% 35% 100%
S&P 500 Total Return Index 2% 37% 35% 33% 31% 15% 19% 15% 23% 13% 17% 41% 32% 31% 30% 4% 15% 19% 11% 23% 13% 7%S&P Energy 12% 60% 57% 55% 52% 18% 22% 19% 29% 14% 21% 44% 35% 36% 32% 14% 26% 22% 16% 24% 14% 8%
S&P Financial 0% 31% 30% 28% 26% 12% 16% 13% 20% 11% 15% 39% 28% 29% 28% -2% 10% 17% 11% 21% 9% 5%S&P Health Care 0% 26% 24% 22% 21% 11% 15% 11% 17% 11% 12% 29% 23% 22% 22% 0% 9% 14% 10% 18% 13% 6%
S&P Consumer Discretionary -1% 29% 28% 26% 25% 13% 16% 14% 19% 11% 15% 35% 27% 26% 27% -3% 8% 14% 8% 19% 13% 5%S&P IT -1% 32% 30% 29% 27% 14% 19% 13% 22% 12% 15% 37% 30% 29% 28% 3% 13% 16% 10% 21% 14% 6%
S&P Utilities 2% 18% 17% 15% 16% 7% 7% 9% 9% 4% 12% 17% 13% 11% 11% 4% 6% 13% 4% 16% 6% 0%S&P Consumers Staples 0% 24% 23% 22% 20% 11% 12% 10% 15% 8% 12% 28% 21% 20% 21% 3% 10% 12% 6% 18% 10% 6%
S&P Industrials 0% 35% 32% 30% 29% 14% 19% 15% 23% 13% 17% 41% 31% 31% 29% 3% 14% 18% 11% 22% 11% 6%S&P Telecommunication 1% 22% 22% 21% 21% 9% 11% 10% 12% 8% 11% 23% 19% 18% 17% 2% 7% 13% 7% 16% 8% 3%
S&P Materials 3% 43% 41% 38% 38% 19% 22% 19% 28% 15% 21% 49% 36% 39% 34% 16% 26% 20% 15% 24% 14% 7%Bloomberg US Treasury -4% -24% -23% -21% -20% -10% -14% -11% -17% -9% -12% -26% -19% -18% -16% 15% 0% -7% -4% -11% -5% -7%
Bloomberg USD IG Corporate -4% -20% -18% -16% -15% -7% -10% -8% -12% -6% -9% -18% -13% -11% -9% 18% 5% -4% -2% -6% -4% -6%Bloomberg USD HY Corporate -2% 22% 23% 21% 19% 11% 16% 6% 21% 11% 7% 26% 22% 24% 22% 6% 14% 11% 8% 16% 4% 4%
Bloomberg U.S. Dollar Spot -7% -33% -31% -31% -29% -16% -18% -18% -20% -14% -19% -36% -28% -25% -23% -34% -33% -19% -19% -24% -6% -6%EURUSD 8% 26% 24% 24% 22% 14% 13% 16% 15% 9% 16% 29% 25% 21% 18% 24% 25% 15% 13% 20% 3% 4%JPYUSD -2% -3% -4% -3% -2% 1% 0% 2% -6% 3% 2% -4% -5% -4% -6% 20% 12% 2% 5% -1% -3% -3%CADUSD 7% 48% 46% 44% 42% 19% 25% 18% 30% 17% 19% 40% 30% 29% 27% 25% 29% 18% 20% 23% 11% 9%MXNUSD 6% 33% 31% 29% 29% 14% 18% 14% 20% 13% 16% 36% 30% 26% 25% 17% 18% 18% 17% 22% 12% 8%GBPUSD 3% 24% 23% 22% 20% 12% 16% 13% 17% 12% 14% 26% 22% 20% 17% 25% 25% 12% 14% 18% 8% 7%AUDUSD 3% 37% 36% 35% 32% 18% 25% 19% 27% 19% 19% 41% 30% 32% 29% 30% 33% 22% 19% 26% 12% 9%CHFUSD 3% 6% 6% 6% 5% 5% 3% 8% 7% 1% 7% 19% 16% 12% 11% 26% 19% 11% 6% 10% -6% 3%KRWUSD 2% 24% 22% 23% 21% 14% 20% 17% 24% 15% 18% 31% 25% 25% 24% 21% 22% 13% 11% 21% 9% 8%CNYUSD 2% 7% 7% 6% 5% 7% 7% 5% 8% 5% 7% 7% 7% 6% 10% 6% 6% 0% 5% 6% 1% -1%
Curr
ency
CORRELATION: BCOM Singles vs. Equities vs. Bond vs. Currency
5-Year
Com
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ities
Equi
ties
Bond
1-YearCo
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15
All i
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Core
Food
Food
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Food
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hom
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Ener
gy
Ener
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Com
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Fuel
Oil
Mot
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Ener
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Elec
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Util
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as se
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Com
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ities
less
fo
od a
nd e
nerg
y
Serv
ices
less
en
ergy
serv
ices
Shel
ter
Med
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car
e
Tran
spor
tatio
n
Bloomberg Commodity 62% -17% 20% 22% -1% 66% 64% 64% 63% 9% -11% 28% 1% -22% -38% 7% 28%Energy 69% -2% 5% 8% -10% 75% 75% 68% 75% 10% -11% 30% 11% -10% -14% -1% 13%
Petroleum 77% 7% 6% 8% -9% 80% 81% 75% 81% -7% -12% 5% 20% -5% -21% 5% 20%Agriculture 23% -24% 17% 17% 6% 26% 23% 26% 23% 4% -15% 25% -13% -21% -37% 9% 26%
Grains 14% -20% 8% 7% 9% 16% 14% 14% 14% 1% -19% 24% -14% -15% -32% 13% 19%Industrial Metals 42% -9% 9% 11% -7% 44% 44% 48% 43% -9% -4% -9% 2% -13% -27% 10% 20%Precious Metals 37% -5% 36% 36% 11% 32% 27% 34% 26% 13% 11% 9% 13% -17% -30% 11% 13%
Softs 28% -28% 37% 39% 0% 30% 27% 39% 27% 11% -3% 22% -6% -31% -43% 0% 32%Livestock 22% -2% 24% 24% 9% 22% 21% 14% 22% 19% -1% 32% -9% 5% -13% 21% 18%
Natural Gas 8% -15% 4% 6% -8% 15% 13% 7% 13% 36% 0% 58% -13% -9% 10% -12% -6%WTI Crude 69% 5% 4% 6% -6% 73% 74% 65% 74% -3% -10% 8% 14% -3% -20% 8% 19%
Brent Crude 80% 9% 15% 17% -7% 82% 83% 81% 82% -5% -11% 6% 30% -11% -28% 3% 21%ULS Diesel 80% 4% 15% 17% -5% 83% 83% 85% 82% -6% -11% 5% 26% -13% -26% 3% 24%
Unleaded Gasoline 84% 14% 13% 16% -11% 85% 86% 79% 85% -9% -14% 2% 26% -2% -16% -1% 24%Corn 15% -19% 17% 17% 9% 16% 14% 19% 14% 1% -18% 23% -7% -19% -36% 14% 20%
Soybeans 23% -14% -4% -3% -4% 26% 24% 21% 24% -3% -15% 13% -14% -6% -20% 9% 20%Wheat -1% -23% 2% -2% 17% 2% 0% -6% 1% 4% -18% 28% -23% -12% -25% 11% 9%
Soybean Oil 38% -7% 6% 6% 1% 38% 37% 34% 37% -4% -14% 9% 2% -10% -33% -6% 37%Soybean Meal 13% -12% -5% -5% -2% 15% 14% 10% 15% -4% -13% 9% -22% 2% -5% 11% 14%HRW Wheat 10% -23% 12% 9% 17% 12% 9% 7% 10% 14% -12% 36% -13% -18% -37% 12% 15%
Copper 43% -4% -3% -1% -14% 45% 46% 52% 45% -12% -3% -16% 9% -11% -27% 12% 18%Alumnium 40% -20% 20% 20% 3% 42% 42% 43% 42% -12% -10% -6% 0% -26% -29% 3% 10%
Zinc 28% -7% 0% 0% -4% 30% 30% 31% 29% -7% 2% -13% -6% -4% -14% 7% 16%Nickel 31% -5% 28% 30% -2% 30% 27% 33% 27% 7% 2% 12% -7% 1% -18% 5% 30%Gold 29% 1% 38% 37% 18% 23% 18% 23% 18% 14% 9% 13% 17% -12% -24% 12% 10%Silver 44% -12% 30% 31% 1% 42% 36% 46% 36% 11% 12% 4% 6% -20% -32% 7% 14%Sugar 10% -19% 16% 17% -1% 13% 13% 18% 13% -2% -6% 4% 6% -29% -41% 2% 23%Coffee 26% -18% 50% 50% 16% 25% 19% 25% 19% 32% 7% 44% -9% -17% -16% -3% 15%Cotton 28% -28% 11% 17% -20% 33% 32% 50% 31% -4% -7% 1% -16% -22% -39% 3% 33%
Live Cattle 21% -13% 16% 13% 16% 24% 23% 20% 23% 9% 9% 5% -15% -3% -8% 17% 6%Lean Hogs 17% 7% 25% 27% 0% 16% 15% 6% 15% 23% -6% 45% -1% 10% -13% 17% 22%
S&P 500 Total Return Index 23% -25% -22% -19% -20% 30% 28% 38% 28% -5% -3% -4% -15% -19% -7% -8% -5%Bloomberg US Treasury -37% -2% 20% 12% 43% -41% -42% -42% -42% 9% 9% 4% 14% -15% -17% 9% -13%
Bloomberg USD IG Corporate -16% -6% 10% 3% 36% -18% -21% -9% -21% 11% 6% 10% 18% -23% -22% 2% -12%Bloomberg USD HY Corporate 35% -5% -16% -17% -1% 40% 41% 50% 41% -9% -13% 2% 19% -20% -28% -4% 6%
Bloomberg U.S. Dollar Spot -55% 4% -24% -25% -1% -55% -53% -48% -52% -10% 0% -18% -17% 18% 38% 6% -24%
All i
tem
s
Core
Food
Food
at h
ome
Food
aw
ay fr
om
hom
e
Ener
gy
Ener
gy
Com
mod
ities
Fuel
Oil
Mot
or F
uel
Ener
gy se
rvic
es
Elec
tric
ity
Util
ity g
as se
rvic
e
Com
mod
ities
less
fo
od a
nd e
nerg
y
Serv
ices
less
en
ergy
serv
ices
Shel
ter
Med
ical
car
e
Tran
spor
tatio
n
Bloomberg Commodity 68% 7% 3% 7% -13% 69% 67% 65% 66% 30% -4% 40% 3% 9% 2% 8% 18%Energy 68% 4% 9% 13% -11% 71% 69% 67% 68% 36% -4% 49% 2% 6% 1% 3% 13%
Petroleum 72% 7% 9% 11% -7% 75% 76% 70% 75% 21% -2% 29% 6% 7% 0% 5% 15%Agriculture 28% 9% -1% 0% -6% 26% 25% 23% 25% 5% -3% 10% 2% 9% 7% 7% 13%
Grains 23% 9% 1% 1% -2% 19% 19% 18% 19% 1% -3% 5% 1% 11% 10% 7% 8%Industrial Metals 42% 5% -11% -8% -14% 43% 44% 41% 43% 10% 0% 13% 3% 4% -1% 7% 8%Precious Metals 30% 4% 0% 0% 0% 29% 27% 27% 26% 11% 6% 11% 4% 4% -6% 11% 16%
Softs 26% 4% -4% -2% -13% 26% 25% 20% 25% 11% -3% 16% 6% 0% -5% 4% 18%Livestock 15% -4% 17% 21% -10% 13% 10% 7% 10% 15% 7% 15% -14% 8% 5% 9% 2%
Natural Gas 36% -4% 7% 13% -14% 39% 33% 37% 32% 45% -7% 60% -2% -1% -1% -7% 2%WTI Crude 67% 9% 10% 12% -6% 69% 70% 66% 69% 20% 0% 27% 5% 9% 2% 7% 16%
Brent Crude 71% 9% 9% 12% -8% 73% 74% 68% 73% 17% -1% 23% 7% 8% 1% 5% 16%ULS Diesel 70% 5% 12% 14% -5% 73% 73% 76% 71% 25% -1% 33% 6% 4% -4% 3% 17%
Unleaded Gasoline 79% 6% 4% 8% -12% 82% 83% 66% 83% 20% -5% 28% 8% 2% -3% 1% 13%Corn 22% 7% 5% 6% -3% 18% 18% 18% 17% 3% -4% 9% 5% 5% 6% 0% 6%
Soybeans 22% 8% -3% -2% -7% 20% 20% 19% 19% 0% 1% 2% 0% 11% 9% 6% 12%Wheat 15% 7% -1% -2% 5% 13% 13% 8% 13% 1% -4% 5% -4% 11% 12% 14% 1%
Soybean Oil 30% 14% -2% -1% -3% 25% 24% 23% 24% 4% -3% 8% 3% 16% 12% 9% 15%Soybean Meal 16% 4% -2% -1% -6% 15% 16% 15% 15% 0% 5% -1% -1% 6% 5% 4% 10%HRW Wheat 22% 9% -1% -3% 3% 20% 19% 14% 19% 6% -1% 10% 2% 10% 10% 14% 1%
Copper 41% 8% -14% -12% -11% 42% 43% 39% 42% 8% -1% 10% 8% 4% -3% 9% 10%Alumnium 40% 2% -1% 2% -9% 41% 40% 44% 39% 19% 3% 22% 0% 3% 2% 4% 5%
Zinc 23% 5% -20% -19% -15% 26% 27% 20% 27% 0% -1% 0% 7% 1% 1% 1% 0%Nickel 31% -5% -6% -2% -18% 34% 36% 28% 35% 3% -2% 7% -10% 3% -3% 10% 7%Gold 28% 2% 5% 4% 5% 27% 25% 24% 25% 12% 10% 10% 2% 5% -6% 11% 15%Silver 28% 5% -7% -5% -8% 27% 25% 26% 25% 9% 1% 10% 6% 2% -4% 10% 13%Sugar 17% 8% -5% -4% -5% 17% 15% 12% 15% 12% 3% 14% 15% -1% -5% 4% 9%Coffee 12% 5% 1% 2% -7% 12% 12% 7% 12% 3% 1% 5% 3% -1% 1% -3% 6%Cotton 27% -5% -4% -1% -19% 29% 29% 32% 28% 6% -8% 11% 0% -6% -10% 2% 19%
Live Cattle 19% -6% 19% 23% -8% 17% 15% 9% 16% 14% 10% 12% -17% 9% 9% 9% 1%Lean Hogs 6% -3% 11% 14% -8% 5% 3% 3% 3% 11% 4% 13% -8% 3% -2% 7% 2%
CORRELATION: US CPI Indices vs. BCOM Composites vs. BCOM Singles vs. Benchmarks
20-Year
US CPI Indices
BCO
M C
ompo
sites
BCO
M S
ingl
esUS CPI Indices
5-Year
BCO
M C
ompo
sites
BCO
M S
ingl
esBe
nchm
arks
16
CORRELATION: World CPI vs. BCOM Composites vs. BCOM Singles vs. Benchmarks
US
Chin
a
Japa
n
Ger
man
y
UK
Fran
ce
Indi
a
Braz
il
Italy
Cana
da
Sout
h Ko
rea
Aust
ralia
Mex
ico
Spai
n
Russ
ia
Indo
nesi
a
Turk
ey
Net
herla
nds
Switz
erla
nd
Bloomberg Commodity 62% 73% -23% 46% 71% 48% 25% -27% 35% 67% 72% 80% 10% 63% -23% -10% -45% 31% 85%Energy 69% 35% 9% 45% 52% 24% 34% -41% 14% 31% 29% 71% 36% 30% -59% -3% -7% 38% 69%
Petroleum 77% 58% -19% 76% 77% 64% 51% -63% 55% 45% 58% 65% 35% 61% -76% -23% -2% 59% 63%Agriculture 23% 69% -41% 43% 66% 51% 29% -25% 42% 58% 70% 59% 7% 71% -10% -12% -58% 29% 72%
Grains 14% 56% -56% 50% 63% 55% 41% -30% 53% 39% 61% 40% 15% 79% -16% -26% -55% 44% 55%Industrial Metals 42% 51% 1% 0% 31% 8% -2% -1% -6% 52% 48% 58% -10% 28% 21% 10% -46% -9% 76%Precious Metals 37% 79% -45% 46% 71% 67% 8% -6% 58% 76% 89% 57% -16% 68% -2% -37% -31% 28% 42%
Softs 28% 77% -13% 24% 59% 37% 2% -11% 20% 77% 73% 74% -11% 44% 1% 11% -48% 1% 81%Livestock 22% 16% 50% -11% 12% -5% -24% -28% -22% 45% 21% 55% 17% -16% -21% 18% 11% -35% 61%
Natural Gas 8% -13% 48% -29% -13% -49% -10% 16% -57% -3% -28% 44% 10% -38% -3% 36% -7% -15% 39%WTI Crude 69% 48% -3% 62% 65% 50% 42% -64% 39% 41% 47% 63% 37% 44% -74% -8% 6% 43% 66%
Brent Crude 80% 72% -27% 81% 86% 72% 49% -55% 63% 57% 72% 72% 23% 69% -70% -29% -10% 61% 64%ULS Diesel 80% 79% -36% 84% 91% 77% 46% -46% 67% 63% 79% 75% 16% 77% -61% -30% -18% 64% 65%
Unleaded Gasoline 84% 67% -42% 89% 88% 78% 58% -51% 74% 49% 70% 61% 26% 81% -69% -44% -14% 77% 52%Corn 15% 66% -68% 58% 72% 65% 39% -18% 64% 47% 72% 42% 6% 86% -12% -37% -54% 54% 45%
Soybeans 23% 48% -30% 48% 55% 44% 44% -45% 41% 33% 48% 43% 26% 65% -32% -11% -48% 35% 67%Wheat -1% 24% -46% 17% 30% 24% 34% -25% 24% 11% 30% 19% 16% 56% 4% -9% -55% 21% 45%
Soybean Oil 38% 83% -57% 52% 75% 64% 33% -19% 56% 63% 82% 55% -8% 78% -8% -15% -55% 38% 61%Soybean Meal 13% 12% -12% 24% 22% 20% 31% -47% 21% 8% 16% 14% 37% 41% -25% -8% -34% 14% 49%HRW Wheat 10% 50% -38% 26% 50% 34% 28% -25% 27% 41% 53% 49% 11% 61% -1% -6% -58% 20% 69%
Copper 43% 67% -27% 27% 52% 34% 19% -16% 21% 53% 63% 59% -5% 54% 4% 3% -54% 16% 76%Alumnium 40% 49% 2% -10% 22% 0% -17% 22% -12% 53% 44% 52% -28% 17% 40% 10% -42% -17% 61%
Zinc 28% -3% 43% -41% -25% -44% -29% 21% -52% 14% -6% 25% -11% -25% 37% 18% -18% -39% 46%Nickel 31% 29% 31% -16% 16% -9% -10% -13% -23% 44% 30% 55% 11% 5% 9% 14% -25% -26% 74%Gold 29% 73% -45% 46% 68% 70% 6% -11% 63% 73% 87% 49% -12% 65% -8% -47% -16% 28% 28%Silver 44% 81% -41% 41% 69% 56% 11% 0% 46% 75% 84% 64% -19% 67% 6% -20% -51% 26% 58%Sugar 10% 89% -31% 59% 80% 68% 27% -28% 57% 75% 86% 67% -6% 64% -28% -17% -35% 32% 63%Coffee 26% 48% 21% -8% 28% 10% -34% 6% -9% 76% 51% 67% -9% 10% 16% 13% -26% -31% 70%Cotton 28% 66% -29% 18% 49% 22% 19% -1% 8% 49% 52% 62% -16% 44% 13% 36% -69% 10% 80%
Live Cattle 21% -1% 55% -48% -26% -30% -68% 26% -44% 43% 3% 21% -7% -38% 41% 20% -1% -70% 30%Lean Hogs 17% 23% 23% 23% 37% 18% 23% -61% 7% 26% 26% 58% 31% 9% -63% 7% 17% 9% 59%
S&P 500 Total Return Index 23% -18% 31% -16% -21% -41% 13% -4% -44% -25% -35% 7% 20% -19% 5% 45% -26% -10% 43%Bloomberg US Treasury -37% 25% 6% 4% 17% 16% -10% -6% 15% 35% 30% 27% -6% -2% -6% -27% 6% -15% 13%
Bloomberg USD IG Corporate -16% 13% 2% 15% 15% 25% -2% -41% 24% 23% 25% 18% 19% 6% -26% -32% 18% -12% 10%Bloomberg USD HY Corporate 35% 3% -28% 21% 12% 27% 15% -43% 25% -8% 13% 0% 22% 23% -23% -16% 13% 9% -6%
Bloomberg U.S. Dollar Spot -55% -76% 19% -62% -78% -57% -32% 33% -46% -66% -74% -85% -7% -61% 46% 20% 24% -45% -75%
US
Chin
a
Japa
n
Ger
man
y
UK
Fran
ce
Indi
a
Braz
il
Cana
da
Sout
h Ko
rea
Aust
ralia
Mex
ico
Russ
ia
Turk
ey
Net
herla
nds
Switz
erla
nd
Bloomberg Commodity 76% 45% 1% 48% 9% 67% -35% 31% 64% 17% 33% 12% -3% 7% 12% 62%Energy 73% 31% 7% 41% -8% 59% -44% 37% 64% 15% 34% 20% 3% 21% 30% 62%
Petroleum 78% 39% 4% 50% 5% 68% -40% 31% 63% 10% 31% 13% 0% 10% 22% 65%Agriculture 46% 63% 8% 48% 39% 58% 3% 26% 35% 31% 18% 14% -5% -4% 1% 34%
Grains 42% 64% 4% 51% 35% 58% 0% 26% 29% 24% 20% 15% 0% -3% 8% 29%Industrial Metals 46% 16% -5% 16% 0% 26% -25% -1% 31% -15% 9% -10% -5% -15% -29% 36%Precious Metals 38% 23% -31% 25% 38% 48% -2% -7% 29% 15% 20% -24% -16% -33% -16% 31%
Softs 31% 31% 8% 18% 31% 30% 6% 16% 35% 34% 6% 9% -12% 3% -10% 27%Livestock 35% 36% 21% 26% -7% 24% -35% 28% 34% -2% 15% 14% -4% 9% 0% 15%
Natural Gas 51% 16% 26% 20% -20% 30% -36% 33% 49% 23% 24% 25% 2% 27% 23% 41%WTI Crude 77% 39% 8% 47% 2% 66% -41% 32% 62% 9% 30% 16% 4% 13% 20% 66%
Brent Crude 80% 35% -1% 52% 10% 67% -40% 23% 65% 8% 30% 9% -1% 8% 24% 66%ULS Diesel 79% 42% 2% 53% 11% 71% -40% 30% 66% 12% 36% 7% -7% 1% 22% 64%
Unleaded Gasoline 76% 37% -7% 49% 9% 66% -33% 29% 62% 11% 27% 10% -4% 7% 24% 56%Corn 41% 65% 4% 47% 50% 53% 11% 28% 28% 27% 25% 26% 10% 5% 14% 23%
Soybeans 33% 51% 8% 42% 23% 52% -1% 20% 22% 22% 7% 0% -16% -12% 1% 23%Wheat 39% 58% 0% 45% 18% 51% -12% 28% 26% 6% 27% 14% 10% -5% 5% 35%
Soybean Oil 48% 49% 1% 50% 29% 63% 0% 9% 34% 36% 18% -7% -9% -12% 3% 38%Soybean Meal 20% 40% 2% 35% 10% 40% -16% 18% 17% -1% 15% -4% -20% -17% 5% 18%HRW Wheat 51% 62% 9% 48% 25% 53% -11% 29% 36% 16% 30% 22% 14% 0% 2% 43%
Copper 50% 24% -7% 22% 8% 35% -19% 1% 28% -9% 13% -8% -4% -19% -29% 40%Alumnium 57% 15% 5% 27% 0% 36% -32% -1% 46% -5% 14% -14% -4% -7% -12% 48%
Zinc 19% -4% -1% -10% -10% -8% -15% -12% 3% -26% -12% -8% -10% -11% -42% 3%Nickel 22% 1% -19% -6% -14% 10% -33% 5% 25% -30% 6% -11% 1% -10% -26% 20%Gold 37% 22% -33% 25% 37% 52% -6% -3% 32% 4% 28% -29% -17% -41% -12% 32%Silver 37% 21% -21% 21% 33% 36% 0% -10% 24% 26% 7% -12% -11% -16% -18% 27%Sugar 41% 21% -18% 19% 18% 41% -9% 29% 41% 27% 36% 8% -9% 2% 10% 36%Coffee 15% 16% 43% 7% 19% -2% 2% -11% 14% 21% -37% 4% -19% 3% -35% 8%Cotton 22% 46% -3% 5% 35% 21% 23% 29% 25% 10% 17% 19% 18% -5% -18% 20%
Live Cattle 27% 26% 24% 13% -19% 20% -44% 24% 37% -8% 5% 0% -5% -2% -13% 9%Lean Hogs 32% 36% 10% 30% 6% 25% -20% 26% 22% 2% 24% 18% -8% 13% 10% 15%
BCO
M C
ompo
sites
BCO
M S
ingl
es
CPI by Country
5-Year
CPI by CountryBC
OM
Com
posit
esBC
OM
Sin
gles
Benc
hmar
ks
20-Year
17
CORRELATION: World GDP vs. BCOM Composites vs. BCOM Singles vs. Benchmarks
US
Chin
a
Japa
n
Ger
man
y
UK
Fran
ce
Indi
a
Braz
il
Italy
Cana
da
Sout
h Ko
rea
Aust
ralia
Mex
ico
Spai
n
Russ
ia
Indo
nesi
a
Turk
ey
Net
herla
nds
Switz
erla
nd
Bloomberg Commodity 3% 79% -30% 35% 13% 34% 75% 54% 21% 63% 37% -5% 24% -35% 70% 10% 33% -61% 26%Energy 12% 28% -8% 8% 25% -3% 27% 41% -10% 53% 36% -9% -5% -28% 56% 6% -9% -37% 33%
Petroleum 18% 54% -29% 13% 13% -2% 58% 59% -22% 61% 34% -6% 22% -64% 85% 11% -2% -74% 26%Agriculture -18% 69% -41% 24% 8% 38% 67% 53% 14% 61% 15% -7% 16% -43% 60% 0% 35% -57% 16%
Grains -29% 51% -40% 4% 3% 31% 51% 53% -5% 51% -2% -11% 4% -59% 52% -1% 21% -56% 10%Industrial Metals 14% 77% -17% 57% 8% 47% 69% 32% 66% 30% 53% -12% 35% 12% 30% 15% 54% -36% 28%Precious Metals 10% 84% -19% 33% -11% 34% 81% 37% 10% 37% 18% 13% 48% -42% 63% 13% 37% -63% 0%
Softs 2% 78% -35% 47% 13% 40% 75% 38% 37% 62% 32% 1% 32% -10% 59% 2% 45% -45% 18%Livestock 14% 22% -16% 24% 22% 7% 16% 6% 24% 36% 16% -19% 17% 29% 16% -6% 2% 3% 23%
Natural Gas 2% -23% 26% -3% 27% -4% -31% -10% 9% 14% 17% -6% -40% 41% -12% -6% -13% 36% 18%WTI Crude 21% 47% -26% 19% 19% -4% 51% 54% -10% 58% 40% -7% 19% -46% 76% 9% -4% -64% 31%
Brent Crude 16% 61% -28% 12% 8% 1% 65% 55% -26% 65% 30% 1% 29% -69% 91% 9% 0% -76% 17%ULS Diesel 14% 70% -29% 19% 8% 8% 74% 56% -21% 66% 30% 3% 32% -69% 92% 11% 7% -79% 17%
Unleaded Gasoline 11% 57% -26% 2% 4% 0% 61% 58% -36% 57% 20% -2% 26% -82% 88% 12% -2% -79% 15%Corn -26% 55% -31% 3% -3% 32% 55% 50% -14% 45% -7% 1% 6% -65% 58% 0% 19% -58% 4%
Soybeans -26% 42% -42% 4% 13% 19% 44% 50% -3% 60% 8% -18% 8% -51% 52% -1% 18% -50% 15%Wheat -34% 35% -43% 2% 1% 38% 32% 44% 14% 35% -3% -25% -14% -34% 21% -4% 23% -36% 17%
Soybean Oil -7% 82% -39% 33% 0% 40% 82% 52% 16% 58% 20% 4% 30% -49% 70% 6% 44% -68% 11%Soybean Meal -33% 16% -39% -7% 11% 11% 17% 39% 0% 40% -2% -32% 1% -35% 22% -3% 10% -29% 14%HRW Wheat -25% 50% -43% 10% 6% 39% 46% 44% 16% 53% 4% -16% -3% -32% 39% -7% 26% -40% 15%
Copper 10% 88% -29% 56% 5% 45% 83% 46% 55% 45% 53% -10% 39% -13% 49% 15% 58% -57% 29%Alumnium 16% 70% -6% 54% 2% 47% 62% 20% 66% 15% 43% 2% 30% 22% 20% 12% 48% -23% 20%
Zinc 17% 26% 8% 34% 3% 21% 16% -5% 67% -7% 33% -18% 19% 51% -22% 22% 24% 18% 19%Nickel 13% 60% -16% 53% 22% 47% 52% 30% 62% 26% 54% -26% 26% 25% 20% 8% 48% -24% 32%Gold 11% 79% -12% 31% -14% 30% 77% 36% 3% 27% 15% 14% 50% -44% 60% 13% 34% -64% -2%Silver 6% 84% -27% 35% -5% 37% 81% 36% 21% 48% 21% 9% 42% -34% 61% 10% 41% -57% 3%Sugar 5% 73% -33% 23% -2% 15% 75% 42% -3% 64% 18% 20% 40% -51% 81% 6% 29% -63% 4%Coffee 5% 54% -21% 39% 12% 33% 48% 16% 40% 39% 16% -1% 25% 20% 28% 1% 27% -11% 14%Cotton -4% 75% -39% 54% 24% 51% 72% 41% 52% 65% 45% -11% 14% -3% 50% 1% 56% -44% 27%
Live Cattle 5% 3% -14% 23% 14% 16% -5% -27% 40% 2% -14% -6% 11% 60% -29% -10% 10% 44% 6%Lean Hogs 14% 29% -8% 13% 16% -2% 28% 34% -3% 46% 37% -22% 14% -15% 48% 0% -6% -37% 26%
S&P 500 Total Return Index -1% -1% -7% 33% 39% 18% 0% 16% 53% 6% 51% -22% -25% 35% -13% 13% 11% 7% 39%Bloomberg US Treasury 9% 27% 33% -2% -34% -2% 28% 9% -1% -22% 4% 41% 22% -11% 23% 20% -12% -20% -6%
Bloomberg USD IG Corporate 0% 18% 15% -6% -22% 0% 24% 20% -10% -21% 5% 29% 10% -27% 21% 11% -26% -32% -11%Bloomberg USD HY Corporate 10% 20% -36% 10% 9% 17% 25% 28% -4% 12% 13% -3% -17% -25% 19% -10% 17% -42% 9%
Bloomberg U.S. Dollar Spot -18% -66% 23% -13% -1% -3% -66% -45% 8% -65% -29% -9% -30% 51% -81% -13% -6% 62% -14%
US
Chin
a
Japa
n
Ger
man
y
UK
Fran
ce
Cana
da
Sout
h Ko
rea
Aust
ralia
Mex
ico
Spai
n
Switz
erla
nd
Bloomberg Commodity 40% 47% 18% 31% 35% 34% 49% 4% 1% 33% 39% 34%Energy 34% 12% 10% 11% 22% 20% 35% 3% -7% 20% 39% 17%
Petroleum 36% 25% 12% 16% 23% 20% 41% 6% -6% 23% 32% 25%Agriculture 11% 54% 6% 22% 22% 15% 33% -11% 3% 26% 1% 15%
Grains 6% 44% 3% 13% 15% 10% 27% -9% 5% 24% -3% 8%Industrial Metals 45% 62% 31% 52% 43% 50% 46% 15% 7% 35% 47% 60%Precious Metals 8% 64% 2% 23% 11% 16% 29% 5% 4% 21% -7% 20%
Softs 16% 45% 6% 30% 24% 21% 32% -10% -2% 24% 7% 19%Livestock 44% 14% 22% 27% 29% 28% 20% 6% 12% 30% 36% 34%
Natural Gas 27% -7% 4% 1% 11% 15% 14% -14% -11% 17% 40% 4%WTI Crude 37% 24% 12% 15% 22% 20% 40% 9% -4% 21% 35% 24%
Brent Crude 36% 27% 11% 19% 23% 23% 47% 11% -4% 25% 30% 30%ULS Diesel 32% 27% 9% 13% 18% 14% 38% 2% -9% 24% 24% 22%
Unleaded Gasoline 39% 26% 15% 20% 28% 26% 47% 4% -6% 29% 26% 29%Corn 1% 32% -1% 7% 3% 4% 14% -14% 5% 19% -13% -2%
Soybeans 8% 39% 3% 8% 17% 9% 34% -10% 4% 29% -4% 11%Wheat 6% 49% 10% 22% 24% 13% 26% 1% 2% 14% 12% 15%
Soybean Oil 11% 57% 1% 14% 17% 14% 29% -13% 10% 14% 10% 13%Soybean Meal -3% 21% 2% 6% 10% 4% 29% -3% -6% 27% -12% 12%HRW Wheat 11% 53% 9% 26% 26% 15% 27% 0% 0% 18% 16% 15%
Copper 39% 68% 27% 47% 37% 43% 45% 14% 4% 34% 36% 54%Alumnium 42% 48% 23% 45% 35% 47% 38% 6% 6% 24% 51% 53%
Zinc 45% 48% 37% 55% 41% 52% 37% 11% 8% 43% 44% 61%Nickel 44% 45% 33% 46% 49% 50% 50% 28% 12% 32% 48% 55%Gold 0% 62% 2% 15% 6% 2% 22% 11% -2% 13% -15% 11%Silver 22% 59% 2% 33% 19% 36% 38% -4% 11% 30% 8% 32%Sugar 8% 32% 3% 16% 13% 4% 17% -9% -13% 16% 0% 6%Coffee 20% 28% 5% 21% 11% 23% 24% -12% 9% 23% 13% 30%Cotton 16% 40% 14% 32% 27% 24% 33% 6% -3% 19% 3% 21%
Live Cattle 44% 18% 20% 28% 31% 34% 24% 7% 16% 27% 42% 38%Lean Hogs 32% 9% 20% 18% 21% 14% 10% 3% 5% 27% 19% 22%
20-Year
BCO
M C
ompo
sites
BCO
M S
ingl
es
GDP by Country
5-Year
GDP by CountryBC
OM
Com
posit
esBC
OM
Sin
gles
Benc
hmar
ks
18
COMMITMENT OF TRADERS REPORT: Commodity Futures & Options, Money ManagersCOT <GO>
Group Commodity End of Aug 2015 Net Position (Lots)
End of Jul 2015 Net Position
(Lots)
Notional Change ($mill, with end
of Aug 2015 price)
End of Aug 2015 Notional ($ mill)
Natural Gas -152,085 -90,876 -1,643 -4,083 WTI Crude 99,176 98,933 10 3,899
Brent Crude 141,382 175,902 -1,492 6,109 ULS Diesel -33,481 -20,068 -786 -1,962 Gasoline 20,071 13,604 391 1,213
Total -3,521 5,175 Corn 73,537 242,801 -3,093 1,344
Soybeans 775 62,295 -2,751 35 Wheat -7,217 5,099 -305 -179
Soybean Oil -9,007 -1,230 -125 -145 Soybean Meal 45,128 57,862 -417 1,478 HRW Wheat -7,010 -513 -151 -163
Total -6,843 2,370 Copper -18,266 -25,746 433 -1,056
Aluminum 52,384 56,521 -159 2,011 Zinc 7,381 32,889 -1,124 325
Nickel 10,167 11,546 -84 621 Total -935 1,900 Gold 44,271 -11,334 6,329 5,039 Silver 2,946 -10,447 978 215 Total 7,307 5,254 Sugar -65,034 -59,520 -65 -772 Coffee -13,732 -22,729 395 -603 Cotton 53,313 46,214 226 1,700 Total 556 325
Live Cattle 17,004 27,466 -601 977Lean Hogs 23,807 21,946 50 643
Total -551 1,620Total -3,986 16,644
Historical Correlation
1-Year 5-Year 1-Year 5-Year 1-Year 5-Year Natural Gas 45% 25% -55% -39% 68% 48% WTI Crude -29% 39% -46% -49% 19% 55%
Brent Crude -26% 44% -23% -39% -8% 50% ULS Diesel 1% 40% -47% -37% 40% 49% Gasoline 2% 39% -13% -8% 10% 39%
Corn 32% 59% -35% -48% 48% 65% Soybeans 67% 69% -80% -59% 80% 74%
Wheat 51% 46% -61% -58% 63% 62% Soybean Oil 50% 56% -76% -61% 74% 66%
Soybean Meal 57% 54% -54% -44% 64% 60% HRW Wheat 14% 27% -38% 45% 52%
Copper 32% 51% -60% -50% 54% 58% Aluminum 7% -18% 33%
Zinc 32% -50% 62% Nickel 31% -28% 60% Gold 73% 61% -53% -46% 69% 65% Silver 33% 56% -48% -41% 49% 58% Sugar 48% 45% -72% -61% 76% 60% Coffee 71% 50% -67% -64% 80% 68% Cotton 67% 53% -49% -54% 70% 59%
Live Cattle 7% 27% 31% -8% -11% 23%Lean Hogs 16% 19% -8% -16% 14% 16%
Livestock
Energy
Grains
Industrial Metals
Precious Metals
Softs
Grains
Industrial Metals
Precious Metals
Softs
Livestock
CommodityBCOM Single Index Level vs. MM's
Long PositionBCOM Single Index Level vs. MM's
Short PositionBCOM Single Index Level vs.
MM's Net Position
Energy
Group
19
Gasoline Corn
COMMITMENT OF TRADERS REPORT: Historical Money Manager's Net Position vs. BCOM Index LevelNatural Gas WTI Crude
Brent Crude ULS Diesel
Soybeans Wheat
Soybean Oil Soybean Meal
HRW Wheat
0
20
40
60
80
100
-300000
-200000
-100000
0
100000
200000
06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15
Money Manager's Net Position Index Level
0
500
1000
1500
2000
2500
050000
100000150000200000250000300000
06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15
Money Manager's Net Position Index Level
0
500
1000
1500
2000
0
100000
200000
300000
400000
06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15
Money Manager's Net Position Index Level
0
200
400
600
800
1000
-40000
-20000
0
20000
40000
60000
06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15
Money Manager's Net Position Index Level
0
500
1000
1500
-200000
20000400006000080000
100000
06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15
Money Manager's Net Position Index Level
0
20
40
60
80
-400000
-200000
0
200000
400000
600000
06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15
Money Manager's Net Position Index Level
0
200
400
600
800
-200000
-100000
0
100000
200000
300000
06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15
Money Manager's Net Position Index Level
0
50
100
150
-150000
-100000
-50000
0
50000
100000
06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15
Money Manager's Net Position Index Level
050100150200250300
-100000
-50000
0
50000
100000
06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15
Money Manager's Net Position Index Level
0
500
1000
1500
2000
-100000
-50000
0
50000
100000
150000
06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15
Money Manager's Net Position Index Level
0
100
200
300
400
500
-20000
0
20000
40000
60000
80000
06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15
Money Manager's Net Position Index Level
20
COMMITMENT OF TRADERS REPORT: Historical Money Manager's Net Position vs. BCOM Index LevelCopper Aluminum
Zinc Nickel
Gold Silver
Sugar Coffee
Cotton Live Cattle
Lean Hogs
020040060080010001200
-40000
-20000
0
20000
40000
60000
06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15
Money Manager's Net Position Index Level
0
50
100
150
200
0
50000
100000
150000
200000
06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15
Money Manager's Net Position Index Level
0
100
200
300
400
020000400006000080000
100000120000
06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15
Money Manager's Net Position Index Level
020040060080010001200
0
10000
20000
30000
40000
06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15
Money Manager's Net Position Index Level
0
100
200
300
400
500
-500000
50000100000150000200000250000
06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15
Money Manager's Net Position Index Level
020040060080010001200
-20000
0
20000
40000
60000
06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15
Money Manager's Net Position Index Level
0
200
400
600
800
-200000
-100000
0
100000
200000
300000
06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15
Money Manager's Net Position Index Level
020406080100120
-40000-20000
020000400006000080000
06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15
Money Manager's Net Position Index Level
020406080100120
-40000-20000
020000400006000080000
100000
06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15
Money Manager's Net Position Index Level
0
50
100
150
200
250
-50000
0
50000
100000
150000
06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15
Money Manager's Net Position Index Level
0
20
40
60
80
0
50000
100000
150000
200000
06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15
Money Manager's Net Position Index Level
21
GLOBAL COMMODITIES INVENTORIES & SALES DATAECO17 <GO>
Group Inventory/SalesRelated Commodities
UnitEnd of Aug
2015End of Jul
2015Change
(%)DOE Natural Gas Total Inventory Natural Gas bcf 3,099 2,880 8%DOE Crude Oil Total Inventory WTI Crude mm barrels 451 460 -2%DOE Cushing Oklahoma Crude Oil Total Stocks WTI Crude mm barrels 58 58 0%DOE Distillate Fuel Oil Total Inventory ULS Diesel mm barrels 150 144 4%DOE Motor Gasoline Total Inventory Gasoline mm barrels 214 216 -1%USDA Corn Total Export Sales Corn thousand MT 855 808 6%USDA Soybeans Total Export Sales Soybeans thousand MT 1,326 1,316 1%USDA All Wheat Total Export Sales Wheat, HRW Wheat thousand MT 530 700 -24%USDA Soybean Oil Total Export Sales Soybean Oil thousand MT 35 75 -53%USDA Soybean Cake Meal Total Export Sales Soybean Meal thousand MT 150 152 -1%Comex Copper Total Inventory Copper thousand short ton 34 38 -10%LME Copper Total Inventory Copper thousand MT 354 343 3%LME Primary Aluminum Total Inventory Aluminum thousand MT 3,321 3,481 -5%LME Zinc Total Inventory Zinc thousand MT 505 446 13%LME Nickel Total Inventory Nickel thousand MT 455 453 0%Comex Gold Total Inventory Gold mm ounces 7 8 -8%Comex Silver Total Inventory Silver mm ounces 170 178 -4%
Softs USDA All Upland Cotton Total Export Sales Cotton thousand bales 82 93 -12%USDA Cattle Slaughter Estimates Daily Live Cattle thousand heads 105 96 9%USDA Hogs Slaughter Estimates Daily Lean Hogs thousand heads 406 403 1%
Historical Correlation
Group Inventory/Sales 1-Year 5-YearDOE Natural Gas Total Inventory 67% 7%DOE Crude Oil Total Inventory -75% -79%DOE Cushing Oklahoma Crude Oil Total Stocks -82% -51%DOE Distillate Fuel Oil Total Inventory -64% -19%DOE Motor Gasoline Total Inventory -72% -21%USDA Corn Total Export Sales 12% -30%USDA Soybeans Total Export Sales 24% -3%USDA All Wheat Total Export Sales -18% 24%USDA Soybean Oil Total Export Sales -5% -3%USDA Soybean Cake Meal Total Export Sales -19% 18%Comex Copper Total Inventory 1% 71%LME Copper Total Inventory -72% 25%LME Primary Aluminum Total Inventory 94% -5%LME Zinc Total Inventory 60% -24%LME Nickel Total Inventory -90% -62%Comex Gold Total Inventory 52% 78%Comex Silver Total Inventory 31% -82%
Softs USDA All Upland Cotton Total Export Sales -63% -4%USDA Cattle Slaughter Estimates Daily 11% -32%USDA Hogs Slaughter Estimates Daily 1% -24%
BCOM Index
vs. BCOM WTI Crude Indexvs. BCOM WTI Crude Indexvs. BCOM ULS Diesel Index
vs. BCOM Silver Indexvs. BCOM Gold Index
vs. BCOM Cotton Indexvs. BCOM Live Cattle Indexvs. BCOM Lean Hogs Index
vs. BCOM Natural Gas Index
vs. BCOM Unleaded Gasoline Index
vs. BCOM Copper Indexvs. BCOM Copper Indexvs. BCOM Alumnium Indexvs. BCOM Zinc Indexvs. BCOM Nickel Index
vs. BCOM Corn Indexvs. BCOM Soybeans Indexvs. BCOM Wheat Indexvs. BCOM Soybean Oil Indexvs. BCOM Soybean Meal Index
Livestock
Livestock
Energy
Grains
Industrial Metals
Precious Metals
Energy
Grains
Industrial Metals
Precious Metals
22
Soybeans Wheat
Soybean Oil Soybean Meal
HISTORICAL GLOBAL COMMODITIES INVENTORIES & SALES DATA vs. BCOMNatural Gas WTI Crude
WTI Crude ULS Diesel
Gasoline Corn
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
0500
1000150020002500300035004000
93 95 97 99 01 03 05 07 09 11 13
DOE Natural Gas Total Inventory BCOM Natural Gas Index
0
500
1000
1500
2000
250000
300000
350000
400000
450000
500000
91 93 95 97 99 01 03 05 07 09 11 13 15
DOE Crude Oil Total Inventory BCOM WTI Crude Index
0
500
1000
1500
2000
0
10000
20000
30000
40000
50000
60000
70000
04 06 08 10 12 14
DOE Cushing Oklahoma Crude Oil Total Stocks BCOM WTI Crude Index
0
200
400
600
800
1000
80000
100000
120000
140000
160000
180000
91 93 95 97 99 01 03 05 07 09 11 13 15
DOE Distillate Fuel Oil Total Inventory BCOM ULS Diesel Index
0
200
400
600
800
1000
1200
1400
150000
170000
190000
210000
230000
250000
91 93 95 97 99 01 03 05 07 09 11 13 15
DOE Motor Gasoline Total Inventory BCOM Unleaded Gasoline Index
020406080100120140160
0
500
1000
1500
2000
2500
91 93 95 97 99 01 03 05 07 09 11 13 15
USDA Corn Total Export Sales BCOM Corn Index
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
0
500
1000
1500
2000
91 93 95 97 99 01 03 05 07 09 11 13 15
USDA Soybeans Total Export Sales BCOM Soybeans Index
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
-500
0
500
1000
1500
2000
91 93 95 97 99 01 03 05 07 09 11 13 15
USDA All Wheat Total Export Sales BCOM Wheat Index
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
-50
0
50
100
150
200
250
07 09 11 13 15
USDA Soybean Oil Total Export Sales BCOM Soybean Oil Index
0
500
1000
1500
2000
0
100
200
300
400
500
07 09 11 13 15
USDA Soybean Cake Meal Total Export Sales BCOM Soybean Meal Index
23
Silver Cotton
Live Cattle Lean Hogs
HISTORICAL GLOBAL COMMODITIES INVENTORIES & SALES DATA vs. BCOMCopper Copper
Aluminum Zinc
Nickel Gold
0
200
400
600
800
1000
1200
0
100000
200000
300000
400000
500000
92 94 96 98 00 02 04 06 08 10 12 14
Comex Copper Total Inventory BCOM Copper Index
0
200
400
600
800
1000
1200
0
200000
400000
600000
800000
1000000
91 93 95 97 99 01 03 05 07 09 11 13 15
LME Copper Total Inventory BCOM Copper Index
0
50
100
150
200
0
1000000
2000000
3000000
4000000
5000000
6000000
91 93 95 97 99 01 03 05 07 09 11 13 15
LME Primary Aluminum Total Inventory BCOM Alumnium Index
050100150200250300350400
0
200000
400000
600000
800000
1000000
1200000
1400000
91 93 95 97 99 01 03 05 07 09 11 13 15
LME Zinc Total Inventory BCOM Zinc Index
0
200
400
600
800
1000
1200
0
100000
200000
300000
400000
500000
91 93 95 97 99 01 03 05 07 09 11 13 15
LME Nickel Total Inventory BCOM Nickel Index
0
100
200
300
400
500
0
2000000
4000000
6000000
8000000
10000000
12000000
14000000
92 94 96 98 00 02 04 06 08 10 12 14
Comex Gold Total Inventory BCOM Gold Index
0
200
400
600
800
1000
0
50000
100000
150000
200000
250000
300000
92 94 96 98 00 02 04 06 08 10 12 14
Comex Silver Total Inventory BCOM Silver Index
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
-200
0
200
400
600
800
1000
07 09 11 13 15
USDA All Upland Cotton Total Export Sales BCOM Cotton Index
0
50
100
150
200
250
0
20000
40000
60000
80000
100000
120000
140000
99 01 03 05 07 09 11 13
USDA Cattle Slaughter Estimates Daily BCOM Live Cattle Index
0
20
40
60
80
100
0
100000
200000
300000
400000
500000
99 01 03 05 07 09 11 13
USDA Hogs Slaughter Estimates Daily BCOM Lean Hogs Index
24
COMMODITY FUND FLOWS FOR US-LISTED ETPsXLTP FLOW <GO>
Report Period: 7/31/2015 - 8/31/2015
Net Flows ($ mill)
Beginning Fund Market Cap
($ mill)
% of Funds Market Cap
-36.49 6,904.27 -0.5%1,203.48 8,006.65 15.0%
-36.35 1,576.86 -2.3%-1.35 29.06 -4.6%2.28 267.36 0.9%
19.29 37,710.99 0.1%1,150.86 54,495.19 2.1%
All Commodities Sector: Top 10 Creations
Ticker Name Net Flows ($ mill)
Beginning Fund Market Cap
($ mill)
% of Funds Market Cap
USO US United States Oil Fund LP 418.65 2,654.89 15.8%UWTI US VelocityShares 3x Long Crude ETN 266.99 947.26 28.2%UCO US ProShares Ultra Bloomberg Crude Oil 167.56 871.36 19.2%
UGAZ US VelocityShares 3x Long Natural Gas 161.61 479.36 33.7%OIL US iPath Goldman Sachs Crude Oil 139.80 839.05 16.7%GLD US SPDR Gold Shares 117.35 23,784.00 0.5%UNG US United States Natural Gas Fund 44.87 575.41 7.8%DBO US PowerShares DB Oil Fund 34.64 507.58 6.8%DJP US iPath Bloomberg Commodity Index 34.42 1,148.60 3.0%GSG US iShares S&P GSCI Commodity Index 27.80 753.79 3.7%
All Commodities Sector: Top 10 Redemptions
Ticker Name Net Flows ($ mill)
Beginning Fund Market Cap
($ mill)
% of Funds Market Cap
IAU US iShares Gold Trust -59.38 5,695.89 -1.0%SCO US ProShares UltraShort Bloomberg Crude -53.18 185.34 -28.7%DBC US PowerShares DB Commodity Index -44.10 2,676.41 -1.6%DBA US PowerShares DB Agriculture Fund -33.87 894.24 -3.8%GSP US iPath GSCI Total Return Index -33.42 119.00 -28.1%PALL US ETFS Physical Palladium Shares -32.61 269.82 -12.1%FTGC US First Trust Global Tactical Commodity -28.15 220.97 -12.7%DGAZ US VelocityShares 3x Inverse Natural Gas -18.47 81.48 -22.7%SLV US iShares Silver Trust -12.31 4,820.89 -0.3%DBP US PowerShares DB Precious Metals -7.10 114.04 -6.2%
Sector
LivestockIndustrial MetalsPrecious Metals
Total
Broad BasedEnergy
Agriculture
25
COMMODITY FUTURES TERM STRUCTUREENERGY GROUP
GRAINS GROUP
2.53
3.54
4.55
5.5
SEP
15JU
N 1
6M
AR 1
7DE
C 17
SEP
18JU
N 1
9M
AR 2
0DE
C 20
SEP
21JU
N 2
2M
AR 2
3DE
C 23
SEP
24JU
N 2
5M
AR 2
6DE
C 26
SEP
27
Natural Gas
31-Jul-2015
31-Aug-201540455055606570
SEP
15JA
N 1
6M
AY 1
6SE
P 16
JAN
17
MAY
17
SEP
17JA
N 1
8M
AY 1
8SE
P 18
JAN
19
MAY
19
SEP
19JA
N 2
0M
AY 2
0SE
P 20
JUN
21
WTI Crude
31-Jul-2015
31-Aug-2015
4550556065707580
SEP
15FE
B 16
JUL
16DE
C 16
MAY
17
OCT
17
MAR
18
AUG
18JA
N 1
9JU
N 1
9N
OV
19AP
R 20
SEP
20FE
B 21
JUL
21DE
C 21
MAY
22
Brent Crude
31-Jul-2015
31-Aug-2015150160170180190200210220
AUG
15
NO
V 15
FEB
16
MAY
16
AUG
16
NO
V 16
FEB
17
MAY
17
AUG
17
NO
V 17
FEB
18
MAY
18
AUG
18
NO
V 18
ULS Diesel
31-Jul-2015
31-Aug-2015
140150160170180190200
AUG
15O
CT 1
5DE
C 15
FEB
16AP
R 16
JUN
16
AUG
16O
CT 1
6DE
C 16
FEB
17AP
R 17
JUN
17
AUG
17O
CT 1
7DE
C 17
FEB
18AP
R 18
JUN
18
Unleaded Gasoline
31-Jul-2015
31-Aug-2015
280
300
320
340
360
AUG
15
OCT
15
JAN
16
MAY
16
AUG
16
OCT
16
JAN
17
MAY
17
AUG
17
OCT
17
JUL
18
Soybean Meal
31-Jul-2015
31-Aug-2015450
500
550
600
SEP
15
DEC
15
MAR
16
MAY
16
JUL
16
SEP
16
DEC
16
MAR
17
MAY
17
JUL
17
SEP
17
HRW Wheat
31-Jul-2015
31-Aug-2015
350
370
390
410
430
450
SEP
15
DEC
15
MAR
16
MAY
16
JUL
16
SEP
16
DEC
16
MAR
17
MAY
17
JUL
17
SEP
17
DEC
17
JUL
18
Corn
31-Jul-2015
31-Aug-2015850
900
950
1000
AUG
15SE
P 15
NO
V 15
JAN
16
MAR
16
MAY
16
JUL
16AU
G 16
SEP
16N
OV
16JA
N 1
7M
AR 1
7M
AY 1
7JU
L 17
AUG
17SE
P 17
NO
V 17
Soybeans
31-Jul-2015
31-Aug-2015
450
500
550
600
SEP
15
DEC
15
MAR
16
MAY
16
JUL
16
SEP
16
DEC
16
MAR
17
MAY
17
JUL
17
SEP
17
Wheat
31-Jul-2015
31-Aug-201526272829303132
AUG
15
OCT
15
JAN
16
MAY
16
AUG
16
OCT
16
JAN
17
MAY
17
AUG
17
OCT
17
JUL
18
Soybean Oil
31-Jul-2015
31-Aug-2015
26
COMMODITY FUTURES TERM STRUCTUREINDUSTRIAL METALS GROUP
PRECIOUS METALS GROUP
SOFTS GROUP
LIVESTOCK GROUP
225
230
235
240
245
AUG
15
NO
V 15
FEB
16
MAY
16
AUG
16
NO
V 16
FEB
17
MAY
17
SEP
17
MAY
18
DEC
18
JUL
19
MAR
20
Copper
31-Jul-2015
31-Aug-201515001600170018001900200021002200
AUG
15M
AR 1
6O
CT 1
6M
AY 1
7DE
C 17
JUL
18FE
B 19
SEP
19AP
R 20
NO
V 20
JUL
21FE
B 22
SEP
22AP
R 23
NO
V 23
JUN
24
JAN
25
AUG
25
Aluminum
31-Jul-2015
28-Aug-2015
1000
1050
1100
1150
1200
1250
AUG
15
OCT
15
FEB
16
JUN
16
OCT
16
FEB
17
JUN
17
JUN
18
JUN
19
JUN
20
JUN
21
Gold
31-Jul-2015
31-Aug-201513.5
14
14.5
15
15.5
16
AUG
15
OCT
15
JAN
16
MAY
16
SEP
16
JAN
17
MAY
17
DEC
17
DEC
18
DEC
19
Silver
31-Jul-2015
31-Aug-2015
10
11
12
13
14
15
OCT
15
MAR
16
MAY
16
JUL
16
OCT
16
MAR
17
MAY
17
JUL
17
OCT
17
MAR
18
MAY
18
Sugar
31-Jul-2015
31-Aug-2015110
120
130
140
150
160
SEP
15DE
C 15
MAR
16
MAY
16
JUL
16SE
P 16
DEC
16M
AR 1
7M
AY 1
7JU
L 17
SEP
17DE
C 17
MAR
18
MAY
18
JUL
18
Coffee
31-Jul-2015
31-Aug-2015
5055606570758085
AUG
15
OCT
15
DEC
15
FEB
16
APR
16
MAY
16
JUN
16
JUL
16
AUG
16
OCT
16
DEC
16
Lean Hogs
31-Jul-2015
31-Aug-2015
125
130
135
140
145
150
AUG
15
OCT
15
DEC
15
FEB
16
APR
16
JUN
16
AUG
16
OCT
16
DEC
16
Live Cattle
31-Jul-2015
31-Aug-2015
1700175018001850190019502000
AUG
15DE
C 15
APR
16AU
G 16
DEC
16AP
R 17
AUG
17DE
C 17
APR
18AU
G 18
DEC
18AP
R 19
AUG
19DE
C 19
APR
20AU
G 20
Zinc
31-Jul-2015
28-Aug-2015
9000
9500
10000
10500
11000
11500
AUG
15DE
C 15
APR
16AU
G 16
DEC
16AP
R 17
AUG
17DE
C 17
APR
18AU
G 18
DEC
18AP
R 19
AUG
19DE
C 19
APR
20AU
G 20
Nickel
31-Jul-2015
28-Aug-2015
61
62
63
64
65
66
OCT
15
DEC
15
MAR
16
MAY
16
JUL
16
OCT
16
DEC
16
MAR
17
MAY
17
JUL
17
OCT
17
DEC
17
MAR
18
MAY
18
Cotton
31-Jul-2015
31-Aug-2015
27
BLOOMBERG INTELLIGENCE: COMMODITY DASHBOARDS BI <GO>
Crude Oil Production: BI OILS <GO> Natural Gas Production: BI NGAS <GO>
Precious Metal Mining: BI PMET <GO> Agricultural Chemicals: BI AGCH <GO>
Copper: BI COPP <GO> Aluminum: BI ALUM <GO>
BI provides analysis on several key drivers of BCOM performance; industrial and precious metals mining, oil and natural gas production, and agricultural chemicals. The dashboards include key macro data libraries and interactive charting and commentary from analysts with an average of seventeen years of experience.
28
COMMODITY CHEAT SHEET FOR THE BLOOMBERG PROFESSIONAL® SERVICE
Broad Commodities EnergyTop commodity news CTOP Top energy news ETOPCommodity markets menu <COMDTY> F9 Top oil news OTOP Global commodity prices GLCO Crude Oil Production Dashboard BI OILSCommodity playbook CPLY First Word oil NI BFWOIL Commitments of traders report COT News on oil inventories TNI OIL INV Calendar of commodity events ECO17 Oil Buyer's Guide newsletter NI OBGBRIEFCommodity arbitrage calculator CARC Pipes & Wires newsletter NI PAWSBRIEFCommodity fundamental data explorer FDM Oil market analysis BOILCommodity futures overview CMBQ Nat gas spot prices BGASSecurity finder SECF Forward European utility markets EUMCommodity data contributors & broker CDAT News on oil markets NI OILMARKET Contract table menu CTM News on OPEC NI OPEC Seasonality chart SEAG OPEC production and prices OPECCommodity curve analysis CCRV Oil markets menu OIL Commodity fair values CFVL Crude stored in tankers NOONCommodity price forecasts CPFC Refinery outages REFOCommitments of Traders Report COT Oil’s decline EXT5 Commodity maps BMAP Oil versus inflation expectations SWIFCommodity options monitor OMON Commodities charts COSY MetalsCommodity Investors menu CMNV Top metal news METT US exchange traded product fund flows ETF Precious metal dashboard BI PMETG
Base metals dashboard BI BMETCommodity Indices Metals prices and data MINE Index description BCOM Index DES Precious metals prices and rates MTL Index constituent weights BCOM Index MEMB Metals Bulletin MB Listed index futures BCOM Index CT COMEX inventories COMX Option volatility surface BCOM Index OVDV LME monitor LME Seasonality chart BCOMNG Index SEAG LME implied volatilities LMIV Commodity index futures movers FMV LME warehouse inventories LMEI Commodity index ranked returns CRR
AgricultureWeather Top agriculture news YTOP Global weather database WETR Agriculture calendar AGRI US snow monitor SNOW Agriculture spot prices AGGPEU weather & utility models EUMM Agriculture supply & demand AGSD
Crop calendar CCAL
BCOM QUICK FACTS
Weighting Bias 2/3 market liquidity and 1/3 world production No. of Commodities 20 Re-balancing Frequency Annual Roll Schedule Monthly (5 day roll) Caps/Limits Single commodity: max 15%
Single commodity and its derivatives: max 25%Related commodity groups: max 33%
First Value Date 30 December 1990
The data provided in this report can be easily accessed on the Bloomberg Professional® service along with numerous news and analytical tools to help you stay on top of the commodity markets.
29
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