bering strait throughflow and the thermohaline circulationclimate change [e.g., stouffer et al.,...

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Bering Strait throughflow and the thermohaline circulation Aixue Hu and Gerald A. Meehl Climate and Global Dynamics Division, National Center for Atmospheric Research, Boulder, Colorado, USA Received 25 August 2005; revised 10 November 2005; accepted 14 November 2005; published 21 December 2005. [1] In this study, we employ a global coupled climate model to show that the Bering Strait is important to the variations of the thermohaline circulation. Three experiments are analyzed, a present day control run, and two freshwater hosing runs. Results show that as the thermohaline circulation weakens due to freshwater forcing in the northern North Atlantic, the Bering Strait throughflow weakens, and even reverses its direction, and the export of the Arctic freshwater into the northern North Atlantic is reduced, or the Arctic even takes freshwater from the latter, thus helping the thermohaline circulation to recover relatively quickly after the end of the freshwater hosing. Citation: Hu, A., and G. A. Meehl (2005), Bering Strait throughflow and the thermohaline circulation, Geophys. Res. Lett., 32, L24610, doi:10.1029/2005GL024424. 1. Introduction [2] The Bering Strait is a narrow and shallow pathway connecting the Pacific and Atlantic through the Arctic with an annual mean throughflow about 0.8 Sv (1 Sv 10 6 m 3 s 1 ) northward. This throughflow transports a significant amount of freshwater to the Arctic and the Atlantic [Aagaard and Carmack, 1989; Woodgate et al., 2005]. Previous studies indicate that the transport from the Pacific to the Arctic through the Bering Strait plays an important role in the freshwater budget of the world oceans [e.g., Wijffels et al., 1992]. This throughflow can also affect the strength of the thermohaline circulation (THC) [Reason and Power, 1994; Goosse et al., 1997; Wadley and Bigg, 2002], the deep western boundary currents in the Atlantic, the separation point of the Gulf Stream from the eastern coast of America [Huang and Schmitt, 1993], and conse- quently may also influence global climate [DeBoer and Nof, 2004a, 2004b]. [3] The THC is a global scale ocean circulation involving a transformation of the warmer, saltier upper water into dense deep water in the northern North Atlantic and around the periphery of the Antarctic through atmospheric cooling processes. Under current climate conditions, the THC trans- ports about 1.2 10 15 W of heat northward in the Atlantic at 24°N[Rahmstorf, 1999]. Altering the strength of this circulation could induce significant regional and global climate change [e.g., Stouffer et al., 2005]. Paleo climate records indicate that abrupt climate change occurred during the last glacial period, such as the Younger Dryas or the Dansgaard/Oeschger events [Bard, 2002]. The cause of these millennium timescale climate changes is mainly attributed to the collapse or re-establishment of the THC [Committee on Abrupt Climate Change, Ocean Studies Board, Polar Research Board, Board on Atmospheric Sciences and Climate, Division on Earth and Life Studies, National Research Council, 2002]. The collapse of the THC was possibly related to a flush of glacier melt-water into the Atlantic [e.g., Clark et al., 2002]. [4] A recent multi-coupled-model inter-comparison study shows that the THC gradually declines by 10 to 50% in 11 different climate models in a 140-year period during which the atmospheric CO 2 increases 1% per year compound, and quadruples at year 140, but none of the models produces a total collapse of the THC [Gregory et al., 2005]. At quadrupled CO 2 , a large percentage of the Arctic sea ice would melt, particularly in the summer season. If a signif- icant amount of the melt-ice water, plus the increased precipitation and river runoff in the Arctic, is transported into the northern North Atlantic marginal seas, would we see a collapsed or a strongly declined THC? Evidently, only a portion or a small portion of the available anomalous freshwater in the Arctic is transported into the northern North Atlantic marginal seas. As concluded by Gregory et al. [2005], the THC weakening in all models is caused more by changes in surface heating than by changes in surface freshwater input. [5] The questions we will address in this paper are what prevents the available freshwater from exiting the Arctic into northern North Atlantic, and what role does the Bering Strait play? We find that as the THC slows down due to a freshening in the North Atlantic, the flow from the Pacific into Arctic through the Bering Strait weakens, and even reverses its direction. In other words, instead of a freshwater source to the Arctic and Atlantic, the Bering Strait through- flow could become a freshwater sink when the THC declines significantly, consistent with the theoretical studies of De Boer and Nof [2004a, 2004b]. This is the first study of the relationship of THC and Bering Strait throughflow using a global coupled model which highlights the impor- tance of the Bering Strait on global climate. 2. Model and Experiments [6] To answer the questions posed above, we investigate the relationship of the THC and the transport of the Bering Strait throughflow by artificially adding freshwater flux into the northern North Atlantic to force the THC to weaken. We use the Community Climate System Model version 2 (CCSM2.0) [Kiehl and Gent, 2004]. Its atmospheric com- ponent is the NCAR Community Atmospheric Model (CAM2) at T42 resolution and 26 hybrid levels in the vertical. The ocean model is a version of the Parallel Ocean Program (POP) developed at Los Alamos National Lab with 1° horizontal resolution and enhanced meridional resolution (1/2°) in the equatorial tropics, and with 40 vertical levels. The sea ice model is the Community Sea Ice Model GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS, VOL. 32, L24610, doi:10.1029/2005GL024424, 2005 Copyright 2005 by the American Geophysical Union. 0094-8276/05/2005GL024424$05.00 L24610 1 of 4

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Page 1: Bering Strait throughflow and the thermohaline circulationclimate change [e.g., Stouffer et al., 2005]. Paleo climate records indicate that abrupt climate change occurred during the

Bering Strait throughflow and the thermohaline circulation

Aixue Hu and Gerald A. MeehlClimate and Global Dynamics Division, National Center for Atmospheric Research, Boulder, Colorado, USA

Received 25 August 2005; revised 10 November 2005; accepted 14 November 2005; published 21 December 2005.

[1] In this study, we employ a global coupled climatemodel to show that the Bering Strait is important to thevariations of the thermohaline circulation. Threeexperiments are analyzed, a present day control run, andtwo freshwater hosing runs. Results show that as thethermohaline circulation weakens due to freshwater forcingin the northern North Atlantic, the Bering Strait throughflowweakens, and even reverses its direction, and the export ofthe Arctic freshwater into the northern North Atlantic isreduced, or the Arctic even takes freshwater from the latter,thus helping the thermohaline circulation to recoverrelatively quickly after the end of the freshwater hosing.Citation: Hu, A., and G. A. Meehl (2005), Bering Strait

throughflow and the thermohaline circulation, Geophys. Res.

Lett., 32, L24610, doi:10.1029/2005GL024424.

1. Introduction

[2] The Bering Strait is a narrow and shallow pathwayconnecting the Pacific and Atlantic through the Arctic withan annual mean throughflow about 0.8 Sv (1 Sv �106 m3 s�1) northward. This throughflow transports asignificant amount of freshwater to the Arctic and theAtlantic [Aagaard and Carmack, 1989; Woodgate et al.,2005]. Previous studies indicate that the transport from thePacific to the Arctic through the Bering Strait plays animportant role in the freshwater budget of the world oceans[e.g., Wijffels et al., 1992]. This throughflow can also affectthe strength of the thermohaline circulation (THC) [Reasonand Power, 1994; Goosse et al., 1997; Wadley and Bigg,2002], the deep western boundary currents in the Atlantic,the separation point of the Gulf Stream from the easterncoast of America [Huang and Schmitt, 1993], and conse-quently may also influence global climate [DeBoer and Nof,2004a, 2004b].[3] The THC is a global scale ocean circulation involving

a transformation of the warmer, saltier upper water intodense deep water in the northern North Atlantic and aroundthe periphery of the Antarctic through atmospheric coolingprocesses. Under current climate conditions, the THC trans-ports about 1.2 � 1015 W of heat northward in the Atlanticat 24�N [Rahmstorf, 1999]. Altering the strength of thiscirculation could induce significant regional and globalclimate change [e.g., Stouffer et al., 2005]. Paleo climaterecords indicate that abrupt climate change occurred duringthe last glacial period, such as the Younger Dryas or theDansgaard/Oeschger events [Bard, 2002]. The cause ofthese millennium timescale climate changes is mainlyattributed to the collapse or re-establishment of the THC[Committee on Abrupt Climate Change, Ocean Studies

Board, Polar Research Board, Board on AtmosphericSciences and Climate, Division on Earth and Life Studies,National Research Council, 2002]. The collapse of the THCwas possibly related to a flush of glacier melt-water into theAtlantic [e.g., Clark et al., 2002].[4] A recent multi-coupled-model inter-comparison study

shows that the THC gradually declines by 10 to 50% in 11different climate models in a 140-year period during whichthe atmospheric CO2 increases 1% per year compound, andquadruples at year 140, but none of the models produces atotal collapse of the THC [Gregory et al., 2005]. Atquadrupled CO2, a large percentage of the Arctic sea icewould melt, particularly in the summer season. If a signif-icant amount of the melt-ice water, plus the increasedprecipitation and river runoff in the Arctic, is transportedinto the northern North Atlantic marginal seas, would wesee a collapsed or a strongly declined THC? Evidently, onlya portion or a small portion of the available anomalousfreshwater in the Arctic is transported into the northernNorth Atlantic marginal seas. As concluded by Gregory etal. [2005], the THC weakening in all models is caused moreby changes in surface heating than by changes in surfacefreshwater input.[5] The questions we will address in this paper are what

prevents the available freshwater from exiting the Arcticinto northern North Atlantic, and what role does the BeringStrait play? We find that as the THC slows down due to afreshening in the North Atlantic, the flow from the Pacificinto Arctic through the Bering Strait weakens, and evenreverses its direction. In other words, instead of a freshwatersource to the Arctic and Atlantic, the Bering Strait through-flow could become a freshwater sink when the THCdeclines significantly, consistent with the theoretical studiesof De Boer and Nof [2004a, 2004b]. This is the first studyof the relationship of THC and Bering Strait throughflowusing a global coupled model which highlights the impor-tance of the Bering Strait on global climate.

2. Model and Experiments

[6] To answer the questions posed above, we investigatethe relationship of the THC and the transport of the BeringStrait throughflow by artificially adding freshwater flux intothe northern North Atlantic to force the THC to weaken. Weuse the Community Climate System Model version 2(CCSM2.0) [Kiehl and Gent, 2004]. Its atmospheric com-ponent is the NCAR Community Atmospheric Model(CAM2) at T42 resolution and 26 hybrid levels in thevertical. The ocean model is a version of the Parallel OceanProgram (POP) developed at Los Alamos National Lab with1� horizontal resolution and enhanced meridional resolution(1/2�) in the equatorial tropics, and with 40 vertical levels.The sea ice model is the Community Sea Ice Model

GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS, VOL. 32, L24610, doi:10.1029/2005GL024424, 2005

Copyright 2005 by the American Geophysical Union.0094-8276/05/2005GL024424$05.00

L24610 1 of 4

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(CSIM4) with Elastic-viscous-plastic dynamics, a subgrid-scale thickness distribution, and energy conserving thermo-dynamics. The land model is the Community Land Model(CLM).[7] The experiments analyzed in this study include the

CCSM2 millennial present day control run from year 500 to799, and two freshwater hosing runs. In the first hosingexperiment, a 0.1 Sv additional freshwater flux is uniformlydistributed in the northern North Atlantic between 50� and70�N (H0.1SV), which could be viewed as comparable to afreshwater pulse during the last deglaciation. This additionalfreshwater flux represents a 50% increase in net freshwaterinput into this region relative to the control experiment. Thesecond hosing experiment (H1SV) is the same as the firstone except that the rate of freshwater input is 10 timeshigher, 1 Sv, close to the current global river runoff. Afreshwater flux this large is extremely unlikely in the nearfuture under realistic greenhouse gas projections, though itcould have occurred during last deglaciation with a muchshorter duration [Clarke et al., 2003]. In any case, this fluxis on the high side of paleo-records [e.g., Sarnthein et al.,1995], and a forcing weaker than this could have shut downthe THC in some models [e.g., Seidov et al., 1996]. Thesetwo experiments are branched from the control run at year500. The hosing runs are integrated with the additionalfreshwater flux for a century, and that flux is then switchedoff for another century and half.

3. Results

[8] In the Atlantic, the THC dominates the meridionaloverturning circulation, therefore we use the maximumvalue of the Atlantic meridional stream function below200 meters as an index to represent the THC. The meanstrength of the THC in the control run is 15.7 Sv (Table 1),agreeing well with observed estimates [e.g., McCartney andTalley, 1984]. As shown in Figure 1a, the THC is stable in

the control run with almost no trend. In both hosingexperiments, the THC weakens dramatically during the first10 years. After that, the rate of the THC decrease becomesslower. At the end of the hosing period, the THC hasweakened by 4.3 Sv (or 27%) in H0.1SV run, and 9.7 Sv(or 62%) in the H1SV run. When the additional freshwaterflux is switched off, the THC recovers to its full strength (asin the control run) in a hundred-years in the H0.1SV run, butis still about 4.6 Sv (or 29%) weaker than the control value150 years after the switch-off in the H1SV run (Table 1).[9] Figure 1b shows the time-evolving Bering Strait

throughflow in the three experiments. The mean strengthof this throughflow in the control run is 0.808 Sv (Table 1)from the Pacific into the Arctic, in good agreement withobservations (e.g., 0.8 Sv [Aagaard and Carmack, 1989]).In the H0.1SV run, as the THC weakens due to thefreshening of the northern North Atlantic, this throughflowalso weakens, and reduces to about 0.561 Sv (or a 30%reduction) by the end of the hosing. After the hosing, itreturns to its original strength as in the control run in about70 years, similar to the timescale of recovery of the THC.However, this throughflow in the H1SV run reduces to zeroin the first 10 years of hosing along with a dramaticdecrease in THC, and then becomes negative (southward)thereafter. By the end of the hosing, there is about 0.872 Svof Arctic water flowing into the Pacific. Then this reversedthroughflow gradually becomes weaker, and reverses itsdirection again about 80 years after the end of hosing. Bythe end of the integration, the Bering Strait throughflowonly returns to about 30% of the control value in this run(Table 1).[10] Of the total Bering Strait throughflow, the mean

freshwater flux through Bering Strait is 0.0617 Sv(Table 1) in the control run, close to the observed estimate(e.g., 0.053 Sv [Aagaard and Carmack, 1989]). In theH0.1SV run (Figure 1c), the freshwater flux through BeringStrait reduces to 0.0488 Sv (or a 21% reduction) at the endof hosing, then gradually recovers to its control strength. Inthe H1SV run, freshwater transport through Bering Straitreduces to zero by year 10 of the hosing, then freshwater istransported from the Arctic into the Pacific. At the end ofhosing, the rate of freshwater transported southward throughthe Bering Strait is 0.1777 Sv from the Arctic to the Pacific.After the hosing ends, the freshwater flux towards thePacific reduces, and reverses to its normal direction (fromthe Pacific to the Arctic) 80 years later, but is still lowerthan its control value a century and half later.[11] The freshwater directly exiting through the Bering

Strait into the Pacific is about 14.5% of the total additionalfreshwater input in the northern North Atlantic in the H1SVrun during 170 years when the Bering Strait throughflow

Table 1. Changes of the THC, Bering Strait Transportsa

UnitControlMean

0.1 Sv Hosing 1 Sv Hosing

590–599 740–749 590–599 740–749

THC Sv 15.7 11.4 15.6 6.0 11.1BS Vol Sv 0.808 0.561 0.836 �0.872 0.236BS FWF Sv 0.0617 0.0488 0.0622 �0.1777 0.0303

aTHC represents thermohaline circulation, BS Vol is Bering Straitvolume transport, and BS FWF is the Bering Strait freshwater transport. Forthe Bering Strait transport, positive (negative) values indicate a transportfrom the Pacific (Arctic) to Arctic (Pacific). Units for all value are Sv (Sv �106 m3 s�1). Values for the control run are a 300-year average, those forothers are decadal mean.

Figure 1. (a) Time-evolving THC, (b) Bering Strait volume, and (c) freshwater transports in the control run (black), 0.1 Svhosing run (blue), and 1 Sv hosing run (red).

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reverses its direction. If we take the difference of BeringStrait freshwater flux between the hosing runs and thecontrol run, the Pacific obtains an equivalent about 26%of the total additional freshwater input in the North Atlanticvia the Bering Strait in about 200 years in the H1SV run,and about 22% of that in the H0.1SV experiment throughindirect and/or direct means. The effect of this freshwaterremoval from the Atlantic to the Pacific is two fold: a, itreduces the strength of the freshwater forcing in the Atlan-tic; b, it slows the reduction rate of the sea surface salinity(SSS) contrast between the North Atlantic and the NorthPacific by lowering the SSS in the latter. As indicated bySeidov and Haupt [2003], a higher/lower SSS contrastbetween these two basins would strengthen/weaken theTHC. Thus the net effect of this freshwater removal wouldslow the rate of the THC weakening during hosing and helpthe THC to recover quicker after the hosing.[12] To help understand why these changes in circulation

occur, we first examine the horizontal distribution of thedecadal-mean SSS anomalies for the H1SV experimentrelative to the control run. As illustrated in Figure 2a, after10 years of hosing, a freshwater plume flows out of theArctic into the North Pacific and circulates with the sub-polar gyre there, consistent with the reversal of the BeringStrait throughflow. When the hosing continues, the fresh-water plume becomes stronger, and peaks at the end of thehosing, indicating a strengthened freshwater export from theArctic into the North Pacific (Figures 2b and 2c). Thisfreshwater flux originates in the northern North Atlantichosing zone, is transported by the North Atlantic current,then the Norwegian current into the Arctic via Barents Sea,then towards the Bering Strait mainly along the Eurasianside of the Arctic. After the hosing ends, the SSS anomaliesweaken dramatically in about 10 years, and almost totallydisappear 40 years later (Figure 2d).

[13] Further insight into why these circulation anomaliesdevelop in the hosing experiments is provided by thetheoretical study of De Boer and Nof [2004a, 2004b]. Theyshow that without North Atlantic deep water (NADW)formation, the 4 Sv of upper ocean water forced into theSouth Atlantic by strong Southern Ocean winds will exit tothe Pacific through the open Bering Strait, instead ofreturning to the Southern Oceans via the lower branch ofthe THC as NADW under present conditions. This impliesthat any strong freshwater flux into the North Atlanticwhich could sufficiently shut down the NADW formation(or THC) would be quickly flushed out of the NorthAtlantic into the North Pacific via Bering Strait by that4 Sv upper Southern Ocean water. Consequently, theTHC (or NADW formation) would be re-establishedfairly quickly.[14] By checking for these processes in the CCSM2, we

find that in the control run, the Southern Ocean winds alsoforce about 4 Sv upper ocean water into the Atlantic at30�S, consistent with the estimation of De Boer and Nof[2004a, 2004b]. In the H1SV run, only 3.15 Sv of theNADW cross 30�S averaged over the last decade of hosing.At the same time, about 0.872 Sv water exits the BeringStrait into the Pacific as mentioned previously. Since theTHC is not completely shut down in this run, the freshwateranomaly is not flushed out of the North Atlantic as quick asin the case of De Boer and Nof, resulting in a slowerrecovery of the THC in our experiments.[15] In the H0.1SV run, the total freshwater transport

from the Arctic into the northern North Atlantic marginalseas reduces by 26%, about 0.048 Sv after the first decadeof hosing. This reduction is equivalent to 48% of the 0.1 Svadditional freshwater we put into the hosing region. In theH1SV run, the freshwater transport between the Arctic andthe North Atlantic reverses direction after the first decade ofhosing. Instead of a flow of 0.186 Sv freshwater into theNorth Atlantic, about 0.201 Sv freshwater flows from theAtlantic into the Arctic between the hosing year 11 and 100.This is equivalent to the Arctic obtaining a total of 0.387 Sv(or 39%) of that 1 Sv hosing water. If this freshwater wouldremain in the Arctic and gradually release to the Atlanticafter the end of hosing, it would postpone the recovery ofthe THC. As mentioned previously, a significant portion ofthis Arctic freshwater gain is directly or indirectly trans-ported into the North Pacific via the Bering Strait. Thisweakens the freshwater forcing added in the hosing zone.Once the additional freshwater flux is terminated, the THCcan quickly recover on interdecadal timescales as shown inFigure 1.

4. Conclusion and Discussion

[16] A global coupled climate model (CCSM2) is used tostudy, for the first time, the relationship between the THCand the Bering Strait throughflow. When the THC isreduced by an artificial freshwater flux added to the north-ern North Atlantic between 50 and 70�N, the Bering Straitthroughflow from the North Pacific into the Arctic weakens,and even reverses its direction when that artificial freshwa-ter flux is strong. This is associated in a similar way tochanges in the freshwater transport from the North Pacific tothe Arctic. At the same time, the freshwater exported from

Figure 2. Horizontal distribution of the decadal-mean seasurface salinity anomalies for the 1 Sv hosing experimentrelative to the control run. The average periods are year(a) 510–519, (b) 550–559, (c) 590–599, and (d) 630–639.Note the hosing experiments are branched from year 500 ofthe control run.

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the Arctic into the North Atlantic marginal seas is reducedalso. This reduction is comparable to a large portion of theartificial freshwater flux added in the northern North Atlan-tic. Thus the removal of this freshwater from the NorthAtlantic by this process means that there is less anomalousfreshwater in that region. If it could have remained, it couldhave weakened the THC even further. When the artificialfreshwater flux is terminated, the freshwater flux from theArctic into the North Atlantic is still lower than that incontrol run, which helps the THC to recover more quicklythan without this process.[17] If the Bering Strait is closed due to a lowering of the

sea level, such as during last glaciation, there would be noPacific water flowing into the Arctic and the Atlantic. Thelack of the fresher Pacific water flowing into the Arctic andAtlantic would induce a saltier Atlantic surface layer,stronger deep convection, and a stronger THC, as shownby Goosse et al. [1997] and Wadley and Bigg [2002]. Onthe other hand, when a pulse of freshwater flux is appliedinto the northern North Atlantic, a closed Bering Straitwould not allow the transport of the freshwater anomaly outof the Atlantic into the Pacific. If the freshwater pulse isstrong enough to significantly weaken the THC, it wouldtake much longer to transport the freshwater anomaly out ofthe Atlantic. Thus the recovery of the THC would takemuch longer with a closed Bering Strait.[18] With an open Bering Strait, when the atmospheric

CO2 level increases, the global mean temperature increases,which leads to a melting of the Arctic sea ice. Initially, themelt-water would be transported out of the Arctic, contrib-uting to a stabilization of the northern North Atlantic oceanby lowering the surface density, in addition to the contri-butions to the surface density reduction from CO2-inducedlocal warming effect. When the THC slows down, thestrength of the Bering Strait throughflow weakens. Lesswater is exported out of the Arctic into the northern NorthAtlantic. This may not immediately produce a net reductionof the freshwater export out of the Arctic since the Arcticwater becomes fresher due to ice melting. However, if theBering Strait throughflow did not weaken, we would expectmore freshwater to be exported into the northern NorthAtlantic, and that would produce a more dramatic weaken-ing of the THC. Although this throughflow may onlypassively respond to the THC changes in our experiments,the net effect of the open Bering Strait is to help maintain astable SSS contrast between the North Atlantic and theNorth Pacific, and thus a stable THC. When the THC isstrong, more freshwater is transported from the Pacific tothe Atlantic to moderate the strength of the THC. When theTHC is weak, less freshwater flows into the Atlantic, thusstrengthening the THC.[19] In this paper, we have emphasized the importance of

the Bering Strait to the THC variations. But to furtherisolate the effect of the Bering Strait on the THC, we needto run a series experiments with the same setup as thosestudied here but with a closed Bering Strait, and theseexperiments are in progress.

[20] Acknowledgments. We thank the two anonymous reviewers fortheir constructive suggestions. A portion of this study was supported by theOffice of Biological and Environmental Research, U.S. Department ofEnergy, as part of its Climate Change Prediction Program. The NationalCenter for Atmospheric Research is sponsored by the National ScienceFoundation.

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�����������������������A. Hu and G. A. Meehl, Climate and Global Dynamics Division,

National Center for Atmospheric Research, P.O. Box 3000, Boulder, CO80307, USA. ([email protected])

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