basel 3 & implication[1]

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    Basel III and its implications for

    banks treasurers

    B. Mahapatra

    Reserve Bank of India

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    Outline

    Introduction

    Enhancement to Basel II

    Building blocks of Basel III Elements of Basel III relevant for banks

    treasurers

    Implications of Basel III Impact on Indian banks

    Conclusion

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    Introduction

    The Basel I 1988 capital charge for creditriska simple broad-brush approach

    Amendment to Basel I 1996 to incorporate

    capital charge for market risk Standardized Measurement Method (SMM)

    Internal Models Approach (IMA)

    Market risk capital framework Capital charge for general market risk

    Capital charge for specific risk (credit risk)

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    The Basel II 2004 Enhanced risk coverage

    Credit

    Market and

    Operational risks A menu of approaches standardized to model based

    with increasing complexity

    Three pillar approach

    The Basel II of 2004 copied and pasted the capitalcharge for market risk of Basel I amendment of1996

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    As a result, the capital charge framework for

    market risk did not keep pace with new

    market developments and practices

    Capital charge for market risk in trading book

    calibrated much lower compared to banking

    book positions on the assumption that

    markets are liquid and positions can be woundup or hedged quickly

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    Capital charge for specific risk (credit risk) in

    market risk framework (trading book) was lower

    than capital charge for credit risk in banking

    book Lower capital charge for trading book led to

    scope for capital arbitrage

    Capital charge for counterparty credit risk forderivative positions also covered only the default

    risk and migration risk was not captured

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    The global financial crisis mostly happened in

    the areas oftrading book /off balance sheet

    derivatives / market risk and inadequate

    liquidity risk management

    Banks suffered heavy losses in their trading

    book

    Banks did not have adequate capital to cover

    the losses

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    There was heavy reliance on short term

    wholesale funding

    Unsustainable maturity mismatch

    Insufficient liquidity assets to raise finance

    during stressed period

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    Enhancement to Basel II

    Post- crisis, global initiatives to strengthen the

    financial regulatory system

    July 2009 Enhancement to Basel II mostly in

    trading book

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    Pillar 1 Standardized approach

    Higher risk weights for CRE securitization and otherre-securitization exposures almost doubled

    Bank not permitted to use any external rating ofABCP program where it had provided liquidity facilityor credit enhancement treated as unrated

    Operational criteria for using external ratingsprescribed

    CCF for all eligible liquidity facilities made uniform at50%, irrespective of maturity (earlier 20% CCF formaturity less than one year)

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    Pillar 1 Internal models approach

    Capital based on normal VaR and stressed VaR

    Incremental Risk Charge (IRC) for interest rate

    instruments introduced which will capture default

    as well as migration risk

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    Pillar 2 guidance

    firm wide governance and risk management;

    capturing risk of off balance sheet exposures and

    securitization activities;

    managing risk concentrations;

    managing reputation risk and liquidity risk;

    improving valuation practices; and

    implementing sound stress testing practices

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    Pillar 3

    appropriate additional disclosures completing

    enhancements in Pillars 1 and 2

    Securitization exposures in trading book

    Sponsorship of off balance sheet vehicles

    Re-securitization exposures; and

    Pipeline and warehousing risks with regard to

    securitization exposures

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    The Basel III

    December 17, 2009 Basel Committee issued

    two consultative documents:

    Strengthening the resilience of the banking sector

    International framework for liquidity risk

    measurement, standards and monitoring

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    The proposals were finalized and published

    on December 16, 2010:

    Basel III: A global regulatory framework for more

    resilient banks and banking systems

    Basel III: International framework for liquidity risk

    measurement, standards and monitoring

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    Objectives

    Improving banking sectors ability to absorb

    shocks

    Reducing risk spillover to the real economy

    Fundamental reforms proposed in the areas of

    Micro prudential regulation at individual bank

    level

    Macro prudential regulation at system wide

    basis

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    Building Blocks of Basel III

    1. Raising quality (Tier 1 6%, of which TCE - 4.5%), level(8+2.5% CCB), consistency (deductions mostly from TCE)and transparency of capital base

    2. Improving/enhancing risk coverage on account ofcounterparty credit risk

    3. Supplementing risk based capital requirement withleverage ratio

    4. Addressing systemic risk and interconnectedness

    5. Reducing pro-cyclicality and introducing countercyclical

    capital buffers (0-2.5%)6. Minimum liquidity standards

    We will discuss 2, 3, 4 and 6

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    Improving/enhancing risk coverage on

    account of counterparty credit risk

    In addition to July 2009 Basel II Enhancements

    Counterparty credit risk (replacement cost

    value) is measured either by OEM, CEM,

    Standardized Method or IMM

    Banks using IMM for measuring exposure for

    counterparty credit risk in derivative

    transactions will be required to use stressed

    inputs in Effective Expected Positive Exposure

    model

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    Banks using standardized approach or IRB

    approach for credit risk in OTC derivatives,

    must add a capital charge to cover CVA (Credit

    Valuation Adjustment) risk to capture downgradation of counterparty before default in all

    approaches

    Capital charge for wrong way risk PD andEAD are positively correlated - in all

    approaches

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    Asset value correlation of 1.25 for financialfirms of $ 100 billion assets and unregulatedfinancial firms

    Strengthening collateral management andextend margining period of risk to 20 days forOTC derivatives

    Increasing incentives for use of CCPscompliant with CPSS/IOSCO norms, for OTCderivatives

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    Supplementing risk based capital

    requirement with leverage ratio

    Objectivesto supplement capital ratio incapturing risk

    Numerator Tier 1 capital

    Denominator on and off balance sheetexposure credit equivalent with 100% CCF, except10% CCF for unconditionally cancellable OBScommitments

    Derivatives on CEM and Basel II netting basis

    Collateral, guarantees or credit risk mitigation willnot reduce on balance sheet exposures

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    Ratio 3%

    As a Pillar 2 measure to start with but will beintegrated with Pillar 1

    Leverage ratio will be tracked from January 1,2011 to see the result of the above definitionand parallel run from January 1, 2013 to 2017

    and final adjustment in 2017 Disclosurefrom January 2015

    As Pillar 1 ratio from January 1, 2018

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    Addressing systemic risk and

    interconnectedness

    Capital and liquidity surcharge on SIBs/SIFIs

    Activity restriction/exposure on SIBs/SIFIs

    Intensive supervision of SIBs/SIFIs Asset value correlation of 1.25 for exposures

    to large financial institutions and unregulated

    institutions

    Stricter treatment of OTC derivatives not

    cleared through CCPs

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    Improving loss-absorbing capacity of SIBs/SIFIs

    - Contingent capital and bail-in-able debt

    Orderly unwinding of SIBs/SIFIs improving

    resolvabilityliving wills

    International framework for liquidity

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    International framework for liquidity

    risk measurement, standards and

    monitoring Key characteristic of the financial crisis wasinaccurate and ineffective management of

    liquidity risk

    Two standards/ratios proposed

    Liquidity Coverage Ratio (LCR) for short term (30

    days) liquidity risk management under stress

    scenario Net Stable Funding Ratio (NSFR) for longer term

    structural liquidity mismatches

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    Liquidity Coverage Ratio (LCR)

    Ensuring enough liquid assets to survive an acutestress scenario lasting for 30 days

    Defined as stock of high quality liquid assets / Netcash outflow over 30 days > 100%

    Stock of high quality liquid assets cash + centralbank reserves + high quality sovereign paper (also inforeign currency supporting banks operation) + state

    govt., & PSE assets and high rated corporate/coveredbonds at a discount of 15% - (A)

    Level 2 liquid assets with a cap of 40%

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    Fundamental characteristics of liquid assets

    Low credit and market risk

    Ease and certainty of valuation

    Low correlation with risky assets

    Listed in a developed and recognized exchange

    Market-related characteristics

    Active and sizable market

    Presence of committed market makers Low market concentration

    Flight to quality

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    Net Stable Funding Ratio (NSFR)

    To promote medium to long term structural

    funding of assets and activities

    Defined as Available amount of stable funding /Required amount of stable funding > 100%

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    Other monitoring tools for liquidity risk

    management

    Contractual maturity mismatch

    Concentration of funding

    Available unencumbered assets

    LCR by significant currency

    Market-related monitoring tools

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    Implications of Basel III

    Impact on economy

    IIF study loss of output of 3% in G3 (US, Euro

    Area and Japan) on full implementation during

    2011-15 Basel Committee study likely to have modest

    impact of 0.2% on GDP for each year for 4 years

    for 1% increase in TCE

    Similarly, for 25% increase in liquid assets, half the

    impact of 1% increase in TCE

    However, long term gains will be immense

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    Global banks could have a gap of liquid assets

    of1,730 billion - to be met in four years Global big banks could have a capital shortfall

    of577 billion to meet 7% common equity

    norm to be met in eight years Tier 1 capital ratio falls to 5.7% from 11.1%

    under the new definition / adjustment of

    capital and increase in risk coverage (RWAs) Therefore, long phase-in arrangements

    (Annex1)

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    Impact on Indian banks

    High capital ratios at 14.4% in June 2010

    which will fall to 11.7%. Tier 1 will fall from

    10% to 9% and common equity from 8.5% to

    7.4%

    Most of deductions are already mandated by

    RBI, so little impact

    Most of our banks are not trading banks, sonot much increase in enhanced risk coverage

    for counterparty credit risk

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    Banks mostly follow a retail business model

    and do not depend on wholesale funds

    Whether our SLR securities can be part of

    liquid assets?

    Whether our liquid assets will stand the

    scrutiny of fundamental characteristics and

    market-related characteristics?

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    Indian banks are generally not as highly

    leveraged as their global counterparts

    The leverage ratio of Indian banks would be

    comfortable

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    Banks having a huge trading book and off

    balance sheet derivative exposures may be

    impacted due to increased risk coverage

    (capital) on account of counterparty creditrisk

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    Similarly, banks having huge off balance sheet

    exposures - derivatives and others - may be

    impacted on account of leverage ratio

    Banks depending heavily on wholesale funds

    may be impacted due to the new liquidity

    standards

    SIBs may have further implications for capitaland liquidity surcharges and activity

    restrictions

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    Whether our banks can attract capital in the

    form of contingent capital and bail-in able

    debt at the point of non-viability or whether

    our capital market will support suchinstruments?

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    Conclusion

    Basel Committee is undertaking a

    fundamental review of the trading book

    whether a particular position to be covered in

    trading book or banking book and capitalrequirement

    Not only sluggish growth, high unemployment

    and low returns, but also more resolution willbe the New Normal

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    Thank You