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    Bangladesh BankBanking System and Monetary

    Policy

    Nima Doma Sherpa

    Pabitra Pandey

    Padama Yogi

    Presented by:

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    History of Bangladesh Bank

    Prior to the birth of Bangladesh in 1971, functions of the State

    Bank of Pakistan were performed through the Dhaka

    Branch office.

    After the liberation war, Dhaka branch office of State Bank of

    Pakistan was recognized as the central bank of Bangladesh and

    it was named Bangladesh Bank.

    Bangladesh Bank was established under the Bangladesh Bank

    Order, 1972 (Presidents Order No 127 of 1972) which took

    effect on 16 December 1971. and the law includes theestablishment, incorporation, capital and management of

    Bangladesh Bank.

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    Financial system of Bangladesh

    4 state-owned commercial banks

    4 government owned specializeddevelopment banks

    39 domestic private commercial banks

    9 foreign commercial banks

    4 Non-scheduled banks

    31 non-bank financial institutions

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    Financial system of Bangladesh

    The financial system also embraces

    Investment Corporation of Bangladesh,

    Bangladesh House Building Finance Corporation,

    2 stock exchanges,

    62 insurance companies, 599 registered micro-credit organizations,

    54 merchant banks (investment banks),

    387 depository participants (stock dealers, brokers, etc.),

    8 credit rating companies, and

    119 registered co-operative banks.

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    Introduction

    Bangladesh Bank is the central bank and monetary authority

    of the country.

    The entire operation of the former State Bank of Pakistan in

    the eastern wing was transferred to Bangladesh Bank.

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    Objectives of Bangladesh Bank

    As the central Bank of Bangladesh, the broad objectives of the

    Bank are:

    a. To regulate currency issuance and to keep foreign

    exchange reserves;

    b. To manage the monetary and credit system of Bangladesh

    with a view to stabilizing domestic monetary value

    c. To preserve the par value of the Bangladesh Taka

    d. To promote and maintain a high level of production,

    employment and real income in Bangladesh and to foster

    growth and development of the country's productive

    resources.

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    Visions of Bangladesh Bank

    The Bangladesh Bank (BB),

    Through ensuring the quality of services and the

    competence of its staff,

    Shall operate as a modern, dynamic, effective, and forward-looking central bank

    To manage the countrys monetary and financial system

    With a view to stabilizing the internal and external value of

    Bangladesh Taka Conducive to rapid growth and development of the economy.

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    Missions of Bangladesh Bank

    Promote and maintain macroeconomic and price stability

    Through Formulating and implementing appropriate

    monetary policy consistent with the countrys national

    development goals;

    Pursuing prudent policies to ensure stable internal

    and external value of Taka.

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    Missions of Bangladesh Bank

    Identifying policy priorities for implementation by theGovernment through

    Assessing the transmission channels and

    The interactions of monetary policy with fiscal, exchange

    rate, and other macroeconomic policies and their impact onthe economy;

    Proposing necessary legislative measures to attain the central

    banks objectives and perform its functions including

    strategies and Promoting, regulating and ensuring a secure and efficient pay

    ment system, including the issue of Bank Notes.

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    Functions of Bangladesh Bank

    Regulation and supervision of banks and non-bank financialinstitutions.

    Management of the country's international reserves, countrys

    foreign exchange and the gold reserve.

    Exercises monopoly over the issue of currency andthe banknotes.

    Regulation and supervision of the payment system.

    Acting as banker to the government and the bankers bank, a

    Lender of Last Resort.

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    Implementation of the Foreign exchange regulation Act.

    Managing a Deposit Insurance Scheme .

    Formulation and implementation of monetary and credit

    policies.

    Money Laundering Prevention.

    Collection and furnishing of credit information.

    Functions of Bangladesh Bank

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    Supervision of Banks

    With a view to promoting and maintaining soundness,

    solvency and systematic stability of the financial

    sector as well as to protecting interest of depositors,

    BB carries out two types of supervision namely (i) on-site inspection and

    (ii) off-site monitoring

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    On-site Inspection of Banks

    As part of Bangladesh Bank's statutory function, currently sixdepartments of BB namely

    Department of Banking Inspection-1 (DBI-1),

    Department of Banking Inspection-2 (DBI-2),

    Department of Banking Inspection-3 (DBI-3), Department of Foreign Exchange Inspection (DFEI),

    Financial Integrity and Customer Services Department

    (FICSD), and

    Bangladesh Financial Intelligence Unit (BFIU)

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    On-site Inspection of Banks

    These departments conduct different types of inspection which

    may be summarised in three major categories:

    (i) comprehensive/ regular/ traditional inspection;

    ii) risk based/ system check inspection, and

    iii) special/ surprise inspection

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    Padama

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    What is Monetary Policy ?

    Monetary policy is a regulation of the money supply andinterest rates by a central bank, in order to control inflation and

    stabilize currency.

    By impacting the effective cost of money, the Bangladesh

    Bank as a controller of monetary policy can affect the amountof money that is spent by consumers and businesses

    Monetary policy is the process by which the government,

    central bank, or monetary authority of a country controls

    The supply of money, Availability of money, and

    Cost of money or rate of interest.

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    Reasons of publishing MonetaryPolicy Statement

    To support the governmentsgoal of faster inclusive economic

    growth and poverty reduction, besides maintaining monetary

    and price stability.

    To anchor inflation expectation of the markets.

    Achieving an inclusive economic growth by facilitating

    productive sectors while keeping inflationary pressure under

    control.

    By fixing inflationary rate the authority trying to increase the

    outcomes using the maximum infrastructure of the productive

    sectors which will contribute in the national income.

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    Frameworks of BangladeshMonetary Policy

    The Policy Target

    Inflation Target

    Growth target

    Updated assessment

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    Previous Monetary Policy(July,2013 of BB)

    The July 2013 MPS explained that policy rates were being

    kept unchanged due to the risks of inflationary pressures

    stemming from wage increases and supply-side

    disruptions.

    The last MPS also aimed to contain reserve money growth

    to 15.5% and broad money growth to 17.2% by December

    2013.

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    Current Monetary Policy(January,2014 of BB)

    The monetary stance in FY14 takes these recent economic and

    financial sector developments into account.

    Target a monetary growth path which aims to bring average

    inflation down to 7%, while ensuring that credit growth issufficient to stimulate inclusive economic growth.

    The persisting inflationary pressures over the past few months

    with the risks ahead related to the inflation outlook imply that

    achieving the FY14 inflation target will be challenging. Assuch BB has decided to keep policy rates unchanged.

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    Monetary Policy Objective

    Price stability

    Full Employment

    Exchange Stability

    Economic Growth

    Neutrality of Money

    Balance of PaymentEquilibrium

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    Price stability:

    Inflation distorts economic calculations and expectations

    Deflation creates depression in the economy.

    Price stability promotes business confidence, makes economic

    calculation possible, controls business cycle and introduces

    certainty in economic life.

    Full employment:

    In less developed countries, though full employment cannot beachieved within a short period, the monetary policy should try

    to achieve at least a near full employment situation.

    Monetary Policy Objective

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    Exchange stability: It is essential condition for the creation of international

    confidence and promotion of smooth international trade on the

    largest scale possible.

    A restrictive monetary policy tends to reduce a countrysbalance of payment defect.

    Economic Growth

    If refers to the growth of real income or output per capita.Monetary policy can contribute to economic growth.

    Monetary Policy Objective

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    Balance of Payment Equilibrium The existence of balance of payment deficit seriously reduces

    the ability of an economy to attain other objectives.

    Monetary policy must make into consideration the

    international payment problem.Neutrality of Money

    Neutrality of money indicates a situation in which changes in

    the quantity of money occurs.

    Causes a proportionate change in the equilibrium pricesof commodities, and

    The equilibrium rate of interest remains unchanged.

    Monetary Policy Objective

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    Bank rate

    Open market policy

    Reserverequirement

    QuantitativeMethods

    Moral persuasion

    Publicity

    Restriction ofpurpose

    Qualitative

    Methods

    Instruments of monetary policy:

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    Instruments of monetary policy:

    Open market operations:

    A relatively fine tool that can be used to make smalladjustments. These adjustments can be daily and oftenoccur without much fanfare.

    Targeted Interest RatesA relatively blunt tool that can be used to make largeadjustments. In typical years, changes in targetedinterest rates a few times per year.

    Reserve RatioA rather blunt tool that is only used when very largeadjustments are in order.

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    Open Market Operations

    Buying Treasury securities: When the Central Bank purchases securities through

    the government securities dealers,

    The account balances of the dealers are credited with

    the amount The total amount of fund at the dealers bank increases

    Increased money supply.

    Centralbank

    Central Bankbuyssecurities

    Dealer

    Dealersbank

    Securities

    Reserves

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    Open Market Operations

    Selling Treasury securities When the Central Bank sells securities (obtained from

    previous purchases) to the government securitiesdealers,

    The account balances of the dealers are debited withthe amount

    The total amount of fund at the dealers bank reducesby the market value of the securities

    Reduced money supply growth.

    Centralbank

    Central Bankbuyssecurities

    Dealer

    Dealersbank

    Securities

    Reserves

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    T f C t l B k O M k t

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    Types of Central Bank Open MarketTransactions

    RP or Reverse RP Transaction(temporary change in the level of reserves held by depositoryinstitutions)

    RP: Central Bank buys securitiestemporarily

    Centralbank

    Dealer

    Dealers

    bank

    Securities

    Reserves

    Later on:

    Reserves

    Securities returned

    Reverse RP: Central Bank sellssecurities temporarily

    Centralbank

    Dealer

    Dealers

    bank

    Securities

    Reserves

    Later on:

    Reserves

    Securities returned

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    Reserve Requirements

    When a bank takes a deposit into an account on which a checkcan be written, it must place a percentage of that deposit onreserve at a Federal Reserve bank.

    That percentage is called the reserve ratio.

    banks reducelending

    RRraised

    banks increaselending

    RRlowered

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    Reserve Requirements

    An increase in deposit reserve requirements decreases the deposit and money multipliers, slowing the

    growth of money, deposits and loans

    reduces the amount of excess legal reserves - institutions

    deficient in required legal reserves will have to sellsecurities, cut back on loans, or borrow reserves

    increases interest rates, particularly in the money market,

    as depository institutions scramble to cover any reserve

    deficiencies.

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    Pabitra

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    The Discount Rate

    The discount rate is the annual percentage interest chargelevied against those institutions choosing to borrow

    reserves from the discount window of the Central Bank.

    Frequent borrowing is discouraged and may be penalizedwith a higher interest rate.

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    Qualitative Methods

    Moral persuasion

    To make the banking system sound and efficient, central bank

    sometimes requests the commercial banks to increase or

    decrease credit.

    As a guardiansrequest, commercial banks follow it and thus

    amount of credit is controlled in the economy.

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    Publicity Sometimes central bank applies publicity as a weapon of credit

    control.

    Central bank publishes weekly, fortnightly or monthly

    bulletins and annual reports where balance sheets and otherbusiness and economic condition of different

    commercial banks are presented well.

    As a result the commercial banks become more careful in the

    line of their credit creation

    Qualitative Methods

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    Direct action If it is proved by central bank that credit creation policy of any

    commercial bank is not transparent,

    Central bank can take punitive measures against that bank and

    thus affects its credit creation. These punitive measures may be of not rediscounting bills of

    exchange, discounting bills of exchange at a rate higher than

    the prevailing.

    Qualitative Methods

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    Current money supply

    ComponentsOctober,

    2014

    September

    , 2014

    October

    , 2013

    Percentage Changes of

    October, 2014 over

    September,

    2014

    October,

    2013

    1. Currency Outside banks 831087 872988 754409 -4.8 10.16

    2. Deposits of Financial

    Institutions with Bangladesh

    Bank (except DMBs)

    4269 4402 3356 -3.02 27.21

    3. Demand Deposits with DMBs* 587203 620249 519254 -5.33 13.09

    4. Time Deposits with DMBs* 5786879 5752394 5126154 0.6 12.89

    5. Money Supply (M1) (1+2+3) 1422559 1497639 1277019 -5.01 11.4

    6. Money Supply(M2) (4+5) 7209438 7250033 6403173 -0.56 12.59

    Source : Statistics Department, Bangladesh Bank

    Note:* Excludes Inter bank Deposits and Government Deposits. 38

    Gl b l C

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    Global Context

    Although global growth prospects for 2014 (3.6%) are higher

    than the previous two years, the road to recovery in the

    advanced economies is projected to remain uneven.

    Key trading partners, the US and the EU, are projected to

    grow faster in 2014 but private demand still remains very

    sluggish in the Euro Area.

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    Gl b l C

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    Global Context

    On the other hand, Emerging Market and DevelopingEconomies (EDEs) are experiencing a multi-speed recovery

    process with growth projected at 4.9% in 2014 and 5.3% in

    2015which have both been revised marginally downwards

    by about 0.2% points and 0.1% points since the January 2014

    MPS (H2FY14).

    While China is projected to grow at around 7.5% in 2014 and

    7.3% in 2015, the Indian economy is projected to grow by

    5.4%, with a projected pick-up to 6.4% in 2015.

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    R i d l

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    Recent economic developments

    Domestic output growth:

    The final GDP growth number for FY13 released

    by BBS in May 2014, was 6.0% down from the

    earlier 6.2% provisional estimate released a year

    earlier. BBS preliminary estimates for FY14 growth is

    6.1% in line with its ten year average, and higher

    than the average GDP growth in developing

    countries of 4.9% in 2014.

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    R i d l

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    Recent economic developments

    Domestic output growth:

    Manufacturing sector growth was lower in FY14

    compared with the previous year partly due to

    disruptions during the national strikes.

    However agricultural growth is higher in FY14though the final output numbers for the boro rice

    crop may affect the final growth figure.

    The services sector, which is over half of GDP,

    proved resilient in FY14 according to these

    preliminary estimates by BBS.

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    Inflation

    Source: Bangladesh Bureau of Statistics (BBS)

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    Inflation

    Point to point inflation data shows that food inflation has risensteadily from 5.02% in January 2013 to 9.09% in May 2014.

    Food inflation for June 2014 declined to 8.00% possibly

    due to declining global and regional food prices.

    On the other hand, point to point non-food inflationsteadily declined, from 9.09% in January 2013 to 5.16% in

    May 2014.

    This is due to the adherence to the monetary program as

    well as a slowdown in credit growth and remittances

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    Current Account Balance (CAB)

    The current account balance (CAB) recorded a surplus of USD

    1543 million during July-May FY14 compared to a surplus of

    USD 2346 million during the same period of the preceding

    fiscal year.

    Estimates for FY14 suggest that exports are likely to growth at13% and cross the $30 billion mark.

    Moreover import growth of 10% is lower than export growth,

    narrowing the trade deficit.

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    i G h

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    Remittance Growth

    The overall decline in remittances for FY14 of around 2% waslargely due to the inflows in FY14 when the remittance decline

    was -8.4%.

    In FY14 remittance growth was 5.6%.

    Monthly trend of number of worker moving abroad

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    O h

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    Others

    Government borrowing (net) from the banking system wassignificantly lower than projected in both the original and

    revised FY14 Budget.

    Government borrowing (net) from the banking systemamounted to 64.3 billion in FY14 against an original budget

    provision of 260 billion for the whole of FY14 and a revised

    Budget estimate of 300 billion.

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    Limitation of Monetary Policy inDeveloping Country

    In under developing countries, and capital markets are narrow

    and unorganized.

    Similarly, in the situations, the instrument the reserve

    requirement does not function properly. The role of monetary policy is not compulsive but permissive.

    This seriously limits the efficiency of monetary policy in

    backward countries.

    In under developed society where liquidity trap is in existencemonetary policy cannot work efficiently.

    The lag between the decision about a particular policy and its

    implementation also hinders the monetary policy in its success.

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    M t li t f H FY

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    Monetary policy stance for H1 FY15

    The monetary stance in H1 FY15 takes the recent economic

    and financial sector developments into account and will targeta monetary growth path which aims to bring average inflation

    down to 6.5% by June 2015, while ensuring that credit growth

    is sufficient to stimulate inclusive economic growth.

    This would require a monetary program framework that limits

    reserve money growth to 15.5% and broad money growth to

    16% by December 2014.

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    Thank You