bank of america merrill lynch2016 japan conference … · ppp/pfi, including concession pfi, is one...
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Copyright © 2016 ORIX Corporation All rights reserved.
ORIX CorporationShuji Irie
Corporate Senior Vice President
Head of Investment and Operation Headquarters
Responsible for Concession Business Development Department
September 15, 2016
(TSE: 8591; NYSE: IX)
ORIX’s Concession BusinessBank of America Merrill Lynch2016 Japan Conference
Copyright © 2016 ORIX Corporation All rights reserved.
Table of Contents
1. Concession Business
2. About the Kansai Airports Project (KAP)
3. Post-KAP Strategy
Appendix
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Positioning of Concession PFI among other PPP
Type IVUtilize existing public real estate business
PPP(Public Private Partnership)Utilize private sector’s creativity and improve administrative
efficiency through public private partnership in the construction, maintenance, and operation of public facilities
Type IPFI business under the “Right to Operate
Public Facility etc.” system(Concession PFI)
Type IIRevenue generating business(Expansion or operation of existing
revenue-generating facilities to collect initial investment outlay)
Type IIIOther PPP/PFI business
①Service sold to public sector②Comprehensive BPO
PFI(Private Finance Initiative)A method, based on the PFI Act, of utilizing financing,
management/operation, and technical capability from the private sector in the construction, maintenance, and operation of public
facilities.
Source: Action Plan 2016.5 (Cabinet Office, Government of Japan)
Overview of PPP/PFI
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PFI until 2012 vs. Current PFI
PFI until 2012 Current PFI
¥4.1 tn/418 projects between FY1999-2012
ScaleTargeting ¥21 tn for the 10 years
between FY2013-2023
Central government/Municipality determines project plan
Planning BodyBusiness proposal initiated by private
sector is possible
Mostly educational facilities, government buildings,
accommodation facilities for government workers
Subject Including infrastructure assets
80% were “services sold to the public sector”
PPP SchemeImplementation of the concession PFI, expansion of financially free-standing
projects
Reliant on creditability of government body
Funding SchemeInvestors can take part of the risk
depending on the project
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Recent History and Background of Concession PFI
2011 Revision of PFI
Act
2013 New PFI Target
2015 MayTarget Schedule
Accelerated
2016 MayNew Target
As a measure to revamp public infrastructures, to further utilize capital in the private sector, the concession method was made possible in the revised PFI Act
Target to implement PPP/PFI projects totaling ¥12 tn (of which ¥2-3 tn are concession PFI) was stated in the Japan Revitalization Strategy for the 10 year period up to 2022
October, established PFI promotion office
In a joint meeting of Council on Economic and Fiscal Policy Council and Industrial Competitiveness Council, it was resolved to accelerate the implementation of PFI projects over a three-year intensive implementation period running to the end of FY2017)
A number of projects under key focus area were stated: 6 airports, 6 water systems, 6 sewerages, 1 toll road
3 educational facilities and 6 public housing facilities were added in the focus area
Ten year target increased from ¥10-12 tn to ¥21 tn(of which, Concession ¥7 tn, Revenue generating business ¥5 tn, Utilize
existing public real estate ¥4 tn, Other PFI projects ¥5 tn)
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Overview
Consistent with its commitment to serving as a familiar, dynamic urban airport, ITM provides travelers with valuable experiences imbued with convenience and hospitality.
KIX continues to work around the clock with enthusiasm to handle the endless flow of people and goods to earn the trust, affection and respect of our customers and contribute to the development of the Japanese economy and society.
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Potential of KIX/ITM and Kansai
ORIX and Vinci Airports believe in the potential of these airports, and in the region
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Consideration for operating
right
Japanese Government
Return performance
guarantee deposit
Investment and finance
Dividends, interests
Railway(NKIAC)
KIALC
66.5%
Operating rights->Concessionaire
FacilitiesItami
(Land& Facilities)
transfer to
Concessionaire
Subsidiaries’ share,
Movables
NKIAC
Repayment
Finance
Land
100%Other
ShareholdersORIX VINCI Airports
(Consortium)
Operation area
<Structure>
Term: April 1 , 2016 - March 31, 2060 (44 years)
NKIAC ・KIALC (owner of land) continue to own land and facilities and grant operating right to concessionaire
Engage in the operation of both Aviation and non-aviation related business
The aviation control business, customs , immigration control and quarantine business and railway business are outside the scope of the business of the Concessionaire.
Lender
Kansai Airports
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Overview of Structure
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The Best Team for the Future
• Know-how and experience in finance and real estate business
• Kansai origins, footprint, solid business network
• Strong Commitment to the region
• Entrepreneurial spirit
• Agile, flexible business style
• Similar mindset to VINCI Airports
• Brings demonstrated airport operation expertise
• International network
• Committed to the region
• Entrepreneurial spirit
• Agile, flexible business style
• Similar mindset to ORIX
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Action Towards becoming ASIA’s leading airport
Traffic and revenue targets
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Major Concession PFI Projects and Candidates
Kushiro airportObihiro airport
Asahikawa airportWakkanai airport
New Chitose airport
Aomori airport
Hakodate airport
Sendai airport (Concessionaire: Tokyu consortium)
(No. of passengers in 2015: 3.15 mn)
Shizuoka airport
Sewage(Hamamatsu)
Aichi prefecture toll road(Maeda consortium granted with
preferred negotiation right)Concession starts: October 2016
Water supply/sewage (Otsu)
Tajima airport
Water supply/sewage (Osaka)
Kansai airports
(Concessionaire: ORIX consortium)(Osaka Int. Airport: 14.54 mn passengers in 2015)(Kansai Int. Airport: 23.21 mn passengers in 2015)
Takamatsu airport
Hiroshima airport
Fukuoka airport
AirportsAnnual Passengers in
mn (2015)Concession
StartsCurrent Status
Takamatsu 1.81 April 2018 Implementation policy announced in July, and application guideline for bidders announced in September
Kobe 2.45 Spring 2018Implementation policy and application guideline for bidders to be announced in September and October 2016 respectively
Fukuoka 20.97 April 2019 Implementation policy to be announced between March and April 2017
Hiroshima 2.67 (2019)Hiroshima Airport Revitalization Meetings, which started in December 2015, have been discussing on the topic of utilizing concession PFI
New Chitose(incl. 7 airports in Hokkaido)
20.46(25.62)
April 2020Implementation policy to be announced in summer 2018. The concession is expected to include all 7 airports in Hokkaido (New Chitose, Kushiro, Wakanai, Hakodate, Asahikawa, Obihiro, Memanbetsu)
Memanbetsu airport
Nanki Shirahama airport
・・・Projects where bidding processhas finished
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Kobe airport
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Other Candidate Projects in the Concession PFI Market
Airport Toll Road Water System/Sewage Educational Facility
Market Scale
Op. Revenues ¥450.6 bnOp. Profits ¥10.3bn
*FY2014 figures*Aggregate of 27 airports operated by the government
Op. Revenues ¥238.3 bnEBITDA ¥135.7 bn
*FY2014 figures*Aggregate of 33 regional toll road companies
Op. Revenues ¥4,281.3 bnNet Income ¥315.2 bn
*FY2014 figures*Aggregate of public water systemoperators including 1348 water suppliers, 749 simple water suppliers, and 591 sewage operators
Museum(and quasi-ones)
4,246Public sports facility
27,469Cultural hall 1,742Others 20,347
Schedule
FY2016Bidding to start (Takamatsu)
After FY2017(Kobe, New Chitose, Fukuoka, Hiroshima, and others)
FY2016Bidding to start (Aichi)
FY2016Bidding to start (Hamamatsu/Sewage)
FY2016Discussion points to be reviewed by Ministry of education, culture, sports, science, and technology.
Main CF factorsAir transportation demand, commercial facilities
Major highway demand/development
Regional demand (correlates with population)
Regional demand
Potential Commercial Upside
◎ △ ×○
(facility type dependent)
Main RisksRegional/national economic
condition, FX, plague, political risks..etc
Regional economic condition and competition from other transportation alternatives
Shrinking populationRegional economic
condition
Project Sponsors (Presumption)
Trading companies, railway companies, regional business
circles, real estate developers…etc.
Railway companies, Construction
companies/consultants
Water engineering companies, trading companies, municipalities
Sports/Leisure related companies, house builders
Note: Ports are also potential concession PFI candidates
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Copyright © 2016 ORIX Corporation All rights reserved.
1964 2016
Leasing
Lending
Life Insurance
Banking
Servicer
Automobiles
Ships/Aircraft
Investment
Investment Banking
Asset Management
Concession BusinessReal Estate
Environment/Energy
2014 Real Estate Business Division appointed a team to study about the Concession Business
2015 Concession Business Development Department was established
ORIX’s Concession Business Important Position in the Group
ORIX leverages its operational know-how to evolve, diversify and adapt its portfolio to take advantage of changing macroeconomic conditions
Leas
ing
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Credit
Screening and Finance Capability
Expertise in Handling Tangible Assets
Copyright © 2016 ORIX Corporation All rights reserved.
ORIX’s Concession Business Future Outlook
PPP/PFI, including concession PFI, is one of the important policies under the government’s current effort in its Integrated Economic and Fiscal Reforms
ORIX Group intends to take an proactive part in the concession PFI and other various PPP/PFI opportunities
Kansai/Osaka Airports
Secure multiple airport operations
Non-airport projects
Projects abroad
Solidify Business Platform
Group-wide cooperation(ORIX business units including
Real estate, Investment and
Operation, and Environment
and Energy)
For fields that require specialized technical
expertise, we accumulate internal know-
how through alliance with other firms, and
strengthen our own capability
Secure track records in Japan, accumulate business know-how/expertise, and strengthen human capital
Overseas expansion upon accumulation of domestic track records
Partner
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Copyright © 2016 ORIX Corporation All rights reserved.
ORIX has maintained profitability for the past 51 consecutive years
Net Income Attributable to ORIX Corporation Shareholders
FY2002.3Bursting of the IT
Bubble
FY2009.3Collapse of Lehman
Brothers
FY1998.3
FY1993.3
Bursting of the Economic Bubble
Asian Financial Crisis
FY2016.3
Record Net Income
About ORIX Proven Track Record of Profitability
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 20151964
JPY Bn
18
Copyright © 2016 ORIX Corporation All rights reserved.
Segment AssetsApprox. 8.6Tn yen
(As of 2016.6.30)
Lending, Leasing, fee businesses
Automobile leasing and rentals,Car sharing, Test and measurement instruments and IT-related equipment rentals and leasing
Real estate development/rental/ facility operation, REIT asset management, and real estate investment and advisory services
Leasing, Lending, Investment in bonds, Asset management, Ship/Aircraft-related operations
Life insurance, Banking, Card loan business
Environment and energy-related business, Principal investment and Loan servicing (asset recovery),Concession business
Our highly diversified company contains many complementary businesses, providing ample opportunity for synergies and knowledge sharing
About ORIX Assets by Segment
Overseas Business
Retail
Corporate Financial Services
Maintenance Leasing
Real Estate
Investment and Operation
12%
8%
8%
8%
40%
24%
19
Copyright © 2016 ORIX Corporation All rights reserved.
These materials have been prepared by ORIX Corporation (“ORIX” or the “Company”) solely for your information and are subject to change without notice. The information contained in these materials has not been independently verified and its accuracy is not guaranteed. No representations, warranties or undertakings, express or implied, are made as to, and no reliance should be placed on, the accuracy, fairness, or completeness, or correctness of the information or the opinions presented or contained in these materials.
These materials contain forward-looking statements that reflect the Company’s intent, belief and current expectations about future events and financial results. These statements can be recognized by the use of words such as “expects,” “plans,” “will,” “estimates,” “projects,” “intends,” or words of similar meaning. These forward-looking statements are not guarantees of future performance. They are based on a number of assumptions about the Company’s operations and are subject to risks, uncertainties and other factors beyond the Company’s control. Accordingly, actual results may differ materially from these forward-looking statements. Factors that could cause such differences include, but are not limited to, those described under “Risk Factors” in the Company’s most recent annual report on Form 20-F filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission and under “Business Risk” of the securities report (yukashouken houkokusho) filed with the Director of the Kanto Local Finance Bureau.
Some of the financial information in these materials is unaudited.
The Company believes that it will be considered a “passive foreign investment company” for United States Federal income tax purpose in the year to which these consolidated financial results relate and for the foreseeable future by reason of the composition of its assets and the nature of its income. A U.S. holder of the shares or ADSs of the Company is therefore subject to special rules generally intended to eliminate any benefits from the deferral of U.S. Federal income tax that a holder could derive from investing in a foreign corporation that does not distribute all of its earnings on a current basis. Investors should consult their tax advisors with respect to such rules, which are summarized in the Company’s annual report.
Nothing in this document shall be considered as an offer to sell or solicitation of an offer to buy any security, commodity or other instrument, including securities issued by the Company or any affiliate thereof.
Disclaimer
20
Copyright © 2016 ORIX Corporation All rights reserved.
For annual and more historical data please access our website. A list of major disclosure materials is given below.
ORIX Websitehttp://www.orix.co.jp/grp/en/
IR Websitehttp://www.orix.co.jp/grp/en/ir/
ORIX Corporation Corporate Planning DepartmentWorld Trade Center Building., 2-4-1, Hamamatsu-cho, Minato-ku, Tokyo 105-6135, Japan
Tel: +81-3-3435-3121 Fax: [email protected]