aviation overview fall 2013

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    AVIATION 1000

    AVIATION: AN OVERVIEW

    Aviation Institute

    University of Nebraska at Omaha

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    THE FIRST FLIGHT

    When Did It All Start?

    December 17, 1903

    Wright Brothers

    Kitty Hawk, NC

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    WRIGHT BROTHERS

    Wrights did notinvent the airplane

    Wind tunnel usage

    to develop aircraft

    Four successfulflights

    Nothing about theirsuccess appearedin the newspapers

    http://www.wam.umd.edu/~stwright/WrBr/wrights/photos/Orville_Portrait.jpeghttp://www.wam.umd.edu/~stwright/WrBr/wrights/photos/Wilbur_Portrait.jpeghttp://www.wam.umd.edu/~stwright/WrBr/wrights/photos/Wilbur_night_flight.jpeg
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    3 TYPES OF AVIATION

    Commercial Aviation

    General Aviation

    Military Aviation

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    AEROSPACE INDUSTRY DEFINITION

    Includes those firms engaged in research,development, and manufacture of all of thefollowing:

    Aerospace systems, including manned and

    unmanned aircraft; Missiles, space-launch vehicles, and spacecraft;

    Propulsion, guidance, and control units for all theforegoing;

    And a variety of airborne and ground-basedequipment essential to the testing, operation, andmaintenance of flight vehicles

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    AEROSPACE INDUSTRY

    Aerospace IndustriesAssociation

    General Aviation

    ManufacturesAssociation

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    AEROSPACE INDUSTRY

    Dual nature isimportant to nationalinterest

    FederalGovernment

    CommercialMarket

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    AEROSPACE INDUSTRY

    Aerospace industries vital to theU.S. economy

    Trade balance

    EmploymentResearch and development

    Impact on other industries

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    PRIOR TO THE 1950S

    Unsophisticatedindustry

    Product line entirelyaeronautical

    Long-runproduction

    R & D considerablyless significant thantoday

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    TRANSFORMATION

    Transformationtook place in theearly 1950s

    Highly specializedindustry

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    UNIQUE CHARACTERISTICS

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    UNIQUE CHARACTERISTICS

    High degree of risk and uncertainty

    High R & D costs due to long lead times

    Government resource availability

    Shorter production runs

    Higher skilled personnel

    Advance estimation of costs is difficult

    Fierce competition

    Profit percentages are consistently belowaverage manufacturing industries

    Investment return is lower than average

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    ECONOMIC PROFILE OF THE INDUSTRY

    Principal Product Line 55% aircraft

    21% space systems

    6% missiles

    17% engines, parts,equipment (other)

    High:

    Performance Reliability

    Technology

    Unit Value

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    U.S. AEROSPACE IN THE 1990S

    Difficult time

    Industrys worst

    downturn in 40 years

    1996 began to see a

    turnaround Industry shift from

    military focus to civil

    Demands greater

    number of scientists,engineers, andtechnicians

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    ECONOMIC IMPACT OF AVIATION

    Entire industries can be

    changed radically by airtransportation Examples: Flowers and

    Food; human tissue

    Air transportation candevelop only as far asfacilities permit

    Public interest concept

    includes: Commerce Postal Service National Defense

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    MANUFACTURING

    Includes R&D, designconstruction,fabrication, assembly,sales, maintenance,and modification

    Commercial airtransport industryrepresents thestrongest segment ofthe U.S. aerospace

    industry General aviation

    aircraft production isincreasing

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    THE TWO BIG MANUFACTURERS

    Airbus (380) Government

    subsidization byFrance, Germany, the

    UK, and SpainBoeing (787)

    Large military contractsover the years have

    allowed them to offsettheir R&D costs

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    COMMERCIAL AIR TRANSPORTATION

    Economic effects of theindustry:

    Shrinkage of distance interms of time

    Expanded transport capacity

    of the jet in comparison topropeller-driven aircraft

    Increase in the number ofpeople using airtransportation for business

    and pleasure Shift of traffic volume from

    surface to air

    CIVIL AVIATION MARKET

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    CIVIL AVIATION MARKET

    Characteristics

    Requires an enormous amount of capital

    Manufacturers must wait about 4 years beforedeliveries begin and revenue is generated frominitial investments

    Limited customer base

    Volume of orders low

    400 to 600 aircraft must be sold before aprogram reaches the break-even point (variable,

    depending on the manufacturer, market,economy, etc.)

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    AIR TRANSPORT

    Principal civil aviation productis the airline transport

    Number of Manufacturers

    Prior to WWII

    1980s and 1990s Boeing/McDonnell-Douglas

    FACTORS AFFECTING SALES

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    FACTORS AFFECTING SALES

    Economic Growth World economic growth

    Inflation

    Fleet Capacity Passenger load factor

    Replacement Aircraft

    Airline Profitability

    New regulations

    Cyclical Industry

    AIR TRANSPORTATION INDUSTRY

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    AIR TRANSPORTATION INDUSTRY

    All civil flyingperformed bycertificated aircarriers andgeneral aviation

    Direct and indirect

    contributions to theeconomy

    CERTIFICATED AIR CARRIERS

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    CERTIFICATED AIR CARRIERS

    Scheduled Airlines Class of air carriers

    holding certificates ofPublic Convenienceand Necessity issuedby the Department ofTransportation (DOT)& authorized to flyscheduled airtransportation overspecified routes and alimited amount ofnonscheduledoperations Includes passenger and

    cargo operations

    MAJOR CARRIERS

    http://airliners.net/open.file/028546/L/http://airliners.net/open.file/100621/L/
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    MAJOR CARRIERS

    Southwest

    American Delta

    United

    Account for more than of the total trafficof the industry

    DEREGULATION

    http://www.airliners.net/open.file?id=400106&WxsIERv=Qm9laW5nIDc2Ny0zMzJFUg==&WdsYXMg=RGVsdGEgQWlyIExpbmVz&QtODMg=RnJhbmtmdXJ0IC0gTWFpbiAoUmhlaW4tTWFpbiBBRkIpIChGUkEgLyBGUkYgLyBFRERGKQ==&ERDLTkt=R2VybWFueQ==&ktODMp=RGVjZW1iZXIgMTQsIDIwMDI=&BP=0&WNEb25u=TWFyaW8gQXVyaWNo&xsIERvdWdsY=TjE2MDRS&MgTUQtODMgKE=&YXMgTUQtODMgKERD=OQ==&NEb25uZWxs=MjAwMy0wOC0xMg==&static=yeshttp://www.airliners.net/open.file?id=400157&WxsIERv=Qm9laW5nIDc0Ny00MjI=&WdsYXMg=VW5pdGVkIEFpcmxpbmVz&QtODMg=U2FuIEZyYW5jaXNjbyAtIEludGVybmF0aW9uYWwgKFNGTyAvIEtTRk8p&ERDLTkt=VVNBIC0gQ2FsaWZvcm5pYQ==&ktODMp=QXVndXN0IDUsIDIwMDM=&BP=0&WNEb25u=TWFuYXMgQmFyb29haA==&xsIERvdWdsY=TjE3M1VB&MgTUQtODMgKE=TXkgZmlyc3Qgc2hvdCB3aXRoIENhbm9uIDEwMC00MDBtbSBJUyBMZW5zZQ==&YXMgTUQtODMgKERD=Mjg=&NEb25uZWxs=MjAwMy0wOC0xMg==&static=yeshttp://www.airliners.net/open.file?id=400162&WxsIERv=Qm9laW5nIDc1Ny0yMjM=&WdsYXMg=QW1lcmljYW4gQWlybGluZXM=&QtODMg=U2FuIEpvc2UgLSBOb3JtYW4gWS4gTWluZXRhIEludGVybmF0aW9uYWwgKE11bmljaXBhbCkgKFNKQyAvIEtTSkMp&ERDLTkt=VVNBIC0gQ2FsaWZvcm5pYQ==&ktODMp=QXVndXN0IDIsIDIwMDM=&BP=0&WNEb25u=TWFuYXMgQmFyb29haA==&xsIERvdWdsY=TjE5NEFB&MgTUQtODMgKE=RGVsaXZlcmVkIDA5LTE1LTIwMDE=&YXMgTUQtODMgKERD=MTA=&NEb25uZWxs=MjAwMy0wOC0xMg==&static=yes
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    DEREGULATION

    Airline Deregulation

    Act of 1978 Competition

    Slow start due to: Airline

    managementslack ofexperience

    Economic

    recession World oil crisis

    Chapter 11bankruptcies

    DEREGULATION

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    DEREGULATION

    Low fares resultedin increasepassenger traffic

    Many communitiessaw improved airservice

    SEPTEMBER 11 2001

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    SEPTEMBER 11, 2001

    Devastating impact Air carriers already in a

    weak financial positiondue to slight recession

    Federal government

    relief fund $15 billion to industry

    Boeing announced areduction in the numberof aircraft to be

    produced Many employees laid

    off

    GENERAL AVIATION DEFINITION

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    GENERAL AVIATION - DEFINITION

    Aviation other thanmilitary and commercialcommon carriage

    Including businessflying, instructionalflying, personal flying,and commercial flying

    such as agriculturalspraying and aerialphotography.

    Everything else

    GENERAL AVIATION

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    GENERAL AVIATION

    Represents over 98% of total U.S. civilaircraft

    Over 80% of operations at FAA- toweredairports and over 80% of total hours flown

    by general aviation and air carrierscombined

    Access to over 17,000 airports

    Benefits: Business use, time, emergencyapplications, training, etc.

    GENERAL AVIATION MANUFACTURERS

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    GENERAL AVIATION MANUFACTURERS

    Gulfstream, Dassault,Bombardier, Cessna,Piper

    Major decline inmanufacturing

    Cessna resumedproduction in 1996.

    New manufacturers:Eclipse, Adams, Honda,Diamond

    FACTORS AFFECTING SALES

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    FACTORS AFFECTING SALES

    High aircraft prices

    High interest rates

    Increased operating

    expenses

    Product liability laws

    Changing lifestyles

    Tax laws Foreign competition

    Gulfstream V

    Challenger 604

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    Questions/Comments?