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AVI Limited presentation to shareholders & analysts for the six months ended 31 December 2016

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Page 1: AVI Limited presentation to shareholders & analysts for the year … · 2019-09-12 · AVI Limited presentation to shareholders & analysts for the six months ended 31 December 2016

AVI Limited presentation to shareholders & analysts

for the six months ended 31 December 2016

Page 2: AVI Limited presentation to shareholders & analysts for the year … · 2019-09-12 · AVI Limited presentation to shareholders & analysts for the six months ended 31 December 2016

AGENDA

Key features and results history

Group financial results

Performance and prospects

Questions and answers

Page 3: AVI Limited presentation to shareholders & analysts for the year … · 2019-09-12 · AVI Limited presentation to shareholders & analysts for the six months ended 31 December 2016

KEY FEATURES

Sound performance in a challenging environment;

Revenue up 11,6% to R7,13 billion;

Operating profit up 8,1% to R1,41 billion;

Gross margin pressure from weaker Rand and rising raw material

prices;

Cash from operations up 11,5% to R1,67 billion;

Capital expenditure of R284,0 million on efficiency, capacity and

retail stores;

Return on capital employed of 27,0% for 12 months to December;

Headline earnings per share up 7,6% to 302,9 cents;

Interim dividend up 8,0% to 162 cents per share

Page 4: AVI Limited presentation to shareholders & analysts for the year … · 2019-09-12 · AVI Limited presentation to shareholders & analysts for the six months ended 31 December 2016

RESULTS HISTORY

Compound annual growth rate from H1 F05 to H1 F17 of 15,9%

Operating profit margin increased from 10,0% in H1 F05 to 19,7% in H1 F17

Operating profit history

106 90 111 122 133 167 259 245 247 259 312 351 389

67 89 97 129 140 121

181 203 246

298 340

369 412

39 75

75 126 60

101 47 74

98

160

167

27 27

31 36

42 57

67

86 91

97

103

124

140

- 69

100 99

82 111

170

231 303

296

309

306

310

0

200

400

600

800

1000

1200

1400

H1 F05 H1 F06 H1 F07 H1 F08 H1 F09 H1 F10 H1 F11 H1 F12 H1 F13 H1 F14 H1 F15 H1 F16 H1F17

R m

illio

n

Entyce Snackworks I&J Personal Care Footwear and Apparel

240

282

402 450 520 512

674

854

921 1 021

1 152

1 302

1 408

Page 5: AVI Limited presentation to shareholders & analysts for the year … · 2019-09-12 · AVI Limited presentation to shareholders & analysts for the six months ended 31 December 2016

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%

35%

0

1 000

2 000

3 000

4 000

5 000

6 000

7 000

F09 F10 F11 F12 F13 F14 F15 F16 F17*

R m

illio

n

Net operating profit after tax Average capital employed ROCE (%)

* F17 represents a rolling 12 month period to 31 December 2016

RESULTS HISTORY

Sustained returns including increasing capital expenditure to support long term

growth and efficiency

Return on capital employed

Page 6: AVI Limited presentation to shareholders & analysts for the year … · 2019-09-12 · AVI Limited presentation to shareholders & analysts for the six months ended 31 December 2016

RESULTS HISTORY

Sustained strong conversion of earnings into cash

Historical cash conversion

201.8

230.6

226.6

550.0

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

120%

0

500

1 000

1 500

2 000

2 500

3 000

F09 F10 F11 F12 F13 F14 F15 F16 F17*

R m

illio

n

EBITDA Cash generated by operations after working capital changes Cash to EBITDA

* F17 represents 12 months to 31 December 2016

Page 7: AVI Limited presentation to shareholders & analysts for the year … · 2019-09-12 · AVI Limited presentation to shareholders & analysts for the six months ended 31 December 2016

RESULTS HISTORY Dividend yield (Year end)

Based on share price at end of each year

Total dividend yield includes payments out of share premium and special dividends

Excludes share buy-backs

2.8%

3.8% 3.7%

6.2% 5.2%

4.5%

4.0% 4.1% 4.4%

4.9%

4.1%

7.7%

12.0%

6.4% 7.4%

6.5%

4.5%

0%

2%

4%

6%

8%

10%

12%

14%

F05 F06 F07 F08 F09 F10 F11 F12 F13 F14 F15 F16

Normal dividend yield Total dividend yield

Page 8: AVI Limited presentation to shareholders & analysts for the year … · 2019-09-12 · AVI Limited presentation to shareholders & analysts for the six months ended 31 December 2016

RESULTS HISTORY

Effective payout ratio from F05 = 87,0% of headline earnings

Returns to shareholders

550.0

116.0 166.0 229.4 238.6 262.8 301.1 373.0

620.7 809.7

953.5 1 064.5

1 197.4

-

525.8 201.8

230.6 - -

226.6

-

550.0

638.8

-

319.1

- -

269.9

-

-

317.8

166.0 229.4

788.3

262.8 301.1

869.5

620.7

1 359.7

953.5

1 703.3

1 197.4

525.8

0

200

400

600

800

1000

1200

1400

1600

1800

F05 F06 F07 F08 F09 F10 F11 F12 F13 F14 F15 F16 F17

R m

illio

n

Normal dividend paid Interim dividend declared Special dividend paid Share Buyback

Page 9: AVI Limited presentation to shareholders & analysts for the year … · 2019-09-12 · AVI Limited presentation to shareholders & analysts for the six months ended 31 December 2016

Group Financial Results

Page 10: AVI Limited presentation to shareholders & analysts for the year … · 2019-09-12 · AVI Limited presentation to shareholders & analysts for the six months ended 31 December 2016

H1 F17 H1 F16 Rm Rm %

GROUP FINANCIAL RESULTS Income statement

Revenue 7 134,6 6 393,0 11,6 Gross profit 3 123,6 2 892,8 8,0 Gross profit margin % 43,8 45,3 (3,3)

Operating profit 1 407,7 1 302,1 8,1 Operating profit margin % 19,7 20,4 (3,4)

Net financing cost (79,9) (54,9) 45,5 Share of Joint Ventures 42,2 16,1 162,1 Capital items 11,9 (7,4) Effective tax rate % 28,4 28,5

Headline earnings 979,8 903,4 8,5 HEPS (cps) 302,9 281,6 7,6

Page 11: AVI Limited presentation to shareholders & analysts for the year … · 2019-09-12 · AVI Limited presentation to shareholders & analysts for the six months ended 31 December 2016

GROUP FINANCIAL RESULTS

Movement in group revenue

Movement in group revenue

Price increases in all categories taken to offset weaker Rand and higher raw material costs

Volume pressure in constrained environment with higher selling prices

I&J impacted by illegal strike and lower catch rates

Volume growth in Coffee, Snacks, Biscuits and Tea

4 500

5 000

5 500

6 000

6 500

7 000

7 500

6 393 789 -98 -35 86 7 135

H1 F16 Price Footwear Volume I&J Volume OtherVolume

H1 F17

R m

illio

n

Footwear Volume I&J Volume

Page 12: AVI Limited presentation to shareholders & analysts for the year … · 2019-09-12 · AVI Limited presentation to shareholders & analysts for the six months ended 31 December 2016

GROUP FINANCIAL RESULTS Gross profit margin history

Price increases unable to fully recover accumulated cost pressure in food and beverages

Ongoing focus on cost and efficiencies to protect gross profit margin

Rand at current levels will assist margin going into F18

46.5% 45.9% 44.3% 44.5% 45.3%

43.8%

20%

30%

40%

50%

H1 F12 H1 F13 H1 F14 H1 F15 H1 F16 H1 F17

Page 13: AVI Limited presentation to shareholders & analysts for the year … · 2019-09-12 · AVI Limited presentation to shareholders & analysts for the six months ended 31 December 2016

GROUP FINANCIAL RESULTS

Includes advertising and promotions, co-operative expenditure with customers and

marketing department costs

Total expenditure for H1 F17 of R386,5m compared to R356,4m in H1 F16

Marketing expenditure

8.4%

6.2%

4.4%

7.3% 7.4%

4.1%

15.4%

1.9%

7.3% 6.2%

4.6%

7.1% 7.8%

4.7%

14.7%

1.7%

0%

2%

4%

6%

8%

10%

12%

14%

16%

18%

Tea Coffee Creamer Biscuits Snacks I&J retail Personal Care * Footwear

H1 F16 H1 F17* Excludes Coty

Page 14: AVI Limited presentation to shareholders & analysts for the year … · 2019-09-12 · AVI Limited presentation to shareholders & analysts for the six months ended 31 December 2016

GROUP FINANCIAL RESULTS Operating profit 8,1% up

Entyce: Higher selling prices and coffee volume growth

Snackworks: Higher selling prices; snacks and sweet biscuit volume growth

I&J: Benefit of weaker Rand and lower fuel price offset by illegal strike in August 2016

Personal Care: Higher selling prices; strong owned brands performance, particularly exports

Spitz: Constrained demand at higher price points

Green Cross: Retail sales growth

1 220

1 270

1 320

1 370

1 420

1 302 38 44 8 16 2 1 -3 1 408

H1F16

Entyce Snackworks I&J PersonalCare

Spitz Green Cross Other H1F17

R m

illio

n

Page 15: AVI Limited presentation to shareholders & analysts for the year … · 2019-09-12 · AVI Limited presentation to shareholders & analysts for the six months ended 31 December 2016

H1 F17 H1 F16 Rm Rm %

GROUP FINANCIAL RESULTS Cash generation and utilisation

Cash generated by operations 1 669,3 1 497,2 11,5

Working capital to revenue % 21,8 21,8 -

Capital expenditure 284,0 559,8 (49,3)

Depreciation and amortisation 195,7 168,3 16,3

Net debt 1 489,2 1 549,5

Net debt / capital employed % 23,7 26,4

Interim dividend – cps 162 150 8,0

Good conversion of earnings to cash

Prior year capital expenditure includes I&J vessel payments

Gearing in targeted range

Page 16: AVI Limited presentation to shareholders & analysts for the year … · 2019-09-12 · AVI Limited presentation to shareholders & analysts for the six months ended 31 December 2016

Capital expenditure and depreciation

GROUP FINANCIAL RESULTS

Continued investment in manufacturing capacity, efficiency and retail stores

Expenditure in respect of new I&J vessels of R100,9m in F15 and R259,9m in F16

153 291 310 200 226 560 284

260

250 257

332

623

322

100 105 127 137 150 166 194

102 113 130 146 158 181

406

222

F11 F12 F13 F14 F15 F16 F17

-

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

800

900

1 000

F11 F12 F13 F14 F15 F16

R m

illio

n

Capital expenditure H1 Capital expenditure H2 Depreciation charge H1

Depreciation charge H2 Forecast capital expenditure H2 Forecast depreciation charge H2

532

283

849

308

822

416

347

690

567

257

541

218

413

202

Page 17: AVI Limited presentation to shareholders & analysts for the year … · 2019-09-12 · AVI Limited presentation to shareholders & analysts for the six months ended 31 December 2016

Key capital projects spend summary

GROUP FINANCIAL RESULTS

H1 F17 H2 F17 F17 Total Actual Planned Planned Rm Rm Rm

Tea packaging line replacements and upgrades 14 13 27

Biscuit line capacity and process improvements 44 57 101

I&J vessel dry-docks and upgrades 16 25 41

Woodstock processing plant replacements and upgrades 18 33 51

Abalone farm expansion and upgrades 13 5 18

Indigo distribution centre upgrade 16 14 30

Retail store additions and refurbishments 20 17 37

Logistics vehicle fleet replacement - 38 38

Bryanston campus extension 24 2 26

Backup power generation 13 9 22

178 213 391

Total capital expenditure 284 406 690

Page 18: AVI Limited presentation to shareholders & analysts for the year … · 2019-09-12 · AVI Limited presentation to shareholders & analysts for the six months ended 31 December 2016

GROUP FINANCIAL RESULTS

March 2017 to

June 2017

July 2017 to

December 2017

January 2018 to

June 2018

% Cover % Cover % Cover

USD imports 95% 62% 19%

EUR imports 91% 70% 17%

EUR exports 84% 75% 18%

Foreign exchange hedges

Consistent hedging philosophy provides stability to manage gross margins

Benefit to I&J’s export earnings diminishing in line with Rand strengthening

Recent Rand stability will provide relief on import costs towards the end of F17 and into F18 if sustained

Page 19: AVI Limited presentation to shareholders & analysts for the year … · 2019-09-12 · AVI Limited presentation to shareholders & analysts for the six months ended 31 December 2016

Performance and Prospects

Page 20: AVI Limited presentation to shareholders & analysts for the year … · 2019-09-12 · AVI Limited presentation to shareholders & analysts for the six months ended 31 December 2016

H1 17 Rm

H1 16 Rm

%

Revenue 1 987,8 1 728,1 15,0

Operating profit 389,0 351,0 10,8

Operating profit margin % 19,6 20,3 (3,4)

Good tea performance despite significant cost inflation

Selling price increases taken to protect margin

Volumes under pressure at higher price points

Rooibos category contraction

Significant input cost pressure from rooibos and weaker Rand

Demand resilient at high prices

Some consumers switching to our lower price points

Operating profit and margin up, despite gross profit margin pressure

Income statement

Page 21: AVI Limited presentation to shareholders & analysts for the year … · 2019-09-12 · AVI Limited presentation to shareholders & analysts for the six months ended 31 December 2016

Income statement

Strong coffee performance in competitive category

Selling price increases taken to protect margin

Volume gains in mixed instant and speciality coffee range (Hug In A Mug)

Input cost pressure from weaker Rand and higher coffee bean prices

Good operating profit growth, despite lower margins

H1 F17 Rm

H1 F16 Rm

%

Revenue 1 987,8 1 728,1 15,0

Operating profit 389,0 351,0 10,8

Operating profit margin % 19,6 20,3 (3,4)

Page 22: AVI Limited presentation to shareholders & analysts for the year … · 2019-09-12 · AVI Limited presentation to shareholders & analysts for the six months ended 31 December 2016

Income statement

Constrained creamer performance

Volume and market share decline due to aggressive competitor pricing and new pack size

Selling prices constrained

Significant input cost pressure from drought (glucose) and weaker Rand (palm oil)

Profit margins lower, but healthy

Operating profit decline

H1 F17 Rm

H1 F16 Rm

%

Revenue 1 987,8 1 728,1 15,0

Operating profit 389,0 351,0 10,8

Operating profit margin % 19,6 20,3 (3,4)

Page 23: AVI Limited presentation to shareholders & analysts for the year … · 2019-09-12 · AVI Limited presentation to shareholders & analysts for the six months ended 31 December 2016

% Δ

H1 F17 vs H1 F16 Comments

Tea revenue growth 19,9

Sales volume 0,1 Marginal growth despite rooibos and black tea

category declines; growth in value-for-money

teas

Ave. selling price 19,8 Increases in response to cost pressures, mainly

rooibos raw material and weaker Rand

Coffee revenue growth 19,3

Sales volume 8,3 Growth in mixed instant and speciality coffee range (Hug In A Mug)

Ave. selling price 10,2 Price increases in response to cost pressure,

mainly weaker Rand and coffee bean prices

Creamer revenue growth 4,0

Sales volume (0,7) Decline due to aggressive competitor pricing and

new pack size

Ave. selling price 4,7 Price increases partly offset by higher levels of

discounting in constrained market

Sales volume and selling prices

Page 24: AVI Limited presentation to shareholders & analysts for the year … · 2019-09-12 · AVI Limited presentation to shareholders & analysts for the six months ended 31 December 2016

Market shares – value

Market shares – value

Creamer market share decline due to aggressive competitor pricing and new pack size

35.9%

55.9%

23.6%

46.3%

11.3%

35.5%

59.3%

26.4%

44.2%

12.2%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

Five Roses Freshpak Frisco Ellis Brown Trinco

H1 F16 H1 F17

Page 25: AVI Limited presentation to shareholders & analysts for the year … · 2019-09-12 · AVI Limited presentation to shareholders & analysts for the six months ended 31 December 2016

Cost impact of raw materials and commodities consumed in the period (H1 F17 vs H1 F16):

Raw material costs

Tea cost increase from higher rooibos prices due to constrained supply and export pricing opportunity, and impact of weaker Rand on black tea

5 6

13 16

31

61

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

Palm oil Arabica Robusta / chicory Glucose Black tea Rooibos

R m

illio

n

Page 26: AVI Limited presentation to shareholders & analysts for the year … · 2019-09-12 · AVI Limited presentation to shareholders & analysts for the six months ended 31 December 2016

Prospects for H2

Careful price / volume management in constrained and competitive market

Protect Five Roses premium positioning

Rooibos input costs and selling prices at record levels

Further increase in rooibos raw material cost for CY17

Destructive competitor activity in Creamer category – double digit volume risk

Incremental innovation and continued support for Hug In A Mug

Protect and grow export business in constrained regional markets

Ongoing upgrade of tea packing lines – capacity and efficiency

Page 27: AVI Limited presentation to shareholders & analysts for the year … · 2019-09-12 · AVI Limited presentation to shareholders & analysts for the six months ended 31 December 2016

Performance and Prospects

Page 28: AVI Limited presentation to shareholders & analysts for the year … · 2019-09-12 · AVI Limited presentation to shareholders & analysts for the six months ended 31 December 2016

H1 F17 Rm

H1 F16 Rm

%

Revenue 2 195,1 1 954,2 12,3

Operating profit 412,4 368,7 11,9

Operating profit margin % 18,8 18,9 (0,1)

Income statement

Sound biscuits performance in constrained environment

Selling price increases taken in response to input cost pressure from weaker Rand and higher raw material costs

Volume constrained by higher price points

Volume growth from sweet biscuits

Project activity impacted savoury biscuit volumes

Good operating profit growth, despite lower margins

Page 29: AVI Limited presentation to shareholders & analysts for the year … · 2019-09-12 · AVI Limited presentation to shareholders & analysts for the six months ended 31 December 2016

H1 F17 Rm

H1 F16 Rm

%

Revenue 2 195,1 1 954,2 12,3

Operating profit 412,4 368,7 11,9

Operating profit margin % 18,8 18,9 (0,1)

Income statement

Strong snacks performance

Selling price increases taken in response to input cost inflation from weaker Rand

Corn volume growth due to line extensions

Potato chip volumes suppressed by constrained potato supply

Margin improvement from higher selling prices and change in sales mix

Initial target operating profit margin achieved

Continued factory focus on upgrading potato and corn lines

Page 30: AVI Limited presentation to shareholders & analysts for the year … · 2019-09-12 · AVI Limited presentation to shareholders & analysts for the six months ended 31 December 2016

Sales volume and selling prices

% Δ

H1 F17 vs H1 F16 Comments

Biscuits revenue growth 12,6

Sales volume 1,8 Sweet biscuit volume growth, particularly

Topper, partly offset by lower savoury biscuit

volumes

Ave. selling prices 10,6 Price increases to recover input cost pressure

Snacks revenue growth 11,3

Sales volume 3,7 Corn volume growth due to line extensions

offset by potato chips decline due to

constrained potato supply

Ave. selling prices 7,4 Price increases to recover input cost pressure

Page 31: AVI Limited presentation to shareholders & analysts for the year … · 2019-09-12 · AVI Limited presentation to shareholders & analysts for the six months ended 31 December 2016

Market shares – value

44.1%

16.3% 19.2%

45.1%

15.6%

18.7%

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%

35%

40%

45%

50%

Bakers (Sweet) Bakers (Savoury) Willards

H1 F16 H1 F17

Page 32: AVI Limited presentation to shareholders & analysts for the year … · 2019-09-12 · AVI Limited presentation to shareholders & analysts for the six months ended 31 December 2016

Cost impact of raw materials and commodities consumed in the period (H1 F17 vs H1 F16):

Raw material costs

9

16

20

37

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

Butter Palm oil Sugar Flour

R m

illio

n

Page 33: AVI Limited presentation to shareholders & analysts for the year … · 2019-09-12 · AVI Limited presentation to shareholders & analysts for the six months ended 31 December 2016

Careful price / volume management in constrained and competitive market

Innovation

Continuing program of product extensions to support volumes

New product launch in H2

Ongoing raw material cost pressure from rising sugar and butter prices

Protect and grow export business in constrained regional markets

Capital projects - replacement / capacity upgrades at Isando, Westmead and Rosslyn

Prospects for H2

Page 34: AVI Limited presentation to shareholders & analysts for the year … · 2019-09-12 · AVI Limited presentation to shareholders & analysts for the six months ended 31 December 2016

Performance and Prospects

Page 35: AVI Limited presentation to shareholders & analysts for the year … · 2019-09-12 · AVI Limited presentation to shareholders & analysts for the six months ended 31 December 2016

Income statement

Income statement

H1 F17 Rm

H1 F16 Rm

%

Revenue 1 143,3 1 000,8 14,2

Operating profit 167,4 159,7 4,8

Operating profit margin % 14,6 16,0 (8,8)

Revenue growth due to weaker Rand on export sales and selling price increases in domestic and export markets

Portion of foreign exchange impact recorded in S&A costs

Illegal strike at trawling operations in August 2016 – R25 million impact

Lower sales volumes due to illegal strike and lower catch rates

Lower fuel prices

Processing performance negatively impacted by lower volumes

Abalone contribution reduced by stock fair value adjustment in line with stronger closing Rand

Page 36: AVI Limited presentation to shareholders & analysts for the year … · 2019-09-12 · AVI Limited presentation to shareholders & analysts for the six months ended 31 December 2016

-

50

100

150

200

250

160 27 26 -25 -7 -14 167

H1F16

Exchangerates

Fuel price Illegal strike Abalone Costs/ other H1F17

R m

illio

n

Operating profit

Abalone decrease in F17 due to stock fair value adjustment in line with stronger closing Rand

Page 37: AVI Limited presentation to shareholders & analysts for the year … · 2019-09-12 · AVI Limited presentation to shareholders & analysts for the six months ended 31 December 2016

Profit history

Abalone decrease in F17 due to stock fair value adjustment in line with stronger closing Rand

50 70

117 130

17

19

34 27

20

13

25

50

10

50

90

130

170

210

250

F14 H1 F15 H1 F16 H1 F17 H1

Fishing Abalone Simplot

87 102

176

207

R m

illio

n

Page 38: AVI Limited presentation to shareholders & analysts for the year … · 2019-09-12 · AVI Limited presentation to shareholders & analysts for the six months ended 31 December 2016

Continued evidence of good recruitment into the resource with high proportion of small fish

Fishing performance

7.3

9.1

10.9 11.6 11.4

10.0 9.3 9.1

8.5 8.2

0.0

2.0

4.0

6.0

8.0

10.0

12.0

14.0

H1 F08 H1 F09 H1 F10 H1 F11 H1 F12 H1 F13 H1 F14 H1 F15 H1 F16 H1 F17

Hak

e to

ns

per

se

a d

ay

I&J catch rate

Page 39: AVI Limited presentation to shareholders & analysts for the year … · 2019-09-12 · AVI Limited presentation to shareholders & analysts for the six months ended 31 December 2016

% Δ

H1 F17 vs H1 F16 Comments

I&J Domestic revenue growth (2,5)

Sales volume (15,2) Lower retail and whole fish volumes;

increase in export volumes

Ave. selling prices 15,0 Price increases taken to mitigate cost

pressure

I&J Export revenue growth 21,1

Sales volume 9,6 Increased fillets from higher freezer

vessel sea days; higher processed fish

from wet vessel landings

Ave. selling prices 10,5 Benefit of weaker Rand and price

increases

Local retail market share increased to 47,7% from 46,1% in H1 F16

Sales volume and selling prices (hake)

Page 40: AVI Limited presentation to shareholders & analysts for the year … · 2019-09-12 · AVI Limited presentation to shareholders & analysts for the six months ended 31 December 2016

Utilise currency hedges taken when Rand was weaker

Diminishing impact through the semester if Rand strength persists

Fuel costs well hedged

Capacity tight at current catch rates

As always, exposed to fishing catch rates and size mix

Impact of global weather patterns

Preponderance of small fish signals good recruitment into the resource

TAC for 2017 calendar year reduced by 5%

Deep sea allocation in line with TAC

In-shore allocation reduced – subject to legal process

Abalone aquaculture expansion to 500 tons proceeding well

Additional 500 ton expansion being evaluated

Prospects for H2

Page 41: AVI Limited presentation to shareholders & analysts for the year … · 2019-09-12 · AVI Limited presentation to shareholders & analysts for the six months ended 31 December 2016

Performance and Prospects

Page 42: AVI Limited presentation to shareholders & analysts for the year … · 2019-09-12 · AVI Limited presentation to shareholders & analysts for the six months ended 31 December 2016

Income Statement

Income Statement

H1 F17 Rm

H1 F16 Rm

%

Revenue 620,9 569,1 9,1

Operating profit 140,1 124,0 13,0

Operating profit margin % 22,6 21,8 3,7

Revenue from owned brands grew by 10,2%

Strong performance from core ranges and innovation

Lower commissions from Coty – R12,4 million

Strong profit growth from AVI International

Successful product launches in key markets

Page 43: AVI Limited presentation to shareholders & analysts for the year … · 2019-09-12 · AVI Limited presentation to shareholders & analysts for the six months ended 31 December 2016

Sale volume and selling prices

Sales volume and selling prices

% Δ

H1 F17 vs H1 F16 Comments

Personal Care revenue growth* 10,2

Sales volume 0,9 Increase in fragrances, roll ons and

body care, and export aerosol

growth

Ave. selling price 9,2 Price increases to recover input cost

pressure; sales mix

* Like-for-like comparison excluding Coty

Body spray market share improved slightly from 29,9% to 31,1% in H1 F17

Page 44: AVI Limited presentation to shareholders & analysts for the year … · 2019-09-12 · AVI Limited presentation to shareholders & analysts for the six months ended 31 December 2016

Pressure on selling prices in competitive environment

Product ranges positioned to benefit from constrained environment

Further traction from new ranges in Export markets

New product launches to benefit local and export demand

Prospects for H2

Page 45: AVI Limited presentation to shareholders & analysts for the year … · 2019-09-12 · AVI Limited presentation to shareholders & analysts for the six months ended 31 December 2016

Performance and Prospects

Page 46: AVI Limited presentation to shareholders & analysts for the year … · 2019-09-12 · AVI Limited presentation to shareholders & analysts for the six months ended 31 December 2016

Income statement

H1 F17 Rm

H1 F16 Rm

%

Revenue 969,7 942,8 2,9

Operating profit 290,4 288,6 1,0

Operating profit margin % 29,9 30,6 (2,3)

Core brands performed well considering higher price points

Price increases in F16 H2 to recover rising, Rand driven, input costs

Volume decline

Consumers under pressure to absorb higher prices

Less shoes to clear on July sale with improved buying / ranging

Good support of “easier” lay by terms – increase from 20% to 26% of sales units

Reached December targets with effective sales support

Trading density improved in Spitz and Kurt Geiger

Page 47: AVI Limited presentation to shareholders & analysts for the year … · 2019-09-12 · AVI Limited presentation to shareholders & analysts for the six months ended 31 December 2016

% Δ

H1 F17 vs

H1 F16

Comments

Spitz & KG Footwear revenue

growth

1,2

Sales volume – Total

– Normal price

– Discounted on sale

(13,9)

(6,3)

(7,6)

Constrained demand at higher price points

Tighter buying / product ranging

Ave. selling price 17,5 Price increases and lower July sales

volumes

KG Clothing revenue growth 10,9 Price increases

Sales volume and selling prices

Page 48: AVI Limited presentation to shareholders & analysts for the year … · 2019-09-12 · AVI Limited presentation to shareholders & analysts for the six months ended 31 December 2016

Spitz and Kurt Geiger

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

H1 F08 H1 F09 H1 F10 H1 F11 H1 F12 H1 F13 H1 F14 H1 F15 H1 F16 H1 F17

R m

illio

n

Operating profit (Rm)

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

H1 F08 H1 F09 H1 F10 H1 F11 H1 F12 H1 F13 H1 F14 H1 F15 H1 F16 H1 F17

Mar

gin

%

Operating profit % Gross profit %

Gross profit and operating profit margins

Page 49: AVI Limited presentation to shareholders & analysts for the year … · 2019-09-12 · AVI Limited presentation to shareholders & analysts for the six months ended 31 December 2016

Trading density – Spitz

Closed 1 Spitz store in sub-optimal location

Refurbished 4 Spitz stores

0

5 000

10 000

15 000

20 000

25 000

25 000

27 000

29 000

31 000

33 000

35 000

37 000

39 000

41 000

43 000

45 000

H1 F12 H1 F13 H1 F14 H1 F15 H1 F16 H1 F17

m2

R/m

2

Trading density (R/m2) Average trading space (m2)

Page 50: AVI Limited presentation to shareholders & analysts for the year … · 2019-09-12 · AVI Limited presentation to shareholders & analysts for the six months ended 31 December 2016

Trading density - Kurt Geiger

Opened 1 new Kurt Geiger store

Closed 3 Kurt Geiger stores in sub-optimal locations

Refurbished 2 Kurt Geiger stores

0

500

1 000

1 500

2 000

2 500

3 000

3 500

4 000

4 500

0

5 000

10 000

15 000

20 000

25 000

30 000

H1 F12 H1 F13 H1 F14 H1 F15 H1 F16 H1 F17

m2

R/m

2

Trading density (R/m2) Average trading space (m2)

Page 51: AVI Limited presentation to shareholders & analysts for the year … · 2019-09-12 · AVI Limited presentation to shareholders & analysts for the six months ended 31 December 2016

Constrained spending environment impacting demand

Gross profit margin stable if Rand strength continues

Ongoing focus on product planning and store tiering

Retail space

1 new store

3 refurbishments

Projects

Development and rollout of refreshed store designs

Italian office to strengthen design and quality

Fixed cost reduction

Prospects for H2

Page 52: AVI Limited presentation to shareholders & analysts for the year … · 2019-09-12 · AVI Limited presentation to shareholders & analysts for the six months ended 31 December 2016

Performance and Prospects

Page 53: AVI Limited presentation to shareholders & analysts for the year … · 2019-09-12 · AVI Limited presentation to shareholders & analysts for the six months ended 31 December 2016

Retail revenue growth of 17,3%

Price increases in response to weaker Rand

Increased trading space

Improved assortment and stock replenishment

Wholesale revenue decline of 1,9% from volume pressure offset by prices

Trading space

1 new store in H1 F17 (8 new stores in F16)

6 stores refurbished

Income Statement

H1 F17 Rm

H1 F16 Rm

%

Revenue 193,8 174,3 11,1

Operating profit 18,7 17,8 5,1

Operating profit margin % 9,6 10,2 (5,9)

Page 54: AVI Limited presentation to shareholders & analysts for the year … · 2019-09-12 · AVI Limited presentation to shareholders & analysts for the six months ended 31 December 2016

Benefits from increased space and improved product ranges

Continue investing in retail stores

4 new doors

Fixed cost reduction

Constrained consumer spending

Stabilise wholesale volumes

Prospects for H2

Page 55: AVI Limited presentation to shareholders & analysts for the year … · 2019-09-12 · AVI Limited presentation to shareholders & analysts for the six months ended 31 December 2016

INTERNATIONAL

Page 56: AVI Limited presentation to shareholders & analysts for the year … · 2019-09-12 · AVI Limited presentation to shareholders & analysts for the six months ended 31 December 2016

AVI INTERNATIONAL Operating profit history

Revenue growth in most markets, notably Zambia, Namibia and Mauritius

Demand weakness in Mozambique and Zimbabwe

Price increases to recover input cost pressure

Double digit profit growth in Personal Care and Coffee

Profit decline in Creamer due to aggressive competitor pricing

Investing to build long-term brand positions

27

36

46

56

70 73

77 82

92 94

-

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

H1 F08 H1 F09 H1 F10 H1 F11 H1 F12 H1 F13 H1 F14 H1 F15 H1 F16 H1 F17

R m

illio

n

Page 57: AVI Limited presentation to shareholders & analysts for the year … · 2019-09-12 · AVI Limited presentation to shareholders & analysts for the six months ended 31 December 2016

Entyce, Snackworks and Indigo – Non RSA sales

AVI INTERNATIONAL

H1 F17

Rm

H1 F16

Rm %

International Revenue 520,9 473,7 10,0

% of Grocery and Personal Care brands 10,8 11,1 (2,7)

International Operating Profit 94,3 92,5 2,0

% of Grocery and Personal Care brands 10,0 11,0 (9,1)

International Operating Margin 18,1 19,5 (7,2)

Grocery and Personal Care brands Operating Margin 19,6 19,8 (1,0)

Page 58: AVI Limited presentation to shareholders & analysts for the year … · 2019-09-12 · AVI Limited presentation to shareholders & analysts for the six months ended 31 December 2016

AVI GROUP

Sustain Entyce, Snackworks and Indigo profit growth in volatile

environment

Tactile price / volume management

Constrained consumer spending

Input cost pressure from raw materials

Aggressively streamlining management structures

Innovation to gain market share

Continued project activity to improve efficiency and capacity

Potential profit margin relief if Rand strength continues

Prospects for H2

Page 59: AVI Limited presentation to shareholders & analysts for the year … · 2019-09-12 · AVI Limited presentation to shareholders & analysts for the six months ended 31 December 2016

AVI GROUP

I&J performance dependent on catch rates

Key export markets healthy

Upside from Rand hedge positions to diminish through the semester

Fuel well hedged

Improved abalone contribution

Fishing sector evaluation and options

Prospects for H2 continued

Page 60: AVI Limited presentation to shareholders & analysts for the year … · 2019-09-12 · AVI Limited presentation to shareholders & analysts for the six months ended 31 December 2016

Footwear and Apparel

Improved product planning and buying

Impeccable retail execution

Store design, tiering and refurbishment

Kurt Geiger brand evolution

Appropriate promotional retailing support

Price relief for customers if Rand strength sustained

Meaningful reduction in fixed overheads and store costs

Green Cross retail sales growth

Net trading space growth

Group initiatives

Fixed cost review in response to lower growth environment

Ongoing focus on cost savings and efficiency

Power and water back up plans

AVI GROUP Prospects for H2 continued

Page 61: AVI Limited presentation to shareholders & analysts for the year … · 2019-09-12 · AVI Limited presentation to shareholders & analysts for the six months ended 31 December 2016

AVI GROUP

Manage our unique brand portfolio to its long term potential

Organic earnings growth; target >10% HEPS growth p.a.

High dividend yield – maintain normal dividend payout ratio of 80%

Sustain high return on capital employed

Effective capital projects

Leverage domestic manufacturing capability to grow export markets

Return excess cash to shareholders efficiently

Replicate our category market leadership in selected regional markets

Acquisition of high quality brand opportunities if available

Increased potential for acquisitions if environment deteriorates

Investor proposition

Page 62: AVI Limited presentation to shareholders & analysts for the year … · 2019-09-12 · AVI Limited presentation to shareholders & analysts for the six months ended 31 December 2016

Questions

Page 63: AVI Limited presentation to shareholders & analysts for the year … · 2019-09-12 · AVI Limited presentation to shareholders & analysts for the six months ended 31 December 2016

Information slides

Page 64: AVI Limited presentation to shareholders & analysts for the year … · 2019-09-12 · AVI Limited presentation to shareholders & analysts for the six months ended 31 December 2016

Segmental Revenue

Segmental Operating Profit

Operating Margin

H1 F17 Rm

H1 F16 Rm

Δ %

H1 F17 Rm

H1 F16 Rm

Δ %

H1 F17 Rm

H1 F16 Rm

Food & Beverage Brands 5 326,2 4 683,1 13,7 968,8 879,4 10,2 18,2 18,8

Entyce Beverages 1 987,8 1 728,1 15,0 389,0 351,0 10,8 19,6 20,3

Snackworks 2 195,1 1 954,2 12,3 412,4 368,7 11,9 18,8 18,9

I&J 1 143,3 1000,8 14,2 167,4 159,7 4,8 14,6 16,0

Fashion Brands 1 808,4 1 707,2 5,9 449,7 429,6 4,7 24,9 25,2

Personal Care 620,9 569,1 9,1 140,1 124,0 13,0 22,6 21,8

Footwear & Apparel 1 187,5 1 138,1 4,3 309,6 305,6 1,3 26,1 26,9

Corporate - 2,7 (100,0) (10,8) (6,9) (56,5)

Group 7 134,6 6 393,0 11,6 1 407,7 1 302,1 8,1 19,7 20,4

INFORMATION SLIDE Business unit financial results

Page 65: AVI Limited presentation to shareholders & analysts for the year … · 2019-09-12 · AVI Limited presentation to shareholders & analysts for the six months ended 31 December 2016

Segmental Revenue

Segmental Operating Profit

Operating Margin

H1 F17 Rm

H1 F16 Rm

Δ %

H1 F17 Rm

H1 F16 Rm

Δ %

H1 F17 Rm

H1 F16 Rm

Footwear & Apparel 1 187,5 1 138,1 4,3 309,6 305,6 1,3 26,1 26,9

Spitz 969,7 942,8 2,9 290,4 288,6 0,6 30,0 30,6

Green Cross 193,8 174,3 11,2 18,7 17,8 5,1 9,7 10,2

Gant 24,0 21,0 14,3 0,5 (0,8) 162,5 2,1 (3,8)

INFORMATION SLIDE Footwear & apparel financial results

Page 66: AVI Limited presentation to shareholders & analysts for the year … · 2019-09-12 · AVI Limited presentation to shareholders & analysts for the six months ended 31 December 2016

INFORMATION SLIDE Revenue 11,6% up

Entyce: Price increases in tea, coffee and creamer together with coffee volume growth

Snackworks: Price increases and volume growth in biscuits and snacks

I&J: Weaker Rand and price increases in domestic and export markets

Personal Care: Strong growth in owned brands offset by decline in Coty commission

Spitz: Higher selling prices offset by footwear volume decline

Green Cross: Price increases offset by lower volumes

6 000

6 200

6 400

6 600

6 800

7 000

7 200

6 393 260 241 142 52 28 19 7 135

H1F16

Entyce Snackworks I&J PersonalCare

Spitz Green Cross H1F17

R m

illio

n

Page 67: AVI Limited presentation to shareholders & analysts for the year … · 2019-09-12 · AVI Limited presentation to shareholders & analysts for the six months ended 31 December 2016

INFORMATION SLIDE

Entyce: Revenue growth offset by higher input costs, mostly rooibos and weaker Rand

Snackworks: Revenue growth offset by higher input costs, mostly weaker Rand

I&J: Benefit of weaker Rand and lower fuel costs

Personal Care: Revenue growth offset by higher input costs, mostly weaker Rand

Spitz: Revenue growth offset by pressure from weaker Rand

Green Cross: Revenue growth offset by pressure from weaker Rand

Gross profit 8,0% up

2 550

2 650

2 750

2 850

2 950

3 050

3 150

2 893 64 78 48 13 17 11 3 124

H1F16

Entyce Snackworks I&J PersonalCare

Spitz Green Cross H1F17

R m

illio

n

Page 68: AVI Limited presentation to shareholders & analysts for the year … · 2019-09-12 · AVI Limited presentation to shareholders & analysts for the six months ended 31 December 2016

INFORMATION SLIDE Cash flows

-

200

400

600

800

1 000

1 200

1 400

1 600

1 800

2 000

1 669 -356 -289 -284 56 -80 -716

Cash fromoperations

Working capitaland other

Taxation Capitalexpenditure

Increase in netdebt

Net interest paid Dividends paid

R m

illio

n

Page 69: AVI Limited presentation to shareholders & analysts for the year … · 2019-09-12 · AVI Limited presentation to shareholders & analysts for the six months ended 31 December 2016

H1 F17 Rm

H1 F16 Rm

%

Revenue as stated 1 143,3 1 000,8 14,2

Foreign exchange (losses)/gains

recorded in S&A costs

(12,1)

32,8

(136,9)

1 131,2 1 033,6 9,4

INFORMATION SLIDE I&J revenue growth

Page 70: AVI Limited presentation to shareholders & analysts for the year … · 2019-09-12 · AVI Limited presentation to shareholders & analysts for the six months ended 31 December 2016

INFORMATION SLIDE I&J profit history – financial years

174 178

243 52 53

69

47 24

75

50

150

250

350

450

F14 F15 F16

R m

illio

n

Fishing Abalone Simplot

273 255

387

Simplot includes equity earnings and royalties for use of I&J brand

Page 71: AVI Limited presentation to shareholders & analysts for the year … · 2019-09-12 · AVI Limited presentation to shareholders & analysts for the six months ended 31 December 2016

Quota (tons) CY11 CY12 CY13 CY14 CY15 CY16 CY17

South African Total Allowable Catch (TAC) 131 847 144 742 156 088 155 308 147 500 147 500 139 561

% change in TAC 10,0 9,8 7,8 (0,5) (5,0) - (5,4)

I&J 36 906 40 515 43 689 43 471 41 223 41 245 37 125

% 28,0 28,0 28,0 28,0 27,9 28,0 26,6

INFORMATION SLIDE I&J fishing quota

CY17 reduction attributable to lower TAC (2 000 tons) and lower allocation of inshore rights (2 120 tons)

Page 72: AVI Limited presentation to shareholders & analysts for the year … · 2019-09-12 · AVI Limited presentation to shareholders & analysts for the six months ended 31 December 2016

Like-for-like metrics* H1 F17 H1 F16

Number of stores 70 70

Turnover (Rm) 819,3 811,1

Average & closing m2 18 108 18 203

Trading Density (R/m2) 45 247 44 558

Spitz H1 F17 H1 F16

Number of stores 75 75

Turnover (Rm) 851,1 832,9

Average m2 19 633 19 239

Trading Density (R /m2) 43 353 43 298

Closing m2 19 544 19 376

INFORMATION SLIDE Trading space and trading density

* Based on stores trading for the entire current and prior periods.

Page 73: AVI Limited presentation to shareholders & analysts for the year … · 2019-09-12 · AVI Limited presentation to shareholders & analysts for the six months ended 31 December 2016

Like-for-like metrics* H1 F17 H1 F16

Number of stores 28 28

Turnover (Rm) 103,3 100,6

Average & closing m2 3 511 3 612

Trading Density (R/m2) 29 413 27 864

Kurt Geiger H1 F17 H1 F16

Number of stores 33 33

Turnover (Rm) 118,5 109,9

Average m2 4 183 4 095

Trading Density (R /m2) 28 338 26 816

Closing m2 4 087 4 156

INFORMATION SLIDE Trading space and trading density

* Based on stores trading for the entire current and prior periods.

Page 74: AVI Limited presentation to shareholders & analysts for the year … · 2019-09-12 · AVI Limited presentation to shareholders & analysts for the six months ended 31 December 2016

Like-for-like metrics* H1 F17 H1 F16

Number of stores # 29 29

Turnover (Rm) 111,9 108,0

Average m2 3 586 3 574

Trading Density (R/m2) 31 200 30 224

Closing m2 3 586 3 574

Green Cross H1 F17 H1 F16

Number of stores # 39 34

Turnover (Rm) 138,6 118,1

Average m2 4 839 3 941

Trading Density (R /m2) 28 640 29 973

Closing m2 4 896 4 097

INFORMATION SLIDE Trading space and trading density

* Based on stores trading for the entire current and prior periods # including value stores

Page 75: AVI Limited presentation to shareholders & analysts for the year … · 2019-09-12 · AVI Limited presentation to shareholders & analysts for the six months ended 31 December 2016

Period End

Spitz Kurt Geiger Green Cross

# of stores Closing m² # of stores Closing m² # of stores Closing m²

June 2007 38 10,397 1 128

December 2007 46 12,974 3 346

June 2008 51 14,095 3 346

December 2008 57 15,448 3 346

June 2009 56 15,595 3 346

December 2009 56 15,220 3 346

June 2010 56 15,012 3 346

December 2010 57 15,124 7 1,047

June 2011 57 14,991 15 1,910

December 2011 59 15,240 22 2,922 29 3,304

June 2012 61 15,662 26 3,507 30 3,382

December 2012 64 16,586 31 4,113 30 3,382

June 2013 64 16,586 30 3,751 30 3,382

December 2013 67 17,156 32 3,960 30 3,382

June 2014 70 17,813 32 3,880 31 3,517

December 2014 72 18,342 33 3,978 30 3,423

June 2015 74 19,144 29 3,677 30 3,529

December 2015 75 19,376 33 4,156 34 4,097

June 2016 76 19,726 34 4,266 38 4,697

December 2016 75 19,544 33 4,087 39 4,896

INFORMATION SLIDE Closing number of stores and trading space at the end of each period

Page 76: AVI Limited presentation to shareholders & analysts for the year … · 2019-09-12 · AVI Limited presentation to shareholders & analysts for the six months ended 31 December 2016