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Future Growth Led by rising demand of annuity insurance through government support

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Page 1: Australia Insurance market dominated by Household Insurance Industry: Ken research

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Page 2: Australia Insurance market dominated by Household Insurance Industry: Ken research

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TABLE OF CONTENTS

1. Asia-Pacific Insurance Industry

1.1. Industry Introduction

1.2. Asia-Pacific Insurance Market Size by Direct Written Premium, 2005-2012P

1.3. Asia-Pacific Insurance Market Segmentation

1.3.1. By Geography, 2005-2012P

1.3.2. By Life and Non Life, 2005-2012P

1.4. Asia-Pacific Insurance Industry Future Outlook

1.4.1. By Geography, 2013-2016

2. Australia Insurance Industry

2.1. Australia Insurance Value Chain

2.2. Australia Insurance Market Size by Direct Written Premium, FY’2005-FY’2012

3. Australia Insurance Government Regulations

4. Australia Life Insurance Market

4.1. Australia Life Insurance Market Size, FY’2005-FY’2012

4.2. Australia Life Insurance Market Future Outlook and Projection, FY’2013-FY’2016

5. Australia Non-Life Insurance Market

5.1. Australia Non-Life Insurance Market Size, FY’2005-FY’2012

5.2. Non-Life Insurance Segmentation, FY’2005-FY’2012

5.2.1. Australia Health Insurance Industry

5.2.1.1. Australia Health Insurance Market Size, FY’2005-FY’2012

5.2.1.2. Market Share of Major Health Insurers in Australia, FY’2012

5.2.1.3. Australia Health Insurance Market Future Outlook and Projection, FY’2013-FY’2016

5.2.2. Australia Motor Vehicle Insurance Industry

5.2.2.1. Australia Motor Vehicle Insurance Market Size, FY’2005-FY’2012

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5.2.2.2. Motor Vehicle Insurance Segmentation, FY’2005-FY’2012

5.2.2.3. Market Share of Major Motor Vehicle Insurers in Australia, FY’2012

5.2.2.4. Australia Motor Vehicle insurance Market Future Outlook and Projection, FY’2013-FY’2016

5.2.3. Australia Household Insurance Industry

5.2.3.1. Australia Household Insurance Market Size, FY’2005-FY’2012

5.2.3.2. Market Share of Major Household Insurers in Australia, FY’2012

5.2.3.3. Australia Household Insurance Market Future Outlook and Projection, FY’2013-FY’2016

5.2.4. Australia Liability Insurance Industry

5.2.4.1. Australia Liability Insurance Market Size, FY’2005-FY’2012

5.2.4.2. Liability Insurance Segmentation, FY’2005-FY’2012

5.2.4.3. Australia Liability insurance Market Future Outlook and Projection, FY’2013-FY’2016

5.2.5. Australia Fire and ISR Insurance Industry

5.2.5.1. Australia Fire and ISR Insurance Market Size, FY’2005-FY’2012

5.2.5.2. Australia Fire and ISR Insurance Market Future Outlook and Projection, FY’2013-FY’2016

5.2.5.3. Market Share of Major Non Life Insurers in Australia, FY’2012

5.3. Australia Non-Life Insurance Market Future Outlook and Projection, FY’2013-FY’2016

6. Australia Insurance Industry Trends and Developments

7. Asia-Pacific Insurance Industry Future Outlook

7.1. Asia-Pacific Insurance Industry Future Projections

7.2. By Geography, 2013-2016

8. Australia Insurance Industry Future Projections, FY’2013-FY’2016

8.1. Cause and Effect Relationship Between Dependent and Independent Factors Prevailing in Australia Insurance Market

9. Company Profile of Major Players in Australia Life Insurance Industry

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10. Company Profile of Major Players in Australia Non-Life Insurance Industry

10.1. Suncorp Group

10.1.1. Company Profile

10.1.2. Business Strategies

10.1.3. Financial Performance

10.2. Insurance Australia Group

10.2.1. Company Profile

10.2.2. Business Strategies

10.2.3. Financial Performance

11. Australia Insurance Industry Macro-Economic Indicators: Historical and Projections

11.1. Australia Population, 2005-2016

11.2. GDP of Australia, 2005-2016

11.3. Healthcare Expenditure of Australia, 2005-2016

11.4. Total number of Vehicle in Use in Australia, 2005-2016

12. Appendix

12.1. Market Definitions

12.2. Abbreviations

12.3. Research Methodology

Data Collection Methods

Approach

Variables (Dependent and Independent)

Multi Factor Based Sensitivity Model

Final Conclusion

12.4. Disclaimer

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LIST OF FIGURES

Figure 1: Asia-Pacific Insurance Market Size on the Basis of Direct Written Premium in USD Million, 2005-2012P

Figure 2: Asia-Pacific Insurance Market Segmentation by Life and non Life on the Basis of Direct Written Premium in Percentage, 2005-2012P

Figure 3: Insurance Value Chain

Figure 4: Australia Insurance Market Size on the Basis of Direct Written Premium in USD Million, FY’2005-FY’2012

Figure 5: Australia Life Insurance Market Size on the Basis of Direct Written Premium in USD Million, FY’2005-FY’2012

Figure 6: Australia Life Insurance Market Projections on the Basis of Direct Written Premium in USD Million, FY’2013-FY’2016

Figure 7: Australia Non Life Insurance Market Size on the Basis of Direct Written Premium in USD Million, FY’2005-FY’2012

Figure 8: Australia Non life Insurance Market Segmentation by Health, Motor Vehicle, Household, liability, Fire and ISR and Others on the Basis of Direct Written Premium in Percentage, FY’2005-FY’2012

Figure 9: Australia Health Insurance Market Size on the Basis of Direct Written Premium in USD Million, FY’2005-FY’2012

Figure 10: Market Share of Major Non Life Insurers on the Basis of Number of Policies in Percentage, FY’2012

Figure 11: Australia Health Insurance Market Projections on the Basis of Direct Written Premium in USD Million, FY’2013-FY’2016

Figure 12: Australia Motor Vehicle Insurance Market Size on the Basis of Direct Written Premium in USD Million, FY’2005-FY’2012

Figure 13: Australia Motor Vehicle Insurance Market Segmentation by Domestic, CTP and Commercial Motor Vehicle Insurance on the Basis of Direct Written Premium in Percentage, FY’2005-FY’2012

Figure 14: Market Share of Major Motor Vehicle Insurers on the Basis of Direct Written Premium in Percentage, FY’2012

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Figure 15: Australia Household Insurance Market Size on the Basis of Direct Written Premium in USD Million, FY’2005-FY’2012

Figure 16: Market Share of Major Household Insurers on the Basis of Direct Written Premium in Percentage, FY’2012

Figure 17: Australia Household Insurance Market Projections on the Basis of Direct Written Premium in USD Million, FY’2013-FY’2016

Figure 18: Australia Liability Insurance Market Size on the Basis of Direct Written Premium in USD Million, FY’2005-FY’2012

Figure 19: Australia Liability Insurance Market Segmentation by Public and Product Liability, Employers Liability and Professional Indemnity Insurance on the Basis of Direct Written Premium in Percentage, FY’2005-FY’2012

Figure 20: Australia Fire and ISR Insurance Market Size on the Basis of Direct Written Premium in USD Million, FY’2005-FY’2012

Figure 21: Australia Fire and ISR Insurance Market Projections on the Basis of Direct Written Premium in USD Million, FY’2013-FY’2016

Figure 22: Market Share of Major Non Life Insurers on the Basis of Direct Written Premium in Percentage, FY’2012

Figure 23: Australia Non life Insurance Market Projections on the Basis of Direct Written Premium in USD Million, FY’2013-FY’2016

Figure 24: Australia Insurance Market Projections on the Basis of Direct Written Premium in USD Million, FY’2013-FY’2016

Figure 25: Australia Non-Life Insurance Gross Written Premium of Suncrop Group in USD Million, FY’2011-FY’2012

Figure 26: Australia Non-Life Insurance Gross Written Premium of Insurance Australia Group in USD Million, FY’2005-FY’2012

Figure 26: Australia Population in Million, 2005-2016

Figure 27: GDP of Australia in USD Million, 2005-2016

Figure 28: Healthcare Expenditure of Australia in USD Million, 2005-2016

Figure 29: Total Number of Vehicle in Use in Australia in Million, 2005-2016

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LIST OF TABLES

Table 1: Asia-Pacific Insurance Market Segmentation by Countries on the Basis of Direct Written Premium in USD Billion, 2005-2012P

Table 2: Asia-Pacific Insurance Market Segmentation by Life and Non Life on the Basis of Direct Written Premium in USD Billion, 2005-2012P

Table 3: Asia-Pacific Insurance Market Projections by Countries on the Basis of Direct Written Premium in USD Million, 2013-2016

Table 3: Market Share of Major Non Life Insurers on the Basis of Number of Policies in Thousand Units, FY’2012

Table 4: Australia Motor Vehicle Insurance Market Segmentation by Domestic, CTP and Commercial Motor Vehicle Insurance on the Basis of Direct Written Premium in USD Million, 2005-2012

Table 6: Market Share of Major Motor Vehicle Insurers on the Basis of Direct Written Premium in USD Million, FY’2012

Table 7: Australia Motor Vehicle Insurance Market Projections on the Basis of Direct Written Premium in USD Million, FY’2013-FY’2016

Table 8: Market Share of Major Household Insurers on the Basis of Direct Written Premium in USD Million, FY’2012

Table 9: Australia Liability Insurance Market Segmentation by Public and Product Liability, Employers Liability and Professional Indemnity Insurance on the Basis of Direct Written Premium in USD Million, FY’2005-FY’2012

Table 10: Australia Liability Insurance Market Projections on the Basis of Direct Written Premium in USD Million, FY’2013-FY’2016

Table 11: Market Share of Major Non Life Insurers on the Basis of Direct Written Premium in USD Million, FY’2012

Table 12: Asia-Pacific Insurance Market Projections by Countries on the Basis of Direct Written Premium in USD Million, 2013-2016

Table 13: Cause and Effect Relationship Analysis between Industry Factors and Expected Industry Prospects of Australia Insurance Market

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Table 14: Company Profile of Major Players in Australia Life Insurance Industry, FY’2012

Table 15: Correlation Matrix of Australia Insurance Industry

Table 16: Regression Coefficients Output of Australia Insurance Industry

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ASIA-PACIFIC INSURANCE MARKET SIZE BY DIRECT WRITTEN PREMIUM, 2005-2012P

The insurance market in Asia-Pacific region has grown remarkably over the past few years due to the growth in the emerging markets such as China, Japan, India, Australia, Taiwan and South Korea. The countries in the Asia-Pacific region are at different stages of economic development unlike the European countries and the US which has created significant opportunities for the insurers in the region in order to serve the financial needs of the customers. The market in the region has grown at a CAGR of 11.9% from USD ~ million in 2005 to USD ~million in 2012…

Figure: Asia-Pacific Insurance Market Size on the Basis of Direct Written Premium in USD Million, 2005-2012P

0.0

2,00,000.0

4,00,000.0

6,00,000.0

8,00,000.0

10,00,000.0

12,00,000.0

14,00,000.0

16,00,000.0

2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012P

USD

Mill

ion

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China insurance industry is one of the predominant markets in the insurance industry in the Asia-Pacific region with a contribution of ~% of the direct written premium in the region in 2012.

ASIA-PACIFIC INSURANCE MARKET SEGMENTATION

BY GEOGRAPHY, 2005-2012P

Asia-Pacific insurance industry is majorly contributed by 6 major countries such as Japan, China, South Korea, Taiwan, India and Australia with the share of ~% in 2012. Japan insurance market

is the second largest in the world with the contribution of more than ~% in 2012…. The China insurance industry is one of the predominant markets in the insurance industry in the Asia-Pacific region with a contribution of ~% of the direct written premium in the region in 2012…

South Korea is the third largest market with a contribution of ~% in 2012. The country insurance sector is more

complicated with limited growth opportunities in comparison with the growing market in the region such as China and India…

Table: Asia-Pacific Insurance Market Segmentation by Countries on the Basis of Direct Written Premium in USD Billion, 2005-2012P

Countries 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012P

Japan

China

South Korea

Taiwan

India

Australia

Hong Kong

Singapore

Thailand

Malaysia

Indonesia

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New Zealand

Philippines

Vietnam

Pakistan

Kazakhstan

Bangladesh

Sri Lanka

Total

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AUSTRALIA INSURANCE INDUSTRY

AUSTRALIA INSURANCE MARKET SIZE BY DIRECT WRITTEN PREMIUM, FY’2005-FY’2012

….In FY’2012, there are ~ licensed insurance companies operating in Australia of which ~ were direct insurers and ~ were reinsurers….

The insurance market of Australia has experienced decline in the growth rate from ~% in FY’2011 to ~% in FY’2012... The industry has also experienced the decline in the solvency margin ratio from ~% in 2009 to ~% in 2012…

Figure: Australia Insurance Market Size on the Basis of Direct Written Premium in USD Million, FY’2005-FY’2012

Note:

FY ending- 30st June

Life Insurance is in Net Written Premium

Non-Life Insurance is in Gross Written Premium

0.0

20,000.0

40,000.0

60,000.0

80,000.0

1,00,000.0

1,20,000.0

FY'2005 FY'2006 FY'2007 FY'2008 FY'2009 FY'2010 FY'2011 FY'2012

USD

Mill

ion

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AUSTRALIA LIFE INSURANCE MARKET

AUSTRALIA LIFE INSURANCE MARKET FUTURE OUTLOOK AND PROJECTION, FY’2013-FY’2016

Under the base case scenario analysis, the life insurance market of Australia is expected to grow at a CAGR of 5.9% in the next four years and the market is predicted to record direct written premium of USD ~ million in FY’2016…

In the worst case scenario analysis, the life insurance market is predicted to record direct written premium of USD ~ million in FY’2016…

The best case scenario analysis assumes that the market is expected to grow at a strong CAGR of ~% from FY’2013-FY’2016…

Figure: Australia Life Insurance Market Projections on the Basis of Direct Written Premium in USD Million, FY’2013-FY’2016

Note: FY ending- 30st June

Life Insurance is in Net Written Premium

0.0

10,000.0

20,000.0

30,000.0

40,000.0

50,000.0

60,000.0

70,000.0

FY'2013 FY'2014 FY'2015 FY'2016

USD

Mill

ion

Worst Case Base Case Best Case

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AUSTRALIA NON-LIFE INSURANCE MARKET

AUSTRALIA NON-LIFE INSURANCE MARKET SIZE, FY’2005-FY’2012

The general insurance industry in Australia has experienced a growth of ~% with the direct written premium of USD ~ million in FY’2012 compared to USD ~ million in FY’2011. The growth in the market is primarily driven by an increase in the household and in the fire and industrial special risk class by ~% and ~% respectively in FY’2012.

In FY’2012, the industry’s gross incurred claim has reached to AUD ~ billion in comparison to AUD ~ billion in FY’2011 due to the reduced gross claims arising from the lower incidence and impact of natural disaster in the year.

Figure: Australia Non Life Insurance Market Size on the Basis of Direct Written Premium in USD Million, FY’2005-FY’2012

Note: FY ending- 30st June

Non-Life Insurance is in Gross Written Premium

0.0

10,000.0

20,000.0

30,000.0

40,000.0

50,000.0

60,000.0

FY'2005 FY'2006 FY'2007 FY'2008 FY'2009 FY'2010 FY'2011 FY'2012

USD

Mill

ion

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NON-LIFE INSURANCE SEGMENTATION, FY’2005-FY’2012

The Australian non life insurance industry is segmented into health insurance, automobile insurance, household insurance, liability insurance, fire and industrial special risk insurance and others. The health insurance segment is the leading contributor in the general insurance industry with the share of ~% and the direct written premium of USD 17,314.6 million in FY’2012.

The motor insurance industry is the second largest contributor in the general insurance industry of Australia contributing around ~% in FY’2012. The motor insurance industry in the country is further segmented into domestic, commercial and third party motor vehicle insurance…

Figure: Australia Non life Insurance Market Segmentation by Health, Motor Vehicle, Household, liability, Fire and ISR and Others on the Basis of Direct Written Premium in Percentage, FY’2005-FY’2012

Note: FY ending- 30st June

Non-Life Insurance is in Gross Written Premium

0.0%

10.0%

20.0%

30.0%

40.0%

50.0%

60.0%

70.0%

80.0%

90.0%

100.0%

FY'2005 FY'2006 FY'2007 FY'2008 FY'2009 FY'2010 FY'2011 FY'2012

In P

erce

ntag

e %

Others Fire and ISR Liability Household Motor Vehicle Health

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AUSTRALIA HEALTH INSURANCE INDUSTRY

MARKET SHARE OF MAJOR HEALTH INSURERS IN AUSTRALIA, FY’2012

The health insurance market in Australia is a concentrated market with the top five players such as Medibank, Bupa, Hospital Contribution Fund (HCF), HBF and NIB has contributed around ~% in FY’2012.

Medibank is the leading provider of health insurance service in the country with the share of ~% and number of policies is ~ thousand in FY’2012.

Figure: Market Share of Major Non Life Insurers on the Basis of Number of Policies in Percentage, FY’2012

Note: FY ending- 30st June

Medibank

Bupa

Hospital Contribution Fund (HCF)

HBF

NIB

Others

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Table: Market Share of Major Non Life Insurers on the Basis of Number of Policies in Thousand Units, FY’2012

Players FY’2012

Medibank

Bupa

Hospital Contribution Fund (HCF)

HBF

NIB

Others

Total

Note: FY ending- 30st June

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AUSTRALIA HOUSEHOLD INSURANCE INDUSTRY

AUSTRALIA HOUSEHOLD INSURANCE MARKET FUTURE OUTLOOK AND PROJECTION, FY’2013-FY’2016

The Australian household insurance is expected to grow at a CAGR of 13.1% in the next four years and is predicted to record direct written premium of USD ~ million in FY’2014…

Figure: Australia Household Insurance Market Projections on the Basis of Direct Written Premium in USD Million, FY’2013-FY’2016

Note: FY ending- 30st June

Household Insurance is in Gross Written Premium

0.0

2,000.0

4,000.0

6,000.0

8,000.0

10,000.0

12,000.0

14,000.0

FY'2013 FY'2014 FY'2015 FY'2016

USD

Mill

ion

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AUSTRALIA INSURANCE INDUSTRY TRENDS AND DEVELOPMENTS

RISING SALES OF ANNUITY INSURANCE THROUGH GOVERNMENT SUPPORT

In Australia, Superannuation Guarantee (SG) is an officially compulsory made by employers on the behalf of their employees...

ASIA-PACIFIC INSURANCE INDUSTRY FUTURE OUTLOOK

…Overall, the market of the Asia-Pacific insurance is expected to grow at a CAGR of 11.2% from 2013-2016. The market in the near future is expected to witness consolidation and higher competition level with the entrance of more global players in the market…

ASIA-PACIFIC INSURANCE INDUSTRY FUTURE PROJECTIONS

BY GEOGRAPHY, 2013-2016

The Asia-Pacific Insurance industry is expected to grow at a CAGR of 11.2% from 2013-2016 on account of the rising population in the emerging markets of Asia such as India and China. It is anticipated that the total direct written premium of the insurance products will increase to USD ~ million in 2016 from USD ~ million in 2012.

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Table: Asia-Pacific Insurance Market Projections by Countries on the Basis of Direct Written Premium in USD Million, 2013-2016

Countries 2013 2014 2015 2016

Japan

China

South Korea

Taiwan

India

Australia

Hong Kong

Singapore

Thailand

Malaysia

Indonesia

New Zealand

Philippines

Vietnam

Pakistan

Kazakhstan

Bangladesh

Sri Lanka

Total

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AUSTRALIA INSURANCE INDUSTRY FUTURE PROJECTIONS, FY’2013-FY’2016

….Under the base case scenario analysis, the Australian insurance market is anticipated to grow at a CAGR of 9.1% from FY’2013-FY’2016 and is predicted to record direct written premium of USD ~ million in FY’2015.

The worst/conservative case scenario analysis assumes that the market will grow at a CAGR of 2.0% in the next four years…

The best case scenario analysis predicts that the industry will grow at a phenomenal CAGR of 12.1% from FY’2013-FY’2016 and is expected to register direct written premium of USD ~ million in FY’2016...

Figure: Australia Insurance Market Projections on the Basis of Direct Written Premium in USD Million, FY’2013-FY’2016

Note:

FY ending- 30st June

Life Insurance is in Net Written Premium

Non-Life Insurance is in Gross Written Premium

0.0

20,000.0

40,000.0

60,000.0

80,000.0

1,00,000.0

1,20,000.0

1,40,000.0

1,60,000.0

1,80,000.0

FY'2013 FY'2014 FY'2015 FY'2016

USD

Mill

ion

Worst Case Base Case Best Case

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CAUSE AND EFFECT RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN DEPENDENT AND INDEPENDENT FACTORS PREVAILING IN AUSTRALIA INSURANCE MARKET

Table: Cause and Effect Relationship Analysis between Industry Factors and Expected Industry Prospects of Australia Insurance Market

Industry Factors Market Impact Comments

Strict Government Regulations and Support

Cause: Positive Effect:

Increasing Population

Cause: Effect:.

Increasing Consumer Spending

Cause: Effect:.

Intensifying Competition

Cause: Positive Effect: Negative Effect:

DISCLAIMER

No part of this manual or any material appearing may be reproduced, stored in or transmitted on any other Web site without written permission of Ken Research and any payments of a specified fee. Requests to republish any material may be sent to us.