austin energy’s renewable energy and demand side management reza alaghehband, p.e. power system...
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Austin Energy’s Renewable Energyand
Demand Side Management
Reza Alaghehband, P.E.Power System Consulting Engineer, Austin Energy
EMS Users ConferenceSeptember 9, 2008
Atlanta, GA
Austin Energy
• Municipally Owned Electric Utility• 9th Largest Public Power• Serves > 388,000 Customers
(population of 900,000)• Area > 437 sq. miles• Serving COA (Travis Co. and
portion of Williamson Co)
Austin
Austin Energy
• No increase in base rates since 1994
• Generation 2,760 MW
• Peak Load ~2,500 MW
• ERCOT Member
Austin
Generation Capacity Ratio
• Coal (2 units) – 23%• Gas (12 units) – 52%• Nuclear (2 units) – 15% • Renewable – 10%
Austin
Transmission Portfolio
• 633 Miles Transmission
- 345 KV
- 138 KV
- 69 KV
Distribution Portfolio
• 10,560 Miles Distribution
- 35 KV
- 12.5 KV• 11 transmission substations• 57 distribution substations
ERCOT Market
• Non-Opt-In Entity (NOIE) – NO part in retail Market
• Qualified Scheduling Entity (QSE) – Submit bids, dynamic/static gen schedules, settle retail/wholesale gen resources with ERCOT according to EPS meters at tielines and gen. terminals
• Power Generation Entity (PGE)• Transmission and Distribution Service Provider
(TDSP)
Renewable Portfolio (Current)
• Wind (5 farms) – 274 MW (96%)• Biomass (2 Landfill site) – 12 MW (4%)• Solar – 2 MW
Total = 288 MW
Wind Provides 8% of
AE Power)
ERCOT New Generation Capacity
116
978 1,175
1,857
2,878
4,788
9,293
116
1,021470212197161
701
4,505
1,910
1,387817
0
2,000
4,000
6,000
8,000
10,000
1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008
Year
Win
d C
ap
acit
y I
nsta
lled
(M
W)
Incremental Wind Capacity Installed (MW)
Cumulative Wind Capacity Installed (MW)
Austin Climate Protection Plan
Will make Austin the national leader among cities in the fight against global warming.
Austin Climate Protection Plan
• Municipal Plan - Makes all COA facilities/fleets carbon neutral
• Homes and Buildings Plan - Makes Austin building codes most EE in nation
• “Go Neutral” Plan - Mechanisms for business to reduce carbon footprint to zero
• Community Plan – Develop complete plan for reducing GHG emissions from sources community-wide
• Utility (Austin Energy) Plan
• 30% renewables by 2020
• 700 MW of energy savings by 2020
• CO2 cap and reduction plan
• New generation carbon-neutral
• Enhance building codes for zero energy-capable homes by 2015
Utility (Austin Energy) Plan
Load Forecast & Conservation
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
3,000
3,500
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
Capacity (MW)
Nuclear Coal Nat. Gas Wind Solar Purch.Pwr PEAK LOAD FORECAST
238 MW short
Projected New Resources (in MW)
Year Coal/Nuclear Gas Biomass Wind Solar
2008 1,029 1,444 12 274 2
2009 100 165
2010 30
2011 (77)*100
2012 100
2013 200
2014 50 20
2015 100
2016 100
2017 (126)*200 20
2018
2019 50 30
2020 110
Total 1,029 1,744 212 (203) 1,049 102
Total Additional Resources 1,376 MW*Expiring wind contracts
Generic Load Shape Changes
Peak ClippingStrategic
Conservation Load Shifting
AE DSM Programs
DSM Cumulative Savings
Peak Clipping• Power
Partner
• A/C Cycling
• W/H Cycling
• Load Co-Op
• Aggregator
AE DSM Programs
Represent 35% of new DSM program mix
Power Saver Program
• FREE Energy Saving Products• Lower energy costs• 70,000 installed in homes, apartments• 10,000 installed in commercial buildings
Cycling A/C Thermostats Cycling Session, June 15, 2005
Forecast vs Actual Load
2100
2150
2200
1500 1600 1700 1800 1900 2000
Hour
MW
Forecast
Act Load
Curtailment Session Start
Curtailment Session Finish
2193-MW
2174-MW
Demand Response Program
Customer Type and Strategy• Residential A/C
– SuperStat®; 33% & 50% Cycling Strategy• Multi-Family A/C
– SuperStat; 33% Cycling Strategy• Multi-Family Water Heating
– Vaughn; 100% (digital timer)• Commercial A/C
– SuperStat®; 33% Cycling Strategy• Municipal & Government A/C
– SuperStat®; 33% Cycling Strategy & Set Point Limits
DR Program Implementation
• Power Partner - Automatic AC cycling by radio controlled thermostats. Participant AC’s are cycled for a 10 minute block per half hour. Total continuous MW reduction with full deployment ranges from 20-54 MW depending on temperature.
Availability:
June through September, Non-Holiday, weekdays from 1600 – 2000 with a target of 15 events per season
DR Program Implementation
• Load Coop - ~2.5 – 3 MW of load response. Load Coop customers are paid a capacity availability charge of $1.25/kW month and a curtailed energy charge of $0.15/kW based on deployment
Availability:
June through September, between 1200 – 2000 limit for a fixed block of 3 hours per day, up to 15 days or 45 total hours per season with no more than 3 consecutive activations
Demand Response Program
DR Events
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007
Peak Day: June 2, 2005
Demand Response June 15, 2005
June 15, 2005
Demand Response Program Impact on AE System Load
AE Load Curve July 2004
1850
1870
1890
1910
1930
1950
1970
1990
2010
2030
2050
15:3
0:0
0
15:3
8:2
8
15:4
6:5
6
15:5
5:2
4
16:0
3:5
2
16:1
2:2
0
16:2
0:4
8
16:2
9:1
6
16:3
7:4
4
16:4
6:1
2
16:5
4:4
0
17:0
3:0
8
17:1
1:3
6
17:2
0:0
4
17:2
8:3
2
17:3
7:0
0
17:4
5:2
8
17:5
3:5
6
18:0
2:2
4
18:1
0:5
2
18:1
9:2
0
18:2
7:4
8
18:3
6:1
6
18:4
4:4
4
18:5
3:1
2
19:0
1:4
0
19:1
0:0
8
19:1
8:3
6
19:2
7:0
4
MW
6-Jul / No Cycling
7-Jul / Cycling
8-Jul / Cycling
Demand Response Program Impact on AE System Load
AE Load Load Curve Aug 2004
2050
2100
2150
2200
2250
2300
15:3
015
:40
15:5
016
:00
16:1
016
:20
16:3
016
:40
16:5
017
:00
17:1
017
:20
17:3
017
:40
17:5
018
:01
18:1
118
:21
18:3
118
:41
18:5
119
:01
19:1
119
:21
MW
2-Aug / Cycling
3-Aug / Cycling
4-Aug / No Cycling
Demand Response Program Impact on AE System Load
AE Load Curve June 2005
1900
1950
2000
2050
2100
2150
2200
2250
15:0
0:00
15:1
3:00
15:2
6:00
15:3
9:00
15:5
2:00
16:0
5:00
16:1
8:00
16:3
1:00
16:4
4:00
16:5
7:00
17:1
0:00
17:2
3:00
17:3
6:00
17:4
9:00
18:0
2:00
18:1
5:00
18:2
8:00
18:4
1:00
18:5
4:00
19:0
7:00
19:2
0:00
19:3
3:00
19:4
6:00
19:5
9:00
MW
June 14 / Cycling
June 15 / No Cycling
Aggregator Program
Types of Participants• Energy management companies• Large chain stores – central energy management
systems• Minimum 3 sites bundled
– 10 kW per site minimum– Self-aggregator 30 kW minimum
Aggregator Program
Curtailment Events• 4 events per summer minimum (once/month)• 15 events per summer - anticipated
Time Period • June 01 – September 31• Monday - Friday only• No holidays or weekends• Between 3 pm to 8 pm• Event maximum duration – 3 hours
Aggregator Program
Set-Up Incentive
• If no automation equipment/software exists, – $40/ton up to $10,000 for existing HVAC or
refrigeration equipment• Ex: $40/ton x 150 tons = $6,000
If automation equipment/software does exist,– $20/ton up to $5,000 for existing HVAC or
refrigeration equipment• Up to 50% and 500 tons
Aggregator Program
Performance (Energy) Incentive
• $0.24 per delivered kWh– Ex: 20 kW x 3 hours x $0.24/kWh = $14.40
• AE’s energy incentive not to fall below the $0.24 per kWh
• Minimum 4 energy payments per summer
Demand Side Management (DSM)
Daily Peaks - 2006
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2400
1 5 9 13 17 21 25 29 3 7 11 15 19 23 27 31 4 8 12 16 20 24 28 1 5 9 13 17 21 25 29
Ne
t to
Sy
ste
m L
oa
d (
MW
)
Projected Peak 60 MW
Peak
Peak Reduction17th ERCOT Peak, 2420
Strategic Conservation•Total Home Efficiency•Small Business Efficiency•Green Building•Appliance Efficiency•Multi-family Rebates•Commercial Rebates•Refrigerator Recycling•Free Weatherization•Municipal Conservation•Air Duct Sealing
AE DSM Programs
Represents 65% of new DSM program mix
Promoting Energy Efficiency
• Cash rebates that pay 20 – 30% of cost • Up to 70% buy-down incentives for Small Business• Direct install measures• Free home and business energy audits• Low-income Free Weatherization• Engineering Feasibility studies• Inter-agency agreements• Utility Key Account representatives• Newsletter / Mail outs
Commercial Rebates Summary of Technologies
• EE Lighting retrofits• Air Conditioning Unit• Solar Film/Screens • Ceiling/Roof
Insulation• Reflective Roof
Coatings
• Premium Efficiency Motor
• Variable Frequency Drives (VFD’s)
• Retro commissioning• Thermal Cool Storage• Custom technologies
Commercial Rebates Summary of Lighting Technologies
• T-8 & T-5 High Efficiency Lighting Systems • Compact Fluorescent Lamps (CFL’s) • LED (Light Emitting Diode) Exit Signs • Incandescent to Fluorescent Conversions • New building designs• Re-lamping & Re-ballasting of Existing Fluorescent Fixtures • High-Bay Fluorescent Systems • Lighting Controls (occupancy sensors)
Electronically Commutated Motors (ECM)
• Emerging Technology for Refrigeration Fans– Replaces Shaded Pole and Permanent Split
Capacitor• Reduced energy consumption to 60%• Relatively Simple Retrofit• Typical Paybacks Range from 2 to 3 years
Large Grocery Chain Retrofit
Retrofit currently under way
– 22 Locations in Austin area
– Fans per location store ~ 200 fan/motors
– Energy Cost Savings ~$10,000 /location/yr
High Bay Fluorescent Retrofit
Manufacturing Facility
Converted (514) 400-watt HID lamps to 4-lamp 240-watt T5 HO Fluorescents
Annual Cost Savings: $43,812
Project Cost: $122,800
Utility rebate: $33,153 (27% of job cost)
Payback was 2 years
Solar Rebate Program
Up to 30% Savings
• 100 Mega-watts of solar by
2020
• Rebates among the largest• Encourage installations on
homes & businesses.• Demonstrations in Schools• Demonstrations in City buildings
Free Home Weatherization
Energy Improvements:
• Attic Insulation• Duct Sealing• Install CFLs• Installing Solar Screens• Caulking and Weather-stripping• Free Smoke & Carbon Monoxide Detector • Minor Energy Related Repairs
Energy Conservation in Public Facilities
Senate Bill 5 Energy Use vs. Energy Cost
295
300
305
310
315
320
325
330
335
340
345
350
Base Year2001
2002 2003 2004 2005 2006
Gig
aw
att-h
ours
22.0
23.0
24.0
25.0
26.0
27.0
28.0
29.0
30.0
Mill
ion D
olla
rs
Million kWh Cost
Strategic Conservation
• Municipal Energy Conservation Program
• Traffic Signal Conversion to LED
• 5,500 traffic signals
Existing incandescent lamps 135 watts New LED lamps 15 watts Energy savings per lamp 120 watts
90% energy reduction
Load Shifting
•Time-of-Use Rate
•Thermal Cool Storage Systems
AE DSM Programs
Load Shifting - Thermal Storage Austin-Bergstrom International Airport - July 1999
12 AM2 AM
4 AM6 AM
8 AM10 AM
12 PM
2 PM
4 PM
6 PM
8 PM
10 PM
1
4
7
10
13
16
19
22
25
28
31
0
500
1000
1500
2000
2500
Day of Month
Time of day
Central Plant Demand (kW)
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
0% 10% 20% 30% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90%
% of Yearly Hours
MW
s G
en
erat
ed
Top 160 MW is used 40 hours per year
DSM OpportunityAE System Duration Curve -2004
Program Area ExpendituresCost / kW
Saved
Commercial $ 6,406,040 $ 327
Residential $ 6,205,155 $ 483
Demand Response $ 4,852,074 $ 295
Free Weatherization $ 600,084 $ 953
Solar $ 2,637,453 $ 4,221
Grand Total $ 20,532,076 $ 410
2007 DSM Expenditures
Capital Cost – New GenerationCapital Cost – New Generation
Power PlantPower Plant Cost/kWCost/kW
• Natural Gas – Combined Cycle $750
• Pulverized Coal
$1,549
• Nuclear $3,000 $3,000
Source – National Energy Technology Lab (NETL)Source – National Energy Technology Lab (NETL)
Residential Power Saver15% Energy Savings
Typical Home Size: 2,000 Sq. Ft.Pre-Retrofit = 17,960 kWhPost- Retrofit = 15,360 kWh kWh Savings = 2,600 kWh Cost Savings = $273
Cash Flow Projection of DSM
FY05 Forecast DSM Analysis 2007 2008
Base Revenue Reduction $12,000,000 $16,000,000
Fuel Revenue Reduction $13,000,000 $15,000,000
Customer Savings (Bill Reduction) $25,000,000 $31,000,000
Cash Flow Projection of DSM
DSM Analysis 2007 2008
Customer Savings (Bill Reduction) (25,000,000) (31,000,000) Fuel Cost Reduction 13,000,000 15,000,000 Potential Off-system Capacity Sales 9,000,000 TCOS Expense Reduction 900,000 1,000,000 GFT Reduction 2,000,000 3,000,000 Program Cost (23,000,000) (23,000,000) Recovery through Base Rates 15,000,000 15,000,000
AE's Net Income Impact (8,100,000) (20,000,000) Deferred Cost of Capacity 12,000,000 AE's Net Cash Impact (8,100,000) (8,000,000)
2005 Forecast
Cost-Effectiveness Tests (Benefits $ / Costs $ > 1)
• The Participant Test = NPV ofSavings on electric bill + financial rebateCustomer’s additional cost incurred to participate
• The Utility Test = NPV ofAvoided (fuel + power plant operating & maintenance + capacity cost)DSM program administrative cost + financial rebates
• Ratepayer Test = NPV ofAvoided (fuel + power plant operating & maintenance + capacity cost)DSM program administrative cost + financial rebates + revenue losses
• The Total Resource Test = NPV ofAvoided ( fuel + power plant operating & maintenance + capacity cost)DSM administrative cost + Customer’s additional cost incurred
Thank You!!!