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SECED 2015 Conference: Earthquake Risk and Engineering towards a Resilient World 9-10 July 2015, Cambridge UK ASSESSING THE IMPACT OF LOCAL GEOLOGY ON GROUND MOTION AMPLIFICATION IN SOUTH EAST ENGLAND David BOON 1 , Susanne SARGEANT 2 , Mike RAINES 3 , Ben DASHWOOD 4 , David MORGAN 3 and David GUNN 4 Abstract Standard methods for modelling the impact of near surface geology on ground motion, such as SHAKE91 (Idriss & Sun, 1992), require knowledge of the shear wave velocity profile of the subsoil. While field gathered velocity profiles provide the optimum input to this type of analysis, invasive investigation methods, such as seismic cone penetrator, may not always be efficient due to cost and access (Anderson et al., 2007). Non-invasive, surface-wave methods do not always achieve the depth of investigation required, and in the absence of field data shear velocities can be estimated using physical property relationships. Alternatively, deeper geophysical investigation using the H/V spectral ratio technique on ambient vibrations can be used to obtain site velocity profiles (SESAME 2004). We have used a combination of these methods to assess stratigraphic controls on site characteristics and ground motion amplification in South East England. Introduction Ground motion amplification is very well known and can be expected wherever unconsolidated sediments overlie consolidated, crystalline or cemented bed rock. A horizontally layered sequence where the shear wave velocity and / or density increase with depth will produce ground motion amplification. Thus alluvial basins, deltas, and lake deposits are places where one would expect ground motion amplification during earthquake induced ground motion (Aki & Larner 1970, Murphy et al., 1971). The recent earthquake sequence near Folkestone in 2007 suggested site conditions may have led to ground motion amplification (Sargeant et al., 2008) and a wider appreciation of these phenomena is required for UK seismic hazards assessments, particularly for sensitive structures. A key step in the study of ground motion amplification is the construction of a geological profile and associated density and shear wave velocity structures that are consistent with the expected geology. While such structures are best informed using invasive ground investigation and geophysical survey, for the purposes of initial desk study, simpler methods of property attribution can also be appropriate. Jackson et al. (2004) applied the depth controlled density profiles and effective stress controlled shear wave velocity relationships developed by Gunn et al. (2003) to marine geological sequences in a study of seismic loading on submarine landslide factors of safety. Similarly, ground motion studies can be undertaken, for example using SHAKE 91, provided plausible geological models can be attributed with geophysical properties using appropriate relationships for onshore sequences. This paper presents a case history in SE England showing how the rapid H/V spectral ratio technique (SESAME 2004) can be used in combination with simple attribution models to produce plausible geophysical profiles for ground motion amplification desk study. 1 Mr., British Geological Survey, Cardiff, Wales, UK, [email protected] 2 Dr., British Geological Survey, Edinburgh, Scotland, UK 3 Mr., British Geological Survey, Nottingham, England, UK 4 Dr., British Geological Survey, Nottingham, England, UK

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SECED 2015 Conference: Earthquake Risk and Engineering towards a Resilient World 9-10 July 2015, Cambridge UK

ASSESSING THE IMPACT OF LOCAL GEOLOGY ON GROUND MOTION AMPLIFICATION IN SOUTH EAST ENGLAND

David BOON1, Susanne SARGEANT2, Mike RAINES3, Ben DASHWOOD4, David

MORGAN3 and David GUNN4 Abstract Standard methods for modelling the impact of near surface geology on ground motion, such as SHAKE91 (Idriss & Sun, 1992), require knowledge of the shear wave velocity profile of the subsoil. While field gathered velocity profiles provide the optimum input to this type of analysis, invasive investigation methods, such as seismic cone penetrator, may not always be efficient due to cost and access (Anderson et al., 2007). Non-invasive, surface-wave methods do not always achieve the depth of investigation required, and in the absence of field data shear velocities can be estimated using physical property relationships. Alternatively, deeper geophysical investigation using the H/V spectral ratio technique on ambient vibrations can be used to obtain site velocity profiles (SESAME 2004). We have used a combination of these methods to assess stratigraphic controls on site characteristics and ground motion amplification in South East England. Introduction Ground motion amplification is very well known and can be expected wherever unconsolidated sediments overlie consolidated, crystalline or cemented bed rock. A horizontally layered sequence where the shear wave velocity and / or density increase with depth will produce ground motion amplification. Thus alluvial basins, deltas, and lake deposits are places where one would expect ground motion amplification during earthquake induced ground motion (Aki & Larner 1970, Murphy et al., 1971). The recent earthquake sequence near Folkestone in 2007 suggested site conditions may have led to ground motion amplification (Sargeant et al., 2008) and a wider appreciation of these phenomena is required for UK seismic hazards assessments, particularly for sensitive structures. A key step in the study of ground motion amplification is the construction of a geological profile and associated density and shear wave velocity structures that are consistent with the expected geology. While such structures are best informed using invasive ground investigation and geophysical survey, for the purposes of initial desk study, simpler methods of property attribution can also be appropriate. Jackson et al. (2004) applied the depth controlled density profiles and effective stress controlled shear wave velocity relationships developed by Gunn et al. (2003) to marine geological sequences in a study of seismic loading on submarine landslide factors of safety. Similarly, ground motion studies can be undertaken, for example using SHAKE 91, provided plausible geological models can be attributed with geophysical properties using appropriate relationships for onshore sequences. This paper presents a case history in SE England showing how the rapid H/V spectral ratio technique (SESAME 2004) can be used in combination with simple attribution models to produce plausible geophysical profiles for ground motion amplification desk study.

1 Mr., British Geological Survey, Cardiff, Wales, UK, [email protected] 2 Dr., British Geological Survey, Edinburgh, Scotland, UK 3 Mr., British Geological Survey, Nottingham, England, UK 4 Dr., British Geological Survey, Nottingham, England, UK

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Figure 1. Map of the study area.

Geology and seismicity of SE England Key bedrock geological features in SE England include the Weald and London sedimentary basins (Figure 1). The Weald Basin is filled with up to 2 km of Palaeozoic and Mesozoic sediments, and the London Basin contains a younger Mesozoic to Cenozoic sedimentary fill, including up to 320 m of stiff Palaeocene and Neogene sediments. The sedimentary fill in the London Basin consists of very dense non-cohesive soil, stiff cohesive soil (some contain very high plasticity clays, e.g. London Clay, Reading Beds) overlying NEHRP Class B ‘soft’ rock (Cretaceous Chalk). Much of the heavily populated low lying land in central London and the Thames Estuary is covered by 10-30 m of unconsolidated Quaternary deposits, including normally consolidated soft alluvium and dense river terrace gravels. In parts of central London soft alluvium overlies hard Chalk, whereas in the Thames Estuary soft estuarine alluvium overlies stiffer older alluvium and London Clay, and/or hard Chalk. In the Folkestone area there is a patchy cover of soft Quaternary deposits including alluvium, head, brickearth, and colluvium, but these sediments overly Cretaceous Chalk or Lower Greensand. The Tertiary and Cretaceous deposits have developed deep weathering profiles often producing an upper layer of soft clay or dense sand (clay-with-flints) developed above more competent bedrock. The bedrock under part of central Folkestone is predominantly soft mudstone or layered sand and sandstone. Much of the urban area within both basins has a patchy cover of several metres of soft Made Ground of variable composition and thickness. Although levels of seismicity in SE England are lower than in other parts of Britain, significant earthquakes have occurred including the Dover Straits 1382 and 1580 (~ 5¾ ML), Colchester 1884 (c. 4.6 ML) and Folkestone 2007 (4.3 ML) events. Historic accounts report that the upper parts of tall buildings (churches and castles) and areas along rivers and coastal areas were particularly affected in the 1382 and 1580 events (Melville et al., 1996), suggesting that ground motion was amplified by local ground conditions. In the case of the 2007 earthquake, Ottemöller et al. (2009) find site amplification at station TFO at 0.4 Hz and 3.9 Hz by applying the standard spectral ratio (SSR) technique to microtremor data. They conclude that this amplification likely led to the relatively high PGA that was observed here for this earthquake (0.1 g). The local ground conditions at TFO are however different from central Folkestone, where the majority of damage was reported (Sargeant et al., 2008). The majority of damage was in areas of layered sands and sandstone on the Folkestone Formation crop and clay and soft mudstone on the Gault Formation crop, though some head deposits and Made Ground is likely present in variable thickness across the area.

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Assessment methods We used the H/V spectral ratio technique on ambient vibrations, also called the Nakamura Technique (Nakamura, 1989), to map the fundamental period of sites in two areas of SE England: (i) central London and the Thames Estuary, within the London Basin, (ii) Folkestone and Elham, the former at the northern edge of the Weald Basin, the latter on the Kent Downs (Figure 1). We have interpreted the H/V curves to determine the fundamental frequency (ies) fo (and f1) of the sites and observe the H/V amplitude to provide a guide to the likely actual site amplification for the Fourier spectra. The H/V spectral ratios were measured during passive microtremor surveys using a single station, 3-component portable seismometer (TROMINO®). The curves were processed in Grilla software (MICROMED, 2012) and interpreted following the SESAME criteria (2004). In the London Basin urban H/V measurements were made at flat sites between Central London and the Thames Estuary. In central Folkestone measurements were made at several sites between the coastline and Elham up on the Kent Downs. The survey transects were oriented to cross principal geological features, such as geological boundaries likely to cause velocity contrasts, dipping beds, buried faults and synclines. Survey sites were typically parks and playing fields due to ease of access, although access to private gardens was gained in Folkestone by using an Internet Social Networking Website (Facebook). Deep borehole records from the BGS archive provided geological information and this was used to interpret the H/V curves and to model Vs profiles. We have also used the 1D equivalent non-linear analysis SHAKE91 (Idriss and Sun, 1992) to investigate the effect of local ground conditions on amplification at the Canvey Island site in London, as there is good geological information available. To develop the soil models at this site we use two low-cost approaches; a lithology based ‘effective-stress’ approach (Gunn et al, 2002, 2003), and interpreted H/V curves. Acceleration time series for a number of potential earthquake scenarios (Mw 4, 5.5, 6.5) were simulated using the stochastic approach of Boore (1983, 2003). In this paper we present initial results from H/V measurements from Canvey Island in the London Basin, and relate the mapped fundamental period(s) to the wider geological context. We also present initial SHAKE modelling results for a scenario Mw 6.5 Dover Strait earthquake at Canvey Island and briefly discuss the sensitivity of the ground motion models to the soil profile used. Initial H/V results and interpretation The single H/V curve from the Canvey Island deep borehole site (NGR 582252, 183260) is shown in Figure 2. The site is a deep soil site located in the Lower Thames Estuary positioned on the margin of the wedge shaped London Basin syncline, which dips gently to the north. The geology is well known from nearby boreholes. Interpretation of the H/V amplification spectra in Figure 2 indicates a multiple peak case suggesting that significant frequency dependent ground motion amplification occurs. The clear low frequency peak (fo) has an amplification ratio of >5 at ~0.6 Hz, does not have an industrial origin, and is likely to be associated with the c.210 m thick layer of stiff Palaeogene and Quaternary sedimentary deposits that overlie the harder Cretaceous Chalk bedrock. The second peak (f1) at 10 Hz is likely associated with a very shallow structure, probably the upper 4 m layer of very soft alluvium at the site proved in boreholes. Borehole records from close to the measurement site suggest a 40 m thick layer of unconsolidated Quaternary alluvium is present above stiffer London Clay bedrock (Over-consolidated clay) and we suggest this feature of the geology is causing the other secondary peak (f2) in amplification at around 2.5 Hz.

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Figure 2. H/V curve measured near the Canvey Island deep borehole site (above). The fundamental period, fo, and secondary peaks, f1,2, are labelled. The black lines are the standard deviation of the red curve, the pink line is the model curve; and interpreted depth-velocity profile modelled using geological

data from nearby borehole records and estimated density values (below). Soil Models: Canvey Island Two geology, lithology and S Velocity soil models were produced to represent the profile at Canvey Island and these are shown in Figure 3. The first model, Model A, is developed using empirical ‘effective stress’ lithology estimations (Gunn et al 2002, 2003) and geological information from nearby boreholes; the second is derived using interpreted H/V data (Fig. 2) with thickness constraint from borehole information and estimation of density (Fig. 2) based on analysis of BGS geotechnical database. The resulting velocity profiles are very different, with the ‘effective stress’ approach (Model A) producing (i) a thicker low velocity upper layer (ii) a slight velocity inversion at the base of the Quaternary deposits and (iii) a high velocity contrast at the Lambeth Group/Cretaceous Chalk boundary. The H/V based velocity model has (i) thin upper low velocity layer, (ii) fewer layers, (iii) averaged Vs values, (iv) resulting in an overly simplified ‘stepped’ profile with depth.

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Figure 3. Soil models for Canvey Island Deep Borehole Site. Model A was produced using ‘effective stress’ approach and geological data. Model B by interpretation of H/V data acquired at the site, and

geological information. Geology codes for Model A: ALV= Alluvium, LC=London Clay Formation, LMB=Lambeth Group, CHK=Cretaceous Chalk Groups; Lithology codes: [M]=Normally-consolidated mud; [S]=sand; [G]=Grave; [Z]=lightly over-consolidated clay; [Lst]=crystalline limestone. Lithology

property relationships used in Model A are after Gunn et al (2002, 2003). Amplification response spectra were produced for each soil velocity model using a scenario Dover Strait earthquake (6.5 Mw, 300 bar stress drop) and SHAKE91. Two stress drop scenarios were considered (30 bar and 300 bar) because some UK earthquakes, such as the 2008 Market Rasen earthquake, appear to be characterised by very high stress drop (Ottemöller and Sargeant, 2010). Figure 4a shows the results, which show differences in the amplification spectra depending on the soil model used, indicating that 1D ground motion amplification models are very sensitive to the input soil profile. Discussion The soil velocity model generated using the ‘effective stress’ approach (soil Model A, Figure 3) produced amplification ratios of 6 to 8 over the frequency range 0.5 – 2.5 Hz (Figure 4a). This characteristic is interpreted to be caused by a strong velocity contrast at depth, coincident with the Tertiary / Cretaceous Chalk geological boundary. The H/V based soil velocity model (soil Model B, Figure 3) produced an amplification ratio of 4.5 at around 10 Hz (Figure 4a). This response is likely caused by the shallow upper layer of soft Estuarine

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Alluvium resting directly on older stiffer Alluvium. The secondary peak in amplification (3-4) between 6 and 8 Hz is likely caused by the presence of stiff basal Alluvium resting on London Clay. The plot in Figure 4b shows Max Acceleration almost doubles in the upper 40 m, with most amplification occurring within the near-surface Alluvium layer. In this case the use of Vs30 parameter would not fully capture the potential amplification characteristics of the site because the base of the soft alluvial soil layer is deeper than 30 m. It is suggested that the H/V method is valid for preliminary estimation of Vs, but is not a robust estimation as the detail of the near surface (and hence higher frequency amplification) may not be resolvable. The ‘effective stress’ soil model is advantageous in that it (i) estimates the effect of stress on Vs - provided the layer thickness is thin enough to suitably represent the vertical variability in geology, (ii) it produced a more gradational Vs profile which is closer to in situ conditions, (iii) recognises velocity inversion. The weakness of the ‘effective stress’ method is that it relies on correct lithology-stress relationships being available for the geology in question, however the method is advantageous over H/V, SCPT and MASW for initial desk study purposes as it provides a reasonable soil model without the cost of field survey. However, field based surveys, using a combination of H/V, MASW and SCPT or crosshole, are still preferable for seismic micro-zonation studies.

Figure 4. (a) Calculated Amplification Spectra for Canvey Island site using simulated Mw 6.5 Dover Straits earthquake as input motion into SHAKE91 (5% damping); (b) Comparison of results from

SKAKE using different soil models. H/V based soil model caused significant increase in Max Acceleration in the upper 40m, within the soft alluvium layer. In contrast the ‘Effective Stress’ based

soil model produced a significant increase in Max Acceleration in the sandy Lambeth Group, dampening in the London Clay, and amplification in the softer alluvium layer. Both models show

significant amplification effect due to near surface geology. The spatial relationship between fundamental period and thickness of Tertiary and Quaternary deposits in the London Basin is demonstrated in Figure 5. The map shows that the low fundamental period(s) in the deeper part of the London Basin closely relate to the combined thickness of the Tertiary and Quaternary fill (above the Chalk Group). However, towards the edge of the basin (e.g. central London), the fundamental period of measured sites was more strongly controlled by the stiffness and thickness variation of the Quaternary deposits, particularly along the river in areas of alluvium, terrace gravels, and made ground, and also potentially where there is a well developed bedrock weathering profile (e.g. Clay with flints, brickearth, and Lambeth Group sands).

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Figure 5. Map showing measured H/V fundamental period and thickness of Canozoic (Quaternary and

Tertiary) sediments above Cretaceous Chalk. Inset top left shows epicentres and magnitudes of scenario earthquakes used to simulate ground motions in SHAKE.

Conclusion The study assesses the potential impact of local geological conditions on ground motion amplification in SE England. This example highlights that: (i) the H/V spectral ratio technique on ambient vibrations can be used in UK urban and suburban areas to estimate Vs in the top 30 m (Castellaro & Mulargia, 2009), but also shows that (ii) the Vs30 parameter cannot resolve the frequency dependent ground motion amplification behaviour likely to occur along river and coastal tracts (Castellaro et al., 2008). This study identified ‘deep soil’ alluvium sites in SE England, including parts of the Thames Estuary. The clear peaks (fo) in H/V curves from our study sites in the London Basin do not have an industrial origin, and the data suggest a large impedance contrast (>4) at depth. Away from the edge of the basin (e.g. onshore Thames Estuary and South Essex) the strong impedance contrast is strongly controlled by the Cretaceous Chalk/Tertiary geological boundary, and the frequency of the main peak on the H/V curves (fo) is generally controlled by the thickness of the Tertiary cover. Secondary peaks (f1,2) are also observed in the H/V curves which relate to the thickness of the Quaternary deposits, mainly alluvium and reclaimed/made ground. Ground amplification at multiple frequencies is therefore likely to occur along rivers, estuarine areas and reclaimed land in SE England during significant Dover Straits earthquake events and shallow local earthquakes. The ‘effective stress’ approach to estimating soil velocity structure is very useful for desk based studies, though it is reliant on the availability of robust empirical physical property relationships. Further work in the Weald Basin is underway to investigate supposed amplification effects during the 2007 Folkestone earthquake. Acknowledgements This paper is published with permission of the Executive Director of BGS, NERC. Thanks to Dr Ilaria Mosca for internal review and BGS/NERC National Capability funding (Geotechnical and Geophysical Properties and Processes and Earthquake Seismology Teams) for supporting this work. REFERENCES Aki K, and Larner KL (1970) Surface motion of a layered medium having an irregular interface due to incident plane SH Waves, J. Geophys. Res. 75 (5), 933-954.

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Anderson N, Thitimakorn T, Ismail A, Hoffman D (2007) A comparison of four geophysical methods for determining the shear wave velocity of soils, Environmental & Engineering Geoscience, Vol. XIII, No. 1, 11-23.

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