asean economic cooperation ministry of · pdf filemalaysia in the global economic ......
TRANSCRIPT
HOTEL TRADERS PENANG| 28 JUNE 2012
ASEAN ECONOMIC COOPERATION MINISTRY OF INTERNATIONAL TRADE AND INDUSTRY
The presentation will cover 3 main areas:
CONTENTS OF THE PRESENTATION
Malaysia in the Global Economic Environment
ASEAN as a Global Hub
AEC and its Implications to Malaysia
LEADING TRADING NATION
25 LARGEST EXPORTER (2011)
27 LARGEST IMPORTER (2011)
TOP 30 EXPORTER AND IMPORTER OF COMMERCIAL
SERVICES
MALAYSIA IN THE GLOBAL ECONOMIC ENVIRONMENT
FOREIGN TRADE POLICY
Committed to progressive liberalisation of the Malaysian economy and strong supporter of multilateral trading system (WTO)
China, Japan, Korea, India and New Zealand
Chile, Pakistan, India, New Zealand, Australia
EU, Transpacific Partnership Agreement (TPP), GCC and possibly with Korea and
Bangladesh
NATIONAL TRANSFORMATION
FTAs AND TRADING ARRANGEMENTS
ASEAN ECONOMIC COMMUNITY (AEC) 2015 & DYNAMIC ASIA
Ex
tern
al
Dim
en
sio
n
Government
Transformation
Programme (GTP)
Effective Delivery Of Government Services
Economic
Transformation
Programme (ETP)
New Economic Model – A High Income,
Inclusive & Sustainable Nation
Political Transformation
Repeal/Amendment Internal Security Act
(ISA) Printing Press Publication Act
(PPPA) Emergency Ordinance
January 2010 March 2010 September 2011
1960s
1970s
1980s
1990s 2000
Import Substitutio
n
Export-Oriented & Labour-Intensive
Resource-Based & Heavy
Industries
Economic Corridors &
Services
Technology Intensive
Innovation, ETP &
High Income 2011
MALAYSIA’S ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT JOURNEY
ASEAN AS A GLOBAL HUB
ASEAN ECONOMIC COMMUNITY (AEC) 2015
ASEAN CHARTER (ADOPTED DECEMBER 2008)
Shift from a consensus-based-approach to rules-based organisation.
Structured organisation to meet the emerging challenges to ensure ASEAN’s relevancy in the global environment.
Builds the concept of “ownership” by the people of ASEAN.
ASEAN AS A GLOBAL PLAYER
ASEAN CHINA INDIA
Population (million) 592 1,341 1,190
Land Area (million km2)
4.5 9.6 3.3
GDP (US$ billion) 1,859 5,980 1,600
GDP Per Capita (US$) 3,124 3,163 1,369
Exports (US$ billion) 1,074 1,510 245
Imports (US$ billion) 968 1,440 350
Exports as % of GDP 57.8 25.2 15.4
Imports as % of GDP 52.1 24.1 21.9
GDP Growth (%) 7.5 10.3 8.5
Source: ASEAN Secretariat (2010 Figures)
ASEAN’S EXTERNAL TRADE COUNTR
Y
EXPORT IMPORT TOTAL TRADE CHANGE 2008-
2010 (%)
2008 2009 2010 2008 2009 2010 2008 2009 2010
Brunei 7.8 5.9 8.3 1.3 1.1 1.2 9.1 7.0 9.5 4.4
Cambodia
4.0 4.3 4.8 2.8 2.4 3.2 6.9 6.7 8.0 15.9
Indonesia
109.8 91.9 124.4 88.2 69.1 88.5 198.0 161.0 212.9 7.5
Lao PDR 0.1 0.24 1.3 0.3 0.2 0.6 0.41 0.5 1.9 363.4
Malaysia 144.1 116.5 148.7 109.6 91.6 120.3 253.7 208.1 269.0 6.0
Myanmar 2.8 3.1 3.9 2.1 1.8 2.2 4.8 4.9 6.1 27.1
Philippines
42.0 32.5 39.9 42.3 34.0 42.0 84.3 66.5 81.9 (2.8)
Singapore
229.7 188.2 259.9 245.0 186.7 249.4 474.7 374.9 509.3 7.3
Thailand 135.5 120.0 151.0 147.7 107.0 143.1 283.2 227.0 294.1 3.8
Viet Nam 51.8 48.1 61.8 60.1 55.7 68.5 111.9 103.8 130.3 16.4
TOTAL 727.6 610.74 804.0 699.4 549.6 719.0 1,427.0 1,160.4 1,523.0 6.7
NOTE: ALL FIGURES ARE IN US$ BILLION
ASEAN’S INTERNAL TRADE
COUNTRY
EXPORT IMPORT TOTAL TRADE CHANGE 2008-
2010 (%)
2008 2009 2010 2008 2009 2010 2008 2009 2010
Brunei 2.5 1.1 1.2 1.2 1.3 1.2 3.7 2.4 2.4 35.1
Cambodia
0.3 0.6 0.7 1.6 1.5 1.7 1.9 2.1 2.4 26.3
Indonesia
27.2 24.6 33.3 41.0 27.7 47.1 68.2 52.3 80.4 17.9
Lao PDR 0.7 1.0 3.6 1.49 1.48 1.42 2.2 2.5 5.02 128.8
Malaysia 50.4 40.4 50.6 34.7 31.7 45.0 85.1 72.1 95.6 12.3
Myanmar 3.9 3.2 3.7 1.7 2.1 2.0 5.6 5.3 5.7 1.8
Philippines
7.1 5.8 11.6 14.3 11.6 16.3 21.4 17.4 27.9 30.4
Singapore
108.5 81.6 111.3 74.8 59.0 78.7 183.3 140.6 190.0 3.7
Thailand 39.5 32.5 44.3 29.9 26.8 39.3 69.4 59.3 83.6 20.5
Viet Nam 10.0 8.6 10.3 19.5 13.6 16.3 29.5 22.2 26.6 (9.8)
TOTAL 250.1 199.4 270.3 220.2 176.8 249.0 470.3 376.2 519.62 10.5
NOTE: ALL FIGURES ARE IN US$ BILLION
FDI FLOWS TO ASEAN BY COUNTRY OF ORIGIN
SOURCE 2006 2007 2008 2009 CUMULATIVE
(2006–2009)
Japan 10,715.3 9,540.2 4,657.8 5,308.4 30,217.7
USA 3,112.2 5,077.4 5132.6 3,357.7 16,679.9
Canada -646.4 -166.9 799.4 310.9 297.0
EU 8,744.5 14,055.1 9520.1 7,297.2 39,616.9
China 1,071.8 1,097.0 2109.5 1,509.5 5,787.8
India -284.6 681.6 698.6 983.6 2079.2
Korea 1,304.0 2,757.8 1583.5 1,421.8 7,067.1
Australia 295.1 989.5 919.7 700.9 2,905.2
New Zealand -254.3 44.6 (165.1) 239.9 -134.9
ASEAN 7,946.9 9,502.2 10,461.5 4,428.9 28,354.3
Others 17,511.7 17,967.6 13,694.1 13,898.8 63,072.2
TOTAL 50,343.7 62,299.7 49,411.7 39,457.6 215,742.4
NOTE: ALL FIGURES ARE IN US$ MILLION
FDI INFLOWS INTO ASEAN
HOST COUNTRY
2007 2008 2009 2010 CUMMULATIVE
(2007-2010) Brunei Darussalam
260 239 370 629 1,498
Cambodia 867 815 539 783 3,004
Indonesia 6,928 9,318 4,877 13,304 34,427
Lao PDR 324 228 319 333 1,214
Malaysia 8,538 7,248 1,381 9,156 26,323
Myanmar 715 976 579 N/A 2,270
Philippines 2,916 1,544 1,963 1,713 8,136
Singapore 37,033 8,589 15,279 35,520 96,421
Thailand 11,330 8,539 4,976 6,320 31,165
Viet Nam 6,739 9,579 7,600 8,000 31,918
ASEAN Total 75,650 47,076 37,881 75,758 236,365
NOTE: ALL FIGURES ARE IN US$ MILLION
ASEAN POPULATION & DIALOGUE PARTNERS
ASEAN IN THE GLOBAL ECONOMY 2010 (GDP)
ASEAN
$1,859b
China
$5,750b
Japan
$5,068b
India
$1,430b
Australia
and New
Zealand
$1,354. b
ROK
$986.2b
Source : ASEAN Secretariat 17
ASEAN GLOBAL CONNECTIVITY
ASEAN COMMUNITY 2015
MAIN COMPONENTS OF AEC
Single Market and Production
Base
Equitable Economic
Development
Competitive Economic
Region
Integration into the Global
Economy
4 Main Pillars :
Human Resource Development Research and Development
Free flow of goods
SINGLE MARKET AND
PRODUCTION BASE
Free flow of
services
Free flow of
investment
Freer flow of
capital
Free flow of skilled
labor
Priority Integration
Sectors
Food, Agriculture and
Forestry
EQUITABLE
ECONOMIC
DEVELOPMENT
Initiative for
ASEAN Integration
(IAI)
SME development
INTEGRATION INTO
THE GLOBAL
ECONOMY
Coherent
Approach towards
External Economic
Relations
Enhanced
participation in
global supply
networks
COMPETITIVE
ECONOMIC
REGION
Competition policy
Intellectual
Property Rights
Infrastructure
development
Taxation
e-Commerce
Consumer
Protection
ASEAN ECONOMIC COMMUNITY
Strategic Schedule
MAIN ELEMENTS OF AEC
AEC KEY PRIORITIES
AEC initiatives are on track and member states are
committed towards achieving AEC in 2015
Enhancing physical & non-physical connectivity –
Aviation, maritime & land transport
Integration of the services sector
Enhancing trade facilitation – operationalization of the
ASEAN Single Window
Elimination of non-tariff barriers
Promoting inclusive and sustainable growth – SME
development
Enhancing regional economic partnership with dialogue
partners – ASEAN+FTAs
ASEAN-6 : 0% Tariff
(2010)
CLMV : 0-5% Tariff
(2015)
FREE FLOW OF GOODS
- to enhance and strengthen
cooperation among service
suppliers in ASEAN; and
Signed in 1995
- progressively liberalise
trade in services among
ASEAN countries through
reduction / elimination of
restrictions.
FREE FLOW OF SERVICES
Value US$ Million
PRIORITY SECTORS
NON-PRIORITY SECTORS
e-ASEAN (ICT),
Tourism, Healthcare
Logistics
End date for Liberalisation
2010 2013 2015
Foreign (ASEAN) equity participation
- 49% by 2006
- 51% by 2008
- 70% by 2010
- 49% by 2008 - 51% by 2010 - 70% by 2013
- 30% by 2006 - 49% by 2008 - 51% by 2010 - 70% by 2015 * construction:
not less than 51% by 2006
EQUITY TARGETS AND PARAMETERS
MRA DOWNLOAD SIGNING DATE &
VENUE
Engineering Services http://www.asean.org/18009.htm
9 December 2005, Kuala Lumpur,
Malaysia
Nursing Services http://www.asean.org/19210.htm
8 December 2006, Cebu, Philippines
Architectural Services http://www.asean.org/21137.pdf
19 November 2007, Singapore
Framework Agreement for the Mutual Recognition of Surveying Qualifications
http://www.asean.org/21137.pdf
MRAs
MRA DOWNLOAD SIGNING DATE &
VENUE
MRA Framework on Accountancy Services
http://www.asean.org/22225.htm
26 February 2009 Cha-am, Thailand
Medical Practitioners http://www.asean.o
rg/22231.htm
Dental Practitioners http://www.asean.o
rg/22228.htm
MRAs
Main objectives:
to create a free and open investment regime to achieve economic integration
A more comprehensive Agreement:
Covering 4 pillars i.e. liberalisation, protection, facilitation and promotion Inclusion of additional provisions Improvement of existing provisions
A total of 49 Articles, 2 Annexes, and 1 Schedule (reservation list of Member States)
ASEAN COMPREHENSIVE INVESTMENT AGREEMENT
(ACIA)
ASEAN to enhance cooperation in new
areas:
competition policy;
consumer protection;
intellectual property rights;
infrastructure development; and
taxation and e-commerce.
HIGHLY COMPETITIVE ECONOMIC REGION
ASEAN Community APSC AEC ASCC
Enhance rules and good governance for
ASEAN
Enhance integration and competitiveness
of ASEAN
Enhance the well-being and livelihood of ASEAN peoples
Narrowing the Development Gaps
People-to-People
Connectivity Physical
Connectivity
Institutional Connectivity
Resource Mobilisation
ASEAN Connectivity
ASEAN CONNECTIVITY
ASEAN CONNECTIVITY
KEY STRATEGIES TO ENHANCE PHYSICAL CONNECTIVITY
Strategy 1 Complete the ASEAN Highway Network
Strategy 2 Complete the implementation of the Singapore Kunming Rail Link (SKRL) project
Strategy 3 Establish an efficient and integrated inland waterways network
Strategy 4 Accomplish an integrated, efficient and competitive maritime transport system
Strategy 5 Establish integrated and seamless multimodal transport systems to make ASEAN the transport hub in the East Asia region
Strategy 6 Accelerate the development of ICT infrastructure and services in each of the ASEAN Member States
Strategy 7 Prioritise the processes to resolve institutional issues in ASEAN energy infrastructure projects
KEY STRATEGIES FOR ENHANCED
ASEAN CONNECTIVITY
KEY STRATEGIES TO ENHANCE PEOPLE-TO-PEOPLE CONNECTIVITY
Strategy 1 Promote deeper intra-ASEAN social and cultural understanding
Strategy 2 Encourage greater intra-ASEAN people mobility
KEY STRATEGIES FOR ENHANCED
ASEAN CONNECTIVITY
KEY STRATEGIES TO ENHANCE INSTITUTIONAL CONNECTIVITY
STRATEGY 1 Fully operationalise the three Framework Agreements on transport facilitation
STRATEGY 2 Implement initiatives to facilitate inter-state passenger land transportation
STRATEGY 3 Develop the ASEAN Single Aviation Market (ASAM)
STRATEGY 4 Develop an ASEAN Single Shipping Market
STRATEGY 5 Accelerate the free flow of goods within ASEAN region by eliminating barriers to merchandise trade within the region
STRATEGY 6 Accelerate the development of an efficient and competitive logistics sector, in particular transport, telecommunications and other connectivity-related services in the region
STRATEGY 7 Substantially improve trade facilitation in the region
STRATEGY 8 Enhance border management capabilities
STRATEGY 9 Accelerate further opening up of ASEAN Member States to investments from within and beyond the region under fair investment rules
STRATEGY 10 Strengthen institutional capacity in lagging areas in the region and improve regional-sub-regional coordination of policies, programmes and projects
KEY STRATEGIES FOR ENHANCED
ASEAN CONNECTIVITY
Traditional Funding Sources:
Multilateral Development Banks
(MDBs)
Bilateral development partners
Regional/global funds and facilities
Technical assistance from ASEAN
Dialogue
Partners and other external parties
National Government Budgets
RESOURCE MOBILISATION
New and Innovative Sources:
Private individuals and businesses
ASEAN Infrastructure Fund (AIF)
financed by ASEAN Member States and
ADB
Private-Public Partnerships (PPPs)
Regional & Domestic Capital Markets
RESOURCE MOBILISATION
CROSS FLOWS OF INVESTMENTS IN ASEAN
Direct Investment by Malaysia in ASEAN
Source: Bank Negara Malaysia
YEAR INVESTMENTS
2011 : RM25,775 MILLION
2010 : RM24,754 MILLION
2009 : RM16,058 MILLION
CROSS FLOWS OF INVESTMENTS IN ASEAN
Direct Investment by ASEAN Countries in Malaysia
Source: Bank Negara Malaysia
YEAR
INVESTMENTS
2011 : RM21,680 MILLION
2010 : RM15,675 MILLION
2009 : RM15,756 MILLION
OPPORTUNITIES TO MALAYSIAN BUSINESS COMMUNITY
A Single Integrated Market offering increase business opportunities for trade in goods, services and investment, through:
removal of import tariffs and non-tariff barriers for trade in goods;
liberalisation of the services sector covering all 4 modes of supply and removal of market access limitations
creating a liberal investment regime
Serve as a production base for regional and international market
Enhance competitiveness and efficiency by expanding domestic production facilities for the larger markets:
OPPORTUNITIES TO MALAYSIAN BUSINESS COMMUNITY
Undertake outsourcing activities and specialisation of production
Relocate and rationalisation of business operations
Enhance Malaysian service providers competitiveness and capacity
Employment and business opportunities for Malaysian service providers
OPPORTUNITIES TO MALAYSIAN BUSINESS COMMUNITY
Seminars/Briefings/Workshops.
Establishment of FTA Service Units in MATRADE, MIDA and SMIDEC
MITI Website provides latest updates on Malaysia’s FTAs
Conduct Surveys to ascertain level of awareness amongst stakeholders of FTAs and their benefits derived.
OUTREACH PROGRAMMES
AEC
Economic Dynamism
Inclusive Growth
Sustained Prosperity
Integrated Development of ASEAN
CONCLUSION
l MINISTRY OF INTERNATIONAL TRADE AND INDUSTRY, MALAYSIA l ALL RIGHTS RESERVED l
ASEAN ECONOMIC COOPERATION MITI
Fax : 03 - 6201 9799
E-mail : [email protected]
THANK YOU